Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-27 19:03


on 2020-06-28 21:03
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... ... @@ -2,47 +2,135 @@ 2 2 {{toc start="2"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 -== Optimal Trade Entry Primer == 5 +== {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == 6 6 7 -== Introduction == 7 +* one of many trading patterns, one of the easiest 8 +* trading plan needs to be simple: 9 +** what's your risk model 10 +** how to frame that? 11 +** what makes your entry 12 +** what gives you indicators of bullish/bearish market? 13 +** how do you execute the trade? 14 +** how do you manage the trade? 15 +** where do you take profits? 16 +* what make the market predisposed to go higher or lower? 17 +** look at HTF (M, W, D, 4h) and look for key levels where price has moved away from in the past 18 +** HTF shows where the big players are most likely going to push things around. 19 +** LTF is too noisy to show this detail. 20 +* Assuming bullish market, we are looking for where the market wants to trade higher. OTE is based on buying during the retracements that occur before the further push upwards. 21 +* The impulse move has to incorporate a break in Market Structure. 22 +* Using Fib Retracement as a visual guide, set the following levels 23 +** -1 - Symmetrical Price Swing 24 +** -0.62 - TP2 25 +** -0.27 - TP1 26 +** 0 - First Profit - Scaling 27 +** 0.5 - Equilibrium 28 +** 0.618 - 62% retracement 29 +** 0.705 - OTE 70.5% 30 +** 0.79 - 79% 31 +** 1 - 100%, or likely SL 32 +* OTE (70.5%) is an ideal target. getting deeper is better, but you run the risk of not filling your order. 62% retracement is also acceptable, but it results in smaller profits because our SL range will be larger, necessitating smaller order sizes to maintain our risk profile. 33 +* First Scaling, or slightly before, represents the place to take initial profits. It should be a decent return, preferable better than 1:2 risk/reward, but slightly less than 2 (1.5? 1x75?) is also acceptable. 34 +* Setups on 1h charts better than 5m charts because the pip movements will be larger. 35 +* Key levels xxx.00, xxx.20, xxx.50, xxx.80, yyy.00 36 +* Place the fibs on the body of the candles 37 +* Market structure - example given: 38 +- monthly view 39 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.11.56.png]] 40 +\\- daily view 41 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 +\\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 +* Note the following: 44 +** institutional levels 45 +** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) 46 +** price runs down until it hits the 20 level (1.1720), rallies and creates a new short term high (old - middle red line, new STH, top red line. It's also called a "market structure break" 47 +** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 48 +** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 49 +** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 50 +* when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 8 8 9 -== Example1==52 +== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 10 10 11 -== Example 2 == 54 +* how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 55 +* study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 56 +* 12 12 13 -== Example 3==58 +== {{id name="Ex01"/}}Example 1 == 14 14 15 - ==Example4 ==60 +* example 16 16 17 -== Example 5==62 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 == 18 18 19 - ==Example6 ==64 +* example 20 20 21 -== Example 7==66 +== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 22 22 23 - ==Example8 ==68 +* example 24 24 25 -== Example 9==70 +== {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 26 26 27 - ==Example10 ==72 +* example 28 28 29 -== Example 11==74 +== {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 30 30 31 - ==Example12 ==76 +* example 32 32 33 -== Example 13==78 +== {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 34 34 35 - ==Example14 ==80 +* example 36 36 37 -== Example 15==82 +== {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 38 38 39 - ==Example16 ==84 +* example 40 40 41 -== Example 17==86 +== {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 42 42 43 - ==Example18 ==88 +* example 44 44 45 -== Example 19 ==90 +== {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 46 46 47 -== Example 20 == 48 - 92 +* example 93 + 94 +== {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 95 + 96 +* example 97 + 98 +== {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 99 + 100 +* example 101 + 102 +== {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 103 + 104 +* example 105 + 106 +== {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 107 + 108 +* example 109 + 110 +== {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 111 + 112 +* example 113 + 114 +== {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 115 + 116 +* example 117 + 118 +== {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 119 + 120 +* example 121 + 122 +== {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 123 + 124 +* example 125 + 126 +== {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 127 + 128 +* example 129 + 130 +== {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 131 + 132 +* example 133 + 134 +== {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 135 + 136 +* example
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