1 | 00:01:14 --> 00:01:21 | ICT: Good morning. Good morning. It is a good morning. It's delicious. Actually, |
2 | 00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 | wasn't expecting that. One was Yes, |
3 | 00:01:26 --> 00:01:31 | man, these These glasses are amazing. I'm seeing so many more salty comments. |
4 | 00:01:31 --> 00:01:36 | This is great. This is awesome. I need these antagonistic individuals for my |
5 | 00:01:36 --> 00:01:41 | story arc, like I need that. Okay, it can't all be people supporting me, |
6 | 00:01:41 --> 00:01:46 | right? Where's the fun in that? Just give me a second here. I gotta make sure |
7 | 00:01:46 --> 00:01:50 | I get my laptop plugged in here so we don't run out of power. I'm only going |
8 | 00:01:50 --> 00:01:57 | to be with you until around nine ish, something like that today. About I'll |
9 | 00:01:57 --> 00:02:02 | observe the Non Farm Payroll with you today. Just give me a second. I'll be on |
10 | 00:02:02 --> 00:02:02 | mute For a Minute. You |
11 | 00:03:59 --> 00:04:05 | All righty, Welcome back. Welcome back. It is your host, the ghost with the |
12 | 00:04:05 --> 00:04:09 | most. That's right, good old ICT. Hope you're doing well. It is Non Farm |
13 | 00:04:09 --> 00:04:15 | Payroll Friday, just about eight minutes or so away from the carnival ride that |
14 | 00:04:16 --> 00:04:21 | most retail traders want to be a participant in. They want to ride the |
15 | 00:04:21 --> 00:04:32 | roller coaster. So I I shared what I've been doing here. I was running something |
16 | 00:04:32 --> 00:04:37 | I outlined would unfold this week. If you go back and look at the reviews, the |
17 | 00:04:37 --> 00:04:41 | commentary, the things I was posting on my son's channel, and for the folks that |
18 | 00:04:41 --> 00:04:46 | don't know where my son's channel is on YouTube, I'm sharing every video link on |
19 | 00:04:46 --> 00:04:53 | my community tab on my YouTube channel. If you're following me on the app on |
20 | 00:04:53 --> 00:05:00 | your phone, on YouTube, I know that on my older phone I couldn't get. The |
21 | 00:05:00 --> 00:05:06 | Community tab section up on the the cell phone, but you'd have to go to like, a |
22 | 00:05:06 --> 00:05:10 | laptop or something that's a little bit bigger. I'm not sure why it does that, |
23 | 00:05:10 --> 00:05:17 | but the community tab is kind of like where I post things to I don't use |
24 | 00:05:17 --> 00:05:21 | Twitter anymore, I don't use Facebook, I don't use Instagram. I'm not on any of |
25 | 00:05:21 --> 00:05:27 | those services, but I use my community post or tab on my YouTube channel as a |
26 | 00:05:27 --> 00:05:32 | way of kind of like a message board telling you what I'm getting ready to |
27 | 00:05:32 --> 00:05:36 | do, or just give you some kind of encouragement, or just needle the folks |
28 | 00:05:36 --> 00:05:47 | that need the little heat from an ICT. So I realized while watching the the |
29 | 00:05:47 --> 00:05:55 | playback for the editing, I didn't have the end dog on for today. So I'm gonna |
30 | 00:05:56 --> 00:06:03 | do that real quick before we get into the tonfoolery that is nonprofit |
31 | 00:06:03 --> 00:06:16 | payroll. So on a one minute chart there, and that's the six o'clock open right |
32 | 00:06:16 --> 00:06:22 | there. So that's going to be the low of the new day opening gap, and the close |
33 | 00:06:22 --> 00:06:30 | is that price there. So the high is the close of 459 and |
34 | 00:06:40 --> 00:06:44 | into opening gap. Hi, |
35 | 00:06:59 --> 00:07:01 | and then we'll put this small. |
36 | 00:07:09 --> 00:07:19 | And now I gotta do is just change that to low, quick, painless, right? And the |
37 | 00:07:19 --> 00:07:20 | scrub on over here. |
38 | 00:07:31 --> 00:07:40 | She's a bit up here. It's the lookout to overlapping with the August 13 daily |
39 | 00:07:40 --> 00:07:48 | fair value gap high. That's interesting about that. Let's see what we get here. |
40 | 00:07:49 --> 00:07:53 | So when you're looking at Non Farm Payroll, okay, I'm not enticing you to |
41 | 00:07:53 --> 00:08:00 | try to trade this. Okay, what I like to use it for is I want to see what type of |
42 | 00:08:00 --> 00:08:10 | liquidity they aim for, okay? Before we get into it. Non Farm Payroll is not |
43 | 00:08:10 --> 00:08:17 | algorithmic. Okay, that is not algorithmic. It is the same logic that |
44 | 00:08:17 --> 00:08:26 | is used in the automated form, but Non Farm Payroll, like FOMC is a manual |
45 | 00:08:26 --> 00:08:32 | intervention. That means they literally pick where they want it to go abruptly, |
46 | 00:08:33 --> 00:08:40 | just like that. Okay, and you're encouraged not to try to trade it going |
47 | 00:08:40 --> 00:08:45 | into the Non Farm Payroll number 2030, minutes after, or if you're really, |
48 | 00:08:45 --> 00:08:51 | really skilled, 15 minutes after. So 8:45am, Eastern Time. That's the |
49 | 00:08:51 --> 00:08:56 | earliest I would say that anyone should try to trade the Non Farm Payroll. Now, |
50 | 00:08:56 --> 00:09:00 | obviously, if you're already part of a trade and you're holding something, then |
51 | 00:09:00 --> 00:09:04 | it goes without saying that you know, if you have taken something off, you can |
52 | 00:09:04 --> 00:09:07 | leave a little partial on to see if it gives you a little bit more juice out of |
53 | 00:09:07 --> 00:09:13 | that lemon. But you do not want to be trading this. Okay, if I were to trade |
54 | 00:09:13 --> 00:09:17 | every single Non Farm Payroll event before the fact, in other words, if I |
55 | 00:09:17 --> 00:09:22 | was trying to position ahead of it, I would have terrible stats because I |
56 | 00:09:22 --> 00:09:25 | don't know where they're going to run it next. I don't I don't know that you |
57 | 00:09:25 --> 00:09:29 | aren't going to know that. Just like I don't know where they're going to take |
58 | 00:09:29 --> 00:09:31 | FOMC, I don't know where they're going to take CPI, I don't know where they're |
59 | 00:09:31 --> 00:09:35 | going to take ppi, they're all manual interventions. That means that you |
60 | 00:09:35 --> 00:09:39 | should not be trying to position yourself ahead of them. Wait for the |
61 | 00:09:39 --> 00:09:45 | initial shock, once that, once, that big crash, you know, comes down into the |
62 | 00:09:45 --> 00:09:51 | marketplace, where the shock and all hits it, look and see what is left |
63 | 00:09:52 --> 00:09:56 | behind, like, where's the smooth edges? Because that's what they're going to go |
64 | 00:09:56 --> 00:10:01 | for next. Okay, so in the times that you're going to. Wrong about that. Okay, |
65 | 00:10:01 --> 00:10:04 | well, that just one time you're wrong about it doesn't mean your career is |
66 | 00:10:04 --> 00:10:13 | over. Alright? So we got about two and a half minutes. Let's take a quick look at |
67 | 00:10:13 --> 00:10:20 | what we have here. Let's do a 15 minute time frame. And what I teach my students |
68 | 00:10:20 --> 00:10:27 | to do is and before I close, I'll review the the trade. I just did my ejirohama |
69 | 00:10:27 --> 00:10:34 | trade. That's my eujiro profile and model. I'm being facetious. It's just me |
70 | 00:10:34 --> 00:10:38 | doing my typical stuff, one shot, one kill. I told you the turtle soup, how it |
71 | 00:10:38 --> 00:10:42 | forms, told you what to look for this week with the commentary on the daily |
72 | 00:10:42 --> 00:10:46 | chart. And some of you are surprised. Like, how did that happen? Where did you |
73 | 00:10:46 --> 00:10:56 | get that information from? Alright, so we are inside this city here, and let's |
74 | 00:10:56 --> 00:11:02 | define it real quick. Here's your sell side. And somebody hear me like, oh, you |
75 | 00:11:02 --> 00:11:07 | know it's going to hit one of those levels, right? And the important factor |
76 | 00:11:07 --> 00:11:16 | is seeing which one they leave going into the 930 opening bell and or do they |
77 | 00:11:16 --> 00:11:32 | leave it in place after the initial run for liquidity? And we will do that now. |
78 | 00:11:32 --> 00:11:37 | We've had a nice drop this week, so it's reasonable for it to see a return back |
79 | 00:11:37 --> 00:11:43 | into some intermediate term buy side, especially with the non primary payroll. |
80 | 00:11:49 --> 00:11:56 | Okay? So what I teach my students to do is frame out 15 minute highs and lows |
81 | 00:11:56 --> 00:12:03 | that are key relative equal highs by side. This one here. We do have, you |
82 | 00:12:03 --> 00:12:07 | know this, but I don't like that so much because we already hit this lower low, |
83 | 00:12:07 --> 00:12:12 | and we've already met the objective I had for this week, which was that August |
84 | 00:12:12 --> 00:12:16 | 13 daily fair value got low. And you can go back and listen to my commentary. |
85 | 00:12:16 --> 00:12:20 | Look at what I was explaining on Caleb's channel, and the things that was |
86 | 00:12:20 --> 00:12:25 | mentioning during the live streams on this channel. We were looking for lower |
87 | 00:12:25 --> 00:12:32 | prices, and I wanted to see it get down into that 18,007 65.25 level. For the |
88 | 00:12:32 --> 00:12:35 | folks that said you got two screens recording, just turn the trade on. Go. |
89 | 00:12:35 --> 00:12:40 | You do it. You get into the high. You get in at the high, and you hold for the |
90 | 00:12:40 --> 00:12:44 | low. Do it on an execution. I don't, I don't care if it's a demo. Do it? Bet |
91 | 00:12:44 --> 00:12:55 | you can. Salty boys, all right, so here we got it. This is nonprofit. You want |
92 | 00:12:55 --> 00:13:01 | to trade that? You want to trade that? Ooh, that's right, baby. Right to the |
93 | 00:13:01 --> 00:13:08 | buy side. I didn't like this one. This one's the one I liked. Now, if you think |
94 | 00:13:08 --> 00:13:11 | that you're going to trade these types of moves, if you think that's going to |
95 | 00:13:11 --> 00:13:14 | happen and you're going to be able to get in there, and they're just going to |
96 | 00:13:14 --> 00:13:18 | let you ride it and you're going to get out, you're not even going to get out |
97 | 00:13:18 --> 00:13:22 | here, it's happening so fast, and your broker is not allowing you the |
98 | 00:13:22 --> 00:13:28 | execution. Every broker pulls their their engagement because they know that |
99 | 00:13:28 --> 00:13:31 | people are going to do what they're going to over leverage, just like |
100 | 00:13:31 --> 00:13:35 | everybody does with these funded accounts, they over leverage. They link |
101 | 00:13:35 --> 00:13:39 | 20 accounts, 30 accounts, or whatever the maximum is, and they go for broke. |
102 | 00:13:39 --> 00:13:44 | They try to trade as much as they can be allowed to do by the funded account |
103 | 00:13:44 --> 00:13:47 | company, because they think it's the lottery, and they know they can't trade |
104 | 00:13:47 --> 00:13:51 | well, so they're trying to get lucky on one big move. So when do they know |
105 | 00:13:51 --> 00:13:57 | markets move around a lot, Non Farm Payroll, FOMC, CPI, ppi, and they |
106 | 00:13:57 --> 00:14:03 | gamble. So brokers know that. They know that, so they're going to pull the |
107 | 00:14:03 --> 00:14:09 | opportunity away from you. That's not a lack of liquidity for the sake of buying |
108 | 00:14:09 --> 00:14:13 | and selling. There's a lot of people want to buy and sell, I promise you, |
109 | 00:14:13 --> 00:14:19 | they all want to buy and sell, but your brokers collectively are not allowing |
110 | 00:14:19 --> 00:14:25 | them to do that. So that's why you have this illusion, okay, of lack of |
111 | 00:14:25 --> 00:14:30 | liquidity. They call illiquidity, illiquidity, okay? Or illiquid markets. |
112 | 00:14:31 --> 00:14:36 | Now there's absolutely liquidity there, but the brokers are not going to allow |
113 | 00:14:36 --> 00:14:43 | themselves to see people go in and just run roughshod on them, because some |
114 | 00:14:43 --> 00:14:49 | brokers be book, and when they be book, these same people that they're usually |
115 | 00:14:49 --> 00:14:54 | taking the money from, they might get lucky that day on a heavy handed bet, |
116 | 00:14:54 --> 00:14:58 | and they're not opening themselves up. It's just like Casino. They're the house |
117 | 00:14:58 --> 00:15:02 | has the edge. They're not trying to let a cow. Counter come in there and do what |
118 | 00:15:02 --> 00:15:07 | a card counter does. So what I like about the Non Farm Payroll is it gives |
119 | 00:15:07 --> 00:15:14 | me a clue, sometimes, not all the time, where it may want to trade to at 930 |
120 | 00:15:15 --> 00:15:18 | now, how can I use the information that's been presented here? This is kind |
121 | 00:15:18 --> 00:15:22 | of like what I'm teaching my students over the years where we're watching Non |
122 | 00:15:22 --> 00:15:26 | Farm Payroll. I'm not telling them what to do. Okay, nobody's trying to position |
123 | 00:15:26 --> 00:15:30 | ahead of it. But while we did have relative equal lows here, the fact that |
124 | 00:15:30 --> 00:15:35 | we took this low below that one that already indicated that this one was more |
125 | 00:15:35 --> 00:15:38 | likely. That's why I said I don't like this one so much. This one is |
126 | 00:15:38 --> 00:15:43 | reasonable. Why? Because we've already traded down to that daily fair value gap |
127 | 00:15:43 --> 00:15:48 | low on August 13. So it's reasonable for it to try to go back and run up against |
128 | 00:15:49 --> 00:15:53 | the trail buy stops, which would be here is a 15 minute time frame. It's a |
129 | 00:15:53 --> 00:16:01 | bellwether time frame. So having like FOMC, ppi, CPI numbers, any kind of big, |
130 | 00:16:01 --> 00:16:07 | high impact news, driver, event, I just realized I didn't check my audio crap. |
131 | 00:16:10 --> 00:16:15 | Man, I'm just gonna go with it. I'm trusting that you guys can hear me. I |
132 | 00:16:15 --> 00:16:22 | don't have my phone either. Jeez, ICT, you're supposed to be a professional. I |
133 | 00:16:22 --> 00:16:25 | gotta, I have to make sure before I go into because I don't want to review that |
134 | 00:16:25 --> 00:16:28 | trade and then realize I don't have the audit. So give me a minute. Okay, give |
135 | 00:16:28 --> 00:16:29 | me A Second. |
136 | 00:16:42 --> 00:17:58 | You Oh, here Ross Cameron, wow, the most comprehensive dating course according to |
137 | 00:17:58 --> 00:18:04 | Investopedia. Thanks, Ross, alright, so let's see, yep, I hear myself jogging |
138 | 00:18:04 --> 00:18:12 | now. Yeah, four seconds delay. Very good, very good. Alright. So anyway, |
139 | 00:18:12 --> 00:18:19 | back to the this carnival like atmosphere, the the 15 minute time |
140 | 00:18:19 --> 00:18:23 | frame. Okay, you really want to warm up to that time frame. That's the reason |
141 | 00:18:23 --> 00:18:27 | why I took Caleb's attention to that's like his high time frame outside of a |
142 | 00:18:27 --> 00:18:33 | daily chart. Obviously, his high time frame is not an hourly chart, it's not a |
143 | 00:18:33 --> 00:18:36 | four hour chart, it's just the 15 minute time frame. Then we can drop down to a |
144 | 00:18:36 --> 00:18:40 | five minute chart. You can drop down to a one minute chart, or sub one minute |
145 | 00:18:40 --> 00:18:49 | chart. And if we can appreciate the level of interest around stops that are |
146 | 00:18:49 --> 00:18:53 | above the marketplace or below the marketplace, the 15 minute does a really |
147 | 00:18:53 --> 00:18:56 | good job of highlighting where they're obviously going to be resting. Now, you |
148 | 00:18:56 --> 00:19:00 | don't need a book map. You don't need any kind of like, you know, application |
149 | 00:19:00 --> 00:19:04 | or app. And I know there's some people out there that have created them, and or |
150 | 00:19:04 --> 00:19:07 | are building new ones, because there's a lot of interest around liquidity now, |
151 | 00:19:07 --> 00:19:12 | because of the stuff coming out, and the way I teach how to attack it, and it's, |
152 | 00:19:13 --> 00:19:18 | it's framed in a way that seems mysterious, okay, and, and sometimes, |
153 | 00:19:18 --> 00:19:22 | admittedly, I probably, in very early stages created this air of mystery |
154 | 00:19:22 --> 00:19:26 | around how liquidity is in the marketplace and how you have to seek it. |
155 | 00:19:27 --> 00:19:31 | But I've never been ambiguous about where it is, and I teach how to find it |
156 | 00:19:31 --> 00:19:38 | and how to look for it, and then, based on how that liquidity is engaged, helps |
157 | 00:19:38 --> 00:19:41 | you frame out a narrative, helps you determine what the market is likely to |
158 | 00:19:41 --> 00:19:44 | do next, because that's really what we want to do. As a trader, we want to know |
159 | 00:19:44 --> 00:19:50 | where is the market going next, and how can you be best positioned to capitalize |
160 | 00:19:50 --> 00:19:57 | on that change in price, if it's moving higher or lower and or avoid being wrong |
161 | 00:19:57 --> 00:20:03 | More times than not. So that's kind of like what. Essence or pursuit of a |
162 | 00:20:03 --> 00:20:10 | trader is in managing the risk along the way. So a 15 minute time frame Caleb is |
163 | 00:20:10 --> 00:20:16 | your Bellwether chart for determining where the obvious, clear pools of |
164 | 00:20:16 --> 00:20:20 | liquidity that the algorithm will refer to for that individual daily range. |
165 | 00:20:21 --> 00:20:26 | Okay, so what happens if I was going to keep this for the book about this? I'll |
166 | 00:20:26 --> 00:20:29 | just drop it because I didn't do a live stream yesterday, so I'll give you a |
167 | 00:20:29 --> 00:20:36 | little bit extra today. What happens if you can frame a pool of liquidity like |
168 | 00:20:36 --> 00:20:39 | we did here? We outlined it real quick. Didn't take long, did it didn't take |
169 | 00:20:39 --> 00:20:47 | long, 15 minute relative equal highs here and this low here. And I mentioned |
170 | 00:20:47 --> 00:20:52 | that the stark contrast was that this low was taken slightly lower than that |
171 | 00:20:52 --> 00:20:58 | one, and then going into the Non Farm Payroll. While these two may be viewed |
172 | 00:20:59 --> 00:21:02 | by someone else, they may say, Look at this. This is relative equal lows, |
173 | 00:21:02 --> 00:21:09 | because it's so close to that low here. If I ever see this one or something |
174 | 00:21:09 --> 00:21:15 | similar to this, that low being taken like that, it's already done enough to |
175 | 00:21:15 --> 00:21:20 | tip its hand saying, okay, at the time of that high impact news driver, FOMC, |
176 | 00:21:20 --> 00:21:28 | ppi, CPI, non farm, payroll, like today I'm going to elect to anticipate. Let's |
177 | 00:21:28 --> 00:21:32 | say it that way. Okay, because I don't want you taking what I'm saying and |
178 | 00:21:32 --> 00:21:35 | saying, Oh, he's giving me that secret Nudge, nudge and link, wink, to take a |
179 | 00:21:35 --> 00:21:42 | long trade when it doesn't No, no, but it does encourage a new startup or a new |
180 | 00:21:42 --> 00:21:46 | student when they can see these big flash moves that take place, how you can |
181 | 00:21:46 --> 00:21:49 | anticipate where they're likely they're not, you're not going to be right all |
182 | 00:21:49 --> 00:21:51 | the time. Okay, I'm not right all the time when it comes to these big events, |
183 | 00:21:51 --> 00:21:55 | okay, I have to wait, because I'm not going to put money up against something |
184 | 00:21:55 --> 00:22:00 | that's uncertain. Just as well as I mentioned that I didn't like this one |
185 | 00:22:00 --> 00:22:05 | here, and this one was more favorable for a run for Non Farm Payroll. It could |
186 | 00:22:05 --> 00:22:08 | just as easily gone down wipe this one then went up there. Okay, so that's what |
187 | 00:22:08 --> 00:22:14 | I'm about to explain to you. If you can frame on your 15 time frame, where the |
188 | 00:22:14 --> 00:22:18 | obvious pools of liquidity for buy side, which is here, above relative equal |
189 | 00:22:18 --> 00:22:23 | highs, and the sell side below relatively cool loads, if you can |
190 | 00:22:23 --> 00:22:27 | identify them both. And you should be able to do that over time by doing it |
191 | 00:22:27 --> 00:22:30 | every single day. This is what you should be doing. Also every section of |
192 | 00:22:30 --> 00:22:35 | your journal, log entry, Caleb, it should have your 15 minute time frame |
193 | 00:22:36 --> 00:22:40 | annotating at the beginning of 930 where the 15 minute pulls in the quarterly |
194 | 00:22:41 --> 00:22:44 | are, because that's, that's your Bellwether on the daily range, because |
195 | 00:22:44 --> 00:22:49 | it's going to give you every piece of information that I'm going to help build |
196 | 00:22:49 --> 00:22:52 | on before we close this live stream out today, when I review the trade I took |
197 | 00:22:52 --> 00:22:56 | yesterday that carried over in today. And no, it's not technically the fifth |
198 | 00:22:56 --> 00:23:00 | of September, because the execution that closes the trade occurred today. So the |
199 | 00:23:00 --> 00:23:05 | live execution is, it's not a profitable endeavor until the trade is closed, |
200 | 00:23:05 --> 00:23:10 | right? So the execution is September 6, not the title of the video should be |
201 | 00:23:10 --> 00:23:18 | September 5. So if we can frame the idea of buy side and sell side on the 15 |
202 | 00:23:18 --> 00:23:23 | minute time frame, what happens if the market at a high impact or maybe even |
203 | 00:23:23 --> 00:23:29 | medium impact, news driver on economic calendar, like Forex, factory, com, |
204 | 00:23:29 --> 00:23:37 | econo day. I wonder if I don't know, leave a comment in the in the post I |
205 | 00:23:37 --> 00:23:42 | just made on my community tab and or, if you're a private student, you know how |
206 | 00:23:42 --> 00:23:47 | to get ahold of me that way. Does does training view have a calendar like I |
207 | 00:23:47 --> 00:23:51 | don't, I don't know, but if they don't have one, they should do one. But |
208 | 00:23:51 --> 00:23:56 | whatever economic counter you use, if it's one of the ones I just mentioned |
209 | 00:23:56 --> 00:24:00 | here, I interchangeably use two econo days, what I've been using since the |
210 | 00:24:00 --> 00:24:08 | 90s. And then you have the the Forex factory, one which I got used in |
211 | 00:24:08 --> 00:24:13 | accustomed to using when I was teaching primarily, primarily Forex. But you want |
212 | 00:24:13 --> 00:24:17 | to look for the medium or high impact news events. I don't care about the |
213 | 00:24:17 --> 00:24:21 | yellow or the the very low impact news drivers. I don't care so much about the |
214 | 00:24:21 --> 00:24:30 | speeches. I do care about fit chair. I do care about bond auctions. I do care |
215 | 00:24:30 --> 00:24:38 | about only the US stuff. Now, if I'm trading Forex, which I don't know, I no |
216 | 00:24:38 --> 00:24:41 | longer trade Forex, and then all of you are upset right now because, like, you |
217 | 00:24:41 --> 00:24:44 | don't talk about force anymore. I hate you. You want to break up with me now. |
218 | 00:24:45 --> 00:24:50 | The the same things I'm teaching here, they work in forex. The problem is, is |
219 | 00:24:50 --> 00:24:55 | Forex right now is being strangled. Okay? There's so many things going on in |
220 | 00:24:55 --> 00:25:03 | the monetary system that there isn't a lot of. Placement going on. So you need |
221 | 00:25:03 --> 00:25:08 | huge flows coming into those those pairs, those those currencies, to create |
222 | 00:25:08 --> 00:25:16 | this disparity. And because the dollars being basically demolished, everyone's |
223 | 00:25:16 --> 00:25:21 | trying to determine what's the best play going forward. And that's the reason why |
224 | 00:25:21 --> 00:25:25 | I backpedaled away from it, because we're going to see a big, huge like a de |
225 | 00:25:25 --> 00:25:29 | pegging with the euro and the Swiss franc. Was years ago. If you've never |
226 | 00:25:29 --> 00:25:34 | seen what that was, do a do a search on YouTube for documentaries about because |
227 | 00:25:34 --> 00:25:40 | brokerage firms, large institutions, were completely wiped out instantly that |
228 | 00:25:40 --> 00:25:46 | day. So I know that that's coming. I don't know which currency it's going to |
229 | 00:25:46 --> 00:25:51 | be. It may be the dollar, it may be another currency, but everyone that's in |
230 | 00:25:51 --> 00:25:56 | forex, when that happens, they're going to get crushed immediately, gone, |
231 | 00:25:57 --> 00:26:00 | dusted, and you're going to owe more money than you ever made in your life. |
232 | 00:26:00 --> 00:26:04 | Okay? Because that's how it is. It's like you're done, you'll be liquidated, |
233 | 00:26:05 --> 00:26:12 | you're you're pink mist in the air gone. So that's why I backpedal back to |
234 | 00:26:13 --> 00:26:18 | commodities and futures trading. This is where I cut my teeth in 1992 november 5, |
235 | 00:26:18 --> 00:26:24 | 1992 that's where I started. So while Forex was fun, forex is not my thing |
236 | 00:26:24 --> 00:26:31 | anymore. Okay, so I'm glad that there's been this big shift away from Forex, and |
237 | 00:26:31 --> 00:26:35 | now folks that are wanting to be traders, they take their finances a |
238 | 00:26:35 --> 00:26:38 | little bit more serious. They're not in their gunslinging, trying to trade with |
239 | 00:26:38 --> 00:26:43 | $25 accounts and try to turn them into $1,000 in a month. Crazy stuff. Crazy, |
240 | 00:26:43 --> 00:26:45 | crazy, crazy stuff, trading with |
241 | 00:26:47 --> 00:26:50 | fake brokers, basically, okay, it's really what you're mostly dealing with |
242 | 00:26:50 --> 00:26:54 | these, with these Forex guys out there. When you're trading futures, you're |
243 | 00:26:54 --> 00:26:59 | trading a real market with real buying and selling interests. Okay, and |
244 | 00:26:59 --> 00:27:05 | billions of dollars are on the on the line, where it's a it's a gentleman's |
245 | 00:27:05 --> 00:27:09 | market, okay? And I say that because Forex, you're all going to get a |
246 | 00:27:09 --> 00:27:12 | different high, you're all going to get a different opening price. You're all |
247 | 00:27:12 --> 00:27:16 | going to get a different close, because you're dealing with brokers that are |
248 | 00:27:16 --> 00:27:22 | given the freedom to screw you in futures, everyone has the same high |
249 | 00:27:22 --> 00:27:26 | tick, everyone has the same low tick, and everyone has the same opening price |
250 | 00:27:26 --> 00:27:31 | and the same closing price. It's a level playing field. That's why professionals |
251 | 00:27:31 --> 00:27:36 | will trade this market over Forex. That's the reason why, when you afford a |
252 | 00:27:36 --> 00:27:43 | broker or the clearing firm that you're using to to execute your trades on. You |
253 | 00:27:43 --> 00:27:46 | are signing the agreement when you open up an account that they can open and |
254 | 00:27:46 --> 00:27:50 | close, and there the spread is at any time they want. It's at their discretion |
255 | 00:27:50 --> 00:27:54 | when they're going to do it. And then you wonder why your take profit doesn't |
256 | 00:27:54 --> 00:27:59 | get hit, or your stop gets hit. But then it runs. It's going to happen more times |
257 | 00:27:59 --> 00:28:03 | in forex than it will happen in futures. Now it doesn't mean that you can't be |
258 | 00:28:04 --> 00:28:09 | taken out and swiped with a stock hunt in futures, but the difference is, the |
259 | 00:28:09 --> 00:28:14 | contrast is, you were really wrong. If it happens in futures, and that's good, |
260 | 00:28:15 --> 00:28:20 | you want to know if you're wrong, okay, but in forex, you have this wide degree |
261 | 00:28:20 --> 00:28:26 | of disparity between all brokerage and that, to me, is a little scammy. Okay, |
262 | 00:28:26 --> 00:28:33 | so if they are going to cannibalize their own clientele, would you choose |
263 | 00:28:33 --> 00:28:39 | the trade in that? Would you rather swim in the pond full of crocodiles or get |
264 | 00:28:39 --> 00:28:44 | into a pond that's far enough that affords you the time to get the hell out |
265 | 00:28:44 --> 00:28:49 | of there. If that one single hippo is at the far end of it, and you've been |
266 | 00:28:49 --> 00:28:52 | watching the whole time, that's what futures is. There's, there's a hippo in |
267 | 00:28:52 --> 00:29:00 | this water, okay? And hippos, they kill more than crocodiles a year, but you got |
268 | 00:29:00 --> 00:29:08 | one shot, one chance to screw it up here in futures, in forex, you have so many |
269 | 00:29:08 --> 00:29:13 | things that can go awry and go against you that are outside your control. You |
270 | 00:29:13 --> 00:29:16 | may not even see it happening or even understand that it's happening. So |
271 | 00:29:16 --> 00:29:18 | that's why I've migrated away from that, because now the climate is |
272 | 00:29:18 --> 00:29:25 | geopolitically primed for some major financial meltdown, and it's going to be |
273 | 00:29:25 --> 00:29:29 | in the currencies. The currencies are going to get crushed, and it's not going |
274 | 00:29:29 --> 00:29:33 | to be something that you can trade. Look at the Swissy and the euro de pegging, |
275 | 00:29:33 --> 00:29:36 | okay? And you'll see exactly what I'm talking about. It's one second, it's |
276 | 00:29:36 --> 00:29:40 | there, and then it's immediate, the game over, like it's it's game over, |
277 | 00:29:40 --> 00:29:46 | instantaneously, boom, it's gone. You don't have anything left. And literally, |
278 | 00:29:46 --> 00:29:50 | brokerage firms, large institutions, were completely crushed. So I'm |
279 | 00:29:50 --> 00:29:53 | answering this because I'm still getting questions. Why I'm not talking about |
280 | 00:29:53 --> 00:29:56 | forex, because if I talk about forex, I know, but my influence is going to have |
281 | 00:29:56 --> 00:30:00 | people doing what I want to trade Forex. I want to do what ICT is doing. I don't |
282 | 00:30:00 --> 00:30:05 | do this. I want to do that. I'm not in forex. I don't have a penny in forex, |
283 | 00:30:05 --> 00:30:12 | zero, zilch, nada. No broker holds any money in forex. For me, none, not one. |
284 | 00:30:13 --> 00:30:19 | In futures, you have reputable brokers. You have the same price. Everybody sees |
285 | 00:30:19 --> 00:30:23 | the same thing. It's a level playing field, and it's a professional |
286 | 00:30:23 --> 00:30:27 | gentleman's market. That means, yes, there's manipulation, but it's not like |
287 | 00:30:27 --> 00:30:32 | a wild wild west, like, like Forex is okay, and it's not likely to have the |
288 | 00:30:32 --> 00:30:36 | same thing happen to it, even if there is something in the currency mark there |
289 | 00:30:36 --> 00:30:41 | will, there will be shock waves in futures as a result of that. But I would |
290 | 00:30:41 --> 00:30:46 | be better equipped mentally and psychologically to weather any |
291 | 00:30:46 --> 00:30:53 | adversities while trading futures versus Forex. So there's your answer for |
292 | 00:30:53 --> 00:30:57 | everybody's been asking. Why you keep talking about stuff? Nobody asked you. |
293 | 00:30:57 --> 00:31:01 | You don't know who's asking me anything, bro. So we're back up into new day, |
294 | 00:31:01 --> 00:31:05 | opening gaps in that beautiful so we traded all the way back up to the buy |
295 | 00:31:05 --> 00:31:09 | side, which was favored over this because of that little, tiny, little |
296 | 00:31:09 --> 00:31:15 | tick below that. But what happens if it runs both sides ahead of 930 like |
297 | 00:31:15 --> 00:31:19 | saying, say, for instance, it opened here at 830 it traded down, hit the sell |
298 | 00:31:19 --> 00:31:23 | side first, and then ran up, hit the buy side, if it would do that, and then keep |
299 | 00:31:23 --> 00:31:28 | the range, whatever this, you know, say that that high right here, say stays |
300 | 00:31:28 --> 00:31:33 | intact. And then we march to 930 and it doesn't make a higher high, and it |
301 | 00:31:33 --> 00:31:37 | doesn't go below here, if it did both sides of I'm sorry I said something |
302 | 00:31:37 --> 00:31:41 | wrong. If it would have taken sell side first. And then when I printed the buy |
303 | 00:31:41 --> 00:31:47 | side, and the range that was defined by that stays intact all the way till 930 |
304 | 00:31:48 --> 00:31:55 | What that indicates is we have a 50, we have a 5050, chance that the market's |
305 | 00:31:55 --> 00:32:02 | going to stay inside that range and not go down and take The low out again. But |
306 | 00:32:02 --> 00:32:07 | what happens if it does this, it fails to take out that sell side, takes out |
307 | 00:32:07 --> 00:32:12 | the buy side, and then doesn't rip and keep going and crushing speed going |
308 | 00:32:12 --> 00:32:16 | higher, like if it just hangs around and creates a little bit like retracement |
309 | 00:32:16 --> 00:32:21 | back into the first fair a gap on Thursday, because that's what this blue |
310 | 00:32:21 --> 00:32:25 | line is here. I had to throw that little lipstick annotation on because I didn't |
311 | 00:32:25 --> 00:32:28 | want to create anything over here because the text wouldn't show up. So I |
312 | 00:32:28 --> 00:32:32 | had to type it in like that. So I had to make sure the recorded trade had |
313 | 00:32:32 --> 00:32:36 | everything on the chart. So I usually don't like to annotate that way. But if |
314 | 00:32:37 --> 00:32:42 | it stays the way it is right here, and we didn't take out the sell side. It |
315 | 00:32:42 --> 00:32:45 | means that we could flirt with trying to make an attempt to go back down here, |
316 | 00:32:45 --> 00:32:49 | but I would expect it to fail, and then everybody would want to chase it going |
317 | 00:32:49 --> 00:32:54 | lower. And then they would do something that's like this, after 930 going into |
318 | 00:32:54 --> 00:33:01 | 10 o'clock, 1130 and then closing somewhere in the middle of the high end |
319 | 00:33:01 --> 00:33:08 | of the daily Fairbank app on August 13. So it gives you at least something to |
320 | 00:33:08 --> 00:33:12 | work with, initially, to frame some kind of a narrative. And I know what I just |
321 | 00:33:12 --> 00:33:16 | explained to you for the very, very brand new students that are coming to |
322 | 00:33:16 --> 00:33:21 | me, it's a little advanced, but it's okay, because you're seeing the outline |
323 | 00:33:21 --> 00:33:24 | things day after day, and when I'm talking about the higher Time Frame |
324 | 00:33:24 --> 00:33:29 | charts where the price should reach to, what should it gravitate to over time |
325 | 00:33:29 --> 00:33:32 | being exposed to that a lot of the questions that you have right now that |
326 | 00:33:32 --> 00:33:35 | you think are paramount, that you can't sleep unless you figure the answers out |
327 | 00:33:35 --> 00:33:40 | right now, I promise you, if you just write those questions down in your study |
328 | 00:33:40 --> 00:33:45 | journal. Just relax. The days that you have those questions come up, write them |
329 | 00:33:45 --> 00:33:48 | down and leave space for the answer, because eventually, when you get to |
330 | 00:33:48 --> 00:33:53 | another video, do you watch by me or a live stream, I'll cover something. But |
331 | 00:33:54 --> 00:33:58 | obviously I there so many of you that are watching. I know most of what you're |
332 | 00:33:58 --> 00:34:01 | going to ask me anyway, and most of those things are already answered in the |
333 | 00:34:01 --> 00:34:05 | old content that's on my YouTube channel, all the old lectures, they're |
334 | 00:34:05 --> 00:34:10 | not stale. They don't they don't stop working because they're years old. All |
335 | 00:34:10 --> 00:34:15 | the stuff that I taught in 1996 are still they're still happening right now, |
336 | 00:34:15 --> 00:34:21 | and you're talking about the algorithm changing. Come on, now. So 15 minute |
337 | 00:34:21 --> 00:34:27 | time. Time Frame Caleb is what you want to focus on. Early on, I expect Caleb to |
338 | 00:34:27 --> 00:34:31 | have the wrong buy side and sell side annotated. It's it's normal for that to |
339 | 00:34:31 --> 00:34:37 | happen. I want him to mess it up so that way I can show him what he's doing wrong |
340 | 00:34:37 --> 00:34:41 | and where the right one is. That way, if you're doing similar things, you will |
341 | 00:34:41 --> 00:34:46 | have that experience of, oh, yeah, I probably was thinking the same thing, if |
342 | 00:34:46 --> 00:34:49 | you're even doing it at all. That's why it's important before you watch anything |
343 | 00:34:49 --> 00:34:56 | that appears on Caleb's channel, you do it first in your own charts. Okay? |
344 | 00:34:56 --> 00:35:01 | Because that way it's like the same experience by me. Showing you mine. I'll |
345 | 00:35:01 --> 00:35:04 | show you what my charts look like the end of the day. This is my annotations. |
346 | 00:35:04 --> 00:35:07 | This is how you should have your charts marked up. These are the observe |
347 | 00:35:07 --> 00:35:12 | observations that you should have, in my opinion, based on what I believe you as |
348 | 00:35:12 --> 00:35:16 | the audience members, specifically Caleb, my son, you should be focusing on |
349 | 00:35:16 --> 00:35:20 | right now. It does not mean it encapsulates every possible thing that |
350 | 00:35:20 --> 00:35:24 | I've ever taught on it just means that as a beginning basis point, like, if |
351 | 00:35:24 --> 00:35:28 | you're brand new, you want to know how to start, this is how you start the 2024 |
352 | 00:35:28 --> 00:35:33 | mentorship. And then watch what I'm doing over my son's channel for the next |
353 | 00:35:33 --> 00:35:37 | couple weeks, it'll be primarily me talking, and then, because he's seen |
354 | 00:35:37 --> 00:35:44 | enough examples of it, he can ask me pertinent questions that are useful |
355 | 00:35:44 --> 00:35:50 | Otherwise, otherwise. Right now, if I sit with him and he says, Alright, Dad, |
356 | 00:35:50 --> 00:35:54 | what about this? And what about that? They're infantile questions, and they're |
357 | 00:35:54 --> 00:35:59 | best suited to be answered just by going through the process of me watching, you |
358 | 00:35:59 --> 00:36:05 | know, the next couple weeks, reviewing, doing the screenshots for his journal, |
359 | 00:36:05 --> 00:36:09 | and then he's going to try to, in his best effort, try to replicate that on |
360 | 00:36:09 --> 00:36:13 | his own, and it probably won't be as clean, crisp, and it's going to get in |
361 | 00:36:13 --> 00:36:18 | my mirrors, because I'm OCD, but you are looking at those charts, what They are |
362 | 00:36:18 --> 00:36:20 | documenting are important to you. |
363 | 00:36:22 --> 00:36:26 | I'm watching this over here, so I'm looking at this little section of price |
364 | 00:36:27 --> 00:36:33 | action. See how we went. We went down, up, and then now down. So there's this |
365 | 00:36:33 --> 00:36:37 | inefficiency right here. This is the only thing that I'm watching. If it |
366 | 00:36:37 --> 00:36:43 | really starts to make a move above that, then we'll probably be working towards a |
367 | 00:36:43 --> 00:36:48 | deeper retracement. Post 930 right now, it's just traded right back up in the |
368 | 00:36:48 --> 00:36:51 | middle area here. I don't think that that is a reason to stop price going |
369 | 00:36:51 --> 00:36:55 | higher, but that's just something I'm watching as I was talking to you. So 15 |
370 | 00:36:55 --> 00:36:59 | minute time frame, there's your liquidity pools, and then you strip it |
371 | 00:36:59 --> 00:37:07 | down from the 15 minute time frame down into a five minute and levels that would |
372 | 00:37:08 --> 00:37:14 | be defined on this time frame, they're considered minor by side and sell side. |
373 | 00:37:15 --> 00:37:19 | Okay, so you have primary buy side and sell side on a 15 minute time frame, and |
374 | 00:37:19 --> 00:37:23 | that's going to give you your first parameters for framing out or fleshing |
375 | 00:37:23 --> 00:37:30 | out a a narrative for the session and or the daily range. So one of the things I |
376 | 00:37:30 --> 00:37:35 | like watching in other live streamers and other YouTube channels that are very |
377 | 00:37:35 --> 00:37:38 | upfront, and they tell you what they believe, what they think, their |
378 | 00:37:38 --> 00:37:41 | opinions, and some of them are actually executing on them. I'm thankful that |
379 | 00:37:41 --> 00:37:46 | they're willing to do that, because they they create pools of liquidity in |
380 | 00:37:46 --> 00:37:51 | sentiment, and it allows them when they when they get on their YouTube channel. |
381 | 00:37:51 --> 00:37:56 | And this is not enough against any individual YouTuber. I'm focusing on |
382 | 00:37:56 --> 00:38:01 | their audience, because that's what I'm watching. All they're doing is creating |
383 | 00:38:01 --> 00:38:06 | another watering hole. So when I'm watching all YouTubers, it's a watering |
384 | 00:38:06 --> 00:38:10 | hole. Animals are going to go out to that watering hole, and they're going to |
385 | 00:38:10 --> 00:38:13 | try to get a drink, and they're either chasing what this person's doing in the |
386 | 00:38:13 --> 00:38:17 | YouTube in their YouTube stream, which I don't ever there's nobody out there I |
387 | 00:38:17 --> 00:38:23 | want to follow. Not one, okay, but I like watching my students, but I like |
388 | 00:38:23 --> 00:38:28 | watching specifically a number of YouTubers that have a decent following, |
389 | 00:38:28 --> 00:38:35 | and their animation around a particular bias for the day if they think a certain |
390 | 00:38:35 --> 00:38:38 | level is going to be hit. And for instance, let's roll back in time. Let's |
391 | 00:38:38 --> 00:38:43 | just say right before 830 say it wasn't Non Farm Payroll, and we weren't going |
392 | 00:38:43 --> 00:38:47 | to have this fast run in price the way I just framed out the sell side and the |
393 | 00:38:47 --> 00:38:52 | buy side real time in front of you. I would have those same levels annotated |
394 | 00:38:52 --> 00:38:55 | the same way. It just means that it's likely to take a little bit longer to |
395 | 00:38:55 --> 00:39:01 | get to them, because it's not a Non Farm Payroll FOMC, CPI or PPI type event |
396 | 00:39:01 --> 00:39:08 | driving price right to it. So because that resource that we have in YouTube, |
397 | 00:39:09 --> 00:39:16 | it allows the folks to have a chat window and whatever, by watching the |
398 | 00:39:16 --> 00:39:22 | sentiment shifting. And if I see another YouTube channel that I watch, and I |
399 | 00:39:22 --> 00:39:28 | think that they have a very busy channel with chat. I love that, and I'm not |
400 | 00:39:28 --> 00:39:33 | engaging in their chat, but I'm sometimes I'll throw a bone out there to |
401 | 00:39:33 --> 00:39:37 | try to get some kind of like, if it's real dry and nobody's really chatting up |
402 | 00:39:37 --> 00:39:40 | anything that gives me any kind of sentiment reading, I'll make myself |
403 | 00:39:40 --> 00:39:43 | known in the chat, and then all of a sudden, Billy, big ass, you know, balls, |
404 | 00:39:43 --> 00:39:46 | or whatever you want to call it, guy wants to show everybody he's smart. |
405 | 00:39:47 --> 00:39:51 | He'll say something. And then that's what I'm looking for. I want the Joker |
406 | 00:39:51 --> 00:39:56 | to raise his head up, because as soon as he does that, somebody else is either |
407 | 00:39:56 --> 00:39:59 | going to say, No, I don't think that's going to happen, and in a wave of other |
408 | 00:39:59 --> 00:40:02 | people. People saying, Yeah, you're right. That's not right, or they'll |
409 | 00:40:02 --> 00:40:09 | support him. That's me manipulating that chat room. Okay? I'm, I'm creating some |
410 | 00:40:09 --> 00:40:13 | fluctuation, because I have to create disturbance. I'm, I'm act like a Judas. |
411 | 00:40:14 --> 00:40:19 | So I want their opinion. If I see predominantly, most of the people that |
412 | 00:40:19 --> 00:40:23 | I'm watching, sentiment wise, if they're saying they think it's going to go down, |
413 | 00:40:23 --> 00:40:27 | and I'm already seeing things like this low went lower than that one, and this |
414 | 00:40:27 --> 00:40:31 | one is relatively equal. See, there's this this high here didn't go above that |
415 | 00:40:31 --> 00:40:35 | high, even though these could be framed, if you're looking at that way, that |
416 | 00:40:35 --> 00:40:39 | would be a relative equal high. But this is high probability. Why? Because this |
417 | 00:40:39 --> 00:40:42 | high is lower than that one. Go back to what I was teaching you in the 2024 |
418 | 00:40:42 --> 00:40:46 | contents. Four content so far. So this high over here is lower than that one. |
419 | 00:40:47 --> 00:40:55 | But you don't have that here, do you? You have this lower and then you got |
420 | 00:40:55 --> 00:40:59 | this one over here where it's just like it's already disturbed it it's disturbed |
421 | 00:40:59 --> 00:41:07 | that liquidity where here it's a little bit more blocky looking, where this is a |
422 | 00:41:07 --> 00:41:14 | wick. If this wick gets overtaken, like it does here, that means it took a real |
423 | 00:41:14 --> 00:41:19 | run on liquidity versus like how I treat a wick, I'll break that down into |
424 | 00:41:19 --> 00:41:23 | quadrants and, more specifically, the halfway point. If I see a wick like |
425 | 00:41:23 --> 00:41:26 | this, and we're above it, I want to see it trade down into the upper half of it, |
426 | 00:41:26 --> 00:41:31 | but not even go below the midpoint of it. But in this leg lower, it passed |
427 | 00:41:31 --> 00:41:36 | through that easily and spent time down there. What was it doing? It was |
428 | 00:41:36 --> 00:41:43 | accumulating. See, you don't have those signatures up here, it's more blocky, so |
429 | 00:41:43 --> 00:41:47 | that makes this a better candidate for a high impact or medium pack news driver, |
430 | 00:41:48 --> 00:41:52 | drawing to that. But if it's not a medium, I'm sorry, excuse me, if it's |
431 | 00:41:52 --> 00:41:56 | not a high impact news event, like the PPI number that comes out the CPI |
432 | 00:41:56 --> 00:42:01 | number, if a FOMC rate announcement comes out in the afternoon, two, 230 in |
433 | 00:42:01 --> 00:42:05 | the conference call, and then you have, like, a nonprofit payroll event here, |
434 | 00:42:05 --> 00:42:11 | excluding them everything else. If it's on economic calendar with a medium |
435 | 00:42:11 --> 00:42:16 | impact, I would expect that same type of thing unfolding here. It just would be a |
436 | 00:42:16 --> 00:42:21 | gradual trading up to that level for the buy side. Does that make sense? I know |
437 | 00:42:21 --> 00:42:27 | you can't answer me, but it's affording me the the moment where I framed where |
438 | 00:42:27 --> 00:42:31 | liquidity is, and then I'm actually getting a dynamic sentiment reading by |
439 | 00:42:31 --> 00:42:37 | people that have a vested interest in looking right on social media. Think |
440 | 00:42:37 --> 00:42:42 | about that. If they're going into these chat rooms, and they're trying to voice |
441 | 00:42:42 --> 00:42:44 | their opinion. It doesn't matter if they're right or wrong. Okay, that's |
442 | 00:42:44 --> 00:42:48 | not, that's not my point. The point is, is they're willing to to toss it out |
443 | 00:42:48 --> 00:42:54 | there in the ether, and I want to see how much traction it gains by anyone |
444 | 00:42:54 --> 00:42:58 | else in that chat room. That's how I'm using other youtubers streams. And if |
445 | 00:42:58 --> 00:43:02 | they start cheerleading the idea, oh, yeah, yeah. I like that idea. But my |
446 | 00:43:02 --> 00:43:06 | Target's a little bit past that. That's exactly what I want to hear. I want to |
447 | 00:43:06 --> 00:43:09 | hear that stuff like this, yeah. I want to see it go below that low here. I want |
448 | 00:43:09 --> 00:43:13 | to aim for 18,006 80, and then somebody else will come behind say, no, no, I'm |
449 | 00:43:13 --> 00:43:20 | looking for 660 bro. That's exactly what I'm looking for, because now I'm arm |
450 | 00:43:20 --> 00:43:25 | wrestling them as smart money against dumb money, street money. Okay, I'm not |
451 | 00:43:26 --> 00:43:30 | saying everybody in the everybody else's live stream is dumb money. I'm just the |
452 | 00:43:30 --> 00:43:35 | ones that are acting that way when I'm expecting this load not to be taken and |
453 | 00:43:35 --> 00:43:42 | this area here to be drawn to. What you have at that very moment is the purest |
454 | 00:43:42 --> 00:43:50 | form of sentiment at a very specific time where it's diametrically opposed to |
455 | 00:43:50 --> 00:43:52 | what the algorithm is going to do. Who do you think's going to win that? |
456 | 00:43:55 --> 00:43:58 | Who do you think's going to win that? Right? |
457 | 00:43:59 --> 00:44:04 | Come on. Now you know the answer. Dumb money is going to fall on the sword of |
458 | 00:44:04 --> 00:44:10 | smart smart money. Okay? And when we can see these, these tug of wars, these, |
459 | 00:44:10 --> 00:44:15 | these wars, if you will, between someone that's not informed. They're just |
460 | 00:44:15 --> 00:44:20 | impulsively trying to share an opinion for the purpose of looking right, smart |
461 | 00:44:20 --> 00:44:25 | money's not trying to be right. Smart Money is out there decapitating other |
462 | 00:44:25 --> 00:44:30 | large entities. That's what they're doing. That's what they do. The |
463 | 00:44:30 --> 00:44:35 | algorithm just delivers price. Smart Money engages with that algorithm, with |
464 | 00:44:35 --> 00:44:38 | their own high frequency trading algorithms, or discretionary trading, |
465 | 00:44:38 --> 00:44:46 | but they use the logic that I'm showing you here, so banks do not trade with |
466 | 00:44:46 --> 00:44:52 | what I'm showing you here. There's an entity outside of that. Okay, it's |
467 | 00:44:52 --> 00:44:56 | outside of that. They're not Goldman Sachs, because Goldman Sachs tells you |
468 | 00:44:56 --> 00:45:00 | you can't trade in time the market. Well, they're, they're really. Up with |
469 | 00:45:00 --> 00:45:05 | what I just did today. Two I'm doing every single day, proving where the |
470 | 00:45:05 --> 00:45:09 | marks are going to go next. And does it look like noise to you? Does it feel |
471 | 00:45:09 --> 00:45:13 | like you're confused as to, oh, it's too much noise going on these time frames. |
472 | 00:45:13 --> 00:45:18 | No. It's clarity, right? And it's encouraging. It encourages you to be |
473 | 00:45:18 --> 00:45:23 | able to say, hey, if this guy can do it, and he used to deliver pizza. Come on, |
474 | 00:45:23 --> 00:45:26 | man, I can do this if I apply myself. You just gotta give yourself some more |
475 | 00:45:26 --> 00:45:30 | time and effort. So if the 15 minute time frame buy side and sell side |
476 | 00:45:30 --> 00:45:36 | liquidity pools are defined, it gives you an initial context, and I will |
477 | 00:45:36 --> 00:45:40 | counsel you. And the live streamers will appreciate you by watching their streams |
478 | 00:45:40 --> 00:45:47 | too, because they'll get more views. But every big name YouTuber that follows the |
479 | 00:45:47 --> 00:45:54 | futures market, my advice is, quietly, respectfully in anonymity, start |
480 | 00:45:54 --> 00:45:58 | watching their chat windows, because I'm using that as the best sentiment |
481 | 00:45:58 --> 00:46:03 | indicator, because I know what I'm looking for. Technically, I'm looking |
482 | 00:46:03 --> 00:46:07 | for something to take place, to draw to a specific price level, to behave a |
483 | 00:46:07 --> 00:46:11 | certain way. And I have made that known to you since we started doing this |
484 | 00:46:11 --> 00:46:16 | mentorship. I told you every step of the way what I'm looking for. I'm using |
485 | 00:46:16 --> 00:46:19 | higher Time Frame charts to tell you what I think narrative wise, but |
486 | 00:46:19 --> 00:46:23 | intraday, I can trade both sides. It's not a problem to do that. But if we're |
487 | 00:46:23 --> 00:46:29 | looking for that low on August 13, on the fair value gap, which I'll take you |
488 | 00:46:29 --> 00:46:32 | up to chart in a second, that was where I wanted to see it trade down to this |
489 | 00:46:32 --> 00:46:39 | week, once it hits that, I'm done. I'm not personally looking for anything |
490 | 00:46:39 --> 00:46:43 | lower. Can it go lower? Absolutely can, but I'm not going to be on that. Why? |
491 | 00:46:43 --> 00:46:49 | Because I'm sailing into the weekend. I'm done. I let everybody else out here |
492 | 00:46:49 --> 00:46:55 | fight on Non Farm Payroll Friday to find something to make money on when I just |
493 | 00:46:55 --> 00:47:02 | destroyed it. Godzillas, the tonic breath, boom, gone nuclear waste now, |
494 | 00:47:02 --> 00:47:07 | and everybody else is trying to find scraps to eat. I'm out the door. I'm |
495 | 00:47:07 --> 00:47:13 | out. I've already done enough damage. I don't need to do anything else. So I'm |
496 | 00:47:13 --> 00:47:18 | walking back out to the ocean. Find myself in my Godzilla layer, right? So |
497 | 00:47:18 --> 00:47:23 | if, and it's always some kind of movie, movie analogy. That's how my brain |
498 | 00:47:23 --> 00:47:28 | works, man. So when we drop down from a 15 minute time frame to a five minute |
499 | 00:47:28 --> 00:47:31 | chart, then you start seeing smaller pools of liquidity. And what would that |
500 | 00:47:31 --> 00:47:37 | look like? Well, inside of this low, in this high, that's your range. So if we |
501 | 00:47:37 --> 00:47:43 | think by dividing up the characteristics that the buy side liquidity pool has, in |
502 | 00:47:43 --> 00:47:47 | contrast to what the sell side the fact that this wick was overtaken, that, to |
503 | 00:47:47 --> 00:47:52 | me, is more indicative of this was a real stop hunt, versus this blockiness. |
504 | 00:47:52 --> 00:47:58 | Okay, it's just real smooth compared to this. Would you agree this is a little |
505 | 00:47:58 --> 00:48:04 | bit more jagged, more piercing, versus all of this blockiness. So this is more |
506 | 00:48:04 --> 00:48:09 | likely to be drawn to on the basis of just the way that price printed it. Then |
507 | 00:48:09 --> 00:48:13 | you add to it. What day of the week is it? It's Friday. What direction |
508 | 00:48:13 --> 00:48:18 | primarily has this week been doing? Does it be going up all week because of it |
509 | 00:48:18 --> 00:48:21 | going down all week? Clearly, it's been going down all week. We had a big old |
510 | 00:48:21 --> 00:48:25 | Tuesday drop down. Okay, the first part of the morning, I wasn't part of that, |
511 | 00:48:26 --> 00:48:29 | but I smashed it in the afternoon, and then you then you watched what I did |
512 | 00:48:29 --> 00:48:33 | yesterday and today. So I don't need to be in there every day. I knew how to |
513 | 00:48:33 --> 00:48:39 | catch up. I had to fill in the gaps of days where I wasn't participating in |
514 | 00:48:39 --> 00:48:44 | because I will let the market tell me what it wants to do. I want the setup to |
515 | 00:48:44 --> 00:48:50 | come to me as I'll indicate when we break down that trade. But you you have |
516 | 00:48:50 --> 00:48:56 | to look at price and discern, discern when you're going to engage, when you're |
517 | 00:48:56 --> 00:49:02 | not going to engage, and once you have that 15 minute time frame defined. This |
518 | 00:49:02 --> 00:49:09 | is your dealing range. This is your high and this is your low. What is the daily |
519 | 00:49:09 --> 00:49:13 | range and or specifically, what's the morning session going to do with that |
520 | 00:49:13 --> 00:49:17 | range? Is it going to stay inside of it, or is it going to trade just outside the |
521 | 00:49:17 --> 00:49:22 | low of it? Or is it going to trade just outside the high of it, is it going to |
522 | 00:49:22 --> 00:49:26 | run both sides first? And if it's going to run both sides, which side does it |
523 | 00:49:26 --> 00:49:31 | run first? In this case, it ran the device side. But it stacks the odds |
524 | 00:49:31 --> 00:49:37 | against this being a prolonged move lower for me personally, because it's |
525 | 00:49:37 --> 00:49:42 | Friday, it's fulfilled my high time frame daily objective by going into that |
526 | 00:49:42 --> 00:49:45 | August 13 daily low, fair value got low. And that sounds like a whole lot of |
527 | 00:49:45 --> 00:49:49 | mumbo jumbo, but when we go back to the daily chart, you're going to see exactly |
528 | 00:49:49 --> 00:49:52 | what I'm talking about. It's going to make perfect sense. But this isn't going |
529 | 00:49:52 --> 00:49:55 | to be a long video, so it's going to be easy for you to watch a few times to get |
530 | 00:49:55 --> 00:50:00 | the the notes from it after the 15 minute time frames the. Find where you |
531 | 00:50:00 --> 00:50:03 | have both buy side, sell side, dropping down to a five minute chart, then you |
532 | 00:50:03 --> 00:50:07 | can start looking at things like this, where this is a high, slightly lower |
533 | 00:50:07 --> 00:50:11 | high, so these are relatively equal. You might not see it that way. That's what |
534 | 00:50:11 --> 00:50:15 | I'm teaching my son. The view it as so buy side is defined with this high here. |
535 | 00:50:15 --> 00:50:18 | What kind of high would that be? What kind of buy side specifically would that |
536 | 00:50:18 --> 00:50:25 | be? A minor by side liquidity pool. So you'd annotate like this. |
537 | 00:50:30 --> 00:50:35 | I already have presets, and I know it's Rashi nuts. You save so much time. I'm |
538 | 00:50:35 --> 00:50:40 | teaching I'm not trying to save time. I'm teaching you want your brain surgeon |
539 | 00:50:40 --> 00:50:44 | to go through the cliff notes, and then we'll be doing brain surgery on you. No, |
540 | 00:50:44 --> 00:50:49 | thanks, bro. I'm not doing that. I want the person that went through all of it |
541 | 00:50:49 --> 00:50:54 | the right way. So this way, it helps teach how people are to annotate, |
542 | 00:50:55 --> 00:51:00 | because there's always new students coming in top left, and I like 14 or 16, |
543 | 00:51:00 --> 00:51:03 | depending on what the troubles like. That's good for me. For good for them. |
544 | 00:51:03 --> 00:51:07 | So this is a, this is a minor buy side liquidity pool, okay? And then we have, |
545 | 00:51:07 --> 00:51:13 | again, right in here. See these, so that same thing, so we can highlight, not the |
546 | 00:51:13 --> 00:51:17 | edge of it, the highlight the the line. Hold down Control. Drag your mouse away |
547 | 00:51:17 --> 00:51:21 | from it. It'll copy it. And then you just put it on the higher of the two |
548 | 00:51:21 --> 00:51:29 | highs and extend that over. Okay, so you have a primary sell side liquidity pool, |
549 | 00:51:30 --> 00:51:34 | a primary buy side liquidity pool. What makes it primary? It's a 15 minute time |
550 | 00:51:34 --> 00:51:38 | frame dealing range, so that way it tells you what, what you are going to |
551 | 00:51:38 --> 00:51:41 | frame your session and or daily range around initially, because you have to |
552 | 00:51:41 --> 00:51:45 | have a starting point right. Where do I start? ICT, where do I start looking? |
553 | 00:51:45 --> 00:51:50 | This is what you start with. Okay, but that five minute chart will break down |
554 | 00:51:50 --> 00:51:55 | that range from this high down to that low, into smaller buy side and sell side |
555 | 00:51:55 --> 00:52:00 | liquidity pools. So what are we seeing here, inside this range? Primarily it's |
556 | 00:52:00 --> 00:52:07 | buy side, buy side. Okay, we have a lower run here below a wick. So that |
557 | 00:52:07 --> 00:52:11 | means this is a little bit more jagged. It's Friday. It's been going down all |
558 | 00:52:11 --> 00:52:15 | week. So which side is Non Farm Payroll, most likely not all the time. Not a |
559 | 00:52:15 --> 00:52:18 | panacea, not a be all, end all. It's always going to work this way, because |
560 | 00:52:18 --> 00:52:22 | ICT said, so is this my protocol? This is what I teach my students, that look |
561 | 00:52:22 --> 00:52:27 | at price like this, to anticipate where the market is likely to go. I do the |
562 | 00:52:27 --> 00:52:32 | same thing with ppi and CPI, and I sometimes, sometimes, and I'm talking |
563 | 00:52:32 --> 00:52:38 | about maybe 2% of the time get it right, but 98% of the time I'm wrong on CPI PPI |
564 | 00:52:38 --> 00:52:42 | numbers, initial delivery like this. So I'm trying to remind you, don't think |
565 | 00:52:42 --> 00:52:46 | that you're going to walk out there like John Lane and be like, it's over. You |
566 | 00:52:46 --> 00:52:49 | know, the Duke's here, and I own all this stuff. Now, this is my show, this |
567 | 00:52:49 --> 00:52:52 | new sheriff in town. You ain't gonna be able to pull that off. Okay? It's not |
568 | 00:52:52 --> 00:52:55 | gonna happen. Because if it could be done, I'd be doing it, and I'm not able |
569 | 00:52:55 --> 00:52:59 | to do it because no one knows what they're gonna do with that information. |
570 | 00:52:59 --> 00:53:05 | That information may be technically viewed historically as a positive, but |
571 | 00:53:05 --> 00:53:08 | they sink it aggressively lower, and then they'll make the excuse later on. |
572 | 00:53:08 --> 00:53:11 | Well, you know, they they priced in. You should have known better. They didn't |
573 | 00:53:11 --> 00:53:15 | have any articles saying that they were expecting that. But there's always some |
574 | 00:53:15 --> 00:53:20 | excuse in the news feeds that it was priced in, traders priced in this. And |
575 | 00:53:20 --> 00:53:23 | come on, if it ain't something you're going to tell me in advance, don't talk |
576 | 00:53:23 --> 00:53:28 | about it. Don't talk about it. Okay? So I don't care about what the raw data is. |
577 | 00:53:28 --> 00:53:32 | I don't care what the job number is. I don't care how many jobs are, are lost |
578 | 00:53:32 --> 00:53:35 | or created. I don't care about that stuff. Okay? Because they're all lies |
579 | 00:53:35 --> 00:53:38 | anyway. Everything about those data points, every single one of them, every |
580 | 00:53:38 --> 00:53:44 | single one of them, are all fake. They're all meant to stimulate the |
581 | 00:53:44 --> 00:53:48 | pockets of investors and large institutions. That's what they're there |
582 | 00:53:48 --> 00:53:53 | for. Okay, so it's like, it's like an illusion. It's a reason for you to have |
583 | 00:53:53 --> 00:53:57 | some other excuse to get in here and risk more of your money. That's what it |
584 | 00:53:57 --> 00:54:01 | is. So because I think about it like that, I don't go in with trying to |
585 | 00:54:01 --> 00:54:04 | decipher the fundamental aspects of it, because fundamentals have left the chat |
586 | 00:54:04 --> 00:54:10 | a long, long time ago, a long time ago. Soon as we left the 90s, fundamental |
587 | 00:54:10 --> 00:54:17 | analysis is now a joke because there's so much lies built into it you can't |
588 | 00:54:17 --> 00:54:21 | trust it. So it goes right back to where I started as a type of trader. The |
589 | 00:54:21 --> 00:54:28 | chart's going to tell you everything, everything. So if we start looking at |
590 | 00:54:28 --> 00:54:30 | that range, and we see there's a buy side here, there's a buy side here, in a |
591 | 00:54:30 --> 00:54:37 | five minute chart, we can see how these are treated in the the realm of how far |
592 | 00:54:37 --> 00:54:40 | we're going to reach back to that buy side, because we already determined that |
593 | 00:54:40 --> 00:54:44 | that's more likely. And you heard me say that before the nonprofit number |
594 | 00:54:44 --> 00:54:50 | releases, how we traded that first minor buy side. That's going to give you a |
595 | 00:54:50 --> 00:54:56 | clue. Okay, it trades up to a here, and then watch what it does. Jams down. |
596 | 00:54:56 --> 00:54:59 | What's that doing, taking out that short term low, but it is not going below that |
597 | 00:54:59 --> 00:55:06 | low. Beer. So as soon as this candle closes there, this one here is the next |
598 | 00:55:06 --> 00:55:10 | one that is considered. It trades above it right back down in and then rips |
599 | 00:55:10 --> 00:55:17 | through the buy side. You cannot trade this on nonprofit payroll. Release. You |
600 | 00:55:17 --> 00:55:22 | can't. You're not going to get filled or you're going to get slipped so bad. What |
601 | 00:55:22 --> 00:55:29 | is slippage? Slippage is you trying to buy it at, say, 18,008 45 and you get |
602 | 00:55:29 --> 00:55:36 | filled at 18,008 62 or higher, and but you want to have a stop loss somewhere |
603 | 00:55:36 --> 00:55:42 | down here, you now just were filled at a very unfavorable place, and now your |
604 | 00:55:42 --> 00:55:47 | risk is incurred in a much larger capacity than you initially wanted to |
605 | 00:55:47 --> 00:55:52 | take on if you even get a fill, you may not even get filled. I have tried very, |
606 | 00:55:52 --> 00:55:59 | very hard to try to be a cowboy in this individual day, and you would get |
607 | 00:55:59 --> 00:56:03 | requoted. Requote, requote, re quote, you're buying. You're trying to buy at |
608 | 00:56:03 --> 00:56:06 | the market. Bye bye bye bye, requ, requote, they're just keeping you from |
609 | 00:56:06 --> 00:56:11 | getting in. That's all that is. Okay. There's a lot of people out there that |
610 | 00:56:11 --> 00:56:15 | want to buy, but the brokers are stifling that. That's why I as soon as I |
611 | 00:56:15 --> 00:56:22 | see somebody out there, they have 50 contracts of of gold, or us, 500 US, 100 |
612 | 00:56:22 --> 00:56:27 | okay? And they're showing they got 50 contracts or 50 lots, 50 lots, 50. And |
613 | 00:56:27 --> 00:56:30 | they should have empty four screenshots, and they're putting it up on the screen, |
614 | 00:56:30 --> 00:56:35 | and there's a whole well wall of that, and it's always after fact, and they're |
615 | 00:56:35 --> 00:56:41 | all up like 12,000 15,000 each one of them. They did not get filled on that. |
616 | 00:56:41 --> 00:56:47 | It did not happen. Okay, I promise you that did not happen. But they tricked |
617 | 00:56:47 --> 00:56:51 | themselves by doing that because it gives them a dopamine hit and it tells |
618 | 00:56:51 --> 00:56:54 | them subconsciously think about what should go you probably done this stuff |
619 | 00:56:55 --> 00:57:00 | showing social media what you did, right, gambling without real money |
620 | 00:57:00 --> 00:57:04 | behind it and no logic behind it. You want this the feeling of someone looking |
621 | 00:57:04 --> 00:57:08 | up to you. So what are you doing? Subconsciously, you're you're saying |
622 | 00:57:09 --> 00:57:13 | you're a scammer, you're a fraud. But I feel good about doing it, because the |
623 | 00:57:13 --> 00:57:17 | social media response that's given me, given to me because I I lay them |
624 | 00:57:17 --> 00:57:21 | breadcrumbs out there. What are they going to do? They're going to fluff you |
625 | 00:57:21 --> 00:57:24 | up, and that's going to keep you from doing what the work of actually learning |
626 | 00:57:24 --> 00:57:29 | how to do this. It's far more easier for other people to entertain themselves, |
627 | 00:57:29 --> 00:57:32 | because they know deep down inside they're not really trying to learn how |
628 | 00:57:32 --> 00:57:35 | to do this. They're not here to learn. Not all of you listening are here to |
629 | 00:57:35 --> 00:57:38 | learn. You hear something. You want to hear something so you can go into social |
630 | 00:57:38 --> 00:57:41 | media and talk about it and troll and be funny, but you're still going to work |
631 | 00:57:41 --> 00:57:44 | next Monday. You're going there. Okay, maybe you're working throughout the |
632 | 00:57:44 --> 00:57:48 | weekend with your second job. You gotta do what you gotta do, but I'm trying to |
633 | 00:57:48 --> 00:57:52 | teach you how to avoid having to do that. Even if you don't like me, you |
634 | 00:57:52 --> 00:57:56 | don't have to like me, but to sit down and take notes, because the things that |
635 | 00:57:56 --> 00:58:00 | I'm teaching are going to help you formulate an idea of how to attack price |
636 | 00:58:00 --> 00:58:05 | action and how to avoid certain instances where everybody else is going |
637 | 00:58:05 --> 00:58:09 | to rush they want to rush in here and capture these types of moves. I don't |
638 | 00:58:09 --> 00:58:14 | need that. Look what I just did. I don't need this day. I don't need to do that. |
639 | 00:58:14 --> 00:58:19 | I don't need a day trade. I can swing trade. I can position trade and get an |
640 | 00:58:19 --> 00:58:24 | extreme level high and extreme level low, and be content with that. And that |
641 | 00:58:24 --> 00:58:28 | could, that could have been my entire trade for the entire week, and never |
642 | 00:58:28 --> 00:58:32 | done anything else. And that's how I was trading. When I was trading Forex, I |
643 | 00:58:32 --> 00:58:35 | would look for those types of setups. I wasn't in there trying to do every |
644 | 00:58:35 --> 00:58:39 | little 15 minute movement. I didn't I don't care about that. You can do that. |
645 | 00:58:39 --> 00:58:43 | If that's what you want to do. You can do that, but that's just not my that's |
646 | 00:58:43 --> 00:58:47 | not my cup of tea. I don't want that. I want to be an area where I know I have |
647 | 00:58:47 --> 00:58:53 | the largest magnitude of the move on side that I'm trading on, and it's very |
648 | 00:58:53 --> 00:58:57 | forgiving, because that means, if I'm using precision elements to get me into |
649 | 00:58:57 --> 00:59:03 | a trade, and I'm trading at the highest level, where this move can start trading |
650 | 00:59:03 --> 00:59:11 | lower from and I'm going to show you how I did that. Okay? It allows me to sleep. |
651 | 00:59:12 --> 00:59:16 | It allows me to eat. When I was younger, I couldn't even eat. When I was in a |
652 | 00:59:16 --> 00:59:21 | trade, my stomach would be in a knot. I was in constant anxiety, constant |
653 | 00:59:21 --> 00:59:26 | stress, heart rate, crazy high like blood pressure. I'm sure it was off the |
654 | 00:59:26 --> 00:59:29 | chart, but I wasn't looking at those, those biometrics back then. I was just |
655 | 00:59:29 --> 00:59:33 | wanting just to survive the trade, let alone make money. I just want to |
656 | 00:59:33 --> 00:59:36 | survive. Can I just be in this trade a little bit longer than the last one? |
657 | 00:59:36 --> 00:59:40 | That's how it was when I was 20 years old, and you probably had that same |
658 | 00:59:40 --> 00:59:44 | feeling right now, but what changes over time is, as you start figuring out what |
659 | 00:59:44 --> 00:59:48 | is the better setups, and you're going to see that these better setups, they're |
660 | 00:59:48 --> 00:59:54 | not an everyday setup. They're not an everyday circumstance. There's one or |
661 | 00:59:54 --> 01:00:01 | two, maybe, maybe three a week, and I'm talking very few times you. Where a one |
662 | 01:00:01 --> 01:00:07 | shot one kill scenario where you get in, that's what the O S, o k is on my title, |
663 | 01:00:07 --> 01:00:08 | the video just posted, |
664 | 01:00:09 --> 01:00:15 | one shot one kill. That's a sniper e euphemism. It means they don't have a |
665 | 01:00:15 --> 01:00:19 | whole bag of bullets when they're out in the field. They have a very low amount |
666 | 01:00:19 --> 01:00:24 | of ammunition on them, because they have to crawl around a lot. They got to carry |
667 | 01:00:24 --> 01:00:29 | everything with them, and they're out there to take very surgical strikes. And |
668 | 01:00:29 --> 01:00:33 | my mindset as a trader is, I don't want to go out there with a machine gun and |
669 | 01:00:33 --> 01:00:37 | just start spraying everything and say, Okay, what fell? What did I get? Let's |
670 | 01:00:37 --> 01:00:41 | go see who I hit. That's not how you want to trade. But everybody does that. |
671 | 01:00:42 --> 01:00:45 | Everybody that starts out does that. The first time you go on tilt, that's |
672 | 01:00:45 --> 01:00:50 | exactly what you're doing. You put down your rifle and you say, You know what? I |
673 | 01:00:50 --> 01:00:56 | need my AK for this, and that's it. You just emptied your magazine. And you may |
674 | 01:00:56 --> 01:00:59 | not have hit anything, but you wasted everything that's in your magazine. They |
675 | 01:00:59 --> 01:01:03 | have no more ammunition, it's going and now you're defenseless, and then the |
676 | 01:01:03 --> 01:01:08 | market rolls over top you well, snipers mentality is he or she goes out into the |
677 | 01:01:08 --> 01:01:12 | field, and that's the week of the trading. And you're looking for these |
678 | 01:01:12 --> 01:01:18 | very specific conditions where the mark that is your setup in price action, the |
679 | 01:01:18 --> 01:01:22 | thing that you're going to trade on, the things that make a buy or sell for you, |
680 | 01:01:22 --> 01:01:26 | that's your premium rate. That's your little fair value gap. That's your |
681 | 01:01:26 --> 01:01:31 | little scope. You don't care what's going on. You don't care about everybody |
682 | 01:01:31 --> 01:01:36 | else walking around. You're there to take out that one individual target, and |
683 | 01:01:36 --> 01:01:41 | that target is when price steps into that fair value gap. As soon as that |
684 | 01:01:41 --> 01:01:45 | price hits the consequence or starts to approach it, it's in your crosshairs, |
685 | 01:01:45 --> 01:01:48 | and you're bullish. That means you're going to do what you're going to, take a |
686 | 01:01:48 --> 01:01:50 | deep breath, exhale, |
687 | 01:01:56 --> 01:02:00 | then you stop. You don't inhale. You leave your lungs empty. Why do you |
688 | 01:02:00 --> 01:02:04 | snipers? And why do shooters do that? Because you're not moving around in a |
689 | 01:02:04 --> 01:02:10 | small little movement in your scope is a whole lot of movement downrange. So |
690 | 01:02:10 --> 01:02:13 | you're exhaling, you're relaxing, you're not talking while you're entering the |
691 | 01:02:13 --> 01:02:24 | trade. Exhale, deep, pause when price enters that fair value gap, you fire |
692 | 01:02:25 --> 01:02:31 | your stock gets placed below the imbalance candle, if it's a bullish fair |
693 | 01:02:31 --> 01:02:34 | value gap, or above the high of the imbalance candle, if it's a bearish fair |
694 | 01:02:34 --> 01:02:40 | value gap, then you relax. You don't do anything. You don't want to do anything |
695 | 01:02:40 --> 01:02:43 | extra. Just sit there. You don't go on social media and say, I just say, I just |
696 | 01:02:43 --> 01:02:47 | bought a sniper. Does not announce where they're at. They take one shot and they |
697 | 01:02:47 --> 01:02:50 | sit still because they don't want the enemy to get a vector on where they're |
698 | 01:02:50 --> 01:02:55 | at. And you want me to go out here and trade, oh, trade in front of me. Do your |
699 | 01:02:55 --> 01:03:00 | do your $100,000 trade in front of me. And do what let them come for me. |
700 | 01:03:00 --> 01:03:02 | Because that's exactly what I do. Everybody would be doing the same thing. |
701 | 01:03:02 --> 01:03:07 | Doing the same thing I'm doing now. Everybody wants to do please, let me |
702 | 01:03:07 --> 01:03:12 | copy your traits. My question is this, if I was to do this, okay, CEOs of all |
703 | 01:03:12 --> 01:03:16 | the funded account companies, listen, this is for you. Okay, every single one |
704 | 01:03:16 --> 01:03:19 | of you funded account company. CEOs. Michael patak, I don't know the other |
705 | 01:03:19 --> 01:03:27 | guys. What? If I created a lottery system where I took 10 individuals that |
706 | 01:03:27 --> 01:03:32 | added in an anonymous setting, because you're not going to see me ever going to |
707 | 01:03:32 --> 01:03:35 | a funded account company, you'll never get my socials, you'll never get my |
708 | 01:03:35 --> 01:03:38 | stuff like that. It's never going to happen like I would never allow that to |
709 | 01:03:38 --> 01:03:44 | happen. But what happens if I created a secret lottery where 10 people get to |
710 | 01:03:45 --> 01:03:50 | trade copy a demo account that I'm running and they're copying 20 accounts. |
711 | 01:03:50 --> 01:03:54 | How much time do you think that your firm would be able to weather that? |
712 | 01:03:55 --> 01:04:01 | Because if I can show that I can do this just once a week, that's $2 million per |
713 | 01:04:02 --> 01:04:09 | that's $20 million a week drained. What happens if I did that with 50 lucky |
714 | 01:04:09 --> 01:04:13 | contestants free of charge, not charging anything. What do you think would happen |
715 | 01:04:13 --> 01:04:16 | to the funded account, prop firm, company, we think about that model. |
716 | 01:04:16 --> 01:04:19 | Think it would hold up to something like that. |
717 | 01:04:20 --> 01:04:23 | You really, you really want me to do that. You would have watched me burn |
718 | 01:04:23 --> 01:04:27 | them all down. Is that what you really want me to do? Come on now. |
719 | 01:04:29 --> 01:04:33 | You have no idea who I am. You have no idea what I'm capable of. Like you talk |
720 | 01:04:33 --> 01:04:39 | smack all the time. You CEOs on Twitter. Oh, but this guy, this guy, this guy can |
721 | 01:04:39 --> 01:04:43 | burn your whole shit down. You don't even know where I'm coming from. You |
722 | 01:04:43 --> 01:04:48 | have no idea who I could bring out there, and if you don't pay them, you're |
723 | 01:04:48 --> 01:04:53 | getting shut down. No one's gonna do business with you. So stop trolling me. |
724 | 01:04:53 --> 01:04:59 | You put a spotlight on you. I will burn you like the sun. Stop it. It's not |
725 | 01:04:59 --> 01:05:04 | gonna. You anything but trouble. Everybody sending me an email and please |
726 | 01:05:04 --> 01:05:08 | let me be the one. Where do I gotta do the window? It's a walk, a golden |
727 | 01:05:08 --> 01:05:11 | ticket. He's, he's gotta train. He's gonna, he's gonna let people trade. I |
728 | 01:05:11 --> 01:05:14 | would never do that. I'm saying facetiously. Think about it like think |
729 | 01:05:14 --> 01:05:18 | about that. I got people in my chat window all the time. We're not showing |
730 | 01:05:18 --> 01:05:22 | them a chat section or comment section saying you can't trade this way, you |
731 | 01:05:22 --> 01:05:25 | can't do this, you can't do that. I literally gave you the game plan this |
732 | 01:05:25 --> 01:05:31 | week. I gave you the game plan, and I went past my time, didn't I? That's |
733 | 01:05:31 --> 01:05:34 | because I'm making up for yesterday's not having a live stream, and I got new |
734 | 01:05:34 --> 01:05:38 | glasses, and it's awesome. I can see it. So we're at the top of that inefficiency |
735 | 01:05:38 --> 01:05:44 | I mentioned over here earlier, right here, and then we have these relative |
736 | 01:05:44 --> 01:05:50 | equal highs here. So that would be, we'll borrow this one and just change it |
737 | 01:05:51 --> 01:06:02 | the name and logo, yeah. Can you imagine 20 contracts with XYZ, funded account |
738 | 01:06:02 --> 01:06:08 | company, all linked together. That's, that's $2 million and you're telling me, |
739 | 01:06:08 --> 01:06:11 | let me ask you a question. Okay, I want to make sure I understand this |
740 | 01:06:11 --> 01:06:20 | correctly. Okay, however, I was to drive it, whether I was using a proxy someone |
741 | 01:06:20 --> 01:06:24 | else, you know, they're trading it, but they're copying me. Technically. What |
742 | 01:06:24 --> 01:06:28 | you're saying to me, if I understand this correctly, is I could theoretically |
743 | 01:06:28 --> 01:06:36 | have 20 accounts linked to one account, and all I got to do is what I do every |
744 | 01:06:36 --> 01:06:43 | single week anyway, and it's not causing me any kind of extra work, but the |
745 | 01:06:43 --> 01:06:48 | person that has the 20 accounts linked together, and I'm doing trades with |
746 | 01:06:48 --> 01:06:59 | $100,000 or I'm clearing 25 to $30,000 per trade. That's just one session. |
747 | 01:07:00 --> 01:07:03 | That's not me trading the london session, the morning session in New |
748 | 01:07:03 --> 01:07:06 | York. That's not me trading London clothes. That's not me trading the |
749 | 01:07:06 --> 01:07:10 | London lunch. That's not me trading the afternoon lunch in New York. That's not |
750 | 01:07:10 --> 01:07:14 | me trading the afternoon session and pm session. That's not me just trading the |
751 | 01:07:14 --> 01:07:19 | last trading hour. That's not me trading Asia. Just to throw a little bit more |
752 | 01:07:19 --> 01:07:25 | spice in it, you're telling me that I could literally go out there and drain |
753 | 01:07:25 --> 01:07:32 | these prop firms for eight to ten million every 10 days, every 10 days, |
754 | 01:07:32 --> 01:07:40 | and you think they're gonna keep paying that out. Man, I'm enticed. I'm I'm |
755 | 01:07:40 --> 01:07:44 | genuinely if I understand that correct, if you're, if that's what you're telling |
756 | 01:07:44 --> 01:07:48 | me, if that's what you're telling me, that I could do theoretically, because I |
757 | 01:07:48 --> 01:07:54 | got the numbers, I can pull it. I can do that. But you're telling me that I could |
758 | 01:07:54 --> 01:08:03 | theoretically allow someone else to copy and account that I'm driving. You won't |
759 | 01:08:03 --> 01:08:09 | know it's me, but this person, whoever that might be, could be a cousin, could |
760 | 01:08:09 --> 01:08:14 | be a high school friend of mine. Could be anyone of you listening. They could |
761 | 01:08:14 --> 01:08:20 | be in a position where they are able to say, I want my I want my money. Now, in |
762 | 01:08:20 --> 01:08:24 | 10 days, I can make someone a multi millionaire. Is that what you're telling |
763 | 01:08:26 --> 01:08:31 | me? Leave a comment in section if I have that figured out the correct way. If |
764 | 01:08:31 --> 01:08:38 | that's what you're telling me, I absolutely are inviting any CEO of a |
765 | 01:08:38 --> 01:08:42 | prop firm to email me a inner circle trader@gmail.com because I want you to |
766 | 01:08:42 --> 01:08:47 | confirm what I just said, if that's what my understanding is, if it's correct, oh |
767 | 01:08:47 --> 01:08:53 | it's coming, oh it's coming. It is coming. I don't have to do it long. In |
768 | 01:08:53 --> 01:08:57 | one month. I can make I can make a multi millionaire. And that's that tax |
769 | 01:08:57 --> 01:09:02 | treatment is way better than trading with live funds. It's not the same. It |
770 | 01:09:02 --> 01:09:10 | is not the same. So, oh, okay, okay, ICP has entered the chat with Prop firm |
771 | 01:09:10 --> 01:09:14 | stuff. I'm not going to sign up. I'm not personally going to do that. I'm not |
772 | 01:09:14 --> 01:09:17 | going to give you my social I'm not going to give you all those things like |
773 | 01:09:17 --> 01:09:20 | that. No, but I can create a proxy. How are you going to how are you gonna know |
774 | 01:09:20 --> 01:09:26 | who I'm putting in there? You won't. You'll know by the numbers. And I don't |
775 | 01:09:26 --> 01:09:30 | want anything for it. I don't want nothing for it. I just want to sit back |
776 | 01:09:30 --> 01:09:33 | and watch |
777 | 01:09:36 --> 01:09:46 | it. I'll go back to Twitter after that. Oh, man, you're gonna burn you. You're |
778 | 01:09:46 --> 01:09:51 | gonna burn. It's so delicious. |
779 | 01:09:54 --> 01:10:00 | Can you tell Misty yesterday? Can you tell Yeah, me, Ken, but anyway, you. See |
780 | 01:10:02 --> 01:10:05 | proper engine like all right, look, we got to start looking for anybody that's |
781 | 01:10:05 --> 01:10:09 | trading 15 contracts start with six. If they start with six contracts and they |
782 | 01:10:09 --> 01:10:14 | go in four, ban them. We got to keep anything from everything's gotta just |
783 | 01:10:14 --> 01:10:19 | keep them from getting their payout. Disconnect. Disrupt, disrupt their |
784 | 01:10:21 --> 01:10:24 | connection. ICT, you broke everything. You're a jerk. That's what would you |
785 | 01:10:24 --> 01:10:26 | that's all you would all say that. |
786 | 01:10:31 --> 01:10:34 | One of them's call me right now. Come on, right now. You killed my business. |
787 | 01:10:35 --> 01:10:41 | Don't call me when I'm live streaming. So anyway, we're a couple minutes away |
788 | 01:10:41 --> 01:10:46 | from the opening let's watch the first couple minutes of the opening bell, and |
789 | 01:10:46 --> 01:10:51 | then I'll review the trade I did, and then we'll close it and go into the |
790 | 01:10:51 --> 01:11:02 | weekend. Please. ICT let me be the one. All right, so what we have, and again, |
791 | 01:11:02 --> 01:11:05 | this is what I was saying to you many times before. And it's repetitive, I |
792 | 01:11:05 --> 01:11:11 | know, but I don't personally like to have these things on my chart, because |
793 | 01:11:11 --> 01:11:15 | this is the busiest my charts have ever looked and it's because I have to show |
794 | 01:11:15 --> 01:11:21 | you as as students, what I have written down on my notepad. For instance, when I |
795 | 01:11:21 --> 01:11:27 | was mentioning this over here, real time looking at it, I'm I'm going to my pad. |
796 | 01:11:31 --> 01:11:36 | This is my notepad, just a simple little yellow notepad. You can buy them from. |
797 | 01:11:37 --> 01:11:43 | Where'd I get mine from, Costco, and you get, like, 12 of them in a bundle, and |
798 | 01:11:43 --> 01:11:49 | they're about the five by nine, something like that. And I simply just |
799 | 01:11:49 --> 01:11:53 | write down key levels. And what I do is I look at the previous day's high and |
800 | 01:11:53 --> 01:11:58 | the previous day's low, and then I layer every level that's pertinent to that |
801 | 01:11:58 --> 01:12:04 | range and just below it or just above it, and I have it in raw numerical |
802 | 01:12:04 --> 01:12:10 | format, just like that. But as soon as I mentioned this here, I'm scribbling in |
803 | 01:12:10 --> 01:12:17 | my observations on that level, what time frame I noticed it on, okay? And then |
804 | 01:12:17 --> 01:12:21 | what I'm constantly doing is I'm looking at price over here. I'm watching this |
805 | 01:12:21 --> 01:12:27 | over here, this raw number more than I'm watching the chart over here. The chart |
806 | 01:12:27 --> 01:12:31 | is the language that you're learning from me talking about what price should |
807 | 01:12:31 --> 01:12:37 | do. I'm not going to be able to bridge the gap by teaching you how to trade |
808 | 01:12:37 --> 01:12:42 | price without a chart. I can't do that. I don't know how to do that. I don't |
809 | 01:12:42 --> 01:12:46 | know how to articulate that in a way where it's going to be understandable. |
810 | 01:12:47 --> 01:12:51 | But that's essentially what I'm doing when I'm looking at price action. I'm |
811 | 01:12:51 --> 01:12:57 | showing you things that form in in price around the same time, around the same |
812 | 01:12:57 --> 01:13:05 | price, that these other things occur algorithmically. So when they agree you |
813 | 01:13:05 --> 01:13:09 | should arrive at that assumption about what price should do, or how it should |
814 | 01:13:09 --> 01:13:13 | behave, or how how you should observe it at that moment or any given time frame. |
815 | 01:13:13 --> 01:13:21 | Okay, so that's the that's the exchange of information in the language that I |
816 | 01:13:21 --> 01:13:26 | use by doing so I'm more concerned about what price is doing at what time and |
817 | 01:13:26 --> 01:13:30 | every time, it's fluctuating up and down in relationship to these raw numbers in |
818 | 01:13:30 --> 01:13:35 | this same price axis. I don't need any of this stuff over here. This just |
819 | 01:13:35 --> 01:13:38 | affords me a way to communicate and talk to you that way you can see things that |
820 | 01:13:38 --> 01:13:42 | may may or may not repeat. So because it's Friday, I'd like to see it run up. |
821 | 01:13:42 --> 01:13:47 | Run up in here and take that buy side. It doesn't mean to do it right out the |
822 | 01:13:47 --> 01:13:53 | gate, but that's something that is reasonable. And then you have this |
823 | 01:13:53 --> 01:13:58 | inefficiency down here where the constant encroachment of that August 13 |
824 | 01:13:59 --> 01:14:03 | daily fair value got, which we're going to look at in just two or three more |
825 | 01:14:03 --> 01:14:10 | minutes. Man, I bet your social media is buzzing right now. ICT is going to let |
826 | 01:14:10 --> 01:14:13 | other people copy his account and then they're going to sell that. They're |
827 | 01:14:15 --> 01:14:19 | going to have a business for two three weeks. Okay, I'm selling seats. Okay, |
828 | 01:14:19 --> 01:14:25 | it's $3,000 5000 it's $10,000 if you want to copy ICT, you can't tell |
829 | 01:14:25 --> 01:14:32 | anybody. It'll be in my email box immediately. Are you looking? I'm |
830 | 01:14:32 --> 01:14:39 | looking to mark this guy. Okay, he's doing this. He's doing it right. Oh, |
831 | 01:14:39 --> 01:14:47 | man, I I'm not using your cup today. It was a rush to get out there and grab a |
832 | 01:14:47 --> 01:14:51 | bottle of water. So sorry, Daniel, I've used it by the poolside the other day, |
833 | 01:14:51 --> 01:14:58 | though, the he sent me a yeti mug in the mail because he hears you bitch about |
834 | 01:14:58 --> 01:15:03 | how it's crackling. But. Bottle of water always makes a sound in my recordings, |
835 | 01:15:03 --> 01:15:06 | alright. So anyway, we went through the business of picking out why that buy |
836 | 01:15:06 --> 01:15:10 | side is here, and we've opened up and let's look at the opening range, |
837 | 01:15:10 --> 01:15:19 | alright, so we have a little bit of an opening range gap still here. Let's |
838 | 01:15:19 --> 01:15:22 | borrow that in my network. So pretty good, doesn't it? That's convenient. |
839 | 01:15:23 --> 01:15:29 | Let's put it right on the close. So we're showing the previous close, and |
840 | 01:15:29 --> 01:15:34 | that's not actually right. Let's go until one minute chart. Sorry. The |
841 | 01:15:34 --> 01:15:40 | anchor on your one minute chart and your opening price on your first print at 930 |
842 | 01:15:40 --> 01:15:47 | so you have a little bit of portion of it opened up here. So it tried to try to |
843 | 01:15:47 --> 01:15:50 | get up in here. Wait from the open, but left this little portion open here. |
844 | 01:15:51 --> 01:15:59 | Watch this low. And we're back inside of, I think it's September 4. First, |
845 | 01:15:59 --> 01:16:02 | there you go. Where's that third? I can't remember. Now I took the |
846 | 01:16:02 --> 01:16:12 | annotation off. The annotation ours. So we're inside this little, tiny |
847 | 01:16:12 --> 01:16:21 | inefficiency here, and previous settlements up here, |
848 | 01:16:34 --> 01:16:41 | these flash days are so much fun. Should Have Been doing it sooner. ICT, no, I |
849 | 01:16:41 --> 01:16:47 | would never get anything done. All right, so I can take this one off. We |
850 | 01:16:47 --> 01:16:56 | don't need that anymore. We don't need this anymore. Side anymore. We don't |
851 | 01:16:56 --> 01:17:01 | need the miners anymore. Here, actually, we do. I didn't drop down to it when I |
852 | 01:17:01 --> 01:17:07 | was talking about the minor five minute Buy, Sell liquidity pool. And sell, sell |
853 | 01:17:07 --> 01:17:11 | liquidity pools. You can see how when we drop down to the one minute time frame, |
854 | 01:17:11 --> 01:17:17 | which is, I like using the one minute because it's very, very detail oriented. |
855 | 01:17:17 --> 01:17:23 | Okay, think about like, remember when? Remember when Bob Ross, the afro, white |
856 | 01:17:23 --> 01:17:28 | guy that would do his oval painting and whatnot, he would talk to you real |
857 | 01:17:28 --> 01:17:33 | mellow, put you to sleep, be like you're ADA edible, and you're just chilling out |
858 | 01:17:33 --> 01:17:40 | watching this guy paint well, you're looking at this this time frame, your |
859 | 01:17:40 --> 01:17:44 | 15, your daily chart is like a paint roller, okay? It's applying a lot of |
860 | 01:17:44 --> 01:17:52 | paint, lot of price action. Your 15 inch time frame is like your your two and a |
861 | 01:17:52 --> 01:17:58 | half inch, or two inch paint brush. It's, it's not as wide as a paint |
862 | 01:17:58 --> 01:18:07 | roller, but it's, it's not a fine tipped brush. Then you have an inch brush on |
863 | 01:18:07 --> 01:18:12 | your five minute chart, and then you have that really small, detail oriented |
864 | 01:18:12 --> 01:18:17 | paint brush for the one minute real, really fine little etching here, little |
865 | 01:18:17 --> 01:18:21 | line work here in your painting. That's what the one minute chart does. It |
866 | 01:18:21 --> 01:18:25 | affords you to get down to the nooks and crannies of the fine details of price |
867 | 01:18:25 --> 01:18:29 | delivery. So if I'm looking at that same level here that was arrived at on the |
868 | 01:18:29 --> 01:18:33 | five minute chart with these relative equal highs when price ran through that, |
869 | 01:18:33 --> 01:18:37 | let's look at it in contrast on the five minute chart real quick. Here it goes. |
870 | 01:18:37 --> 01:18:43 | It. It rips through it one single time. On that one candle right there. You see |
871 | 01:18:43 --> 01:18:48 | that. Let me widen up a little bit so you don't really have a chance to see |
872 | 01:18:48 --> 01:18:53 | much in this one single candlestick, unless you're watching the fluctuations |
873 | 01:18:53 --> 01:18:56 | of price over here, which is what I'm primarily doing when I'm watching price |
874 | 01:18:58 --> 01:19:03 | here. Let me. Let me say it this way. Don't try to do this part. What I'm |
875 | 01:19:03 --> 01:19:08 | trying to describe to you, what I'm doing that is me having more insight |
876 | 01:19:08 --> 01:19:12 | than you have, and I'm not going to teach all that you are properly learning |
877 | 01:19:12 --> 01:19:16 | how to do this by watching what price is doing, because there are times, as I |
878 | 01:19:16 --> 01:19:21 | indicated, many times before, where prices is using my PD arrays, and if you |
879 | 01:19:21 --> 01:19:26 | have a biases, what was your bearish you're going to have the next best thing |
880 | 01:19:26 --> 01:19:31 | to what I see that can't I can't teach you, and there's no other way for me to |
881 | 01:19:31 --> 01:19:34 | say it than than just that. Okay, my students are making money with it. |
882 | 01:19:34 --> 01:19:37 | They're learning how to do it consistently. If they're not trading |
883 | 01:19:37 --> 01:19:40 | with real money yet or funded account companies that has been now getting |
884 | 01:19:40 --> 01:19:43 | profits out of it. They're all graduating in their understanding of |
885 | 01:19:43 --> 01:19:47 | being able to read this stuff real time, and it's based on the stuff I'm |
886 | 01:19:47 --> 01:19:50 | teaching. But this five minute candlestick only has this one single |
887 | 01:19:50 --> 01:19:55 | range here, when it crosses above that, that level here. But watch what happens |
888 | 01:19:55 --> 01:20:03 | when you go back into a one minute chart. You. This candlestick does that |
889 | 01:20:03 --> 01:20:06 | business of wicking around. But look what happens next. We open, we trade |
890 | 01:20:06 --> 01:20:18 | right back down to that buy side level, over here, right in here, using it, |
891 | 01:20:19 --> 01:20:25 | using it, and then comes back to the order block right there. Now you are not |
892 | 01:20:27 --> 01:20:32 | You're not going to get that fill right there, because they may not have opened |
893 | 01:20:32 --> 01:20:36 | up trading for you on your broker's firm. I have experienced this before. I |
894 | 01:20:36 --> 01:20:41 | experienced it when I was trading Forex. I experienced it with fxcm. I |
895 | 01:20:41 --> 01:20:46 | experienced it with. Well, I'm not going to sit here and name brokers, because |
896 | 01:20:46 --> 01:20:50 | it's going to sound like advertising, but fxcm is trash, to say, in case |
897 | 01:20:50 --> 01:20:53 | you're wondering if that's a good brokerage trash, fxcm was trash. I |
898 | 01:20:53 --> 01:20:57 | didn't like them when I used them, and I'm glad they got kicked out of the US. |
899 | 01:20:57 --> 01:21:03 | Boom, there you go. Said it again, but you won't, you won't get these types of |
900 | 01:21:03 --> 01:21:09 | fills. Now this was like 20, like 20 minutes after Non Farm Payroll releases, |
901 | 01:21:09 --> 01:21:11 | and you see it trade back down, something like that. Then, yeah, you can |
902 | 01:21:11 --> 01:21:15 | get, you can get filled. Plus the tick towards this opening price here, plus |
903 | 01:21:15 --> 01:21:18 | one tick you had a limit where you're going to be filled on that, but you're |
904 | 01:21:18 --> 01:21:21 | not going to get filled on Non Farm Payroll the first three minutes or so, |
905 | 01:21:21 --> 01:21:24 | just expect that it ain't going to happen. So what that does is it |
906 | 01:21:24 --> 01:21:29 | completely removes the necessity for you to feel like you've got to be a part of |
907 | 01:21:29 --> 01:21:35 | it. So what do you what do you do? Then take a step back and then read what it's |
908 | 01:21:35 --> 01:21:39 | telling us, what's what's price trying to indicate to us, it defended |
909 | 01:21:39 --> 01:21:44 | initially, what the sell side. It's more likely it's going to draw up into take |
910 | 01:21:44 --> 01:21:51 | out buy side, okay, but it left the sell side. So it is for me, for my personal |
911 | 01:21:51 --> 01:21:56 | taste, I wouldn't want to take a short reaching for the sell side on that 15 |
912 | 01:21:56 --> 01:22:06 | minute time frame, allergies are kicking in. So below these lows here, that sell |
913 | 01:22:06 --> 01:22:09 | side hasn't been engaged yet. I'm personally, I'm not interested in taking |
914 | 01:22:09 --> 01:22:14 | that trade, because what I had set up for as a downside objective was already |
915 | 01:22:14 --> 01:22:19 | arrived at. You saw me execute on that. So when that daily fear bank got low was |
916 | 01:22:19 --> 01:22:24 | traded to I'm no longer interested in being a participant in this weekly |
917 | 01:22:24 --> 01:22:31 | candle. I'm done. Mike, it expired for me. I'll miss moves if it keeps going |
918 | 01:22:31 --> 01:22:37 | lower, that's okay. I look, look, if you aren't content with finding setups that |
919 | 01:22:37 --> 01:22:43 | could yield you 100,000 in one entry. You're never going to be satisfied. You |
920 | 01:22:43 --> 01:22:47 | got to be satisfied with getting five handles in the s, p, consistently. You |
921 | 01:22:48 --> 01:22:53 | got to be content with getting 10 to 15 handles in the NASDAQ consistently. You |
922 | 01:22:53 --> 01:22:57 | have to start there. If you can't start there and bloom where you're planted, |
923 | 01:22:57 --> 01:23:01 | you're never going to make these big, sizable gains that you're trying to make |
924 | 01:23:01 --> 01:23:04 | or aspire to, you have to have very small, little modular goals in the |
925 | 01:23:04 --> 01:23:09 | beginning. And that's good to have that very, very small, humbling beginnings. |
926 | 01:23:09 --> 01:23:12 | If you want to have a humble beginning, when you start this, if you start off |
927 | 01:23:12 --> 01:23:15 | right out the gate with you know, everything's got to be a dopamine hit. |
928 | 01:23:16 --> 01:23:20 | You're increasing the difficulty level beyond all measure, like you can't even |
929 | 01:23:20 --> 01:23:24 | imagine how hard it's going to be for you until you start realizing it doing |
930 | 01:23:24 --> 01:23:35 | it. So let's go into we can do here. Let's go into one minute chart. I'm |
931 | 01:23:36 --> 01:23:40 | trying to think, I gotta, I want to show it to you with a naked chart, and I'm |
932 | 01:23:40 --> 01:23:46 | running the risk of getting rid of all annotations. So let's do it like this. |
933 | 01:23:46 --> 01:23:54 | Let's go scorched earth. Okay, so we are looking at price action negative. I |
934 | 01:23:54 --> 01:24:04 | mean, not naked, naked. And if we look at this indicator is just this right |
935 | 01:24:04 --> 01:24:15 | here. Thank you again, flux, but the daily chart, let's go to a daily chart |
936 | 01:24:16 --> 01:24:22 | and we'll flesh out. ICT got lucky with apparently I was running recordings on |
937 | 01:24:23 --> 01:24:28 | 15 different laptops, which I don't own. 15 laptops I'm recording multiple |
938 | 01:24:28 --> 01:24:33 | screens. But I got lucky to get in at the high and out at the low. It's that's |
939 | 01:24:33 --> 01:24:44 | impressive, alright, so if you recall what I outlined on the daily chart for |
940 | 01:24:44 --> 01:24:49 | NQ last week, and going into this week, you'll see that in the live streams. |
941 | 01:24:50 --> 01:24:58 | You'll see that also in the markups in the screenshots that I was teaching |
942 | 01:24:58 --> 01:25:03 | Caleb to do if you watch it. His channel. His channel is at official |
943 | 01:25:04 --> 01:25:08 | Caleb Huddleston, all together, make sure you're spelling it correctly, |
944 | 01:25:08 --> 01:25:13 | because there's people out there using lowercase letters and uppercase letters |
945 | 01:25:13 --> 01:25:17 | to trick you into thinking that's what it is. It's he's got over 20 some 1000 |
946 | 01:25:17 --> 01:25:20 | followers as of right now. But again, the easiest way to do it is go on my |
947 | 01:25:20 --> 01:25:24 | community tab on my YouTube channel, and you'll see me actually linking and |
948 | 01:25:24 --> 01:25:31 | posting the videos that are being hosted on his channel. Okay? And I'll flesh |
949 | 01:25:31 --> 01:25:38 | this out real quick for you again so you can see it. I mentioned how we were |
950 | 01:25:42 --> 01:25:47 | likely to trade down into this fair value gap for the week that that's what |
951 | 01:25:47 --> 01:25:53 | I wanted to see happen this week. Okay, so because we have that do it this way, |
952 | 01:25:54 --> 01:25:58 | you want to annotate that level, because it's going to give you your price level |
953 | 01:25:58 --> 01:26:04 | over here on the price axis, and we will do it like this. |
954 | 01:26:05 --> 01:26:08 | And then the same thing. Hold down, control, drag it up, and you can get |
955 | 01:26:08 --> 01:26:14 | that so that way, we're highlighting this candlestick on August 14, |
956 | 01:26:14 --> 01:26:22 | Wednesday, 2024 that candles low and the high on candlestick of August, 12 to |
957 | 01:26:22 --> 01:26:27 | Monday, so that high and this candle is low, and this one single candle, see |
958 | 01:26:27 --> 01:26:33 | this right here, that little fluctuation between this candle high and that |
959 | 01:26:33 --> 01:26:38 | following candles low, that area right there, that is a fair value gap. It's a |
960 | 01:26:38 --> 01:26:43 | buy side imbalance, sell side inefficiency. That means for the market |
961 | 01:26:43 --> 01:26:51 | to efficiently deliver fair value pricing. It's one of those textbooks |
962 | 01:26:51 --> 01:26:57 | definitions, right Hannah, this buy side, about sell side and efficiency is |
963 | 01:26:57 --> 01:27:04 | lacking. What efficient delivery on the downside, that means sell side delivery. |
964 | 01:27:04 --> 01:27:11 | Okay? So for every range that goes up, inefficient delivery model is the price |
965 | 01:27:11 --> 01:27:15 | has to be offered going back down the same range. That's what a fair value gap |
966 | 01:27:15 --> 01:27:18 | is. Okay? Anybody tells you anything other than that? They're literally |
967 | 01:27:18 --> 01:27:21 | making stuff up. They have no idea what they're talking about. They're certainly |
968 | 01:27:21 --> 01:27:24 | not going to execute like you're seeing me. Execute like you're seeing me |
969 | 01:27:24 --> 01:27:27 | execute or define it beforehand. They'll always talk about it after ozario, fair |
970 | 01:27:27 --> 01:27:32 | value gap. This one here was outlined to you in advance, and I told you that I |
971 | 01:27:32 --> 01:27:36 | was looking for that as a downside objective this week. Notice what goes on |
972 | 01:27:37 --> 01:27:42 | beyond that. Candlesticks high to the left. Look. Look over to the left. Do |
973 | 01:27:42 --> 01:27:47 | you see? Well, the first candle is this one here, the body in that so you have a |
974 | 01:27:47 --> 01:27:53 | volume imbalance down here. So let's play devil's advocate for a second. If |
975 | 01:27:53 --> 01:27:57 | price wants to go lower, maybe it goes lower today, I won't be on board with |
976 | 01:27:57 --> 01:28:01 | it. I'm done. When I'm done this live stream, I don't have to edit anything. I |
977 | 01:28:01 --> 01:28:06 | love live streaming for that reason, because it is what it is what I said. I |
978 | 01:28:06 --> 01:28:10 | said I don't have to go into Edit like it took a lot for me to edit that 18 |
979 | 01:28:10 --> 01:28:15 | hours of recorded session to get it down to a time limit, so that way it's |
980 | 01:28:15 --> 01:28:24 | palatable. I'm not going to try to take any more trades today. I'm going to |
981 | 01:28:24 --> 01:28:29 | relax. I'm going to do things and run a house. This volume imbalance would be |
982 | 01:28:29 --> 01:28:34 | the next draw on liquidity that goes below the consequent crochet of this |
983 | 01:28:34 --> 01:28:38 | wick. So you would define the range like this. I mean, I |
984 | 01:28:43 --> 01:28:49 | I make it a little bigger like that. So while where we're at right now in price, |
985 | 01:28:49 --> 01:28:54 | we're up here. Half of that wick, that's consequent crushment. Look how close we |
986 | 01:28:54 --> 01:29:01 | got to it. The volume imbalance down here is the next one. |
987 | 01:29:10 --> 01:29:17 | I started with my allergies yesterday and all this laughing, the it's stirred |
988 | 01:29:17 --> 01:29:23 | up even more, so I'm a little congested, but then you have this wick, you would |
989 | 01:29:23 --> 01:29:27 | do the same thing, and that basically lays inside this volume of balance. And |
990 | 01:29:27 --> 01:29:31 | then the same thing here, and the same thing with these wicks, all these |
991 | 01:29:31 --> 01:29:35 | discount wicks, you want to annotate those. Those are levels that I'm going |
992 | 01:29:35 --> 01:29:41 | to have on my notepad. Should we get below this on a closing basis, this |
993 | 01:29:41 --> 01:29:49 | being this candlesticks high, which forms this fair Vega. So as we start to |
994 | 01:29:49 --> 01:29:55 | trade down, this is a lot of balanced price range. What makes it balanced |
995 | 01:29:55 --> 01:30:00 | price range? It's offering sell side delivery. It means any move. It like |
996 | 01:30:00 --> 01:30:04 | when it drops like this. This is sell side delivery. This candlesticks closed |
997 | 01:30:04 --> 01:30:09 | up is buy side delivery. It just simply means that the market has gone up or |
998 | 01:30:09 --> 01:30:16 | down. It's going up to go into inefficiencies above market price, or |
999 | 01:30:16 --> 01:30:21 | it's going up to take out buy side liquidity. That means buy stops or |
1000 | 01:30:21 --> 01:30:26 | trigger pending orders to buy on a stop for a new position, or to trigger buy |
1001 | 01:30:26 --> 01:30:31 | stops that are protecting, hypothetically, any short position, it |
1002 | 01:30:31 --> 01:30:36 | drops to go down to an inefficiency below market price. It's like a Fairbank |
1003 | 01:30:36 --> 01:30:42 | or something like that, or opening range got something to that degree, or it goes |
1004 | 01:30:42 --> 01:30:49 | below old lows for sell stops, either that puts a trader in short on a |
1005 | 01:30:49 --> 01:30:54 | breakout going lower, or it protects long positions. Hypothetically, okay, so |
1006 | 01:30:54 --> 01:30:58 | that's the only two mechanisms that causes price to go up or down. There's |
1007 | 01:30:58 --> 01:31:03 | nothing else. There's literally nothing else that's going on. When they reprice |
1008 | 01:31:03 --> 01:31:07 | manual intervention, they're still taking it to price levels that I just |
1009 | 01:31:07 --> 01:31:11 | defined, but just doing to do it farther outside the extreme normal range. |
1010 | 01:31:12 --> 01:31:14 | They're doing it quicker like that. And you'll, many times, get a chance to |
1011 | 01:31:14 --> 01:31:18 | participate in those types of move. And that's okay. You don't need them. You |
1012 | 01:31:18 --> 01:31:23 | don't need those types of news. There's plenty of stuff out there to trade. So I |
1013 | 01:31:23 --> 01:31:27 | demystified everything again. For you, price only goes up for inefficiencies or |
1014 | 01:31:27 --> 01:31:32 | vacillating coding, or it goes down for inefficiencies or for sell stops. That's |
1015 | 01:31:32 --> 01:31:36 | it. There's no other reason for us to go up and down the buying and selling |
1016 | 01:31:36 --> 01:31:44 | pressure. Okay, very interesting study. For those that are really trying to |
1017 | 01:31:44 --> 01:31:48 | debunk the algorithm, okay, there is no algorithm. I'm out here to refute the |
1018 | 01:31:48 --> 01:31:59 | ICT. Clean, okay, do a real in depth study on the volume, how many contracts |
1019 | 01:31:59 --> 01:32:08 | it took for price to move. Every single intraday price move the largest one in |
1020 | 01:32:08 --> 01:32:13 | the session, like in the morning, do it in the afternoon, okay? And see how many |
1021 | 01:32:13 --> 01:32:19 | handles prices traverse. To do that, as soon as you start seeing how much it |
1022 | 01:32:19 --> 01:32:23 | will move. And there's this wide disparity amount how many contracts it |
1023 | 01:32:23 --> 01:32:27 | takes. When I was being interviewed by corps, he's the only one I ever sat down |
1024 | 01:32:27 --> 01:32:32 | there face to face with the the question I asked him was, you know, how many, how |
1025 | 01:32:32 --> 01:32:38 | many contracts does it take to cause price to go up? Which is one? Right? |
1026 | 01:32:38 --> 01:32:50 | Right? What happens when price has a goal, it's being inspired, let's say |
1027 | 01:32:50 --> 01:32:57 | that way to get to a particular price level. It will skip. It'll create these |
1028 | 01:32:57 --> 01:33:03 | little these little gaps. Okay, and these gaps are what we are targeting, |
1029 | 01:33:04 --> 01:33:08 | these little inefficiencies. Because if you're aiming for like, this week, I'm |
1030 | 01:33:08 --> 01:33:14 | gonna take all this stuff off. Just know that we have a lot of things to factor |
1031 | 01:33:14 --> 01:33:18 | in here. If we go lower, it's going to be potentially spotty, because then we |
1032 | 01:33:18 --> 01:33:22 | have all this back and forth in here. So it's going to take a real move to get |
1033 | 01:33:22 --> 01:33:26 | through all this mess in here. We have volume imbalances like this. Is a mess |
1034 | 01:33:26 --> 01:33:31 | like this is a lot of sloppy stuff in here. The cleanest price delivery was |
1035 | 01:33:31 --> 01:33:36 | moving from here down into this inefficiency. That's why I said this is |
1036 | 01:33:36 --> 01:33:41 | the this is ends it for me. I'm done for the week. If it touches this level here, |
1037 | 01:33:41 --> 01:33:47 | which is where you saw my cover on my short, that it that's it for me, because |
1038 | 01:33:47 --> 01:33:52 | then what has happened is to expecting lower prices, I'm going to have to |
1039 | 01:33:52 --> 01:33:56 | weather through all these questionable levels. Can it go down here and smash |
1040 | 01:33:56 --> 01:34:02 | right through it? Absolutely you can. Is it likely to do that? No. So am I |
1041 | 01:34:02 --> 01:34:05 | trading with high probability if I'm holding on to my short, if I would have |
1042 | 01:34:05 --> 01:34:09 | held onto my short, I would have been nervous with the Non Farm Payroll |
1043 | 01:34:09 --> 01:34:14 | release. I would have been nervous after 930 opening, because I have all these |
1044 | 01:34:14 --> 01:34:17 | other factors to start weighing out, Okay, should I hold on my trade? Should |
1045 | 01:34:17 --> 01:34:23 | I not versus I know what I was looking for in the commentary, in the analysis |
1046 | 01:34:23 --> 01:34:27 | for this week, we were already eyeballing this. Okay, the low end of |
1047 | 01:34:27 --> 01:34:34 | it, that's the best target. That's the best so I have my limit order to get |
1048 | 01:34:34 --> 01:34:39 | that, knowing that because it's Friday, it's not from payroll, it's going to be |
1049 | 01:34:39 --> 01:34:44 | probably a little bit more animated in it may color outside the lines and go |
1050 | 01:34:44 --> 01:34:48 | just below that that can stick high. So that was me finessing. You can see me in |
1051 | 01:34:48 --> 01:34:52 | the video adjusting my limit order because I want to make sure I get the |
1052 | 01:34:52 --> 01:34:58 | best best factoring the spread, okay, my original profit objective would have |
1053 | 01:34:58 --> 01:35:03 | made me a couple $100 more. Work, but I wanted to make sure that the spread |
1054 | 01:35:04 --> 01:35:08 | touching this candle sticks high when it trees down here, I want to be executed. |
1055 | 01:35:08 --> 01:35:13 | I want to get those 14 contracts off. So if there's 14 contracts get peeled off, |
1056 | 01:35:14 --> 01:35:18 | I have to have a price level with that limit order to cover that short position |
1057 | 01:35:19 --> 01:35:25 | that will afford me the opportunity to see 14 contracts clear. Just because it |
1058 | 01:35:25 --> 01:35:29 | touches this level down here doesn't mean like, say, say, for instance, say, |
1059 | 01:35:29 --> 01:35:33 | you to a point where you're trading with 100 contracts. You have 100 cars on this |
1060 | 01:35:33 --> 01:35:41 | run. If you're using a limit order, you may not get them all off. It might just |
1061 | 01:35:41 --> 01:35:47 | say, No, you can't fill you. You want these 50 off at that price? I can't fill |
1062 | 01:35:47 --> 01:35:51 | you. There isn't enough buyers on the other side, at that price, at that given |
1063 | 01:35:51 --> 01:35:56 | instant that they're going to pair you with. Boom, there it is. It's done. So |
1064 | 01:35:56 --> 01:36:00 | you don't get those exits, and then if it starts to retrace against you, like |
1065 | 01:36:00 --> 01:36:05 | we've seen this morning, that's a little disenchanting. It's not fun. I don't |
1066 | 01:36:05 --> 01:36:10 | like those types of instances. So there are times where it demands a little bit |
1067 | 01:36:10 --> 01:36:18 | more humble exits. You have to be willing to say, Okay, I believe it's |
1068 | 01:36:18 --> 01:36:22 | going to touch this candlesticks high as it's dropping down, but I want to make |
1069 | 01:36:22 --> 01:36:28 | sure I get out like I want to get paid. I want my execution. I don't want my |
1070 | 01:36:28 --> 01:36:32 | funded account challenge, or my funded account, or my Live account, or whatever |
1071 | 01:36:32 --> 01:36:37 | it is that you may be using in trading. I want to make sure that I get out. Just |
1072 | 01:36:37 --> 01:36:41 | touching the level is not enough. But what you want to start doing is building |
1073 | 01:36:41 --> 01:36:48 | in this this mindset where you will expect that level of precision, but you |
1074 | 01:36:48 --> 01:36:54 | don't need that level of precision to be extremely profitable with your exits. |
1075 | 01:36:54 --> 01:36:58 | You know, I'm saying so. In other words, say whatever that price is. In this |
1076 | 01:36:58 --> 01:37:05 | case, it's the high that candle. Watch this up here, upper left hand corner, |
1077 | 01:37:06 --> 01:37:18 | 18,007 65.25 so what? What's wrong with trying to get out of 18,007 70? Oh, |
1078 | 01:37:18 --> 01:37:23 | that's not precise. That's not precision. Why? You're telling me that |
1079 | 01:37:23 --> 01:37:28 | if you were short and you had an open unrealized profit of, say, 50 handles? |
1080 | 01:37:28 --> 01:37:40 | Okay, not like what I did, three, almost 360 handles. How about that? 18,007 70 |
1081 | 01:37:41 --> 01:37:46 | again, watch that price here. You're not getting 765, and a quarter with your |
1082 | 01:37:46 --> 01:37:51 | exit, not while you're trying to groom yourself into seeing these things pan |
1083 | 01:37:51 --> 01:37:57 | out consistently. You want to be able to afford yourself and exit. So you expect |
1084 | 01:37:57 --> 01:38:00 | to touch that level with price. And that's your moral victory. That's your |
1085 | 01:38:00 --> 01:38:04 | that's your trophy, and that's what you put in your journal. I'm pleased. I'm |
1086 | 01:38:04 --> 01:38:09 | excited. I was so stoked to see price trade down to that level. It was amazing |
1087 | 01:38:09 --> 01:38:13 | to see it drop down there and hit that perfectly. And you note the time, and |
1088 | 01:38:13 --> 01:38:17 | you put little screenshot, and you say, this is this is what it feels like for |
1089 | 01:38:17 --> 01:38:22 | holding on to a trade and pants out like this. But I'm happy and I'm comfortable |
1090 | 01:38:23 --> 01:38:28 | that I don't need to have that level of precision for exits. I'm growing in my |
1091 | 01:38:28 --> 01:38:33 | precision. So in this case, instead of getting 18,007 65 and a quarter as your |
1092 | 01:38:33 --> 01:38:42 | limit would have to be 18,007 65.50 that is not much wiggle room, that is, and |
1093 | 01:38:42 --> 01:38:48 | that's that's not a lot like you could very easily not get filled if it stops |
1094 | 01:38:48 --> 01:38:54 | dead on its delivery at the 765 and a quarter. How many contracts are going to |
1095 | 01:38:54 --> 01:39:00 | be traded at that price with one tick variance, right? So if you went into it |
1096 | 01:39:00 --> 01:39:09 | with the 18,007 70 level on here it is. |
1097 | 01:39:16 --> 01:39:21 | See, this is your price that you're trying to get. Like you can't even |
1098 | 01:39:21 --> 01:39:28 | barely see it, right? It's not much of a difference. And you're going to argue, |
1099 | 01:39:28 --> 01:39:37 | say that's not precise enough. Come on, you have to, you have to trade with the |
1100 | 01:39:37 --> 01:39:41 | the expectation that you're trying to get filled to so it's a management of |
1101 | 01:39:41 --> 01:39:46 | all these concerns and expectations, but your expectation for precision and |
1102 | 01:39:46 --> 01:39:52 | perfection that needs to be relegated to your journal. Cheerlead yourself there, |
1103 | 01:39:52 --> 01:39:58 | but in your trading, you have to afford yourself a common sense exit strategy. |
1104 | 01:39:58 --> 01:40:02 | Okay, it's a low hanging. Fruit threshold where you're not demanding |
1105 | 01:40:02 --> 01:40:07 | that your exits are the best of the best of the best. I've, I've missed out on |
1106 | 01:40:07 --> 01:40:13 | some amazing exits, and I've missed out on some amazing like, like the top tick |
1107 | 01:40:13 --> 01:40:20 | or the bottom tick of moves I've, I've had them in my grasp, but the spread |
1108 | 01:40:20 --> 01:40:27 | denied me. It's it's exciting, it's exhilarating seeing it happen like that. |
1109 | 01:40:27 --> 01:40:32 | I'm like, Man, I had it pegged, but the Fill wasn't there. So yeah, I can feel |
1110 | 01:40:32 --> 01:40:37 | great that I had it dialed in, but I didn't execute properly. So I have to |
1111 | 01:40:37 --> 01:40:41 | keep myself grounded with my ego and say, You're good kid, but you're not |
1112 | 01:40:41 --> 01:40:46 | that good. So and allow yourself to operate in the market with your orders |
1113 | 01:40:47 --> 01:40:50 | that will afford you the luxuries of getting in and getting out. You're going |
1114 | 01:40:50 --> 01:40:55 | to have a whole lot more liquidity from 770 down to 765, and a quarter. There's |
1115 | 01:40:55 --> 01:41:00 | lots of prices in between. There lots of individual tick fluctuations, and every |
1116 | 01:41:00 --> 01:41:04 | one little, minor little fluctuation is an opportunity for an exchange and |
1117 | 01:41:04 --> 01:41:09 | pairing of orders for buyers and sellers to meet. And you want to afford yourself |
1118 | 01:41:09 --> 01:41:15 | an ample supply of that when you're trying to exit and just yield yourself |
1119 | 01:41:15 --> 01:41:19 | to Yeah, it went through. I want where I wanted to go, and I'm happy with that, |
1120 | 01:41:19 --> 01:41:23 | but I don't need that. Hopefully, that makes sense. I've answered a dozen of |
1121 | 01:41:23 --> 01:41:26 | individuals that left comments around struggling with exits and how to pick |
1122 | 01:41:26 --> 01:41:29 | the right price and all that, because they're trying to impress me, and |
1123 | 01:41:29 --> 01:41:33 | they're trying to impress themselves, knowing where it's going to go to with |
1124 | 01:41:33 --> 01:41:38 | the perfection that is just for you to feel good. That's not how you're going |
1125 | 01:41:38 --> 01:41:41 | to execute. If you try to do that, you're going to miss entries, you're |
1126 | 01:41:41 --> 01:41:45 | going to miss exits, and or hold on to them, because you want them to hit that |
1127 | 01:41:45 --> 01:41:51 | level with your exit. And then the price could be returning against you, and you |
1128 | 01:41:51 --> 01:41:56 | are more fixed on the outcome being perfect, versus recognizing that you're |
1129 | 01:41:56 --> 01:41:59 | in a trade. Now that's turned around on you and you you've married the vein. |
1130 | 01:41:59 --> 01:42:04 | Okay? Gold miners used to have the expression so and so's married the vein. |
1131 | 01:42:04 --> 01:42:10 | In other words, the location that's been mined for gold. It's dried up. Now it's |
1132 | 01:42:10 --> 01:42:13 | no more gold there. But because he's found one little nugget there, he's |
1133 | 01:42:13 --> 01:42:16 | married the vein. He thinks it's, it's, it's going to be nothing but more gold. |
1134 | 01:42:16 --> 01:42:21 | So he spends his time constantly digging and panhandling through there getting |
1135 | 01:42:21 --> 01:42:26 | nothing but wasted time. So you can do that with your winning trades. You can |
1136 | 01:42:26 --> 01:42:32 | turn a really good trade into something that's immune dog mess, really. So we're |
1137 | 01:42:32 --> 01:42:41 | below. I just want to put these on here before I leave this timeframe. I |
1138 | 01:43:00 --> 01:43:07 | I hope what I'm saying is encouraging and not discouraging you, then I know |
1139 | 01:43:07 --> 01:43:16 | sometimes you want to be like a an X man, and remember, Deadpool wasn't an X |
1140 | 01:43:16 --> 01:43:25 | man, spirit animal. So anyway, that's, that's the levels I I'm using going |
1141 | 01:43:25 --> 01:43:30 | forward. So we'll keep those in mind. But this fair value gap is what I was |
1142 | 01:43:30 --> 01:43:33 | mentioning this week. Is that was all I was looking for, me personally as the |
1143 | 01:43:33 --> 01:43:38 | trader ICT, I'm not, I'm not interested needing it to go lower that can. It |
1144 | 01:43:38 --> 01:43:42 | absolutely can. But I don't personally need that. So where do I want to engage? |
1145 | 01:43:43 --> 01:43:47 | I want to engage in anything that gets me short. So how can I do that? How can |
1146 | 01:43:47 --> 01:43:53 | I frame a short in a market that has had this big, colossal slide down where I |
1147 | 01:43:53 --> 01:43:57 | had some of the back, the back end of that move, but I didn't get the first |
1148 | 01:43:57 --> 01:44:02 | part of it there because it's coming on the heels of, what a holiday. So I'm |
1149 | 01:44:02 --> 01:44:10 | going to elect the morning session trade without me, and at 1:30pm that means the |
1150 | 01:44:10 --> 01:44:16 | month the not the London, the New York hour lunch, which is technically two |
1151 | 01:44:16 --> 01:44:23 | hours, 1130 to 130 in that time frame. That is when the lunch macro whatever |
1152 | 01:44:23 --> 01:44:27 | has happened in the morning session. During those two hours, there's always |
1153 | 01:44:27 --> 01:44:31 | some kind of retracement against whatever's already happened in the |
1154 | 01:44:31 --> 01:44:35 | morning. That is all the lunch macro is. That's it. It's all it is. It just |
1155 | 01:44:35 --> 01:44:40 | retraces on orders that would be trailed up if it's been going higher, or if it's |
1156 | 01:44:40 --> 01:44:44 | been going lower in price. They trail the stop losses lower to lock in their |
1157 | 01:44:44 --> 01:44:49 | profits during 1130 to 130 they're very, very specific times. Don't take my word |
1158 | 01:44:49 --> 01:44:52 | for it. I want you to go back and every single time you log intraday price |
1159 | 01:44:52 --> 01:44:58 | action, make a vertical line at 1130 and a vertical line at 130 and then watch |
1160 | 01:44:58 --> 01:45:03 | what price is doing in those two. Hours. It does it so frequently that that could |
1161 | 01:45:03 --> 01:45:06 | be your model, that that could be your thing, like you don't even trade. Don't |
1162 | 01:45:06 --> 01:45:10 | even worry about trading. Open. Who cares about that? Whatever somebody's |
1163 | 01:45:10 --> 01:45:13 | been doing, they were smart. They did something right? They were they were |
1164 | 01:45:13 --> 01:45:16 | long in the initial run of the move, or they were short initial run of the move |
1165 | 01:45:17 --> 01:45:23 | during that 1130 to 1230 I'm sorry, 1130 to 1:30pm eastern stand time. That means |
1166 | 01:45:23 --> 01:45:28 | always have your time on trading view set to New York. If you're using your |
1167 | 01:45:28 --> 01:45:32 | local time, you're doing it wrong. I don't care who tells you what. I don't |
1168 | 01:45:32 --> 01:45:35 | care where you live. I don't care you're not following what the algorithm is |
1169 | 01:45:35 --> 01:45:38 | going to do. You're not following the logic I'm teaching with, and you're not |
1170 | 01:45:38 --> 01:45:42 | going to be successful because you're doing things wrong. Okay, so you have to |
1171 | 01:45:42 --> 01:45:48 | always have your chart set to New York local time, and at 1130 and 130 that |
1172 | 01:45:48 --> 01:45:53 | defines your lunch macro time. But at the end of that, at 1:30pm Eastern |
1173 | 01:45:53 --> 01:45:59 | Standard Time, that starts the afternoon session. So that's your first 30 minutes |
1174 | 01:45:59 --> 01:46:04 | leading up to two o'clock. In that first 30 minutes, you're going to see fair |
1175 | 01:46:04 --> 01:46:11 | value gaps form. You're going to see other PD don't think that my fair value |
1176 | 01:46:11 --> 01:46:16 | gap in the first 30 minutes of 930, to 10 o'clock, like that's the only one |
1177 | 01:46:16 --> 01:46:20 | trick pony. Every single one of my PD arrays exist in that same element too. |
1178 | 01:46:21 --> 01:46:28 | Remember, I'm just teaching one principle, one little component, breaker |
1179 | 01:46:28 --> 01:46:35 | blocks, vacuum blocks, propulsion blocks, institutional order, flow, |
1180 | 01:46:35 --> 01:46:43 | entry, drill technically is still kind of fair. Back again, every PD array is |
1181 | 01:46:43 --> 01:46:49 | in there, volume and balance. If it forms the first one, it's the same |
1182 | 01:46:49 --> 01:46:57 | premise. Oh, explosion of opportunities just came in. Didn't see you think it's |
1183 | 01:46:57 --> 01:47:01 | just a one trick pony around here, honey. Listen to me, I have an arsenal. |
1184 | 01:47:02 --> 01:47:07 | I have stuff nobody's seen before, but you are selling yourself short, thinking |
1185 | 01:47:07 --> 01:47:11 | that you don't have enough already, like you have more than you would ever need. |
1186 | 01:47:12 --> 01:47:15 | I don't, never need to do anything else ever again. Talking about none of this, |
1187 | 01:47:15 --> 01:47:20 | you have more than enough, but I know how it is. You want more, and I have. I |
1188 | 01:47:20 --> 01:47:24 | love I love sharing. I love sharing. I love my wife more. Her name means |
1189 | 01:47:24 --> 01:47:31 | Sharon, but I love sharing. And I love the feedback that I get when people are |
1190 | 01:47:31 --> 01:47:35 | like, wow, I use this. I went right out there and I saw in price action, and |
1191 | 01:47:35 --> 01:47:38 | look what I just did. I take read this, and boom, boom, boom, there it is what I |
1192 | 01:47:38 --> 01:47:41 | don't want you doing. And this is what I'm seeing in the comment section. |
1193 | 01:47:41 --> 01:47:44 | There's one individual that's saying, I individual that's saying, I I hurt |
1194 | 01:47:44 --> 01:47:49 | myself, I made $1,500 and then I lost $1,000 in the next day. And please |
1195 | 01:47:49 --> 01:47:53 | encourage me every video. I'm encouraging you. I'm encouraging all of |
1196 | 01:47:53 --> 01:48:00 | you to follow the rules if you're taking what I'm doing in a lecture. Okay, I |
1197 | 01:48:00 --> 01:48:05 | mean this. If you're taking what I'm teaching in a lecture that given day or |
1198 | 01:48:05 --> 01:48:08 | the very next day, and you're trying to go out there and trade with it, with |
1199 | 01:48:08 --> 01:48:11 | your real money, with your funded account challenge or your funded |
1200 | 01:48:11 --> 01:48:18 | account, you are doing it wrong. I know that the tendencies for you to want to |
1201 | 01:48:18 --> 01:48:20 | be able to go out there and prove that it's going to make you money. If it |
1202 | 01:48:20 --> 01:48:27 | does, man, you're going to be ICT for life. I don't want you ICT for life. I |
1203 | 01:48:27 --> 01:48:35 | want you incorporated for life. Y, o, u incorporate you the enterprise this, |
1204 | 01:48:35 --> 01:48:43 | this conglomerate that you're building. You as a success story. I want you to be |
1205 | 01:48:43 --> 01:48:48 | that for life. I don't want you team ICT. Team ICT is nothing. There's no ICT |
1206 | 01:48:48 --> 01:48:55 | team. I'm a one man army. I'm training you all to be a one man or woman army. |
1207 | 01:48:55 --> 01:48:58 | That's it. You don't need anybody else. You need to plug in anybody else. You |
1208 | 01:48:58 --> 01:49:03 | need other kind of resources. You are capable of doing everything by yourself. |
1209 | 01:49:03 --> 01:49:08 | Once you learn this stuff, no one can take it from you, and they can't. They |
1210 | 01:49:08 --> 01:49:12 | can't discount it. Who's gonna say you can't do what I'm doing or more than I'm |
1211 | 01:49:12 --> 01:49:20 | showing nobody just you, but stop trying to go out there and try to use it right |
1212 | 01:49:20 --> 01:49:24 | away. You haven't spent enough time listen. We've we just started doing |
1213 | 01:49:24 --> 01:49:28 | mentorship. It's only been a month, and some of you think that that's, well, |
1214 | 01:49:28 --> 01:49:31 | you're too long in it now, man, I should already be out there trading with it. |
1215 | 01:49:31 --> 01:49:36 | That's a moronic perspective. That's dollar menu mentorship, mentor advice. |
1216 | 01:49:36 --> 01:49:40 | I'm not telling you to do that. I'm not telling you to do that at all. I'm |
1217 | 01:49:40 --> 01:49:45 | telling you, do the opposite, sit still. You shouldn't need to be taking any |
1218 | 01:49:45 --> 01:49:50 | trades with real money this year, this year. That's the reality. And if you |
1219 | 01:49:50 --> 01:49:54 | don't like that, don't watch my videos. I mean that because I don't like when |
1220 | 01:49:54 --> 01:49:59 | you leave comments. And I'm not getting a lot of them, but I'm getting them. I |
1221 | 01:49:59 --> 01:50:03 | try to. Use this and I lost money. Can you tell me what I did wrong? You |
1222 | 01:50:03 --> 01:50:08 | started using it before you understood how to use it, just like I did when I |
1223 | 01:50:08 --> 01:50:14 | bought my ZX 14 in 2008 that was the fastest motorcycle, fastest one. I've |
1224 | 01:50:14 --> 01:50:19 | never owned a motorcycle before. Midlife crisis. I'm 35 years old. Hey, you know |
1225 | 01:50:19 --> 01:50:23 | what I need to do? I need a I need a rocket. I got everything else I need. I |
1226 | 01:50:24 --> 01:50:29 | don't need anything else, but you know what I need? I need a rocket. So I |
1227 | 01:50:29 --> 01:50:38 | bought it. And a year later, on March 9, 2009 at one o'clock in the afternoon, I |
1228 | 01:50:38 --> 01:50:43 | should have died, and now my body hurts every single day because I did something |
1229 | 01:50:43 --> 01:50:49 | impulsively, recklessly, buying and operating something that I didn't have. |
1230 | 01:50:49 --> 01:50:52 | I didn't have the skill set to do that, and you don't have the skill set to use |
1231 | 01:50:52 --> 01:50:55 | this information yet with real money, with real risk, you don't have that |
1232 | 01:50:56 --> 01:51:01 | experience. And I didn't want to pull up the next money at a light and say, Dude, |
1233 | 01:51:01 --> 01:51:07 | the 600 look at you. I didn't want that feeling, so I told myself, I'll be |
1234 | 01:51:08 --> 01:51:13 | responsible. I won't drive it fast. Deep down inside, I couldn't wait to go 200 |
1235 | 01:51:13 --> 01:51:18 | mile an hour, but wait, right So, and it wasn't. But three weeks later, I'm doing |
1236 | 01:51:18 --> 01:51:25 | 155 miles an hour on Pulaski highway in front of Oak Grove liquors, going north |
1237 | 01:51:26 --> 01:51:31 | to Aberdeen area, going that direction away from the city, basically in |
1238 | 01:51:31 --> 01:51:36 | Baltimore. 155 mile an hour in an area where there's multiple intersections, |
1239 | 01:51:36 --> 01:51:40 | people don't even stop at the stop sign. And I was chasing after a Pony Boy in a |
1240 | 01:51:40 --> 01:51:43 | Mustang that was encouraging me, and that was Satan. I knew that was he was |
1241 | 01:51:43 --> 01:51:46 | trying to get me chased, and I did. I was right on his bumper, and then all of |
1242 | 01:51:46 --> 01:51:48 | a sudden, reality hit me. |
1243 | 01:51:50 --> 01:51:56 | I started feeling like my stop loss is about to get ran. And my body started |
1244 | 01:51:56 --> 01:52:01 | shaking. And I realized that if this guy was suicidal or nuts, and he slams his |
1245 | 01:52:01 --> 01:52:06 | brakes and brakes checks me, I'm dead. And then that wasn't enough. They're |
1246 | 01:52:06 --> 01:52:09 | doing construction down the road in front of me, and all the cones that are |
1247 | 01:52:09 --> 01:52:13 | lowering us over into the left hand lane, all this is happening instantly. |
1248 | 01:52:13 --> 01:52:18 | I'm getting all this rush of information inside of a window of visibility of five |
1249 | 01:52:18 --> 01:52:22 | inches. If you ever been over 100 and some mile an hour on a motorcycle, you |
1250 | 01:52:22 --> 01:52:27 | get this tunnel vision, and it's exciting. It's exhilarating, but you can |
1251 | 01:52:27 --> 01:52:31 | only see about five inches in diameter if you hold your hands out in front of |
1252 | 01:52:31 --> 01:52:34 | you and connect your thumb tips together and your index fingers and try to make |
1253 | 01:52:34 --> 01:52:39 | that in like a perfect circle at your arm's length. That's all you see when |
1254 | 01:52:39 --> 01:52:42 | you're going real fast on a motorcycle. Everything else is like, warp speed blur |
1255 | 01:52:42 --> 01:52:46 | and it's weird. Like, you can watch these guys on YouTube and they're going |
1256 | 01:52:46 --> 01:52:50 | real fast and you see everything. It's like, wow, this is great. That's what I |
1257 | 01:52:50 --> 01:52:52 | did. But it's all together, something different. The first time you |
1258 | 01:52:52 --> 01:52:58 | experienced that warp speed tunnel vision, it is scary. Like, it's very, |
1259 | 01:52:58 --> 01:53:01 | very scary. And the only thing I could see in that little, tiny, little |
1260 | 01:53:01 --> 01:53:05 | diameter, was this young boy looking in the rearview mirror, giving me the hang |
1261 | 01:53:05 --> 01:53:09 | loose, shaking his thumb and pinky at me, like, yeah, yeah, yeah, go, go, go. |
1262 | 01:53:11 --> 01:53:16 | And I started panicking. I literally had a panic attack on the motorcycle. I was |
1263 | 01:53:16 --> 01:53:19 | literally gripping this thing. I pulled a groin muscle nearly just trying to |
1264 | 01:53:19 --> 01:53:22 | keep myself holding on to this motorcycle, but I didn't want to look |
1265 | 01:53:22 --> 01:53:25 | weak in front of him. I didn't want to look like I didn't know what I was |
1266 | 01:53:25 --> 01:53:33 | doing, but I was scared to death, and I started realizing I'm so fast you just |
1267 | 01:53:33 --> 01:53:37 | can't stop a motorcycle, like you have to learn how to navigate around things, |
1268 | 01:53:37 --> 01:53:40 | because stopping is not always the best solution, because you just can't stop. |
1269 | 01:53:40 --> 01:53:45 | You don't have enough weight to bring you to a stop. So all these things came |
1270 | 01:53:45 --> 01:53:48 | up into my mind, and you're probably thinking, What's this got to do with |
1271 | 01:53:48 --> 01:53:52 | trading? It has everything to do with what you're doing wrong. I should have |
1272 | 01:53:52 --> 01:53:55 | never been in that situation. Three months, I'm sorry, three weeks after |
1273 | 01:53:55 --> 01:54:02 | buying the ZX 14 ninja Kawasaki Ninja in 2008 three weeks after buying my first |
1274 | 01:54:02 --> 01:54:09 | motorcycle, I'm at 155 miles an hour, ready to become a statistic, stupidly |
1275 | 01:54:11 --> 01:54:16 | chasing after something that was all wrong. What was I doing there? I was |
1276 | 01:54:16 --> 01:54:20 | looking at an influencer on the road, just like you're watching influencers |
1277 | 01:54:20 --> 01:54:24 | like me and other people on the internet. Wow, that Mustang boy thinks |
1278 | 01:54:24 --> 01:54:30 | he's fast. Watch this. I'm gonna go smoke him. I'm doing everything for the |
1279 | 01:54:30 --> 01:54:35 | wrong reasons, and I'm opening myself for risk. He's not at risk. He's inside |
1280 | 01:54:35 --> 01:54:39 | of his car safe. He's got better brakes. He has the ability to stop better than I |
1281 | 01:54:39 --> 01:54:45 | do, and I'm literally one front wheel with away from his bumper, staring at |
1282 | 01:54:45 --> 01:54:53 | him in his rear view mirror, through his back window. With no skill. I have zero |
1283 | 01:54:53 --> 01:55:01 | skill, none at the time, none. Thank God he. Struck me with fear, because I was |
1284 | 01:55:01 --> 01:55:08 | literally Okay. I'm coming off the acceleration, and I literally wanted to |
1285 | 01:55:08 --> 01:55:13 | throw up like I was scared, like I was genuinely scared to death, because I was |
1286 | 01:55:13 --> 01:55:16 | being piped into one lane, and the lanes were already stacking up ahead of them, |
1287 | 01:55:17 --> 01:55:25 | and I'm I don't have much time to bring myself down speed, downshift, downshift, |
1288 | 01:55:25 --> 01:55:28 | downshift. And I get up to the light. And of course, you know me. I'm a man. |
1289 | 01:55:30 --> 01:55:33 | He pulls up next to me. He's looking at me, yeah, yeah, yeah. He rose his minute |
1290 | 01:55:33 --> 01:55:38 | down, and I got my visor down. He can't see me. I'm panting and I'm shaking. So |
1291 | 01:55:38 --> 01:55:42 | what I do? I do the old, cool biker lean. I put my hands on my leg and put |
1292 | 01:55:42 --> 01:55:46 | my hands on the tank, and I'm pressing my arms down on the tank because I don't |
1293 | 01:55:46 --> 01:55:51 | want anybody seeing I'm shaking. I'm scared to death. I'm hopped up on |
1294 | 01:55:51 --> 01:55:55 | goofballs adrenaline and fear, and I'm thanking the good Lord that I did not |
1295 | 01:55:55 --> 01:56:01 | become a pink mist. I would have came apart at that speed. It would have been |
1296 | 01:56:01 --> 01:56:10 | a closed coffin. And my uncle, who was like my big brother, September 4, 1979 |
1297 | 01:56:11 --> 01:56:15 | at noon that day, he took me for a ride on his motorcycle. I could still smell |
1298 | 01:56:15 --> 01:56:19 | his sweat on the back of his T shirt holding on to him. That was the coolest |
1299 | 01:56:19 --> 01:56:23 | moment ever. And 12 hours later, he died on that same road, not just a quarter |
1300 | 01:56:23 --> 01:56:28 | mile from where I was at at that moment. And it all hit me at that time, and I |
1301 | 01:56:28 --> 01:56:31 | was like, Okay, I can't even take anymore. I gotta. I'm gonna turn right |
1302 | 01:56:31 --> 01:56:34 | and I'll go down into a road. I'll go I'll go that direction. I just gotta get |
1303 | 01:56:34 --> 01:56:39 | off this highway. And I literally took my ass home, and I sat there, and I |
1304 | 01:56:39 --> 01:56:44 | thought to myself, Man, I could have died doing something stupid. I could |
1305 | 01:56:44 --> 01:56:51 | have done something really, really dumb. And here's the thing, I survived, that I |
1306 | 01:56:51 --> 01:56:56 | knew better not to do it again. But a year later, my first ride the spring |
1307 | 01:56:56 --> 01:57:02 | March 9, 2009 it's a good day out here. I'm going to go take my bike out, let it |
1308 | 01:57:02 --> 01:57:09 | run for 20 minutes. It's been sitting. Get out there. Boom, open it up. And an |
1309 | 01:57:09 --> 01:57:14 | old guy comes in and puts me into a curb, and I fly a 50 mile an hour over |
1310 | 01:57:15 --> 01:57:21 | to handlebars, 85 feet in the air, laying on my head. Break my clavicle two |
1311 | 01:57:21 --> 01:57:26 | places, break three ribs, detach my scapula, crush all of my molars in my |
1312 | 01:57:26 --> 01:57:33 | mouth, all of my molars, all my chewing teeth, are crushed. I should have been |
1313 | 01:57:33 --> 01:57:37 | dead, and I have spinal injuries as a result of that. I didn't learn my |
1314 | 01:57:37 --> 01:57:42 | lesson. I was given grace. I didn't learn my lesson. I didn't learn my |
1315 | 01:57:42 --> 01:57:46 | lesson. I figured I've been driving for a year now. I've been riding for a year |
1316 | 01:57:46 --> 01:57:51 | now. I haven't really been ridden for for a year, but I allowed my impulses |
1317 | 01:57:51 --> 01:57:55 | because I saw other people riding around that day, I was like, You know what? I |
1318 | 01:57:55 --> 01:58:01 | want to I want to take my bike out. And I was influenced by other people that |
1319 | 01:58:01 --> 01:58:05 | are doing things recklessly, too, and that's exactly what you're doing. When |
1320 | 01:58:05 --> 01:58:09 | you watch my content or anybody else's content, you're thinking, I want to do |
1321 | 01:58:09 --> 01:58:13 | what they're doing. I want to have that same fun. Wow, that must be, that must |
1322 | 01:58:13 --> 01:58:17 | be really cool. They're trading with 20 accounts. They got $10,000 payout. They |
1323 | 01:58:17 --> 01:58:21 | got this. They got that. ICT this. Did $100,000 trade every year. What if I did |
1324 | 01:58:21 --> 01:58:26 | that with 20 accounts? I could be this. Don't let me influence you like that. Do |
1325 | 01:58:26 --> 01:58:31 | not let me influence you like that. That's not what I'm here for. I'm here |
1326 | 01:58:31 --> 01:58:35 | to remind you what's possible, but you're going to work your ass off to get |
1327 | 01:58:35 --> 01:58:42 | to that level, and there's no reason to take stupid, high level risks. I would |
1328 | 01:58:42 --> 01:58:49 | have left my family behind the year before, but thankfully, God said no, and |
1329 | 01:58:49 --> 01:58:53 | because it didn't listen, he didn't give me anxiety on that second ride. He let |
1330 | 01:58:53 --> 01:58:59 | me have all of it up to the point of almost death, and he has, still to this |
1331 | 01:58:59 --> 01:59:03 | day, every spring I see other most like, what's out there? And I always had the |
1332 | 01:59:03 --> 01:59:07 | itch, like, I think myself, I can get one. I'll just get me, I'll get me one |
1333 | 01:59:07 --> 01:59:10 | of the cruisers. And as soon as I start feeling that way, boom, my back goes |
1334 | 01:59:10 --> 01:59:14 | into major spasms, and I have it for weeks. That's the Lord telling me you're |
1335 | 01:59:14 --> 01:59:18 | stupid. You're being stupid right now, how many times I gotta keep you from |
1336 | 01:59:18 --> 01:59:23 | doing this? That's a natural human tendency, don't walk on the grass. I'm |
1337 | 01:59:23 --> 01:59:26 | moonwalking on it. That's what we do as humans. We do everything we're not |
1338 | 01:59:26 --> 01:59:30 | supposed to do. That's why everybody fails in this industry, because it's so |
1339 | 01:59:30 --> 01:59:36 | hard to keep control over yourself. And then you have social media, people like |
1340 | 01:59:36 --> 01:59:39 | me and other people out there that are telling people what they do, what they |
1341 | 01:59:39 --> 01:59:45 | can learn from you, whatever. Do not let me influence you to do things ahead of |
1342 | 01:59:45 --> 01:59:50 | schedule. That's why I tell you all the time. Take your time. There's no rush. |
1343 | 01:59:50 --> 01:59:55 | These markets are still going to be trading six months from now. Just relax. |
1344 | 01:59:55 --> 02:00:00 | If you don't give yourself the ability to see it properly, you might be. I'm |
1345 | 02:00:00 --> 02:00:05 | that pink mist, and you're gone. What can you do about it? Then nothing. |
1346 | 02:00:07 --> 02:00:10 | You've wrecked yourself, you've lost more money. You'll never probably want |
1347 | 02:00:10 --> 02:00:13 | to trade ever again, because you did it wrong. But you'll think that this stuff |
1348 | 02:00:13 --> 02:00:16 | doesn't work. And that's exactly what these people do on the internet. They |
1349 | 02:00:16 --> 02:00:20 | tried to do something quick with it, or they thought it was gonna be 123, watch |
1350 | 02:00:20 --> 02:00:23 | a video in five minutes. Oh, it works, because I can prove it in five minutes. |
1351 | 02:00:23 --> 02:00:26 | No, it doesn't work like that. |
1352 | 02:00:28 --> 02:00:34 | So my encouragement to you, young man, is stop trying to use it right away. You |
1353 | 02:00:34 --> 02:00:38 | don't know what you're doing, just like I didn't know how to use all that speed |
1354 | 02:00:38 --> 02:00:44 | and power in 2008 and in 2009 and ultimately, it could have ended me. So |
1355 | 02:00:44 --> 02:00:51 | while I still love bikes, I love them. I can't buy one and I can't ride one |
1356 | 02:00:51 --> 02:00:57 | because I'm afraid that I won't have the outcome that still keeps me here, and I |
1357 | 02:00:57 --> 02:01:00 | live with pain chronically every single day because I did not listen to good |
1358 | 02:01:00 --> 02:01:04 | common sense. The year before, I should have got rid of the bike, because I |
1359 | 02:01:04 --> 02:01:10 | wasn't able to compose myself and be responsible as a rider, I was literally, |
1360 | 02:01:10 --> 02:01:15 | you know, a squid. I was out there with not the proper equipment, speeding |
1361 | 02:01:15 --> 02:01:21 | around with no skill doing dumb stuff. And I watch kids every single week in |
1362 | 02:01:21 --> 02:01:25 | our area end up on the news because they do that same stuff. They're influenced |
1363 | 02:01:25 --> 02:01:29 | by their friends and people online or whatever, and they buy bikes they can't |
1364 | 02:01:29 --> 02:01:34 | they can't handle it. And what you're learning from me is faster and powerful |
1365 | 02:01:35 --> 02:01:41 | than a ZX 13 was faster than a Hayabusa, faster than all that stuff. This stuff |
1366 | 02:01:41 --> 02:01:45 | is rocket science, and you're out there trying to treat it like it's checkers. |
1367 | 02:01:45 --> 02:01:48 | Oh, I'm gonna go out here. It's all gotta do is this, this, this, and I |
1368 | 02:01:48 --> 02:01:53 | don't know, you have no idea. And that's why I teach the way I do. My concepts |
1369 | 02:01:53 --> 02:01:56 | are amazing. They're perfect, they're the market. But if you don't have the |
1370 | 02:01:56 --> 02:02:01 | right mindset or control over yourself, you'll hurt yourself. And I'm ICT, and I |
1371 | 02:02:01 --> 02:02:07 | just told you something about my personal life, that as a human being, I |
1372 | 02:02:07 --> 02:02:11 | abandoned the rules that I live by. I saw something I was influenced by other |
1373 | 02:02:11 --> 02:02:15 | people. I want that bike. I went to the shop said, what's the fastest bike right |
1374 | 02:02:15 --> 02:02:18 | now? That's what I asked for. I didn't say, Can you give me something as a new |
1375 | 02:02:18 --> 02:02:22 | ride? That was not what I asked for. I want the fastest what everybody wants |
1376 | 02:02:22 --> 02:02:26 | right now, that's the bike I want. And I walked out here with cash, boom, and I |
1377 | 02:02:26 --> 02:02:29 | drove it home brand new. Listen, for people that ride bikes, you know how |
1378 | 02:02:29 --> 02:02:33 | stupid this was. I didn't leave it there and pick it up the next day because it |
1379 | 02:02:33 --> 02:02:40 | was thunderstorming, and I drove it home in the rain and had people laying on |
1380 | 02:02:40 --> 02:02:45 | their horns behind me because I knew the wrong little movement. I'm probably |
1381 | 02:02:45 --> 02:02:48 | going to go down with this thing because brand new tires are too smooth, and |
1382 | 02:02:48 --> 02:02:52 | you're you're going to hide your plane real easy. And I drove home in a |
1383 | 02:02:52 --> 02:02:56 | thunderstorm with probably a mile of cars behind me. Some of them went around |
1384 | 02:02:56 --> 02:03:00 | me and beat the horn almost cut me off. It's just to me all that mad at me, but |
1385 | 02:03:00 --> 02:03:05 | I was doing everything wrong about being a biker. Everything wrong. I checked |
1386 | 02:03:05 --> 02:03:13 | every box. Now I live a pain. You can hurt yourself financially beyond your |
1387 | 02:03:13 --> 02:03:18 | comprehension. If you do things wrong, you could owe. You could owe more money |
1388 | 02:03:18 --> 02:03:22 | than you have trading in environments like a CPI or PPI number, say you're |
1389 | 02:03:22 --> 02:03:25 | ahead of it, and you don't know that it's it's coming out in the marketplace, |
1390 | 02:03:25 --> 02:03:29 | and you're short, and then they they reprice it hundreds of handles against |
1391 | 02:03:29 --> 02:03:34 | you. You're not getting filled even if you had a stop loss. Now you owe the |
1392 | 02:03:34 --> 02:03:38 | broker more money than you have in the account. Then you have in your bank |
1393 | 02:03:38 --> 02:03:41 | account, then you're going to earn in the next couple months, if you had no |
1394 | 02:03:41 --> 02:03:45 | bills, you see what I'm trying to do. I'm trying to prevent all those types of |
1395 | 02:03:45 --> 02:03:51 | things. So while I may be a character that people like to take shots at, and I |
1396 | 02:03:51 --> 02:03:56 | love it, but I'm also trying to be a voice of reason, because you literally |
1397 | 02:03:56 --> 02:04:00 | need to learn this the proper way, and it needs to be at a slow pace. Because |
1398 | 02:04:00 --> 02:04:03 | if you think that you're going to watch a video and figure, oh, it says, I know |
1399 | 02:04:03 --> 02:04:06 | what I'm doing here, and then you go out there and try it with real money, and |
1400 | 02:04:06 --> 02:04:11 | you don't know everything about what you're doing and how you think you might |
1401 | 02:04:11 --> 02:04:14 | add to a losing position, because you think, no, it's right. Because ICT says, |
1402 | 02:04:14 --> 02:04:19 | I have, I have students that act like a like a fan. I don't want fans. I'm not a |
1403 | 02:04:19 --> 02:04:24 | celebrity. I don't like fandom. I want people that are responsible and say, You |
1404 | 02:04:24 --> 02:04:30 | know what? I love the fact that you're responding to people like this, and |
1405 | 02:04:30 --> 02:04:34 | you're reminding us of the risks. Because there's real risks in this, |
1406 | 02:04:34 --> 02:04:38 | folks more than you realize, and you don't really appreciate it until you |
1407 | 02:04:38 --> 02:04:42 | first start doing it, and then all the things that you never imagined were a |
1408 | 02:04:42 --> 02:04:47 | factor. They are much more significant factors than the things you're thinking |
1409 | 02:04:47 --> 02:04:50 | are big, big rocks in the road for you to find success, the things you're |
1410 | 02:04:50 --> 02:04:53 | worrying about right now that you think are impeding your ability to do this. |
1411 | 02:04:53 --> 02:04:57 | They're small, little, tiny pebbles on the road. They're not going to do |
1412 | 02:04:57 --> 02:05:01 | anything for you. They're not going to hold you back. But you think they are |
1413 | 02:05:01 --> 02:05:04 | the bigger things are the ones that you're going to run into in the road |
1414 | 02:05:04 --> 02:05:07 | where it's like a brick wall. You're like, wow, I didn't see that coming. I |
1415 | 02:05:07 --> 02:05:11 | didn't think it was ever going to happen to me, right? And until you have someone |
1416 | 02:05:11 --> 02:05:14 | telling you this is what's likely to occur in if you try to do this and do |
1417 | 02:05:14 --> 02:05:18 | that, at least you're aware of it. You're not taken by surprise. And if the |
1418 | 02:05:18 --> 02:05:21 | people that are being responsible are listening to me, they're like, Okay, I'm |
1419 | 02:05:21 --> 02:05:24 | not doing that because I don't want to find out that I'm not prepared and I |
1420 | 02:05:24 --> 02:05:29 | hurt myself in the process. That's why the women do better, because they're not |
1421 | 02:05:30 --> 02:05:34 | extreme risk takers, like men are, like I was in 2008 like I was in 2000 at |
1422 | 02:05:34 --> 02:05:41 | night, and I live with chronic pain now. So anyway, I know, dude, nobody cares |
1423 | 02:05:41 --> 02:05:45 | about your motorcycle. Nobody cares about your back pain. So if you look at |
1424 | 02:05:45 --> 02:05:51 | the the drop here on Tuesday, I was in the latter half of it, and you saw that |
1425 | 02:05:51 --> 02:05:58 | on the execution videos on the YouTube channel the next day that Wednesday, we |
1426 | 02:05:58 --> 02:06:12 | have a candlestick high here. Now watch this. That is your Sibi. This your cell |
1427 | 02:06:12 --> 02:06:14 | sign imbalance by signing efficiency, |
1428 | 02:06:20 --> 02:06:28 | this big displacement, lower here, this up close candle and this up close candle |
1429 | 02:06:28 --> 02:06:35 | that makes all one singular bearish order block. It's not the last up close |
1430 | 02:06:35 --> 02:06:41 | candle. When I taught it initially, I taught it that way because I knew |
1431 | 02:06:41 --> 02:06:45 | everybody's gonna come out there and start teaching courses with it. There |
1432 | 02:06:45 --> 02:06:49 | are times where I will do this. And the rules for using the up close candle, |
1433 | 02:06:49 --> 02:06:53 | last one before the drop down, that definition will be in my book, because |
1434 | 02:06:53 --> 02:06:56 | then it's in written format. That means everything after that will be |
1435 | 02:06:56 --> 02:07:02 | disparating the written works of me, the audio commentary, the rules, okay, I |
1436 | 02:07:02 --> 02:07:09 | have slowly sprinkled the logic out because I'm competing with every |
1437 | 02:07:09 --> 02:07:13 | plagiarist in the world right now that wants to put this into a book form. They |
1438 | 02:07:13 --> 02:07:16 | all want to be able to say they had it in their book first. That's why I'm |
1439 | 02:07:16 --> 02:07:21 | doing it here in my own voice on YouTube. And there's millions of you now |
1440 | 02:07:21 --> 02:07:25 | have watched and watched me talk about this and teach it and and I'm the only |
1441 | 02:07:25 --> 02:07:28 | one out here demonstrating it properly. You might have a winning trade here and |
1442 | 02:07:28 --> 02:07:31 | there, but you don't even know why your trade worked. Like you don't even know |
1443 | 02:07:31 --> 02:07:34 | why that order block worked, or that inversion fair value gap did what it was |
1444 | 02:07:34 --> 02:07:39 | supposed to do. You assumed that you could handle that ZX 14, and you jumped |
1445 | 02:07:39 --> 02:07:42 | on it and you took a trade. You just happen to live through it like I did in |
1446 | 02:07:42 --> 02:07:49 | 2008 and I barely lived through it in 2009 you see the difference. So because |
1447 | 02:07:49 --> 02:07:56 | of this displacement lower, we can't use this candlestick high here to that |
1448 | 02:07:56 --> 02:08:03 | candlesticks low, we have to refer to the truest beginning point of the order |
1449 | 02:08:03 --> 02:08:09 | block, which is this run up. Okay, something here came into the marketplace |
1450 | 02:08:09 --> 02:08:13 | that was unbeknownst to me. I don't care. I'm not trading in the morning |
1451 | 02:08:14 --> 02:08:18 | session, but I saw what it was doing. So I went in and I worked with the position |
1452 | 02:08:18 --> 02:08:23 | of getting short inside of this daily range, the latter portion of it the |
1453 | 02:08:23 --> 02:08:30 | afternoon session, post 1:30pm Eastern, Standard Time. So we have to look at |
1454 | 02:08:30 --> 02:08:35 | this candlestick here. So what three price points here on this candlestick |
1455 | 02:08:35 --> 02:08:41 | are pertinent or useful? We're down in the volume of balance. See that. And now |
1456 | 02:08:41 --> 02:08:45 | what you'll do is you will look at this wick here, and you'll look at this wick |
1457 | 02:08:46 --> 02:08:49 | here, divide that in half, and both of them. I'm not going to do it because I'm |
1458 | 02:08:49 --> 02:08:52 | trying to get through this lecture already longer than I want it to be. |
1459 | 02:08:52 --> 02:08:55 | It's always like, I know if I say it's going to be short, it's going to be a |
1460 | 02:08:55 --> 02:09:01 | long one. But the I love over delivering the difference between this candle |
1461 | 02:09:01 --> 02:09:09 | sticks low and that candle sticks low. Okay, see that? What is that? That's |
1462 | 02:09:09 --> 02:09:16 | your fair value guy. This is just a city. This is a fair value gap. This is |
1463 | 02:09:16 --> 02:09:19 | why, when I look at other people on YouTube and ultra they'll say, here's a |
1464 | 02:09:19 --> 02:09:25 | fair value gap. That's not a fair Vega. That's not a fair Vega, that's not a |
1465 | 02:09:25 --> 02:09:29 | imbalance that I'm going to utilize. See what you're thinking is because you've |
1466 | 02:09:29 --> 02:09:33 | listened to me with graduated explanations, because I'm giving a |
1467 | 02:09:33 --> 02:09:39 | little bit like a slow leak. Okay? I'm leaking out. I'm teaching, but I'm not |
1468 | 02:09:39 --> 02:09:45 | giving you everything, because you all out there see people trying to pretend |
1469 | 02:09:45 --> 02:09:48 | that they know what them I'm teaching, or they had it figured out, and they're |
1470 | 02:09:48 --> 02:09:51 | trying to make courses, and they're writing books on Amazon, because it's |
1471 | 02:09:51 --> 02:09:54 | very easy for someone to throw something together and Amazon spits it out there. |
1472 | 02:09:54 --> 02:10:01 | Okay, I could have my books out there in two weeks, but I'm. Writing with my |
1473 | 02:10:01 --> 02:10:06 | producer, my my publisher, about the way I want my covers to be, because I only |
1474 | 02:10:06 --> 02:10:11 | get one chance to do this once. I once I've released the book for public, I |
1475 | 02:10:11 --> 02:10:16 | want, I want my way. And they're wrestling with, you know, well, you know |
1476 | 02:10:16 --> 02:10:21 | costs are going to be, I don't care. I'm not doing to make money. But see, that's |
1477 | 02:10:21 --> 02:10:25 | not what they see. They want to make money with it. So we're kind of back and |
1478 | 02:10:25 --> 02:10:30 | forth with it over that. So it'll be released when we finalize all that that |
1479 | 02:10:30 --> 02:10:34 | stuff, because I want the covers to look exactly how I want them, and I'm getting |
1480 | 02:10:34 --> 02:10:37 | a little bit resistance because of them saying the cost and what I want to |
1481 | 02:10:37 --> 02:10:41 | receive as a royalty for each book too. It's, it's a little bit of a back and |
1482 | 02:10:41 --> 02:10:45 | forth. And if you keep messing around, it's going to Self Publish, and I'll get |
1483 | 02:10:45 --> 02:10:51 | all the money. So if you look at the the low here to that candlesticks high, that |
1484 | 02:10:51 --> 02:10:56 | is your rear, that's your that's your real fair value guy, other folks on the |
1485 | 02:10:56 --> 02:11:07 | internet may see this and say, Okay. ICT says that the best portion of shorts are |
1486 | 02:11:07 --> 02:11:12 | going to occur in the lower half of that and we'll leave the upper half open. And |
1487 | 02:11:12 --> 02:11:17 | that is true when you're trading and utilizing a fair value gap that is a |
1488 | 02:11:17 --> 02:11:22 | city. But that is not what's going on here. That's why I tell you all the |
1489 | 02:11:22 --> 02:11:29 | time, there is no one trick pony explanation for a fair value gap. You |
1490 | 02:11:29 --> 02:11:34 | have to understand other factors and other PD arrays. You want a fast track |
1491 | 02:11:34 --> 02:11:38 | to selling books and courses and being mentors, because it's easy quick money. |
1492 | 02:11:39 --> 02:11:42 | But when people realize that there's someone out there that's authored it. |
1493 | 02:11:42 --> 02:11:46 | It's teaching it for free. You're losing subs, you're losing subscription costs |
1494 | 02:11:46 --> 02:11:49 | and fees coming in a month, and then he's going to make you mad and going to |
1495 | 02:11:49 --> 02:11:51 | hate me. You're going to create sock puppet accounts, you're going to troll |
1496 | 02:11:51 --> 02:11:55 | me. You're going to leave comments in my comment section that make me smile and |
1497 | 02:11:55 --> 02:12:00 | make me make longer videos because I like doing it. That is not what we're |
1498 | 02:12:00 --> 02:12:04 | seeing here. This is a change in a state of delivery right there. That opening |
1499 | 02:12:04 --> 02:12:16 | price in a perfect world. Price would do this. It would trade up to that level |
1500 | 02:12:16 --> 02:12:20 | there. Maybe this is a little bit above it, and then roll over, go lower. That's |
1501 | 02:12:20 --> 02:12:27 | the perfect world. But if we're thinking about things algorithmically, and I'm |
1502 | 02:12:27 --> 02:12:31 | teaching you how to use these PBA race properly, not look for an imbalance that |
1503 | 02:12:31 --> 02:12:35 | completely closes in, then I'm going to go long or short based on that. That is |
1504 | 02:12:35 --> 02:12:39 | the worst approach to doing that. That's the worst. That's the lowest form of |
1505 | 02:12:39 --> 02:12:44 | trading with imbalances. That's the lowest form. Why would you want to do |
1506 | 02:12:44 --> 02:12:49 | that? You're a bottom feeder. Doing that, there's more likelihood that your |
1507 | 02:12:49 --> 02:12:52 | trade's going to fail if you trade like that than if you use the logic I'm |
1508 | 02:12:52 --> 02:12:57 | teaching, which is, you don't want to see them fill in. You don't want to see |
1509 | 02:12:57 --> 02:13:00 | them fill in. So if this is the change in the state of delivery, it means the |
1510 | 02:13:00 --> 02:13:03 | price was offered going up to this is buy side delivery. It means the movement |
1511 | 02:13:03 --> 02:13:09 | of price is going up. Then you have this displacement lower that overtakes that |
1512 | 02:13:09 --> 02:13:12 | candlesticks low. Your reference point goes right back to that opening price. |
1513 | 02:13:13 --> 02:13:16 | That's the change in the state of delivery. If you look at this price |
1514 | 02:13:16 --> 02:13:21 | right here, this is on a well, let's just do it. And if I talk about it, it's |
1515 | 02:13:21 --> 02:13:26 | one thing. But we're going to look at Tuesday's price action, September 3. And |
1516 | 02:13:26 --> 02:13:31 | the price is being annotated here on that opening candle that that price of |
1517 | 02:13:31 --> 02:13:36 | that opening on this individual candlestick of Thursday, August 29 so |
1518 | 02:13:37 --> 02:13:41 | when we drop down to a lower time frame, this blue line is referencing this |
1519 | 02:13:41 --> 02:13:45 | candlesticks opening price. Okay, let's watch. We'll drop down to an hourly |
1520 | 02:13:45 --> 02:13:58 | chart. You already see it, don't you? You see it? What's going on here? It's |
1521 | 02:13:58 --> 02:14:03 | leaving all this open. Light bulbs are coming on, right? Let me go back to the |
1522 | 02:14:03 --> 02:14:10 | deal chart. I want you to fully understand what I'm showing you, this |
1523 | 02:14:10 --> 02:14:16 | candlestick that opening price. We're drawing that out in the future, when |
1524 | 02:14:16 --> 02:14:19 | price reaches this level, I'm |
1525 | 02:14:25 --> 02:14:29 | I know when I change time frames, I get a lot of comments that they're saying. |
1526 | 02:14:29 --> 02:14:34 | Can you go slower when you talk about price and you change the time frames? I |
1527 | 02:14:34 --> 02:14:39 | get lost. I get it. But that's that's the benefit of having a video, and it's |
1528 | 02:14:39 --> 02:14:44 | also where you use the pause button and you compare what my charts showing. I |
1529 | 02:14:44 --> 02:14:48 | always make a point of putting my my cursor on the individual candlestick. So |
1530 | 02:14:48 --> 02:14:51 | that way, if you're really trying to learn this, you're going to be doing |
1531 | 02:14:51 --> 02:14:55 | this same thing in your own charts. Because if you're not doing it in your |
1532 | 02:14:55 --> 02:14:58 | own charts and and trying to replicate what I'm showing you here in your own |
1533 | 02:14:58 --> 02:15:02 | charts with your own annotation. Times I mean this sincerely, okay, I'm not |
1534 | 02:15:02 --> 02:15:06 | trying to be mean spirited, because I really want you to learn. I'm talking to |
1535 | 02:15:06 --> 02:15:13 | Caleb right now, but other people are commenting, saying that I'm going too |
1536 | 02:15:13 --> 02:15:17 | fast, or I'm trying to confuse them, and I'm trying to hide something. I'm |
1537 | 02:15:17 --> 02:15:23 | literally trying to do everything I can to give you the perspective of how to |
1538 | 02:15:23 --> 02:15:25 | find it in your own chart, which is exactly what you're supposed to be |
1539 | 02:15:25 --> 02:15:30 | doing. My son is not going to just keep getting my charts annotating after the |
1540 | 02:15:30 --> 02:15:34 | fact. This is the PDA race. He's going to be expected in two weeks. At the end |
1541 | 02:15:34 --> 02:15:38 | of two weeks, he's going to start doing it. He has to do it in his charts. |
1542 | 02:15:38 --> 02:15:41 | That's what you're going to be doing when you trade, when you eventually get |
1543 | 02:15:41 --> 02:15:44 | to the point when you trade with your when you trade with your own money or |
1544 | 02:15:44 --> 02:15:49 | take risk with a funded account company, whatever it is, those elements of what |
1545 | 02:15:49 --> 02:15:53 | you've been doing and practicing are all going to culminate to that moment. If |
1546 | 02:15:53 --> 02:15:56 | you're not, if you've been only looking at what I've created, how can you be |
1547 | 02:15:56 --> 02:16:01 | confident? You won't be you won't be confident. You won't know what you're |
1548 | 02:16:01 --> 02:16:06 | doing. Okay, so this box here is highlighting. We'll do a different color |
1549 | 02:16:06 --> 02:16:09 | so it stands out a little bit differently. We'll make an ugly yellow. |
1550 | 02:16:11 --> 02:16:17 | ICT, it's my favorite color. Look, man, I don't like yellow. Okay, so if we drop |
1551 | 02:16:17 --> 02:16:21 | back down to a 60 minute chart, it's an hourly chart where |
1552 | 02:16:30 --> 02:16:39 | we got here. Why is that not going on to my I think I have it set to only show |
1553 | 02:16:39 --> 02:16:41 | one one time, right? I think so. |
1554 | 02:16:47 --> 02:16:53 | All intervals now back down to a 60 minutes. There we go. Good grief. All |
1555 | 02:16:53 --> 02:16:58 | right, so you can see what I was referring referring to here, where price |
1556 | 02:16:58 --> 02:17:07 | was wicking into that. This is one time where my watermark is not working with |
1557 | 02:17:07 --> 02:17:13 | me. So here's that opening price on that daily candlestick, that little movement |
1558 | 02:17:13 --> 02:17:18 | to the downside, and then it rallied up. Then we had that roll over on Tuesday. |
1559 | 02:17:19 --> 02:17:24 | Right this moment Here, look what price is doing. It's opening and trading right |
1560 | 02:17:24 --> 02:17:30 | back up to it. It's leaving all of this open, and it's leaving all of this open. |
1561 | 02:17:31 --> 02:17:37 | Now think about this young mentors. Okay, you're running mentorships. You're |
1562 | 02:17:37 --> 02:17:42 | trying to charge people money, teaching things you don't know how to use you're |
1563 | 02:17:42 --> 02:17:46 | going to look at this chart and say, Alright, folks, I'm running a signal |
1564 | 02:17:46 --> 02:17:50 | room. We're watching shorts. We're going to wait for price to get up into this |
1565 | 02:17:50 --> 02:17:53 | area here. And right now you're probably getting pissed off because I'm talking |
1566 | 02:17:53 --> 02:17:58 | about you. I don't know you by name. I know many of them in my mind I can think |
1567 | 02:17:58 --> 02:18:01 | of right now, I'm not going to out you here. I'm telling you how to fix what |
1568 | 02:18:01 --> 02:18:05 | you're doing wrong, because you're actually hurting people, and you're |
1569 | 02:18:05 --> 02:18:09 | defrauding people, and you're teaching stuff that you don't know how to do. So |
1570 | 02:18:09 --> 02:18:13 | because you're all here collecting and writing notes like scribes, I want you |
1571 | 02:18:13 --> 02:18:16 | to learn how to do it right, because when I'm gone, people are going to be |
1572 | 02:18:16 --> 02:18:20 | wanting to learn how to do this, and you're the first round of people |
1573 | 02:18:20 --> 02:18:24 | learning directly as I'm teaching it, so you have an advantage. So doesn't it |
1574 | 02:18:24 --> 02:18:27 | make sense to do it right and stop trying to in a hurry to get some quick |
1575 | 02:18:27 --> 02:18:32 | money? You can get a whole lifetime of money. I could be making 15 to $20 |
1576 | 02:18:32 --> 02:18:36 | million every single month doing exactly what I'm doing right now, and I'm not |
1577 | 02:18:36 --> 02:18:42 | even skipping a beat. I don't need that money. You do. So if you want a whole |
1578 | 02:18:42 --> 02:18:50 | lifetime of educating with proper, respectable clientele that are going to |
1579 | 02:18:50 --> 02:18:54 | say, You know what, we trust you because you're you're able to do it, that's what |
1580 | 02:18:54 --> 02:18:57 | you want. You don't want people to think, wow, I have something I can teach |
1581 | 02:18:57 --> 02:19:00 | in hindsight and never have to do it in front of anybody or prove it. I'm |
1582 | 02:19:00 --> 02:19:03 | telling all of you if they're teaching Smart Money concepts, or if they're |
1583 | 02:19:03 --> 02:19:08 | teaching ICT stuff, unless they go out in front of the world and outline |
1584 | 02:19:08 --> 02:19:12 | exactly how it should do, behave everything you don't even need to take a |
1585 | 02:19:12 --> 02:19:17 | trade. Don't even do that. Tell us what the price is going to do if they fall on |
1586 | 02:19:17 --> 02:19:20 | their face, you just save your money. Okay, I promise you, that's the easiest |
1587 | 02:19:20 --> 02:19:24 | litmus test. You don't even need to see track records. You don't need to see |
1588 | 02:19:24 --> 02:19:27 | trading logs. You don't need to see broker statements. Have them come out on |
1589 | 02:19:27 --> 02:19:31 | a live stream, right on YouTube. Everybody can see it. I have students |
1590 | 02:19:31 --> 02:19:36 | that are doing it, not all of our teaching, obviously, but they can prove |
1591 | 02:19:36 --> 02:19:39 | that they're doing it. The easiest way to determine whether you're going to |
1592 | 02:19:39 --> 02:19:43 | waste your money is, can this person explain to me what price is going to do |
1593 | 02:19:43 --> 02:19:46 | beforehand? And because I have always marketed that you're going to learn how |
1594 | 02:19:46 --> 02:19:49 | to read price action, I cannot promise you that you're going to be profitable. |
1595 | 02:19:49 --> 02:19:53 | Why? Because you're going to be like I was in 2008 I'm going to buy the fastest |
1596 | 02:19:53 --> 02:19:56 | motorcycle and get out there and do stuff I'm not supposed to do. That's the |
1597 | 02:19:56 --> 02:19:59 | reason why I teach the way I teach, folks so all you foreigners that come at |
1598 | 02:19:59 --> 02:20:03 | me all the time. Oh, bro, you're a scammer. Fuck you. You have no idea what |
1599 | 02:20:03 --> 02:20:08 | you're talking about. You're broke. I'm not so this inefficiency right here, in |
1600 | 02:20:08 --> 02:20:13 | this inefficiency, it should never be traded to why would you expect these two |
1601 | 02:20:13 --> 02:20:18 | fair value gaps to ever be considered at all? If it's inside of that bearish fair |
1602 | 02:20:18 --> 02:20:24 | value gap and it's above the change in the state of delivery. That means it's |
1603 | 02:20:24 --> 02:20:28 | going to do what it's just going to go into a little bit. And then you want to |
1604 | 02:20:28 --> 02:20:34 | see these things stay open, because that indicates that we're really heavy. We're |
1605 | 02:20:34 --> 02:20:38 | real, real heavy. We don't need to see it go back up in here. But many of you |
1606 | 02:20:38 --> 02:20:41 | that are trying to teach courses and mentorships or signal services. I've |
1607 | 02:20:41 --> 02:20:44 | seen them. People send it to me. You're the ghost guy at Discord. He's trying to |
1608 | 02:20:44 --> 02:20:47 | sell short here. He's trying to buy here. He's trying to do that. And I'm |
1609 | 02:20:47 --> 02:20:51 | just responding with this. The blind leading the blind. You don't know what |
1610 | 02:20:51 --> 02:20:55 | you're doing. Every little separation between three candles like this is not a |
1611 | 02:20:55 --> 02:21:02 | fair value guy. It's not. This is further evidence that indicate that you |
1612 | 02:21:02 --> 02:21:07 | have to have more intel about the other PD arrays, because no matter which one |
1613 | 02:21:07 --> 02:21:11 | you start with, it could be the breaker block, it could be a propulsion block, |
1614 | 02:21:11 --> 02:21:18 | it could be a well volume bounce or fair value gap. You have to understand the |
1615 | 02:21:18 --> 02:21:23 | other ones, even if it's a small, little brief acknowledgement, okay, I recognize |
1616 | 02:21:23 --> 02:21:26 | it. That's not what I'm going to trade on. You have to refer to it because it's |
1617 | 02:21:26 --> 02:21:32 | part of the whole narrative of what price is doing. If I, if I wanted to do |
1618 | 02:21:32 --> 02:21:35 | it, and it was possible, I could just say, here's the here's the order block |
1619 | 02:21:35 --> 02:21:38 | theory, and you never need to worry about any other candlestick. But just |
1620 | 02:21:38 --> 02:21:43 | this one, you can't. It's impossible to do that because you have to have other |
1621 | 02:21:43 --> 02:21:48 | information from other facets of what price was doing. That's why you're all |
1622 | 02:21:48 --> 02:21:52 | you. You're angry at me because you think I'm hiding something from you when |
1623 | 02:21:52 --> 02:21:55 | I've told you that you have to do these things to get the answers you're asking |
1624 | 02:21:55 --> 02:22:00 | for. I know my limitation as a human being, as a teacher, I'm not going to |
1625 | 02:22:00 --> 02:22:04 | reach to the levels of what you expect in answers for certain things, because |
1626 | 02:22:04 --> 02:22:09 | those questions are answered with your own experience. And that doesn't satisfy |
1627 | 02:22:09 --> 02:22:12 | the people that are just one minute trainer, five minute trainer, teach it |
1628 | 02:22:12 --> 02:22:18 | to me in 20 minutes or less. I don't want students like that. I want people |
1629 | 02:22:18 --> 02:22:22 | that are going to be highly responsible and they are aware of what's being |
1630 | 02:22:22 --> 02:22:24 | taught and shown to them, because they can appreciate what's being shown to |
1631 | 02:22:24 --> 02:22:29 | them, because it's the truth. I can make this fraud. I can make this fluffed up |
1632 | 02:22:29 --> 02:22:35 | and all about Lamborghinis and stuff, but I can't come out here and show you |
1633 | 02:22:35 --> 02:22:40 | what I'm doing beforehand, if that's all that it is, and that's what most of what |
1634 | 02:22:40 --> 02:22:44 | you see on the internet right now is show everybody else my fancy, expensive |
1635 | 02:22:44 --> 02:22:48 | stuff. And once that happens, naughty wears off, then what are you left with |
1636 | 02:22:48 --> 02:22:53 | that people want to see you explain it. Why should it work in their own hands? |
1637 | 02:22:53 --> 02:22:58 | Because if you can't show the latte behind, why it should do something? Why |
1638 | 02:22:58 --> 02:23:05 | should anybody send you money. Why should anybody send you money for you |
1639 | 02:23:05 --> 02:23:08 | not being able to prove that you have an understanding what price is going to do |
1640 | 02:23:08 --> 02:23:12 | and you don't even need to push a button for that, folks, that's an easy litmus |
1641 | 02:23:12 --> 02:23:16 | test. Everybody out there in education has a blank check right now waiting for |
1642 | 02:23:16 --> 02:23:19 | them. If that's all I see said I gotta do well, here I can do it. Boom, there |
1643 | 02:23:19 --> 02:23:24 | it is. Watch how many people do it, though, and watch how you get banned. |
1644 | 02:23:24 --> 02:23:27 | Watch how you get blocked on an email, how you get blocked on social media, |
1645 | 02:23:27 --> 02:23:30 | when you ask them to do this stuff, I'm ready for it. I can do this every single |
1646 | 02:23:30 --> 02:23:36 | day, every single day. I'm not running out of any any yeast around here. Okay, |
1647 | 02:23:36 --> 02:23:39 | I got this Baker's got all kinds of flour and yeast. I can do it all day |
1648 | 02:23:39 --> 02:23:43 | long. But these inefficiencies are they're not going to fill they're not |
1649 | 02:23:43 --> 02:23:50 | going to trade back to you don't want them to now, because we have that, you |
1650 | 02:23:50 --> 02:23:52 | can drop down to a 15 minute time |
1651 | 02:24:02 --> 02:24:02 | frame you |
1652 | 02:24:15 --> 02:24:21 | man, it's watermark. Take it off Ichi T I want you to get rid of it anyway. I'm |
1653 | 02:24:21 --> 02:24:26 | trying to pirate your stuff. I know clowns, alright. So here's that opening |
1654 | 02:24:26 --> 02:24:31 | price on the daily candlestick, and it's the change in the state of delivery. And |
1655 | 02:24:31 --> 02:24:35 | you can see it wicking up into it we saw on that hourly chart. Now we're on a 15 |
1656 | 02:24:35 --> 02:24:40 | minute time frame. It's trading into it here, and that defines that 15 minute, |
1657 | 02:24:40 --> 02:24:46 | or, sorry, hourly inefficiency the downside, it's just a Sibi that's not a |
1658 | 02:24:46 --> 02:24:51 | fair value gap that you trade. Okay? It's just showing an inefficiency. But |
1659 | 02:24:52 --> 02:24:55 | just because there's an inefficiency doesn't mean it needs to trade up into |
1660 | 02:24:55 --> 02:24:59 | it. You want to see where you are in the lay of the land, where is price at? |
1661 | 02:25:00 --> 02:25:04 | Where is it likely to go, and how's it been delivered these two inefficiencies |
1662 | 02:25:04 --> 02:25:07 | in price, they're not we don't want them to trade to them. We don't want to see |
1663 | 02:25:07 --> 02:25:11 | price go up there. But watch what happens when it starts to break lower |
1664 | 02:25:11 --> 02:25:16 | after returning back to that blue line, which is the opening price on the lower |
1665 | 02:25:16 --> 02:25:21 | up close candle on the daily chart that frames the full bearish order block. Why |
1666 | 02:25:21 --> 02:25:24 | this is this is what you end up doing with this information. Okay, this is all |
1667 | 02:25:24 --> 02:25:28 | part of the price delivery continuum theory, knowing what you're looking for |
1668 | 02:25:28 --> 02:25:32 | for from one higher time frame, and then using the information from that higher |
1669 | 02:25:32 --> 02:25:35 | Time Frame, what should you expect to see in price? So it gives you the |
1670 | 02:25:35 --> 02:25:38 | confidence it gives me. I know what I'm looking for. I know what I'm going to |
1671 | 02:25:38 --> 02:25:41 | trade off of. I know how I'm going to place my stop based on this information. |
1672 | 02:25:42 --> 02:25:48 | Big, huge paradigm shift. Ready? You ready? I don't hear you. Well, nice et, |
1673 | 02:25:48 --> 02:25:54 | I'm screaming. So it trades up into the opening of that lowest down, close, up, |
1674 | 02:25:54 --> 02:25:57 | close, candle. That makes the bearish order block. This is the change in the |
1675 | 02:25:57 --> 02:26:00 | state of delivery. The algorithm is going to refer back to that price. Here |
1676 | 02:26:00 --> 02:26:05 | we are on a 15 minute time frame. Does it wick above it? Yes. Does it wick |
1677 | 02:26:05 --> 02:26:08 | above it? Yes. Does it wick above it, yes. How can you validate that that is |
1678 | 02:26:08 --> 02:26:12 | really going to be an influential order block? ICT. Look at this lower time |
1679 | 02:26:12 --> 02:26:18 | frame. What are the bodies doing? What are they doing? Are they just going |
1680 | 02:26:18 --> 02:26:29 | through it? No, they're respecting it. Oh, so if I can see a time frame like |
1681 | 02:26:29 --> 02:26:34 | this, that's confirming it, that means this up close candle becomes a valid |
1682 | 02:26:34 --> 02:26:40 | bearish order block, and then I can use it open price right here, you're going |
1683 | 02:26:40 --> 02:26:47 | to hear my stomach, because I'm fasted, so it's already ground talking. We get |
1684 | 02:26:47 --> 02:26:50 | that on that candlestick right there. We don't need a close below it. We don't |
1685 | 02:26:50 --> 02:26:54 | need engulfing candles, does this? We don't need an fu candle, all that stuff |
1686 | 02:26:54 --> 02:26:58 | that's all 20 year olds working through a multi level marketing scam ring. Okay? |
1687 | 02:26:59 --> 02:27:07 | Scammers. Incorporated. Okay, I gotta resist myself, because I could have a |
1688 | 02:27:07 --> 02:27:11 | whole lot of fun with that, but I'm gonna do it. But we have that opening |
1689 | 02:27:11 --> 02:27:15 | price, and we get it there, so that validates this as an order block. But |
1690 | 02:27:15 --> 02:27:23 | now watch when it does this, the next candle, what does it create? I'm What's |
1691 | 02:27:23 --> 02:27:33 | this? That's your first presentation. Oh, so it's not limited to 930, to 10 |
1692 | 02:27:33 --> 02:27:37 | o'clock, right? It's when you're using proper breakdown from a higher time |
1693 | 02:27:37 --> 02:27:41 | frame down to a lower time frame using the PD arrays in the proper context, and |
1694 | 02:27:41 --> 02:27:46 | its PD array matrix, where we're at in the lay of the land, that fair value |
1695 | 02:27:46 --> 02:27:51 | gap, you can trade that right there. Where's your stock go? It's got to be |
1696 | 02:27:51 --> 02:27:56 | above the order block. So your risk is entry. The lowest threshold entry is |
1697 | 02:27:56 --> 02:28:02 | this candle sticks high, and that is, I mean, I gotta move this down or up |
1698 | 02:28:02 --> 02:28:13 | rather. All right, the Fairbank is here. That candlesticks high is 19,183.25 so |
1699 | 02:28:13 --> 02:28:17 | that's your entry, minus one tick. So you want to get filled, you want to make |
1700 | 02:28:17 --> 02:28:20 | sure that you're going to get filled. That's it. Why? Because you have all |
1701 | 02:28:20 --> 02:28:24 | these other things qualifying and confirming it, but your risk is the |
1702 | 02:28:24 --> 02:28:27 | candlestick that is the bearish order. Block this one here, because it should |
1703 | 02:28:27 --> 02:28:32 | not go back above that, especially now, because we had this candles that could |
1704 | 02:28:32 --> 02:28:35 | go above it, and this candlestick goes above it, but prior to it validating |
1705 | 02:28:35 --> 02:28:39 | that closing or that opening price, it didn't need to close above or below it. |
1706 | 02:28:39 --> 02:28:42 | Let me say that one more time because of this, keep a whole bunch of |
1707 | 02:28:42 --> 02:28:47 | contradicting statements. This candlestick up close is your bare |
1708 | 02:28:47 --> 02:28:52 | shorter block. We don't know that yet, until this candlestick crosses down |
1709 | 02:28:52 --> 02:28:57 | below the opening price. It does not on this candlestick does it does not need |
1710 | 02:28:57 --> 02:29:00 | to close below the opening price of that to validate that as a bearish order |
1711 | 02:29:00 --> 02:29:04 | block, what's good about this is we had this candlestick already trade above |
1712 | 02:29:05 --> 02:29:09 | this up close candle, which is a potential we don't know it yet, bare |
1713 | 02:29:09 --> 02:29:13 | shorter block, it wicked above its high there, and it whipped above its high |
1714 | 02:29:13 --> 02:29:17 | there, and then on this candlestick, we traded below that candlesticks opening |
1715 | 02:29:17 --> 02:29:22 | that validates that candlestick as a bearish order block, any stop in this |
1716 | 02:29:22 --> 02:29:26 | close proximity, you could use the opening of that candlestick right here, |
1717 | 02:29:26 --> 02:29:29 | that right there, you can be entering and you can add more into it, into a |
1718 | 02:29:29 --> 02:29:33 | fair value gap, if it trades up into it. You know, that's what I'm saying. Like |
1719 | 02:29:33 --> 02:29:37 | you can use that as your entry mechanism. But for stop placement, you |
1720 | 02:29:37 --> 02:29:42 | have to use the high of that candlestick plus one tick, and it never goes there. |
1721 | 02:29:42 --> 02:29:46 | So that's your defined risk from this candlestick high minus one tick. That's |
1722 | 02:29:46 --> 02:29:50 | your entry to this candlestick plus one tick above its high. So that's your |
1723 | 02:29:50 --> 02:29:57 | defined risk. And you can see multiple instances where you can get in and get |
1724 | 02:29:57 --> 02:30:03 | short on that idea, that premise, you. Anyway, let's go back out to a daily |
1725 | 02:30:03 --> 02:30:11 | chart, and I'll continue on with my lecture. I really missed hanging out |
1726 | 02:30:11 --> 02:30:21 | with you guys yesterday. So here is that other wick guys up at the CME, damn it, |
1727 | 02:30:21 --> 02:30:25 | Michael, shut your mouth. You're teaching everything. Beautiful delivery |
1728 | 02:30:25 --> 02:30:32 | there. You want to screenshot that, by the way, right there you won't find that |
1729 | 02:30:32 --> 02:30:40 | in like off. You ain't gonna see that in Andrew's pitchforks. My private |
1730 | 02:30:41 --> 02:30:46 | mentorship students. That's the inside joke. All right, so anyway, all this |
1731 | 02:30:46 --> 02:30:49 | business in here, we are not looking for that to trade up into these |
1732 | 02:30:49 --> 02:30:55 | inefficiencies. They should stay open. So in reality, what we're saying is |
1733 | 02:30:55 --> 02:31:03 | this, this candle sticks low and this candle sticks high. That's your real |
1734 | 02:31:03 --> 02:31:09 | that's your real fair value guy. That's it, right there. Now let's think about |
1735 | 02:31:09 --> 02:31:13 | this for a moment. Okay, if that's your fair value gap, |
1736 | 02:31:21 --> 02:31:28 | that's not my saying. You gotta feed me, boy, this is your high on, on the |
1737 | 02:31:28 --> 02:31:31 | fairway gap, which is the low of the fairway gap, and this candle sticks low |
1738 | 02:31:31 --> 02:31:37 | is the high the fair value gap. So that defined range there, this segment, this |
1739 | 02:31:37 --> 02:31:43 | section of price, is inefficient in what buy side delivery, because this candle |
1740 | 02:31:43 --> 02:31:47 | moved lower. So in this little section of price action between this candle |
1741 | 02:31:47 --> 02:31:51 | sticks low and this candle sticks high, we're only focused in in this little |
1742 | 02:31:51 --> 02:31:56 | shaded area, we wait for price to go up into it, because what is that doing? |
1743 | 02:31:56 --> 02:32:01 | It's offering the sell side delivery. That means it's overlapping this down |
1744 | 02:32:01 --> 02:32:07 | movement between this candle is low and this candle is high. It's inefficient |
1745 | 02:32:07 --> 02:32:12 | because it didn't have any other candlestick cross over the range defined |
1746 | 02:32:12 --> 02:32:17 | by this candles low and this candle is high while price was going up. That's |
1747 | 02:32:17 --> 02:32:20 | why I use the analogy all the time painting. You know when you apply the |
1748 | 02:32:20 --> 02:32:25 | paint to the wall, first moments of applying the paint with the roller, it's |
1749 | 02:32:25 --> 02:32:29 | real lush and it's ample supply of paint. But you keep rolling, eventually |
1750 | 02:32:29 --> 02:32:32 | that roller will run out of paint in certain parts of it, and you'll start |
1751 | 02:32:32 --> 02:32:36 | seeing these little pockets, these little porous delivery of paint. And |
1752 | 02:32:36 --> 02:32:40 | then what you'll have to do is you roll the roller right back up over top that |
1753 | 02:32:40 --> 02:32:43 | same thing. Well, let's same things occurring. Here you roll the paint down, |
1754 | 02:32:43 --> 02:32:46 | and then you're going to have these little porous pockets where it didn't |
1755 | 02:32:46 --> 02:32:51 | create a very smooth delivery price action. We'll see that when we drop back |
1756 | 02:32:51 --> 02:32:55 | down to lower time frames. But here it looks you can't see that. So the only |
1757 | 02:32:55 --> 02:32:59 | way you can see on this time frame is defining with a fair value gap, which is |
1758 | 02:32:59 --> 02:33:04 | why I created that concept. Then this run back up into it is overlapping, that |
1759 | 02:33:04 --> 02:33:08 | even though it whipped and went lower, that delivery right there. That's what |
1760 | 02:33:08 --> 02:33:12 | I'm I'm studying that when I was setting up that turtle soup cell, what did I |
1761 | 02:33:12 --> 02:33:17 | teach you about turtle soups, their reversal patterns and their continuation |
1762 | 02:33:17 --> 02:33:22 | patterns? You can use the fair value gap to get into a turtle suit. Stop |
1763 | 02:33:22 --> 02:33:29 | listening to Twitter version turtle Supers. Okay, I promise you candle range |
1764 | 02:33:29 --> 02:33:35 | theory is bullshit. Okay, it's bullshit. It's absolute bullshit. So stop it, stop |
1765 | 02:33:35 --> 02:33:40 | it. Go out and call it every single day. Walk out here like I'm walking. Call it |
1766 | 02:33:40 --> 02:33:44 | out, line it up. Do it, trade it, and then everybody will buy your course. I |
1767 | 02:33:44 --> 02:33:48 | promise you, they'll all buy your course, and you'll be the next hero. But |
1768 | 02:33:48 --> 02:33:51 | you're not going to do that because you're staying in the hindsight of of |
1769 | 02:33:52 --> 02:33:57 | 2020, stop putting sock puppet comments in there. I know you're losing sales, |
1770 | 02:33:57 --> 02:34:04 | but I don't give a this range in here. It's not because I hate you. It's |
1771 | 02:34:04 --> 02:34:07 | everybody that's trying to teach my stuff. You don't have any right to do |
1772 | 02:34:07 --> 02:34:13 | it. Alright? So this level here, I'm going to, I'm going to color this one. |
1773 | 02:34:16 --> 02:34:22 | We'll do orange and like it roll bold. Okay, so that way it'll be this pink, |
1774 | 02:34:23 --> 02:34:27 | reddish area that's highlighted to this candlesticks low. We're highlighting |
1775 | 02:34:27 --> 02:34:31 | this inefficiency because it's defined by this candle is high, that candle is |
1776 | 02:34:31 --> 02:34:36 | low. This candle is high. Is anchored with that, that broad orange color. And |
1777 | 02:34:36 --> 02:34:40 | we're going to look at what price was doing here yesterday, and that's what I |
1778 | 02:34:40 --> 02:34:45 | was utilizing to get short in the turtle suit, and then everything will become |
1779 | 02:34:45 --> 02:34:51 | perfect. You'll have a a clear depiction of what price is going to do, because |
1780 | 02:34:51 --> 02:34:59 | I'm showing you how I executed yesterday. My focus and aim was I didn't |
1781 | 02:34:59 --> 02:35:04 | I thought I left. That wine or anything that was this one. So that price is you |
1782 | 02:35:04 --> 02:35:08 | want to have it on your chart with 18,005 52, and a half, and then the next |
1783 | 02:35:08 --> 02:35:18 | one is this one. ICT calls in the crash. Don't hate the player. Hate the game, |
1784 | 02:35:18 --> 02:35:22 | baby. So yeah, of course, I'm an enemy fan. What are you talking about? It's |
1785 | 02:35:22 --> 02:35:30 | talking about? So this candlestick high on Wednesday, okay, that run above that. |
1786 | 02:35:30 --> 02:35:35 | That's my turtle suit. So if I'm looking for this level down here, which I'm |
1787 | 02:35:35 --> 02:35:42 | gonna I'm gonna label this line with a black level, okay, and that way we know |
1788 | 02:35:42 --> 02:35:48 | that that's what ice T's aiming for. So between this candlesticks low, this |
1789 | 02:35:48 --> 02:35:53 | candle sticks high, something in here, I want to I want to attack it. I'm waiting |
1790 | 02:35:53 --> 02:35:58 | for them to give me a high, a short term high around time of day that I want to |
1791 | 02:35:58 --> 02:36:02 | trade. And then I'm going to wait for it to pierce that high. That's turtle suit. |
1792 | 02:36:02 --> 02:36:05 | What I just said will make sense in a minute. Let me drop down a little time |
1793 | 02:36:05 --> 02:36:13 | frames. But I'm thinking that I want to be short above this high and aim for |
1794 | 02:36:13 --> 02:36:17 | this level right here. That's a one shot, one kill. I'm |
1795 | 02:36:23 --> 02:36:28 | that's that's my focus. I want to be above this price and aim for that one. |
1796 | 02:36:29 --> 02:36:34 | I'm willing to absorb and ride out all the little fluctuations between where I |
1797 | 02:36:34 --> 02:36:39 | get in at and where my initial stop loss is to where I'm aiming for that's down |
1798 | 02:36:39 --> 02:36:46 | here. Okay. How. How do we accomplish that? Glad you asked. Let's go down to a |
1799 | 02:36:46 --> 02:36:51 | hourly chart. Remember this orange line is this candlesticks high? So it has to |
1800 | 02:36:51 --> 02:36:56 | be an entry for shorting above that level. My entry to get short has to be |
1801 | 02:36:56 --> 02:37:02 | above this candle sticks high. So that's this price up here. Look at this right |
1802 | 02:37:02 --> 02:37:08 | here. This candle sticks high. My entry going short has to be above that as much |
1803 | 02:37:08 --> 02:37:15 | as this candle sticks low. Watch this price right here. So I have a range of |
1804 | 02:37:15 --> 02:37:19 | looking for a short in that general proximity. I'm waiting for something to |
1805 | 02:37:19 --> 02:37:26 | form, technically, affording me a short where I can frame a stop loss using the |
1806 | 02:37:26 --> 02:37:29 | language I'm teaching you, so that way you can see it conceptually. All right, |
1807 | 02:37:30 --> 02:37:35 | I promise you, once you understand everything that I'm teaching, the |
1808 | 02:37:35 --> 02:37:39 | explanations don't need to be this long and drawn out. But because I have so |
1809 | 02:37:39 --> 02:37:43 | many new students, I'm getting 60,000 new subscribers every month, which is |
1810 | 02:37:43 --> 02:37:49 | crazy. So imagine my my inbox is constantly the same questions, and I'm |
1811 | 02:37:49 --> 02:37:53 | reminding you to stick with the 2024 mentorship, because it's going to answer |
1812 | 02:37:53 --> 02:37:57 | a lot of questions more directly than I've ever done in any previous lectures. |
1813 | 02:37:57 --> 02:38:00 | But you can always go back in your free time and watch those other ones too, |
1814 | 02:38:00 --> 02:38:04 | because it's good stuff. It's I use all that stuff still, but I'm doing this in |
1815 | 02:38:04 --> 02:38:08 | live market conditions over live price action, so you can see me explain all |
1816 | 02:38:08 --> 02:38:11 | this stuff, and then you watch it happen your charts, and you're left with no |
1817 | 02:38:11 --> 02:38:18 | excuse. So we're in this little area. The opportunity is from here to here. |
1818 | 02:38:18 --> 02:38:21 | Okay, so now drop hourly. And |
1819 | 02:38:33 --> 02:38:37 | that fun talk too slow, man, you talk too much. And you got to get rich at the |
1820 | 02:38:37 --> 02:38:42 | point. So we have this old high and inside this range here. What's it |
1821 | 02:38:42 --> 02:38:47 | reaching for? When it whipped up like this, what is it reaching for? Look over |
1822 | 02:38:47 --> 02:38:54 | to the left. What is all this? That was me framing the order block up here, and |
1823 | 02:38:55 --> 02:39:01 | then you have all these wicks, which becomes, what Balanced price range. Why? |
1824 | 02:39:01 --> 02:39:05 | Why is this balanced? Because we have this candlestick opening trading up |
1825 | 02:39:05 --> 02:39:08 | here. We have this candlestick opening and trading up here. We have this |
1826 | 02:39:08 --> 02:39:12 | candlestick opening and trading up here. So essentially, what you're seeing is, |
1827 | 02:39:12 --> 02:39:23 | is you're seeing a wall of price action that's been delivered here. The it's |
1828 | 02:39:23 --> 02:39:26 | offered by side and sell side all throughout this range here, and then it |
1829 | 02:39:26 --> 02:39:33 | leaves it right there. So that means that I can take that idea and say, I'm |
1830 | 02:39:33 --> 02:39:38 | going to extend this over here, and once it gets into that area, it should have |
1831 | 02:39:38 --> 02:39:45 | no easy path into all this stuff or higher. So now I'm further refining this |
1832 | 02:39:45 --> 02:39:52 | down into a small little pocket of price range. So yes, it can touch this, but |
1833 | 02:39:52 --> 02:39:55 | before we get to that range when it's trading above this high here, when it's |
1834 | 02:39:55 --> 02:40:05 | doing this movement on the hourly, I'm. What can I use as an initial framework |
1835 | 02:40:05 --> 02:40:09 | to say, Okay, where's my focus at? It's going up to this level, an extreme |
1836 | 02:40:09 --> 02:40:13 | level, but it's going to have a real hard time getting above that, because |
1837 | 02:40:13 --> 02:40:16 | we've seen back and forth individual candlesticks overlapping, overlapping in |
1838 | 02:40:16 --> 02:40:22 | the sign in same range. Then we have this right there where it leaves that |
1839 | 02:40:22 --> 02:40:25 | balance price range, and it leaves this little, tiny little section, section of |
1840 | 02:40:25 --> 02:40:32 | price action exposed with inefficiency. What is it inefficient in it's sell side |
1841 | 02:40:32 --> 02:40:36 | delivery, but buy side inefficient. That means it's got to have at some time in |
1842 | 02:40:36 --> 02:40:41 | the future, after this candlestick closes and this one starts to |
1843 | 02:40:41 --> 02:40:50 | efficiently offer the market fair value pricing. This gap is what it is. Should |
1844 | 02:40:50 --> 02:40:54 | be repriced to with buy side delivery. That means movement up in price, and we |
1845 | 02:40:54 --> 02:41:02 | get that here. See how it's starting to flesh out more and more. If this, then |
1846 | 02:41:02 --> 02:41:07 | that, if this, then that, if not this, then the other thing, or sit still. So |
1847 | 02:41:07 --> 02:41:13 | now we have this wall of price action. We're going to take that away, because |
1848 | 02:41:13 --> 02:41:16 | it's going to confuse you, this fair value gap. We're going to drop down into |
1849 | 02:41:16 --> 02:41:27 | a 15 minute time frame. This is all top down analysis. So here's the high where |
1850 | 02:41:27 --> 02:41:38 | that little orange level was anchored to, and this gap, this one here, I'm |
1851 | 02:41:38 --> 02:41:45 | going to take this one off for a second. This gap here is above this old high, |
1852 | 02:41:46 --> 02:41:50 | and we're trading up. We want to, I want to try to take a short as it's trading |
1853 | 02:41:50 --> 02:41:55 | higher as it goes higher. I want to sell short into that because it's going into |
1854 | 02:41:55 --> 02:41:58 | that inefficiency. I had that big wall of price action. Remember, on the hourly |
1855 | 02:41:58 --> 02:42:02 | chart, it's all those wicks that was saying, I'm a balanced price range. It |
1856 | 02:42:02 --> 02:42:07 | might touch me, but I'm not going anywhere. I'm going to keep price from |
1857 | 02:42:07 --> 02:42:13 | going any higher, but the wicks can do what they are allowed to do the damage. |
1858 | 02:42:13 --> 02:42:18 | That means they can color just outside the lines. So we're seeing that happen |
1859 | 02:42:18 --> 02:42:24 | here. There's the the fair value gap range. It's expanding just a little bit |
1860 | 02:42:24 --> 02:42:29 | outside of it. But more importantly, my focus is, is I'm getting above that high |
1861 | 02:42:29 --> 02:42:35 | right there. Because this is all part of a daily fair value gap, institutional |
1862 | 02:42:35 --> 02:42:41 | order flow entry drill. That means I expect it not to completely close in a |
1863 | 02:42:41 --> 02:42:45 | bearish, fair value gap. I want to see it just go in a little bit like it's |
1864 | 02:42:45 --> 02:42:51 | doing right here. And I want to see it immediately send price lower. Okay, now |
1865 | 02:42:51 --> 02:42:53 | we can drop down to a five minute chart. |
1866 | 02:42:58 --> 02:43:02 | Everything starts getting more and more scientific, doesn't it? If I'm watching |
1867 | 02:43:02 --> 02:43:07 | this time frame, what do I want to see in price? Well, what is my price |
1868 | 02:43:07 --> 02:43:12 | delivery? Continuum theory. Teach you the higher Time Frame, order flow, any |
1869 | 02:43:12 --> 02:43:16 | PDA rate that you're using on a higher time frame, which higher than a a five |
1870 | 02:43:16 --> 02:43:19 | minute chart, a six minute chart, a seven minute chart, an eight minute |
1871 | 02:43:19 --> 02:43:22 | chart, anything higher than a five minute chart. So what are my usual |
1872 | 02:43:22 --> 02:43:29 | picks? I use the industry standards because I want to have this little |
1873 | 02:43:29 --> 02:43:32 | disruption to what you're used to, if you come from other schools of thought. |
1874 | 02:43:32 --> 02:43:36 | So everybody understands that the weekly, I'm sorry, the monthly, the |
1875 | 02:43:36 --> 02:43:40 | daily, I'm sorry, the monthly, the weekly, the daily, the four hour, the |
1876 | 02:43:40 --> 02:43:43 | one hour, the 15 minute, the five minute, the one minute, and anything |
1877 | 02:43:43 --> 02:43:48 | less than a one minute chart, it's just, you know, bonkers, right? So I say that |
1878 | 02:43:48 --> 02:43:54 | one tongue in cheek, the previous higher Time Frame gave us this pink shaded area |
1879 | 02:43:54 --> 02:43:58 | for the fair value gap to be defined. I laid the rectangle on it based on the |
1880 | 02:43:58 --> 02:44:02 | higher time frame, and now, because it's transposed to this time frame. Now we're |
1881 | 02:44:02 --> 02:44:08 | on a five minute chart. What are the bodies telling me? They're respecting |
1882 | 02:44:08 --> 02:44:13 | it, aren't they? So I'm getting closer and closer to what it is I'm looking |
1883 | 02:44:13 --> 02:44:18 | for, because every frame of reference for time, because that's the most |
1884 | 02:44:18 --> 02:44:25 | paramount thing, no matter who tells you what, baby, time is the most important |
1885 | 02:44:25 --> 02:44:30 | factor before price does anything? Because if ain't the right time, price |
1886 | 02:44:30 --> 02:44:35 | ain't going nowhere. Period. The bodies are saying, Yeah, we're respecting that. |
1887 | 02:44:35 --> 02:44:38 | We're not, we're not going to color outside the lines. But the wicks will |
1888 | 02:44:38 --> 02:44:41 | see you watch these wicks when it's happening like this, and you think, Oh, |
1889 | 02:44:41 --> 02:44:46 | they're they're changing the algorithm. They're making traps. Tell me if I was |
1890 | 02:44:46 --> 02:44:52 | trapped yesterday, or was I trapping breakout artists, I was fading at the |
1891 | 02:44:52 --> 02:44:58 | highest form using what I'm teaching you right here. I'm teaching you the real |
1892 | 02:44:59 --> 02:45:03 | turtle suit. Not Linda Raskin Larry Connors turtle suit. Buy the book, and |
1893 | 02:45:03 --> 02:45:08 | you'll see none of this is in there. No disrespect to Linda. I respect her. She |
1894 | 02:45:08 --> 02:45:11 | was a mentor to me through a book. I've never met her before. I never talked to |
1895 | 02:45:11 --> 02:45:16 | her, except for one time she exchanged a reply to me on Twitter. That was it. I'm |
1896 | 02:45:16 --> 02:45:20 | not a fan. I'm not a going crazy like I was with Larry Williams. I have a high |
1897 | 02:45:20 --> 02:45:26 | degree respect for because she had a huge impact on me in understanding stop |
1898 | 02:45:26 --> 02:45:30 | hunts. That book helped me understand that. But I don't teach anything from |
1899 | 02:45:30 --> 02:45:33 | that book, and you should all own that book. And by me telling you to buy the |
1900 | 02:45:33 --> 02:45:36 | book, that's what that does. It cancels out me hiding anything. Oh, he's |
1901 | 02:45:36 --> 02:45:40 | secretly teaching Smart Money concepts that were found in street smarts book |
1902 | 02:45:40 --> 02:45:46 | wrong. I'm not. I love the name turtle suit, and I just borrowed it for my |
1903 | 02:45:46 --> 02:45:50 | approach to seeing reversals, because in my mind, I'm I'm thinking every person |
1904 | 02:45:50 --> 02:45:54 | is a breakout artist is thinking the same way that the turtle traders were. |
1905 | 02:45:54 --> 02:45:58 | Richard Dennis taught them to use a 20 day high breakout. If it went above the |
1906 | 02:45:58 --> 02:46:01 | highest high in the last 20 days. They bought it and they use the lowest low |
1907 | 02:46:01 --> 02:46:04 | and, well, I'm not going to teach you. Buy the book and you'll get the rules. |
1908 | 02:46:04 --> 02:46:08 | But the point is this, none of that's being taught here, but the idea of a |
1909 | 02:46:08 --> 02:46:13 | stop hunt and then drawing back into the previous range, it helped me understand |
1910 | 02:46:13 --> 02:46:17 | it where I was not seeing that in any other books I was reading. So it helped |
1911 | 02:46:17 --> 02:46:22 | me understand something on a short term basis, and it gave me something to use |
1912 | 02:46:22 --> 02:46:27 | and study price action with where mine, no disrespect to those individuals that |
1913 | 02:46:27 --> 02:46:32 | wrote that book, but I absolutely believe undeniable evidence that mine is |
1914 | 02:46:32 --> 02:46:37 | the highest tier of application of the idea of a stop on like I don't think |
1915 | 02:46:37 --> 02:46:41 | anybody else has done any better work on it. And if you think that I'm not being |
1916 | 02:46:41 --> 02:46:45 | truthful in that show me that book, show me that art, that author, I would love |
1917 | 02:46:46 --> 02:46:49 | to have someone show me something better, not for the sake of competition, |
1918 | 02:46:49 --> 02:46:53 | because they may, they may know something that I don't know. I think |
1919 | 02:46:53 --> 02:46:57 | it's highly unlikely, but I don't think it's going to happen. But what I'm |
1920 | 02:46:57 --> 02:47:02 | teaching you is how to use the top down approach and use the price delivery |
1921 | 02:47:02 --> 02:47:07 | continuum theory, which is whatever the higher Time Frame PD arrays have done at |
1922 | 02:47:07 --> 02:47:12 | a higher Time Frame chart, the lower ones should start respecting that PD |
1923 | 02:47:12 --> 02:47:18 | array. As you see here, we allow those wicks to color outside that. It's normal |
1924 | 02:47:18 --> 02:47:21 | for that to happen. But what I'm watching is, is what the what do the |
1925 | 02:47:21 --> 02:47:30 | bodies do? Are the bodies going beyond the PD array that I'm using to anchor my |
1926 | 02:47:30 --> 02:47:33 | analysis on a higher Time Frame chart? In this case, we've seen what? No, it |
1927 | 02:47:33 --> 02:47:40 | doesn't do that. No, it's not doing that at all. When you're looking at a gap. |
1928 | 02:47:40 --> 02:47:43 | Okay, I'll give you something else that's going to was just supposed to be |
1929 | 02:47:43 --> 02:47:48 | in the book. When you're looking at a fair value gap, how far can it go |
1930 | 02:47:48 --> 02:47:52 | outside of the range that defines that fair value gap and still be good? How |
1931 | 02:47:52 --> 02:47:58 | wide is the fair value gap? Because the WIC can do that range outside of it. |
1932 | 02:47:58 --> 02:48:02 | That's one standard deviation on the fair value Yeah, that is not changing |
1933 | 02:48:02 --> 02:48:05 | anything for me if it starts going above it a little bit like that. You've seen |
1934 | 02:48:05 --> 02:48:09 | me annotate trades. It's a mohawk. That's how I type it. It's a mohawk. |
1935 | 02:48:09 --> 02:48:13 | It's just a little tiny, little stray hair. Someone like when you're cutting |
1936 | 02:48:13 --> 02:48:16 | the grass, you're not paying attention because you're watching a Nixon neighbor |
1937 | 02:48:16 --> 02:48:19 | because she's in the bathing suit, and you're gonna get in trouble if your wife |
1938 | 02:48:19 --> 02:48:22 | catches you. You leave that little line. You like that stuff, don't you the |
1939 | 02:48:22 --> 02:48:25 | little line of grass that you didn't really move over perfectly, and you look |
1940 | 02:48:25 --> 02:48:28 | back and you're like, Oh, I gotta go back over and fix it, because you were |
1941 | 02:48:28 --> 02:48:30 | distracted. You weren't doing what you're supposed to do, which is follow |
1942 | 02:48:30 --> 02:48:34 | the process of overlapping a little bit, make sure you're not leaving any stray |
1943 | 02:48:34 --> 02:48:38 | hairs, or in this case, little straight areas of grass. Well, that's what the |
1944 | 02:48:38 --> 02:48:41 | algorithm is doing, just coloring outside the lines a little bit, but the |
1945 | 02:48:41 --> 02:48:46 | standard deviation of whatever that PD array or inefficiency is the fair value |
1946 | 02:48:46 --> 02:48:49 | gas when you're looking like this, they're refined smaller, smaller. |
1947 | 02:48:49 --> 02:48:53 | They're not going to go five times this. Okay, and then so it's a good trade. |
1948 | 02:48:53 --> 02:48:58 | It's going to be within the realm of whatever this fair Ray gap width is. It |
1949 | 02:48:58 --> 02:49:02 | can color outside the line that much. Generally, it won't do that much at all, |
1950 | 02:49:02 --> 02:49:05 | but that's the rule. Story, okay. Now you're not going to find that in |
1951 | 02:49:05 --> 02:49:11 | anything else, and today, September 6 of 2024 on YouTube, Michael J Huddleston |
1952 | 02:49:11 --> 02:49:15 | has given you more context around fair value gaps. Everybody's going to have it |
1953 | 02:49:15 --> 02:49:18 | in their mentorship now, everybody's going to have it in their courses, and |
1954 | 02:49:18 --> 02:49:21 | they're all going to have it real quick in the chapter in fairbaig, yes, with |
1955 | 02:49:21 --> 02:49:25 | her Amazon book, but you're still not getting everything. You're gonna see |
1956 | 02:49:25 --> 02:49:29 | that that's just small little pieces, little pieces of it. This technical |
1957 | 02:49:29 --> 02:49:35 | science, baby. Okay, we're not talking about checkers. So watch what happens |
1958 | 02:49:35 --> 02:49:39 | when we use the same watch going down into the one minute chart. Can you tell |
1959 | 02:49:39 --> 02:49:44 | I like doing this? Can you tell I enjoy it? I like a little too much. My wife |
1960 | 02:49:44 --> 02:49:49 | said you're just obsessive. Well, you got to be, I mean, because this stuff is |
1961 | 02:49:49 --> 02:49:53 | boring otherwise, right? If you're not really dialed in and excited about what |
1962 | 02:49:53 --> 02:49:57 | it is, you're learning, how could you possibly be expected to do very, very |
1963 | 02:49:57 --> 02:50:01 | well with it? You're going to get quickly bored with. Say, won't you? Of |
1964 | 02:50:01 --> 02:50:07 | course, you will. So now look what we have here. Right away. Students of mine |
1965 | 02:50:07 --> 02:50:13 | that have been with me for a long time know that this is a market maker, sell |
1966 | 02:50:13 --> 02:50:19 | model. Where's your consolidation right here? Why are you picking that I see? |
1967 | 02:50:19 --> 02:50:24 | Why aren't you using this down here? Because this is all impulsive price |
1968 | 02:50:24 --> 02:50:29 | action. It's, it's real sharp. We don't want that. We're looking for our eye |
1969 | 02:50:29 --> 02:50:33 | goes for the original what? What's the rules for market maker, sell model, buy |
1970 | 02:50:33 --> 02:50:39 | model, the original. Consolidation. That means your eyes looking for a perfect |
1971 | 02:50:39 --> 02:50:46 | little box of price action. Well, can you see that this to this? Those are |
1972 | 02:50:46 --> 02:50:52 | relatively equal lows, right? Go straight up from there. What do you |
1973 | 02:50:52 --> 02:50:57 | have? That's your original consolidation. Inside the original |
1974 | 02:50:57 --> 02:51:02 | consolidation, go back to the original rules. This is old stuff. It can drop |
1975 | 02:51:02 --> 02:51:05 | down slightly below that low, right there, which is what you get. And then |
1976 | 02:51:05 --> 02:51:09 | once it leaves it, it can touch what the original consolidation, high. Oh, that's |
1977 | 02:51:09 --> 02:51:18 | support, resistance, save it. Pal, expansion, up, re accumulation. I'm |
1978 | 02:51:18 --> 02:51:22 | sorry, first stage accumulation, re accumulation, or second stage re |
1979 | 02:51:22 --> 02:51:32 | accumulation, then it rallies up and creates, what smart money reversal? How |
1980 | 02:51:32 --> 02:51:39 | does Smart Money know to sell short at the highs like that? That was the |
1981 | 02:51:39 --> 02:51:44 | question I had in the 90s. I sat and looked at charts like this, and I think, |
1982 | 02:51:44 --> 02:51:48 | Man, I wish I could trade the Swiss Franc and get that kind of move. Man, I |
1983 | 02:51:48 --> 02:51:52 | wish I could trade the Deutsche Mark, which they don't trade anymore. I wish I |
1984 | 02:51:52 --> 02:51:54 | could get in there and trade that. |
1985 | 02:51:56 --> 02:52:00 | And I went in and I started breaking things down, and I met some people. And, |
1986 | 02:52:01 --> 02:52:06 | little things happened, okay, and some visitors come and see me. So I learned |
1987 | 02:52:06 --> 02:52:10 | some things, let's put it that way. And what I learned is what you think about, |
1988 | 02:52:10 --> 02:52:16 | what the markets are doing or not in at all doing that. So by having what is |
1989 | 02:52:16 --> 02:52:20 | really going on versus how I can communicate that in a price chart, |
1990 | 02:52:20 --> 02:52:24 | that's what you're seeing here. You don't need the smart money reversal. And |
1991 | 02:52:24 --> 02:52:28 | that's exactly what I taught when I was teaching my market maker buy and sell |
1992 | 02:52:28 --> 02:52:36 | models, which is absolutely not like off. It is not now the idea the infancy |
1993 | 02:52:36 --> 02:52:40 | of white cough, if you study just the beginning parts of that stuff. Don't get |
1994 | 02:52:40 --> 02:52:47 | caught up in all the other garbage, but the overall markup aspect and then the |
1995 | 02:52:47 --> 02:52:52 | selling off of it, that is a market truism. It has nothing to do with white |
1996 | 02:52:52 --> 02:52:56 | cough. Has nothing to do with ICT. That's just the way markets do. They go |
1997 | 02:52:56 --> 02:53:01 | up and they go down, they rally up and they sell off like anything else. When |
1998 | 02:53:01 --> 02:53:08 | the market is hot for for homes, it goes up. All the prices keep going up. Who |
1999 | 02:53:08 --> 02:53:12 | sets the price for your house when you try to sell it? Well, if you have a good |
2000 | 02:53:12 --> 02:53:17 | realtor, they'll say, This is what the comps are in your area. And what do you |
2001 | 02:53:17 --> 02:53:25 | do? Well, I want to be the highest comp. That's what I did, and I got $15,000 |
2002 | 02:53:25 --> 02:53:32 | more than I asked for. And then another house just sold. Last was it march for |
2003 | 02:53:32 --> 02:53:36 | more than my money, or for more, I'm sorry, for the amount of money more than |
2004 | 02:53:36 --> 02:53:40 | I sold. And my house had more stuff. My house was the biggest one in |
2005 | 02:53:40 --> 02:53:45 | development, and had more things done to it inside, and they sold it for almost |
2006 | 02:53:45 --> 02:53:52 | $100,000 more than mine, but I just wanted to unload it, and you set the |
2007 | 02:53:52 --> 02:53:59 | price for your home when you're trying to sell it. Who owns the market? That's |
2008 | 02:53:59 --> 02:54:04 | a question is going to keep you up at night. Who owns the market? You're never |
2009 | 02:54:04 --> 02:54:13 | going to meet them. You are never going to meet that entity. You all think it's |
2010 | 02:54:13 --> 02:54:17 | a it's a combination of everybody comes together and we're buying and selling, |
2011 | 02:54:17 --> 02:54:23 | and that's the market. Oh, crap. That is not it. They're just creating a watering |
2012 | 02:54:23 --> 02:54:30 | hole. And when everybody comes to the watering hole to get a drink, that's |
2013 | 02:54:30 --> 02:54:35 | when people eat, when they're predators and they want to take down something for |
2014 | 02:54:35 --> 02:54:41 | food, because they need meat. In this world, in the financial market. Money is |
2015 | 02:54:41 --> 02:54:49 | meat. That's how you sustain yourself. You eat the best. So if you can entice |
2016 | 02:54:49 --> 02:54:53 | the richest people in the world and the biggest conglomerates in the world that |
2017 | 02:54:53 --> 02:54:57 | want to speculate as well, you create a warning hole for them to do that, and |
2018 | 02:54:57 --> 02:55:03 | then you eat you. Uh, that's what the market's for. Anybody tells you anything |
2019 | 02:55:03 --> 02:55:08 | else? It's not it. They don't know what you're talking about. So when price is |
2020 | 02:55:08 --> 02:55:19 | trading up into this area, what time is this time of day? What is it? It's after |
2021 | 02:55:19 --> 02:55:28 | the opening range of 930, to 10 o'clock. So we now have the market trading inside |
2022 | 02:55:28 --> 02:55:34 | of our fair value gap, but now that's the first time can trade there. So |
2023 | 02:55:34 --> 02:55:38 | anyone that wants to go short just as because it rallies up higher, like that, |
2024 | 02:55:39 --> 02:55:45 | you gotta wait. Just give it a chance. Give it a chance to let people go after |
2025 | 02:55:45 --> 02:55:50 | it, because it's the second mouse that gets the cheese. See, this is the cheese |
2026 | 02:55:50 --> 02:55:55 | right here. It's baited. That's the area that everybody would want to get if they |
2027 | 02:55:55 --> 02:55:58 | understood what I'm teaching. They want to get that price level. It's real high. |
2028 | 02:55:58 --> 02:56:02 | It's nice, but they don't understand the market maker, sell, model, which is |
2029 | 02:56:03 --> 02:56:07 | consolidation, maybe a stop hunt. Initially rallies touch the original |
2030 | 02:56:07 --> 02:56:17 | consolidation. Rally higher, accumulate, second stage re accumulation. Then it |
2031 | 02:56:17 --> 02:56:21 | rallies and takes out a higher, high, right there. It's coloring outside. We |
2032 | 02:56:21 --> 02:56:24 | saw it on the hourly. We saw it on the 50. 15 minute time. We saw it on the |
2033 | 02:56:24 --> 02:56:27 | five minute chart. There was wicks up here, right? That's what these bodies |
2034 | 02:56:27 --> 02:56:34 | are on a one minute chart that is completely permissible. We're not going |
2035 | 02:56:34 --> 02:56:39 | to look at the bodies of a one minute time frame when the higher Time Frame, |
2036 | 02:56:40 --> 02:56:46 | hourly, 15 minute and five minute are showing just the wicks the one minute |
2037 | 02:56:46 --> 02:56:51 | charts going to have bodies there, just like when you're looking at a one minute |
2038 | 02:56:51 --> 02:56:55 | chart, if you look at the wick on this candlestick here, go down to a 15 second |
2039 | 02:56:55 --> 02:56:59 | or five second chart, you're going to see bodies on that Time Frame. It's |
2040 | 02:56:59 --> 02:57:05 | completely reasonable to expect that. But watch when price takes out this high |
2041 | 02:57:05 --> 02:57:11 | here, and we're inside this area as well. I want to be selling short. I want |
2042 | 02:57:11 --> 02:57:17 | to get short in there. I want to add more, if it can afford me, outside the |
2043 | 02:57:17 --> 02:57:22 | coloring of that shaded area that that's premium pricing, like, that's really |
2044 | 02:57:22 --> 02:57:26 | good. That's like, you selling your house for $100,000 more than what you |
2045 | 02:57:26 --> 02:57:31 | were originally aiming to do. Who's gonna who's gonna be mad about that? |
2046 | 02:57:31 --> 02:57:37 | Nobody is. And so since I'm aiming for something in this area here, and |
2047 | 02:57:37 --> 02:57:40 | targeting all the way down to that black line right there, in my mind, I'm |
2048 | 02:57:40 --> 02:57:45 | thinking, this is the beginning. This is the inception of the trade, and this is |
2049 | 02:57:45 --> 02:57:50 | my Terminus down here. I don't care what this is all going to require of me, |
2050 | 02:57:50 --> 02:57:54 | because I'm not going to chase my stop loss throughout all that range. I'm |
2051 | 02:57:54 --> 02:57:58 | going to wait for logical price points, and then once I place my stop I'm going |
2052 | 02:57:58 --> 02:58:03 | to sit still. That's one shot, one kill, because I'm taking down my mark. My mark |
2053 | 02:58:03 --> 02:58:07 | is this level down here. That's the low of that fair value gap on the daily |
2054 | 02:58:07 --> 02:58:14 | chart. So now, when we have this Smart Money reversal, you don't need that wait |
2055 | 02:58:14 --> 02:58:17 | for it to break in market structure. That's what you get with this little |
2056 | 02:58:17 --> 02:58:21 | high here. I'm sorry, this low, we get it right there, and then we trade back |
2057 | 02:58:21 --> 02:58:25 | up into what the order block, where's changing state of delivery on that, that |
2058 | 02:58:25 --> 02:58:31 | opening price on that candlestick, right there, oh, there. Pulled my plug, my |
2059 | 02:58:31 --> 02:58:40 | laptop in. I went past the the battery life here. Give me a second. This is a |
2060 | 02:58:40 --> 02:58:47 | boring stuff. Ain't this guy talks too much. Get out of here if that's how you |
2061 | 02:58:47 --> 02:58:52 | think. You ain't my student. I don't care to read your comments. And that's |
2062 | 02:58:52 --> 02:59:01 | broom you. So if this is in fact, correct, any little retracements up |
2063 | 02:59:01 --> 02:59:07 | should not take out this high and our premium rate, it's inside this as well, |
2064 | 02:59:07 --> 02:59:13 | like this order block that price is what you see me annotating in the recording. |
2065 | 02:59:16 --> 02:59:21 | I'll tell you what, if I don't see 25,000 likes on this video or this live |
2066 | 02:59:21 --> 02:59:25 | stream. I promise you, I will take two weeks off of live streaming, and I won't |
2067 | 02:59:25 --> 02:59:30 | come back until then, because this is stuff that I absolutely never, ever, |
2068 | 02:59:30 --> 02:59:35 | ever wanted to teach, and it's just that little little thank you from you all you |
2069 | 02:59:36 --> 02:59:40 | 25,000 or you won't see me live stream until it gets there. And if it doesn't |
2070 | 02:59:40 --> 02:59:43 | get there, I won't live stream. It'll all be pre recorded |
2071 | 02:59:45 --> 02:59:46 | stuff. Oh, you're a jerk. |
2072 | 02:59:47 --> 02:59:52 | It's free, bro. So anyway, the opening price here extend that forward. Every |
2073 | 02:59:52 --> 02:59:59 | time we worked inside that, see that, what is it doing? It's. |
2074 | 03:00:00 --> 03:00:05 | ICT: Building up positions inside the lower half of this candlestick. But |
2075 | 03:00:05 --> 03:00:10 | there's no algorithm, right? How do we use PD arrays? If it's a premium array, |
2076 | 03:00:10 --> 03:00:14 | we want to see the lower half of it utilized in the upper half, ideally not |
2077 | 03:00:14 --> 03:00:18 | touched. That's that point here. I'm referencing that. Go watch a video. Go |
2078 | 03:00:18 --> 03:00:23 | watch it at point two, five speed. You'll see me annotating, saying it's |
2079 | 03:00:23 --> 03:00:27 | working the lower half of the discount portion, and it's under the mean |
2080 | 03:00:27 --> 03:00:33 | threshold. Mean threshold is a reference point to a a range, like that order |
2081 | 03:00:33 --> 03:00:37 | block, or it's kind of like equilibrium, but when we're talking about a specific |
2082 | 03:00:37 --> 03:00:42 | candle, it's mean threshold in order. It's it's threshold for any type of |
2083 | 03:00:42 --> 03:00:47 | retracements in and still being valid should be, if you're bearish, up close |
2084 | 03:00:47 --> 03:00:52 | candles at the halfway point and lower. That's where all of your institutional |
2085 | 03:00:52 --> 03:00:56 | buying and selling is going to be weighed on. In this case, we have up |
2086 | 03:00:56 --> 03:01:00 | close candles. That's a bearish order block that's validated on this |
2087 | 03:01:00 --> 03:01:05 | candlestick right here. Soon as we pass below that opening price there, let me |
2088 | 03:01:05 --> 03:01:09 | slow down here, because I know what's happening right now. You are brand new, |
2089 | 03:01:09 --> 03:01:12 | and you're probably hearing this stuff. You're like, What in the hell is this |
2090 | 03:01:12 --> 03:01:20 | guy talking about? I'm not your entry level educator. My assumptions are that |
2091 | 03:01:20 --> 03:01:24 | you've gone through a lot of the market maker primer course that's on my YouTube |
2092 | 03:01:24 --> 03:01:29 | channel. If you go through that, that'll that'll give you a little bit of |
2093 | 03:01:29 --> 03:01:36 | foundation. But starting here is good doing all the old stuff and saying I'm |
2094 | 03:01:36 --> 03:01:40 | gonna go and watch your 2024 you're really missing the opportunity seeing it |
2095 | 03:01:40 --> 03:01:43 | stuff live, because you're going to regret not being here when when it |
2096 | 03:01:43 --> 03:01:48 | happened, and you're like, Oh, I watched him call it. It did it. So when we're |
2097 | 03:01:48 --> 03:01:52 | bearish, we have that bearish order block validated here. So that means, |
2098 | 03:01:52 --> 03:01:57 | from that opening price, anything above that is a potential entry, but ideally |
2099 | 03:01:57 --> 03:02:01 | it should never go above the halfway point, which is mean threshold. See how |
2100 | 03:02:01 --> 03:02:05 | it's doing that it's staying away from that. That was signaling to me. That's |
2101 | 03:02:05 --> 03:02:10 | why you see me adding more in there. I'm literally confident, like I could run |
2102 | 03:02:10 --> 03:02:14 | through a brick wall. I know what I'm looking for, and I know exactly what I |
2103 | 03:02:14 --> 03:02:18 | have in hand. And I'm like, Okay, I'm done. I do one more pyramid of entry, |
2104 | 03:02:18 --> 03:02:24 | and then I just let it ride. I don't want to see it attack all these pools of |
2105 | 03:02:24 --> 03:02:28 | liquidity, and I facetiously troll in the comments as it's happening, because |
2106 | 03:02:28 --> 03:02:33 | they'll say this is selling pressure. It's not the market is pausing in here, |
2107 | 03:02:34 --> 03:02:38 | and it's all time distortion. Time distortion is where the market's being |
2108 | 03:02:38 --> 03:02:45 | held in a holding pattern, and it's being used to allow entities that you |
2109 | 03:02:45 --> 03:02:52 | are not going to see doing what I'm doing, what I'm teaching, they're never |
2110 | 03:02:52 --> 03:02:55 | going to teach that stuff. I had to create a language to get as close as I |
2111 | 03:02:55 --> 03:02:59 | could to teach what's really going on here. And you can toss that out. You can |
2112 | 03:02:59 --> 03:03:02 | say, there, okay, that story's not real. There's no algorithm, none of that |
2113 | 03:03:02 --> 03:03:07 | stuff. Okay, do that if that's what it helps you, but if you can see it |
2114 | 03:03:07 --> 03:03:12 | conceptually with my language, that's all I'm really trying to do. I just want |
2115 | 03:03:12 --> 03:03:17 | you to be able to see how these things relate to what price is going to do, and |
2116 | 03:03:17 --> 03:03:20 | it doesn't relate to any other form of trading. That's what I'm kind of getting |
2117 | 03:03:20 --> 03:03:24 | at because I'd get pissed off when people try to discount my entire life's |
2118 | 03:03:24 --> 03:03:28 | work and what the Lord laid in my hands, because I would not know this if it |
2119 | 03:03:28 --> 03:03:35 | wasn't for him, period. Okay, trust me, might tell you that is it, and there is |
2120 | 03:03:35 --> 03:03:39 | no teacher except for him. He's the mentor. So that's the real ghost of the |
2121 | 03:03:39 --> 03:03:49 | machine. So if we have this candlestick, the halfway point below it, between its |
2122 | 03:03:49 --> 03:03:54 | opening price and halfway, all of this is potential areas where you could take |
2123 | 03:03:54 --> 03:04:02 | a short entry and your stop loss can be used with this order block. Or we can |
2124 | 03:04:02 --> 03:04:07 | use this high here, depending upon what your your risk model and your account |
2125 | 03:04:07 --> 03:04:13 | size affords. Okay, so we'll take this off now, and that validates the order |
2126 | 03:04:13 --> 03:04:18 | block right there. We'll take that off, just trying to keep it clean. And now |
2127 | 03:04:18 --> 03:04:28 | what I'm going to do is I'm going to add the executions, and suddenly everything |
2128 | 03:04:28 --> 03:04:33 | changes, because we see this a new market replay right here. Bro, can't do |
2129 | 03:04:33 --> 03:04:37 | that Market Replay. Okay, oh, there's, there's buttons missing. I'm gonna put |
2130 | 03:04:37 --> 03:04:41 | them back on here, because it'll come out. So he didn't have the buttons up |
2131 | 03:04:41 --> 03:04:45 | there. It was Market Replay. You can't see those up here in Market Replay. And |
2132 | 03:04:45 --> 03:04:49 | so if you're seeing their own executions, there they were live |
2133 | 03:04:49 --> 03:04:55 | executions. Look at the price right there. I'm I know I'm getting real |
2134 | 03:04:55 --> 03:04:59 | premium pricing here because I'm outside of that fair value gap above this a. |
2135 | 03:05:00 --> 03:05:04 | Above this high this is turtle suit. This is where Smart Money does the smart |
2136 | 03:05:04 --> 03:05:15 | money short market maker, sell model. Smart Money short, low risk, sell order |
2137 | 03:05:15 --> 03:05:23 | block, the high end of that fairbag app. So that's what I'm aiming for. And I'm |
2138 | 03:05:23 --> 03:05:30 | targeting right in here, in this wick. I was trying to time it as it was, inside |
2139 | 03:05:30 --> 03:05:33 | the halfway point of the end at top of that Fairbank, that's I was aiming for, |
2140 | 03:05:33 --> 03:05:36 | but it slipped away from me because it's on a lower time frame on that chart. |
2141 | 03:05:36 --> 03:05:40 | That's what I was doing there. And then over here, you can see we're adding, |
2142 | 03:05:42 --> 03:05:51 | right there on the wick here, and then I'm aiming for this low to be taken out. |
2143 | 03:05:52 --> 03:05:57 | And I said the market will aggressively reprice down there, because the |
2144 | 03:05:57 --> 03:06:01 | algorithm is not going to want them to pull their orders. Anyone that's long |
2145 | 03:06:01 --> 03:06:04 | that has a trail stop loss here? What kind of cell stop? I'm sorry I just told |
2146 | 03:06:04 --> 03:06:08 | you didn't what kind of liquidity would be resting below here? Sell stops |
2147 | 03:06:08 --> 03:06:12 | because they're long and they're protecting their lungs by putting a stop |
2148 | 03:06:12 --> 03:06:15 | loss below an old low because the books tell them that's where they should put |
2149 | 03:06:15 --> 03:06:19 | their stop loss. I love the fact that the books tell them that. I love that |
2150 | 03:06:19 --> 03:06:23 | these 20 year old mentors and these old code hats that tell you that's how you |
2151 | 03:06:23 --> 03:06:27 | should trade. This is where you put your stop loss at, please continuously keep |
2152 | 03:06:27 --> 03:06:33 | doing that, as long as we keep seeing this regurgitated archaic logic and and |
2153 | 03:06:33 --> 03:06:39 | things that people should be doing in a in an industry where 90% of people that |
2154 | 03:06:39 --> 03:06:43 | use that stuff lose, okay, keep doing that stuff, and then you'll never need |
2155 | 03:06:43 --> 03:06:48 | to lose any sleep about this stuff, ever not working in the future. So this low |
2156 | 03:06:49 --> 03:06:54 | here, you see me annotate that, and then you see oops, put that back up here you |
2157 | 03:06:54 --> 03:07:02 | see me, and I take Good grief, Michael, I'm charting drunk. You're under the |
2158 | 03:07:02 --> 03:07:07 | influence of goofballs. There we are. Now you're starting to look like |
2159 | 03:07:07 --> 03:07:11 | yourself here, buddy. So below here, sell side, and below here, sell side. |
2160 | 03:07:11 --> 03:07:15 | And then we have the original consolidation here. So that would be you |
2161 | 03:07:15 --> 03:07:22 | aim for a run below here. Okay, so there's where your pools of liquidity |
2162 | 03:07:22 --> 03:07:26 | are and how the market will draw to them respectively. So you see it drop down. |
2163 | 03:07:26 --> 03:07:32 | That's wonderful. And then this is your first stage distribution of the cell |
2164 | 03:07:32 --> 03:07:42 | model. Watch my core content in the 2017 playlist. I actually teach this stuff |
2165 | 03:07:42 --> 03:07:47 | here in that mentorship. It's all for free on my YouTube channel. You don't |
2166 | 03:07:47 --> 03:07:50 | need to pay for any of that stuff. Stop buying my stuff from other people. Okay, |
2167 | 03:07:50 --> 03:07:53 | because you're literally paying for something like put on my YouTube channel |
2168 | 03:07:53 --> 03:07:56 | for free. So this is a first stage distribution, and then this is second |
2169 | 03:07:56 --> 03:08:01 | stage distribution. Second Stage distribution is your unicorn. It is so |
2170 | 03:08:01 --> 03:08:06 | quick, it's so powerful. It's the one that you're looking for in every trade. |
2171 | 03:08:06 --> 03:08:11 | That you're looking for moving higher or lower. If you can identify my market |
2172 | 03:08:11 --> 03:08:15 | maker sell model or or bond model, if you trade the second stage |
2173 | 03:08:15 --> 03:08:19 | redistribution, that means you're selling short. Or if you're buying the |
2174 | 03:08:19 --> 03:08:23 | second stage re accumulation. That means you're going long. You are going to get |
2175 | 03:08:23 --> 03:08:28 | the biggest, the fastest, the beautiful, easy hold trade that you're looking for. |
2176 | 03:08:29 --> 03:08:33 | Everybody knows these relative equal lows are there, but not everybody sees |
2177 | 03:08:33 --> 03:08:38 | the framework that causes this to be second stage distribution. What's this? |
2178 | 03:08:41 --> 03:08:45 | It's a discount wick. But what happens if you're below it, it becomes, what a |
2179 | 03:08:45 --> 03:08:56 | premium wick? Boom. How hard can it go above that? Well, you have a little bit |
2180 | 03:08:56 --> 03:09:01 | of an efficiency here, but then you're met with what Balanced range this wick, |
2181 | 03:09:01 --> 03:09:06 | previous wick, previous wick. All this is balanced, so it's trading up into it, |
2182 | 03:09:06 --> 03:09:09 | but it's saying, I'm not going to let you go in higher. You go on a start |
2183 | 03:09:09 --> 03:09:16 | right there, turn around, bro, and then rolls over. Where's it? Aiming for |
2184 | 03:09:16 --> 03:09:19 | original consolidation. What's below these relative equal loads, sell side. |
2185 | 03:09:20 --> 03:09:25 | Okay, wonderful. But what happens if you just have a little bit more expected for |
2186 | 03:09:25 --> 03:09:29 | lower prices, like I did, like I was telling you earlier in the week that we |
2187 | 03:09:29 --> 03:09:32 | were going to look for this fair value gap on the daily chart that's defined by |
2188 | 03:09:32 --> 03:09:33 | this blue line here |
2189 | 03:09:36 --> 03:09:40 | in that black line that I made darker because I wanted to see that was on |
2190 | 03:09:40 --> 03:09:47 | target. You hold this one, but you can't trail your stop loss up to this high. |
2191 | 03:09:47 --> 03:09:52 | You can't do that. So if you watch the recording, you'll see me outline the |
2192 | 03:09:52 --> 03:09:56 | ranges of what I'm willing to absorb. And I gave you all this stuff up in here |
2193 | 03:09:56 --> 03:10:00 | too, and I gave you the lower half. I said, I want to see price, state. Below |
2194 | 03:10:00 --> 03:10:03 | that, go watch the video, because I'm going to make this video much, much |
2195 | 03:10:03 --> 03:10:05 | longer than it needs to be by doing something that's already shown in the |
2196 | 03:10:05 --> 03:10:11 | video, because I'm actually typing out and see it and read it. So the market, |
2197 | 03:10:11 --> 03:10:19 | in fact, does drop down and starts consolidating. And that low, I told you, |
2198 | 03:10:19 --> 03:10:24 | in the playback that is the constant encroachment of this gap between this |
2199 | 03:10:25 --> 03:10:32 | level here, in here, and I'll show you, let's use this opening proximity. Boom. |
2200 | 03:10:32 --> 03:10:38 | Look at the body, respecting that. See that that's algorithmic, and that's what |
2201 | 03:10:38 --> 03:10:43 | I was telling you. If I want to just hold it for the daily range. Okay, I get |
2202 | 03:10:43 --> 03:10:45 | I get people all the time. They'll find a video clip, or they'll see something I |
2203 | 03:10:45 --> 03:10:48 | said on Twitter a long time ago or recently, or maybe I ran into something |
2204 | 03:10:49 --> 03:10:53 | when I brag about what I can do, I'm not, I'm not lying about that. Okay, |
2205 | 03:10:53 --> 03:10:57 | when I tell people I can sell the highs and buy the lows and I can get the daily |
2206 | 03:10:57 --> 03:11:01 | highs and the daily lows, I don't know how else to prove it to you, but we |
2207 | 03:11:01 --> 03:11:06 | actually doing it, like I'm doing it, and I'm explaining the logic how you can |
2208 | 03:11:06 --> 03:11:10 | do it too. It's not like I'm saying here's a trick I can do, and you worship |
2209 | 03:11:10 --> 03:11:14 | me. That's not what I'm doing. I'm teaching you as my students how you can |
2210 | 03:11:14 --> 03:11:18 | find these things yourself. Because it's fascinating to me when I get feedback in |
2211 | 03:11:18 --> 03:11:21 | the comment sections and I don't read my emails anymore because there's too many |
2212 | 03:11:21 --> 03:11:25 | of them, but usually in the comment section is people are like, this is |
2213 | 03:11:25 --> 03:11:30 | wild. Like, this is really wild to see this precision. If this keeps happening, |
2214 | 03:11:30 --> 03:11:35 | right? Isn't awesome. It's awesome. And because I don't have much in the way of |
2215 | 03:11:35 --> 03:11:41 | other people in the industry that I talk to, I set for students. I love the |
2216 | 03:11:41 --> 03:11:45 | feedback, because I live vicariously through all of you all over again, |
2217 | 03:11:45 --> 03:11:49 | because you're experiencing what I experienced. And after 30 years, you're |
2218 | 03:11:49 --> 03:11:53 | not really, you're not impressed with it to the degree that I feel all over |
2219 | 03:11:53 --> 03:11:57 | again, because I see that splash over of excitement, because you're finding it in |
2220 | 03:11:57 --> 03:12:01 | your own charts you're seeing. And you you test it out, and you're like, This |
2221 | 03:12:01 --> 03:12:04 | did exactly right, exactly. And it's laughable when they say the market's not |
2222 | 03:12:04 --> 03:12:09 | algorithmic or controlled by a price delivery mechanism that is absolutely |
2223 | 03:12:09 --> 03:12:13 | predetermined. It's scripted. That's the part you don't understand. That's why |
2224 | 03:12:13 --> 03:12:17 | it's laughable that says it's buying and selling pressure, because from here it's |
2225 | 03:12:17 --> 03:12:23 | going to drop down to to that low, and how many contracts need to be sold short |
2226 | 03:12:23 --> 03:12:27 | to do that? Not as many as you might think. It just needs one every time the |
2227 | 03:12:27 --> 03:12:32 | new price has been offered, just like you can't sell your house. You're trying |
2228 | 03:12:32 --> 03:12:35 | to sell your house up here at this price. Nobody's buying. Nobody's even |
2229 | 03:12:35 --> 03:12:38 | coming to see it. No viewings, all right, let's drop it down $10,000 |
2230 | 03:12:38 --> 03:12:42 | nobody's still doing a viewing. Alright? Let's start. Let's drop it down to |
2231 | 03:12:42 --> 03:12:46 | 25,000 less. Nobody's coming to see it. Oh, well, you know, let's keep dropping |
2232 | 03:12:46 --> 03:12:51 | it lower. And then all of a sudden, what happens? You start getting people that |
2233 | 03:12:51 --> 03:12:55 | want to do buy it. They're coming to view it, right? But they're not buying |
2234 | 03:12:55 --> 03:12:59 | it. Technically, you just want to see it, so that's what you're seeing, people |
2235 | 03:12:59 --> 03:13:02 | buying it. Then that means you can book a lower price and sell. There's always |
2236 | 03:13:02 --> 03:13:05 | people coming in the marketplace that want to buy and sell at the market, and |
2237 | 03:13:05 --> 03:13:09 | they only need that one contract transaction. You are not seeing the |
2238 | 03:13:09 --> 03:13:12 | effects of price moving higher and lower to these levels, because it's buying and |
2239 | 03:13:12 --> 03:13:16 | selling pressure. Because if it's that, if it's that, if that's what it is, how |
2240 | 03:13:16 --> 03:13:22 | on earth is everything balancing perfectly to my PD arrays, to the very |
2241 | 03:13:22 --> 03:13:25 | levels that random buying and selling pressure that everybody has all these |
2242 | 03:13:25 --> 03:13:29 | different methodologies. Everybody's doing something different, folks. But |
2243 | 03:13:29 --> 03:13:33 | why is it listening to what I'm telling you it's going to do? There's only one |
2244 | 03:13:33 --> 03:13:37 | constant here what I'm teaching you, because what I'm teaching you is the |
2245 | 03:13:37 --> 03:13:41 | market. It is the actual market. It is the source code, as close as I can take |
2246 | 03:13:41 --> 03:13:46 | you to it. This is it. This is visually what it is. This is Visual Basic. If you |
2247 | 03:13:46 --> 03:13:49 | want to be a computer programmer, you won't get done once you're a programmer. |
2248 | 03:13:49 --> 03:13:53 | So anyway, sell side here, it aims for that. And then small little |
2249 | 03:13:53 --> 03:13:58 | consolidation in here, what's it doing? It's affording traders to do what the |
2250 | 03:13:58 --> 03:14:02 | people that know that's going to trade for this level here and below here, |
2251 | 03:14:02 --> 03:14:10 | it'll ask them to go short, but it's denying what harmonic traders, ratio, |
2252 | 03:14:10 --> 03:14:17 | traders, imbalance, traders support, Turn resistance. Traders can't get on |
2253 | 03:14:17 --> 03:14:26 | board. Lower again, attacking that sell side. Why? Because they don't want the |
2254 | 03:14:26 --> 03:14:28 | individuals that are long to pull their orders and get out of their long |
2255 | 03:14:28 --> 03:14:33 | position, because that means their stock disappears. So the algorithm is re |
2256 | 03:14:33 --> 03:14:39 | delivering to that price level. It's coded to do this. This is script. It's a |
2257 | 03:14:39 --> 03:14:44 | macro. It's something it's a short list of of orders and directives for the |
2258 | 03:14:44 --> 03:14:48 | price engine to say, Okay, I'm going to quickly reprice lower. Quickly. I'm |
2259 | 03:14:48 --> 03:14:51 | going to keep offering price lower, lower, lower. It doesn't matter how many |
2260 | 03:14:51 --> 03:14:55 | people are buying. It doesn't matter how many contracts are being traded to go |
2261 | 03:14:55 --> 03:15:00 | long. It doesn't matter that does not matter, folks. I'm. And I know I could |
2262 | 03:15:00 --> 03:15:03 | be out here every single day for the rest of my life, and there's still going |
2263 | 03:15:03 --> 03:15:08 | to be people out here arguing. And to me, it That's fascinating. To me, the |
2264 | 03:15:08 --> 03:15:12 | level of denial was unbelievable. Find somebody that can do it like this, |
2265 | 03:15:12 --> 03:15:15 | explain it to you beforehand, using buying and selling pressure, because |
2266 | 03:15:15 --> 03:15:18 | you're not going to find that. You can't find anybody with market profile and and |
2267 | 03:15:18 --> 03:15:21 | be wopp, they're not going to explain every fluctuation like this, and |
2268 | 03:15:21 --> 03:15:25 | ensures, hell, I'm going to position entries like this. They're not going to |
2269 | 03:15:25 --> 03:15:32 | do it, not consistently. I'm doing it. I'm doing it. So at some point you're at |
2270 | 03:15:32 --> 03:15:39 | this junction where you place your faith in the fact that there's consistency, |
2271 | 03:15:39 --> 03:15:42 | there's logic being shown, and it's transferable knowledge. You don't have |
2272 | 03:15:42 --> 03:15:47 | to subscribe to the algorithm, you don't have to subscribe to the men in black. |
2273 | 03:15:48 --> 03:15:51 | You don't have to believe any of that stuff. You don't have to believe any of |
2274 | 03:15:51 --> 03:15:57 | that. But what is price telling? Because that's really what matters, the time of |
2275 | 03:15:57 --> 03:16:01 | day and the open, high, low and close, if you understand that and the basis of |
2276 | 03:16:01 --> 03:16:08 | inefficiency and liquidity, you you don't need anything else. You don't need |
2277 | 03:16:08 --> 03:16:13 | anything else. You don't need any kind of overlaid indicators, none that stuff. |
2278 | 03:16:13 --> 03:16:20 | You'll be able to see everything as it really is, all right. So that completes |
2279 | 03:16:20 --> 03:16:24 | that day here. And I mentioned, like, I said, I could have very easily disclosed |
2280 | 03:16:24 --> 03:16:27 | the trade right here, because it's hitting constant encroachment, and it |
2281 | 03:16:27 --> 03:16:30 | would have been just a little bit above it for my limit order to trade there if |
2282 | 03:16:30 --> 03:16:35 | all I wanted to do was get the low of yesterday. Look, we're not look where |
2283 | 03:16:35 --> 03:16:40 | I'm at, folks, look where I'm trading at. Like, it's real hard to do that with |
2284 | 03:16:40 --> 03:16:45 | a market order while watching price action. I didn't, I didn't limit in I |
2285 | 03:16:45 --> 03:16:49 | was marketing in it. Watch the recordings. I'm proving to you, because |
2286 | 03:16:49 --> 03:16:53 | I could have done limit orders and did better entries, but I had to do these |
2287 | 03:16:53 --> 03:16:57 | hot buttons over here, because I'm constantly proving that it's not Market |
2288 | 03:16:57 --> 03:17:00 | Replay. Because I love shitting on all these people that come in my comment |
2289 | 03:17:00 --> 03:17:03 | section, and I'm sure on social media other places are probably talking kind |
2290 | 03:17:03 --> 03:17:06 | of snack, but I just killed them today. I literally just killed them. Made |
2291 | 03:17:09 --> 03:17:17 | $100,000 in four days. Bro. Poppy ICT, yeah, that's good. Everybody likes to |
2292 | 03:17:17 --> 03:17:21 | take the long way around, but this is the low of the day. I could very easily |
2293 | 03:17:21 --> 03:17:23 | sold short here and bought that. And that's the high level that what |
2294 | 03:17:24 --> 03:17:27 | discipline out there is going to teach you that nothing else, absolutely |
2295 | 03:17:27 --> 03:17:34 | nothing else. So I'm going to ride this out and all this consolidation here. I |
2296 | 03:17:34 --> 03:17:39 | wanted to, admittedly, I wanted to add in pyramid here, but I wanted to prove |
2297 | 03:17:39 --> 03:17:44 | that my stop loss claimant was like, Grandmaster level, like, there is nobody |
2298 | 03:17:44 --> 03:17:48 | out there going to have the logic that I'm able to keep teach you and use, |
2299 | 03:17:48 --> 03:17:52 | like, I'm using it. I'm not just form fitting into things. I'm literally |
2300 | 03:17:52 --> 03:17:57 | teaching the logic and then implementing it. That's what mentoring is. Mentoring |
2301 | 03:17:57 --> 03:18:04 | is being able to find the concept that is easily transferable, provide the |
2302 | 03:18:04 --> 03:18:08 | logic it may be hard to see and understand the beginning, but then see |
2303 | 03:18:08 --> 03:18:15 | examples of this supposed teacher or mentor utilizing it, utilizing it in a |
2304 | 03:18:15 --> 03:18:19 | manner that is undeniable. And when I talk about things in the high time frame |
2305 | 03:18:19 --> 03:18:23 | charts, I tell you this is where the market's likely to go. And I want to and |
2306 | 03:18:23 --> 03:18:26 | I wanted to see it trade down to that fair value daily chart. And then it |
2307 | 03:18:27 --> 03:18:31 | happens today. There are moments of astonishment that you need as a student, |
2308 | 03:18:31 --> 03:18:34 | whether you're learning from me or anybody else, because if you're not |
2309 | 03:18:34 --> 03:18:39 | getting a steady diet of that wow factor, you're probably listening to |
2310 | 03:18:39 --> 03:18:43 | someone that's a fraud. You're probably learning something that isn't going to |
2311 | 03:18:43 --> 03:18:46 | work for you. You're probably not going to be successful at whatever you're |
2312 | 03:18:46 --> 03:18:49 | wasting your time with. But when you see it being utilized, and you have all |
2313 | 03:18:49 --> 03:18:52 | these other people around the world that are using the same stuff, and they're |
2314 | 03:18:52 --> 03:18:56 | getting profits with it, and they're attributing it to what you're learning |
2315 | 03:18:56 --> 03:18:59 | right now, and they're learning right now too. They're excited. They got notes |
2316 | 03:18:59 --> 03:19:03 | going in their journals, just as fast as you are. Her head swirling around, new |
2317 | 03:19:03 --> 03:19:06 | questions being answered, all kinds of things opening up with new logic and new |
2318 | 03:19:06 --> 03:19:14 | models they're never imagined before. And this is still nothing. This is |
2319 | 03:19:14 --> 03:19:19 | nothing. This is nothing anyway. And then we had the previous New Day opening |
2320 | 03:19:19 --> 03:19:22 | gaps in here. I told you about that, and look what they did here. Look at the |
2321 | 03:19:22 --> 03:19:26 | look at the look at this. This is what I really got excited about last night. We |
2322 | 03:19:26 --> 03:19:30 | you watch it on the recording where they wicked up in the last hour yesterday. |
2323 | 03:19:30 --> 03:19:34 | Look at this, right at the last portion of daily range, |
2324 | 03:19:35 --> 03:19:42 | boom. Why would they want to do that? Why on earth would the market want to do |
2325 | 03:19:42 --> 03:19:51 | that trail? Stop losses here, inefficiency, balance, price, range, |
2326 | 03:19:52 --> 03:19:59 | bang, that unseats trailed. Stop losses. They won't get the VIP treatment that |
2327 | 03:19:59 --> 03:20:04 | ICT got you. They won't be able to see the promised land. They can get to the |
2328 | 03:20:04 --> 03:20:10 | Jordan River, but they cannot cross. They get buried on the mountain. This |
2329 | 03:20:11 --> 03:20:16 | hanging around, what this is the high of that daily fair value gap? And what is |
2330 | 03:20:16 --> 03:20:22 | it doing? It's just marking time. And then drips down and then gives you what |
2331 | 03:20:23 --> 03:20:30 | the buyers an opportunity to do, what place, what stops, what kind of stops, |
2332 | 03:20:30 --> 03:20:34 | sell stops. So this is engineering liquidity. It didn't go down to where I |
2333 | 03:20:34 --> 03:20:38 | say it was going to go. Yet, it's building liquidity. They want to build |
2334 | 03:20:38 --> 03:20:48 | liquidity around that level. What does the market do? Rallies up. Consolidates. |
2335 | 03:20:49 --> 03:20:54 | Consolidates. It's hanging around the upper quadrant of that daily fair value |
2336 | 03:20:54 --> 03:21:03 | gap, using old New Day, opening gaps, building fake bull flags. Oh, it's gonna |
2337 | 03:21:03 --> 03:21:08 | go hard. No, honey, bang. And then watch when we're getting close to this low |
2338 | 03:21:08 --> 03:21:13 | here, the algorithm knows it needs to do it quick, or you'll do what? If you're |
2339 | 03:21:13 --> 03:21:17 | long, you're gonna pull your order and clap your trade. They they have to have |
2340 | 03:21:17 --> 03:21:22 | the liquidity there. So the market does this quick drive down. Boom, and there's |
2341 | 03:21:22 --> 03:21:27 | my exit rate at the blow of the fairway. Gotham daily chart. Tell me. Talk to me. |
2342 | 03:21:27 --> 03:21:35 | Okay, talk to me. You. Tell me who's proven that, who's proven it, who's |
2343 | 03:21:35 --> 03:21:38 | bringing the evidence that can stand up in court. Because I could do this in |
2344 | 03:21:38 --> 03:21:42 | front of any court, in front of anybody. I can do it on CNBC, if they'll let me. |
2345 | 03:21:42 --> 03:21:47 | You want, you want to be trading live? I'll do it right in front of Kramer. |
2346 | 03:21:47 --> 03:21:49 | I'll go on Kramer and say, watch this. |
2347 | 03:21:55 --> 03:22:02 | Kramer. You don't want me under because I'd be like, Look, this guy is the alpha |
2348 | 03:22:02 --> 03:22:06 | fading indicator. Like, whatever he says, give a little bit of time and it's |
2349 | 03:22:06 --> 03:22:10 | going to go the other direction. And I don't mean that to be me, but that's |
2350 | 03:22:10 --> 03:22:17 | just the facts. Like, it's crazy, it's crazy, but I would have literally given |
2351 | 03:22:17 --> 03:22:23 | my left leg when I was 20 years old, if somebody like my Cassel for here is |
2352 | 03:22:23 --> 03:22:29 | proving this stuff conceptually, executing with it. Okay, now here's the |
2353 | 03:22:29 --> 03:22:34 | here's the challenge for the soy boys in the comment section. And I It may sound |
2354 | 03:22:34 --> 03:22:37 | to you like I got, like, hundreds of them, or even 20 of them. I don't. I |
2355 | 03:22:37 --> 03:22:41 | have usually one or two. And you think, Oh, you spend too much time you're here. |
2356 | 03:22:41 --> 03:22:47 | I love them. That that's what makes this fun for me. Like I have to have some |
2357 | 03:22:47 --> 03:22:53 | kind of anti antagonistic, uh, argument. One guy out there took it to an extreme |
2358 | 03:22:53 --> 03:22:58 | to make a brand out of him, okay? And I think it hurt him. But just the back and |
2359 | 03:22:58 --> 03:23:05 | forth, the banter, the shop talk, I love that, like I love that it's it's fun to |
2360 | 03:23:05 --> 03:23:09 | be able to do with other people, and they don't take it personal. But for the |
2361 | 03:23:09 --> 03:23:13 | soy boys in my comment section that I love ribbing, and I know some of them |
2362 | 03:23:13 --> 03:23:17 | probably still love me, it's like they know who I'm talking to when I say it, |
2363 | 03:23:17 --> 03:23:25 | Lucas, but the the idea of using multiple screens, okay, here's your |
2364 | 03:23:25 --> 03:23:29 | challenge. You might have multiple computers, okay, and screens or |
2365 | 03:23:29 --> 03:23:36 | whatever, okay. Trading view is welcome to come out and verify that what this |
2366 | 03:23:36 --> 03:23:45 | was done was only with one account. You can't have multiple accounts on trading. |
2367 | 03:23:45 --> 03:23:49 | Me, you have the account. That's it, as far as I'm aware of. Okay, unless it's |
2368 | 03:23:49 --> 03:23:54 | something that I don't know. But I want all the folks that hold the opinion that |
2369 | 03:23:54 --> 03:23:57 | this was done with multiple computers, multiple screens, here's what your |
2370 | 03:23:57 --> 03:24:03 | here's what your challenge is. Okay, you have to frame the trade with all the |
2371 | 03:24:03 --> 03:24:08 | annotations, like I have every key level, and you have to be able to use |
2372 | 03:24:08 --> 03:24:14 | the logic that I've taught. And you got to get at the high of the day, and then |
2373 | 03:24:14 --> 03:24:22 | you got to get out at the low over here, use that logic. I promise you, no one's |
2374 | 03:24:22 --> 03:24:25 | going to come forward with doing that. They'll do it in Market Replay, but they |
2375 | 03:24:25 --> 03:24:28 | will not do it with live price action. They won't do it in a demo. They won't |
2376 | 03:24:28 --> 03:24:31 | be able to do it with their live account. They won't be able to do it |
2377 | 03:24:31 --> 03:24:35 | period in a story. It's done. So I have a lot of fun with those types of things, |
2378 | 03:24:35 --> 03:24:38 | and honestly, you should be thankful that these people do this, because it |
2379 | 03:24:38 --> 03:24:41 | inspires me to do these lectures like this. It doesn't inspire me when I got |
2380 | 03:24:41 --> 03:24:45 | people constantly telling I love uict, when I got other people's chat rooms, I |
2381 | 03:24:45 --> 03:24:50 | love UIC man. I'm out of there soon as I see that. I'm done. I'm gone. I'm not |
2382 | 03:24:50 --> 03:24:53 | like that. I don't want that. I like the guys that want to give me a ribbing, |
2383 | 03:24:53 --> 03:24:57 | like bro, like show this and show that you can't do that. As soon as they give |
2384 | 03:24:57 --> 03:25:03 | me something I can't do, I do it. It's simple. It's almost like a, like a magic |
2385 | 03:25:03 --> 03:25:06 | show. Okay, can you show me a card check? Sure, I'll show you card trick. I |
2386 | 03:25:06 --> 03:25:09 | could show you card tricks all day long. I had live stream card tricks for hours |
2387 | 03:25:09 --> 03:25:14 | and hours and hours. And never mind. I like that. I love that engagement. I |
2388 | 03:25:14 --> 03:25:19 | love that, you know, that playfulness, like, Yeah, but it ain't so, so and |
2389 | 03:25:19 --> 03:25:23 | then, okay, boom. And it's just like, oh shit. They never come back with a |
2390 | 03:25:23 --> 03:25:27 | response after that, which is my perfect response. They're like nothing. They |
2391 | 03:25:27 --> 03:25:31 | can't say nothing. So when I talk about this stuff, some of you just try to |
2392 | 03:25:31 --> 03:25:35 | defend me and mother me or father me by saying you spend too much time. You |
2393 | 03:25:35 --> 03:25:39 | should be thankful that they do this. Because that's the that's the dichotomy |
2394 | 03:25:39 --> 03:25:43 | here. That's the thing that gets my juices going, like it makes me want to |
2395 | 03:25:43 --> 03:25:47 | do more of this. That's like, you have no idea. That's when I'm driving around. |
2396 | 03:25:47 --> 03:25:52 | I want somebody to give me road rage. I'm looking to get out of their car. |
2397 | 03:25:52 --> 03:25:55 | Please get out of your car. Please get out of your car. Because I'm looking for |
2398 | 03:25:55 --> 03:25:59 | that. I'm looking for an outlet. I'm looking for that. Think about what I was |
2399 | 03:25:59 --> 03:26:05 | telling you about the 2008 I was looking for something. I wanted stimulation. I |
2400 | 03:26:05 --> 03:26:09 | was already wealthy. I was already aware of, you know, where I was in the world. |
2401 | 03:26:10 --> 03:26:15 | I'm happy. But now, what do I want to do? I need to do something dangerous. |
2402 | 03:26:16 --> 03:26:19 | And men are the typical they're the creatures that do it. Women don't |
2403 | 03:26:19 --> 03:26:27 | generally do that stuff. So in this education platform, I like when people |
2404 | 03:26:27 --> 03:26:31 | say I don't believe you and they want to say something, if they took the time to |
2405 | 03:26:31 --> 03:26:34 | send me something in the comment section, that means that I have them |
2406 | 03:26:34 --> 03:26:39 | emotionally hooked, and that means they have committed, they placed the bet. |
2407 | 03:26:39 --> 03:26:43 | That's what they've done. They've taken the time to type that out, and then I'm |
2408 | 03:26:43 --> 03:26:49 | going to honor their time by answering their bullshit, and then answer it in a |
2409 | 03:26:49 --> 03:26:54 | way where it leaves them speechless. And if they have a hero, or if they're the |
2410 | 03:26:54 --> 03:26:57 | hero in a sock puppet account, that's offended because I'm doing something |
2411 | 03:26:57 --> 03:27:01 | they are never going to be able to live up to. Dude, you don't have to say you |
2412 | 03:27:01 --> 03:27:05 | learn from me, but if this helps you become a better trader, and if you want |
2413 | 03:27:05 --> 03:27:10 | to sell services and signals and stuff, at least you know how to do it for real. |
2414 | 03:27:10 --> 03:27:13 | Now that's all. That's all I'm trying to do. I'm having fun doing something I |
2415 | 03:27:13 --> 03:27:17 | don't mean anything mean spirited to anybody. I don't want any I don't wish |
2416 | 03:27:17 --> 03:27:20 | any ill on anybody else. I don't I don't have that mentality, like I don't have |
2417 | 03:27:20 --> 03:27:25 | that, but I do like to have fun, and I can take a good ribbing when, when |
2418 | 03:27:25 --> 03:27:29 | people have something that's, you know, said about me funny, they make skits |
2419 | 03:27:29 --> 03:27:32 | about me, whatever. I laugh my ass off about some of that stuff. It's funny |
2420 | 03:27:32 --> 03:27:36 | stuff. I'm not hurt. I'm not ashamed of hiding my face. I'm not here live |
2421 | 03:27:36 --> 03:27:42 | streaming and you see anything slowing down? No no, because I'm comfortable in |
2422 | 03:27:42 --> 03:27:46 | my skin. I'm comfortable with who I am and what I'm able to do. And as a |
2423 | 03:27:46 --> 03:27:51 | mentor, you want to have that mentality, because you're going to have students, |
2424 | 03:27:51 --> 03:27:54 | they're going to challenge you. If you don't do this, then you're a fraud. If |
2425 | 03:27:54 --> 03:27:57 | you don't do this, I don't believe you. You didn't do this because you didn't do |
2426 | 03:27:57 --> 03:28:02 | it this way. You're always going to have these new challenges, and you get to |
2427 | 03:28:02 --> 03:28:08 | pick and choose what you want to answer. You have to have the comfort knowing |
2428 | 03:28:08 --> 03:28:12 | that people are going to come at you like, I'm the hottest thing right now in |
2429 | 03:28:12 --> 03:28:18 | trading. Just go out there and look at it. It's just like that. It doesn't mean |
2430 | 03:28:18 --> 03:28:22 | that I'm right for everybody. It doesn't mean I'm the perfect mentor, but I have |
2431 | 03:28:22 --> 03:28:27 | to have fun doing this, or I'm not going to do it, and this is my way of being |
2432 | 03:28:27 --> 03:28:31 | fun. Like, I have fun with it, and I don't get my feelings hurt when people |
2433 | 03:28:31 --> 03:28:35 | doubt me, or if they say something that may be viewed that other people that are |
2434 | 03:28:35 --> 03:28:39 | supporting me, they want to go to war about that. I don't think like that. I |
2435 | 03:28:39 --> 03:28:44 | think it's fun, like it's fun when other YouTubers and live streamers, they talk |
2436 | 03:28:44 --> 03:28:48 | smack about me and say something funny, I laugh about that, unless it's |
2437 | 03:28:48 --> 03:28:52 | something personal about my family or something like that. You know, I have a |
2438 | 03:28:52 --> 03:28:55 | sense of humor. And some of you out there feel like you have to be my |
2439 | 03:28:55 --> 03:29:00 | bodyguard. You don't have to be my bodyguard. Like I'm not insecure. Most |
2440 | 03:29:00 --> 03:29:04 | of you have insecurities that are really unhealthy for a student, and that's what |
2441 | 03:29:04 --> 03:29:11 | gives what we have here as a community, a very strong cult like persona. And to |
2442 | 03:29:11 --> 03:29:18 | kind of take away the sting of that persona, I just grab it and say, okay, |
2443 | 03:29:18 --> 03:29:22 | yeah, we're the cult of winning, because nobody else's community is going to be |
2444 | 03:29:23 --> 03:29:26 | like we are. We're dialed in on precision. We're looking for |
2445 | 03:29:26 --> 03:29:33 | consistency. We have levels of precision that it's alien to anyone else. It's |
2446 | 03:29:33 --> 03:29:37 | literally ridiculous to be able to say, Oh, this is ICT trades like this guy or |
2447 | 03:29:37 --> 03:29:43 | that guy, or the ICT trades like me, there ain't nobody that trades like me. |
2448 | 03:29:47 --> 03:29:50 | I like for you to show me who they are, if they if they exist. But here's the |
2449 | 03:29:50 --> 03:29:56 | nine o'clock run up all this spending time above that daily fair value gap, |
2450 | 03:29:57 --> 03:30:04 | above all the spy side. Here you. And then they ripped it lower. And this is |
2451 | 03:30:04 --> 03:30:07 | that lower width that I highlight on the daily chart. Let's go back out to |
2452 | 03:30:08 --> 03:30:11 | actually take I want to take a look at this. I didn't see ES. I haven't looked |
2453 | 03:30:11 --> 03:30:19 | at I'm gonna see es real quick. Yeah. It made higher high there. Look at this. Is |
2454 | 03:30:19 --> 03:30:25 | the ugly in it. This is when I talk about certain things, and I'll use |
2455 | 03:30:25 --> 03:30:33 | adjectives that may seem a little weird. This delivery in ES, because I get a lot |
2456 | 03:30:33 --> 03:30:38 | of questions, why are you in and NASDAQ and not ES? Because NASDAQ is a little |
2457 | 03:30:38 --> 03:30:45 | bit more wild, and because it's more wild, it has a lot more likelihood that |
2458 | 03:30:45 --> 03:30:51 | inefficiencies will be formed in it that won't be sometimes as clear in the E, |
2459 | 03:30:51 --> 03:30:55 | Mini, s, p, so look at the difference between how this price action is here. |
2460 | 03:30:55 --> 03:31:00 | This is like, fuzzy, okay, it's like, back and forth. Yeah, there's |
2461 | 03:31:00 --> 03:31:06 | inefficiencies in here. You can see them, okay, but NASDAQ is a whole lot |
2462 | 03:31:06 --> 03:31:12 | cleaner. And you can use the NASDAQ and still trade es like you can look at the |
2463 | 03:31:12 --> 03:31:16 | inefficiencies in NASDAQ when we're moving lower and say, Okay, well, what |
2464 | 03:31:16 --> 03:31:20 | is es doing? And if ES is starting to retrace higher at the same time that the |
2465 | 03:31:20 --> 03:31:24 | NASDAQ's trading up into a fair value gap and it's respecting its lower half |
2466 | 03:31:24 --> 03:31:30 | of its inefficiency, you're not going to have mark to market perfect you the |
2467 | 03:31:30 --> 03:31:34 | candle stop at the same time on ES to do a little stop on that. If you're holding |
2468 | 03:31:34 --> 03:31:38 | it to that degree of precision, it's going to frustrate you, but you can read |
2469 | 03:31:38 --> 03:31:44 | price action in NASDAQ, and get a good feel for what S, P is going to do. But |
2470 | 03:31:44 --> 03:31:50 | if you look at what we have in NASDAQ, look at this area here, see how price is |
2471 | 03:31:50 --> 03:31:54 | delivering all this in here. Contrast that with what you have in the NASDAQ. |
2472 | 03:31:57 --> 03:32:03 | See how easy and your eye jumps right to the inefficiencies here, here and here, |
2473 | 03:32:03 --> 03:32:08 | that is a stark contrast to what the delivery mechanism was in ES. So it's a |
2474 | 03:32:08 --> 03:32:15 | little bit more fuzzy, a little bit more it's like a muddying of the waters. It's |
2475 | 03:32:15 --> 03:32:18 | still going to go where we think it's going to go, but it's not going to be as |
2476 | 03:32:18 --> 03:32:22 | pristine and clear like you can see clearly with the with the NASDAQ, the |
2477 | 03:32:22 --> 03:32:30 | inefficiencies go right, right, right into it and then breaks aggressively. So |
2478 | 03:32:32 --> 03:32:39 | anyway, I think that's it for today. I had fun today. I'm really hungry. I |
2479 | 03:32:39 --> 03:32:46 | enjoyed murdering the hearts and minds of everybody that likes to troll me. I |
2480 | 03:32:46 --> 03:32:53 | made $100,000 in four days. Bro, copy, ICT. I did it in less than one day, one |
2481 | 03:32:53 --> 03:32:58 | trade, one entry full pool, one stop loss movement. And that was it. And I |
2482 | 03:32:58 --> 03:33:03 | could have done way more than that, like I could have built this up wildly, doing |
2483 | 03:33:03 --> 03:33:08 | everything I've done in the past by pyramiding and keeping it going. My |
2484 | 03:33:08 --> 03:33:13 | question to you is, do you see value in this? In the final moments here together |
2485 | 03:33:13 --> 03:33:18 | today, live, I want you to think about, think about the chances of you having |
2486 | 03:33:18 --> 03:33:23 | someone that's doing what I'm doing for you right now. I'm doing all this for |
2487 | 03:33:23 --> 03:33:29 | free. I'm doing this with my own personal time. I always overstay unless |
2488 | 03:33:29 --> 03:33:33 | my wife says I ask the absolutely and and we gotta do something, I'm always |
2489 | 03:33:33 --> 03:33:37 | over delivering because I enjoy it. My passion is teaching this because I know |
2490 | 03:33:37 --> 03:33:41 | what it's done for me. I know what it'll do for you. If you're earnestly trying |
2491 | 03:33:41 --> 03:33:45 | to learn how to do this, the markets are absolutely not random. They're not |
2492 | 03:33:45 --> 03:33:48 | random. They're not hiding things from you. If you're learning from me, they're |
2493 | 03:33:48 --> 03:33:53 | never going to be able to hide it from you. Everything is in that chart, but |
2494 | 03:33:53 --> 03:33:57 | they've done a clever game of constantly pumping out misinformation with |
2495 | 03:33:57 --> 03:34:02 | indicators and other schools of thought. And the problem is, with good, |
2496 | 03:34:02 --> 03:34:06 | reasonable money management, it's easy to trick yourself into thinking that |
2497 | 03:34:06 --> 03:34:10 | that's what makes the market go up and down. Your harmonic patterns, your ratio |
2498 | 03:34:10 --> 03:34:14 | this, your animal patterns, your white golf, your moving average crossovers, |
2499 | 03:34:14 --> 03:34:20 | your supply and demand zones, you come on. Everybody has something right. What |
2500 | 03:34:20 --> 03:34:24 | Works in this industry all the time is sound money management that wins every |
2501 | 03:34:24 --> 03:34:28 | time. You can make money flipping a quarter heads, you buy, tails, you sell, |
2502 | 03:34:28 --> 03:34:31 | use a reasonable stop loss, don't over trade at the end of the year, you can be |
2503 | 03:34:31 --> 03:34:35 | profitable. Does that mean that you should sell your course on how to flip |
2504 | 03:34:35 --> 03:34:39 | the quarter the right way? No, but that's the that's the gimmick, and |
2505 | 03:34:39 --> 03:34:42 | that's the fraud that's in this industry, because they know that you're |
2506 | 03:34:42 --> 03:34:46 | chomping at the bit to learn how to make money, and you all think that this is |
2507 | 03:34:46 --> 03:34:49 | easy, fast money, the only way that occurs is if you're selling an |
2508 | 03:34:49 --> 03:34:55 | education, I can make millions instantly, overnight. All I gotta do is |
2509 | 03:34:55 --> 03:34:59 | put a price tag on this, and you should feel comforted that that's not gonna |
2510 | 03:34:59 --> 03:35:05 | happen. There's no hook here. There's no upsell, there's no nothing. I'm |
2511 | 03:35:05 --> 03:35:10 | delivering more than anybody ever has and ever will. I'm not going to teach |
2512 | 03:35:10 --> 03:35:14 | everything that makes me who I am, but what I'm teaching is going to take years |
2513 | 03:35:14 --> 03:35:20 | for people to catch up to that everything at this moment, taught and |
2514 | 03:35:20 --> 03:35:24 | made public. It's going to take years for people to get good and proficient |
2515 | 03:35:24 --> 03:35:30 | with it, and when I start seeing that, I'll come out and teach some more stuff. |
2516 | 03:35:30 --> 03:35:33 | I won't run out of anything. Okay, I have lots of toys and techniques and |
2517 | 03:35:33 --> 03:35:37 | tactics, and they're all better than what you've seen so far. Like, this is |
2518 | 03:35:37 --> 03:35:42 | nothing. This is like elementary school stuff. It's very, very, very simplistic |
2519 | 03:35:42 --> 03:35:46 | things that there's a the lowest order of technical science that I have, and it |
2520 | 03:35:46 --> 03:35:51 | has to be taught this way, because more higher tier stuff, it requires a whole |
2521 | 03:35:51 --> 03:35:54 | lot more things that I honestly don't have at my age right now, the patience |
2522 | 03:35:54 --> 03:35:58 | or energy to teach it like I don't it would take a great deal of effort and to |
2523 | 03:35:58 --> 03:36:01 | answer the ones they're asking, Is my book's going to have all that stuff. No, |
2524 | 03:36:02 --> 03:36:05 | it will have new PD arrays. It'll have new things to amplify what has already |
2525 | 03:36:05 --> 03:36:09 | been taught here, so that way you have a full panoramic view, but you don't need |
2526 | 03:36:09 --> 03:36:14 | to buy my books. Okay? And I know the people that are partnering with me, they |
2527 | 03:36:14 --> 03:36:18 | don't like me saying that, and I don't care, because I'm not trying to sell |
2528 | 03:36:18 --> 03:36:24 | books for money. I'm only writing the book to have an ISBN number and a |
2529 | 03:36:24 --> 03:36:29 | copyright that says, this was my work. This was my work in print, for the first |
2530 | 03:36:29 --> 03:36:34 | time, other people will be able to talk about how these things existed and the |
2531 | 03:36:34 --> 03:36:38 | ones that have class and character, they have given me credit in their books, |
2532 | 03:36:38 --> 03:36:43 | which is fine, even though they taught it wrong. It's fine, but it's helped |
2533 | 03:36:43 --> 03:36:48 | stimulate this whole frenzy around me and my concepts, Smart Money concepts. |
2534 | 03:36:48 --> 03:36:52 | ICT, this. ICT, that. And because it garners attention, you have people that |
2535 | 03:36:52 --> 03:36:57 | want to make videos about me. You want to do exposes, or expose the fact that I |
2536 | 03:36:57 --> 03:37:01 | just did what I just did here today, expose that. You ain't going to touch |
2537 | 03:37:01 --> 03:37:04 | that subject matter. You ain't going to touch that. You're going to take |
2538 | 03:37:04 --> 03:37:07 | something out of context, you're going to make it wise. You're going to listen |
2539 | 03:37:07 --> 03:37:10 | to somebody else's bullshit, and then you're going to try to get viewership on |
2540 | 03:37:10 --> 03:37:14 | your channel or clicks on your Twitter account, because you need money, and |
2541 | 03:37:14 --> 03:37:18 | that's fine. I'm doing that. I'm doing you a better service. I'm teaching you |
2542 | 03:37:18 --> 03:37:21 | how to actually learn how to make it in the market on your own steam. And I |
2543 | 03:37:21 --> 03:37:25 | don't even care if you ever tell me thank you for it. I don't care. That's |
2544 | 03:37:25 --> 03:37:29 | not what I'm here for. I'm here because I want to lay it down for my son that |
2545 | 03:37:29 --> 03:37:34 | way he can see it. He can see these setups in enough time working with it. |
2546 | 03:37:35 --> 03:37:41 | Come on your funded account, challenges they offer you, and they afford you, |
2547 | 03:37:41 --> 03:37:46 | what? 15 contracts. I didn't even use 15 contracts, and I didn't break a rule |
2548 | 03:37:46 --> 03:37:49 | that would have been utilized against you if you were using a particular |
2549 | 03:37:49 --> 03:37:53 | funded account company. You can't add to a losing position. My position is saying |
2550 | 03:37:53 --> 03:38:00 | I'm not pyramiding into a losing trade study that trust me, those guys, as much |
2551 | 03:38:00 --> 03:38:04 | as much as they would love to be able to copy what I'm doing. They don't want you |
2552 | 03:38:04 --> 03:38:07 | all learning how to do this, because you're going to break them. And that's |
2553 | 03:38:07 --> 03:38:11 | not my motivation earlier, when I was having fun about that. Don't be sending |
2554 | 03:38:11 --> 03:38:15 | me some hate mail. I don't want to hear about it. You got your own little thing. |
2555 | 03:38:15 --> 03:38:20 | I'm I'm providing you a whole list of new clientele that's going to come in |
2556 | 03:38:20 --> 03:38:24 | here, and if they listen to me, they'll make money. But the ones that are keyed |
2557 | 03:38:24 --> 03:38:28 | up like I am, they may take it as a challenge to go take you to the |
2558 | 03:38:29 --> 03:38:36 | poorhouse. I mean, it only takes one good trader. Think about it, one good |
2559 | 03:38:36 --> 03:38:45 | trader that has an Oceans 11 itch or you ever seen that movie 21 with Kevin |
2560 | 03:38:45 --> 03:38:50 | Spacey, and he taught everybody how to count cards, and they went to casino and |
2561 | 03:38:51 --> 03:38:57 | they were beating them. It only takes one person to be able to be really, |
2562 | 03:38:57 --> 03:39:00 | really good at this. And they get their little Oceans 11, or they get their |
2563 | 03:39:00 --> 03:39:04 | little click up, and they said, We're going to take down these funded account |
2564 | 03:39:04 --> 03:39:09 | companies. So you need to stop screwing your clientele, because if you keep |
2565 | 03:39:09 --> 03:39:15 | doing that kind of stuff, there's more of us than there are of you, and you're |
2566 | 03:39:15 --> 03:39:21 | making lots of money, lots and lots of money, but the doors are open for people |
2567 | 03:39:21 --> 03:39:29 | like me and who I'm teaching, and they can come in and crush you. Crush you |
2568 | 03:39:29 --> 03:39:35 | because they can make a point to say, look, we're gonna arm me up. And there's |
2569 | 03:39:35 --> 03:39:40 | gonna be a large number of people. They're gonna file this same account |
2570 | 03:39:41 --> 03:39:44 | you're done for. And it's not like it's going to affect the market, because |
2571 | 03:39:44 --> 03:39:48 | you're not even in a real market, you're you're in demo. So they're not going to |
2572 | 03:39:48 --> 03:39:53 | seek and hunt stops, because if there was a large body of of traders coming in |
2573 | 03:39:53 --> 03:39:57 | like that, that type of liquidity, they're going to move on that. But |
2574 | 03:39:57 --> 03:40:05 | because you're all demo, you. Uh, it's an easy way to to smash all of you, and |
2575 | 03:40:05 --> 03:40:09 | that's the number one reason why I would never go out there in that setting, |
2576 | 03:40:09 --> 03:40:13 | because Word travels fast. If I say anything in my private mentorship, it's |
2577 | 03:40:13 --> 03:40:17 | already on Instagram. It's already in all the other stuff, because there's |
2578 | 03:40:17 --> 03:40:20 | leakers there. They want to be the person that's leaking something |
2579 | 03:40:20 --> 03:40:24 | exclusive, and that's why I don't do most things anymore at that group. I |
2580 | 03:40:24 --> 03:40:29 | converse with them, we talk about things, but I'm doing more on a YouTube |
2581 | 03:40:29 --> 03:40:35 | channel publicly now because of that very reason. So if I went into a setting |
2582 | 03:40:35 --> 03:40:39 | like I'm going to trade with top step or I don't even know all the other |
2583 | 03:40:39 --> 03:40:44 | companies anymore, but that's the one I know of, because two of my sons went |
2584 | 03:40:44 --> 03:40:50 | through their thing. But the, and that's an endorsement for top step, by the way, |
2585 | 03:40:50 --> 03:40:55 | but the if I was to open up an account with them and start trading with it, you |
2586 | 03:40:55 --> 03:41:00 | think they're going to keep that quiet? Hell no. Hell No seeing what I'm doing, |
2587 | 03:41:01 --> 03:41:03 | Michael patak would absolutely be copying every fucking thing I'm doing. |
2588 | 03:41:04 --> 03:41:07 | And ain't no shame in the game. I would do it too. If I was in I'd be like, |
2589 | 03:41:07 --> 03:41:12 | whatever this guy's doing, I want to copy that. And what happens when the |
2590 | 03:41:12 --> 03:41:16 | other people behind the scenes in the back room work those companies, they |
2591 | 03:41:16 --> 03:41:19 | know I'm in there, and they just say, Well, you know this little tree copier |
2592 | 03:41:19 --> 03:41:25 | here, I would do it. I would do that. I'm not gonna lie about I would |
2593 | 03:41:25 --> 03:41:28 | absolutely do that. If this, if this guy was making it available so I could see |
2594 | 03:41:28 --> 03:41:32 | what he's doing every single time you all know, you'd be doing it too. Come |
2595 | 03:41:32 --> 03:41:37 | on. But what happens when individuals out there that learn how to trade really |
2596 | 03:41:37 --> 03:41:42 | well, let me not, maybe not with this stuff. Maybe, maybe do trade with other |
2597 | 03:41:42 --> 03:41:47 | stuff, and they're profitable, and they're wildly profitable, and they have |
2598 | 03:41:47 --> 03:41:55 | a bunch of people with them with the extended goal, over time, to knock you |
2599 | 03:41:55 --> 03:41:56 | guys out of business. |
2600 | 03:41:59 --> 03:42:04 | Think about that. So you have to really handle yourself differently. And when |
2601 | 03:42:04 --> 03:42:08 | people earn their money, don't screw don't scroll out of that stuff. Oh, |
2602 | 03:42:08 --> 03:42:11 | well, you broke this rule. You didn't do that. Now it's supposedly some one |
2603 | 03:42:11 --> 03:42:15 | company saying you got to record yourself trading. Well, my students 15 |
2604 | 03:42:15 --> 03:42:19 | out of trading. They probably would love doing it. They probably want to see if |
2605 | 03:42:19 --> 03:42:23 | they're trading. What I'm showing in my charts, if you're trained like that ICT |
2606 | 03:42:23 --> 03:42:29 | guy, we gotta get this guy out of here. Deny all payouts, some funny stuff. I |
2607 | 03:42:29 --> 03:42:32 | mean, it's not funny for the people that should have been paid out because |
2608 | 03:42:32 --> 03:42:35 | they've earned the money. But it's, it's crazy. I'm sure they're probably |
2609 | 03:42:35 --> 03:42:40 | thinking, Man, this guy's teaching everybody how to do this stuff. Yep. |
2610 | 03:42:40 --> 03:42:46 | Boys in Chicago are paying attention to trust me on that. Tell me I can't and |
2611 | 03:42:47 --> 03:42:51 | I'll make more of me. So that's going to be it for today. I'm going to grab |
2612 | 03:42:51 --> 03:42:55 | something to eat, enjoy the weekend and relax. I hope you all had some fun |
2613 | 03:42:55 --> 03:42:59 | today. Hope you learned something. I certainly had a great time with you all. |
2614 | 03:42:59 --> 03:43:03 | I hope you watch the video I shared yesterday. It's sped up. If you watch it |
2615 | 03:43:03 --> 03:43:08 | at point two, five speed, don't you don't want to hear me sound like I'm |
2616 | 03:43:08 --> 03:43:11 | drunk. I've never been drunk in my life, but at point two, five, I'm going to |
2617 | 03:43:11 --> 03:43:14 | sound like I'm drunk. But watch everything I'm annotating in the in the |
2618 | 03:43:14 --> 03:43:18 | chart and in comp, compare and contrast with I showed you here how we worked |
2619 | 03:43:18 --> 03:43:23 | from higher time frame using the PD arrays and the price delivery continuum |
2620 | 03:43:23 --> 03:43:28 | theory, where everything on the higher time frame has to be confirmed with that |
2621 | 03:43:28 --> 03:43:33 | lower time frame, contrast that with what you hear in retail, the higher time |
2622 | 03:43:33 --> 03:43:38 | frames have to confirm the lower time frame. No, no, no, no, no, because |
2623 | 03:43:38 --> 03:43:46 | everything is algorithmic, prices are going to be reacting to in the way. I'm |
2624 | 03:43:46 --> 03:43:52 | teaching you with the lower time frames, because it's high frequency in nature. |
2625 | 03:43:52 --> 03:43:57 | Algorithmic trading is not slow snails pace, trading on weekly, monthly and |
2626 | 03:43:57 --> 03:44:00 | daily charts in four hour that's not what that is not that there isn't |
2627 | 03:44:00 --> 03:44:05 | algorithms keying off of those time frames there are, but algorithmic |
2628 | 03:44:05 --> 03:44:08 | delivery of price that the engine itself is causing the fluctuations higher and |
2629 | 03:44:08 --> 03:44:11 | lower, where the price is going to go, whether there's buyers or sellers at any |
2630 | 03:44:11 --> 03:44:17 | degree of of significance, more other than any other day, it's these things |
2631 | 03:44:17 --> 03:44:22 | are predetermined. And I'm telling you, I know some people just don't like to |
2632 | 03:44:22 --> 03:44:26 | hear it, but if it was anything, but what I'm telling you, I would tell you, |
2633 | 03:44:27 --> 03:44:32 | but if it isn't what I'm telling you, and I'm able to do this, what other |
2634 | 03:44:32 --> 03:44:36 | school of thought am I employing? What is it? Because you're not going to find |
2635 | 03:44:36 --> 03:44:40 | that it's not going to happen, folks, it's not going to happen, but you're |
2636 | 03:44:40 --> 03:44:44 | welcome. You're welcome to go out there and waste your time doing some people |
2637 | 03:44:44 --> 03:44:51 | have tried, and they became students, and I wish you all the best with it. I I |
2638 | 03:44:51 --> 03:44:55 | want you to do well. I certainly want my son to come out here and do a better job |
2639 | 03:44:55 --> 03:45:03 | of being iced tea. Point 2.0 5.0 yeah. Um. Than I was. I want him to do it |
2640 | 03:45:03 --> 03:45:11 | correctly, not have the the the self centered all about me that I had when I |
2641 | 03:45:11 --> 03:45:18 | was 20. I wish I had this mentality when I was 20. I would have been a huge, huge |
2642 | 03:45:18 --> 03:45:22 | name in the industry, way before I am right now and I'm, I'm not really that |
2643 | 03:45:22 --> 03:45:26 | big of a deal, so don't think I'm trying to make myself bigger than I am. But |
2644 | 03:45:26 --> 03:45:29 | when it comes to trading, everybody knows what SMC is. Everybody knows what |
2645 | 03:45:29 --> 03:45:33 | an ICT is. And they're, they're polarized. Either, yeah, I know I'm he's |
2646 | 03:45:33 --> 03:45:40 | a crackpot, or, yeah, wow, that guy's something else. It's crazy, and that's |
2647 | 03:45:40 --> 03:45:44 | what it is, and I like being polarizing, because that means I'm constantly going |
2648 | 03:45:44 --> 03:45:49 | to have a fresh perspective put against me. And then over time, those |
2649 | 03:45:49 --> 03:45:52 | individuals that listen to that bullshit, they'll come here and they'll |
2650 | 03:45:52 --> 03:45:55 | see what I'm able to do and what my students are learning, and they're doing |
2651 | 03:45:55 --> 03:45:59 | in their own hands. And there ain't no better testimony than you finding what |
2652 | 03:45:59 --> 03:46:01 | you're looking for and never understanding what it was you were |
2653 | 03:46:01 --> 03:46:06 | seeking to see it for the first time, and you're like, wow, you're telling me |
2654 | 03:46:06 --> 03:46:10 | that I can get short at the high of the day, and all I'm trying to get is 10 |
2655 | 03:46:10 --> 03:46:15 | handles. And what happens if I just hold it right? What happens if you hold it |
2656 | 03:46:15 --> 03:46:19 | for the entire daily range? What happens if you carry it over to the following |
2657 | 03:46:19 --> 03:46:22 | day and you reach for targets that I'm teaching you, the algorithm is going to |
2658 | 03:46:22 --> 03:46:26 | reprice to anyway. He's got to submit to the time holding on to him. Everything |
2659 | 03:46:26 --> 03:46:32 | changes, folks, and you won't be able to sleep. You'll have so much energy and |
2660 | 03:46:32 --> 03:46:36 | excitement. It's not fear. You'll have so much excitement, like you will be |
2661 | 03:46:36 --> 03:46:41 | buzzing. You Won't you won't be able to stand it waiting to get through work |
2662 | 03:46:41 --> 03:46:44 | because you want to go home and get into charts and dig through it and study |
2663 | 03:46:44 --> 03:46:48 | more. That's how you know you're progressing. If it's hard for you to get |
2664 | 03:46:48 --> 03:46:51 | into the charts, if you're finding it daunting, and you're listening to me, |
2665 | 03:46:51 --> 03:46:54 | and he's like, Oh, this guy, I don't even want to go through this anymore. |
2666 | 03:46:54 --> 03:46:59 | Just stop. Save yourself all the trouble and just stop because you're not |
2667 | 03:46:59 --> 03:47:03 | equipped, ready and wanting to do it right now. You may want to do it later |
2668 | 03:47:03 --> 03:47:08 | on, but don't. If you have to force yourself to do this and learn from me, |
2669 | 03:47:08 --> 03:47:12 | then that's the surest sign that you're not ready. That's all, that's all, |
2670 | 03:47:12 --> 03:47:14 | that's all it means. And go do something else. Try to learn something from |
2671 | 03:47:14 --> 03:47:17 | somebody else. There's a lot of other YouTubers out there that are live |
2672 | 03:47:17 --> 03:47:21 | streaming and actually doing their trades in front of you. Go learn from |
2673 | 03:47:21 --> 03:47:25 | them. Go try to do what they're doing and see what it does for you. It might |
2674 | 03:47:25 --> 03:47:29 | work for you, it might it might fix it for you. But if it doesn't come back |
2675 | 03:47:29 --> 03:47:33 | with that perspective, and I promise you, you will find what you're looking |
2676 | 03:47:33 --> 03:47:36 | for, because you're going to see something totally different than |
2677 | 03:47:36 --> 03:47:41 | everybody else's stuff, even my YouTube channel, students like Taja. Well, |
2678 | 03:47:41 --> 03:47:46 | that's only one I want to promote right now, because there's other ones that are |
2679 | 03:47:46 --> 03:47:49 | coming up, and I don't want to put a spotlight on them, because they're just |
2680 | 03:47:49 --> 03:47:53 | quite not, not quite ready for all the fans here. Because I put my finger on |
2681 | 03:47:54 --> 03:47:58 | Tanya's live stream they she has a lot of trolls in here now, and I know |
2682 | 03:47:58 --> 03:48:01 | they're trolling me because they know I'm watching and it's fine, they're |
2683 | 03:48:01 --> 03:48:05 | they're broke, but the point is is I'm not trying to create a Drama Fest for |
2684 | 03:48:05 --> 03:48:12 | any of my students, and they're welcome to create that on their own, but even |
2685 | 03:48:12 --> 03:48:18 | they that are profitable, they're not trading like I trade. They you didn't |
2686 | 03:48:18 --> 03:48:24 | see any one of my students do what I just did yesterday into today. And for |
2687 | 03:48:24 --> 03:48:29 | the folks that are telling me you took the same trade show me telling me in |
2688 | 03:48:29 --> 03:48:33 | words, I know what you think, you think, by saying, Yeah, I took the same trade, |
2689 | 03:48:33 --> 03:48:39 | any same entry and exit. ICT, I want to see that. I want to see that. I have |
2690 | 03:48:39 --> 03:48:42 | four people tell me that in the comment section, and they're not subscribed, |
2691 | 03:48:43 --> 03:48:46 | they're just somebody that just watched the video, and they're just left it, |
2692 | 03:48:46 --> 03:48:50 | left a comment. I'm telling you that you're lying, and you're lying, and |
2693 | 03:48:51 --> 03:48:55 | you're doing the same thing that people do, as I mentioned here in other |
2694 | 03:48:55 --> 03:48:59 | lectures, where, if you do something a demo account, and it's not even linked |
2695 | 03:48:59 --> 03:49:03 | to anything, and it pans out, and you want to show everybody you're empty for |
2696 | 03:49:03 --> 03:49:07 | your empty five or your demo account results on trading view, or whatever it |
2697 | 03:49:07 --> 03:49:11 | is that you're trading with. You want that response from the social media to |
2698 | 03:49:11 --> 03:49:14 | make you feel good, because what you just did should have already been |
2699 | 03:49:14 --> 03:49:18 | enough, like if you know what you're doing, and the trade goes just like you |
2700 | 03:49:18 --> 03:49:22 | wanted to do, whether you're tape reading it with no demo account or a |
2701 | 03:49:22 --> 03:49:27 | demo or you're trading with real money or a prop firm. The fact that you're |
2702 | 03:49:27 --> 03:49:31 | following your rules and it's delivering as you expect, that should get you |
2703 | 03:49:31 --> 03:49:35 | ecstatic, that you're progressing as you're going through the motions, that |
2704 | 03:49:35 --> 03:49:39 | you're properly learning. You're not going through this rut. You're not |
2705 | 03:49:39 --> 03:49:46 | stagnant. And the purest sign that you're not equipped and you're not |
2706 | 03:49:46 --> 03:49:51 | following the rules of going through the process of learning here or anywhere |
2707 | 03:49:51 --> 03:49:56 | else is if you go on social media and you toss your hat out there and say, |
2708 | 03:49:57 --> 03:50:02 | give me a tip. Give me some money. Give. His attention, some engagement, dopamine |
2709 | 03:50:02 --> 03:50:07 | hit. Let me feel good for a moment, because you can't find the comfort in |
2710 | 03:50:07 --> 03:50:12 | the progress that you're making studying in the privacy of your own home, your |
2711 | 03:50:12 --> 03:50:17 | own office, wherever it is you're doing it. Nobody needed to tell me I was doing |
2712 | 03:50:17 --> 03:50:23 | it right when I started happening. Nobody needed to tell me, attaboy, I |
2713 | 03:50:23 --> 03:50:27 | love the fact that I had all the ammunition to go against my family and |
2714 | 03:50:27 --> 03:50:30 | friends that were talking about when I was coming up and saying, you're wasting |
2715 | 03:50:30 --> 03:50:36 | your time. They all finished working their life and retired, or some of them |
2716 | 03:50:36 --> 03:50:41 | are still working in retirement because they don't know how to make money. They |
2717 | 03:50:41 --> 03:50:44 | weren't successful, but these are the same people that said, you ain't gonna |
2718 | 03:50:44 --> 03:50:52 | be able to do anything with that. And now my name's everywhere. I have people |
2719 | 03:50:52 --> 03:50:55 | in other countries saying, we talk about you here, about what we're you know |
2720 | 03:50:56 --> 03:51:05 | what? It's weird. It's weird, right? But I know it can work for you. I know it |
2721 | 03:51:05 --> 03:51:09 | will. I absolutely know it will work for you. But the problem is, is you have to |
2722 | 03:51:09 --> 03:51:13 | believe it will. And how you learn to believe it go through the process I'm |
2723 | 03:51:13 --> 03:51:16 | laying in front of you, just like I'm doing with Caleb. You start like this |
2724 | 03:51:16 --> 03:51:20 | screenshot, finding things in hindsight, and the more you do it, you start |
2725 | 03:51:20 --> 03:51:24 | getting better at seeing it, and then you start applying new concepts as I |
2726 | 03:51:24 --> 03:51:29 | reveal them, and education showing you examples of it. I'm not just talking |
2727 | 03:51:29 --> 03:51:32 | about stuff that's after the fact I'm doing it. I'm telling you what I think |
2728 | 03:51:32 --> 03:51:37 | is going to happen in the week, and then I'm executing on them. Don't believe me. |
2729 | 03:51:37 --> 03:51:41 | Go back and listen to every lecture and everything I outlined on Caleb's channel |
2730 | 03:51:41 --> 03:51:46 | too, they were all before the fact. It's never hindsight. It's never after the |
2731 | 03:51:46 --> 03:51:50 | fact, I'm just not going to put you in a trade. It's going to make $100,000 so |
2732 | 03:51:50 --> 03:51:54 | you go online pretending you're smart and scam people and say, I'm going to |
2733 | 03:51:54 --> 03:51:58 | teach you better than ICT, because that's the new flavor right now. Okay, |
2734 | 03:51:58 --> 03:51:58 | you |
2735 | 03:51:58 --> 03:52:02 | can teach better than me. You can trade better than me. Do something better than |
2736 | 03:52:02 --> 03:52:06 | I just did, outline the week, what it's going to do, where it's going to trade |
2737 | 03:52:06 --> 03:52:10 | to and then you make $100,000 in one single trade, single pull you do that, |
2738 | 03:52:11 --> 03:52:15 | show the executions, record the entire thing from beginning to end. Prove it's |
2739 | 03:52:15 --> 03:52:20 | not a demo. Prove it's not this. Prove it's not that. Go all out everything |
2740 | 03:52:20 --> 03:52:24 | possible. And then you'll get a nod from me. I'll even point people to your |
2741 | 03:52:24 --> 03:52:27 | channel if you want to be a live streamer about it. But I promise you, |
2742 | 03:52:28 --> 03:52:32 | you will not be able to do that in years from now. You will. My best is they'll |
2743 | 03:52:32 --> 03:52:36 | be able to pull that same trade off. I just did absolutely. I'm I'm confident |
2744 | 03:52:36 --> 03:52:40 | that I have taught enough. I just went through the process of doing here. See, |
2745 | 03:52:40 --> 03:52:44 | the problem is you're trying to do everything, and you're not focusing on |
2746 | 03:52:44 --> 03:52:49 | one concept, where's the price going? And then you're just looking for |
2747 | 03:52:49 --> 03:52:53 | anything to get involved in that. If you're spared, you want to get in as |
2748 | 03:52:53 --> 03:52:56 | high as you can. So what's the highest premium array? You got to go through |
2749 | 03:52:56 --> 03:53:03 | your time frames to find it. But you're rushing. You want to be in these one |
2750 | 03:53:03 --> 03:53:06 | minute or sub one minute charts, and you want to make big, big money on small, |
2751 | 03:53:06 --> 03:53:09 | little, tiny fluctuations, because you think, I don't want to be in the chart |
2752 | 03:53:09 --> 03:53:14 | long enough. I want to be get in and get out. But there's going to be, there's |
2753 | 03:53:14 --> 03:53:17 | going to have to be a period of time where you hold on to the trade, because |
2754 | 03:53:17 --> 03:53:21 | you're not going to grow if you just go in there for taking five handles in ES |
2755 | 03:53:21 --> 03:53:26 | and 10 to 15 handles in mass that can be done, you will stagnate as a trader. And |
2756 | 03:53:26 --> 03:53:32 | what that does is it's rewarding. You doing not enough. You have to broaden |
2757 | 03:53:32 --> 03:53:41 | your your range of opportunity by holding on to trades longer. My |
2758 | 03:53:41 --> 03:53:48 | comfortable timeframe, okay, is working inside the weekly range. I don't want to |
2759 | 03:53:48 --> 03:53:53 | hold anything over the weekend ever again. I just know that I don't have the |
2760 | 03:53:53 --> 03:53:59 | like I'm 52 now, I think about things a little bit differently. My body responds |
2761 | 03:53:59 --> 03:54:05 | to to to things differently now, as an older man, and while I'm not a senior |
2762 | 03:54:05 --> 03:54:09 | citizen, I do feel physical changes in my body, and I don't want to put things |
2763 | 03:54:09 --> 03:54:14 | on me that is not necessary, so I'm completely content with doing the types |
2764 | 03:54:14 --> 03:54:20 | of things I'm doing here, because I'm not absorbing or incurring or inviting |
2765 | 03:54:20 --> 03:54:24 | over the weekend, risk, which is in the climate we have around the world right |
2766 | 03:54:24 --> 03:54:29 | now, astronomical, like anything can pop off, new nuclear war, new terrorism, |
2767 | 03:54:29 --> 03:54:34 | biochemical, all that stuff and anything can pop off, and that will cause crazy |
2768 | 03:54:34 --> 03:54:39 | town levels of volatility in the marketplace. And if it's not on the |
2769 | 03:54:39 --> 03:54:43 | right side of my trade that I'm holding over the weekend, when we open up on |
2770 | 03:54:43 --> 03:54:47 | Sunday, I could be in some serious financial distress, and I just don't |
2771 | 03:54:47 --> 03:54:53 | want to incur that. So my appetite is working inside the weekly range. I know |
2772 | 03:54:53 --> 03:54:57 | I have the market that's going to trade, except for one hour it's broken between |
2773 | 03:54:57 --> 03:55:02 | 5pm and 6pm every evening. I. And I think if you have been paying attention, |
2774 | 03:55:03 --> 03:55:08 | much like the comment section is proven to me that it's 99.999% just a love fest |
2775 | 03:55:08 --> 03:55:13 | in here, which is the reason why I don't like showing it, because it looks like |
2776 | 03:55:13 --> 03:55:16 | I'm encouraging worship, and I don't want you worshiping Me. I don't want you |
2777 | 03:55:16 --> 03:55:19 | I see every one of your comments, even the one say, I don't know if you |
2778 | 03:55:19 --> 03:55:23 | probably see this comment, but I see all of them. I'm not going to reply to you, |
2779 | 03:55:23 --> 03:55:27 | but many times it's a statement that you make or something, it'll inspire me to |
2780 | 03:55:27 --> 03:55:30 | talk about something in the recording, as some of you probably already realized |
2781 | 03:55:30 --> 03:55:37 | today. But I just want to give a shout out to the ladies in the community, |
2782 | 03:55:37 --> 03:55:46 | because that that part of our community is growing a lot, and to me, I find that |
2783 | 03:55:46 --> 03:55:52 | very comforting, because this is a man's world in everybody's else, in everybody |
2784 | 03:55:52 --> 03:55:56 | else's eyes. But I've said this before, and one dude, one dude, had to be the |
2785 | 03:55:56 --> 03:56:02 | guy. Oh, you're simping, dude, you're broke, and you gotta, you gotta get your |
2786 | 03:56:02 --> 03:56:07 | head out of your ass. We have to work harder at being better as a trader, as a |
2787 | 03:56:07 --> 03:56:13 | man, women, don't have to do the things to compensate for size performance. |
2788 | 03:56:13 --> 03:56:17 | We're all we're all like that as men, that's how we think that's that's the |
2789 | 03:56:17 --> 03:56:22 | economy between men who's stronger, who's bigger, who's longer, who's |
2790 | 03:56:22 --> 03:56:26 | harder, who stays up longest, all that stuff, and who has more money, who has a |
2791 | 03:56:26 --> 03:56:31 | prettier wife, who has the best chin line, who has a prettier teeth, you |
2792 | 03:56:31 --> 03:56:38 | know, all these compare and contrast and competition And in trading, women don't |
2793 | 03:56:38 --> 03:56:46 | have that, like I've watched a podcast. It's not a podcast I'm a fan of, by the |
2794 | 03:56:46 --> 03:56:51 | way, but because it was all women, I I literally was, like, interesting. I want |
2795 | 03:56:51 --> 03:56:57 | to see I want to see what they do, and watch how women engage with one another. |
2796 | 03:56:57 --> 03:57:03 | And they're all traders. They did not one time unzip their pants and let it |
2797 | 03:57:03 --> 03:57:07 | fall on the table and say, let's see who measures up. They conversed with one |
2798 | 03:57:07 --> 03:57:10 | another. They didn't vilify one another. They didn't look like they were offended |
2799 | 03:57:10 --> 03:57:13 | by the other person's perspective. They all felt like, wow, yeah, it's a |
2800 | 03:57:13 --> 03:57:21 | sisterhood, and I think that the men in this industry should look at one another |
2801 | 03:57:21 --> 03:57:26 | like a brother and encourage the next guy. It doesn't mean that you can't rib |
2802 | 03:57:26 --> 03:57:29 | rib somebody when they need it or when you want to have fun with it, and they |
2803 | 03:57:29 --> 03:57:31 | shouldn't have their feelings hurt and be like, Oh, I'm going home to take my |
2804 | 03:57:31 --> 03:57:37 | toys home. But men generally are the source of the toxicity in our industry, |
2805 | 03:57:38 --> 03:57:43 | not just in online social media around trading, but even in the industry |
2806 | 03:57:43 --> 03:57:48 | outside of social media, like I'm going to traders Expo next year, like I'm |
2807 | 03:57:48 --> 03:57:52 | going to be down there, I'm going to be floating through there. I probably grow |
2808 | 03:57:52 --> 03:57:56 | my beard out and dye my hair and probably get some fake tattoos all on |
2809 | 03:57:56 --> 03:58:02 | myself, going incognito. But I want to see, I want to see what it's like |
2810 | 03:58:02 --> 03:58:09 | walking around all of you, The Wolf Among sheep. I want to I want to see the |
2811 | 03:58:09 --> 03:58:13 | bravado, and I hopefully will see some of the ladies that are in the industry. |
2812 | 03:58:13 --> 03:58:18 | And I want to be able to capture that so I can tell you, this was what I |
2813 | 03:58:18 --> 03:58:24 | observed. But the men are the toxic side of this industry. The women aren't. And |
2814 | 03:58:24 --> 03:58:29 | it's not surprising that my students that are doing the best that make the |
2815 | 03:58:29 --> 03:58:37 | most real money, not not Prop money, real money. Real Money. $30,000 a week, |
2816 | 03:58:37 --> 03:58:47 | real money. Hello. They're female. They're born with a vagina. What are |
2817 | 03:58:47 --> 03:58:51 | they doing differently? It's how they think. They don't engage social media. |
2818 | 03:58:51 --> 03:58:55 | They don't even have social media presence, except for being in contact |
2819 | 03:58:55 --> 03:58:59 | with me. And that's not the secret sauce. It's the fact that they cut out |
2820 | 03:58:59 --> 03:59:03 | all the bullshit, all the drama, it's out they don't want drama in their |
2821 | 03:59:03 --> 03:59:06 | household. They certainly don't want in their finances, and they don't want it |
2822 | 03:59:06 --> 03:59:10 | in their thinking about trades, because you have to guard your mind and young |
2823 | 03:59:10 --> 03:59:14 | men and older men, you need to start applying that stuff that's not same |
2824 | 03:59:14 --> 03:59:20 | thing. That's common sense, and the data doesn't argue against it. It's it's |
2825 | 03:59:20 --> 03:59:26 | supplying the proof that women are better traders. Doesn't mean that you |
2826 | 03:59:26 --> 03:59:31 | can't find some reckless guy out there. I'm gonna throw out everything and just |
2827 | 03:59:31 --> 03:59:38 | go all in full, full, full tilt. It's you doing a work or it's not. And if it |
2828 | 03:59:38 --> 03:59:41 | doesn't work, I don't care. But what if it does? I'm gonna be a legend. No, |
2829 | 03:59:41 --> 03:59:49 | you're not. You're a gambler. Proficiency and precision is what I just |
2830 | 03:59:49 --> 03:59:56 | demonstrated. That to me is impressive. Making lots of money on one trade after |
2831 | 03:59:56 --> 04:00:01 | having severe drawdown in the same day. That's not impressive. Of that's |
2832 | 04:00:01 --> 04:00:10 | gambling. Having big windfall wins. Take out your top three, top two or three |
2833 | 04:00:10 --> 04:00:17 | windfalls. How are you making money now, so many people online are making a |
2834 | 04:00:17 --> 04:00:22 | career over the one big thing they just did, or the one big payout it is. |
2835 | 04:00:22 --> 04:00:26 | There's a big buzz right now. One, one prop firm just did a supposedly, I don't |
2836 | 04:00:26 --> 04:00:30 | know if it's true or not. I don't know, but supposedly there's a big, multi |
2837 | 04:00:30 --> 04:00:35 | million or almost $2 million payout. And do whatever that student is, or I |
2838 | 04:00:35 --> 04:00:38 | shouldn't say students, I don't, I don't know who it is, okay. I'm not trying to |
2839 | 04:00:38 --> 04:00:40 | say it is. I don't know who it is. I just, I heard somebody else talk about |
2840 | 04:00:40 --> 04:00:45 | it. It was changed by Matt. And I thought to myself, wow. You know, |
2841 | 04:00:45 --> 04:00:49 | they're putting out payouts like that. That's why I was like, Okay, well, let |
2842 | 04:00:49 --> 04:00:52 | me just, let me just test the waters and see what's going on. Because if you're |
2843 | 04:00:52 --> 04:00:59 | telling me that I could somehow, then look, man, that's easy. Like, that's |
2844 | 04:00:59 --> 04:01:03 | easy. You're you're basically asking me to do a demo account and make millions |
2845 | 04:01:03 --> 04:01:10 | of dollars. Uh, yeah, I can do that. That's easy stuff. Course I can. I can |
2846 | 04:01:10 --> 04:01:15 | do that. I can create proxies. And hey, look, we're gonna do you want to see |
2847 | 04:01:15 --> 04:01:24 | record payout? It's closing time. We had to pay everything I see he's a partner |
2848 | 04:01:24 --> 04:01:24 | now. |
2849 | 04:01:30 --> 04:01:33 | Oh, anyway, we're getting it's boring. Now, we gotta get off here. I'm talking |
2850 | 04:01:33 --> 04:01:36 | about things that aren't that funny anymore. So it's funny to me, though. |
2851 | 04:01:37 --> 04:01:41 | Wish you a very good weekend. Be safe, study. Go back through that recording |
2852 | 04:01:41 --> 04:01:47 | yesterday or today from yesterday's trade into today, slow speed, take |
2853 | 04:01:47 --> 04:01:52 | screenshots of that, and then build that same thing that I mean demonstrating in |
2854 | 04:01:52 --> 04:01:58 | my charts. Map that on yours, and then log anything else you see in in your own |
2855 | 04:01:58 --> 04:02:04 | observations. Okay? And then I think next week. I owe you a London session, |
2856 | 04:02:04 --> 04:02:10 | so we'll probably do one Tuesday. No, this is, this is schedule at noon, |
2857 | 04:02:11 --> 04:02:27 | Tuesday morning, which will be my local time, 145 40 5am okay, so it's |
2858 | 04:02:27 --> 04:02:31 | technically Tuesday's trading for some of you in other parts of the world may |
2859 | 04:02:31 --> 04:02:40 | look at things differently, but my time 1:45am Tuesday. Okay, we'll meet on live |
2860 | 04:02:40 --> 04:02:44 | stream on YouTube, on this channel, and then we'll, we'll talk about things over |
2861 | 04:02:44 --> 04:02:52 | the london session. Okay, so Monday will be a regular, I guess what? 930 or so? A |
2862 | 04:02:52 --> 04:02:57 | couple minutes break before 930 I'll try to keep it to like 1030 because I want |
2863 | 04:02:57 --> 04:03:02 | to make sure I can get everything else I do in my personal life, and then have |
2864 | 04:03:02 --> 04:03:06 | time to get everything set up for later that night for me, but it'll be 1:45am |
2865 | 04:03:07 --> 04:03:12 | Eastern Time next Tuesday, and we'll do the live stream until, well, whenever I |
2866 | 04:03:12 --> 04:03:16 | get tired of being on there. Okay, so until I talk to you, then, Lord willing, |
2867 | 04:03:16 --> 04:03:16 | be safe. You. |