1 | 00:00:55,350 --> 00:01:05,790 | ICT: Hello Folks, this is ICT with the scout sniper basic Field Guide, Part Seven in our continuing series after this, we only got one more installment left |
2 | 00:01:05,790 --> 00:01:17,070 | and we're complete. Okay, we're gonna be looking at multiple targets. Okay, and what specifically we'll be covering in this presentation are we're going to be |
3 | 00:01:17,070 --> 00:01:28,350 | reviewing the previous assignment, discovering the average number of pips intraday, a study on that. And we're looking at the ICT chart examples and stop |
4 | 00:01:28,350 --> 00:01:39,510 | loss orders revisited. And we're gonna be looking at the average daily PIP ranges we're gonna be discussing when ranges contract and why it's essential for |
5 | 00:01:39,510 --> 00:01:54,150 | you to be prepared. And the 30 PIP stop loss and why are we looking at the ICT split gains ratio? Okay, and why is it important to understand your trade |
6 | 00:01:54,150 --> 00:02:10,800 | setups? What is the concern? What makes a trade different to any other? Why is classification essential to profit taking and the ICT split ratios explained? |
7 | 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:29,370 | And we're gonna be discussing, are we in sync or not intermediate term ratios, short term ratios, day trading ratios, and finally, scalping ratios. And in |
8 | 00:02:29,370 --> 00:02:39,330 | conclusion, we'll have one more assignments the last one in this series, it will be basically a review for you to go through all of the previous videos one more |
9 | 00:02:39,330 --> 00:02:55,020 | time to gather up all your notes again. And we'll be moving on to the final conclusion installment to this series think what I have planned an outline that |
10 | 00:02:55,020 --> 00:03:08,580 | is still a little bit more work to be complete. But what I have so far you'll be very, very surprised to see how these tools are used and when to use them and |
11 | 00:03:08,580 --> 00:03:11,550 | when not to use them. So let's move on. |
12 | 00:03:20,190 --> 00:03:31,620 | Okay, folks, we're looking at the Euro USD the 15 minute chart. And keeping in mind with this teaching series, obviously we talked about how trading in line |
13 | 00:03:31,620 --> 00:03:43,650 | with the higher time frame daily and using the nine and 18 moving averages Exponential Moving Averages rather to kind of give you a buying model for |
14 | 00:03:43,650 --> 00:03:58,200 | institutional flows. So more or less use this section of the marketplace basically 30th of September to the fourth of October so you can call that up on |
15 | 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:06,030 | your charge everybody the same markup I'm doing here and I have each day delineated with vertical lines and you can do that in Mt four by holding down |
16 | 00:04:06,030 --> 00:04:20,040 | CTRL and tapping why see that happening here and these horizontal lines is take the foregoing line so if you see a little bit better, this is delineating the |
17 | 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:31,650 | previous day okay, this is previous day's high which is seen here and this is the previous day's low which is seen here. Okay, I'm going to share these tools |
18 | 00:04:31,980 --> 00:04:45,450 | on the internet and you'll be able to download and apply them to your mt four platform as well. We're going to look at a few things here obviously, beginning |
19 | 00:04:45,450 --> 00:05:06,060 | with the average PIP range so this date high to low. Using this here we have 78 pips see the middle number here 70 pips, okay? So on this particular week this |
20 | 00:05:06,060 --> 00:05:20,880 | Monday It was 70 pips for that particular day. This trading day we had the high here and the low fonder here, right there on that candle. So by looking at that |
21 | 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:41,040 | range okay we have a range of 71 pips. Okay? Very close to the previous day's daily range. We have this range here, which is 103 104 pips rather. Okay, again, |
22 | 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:50,520 | that's this day's high, this day's low. What this indicator does is it actually plots the previous day's high low. So you can see graphically and there's a lot |
23 | 00:05:50,520 --> 00:06:04,530 | of uses for that, but we're not going to go into it here, but you'll hear more about it as we get into the eighth installment in the series. Okay, we have 64 |
24 | 00:06:04,530 --> 00:06:26,310 | pips on this range here. Okay. And now what do we what did we just see? Okay, we saw 77 years. The PIP range, hang around that 70 to 80 PIP marker, we move into |
25 | 00:06:26,340 --> 00:06:41,940 | 100 pips. Then in here, we shrunk down to 60. So we had 7070s 160. Okay, so we have contraction in the daily range right in here. That means there is a pretty |
26 | 00:06:41,940 --> 00:06:52,890 | sizable move that's expected, just simply looking at volatility alone, okay, this is why it's important to know when the daily range and start to contract, |
27 | 00:06:53,370 --> 00:07:06,180 | you need to be prepared because something's about to take place that you could capitalize on. Okay, we're going into a new week here. The market makes a small |
28 | 00:07:06,180 --> 00:07:23,880 | range again, okay. And that's this low here, this high. Okay, typically, Mondays we don't like to trade. But you can see the high and low here on this day. It's |
29 | 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:38,490 | this range here. So we have 45. So the daily hip ranges have really consolidated into a smaller, tighter, daily range that were much much smaller than we were on |
30 | 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:55,440 | this previous week. Mark comes down, find some support. We have the previous day's high here, which is right here, this candle here and the low here so we're |
31 | 00:07:55,440 --> 00:08:10,620 | going to put on this so it's easy to see 113 pips is this range here. Okay, so the ranges are starting to expand. Okay, and previous day's range as well. |
32 | 00:08:15,060 --> 00:08:25,410 | Gave me 59. So we have another small contraction and daily range sweet, you would expect another move of significance. Now, it doesn't give you directional |
33 | 00:08:25,410 --> 00:08:34,170 | premise. Okay, before I go any further, I don't want to confuse you here. When the ranges start to contract that does not imply directional premise, it just |
34 | 00:08:34,170 --> 00:08:44,460 | means a volatility pop, if you will, where the markets really gonna make a swing one direction or the other is highly probable. Okay. We're going to add some |
35 | 00:08:44,460 --> 00:08:58,680 | directional stuff in a moment. But we have this daily high here and daily low, which is seen on Sunday's candle here or range, which we don't like to do too |
36 | 00:08:58,680 --> 00:09:19,770 | much trading on on Sunday. Here's Tuesday's of that week's daily range. You can see that as communicated here. And we start moving into more larger daily |
37 | 00:09:19,770 --> 00:09:39,930 | ranges, we're above 90 here. Okay. And prior to this range here we had on that Monday of this particular week, we have a range of 53 pips. Okay, so we started |
38 | 00:09:39,930 --> 00:10:00,000 | to shrink up and we exploded, and we had a very nice increase in the daily range 161 pips, okay, which was seen here. Okay, so what I'm trying to draw your |
39 | 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:11,340 | Attention to and this is not only do we look at price action on the charts, but we're also measuring and keeping an eye on volatility, because when the ranges |
40 | 00:10:11,340 --> 00:10:21,990 | start to get small, okay, or if they drop off over the last five days, much lower than the average daily range, we're moving into an area where we're |
41 | 00:10:21,990 --> 00:10:32,370 | probably going to have a very sharp price move. Again, that does not give you a prognostication. influence. No, it does give you any kind of directional |
42 | 00:10:32,370 --> 00:10:40,500 | premise, if you will. It just gives you a neon sign that everybody looks for that something's about to happen. Well, that's one of the best things you can |
43 | 00:10:40,500 --> 00:10:49,950 | have. Because it's a shrinking of volatility, okay. You have like disquiet before the storm. Okay, and because we're looking at 15 minute chart, and |
44 | 00:10:49,950 --> 00:11:00,450 | looking at one shot, one kills per week. Okay, one cherry picked scenario, for the whole entire week that we've really tried to hone in on for an opportunity |
45 | 00:11:00,450 --> 00:11:11,550 | with this with the highest probability of profitability, and the lowest probability of risk. That's, that's what a professional trader spends his career |
46 | 00:11:11,550 --> 00:11:22,500 | doing. That's his routine, he looks for those conditions. There's a lot of opportunities that he'll let go or she'll like go by with no regard whatsoever |
47 | 00:11:22,530 --> 00:11:31,800 | about who else is getting it. You in your development towards a professional trader, you want to be having that mindset as well, you want to be moving |
48 | 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:39,690 | towards a level of consistency, and not feeling like a dog in a meat market, just running around chasing every little thing hanging off of a counter nibbling |
49 | 00:11:39,690 --> 00:11:48,480 | here and nibbling there, and never really being satisfied. I can't express how satisfying it is to sit on your hands and wait for a specific environment, |
50 | 00:11:48,870 --> 00:12:00,690 | specific condition, specific setup, and then watch it unfold exactly how you have waited for it patiently. And then take advantage of it execute. No fear, no |
51 | 00:12:00,690 --> 00:12:10,740 | worry, no rushing, absolute patience. And there's no emotion whatsoever. The emotion comes on the other side of the trade when you get out, hopefully with |
52 | 00:12:10,740 --> 00:12:22,830 | profitability, hopefully with having very little drawdown during the trade. So moving in that direction as a developing trader, that's where your mindset |
53 | 00:12:22,980 --> 00:12:30,750 | shouldn't be early on. And if you haven't done that you've been trading for a while, you'd be surprised if you started doing that very thing, how much more |
54 | 00:12:30,750 --> 00:12:43,680 | significant your results would be. And it would clear a lot of the emotional and fear and greed aspects that come inherent with trading. So understanding the |
55 | 00:12:43,680 --> 00:12:55,170 | contraction of the daily ranges, again, is vital to understanding when next big move, quote unquote, is about to ensue. Because we as traders, that's what we |
56 | 00:12:55,170 --> 00:13:00,960 | need, we need volatility to make money. Okay, if the markets Don't move, it's very difficult for us to make money. Okay, unless you're an options trader, |
57 | 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:11,640 | which I'm not going to be claiming to be an avid options trader, but they're certainly means of taking advantage of the marketplace. When there's quiet |
58 | 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,130 | markets. I'm just not that type of trader, you know, |
59 | 00:13:14,130 --> 00:13:25,590 | I need action. So let's go back and look at a few things. Okay. The previous video we talked about stop loss placement, and managing trailing stops and such. |
60 | 00:13:26,220 --> 00:13:39,240 | And I really want to hone this in down to a very core principle and seek to understand what it is specifically that you're trying to do when you place your |
61 | 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:52,170 | stop and why it's important to have a specific number of pips as a like a template if you will. Because we're trading with a one shot one kill mentality, |
62 | 00:13:52,290 --> 00:14:08,220 | looking for one choice set up for the week. We understand we looked at a few daily ranges here, okay. While it is not always 100 pips, I classify the average |
63 | 00:14:08,220 --> 00:14:22,380 | daily range for the euro and they maybe the British Pound USD nonwords, cable and fiber pairs. I classify them as a generic 100 PIP daily range. Now please do |
64 | 00:14:22,380 --> 00:14:33,600 | not send emails to me, okay. or message me on twitter saying, Michael, the fiber doesn't have an average daily range of 100 pips every day or hasn't had it for |
65 | 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:46,350 | this number of days or what? I know that it will move in and out. Okay, but in my mind, I adopt 100 PIP daily range, will it always have exactly 100? Pip? No. |
66 | 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:57,510 | Will it go over? It certainly. will double it sometimes. Certainly. Okay. Will it go very, very small have even a 40 PIP or less daily range? Yes, it can do |
67 | 00:14:57,510 --> 00:15:08,280 | that. Okay, so please don't Don't try and start an argument with me because I'm really not interested. Okay. I'm showing you how I view the market. It's up to |
68 | 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:23,460 | you whether you discern if it's any value or not. Okay? But because I have framed it with an average of 100 pips on a daily basis, okay 1/3 that, okay? |
69 | 00:15:23,460 --> 00:15:34,470 | It's about 30 pips. Okay. And my premise to trading with a one shot one kill mentality is if we're in an environment where we already expect bullish prices, |
70 | 00:15:34,770 --> 00:15:46,140 | okay? If we expect bullish prices, we've looked at the higher timeframe daily chart, maybe the nine day, an 18 day or signifying that it is a buy model right |
71 | 00:15:46,140 --> 00:15:55,950 | now everything is institutional flows are moving higher. We've come off of a nice higher level support levels. Okay, and breaking resistance levels, |
72 | 00:15:56,220 --> 00:16:09,810 | everything is bullish. Okay. We've already learned that the market finds its low for the week, typically between Monday and Wednesdays London open, very high |
73 | 00:16:09,810 --> 00:16:19,020 | probability for Tuesday's long and open to create it. But again, we're flexible because we are not trading in black and white, we trade in the gray. Okay, so we |
74 | 00:16:19,020 --> 00:16:32,010 | have to thrive in the gray, we have a general rule to expect the higher low to form my Wednesday's London oven, okay. But there's going to be small deviations |
75 | 00:16:32,010 --> 00:16:40,230 | in that periodically, okay? Because just simply because we want it to be like that, always, it's not always going to be like that. So you have to have some |
76 | 00:16:40,230 --> 00:16:49,530 | flexibility in trading. And that goes along with your analysis as well. So we're going to go back over a few concepts with this whole weekend mind. Okay. And |
77 | 00:16:49,560 --> 00:17:00,480 | again, we're looking at September 30. to October 4, and for time reduction on the video. Again, I'll just counsel you to go to your daily chart, pull up your |
78 | 00:17:00,510 --> 00:17:09,810 | moving averages to to confirm this is indeed a timeframe when the market is showing institutional flows being always with the averages crossing and |
79 | 00:17:09,810 --> 00:17:24,720 | everything you're trying to move higher. We have Wednesday's trading here we have Tuesday's trading here. And on Monday, we had a range, okay. From Tuesday's |
80 | 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:41,910 | high here and Monday's low. Okay, so market made a high here early in the week, took out this high here and traded back and receded back in to Wednesday. Now |
81 | 00:17:41,910 --> 00:17:43,020 | this candle here |
82 | 00:17:45,270 --> 00:18:00,960 | is my little things here. So I can see what I'm looking at. This candle comes in at 1215 GMT, or 1230 GMT rather. Now that's classic, New York open. So while we |
83 | 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:11,490 | did have the market, make a nice little low here in Dorne. It's London session here, New York came down, swept that low out and then the real move came. Okay, |
84 | 00:18:11,490 --> 00:18:22,740 | so we talked about that stop reading event. Okay, but more specifically, we're going to go a little closer. Okay, you can see what we have here. This is that |
85 | 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:37,740 | Monday and Tuesday, we're going to pull up the range, pulling the low dropping our fib right on this high. Okay, so we have we've outlined our range here. |
86 | 00:18:38,370 --> 00:18:49,800 | Okay. And we also know that because the market has been moving lower, we're bullish, we're looking for buys Okay, in this environment based on the daily |
87 | 00:18:49,800 --> 00:19:03,750 | timeframe, we will be looking for bullish scenarios. Okay. Okay, so we have our fib from the low here, up to the high here. Just one more little click here, as |
88 | 00:19:03,750 --> 00:19:15,480 | you can see, we're looking at here is that Monday, low, Tuesday's high and markets, finding lower prices and then move into this is London open for that |
89 | 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:27,420 | Wednesday on the second of October. And then the New York open comes down raids those lows, okay, see how clean that is? Just about the same level here. And |
90 | 00:19:27,420 --> 00:19:37,830 | that's a real high suspect area no pocket staff will be resting okay. Or liquidity pocket. And then our liquidity pool rather and market comes down. |
91 | 00:19:38,220 --> 00:19:47,340 | raids that area here assumes all those pending orders. That would be what it would be sell orders. Okay, there would be sell orders. Because anyone that we |
92 | 00:19:47,340 --> 00:19:56,850 | tried to buy long in here, they're protecting in your mind by having a stoploss in the form of a sell stop. Because if prices come down lower they want to be |
93 | 00:19:56,850 --> 00:20:03,240 | getting out the market that sell stuff becomes a market order to do what sell At the market, who would be willing to take the other side of the trade? Those that |
94 | 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:15,060 | are in the know. So when he took price down here, then you saw that rally up? Here's what we want to know. We want to know, on the second of October, when |
95 | 00:20:15,060 --> 00:20:29,550 | price was dropping down, was there something over here? Okay, that it was trying to fulfill? Well, if we go out to an hourly chart, here is the bearish candle |
96 | 00:20:30,810 --> 00:20:36,150 | prior to the bullish move up. Okay, let's zoom in a little bit more. Okay. |
97 | 00:20:44,820 --> 00:21:05,100 | All right there. So we have price coming down, touching that hourly order block for that big move here on the 30th, then move higher here on that Tuesday, and |
98 | 00:21:05,100 --> 00:21:14,730 | then we have the market receding down. Notice how price comes right down into that sweet spot as well. Okay, but does not violate the 70% treatment level. It |
99 | 00:21:14,730 --> 00:21:27,720 | comes right down to the order block here. Okay. Let's take this off. clean clothes, see what I'm referring to. That's how precise it gets. Okay. So when |
100 | 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:38,550 | price comes down, hits that level, it starts to rally up. Now, here's where we're going to introduce the concept of the effective stoploss placement. Okay, |
101 | 00:21:38,580 --> 00:21:51,990 | let's go back down to the 15 minute time frame, okay. And we're going to show this is |
102 | 00:21:58,950 --> 00:22:18,360 | the whole London session open, not the whole session itself, but the London open, as defined by me. And here is the New York session |
103 | 00:22:28,530 --> 00:22:43,740 | as defined by me. Okay, and we're going to assume again, that all things that we discussed in this video series, were favoring an area to be buying in here. |
104 | 00:22:46,170 --> 00:23:02,190 | We're going to highlight this area here again, we're looking at this point here is the beginning of time and price. In this area here is where we be looking all |
105 | 00:23:02,190 --> 00:23:12,780 | the way to the last portion of New York session. So what I do is it's just outside edge this rectangles right here, in the beginning of this rectangle edge |
106 | 00:23:12,810 --> 00:23:23,310 | is approximately the beginning here. So what I've done was I've mapped out this whole area of where time and price are conducive for a buy. Okay, so now we're |
107 | 00:23:23,310 --> 00:23:40,500 | gonna take the fib off. And 135 10s are a nice round number. We're going to assume that this level here is what we traded. I'm not going to use this as the |
108 | 00:23:40,500 --> 00:23:52,290 | ideal scenario. Okay, I'm going to show you how powerful this stuff is. And you don't need to be so precise. This whole area you've identified as a level of |
109 | 00:23:53,040 --> 00:24:01,860 | opportunity Okay, so this is a killing ground inside of kill zones. These are kill zones. This is a killing Graham. Okay, this is an area where we stalking a |
110 | 00:24:01,860 --> 00:24:11,940 | setup. We don't look for any setups during this time period. This is dead long in the marketplace. This is like quiet time. You won't be trading in the New |
111 | 00:24:11,940 --> 00:24:23,910 | York open. I'm sorry to London rather our the New York open. But we're looking for this move for the weekly rains to continue moving higher. So as the market |
112 | 00:24:23,910 --> 00:24:34,320 | moves from Tuesday's high down into Wednesday's London open, okay, this is an area where we would be hunting a setup. Okay. If we used |
113 | 00:24:39,930 --> 00:24:54,750 | this price level here is 135 or seven. Let's assume for a moment, we traded at 135 15 right in here. Okay, my slow area, it's previous day's low in here, right |
114 | 00:24:54,750 --> 00:25:03,570 | in here. So we're going to use that as our entry point. Okay because dealing ranges and bank are Traders like to use previous day's highs and lows. We're |
115 | 00:25:03,570 --> 00:25:19,620 | going to assume for a moment that we took that trade long in here in this consolidation little area in here. We went long there if we use let's get rid of |
116 | 00:25:19,620 --> 00:25:31,950 | this rectangle here. If we use 30 pips as a stop, our stop would reside down here. |
117 | 00:25:39,060 --> 00:25:46,740 | Okay 134 86 or there abouts. Okay? And our entry |
118 | 00:25:52,410 --> 00:25:58,920 | would be approximately down to where we said 135 15 |
119 | 00:26:03,930 --> 00:26:09,030 | Okay, so we have our entry points |
120 | 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:33,570 | and that's showing 20 pips, I would need this to go a little bit deeper here. And that's, that's why again, I like to use 30 pips because let's look at this |
121 | 00:26:35,700 --> 00:26:50,040 | okay with this range, okay. From that low and that daily range, look how much of that daily range that it consumes, in terms of, you know, total daily range here |
122 | 00:26:50,070 --> 00:27:02,130 | look from this dailies. Hi, guys today Hi, Mike, how much of that daily range, okay, is consumed with that price most that magnitude of price. Again, the low |
123 | 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:11,130 | forming right here on that candle right there. That's the daily low. Look how much of that daily range has been concerned with 30 pips. So if you combine, |
124 | 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:28,590 | okay, if you're combining the the mechanics of entering the marketplace at a specific time during a specific time kill zone like London or New York open. |
125 | 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:42,810 | Specifically, looking for the setup here, even with this stop raid right there. Okay, right there. You are not going to miss that opportunity to get long. |
126 | 00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:53,790 | You're not going to Okay, so when you see this move price, stabbing down like this, okay, by having all these levels identified, you would at least be willing |
127 | 00:27:53,790 --> 00:28:02,670 | to see a trade down to that point here. And your stop loss isn't isn't triggered. You're still good chunk away in terms of pips, there's no reason for |
128 | 00:28:02,670 --> 00:28:16,830 | you to be fearful that Okay, so again 30 pips, okay. 30 pips. If you are timing your trade with one shot, one kill, looking for the choice days to be looking |
129 | 00:28:16,830 --> 00:28:27,150 | for the low to be forming. Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday. Okay, even with imperfection with your entry point. This is why you started pips. Okay. And for |
130 | 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:33,600 | for those of you who have already started thinking earlier on the video, oh, look, he picked the most cherry picking scenario there is no I gave this |
131 | 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:44,760 | scenario to show you how, even when my tools did not give me the perfect entry, but still allow me to be involved in the marketplace. Okay. These lows in here, |
132 | 00:28:44,940 --> 00:28:52,530 | resting below that would be a nice area of stops. Okay, so it'd be a liquidity pool there. The market rallies up a little bit and comes right back down takes |
133 | 00:28:52,530 --> 00:29:04,260 | those participants out. Okay, this is the the Judas swing in here, this is that false, move lower, everyone will be chasing that prior to move higher. Okay. So |
134 | 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:15,510 | we have the one that open the New York open by having that, that framework. Okay, we could be long in here looking for a move going into Friday. Okay, |
135 | 00:29:15,510 --> 00:29:28,410 | here's Thursday's trading that that week. And Friday does not make a higher high in here. But now let's go back to the stop loss, why and how we manage them. |
136 | 00:29:29,580 --> 00:29:37,740 | You're gonna see why again, I use this specific example because again, it shows you how you get the lion's portion of the move. And you're not absolutely |
137 | 00:29:37,740 --> 00:29:46,560 | getting a low you're not absolutely getting the high. Okay, so now let's assume from you went long in here, your stop loss, obviously as we just detailed is |
138 | 00:29:46,620 --> 00:29:57,270 | down here. Okay. So by having this entry point, the market moves up. Okay, we're looking at a 15 minute time frame. What you're going to look for are the swing |
139 | 00:29:57,270 --> 00:30:07,320 | lows on the 15 minute time frame. Going and you're gonna be looking at the most recent two as the market starts to move up. Okay, we took out the previous day's |
140 | 00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:16,740 | high here, right there, okay? So it's this swing low, and then when this swing low forms, okay, here's this one and this one. So now you can move your stop |
141 | 00:30:16,740 --> 00:30:35,400 | loss from 134 85 up to this low here, just a little bit below. Okay, so now by having that set up like that. So now, again, we're looking at how the market |
142 | 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:45,570 | moves higher. This would be a nice level, take some profits, okay, but now we're going to be looking to preserve our open position, okay. So, if we took a |
143 | 00:30:45,570 --> 00:30:54,990 | portion of the trade off in this area here based on the previous day's high, nice reason to take it out, not all of the trades, but some of it Okay, we have |
144 | 00:30:55,110 --> 00:31:07,230 | when the market starts to move up and take out this high here, we have this low and this low, but now we have this swing low here, okay. So now you have this |
145 | 00:31:07,230 --> 00:31:09,180 | low and this low. |
146 | 00:31:11,490 --> 00:31:23,490 | So now you can move your stop to just below this low. Okay, so over here your stop also be right about and this senati right here. Okay, market comes down |
147 | 00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:34,980 | comes down, does not read it. Okay, as the market starts to make a lower low here than this one here. Are you nervous? Probably are. But are you stopped out? |
148 | 00:31:35,010 --> 00:31:45,750 | No. So what do you follow the rules or your emotions? The rules. Okay. So now, when the market starts to rally up here and takes out this high here, right on |
149 | 00:31:45,750 --> 00:31:56,190 | this candle here, you look at where we're at in terms of swing lows, we have this swing low, in this swing low, which is the lowest of the most recent swing |
150 | 00:31:56,190 --> 00:32:06,750 | lows, it's this one here. So you would be able to move your stop loss just below that one. Okay. So now as the market rallies up, okay, it starts to drift lower |
151 | 00:32:07,020 --> 00:32:17,400 | in here. We have not made any new higher highs, market events, he comes down and boom takes your radio, right? At your stop. Okay? And what happens is the |
152 | 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:17,880 | result? |
153 | 00:32:23,490 --> 00:32:36,690 | Are you upset about it? No, you controlled your risk. Did you make money? In this example? hypothetically, you would have. Okay, so that's one example using |
154 | 00:32:36,780 --> 00:32:50,970 | the stop loss rules and applying the weekly ranges and such. Let's look at again, assuming we got in at 135 15 and you got stopped out on your whatever the |
155 | 00:32:50,970 --> 00:33:00,450 | balance would be. That's 66 pips. Do you remember at the beginning of this video series, we talked about how 30 to 50 pips a week, you can build a career on |
156 | 00:33:01,230 --> 00:33:09,450 | there's 60 pips, leverage your feet? Did you trade every single day? No. Did you? Did you beat your head against the wall trying to figure out where the next |
157 | 00:33:09,450 --> 00:33:19,830 | bat pattern is? Where the next crab pattern is? The next ICT reflection is No. Okay, you would have a clear cut routine that you would look for specifically, |
158 | 00:33:20,370 --> 00:33:27,450 | every single week, you should know what you're going to be looking for. Okay? Are you gonna be looking to be a buyer or a seller or sitting in your hands? |
159 | 00:33:27,810 --> 00:33:38,970 | Okay? Or are you preserving your capital because you're already in position, you're either managing, executing or seeing your hand. Simple. Okay. Now, with |
160 | 00:33:38,970 --> 00:33:55,770 | all that the topic of daily ranges will be much, much more involved in the eighth installment of the series, because we're going to talk about the five day |
161 | 00:33:55,830 --> 00:34:07,320 | average daily range. We're just going to briefly mention it here. But I'm going to reserve a much more in depth discussion until the eighth video because I'm |
162 | 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:21,030 | actually gonna have the tool released at a time I did the video upload as well. So but those of you don't have the five the average daily range indicator for |
163 | 00:34:21,030 --> 00:34:33,870 | mp4, you'll be able to get it for free. I will share it with you. That's the one you see me using in my videos. But regardless of what type of trader you are, |
164 | 00:34:34,230 --> 00:34:45,510 | okay, and we're gonna be talking about trade classifications Now, why is it important? And what's the big deal? Okay, number one, if you are short term |
165 | 00:34:45,510 --> 00:34:55,560 | trading, okay. For instance, everything was bullish going into this week here. Maybe you saw this as a selling opportunity on a lower timeframe maybe this is |
166 | 00:34:55,560 --> 00:35:03,720 | an optimal trade entry that you sold into, okay in the market came down and You're thinking, wow, I'm really smart, I'm making money. But all of a sudden |
167 | 00:35:03,720 --> 00:35:14,850 | you married a vein. The higher time frame intermediate term trade setup, based on the daily timeframe suggests that this thing's going higher, technically, can |
168 | 00:35:14,850 --> 00:35:24,540 | it always unfold like that? No. Sometimes you're going to have where the technicals suggest it may continue to go higher, but it doesn't do it. Okay. And |
169 | 00:35:24,540 --> 00:35:31,950 | that's when you get to climax reversals. We're not covering that in this series, it's important that you understand that that's not what I'm trying to teach you |
170 | 00:35:31,950 --> 00:35:41,340 | here. I'm trying to teach you to trade within that big lines portion of the moose. That's all you need. You don't need to be specific highs and lows, you |
171 | 00:35:41,340 --> 00:35:52,020 | don't need that. Okay. So that's the powerful concepts coming through and bleeding out all the high end nervousness that is presented with traders, the |
172 | 00:35:52,020 --> 00:35:58,230 | feeling to get a kiss the highs and lows, you don't need to Okay, notice that this straight set up was not the low the week, the lower week was found on |
173 | 00:35:58,230 --> 00:36:06,540 | Monday. Okay, this was a nice move. I'm not going to argue with anybody that would be short this, okay, so you short it up in this area here around the 80. |
174 | 00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:15,000 | Come down here around you. It's 60 pips, there's nothing wrong with that. That's equivalent to what we would have made on this trade. So what, that's not your |
175 | 00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:24,150 | trade, that's not your trade. And that's how you look at it, guys can come into forums all day long. I took this trade and then took that out, who cares, you |
176 | 00:36:24,150 --> 00:36:32,220 | can't make any money on that trade. And you can't lose any money on it either. You can't get any glory. And you can't swallow your pride over either. So with |
177 | 00:36:32,220 --> 00:36:41,520 | differences in make, while it's educational, and inspiring to see other people's results, do not assume that that should have been traded, you should have |
178 | 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:51,690 | thought Why did you do the homework on that trade going into it? Because if you didn't do it's not your trade, okay? So keep that in mind. You have no reason, |
179 | 00:36:51,810 --> 00:37:05,550 | no reason whatsoever to worry about what the next guy is doing? None. Okay, so that five, the average daily range is going to be crucial to us in the eighth |
180 | 00:37:05,550 --> 00:37:13,260 | video, but for now, we're just understand that we're going to have to learn to take something off regardless of what type of trader we're trading within either |
181 | 00:37:13,260 --> 00:37:14,010 | intermediate term, |
182 | 00:37:15,660 --> 00:37:25,350 | short term, day trade or scalping. But if you are marrying the vein here and looking to be a seller on this Tuesday, with an overall higher level |
183 | 00:37:25,350 --> 00:37:34,620 | intermediate term bullishness underway, you'll marry this vein here and you'll if you don't manage your stops, right, okay, you can get killed. Okay, look at |
184 | 00:37:34,620 --> 00:37:43,080 | me, it didn't take very long for this market, come back up to that high here. Okay, so all those folks that were shorting here and didn't use proper trade |
185 | 00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:53,400 | management, okay, and risk controls and preserving capital and taking profits. As the market moves lower, if you were thinking get in, I'm gonna get out all my |
186 | 00:37:53,400 --> 00:38:01,470 | profits at my target. That's it. It's either all or nothing, well, guess what, you boom, you got enough. Okay, that's what this video is going to be dealing |
187 | 00:38:01,470 --> 00:38:10,290 | with why it's important for you to take something off, because you're never going to be 100%. As long as I've been doing this, almost 20 years, I'm not |
188 | 00:38:10,350 --> 00:38:19,830 | always right. I'm not always right to where it's going to go to. Okay, so I work within a 75 to 80% range of what I think the move is going to do a drop back |
189 | 00:38:19,830 --> 00:38:27,870 | down to about 80%, sometimes even 70% of what I expect to see it in terms of magnitude moving higher or lower. And that's where I'm trying to get to, I'll |
190 | 00:38:27,870 --> 00:38:36,930 | let the rest of these guys out to beat their chest and say, Look, man, I got all the move, good, I applaud you. But over time, you will not be doing that. I |
191 | 00:38:36,930 --> 00:38:46,140 | guarantee you, you will not be doing it. So don't go into this game thinking that that's what you should be doing. Okay. So now with the five day average |
192 | 00:38:46,170 --> 00:38:54,930 | daily range mentioned briefly that you should be always trying to take some profit off there. Okay, let's talk about multiple time frame trading, okay, |
193 | 00:38:54,930 --> 00:39:05,310 | multiple timeframe trading. Again, we discussed obviously, the daily chart is used for intermediate term trading, okay or swing trading, then you have the |
194 | 00:39:05,310 --> 00:39:16,710 | short term trading which is classified and the analysis is done with a four hour chart. Then you have the day trades that are arrived by analysis on a one hour |
195 | 00:39:16,710 --> 00:39:27,270 | chart, and then anything at 15 minutes or five minutes is obviously scalping. Okay. So, when I say scalping, I'm not talking to three pips and five pips and |
196 | 00:39:27,270 --> 00:39:40,080 | six pips that's not that that to me. That's, that's goober trading. Okay, if you can't at least make 15 to 20 pips on the setup. Don't even do it. Okay, now I |
197 | 00:39:40,110 --> 00:39:46,710 | want How am I saying, if you can't make, there's no guarantee that anything's gonna unfold, it's just like, reward or risk. There's no guarantee that those |
198 | 00:39:46,710 --> 00:39:57,870 | things are panning out. But if you don't at least plan to hold trade to make at least 15 to 20 pips, if it moves favorable for you, then it should not be taken |
199 | 00:39:57,900 --> 00:40:05,790 | as a trade. That's just the way I look at it. You may argue with you and say, you know, I won't I can make 10 pips 20 times a day. Great, then you're a good |
200 | 00:40:05,790 --> 00:40:14,400 | trader, and I'll leave it there. But you're watching this video wanting to know what I do, not necessarily having to have to do it. But I look at the market |
201 | 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:23,220 | where if I can't make at least 15 and 20 pips, or at least willing to hold it in that in that magnitude of pips, I'm not taking the trade, okay. And that's |
202 | 00:40:23,310 --> 00:40:30,720 | usually where I'm using it to either take something off the trade or aggressively move the stop up to even or taking some of the risk off at least. |
203 | 00:40:31,530 --> 00:40:41,460 | So now, because we classify the trade in terms of intermediate term, short term, day trades, and scalping, we have to also understand that there is a |
204 | 00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:52,980 | classification for trading in sync and out of sync. Okay. And what do I mean by that? Well, the two higher time frames, which is the daily and four hour, if |
205 | 00:40:52,980 --> 00:41:02,850 | you're trading in those timeframe, directional premise, then you are classified as trading in sync, regardless of what timeframe you're trading. Now, you can |
206 | 00:41:02,850 --> 00:41:14,730 | trade counter trend or counter sync, if you were out of sync rather, as a day trader and a scalper, okay, we can actually short term trade, you know, counter, |
207 | 00:41:15,210 --> 00:41:22,080 | the higher timeframe, okay, but you got to be very, very nimble doing that. So I'm not going to advocate doing that in this video series. But you see me a lot |
208 | 00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:33,840 | of times in my market reviews or my trade recaps that I do on YouTube. It may go against what the higher time frames are saying, but I'm still netting pips. That |
209 | 00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:44,520 | comes with experience, okay. I do it just to show you that you can make money without a directional premise or bias, but it's just better for your trades if |
210 | 00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:54,900 | you're trading in sync with that daily and or for our timeframes. Okay? So, if you're day trading in sync, that means you're gonna be if the higher timeframe |
211 | 00:41:54,900 --> 00:42:04,740 | daily or for our bullish, then your day trades, if you're a buyer, then you're trading in sync. Okay, just remember that if you're selling in a day trade or |
212 | 00:42:04,740 --> 00:42:12,510 | scalping short, while the daily and or for our our bullish, okay, you are out of sync, okay, or your counter trend trading. |
213 | 00:42:14,550 --> 00:42:26,460 | That's a very, very important rule to understand in terms of your analysis. Because if you can't generically define your market environments like that, or |
214 | 00:42:26,460 --> 00:42:37,500 | you're trading within the current environment, in my opinion, you're trading in the dark, okay, you will not be rule based, you'll be seeing moves like this in |
215 | 00:42:37,500 --> 00:42:43,890 | here, it's really dropping off really handsomely, and you're gonna think, well, it's gonna probably come down here deeper. Well, it may not, as you see here, it |
216 | 00:42:43,890 --> 00:42:51,510 | doesn't, and then starts to rally. You know, the other way, that's very demoralizing, if you haven't taken some profits off as the market moves lower. |
217 | 00:42:51,510 --> 00:42:58,320 | And if you didn't even adjust your stop, the guys want to sell up here, and I'm going to keep my stop here and take all or nothing, well, got nothing again, for |
218 | 00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:08,430 | the time and effort you put into the market, it's important that you have something out, take something off the trade, okay? It doesn't make a difference. |
219 | 00:43:08,490 --> 00:43:19,800 | If it was 20 bucks, you got 20 bucks, it's 20 more dollars than you had before you put the trade on, okay? I used to be, I'm gonna get my exit, or I'm gonna |
220 | 00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:28,980 | get stopped out. And that's just the way it is. And man, I got chewed up. He just can't do that as a developing trader, because number one, your mind's not |
221 | 00:43:28,980 --> 00:43:35,970 | going to let you do it. Okay, you're going to start saying, Well, you know, I took this many losses, I'm going to be over trading, and I'll take more trades. |
222 | 00:43:35,970 --> 00:43:44,250 | Now, I'm going to widen my start, because I know I'm right. Or I'm going to be buying more and over leveraging, okay, and I'm gonna get out sooner than I |
223 | 00:43:44,250 --> 00:43:53,100 | should, because I just need to get that money back. And this causes all kinds of havoc, emotionally and psychologically. And then you forget about what you're |
224 | 00:43:53,100 --> 00:44:02,460 | supposed to be doing. Because you're focusing too much on the pain. Okay? So by having these rules in place, it helps you define what it is specifically you |
225 | 00:44:02,460 --> 00:44:11,130 | should be doing. And that alone is what your focus should be. Because think about if your perspective is limited to just just those things, do you have time |
226 | 00:44:11,130 --> 00:44:19,500 | to be worrying about where it's going to go to if you already have a stoploss defined, either going to watch your six and collapse 50% of the trade, or you're |
227 | 00:44:19,500 --> 00:44:27,210 | going to go Let it go down and hit your stop. Period. That's it. What's the worry about? If you're worrying is because you probably put too much on the |
228 | 00:44:27,210 --> 00:44:38,490 | trade, or you probably been trading too much. It's just that simple, guys, but we want to over analyze it and blame something else outside of us. Okay, I get a |
229 | 00:44:38,490 --> 00:44:48,450 | million emails asking what it is that makes me do the wrong things. Well, and apparently that's human nature. And we've said this earlier, if you see a sign |
230 | 00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:54,960 | on the lawn says don't walk on the grass. What do you invariably want to do as a kid if you have children, my kids want to do it all the time. Don't touch wet |
231 | 00:44:54,960 --> 00:45:03,630 | paint, man. They got paint all over hands off, guys, but Gosh, it's got paint all over it. Okay, there. New Nikes boom, it's got that new stain that was on |
232 | 00:45:03,630 --> 00:45:09,060 | the picnic table that we were walking through the park and says, Don't touch this, it's got wet paint on it got little rope around it. Okay, well, we're |
233 | 00:45:09,060 --> 00:45:17,730 | gonna go through the rope, cross the red tape, if you will, the hazard warning, and we're going to do the very thing that you're not supposed to do. Okay, |
234 | 00:45:17,730 --> 00:45:26,700 | that's human nature. So that gets back to are you going to be a rule based individual, because if you can't follow rules, you're not going to do well with |
235 | 00:45:26,700 --> 00:45:38,520 | this business, you have to be, you have to be disciplined, and have it defined very, very clearly what it is specifically that you should be doing. If your |
236 | 00:45:38,580 --> 00:45:49,200 | trade plan is very detailed. One can argue I have too many moving parts of mine in my plan, okay, I don't have a whole lot of moving parts in my trading plan, I |
237 | 00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:58,110 | have a whole lot of moving parts and my understanding how the markets themselves work. That's why I'm so effective. That's why my analysis before it happens, is |
238 | 00:45:58,110 --> 00:46:08,580 | so accurate. That that's the, that's the premise, to why I'm doing these things is I want to communicate that to you. You can do these things, but it's going to |
239 | 00:46:08,580 --> 00:46:20,880 | take time for you to overcome the you. Okay, so by having a classification of your trades, and understand what you're trading and why you're trading, it will |
240 | 00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:30,570 | help you define where you're going to take profits at. Okay? So avoid that I'm getting all of my maximum profit, don't do that. Okay. First of all, you're not |
241 | 00:46:30,570 --> 00:46:34,170 | going to be right more times in you think you are, and |
242 | 00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:42,420 | you just want to pay yourself something. Okay? And having that mindset that I'm going to have the maximum profit always because think about when you first |
243 | 00:46:42,420 --> 00:46:48,420 | started, you got in there, you looked at the charts, what are you calculating me, I'm gonna make 20 pips a day, I can do this, this, this, this and all of a |
244 | 00:46:48,420 --> 00:46:58,020 | sudden, in nine months, your millionaire one five an hour training camp, it doesn't work like that, guys, it does not work like that. You have to overcome a |
245 | 00:46:58,020 --> 00:47:08,430 | whole lot of internal things before these charts ever do anything for you. So the way you grind that out is begin with a rule based system. Okay, and the more |
246 | 00:47:08,430 --> 00:47:22,080 | rules you have that are clearly defined, the less room areas for emotional, fear based and greed based trading. It's just that simple. Okay, so now let's move on |
247 | 00:47:22,080 --> 00:47:39,330 | and take a look at the ICT split gain ratios. Okay, guys, we're gonna be looking at the intermediate term ratios. Now, what is a split gain ratio? Well, it's, |
248 | 00:47:39,540 --> 00:47:49,530 | it's something that this really does classified, just for teaching purposes, because I don't have any real specific I do this every single time. I don't, I |
249 | 00:47:49,530 --> 00:47:58,710 | don't have that. Okay, so I'm giving you these ideas to stimulate your decision making in your own trading, okay. So don't think for a minute that this is |
250 | 00:47:58,710 --> 00:48:08,850 | always going to unfold exactly like this, there just obviously means for you to stimulate your decision making. And you can come up with your own way of using |
251 | 00:48:08,850 --> 00:48:16,560 | these as examples, okay, to arrive at what you're most comfortable doing. Okay? And the only way you're going to learn which one you're comfortable doing is by |
252 | 00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:32,040 | just simply jumping in the pool and joining. Okay. So an area term ratio, okay? would be how am I going to take my profits, okay, assuming that you have |
253 | 00:48:32,610 --> 00:48:49,530 | $100,000 leverage in a trade or once you have what we considered a standard lot in the Euro, that would be $100,000. But each PIP is gonna be worth $10 per |
254 | 00:48:49,590 --> 00:49:01,530 | movement up or down, gain or loss out of your account. In this example, okay, for me at turn ratios, if you are in sync, trading in the higher timeframe daily |
255 | 00:49:01,530 --> 00:49:17,490 | and or for our directional premise, okay, you can take your profits in stages of 20 2020 2020. Okay, in other words out of 100% of that total position, okay, you |
256 | 00:49:17,490 --> 00:49:28,830 | could take 2000 of leverage off at your first target, and your second target taken off 2000 of leverage off technology. 1000 off the third target, fourth, |
257 | 00:49:29,220 --> 00:49:42,960 | and final fifth. Okay, that's the like an ideal scenario, if you want to scale off in five position, exit points, fives a whole lot. But again, we're talking |
258 | 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:53,190 | about in return trading, so you could take that first 20 off at the average daily range for that particular day you took the trade on, okay. And then the |
259 | 00:49:53,190 --> 00:50:05,190 | next 20 could come off at a previous daily high or a intra week high and then Next one could be a monthly high. Or we could start looking at Fibonacci 127 and |
260 | 00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:17,460 | 162. extensions. Okay, any one of those things could be applied here. Okay, but it's a matter of how much am I taking off. If you're going to take out for |
261 | 00:50:17,910 --> 00:50:33,570 | scaling, you could do 2525 25 and 25. But where you're taking those profits at, okay, you're taking 20 $500 of the 100,000 that you put the trade on at, at |
262 | 00:50:33,570 --> 00:50:50,700 | logical levels of profit taking old highs, or lows. Fibonacci extensions, okay. Previous range retracements. In other words, like, move say this, this high |
263 | 00:50:50,700 --> 00:50:58,980 | here, down to this low as price moved up into what will be considered the 79% retracement level here. If you were long back in here, you'd be looking to take |
264 | 00:50:58,980 --> 00:51:08,730 | some profits in here. Okay. And then obviously, if it gets to this level here, we could take profits there as well. And then price starts to retrace. Okay, |
265 | 00:51:09,120 --> 00:51:18,900 | assuming that we were able to, you know, be a part of the next leg up. If you were buying in here, okay, this old high would be an example, this old high end |
266 | 00:51:18,900 --> 00:51:26,400 | would be an example. And then the extensions. beyond that. Okay, like this, if we have our fib |
267 | 00:51:30,180 --> 00:51:41,760 | brought down to that low, or 127. An ideal level to take profits at the 162 would be a nice level. And ultimately, our higher level. Profit objective is |
268 | 00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:57,330 | 200. Extension. We're here. Okay. So it's using all the concepts to gather in a framework where it allows you to just really plan your exits, and look for |
269 | 00:51:57,360 --> 00:52:08,100 | reasons to do it, not simply because I made this much money, where are we reaching for it in terms of price action, okay, and applying over tools. If you |
270 | 00:52:08,100 --> 00:52:18,000 | want to scale out in three stages, you could do 20% of the position, and then 40 and 40, holding on to those last two portions at 40 and 40. Because you want to |
271 | 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:25,950 | be hopefully holding a larger percentage of the trade, because you're trading in a higher time frame, directional premise, okay, or it will be considered in |
272 | 00:52:25,950 --> 00:52:40,050 | sync, okay. If you're trading out of sync, in your against the daily and or for our human scale, in five stages, you can take 40% off initially at a price |
273 | 00:52:40,050 --> 00:52:52,050 | objective, and then 1010 1010. Okay, leaving small portions on, okay. And even if sake of luck, even though you're against the hard timeframes, you could still |
274 | 00:52:52,770 --> 00:53:03,030 | manage to get some pretty good gains, like we have here. And like we have here, okay, so it was against the hard timeframes. But you still able to hold a little |
275 | 00:53:03,030 --> 00:53:13,950 | bit of peace of the position and maybe get some more of a volatility in your trade. If you want to scale on it for stages, you could do 50% of the position, |
276 | 00:53:14,160 --> 00:53:25,650 | and 30. So you got 80% of the trade off, then you can hold on for the final 20% scalars, often 10 and 10, then you have three scale stage, if you want to take |
277 | 00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:39,810 | 60% off, that would be 40%, you can scale off in two more stages at 20%. Again, using logical levels of price levels, and Fibonacci, simply applying that the |
278 | 00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:50,280 | overlapping of reasons or confluences for for price to be moving to those levels. That's where you'd be doing these, these split gain ratios. And that's |
279 | 00:53:50,280 --> 00:54:01,080 | where I'm going to be taking my position of and how much of the position that I initially put on what I've been taking off. Now this gets back to your trade |
280 | 00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:10,620 | entry. Okay, you can do this several different ways you can do it, you can set up discipline up and do it as individual orders. Okay, now words, if you're |
281 | 00:54:10,620 --> 00:54:24,300 | trading 100,000, you can for the assuming that you're trading in sync, and you want to scale out three, three levels. You could have your entry, limit order |
282 | 00:54:24,420 --> 00:54:38,460 | three separate entry limit orders to get the same price, then your first of the three, you could look to take profit off at a first objective, okay. But the |
283 | 00:54:38,490 --> 00:54:46,800 | positions would be set up in such a way that you would have 2000 leverage 4000 leverage and then 4000 leverage. Okay, so you're gonna take the first 2000 off |
284 | 00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:57,060 | at your first price objective, remaining two positions would be open. And then the second one would come off at another logical level of price objective. And |
285 | 00:54:57,060 --> 00:55:08,010 | then once it's triggered the remaining order of $4,000 would be sitting in the marketplace and either it gets to its position or stopped out or whatever. Or |
286 | 00:55:08,040 --> 00:55:19,170 | you could just do the trade as $100,000 and then go in and set your limit order to take partials off. Okay, and some platforms will allow you to do that. I |
287 | 00:55:19,170 --> 00:55:31,320 | don't know what every platform each of you are using, you just got to look and see what is available to you. Okay. Let's move on to the next one. Okay, short |
288 | 00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:47,010 | term ratios. Again, assuming that we're trading in sync with the daily, the insync ratios would be taking 30% off, if you're scaling out at three, you in |
289 | 00:55:47,010 --> 00:55:55,560 | this case, it looks a little different, because I'm taking the smaller one first. Because I want to have the maximum amount of leverage still in the |
290 | 00:55:55,560 --> 00:56:05,940 | marketplace in my position. So I'm gonna take 30% off, and then take 35% off the second profit objective, and then remaining 35% would be taken at the third and |
291 | 00:56:06,150 --> 00:56:16,110 | ultimate price objective that I would have for that short term trade 25%. If I want to scale out in two stages, 25% at the first one, and then 75% at the |
292 | 00:56:16,110 --> 00:56:17,310 | second price objective. |
293 | 00:56:18,600 --> 00:56:28,290 | And give you an illustration of what that might look like, is if I'm trading with a four hour chart, again, it all I did was this gear down, I didn't do |
294 | 00:56:28,290 --> 00:56:39,450 | anything, I didn't pick anything, just it just gave me this chart here. assume for a moment that I want short here, on this optimal trade entry. Right here in |
295 | 00:56:39,450 --> 00:56:50,010 | back into this order block in here. So if I went short in here, when that 131 80 level, the first price objective was be down here, this old low, which is the |
296 | 00:56:50,160 --> 00:57:01,260 | reaction low from this point here, down here. That would be my first price objective. Again, scaling out while short term trade. At that point here, it'd |
297 | 00:57:01,260 --> 00:57:14,670 | be 146. position. I'm sorry. 146 pips for the first scaling out, okay. So if I'm scaling out in two stages, 25% would come off the trade right there at 140. Some |
298 | 00:57:14,670 --> 00:57:34,110 | pips, the next point of the ratio would be 75%, I would take that out at either the 127 extension, or the 162. Extension, conservatively, but it's gonna say the |
299 | 00:57:34,110 --> 00:57:42,750 | 127, we're not going to say we got everything down on the here. If you got to the 127. The remaining portion that would be in the trade would profit |
300 | 00:57:44,460 --> 00:57:58,200 | hypothetically, obviously, to that price point here of 191. pips, okay. And just for sake of completeness, if you use the 162 extension as your final position, |
301 | 00:57:58,200 --> 00:58:11,730 | you'd make 248. And if you held for the 200, extension, you can make 310 pips, okay, and you would just do the math on what you wouldn't make or risk on that |
302 | 00:58:11,730 --> 00:58:26,280 | trade. Now, if you're trading out of sync, okay, for short term trading, you want to take larger portions off sooner, so you would take 60% of the trade off, |
303 | 00:58:26,460 --> 00:58:38,190 | and then two remaining positions at 20 and 20. Okay. And again, all you're doing is is looking for levels to take your profits out at that ratio in terms of your |
304 | 00:58:38,190 --> 00:58:47,130 | open position, initially, you're scaling off a percentage, in other words, in this case, out of sync, you would take 60% off initially at your first target, |
305 | 00:58:47,490 --> 00:58:56,790 | and then 20% off at your second target. And then 20% remaining, would come off at your third and ultimate price level. Okay. And in a good example, that would |
306 | 00:58:56,790 --> 00:59:07,590 | be 60% off at an old higher low that you use your fib from, and then 127 would be coming off at 20%. And then 162 extension on what 200% would come off on that |
307 | 00:59:07,590 --> 00:59:18,480 | final 20% of the initial position. And if you want to do two stages on scaling, that you're out of sync with, on the higher time frames, you would take 80% off |
308 | 00:59:18,510 --> 00:59:29,970 | initially and then let your 20% remaining on the position. Go to your second and final objective. And obviously you can do double tap, which is 5015 onwards, you |
309 | 00:59:29,970 --> 00:59:37,830 | take your first objective is half vision comes off moody breakeven and then you hold for your second objective and you don't care what happens at that point. |
310 | 00:59:39,150 --> 00:59:50,880 | Okay, and moving on to our day trading ratios. Okay, looking at this, if you're trading in sync, you take 30% off of your position on the first target, and on |
311 | 00:59:50,880 --> 01:00:00,870 | the second target. It takes 60% off and then you would leave 10% to see what happens. Okay? Because you again, just because you're sure You're day trading |
312 | 01:00:00,990 --> 01:00:10,800 | doesn't mean you can't try to capitalize on a move that will most likely continue on for several days. Again, day trading, don't think I got to get out |
313 | 01:00:10,830 --> 01:00:20,370 | all of my position today, take a good chunk of the market out and move to no risk and lock in profits. But leave a little piece on it because you may catch a |
314 | 01:00:20,370 --> 01:00:33,840 | lot more of the daily range increase going into Friday, or it may even continue going on for weeks. If it works its way where such your your stop is never |
315 | 01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:43,470 | tagged, you'd still be in the market as it continues to move in your favor. Obviously, if you want to move out in in three stages, and you have all three |
316 | 01:00:43,470 --> 01:00:53,430 | timeframes in sync, okay, you could take 20% off 20% off your first two targets, and then leave 60% remaining for your ultimate price objective. That's again, |
317 | 01:00:53,460 --> 01:01:00,240 | only if you're trading with all timeframes in sync and every does things is loaded for it to move up. And if you don't do it in two stages, you would just |
318 | 01:01:00,240 --> 01:01:05,610 | take 20% off your first target and leave 80% for your ultimate price objective. |
319 | 01:01:07,020 --> 01:01:20,460 | The other words, in other words, if you're using a day trading entry, to get in sync with a position or animate term trade based on the daily timeframe. So in |
320 | 01:01:20,460 --> 01:01:28,950 | other words, that's the reason why you would be holding 80% just taking 20% off and holding it for you know, as much as weeks. And if you're trading out of |
321 | 01:01:28,950 --> 01:01:35,400 | sync, you would take obviously in three stages, you will take 80% of the position off of your first target to remaining positions, you can take off at |
322 | 01:01:35,610 --> 01:01:46,410 | 10% and 10% giving you your full 1% off. And in two scaling stages you could do against the higher timeframe, you would take 70% of the position trade off |
323 | 01:01:46,770 --> 01:01:56,160 | remaining 25%, you would take at your second price objective. And obviously if you want to use still simply just do double tap when you're unclear. Okay, in |
324 | 01:01:56,160 --> 01:02:03,180 | other words, if you just don't know if you're in sync or not. And you're you're day trading it just simply it's easy used to double tap, okay, take half the |
325 | 01:02:03,180 --> 01:02:11,160 | position off at your first objective, go to breakeven, and then look for your second objective 127 or wants to do extension period. Short and sweet, nothing |
326 | 01:02:11,160 --> 01:02:30,180 | fancy. Okay, moving on to our last ratio is scalping ratios. Again, this is for 15 to 30 pips range, that type of trading, either hold for your stock to be hit, |
327 | 01:02:30,330 --> 01:02:39,660 | or your target, okay, and either take a loss or it's you risked initially on the trade, or you go to breakeven, other words, if you're able to trim some of that |
328 | 01:02:39,660 --> 01:02:48,960 | risk away. That's pretty much it, that's what you're trying to do. In an ideal world. If everything's in sync, that's how you trade it, you look for your stop |
329 | 01:02:48,960 --> 01:02:59,460 | loss at maximum loss or target. Or if it allows you to trim some of your risk away, you move your stop loss closer to breakeven, eventually into profit. But |
330 | 01:02:59,460 --> 01:03:06,030 | that's, that's, that's scalping for you. I'm not gonna try to give you too many things for Scott, because I really don't think traders should be doing that. But |
331 | 01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:16,410 | you know, there's a group out there that wants to hear about it. So there you go. Or you can simply just use double tap, change to get to 15 to 30 pips, you |
332 | 01:03:16,410 --> 01:03:26,610 | take 50% of the position off, and then you can leave, position open and catch anything that would be in sync with the hard timeframes. If your counter trend, |
333 | 01:03:26,790 --> 01:03:37,830 | or out of sync from the foreign hour and daily, always watch your six, you would look to take 50% of the trade off, if the trade is questionable, and just manage |
334 | 01:03:37,830 --> 01:03:51,510 | it like you would, if you're trading in sync, okay, so it's really a generic way of looking at how I scale out profits, and how I manage the position. I |
335 | 01:03:51,510 --> 01:04:02,460 | generally have what ratio in mind before I even put the trade on, okay, the only time that it will deviate is when I'm in a intermediate term trade, I may elect |
336 | 01:04:02,460 --> 01:04:15,600 | to take more or less of the position off at the second, third, fourth and fifth stages, it may become a third stage, a three stage trade, where I take all my |
337 | 01:04:15,600 --> 01:04:24,450 | profits, if it moves in my favor, versus a five stage scaling out and loads if I think it was going to move to the 200% extension. And I'm in that move |
338 | 01:04:24,450 --> 01:04:34,230 | favorably. And I've taken off my first two scaling stages. That third, fourth and fifth actually may just drop down to, I'm just gonna take it off at the |
339 | 01:04:34,230 --> 01:04:43,380 | fourth, or I'm going to drop it down to what would be considered the open remaining position of the trade say it's 30% of the trade. I may take, you know |
340 | 01:04:43,380 --> 01:04:56,280 | 15% off at one level and in 15% off the another level. So, again, don't think that you're locked into these ratios. This is a means of you, deciding what you |
341 | 01:04:56,280 --> 01:05:06,000 | want to do at the price levels that we've talked about in this course, that means old highs and lows that you use your reference points for your fibs. Your |
342 | 01:05:06,030 --> 01:05:14,340 | 127. Extension, once you see two extension, and then your two on an extension, that's it, there's nothing more to it, there's nothing difficult about it, it's |
343 | 01:05:14,340 --> 01:05:25,080 | just a matter of planning your trade around that analysis, and where those levels are, how much you're going to do, of profit taking, when it gets there. |
344 | 01:05:25,080 --> 01:05:31,980 | And preferably, you want to have those in form of limit orders, you can always manage the limit orders. After they're already in place, treat them like stop |
345 | 01:05:31,980 --> 01:05:38,550 | loss orders, okay? Because many times, you'll be surprised how fast some some markets will move in, you'll get to your first price objective. And if you |
346 | 01:05:38,550 --> 01:05:49,020 | didn't get that, and it recedes back to your stop loss, again, very demoralizing. Okay, so I counsel you to tell us these as templates, if you will, |
347 | 01:05:49,320 --> 01:06:01,950 | to frame your your trading and your your level of scaling up profits, that's really all there is to it, there is no magic behind it. You What you see here |
348 | 01:06:01,980 --> 01:06:06,660 | for your 2080 could very easily be, you know, 70 and 30, |
349 | 01:06:06,810 --> 01:06:20,940 | if no iron set of rules where you have to do it this way and only, okay, it's a unique thing for us as traders, we can tailor this stuff to our own personality. |
350 | 01:06:20,940 --> 01:06:29,580 | So again, it's it's a means of stimulating decision making on your part to scale out something and really to stimulate and try to, you know, inject the idea that |
351 | 01:06:29,580 --> 01:06:37,650 | you should be taking something as profits as the trade unfolds, because just simply because you think it's going to go up to a specific price level, there's |
352 | 01:06:37,650 --> 01:06:46,860 | no guarantee it's doing that. And it may not get there without coming back down to another previous level. And it may be a level your stops at, okay, so pay |
353 | 01:06:46,860 --> 01:06:57,390 | yourself, get something out of the trade you, you've invested time and effort and probably fear and worry about missing the move in the trade setups. So once |
354 | 01:06:57,390 --> 01:07:09,570 | you're in and you get some profits, get some of it out. Okay. So that's pretty much it for this teaching session. in this, in this video, I just want to give |
355 | 01:07:09,570 --> 01:07:20,250 | you some ideas about what we're going to be dealing in the eighth episode, and how to get prepared for it. Our accounts, you obviously go back through all the |
356 | 01:07:20,250 --> 01:07:30,150 | previous videos, okay? And that includes this one, goes through your notes, make sure you have a good collection of notes, okay, and read those notes, you don't |
357 | 01:07:30,150 --> 01:07:37,020 | have to see, see the videos over and again, once you go through it one more time, but your notes, you should read them at least once a day, whether you're |
358 | 01:07:37,020 --> 01:07:44,730 | trading or not read them once a day. Because by doing that, it'll constantly feed your mind. And you remember these things, and you see certain things |
359 | 01:07:44,730 --> 01:07:51,390 | unfolding in your charts. Oh, yeah, that's that thing he was talking about? Well, that's that in event that usually takes place. And then you'll start to |
360 | 01:07:51,390 --> 01:08:03,630 | learn how to engage the marketplace and price action will become a thing of expectancy. Okay? You expect these things, not? What's going to happen? Okay. |
361 | 01:08:03,900 --> 01:08:12,540 | When I found out I'm not asking what's going to happen, I'm expecting something to happen. It's a difference. Okay. If it if it went over your head, rewind |
362 | 01:08:12,540 --> 01:08:20,460 | again, listen to that. It's very different perspective. As a professional trader, I anticipate something, whereas novice traders are expecting something, |
363 | 01:08:20,700 --> 01:08:28,320 | what's going to happen? You know, you're asking everybody on the phone, what do you think the Euro is going to do? What differences what would I make, okay, |
364 | 01:08:28,320 --> 01:08:35,400 | because really, you're going to trade on what I'm telling you, you shouldn't. So have that in your mind as you go through your videos, again, get some good |
365 | 01:08:35,400 --> 01:08:43,620 | notes, and we're going to be moving into a really, really cool, final episode. And a lot of guys that have been on the fence about my concepts will, I think |
366 | 01:08:43,620 --> 01:08:50,100 | will be pleasantly surprised on how useful that video will be. Until then, guys wish good luck and good trading. |
367 | 01:08:55,980 --> 01:09:14,430 | Open joy distance storming and coming up in the last an eighth in our series, escape any evasion. Now this is pretty much like my be all end all for |
368 | 01:09:14,460 --> 01:09:28,410 | application for my tools. I get a lot of flack from the guys that aren't into me, or into the tools or just want to be adversarial. Or they'll say that I have |
369 | 01:09:28,410 --> 01:09:41,790 | too many components. And while I have a very vast understanding of market analysis concepts and techniques, I'm not always using every single tool. So |
370 | 01:09:42,090 --> 01:09:51,900 | it's just like a carpenter. You know, they may have a toolbox full of all kinds of tools, but you're not really you're driving a screw in with a ruler. So |
371 | 01:09:52,470 --> 01:10:08,010 | there's certain times that you need a specific tool or where a tool is multifunctional. Okay, but I did my very, very best to try to concise, condense |
372 | 01:10:08,010 --> 01:10:22,560 | rather, and make it more concise as to when I reach for a specific tool, or application or technique or concept. And when I avoid not using it at all, and I |
373 | 01:10:22,560 --> 01:10:35,100 | set it up in such different way, it's like a flowchart. And I think what you'll be surprised is that I've applied how I sit down and look at the charts, from a |
374 | 01:10:35,100 --> 01:10:47,130 | top down analysis down to the smaller timeframes. And what goes through my mind as I do the analysis, okay, and it's kind of like a if then format. So if the |
375 | 01:10:47,130 --> 01:11:02,670 | market is presenting me this specific criteria, then I will do this, this or that. And if those functions are met with you even more in marking conditions, |
376 | 01:11:02,970 --> 01:11:21,750 | then I moved to another stage in my analysis. So it allows you to remove all the ambiguity, all of the fog, if you will. I have a lot of military themed concepts |
377 | 01:11:21,750 --> 01:11:34,440 | or titles or teaching templates. And that's just my personality. I, you know, I've never been in the military. But I think by having this framework, it'll |
378 | 01:11:34,440 --> 01:11:46,440 | allow you to have like a plan of attack, okay. And it will give you a means of systematically attacking the market. And then you doing your own research and |
379 | 01:11:46,440 --> 01:11:57,540 | recon, if you will. And then you're moving out into the fields and doing that your very own without having any kind of input or stimulus on my part or anyone |
380 | 01:11:57,540 --> 01:12:08,940 | else's. Because that's really what we're getting at, we're trying to be building a measure of consistency, obviously, a means of limiting risk as best we can, we |
381 | 01:12:08,940 --> 01:12:18,840 | can't remove 100%. But we're going to do our very best in our trading to try to do that very thing. And at the end of the day, we should be hopefully moving |
382 | 01:12:18,840 --> 01:12:27,300 | towards profitability, it's never guaranteed, I can't guarantee it, no other mentor teacher, or author of courses can do that. So |
383 | 01:12:28,860 --> 01:12:39,420 | while it is my goal to try to give you a roadmap, if you will, on how I break down and digest the marketplace, it will still and I'm promising you, it will |
384 | 01:12:39,420 --> 01:12:48,990 | still incur losses, if you trade with real money with these concepts, any of these concepts, not just simply what's released on the eighth and final video, |
385 | 01:12:49,230 --> 01:12:59,640 | but any of these concepts, you are still inherently taking on risk that will invariably result in you losing money, okay, so you have to be very responsible, |
386 | 01:13:00,090 --> 01:13:10,050 | and trade within a demo account. Only when you think that you're ready to do it with live money. You take that decision, and you make it your own and own the |
387 | 01:13:10,050 --> 01:13:20,700 | responsibility that comes along with it. If you have success with these concepts, obviously, I'm more than excited to hear what each of you are doing as |
388 | 01:13:20,700 --> 01:13:30,360 | you're developing. And that's, that's my motivation, and doing all these things, I don't take any monetary gain out of it. I don't request any kind of |
389 | 01:13:30,570 --> 01:13:41,010 | subscription fees or anything like that, I get a high off of everyone else's development. And when I see the feedback through either Twitter, or emails or on |
390 | 01:13:41,010 --> 01:13:54,870 | forums, that they've developed to a measure of consistently profitable or encouraging results that lead to more comfort levels in terms of not being |
391 | 01:13:54,930 --> 01:14:03,210 | fearful of taking a trade. You'd be surprised how many folks are still fearful, you just getting involved in in a demo account because they don't want to face |
392 | 01:14:03,210 --> 01:14:14,640 | that, that right or wrong conclusion to their decision. And I'll have more to say about that in the in the last installment, but what specifically will be |
393 | 01:14:14,640 --> 01:14:26,790 | covered in the escape and evasion? Well, we're gonna be over viewing the entire ICT scout sniper basic Field Guide series in its completeness, okay? Because we |
394 | 01:14:26,790 --> 01:14:36,510 | have to do this in a more comprehensive fashion. It just means we got to go through it all over again. But obviously, it's not going to go 12 hours long. |
395 | 01:14:36,810 --> 01:14:44,580 | But we're going to break it down and be more precise and concise with what specifically you're supposed to be doing with each one of these videos and the |
396 | 01:14:44,580 --> 01:14:56,670 | tools that are within them. And we'll be talking about adopting the ICT mindset to trading Okay, where we looking at the inner circle trader tips for continued |
397 | 01:14:56,670 --> 01:15:08,370 | trader development, a lot of things that have not spoke in this series have held on to to the last video, so I wait at least six hours long. It's gonna be long, |
398 | 01:15:08,370 --> 01:15:17,910 | but it's probably not gonna be six hours. And we're gonna be revealing the ICT flow chart to market analysis and to application so that way, you don't have to |
399 | 01:15:17,910 --> 01:15:29,130 | guess or wonder, what would I be using this tool? And it's this time, or would I be using that method at this time? No, you're going to have a very clear generic |
400 | 01:15:29,130 --> 01:15:37,740 | way of going through the market, breaking it down in a routine fashion that way, once you do it for a period of time, you won't need the flow chart, you'll just |
401 | 01:15:37,740 --> 01:15:45,000 | know simply, okay, well, it does this. So therefore, I'm going to do that. If it's done this, then I'm going to do that. So you're always going to have a |
402 | 01:15:45,750 --> 01:15:53,670 | response to the current environment, okay? So either you're going to take action, you're going to sit on your hands, or you're going to protect and |
403 | 01:15:53,700 --> 01:16:04,320 | preserve your capital, okay? There's your three engagements to the marketplace. That's it, that's all you can do. Either you're going to take action, you got to |
404 | 01:16:04,320 --> 01:16:12,630 | do nothing, or you're going to protect and preserve your equity. Okay, there's only three things that can happen in the marketplace as you as a trader, and |
405 | 01:16:12,660 --> 01:16:22,170 | you'll have every possible scenario that I could fathom, okay, in a manner of looking at the marketplace, digesting it and saying, Okay, what should I be |
406 | 01:16:22,170 --> 01:16:36,300 | doing in the mindset that ICT or myself utilizes in in trading. And obviously, like all good things, you have to come to an end I'll have a few more words on |
407 | 01:16:36,330 --> 01:16:41,580 | accountability and consistency. So until then, guys, I wish you good luck and good trading. |