1 | 00:01:40 --> 00:02:00 | ICT: Good morning, folks, how are you all right? So if you would be so kind is |
2 | 00:02:00 --> 00:02:08 | to let me know on Twitter that you guys can hear me. Everything's okay on audio, |
3 | 00:02:08 --> 00:02:09 | I'll begin. |
4 | 00:02:19 --> 00:02:23 | Thank you. Wayne, just looking for a couple more people to confirm they can |
5 | 00:02:23 --> 00:02:37 | hear me. Manuel, thank you. All right, thank you. So obviously, I'm under the |
6 | 00:02:37 --> 00:02:42 | weather a little bit. I have a bit of a cold or virus whatnot. So I'm gonna try |
7 | 00:02:42 --> 00:02:48 | to go through this, not quickly in rush, but I want to go through it to the point |
8 | 00:02:48 --> 00:02:53 | and then break away. My end time in this live stream is going to be by nine |
9 | 00:02:53 --> 00:02:57 | o'clock or sooner, depending upon how I go. But I want to cover a little bit |
10 | 00:02:57 --> 00:03:04 | about yesterday's trading, and we'll watch at 830 the PPI number release, and |
11 | 00:03:04 --> 00:03:07 | then watch it for a few minutes, and then I'll close the session out. |
12 | 00:03:08 --> 00:03:15 | Alright, so let's get on with it. Here. We have a daily chart here on NASDAQ. I |
13 | 00:03:15 --> 00:03:25 | want to take your attention to this area right in here. I on July 17, 2024 that's |
14 | 00:03:25 --> 00:03:30 | a Sibi sell sign imbalance by signing efficiency. Now you want to grade that. |
15 | 00:03:30 --> 00:03:35 | So what you would do is take your fib, put it on this candle is low to this |
16 | 00:03:35 --> 00:03:42 | candle is high, and this is your midpoint, consequent encroachment. This |
17 | 00:03:42 --> 00:03:51 | is the high, this is the low. And you want to add the quadrants here, so this |
18 | 00:03:51 --> 00:03:56 | will give you the upper and lower quadrant inside of a range that you're |
19 | 00:03:56 --> 00:04:02 | grading or price link. So you can do a implied dealing range, where you're |
20 | 00:04:02 --> 00:04:06 | anticipating the market to deliver in the direction of your target, and you |
21 | 00:04:06 --> 00:04:14 | can run a grading using the FIB and predict where the algorithm will start |
22 | 00:04:14 --> 00:04:20 | to accumulate or distribute new position entries on a longer term price run, or |
23 | 00:04:20 --> 00:04:26 | unrealized price target being met while uh, prices going higher or going lower |
24 | 00:04:26 --> 00:04:30 | when you're bearish or bullish. I have lessons for that, by the way, it's in |
25 | 00:04:30 --> 00:04:35 | the core content, lessons on the YouTube channel for free, but the upper quadrant |
26 | 00:04:35 --> 00:04:40 | level consequent encroachment and lower quadrant level. So you can see, we |
27 | 00:04:40 --> 00:04:46 | failed on this run here on September 26 it failed to even get to consequent |
28 | 00:04:46 --> 00:04:51 | encroachment there and then yesterday, we were working the lower quadrant. So |
29 | 00:04:51 --> 00:04:58 | just be mindful that that 20,004 89 level, that level was more or less the |
30 | 00:04:58 --> 00:05:04 | level I had in my. Um, because I saw that it failed on this one here. I'm not |
31 | 00:05:04 --> 00:05:07 | abandoning the long term bullishness on this market because it's an election |
32 | 00:05:07 --> 00:05:10 | year, because you're really trying to fluff it up, put lipstick on this pig, |
33 | 00:05:10 --> 00:05:14 | to make it look like the economy strong when the when the stock market has no |
34 | 00:05:14 --> 00:05:20 | direct correlation to the economy, it's it's a casino. So with that in mind, |
35 | 00:05:21 --> 00:05:28 | while I did tell my students that this 538 is the the intermediate term draw, |
36 | 00:05:28 --> 00:05:32 | that means what's based on a daily chart, that's where the market's likely |
37 | 00:05:32 --> 00:05:36 | to pull to next. But I don't need it to go there, which is what I showed |
38 | 00:05:36 --> 00:05:39 | yesterday in the executions. So I want to give you a little bit more detail, |
39 | 00:05:39 --> 00:05:45 | but just know that we're working the lower half of this shaded area here, and |
40 | 00:05:45 --> 00:05:50 | because of that, I'm sticking to the likelihood of it wanting to reach |
41 | 00:05:50 --> 00:05:56 | further. So being long or going long has been predominantly the larger size of my |
42 | 00:05:57 --> 00:06:04 | leverage. So if I'm going to go short, I wasn't all that interested in being |
43 | 00:06:04 --> 00:06:09 | short anytime this this week. But the the the fact that that we have |
44 | 00:06:09 --> 00:06:17 | unrealized portions of this inefficiency treated to so all of this halfway point, |
45 | 00:06:17 --> 00:06:21 | or just below halfway, because it only went to that candles high there at 538 |
46 | 00:06:22 --> 00:06:27 | and you still have 568 which is half of the range between this candle is high |
47 | 00:06:27 --> 00:06:36 | and that candles low. So knowing those things and trying to avoid being quote, |
48 | 00:06:36 --> 00:06:39 | unquote, right, because I'm not teaching you to be right. I'm teaching you to |
49 | 00:06:39 --> 00:06:43 | focus on low hanging fruit objectives, sticking with the bias, sticking with |
50 | 00:06:43 --> 00:06:46 | the directional draw and liquidity that's based on a higher Time Frame |
51 | 00:06:46 --> 00:06:52 | chart, ie the weekly or daily, and then sticking to that and waiting for time |
52 | 00:06:52 --> 00:07:00 | and price to agree. So just know that this level here, 538 is, in my mind the |
53 | 00:07:00 --> 00:07:05 | draw, but I have to have something that's less than that for a low hanging |
54 | 00:07:05 --> 00:07:10 | fruit objective to reach for and be content with it, meaning that my trade |
55 | 00:07:10 --> 00:07:16 | idea would be satisfied taking something close to this level, but not requiring |
56 | 00:07:16 --> 00:07:23 | it to be at that level, but still have sound principles around it to justify |
57 | 00:07:23 --> 00:07:28 | why taking that exit is warranted and not just holding on for this objective |
58 | 00:07:28 --> 00:07:34 | here. Okay, so with that context, I'm going to drop down into this little area |
59 | 00:07:34 --> 00:07:37 | here. I'm going to remove these lines just because I don't want it to be |
60 | 00:07:37 --> 00:07:37 | confusing. I'm |
61 | 00:07:44 --> 00:07:55 | now, if you look at what we have on the highest candle here on September 26 the |
62 | 00:07:55 --> 00:08:00 | high comes in at 20,005 38 full disclosure, I've told my students in |
63 | 00:08:00 --> 00:08:04 | private mentorship. This is where my draw is for the week. I want to see it |
64 | 00:08:04 --> 00:08:09 | trade there. Does it need to trade there? No. What would I take as a |
65 | 00:08:09 --> 00:08:12 | consolation, like what would be a low hanging fruit objective? That's what I'm |
66 | 00:08:12 --> 00:08:17 | about to flush out now for you. So half of this range between this candle is |
67 | 00:08:17 --> 00:08:25 | closed, that candles high is this level here. So this premium wick is a array |
68 | 00:08:25 --> 00:08:30 | where we split it in half, because a wick is a gap. So half of that gap is |
69 | 00:08:30 --> 00:08:36 | 20,004 42 and a half. So Thursday, this is the candlestick for Thursday's |
70 | 00:08:36 --> 00:08:40 | trading. Now, inside of this what would look like on a daily chart, by all |
71 | 00:08:40 --> 00:08:43 | intents purposes. You can see that there's nothing really inherently |
72 | 00:08:44 --> 00:08:48 | exciting about that candlestick. But you also watch me buy near the low and sell |
73 | 00:08:48 --> 00:08:54 | near the high, based on the things I'm going to show you here. So we also have |
74 | 00:08:54 --> 00:08:59 | this level right there, which is the upper quadrant of this premium wick. And |
75 | 00:09:00 --> 00:09:08 | I'll show you what I mean by that. I'm going to add all the levels again so you |
76 | 00:09:08 --> 00:09:12 | can see the halfway point. In this case, it's consequence encroachment, point |
77 | 00:09:12 --> 00:09:19 | seven, 5.25 and the high and low base figures for anchoring your fifth. So |
78 | 00:09:19 --> 00:09:25 | that's the closing price on the 26th of September to the high of that candle. |
79 | 00:09:26 --> 00:09:32 | The upper quadrant is 20,004 90. Even consequent encroachment is 442, even |
80 | 00:09:32 --> 00:09:40 | lower quadrants 20,003 93.75, and then you have the low of this wick, which is |
81 | 00:09:40 --> 00:09:48 | this? Candlesticks closed. Okay. So the upper quadrant level right there, when I |
82 | 00:09:48 --> 00:09:53 | take the FIB away, or not the FIB, but I take the quadrants away, you'll see that |
83 | 00:09:53 --> 00:09:59 | that's the reason why that's anchored as it is, see. So this blue line here, |
84 | 00:09:59 --> 00:10:05 | that's. Dashed. That's what I'm aiming for, and I don't require it to trade up |
85 | 00:10:05 --> 00:10:09 | to the high of that wick. You see what I've just done, I've traded with the |
86 | 00:10:09 --> 00:10:14 | idea that it could trade to the 538 level. I could be right technically, and |
87 | 00:10:14 --> 00:10:18 | I could have a higher target objective being met, and my exit would be even |
88 | 00:10:18 --> 00:10:24 | more profitable. But I don't need to do that. I don't teaching you how to take |
89 | 00:10:25 --> 00:10:31 | the probabilities and then reduce them down to a larger degree of accuracy and |
90 | 00:10:31 --> 00:10:36 | remove the tendency to feel like you have to be right. Being right is not |
91 | 00:10:36 --> 00:10:41 | doesn't equate to being profitable. You can be wrong and be profitable. You can |
92 | 00:10:41 --> 00:10:47 | be wrong and still grow your account in every trade that you actually, actually |
93 | 00:10:47 --> 00:10:51 | try to trade to a specific target and price. It may never touch those |
94 | 00:10:51 --> 00:10:56 | objectives, and you can still be adding new equity to your your bottom line. So |
95 | 00:10:56 --> 00:11:01 | focusing on being right or focusing on trying to avoid losing trades, that's a |
96 | 00:11:01 --> 00:11:04 | thing that is going to cycle through constantly, if you have a loser's |
97 | 00:11:04 --> 00:11:08 | mentality, or you don't have a model, or if you haven't done back testing enough |
98 | 00:11:08 --> 00:11:14 | to solidify the things I'm teaching you. So just know that this is the range I |
99 | 00:11:14 --> 00:11:19 | was dealing in. It's this candlesticks wick that I'm aiming for the targets on. |
100 | 00:11:20 --> 00:11:24 | So what am I going to use as a discount to enter on? Well now we take our |
101 | 00:11:24 --> 00:11:29 | attention over to October 8. Now notice that we're doing all this work on the |
102 | 00:11:29 --> 00:11:33 | daily chart. We're not inside one second charts, five second charts, five minute |
103 | 00:11:33 --> 00:11:37 | charts, 60 minute charts. We haven't even left the daily chart yet, so I'm |
104 | 00:11:37 --> 00:11:41 | framing the context, how the algorithm is going to refer back to these price |
105 | 00:11:41 --> 00:11:45 | points from the daily perspective. Okay, so sticking with a higher Time Frame, |
106 | 00:11:45 --> 00:11:50 | order flow, being bullish still. It's an election year. I want to still focus on |
107 | 00:11:50 --> 00:11:57 | heavy leverage on loans, and I don't need to be right. So we're framing high |
108 | 00:11:57 --> 00:12:04 | probability with low risk entries. This candlestick has a wick as well. See |
109 | 00:12:04 --> 00:12:12 | that? Now I'm going to add again, two boundaries. And since it's a short and |
110 | 00:12:12 --> 00:12:18 | stubby type of wick compared to and by contrast this one, it's only important |
111 | 00:12:18 --> 00:12:21 | to know what the midpoint is, okay, or consequent encroachment. So this wick, |
112 | 00:12:23 --> 00:12:27 | this wick right here, from high to the close of that candlestick, I want to |
113 | 00:12:27 --> 00:12:31 | know what the halfway point is. So that's consequence encroachment. So |
114 | 00:12:31 --> 00:12:38 | because price opened up here on Thursday and traded down, okay, well, as soon as |
115 | 00:12:38 --> 00:12:43 | it opened up here, this makes this a discount array. That means it's it can |
116 | 00:12:43 --> 00:12:47 | it's going to reprice down to it, but not only is it just going to trade to |
117 | 00:12:47 --> 00:12:52 | it, but my expectation is the algorithm will use this to facilitate some measure |
118 | 00:12:52 --> 00:12:59 | of support accumulation, and then start to rally from there. So you can see, |
119 | 00:12:59 --> 00:13:06 | without any you know more talking about you can see how it used this wick, right |
120 | 00:13:06 --> 00:13:10 | there, overshoots it by a little bit. That's normal. Remember, the wicks are |
121 | 00:13:10 --> 00:13:17 | allowed to do the damage. So we want to see something accumulate in this area |
122 | 00:13:17 --> 00:13:25 | here with a secondary or third reason to be long. Now let's drop down to a lower |
123 | 00:13:25 --> 00:13:29 | time frame charts. You just know that this wick right here, in this blue |
124 | 00:13:29 --> 00:13:35 | shaded dotted line here, which I'll go back to, just taking these off, you'll |
125 | 00:13:35 --> 00:13:41 | see that that is the Tuesday daily premium wick. Now when I say premium, |
126 | 00:13:41 --> 00:13:45 | this is going to be a cause for confusion, because you heard me talk |
127 | 00:13:45 --> 00:13:51 | about this as a discount array. If I ever talk about a candlestick and I say |
128 | 00:13:51 --> 00:13:55 | it's a premium wick, premium wick is going to be the wick on the high end of |
129 | 00:13:55 --> 00:14:01 | the candle, a discount wick would be a wick on the low of the candle. Okay, so |
130 | 00:14:01 --> 00:14:09 | when prices up here, this premium array is a discount relative to where market |
131 | 00:14:09 --> 00:14:13 | price is, so it's down there. So just think of it as this premium WIC |
132 | 00:14:14 --> 00:14:19 | inversion. So it's it's treating it as a method of going down to go up. That's |
133 | 00:14:19 --> 00:14:25 | all it is. Okay, alright. So because we have this levels annotated and we have |
134 | 00:14:25 --> 00:14:30 | Wednesday's daily high annotated here as well, we're going to drop down into the |
135 | 00:14:30 --> 00:14:37 | next chart, right? So this is a 15 minute time frame, so right away, you |
136 | 00:14:37 --> 00:14:41 | can see the Tuesday daily premium WIC consequent encroachment level. To know |
137 | 00:14:41 --> 00:14:45 | it's a mouthful, you can see it trading down into that and what else is in close |
138 | 00:14:45 --> 00:14:52 | proximity to that, that level at the time that price trades down to it. What |
139 | 00:14:52 --> 00:15:01 | do you see? You see that gap right here. So. We can look at like this, |
140 | 00:15:09 --> 00:15:10 | I'm already losing my voice. |
141 | 00:15:18 --> 00:15:23 | Okay, so you have a gap here, and you have Tuesday's daily premium with |
142 | 00:15:23 --> 00:15:29 | constant encouragement there. And it happens after we get a low form. Notice |
143 | 00:15:29 --> 00:15:37 | that. So right away, this is the level I was pointing to. One Actually, no, it's |
144 | 00:15:37 --> 00:15:41 | not true in Twitter, I was looking at these relative equal highs here I |
145 | 00:15:41 --> 00:15:46 | noticed on the one minute chart. And if you go back and look at Twitter, you'll |
146 | 00:15:46 --> 00:15:50 | see that I had noted this before the P I'm sorry, the CPI number was released |
147 | 00:15:50 --> 00:15:54 | at 830 yesterday, on Thursday, I took everybody's attention. Said, I like |
148 | 00:15:54 --> 00:16:03 | 20,004 74 it's smooth. It opens at the CPI number goes right above that does |
149 | 00:16:03 --> 00:16:07 | not take out the high over here. Trades to that runs the liquidity there, and |
150 | 00:16:07 --> 00:16:13 | then drops down, trades into the fair value gap there, comes back up a little |
151 | 00:16:13 --> 00:16:17 | bit institutional order for entry drill here, and then dumps down once more, |
152 | 00:16:17 --> 00:16:22 | trading into Tuesday's daily premium, with consequent encroachment, which I |
153 | 00:16:22 --> 00:16:25 | showed on the daily chart, and then they're at the low, and then it's |
154 | 00:16:25 --> 00:16:31 | allowed to do what color outside the lines. This is a mohawk. Okay, so inside |
155 | 00:16:31 --> 00:16:38 | this Mohawk, I'm going long because I'm fulfilling several things here. The |
156 | 00:16:38 --> 00:16:46 | market cleared. Stops there, dropped, showed a reaction, went to the furthest |
157 | 00:16:46 --> 00:16:52 | extreme of that theory. I got right here. This one right here, okay, trades |
158 | 00:16:52 --> 00:16:57 | the low of it and then goes outside of it a little bit. That's completely |
159 | 00:16:57 --> 00:17:03 | normal. It's absolutely normal. And I want to accumulate a long position based |
160 | 00:17:03 --> 00:17:09 | on that and anticipate trading up to in the direction of 20,005 38 on the daily |
161 | 00:17:09 --> 00:17:13 | chart. But remember, I don't need that price level. All I need is it to trade |
162 | 00:17:13 --> 00:17:19 | it to this right here, this dashed line here, remember what I just said on the |
163 | 00:17:19 --> 00:17:22 | daily chart. This is the reason why you're supposed to be writing notes as |
164 | 00:17:22 --> 00:17:26 | I'm talking. You're not going to know well, remember what that low is. If you |
165 | 00:17:26 --> 00:17:29 | just been watching and just eating potato chips and not paying attention or |
166 | 00:17:29 --> 00:17:33 | playing Xbox, you have to pay attention and understand what I'm referring to. |
167 | 00:17:33 --> 00:17:37 | And then you have the relative equal highs here. But just above that, how far |
168 | 00:17:37 --> 00:17:41 | can it go? Go back to that daily chart, and you'll see that that's that level |
169 | 00:17:41 --> 00:17:48 | here I'm annotating. So I want to see this price level traded too. So again, |
170 | 00:17:48 --> 00:17:52 | if I think it can trade there, how else can I refine it? So that way I have a |
171 | 00:17:52 --> 00:17:59 | high probability exit strategy and not demand the 20,005 38 level, not demand |
172 | 00:17:59 --> 00:18:04 | the 20,004 90 level. So I can choose what I can choose something very, very |
173 | 00:18:04 --> 00:18:11 | small and short term, and it's this high to this high, and the high here. So |
174 | 00:18:11 --> 00:18:15 | that's why I had my limit order. You'll see it was in the post yesterday, and |
175 | 00:18:15 --> 00:18:20 | what I'll show here in a moment. So the market then creates all this |
176 | 00:18:20 --> 00:18:27 | consolidation accumulation and then runs up and bumps the objectives did not get |
177 | 00:18:27 --> 00:18:34 | to 20,005 38 and I don't need it to trade you. Okay, so I do believe that |
178 | 00:18:34 --> 00:18:40 | the 20,005 38 still in play and still a factor for me, but it's not necessary |
179 | 00:18:40 --> 00:18:47 | for what I was using yesterday. And then we're moving over to a one minute chart, |
180 | 00:18:47 --> 00:18:53 | so you can see the levels of this added which is that fair value gap, and then |
181 | 00:18:53 --> 00:19:00 | the the initial low, the consolidation, and then drop down at the market |
182 | 00:19:00 --> 00:19:07 | opening. Here is the 931 minimum threshold for time. You can't make it |
183 | 00:19:07 --> 00:19:11 | earlier than that, so 931 that's your first presented fair value gap. It's |
184 | 00:19:11 --> 00:19:16 | small, but it's okay. It's still useful. And the market dives down and trades |
185 | 00:19:16 --> 00:19:22 | just below that fair value gap that I showed on the five minute chart. So if |
186 | 00:19:22 --> 00:19:27 | you if I scrub over here and show you in the one minute time frame where these |
187 | 00:19:27 --> 00:19:30 | two blue lines are annotated, it doesn't look like there's a fair value gap at |
188 | 00:19:30 --> 00:19:35 | all. So that's why you have to cycle through your time frames down and you'll |
189 | 00:19:35 --> 00:19:39 | be able to refine any inefficiencies. But there's no refinement necessary in |
190 | 00:19:39 --> 00:19:45 | here, because it's a lot of back and forth delivery, see. So it's all back |
191 | 00:19:45 --> 00:19:48 | and forth between this candle, I'm sorry, between this price range and this |
192 | 00:19:48 --> 00:19:52 | price range defined by those blue lines, was anchored on the five minute chart. |
193 | 00:19:52 --> 00:19:59 | In a one minute chart, it doesn't look all that inefficient, does it? I'm going |
194 | 00:19:59 --> 00:20:04 | over here. Here to the time that the market |
195 | 00:20:09 --> 00:20:17 | delivered the CPI number drops down, creates a short term low. Notice it's |
196 | 00:20:17 --> 00:20:21 | gravitating towards that here, ready guy, dropping down into there and then |
197 | 00:20:21 --> 00:20:31 | consolidating and once more, diving down here. And what time of day is that? 950, |
198 | 00:20:32 --> 00:20:35 | so I teach that usually there's something that goes on in the |
199 | 00:20:35 --> 00:20:40 | marketplace that all the buying and selling agrees within that 20 minute |
200 | 00:20:40 --> 00:20:46 | time window. Somehow some some shape or form, some unknown influence comes over |
201 | 00:20:46 --> 00:20:50 | all the retail and commercial and institutional trading they all want to |
202 | 00:20:50 --> 00:20:56 | buy and sell in that 20 minute interval. It just seems that all that has to |
203 | 00:20:56 --> 00:20:59 | happen right then and there. It's uncanny how it happens. It's probably |
204 | 00:20:59 --> 00:21:05 | not an algorithm. It's probably just a pure, unadulterated buying and selling |
205 | 00:21:05 --> 00:21:09 | pressure that everybody comes the same conclusion at 10 minutes to 10 to 10 |
206 | 00:21:09 --> 00:21:14 | minutes after 10. It's just, it's funny how that works. But if we look at how |
207 | 00:21:14 --> 00:21:18 | price reacts there and trades up, we have an inversion fair value gap in here |
208 | 00:21:18 --> 00:21:25 | between this candles low. This candle is high. You can see it. It trades up, |
209 | 00:21:25 --> 00:21:31 | comes back down in and then accumulates trades into a propulsion block, which is |
210 | 00:21:31 --> 00:21:36 | this down closed candle. The order blocks here, propulsion blocks here. |
211 | 00:21:36 --> 00:21:41 | Look at month four's content on the 2016 mentorship playlist, and you'll you'll |
212 | 00:21:41 --> 00:21:47 | know what a propulsion block is, and it rallies and creates a fair value gap. |
213 | 00:21:47 --> 00:21:52 | Here comes encroachments. Trade there rallies up trades to the low of that |
214 | 00:21:52 --> 00:21:58 | shaded pink area, which is that, what? Remember that daily chart I showed you, |
215 | 00:21:58 --> 00:22:05 | that big range in pink. This is the low of that range. So it's drawing back up |
216 | 00:22:05 --> 00:22:10 | into that higher Time Frame array. It's going to treat it as what premium, |
217 | 00:22:10 --> 00:22:14 | right? They create relative highs, relative equal highs. They bump it, |
218 | 00:22:14 --> 00:22:19 | trade it back down into what first presented fair value gap, all of this |
219 | 00:22:19 --> 00:22:24 | consolidation, I'm avoiding all that. And then in here I told my private |
220 | 00:22:24 --> 00:22:28 | mentorship students, I said, note the low of the imbalance of Sibi on the |
221 | 00:22:28 --> 00:22:33 | daily chart, and then note the 538 level. And I'm going to be waiting for a |
222 | 00:22:33 --> 00:22:39 | displacement inside that shaded area in the direction of 20,005 38 there's that |
223 | 00:22:39 --> 00:22:44 | displacement right here. And then here I'm accumulating long position, and I'm |
224 | 00:22:44 --> 00:22:51 | going to be targeting that 480, 2.75 level, put a limit order just around |
225 | 00:22:51 --> 00:22:55 | that area, and try to gravitate towards that with price. I don't need it to |
226 | 00:22:55 --> 00:23:01 | trade to the 20,004 90, and I don't need to trade 20,005 38 and because I shared |
227 | 00:23:01 --> 00:23:04 | my target yesterday, I told everybody on Twitter, the chances of it going to |
228 | 00:23:04 --> 00:23:08 | 20,005 38 now is unlikely in the morning. So don't, don't look for that |
229 | 00:23:08 --> 00:23:14 | target. We met. It wasn't met yesterday. So the target, I'm sorry, not the |
230 | 00:23:14 --> 00:23:20 | target, the high of yesterday came in at 5000 I'm sorry, 20,503 |
231 | 00:23:26 --> 00:23:31 | and meandering around the rest of the day. And now today, this is yesterday's |
232 | 00:23:31 --> 00:23:35 | first percent of your value gap. And you can see the reaction off of it here. |
233 | 00:23:36 --> 00:23:41 | It's probably random. So notice the high here, in here. That's where buy side, |
234 | 00:23:41 --> 00:23:48 | minor buy side running from here to here. So finally, we're going to go down |
235 | 00:23:48 --> 00:23:56 | into the the 15 second chart. And you can see, remember, there was a one |
236 | 00:23:56 --> 00:24:01 | minute inversion for everybody. Gap on this decline here. But I'm drawing your |
237 | 00:24:01 --> 00:24:05 | attention to After trading down into the five minute fair Bay gap, taking the |
238 | 00:24:05 --> 00:24:13 | sell side here, and that Tuesday's premium consequent encroachment wick, |
239 | 00:24:13 --> 00:24:16 | which is not appearing on here. I apologize, but just go back at the |
240 | 00:24:16 --> 00:24:19 | previous video portions, and you'll see it. We're doing your chart, which is |
241 | 00:24:19 --> 00:24:22 | really what you're supposed to be doing, because if you do that, you'll you'll |
242 | 00:24:22 --> 00:24:26 | have a better a better view. So right in here, you'll see that we have relative |
243 | 00:24:26 --> 00:24:30 | equal highs, so we already know what they've engineered there. Then we have |
244 | 00:24:30 --> 00:24:34 | the low of that daily city. And then we have the 482 |
245 | 00:24:41 --> 00:24:46 | 75 level, which is my my job. That was from my trade, that was my Terminus. So |
246 | 00:24:47 --> 00:24:56 | I want to aim for that price. And in here, if we add the executions, I'm just |
247 | 00:24:56 --> 00:24:59 | going to hover over top the arrows, because it'll tell you the price. |
248 | 00:24:59 --> 00:25:04 | Because when I put the. The annotations like this, it just gets in the way and |
249 | 00:25:04 --> 00:25:07 | makes it hard for me to point to certain things. So I just want you to see it for |
250 | 00:25:07 --> 00:25:12 | a second. There they are, but I'm going to take them off and just hover over top |
251 | 00:25:12 --> 00:25:16 | of the arrows, because it's going to accomplish the same thing. Okay, so |
252 | 00:25:16 --> 00:25:23 | right here in this drop on a 15 second time frame you can see right look right |
253 | 00:25:23 --> 00:25:26 | here on that blue line, um, I'm hitting the low of that fair value gap on the |
254 | 00:25:26 --> 00:25:33 | financial I see it. That's the price right there, right there. I'm hammering |
255 | 00:25:33 --> 00:25:36 | it there, going long, and then this buy side and balance, sell side, and |
256 | 00:25:36 --> 00:25:39 | efficiency as it's dropping down, I already know what I'm looking for. We |
257 | 00:25:39 --> 00:25:46 | have a breaker. Low, high, low or low. That's your breaker right here. That's |
258 | 00:25:46 --> 00:25:49 | why it digs down below half of that fair value gap there, because the breakers |
259 | 00:25:49 --> 00:25:55 | candlestick is a little bit let me make it wider so you can see it. Now, I know |
260 | 00:25:55 --> 00:25:58 | some of you are saying this is really complicated. Well, I mean, if you want, |
261 | 00:25:58 --> 00:26:02 | if you want high degree precision, it's not going to come with an RSI or |
262 | 00:26:02 --> 00:26:07 | stochastic or MACD. You're gonna have to put some real study into it. But this |
263 | 00:26:07 --> 00:26:12 | range here, watch what happens when I highlight that and carry there, because |
264 | 00:26:12 --> 00:26:13 | this is your breaker. |
265 | 00:26:18 --> 00:26:22 | Upper half. It's respecting it. Does it go down to consequent encroachment? No. |
266 | 00:26:22 --> 00:26:26 | So it's it's okay for it to trade down in the upper half of this. That's |
267 | 00:26:26 --> 00:26:30 | reasonable. You want to see it stay away from the lower half. And at the same |
268 | 00:26:30 --> 00:26:33 | time it's doing that the buying and selling pressure that I like to tell you |
269 | 00:26:33 --> 00:26:38 | is going on. It stops it in consequent encroachment. Here, the bodies never |
270 | 00:26:38 --> 00:26:43 | come down and lower top it, or go below it. The wicks are allowed to do the |
271 | 00:26:43 --> 00:26:46 | damage. Because you have to look at why the wicks are being permitted to do the |
272 | 00:26:46 --> 00:26:52 | damage. It's digging into some other liquidity, or it's digging into another |
273 | 00:26:52 --> 00:26:57 | close proximity array, like this breaker here. So you can see my entry there, |
274 | 00:26:57 --> 00:27:04 | inside of the breaker in its upper half, and then it rallies. And then I'm adding |
275 | 00:27:04 --> 00:27:13 | inside of this gap here. And then I'm like, I'm looking for a partial here, |
276 | 00:27:16 --> 00:27:20 | and then straightened out into the first present, the fair value gap there. |
277 | 00:27:25 --> 00:27:30 | And there's five sold here. And then I closed the trade out manually, because |
278 | 00:27:31 --> 00:27:35 | my life required my attention, and I couldn't manage the trade. The rest of |
279 | 00:27:35 --> 00:27:41 | the time I was being distracted with her later on in the day. Here's that first |
280 | 00:27:41 --> 00:27:49 | presenter, fair value gap. Again and again in here we have the displacement. |
281 | 00:27:49 --> 00:27:53 | I told my private mentorship students, you cannot join that. You cannot join my |
282 | 00:27:53 --> 00:27:57 | telegram channels to have my user groups. You cannot do that. Stop asking. |
283 | 00:27:57 --> 00:28:01 | There is not going to be a future paid mentorship. I don't do this a lot. I |
284 | 00:28:01 --> 00:28:05 | just, we basically just talk and casually talk. We rarely ever do |
285 | 00:28:05 --> 00:28:10 | anything that would want to draw more attention to you wanting to join it. |
286 | 00:28:10 --> 00:28:14 | Okay? So just, it's just a way for me to have a private community where I can go |
287 | 00:28:14 --> 00:28:18 | out and talk to them, and I have to explain everything in detail what I just |
288 | 00:28:18 --> 00:28:23 | said. So I'm mentoring here. This is the mentorship right here. I'm talking about |
289 | 00:28:23 --> 00:28:29 | it live and teaching it for free. So all right, so in here, I'm using the the |
290 | 00:28:29 --> 00:28:33 | inefficiency here, and then the inversion, fairba gap here. So I'm |
291 | 00:28:33 --> 00:28:37 | accumulating all these positions in here because I know that it's not coming back |
292 | 00:28:37 --> 00:28:46 | down to the low. It's not doing that. So all this is this, and this I'm trading |
293 | 00:28:46 --> 00:28:52 | all the trades in there, knowing that I have already seen the accumulation |
294 | 00:28:52 --> 00:28:56 | required before getting up into that shaded pink area, which is that daily |
295 | 00:28:56 --> 00:29:03 | city. So accumulating it in here, waiting for a nice rally higher once it |
296 | 00:29:03 --> 00:29:06 | breaks this high here, it should be no problem for it to trade to my |
297 | 00:29:06 --> 00:29:14 | objectives. Above high, it drops down. It sucks people into thinking it's going |
298 | 00:29:14 --> 00:29:20 | to go short. They ride one more time higher by side, dropping deep into this |
299 | 00:29:20 --> 00:29:28 | inefficiency and order block and rallies again, accumulates around that quadrant |
300 | 00:29:28 --> 00:29:34 | in the city on the daily chart, and then trades to my objective, right there, |
301 | 00:29:36 --> 00:29:42 | 20,040 which is less than What the 20,004 90 level, but greater than the |
302 | 00:29:42 --> 00:29:47 | 20,042 and three quarters level that I posted, also in top steps live stream. |
303 | 00:29:48 --> 00:29:55 | So then the market rallies up a little bit further, fails at 509 doesn't go to |
304 | 00:29:55 --> 00:30:00 | the 538 level, and falls out of bed precipitously and smashes every. Value |
305 | 00:30:00 --> 00:30:04 | that wants to go along and goes into a messy consolidation. I want to talk a |
306 | 00:30:04 --> 00:30:11 | little bit briefly before we have the CPI number or PPI number. I apologize. I |
307 | 00:30:11 --> 00:30:15 | watch a lot of live streamers that pretend they know what they're talking |
308 | 00:30:15 --> 00:30:19 | about. Some of them sell courses and books and whatever. And one of the |
309 | 00:30:19 --> 00:30:24 | observations I have is when they try to look at the market, when the market's |
310 | 00:30:24 --> 00:30:29 | not predisposed to do anything. And what I mean by that, you hear the terms Power |
311 | 00:30:29 --> 00:30:34 | Hour, the last hour trading, whatnot. If you ever see a market that has big news |
312 | 00:30:35 --> 00:30:39 | and drivers like the PPI CPI number like we have here on Thursday, yesterday and |
313 | 00:30:39 --> 00:30:43 | Friday today, you don't, you don't, you don't want to be trading the last hour |
314 | 00:30:43 --> 00:30:48 | on that okay, and you also don't want to see it happen when you do this, when you |
315 | 00:30:48 --> 00:30:55 | have the market trade above a high and fail and create a low in a lower low, |
316 | 00:30:55 --> 00:30:59 | come back into the range, then consolidate going into the last hour of |
317 | 00:30:59 --> 00:31:02 | the day. When you have that you've already done two things. Number one, |
318 | 00:31:02 --> 00:31:09 | you've created the high and the low the day, and you've marked the last portion |
319 | 00:31:09 --> 00:31:13 | of the pm sessions range. So it's not going to make a lower low than this, and |
320 | 00:31:13 --> 00:31:15 | it's not going to make a higher high than this. It's going to consolidate |
321 | 00:31:15 --> 00:31:18 | back and forth, and you're going to waste your time sitting there looking at |
322 | 00:31:18 --> 00:31:21 | live streamers, hoping it's going to do something when it's not going to do |
323 | 00:31:21 --> 00:31:24 | anything at all, because it's you all, because it's being strangled. It's being |
324 | 00:31:24 --> 00:31:27 | held in place. It's in a holding pattern, because it's going to build |
325 | 00:31:27 --> 00:31:34 | overnight sentiment. Overnight sentiment is here. You're seven o'clock. That's |
326 | 00:31:34 --> 00:31:38 | when the market's allowed to trade. See that. That's exactly what I tell you to |
327 | 00:31:38 --> 00:31:42 | look at. Start following it at 656 50 is |
328 | 00:31:44 --> 00:31:46 | there? The market |
329 | 00:31:46 --> 00:31:51 | creates displacement, running what the buy side, then it consolidates all the |
330 | 00:31:51 --> 00:31:59 | way through until 10 minutes after 11. And then we have what after taking |
331 | 00:31:59 --> 00:32:01 | liquidity here, then it dumps. |
332 | 00:32:04 --> 00:32:05 | And now we're |
333 | 00:32:06 --> 00:32:14 | ranging ahead of the PPI number, which is where we're at now. So I'm going to |
334 | 00:32:14 --> 00:32:14 | use this. |
335 | 00:32:22 --> 00:32:30 | Yeah, we'll just stay with the one mantra. I don't need to do anything |
336 | 00:32:30 --> 00:32:41 | else. We have one one minute left, and then the PPI will be in here tearing |
337 | 00:32:41 --> 00:32:43 | people's faces off. So you want to look at |
338 | 00:32:48 --> 00:32:54 | 15 minute time frame to get a lay of the land. Meaning, where are the liquidity |
339 | 00:32:54 --> 00:33:02 | points? Stops? Where is it smooth? Where is it jagged? Where has it been made |
340 | 00:33:02 --> 00:33:02 | jagged? |
341 | 00:33:08 --> 00:33:13 | Sticking to the long term bias, yeah, I'm not rolling out the likelihood of it |
342 | 00:33:13 --> 00:33:16 | won't go higher, but it went might want to smash down lower again, like |
343 | 00:33:16 --> 00:33:22 | yesterday, before the CPI number came out, it went down to go up. But if we |
344 | 00:33:22 --> 00:33:25 | didn't have PPI this morning, this would have kept on going, and would have went |
345 | 00:33:25 --> 00:33:30 | to 538 and higher yesterday, and we'd probably be opening up above 600 today. |
346 | 00:33:30 --> 00:33:35 | But because we have the PPI number here in 10 seconds, don't trade this, folks, |
347 | 00:33:36 --> 00:33:37 | because it's going to hurt you if you try. You |
348 | 00:33:50 --> 00:33:54 | so already, do you want to trade that? Try to put a demo trade on right now you |
349 | 00:33:54 --> 00:34:07 | can't trading view always locks up, which is funny. It's interesting. So |
350 | 00:34:07 --> 00:34:12 | they left smooth lows here. Notice that they went down into yesterday's first |
351 | 00:34:12 --> 00:34:16 | presented fair value gap, but they left that really too smooth. I |
352 | 00:34:23 --> 00:34:38 | i Remember there's a lot of times that the market's going to look like it's |
353 | 00:34:38 --> 00:34:41 | given you an opportunity, but that opportunity is it correctly disguised |
354 | 00:34:41 --> 00:34:47 | impossibility, and knowing when those conditions are being laid before you as |
355 | 00:34:47 --> 00:34:52 | a snare, as a trap to entice you to do something that you're probably not going |
356 | 00:34:52 --> 00:34:58 | to be successful in finding profits or avoiding larger losses, and you're |
357 | 00:34:58 --> 00:35:04 | willing to assume you. Knowing that condition ahead of time is paramount to |
358 | 00:35:04 --> 00:35:09 | learning how to trade with good entries or tight stop losses, because you can |
359 | 00:35:09 --> 00:35:14 | make all the money doing that, but then lose your mind trading in a day like |
360 | 00:35:14 --> 00:35:18 | this, when when the report is due out, and if you don't know what the economic |
361 | 00:35:18 --> 00:35:22 | calendar is suggesting, it's what I'm suggesting it's what's going to happen |
362 | 00:35:22 --> 00:35:30 | at 830 you're you're investing your money without understanding the risks. |
363 | 00:35:30 --> 00:35:38 | You have no idea what you're doing. So it's, it's remarkable seeing how many |
364 | 00:35:38 --> 00:35:41 | people out here pretending to be teachers and mentors, and they don't |
365 | 00:35:41 --> 00:35:48 | even refer or confer with the calendar with their students. It's just a |
366 | 00:35:48 --> 00:35:50 | testimony that people out here should not be teaching. I |
367 | 00:36:14 --> 00:36:19 | my landscapers are here, so I apologize if you end up here. Now it's nothing I |
368 | 00:36:19 --> 00:36:21 | can Do about that. Sorry. Do |
369 | 00:37:15 --> 00:37:19 | as a reminder, I'm whenever I'm looking at a PD array, or if I'm looking at a |
370 | 00:37:19 --> 00:37:24 | reason to get into a trade. I'm looking at not just one thing. I'm not looking |
371 | 00:37:24 --> 00:37:30 | at just one specific PD rate, not one fair value gap. I'm not looking at one |
372 | 00:37:30 --> 00:37:36 | order block. I'm looking at three I'm looking at three things, three things |
373 | 00:37:36 --> 00:37:40 | have to agree. You know, I'm not even referring to ton price either. I'm |
374 | 00:37:40 --> 00:37:46 | talking about three things technically, that's inside a idea behind me taking an |
375 | 00:37:46 --> 00:37:50 | entry, if it's just me simply seeing an order block or a fair value cap, and I |
376 | 00:37:50 --> 00:37:55 | want to be long and buying a down close candle buying and of itself is not an |
377 | 00:37:55 --> 00:38:00 | order block, just as much as you might want to refer to an area where it can |
378 | 00:38:00 --> 00:38:04 | say, consolidates and then rallies up. That's not a that's not a demand zone, |
379 | 00:38:04 --> 00:38:08 | okay? If you want to look at demand zones and supply zones, I don't do that, |
380 | 00:38:09 --> 00:38:15 | but there are things that have to be linked in close proximity to that very |
381 | 00:38:15 --> 00:38:20 | PD array. So if I'm trading a fair value gap, it's going to be inside of a larger |
382 | 00:38:20 --> 00:38:25 | order block, which is after taking a pool of liquidity. And if I'm bullish, |
383 | 00:38:25 --> 00:38:32 | it should be below a previous low. So now I'm absorbing like smart money that |
384 | 00:38:32 --> 00:38:35 | sells high liquidity. So I'm accumulating the cell stops for the |
385 | 00:38:36 --> 00:38:41 | Express purposes of using it as a mechanism to be net long. So I'm looking |
386 | 00:38:41 --> 00:38:45 | for three things to agree, and that's why it's important that you just don't |
387 | 00:38:45 --> 00:38:49 | listen to somebody make a video about here's an order block, ICT. Order block. |
388 | 00:38:49 --> 00:38:53 | Here, find the right fair value gap. I found the secret to ICT. Fair Value |
389 | 00:38:53 --> 00:38:57 | gaps. You don't even know what you're talking about, but if you look at the |
390 | 00:38:58 --> 00:39:05 | patterns that I show in my executions, not patterns. If you look at the points |
391 | 00:39:05 --> 00:39:10 | of entries, go through your charts and study, you'll see that it's not just |
392 | 00:39:10 --> 00:39:13 | that fair value gap I'm entering on. It's not just that order block. It's not |
393 | 00:39:13 --> 00:39:18 | that just that breaker that I'm using. There's two other things there at |
394 | 00:39:18 --> 00:39:23 | minimum, and if you don't have those three things for your entry. Chances are |
395 | 00:39:23 --> 00:39:28 | you have a very low probability entry. And yet it goes along the same lines of |
396 | 00:39:28 --> 00:39:32 | these Jack legs that are watch what I'm doing, or to watch a video, or they're |
397 | 00:39:32 --> 00:39:39 | watching annotate something, and it goes through it, not realizing that the fact |
398 | 00:39:39 --> 00:39:44 | that I'm looking at that is a measure of the real interest for the market to want |
399 | 00:39:44 --> 00:39:49 | to reprice higher or lower. I'm not always going in inside of a fair value |
400 | 00:39:49 --> 00:39:53 | gap. Just because I'm highlighting that range, I'm anticipating it behaving a |
401 | 00:39:53 --> 00:39:57 | specific way, having a characteristic behind it. And there's other things |
402 | 00:39:57 --> 00:40:01 | that's along the same premise that. Makes me bullish or bearish, and I'm |
403 | 00:40:01 --> 00:40:04 | waiting for those things to come in agreement with at the same time. So your |
404 | 00:40:04 --> 00:40:08 | entry mechanism has to have, if it's going to be high probability, it needs, |
405 | 00:40:08 --> 00:40:15 | number one, have the the signatures that the market is, in fact, not being |
406 | 00:40:15 --> 00:40:19 | intervened. There's there's precision, there's elements that it's booking price |
407 | 00:40:20 --> 00:40:24 | with the bodies inside of the PD arrays, the wicks can color outside the lines. |
408 | 00:40:24 --> 00:40:28 | That's always a given. But are the bodies still supporting the narrative |
409 | 00:40:28 --> 00:40:32 | that the price should be going higher or lower? But then you're also looking for |
410 | 00:40:33 --> 00:40:38 | two other contributing factors to why that price entry should be considered at |
411 | 00:40:38 --> 00:40:46 | all, a fair value gap, inside of a bullish breaker, after it's taken a |
412 | 00:40:46 --> 00:40:51 | smaller short term swing, low out, what's below the swing? Low sell side. |
413 | 00:40:51 --> 00:40:55 | You're inside of a bullish breaker and you're inside of a fair value gap. So |
414 | 00:40:55 --> 00:41:00 | you have three things there that makes that an enormous probability for price |
415 | 00:41:00 --> 00:41:05 | not to go lower, but, in fact, go higher. So there's a lot of blending of |
416 | 00:41:05 --> 00:41:08 | things that has to happen. That's why it's important. You have to start with |
417 | 00:41:08 --> 00:41:11 | just one. PDA, right? Just start with one of them. And then when you go |
418 | 00:41:11 --> 00:41:16 | through your annotations and you back test, you want to be able to see, excuse |
419 | 00:41:16 --> 00:41:21 | me, you want to be able to see if there's a confluence or an agreement |
420 | 00:41:21 --> 00:41:27 | with other PD arrays that would be similar in the idea that would send |
421 | 00:41:27 --> 00:41:36 | price higher or lower anti general area in proximity. So notice that we, we |
422 | 00:41:36 --> 00:41:41 | opened traded down into yesterday's first presented fair value gap. Excuse |
423 | 00:41:41 --> 00:41:41 | me, |
424 | 00:41:42 --> 00:41:50 | I yesterday's |
425 | 00:41:50 --> 00:41:54 | first presenter, fair value gap, leaving the relative equal lows here, it rallies |
426 | 00:41:54 --> 00:41:58 | up to the low of that daily city. Notice it hit that there? You know, look at the |
427 | 00:41:58 --> 00:42:06 | reaction. Why would price want to go from here and go higher without taking |
428 | 00:42:06 --> 00:42:09 | out the sell side first, even if it wants to go higher, why would it? Why |
429 | 00:42:09 --> 00:42:13 | would it want to do that? I would not use like, for instance, like consequence |
430 | 00:42:13 --> 00:42:17 | here. Like, if this would have traded down below and came out and created this |
431 | 00:42:17 --> 00:42:23 | scenario, I would be trying to go long inside consequence here, but it has not |
432 | 00:42:23 --> 00:42:28 | done that. It's left the sell side. So it's more likely that the market will |
433 | 00:42:28 --> 00:42:31 | want to come down here and disturb all this. This is all unfinished business |
434 | 00:42:31 --> 00:42:38 | here. This is on a high impact news driver, no less. It drops down and stops |
435 | 00:42:38 --> 00:42:43 | in yesterday's perfectly to the low of yesterday's first presented fair value |
436 | 00:42:43 --> 00:42:47 | gap. What's the price of the low amount fair value got yesterday? It's 20,003 |
437 | 00:42:47 --> 00:42:52 | 64.75 what's the low of this candle you're looking up here? |
438 | 00:43:01 --> 00:43:09 | 365, even so it's one tick away from the low. So why wasn't the buying selling |
439 | 00:43:09 --> 00:43:13 | pressure sufficient enough in there to, at least to upset these these lows? |
440 | 00:43:13 --> 00:43:20 | Because this is all enticing people to do what, chase it which direction, long. |
441 | 00:43:20 --> 00:43:24 | So if that's the case, if they want to be going long, where would they put |
442 | 00:43:24 --> 00:43:27 | their protective cell stops? Because if you're long, going to use a cell stop to |
443 | 00:43:27 --> 00:43:32 | protect that position, where would they dog pile all that sell side liquidity |
444 | 00:43:33 --> 00:43:34 | right below here. I'm |
445 | 00:44:04 --> 00:44:05 | thanks for playing |
446 | 00:44:10 --> 00:44:17 | now in this price run here, if we take that from here, here, my Puppy's snoring |
447 | 00:44:18 --> 00:44:27 | scale. So we're going to look at this price range in here, and we're not going |
448 | 00:44:28 --> 00:44:37 | to do that all right, and then what we'll do is We'll look at it on a 15 |
449 | 00:44:37 --> 00:44:38 | second chart. I'm |
450 | 00:44:47 --> 00:44:52 | so now watch my 15 second chart. It trades up into the low of the daily city |
451 | 00:44:52 --> 00:44:56 | and then creates one more high into it, and then it gives up the ghost and |
452 | 00:44:56 --> 00:45:03 | trades down this high. Is met by a higher high. There the low in between. |
453 | 00:45:03 --> 00:45:08 | And here is your breaker. This candlestick trades up into it. This |
454 | 00:45:08 --> 00:45:15 | candlestick trades up into it. So this breaker is being capitalized. You can |
455 | 00:45:15 --> 00:45:23 | short anticipate what the sell side annotated. The market breaks down in |
456 | 00:45:23 --> 00:45:28 | every single instance that it creates an up close candle. You want to measure |
457 | 00:45:29 --> 00:45:40 | this. Watch this. This is your breaker here. So let's take that first volume |
458 | 00:45:40 --> 00:45:45 | imbalance, it redelivers to that and to the breaker low. It's the low candle |
459 | 00:45:45 --> 00:45:49 | done down, close candle prior to the run up that takes out the high. That's your |
460 | 00:45:49 --> 00:45:56 | breaker. It is not this. It's this. The market trades out to it. Deliveries |
461 | 00:45:56 --> 00:46:02 | perfect, breaks lower. And then, if you're right, if you anticipate the |
462 | 00:46:02 --> 00:46:09 | market doing what going lower to sell side, which is below that low here, and |
463 | 00:46:09 --> 00:46:14 | that's your yesterday's first presented, favorite value gap and relative equal |
464 | 00:46:14 --> 00:46:19 | lows that it formed this morning. All this in here. That's what this drop in |
465 | 00:46:19 --> 00:46:26 | here was, watch how you can track institutional order flow. You do not |
466 | 00:46:26 --> 00:46:30 | need level two data. Okay? You don't need any of that DOM stuff. You don't |
467 | 00:46:30 --> 00:46:34 | need volume profile. You don't need V while you don't need any that stock |
468 | 00:46:36 --> 00:46:43 | every up close. Candle is a delimiter for where price should not go above. So |
469 | 00:46:43 --> 00:46:48 | here's an up close candle. The market leaves it and goes below this |
470 | 00:46:48 --> 00:46:53 | candlesticks opening price, which is the change in the state of delivery. That |
471 | 00:46:53 --> 00:46:58 | means that the market can trade inside of this range, full range. So it looks |
472 | 00:46:58 --> 00:47:09 | like this. Excellent. Okay. That candle in a second there. So inside that area |
473 | 00:47:09 --> 00:47:14 | there, you're going to see the order block doing its job. The algorithms |
474 | 00:47:14 --> 00:47:19 | referring back to this candlesticks opening price. So it can trade inside |
475 | 00:47:19 --> 00:47:23 | that range like it does here, but it does not take out its high the market |
476 | 00:47:23 --> 00:47:26 | goes up into it. The bodies are respecting the body of that candlestick. |
477 | 00:47:27 --> 00:47:33 | Look at the green candles. Body here to that candle that that one goes up, but |
478 | 00:47:33 --> 00:47:39 | then stops. And then we see the same thing happening here. I apologize you're |
479 | 00:47:39 --> 00:47:43 | going to hear that the guys running the mowers in the back. I'm in my living |
480 | 00:47:43 --> 00:47:50 | room. So my life isn't with me right now. She's out and about. So same thing |
481 | 00:47:50 --> 00:47:55 | here. The market trades down below, so it validates what that's the change in |
482 | 00:47:55 --> 00:47:59 | the state delivery opening price, and the candle opens here, and then quickly |
483 | 00:47:59 --> 00:48:04 | what leaves it. So order flow is bearish. All the green candles are up |
484 | 00:48:04 --> 00:48:10 | close. Candles are doing what they're they're limiting the delivery on price |
485 | 00:48:10 --> 00:48:15 | to the upside, keeping everything focused on sell side delivery. Sell side |
486 | 00:48:15 --> 00:48:21 | delivery continues until sell side liquidity is engaged, which is that low |
487 | 00:48:21 --> 00:48:27 | down here, which it trace down to here, which I was telling you up here when it |
488 | 00:48:27 --> 00:48:30 | was doing. Go back in my selection, you'll see that's the case, and it's the |
489 | 00:48:30 --> 00:48:36 | truth. And the market does what it starts to displace, stays heavy. And the |
490 | 00:48:36 --> 00:48:40 | same thing we see up close candle so we can still track order flow, no depth of |
491 | 00:48:40 --> 00:48:45 | market. We're not looking at border ladders. I'm not looking at, you know, |
492 | 00:48:46 --> 00:48:50 | market map. What's it called? Book map. We don't need any stuff. None of that |
493 | 00:48:50 --> 00:48:54 | stuff is required. Everything in the open, high, low and close and time. So |
494 | 00:48:54 --> 00:49:03 | here's that candlestick. Here. Watch, Here's your order block. You the candle |
495 | 00:49:03 --> 00:49:08 | can do what can trade inside the range? Does it leave the upper portion open? |
496 | 00:49:08 --> 00:49:13 | Yes, and it rolls out. This candle stick does the same thing here. This change in |
497 | 00:49:13 --> 00:49:17 | the state of delivery, that opening price. That's your trigger. Same method. |
498 | 00:49:17 --> 00:49:28 | Get that off. I'm off every price run. When you're looking at price rallying |
499 | 00:49:28 --> 00:49:31 | higher or lower, this is what you're supposed to be doing. You're just going |
500 | 00:49:31 --> 00:49:34 | to reverse it when it's going higher every down closed candle should be |
501 | 00:49:34 --> 00:49:39 | performing like this. We have a change in state delivery here, the candle opens |
502 | 00:49:39 --> 00:49:43 | up on this one here, it trades up a little bit, but stays what inside the |
503 | 00:49:43 --> 00:49:49 | range of this candlestick. And it does what. It stays in the lower half. It |
504 | 00:49:49 --> 00:49:56 | does not trade or traverse to the other half or up part of it stops that in its |
505 | 00:49:56 --> 00:50:01 | tracks, breaks lower. Same thing here I'm. Not going to keep painting them |
506 | 00:50:01 --> 00:50:04 | out. This is a small one. And then finally, it just does the same thing, |
507 | 00:50:04 --> 00:50:07 | delivers down to the cell. Sign of annotated. Okay, so what am I saying |
508 | 00:50:07 --> 00:50:14 | here? High frequency trading algorithms are entering on this low, but they're |
509 | 00:50:14 --> 00:50:18 | trading above the high here. Then when it breaks down, they're trading short |
510 | 00:50:18 --> 00:50:22 | here, trading short in here, they're trading short rating on that candles the |
511 | 00:50:22 --> 00:50:26 | opening. And they're when it starts to do this, they cannot, they cannot enter |
512 | 00:50:26 --> 00:50:32 | anymore. Why? Because you're leaving the premium aspect of that range that |
513 | 00:50:32 --> 00:50:37 | they're they're firing on. That's half of the move between this low and then |
514 | 00:50:37 --> 00:50:40 | high, which is the reason why, when I'm pyramiding, I'm only pyramiding when I'm |
515 | 00:50:40 --> 00:50:43 | short, in the upper half, and once it starts to displace, like this, it's |
516 | 00:50:43 --> 00:50:48 | breaching, it's breaching the lower half. So half of that range from where |
517 | 00:50:48 --> 00:50:52 | you're targeting and where you're seeing the beginning or inception of the mood. |
518 | 00:50:52 --> 00:50:56 | You have to define premium to discount. I saw young me on youtube talking about |
519 | 00:50:56 --> 00:51:00 | how there's no premium and discount. Again, stop listening to these 20 year |
520 | 00:51:00 --> 00:51:03 | olds. They literally don't know what they're talking about. Okay? They find |
521 | 00:51:03 --> 00:51:06 | something in Market Replay, or they done something on a flip of a coin, and they |
522 | 00:51:06 --> 00:51:12 | think they now have a new science, only short and premium, only pyramid when |
523 | 00:51:12 --> 00:51:17 | you're in premium and when it enters the discount of a short sell side delivery, |
524 | 00:51:19 --> 00:51:24 | know what it's reaching for when it gets it, get out, follow order flow, as I'm |
525 | 00:51:24 --> 00:51:29 | teaching you here. Down here, the high frequency trading algorithms are not |
526 | 00:51:29 --> 00:51:34 | entering on this. They're seeing that this is the last one prior to that load |
527 | 00:51:34 --> 00:51:38 | being taken. So they're going to anticipate what speed they're going to |
528 | 00:51:38 --> 00:51:43 | anticipate, speed and delivery. And it means you see this, they don't want to |
529 | 00:51:43 --> 00:51:47 | let these individuals off the hook, so the algorithm quickly read books down |
530 | 00:51:47 --> 00:51:53 | there as fast as it can. And that's real order flow. That's real order flow. |
531 | 00:51:53 --> 00:51:57 | There's no depth of market over here. There's no volume profile required, no v |
532 | 00:51:57 --> 00:52:02 | while, no point of control, no initial balance high, no initial balance low, no |
533 | 00:52:02 --> 00:52:06 | overnight inventory. All that stuff is Grade A bullshit. It's bullshit. Okay. |
534 | 00:52:07 --> 00:52:11 | It makes it sound like you know what you're talking about. But if it worked, |
535 | 00:52:11 --> 00:52:14 | people will be constantly doing what I'm doing, outlining it to the tech, and |
536 | 00:52:14 --> 00:52:17 | you're not seeing that, but they'll explain it. Here's how it worked. Over |
537 | 00:52:17 --> 00:52:24 | here, no explain it. Real time, real time, flawlessly, consistently, over and |
538 | 00:52:24 --> 00:52:28 | over and over again, then you might have somebody that can listen to you and |
539 | 00:52:28 --> 00:52:36 | subscribe to your bullshit, but until then, it's all nonsense. So anyway, I am |
540 | 00:52:36 --> 00:52:40 | not feeling well, so I'm going to use this as an exit to get out of here and |
541 | 00:52:40 --> 00:52:44 | go get some rest. Be careful. Today, it's Friday. There's no reason for you |
542 | 00:52:44 --> 00:52:47 | to go out here and try to prove yourself. There's no reason for you try |
543 | 00:52:47 --> 00:52:50 | to make money if you haven't made money on the date or the week. Just be content |
544 | 00:52:50 --> 00:52:55 | with what you have. Lick your wounds. If it's a loss, cheerlead yourself. You |
545 | 00:52:55 --> 00:52:59 | know, if it's a win, be content. There's nothing exciting about today. Just |
546 | 00:52:59 --> 00:53:06 | relax. And if you are going to watch, it just tapered until talk to you next |
547 | 00:53:06 --> 00:53:07 | time. Be safe. You. |