1 | 00:03:43 --> 00:03:55 | ICT: Good grief, this OBS see if I can hear myself, I'll check one. There's the |
2 | 00:03:55 --> 00:04:02 | old man. Good morning, folks. How are you? So we're back at it again here. So |
3 | 00:04:02 --> 00:04:08 | let's see, see what guy here. There's nothing really to speak of, because we |
4 | 00:04:08 --> 00:04:17 | have basically an empty Monday and Tuesday economic calendar. Later, we |
5 | 00:04:17 --> 00:04:26 | have ppi and CPI numbers, so they're face rippers a bit of a premium, premium |
6 | 00:04:27 --> 00:04:35 | gap opening here. So that's where we're at here with that. Just going to use the |
7 | 00:04:35 --> 00:04:45 | FIB here and make it a little easier and the open up here. These back on, |
8 | 00:04:50 --> 00:04:55 | alright, so mid gap is way down here. These two levels here I did a little bit |
9 | 00:04:55 --> 00:05:09 | of needling on. Social media last night. So we have the weekly inversion fair |
10 | 00:05:09 --> 00:05:14 | value gap in here. I'm allowing it to try to reach for that, see if it can get |
11 | 00:05:14 --> 00:05:22 | up in there and tap into that, and see if they'll let it run a little bit lower |
12 | 00:05:22 --> 00:05:23 | after that, into the gap I'm |
13 | 00:05:50 --> 00:05:59 | I mean time frame. Notice that the bottom of that weekly inversion for your |
14 | 00:05:59 --> 00:06:10 | Vega here also has that little tiny separation between that candles low, |
15 | 00:06:11 --> 00:06:17 | this candle is high, so that is a Sibi, so you want to Have that annotated on |
16 | 00:06:17 --> 00:06:31 | your chart. There. We're just hitting it now. I'd very much prefer it hitting the |
17 | 00:06:31 --> 00:06:36 | weekly version of your vague gap before selling off. Otherwise I'd have to let |
18 | 00:06:36 --> 00:06:42 | it have another chance to run there, not chasing anything. |
19 | 00:06:58 --> 00:07:08 | Do you have fun this weekend? I did alright. So here's a one minute chart. |
20 | 00:07:08 --> 00:07:16 | We have not had any first presentation fair value gap yet. There is one |
21 | 00:07:16 --> 00:07:25 | obviously on that 15 second chart that's, uh, right here. She'll annotate |
22 | 00:07:25 --> 00:07:28 | that and keep it off my chart now, because these are a little too much |
23 | 00:07:28 --> 00:07:38 | stuff on the chart for my clicking. This is all stuff from me needling Twitter |
24 | 00:07:38 --> 00:07:48 | last night. I hopefully I've inspired a bunch of you live streamers out here, or |
25 | 00:07:48 --> 00:07:54 | those that don't live stream to come out here and play in the sandbox with us. |
26 | 00:07:54 --> 00:07:54 | You |
27 | 00:08:10 --> 00:08:20 | okay, small, right in here, small, little favor again. I |
28 | 00:08:33 --> 00:08:38 | got a chance to sleep in today, actually trying to get some rest for tonight's |
29 | 00:08:38 --> 00:08:45 | London livestream. So I promised the Forex gang that we would look at some |
30 | 00:08:45 --> 00:08:51 | London stuff. I'll look at futures too during the London session. It's not just |
31 | 00:08:51 --> 00:08:55 | Forex, but I promised I would ring in some of that insight into this |
32 | 00:08:55 --> 00:09:01 | mentorship. We're only going to go till 1030 this morning. I have to take care |
33 | 00:09:01 --> 00:09:09 | of something at the bank, some fraudulent activity. Check your bank |
34 | 00:09:09 --> 00:09:14 | statements, folks. If you see somebody going in and giving you like 3036, cents |
35 | 00:09:14 --> 00:09:19 | or 17 cents, and then taking it back out, that's them testing to see if money |
36 | 00:09:19 --> 00:09:24 | can come in and now, because somebody just took $7,000 a month, but they don't |
37 | 00:09:25 --> 00:09:27 | have an ownership of that's okay, all Right. |
38 | 00:09:41 --> 00:09:47 | So I want to see it run up into that weekly inversion, Fairbank gap in that |
39 | 00:09:47 --> 00:09:52 | orange shade area that would also be another run above these highs in here. |
40 | 00:09:52 --> 00:09:58 | It's a little too blocky in here, too consolidated, even though it is a 15 |
41 | 00:09:58 --> 00:10:02 | second chart. I. Want to see some kind of disruption to the upside you |
42 | 00:10:27 --> 00:10:35 | that's actually now in the right place it should be there. So a little |
43 | 00:10:35 --> 00:10:41 | lackluster. So far this morning. Nothing terribly exciting for the opening range. |
44 | 00:10:41 --> 00:10:46 | Opening range is between 930 and 10 o'clock Eastern time, and the opening |
45 | 00:10:46 --> 00:10:53 | range gap is previous day settlement. That's the close here to the open the |
46 | 00:10:53 --> 00:10:55 | very first print at 930 |
47 | 00:11:02 --> 00:11:24 | and so when I have your economic calendar with the PPI and CPI number, |
48 | 00:11:24 --> 00:11:31 | and all you have to do is go to Forex factory.com, or econo day calendar, or |
49 | 00:11:31 --> 00:11:36 | any other decent calendar, they'll they'll show that those reports are |
50 | 00:11:36 --> 00:11:44 | This, like this week, Wednesday and Thursday. And then there's an absence of |
51 | 00:11:44 --> 00:11:48 | any real news drivers on Monday and Tuesday. You want to try to find your |
52 | 00:11:48 --> 00:11:54 | trades. If you're going to try to trade and avoid all of the huge volatility |
53 | 00:11:54 --> 00:11:59 | that is introduced by those reports, you simply just trade on the Monday and |
54 | 00:11:59 --> 00:12:05 | Tuesday, not this week not to say you can't trade post ppi and CPI number, |
55 | 00:12:05 --> 00:12:10 | because I certainly will be all right, we just touch the bottom of that |
56 | 00:12:10 --> 00:12:20 | inversion of fair value gap. Again, that's this up here. Okay, I'm a nice |
57 | 00:12:41 --> 00:12:44 | set of reactions so far, that's probably random. |
58 | 00:12:58 --> 00:13:04 | I'm just going to show the mid gap and have a little bit more real estate in |
59 | 00:13:04 --> 00:13:06 | the size of these candles shown |
60 | 00:13:13 --> 00:13:17 | again, mid gap is here for the opening range gap. I'm |
61 | 00:13:32 --> 00:13:36 | watching the breaker here on the one minute chart, the short term, high, |
62 | 00:13:37 --> 00:13:42 | higher, high. This down close candle. I'm watching how we behave and print |
63 | 00:13:42 --> 00:13:42 | around that. I'm |
64 | 00:13:58 --> 00:14:02 | gonna apologize in advance, because we're answering the time of year where I |
65 | 00:14:02 --> 00:14:08 | have fall allergies, and it's unfortunate I can't do anything about |
66 | 00:14:08 --> 00:14:12 | because I'm not gonna take medicines, but the clearing of my throat, |
67 | 00:14:12 --> 00:14:17 | unfortunately, might be a little bit distracting or something. You'll get a |
68 | 00:14:17 --> 00:14:22 | minor so I know if I was listening to someone else sound like that, just don't |
69 | 00:14:22 --> 00:14:25 | need the comments, because I'll just broom you. I don't ever see your comment |
70 | 00:14:25 --> 00:14:34 | ever again. You can just say it one time. You can say anything you want one |
71 | 00:14:34 --> 00:14:39 | time. See how flat price is right now. Yes, it went up to a level we were |
72 | 00:14:39 --> 00:14:46 | looking for an anticipating, but it's just like not trying to do much in the |
73 | 00:14:46 --> 00:14:59 | 15th second inside the city here air shorter block, not enough energy to the |
74 | 00:14:59 --> 00:15:06 | downside to. Yeah, they get me interested yet, meaning like that. What |
75 | 00:15:06 --> 00:15:11 | do you mean by that? The short term low here, the wicks came down, and we had |
76 | 00:15:11 --> 00:15:17 | two of them. So it's not something that has me all that terribly excited. |
77 | 00:15:17 --> 00:15:21 | Meaning we could see one more punch into this high a little bit higher than that, |
78 | 00:15:21 --> 00:15:29 | then we'll have to see what the what the delivery is after that. Just relax. |
79 | 00:15:29 --> 00:15:37 | There's plenty of setups this week coming. Plenty of them new. Need to rush |
80 | 00:15:37 --> 00:15:41 | out the gate to get the first one that comes in the first 10 to 20 minutes, and |
81 | 00:15:41 --> 00:15:46 | I don't know, not on a Monday, not with a week like we're getting ready to see, |
82 | 00:15:46 --> 00:15:53 | I'll see all kinds of movement. If you come out here and you you waste your |
83 | 00:15:53 --> 00:16:03 | ammo and your mental fortitude on less than optimal conditions. It just makes |
84 | 00:16:03 --> 00:16:07 | it harder for you to be in when the markets are really given out for free. |
85 | 00:16:07 --> 00:16:12 | Well, maybe I shouldn't say for free, but a lot of lot more easier price |
86 | 00:16:12 --> 00:16:19 | deliveries, lot more fluctuations and prices can work and navigate in again. |
87 | 00:16:19 --> 00:16:21 | This chart over here is a 15 second chart |
88 | 00:16:30 --> 00:16:42 | and one minute chart on the Right got a lot of comments from the annotation |
89 | 00:16:42 --> 00:16:48 | markups I'm teaching my son to do. And of course, I have a few other ones that |
90 | 00:16:48 --> 00:16:53 | are saying things like, this is tedious. It's not necessary. Well, I mean, if |
91 | 00:16:53 --> 00:16:57 | you're already profitable and you know what you're doing, you didn't, by all |
92 | 00:16:57 --> 00:17:00 | means, do what you got to do, but for people to go ahead and reprice action, I |
93 | 00:17:01 --> 00:17:05 | would venture to say that ones that say that they don't journal, they probably |
94 | 00:17:05 --> 00:17:08 | aren't as precise or consistent as they like to pretend they are on social |
95 | 00:17:08 --> 00:17:13 | media. But the way you get better at it and learn how to see the things that |
96 | 00:17:13 --> 00:17:21 | teach and execute on you see my executions, those intricate details that |
97 | 00:17:21 --> 00:17:28 | I'm showing in my markups for cables channel we have this week and next week, |
98 | 00:17:28 --> 00:17:34 | and then he'll have enough for him to have conversation with me in the videos. |
99 | 00:17:35 --> 00:17:38 | He has to learn some things first, otherwise it's gonna be a lot of grunts |
100 | 00:17:38 --> 00:17:45 | like you see that, son. I hmm, which isn't all that engaging. |
101 | 00:17:55 --> 00:18:01 | So you want to, want to, kind of, like, note any kind of anxiety you're feeling |
102 | 00:18:01 --> 00:18:07 | right now, or any kind of unwavering excitement about wanting to be in |
103 | 00:18:07 --> 00:18:13 | something right now that's usually are not aware of what you're looking for, |
104 | 00:18:13 --> 00:18:20 | and you just trying to like a dog, like my wife, she takes the food bowls out As |
105 | 00:18:20 --> 00:18:24 | soon as they hear the metal clanking together, they immediately drop whatever |
106 | 00:18:24 --> 00:18:27 | they're doing, and they're like, Okay, I gotta, I gotta get ready, run in here |
107 | 00:18:27 --> 00:18:33 | and get something. And that's usually what FOMO feels like for a trader that |
108 | 00:18:34 --> 00:18:38 | doesn't have a model, doesn't know what they're looking for, and just because |
109 | 00:18:38 --> 00:18:42 | these candlesticks are, you know, flicking up and down. There's no setup |
110 | 00:18:42 --> 00:18:52 | here yet, so you just have to sit still. Let it come to you. One of the best |
111 | 00:18:52 --> 00:18:57 | exercises you can do for yourself is just physically sit still the first 30 |
112 | 00:18:57 --> 00:19:03 | minutes, even if there is an ideal setup that you may identify or recognize, sit |
113 | 00:19:03 --> 00:19:09 | still, don't do anything, engage price after 10 o'clock and do that for a few |
114 | 00:19:09 --> 00:19:16 | months. And just really take inventory on how you feel. Are you feeling |
115 | 00:19:16 --> 00:19:22 | impulsive? Are you feeling reckless? You feel like you want to gamble, those are |
116 | 00:19:22 --> 00:19:26 | wonderful observations to discover about yourself early on, before you start |
117 | 00:19:26 --> 00:19:30 | trading with real money, because these, those are the various characteristics |
118 | 00:19:30 --> 00:19:38 | that will undo you and prevent you find for finding success, but not enough's |
119 | 00:19:38 --> 00:19:43 | been taught about it. I mean, Mark Douglas book and other people have |
120 | 00:19:43 --> 00:19:52 | touched very, very lightly on trade psychology and what, what are catalysts |
121 | 00:19:52 --> 00:19:55 | for people to go on tilt? How do you prevent it? What skill sets do you have |
122 | 00:19:55 --> 00:20:03 | to develop and muster for. Before you end up in that situation where you have |
123 | 00:20:03 --> 00:20:14 | regret, and it's by journaling and tape reading and anytime you feel impulsive, |
124 | 00:20:15 --> 00:20:18 | anytime you feel impulsive or anxious that you're afraid you're going to miss |
125 | 00:20:18 --> 00:20:23 | something, take a screenshot of the chart. Take a screenshot of it, and then |
126 | 00:20:23 --> 00:20:29 | annotate that with, you know, simple words like anxious, feeling reckless, |
127 | 00:20:29 --> 00:20:33 | feeling impulsive. And then at the end of the session, what would that be like |
128 | 00:20:33 --> 00:20:38 | for index trading to be noon, near global time, and then look and see what |
129 | 00:20:38 --> 00:20:43 | price did actually after that moment. And you'll see many times what you were |
130 | 00:20:43 --> 00:20:48 | fearful of, that you were going to miss wasn't even in the chart at all, and it |
131 | 00:20:48 --> 00:20:54 | desensitizes your whole like this pursuit, I got to catch something. I |
132 | 00:20:54 --> 00:20:58 | didn't catch something. It goes away after you've conditioned yourself to |
133 | 00:20:58 --> 00:21:06 | say, look, I've been here before. It's just me wanting to do something, eat on |
134 | 00:21:06 --> 00:21:10 | a 15 second chart, which usually is very, very fluid from can find a lot of |
135 | 00:21:10 --> 00:21:17 | setups on it's still just looks like a picket fence. The neighbor that doesn't |
136 | 00:21:17 --> 00:21:24 | take care of his yard. It's all tattered looking in here, I'd like to see it |
137 | 00:21:24 --> 00:21:28 | displaced lower here. Admittedly, I'd like to see that, because we have now |
138 | 00:21:28 --> 00:21:34 | had a body come down below the breaker, which is this down closed candle here. |
139 | 00:21:35 --> 00:21:39 | I'd prefer to see it start to make a move lower and work towards these lows |
140 | 00:21:39 --> 00:21:46 | here, because if we can get between here, let me outline it, because we can |
141 | 00:21:46 --> 00:21:55 | go between this low and the upper quadrant of the opening range, gap, |
142 | 00:21:55 --> 00:21:56 | which is here. |
143 | 00:22:02 --> 00:22:08 | And I'd like to see some kind of move lower here, and then either on the one |
144 | 00:22:08 --> 00:22:14 | minute chart or the 15 second chart, create a fair value gap to watch price |
145 | 00:22:14 --> 00:22:19 | trade up into, and then try to make a run into mid gap. That's all I would |
146 | 00:22:19 --> 00:22:24 | look for today, and then if it wants to close more of the gap or go higher, you |
147 | 00:22:24 --> 00:22:29 | know, so be it. But when I'm looking at price and I want to kind of frame up a |
148 | 00:22:29 --> 00:22:33 | setup that I'm willing to sit and wait for, that's what I would be looking for |
149 | 00:22:33 --> 00:22:37 | today, I would not be interested in chasing it going higher. We have too |
150 | 00:22:37 --> 00:22:43 | much of a gap opening higher. They're building a huge premium, and we're |
151 | 00:22:43 --> 00:22:51 | taking it back to a weekly objective, which is that orange shaded box up here. |
152 | 00:22:52 --> 00:22:57 | All of that range is a weekly inversion for value gap. And it's, it's, it's big. |
153 | 00:22:58 --> 00:23:06 | So I don't want to be I uh, up in here you're trying to go long after we've |
154 | 00:23:06 --> 00:23:13 | opened up with such a large gap opening, I'm much more comfortable waiting for it |
155 | 00:23:13 --> 00:23:19 | to price in whatever premium it wants to put in price. I'm not willing, |
156 | 00:23:19 --> 00:23:25 | basically, to pay exorbitant price for NASDAQ, especially on a day that there's |
157 | 00:23:25 --> 00:23:33 | no news until we get to Wednesday and Thursday. So that's a little bit better |
158 | 00:23:33 --> 00:23:38 | delivery. See how the bodies are like butted up and at the bottom of it, and |
159 | 00:23:38 --> 00:23:44 | not just the wick. That's what I was saying about the the break over here. I |
160 | 00:23:44 --> 00:23:52 | didn't like that there, because while it did go below it, when we have such a |
161 | 00:23:52 --> 00:23:57 | premium opening, meaning that this is where Friday's settlement price is here, |
162 | 00:23:58 --> 00:24:07 | and the first print at 930 the opening bell. That's your first traded price. |
163 | 00:24:07 --> 00:24:14 | The difference between that is so large it's already built in an expensive |
164 | 00:24:14 --> 00:24:22 | price, so I'm not willing to buy that, and I'm comfortable letting it go. It's |
165 | 00:24:22 --> 00:24:27 | like anything else. If it's not your price, you're not going to pay for it. |
166 | 00:24:27 --> 00:24:32 | If you know, you can get it cheaper, if you just wait a little while. No, that's |
167 | 00:24:32 --> 00:24:36 | what trading should be like. Why pay more for something you can get cheaper |
168 | 00:24:36 --> 00:24:40 | later on with less risk, with better visibility. Right now you're you're |
169 | 00:24:40 --> 00:24:48 | trading inside of just one event of where we opened up. So now think about |
170 | 00:24:48 --> 00:24:51 | what I was talking about earlier, about the breaker, because we had these two |
171 | 00:24:51 --> 00:24:57 | wicks down here. It didn't show any kind of displacement lower. It just reached |
172 | 00:24:57 --> 00:25:01 | down just a little bit below it, and we. Because of that I was telling you, we're |
173 | 00:25:01 --> 00:25:04 | probably going to see one more drive above this into that weekly inversion |
174 | 00:25:04 --> 00:25:08 | fair value gap. Then we had this delivery here, and this is a one minute |
175 | 00:25:08 --> 00:25:13 | chart up here, so it was nice to see it deliver that body now, leaving these |
176 | 00:25:13 --> 00:25:17 | kind of wicks inside of the inversion fair value gap, if it runs below, that's |
177 | 00:25:17 --> 00:25:21 | a little bit more, a lot more meaningful, meaning that this |
178 | 00:25:21 --> 00:25:28 | candlestick here treat that same down close candle as I was looking at that |
179 | 00:25:28 --> 00:25:33 | initially here, I wanted to see how we behaved when price traded to its low. |
180 | 00:25:33 --> 00:25:39 | Now, this is a point of interest for me, if that candle is low because we have |
181 | 00:25:39 --> 00:25:47 | what we have the high here. This swing low. And we ran up into that weekly |
182 | 00:25:47 --> 00:25:51 | version of everybody got we budded up against the bottom of it with that |
183 | 00:25:51 --> 00:25:56 | candlesticks. Body, indecisive candle body, saying, No, I'm not really |
184 | 00:25:56 --> 00:26:02 | interested. Open wick into it here, and we're showing initial signs that it may |
185 | 00:26:02 --> 00:26:06 | want to drop. There's a gap in here. I'd like to see it get below that and show |
186 | 00:26:06 --> 00:26:11 | signatures of inversion on that, and how we drive under under here. And it may |
187 | 00:26:11 --> 00:26:15 | not. I'm just saying that that's what I'm observing. I get a lot of questions, |
188 | 00:26:15 --> 00:26:19 | what am I looking for? What am I waiting for? How do I frame a setup? What |
189 | 00:26:19 --> 00:26:26 | determines the setup? Most of which is how we open, if I'm training the morning |
190 | 00:26:26 --> 00:26:31 | session, how we open relationship to the previous day's settlement price, which |
191 | 00:26:31 --> 00:26:42 | is 415, Eastern Time, PM, and then the afternoon. I'm not so much, you know, |
192 | 00:26:42 --> 00:26:49 | concerned about the same things that the morning session provides me. There's |
193 | 00:26:49 --> 00:26:53 | other things, like I'm looking at how we trade a new the afternoon lunch. I'm not |
194 | 00:26:53 --> 00:26:59 | so much concerned about the same things. I just turned my headphones on. Sorry |
195 | 00:26:59 --> 00:27:09 | about that. You got that feedback on but I look for things to frame price runs |
196 | 00:27:09 --> 00:27:16 | that make sense. So since we gapped up here and have a large gap below us from |
197 | 00:27:16 --> 00:27:23 | Friday's close at 415 any movement below here sets the stage for a potential |
198 | 00:27:23 --> 00:27:32 | trade to half of the gap. So the rules I live by is 70% of the time that half gap |
199 | 00:27:32 --> 00:27:37 | price level gets traded to and repriced to in the first 30 minutes of trading. |
200 | 00:27:37 --> 00:27:42 | 70% of the time is not 100% of the time. So because we have the economic |
201 | 00:27:42 --> 00:27:47 | calendar, as we have this week, where Monday and Tuesdays kind of like blank, |
202 | 00:27:47 --> 00:27:55 | it doesn't have a whole lot of reason to do anything yet, except for building a |
203 | 00:27:55 --> 00:28:01 | big premium for PPI CPI number to run against this. So in my mind, that that's |
204 | 00:28:01 --> 00:28:04 | how I'm interpreting this. In case you're probably wondering what that is |
205 | 00:28:04 --> 00:28:08 | like. What do I think is going to happen this week? I think all of this is just, |
206 | 00:28:08 --> 00:28:15 | you know, them going against last week's big drop and going up into a logical |
207 | 00:28:15 --> 00:28:19 | level, which that weekly inversion, fair value gap. That's that orange shaded |
208 | 00:28:19 --> 00:28:28 | area. I'm watching this 15 second gap right here. It's also a breaker, high, |
209 | 00:28:28 --> 00:28:39 | low, higher, high, inside the inversion for your bank, the the absence of |
210 | 00:28:39 --> 00:28:47 | anything on the internet calendar Monday and Tuesday forces me and or forces a |
211 | 00:28:47 --> 00:28:56 | price action trader to demand that price be clean versus I can, I can engage with |
212 | 00:28:56 --> 00:29:01 | a little bit sloppier price action. If there has been something released at |
213 | 00:29:01 --> 00:29:04 | like 830 or if it releases at 10 o'clock, some kind of economic news |
214 | 00:29:04 --> 00:29:08 | driver, something, some kind of report or something basically like a smoke |
215 | 00:29:08 --> 00:29:12 | screen. It's what I call it, an injection of volatility. It's an |
216 | 00:29:12 --> 00:29:18 | invitation for people to come to the watering hole. Okay, so we don't have |
217 | 00:29:18 --> 00:29:21 | that today and we don't have that tomorrow. So the best thing you can do |
218 | 00:29:21 --> 00:29:25 | as a trader and put this in your journal as well, and you'll probably save |
219 | 00:29:25 --> 00:29:28 | yourself a whole lot of heartache and draw them and probably blend accounts. |
220 | 00:29:28 --> 00:29:32 | But the the absence of anything on the economic counter, that means that you |
221 | 00:29:32 --> 00:29:36 | must absolutely see clean price action. Just because you have a high impact or |
222 | 00:29:36 --> 00:29:40 | medium impact news driver does not mean you're going to have clean price action. |
223 | 00:29:40 --> 00:29:43 | You can have really wild back and forth price action. And if that's the case, |
224 | 00:29:43 --> 00:29:47 | then you don't trade that either. So it's a lot of knowing when not to do |
225 | 00:29:47 --> 00:29:52 | something because, just because you walk in the kitchen and Something smells good |
226 | 00:29:53 --> 00:29:57 | and you think that it's safe to touch that handle on that pot, you don't |
227 | 00:29:57 --> 00:30:02 | really know. And like a child. You, I've had this happen to me and my child. My |
228 | 00:30:02 --> 00:30:06 | children have done this too. They reach up and they touch something and they get |
229 | 00:30:06 --> 00:30:10 | burned. But they don't ever do that ever again. But you don't get that luxury. |
230 | 00:30:10 --> 00:30:14 | Sometimes in trading, sometimes you can blow the account, and you may not be |
231 | 00:30:14 --> 00:30:22 | able to trade again until you fix what was required to restore all that. So |
232 | 00:30:22 --> 00:30:27 | demanding, uh, clarity and what you're looking for, for the setups, and just |
233 | 00:30:27 --> 00:30:33 | letting it go, just let it go, which is what an adult perspective would be. I |
234 | 00:30:33 --> 00:30:38 | want to grab that pot and turn it around here so I can and take a look and see |
235 | 00:30:38 --> 00:30:43 | what's inside this pot. An adult would say, where's that potholder at? Let me |
236 | 00:30:43 --> 00:30:46 | grab that, because I ain't trying to get burned here, and then I can find out |
237 | 00:30:46 --> 00:30:51 | what I want to see. What are they doing? They're deferring their interest, being |
238 | 00:30:51 --> 00:30:55 | satisfied with protection Well, in trading price action when there's really |
239 | 00:30:55 --> 00:31:00 | nothing going on yet that is all that exciting. These are the things I do. I |
240 | 00:31:00 --> 00:31:04 | wait and I demand price, give me what I would rather see. And that's |
241 | 00:31:04 --> 00:31:08 | unfortunately, a skill set that wasn't there in the beginning, from like I was |
242 | 00:31:08 --> 00:31:12 | impulsive, reckless and fearing I was going To miss everything. |
243 | 00:31:19 --> 00:31:21 | Don't make sense. Don't do it. |
244 | 00:31:42 --> 00:32:06 | You Daniel's hearing the snap of the water bottle, thinking, bro, I mailed |
245 | 00:32:06 --> 00:32:10 | you a Yeti and you're still drinking out of the water bottle. I was short on |
246 | 00:32:10 --> 00:32:13 | time. Okay, I had to hurry up and get things set up. All |
247 | 00:32:22 --> 00:32:27 | right. So now think about what we've had so far this morning, large range, gap |
248 | 00:32:27 --> 00:32:34 | opening. That's this price here from previous days. Opening, I'm sorry, |
249 | 00:32:34 --> 00:32:39 | previous settlement daily on Friday, we had a short term high form here, a short |
250 | 00:32:39 --> 00:32:44 | term high formed here, short term high formed here, and once more, up here. |
251 | 00:32:44 --> 00:32:50 | Whenever price is doing that, it's usually indicative of them engineering |
252 | 00:32:50 --> 00:32:54 | liquidity, even though the moves aren't as pronounced as I'd prefer them to be. |
253 | 00:32:55 --> 00:32:59 | That could be very much what we're seeing here, where by creating these |
254 | 00:32:59 --> 00:33:04 | little, tiny short term highs. Everybody wants to fill the gap. I mean, that's |
255 | 00:33:04 --> 00:33:07 | that's trading one on one. If you know anything about trading, the opening |
256 | 00:33:07 --> 00:33:13 | session of the very few minutes of trading, the gaps, they have a magnetic |
257 | 00:33:13 --> 00:33:18 | effect on price action, but not all the time, not all the time. They can stay |
258 | 00:33:18 --> 00:33:24 | open for days. It could, it could leave that gap entirely open for days. This |
259 | 00:33:24 --> 00:33:29 | because there's a gap doesn't mean it's 100% probability that's going to fill |
260 | 00:33:30 --> 00:33:33 | it. But what I like to see is if it's doing things like this, where it creates |
261 | 00:33:33 --> 00:33:38 | highs, and they keep taking those highs, but it's not really running aggressively |
262 | 00:33:38 --> 00:33:47 | and showing big amounts of price runs, it's just going enough to take out the |
263 | 00:33:47 --> 00:33:52 | previous highs, going just not take out previous highs. So to me, when I see |
264 | 00:33:52 --> 00:33:57 | that stuff, I think that Okay, someone is taking the other side of that high |
265 | 00:33:57 --> 00:34:03 | being taken out. And when I see those types of things forming in price action, |
266 | 00:34:03 --> 00:34:09 | I start telling myself, if this is what I think it is, then it should start to |
267 | 00:34:09 --> 00:34:14 | show speed after taking the the most recent swing high, which is this one |
268 | 00:34:14 --> 00:34:19 | here. We're a little bit deeper inside of that weekly inversion fair value gap. |
269 | 00:34:19 --> 00:34:24 | So I'm waiting to see, do I get that strong drop down? Because I don't want |
270 | 00:34:25 --> 00:34:28 | to sell into these highs here. Like, I don't, I don't personally want to do |
271 | 00:34:28 --> 00:34:30 | that, because they could just keep building this and building this and |
272 | 00:34:30 --> 00:34:33 | building this, and I don't think we're going to be here later in the week, |
273 | 00:34:34 --> 00:34:43 | like, I think we could be lower. So the absence of any kind of economic data |
274 | 00:34:43 --> 00:34:46 | Monday and Tuesday, and then you have that big storm of volatility that's |
275 | 00:34:46 --> 00:34:52 | going to come with the PPI and CPI number where, like, you can't safely |
276 | 00:34:52 --> 00:34:57 | trade them in advance because they're wild, like they're immediate repricing, |
277 | 00:34:57 --> 00:35:02 | and they're aggressive, and they can hurt you. Very, very, very bad. If |
278 | 00:35:02 --> 00:35:06 | you're offside on something like that, you're getting crushed. And there's no |
279 | 00:35:06 --> 00:35:10 | helping, there's no saving you. It's just you're done for so it's better for |
280 | 00:35:10 --> 00:35:16 | that report to come out and then give it a few minutes, 1520 minutes, and then |
281 | 00:35:16 --> 00:35:22 | see what's left for liquidity or inefficiency. Here, I think what they're |
282 | 00:35:22 --> 00:35:25 | doing is they're just retracing it against what we saw on Friday. I don't |
283 | 00:35:25 --> 00:35:31 | think we're going to see the entire range of Friday overtaken a large pool |
284 | 00:35:31 --> 00:35:37 | of liquidity. Let's go into oops daily chart. I |
285 | 00:35:47 --> 00:35:53 | I see these lows here. It's an election year. I think we're gonna see a lot of |
286 | 00:35:53 --> 00:36:00 | volatility around the end of second half of October and then obviously going into |
287 | 00:36:00 --> 00:36:05 | the rest of the year. But I don't see us going back over top of Friday's range. |
288 | 00:36:06 --> 00:36:12 | There's no reason to do that, but we can dig deeper into this weekly inversion |
289 | 00:36:12 --> 00:36:16 | fair value gap, which you see here. This is |
290 | 00:36:22 --> 00:36:28 | it's a separation between this candlestick low, this candlestick high. |
291 | 00:36:28 --> 00:36:33 | So it's this inside of this. After dropping a lot on Friday, it's it's |
292 | 00:36:33 --> 00:36:36 | reasonable to anticipate a retracement on Monday morning, like that. It's |
293 | 00:36:37 --> 00:36:40 | reasonable to anticipate there's going to be a large range gap opening, higher |
294 | 00:36:40 --> 00:36:45 | or premium gap opening. That's normal. That's a normal expectation for someone |
295 | 00:36:45 --> 00:36:50 | that's been studying and and is familiar with price action. But you have to be |
296 | 00:36:50 --> 00:36:54 | cautious, because this is a lot of range just to get to the midpoint of that, |
297 | 00:36:54 --> 00:37:01 | which is here. So it's trading a 791, it could trade another 100 points higher. |
298 | 00:37:01 --> 00:37:05 | And I don't want to try to be aggressive and try to sell short, because I think |
299 | 00:37:05 --> 00:37:09 | I'm seeing, Oh, they ran, buy, stop, so now it's going to reject lower. I got to |
300 | 00:37:09 --> 00:37:15 | see other things. And when I'm watching how prices are creating these short term |
301 | 00:37:15 --> 00:37:20 | highs, I'm weighing out, how does it deliver after it does it? Is it? Is it |
302 | 00:37:20 --> 00:37:23 | quickly, trying to get away from it, because if it's not, then it's probably |
303 | 00:37:23 --> 00:37:26 | going to keep pressing higher. And you don't want to try to sell short on a day |
304 | 00:37:26 --> 00:37:30 | where it's just, even though there's a large range gap opening, and everybody |
305 | 00:37:30 --> 00:37:34 | wants to see the gap fill like that's the natural tendency for people that |
306 | 00:37:34 --> 00:37:38 | want to trade or day trade. They they want to see this gap fill in. They want |
307 | 00:37:38 --> 00:37:45 | to see that. But what if it doesn't and you just keep trying to sell short? I've |
308 | 00:37:45 --> 00:37:49 | done that as a 20 year old. I did a lot of that in the bond market. When I |
309 | 00:37:49 --> 00:37:49 | started buying |
310 | 00:37:59 --> 00:38:08 | hydrate, it's caught that mute button just in time. Had to sneeze, sorry. |
311 | 00:38:14 --> 00:38:20 | So one of the best things you can learn how to do Caleb is to just sit still. |
312 | 00:38:20 --> 00:38:25 | Learn to just be very, very still. Don't, don't try to rush to do |
313 | 00:38:25 --> 00:38:34 | something. You make more money doing little or less, and you certainly keep |
314 | 00:38:34 --> 00:38:41 | profits longer by doing less. Doesn't sound like it should be like that, But |
315 | 00:38:41 --> 00:38:43 | that's exactly what it's that's the truth. |
316 | 00:39:02 --> 00:39:15 | I Okay, I like what we're seeing here. So we had this high, take out that one, |
317 | 00:39:15 --> 00:39:19 | and this high here failed. We broke lower below here, and then we're seeing |
318 | 00:39:19 --> 00:39:22 | the bodies even on the 15 second chart, respect the lower portion of that |
319 | 00:39:22 --> 00:39:25 | inversion. That inversion fair value gap. So that takes my attention back |
320 | 00:39:25 --> 00:39:27 | into the one minute chart. |
321 | 00:39:36 --> 00:39:44 | Learning to manage the fear of missing out is like it's it's hard, folks like, |
322 | 00:39:44 --> 00:39:48 | it is hard. There's really no way around it that makes it easier or faster. You |
323 | 00:39:49 --> 00:39:52 | just got to sit out here and watch price action. And even if you can't watch it |
324 | 00:39:52 --> 00:39:57 | live, you pay for it. Like I use Camtasia by TechSmith. I've used them |
325 | 00:39:57 --> 00:40:06 | since 2000 i. 12 when I first started making videos. I think it's an easy |
326 | 00:40:06 --> 00:40:10 | program to use, and if you want to record price action. I mean, obviously, |
327 | 00:40:10 --> 00:40:13 | while I'm live streaming, you can, you can look at what I'm showing you here, |
328 | 00:40:13 --> 00:40:18 | but eventually you're going to want to do this on your own and have a log of |
329 | 00:40:18 --> 00:40:25 | your own charts. I'm watching the wick here, the midpoint of that I'm watching, |
330 | 00:40:25 --> 00:40:34 | if there's any sensitivity around that, the the recording of the key time frames |
331 | 00:40:34 --> 00:40:39 | that you want to watch, having that information when you come home from |
332 | 00:40:39 --> 00:40:43 | work, or if you can't be awake, like when I'm doing the live streams, but you |
333 | 00:40:43 --> 00:40:47 | want to still learn how to do this, there's nothing better than watching the |
334 | 00:40:47 --> 00:40:54 | actual candlesticks paint and create the the full range, like every fluctuation |
335 | 00:40:54 --> 00:40:59 | of every single price tick you need to see that you cannot. And I mean this |
336 | 00:40:59 --> 00:41:04 | wholeheartedly. I know some of you just love that Market Replay. That Market |
337 | 00:41:04 --> 00:41:09 | Replay is like a mirror, meaning that when you look in the mirror and you look |
338 | 00:41:09 --> 00:41:13 | at yourself, you think you see what everyone else sees. We don't see that. |
339 | 00:41:13 --> 00:41:18 | We see the and then when you see a reflection of your reflection in a |
340 | 00:41:18 --> 00:41:21 | mirror, that means the actual perspective that everyone around you |
341 | 00:41:21 --> 00:41:24 | sees. It's a little shocking. All of a sudden you discover your nose is a |
342 | 00:41:24 --> 00:41:27 | little bit crooked. One ear looks a little bit lower or higher than the |
343 | 00:41:27 --> 00:41:31 | other. It's like, what is going on here? But that's how everyone's always saw |
344 | 00:41:31 --> 00:41:36 | you. But you see yourself in the mirror as you know the reflections. Image Well, |
345 | 00:41:36 --> 00:41:42 | Mark replays, the same thing you're looking at price with only two |
346 | 00:41:42 --> 00:41:48 | fluctuations. Watch and see. When you look at trading views Market Replay, it |
347 | 00:41:48 --> 00:41:53 | shows you one tick and then boom, is settlement, one tick, and boom and |
348 | 00:41:53 --> 00:41:59 | settlement. So it's too wooden, it's too stilted. It's, it's, it's not, it's not |
349 | 00:41:59 --> 00:42:07 | going to give you the same experience, which is necessary, because if you train |
350 | 00:42:07 --> 00:42:13 | yourself to look at these very, very static candlestick formations that are |
351 | 00:42:13 --> 00:42:17 | seen by watching it go through Market Replay, it gives you a false sense of |
352 | 00:42:17 --> 00:42:22 | security, and you don't have the ability to see when the candles are going up and |
353 | 00:42:22 --> 00:42:26 | down, up and down, and every time it creates it looks like it's finished, it |
354 | 00:42:26 --> 00:42:30 | ain't going to make a bigger portion of the camera, and then it does so you |
355 | 00:42:30 --> 00:42:35 | don't have that effect in Market Replay. So the best thing you can do is record |
356 | 00:42:35 --> 00:42:40 | your your charts with live price feed. It's a little bit of an investment. And |
357 | 00:42:40 --> 00:42:42 | I know some people are saying, well, I can't afford that. Then you can't trade. |
358 | 00:42:42 --> 00:42:46 | You can't trade. I mean, I don't know how else to say it, but that's just the |
359 | 00:42:46 --> 00:42:50 | way it is. Then you can't trade. Because if you can't afford to get the resources |
360 | 00:42:50 --> 00:42:53 | and tools, you don't hate me or anyone else that tells you that you're not |
361 | 00:42:53 --> 00:42:56 | going to be equipped to do it. You know, I would want to be told that, like you |
362 | 00:42:56 --> 00:43:00 | just you're going to have to avail yourself certain resources before you do |
363 | 00:43:00 --> 00:43:04 | it. If you can't, then why are you trying to risk money? What kind of money |
364 | 00:43:04 --> 00:43:07 | are we talking about? Because you can't pay for the resources. What are you |
365 | 00:43:07 --> 00:43:11 | scraping by just to get the funded account, challenges paid for, and just |
366 | 00:43:11 --> 00:43:14 | hoping on a wing and a prayer that you're going to be profitable? You're |
367 | 00:43:14 --> 00:43:17 | already starting the game off wrong, like you're you're building it up to |
368 | 00:43:17 --> 00:43:21 | something that's going to have to be an Olympic feat, and then you're wondering |
369 | 00:43:21 --> 00:43:24 | why you're struggling, and it's why you're rushing, and you're feeling FOMO, |
370 | 00:43:24 --> 00:43:28 | I have to do something because I need this to work. I can't afford to trade. |
371 | 00:43:28 --> 00:43:33 | That's really what what you're saying. So if you can't afford to trade, then |
372 | 00:43:33 --> 00:43:37 | you can't afford success. That's that's what you're saying. You don't want to |
373 | 00:43:38 --> 00:43:42 | either do something to afford the resources and the time invested in |
374 | 00:43:42 --> 00:43:48 | learning how to do it correctly, versus someone that is willing to do that. |
375 | 00:43:49 --> 00:43:53 | That's what makes this hard, especially as an educator, as a mentor, because |
376 | 00:43:53 --> 00:43:58 | students want to hear you're going to be successful and don't take no for an |
377 | 00:43:58 --> 00:44:02 | answer. Sometimes it's going to be no for a lot of you, and it's going to be |
378 | 00:44:02 --> 00:44:08 | outside my capability to to assist you or yours for the time being. It doesn't |
379 | 00:44:08 --> 00:44:11 | mean it's forever, but some people in other countries just don't have the |
380 | 00:44:11 --> 00:44:17 | resources to do it, and I don't always have an answer for them, and they're |
381 | 00:44:17 --> 00:44:21 | always seeking somebody else that's going to promise them that, and ended up |
382 | 00:44:21 --> 00:44:28 | finding that it's not not happening for them. That's unfortunately the realities |
383 | 00:44:28 --> 00:44:29 | of this stuff. |
384 | 00:44:37 --> 00:44:41 | So anyway, well, saying earlier, as we were breaking down here, and we're |
385 | 00:44:41 --> 00:44:45 | working off of this. I wanted to go back to that one minute chart. I wanted to |
386 | 00:44:45 --> 00:44:51 | see how we were going to use this candle member that high, that low here, didn't |
387 | 00:44:51 --> 00:44:56 | even get down to it. So we weren't even get down to the body that can't or even |
388 | 00:44:56 --> 00:45:00 | make them attempt to go below it. We do have cell side building. I. Hmm, believe |
389 | 00:45:01 --> 00:45:10 | these relative e colos here, here, large liquidity resting below here. But now |
390 | 00:45:10 --> 00:45:17 | imagine if you were trying to sell short, thinking it okay, it's taking the |
391 | 00:45:17 --> 00:45:22 | stops. It's taking the stops. Now it's really taking the stops, but that gap |
392 | 00:45:22 --> 00:45:27 | it's got to fill. It's got to fill it. I hurt myself a lot doing that. Eventually |
393 | 00:45:27 --> 00:45:33 | you learn that this is not something. I am not willing to buy it. This thing can |
394 | 00:45:33 --> 00:45:40 | go up to 18,900 today. I don't care. I don't care. I'm not willing to pay that |
395 | 00:45:40 --> 00:45:44 | price, because if I pay that price, am I going to be comfortable holding that |
396 | 00:45:44 --> 00:45:48 | position? I'm not going to be hold I'm not going to be comfortable holding that |
397 | 00:45:48 --> 00:45:51 | position because it goes against the very principle that I trade on. I have |
398 | 00:45:51 --> 00:45:59 | to buy discount. This is an expensive premium price in an environment that is |
399 | 00:45:59 --> 00:46:04 | being manipulated because we have two big, impactful news drivers, the PPI and |
400 | 00:46:04 --> 00:46:08 | the CPI number. And for a new student, hearing that, it sounds like, well, |
401 | 00:46:08 --> 00:46:12 | you're, you're just making excuses because you can't, you can't buy I can, |
402 | 00:46:12 --> 00:46:18 | I can tell you where it created the setups, and you can see them yourself. |
403 | 00:46:18 --> 00:46:22 | I'm not willing to take that trade. And I get a lot of that question, a lot |
404 | 00:46:22 --> 00:46:25 | like, how do you filter out the times where you want to be a buyer or seller |
405 | 00:46:25 --> 00:46:28 | when prices is doing certain things, like, for instance, it opens, and this |
406 | 00:46:28 --> 00:46:31 | keeps inching a little bit higher, inching a little bit higher. I'm not |
407 | 00:46:31 --> 00:46:37 | willing to take that, but I'm willing to wait for the ones that work, that yield |
408 | 00:46:37 --> 00:46:40 | $100,000 in selling short on the one minute high the day, and trading all the |
409 | 00:46:40 --> 00:46:45 | way down to a deep discount. That's the stuff I'm willing to wait for. I'm |
410 | 00:46:45 --> 00:46:51 | waiting for very surgical, precise things to align, and if they're not |
411 | 00:46:51 --> 00:46:55 | there, I'm not here to try to do something for the sake of impressing |
412 | 00:46:55 --> 00:47:01 | every live stream like that. That's not I'm teaching my son. That's this is not |
413 | 00:47:01 --> 00:47:04 | a I'm going to show you how smart I am that that's not that is the trade |
414 | 00:47:04 --> 00:47:08 | executions videos. That's what they wrote, that they're for, that that's |
415 | 00:47:08 --> 00:47:12 | what that's for. But more in here watching price action. And I'm teaching, |
416 | 00:47:12 --> 00:47:17 | I'm trying to teach you how to manage yourself, manage your expectations, and |
417 | 00:47:17 --> 00:47:20 | in fear of missing moves, there's nothing to fear. There's literally |
418 | 00:47:20 --> 00:47:24 | nothing to fear. There's no regret about missing any kind of move if it doesn't |
419 | 00:47:24 --> 00:47:28 | make sense and if it's too expensive, why buy it? If it doesn't make sense and |
420 | 00:47:28 --> 00:47:33 | it's too cheap, Why sell short. It's very simple logic. It's not complicated, |
421 | 00:47:33 --> 00:47:40 | but that's what I live by. I live by that principle. And anyone else out |
422 | 00:47:40 --> 00:47:44 | there could be taking trades. And I'm sure I have students in here. I have |
423 | 00:47:44 --> 00:47:48 | people probably on the other end of of what I teach, that's outside of what I |
424 | 00:47:48 --> 00:47:53 | teach, basically. And they may be doing something else, but you didn't see them |
425 | 00:47:53 --> 00:47:57 | take $100,000 last Friday, and you ain't go see them repeat as much as they want |
426 | 00:47:57 --> 00:48:01 | to say. So in the comment section I was on Twitter, not one of them said, |
427 | 00:48:01 --> 00:48:07 | here's, here's where I'm going to do it. It didn't, didn't happen. Hush on |
428 | 00:48:07 --> 00:48:15 | Twitter. Patrick Whelan was the only one talking. You wanted that engagement. How |
429 | 00:48:15 --> 00:48:18 | you doing? Pat who hope Hawaii's lovely today. You |
430 | 00:48:35 --> 00:48:41 | Is there a time at which I would say I'm not interested in not taking any trades, |
431 | 00:48:43 --> 00:48:47 | given the current like the way it is, right here, we had a large gap opening, |
432 | 00:48:47 --> 00:48:52 | and it says digging into that weekly inversion, fair value gap at 11 o'clock, |
433 | 00:48:52 --> 00:48:55 | 1115 I would usually pull the plug if I don't see something that makes sense, |
434 | 00:48:55 --> 00:49:02 | where it starts to break down, because I'm my interest is this. I only need it |
435 | 00:49:05 --> 00:49:09 | to get into this area here. I don't even need it to get down to the mid gap. Like |
436 | 00:49:09 --> 00:49:12 | I don't need that because I'm certain that if we can get below this low here, |
437 | 00:49:13 --> 00:49:16 | it will give me a fair value gap. It'll give me a bearish over block. It'll give |
438 | 00:49:16 --> 00:49:21 | me a small bearish breaker. It'll give me a institutional overflow entry drill. |
439 | 00:49:21 --> 00:49:25 | It's something that I can key off of either on a one minute chart or a 15 |
440 | 00:49:25 --> 00:49:31 | second chart. And that difference between this candle is low to three |
441 | 00:49:31 --> 00:49:36 | quarters or half of the distance between the upper quadrant and lower quadrant of |
442 | 00:49:36 --> 00:49:41 | the opening range gap. That's what I'm sitting comfortably waiting for. And if |
443 | 00:49:41 --> 00:49:45 | it teaches, if it keeps going higher away from me, fine, I don't care. I'm |
444 | 00:49:45 --> 00:49:51 | not losing any money. I don't have any anxiety. I have zero anxiety. My pulse |
445 | 00:49:51 --> 00:49:57 | is literally probably 60 beats or lower. I have no no sense of urgency at all, |
446 | 00:49:58 --> 00:50:04 | none i. And your trading needs to be like that. If you're watching price, or |
447 | 00:50:04 --> 00:50:10 | if you're trading and you're hearing yourself or you're feeling yourself a |
448 | 00:50:10 --> 00:50:15 | lot of sympathetic sigh, you're doing all that. What you're doing it that's |
449 | 00:50:15 --> 00:50:22 | your body's involuntary response to stress, and when you want to bring |
450 | 00:50:22 --> 00:50:26 | yourself down real quick, if you're feeling stressed, find a way to find |
451 | 00:50:26 --> 00:50:35 | your self into a yawn. And if you're not physically doing a yawn, pantomime one |
452 | 00:50:35 --> 00:50:41 | as best you can stretch, and you stretch, stretch your arms out and do a |
453 | 00:50:41 --> 00:50:48 | yawn. What that does? It immediately resets your nervous system. Perfect |
454 | 00:50:48 --> 00:50:52 | exam. I see all the time with my dogs. If you have a dog, watch them. Now, let |
455 | 00:50:52 --> 00:50:56 | me keep Let me teach you something here, I'd like to see it break down in here. |
456 | 00:50:56 --> 00:51:03 | Now, this turn, I'm going to see it make an attempt to get through that, and then |
457 | 00:51:03 --> 00:51:06 | if it does, we'll watch and see if we can get into here. Because this is the, |
458 | 00:51:06 --> 00:51:09 | this is the area where I'm hunting. I don't care about being all the way up in |
459 | 00:51:09 --> 00:51:15 | here. It's not necessary. But if you have a dog, and the dog goes to its bed, |
460 | 00:51:15 --> 00:51:20 | or wherever it wants to rest, watch what it'll do. It'll lay down, and then it |
461 | 00:51:20 --> 00:51:29 | will always do this. Every single time the dog will do this, it'll go and it's |
462 | 00:51:29 --> 00:51:33 | three, four seconds, it's asleep. Immediately. What's it doing? It's |
463 | 00:51:33 --> 00:51:36 | resetting its nervous system. It doesn't know it wants to do it. It's just been |
464 | 00:51:36 --> 00:51:43 | created by God to do that. It's designed to do that. Well, when we're tired, what |
465 | 00:51:43 --> 00:51:47 | are we doing? We're forcing ourselves to stay awake, and then what is our body |
466 | 00:51:47 --> 00:51:56 | doing? As a response to that, you yawn, just that I already feel even more |
467 | 00:51:56 --> 00:52:00 | relaxed. If you don't believe me, try it. If you're having anxiety, if you |
468 | 00:52:00 --> 00:52:04 | feel like you're missing something, you're having FOMO stretch yourself. |
469 | 00:52:04 --> 00:52:09 | Think about how good it feels to yawn. It's very relaxing. It's satisfying. But |
470 | 00:52:09 --> 00:52:13 | what's actually happening is is your vagus nerve is being stimulated, which |
471 | 00:52:13 --> 00:52:16 | is a nerve that runs down from your brain behind your ear, down inside your |
472 | 00:52:16 --> 00:52:20 | neck, and it lays literally like a web across all of your major organs. So when |
473 | 00:52:20 --> 00:52:23 | you're stressed, it affects all your major organs, and that's why you feel |
474 | 00:52:23 --> 00:52:27 | terrible when you're in anxiety attack or panic, and then you start feeling the |
475 | 00:52:27 --> 00:52:30 | body symptoms that cortisol, which is the chemical that's released after |
476 | 00:52:30 --> 00:52:34 | adrenaline, is in your bloodstream, and the whole time, if you don't have coping |
477 | 00:52:34 --> 00:52:39 | mechanisms to counteract that, you're not going to trade with a clear mind. |
478 | 00:52:39 --> 00:52:42 | You're not going to be able to manage your emotions. You're not gonna be able |
479 | 00:52:42 --> 00:52:45 | to manage your the physiological stress that you're placing yourself, and if you |
480 | 00:52:45 --> 00:52:49 | continuously stay in that, you will eventually have heart attacks. You'll |
481 | 00:52:49 --> 00:52:52 | have you'll have strokes, you'll have things that are gonna make you |
482 | 00:52:52 --> 00:53:03 | physically ill. So you have to relax, take a deep breath, and then when you |
483 | 00:53:03 --> 00:53:07 | think your lungs are completely full, try to suck in a little Bit more air. So |
484 | 00:53:07 --> 00:53:08 | it's like, |
485 | 00:53:22 --> 00:53:27 | that's the enthes at least twice the amount of time that you breathe in. |
486 | 00:53:27 --> 00:53:30 | Slowly, your exhale has to be twice as long, and it's hard to do it in the |
487 | 00:53:30 --> 00:53:34 | beginning. If you're having a panic attack, it's really hard to do, but that |
488 | 00:53:34 --> 00:53:38 | will immediately reset your nervous system and cancel out your anxiety |
489 | 00:53:38 --> 00:53:47 | attack. When I was having bouts with high blood pressure, that was a |
490 | 00:53:47 --> 00:53:52 | physiological response to having a vertigo attack. I only had one attack of |
491 | 00:53:52 --> 00:53:57 | it, but I was thinking, Am I stroking out because my dad's had strokes, and |
492 | 00:53:57 --> 00:54:02 | his father died of a stroke. Heart disease in my family, and diabetes is in |
493 | 00:54:02 --> 00:54:06 | my family. My blood sugar's fine. My blood work is perfect. My heart rate is |
494 | 00:54:06 --> 00:54:11 | like an athlete. My blood pressure. When I was contemplating I was going through |
495 | 00:54:11 --> 00:54:15 | something that was leading to that, my blood pressure was skyrocketing high |
496 | 00:54:15 --> 00:54:21 | like dangerous levels. But then I remembered that okay, if I go to the |
497 | 00:54:21 --> 00:54:24 | emergency room and they do all the checks and balances on me, and |
498 | 00:54:24 --> 00:54:31 | everything is as it should be, CAT scans, EKGs, like everything, it did all |
499 | 00:54:31 --> 00:54:36 | the work. And literally, the nurse says, I've never seen anybody with blood work, |
500 | 00:54:36 --> 00:54:42 | that's perfect. And you're 52 I said, I will be 52 but that was, that's what I |
501 | 00:54:42 --> 00:54:46 | needed to hear. And I didn't know what I was having was a vertical attack, and I |
502 | 00:54:47 --> 00:54:51 | expected that to happen again, is what that was. So I was living in anxiety, |
503 | 00:54:51 --> 00:54:56 | expecting that next vertigo attack. That never came, but I've learned how to now |
504 | 00:54:56 --> 00:55:00 | manage it. Should I have another episode of it? My mom had one of them when. He |
505 | 00:55:00 --> 00:55:03 | was younger and never had another one. But it happened after me doing my |
506 | 00:55:03 --> 00:55:08 | inversion table. I did multiple sessions of going inverted, and I think I |
507 | 00:55:08 --> 00:55:11 | probably released one of those calcium deposits from your inner ear to |
508 | 00:55:11 --> 00:55:16 | everybody has, and that's what caused it. So I haven't inverted myself since |
509 | 00:55:16 --> 00:55:21 | then, and you know, hopefully, because I won't plan on doing it anytime in the |
510 | 00:55:21 --> 00:55:30 | future. I'm watching the breaker here, the high, the low and the high, the the |
511 | 00:55:30 --> 00:55:36 | anxiety of wondering, Am I? Am I feeling the effects of being older? And it's my |
512 | 00:55:36 --> 00:55:40 | body really, because I wore, I wore my body down a lot with stress as a younger |
513 | 00:55:40 --> 00:55:44 | man, and that stuff has a residual effect that comes and pays dividends |
514 | 00:55:44 --> 00:55:48 | later on. So I'm teaching this to you now because you may not be thinking that |
515 | 00:55:48 --> 00:55:55 | it's, it's something you need to worry about, that you do. And by being able to |
516 | 00:55:55 --> 00:56:00 | reset instantly, God's given us the ability to immediately reset our nervous |
517 | 00:56:00 --> 00:56:05 | system. And once I started applying all that again, my blood pressure would be |
518 | 00:56:05 --> 00:56:17 | 170 680 over 120 and then five minute breathing of slow inhales, when you feel |
519 | 00:56:17 --> 00:56:22 | like your inhales at its fullest capacity, that try to suck in a little |
520 | 00:56:22 --> 00:56:28 | bit more in and hold it four seconds and then release it at least. It has to be |
521 | 00:56:28 --> 00:56:32 | at least twice as long as it took you to inhale and it's it's not easy to do. It |
522 | 00:56:32 --> 00:56:36 | feels like you ain't breathing enough, but you really are all right. We're |
523 | 00:56:36 --> 00:56:37 | digging down into that low now you |
524 | 00:56:43 --> 00:56:47 | and if you take your time when your exhales, if your exhales are slower than |
525 | 00:56:47 --> 00:56:54 | your inhales, you're active. You're activating the side of your nervous |
526 | 00:56:54 --> 00:57:00 | system that allows you to relax. It's real easy for a human being to activate |
527 | 00:57:00 --> 00:57:05 | its fight or flight. Stress. Someone comes up, you think they're going to |
528 | 00:57:05 --> 00:57:08 | punch you, or if you get hit, if you have an accident, something scary |
529 | 00:57:08 --> 00:57:12 | happens to you. Immediately, your pulse goes up, you get an adrenaline |
530 | 00:57:12 --> 00:57:17 | injection. And the Creator gave us that ability to be able to fight or flight, |
531 | 00:57:17 --> 00:57:25 | run away or fight your your your senses are heightened because of the |
532 | 00:57:25 --> 00:57:28 | adrenaline. You're ready to use more strength and reserves in your muscles |
533 | 00:57:29 --> 00:57:34 | than you usually call for so it's so easy to get in that state. And if you |
534 | 00:57:34 --> 00:57:37 | live in that state as a trader that is constantly just trying to chase |
535 | 00:57:37 --> 00:57:40 | something because you don't put the work in trying to make a model try to |
536 | 00:57:41 --> 00:57:45 | discipline yourself, you will condition yourself to always go into that fight or |
537 | 00:57:45 --> 00:57:51 | flight, feeling that sensation of, I am in I'm in an emergency when you're not, |
538 | 00:57:51 --> 00:57:54 | you're tricking yourself, telling yourself you're always in an emergency. |
539 | 00:57:54 --> 00:57:58 | And you wonder why you're always stressed out. But that goes away |
540 | 00:57:58 --> 00:58:04 | instantaneously once you understand how to control your breath, and your breath |
541 | 00:58:04 --> 00:58:10 | controls your pulse, and your pulse controls adrenaline and then cortisol, |
542 | 00:58:11 --> 00:58:14 | if cortisol releases in your body, you got about 20 to 30 minutes before that |
543 | 00:58:14 --> 00:58:18 | stuff burns off. You'll have fidgetiness, you'll have nervousness and |
544 | 00:58:18 --> 00:58:22 | shakes, maybe you'll feel like you're sick to your stomach and you just don't |
545 | 00:58:22 --> 00:58:25 | know what to do, and you feel like you're going to pass out. All these |
546 | 00:58:25 --> 00:58:29 | symptoms are a response to cortisol being in your body. But anxiousness |
547 | 00:58:29 --> 00:58:34 | starts with the adrenaline, and the way you avoid having that ever occur in your |
548 | 00:58:34 --> 00:58:37 | trading is having a model knowing what to what are you looking for? What are |
549 | 00:58:37 --> 00:58:40 | you waiting for? If you don't know what you're waiting for, you're waiting for a |
550 | 00:58:40 --> 00:58:43 | jump scare. Remember the big trend that used to be on YouTube, all these jump |
551 | 00:58:43 --> 00:58:48 | scare videos. My kids love them. And I thought I said, you know, you love it |
552 | 00:58:48 --> 00:58:52 | right now, but when you get into the real world and you're expecting the the |
553 | 00:58:52 --> 00:58:58 | things that happen in this world to be smooth, and you have flat tires, a |
554 | 00:58:58 --> 00:59:01 | breakup in a relationship, a health scare, you know, you won't appreciate |
555 | 00:59:01 --> 00:59:05 | those things. Man, it's a carnival ride right now. But in trading, you don't |
556 | 00:59:05 --> 00:59:10 | want a carnival ride. You want it to be boring, absolutely boring. I'm watching |
557 | 00:59:10 --> 00:59:17 | the 15 second fair value got here. I'd like to see it stay heavy and all that. |
558 | 00:59:17 --> 00:59:18 | I |
559 | 00:59:23 --> 00:59:29 | but you have the ability to reset your nervous system, and it cancels out any |
560 | 00:59:29 --> 00:59:34 | anxiety, because you have to first stop the pumping of the adrenaline, and you |
561 | 00:59:34 --> 00:59:38 | have to stop the cortisol releasing in your bloodstream. Cortisol is your |
562 | 00:59:38 --> 00:59:43 | stress hormone. You keep pumping that into your body every single trading day, |
563 | 00:59:43 --> 00:59:45 | you're going to have heart disease. You're going to have hardening of the |
564 | 00:59:45 --> 00:59:49 | arteries, because when Cortisol is released into your bloodstream, the way |
565 | 00:59:49 --> 00:59:53 | your body repairs it is it lays down cholesterol inside your arteries and |
566 | 00:59:53 --> 00:59:57 | your blood vessels. And to keep doing that, and on top of that, you eat |
567 | 00:59:57 --> 01:00:03 | unhealthy Chipotle you. All this fast food garbage you don't eat clean, you |
568 | 01:00:03 --> 01:00:08 | are going to have health deteriorate, and you want to be able to sit here |
569 | 01:00:08 --> 01:00:13 | comfortably and calmly, not worrying about what what you should be doing, |
570 | 01:00:13 --> 01:00:17 | because you should, you should already know what you're doing, waiting for a |
571 | 01:00:17 --> 01:00:21 | setup that's based on logic that you've worked on and framed without any |
572 | 01:00:21 --> 01:00:26 | necessity about being right. Being right is not what my goal is. I'm not teaching |
573 | 01:00:26 --> 01:00:31 | you to be right. I said I saw somebody on Twitter give this real long, |
574 | 01:00:31 --> 01:00:35 | bloviated explanation or expose about what they think about I'm teaching, or |
575 | 01:00:35 --> 01:00:40 | how I trade, or how I try to cultivate the mindsets of my students. I'm not |
576 | 01:00:40 --> 01:00:44 | teaching you to be right. In fact, I've said the opposite. It's not important |
577 | 01:00:44 --> 01:00:48 | about being right. It's important to be in control of yourself, and it's |
578 | 01:00:48 --> 01:00:53 | important to know what your model is. Know it in a written form, know what it |
579 | 01:00:53 --> 01:00:57 | looks like graphically, like a diagram. What does it look like in price action? |
580 | 01:00:57 --> 01:01:00 | Draw it out. If you can't draw it out, then you don't know what it is. You |
581 | 01:01:00 --> 01:01:04 | can't recognize it, and it may not look exactly. Look exactly like it would in |
582 | 01:01:04 --> 01:01:07 | price action, but to someone that trades, we would understand exactly what |
583 | 01:01:07 --> 01:01:11 | that is. But someone that's not a trader wouldn't understand what you're drawing |
584 | 01:01:11 --> 01:01:15 | but controlling your breath and controlling your thoughts, if you're |
585 | 01:01:15 --> 01:01:18 | constantly telling yourself I'm going to miss a move, Oh man, I'm losing all the |
586 | 01:01:18 --> 01:01:20 | time. This isn't worth it. Why am I putting myself through this? You're |
587 | 01:01:20 --> 01:01:24 | basically telling yourself you're in an emergency. An emergency, and why are you |
588 | 01:01:24 --> 01:01:27 | surprised when you have adrenaline dumping you, and then you have cortisol |
589 | 01:01:27 --> 01:01:30 | release in you, and then you start feeling physical symptoms of a full |
590 | 01:01:30 --> 01:01:37 | blown panic attack? Trust me, if you never had a tang attack, it's a very |
591 | 01:01:37 --> 01:01:41 | scary feeling. But as soon as you know that it's just that, and it's not |
592 | 01:01:41 --> 01:01:46 | something like a medical emergency. You can immediately turn it off, and you |
593 | 01:01:46 --> 01:01:54 | have these these. The easiest way to stop it is slow your breath. Your |
594 | 01:01:54 --> 01:01:58 | exhales have to be at least twice the length and time that your inhales are. |
595 | 01:01:58 --> 01:02:05 | Slow it down. You can do things like box breathing, the best thing I do for me, |
596 | 01:02:05 --> 01:02:10 | and box breathing doesn't work for everybody, but I usually do a four to |
597 | 01:02:10 --> 01:02:13 | five seconds slow inhale, and then when I feel like I have my lungs at full |
598 | 01:02:13 --> 01:02:18 | capacity, I do that one more little sniff to get the last piece of empty |
599 | 01:02:18 --> 01:02:21 | space in my lungs, and I hold it for four seconds. And you first do it three |
600 | 01:02:21 --> 01:02:26 | times, you're there you go. That's what I'm looking for right there. Now we can |
601 | 01:02:26 --> 01:02:30 | watch below this low change that to |
602 | 01:02:38 --> 01:02:43 | we can see it over here on the two different time frames. So this line |
603 | 01:02:43 --> 01:02:48 | here, this blue line, is this line here on the 15 second chart over here, and |
604 | 01:02:48 --> 01:02:52 | this is the upper quadrant of the opening range gap. That's this over here |
605 | 01:02:52 --> 01:02:56 | on the one minute chart. You see that Isn't this good. This is good |
606 | 01:02:56 --> 01:02:59 | information. And there's no books out here with this stuff. They're not going |
607 | 01:02:59 --> 01:03:02 | to tie it together with trading and how to manage yourself. That's why I say |
608 | 01:03:02 --> 01:03:06 | that there's no, there's no good trade psychology book out there. As much as |
609 | 01:03:06 --> 01:03:09 | everybody loves Mark Douglas's book, it's good for what it is, but it |
610 | 01:03:09 --> 01:03:13 | doesn't. It doesn't it doesn't do it for you. Really, not, really not. It didn't |
611 | 01:03:13 --> 01:03:16 | do it for me. I say it that way. I think it's more, more fair statement for me to |
612 | 01:03:16 --> 01:03:23 | say it that way. And then we'll do we'll annotate the mid gap here. |
613 | 01:03:34 --> 01:03:38 | But stress and anxiety, you can turn that off immediately. Boom, just like |
614 | 01:03:38 --> 01:03:42 | that. It starts by controlling your breath and your thoughts. While you're |
615 | 01:03:42 --> 01:03:45 | slowing your breath down, you're thinking positive. You're reminding |
616 | 01:03:45 --> 01:03:49 | yourself that there is no there's no emergency, nothing's forcing you to take |
617 | 01:03:49 --> 01:03:52 | a trade today. You don't have to take a trade today. You don't have to do that. |
618 | 01:03:53 --> 01:03:56 | You don't have to trade every fluctuation. You don't have to do that. |
619 | 01:03:56 --> 01:04:01 | But you're telling yourself you do when you don't. So I would very like to see |
620 | 01:04:03 --> 01:04:09 | if it can touch that six oh 4.75 level, or get it. Not that it doesn't have to |
621 | 01:04:09 --> 01:04:14 | touch it, but if you notice that same six oh 4.75 level has a little gap in |
622 | 01:04:14 --> 01:04:18 | there on the 15 second chart. I'd like to see it bump this candle sticks high |
623 | 01:04:18 --> 01:04:23 | right here on the on that one, just to hit that and then see if we can roll |
624 | 01:04:23 --> 01:04:30 | over from that like we need to study the the effects of doing things that you |
625 | 01:04:30 --> 01:04:35 | don't fully understand how to do is a scary thing, and then we add to it that |
626 | 01:04:35 --> 01:04:40 | the embarrassment of not being right or losing money if you're wrong, the the |
627 | 01:04:40 --> 01:04:44 | peer pressure of other people saying you're not good enough, you're not the |
628 | 01:04:44 --> 01:04:48 | right sex to be trading. Only guys can do it good. You know, all these things |
629 | 01:04:48 --> 01:04:53 | can compound in your mind, and it can create and foster this self defeated |
630 | 01:04:53 --> 01:04:57 | mindset. And it's real easy to talk yourself out of a good thing and into a |
631 | 01:04:57 --> 01:05:01 | scary situation that really isn't scary, but you've. Convince yourself that it is |
632 | 01:05:02 --> 01:05:08 | and that headiness of fear and anxiety comes over top of you, and nobody as |
633 | 01:05:08 --> 01:05:13 | good as I am, I can't function if I lose my train of thought, if I get stressed |
634 | 01:05:13 --> 01:05:23 | out. Perfect example, 911 I was stuck in a huge position in the s, p, and I was |
635 | 01:05:23 --> 01:05:31 | teaching an individual how to trade through Internet Relay Chat. His name |
636 | 01:05:31 --> 01:05:37 | was George Lux, and he's a photographer. He lived in Virginia. I don't know if he |
637 | 01:05:37 --> 01:05:41 | still lives there now, but that's an inversion. I'm sorry, not inverse. I'd |
638 | 01:05:41 --> 01:05:44 | say institutional info entry trail right there on the one minute chart. |
639 | 01:05:50 --> 01:05:59 | I came back from taking my son Cody, to school, and when I came in, the TV had |
640 | 01:05:59 --> 01:06:03 | the airplane. First airplane had hit it. I thought it was a movie, and I wasn't |
641 | 01:06:03 --> 01:06:07 | upset by that, because I thought I was just watching commercial. And then when |
642 | 01:06:07 --> 01:06:13 | I watched the second plane hit, that was, that was my first real panic |
643 | 01:06:13 --> 01:06:18 | attack. I was like, Where are my kids? Where's my wife? Like, I wanted |
644 | 01:06:18 --> 01:06:23 | everybody home immediately, and I couldn't get out of they didn't open the |
645 | 01:06:23 --> 01:06:28 | market up that day. And I was stressed about that, and it was just a terrible |
646 | 01:06:28 --> 01:06:39 | feeling. I've had smaller incidents, or I bet a lot of money, and it didn't |
647 | 01:06:39 --> 01:06:43 | perform it like I wanted it to, or it moved like I would try to trade ahead of |
648 | 01:06:43 --> 01:06:46 | the CPI numbers and the PPI numbers and fomcs and the Non Farm Payroll. And I |
649 | 01:06:46 --> 01:06:50 | would do very large bets, not fearful of it at all. But then as soon as it would |
650 | 01:06:50 --> 01:06:55 | be repriced against me, I would that's that's gone, if the money's gone, and |
651 | 01:06:55 --> 01:07:00 | I'm dealing with that anxiety, that panic, and I would sit there and try to |
652 | 01:07:00 --> 01:07:06 | wrestle through it. And instead of saying, Okay, it's happened, I'm not |
653 | 01:07:06 --> 01:07:13 | dead, it's just money, and I did it wrong. So there is no emergency. It's |
654 | 01:07:13 --> 01:07:17 | just like anything else, you go to a doctor, you get a shot, not that shot |
655 | 01:07:17 --> 01:07:21 | that everybody's probably regretting now, but the point is, you get an |
656 | 01:07:21 --> 01:07:27 | injection of something, some kind of, you know, medicine you need. It only |
657 | 01:07:27 --> 01:07:33 | hurts for a second. But my wife, she has terrible anxiety around IVs and whatnot, |
658 | 01:07:33 --> 01:07:42 | and I have no anxiety over that stuff, the level of fear and FOMO that you're |
659 | 01:07:42 --> 01:07:47 | going to feel is going to be directly related to the expectations that you |
660 | 01:07:47 --> 01:07:54 | hold over yourself if you want extremely high output and results. And you're not |
661 | 01:07:54 --> 01:07:59 | equipped with a model. You're not equipped to have a well rounded model |
662 | 01:07:59 --> 01:08:03 | that you can anticipate seeing and forming. And you know when it usually |
663 | 01:08:03 --> 01:08:07 | forms. What time of day does it form? How does it behave in price action? If |
664 | 01:08:07 --> 01:08:11 | you don't have those things, your anxiety is going to be through the roof. |
665 | 01:08:12 --> 01:08:15 | And if you're good at hiding it, and you're on social media, you know that's |
666 | 01:08:15 --> 01:08:19 | terrible too, because you're lying to yourself. The people online, they not |
667 | 01:08:19 --> 01:08:26 | feel what you're feeling, but you're feeling so institutional overflow entry |
668 | 01:08:26 --> 01:08:32 | here on the one minute chart. Watch this little section right in here. It's all |
669 | 01:08:32 --> 01:08:37 | part of this move here. I'd like to see the second lower half of that keep price |
670 | 01:08:37 --> 01:08:42 | at bay, see if it stays heavy, and then we can see if it runs down into the mid |
671 | 01:08:42 --> 01:08:42 | gap. But if |
672 | 01:08:49 --> 01:08:55 | you want me to do a video, I can do a very short video on how to manage |
673 | 01:08:55 --> 01:09:02 | anxiety and stress while in trades or in trading. It's very, very useful |
674 | 01:09:02 --> 01:09:08 | information. I just don't, I don't have another person out there I can point to |
675 | 01:09:08 --> 01:09:13 | and say, go watch this guy or gal. It's a collection of things I learned things |
676 | 01:09:13 --> 01:09:20 | from a woman named Lucinda Bassett, attacking anxiety. I bought her her |
677 | 01:09:20 --> 01:09:24 | whole course, it was kind of expensive back in the day, but you didn't read her |
678 | 01:09:24 --> 01:09:27 | book. You can go to library actually and get it now. You have to pay for it. But |
679 | 01:09:27 --> 01:09:33 | the the information and the coping skills learn I learned in that book |
680 | 01:09:33 --> 01:09:39 | helped me know that there was a way out of living with it. But when you start |
681 | 01:09:39 --> 01:09:44 | putting yourself in high stressful conditions, like trading like it is, |
682 | 01:09:44 --> 01:09:48 | like it's bound to happen, and you may not even realize that it's anxiety. You |
683 | 01:09:48 --> 01:09:54 | just feel overwhelmed and it's terrifying the first few times that it |
684 | 01:09:54 --> 01:09:58 | happens, the very first time, you feel like you're dying, and then the second |
685 | 01:09:58 --> 01:10:01 | time, feels like this is going to be worse. And the other time it happened, |
686 | 01:10:01 --> 01:10:06 | and that feeds that whole experience. It makes it worse. It's a terrible thing to |
687 | 01:10:06 --> 01:10:10 | live with it. I lived with it for a long time, and it developed into agoraphobia. |
688 | 01:10:10 --> 01:10:17 | I was afraid to have any stimuli around me. It made me close up in it. It caused |
689 | 01:10:17 --> 01:10:23 | my relationship as a as a father and a husband. It was. It was horrible, very, |
690 | 01:10:23 --> 01:10:28 | very horrible watching that 15 second chart. Here. We got institutional, |
691 | 01:10:28 --> 01:10:31 | artful entry drill here. And mid gap is down here. Then again, that's this |
692 | 01:10:31 --> 01:10:39 | level. It's half of the gap. But set up this move from Friday's settlement price |
693 | 01:10:39 --> 01:10:44 | in the opening up here. See how we're using that upper quadrant level there. |
694 | 01:10:46 --> 01:10:52 | So if everybody got here, closed in half, the gap worked it here went lower. |
695 | 01:10:54 --> 01:10:59 | You hear any kind of anxiety in me describing it, any sense of dependency, |
696 | 01:10:59 --> 01:11:05 | like I have to be right. No single stuff all the time, every single day, and when |
697 | 01:11:05 --> 01:11:09 | you realize that these things can repeat, you know how to wait for the |
698 | 01:11:09 --> 01:11:15 | setups to form. And you control yourself. You don't try to predict the |
699 | 01:11:15 --> 01:11:19 | euphoric moment of when it gets to your target. You just let it do what it's |
700 | 01:11:19 --> 01:11:23 | going to do, because until the trade closes in in your favor. You're not |
701 | 01:11:23 --> 01:11:27 | You're not profitable. You're not technically, quote, unquote, right? So |
702 | 01:11:27 --> 01:11:31 | trying to live in that moment where you're watching a level that you're |
703 | 01:11:31 --> 01:11:38 | hoping it gets, to try not to live in that moment ahead of its delivery. |
704 | 01:11:38 --> 01:11:41 | Because what you're trying to do is, is you're trying to escape the |
705 | 01:11:41 --> 01:11:44 | uncomfortable uncertainty of, is it really going to go where I want it to |
706 | 01:11:44 --> 01:11:49 | go? You have to be indifferent to it. You got to just relax and let it go |
707 | 01:11:49 --> 01:11:53 | where it's going to go. That way, if it's going to give you indications that |
708 | 01:11:53 --> 01:11:57 | it's not going to go, you're going to be more receptive to it. You'll be able to |
709 | 01:11:57 --> 01:12:04 | see that versus hoping and praying and panic and just, it's a it's torment. Is |
710 | 01:12:04 --> 01:12:08 | what it is when you're in a winning trade and you don't have a model that's |
711 | 01:12:08 --> 01:12:13 | torment. And if you've ever had a time where you made money, either trading |
712 | 01:12:13 --> 01:12:19 | real money or a demo account and or a funded account, challenge or funded |
713 | 01:12:19 --> 01:12:24 | account, any any, any degree of where your outcome is being measured for the |
714 | 01:12:24 --> 01:12:30 | basis of being right or wrong, with monetary reward or clout associated to |
715 | 01:12:30 --> 01:12:36 | it. You have the vested interest in being right at the end of it, and your |
716 | 01:12:36 --> 01:12:42 | target, your your take profit, is that report card. It's the measurement of you |
717 | 01:12:42 --> 01:12:50 | being correct, and if you hold your trades to that measurement every single |
718 | 01:12:50 --> 01:12:54 | time while you're in them, versus is the market doing everything that would allow |
719 | 01:12:54 --> 01:13:00 | me to trust this continuing? That's what you're constantly feeding yourself. Is |
720 | 01:13:00 --> 01:13:06 | it doing everything that is indicating that it would still be okay, despite it |
721 | 01:13:06 --> 01:13:10 | not going as quickly as I would like to see it go to because that's a part of |
722 | 01:13:10 --> 01:13:16 | development that's very, very hard to articulate as a as a teacher, is letting |
723 | 01:13:16 --> 01:13:22 | the trade pan out and not wrestling with it, not trying to force. I gotta just |
724 | 01:13:22 --> 01:13:26 | get I wish it would just let me get my target, because I can get away from |
725 | 01:13:26 --> 01:13:30 | this. I'm worn out because you don't have to manage yourself. You're |
726 | 01:13:30 --> 01:13:36 | discovering that you aren't equipped to be trading with the outcome being so |
727 | 01:13:36 --> 01:13:40 | impactful, it takes money from you if you're wrong. But you don't know what it |
728 | 01:13:40 --> 01:13:45 | feels like to be on a trade where you're actually winning, because you don't know |
729 | 01:13:45 --> 01:13:48 | why the trade's winning. And you're afraid to get it out of it. And you're |
730 | 01:13:48 --> 01:13:54 | afraid that if you get out at your take profit, what if it goes more or what if |
731 | 01:13:54 --> 01:13:58 | it goes against me right now, and I could close it when I'm up $3,000 or |
732 | 01:13:58 --> 01:14:02 | whatever the amount would be. So when you have these things going through your |
733 | 01:14:02 --> 01:14:06 | mind, they're all distractions. That's exactly what a neophyte is experiencing. |
734 | 01:14:06 --> 01:14:10 | A neophyte is always worried about the things that they shouldn't be worried |
735 | 01:14:10 --> 01:14:15 | about, instead of focusing on the things that they should be, which is watching |
736 | 01:14:15 --> 01:14:20 | price. Is it behaving? Is it supporting an underlying narrative that puts you in |
737 | 01:14:20 --> 01:14:23 | the trade? Now, if you start at square one, where you don't have a model, you |
738 | 01:14:23 --> 01:14:26 | just impulsively chase the price, then you shouldn't be surprised that you have |
739 | 01:14:26 --> 01:14:29 | anxiety. You shouldn't be surprised if you're uncomfortable being in the trade |
740 | 01:14:29 --> 01:14:31 | because you don't know what you're looking for. You don't know what you're |
741 | 01:14:31 --> 01:14:34 | waiting for. You're not looking for anything that you've measured in the |
742 | 01:14:34 --> 01:14:40 | past. So why should you have any surprise about why you're feeling |
743 | 01:14:40 --> 01:14:44 | uncertainty that's now turned into an adrenaline release, and then now |
744 | 01:14:44 --> 01:14:50 | cortisol released, and you're in full blown panic, which paralyzes you. You |
745 | 01:14:50 --> 01:14:55 | ever have that? It's called the gambler's numbness, you've lost a lot of |
746 | 01:14:55 --> 01:14:59 | money, you're at the verge of blowing your account. You're blowing your fund |
747 | 01:14:59 --> 01:15:06 | to. Account, yeah, or you just did, and if you had more money in the account, |
748 | 01:15:06 --> 01:15:13 | you'd still trade again and not feel anything. That's a terrible experience |
749 | 01:15:13 --> 01:15:19 | to begin, because you completely unplugged. The rational thinking part of |
750 | 01:15:19 --> 01:15:23 | you is just like you're it's almost like being catatonic. You just, you're just |
751 | 01:15:23 --> 01:15:27 | pushing the button. You don't care where the outcome is. You just feel like you |
752 | 01:15:27 --> 01:15:31 | have to push the button. That's insanity. As a trader, I've experienced |
753 | 01:15:31 --> 01:15:35 | that a lot as a 20 year old, I was in shell shock when I lost lots of money |
754 | 01:15:35 --> 01:15:40 | that I didn't have. I didn't have that kind of money. I had to work very hard |
755 | 01:15:40 --> 01:15:43 | to get these things scraped up, to put into those accounts, and when I blew |
756 | 01:15:43 --> 01:15:53 | them, it was, it was bad. It was really bad. And I didn't have the skills I have |
757 | 01:15:53 --> 01:16:00 | now. I don't, I don't have the ability to to wrestle into subjection, the the |
758 | 01:16:00 --> 01:16:04 | intrusive thoughts, the what if thinking, what if it does this? And what |
759 | 01:16:04 --> 01:16:10 | if it does that? If you don't have your model defined, and you don't know what |
760 | 01:16:10 --> 01:16:15 | makes that trade setup viable, why should it form where you expect it to go |
761 | 01:16:15 --> 01:16:19 | in take a trade? Why should it even be doing any of that stuff, if you don't |
762 | 01:16:19 --> 01:16:25 | have experience collecting that information, that data, by watching old |
763 | 01:16:25 --> 01:16:30 | price moves that have already completed, getting a large collection of that |
764 | 01:16:30 --> 01:16:35 | Caleb, and that's what we're doing when we do these end of the day observations. |
765 | 01:16:35 --> 01:16:40 | I'm annotating the chart with what I see and what I've watched with real time |
766 | 01:16:40 --> 01:16:44 | price action. These are things that I was measuring and looking at as price |
767 | 01:16:44 --> 01:16:50 | was delivering, because that's how I read price. I want you as my son to |
768 | 01:16:50 --> 01:16:55 | learn how to do it that way. Now you're going to have your own little things in |
769 | 01:16:55 --> 01:16:58 | all the things that I'm annotating, and your eyes going to jump to something |
770 | 01:16:58 --> 01:17:03 | that says that's the setup that I feel I can see it easy, like I can see it |
771 | 01:17:03 --> 01:17:08 | forming. I can see it developing all the time, and it has these same |
772 | 01:17:08 --> 01:17:13 | characteristics that repeat over and over again. When you have that, that's |
773 | 01:17:13 --> 01:17:18 | an epiphany, that's an aha moment, that's a I see something I've never saw |
774 | 01:17:18 --> 01:17:22 | there before, and it's exciting. And whatever that is, for any of you |
775 | 01:17:22 --> 01:17:26 | listening, that's where you first start. You start there. We're inside that |
776 | 01:17:26 --> 01:17:31 | little inefficiency here. I like to see invert inversion. I like to see it |
777 | 01:17:31 --> 01:17:35 | create a institutional order for entry to which is a partial fill that and then |
778 | 01:17:35 --> 01:17:44 | dump down into the mid gap the It's very liberating when you have number one, |
779 | 01:17:44 --> 01:17:48 | control over yourself, and that is going to be acquired by you having a model |
780 | 01:17:48 --> 01:17:53 | that you've seen in old moves that repeats over and over and over again. |
781 | 01:17:54 --> 01:17:58 | Now it may not form every single day for you. You may not be able to find it |
782 | 01:17:58 --> 01:18:07 | every single day, but if it happens three times, four times a week, that's a |
783 | 01:18:07 --> 01:18:10 | wonderful model. But if you work in these lower time frames, which is kind |
784 | 01:18:10 --> 01:18:15 | of like what I'm forcing Caleb's perspective today with, is that there's |
785 | 01:18:15 --> 01:18:20 | lots of opportunities, and you need not chase price. You need not chase the |
786 | 01:18:20 --> 01:18:25 | expensive, premium pricing that they are throwing to the public. They're |
787 | 01:18:25 --> 01:18:29 | literally just throwing slop out there into the open mouths of just retail |
788 | 01:18:29 --> 01:18:33 | traders that just simply say, you know, it's probably going to keep going up, |
789 | 01:18:33 --> 01:18:36 | bro, like, I gotta buy it. I'm not trying to do that. I don't want to do |
790 | 01:18:36 --> 01:18:41 | that. It doesn't make any sense for me to pay extra money for something I can |
791 | 01:18:41 --> 01:18:42 | often get cheaper. |
792 | 01:18:44 --> 01:18:47 | And I only have that understanding is because I've been doing this for a very |
793 | 01:18:47 --> 01:18:53 | long time. I've collected lots of charts, I've annotated charts, and I did |
794 | 01:18:53 --> 01:18:56 | lots of back testing. I did lots of forward, walk testing and tape reading |
795 | 01:18:56 --> 01:19:01 | without pushing any buttons. And then I did demoing paper trading for a long, |
796 | 01:19:01 --> 01:19:04 | long time, which was back in the day where I would just simply write down I |
797 | 01:19:04 --> 01:19:08 | got in hypothetically at this price on a piece of graph paper, and then where the |
798 | 01:19:08 --> 01:19:13 | highest, high and the lowest was I would do, what my drawdown would be, and then |
799 | 01:19:13 --> 01:19:18 | what my profit target would be, how long it took me to do that, and I can. I |
800 | 01:19:18 --> 01:19:23 | conditioned myself that way. You have all these resources of doing demo |
801 | 01:19:23 --> 01:19:28 | trading. I didn't have that when I first came up. Everything was antiquated and |
802 | 01:19:28 --> 01:19:32 | archaic, and everything was written down and scribbled in. And you have the |
803 | 01:19:32 --> 01:19:41 | dynamic privileges, really, that people like myself, where we would hand draw |
804 | 01:19:41 --> 01:19:47 | our charts like we had that was our only alternative, like they until they came |
805 | 01:19:47 --> 01:19:52 | up with things like, you know, super charts and meta stock and things like |
806 | 01:19:52 --> 01:19:56 | that, everybody did one way, which was they made their own charts. They drew it |
807 | 01:19:56 --> 01:20:01 | out on graph paper, or they subscribed to services like. Price charts and or |
808 | 01:20:01 --> 01:20:07 | CRV chart, and they gave you a chart book that had some of the data. But then |
809 | 01:20:07 --> 01:20:11 | you are, then you're responsible to do the rest, all by yourself every single |
810 | 01:20:11 --> 01:20:15 | day. And there you go. Here's your half gap. So is it happening in the first 30 |
811 | 01:20:15 --> 01:20:19 | minutes? No, but it did trade down to mid gap. Did it give a fair value gap in |
812 | 01:20:19 --> 01:20:23 | institutional order flow entry drill, some kind of premium, I'm sorry, some |
813 | 01:20:23 --> 01:20:27 | kind of, yeah, some kind of premium array to get short between this low and |
814 | 01:20:27 --> 01:20:31 | the upper quadrant to get down to here. Yes, institutional overflow entry drill |
815 | 01:20:31 --> 01:20:36 | there delivered. You're never going to be short of supply of setups once you |
816 | 01:20:36 --> 01:20:42 | know what you're doing, folks, there's no reason, zero reason for you to have |
817 | 01:20:42 --> 01:20:48 | any anxiety about missing moves, feeling anxious about chasing Christ when it was |
818 | 01:20:48 --> 01:20:55 | doing all these things up here, everything was just a story time. Just |
819 | 01:20:55 --> 01:21:00 | sit back and let it tell you what it's doing. Relax. Let it really prove that |
820 | 01:21:00 --> 01:21:07 | it wants to take a run below the initial lows formed here. Now think about that. |
821 | 01:21:07 --> 01:21:13 | How can I explain what I just did here in a book? I can't. That's why I'm |
822 | 01:21:13 --> 01:21:20 | teaching a lot of lessons like this that cannot be articulated in a book. There's |
823 | 01:21:20 --> 01:21:24 | no way that I could just give you what I just gave you here in a book, and you |
824 | 01:21:24 --> 01:21:28 | get it, you can't you have to watch the candlesticks paint. You got to see what |
825 | 01:21:28 --> 01:21:35 | it's doing on a 15 second chart. Remember, I saw y'all watching this up |
826 | 01:21:35 --> 01:21:40 | in here. There's inefficiency and halfway part of that right there, that's |
827 | 01:21:40 --> 01:21:44 | this, and we want to see it roll over and get heavy, go back. It's in a live |
828 | 01:21:44 --> 01:21:52 | stream. Folks, I was not trying to be long today, and it's boring to me. And |
829 | 01:21:52 --> 01:21:56 | that's not a brag, that's this, the facts. It's boring to me. I can sit out |
830 | 01:21:56 --> 01:22:04 | here every single day and call every major move, every single one of them, |
831 | 01:22:04 --> 01:22:08 | but not every single one of those moves are a trade that I want to put money on. |
832 | 01:22:08 --> 01:22:12 | I don't want to trade just for the sake of trading. That's maturity. That's a |
833 | 01:22:12 --> 01:22:17 | mindset that you should aspire to have. That means you have control of yourself. |
834 | 01:22:17 --> 01:22:22 | You have a measure of self control that's alien to 99% of every trader, |
835 | 01:22:22 --> 01:22:26 | even those have been trading profit for a long time. Because if you're a |
836 | 01:22:26 --> 01:22:34 | successful trader, say, say, you can take down pretty big paydays. The |
837 | 01:22:34 --> 01:22:39 | likelihood of you being a junkie and you're all hopped up on goofballs, |
838 | 01:22:39 --> 01:22:43 | because you know, you can take big money, you can take it. So you're like a |
839 | 01:22:43 --> 01:22:48 | big game hunter. You don't need to kill that animal. You don't need to go over |
840 | 01:22:48 --> 01:22:52 | there and take down an elephant to eat it. You're not starving. You just want |
841 | 01:22:52 --> 01:22:54 | to do it because you're hopped up on goofballs, because you're willing to |
842 | 01:22:54 --> 01:22:58 | kill something like that, because you're psychopath. You want to do those types |
843 | 01:22:58 --> 01:23:02 | of things. You, in my opinion, you're a murderer, and you're satisfying that |
844 | 01:23:02 --> 01:23:11 | desire to do those types of things, but you probably still wrestle with this |
845 | 01:23:11 --> 01:23:15 | impulsiveness of that you want to get a fix. You maybe have made, like, lots of |
846 | 01:23:15 --> 01:23:18 | money. Maybe you don't need to trade ever again, like me, I don't, ever, I |
847 | 01:23:18 --> 01:23:23 | don't, never, ever need to take a trade again. Ever money is not an issue for |
848 | 01:23:23 --> 01:23:29 | me, but I love doing this. I love it my entire life, and now, because my son's |
849 | 01:23:29 --> 01:23:33 | interest in it is like, I'm really like, I'm keyed up, like I'm ready to do it |
850 | 01:23:33 --> 01:23:41 | clearly, because I want my son to do well, but it's very hard to understand |
851 | 01:23:41 --> 01:23:47 | how to control yourself, because in the beginning, you might look at me, you |
852 | 01:23:47 --> 01:23:51 | might look at other people, and whether they're taking trades live in front of |
853 | 01:23:51 --> 01:23:55 | you, calling signals that work, or they have broker statements, or they won |
854 | 01:23:55 --> 01:23:59 | competitions, whatever the catalyst may be that causes you to have Faith in this |
855 | 01:23:59 --> 01:24:04 | individual, whatever that is, you don't have blind faith. And that's good. |
856 | 01:24:05 --> 01:24:10 | That's good. Skepticism is absolutely crucial. Have it with me and have it |
857 | 01:24:10 --> 01:24:14 | with everyone else, because if you just blindly follow the logic of anybody that |
858 | 01:24:14 --> 01:24:19 | spouts out their mouth and you've never tested it, never back tested it, never |
859 | 01:24:19 --> 01:24:23 | looked and investigated the claims of what this information should or should |
860 | 01:24:23 --> 01:24:28 | not do. You're not really informed, and you're just basically blindly following |
861 | 01:24:28 --> 01:24:31 | either what everybody else is says, Well, this is what you should do, |
862 | 01:24:31 --> 01:24:36 | because I've seen it. I've seen him do this. I've seen her do that. Did you |
863 | 01:24:36 --> 01:24:42 | ever see it? Did you ever sit through a full live stream where I've explained |
864 | 01:24:42 --> 01:24:45 | the logic, why it shouldn't do these things, and why I'm not interested in |
865 | 01:24:45 --> 01:24:51 | this, and what I'm waiting for, and then watch it pan out like today. Again, I do |
866 | 01:24:51 --> 01:24:56 | this every single time, but because you want to signal, because you're new, you |
867 | 01:24:56 --> 01:24:59 | just want to see. I want to see, I want to see ICT take a trade. I want to see |
868 | 01:24:59 --> 01:25:03 | the. I'm if there's nothing for me to take a trade on, I'm not taking a trade |
869 | 01:25:05 --> 01:25:11 | period if there's something in the price action that I want to call attention to |
870 | 01:25:11 --> 01:25:17 | for the purposes of teaching my son, that's what I'm here primarily for. But |
871 | 01:25:17 --> 01:25:21 | everything that's that's outlined to you happens in real time, right in front of |
872 | 01:25:21 --> 01:25:25 | you, and you can't escape it. And it's for your edification. Caleb, it's for |
873 | 01:25:25 --> 01:25:30 | you to understand that are you are you going into this to be in control of |
874 | 01:25:30 --> 01:25:34 | yourself? Are you going to let the the ebb and flow of what the markets take |
875 | 01:25:34 --> 01:25:38 | and give to you dictate how you're going to behave and how you're going to think? |
876 | 01:25:38 --> 01:25:42 | Because if you're going to let them do that, you're going to be in a sea that |
877 | 01:25:42 --> 01:25:47 | is nothing but storms and waves, and you're never going to be at peace. That |
878 | 01:25:47 --> 01:25:50 | means you're never making enough money, you're not taking enough trades, you're |
879 | 01:25:50 --> 01:25:53 | not risking enough because you're constantly doing what you're trying to |
880 | 01:25:53 --> 01:26:02 | satisfy that itch that never is clinched. Contrast that with, I'm going |
881 | 01:26:02 --> 01:26:06 | to wait for my setup that looks like this, and it forms around this basis. |
882 | 01:26:07 --> 01:26:13 | What am I talking about? And I say that, well, what did I explain to you today? |
883 | 01:26:13 --> 01:26:18 | We had a very large range gap opening. I'm already past my time, but let me see |
884 | 01:26:18 --> 01:26:22 | if I can get them by 11 o'clock. I also know just let me take take a moment to |
885 | 01:26:22 --> 01:26:25 | say this. And I appreciate all of you that have left the comments. Initially, |
886 | 01:26:25 --> 01:26:28 | I thought you were just complaining to me, saying the video's too long and |
887 | 01:26:28 --> 01:26:33 | blah, blah, blah, blah, I understand now why the specific requirements for some |
888 | 01:26:33 --> 01:26:37 | of you that the video is not be too long, and plus, Caleb said it's, this is |
889 | 01:26:37 --> 01:26:41 | a lot that like it's, it comes home from work. He doesn't have the ability to go |
890 | 01:26:41 --> 01:26:46 | through all of them each day, so he's lagging behind. So because he said so, |
891 | 01:26:46 --> 01:26:51 | that's why I'm pulling back the time. Also, in addition to, I wasn't aware |
892 | 01:26:51 --> 01:26:57 | that YouTube doesn't do closed captions after the video goes over, like three |
893 | 01:26:57 --> 01:27:02 | hours, or something to that effect. So I'm going to try to be diligent about |
894 | 01:27:02 --> 01:27:07 | keeping them at 90 minutes or less, and you're welcome for that, but I wasn't |
895 | 01:27:07 --> 01:27:11 | aware. Okay. If I would have known that the closed caption feature was being |
896 | 01:27:11 --> 01:27:14 | impeded because of the length of the video, I would have stopped the stream |
897 | 01:27:14 --> 01:27:18 | and started another one. It still would have been long, but I would have stopped |
898 | 01:27:18 --> 01:27:20 | it. So it's not that I'm trying to make it harder for all of you that are in |
899 | 01:27:20 --> 01:27:26 | other countries, I apologize. It was not something it's intended, but I I'm aware |
900 | 01:27:26 --> 01:27:31 | of what it's doing and what it can't do, and it's a limitation I'm going to have |
901 | 01:27:31 --> 01:27:36 | to operate in. So if we're limiting it to be done by 11 o'clock ICT, then it |
902 | 01:27:36 --> 01:27:41 | should, it should answer that call. So, but today, I described to you that we |
903 | 01:27:41 --> 01:27:48 | had that very large opening range gap here, which you have to you have to see |
904 | 01:27:48 --> 01:27:54 | it with RTH, which is regular trading hours. I mean, I would have paid money |
905 | 01:27:54 --> 01:27:59 | for a session like today. Like, you have no idea the stuff I put myself through. |
906 | 01:27:59 --> 01:28:02 | It was ridiculous, but I didn't have any other choice, like there was nobody else |
907 | 01:28:02 --> 01:28:06 | out there that had this information, or if they did, they weren't teaching it, |
908 | 01:28:06 --> 01:28:12 | right? So, and I appreciate the folks that take the time to write a comment |
909 | 01:28:12 --> 01:28:16 | and say, you know, I don't have to be doing this and I'm sharing it. |
910 | 01:28:17 --> 01:28:21 | I really appreciate that, because the entitlement level today is off the |
911 | 01:28:21 --> 01:28:26 | chain, and it's, it's disgusting to see how, dude, you talk too much, get to the |
912 | 01:28:26 --> 01:28:29 | point like you're getting something you never would have learned before. And I'm |
913 | 01:28:29 --> 01:28:33 | making millionaires with this information. They're using the same |
914 | 01:28:33 --> 01:28:36 | logic, and you're, you're coming in on the comment section complaining about |
915 | 01:28:36 --> 01:28:40 | how you want it better and faster and differently. Go somewhere else. But this |
916 | 01:28:40 --> 01:28:44 | is the opening range gap, and since we opened up here, I told you we were going |
917 | 01:28:44 --> 01:28:48 | to work inside that weekly inversion fair value gap. And you don't want to |
918 | 01:28:48 --> 01:28:52 | try to pick the highs, because there was a lot of range where it could have went |
919 | 01:28:52 --> 01:28:58 | up into mid part of that weekly inversion fair value gap, which is |
920 | 01:28:58 --> 01:29:01 | essentially around here. So you got to let it prove to you that it's done |
921 | 01:29:01 --> 01:29:07 | enough and break down. So we were watching this low here. It did so. And |
922 | 01:29:07 --> 01:29:14 | then I gave you the framework about how this gap below this low here, I wanted |
923 | 01:29:14 --> 01:29:21 | to see a premium array form between this low and this upper quadrant between this |
924 | 01:29:21 --> 01:29:27 | little area right in here, that's where my setup would form. My PD array would |
925 | 01:29:27 --> 01:29:33 | form in this area right here, institutional order, flow entry drill |
926 | 01:29:36 --> 01:29:41 | over here. It breaks lower in that area, comes right back up in here. Boom. And I |
927 | 01:29:41 --> 01:29:44 | told you, when we were right there, go watch the live stream during the 1030 |
928 | 01:29:45 --> 01:29:50 | ish to 1036 time I said I'm watching this right here. When I do that, that's |
929 | 01:29:50 --> 01:29:53 | that, whenever I say when I'm watching something during the live streams, |
930 | 01:29:54 --> 01:29:57 | that's a wonderful opportunity for you that are watching live, or when you |
931 | 01:29:57 --> 01:30:01 | watch the old recording, stop and pause the video and. Screenshot that think |
932 | 01:30:01 --> 01:30:08 | about what you see in price, what it might do after that moment. Caleb, and |
933 | 01:30:08 --> 01:30:11 | you've got one of the best learning opportunities, because it's like, okay, |
934 | 01:30:11 --> 01:30:15 | freeze frame, boom. Why is he interested? What should it do? And then, |
935 | 01:30:15 --> 01:30:19 | like I said at that time, I said, we want to see it roll over from there and |
936 | 01:30:19 --> 01:30:22 | stay heavy and work towards that in the gap. Does it? Do it? Look at the bodies. |
937 | 01:30:23 --> 01:30:27 | Look at the bodies. How it behaved inside that little inversion Fairbank. |
938 | 01:30:27 --> 01:30:31 | I'm sorry, am I not saying inverse Fairbank, the See that little volume |
939 | 01:30:31 --> 01:30:37 | imbalance there. We have to make sure we keep that there as well. There's that |
940 | 01:30:37 --> 01:30:44 | halfway point. That price is 18,005 83.75, 83.75 What's that? Candlesticks |
941 | 01:30:44 --> 01:31:01 | high? Right there? 8250 84 84.75 so 1.1 handle above, that's only, that's the |
942 | 01:31:01 --> 01:31:07 | only heat that had by watching that mid, mid level of that city, and it rolls |
943 | 01:31:07 --> 01:31:11 | over. All live in front you, explain to you the logic. That's where the setup is |
944 | 01:31:11 --> 01:31:15 | going to form. So tell me how you're going to do that with uh, white cough or |
945 | 01:31:15 --> 01:31:18 | supplying demand. You don't know when your setups are going to form. You have |
946 | 01:31:18 --> 01:31:21 | to wait for them. I know where my setups are going to form. I know what the |
947 | 01:31:21 --> 01:31:24 | algorithm is going to do, how it's going to book price. I know all those things, |
948 | 01:31:24 --> 01:31:28 | but I have to let it do its manipulation. I don't want to force |
949 | 01:31:28 --> 01:31:33 | myself to be in something I told you. This is all building in a premium. It's |
950 | 01:31:33 --> 01:31:36 | engineering liquidity. Every time it made a new high, someone's taking the |
951 | 01:31:36 --> 01:31:41 | other side of that when it stops being taken. So buy stops above this high are |
952 | 01:31:41 --> 01:31:45 | absorbed there shorts smart money are selling them that buy stop. And they're |
953 | 01:31:45 --> 01:31:50 | buying a breakout retail who wants to be the other side of that smart money? |
954 | 01:31:50 --> 01:31:54 | They're selling to those buy stops here and then above here, boom, they're |
955 | 01:31:54 --> 01:31:58 | selling short to those buy stops. Again, all of this is building in a premium, |
956 | 01:31:58 --> 01:32:04 | and they're selling it to the public. I'm waiting for it to get down to here, |
957 | 01:32:04 --> 01:32:09 | to give the setup to trade down to the mid gap. And there it is, small little |
958 | 01:32:09 --> 01:32:13 | retracement, digging down. So now you want to look at the lower quadrant, and |
959 | 01:32:13 --> 01:32:16 | then I'm going to close the stream out. Okay, because I've overstayed my |
960 | 01:32:16 --> 01:32:20 | welcome. Here's the lower quadrant. So you want to watch and see, does it trade |
961 | 01:32:20 --> 01:32:28 | into that, that price level right here. But if you want to leave a comment, I |
962 | 01:32:28 --> 01:32:32 | read every comment, even though you guys can't see them, I see them rude ones are |
963 | 01:32:32 --> 01:32:36 | people that are just stupid. I just make you invisible to me. You think you're |
964 | 01:32:36 --> 01:32:39 | leaving comments, and you'll see your comment, but I can't see them, and no |
965 | 01:32:39 --> 01:32:43 | one else can see them, obviously. But if you want to see a video, I can't promise |
966 | 01:32:43 --> 01:32:47 | I'll do it during the week. I might do it this coming weekend, if you all have |
967 | 01:32:47 --> 01:32:51 | an interest in it. But if you want to learn how to manage your stress while in |
968 | 01:32:51 --> 01:32:55 | trading, and how to keep yourself from having pain attacks, and also how to |
969 | 01:32:55 --> 01:32:59 | keep yourself focused so it prevents adrenaline effect or cortisol effect, |
970 | 01:33:00 --> 01:33:03 | these are all real things, and if you ever portrayed it long enough you felt |
971 | 01:33:03 --> 01:33:07 | that you probably didn't understand it, but it's absolutely 100% controllable, |
972 | 01:33:07 --> 01:33:13 | and you can be like a like a Buddh monk, like you're impervious to it, like |
973 | 01:33:13 --> 01:33:19 | you're completely devoid of all of that anxiety and wood of thinking. And I |
974 | 01:33:19 --> 01:33:23 | could probably do it in a 30 minute video. So it's not a lot, since it's a |
975 | 01:33:23 --> 01:33:28 | lot of preparation, mindset wise, and some breathing techniques and things to |
976 | 01:33:28 --> 01:33:32 | focus and how to how you are supposed to reset your nervous system. And it can be |
977 | 01:33:32 --> 01:33:35 | done instantaneously, like, bang, just like that, like, it's instantly |
978 | 01:33:35 --> 01:33:39 | corrected perfectly. And to me, in my opinion, I've been doing it for 32 |
979 | 01:33:39 --> 01:33:44 | years, and having gone through extreme anxiety, it is one of the most |
980 | 01:33:44 --> 01:33:51 | worthwhile investments in discovering skill sets that any trader should have |
981 | 01:33:51 --> 01:33:55 | in their repertoire, because you are going to feel stress. You're going to |
982 | 01:33:55 --> 01:33:58 | feel stress in the trade, or you're going to feel afterwards when you lost a |
983 | 01:33:58 --> 01:34:03 | lot of money, and if you focus on that stuff. It's going to mess you up, and |
984 | 01:34:03 --> 01:34:09 | you won't progress further efficiently and correctly. So if you, like I said, |
985 | 01:34:09 --> 01:34:13 | if you want to have something that, just give me a comment saying, Please, you |
986 | 01:34:13 --> 01:34:17 | know, Lay it on me and I'll get to it probably either Sunday or Saturday. |
987 | 01:34:17 --> 01:34:23 | Maybe I'll do a an audio kind of like a shotgun Saturday on on the YouTube |
988 | 01:34:23 --> 01:34:26 | channel, because it's basically me just talking about those coping skills and |
989 | 01:34:26 --> 01:34:31 | how to overcome anxiety and trading and all that. The real psychology behind it |
990 | 01:34:32 --> 01:34:35 | that that's what that's really what it is I flirted with the idea of having, |
991 | 01:34:35 --> 01:34:40 | you know, five books, you know, three technical ones, a fiction about a trader |
992 | 01:34:40 --> 01:34:44 | that they may have heard, and then the fifth one was going to be flirted with. |
993 | 01:34:44 --> 01:34:47 | The idea, I don't know. I'm not sure. We'll see how the books are received by |
994 | 01:34:47 --> 01:34:52 | all of you, but the fifth one be would be like a trade psychology book, like |
995 | 01:34:52 --> 01:34:59 | the nuts and bolts. Here's what matters most, and there it is. But I enjoyed it. |
996 | 01:35:00 --> 01:35:03 | Have time with us together over the charts. Hopefully you learned something |
997 | 01:35:03 --> 01:35:06 | today. It probably isn't going to be one of the barn burner type lectures or |
998 | 01:35:06 --> 01:35:10 | whatever, but I promise you, once you start trading with real money and you |
999 | 01:35:10 --> 01:35:15 | feel all the problems that I talked about here, FOMO trying to chase price, |
1000 | 01:35:15 --> 01:35:19 | losing money, and anxiety attacks and stress and all that stuff, you're going |
1001 | 01:35:19 --> 01:35:22 | to appreciate this kind of video a whole lot more later on. In the beginning, |
1002 | 01:35:22 --> 01:35:25 | when you haven't even done anything to be stressed out, you just want me get to |
1003 | 01:35:25 --> 01:35:28 | the point. The point is, is you don't know the point. That's the point you |
1004 | 01:35:28 --> 01:35:32 | don't even know what you're doing it. And I'm trying to prepare your mind for |
1005 | 01:35:32 --> 01:35:40 | that. Caleb, and until talk to you next time, be safe. You. |