1 | 00:01:40 --> 00:01:47 | ICT: Well, good morning, folks, just an audio check real quick. |
2 | 00:01:57 --> 00:01:58 | All right, latency test now i |
3 | 00:02:03 --> 00:02:05 | It's about three seconds. |
4 | 00:02:10 --> 00:02:12 | Not bad, not bad. Hope you're all doing well. |
5 | 00:02:13 --> 00:02:15 | Give your body a minute or two here. I |
6 | 00:02:35 --> 00:02:37 | this might get a couple 1000 marks before I start talking. I |
7 | 00:02:47 --> 00:02:55 | right again. Good morning. Happy Monday to you. So we are looking at the NASDAQ |
8 | 00:02:55 --> 00:03:02 | here, and I'm sure some of you are wondering, What on earth is ICT hiding? |
9 | 00:03:02 --> 00:03:06 | Look in the upper left to see that some of you have actually been leaving |
10 | 00:03:06 --> 00:03:13 | comments saying, all right, you would indicate your height. I have students |
11 | 00:03:13 --> 00:03:20 | all around the world that will tip me off on some things about some tools or |
12 | 00:03:21 --> 00:03:26 | little things that trading view. Then they would say, see me doing something, |
13 | 00:03:26 --> 00:03:29 | maybe online, shooting or something and recording. And they'll say, Hey, look at |
14 | 00:03:29 --> 00:03:33 | look at this. ICT, I think this will be helpful for the most part. Most of the |
15 | 00:03:33 --> 00:03:36 | things that they tell me either I know about because another student has taught |
16 | 00:03:36 --> 00:03:41 | me about trading views, little hot buttons or shortcuts, which I'm thankful |
17 | 00:03:41 --> 00:03:45 | for. I'm not so old and set my ways. I won't learn something from someone, even |
18 | 00:03:45 --> 00:03:48 | a student, if it's useful, not in trading, but in technical stuff, like |
19 | 00:03:48 --> 00:03:58 | trading view. But the little thing here is just the watermarks. Now this is a |
20 | 00:03:58 --> 00:04:03 | plug for any one of these individuals. I'm trained. I'm testing them to see if |
21 | 00:04:03 --> 00:04:08 | they accomplish what I want. And honestly, this is not big enough for me. |
22 | 00:04:09 --> 00:04:15 | I like to be a little bit more, not just larger than that. And this is just me. |
23 | 00:04:15 --> 00:04:19 | What I usually do. I just add something, I move it around, because there's |
24 | 00:04:19 --> 00:04:24 | dipshits on other platforms, and they take my content and they act like |
25 | 00:04:24 --> 00:04:31 | they're me, and you know, so as a reminder, I'm not on Instagram, I'm not |
26 | 00:04:31 --> 00:04:37 | on Discord, I'm not on Facebook, I'm not teaching paid mentorships. So people are |
27 | 00:04:38 --> 00:04:43 | still listening to you, directly or indirectly asking you for money. That's |
28 | 00:04:43 --> 00:04:50 | not me. I'm out here doing it for free. So anyway, I got a lot of questions over |
29 | 00:04:50 --> 00:04:56 | the weekend for students that have been with me for a while, and they wanted to |
30 | 00:04:56 --> 00:05:01 | know how someone with more experience i. Would use what amount whining for |
31 | 00:05:01 --> 00:05:06 | Caleb's model in their hands? So I kind of demonstrated that this morning. Also |
32 | 00:05:06 --> 00:05:14 | kind of like the segue into entry entering entry patterns and how to enter |
33 | 00:05:14 --> 00:05:19 | into the setups that we're looking for, also how to get over that hump of fear |
34 | 00:05:19 --> 00:05:24 | of being wrong, because before you start trading with a demo account, you're |
35 | 00:05:24 --> 00:05:27 | going to be watching price action. So we're going to do a little bit of a time |
36 | 00:05:27 --> 00:05:30 | link, just for the sake of answering questions, and also give the direction |
37 | 00:05:30 --> 00:05:36 | to my son Caleb, where he's going to be going to next after spending some time |
38 | 00:05:36 --> 00:05:39 | doing more, he's not there yet. So Don't, don't, don't think for a second |
39 | 00:05:39 --> 00:05:43 | he understands how to determine the general liquidity, that's the part he's |
40 | 00:05:43 --> 00:05:48 | working on. So which is what every one of you are probably going to and there's |
41 | 00:05:48 --> 00:05:51 | nothing wrong with that. If it's taking you that little bit longer than you |
42 | 00:05:51 --> 00:06:01 | thought I was going to just relax. It's fun. But the the mechanics of how we |
43 | 00:06:01 --> 00:06:06 | look at price action, the framework I'm going to start teaching on this week, |
44 | 00:06:06 --> 00:06:10 | and we'll be doing some afternoon sessions as well this week too. But the |
45 | 00:06:11 --> 00:06:17 | Jackson Hole symposium and the chair Powell is going to be jaw burning |
46 | 00:06:17 --> 00:06:21 | several times this week. We have a speaker that's been talking, I think, |
47 | 00:06:21 --> 00:06:27 | for about 11 minutes, 12 minutes now, or was scheduled to. I don't care so much |
48 | 00:06:27 --> 00:06:33 | about them. And when pal talks, I am aware trying to either be out of the way |
49 | 00:06:33 --> 00:06:38 | before he starts talking and wait till something happens in the price action. |
50 | 00:06:38 --> 00:06:43 | That makes sense based on the time he's talking, they'll say it's because of |
51 | 00:06:43 --> 00:06:49 | what he said, and it's not. It's the actual intervention that's being |
52 | 00:06:49 --> 00:06:53 | influenced over price action. It's not divine selling pressure, it's they will |
53 | 00:06:53 --> 00:07:00 | do certain things in price action and use the excuse that it was pal but it's |
54 | 00:07:00 --> 00:07:07 | really just then manually, and that's just the way it is. But Jackson Hole |
55 | 00:07:07 --> 00:07:14 | symposium is typically an opportunity for some, some wild stuff to occur, and |
56 | 00:07:14 --> 00:07:18 | we'll probably see some, some really nice volatility on Wednesday, Thursday |
57 | 00:07:18 --> 00:07:27 | and Friday, as a result of all that. So anyway, we are looking at the new week |
58 | 00:07:27 --> 00:07:36 | opening gap for this given week. And I have to take you back to the one minute |
59 | 00:07:36 --> 00:07:41 | chart. This is how you calibrate your your levels. Okay, so here is the |
60 | 00:07:42 --> 00:07:46 | settlement price on Friday. The last tick is the close. So we want to |
61 | 00:07:46 --> 00:07:54 | annotate that. So that's 19,000 604. Young man in the comment section. That's |
62 | 00:07:54 --> 00:08:00 | me. Why mine isn't nowhere. And then here is the opening price Sunday, at 6pm |
63 | 00:08:01 --> 00:08:05 | and that's the gap. There is no consequence encroachment being annotated |
64 | 00:08:05 --> 00:08:10 | there because it just fell short of 20 handles. And you're welcome to do that |
65 | 00:08:10 --> 00:08:18 | if you want me simply just thinking, drop it on the lid and the honey, and |
66 | 00:08:19 --> 00:08:21 | there's your consequence. It, |
67 | 00:08:29 --> 00:08:33 | Chopper on there, like that. Annotate to whatever color you want. |
68 | 00:08:40 --> 00:08:45 | Date new company got high August. I'm sorry, not high, but new, good thing, |
69 | 00:08:45 --> 00:08:54 | gap, August 18, 24 and then C period, e period. But I don't need that, but |
70 | 00:08:54 --> 00:09:01 | you're welcome to have that insurance. Nothing wrong with it. And again, that's |
71 | 00:09:01 --> 00:09:07 | what this little thing is. Finally, I'm not hiding indicators. I'm hiding the |
72 | 00:09:07 --> 00:09:10 | watermarks. So again, these are not me cosigners saying they're good, that I |
73 | 00:09:10 --> 00:09:13 | love them. This is not big enough. |
74 | 00:09:22 --> 00:09:30 | Our an extra large, petite like that doesn't work for me. Okay? So we are |
75 | 00:09:30 --> 00:09:37 | seeing the responses off of that opening gap down to the low. We have really nice |
76 | 00:09:37 --> 00:09:42 | relative equal highs in place now going into the opening a 10 second small |
77 | 00:09:42 --> 00:09:47 | seconds in post opening bell. We've attacked the relative eco lows here, and |
78 | 00:09:47 --> 00:09:52 | I'll go over this trade that I did this morning to show the students that are a |
79 | 00:09:52 --> 00:09:56 | little bit more advanced how they'll use the entry models that I'm going to be |
80 | 00:09:56 --> 00:10:05 | teaching using Caleb's model. All right, so let's take a quick look at the record |
81 | 00:10:05 --> 00:10:13 | trading hours. Never be in a rush. Don't feel like you're missing anything. And |
82 | 00:10:13 --> 00:10:20 | we'll take this off for a second. So we have this price here that is your |
83 | 00:10:20 --> 00:10:28 | opening range gap high. We are now trading and formulating the opening |
84 | 00:10:28 --> 00:10:32 | range. Okay, so the gap is the difference between where you settle at |
85 | 00:10:32 --> 00:10:37 | regular trading session hours and where we opened so that is this. This is your |
86 | 00:10:37 --> 00:10:42 | opening range gap. You |
87 | 00:10:49 --> 00:10:53 | came back up almost three quarters of the way, if not actually three quarters |
88 | 00:10:56 --> 00:11:01 | just fell short of that there. So I'm measuring the opening price to where we |
89 | 00:11:01 --> 00:11:06 | closed previous session on record trading hours. We have relative equal |
90 | 00:11:06 --> 00:11:11 | highs, and we didn't quite completely close that in it's the first few minutes |
91 | 00:11:11 --> 00:11:20 | of trading. So I'm watching to see if we have any interest in doing that. Holy, |
92 | 00:11:20 --> 00:11:25 | no hard bias right now, we have a little bit of cell side resting below these |
93 | 00:11:25 --> 00:11:30 | relative equal lows here, I'll dig into that's a swim low. So don't look at this |
94 | 00:11:30 --> 00:11:34 | area here. As you know, there's no there's no load there. To the mark with |
95 | 00:11:34 --> 00:11:40 | this one, it is this one and this one. So you use the lowest one. You take |
96 | 00:11:40 --> 00:11:40 | that. |
97 | 00:11:47 --> 00:11:48 | Don't want it red. |
98 | 00:11:53 --> 00:12:02 | Okay, so we just came back up hit the new week, opening gap low here, and you |
99 | 00:12:02 --> 00:12:05 | can see the response off the lower quadrant on the opening range gap, which |
100 | 00:12:05 --> 00:12:07 | is shaded here in pink. |
101 | 00:12:13 --> 00:12:21 | We just bang the bottom of the opening range gap low again, and the buy side is |
102 | 00:12:21 --> 00:12:29 | here, sell side is down here, if they want to overshoot that how far can go |
103 | 00:12:29 --> 00:12:34 | below here, you can touch the new day opening gap on August 16. So that's the |
104 | 00:12:34 --> 00:12:38 | benefit of having these levels on a notepad or on your chart. Visual, |
105 | 00:12:38 --> 00:12:40 | visually you I'm |
106 | 00:12:51 --> 00:12:54 | just a little too busy for me. I'm gonna take that off, because it's distracting |
107 | 00:12:54 --> 00:13:05 | to me. If it helps you, by all means, keeping your chart I'm these are the |
108 | 00:13:05 --> 00:13:13 | lows where sell side is. So I'll annotate that you should be doing this |
109 | 00:13:13 --> 00:13:16 | on your chart, not worrying about where I think it's going to go next. So you |
110 | 00:13:16 --> 00:13:21 | can try to trade. We're doing that while you're watching my live streams, you're |
111 | 00:13:21 --> 00:13:24 | not learning you're copycatting, and you're copycatting with limited |
112 | 00:13:24 --> 00:13:27 | understanding of no idea what I'm talking about, why I'm even referring to |
113 | 00:13:27 --> 00:13:33 | it. So that means you're gonna be in a high anxiety state of mind, hoping that |
114 | 00:13:34 --> 00:13:38 | something magical happens, because you followed your impulse of nature, instead |
115 | 00:13:38 --> 00:13:42 | of wanting to learn how to do this stuff for real without looking at my videos |
116 | 00:13:42 --> 00:13:52 | ever again. That's your range for liquidity on both extremes. You have buy |
117 | 00:13:52 --> 00:13:59 | side and sell side. So far, we have respected the opening range, failed to |
118 | 00:13:59 --> 00:14:04 | get it to three quarters or upper quadrant level, consequent correction of |
119 | 00:14:04 --> 00:14:10 | it. And do we want to sweep down, to engage this liquidity here, here, and |
120 | 00:14:10 --> 00:14:16 | retap into that new day opening gap on the 16th? And then, should it do that? I |
121 | 00:14:16 --> 00:14:21 | would expect it to try to make some kind of an attempt, technically, not the run |
122 | 00:14:21 --> 00:14:24 | rate straight from there, but to give some kind of technical indication that |
123 | 00:14:24 --> 00:14:27 | it may want to be interesting going up here. So that means I'm kind of |
124 | 00:14:27 --> 00:14:35 | forecasting some idea technically that would potentially form, say, a very |
125 | 00:14:35 --> 00:14:40 | small short term breaker, a shift in market structure, some kind of a fair |
126 | 00:14:40 --> 00:14:49 | value got to come back in, tap into and if it gives that type of Intel, if it |
127 | 00:14:49 --> 00:14:53 | gives that kind of technical formation After trading down in here, then I'd be |
128 | 00:14:53 --> 00:14:58 | interested to see, does it start building all of those same things that |
129 | 00:14:58 --> 00:15:02 | we look for in all the price run? From here all the way up, using every |
130 | 00:15:02 --> 00:15:06 | reference point there, carried over here. Does it use it like a footing to |
131 | 00:15:06 --> 00:15:10 | climb higher, to make an intent to get up in here? I'm not calling that as a |
132 | 00:15:10 --> 00:15:14 | bias. That's something I'm interested in to see if it'll do it. That's not me |
133 | 00:15:14 --> 00:15:17 | saying I'm only waiting to do that because right now, I'm waiting to see. |
134 | 00:15:17 --> 00:15:21 | Does it want to trade down here? Now, when I say things like that, I see, I |
135 | 00:15:21 --> 00:15:26 | see comments in my own videos, in my live stream, doesn't have a ability to |
136 | 00:15:26 --> 00:15:31 | leave a comment, but usually they'll go to the most recent post on the Community |
137 | 00:15:31 --> 00:15:36 | tab or the most recent video where comments can be left, and they'll say, |
138 | 00:15:36 --> 00:15:40 | you know, he doesn't know what he referring to me. He doesn't know where |
139 | 00:15:40 --> 00:15:44 | it's going. He doesn't have a trade you know, something to affect. And you you |
140 | 00:15:44 --> 00:15:47 | really don't know what I'm doing, because you don't listen, just like the |
141 | 00:15:47 --> 00:15:50 | individuals that are telling me this trade should have been taken because |
142 | 00:15:50 --> 00:15:54 | you're supposed to be waiting for relative equal highs and relative equal |
143 | 00:15:54 --> 00:15:59 | lows. And again, you don't know what I'm addressing. You have no idea what I'm |
144 | 00:15:59 --> 00:16:04 | talking about and why I'm talking about and the audience members. So there's the |
145 | 00:16:04 --> 00:16:09 | reach below the sell side liquidity. So what you want to do is, for that, you |
146 | 00:16:09 --> 00:16:17 | want to screenshot it and go into your 15 second and 32nd chart inside of the |
147 | 00:16:17 --> 00:16:21 | opening range gap. We'll do that. How far can it trade below the sell side? |
148 | 00:16:21 --> 00:16:25 | Liquidity? Uh, initially it can touch the new day opening gap here, as we just |
149 | 00:16:25 --> 00:16:29 | saw here, you want to screenshot that on your chart, not my, not my live stream. |
150 | 00:16:29 --> 00:16:32 | Don't do that, because if you do that, you're you're not, you're not doing what |
151 | 00:16:32 --> 00:16:36 | you're supposed to do. Supposed to be doing this with your own charts. So a |
152 | 00:16:36 --> 00:16:43 | price run from the new week opening gap low or, say, the lower quadrant, or the |
153 | 00:16:43 --> 00:16:47 | consequent encroachment. That would be a nice run to go back and do a back study |
154 | 00:16:47 --> 00:16:54 | on taking screenshots of it, looking for reasons why it would be a pass, like I |
155 | 00:16:54 --> 00:16:58 | wouldn't take that trade, even though it delivered. Or this is what my entry |
156 | 00:16:58 --> 00:17:01 | model looks like, because in the beginning, you're gonna have to try to |
157 | 00:17:01 --> 00:17:05 | capture and collect a lot of this type of information to kind of like to |
158 | 00:17:05 --> 00:17:11 | promote the idea of inspiration and keep you motivated, because you're not |
159 | 00:17:11 --> 00:17:15 | watching a demo ticker go up and down with profit and loss. So it makes it |
160 | 00:17:15 --> 00:17:21 | very boring. And that's okay, boring is good while you're learning, because |
161 | 00:17:21 --> 00:17:24 | eventually to do everything right, this stuff can make you profit, and that |
162 | 00:17:24 --> 00:17:29 | profit is only determined and limited by what you have put into it. So I want to |
163 | 00:17:29 --> 00:17:38 | show you inside of this opening range gap, what makes it the opening range |
164 | 00:17:38 --> 00:17:47 | gap. We have 930 and here. That's the opening price. That's what's being |
165 | 00:17:47 --> 00:17:53 | anchored to, and the high is where we stop trading regular trading hours. So |
166 | 00:17:53 --> 00:17:53 | real quick, let |
167 | 00:17:53 --> 00:17:54 | me pop it up |
168 | 00:17:56 --> 00:18:01 | here. That's this on Friday. So regular session trading settlement is 4:15pm |
169 | 00:18:02 --> 00:18:07 | Eastern Time, even though electronic trading continues until 5pm then it |
170 | 00:18:07 --> 00:18:13 | stops, and then, because Friday doesn't resume until 6pm Sunday, Eastern Time. |
171 | 00:18:15 --> 00:18:22 | On any other day but Friday and or holiday, we have that 5pm stop and then |
172 | 00:18:22 --> 00:18:27 | it resumes one hour later, at 6pm so it's very important you understand what |
173 | 00:18:27 --> 00:18:30 | these levels and what I'm referring to this is the opening range gap, the |
174 | 00:18:30 --> 00:18:36 | difference between where we settle at 4:15pm Eastern Time, And where we start |
175 | 00:18:36 --> 00:18:44 | trading, regular trading hours, not electronic, regular trading hours. That |
176 | 00:18:44 --> 00:18:49 | means we start trading at 930 opening bell. Eastern Time just starts ticking. |
177 | 00:18:50 --> 00:18:56 | We round up and we overshot the new day opening gap. So we want to see, does it |
178 | 00:18:56 --> 00:19:00 | want to make an attempt to get in here, find some footing inside of these wicks? |
179 | 00:19:00 --> 00:19:03 | Why? Because there's consequence encroachment in that. And then maybe |
180 | 00:19:03 --> 00:19:07 | wick out of that come back down and tap the new day opening gap high again and |
181 | 00:19:07 --> 00:19:11 | start making some structure to maybe return back into the weak opening gap |
182 | 00:19:11 --> 00:19:17 | low and get back in, potentially into this opening range gap. I'm not calling |
183 | 00:19:17 --> 00:19:22 | that. I'm looking for reasons to hunt a setup should that form I've already |
184 | 00:19:22 --> 00:19:27 | outlined where it was going to reach to. You're looking for reasons to justify |
185 | 00:19:27 --> 00:19:33 | why the market may do a certain run here or there. What's nice is, or what is |
186 | 00:19:33 --> 00:19:37 | nice rather, is that we've already had the sell off down into the liquidity we |
187 | 00:19:37 --> 00:19:41 | were looking for, and we had these relative equal highs are just sitting |
188 | 00:19:41 --> 00:19:47 | there now. Who's made money so far this morning? Shorts. So the initial opening |
189 | 00:19:47 --> 00:19:52 | range is 30 minutes long. It's not 15 minutes. I don't care who's telling you |
190 | 00:19:52 --> 00:19:59 | that. Okay, there is no 15 minute opening range. That is something that is |
191 | 00:19:59 --> 00:20:06 | a. Just a gimmick for to look different, to stand apart. I promise you, I promise |
192 | 00:20:06 --> 00:20:12 | you, it's the first 30 minutes. That means 930, to 10. So you're best served |
193 | 00:20:12 --> 00:20:17 | by not taking any entries in that first 30 minutes when your experience level is |
194 | 00:20:17 --> 00:20:20 | nil zero, when you don't know what you're looking for, when you don't know |
195 | 00:20:20 --> 00:20:24 | how to trade, you don't know how to read price action, to sit still for the first |
196 | 00:20:24 --> 00:20:28 | 30 minutes. Number one, it teaches you discipline. It teaches you patience. And |
197 | 00:20:28 --> 00:20:32 | you're also going to filter out a lot of the fake price setups that you're |
198 | 00:20:32 --> 00:20:36 | probably going to be impulsively chasing. Oh, I got to chase it. It's |
199 | 00:20:36 --> 00:20:39 | doing this. It's doing that. He's wrong. He's live streaming. He said his bias is |
200 | 00:20:39 --> 00:20:44 | here. These are all the comments that I see in other people's YouTube channels, |
201 | 00:20:45 --> 00:20:48 | leaving comments about me, or they'll leave it in my comment section. And you |
202 | 00:20:49 --> 00:20:55 | don't know what you're talking about. What I'm teaching is how my son Caleb, |
203 | 00:20:55 --> 00:21:00 | who isn't good at reading price yet he's not good at it. I don't know what part |
204 | 00:21:00 --> 00:21:06 | of this that you understand. So to give him a framework to start with, what |
205 | 00:21:06 --> 00:21:11 | should he start doing? What exercises should he and anyone else that wants to |
206 | 00:21:11 --> 00:21:15 | do the same thing he's willing to go through? How do you start? How do you |
207 | 00:21:15 --> 00:21:20 | start? ICT stuff. What videos should I watch? What should I you start here, I'm |
208 | 00:21:20 --> 00:21:24 | literally talking to someone that's brand spanking new. Well, he's not brand |
209 | 00:21:24 --> 00:21:27 | spanking new, but in terms of being able to go through it with a structured |
210 | 00:21:27 --> 00:21:31 | approach, not just simply me telling my son, say, hey, go to my YouTube channel |
211 | 00:21:32 --> 00:21:37 | and go through the mentorship videos. It's, it's an it's a lot, and it's, it's |
212 | 00:21:37 --> 00:21:42 | in very intimidating. So what I do, and how I taught people in the 90s was I |
213 | 00:21:42 --> 00:21:45 | would sit down with them and say, Okay, here's what we're doing. We're watching |
214 | 00:21:45 --> 00:21:51 | price action. And I would point out things like this, until you look at this |
215 | 00:21:51 --> 00:22:00 | note this, watch this and see, does these things have a interest in in your |
216 | 00:22:00 --> 00:22:03 | observation? Do you see something there that is obvious that would draw your |
217 | 00:22:03 --> 00:22:07 | attention to it? See how fast we came right back up. New thing, range guy, Oct |
218 | 00:22:07 --> 00:22:12 | is wrong. So many other jokers out there doing gold buck and supply and demand, |
219 | 00:22:12 --> 00:22:14 | they're down here. They're trying to sell. Then he's wrong. He's wrong. Ain't |
220 | 00:22:14 --> 00:22:17 | gonna go back up there and we're in here now, but they're never gonna show you |
221 | 00:22:17 --> 00:22:23 | that trade. They're never gonna do that. So we're inside of the opening range |
222 | 00:22:23 --> 00:22:30 | gap. So now what we've done is we've gone just above this high here, so now |
223 | 00:22:30 --> 00:22:35 | delivered by a little bit more buy side still is inefficient until we touch the |
224 | 00:22:35 --> 00:22:35 | high of that. |
225 | 00:22:40 --> 00:22:46 | Now it can touch the new week opening gap low and wick just outside of it, |
226 | 00:22:46 --> 00:22:49 | because we have a little bit of inefficiency. See that candles high |
227 | 00:22:49 --> 00:22:55 | right there and where we are here, so it can go back down into this portion. The |
228 | 00:22:55 --> 00:23:00 | wick can go below this new week opening gap and still maintain the structure |
229 | 00:23:00 --> 00:23:05 | that's conducive for it to go back up here and challenge that buy side |
230 | 00:23:05 --> 00:23:08 | liquidity that everybody feels safe right now. Would you feel safe if your |
231 | 00:23:08 --> 00:23:11 | stop was there and you're short? Imagine that say you're short and you have a |
232 | 00:23:11 --> 00:23:17 | stop loss right here, if your stop on a short position is sitting right there |
233 | 00:23:17 --> 00:23:20 | and you didn't want to trail okay, because you didn't want to lock in |
234 | 00:23:20 --> 00:23:29 | anything, and you gave up all of this. If you give up 60% of an open profit of |
235 | 00:23:29 --> 00:23:32 | a trade that's an unrealized In other words, you haven't closed the trade yet, |
236 | 00:23:32 --> 00:23:38 | because you're trying to hold for a long type move, or whatever, 60% of |
237 | 00:23:38 --> 00:23:42 | retracement on a trade and you didn't take any partials to me, is something I |
238 | 00:23:42 --> 00:23:47 | would not be comfortable with, because, especially when you're first learning |
239 | 00:23:47 --> 00:23:50 | how to trade, or you're trying to find a model or develop a model, or develop |
240 | 00:23:50 --> 00:23:54 | some kind of a skill set to lean on as this is what I'm trying to do, and I'm |
241 | 00:23:54 --> 00:23:58 | going to work with this until it proves that it's ineffective and or I find |
242 | 00:23:58 --> 00:24:03 | something better In the process of using it, because that's, that's what my hope |
243 | 00:24:03 --> 00:24:10 | is, what my son Caleb by forcing him to use the entry mechanism of the fair |
244 | 00:24:10 --> 00:24:15 | value gap within the context of order flow, not the bullshit That's level two |
245 | 00:24:15 --> 00:24:18 | and depth of market and volume profile, volume profiles, a bunch of bullshit |
246 | 00:24:18 --> 00:24:21 | too. I might as well just toss that out there. I know I'm gonna break some |
247 | 00:24:21 --> 00:24:24 | hearts. I don't give a fuck. Okay, because the little boys that Aaron other |
248 | 00:24:24 --> 00:24:29 | YouTube channels, leave your comment in mind. Leave your comment on mine, and |
249 | 00:24:29 --> 00:24:32 | I'll let it be seen, and then I'll challenge you openly to bring your |
250 | 00:24:32 --> 00:24:36 | Mickey Mouse shit on live. I'll stream right next to you, and I'll have a chart |
251 | 00:24:36 --> 00:24:40 | or screen with your bullshit live, and I'll show you that you don't know shit. |
252 | 00:24:40 --> 00:24:46 | You don't know anything, but you won't do that. That's okay. But by looking at |
253 | 00:24:46 --> 00:24:50 | the fair value gap as an entry mechanism, initially, it may help him |
254 | 00:24:50 --> 00:24:54 | see, like the order block, it may it may help him see a breaker. It may show a |
255 | 00:24:55 --> 00:25:00 | inversion fair value gap, that that might be his model. But because he. Has |
256 | 00:25:00 --> 00:25:04 | the fear of it's too much information that is overload. I don't know what to |
257 | 00:25:04 --> 00:25:07 | do. And he's my son, and it's something that most people do. When they come to |
258 | 00:25:07 --> 00:25:10 | my child, they're like, Man, where do I start with all this stuff? Because you |
259 | 00:25:10 --> 00:25:14 | don't want to waste time. Well, there's no such thing as wasting time. Because |
260 | 00:25:15 --> 00:25:20 | if you just start and start getting your hands in for price action, start looking |
261 | 00:25:20 --> 00:25:24 | at what price is doing, and how these things are annotated in price, and how I |
262 | 00:25:25 --> 00:25:30 | call your attention to it, you will, by default, build a baseline understanding, |
263 | 00:25:30 --> 00:25:34 | and then that way, you'll be able to grow from there, regardless of what you |
264 | 00:25:34 --> 00:25:38 | start with. If it order block its optimal trade entry, if it's you know, |
265 | 00:25:40 --> 00:25:45 | whatever Yeah, the list is long, right? But whatever it is, as long as you start |
266 | 00:25:46 --> 00:25:51 | that that gives you the baseline that the build on. But if you spend so much |
267 | 00:25:51 --> 00:25:55 | time, or just say, I don't know how to start with this guy's these two main |
268 | 00:25:55 --> 00:25:59 | things, or I've read some negative stuff about him, Okay, you're the person I |
269 | 00:25:59 --> 00:26:02 | don't want to because you didn't even bother to look and see if this stuff |
270 | 00:26:02 --> 00:26:09 | that's for free has any merit for you. So we came all the ACT down into this |
271 | 00:26:09 --> 00:26:17 | area here with this wick in closing price. This area here should not close |
272 | 00:26:17 --> 00:26:22 | in now, because we already went back into the opening range gap. I'd like to |
273 | 00:26:22 --> 00:26:25 | see a close above the consequent encroachment of that and then next |
274 | 00:26:25 --> 00:26:29 | candle come down, fail to touch consequent encroachment, and then |
275 | 00:26:29 --> 00:26:34 | springboard into upper quadrant of the new week, opening gap high and that mid |
276 | 00:26:34 --> 00:26:39 | level between pathway and here, which would be upper quadrant, and build some |
277 | 00:26:39 --> 00:26:44 | momentum and try to get into that buy side. And then once it should do that, |
278 | 00:26:44 --> 00:26:47 | we'll drop down into the 15 second chart, and we'll look at where we have |
279 | 00:26:47 --> 00:26:53 | traded from here, all of the turn here, and all the business here. And I'll show |
280 | 00:26:53 --> 00:26:57 | you the way you would go back through and also how to use the information I |
281 | 00:26:57 --> 00:27:00 | was shown as an actual live execution with |
282 | 00:27:02 --> 00:27:03 | the anku earlier. |
283 | 00:27:16 --> 00:27:23 | Damn ICT tell me my profile volume profiles it is you're looking at |
284 | 00:27:23 --> 00:27:27 | gimmicks. You're not looking to press, but you say you're saying you're looking |
285 | 00:27:27 --> 00:27:33 | at order flip. No, you're not looking no idea what you're doing. But it sounds |
286 | 00:27:33 --> 00:27:38 | technical. It looks cool with all that horizontal, vertical volume notes and |
287 | 00:27:38 --> 00:27:43 | all little highest, high and lowest of the volume. It sounds real technical and |
288 | 00:27:43 --> 00:27:46 | none of that shit matters. Literally has nothing to do it, |
289 | 00:27:52 --> 00:27:56 | alright, so we're able to get to the high of the opening range gap one more |
290 | 00:27:56 --> 00:28:07 | time, tapping in here, look back where we are in this no actual fair value gap, |
291 | 00:28:07 --> 00:28:13 | that small little separation right there. That's the only thing that my |
292 | 00:28:13 --> 00:28:18 | jumps to, and that's about midpoint of that down closed candle. So in my mind, |
293 | 00:28:18 --> 00:28:23 | in can it touch that again? It could, I'd rather it didn't. It needs to get up |
294 | 00:28:23 --> 00:28:29 | into and use this little area in here as a footing, if not run right on them, and |
295 | 00:28:29 --> 00:28:32 | take the buy side out and break the hearts of those that are short |
296 | 00:28:34 --> 00:28:35 | because they're trying to fade. |
297 | 00:28:37 --> 00:28:38 | Show me that video. |
298 | 00:28:39 --> 00:28:40 | Show me that one |
299 | 00:28:45 --> 00:28:49 | have so many people counseling me in the comment section too. You spend so much |
300 | 00:28:49 --> 00:28:52 | time on the people that hate you, and you don't spend that much time and |
301 | 00:28:52 --> 00:28:55 | people that love and support you. I'm spending more time for the people that |
302 | 00:28:55 --> 00:28:59 | love and support me by actually doing the content that death goes without |
303 | 00:28:59 --> 00:29:03 | saying. I'm just having fun with the people that think that I'm getting a |
304 | 00:29:03 --> 00:29:05 | broken heart or anything they say, because it's nonsense, but it is |
305 | 00:29:05 --> 00:29:12 | humorous. A lot. You should be thankful, because a lot of stuff spurs my |
306 | 00:29:12 --> 00:29:20 | interest. I'm like, like, coming out here and rubbing their nose in it, |
307 | 00:29:20 --> 00:29:27 | alright? So see the volume imbalance right here. Now with what we already |
308 | 00:29:27 --> 00:29:32 | have in price, we came down here with below the new doping gap from August 16 |
309 | 00:29:33 --> 00:29:37 | King back, climbed all the way back up into the opening range gap, which is |
310 | 00:29:37 --> 00:29:44 | shaded in pink, and found its way to the high end of it. We're inside of this |
311 | 00:29:44 --> 00:29:50 | little business here. This, to me, is a little porous, because we had these two |
312 | 00:29:50 --> 00:29:54 | candles in here, even though the opening of this candle and this close of this |
313 | 00:29:54 --> 00:29:58 | candle are essentially the same, this sputtering, this like little bit of |
314 | 00:29:58 --> 00:30:05 | pause about any body. Forming kind of like in my mind, thinks it has to |
315 | 00:30:05 --> 00:30:09 | deliver a couple times in that in that area, again, you can see we had it here. |
316 | 00:30:09 --> 00:30:13 | We had a buy side. Here we open traded back down, and we open trade rate one |
317 | 00:30:13 --> 00:30:16 | more time up. So we're getting that return back into the opening range. So |
318 | 00:30:16 --> 00:30:19 | that's what I'm saying. We have, we have to get through this area here. I |
319 | 00:30:36 --> 00:30:41 | i get a couple every time I open more water get a drink, the clicking in that |
320 | 00:30:42 --> 00:30:46 | same that would, that would get on my nerves, and I was listening to someone |
321 | 00:30:46 --> 00:30:53 | else. So I'm trying to make myself grateful that I always say it. I just |
322 | 00:30:53 --> 00:30:57 | don't do it. This is I grab a water head to my location mask where I'm gonna |
323 | 00:30:58 --> 00:30:58 | stream to i |
324 | 00:31:12 --> 00:31:18 | for your notes, also just know that the Jackson Hole symposium, whenever that |
325 | 00:31:18 --> 00:31:24 | occurs in price action, you're going to get a lot of overlapping price delivery. |
326 | 00:31:24 --> 00:31:29 | That means a lot of back and forth. It's going to read it's going to redeliver |
327 | 00:31:29 --> 00:31:35 | over ranges that would otherwise in any idea climate. It wouldn't generally do |
328 | 00:31:35 --> 00:31:41 | that so frequently, so often, but that's just the characteristic for this event |
329 | 00:31:41 --> 00:31:46 | that takes place, and what is the Jackson Hole symposium. It's a bunch of |
330 | 00:31:46 --> 00:31:52 | Jokers that come together, okay? And they, they look at trends, they look at |
331 | 00:31:52 --> 00:32:02 | things around the world. And it's, it's a matter of people that I don't want to |
332 | 00:32:02 --> 00:32:06 | fraternize with, and I would never fraternize with, and they're like they |
333 | 00:32:06 --> 00:32:12 | think to themselves as they're the the elites or whatever, and they look at how |
334 | 00:32:12 --> 00:32:16 | they can push things around, I guess, that way. Now you might not hear it |
335 | 00:32:16 --> 00:32:22 | described that way, but that's really what this but because of that, there's |
336 | 00:32:22 --> 00:32:28 | people that are always sitting outside waiting for someone to drag to the side |
337 | 00:32:28 --> 00:32:31 | and say, hey, you know, can you tell us what's going on? Like, what's the what's |
338 | 00:32:31 --> 00:32:36 | the hot buttons this time? What are we listening for? What are the directions? |
339 | 00:32:36 --> 00:32:42 | And in all this this time? And sometimes they're very closed lit sometimes other |
340 | 00:32:42 --> 00:32:47 | people like tossing out hints and news wires, or people that are pumping that |
341 | 00:32:47 --> 00:32:51 | kind of information out, they will do that with the expectation, in hopes that |
342 | 00:32:51 --> 00:32:56 | it will spur on market sentiment or disrupt market sentiment. Again, I could |
343 | 00:32:56 --> 00:33:00 | care less. Price is either going to tell me or I'm not doing anything with it. |
344 | 00:33:00 --> 00:33:04 | And that's makes it a whole lot easier. It doesn't complicate things, because |
345 | 00:33:04 --> 00:33:07 | soon as you start asking for what do you think's happening? What do you think? |
346 | 00:33:07 --> 00:33:10 | Who gives a shit? What they're thinking the market's going to do, what the |
347 | 00:33:10 --> 00:33:18 | market's going to do, and you have to be there to react on it or stand aside. So |
348 | 00:33:18 --> 00:33:22 | we're spending a little bit more time, more time in the opening range than I |
349 | 00:33:22 --> 00:33:29 | would have liked. So if it's going to run for that buy side, it would need to |
350 | 00:33:30 --> 00:33:37 | giddy up and go and not do a close below the midpoint of that wick right here. |
351 | 00:33:37 --> 00:33:41 | Can it come down, tap that and come all the way back up and run over top, sure |
352 | 00:33:41 --> 00:33:44 | thing. But I would, I wouldn't personally want to be interested in |
353 | 00:33:44 --> 00:33:50 | seeing anything on a close below the midpoint of that. I'd like to see this |
354 | 00:33:50 --> 00:33:53 | stay open. If it comes down and hits it and rejects. That's another entirely |
355 | 00:33:55 --> 00:34:00 | supporting thing that would be in the delivery. But still, I wouldn't want to |
356 | 00:34:00 --> 00:34:03 | see that no sales in a trade. I would not want to see it come back down in |
357 | 00:34:03 --> 00:34:12 | here. I'd like to see it support Wick here with no clothes below. Excuse me. |
358 | 00:34:20 --> 00:34:24 | Okay, you're in that wick. I'm sorry. You're in that fairway. I got below the |
359 | 00:34:24 --> 00:34:24 | wick |
360 | 00:34:31 --> 00:34:35 | at the end of the week, when you get to Friday, when it's no longer trading and |
361 | 00:34:35 --> 00:34:40 | or the weekend, go back and look at your one minute charts, and you'll see a lot |
362 | 00:34:40 --> 00:34:46 | of overlapping price delivery, back and forth, back and forth. That's usually |
363 | 00:34:46 --> 00:34:52 | what you get on the week that Jackson Hole symposium unfolds. It's it's just |
364 | 00:34:52 --> 00:34:56 | one of those things. I don't know why it does it, so don't ask me, okay, because |
365 | 00:34:56 --> 00:35:00 | it's not like I'm hiding it from you. I just noted that that's something. The |
366 | 00:35:00 --> 00:35:07 | years that I tend to notice. So how, how could you use that information you need |
367 | 00:35:07 --> 00:35:10 | to be if you're going to be trading at all during the week of Jackson Hole, |
368 | 00:35:10 --> 00:35:15 | especially during the days like day one, day two, day three of this week. You |
369 | 00:35:15 --> 00:35:20 | want to be thinking about where your first line of partials are going to be, |
370 | 00:35:20 --> 00:35:24 | and don't think, well, I'm going to outsmart the market. And while that |
371 | 00:35:24 --> 00:35:27 | would be a wonderful place to take a partial I'm going to be a little bit |
372 | 00:35:27 --> 00:35:30 | more greedier. I need to hold for a larger trade. I need to impress somebody |
373 | 00:35:30 --> 00:35:35 | else, and that's something you shouldn't be trying to do. You want to find a |
374 | 00:35:35 --> 00:35:42 | level that's easy, low threshold, and then get out and take some part partial |
375 | 00:35:42 --> 00:35:45 | profits, because, if not, what will happen is you'll be in some really nice |
376 | 00:35:45 --> 00:35:50 | trades, and you'll be riding a run from a low or to a high down to a |
377 | 00:35:51 --> 00:35:55 | inefficiency or something effective at discount. And it'll feel wonderful while |
378 | 00:35:55 --> 00:35:59 | you're in it. And it could be delivering rather quickly, but then it'll |
379 | 00:35:59 --> 00:36:04 | completely overlap all that run again, and if you chilled your stop, you'll get |
380 | 00:36:04 --> 00:36:08 | knocked out with nothing, or you'll get stopped out because you're trying to |
381 | 00:36:08 --> 00:36:13 | hold on to something that isn't going to deliver in one way, delivery like one |
382 | 00:36:13 --> 00:36:17 | sidedness. It's going to be back and forth, and it's going to completely |
383 | 00:36:17 --> 00:36:24 | overlap a price run that you wouldn't generally expect it to do. There is no |
384 | 00:36:24 --> 00:36:28 | other time of the year or any kind of other event that I've noticed that it |
385 | 00:36:28 --> 00:36:33 | has that characteristic. It's just something that I've never seen anybody |
386 | 00:36:33 --> 00:36:37 | else refer to it or whatever. But it'll it'll be something everybody talks about |
387 | 00:36:37 --> 00:36:41 | now, but I want you to look at it this weekend. Go back over your charts, and |
388 | 00:36:41 --> 00:36:45 | you'll see there's a whole lot of over lapping of what price has done before it |
389 | 00:36:45 --> 00:36:49 | goes to Significant targets or objectives. You |
390 | 00:37:22 --> 00:37:27 | Yeah, I wish this thing to the fellow that made this one. I'm not sure which |
391 | 00:37:27 --> 00:37:33 | one it is. If it's this, yes, that one. So, AG, FX, I'm assuming that's the |
392 | 00:37:33 --> 00:37:41 | person or the account for trading view or pester. I don't know. I guess it's |
393 | 00:37:41 --> 00:37:48 | what they call themselves. If you could make this bigger, because the large is, |
394 | 00:37:48 --> 00:37:53 | I have it set to huge, and it doesn't, it doesn't do it enough for me, unless |
395 | 00:37:53 --> 00:37:59 | I'm doing something incorrect. So if I'm doing it incorrectly, send me a video |
396 | 00:37:59 --> 00:38:04 | with a short, little private video uploaded to YouTube. If you send me |
397 | 00:38:04 --> 00:38:09 | something that's an mp three, or I'm sorry, MP four, and I'm never going to |
398 | 00:38:09 --> 00:38:12 | open that up, because you might be sending me a virus, and I'm not trying |
399 | 00:38:12 --> 00:38:17 | to do all that business, but if you send me a YouTube link to a private video, |
400 | 00:38:17 --> 00:38:22 | I'll watch it. Don't make it along, please. I don't have time to watch and |
401 | 00:38:22 --> 00:38:26 | all that stuff, but if you can make it larger, and I mean, like from like, from |
402 | 00:38:26 --> 00:38:33 | here to here. So about that broad, that's what I want on the chart. If you |
403 | 00:38:33 --> 00:38:36 | go back and look at my other videos, or actually type out the watermark itself |
404 | 00:38:36 --> 00:38:43 | as an overlay, I put that watermark as an overlay on the Camtasia Recording so |
405 | 00:38:43 --> 00:38:47 | it's technically not there when I'm recording, and then I overlay it and |
406 | 00:38:48 --> 00:38:53 | reduce the opaqueness and that size is what I'm looking for. I haven't looked |
407 | 00:38:53 --> 00:38:58 | at every single one of the trading view indicators that do a watermark, so just |
408 | 00:38:58 --> 00:39:01 | know that these are going to mess around with. Not that anyone recommend either |
409 | 00:39:01 --> 00:39:09 | one of them. It just this is what I've used for right now. I wish I didn't have |
410 | 00:39:09 --> 00:39:14 | to even bother doing it, but the people with less class and bottom feeders, they |
411 | 00:39:14 --> 00:39:18 | like to take people's content, especially mine, if I'm executing, if |
412 | 00:39:18 --> 00:39:20 | I'm highlighting something, and they could put it on their social media |
413 | 00:39:20 --> 00:39:24 | account that's pretending to be me, and it makes it look like it's really me. |
414 | 00:39:24 --> 00:39:29 | It's really not just take something I've already produced. |
415 | 00:39:36 --> 00:39:39 | So see how we're back and forth. Everything's overlapping the previous |
416 | 00:39:39 --> 00:39:47 | short term run. I And if you're expecting new that real nice one |
417 | 00:39:47 --> 00:39:55 | directional price runs during the week of Jackson Hole is going to frustrate |
418 | 00:39:55 --> 00:39:59 | you, because this is what I've encountered now, is it every single week |
419 | 00:39:59 --> 00:40:04 | that it does? That when it's Jackson Hole, no. But predominantly I, I have |
420 | 00:40:04 --> 00:40:10 | learned that trades will come back on me deeper and run right back over top of |
421 | 00:40:10 --> 00:40:16 | the short term price legs and if any other instances of me where I will roll |
422 | 00:40:16 --> 00:40:22 | the stop and cover costs, cover commissions, cover, you know, whatever, |
423 | 00:40:24 --> 00:40:30 | they generally will come back and hit that stop loss because of this is the |
424 | 00:40:30 --> 00:40:36 | climate that it creates. So if you're going to trade, you want to be looking |
425 | 00:40:36 --> 00:40:42 | for, if you're in a long soon as it trades into a premium inefficiency. That |
426 | 00:40:42 --> 00:40:47 | means a sell side of balance, buy side and efficiency, or a short term high. If |
427 | 00:40:47 --> 00:40:52 | it clears a short term high, you better take something off. And if you don't, |
428 | 00:40:52 --> 00:40:56 | you're literally asking for the market to take every opportunity for you to |
429 | 00:40:56 --> 00:41:02 | find profit away, only during this given week, though, there's no other there's |
430 | 00:41:02 --> 00:41:05 | no other climate. There's another thing that goes on in the economic calendar |
431 | 00:41:05 --> 00:41:09 | that I have that same observation with. So it's just a matter of everything |
432 | 00:41:09 --> 00:41:14 | redelivers back and forth, and it generally does it the week of Jackson |
433 | 00:41:14 --> 00:41:18 | Hole. So when can you expect seek and destroy |
434 | 00:41:20 --> 00:41:21 | Jackson Hole, |
435 | 00:41:22 --> 00:41:27 | but it can be done in a manner where you don't see it coming, you don't really |
436 | 00:41:27 --> 00:41:31 | think it's there until it's actually stopped you out several times. And the |
437 | 00:41:31 --> 00:41:35 | worst thing you can do is over trade on this week. So know what you're looking |
438 | 00:41:35 --> 00:41:38 | for. What's the easiest, low hanging fruit objective? Say, for instance, you |
439 | 00:41:39 --> 00:41:45 | you felt strongly that this, this turn down here was something be noteworthy. |
440 | 00:41:46 --> 00:41:50 | And we thought that the opening range gap could be a nice draw. Well, when we |
441 | 00:41:50 --> 00:41:53 | ran up into a here, you create a short term high and didn't completely close |
442 | 00:41:53 --> 00:41:57 | into the top of it. When it trades back down, soon as it crossed it right there, |
443 | 00:41:57 --> 00:42:01 | that would have been a partial. I was pulling your attention here. It needed |
444 | 00:42:01 --> 00:42:05 | to get through that. It went right up in that area stagnated and then rolled down |
445 | 00:42:05 --> 00:42:09 | three quarters of the opening range gap, lower quadrant, the opening range gap |
446 | 00:42:10 --> 00:42:14 | and failure to get to the new week opening gap, low or touch the opening |
447 | 00:42:14 --> 00:42:19 | range gap and displacement to downside. So watch this wick in here. This is the |
448 | 00:42:19 --> 00:42:20 | lowest one |
449 | 00:42:26 --> 00:42:28 | again. These are my fifth settings that we can See it. I'm |
450 | 00:43:01 --> 00:43:05 | so far, we cleared the rejection block, which is the lowest down closed candle |
451 | 00:43:05 --> 00:43:09 | in the swing here, we swept that there. |
452 | 00:43:14 --> 00:43:19 | Do you feel safe if you were short up here, if you shorted in here with your |
453 | 00:43:19 --> 00:43:29 | stop loss, right there? Would you feel safe? What if you didn't sell sell short |
454 | 00:43:29 --> 00:43:35 | there, but then you sold short here? Would you feel safe with your stop loss? |
455 | 00:43:35 --> 00:43:35 | Right here? |
456 | 00:43:42 --> 00:44:01 | I I probably shouldn't shuffle carts. You're going to hear that and think, |
457 | 00:44:02 --> 00:44:02 | what's he doing? |
458 | 00:44:15 --> 00:44:20 | Leave a comment, even though nobody else sees them. On my most recent community |
459 | 00:44:20 --> 00:44:25 | post, leave a comment and tell me, do you fidget while you're watching price |
460 | 00:44:25 --> 00:44:29 | action and or trading? And if not, what are your hands doing? And don't be |
461 | 00:44:29 --> 00:44:35 | obscene. I touch myself. I see some of you gonna use the opportunity. Of |
462 | 00:44:35 --> 00:44:38 | course, I'm touching myself. I bought Deadpool too, right? That that's not |
463 | 00:44:38 --> 00:44:40 | what I'm inviting me to do. |
464 | 00:44:42 --> 00:44:50 | You guys are creepy. Note that volume imbalance right there. |
465 | 00:44:59 --> 00:45:35 | I. See where the bodies are closed at right inside that volume of balance, |
466 | 00:45:36 --> 00:45:42 | that's the stuff I like to look for. The wicks are allowed to do the damage. And |
467 | 00:45:42 --> 00:45:46 | that's the part when candles are are open and they're still forming. They |
468 | 00:45:46 --> 00:45:51 | haven't settled and closed and started a new candle. That's the stuff in a book |
469 | 00:45:51 --> 00:45:57 | that can't be like you can't get that information shared with you watching, |
470 | 00:45:58 --> 00:46:02 | oh, not watching, but reading a book with static charts, even if I did a |
471 | 00:46:02 --> 00:46:07 | multiple series of updating of I think about how long the book would be if I |
472 | 00:46:07 --> 00:46:11 | was showing you a candlestick and screenshotting every fluctuation while |
473 | 00:46:11 --> 00:46:16 | the candlestick was still active, what it would look like and how it's morphing |
474 | 00:46:16 --> 00:46:20 | like that that I just don't know how. I don't know how to communicate that |
475 | 00:46:21 --> 00:46:25 | outside of actually watching price action with you and observing and |
476 | 00:46:25 --> 00:46:29 | pointing and saying, Look what it's doing here and or look how it just did |
477 | 00:46:29 --> 00:46:32 | that. When we were watching this candle, we were watching reads for this, you're |
478 | 00:46:32 --> 00:46:36 | watching it reach for that. That's that's an organic study that you can't |
479 | 00:46:36 --> 00:46:41 | replicate that. And even Market Replay doesn't, doesn't do it. It does not do |
480 | 00:46:41 --> 00:46:46 | it. So you have to have someone that's sitting with you live pointing out |
481 | 00:46:46 --> 00:46:50 | certain things in price action that are salient to why things should or |
482 | 00:46:50 --> 00:46:51 | shouldn't behave. |
483 | 00:47:00 --> 00:47:08 | But you have to watch it and also relax and know that the wicks are going to |
484 | 00:47:08 --> 00:47:13 | reach outside the levels that you want to see them stay within. And that's one |
485 | 00:47:13 --> 00:47:16 | of the things you're going to have to get comfortable with Caleb, because when |
486 | 00:47:16 --> 00:47:20 | you're looking at price, you know, the first time I showed him a fair value |
487 | 00:47:20 --> 00:47:24 | guy, he thought that, you know, by me describing it should go right in there. |
488 | 00:47:25 --> 00:47:28 | Don't go outside the lines of the low and the high of it, just go right into |
489 | 00:47:28 --> 00:47:34 | the middle completely overlap it perfectly, and then move to the higher |
490 | 00:47:34 --> 00:47:38 | low that we were aiming for as a draw. And then soon as it would go outside the |
491 | 00:47:38 --> 00:47:43 | line of the low, if we're trying to use it for a long and as soon as we color |
492 | 00:47:43 --> 00:47:48 | outside the lowest boundary of it, and the body of the candle is still active |
493 | 00:47:48 --> 00:47:53 | because it hasn't closed yet, but it's just outside of it. He's like, Okay, |
494 | 00:47:53 --> 00:47:58 | well, that shouldn't we get out of this right now? Or is this not going to go |
495 | 00:47:58 --> 00:48:02 | up? Because look what it went outside. No, that's the part you have to submit |
496 | 00:48:02 --> 00:48:08 | to, like you have to watch these things. And when you see that it's just forming |
497 | 00:48:08 --> 00:48:12 | the wick, that's all it's doing. And before it can become a wick, it has to |
498 | 00:48:12 --> 00:48:17 | be a bold faced candle at the level that makes the low the wick or the high of |
499 | 00:48:17 --> 00:48:23 | the wick. So you can't appreciate that unless you sit here and watch very low |
500 | 00:48:23 --> 00:48:27 | time frame charts, because you get lots of examples of it. Look at the reaction |
501 | 00:48:27 --> 00:48:32 | off that volume. Look how the body's closed right at it. See that you're |
502 | 00:48:32 --> 00:48:37 | gonna find that wipe off the fuck you are. It's not in there. It's not in |
503 | 00:48:37 --> 00:48:44 | there. So here at the opening range, gap high again. So now we don't want to see |
504 | 00:48:44 --> 00:48:48 | the midpoint of that. So let's highlight that. We don't want to see that |
505 | 00:48:48 --> 00:48:53 | breached, because we've been here multiple times now, no close below it. |
506 | 00:48:53 --> 00:48:57 | Can touch it. It's better if we don't go down and touch it at all. And okay, we |
507 | 00:48:57 --> 00:49:00 | touch it. Now, it needs to be responsive. We don't want to see it come |
508 | 00:49:00 --> 00:49:04 | back down below the new week opening gap low, which is this level here on a |
509 | 00:49:04 --> 00:49:09 | closing basis. We don't want that all of this while the candles open completely |
510 | 00:49:09 --> 00:49:13 | normal. Nothing to be worried about, nothing to be concerned about. It's |
511 | 00:49:13 --> 00:49:17 | exactly what you need to see if a wick's going to form. You got to give the |
512 | 00:49:17 --> 00:49:21 | candlestick the opportunity to go down there or go up there to form the wick. |
513 | 00:49:22 --> 00:49:25 | If you try to be perfect and say that it can't do this and can't do that, it's |
514 | 00:49:25 --> 00:49:29 | going to humble you fast, and it's going to make you frustrated. It's going to |
515 | 00:49:29 --> 00:49:32 | make you feel like you're never going to be able to trust anything reading price |
516 | 00:49:32 --> 00:49:38 | action. See what this did. There's the wick formation. We opened, touched one |
517 | 00:49:38 --> 00:49:44 | more time, the consequent encroachment of that opening range, gap delivery. |
518 | 00:49:44 --> 00:49:48 | Here's now. It needs to speed up right above here. And the for the folks that |
519 | 00:49:48 --> 00:49:53 | had their stop loss here, their hearts are broken, we're gonna fade. ICT, I'm |
520 | 00:49:53 --> 00:49:56 | recording. I can't wait to show it. This is what I did against ICT, well, you're |
521 | 00:49:56 --> 00:50:01 | not doing that shit today. Are you here? Is i? The buy stops that are resting by |
522 | 00:50:01 --> 00:50:03 | the relative equal highs. |
523 | 00:50:10 --> 00:50:14 | And as I'm pointing out, things okay, what you should be doing as a viewer, |
524 | 00:50:15 --> 00:50:20 | and what Caleb should be doing is when I mentioned something okay, for instance, |
525 | 00:50:20 --> 00:50:24 | when I talked about how we could go down here and go into the new New Day opening |
526 | 00:50:24 --> 00:50:31 | gap on August 16, it can trade down that you can trade down into that below these |
527 | 00:50:31 --> 00:50:37 | lows over here. How far can it go? Well, if it's going below here, how far can it |
528 | 00:50:37 --> 00:50:42 | go into that new day opening gap, that's old. It's an old one. It's stale, right? |
529 | 00:50:42 --> 00:50:46 | No, it doesn't get stale around here. But then you have this swing low here, |
530 | 00:50:47 --> 00:50:52 | so we have sell side that can tap into an old, new day opening gap. But what |
531 | 00:50:52 --> 00:50:58 | did I teach you last week? What's that teach you about that that we can see |
532 | 00:50:58 --> 00:51:03 | them, trade through them, and then you want to see how they behave once it does |
533 | 00:51:03 --> 00:51:10 | it, we're not always expecting a stop and turn no further run through nothing |
534 | 00:51:10 --> 00:51:15 | that's demanding precision, like that. Entries. You can frame entries with |
535 | 00:51:15 --> 00:51:21 | precision elements, but we're looking for a bias. We're looking for some kind |
536 | 00:51:21 --> 00:51:25 | of like a sentiment to shift in the marketplace, but we have to allow the |
537 | 00:51:25 --> 00:51:30 | market to deliver to these inefficiencies again, and if it's going |
538 | 00:51:30 --> 00:51:34 | to go through them, which is a normal characteristic, especially if we're |
539 | 00:51:34 --> 00:51:40 | anticipating a early session, start to determining a bias, well, we wait for it |
540 | 00:51:40 --> 00:51:43 | to trade through it, and if it's going to go through that, what's, what's to |
541 | 00:51:43 --> 00:51:50 | the left of this relative equal lows and their sell side? So at that price level, |
542 | 00:51:50 --> 00:51:58 | right there, we have 562 market drops all the way down, clearing out all the |
543 | 00:51:58 --> 00:52:04 | way to 544 and a half. So it's allowing for any liquidity that would have been |
544 | 00:52:04 --> 00:52:10 | trailed from that low. They cleared that out, took it all the way back up to |
545 | 00:52:10 --> 00:52:13 | opening range. Gap failed in that little area I told you we need to get through. |
546 | 00:52:15 --> 00:52:20 | Broke lower, broke lower, swept one more time. Rejection block didn't get the |
547 | 00:52:20 --> 00:52:25 | consequence. Encroachment that wick. Notice that we didn't get the consequent |
548 | 00:52:25 --> 00:52:32 | encroachment of the lesser wick either. See that? Oops. Every single time I do |
549 | 00:52:32 --> 00:52:37 | this, it jumps, every time it goes to uh, just short of the uh, where's that? |
550 | 00:52:37 --> 00:52:43 | Right at the quadrant. Let me see what is that? Yeah, it's got it hit it |
551 | 00:52:43 --> 00:52:48 | perfectly to the tick. So the quadrant on the initial wick hits it perfectly to |
552 | 00:52:48 --> 00:52:53 | the tick. I'm watching the low. So if you look up here, that that price right |
553 | 00:52:53 --> 00:52:58 | here, that's what I'm looking at. Right on that candle, the low is 560 and a |
554 | 00:52:58 --> 00:53:03 | quarter, and the upper quadrant levels 560, and quarter for this wick. See that |
555 | 00:53:03 --> 00:53:07 | that's just probably random. But the point is is we didn't get to what level. |
556 | 00:53:08 --> 00:53:13 | It's midpoint on either this wick or that one. It stopped went right to the |
557 | 00:53:13 --> 00:53:16 | rejection block, which is why I was mentioning so we just cleared the |
558 | 00:53:16 --> 00:53:21 | rejection block. Watch that wick. So your observation and your takeaway for |
559 | 00:53:21 --> 00:53:27 | this is you want to annotate how this low stopped directly at that Wix |
560 | 00:53:27 --> 00:53:33 | quadrant, upper quadrant, and did not touch its midpoint. See that. And then, |
561 | 00:53:34 --> 00:53:40 | how fast did it run? Where did it go to? Where are the bodies right now, we |
562 | 00:53:40 --> 00:53:44 | cleared the short term high rate there, but we're working inside the opening |
563 | 00:53:44 --> 00:53:50 | range gap, the difference between Friday's settlement price at 4:15pm and |
564 | 00:53:51 --> 00:53:56 | since there's no technical opening price at 415 it's the settlement at 414 and it |
565 | 00:53:56 --> 00:53:59 | just doesn't get you in on The candlestick when it's record trading |
566 | 00:53:59 --> 00:54:10 | hours, meaning this, see the time at the bottom chart, 4:15pm Friday, August 16. |
567 | 00:54:11 --> 00:54:17 | And then the next candles formation is on Monday, at 9:30am and then we traded |
568 | 00:54:17 --> 00:54:22 | up so we've completely overlapped all this, and we're banging up against the |
569 | 00:54:22 --> 00:54:26 | high of the opening range gap, which is the settlement on regular trading hours |
570 | 00:54:26 --> 00:54:31 | on Friday. See that you're spending a lot of time in here. I would not bet |
571 | 00:54:31 --> 00:54:39 | against that clearing a higher high. I just wouldn't bet against it. And then |
572 | 00:54:39 --> 00:54:43 | we have electronic trading hours, and the chart looks completely different, |
573 | 00:54:45 --> 00:54:49 | and it's very confusing for someone, but that's the reason why you have to you |
574 | 00:54:49 --> 00:54:55 | have to know what you're looking at in relationship to time, visually showing |
575 | 00:54:55 --> 00:54:59 | price action around regular trading hours and electronic trading hours. |
576 | 00:55:00 --> 00:55:06 | Hours, you have to get used to seeing that, and also while you're watching |
577 | 00:55:06 --> 00:55:10 | price action, if you're trading like the afternoon, or if you're trading in |
578 | 00:55:12 --> 00:55:16 | latter portions of the morning session and you're in lower time frames, if |
579 | 00:55:16 --> 00:55:19 | you're toggling back and forth between electronic trading hours, this is what |
580 | 00:55:19 --> 00:55:24 | I'm showing you here now in record trading hours. I've done this in the |
581 | 00:55:24 --> 00:55:30 | past where I've referenced something, and because I referenced it on either |
582 | 00:55:30 --> 00:55:35 | electronic trading or regulator trading hours, I mistakenly put more emphasis on |
583 | 00:55:35 --> 00:55:39 | something that should not have had the emphasis placed on it, and discovered, |
584 | 00:55:39 --> 00:55:43 | oh, there you go, I made a mistake by having either regular trading hours on |
585 | 00:55:43 --> 00:55:48 | or electronic trading hours on, and I messed I messed up either the trade or |
586 | 00:55:48 --> 00:55:54 | missed the trade entirely. So that's the aspect of human frailty that's going to |
587 | 00:55:54 --> 00:55:57 | come into your trading as well. Just be mindful while you're toggling back and |
588 | 00:55:57 --> 00:56:01 | forth. I always tell myself, as a result of those instances, I tell myself |
589 | 00:56:01 --> 00:56:04 | outliers I'm doing, even when I'm not live streaming or recording something, |
590 | 00:56:05 --> 00:56:07 | I'll say, Okay, I'm back in electronic trading hours. And then I say it again |
591 | 00:56:07 --> 00:56:11 | and I double check my scene. It says eth, because otherwise it'll mess me all |
592 | 00:56:11 --> 00:56:16 | up. So when I was talking about the Jackson Hole symposium and the |
593 | 00:56:16 --> 00:56:21 | characteristic of that week, what does price do? It overlaps back and forth the |
594 | 00:56:21 --> 00:56:22 | previous run. |
595 | 00:56:28 --> 00:56:35 | 930 we drop down. Overlap that entire run here, okay, we drop down here, |
596 | 00:56:36 --> 00:56:41 | overlap the entire run right above this high. And now what are we doing? We're |
597 | 00:56:41 --> 00:56:46 | overlapping all this price from here, you see how fast this can frustrate you. |
598 | 00:56:47 --> 00:56:51 | Very, very frustrating. And it's explained to you in advance, real time |
599 | 00:56:51 --> 00:56:57 | over live price action. Why do you talk so much? ICT, because I want my |
600 | 00:56:57 --> 00:57:02 | children, who are always the that's the that's the audience of my videos, every |
601 | 00:57:02 --> 00:57:06 | single presentation I've ever recorded, they're always for my children. So |
602 | 00:57:06 --> 00:57:11 | because I care about them and I want them to know everything, I give them all |
603 | 00:57:11 --> 00:57:15 | of the bits and pieces and all those bits and pieces that get shit upon and |
604 | 00:57:16 --> 00:57:18 | cast it aside by assholes that don't know what the fuck they're doing and |
605 | 00:57:18 --> 00:57:23 | never will make money. You're a clown to me. You don't change anything. You don't |
606 | 00:57:23 --> 00:57:26 | do anything. I'm going to still deliver the way I'm going to deliver, because |
607 | 00:57:26 --> 00:57:31 | I'm making these for them. And what are we doing? We redelivering all of this |
608 | 00:57:31 --> 00:57:38 | run from here to here. We're overlapping it now. Watch the wick. This one here, |
609 | 00:57:38 --> 00:57:46 | we just touched it there, and the larger one right there. |
610 | 00:57:52 --> 00:57:52 | And this one I'm |
611 | 00:57:55 --> 00:58:00 | just gonna eyeball, agreed there, we'll call that low, just below that low, the |
612 | 00:58:00 --> 00:58:04 | consequent version of that wick, so it can spike up with a wick, touch that |
613 | 00:58:04 --> 00:58:09 | one. It'd be great if it didn't touch the new David and got well and then roll |
614 | 00:58:09 --> 00:58:12 | lower. That'd be good if you see a sustainable price run. |
615 | 00:58:19 --> 00:58:24 | Then so many subtle nuances, the trading you thought it was just five minutes |
616 | 00:58:24 --> 00:58:29 | over, so when it's over, but where's the diversions? |
617 | 00:58:34 --> 00:58:40 | Knowing how you're going to get burned, knowing how the market will stick around |
618 | 00:58:40 --> 00:58:46 | here, how the market will behave, what characteristics remember my lectures |
619 | 00:58:46 --> 00:58:55 | around FOMC? Okay, like we have FOMC minutes this week. That's not the same |
620 | 00:58:55 --> 00:59:00 | thing as a rate announcement. It's just the minutes. So it's not as impactful as |
621 | 00:59:00 --> 00:59:05 | money go rate announcement and a policy statement. At two o'clock, there's an |
622 | 00:59:05 --> 00:59:12 | initial run, and then at 230 it usually, not always. Usually it's going against |
623 | 00:59:12 --> 00:59:17 | whatever you saw going into the two o'clock run. So it's two stages. So it's |
624 | 00:59:17 --> 00:59:21 | a two stage delivery. So going into two o'clock, and until o'clock at 230 |
625 | 00:59:22 --> 00:59:27 | whatever you see there, directionally, generally, you have about 70% likelihood |
626 | 00:59:28 --> 00:59:30 | that it's going to do the opposite direction, and it's going to be |
627 | 00:59:30 --> 00:59:37 | extremely, much more exaggerated, going the other direction. So it'll it'll re |
628 | 00:59:37 --> 00:59:42 | reverse, and do the opposite direction and go the biggest mood of the day will |
629 | 00:59:42 --> 00:59:45 | be opposed to what you saw going into two o'clock as it traded to 230 and then |
630 | 00:59:45 --> 00:59:51 | we do the conference portion of the PALS like me, he must be watching my live |
631 | 00:59:51 --> 00:59:57 | streams and videos. He likes to talk and he he's the longest winded, Fed Chairman |
632 | 00:59:57 --> 01:00:01 | that we've ever had, that I can't remember. And. I prefer Bernanke, but |
633 | 01:00:01 --> 01:00:05 | everybody sends Bernanke's got they get on my skin. I don't like him. I didn't |
634 | 01:00:05 --> 01:00:09 | like yelling, and I don't like pow, but pal means cut from the same cloth. He |
635 | 01:00:09 --> 01:00:14 | likes to talk and talk and talk and talk. But if I think if he was a little |
636 | 01:00:14 --> 01:00:20 | bit less talkative at the 230 session, we'd have really better FOMC trades, |
637 | 01:00:20 --> 01:00:28 | because sometimes he just likes to drag it out. And the more he talks, the more |
638 | 01:00:28 --> 01:00:30 | they have to wait to do their intervention. Sometimes you can just see |
639 | 01:00:30 --> 01:00:34 | to get five they fed up with it. It's okay, let's just start running it while |
640 | 01:00:34 --> 01:00:39 | he's talking. And it usually is them talking at the conference, the 230 |
641 | 01:00:39 --> 01:00:46 | portion of the FMC announcement, usually the 230 they'll say something or open |
642 | 01:00:46 --> 01:00:51 | the beginning of the discussion with and that gives you all that you need for |
643 | 01:00:51 --> 01:00:55 | them to do whatever intervention they're going to do, which really, again, |
644 | 01:00:55 --> 01:00:59 | setting time to time is just do the opposite of what just took place, and |
645 | 01:00:59 --> 01:01:04 | hold on to it. Hold on to it to around 15 minutes after three. And just if you |
646 | 01:01:04 --> 01:01:08 | look and study that, don't take my word for it, look and study and see that that |
647 | 01:01:08 --> 01:01:12 | that's usually, that's the winner, that's the thing. But everybody likes to |
648 | 01:01:12 --> 01:01:17 | hold on to the close of the day, and you want to be getting out early on, so |
649 | 01:01:17 --> 01:01:22 | about 15 minutes after three. Why? Because that starts your last hour |
650 | 01:01:22 --> 01:01:26 | macro, one of four macros that are in the three o'clock to four o'clock time |
651 | 01:01:26 --> 01:01:30 | window, time window. That's the only time of day that there's multiple macros |
652 | 01:01:30 --> 01:01:36 | in the same hour. There are no 20 minutes to 40 minutes or 30 minutes to |
653 | 01:01:36 --> 01:01:40 | 40 minutes. That's all bullshit. Anybody that's saying that they're just trying |
654 | 01:01:40 --> 01:01:44 | to sell you a gimmick. I promise you that is not a thing. It's not a thing. |
655 | 01:01:45 --> 01:01:51 | All right, so now we've taken sell side out below here. Watch new open gap on |
656 | 01:01:51 --> 01:01:55 | the 16th. This is the last attempt, if it, if it breaks this low here, I'm |
657 | 01:01:55 --> 01:01:59 | going to move to the sidelines, and that would be enough for today, but I want to |
658 | 01:01:59 --> 01:02:09 | see it now. Start to find some footing, go back and use this wick here. Why are |
659 | 01:02:09 --> 01:02:11 | you doing this now? Like, why are you looking at that wick? Why is it |
660 | 01:02:11 --> 01:02:17 | something that you're making a reference to? Why is this fucking fid not moving? |
661 | 01:02:17 --> 01:02:26 | How's that for a question. All right, so that is there. So I'm watching this |
662 | 01:02:26 --> 01:02:30 | level right there, if we open on another candle, come back down and touch it, or |
663 | 01:02:30 --> 01:02:34 | fail to touch it and rally or just run straight from here, either one's it's |
664 | 01:02:34 --> 01:02:40 | good. But I'm watching this as like a like an indication of strength, because |
665 | 01:02:41 --> 01:02:46 | this level is a discounted rate right now. Where's price up here? Below it, we |
666 | 01:02:46 --> 01:02:49 | have what we have, this little bit of a gap. We have the new day opening gap, |
667 | 01:02:49 --> 01:02:57 | high consequence encroachment, easy for me to say. ICT, so the new day opening |
668 | 01:02:57 --> 01:03:01 | gap low, and then below that, we have this balanced price range of this wick, |
669 | 01:03:01 --> 01:03:07 | in that wick, but in the middle of it, we have this midpoint of that wick |
670 | 01:03:07 --> 01:03:13 | there. So my eyes jumping to that so it needs now, because it's taken off like |
671 | 01:03:13 --> 01:03:17 | it has, I don't want to see it come back down to this level now at all. So let's |
672 | 01:03:17 --> 01:03:22 | use this information. Say you would have taken this as a long I'm not saying you |
673 | 01:03:22 --> 01:03:26 | should have, I'm not saying that Caleb should have, but I would use this level |
674 | 01:03:26 --> 01:03:31 | here as a any any stop would have to be below that, and it would have to be |
675 | 01:03:31 --> 01:03:36 | below this low here, because this wick up and this wick down, it's travel, |
676 | 01:03:36 --> 01:03:40 | Beth, back and forth in here. So that portion right below that, that would be |
677 | 01:03:40 --> 01:03:46 | a place for a stop loss, using the ideas of trailing stop losses, stop placement, |
678 | 01:03:46 --> 01:03:50 | that type of thing. I would not be long, but if I were, this is the type of thing |
679 | 01:03:50 --> 01:03:54 | you guys are asking me all the time, how, how do you arrive at where you're |
680 | 01:03:54 --> 01:03:58 | placing your stop loss? It's a lot of these things as I'm watching price, and |
681 | 01:03:58 --> 01:04:01 | if I see these things start to form and I'm in a move that's going up, or if I'm |
682 | 01:04:01 --> 01:04:04 | in move that's going lower, and I see the opposite side, and I start seeing |
683 | 01:04:04 --> 01:04:09 | these, like these barriers where price has done multiple passes through after |
684 | 01:04:09 --> 01:04:15 | it's done something. Okay, what is the something that was done? Low, lower, |
685 | 01:04:15 --> 01:04:20 | low. So that's relative equal lows, big liquidity resting below that. We dove |
686 | 01:04:20 --> 01:04:28 | down below it. So it's been made jagged down here. So where is it smoothed here |
687 | 01:04:30 --> 01:04:42 | and here? Okay, so now we have a fair value gap there. So this could be viewed |
688 | 01:04:42 --> 01:04:47 | as breakaway. This could be a common gap which can fill in. It can come down and |
689 | 01:04:47 --> 01:04:50 | give it institutional order, flow, entry drill, which is just below this wick, |
690 | 01:04:51 --> 01:04:56 | then leave a portion of it open. It can completely overlap that and close that, |
691 | 01:04:56 --> 01:04:58 | and it's fine. I'm going to take this line off because, if you remember, |
692 | 01:04:58 --> 01:05:03 | that's the old relative. Equal lows over here. See that? I'm gonna take that off |
693 | 01:05:03 --> 01:05:06 | because it's distracting me, and it's another reason why, like I said, I don't |
694 | 01:05:06 --> 01:05:15 | like to have too many things on my chart. There's the wick you want one |
695 | 01:05:15 --> 01:05:18 | tick below. Look at the low of that candle. You're looking at this price |
696 | 01:05:18 --> 01:05:28 | right here. That candles low is five 80.50 the next candles low 580 even so |
697 | 01:05:28 --> 01:05:33 | it went down two ticks just below. Now we're into it again. That way. I'm sorry |
698 | 01:05:33 --> 01:05:37 | that fair value got is what I'm referring to. Ideally, if it really |
699 | 01:05:37 --> 01:05:41 | wants to take these areas up here, it'd be wonderful to see it leave a portion |
700 | 01:05:41 --> 01:05:46 | of this open. It can close it, but every fair value gap that we're looking for as |
701 | 01:05:46 --> 01:05:53 | a means of supporting or providing a market propellant to send prices higher, |
702 | 01:05:53 --> 01:05:59 | supporting it, basically in order flow, we want to see it stay open. Some degree |
703 | 01:05:59 --> 01:06:04 | of the inefficiency stay open, because as long as it starts to do that, and it |
704 | 01:06:04 --> 01:06:09 | starts gaining ground and moving higher, that's supportive to your trade. So how |
705 | 01:06:09 --> 01:06:12 | do you hold on to trades and have confidence? How do you hold on to trades |
706 | 01:06:12 --> 01:06:17 | and not get scared out? Well, it starts with these types of things, and you |
707 | 01:06:17 --> 01:06:20 | still will get stopped out of trades. It's not it's not a BLM, though. It's |
708 | 01:06:20 --> 01:06:23 | not a it's on a panacea. It's not an answer to everything. It's not it's not |
709 | 01:06:23 --> 01:06:29 | a magic bullet. It fixes all problems for you. It just means that this is what |
710 | 01:06:29 --> 01:06:34 | I grow confident in while I'm holding trace. You see me execute recording the |
711 | 01:06:34 --> 01:06:37 | things I call out when it's when it was on Twitter space. I said, Okay, it's |
712 | 01:06:37 --> 01:06:41 | going to run to this or run to that, and I wouldn't change my mind, we would stay |
713 | 01:06:41 --> 01:06:44 | with that narrative until it delivered to it. And I'd say, there you go. It |
714 | 01:06:44 --> 01:06:49 | must be random again, right? Well, the ideas of how price is going to use these |
715 | 01:06:49 --> 01:06:57 | inefficiencies as a as a building block. And then are we seeing them fail? And |
716 | 01:06:57 --> 01:07:02 | seeing them fail is a good thing, but see now, can you hear the jacklegs that |
717 | 01:07:02 --> 01:07:05 | would come in to hear me say that we want to see it fail, and that's a good |
718 | 01:07:05 --> 01:07:10 | thing saying that, see he wants his stuff to fail. Now you want to see a |
719 | 01:07:10 --> 01:07:17 | fear of a gap not completely fill in. What did it do here? Before I went over |
720 | 01:07:17 --> 01:07:20 | and showed you the old sell side liquidity, I told you that we want to |
721 | 01:07:20 --> 01:07:25 | see the candle here, drop down just below that. It did it two times and then |
722 | 01:07:25 --> 01:07:30 | delivered a run here. That's more than your live streaming guys do they get |
723 | 01:07:30 --> 01:07:33 | out, you know, because they're panicking. They have no idea. They'll |
724 | 01:07:33 --> 01:07:35 | call a move. It could go up here. Remember I said at the beginning, |
725 | 01:07:35 --> 01:07:40 | stream, well, if you're going to say it, why aren't you holding for it? Why do |
726 | 01:07:40 --> 01:07:44 | you keep resetting your accounts? Why? Why aren't you doing why aren't you |
727 | 01:07:44 --> 01:07:54 | doing it? Because you can't do it. I see stay focused. I'm focused, focused on |
728 | 01:07:54 --> 01:08:03 | making you a winner. Plus, I gotta speak when I have some it's about period |
729 | 01:08:09 --> 01:08:13 | I'm unsatisfied later in the day, when I felt like I should have unloaded on it. |
730 | 01:08:17 --> 01:08:21 | So there's the gap. That's where I told you the institution, order, flow, entry, |
731 | 01:08:21 --> 01:08:24 | drill would form based on that candle. That candle. We want to see it stay |
732 | 01:08:24 --> 01:08:28 | open. What does that mean? Well, it went down as far as that low. Did that low |
733 | 01:08:28 --> 01:08:34 | touch this candle high? Right there? No, it didn't. So what did it do? It went |
734 | 01:08:34 --> 01:08:38 | down one more time and then rallied. But what did it create? This down closed |
735 | 01:08:38 --> 01:08:41 | candle, which means absolutely nothing, right means nothing. Steve Nielsen knows |
736 | 01:08:41 --> 01:08:50 | nothing about this, nothing. This right here is an order block. The high of that |
737 | 01:08:50 --> 01:08:56 | candle, right there is 19 591, and a half. You're going to look up here, by |
738 | 01:08:56 --> 01:09:05 | the way, the high of that candle is 19,005 91 and a half, the next candle we |
739 | 01:09:05 --> 01:09:16 | trade above it, and then we have the low of that candle right here. Five, 90.75 |
740 | 01:09:16 --> 01:09:22 | did we get the touch of that? That looked like we did? One tick away, one |
741 | 01:09:22 --> 01:09:26 | tick away. So if I would have had a partial amount of partial I would have a |
742 | 01:09:26 --> 01:09:30 | pyramid entry trying to get in on that, adding more to it there. I would not |
743 | 01:09:30 --> 01:09:35 | have gotten the fill in that, but we gave you the institutional refund entry |
744 | 01:09:35 --> 01:09:39 | drill here, and delivered beautifully. So if you're using that as your entry |
745 | 01:09:39 --> 01:09:49 | model, I so 580 and a half. So 580 and three quarters or seven five. So 19,005 |
746 | 01:09:50 --> 01:09:58 | 80.75 that would be your your threshold that it had the book to so that means |
747 | 01:09:58 --> 01:10:04 | your limit order would have to be right at. At 90,005 80 and a half. So if |
748 | 01:10:04 --> 01:10:10 | that's the low, you need to breach it. Does it here by two ticks. You're filled |
749 | 01:10:10 --> 01:10:14 | on that one. If not, you definitely were filled on this one. And what's your |
750 | 01:10:14 --> 01:10:24 | heat? What's the drawdown on that? The difference in this low, it's 80 and a |
751 | 01:10:24 --> 01:10:30 | half. So 580 and a half, and the low on this one is 78 and a half. It just |
752 | 01:10:30 --> 01:10:37 | jumped 78 and a half. So it's two handles or eight ticks. So that's the |
753 | 01:10:37 --> 01:10:43 | heat you felt. 40 bucks per contract on a standard contract of E Mini. And then |
754 | 01:10:43 --> 01:10:48 | it runs, what's your first threshold? Let's see if it can touch what new week |
755 | 01:10:48 --> 01:10:53 | opening gap, low of this week that what that was the low of the new week opening |
756 | 01:10:53 --> 01:10:59 | gap, or where we settled, or where we opened there? I forgot which one it was |
757 | 01:10:59 --> 01:11:06 | the that would be your first threshold. And then can it reach to halfway? You |
758 | 01:11:06 --> 01:11:07 | measure that out, |
759 | 01:11:13 --> 01:11:17 | there's your half. And then you watch, does it have speed to get to the upper |
760 | 01:11:17 --> 01:11:21 | quadrant? And if it gets the upper quadrant, it should pierce right through |
761 | 01:11:21 --> 01:11:25 | the high of new week, opening gap. Why? Because these traders that have stop |
762 | 01:11:25 --> 01:11:30 | loss orders sitting right there's really smooth highs, they're not going to want |
763 | 01:11:30 --> 01:11:35 | to give them an opportunity to do what get out of it. But, uh, just like that. |
764 | 01:11:35 --> 01:11:44 | See how it was like, real energetic punching up there. You I get these two |
765 | 01:11:44 --> 01:11:51 | main lines out here. Look at the bodies right here. See how they're using that |
766 | 01:11:51 --> 01:11:55 | old reference point of the opening range gap we've already passed through it. See |
767 | 01:11:55 --> 01:11:58 | everybody else that knows? Oh, everybody knows about gas. ICT, you're just |
768 | 01:11:58 --> 01:12:02 | reinventing bullshit. No, I'm not. I'm peeling back the layers and telling you |
769 | 01:12:02 --> 01:12:07 | what you never paid attention to, proving that no one else is doing it |
770 | 01:12:07 --> 01:12:10 | because they would have it in books, and it's not there, but they're, they're in |
771 | 01:12:10 --> 01:12:13 | Amazon books now, because everybody out there is writing books about what you're |
772 | 01:12:13 --> 01:12:18 | hearing. You tell you why. But we passed and closed in that opening range gap |
773 | 01:12:18 --> 01:12:23 | here, we passed into a here, reacted off of it nice, and we went back into it |
774 | 01:12:23 --> 01:12:27 | again here. And what did we do? We whipped through the new week, opening |
775 | 01:12:27 --> 01:12:30 | gap high. And admittedly, I'm very surprised. I thought for certain when it |
776 | 01:12:30 --> 01:12:35 | first pumps up like that, my eyes got that was the seed by what I thought was |
777 | 01:12:35 --> 01:12:39 | the real quick punch through. I thought I did that. Rally through that. But this |
778 | 01:12:39 --> 01:12:43 | is enough from the institutional order, flow entry drill down here because we're |
779 | 01:12:43 --> 01:12:48 | teaching entries. We're teaching what it looks like, what is the logic behind it. |
780 | 01:12:48 --> 01:12:53 | Why should it do this or that? What is favorable, what is unfavorable? This is |
781 | 01:12:53 --> 01:12:58 | what it should do. If it's good, if it does this, this is still good, but it's |
782 | 01:12:58 --> 01:13:02 | better if it didn't. You see what I'm doing. This is mentoring. This is |
783 | 01:13:02 --> 01:13:05 | somebody that knows what the fuck they're talking about. If you can't find |
784 | 01:13:05 --> 01:13:10 | this in your lecture, provider, your mentor, your teacher, if you're not |
785 | 01:13:10 --> 01:13:17 | seeing that, if they can't do that, you need to unload them. You need to get rid |
786 | 01:13:17 --> 01:13:22 | of them immediately, because they don't know what they're doing. They're |
787 | 01:13:22 --> 01:13:27 | guessing they're never going to be able to do it in front of you. And everybody |
788 | 01:13:27 --> 01:13:30 | says, I will never do these things in front of people every time I live |
789 | 01:13:30 --> 01:13:34 | stream, I'm giving you the logic as of why the market should behave a certain |
790 | 01:13:34 --> 01:13:39 | way. Tell me where the institutional order flow entry drills before I taught |
791 | 01:13:39 --> 01:13:45 | it, and anything. It's not there. No one had that entry mechanism. No one ever |
792 | 01:13:45 --> 01:13:52 | did that. No one ever did it. Got $5 million you can find it. I don't know |
793 | 01:13:52 --> 01:13:57 | why you guys are waiting around. Some of you spend all this time justifying why |
794 | 01:13:57 --> 01:14:01 | nobody should follow me. And you could be retired if you just simply come |
795 | 01:14:01 --> 01:14:04 | forward and say, here's what ICT rebranded. And this is the logic, here's |
796 | 01:14:04 --> 01:14:08 | where the source materials found. This is the book. This is the course, this is |
797 | 01:14:08 --> 01:14:13 | the author, and it's got to be before 1996 why is it that no one can do that? |
798 | 01:14:14 --> 01:14:19 | Come on, it's $5 million for fuck sake. I would stop. I would quit my job, if I |
799 | 01:14:19 --> 01:14:23 | felt that sure about it. I would quit my job, pour into everything. Screenshot. |
800 | 01:14:23 --> 01:14:26 | This screenshot, I would I would spend money on credit cards, buying books to |
801 | 01:14:26 --> 01:14:30 | be able to go through it and PDF file, print everything, and make a fucking |
802 | 01:14:30 --> 01:14:35 | YouTube channel saying, Here's what it is. But news, it's not happening. It's |
803 | 01:14:35 --> 01:14:39 | not happening. And I have put this bounty out there and raised it and |
804 | 01:14:39 --> 01:14:42 | raised it and raised it and raised it, and nobody's done it, but they'll still |
805 | 01:14:42 --> 01:14:46 | leave baseless comments, either in somebody else's YouTube channel or |
806 | 01:14:46 --> 01:14:50 | someone else's social media posts that may be supporting me or saying that they |
807 | 01:14:50 --> 01:14:53 | like what they learn here, and then some little shitbagger comes by and says |
808 | 01:14:53 --> 01:14:58 | they're not his concepts. Okay? Who's already because we already went down the |
809 | 01:14:58 --> 01:15:02 | list of everything that's everybody. Everybody, everyone said and proved that |
810 | 01:15:02 --> 01:15:06 | it's not the case. I'm the original. I'm the original Maverick at this I'm the |
811 | 01:15:06 --> 01:15:10 | I'm the real McCoy. And that bothers a lot of you people, because everything's |
812 | 01:15:10 --> 01:15:15 | about clout now, and you can't claim you found it because you've heard me say it |
813 | 01:15:15 --> 01:15:21 | now. You're just a neck up. Sorry, but no, I'm sorry. So so far we've had this |
814 | 01:15:21 --> 01:15:25 | area here. Now I saw you watch this area. It needs to get through that. We |
815 | 01:15:25 --> 01:15:29 | went through it. We went through the new day opening I'm sorry, new week opening |
816 | 01:15:29 --> 01:15:43 | gap, but from here to the new week opening gap. Hi, right there. So we have |
817 | 01:15:43 --> 01:15:45 | worked this level there. |
818 | 01:15:47 --> 01:15:48 | Let's shade it yellow. |
819 | 01:15:51 --> 01:15:55 | Did you not do so much rants? ICT, and just focus on the teachings. It's |
820 | 01:15:55 --> 01:15:59 | disrespectful to your students. It's disrespectful to me when you leave |
821 | 01:15:59 --> 01:16:03 | comments like that and I delete you because I don't like to be mothered. I'm |
822 | 01:16:03 --> 01:16:06 | going to do it regardless whether you like it or not. So that's what you need |
823 | 01:16:06 --> 01:16:14 | to understand. So we've seen it get made jagged down here. These highs were buy |
824 | 01:16:14 --> 01:16:20 | stops. They went through it, and I'm admittedly surprised that they did not |
825 | 01:16:20 --> 01:16:24 | take that. I'm not convinced that we're going lower because they'll be leaving |
826 | 01:16:24 --> 01:16:28 | them intact. I don't I don't believe that's the case. What I'm looking at is, |
827 | 01:16:28 --> 01:16:32 | do we wick down below the new date? I'm sorry, new week, opening gap trade into |
828 | 01:16:33 --> 01:16:38 | this balanced price range, and then one more time, send it up into here. That's |
829 | 01:16:38 --> 01:16:46 | what I would like to see. Uh, delivered and take this off here, but that right |
830 | 01:16:46 --> 01:16:51 | there, son is one of the elements of how you're going to use the fair Vega. Okay, |
831 | 01:16:51 --> 01:16:59 | I did it live, doing it as a manual entry. But when you're watching it form |
832 | 01:16:59 --> 01:17:02 | like in other words, if you're looking at pricing. It was behaving like this, |
833 | 01:17:04 --> 01:17:09 | like that, and this candle is manning around as soon as the next candle opens |
834 | 01:17:09 --> 01:17:14 | up, okay? Soon as some of you are going to watch the video right at this point, |
835 | 01:17:15 --> 01:17:19 | or you'll cut it and splice it and make a little jab video about me. Okay, but |
836 | 01:17:19 --> 01:17:22 | you ignore what I said before it happened, because when this candle was |
837 | 01:17:22 --> 01:17:26 | forming, we have a little bit of a fair value gap right there. While that candle |
838 | 01:17:26 --> 01:17:31 | was active, go back and watch the live stream. It'll be there. I expect to see |
839 | 01:17:31 --> 01:17:35 | the mark come back down into this little area here, but I don't want to see it |
840 | 01:17:35 --> 01:17:41 | close in. That's not me, form fitting it, cherry picking it and just lay it |
841 | 01:17:41 --> 01:17:47 | down with with smoke and mirrors. It's me saying I want to see it trade with |
842 | 01:17:47 --> 01:17:52 | this gap partially left open. So if we're going to use an entry model, like |
843 | 01:17:52 --> 01:17:56 | the institutional order for entry drill, which is technically what Caleb's entry |
844 | 01:17:56 --> 01:18:01 | mechanism is, you can do it manually, like I showed in a recording earlier in |
845 | 01:18:01 --> 01:18:05 | the morning. I put it on the YouTube channel, and then I called it out wild |
846 | 01:18:05 --> 01:18:12 | here, and told you where it would trade to how it would trade, meaning that it |
847 | 01:18:12 --> 01:18:19 | would go right below this candles, wick by one tick by one tick. I was wrong |
848 | 01:18:19 --> 01:18:23 | technically, because it went down two ticks. There you go. My fucking fraud. I |
849 | 01:18:23 --> 01:18:27 | expected one tick, and it moved two ticks and left the fair value up. And so |
850 | 01:18:27 --> 01:18:31 | none of this shit works. Go watch supplying demand gurus, okay, go out |
851 | 01:18:31 --> 01:18:36 | there and chase Elliott Wave and animal patterns. Go, go be the zoo. The Zoo |
852 | 01:18:36 --> 01:18:44 | trader, okay, animal patterns, but the the wick that defines your entry. Caleb, |
853 | 01:18:45 --> 01:18:50 | so in my interest, okay, for you initially, is I want you to look at that |
854 | 01:18:50 --> 01:18:54 | wick low, of that candle over here, this one, once it creates a fair value gap, |
855 | 01:18:54 --> 01:18:58 | or while it's forming, you're anticipating, okay, in other words, I |
856 | 01:18:58 --> 01:19:02 | was predicting, while that candle was still there that this would form a fair |
857 | 01:19:02 --> 01:19:04 | value gap. I know you. I don't remember. You probably didn't pick up on it when |
858 | 01:19:04 --> 01:19:09 | it happened, but rewind to that time in the in the video, which reminded me I'm |
859 | 01:19:09 --> 01:19:13 | not writing down the notes when I'm talking about certain things. This is a |
860 | 01:19:13 --> 01:19:16 | lot harder when you don't have a script and you're watching price action. That's |
861 | 01:19:16 --> 01:19:19 | why I asked some of you that are more inclined to do those types of things, |
862 | 01:19:19 --> 01:19:22 | because you're very, very organized about what you're watching with me and |
863 | 01:19:22 --> 01:19:29 | where you can go. Where you can go back and listen to the information the the |
864 | 01:19:29 --> 01:19:33 | time when you hear me talk about this gap this candle was forming, okay? And |
865 | 01:19:33 --> 01:19:38 | you would take that candles low, assuming when the next candle opens, it |
866 | 01:19:38 --> 01:19:44 | didn't make a lower low when that wick so that candle here, we opened up here, |
867 | 01:19:44 --> 01:19:49 | so there's time, there's time to drop a limit order in right below that, that |
868 | 01:19:49 --> 01:19:57 | low one of the things you can do is you can set up limit orders and have them |
869 | 01:19:58 --> 01:20:03 | hunt some handles or. A way that all you have to do is just drag them to a |
870 | 01:20:03 --> 01:20:06 | location when you're expecting a silver bullet to form, because that's what that |
871 | 01:20:06 --> 01:20:10 | was right there. By the way, it's a 10 o'clock fair value gap that is easy to |
872 | 01:20:10 --> 01:20:14 | understand because now you've seen what happened. There has been a disruption, |
873 | 01:20:14 --> 01:20:20 | there's been a shark frenzy. There's been this evisceration of orders below |
874 | 01:20:20 --> 01:20:26 | that low and that low, we dove down below it, then the market gets back |
875 | 01:20:26 --> 01:20:30 | above. We want to see it touch the new day opening gap, high minimum or |
876 | 01:20:30 --> 01:20:34 | consequent pressure or the low, but we don't want to see it go below the |
877 | 01:20:34 --> 01:20:38 | consequent pressure of that wick on a closing basis. Ideally, we don't want to |
878 | 01:20:38 --> 01:20:41 | see it straight to it at all. And it didn't do that, right? So that gives me |
879 | 01:20:41 --> 01:20:44 | the confidence to say to you, while I'm live streaming, do I sound like I'm |
880 | 01:20:44 --> 01:20:47 | scared? Do I sound like my voice is shaking? Do I feel like I'm reaching for |
881 | 01:20:47 --> 01:20:52 | something? No, this is all 30 years of stuff that I've known that it's this old |
882 | 01:20:52 --> 01:20:55 | hat to me. So it was very easy for me to say that it's going to go below that |
883 | 01:20:55 --> 01:21:00 | candles wick by one tick, and I was technically wrong, because it only went |
884 | 01:21:00 --> 01:21:07 | down two ticks. It went down beyond it more than I wanted it to, or four ticks. |
885 | 01:21:07 --> 01:21:12 | I think it was, wasn't it? Or two handles, right? Still leaving a portion |
886 | 01:21:12 --> 01:21:17 | of it open. I was saying ticks earlier as two handles. So two handles of |
887 | 01:21:17 --> 01:21:27 | drawdown. Okay, wonderful. It's 40 bucks, $40 of drawdown. Okay, 40 bucks |
888 | 01:21:27 --> 01:21:32 | of drawdown. That was explained to you that this gap should stay open. Why? |
889 | 01:21:32 --> 01:21:37 | Because every fucking gap that I'm looking at, I wanted to do that. I |
890 | 01:21:37 --> 01:21:41 | wanted to do that very thing. I want them to fail to close in. I'm not Chris |
891 | 01:21:41 --> 01:21:46 | Laurie. I'm not trying to see them close in. I'm not trying to see it completely |
892 | 01:21:46 --> 01:21:51 | closed back in. I want to see these little cracks in order flow. Because |
893 | 01:21:51 --> 01:21:55 | this is the real shit that your little horizontal volume bars on the right side |
894 | 01:21:55 --> 01:21:58 | of your fucking chart that you're doing. Oh well, this is the, this is the volume |
895 | 01:21:58 --> 01:22:04 | profile, and I'm looking for this. Is the, you know, highest volume nude, |
896 | 01:22:04 --> 01:22:08 | lowest volume nude. This is the VWAP. If it touches the beat, fuck the VWAP. Fuck |
897 | 01:22:08 --> 01:22:17 | the fucking horizontal volume. Listen, that shit has to form. That shit has to |
898 | 01:22:17 --> 01:22:21 | finally make its way into the fucking chart before you can start thinking |
899 | 01:22:21 --> 01:22:26 | about it. I'm ahead of all that stuff. Do you understand that I am fucking like |
900 | 01:22:26 --> 01:22:30 | I'm from the future talking back to you? Okay, I'm talking to you from the |
901 | 01:22:30 --> 01:22:36 | fucking future. I'm proving it right here. I'm telling you what it's doing |
902 | 01:22:36 --> 01:22:41 | here before it does it on a live stream with three second fucking delay. I can |
903 | 01:22:41 --> 01:22:46 | pull that off. I can I can fraudulently do that. Is that what you're telling me |
904 | 01:22:46 --> 01:22:50 | in the witness of all you people here watching me, really, you give me far too |
905 | 01:22:50 --> 01:22:58 | much credit for that. That's amazing. That's amazing. But your entry model, |
906 | 01:22:58 --> 01:23:01 | Caleb, is going to be based on this, so that way it completely strips away all |
907 | 01:23:01 --> 01:23:07 | of the necessity and the fear of, where do I buy it inside the fair value gap |
908 | 01:23:08 --> 01:23:14 | you don't you buy it at the high of the gap, plus one tick that assures you that |
909 | 01:23:14 --> 01:23:18 | you're going to get filled. And it's also doing what it's allowing you to sit |
910 | 01:23:18 --> 01:23:24 | in a little bit of drawdown. And it's normal. It's normal, but what happens if |
911 | 01:23:24 --> 01:23:28 | it goes down and stops me out there? Well, that's a stop out son. I mean, |
912 | 01:23:28 --> 01:23:33 | that's what's going to happen to you. You're going to have a loss. It's going |
913 | 01:23:33 --> 01:23:38 | to happen. You're never going to evade the eventual losing streak, not single |
914 | 01:23:38 --> 01:23:44 | loss. You're going to have a losing streak, and it's going to have to be met |
915 | 01:23:44 --> 01:23:50 | with you trusting what you're learning is going to work again. Don't change |
916 | 01:23:50 --> 01:23:54 | anything except for the amount of risk. So in other words, you'll drop your |
917 | 01:23:54 --> 01:23:58 | leverage, which for you won't have to be messed with, because you're going to be |
918 | 01:23:58 --> 01:24:04 | doing one contract, you're going to need to trade with one and a half times the |
919 | 01:24:04 --> 01:24:11 | margin for every new contract that you ate you add to your trading. So the |
920 | 01:24:11 --> 01:24:15 | whole worry about over leveraging that ain't going to be you, because you don't |
921 | 01:24:15 --> 01:24:18 | you don't know what you're doing, and everybody else out there wants to trade |
922 | 01:24:18 --> 01:24:23 | lots of contract sizes, and that's why they fail, and when you have a losing |
923 | 01:24:23 --> 01:24:27 | trade, you're going to stop trading for that day. That prevents you from over |
924 | 01:24:27 --> 01:24:31 | trading. You can't over leverage because it demands you one and a half times the |
925 | 01:24:31 --> 01:24:37 | margin for adding another contract. You will never over leverage your account. |
926 | 01:24:37 --> 01:24:44 | It can't happen mathematically. You're denied that from the perspective of |
927 | 01:24:44 --> 01:24:48 | frequency of trade, as soon as you have a winning day, then you close your your |
928 | 01:24:48 --> 01:24:52 | trade, and it was a win that means all partials, if you have gotten to the |
929 | 01:24:52 --> 01:24:57 | point where you can have two contracts and everything is now done, you close |
930 | 01:24:57 --> 01:25:00 | the charts, you cannot turn them back on until the end of the day. So you're not |
931 | 01:25:00 --> 01:25:04 | even watching price action, because that way you are enticed to do it again. |
932 | 01:25:05 --> 01:25:09 | You're going to learn discipline. You're going to learn to follow the fucking |
933 | 01:25:09 --> 01:25:14 | rules, and you cannot fail. If you follow these it will give you the chance |
934 | 01:25:14 --> 01:25:17 | for the tools to do what they have been coded to do, when, |
935 | 01:25:18 --> 01:25:23 | when, when, in surprising and stunning fucking fashion, with levels of |
936 | 01:25:23 --> 01:25:27 | precision that everybody else out there are learning with you, that no one else |
937 | 01:25:27 --> 01:25:33 | can match no one else can match this, no one else can match this. There's no |
938 | 01:25:33 --> 01:25:36 | discipline of trading. We're looking at charts or technical studies of this that |
939 | 01:25:36 --> 01:25:41 | now thing, it doesn't exist, folks, because this is the market. You're not |
940 | 01:25:41 --> 01:25:45 | going to beat the market. Okay? You're not going to beat it. The only thing you |
941 | 01:25:45 --> 01:25:49 | can do is get in sync with it. That's it. That's only thing you can do and or |
942 | 01:25:49 --> 01:25:55 | survive it by luck. But you're not going to beat it because it's always |
943 | 01:25:55 --> 01:26:00 | controlled, and when it's advantageous for them to color outside the lines, pay |
944 | 01:26:00 --> 01:26:08 | attention. Come down outside of the new new week, opening gap here, and then |
945 | 01:26:08 --> 01:26:14 | price higher. I would want to see speed and distance now, because we've already |
946 | 01:26:14 --> 01:26:18 | been here before. So we're knocking on heaven's door when Guns and Roses came |
947 | 01:26:18 --> 01:26:25 | out with that song number one, I love the album. I love the group. But when I |
948 | 01:26:25 --> 01:26:34 | was doing a MRI see internet chat relay room, I had 1000 members in there. And |
949 | 01:26:34 --> 01:26:40 | right before September 11, 2001 before all that stuff happened, I was running a |
950 | 01:26:40 --> 01:26:44 | room 1000 members in it. I was calling the s, p, calling the bond market live. |
951 | 01:26:45 --> 01:26:50 | And whenever it would do things like this, where it would get to a level we |
952 | 01:26:50 --> 01:26:56 | were identifying, and it would just go, bump, bump, bump. It's like, I use the |
953 | 01:26:56 --> 01:27:01 | analogy like Swat, like eventually swats coming through your door. Okay, you |
954 | 01:27:01 --> 01:27:04 | don't have enough to keep them from coming in. They're coming in. Well |
955 | 01:27:04 --> 01:27:08 | before I adopted that mindset, it was like I would always say, knock, knock, |
956 | 01:27:08 --> 01:27:13 | knocking on heaven's door, because it's doing everything that leads up to an |
957 | 01:27:13 --> 01:27:18 | eventual run up into this area here. Or imagine taking a champagne bottle that's |
958 | 01:27:18 --> 01:27:21 | never been opened. It's shaking out right now, and they're gonna pop the |
959 | 01:27:21 --> 01:27:28 | cork, and that's where the spray is going. Okay, so, but going back to order |
960 | 01:27:28 --> 01:27:36 | entry the I don't know why anybody wouldn't be having fun learning like |
961 | 01:27:36 --> 01:27:39 | this, because this, this is my cup of tea. Like I would love to have this. You |
962 | 01:27:39 --> 01:27:43 | don't need to stay. You would bore me, put me to sleep if it was just this, |
963 | 01:27:43 --> 01:27:46 | just the dry, monotonous, this is the rules as it is, but I'm giving you |
964 | 01:27:46 --> 01:27:53 | things that support the ideas that leads to what I'm teaching and outlining and |
965 | 01:27:53 --> 01:27:57 | where I think the marks gonna go, but entry techniques, because the fair value |
966 | 01:27:57 --> 01:28:02 | gap is Caleb's, I'm forcing him into that, not that it should be for you, but |
967 | 01:28:02 --> 01:28:05 | if you're going to watch the videos, just understand that that's what I'm |
968 | 01:28:05 --> 01:28:08 | doing, because he's my son, and I'm exercising my right and authority. Is |
969 | 01:28:08 --> 01:28:12 | that to say I'm telling you what to do, because you're an adult, you can make |
970 | 01:28:12 --> 01:28:16 | all the decisions outside of this, and that's fine, but you asked for this, so |
971 | 01:28:16 --> 01:28:20 | it's my rules, it's my way, and this is the way it is. So he's going to learn |
972 | 01:28:20 --> 01:28:25 | the fair value gap, because it's it's visual. There are things that, as you'll |
973 | 01:28:25 --> 01:28:30 | learn, as we go through this mentorship, that you can use the gaps to measure |
974 | 01:28:30 --> 01:28:35 | market structure. You can measure the strength or weakness of an underlying |
975 | 01:28:35 --> 01:28:39 | move. And that was indicative of what I was saying earlier, and what I've |
976 | 01:28:39 --> 01:28:44 | mentioned the last two weeks in live streaming, whenever we're looking for a |
977 | 01:28:44 --> 01:28:52 | PD array, if, if they are not traded to or if data, for instance, like a gap, if |
978 | 01:28:52 --> 01:28:58 | they don't completely overlap. It like we were outlining here. I was saying at |
979 | 01:28:58 --> 01:29:03 | the time, let me make this a little bit larger, but keep that portion of price |
980 | 01:29:03 --> 01:29:10 | action up there so available to us. If we look at what was being spoken about, |
981 | 01:29:10 --> 01:29:14 | that gap when this was forming, that candle, this candle had not closed. Yet |
982 | 01:29:15 --> 01:29:20 | it has not closed. The next candle I want to see it drop down right below |
983 | 01:29:20 --> 01:29:24 | that candles wick, which it does here. You may or may not have been filled |
984 | 01:29:24 --> 01:29:28 | there. Caleb, to be fair, because it's literally like one tick or two, and I've |
985 | 01:29:28 --> 01:29:31 | seen it happen with me. I've live streamed recordings. I've live streamed |
986 | 01:29:33 --> 01:29:37 | my analysis of you know, this is where things happen. I've had real trades |
987 | 01:29:37 --> 01:29:43 | running with $18,000 of profit with amp, which is a real brokerage firm and not a |
988 | 01:29:43 --> 01:29:49 | fucking demo, okay, and my limit order did not get respected. Was it amp? Screw |
989 | 01:29:49 --> 01:29:53 | me. I didn't say that. I've had it happen to me when I was in TD |
990 | 01:29:53 --> 01:29:56 | Ameritrade. I had to happen when I was trading with Lynn waldock. I had to |
991 | 01:29:56 --> 01:30:01 | happen when I was trading with Box investments. I. So it's it's just an |
992 | 01:30:01 --> 01:30:05 | it's a occurrence that's going to happen to you, because you're trying to be so |
993 | 01:30:05 --> 01:30:11 | precise, trying to be so precise, that you have a margin for error for that to |
994 | 01:30:11 --> 01:30:16 | occur. So to prevent that from happening with your entries, you're going to use |
995 | 01:30:16 --> 01:30:23 | that candlesticks low plus one tick above it. So that means if it books two |
996 | 01:30:23 --> 01:30:27 | handles, or, I'm sorry, two ticks below that, that low, you should be filled. |
997 | 01:30:27 --> 01:30:32 | Look where it's trading. Somebody's about to punch this punch the air. Oh, |
998 | 01:30:32 --> 01:30:36 | son of a bitch. I was trying to fade. ICT. Fuck him. He's a fraud. I can't |
999 | 01:30:36 --> 01:30:47 | show the video now. It failed on me. You very much. I fuck you, baby, I'm here |
1000 | 01:30:47 --> 01:30:52 | all week. Baby, tip your bartender. Tip your fucking bartender. Who's doing it |
1001 | 01:30:52 --> 01:30:54 | like this, Patrick, go baby, get |
1002 | 01:30:58 --> 01:30:59 | the fuck out of here. |
1003 | 01:31:02 --> 01:31:09 | You Oh, the fair value gap. We don't need it to come all the way down to the |
1004 | 01:31:09 --> 01:31:13 | low end, because that's what folks that are prematurely trying to teach my |
1005 | 01:31:13 --> 01:31:17 | concepts. They're saying that you can get filled at the low end and you'll |
1006 | 01:31:17 --> 01:31:21 | have the best and your stop loss will be micro, short and small. You don't need |
1007 | 01:31:21 --> 01:31:27 | that. Because if you haven't picked up on what I've been laying down here, |
1008 | 01:31:27 --> 01:31:32 | knowing where the market's going to gravitate and draw to, okay, where the |
1009 | 01:31:32 --> 01:31:39 | market's going to draw and gravitate to is more important, which has more impact |
1010 | 01:31:40 --> 01:31:45 | on trading, not just your trading, but everyone's trading, your ability to get |
1011 | 01:31:45 --> 01:31:50 | in on this fair value gap that maybe not 75% of the people to trade even are |
1012 | 01:31:50 --> 01:31:54 | paying attention to or where the market's going to draw to, because their |
1013 | 01:31:54 --> 01:31:58 | stocks resting right up here, clearly it's where the market's going to go to. |
1014 | 01:31:58 --> 01:32:02 | So if we have done the work and we're laying the ground work and foundation |
1015 | 01:32:02 --> 01:32:07 | for that to determine where the market's going to go over the course of the |
1016 | 01:32:07 --> 01:32:10 | session, over the course of the day, which we haven't got to that part yet. |
1017 | 01:32:11 --> 01:32:16 | So far, we're only working with session session draws on liquidity, and they are |
1018 | 01:32:16 --> 01:32:21 | dynamic. Session draws on liquidity are dynamic. That means it's above and |
1019 | 01:32:21 --> 01:32:28 | below. You have to start there. You will not know how to derive the daily bias |
1020 | 01:32:28 --> 01:32:32 | until you get good at knowing how to determine what side of the session bias |
1021 | 01:32:32 --> 01:32:38 | is going to be. The draw. Didn't think about that, have you, but that's how I |
1022 | 01:32:38 --> 01:32:44 | teach. That's how you learn it. But if you can formulate an entry mechanism |
1023 | 01:32:44 --> 01:32:49 | that affords you, number one, a high precision entry model, which is |
1024 | 01:32:49 --> 01:32:52 | obviously institutional, underflow entry drill, you don't want to see that gap |
1025 | 01:32:52 --> 01:32:55 | filled in, but what happens if you get filled and it does close it in? Caleb, |
1026 | 01:32:55 --> 01:32:59 | nothing. It just means you have a little bit more drawdown. It's not that much |
1027 | 01:32:59 --> 01:33:06 | from this candle is high of 76 and three quarters to the low of that one, which |
1028 | 01:33:06 --> 01:33:15 | is 80 and a half. So what is that? Five handles or so factor that in with with |
1029 | 01:33:15 --> 01:33:22 | commission. Yeah, you fluff that with a with commission cost you're using, say, |
1030 | 01:33:22 --> 01:33:25 | for instance, when you when I say commissions, you're not technically |
1031 | 01:33:25 --> 01:33:28 | paying commissions through top step that I'm aware of. I don't know I might be |
1032 | 01:33:28 --> 01:33:33 | wrong. I might be wrong by saying it. I don't know how they do it, but because |
1033 | 01:33:33 --> 01:33:36 | it's funded, it's basically a demo account. You're really not technically |
1034 | 01:33:36 --> 01:33:40 | trading and paying any commissions, not that I'm aware of. If I'm wrong, please |
1035 | 01:33:40 --> 01:33:43 | accept my apologies. I don't know for certain, but what I'm saying is, is he's |
1036 | 01:33:43 --> 01:33:49 | only going to trade a prop firm to get enough steak to take that money and go |
1037 | 01:33:49 --> 01:33:53 | into amp global. Amp global is where he's going to be trading with real |
1038 | 01:33:53 --> 01:33:58 | money. So he's only using a prop firm to springboard from demo to profitable, |
1039 | 01:33:58 --> 01:34:01 | making money, and then taking that little bit of money, he's going to stop |
1040 | 01:34:01 --> 01:34:06 | doing business with every with every prop firm and then go into, I shouldn't |
1041 | 01:34:06 --> 01:34:09 | have said it that way, because it makes it like he's in multiples, because he's |
1042 | 01:34:09 --> 01:34:13 | not top step is the only one he's going to go with. He's He's opened up one |
1043 | 01:34:13 --> 01:34:17 | before with them, tried to pass a combine or two, I think. And what need |
1044 | 01:34:17 --> 01:34:20 | to do it so he's going to make an attempt to go back and do it that way, |
1045 | 01:34:21 --> 01:34:23 | recoup whatever he spent there, make enough money to put into a live |
1046 | 01:34:23 --> 01:34:27 | brokerage account. And he'll be trading with AMP global. Not that I have an |
1047 | 01:34:27 --> 01:34:32 | affiliate partnership with them. I have traded through them. They have cleared |
1048 | 01:34:32 --> 01:34:39 | trades for me. I have nothing really bad to say about amp that would be like, |
1049 | 01:34:40 --> 01:34:43 | like fxcm. Fuck fxcm. And I'm glad they got shut down, thrown at the fucking us. |
1050 | 01:34:43 --> 01:34:49 | I'll just leave it at that. But amp global, every broker is going to have |
1051 | 01:34:49 --> 01:34:56 | something wrong with them. I mean, nobody's perfect. Would I choose any |
1052 | 01:34:56 --> 01:35:01 | other broker to trade with, live with real money a part? From amp, no, not at |
1053 | 01:35:01 --> 01:35:06 | this moment. I wouldn't do it. That's my opinion. That is not to say that you |
1054 | 01:35:06 --> 01:35:11 | should. Okay, so the answer, broker statements, the answer getting a broker |
1055 | 01:35:11 --> 01:35:15 | with real accounts, who would you trade with? To answer the equation of, why |
1056 | 01:35:15 --> 01:35:19 | wouldn't you trade with a funded account? Anything? Anything to that, |
1057 | 01:35:20 --> 01:35:25 | that, that vein of thought, if it's dealing with a real brokerage amp, is |
1058 | 01:35:25 --> 01:35:30 | the only one that if I had to start all over again, if I had to start completely |
1059 | 01:35:30 --> 01:35:35 | all over again, which is why I've said this is what Caleb's going to do, I |
1060 | 01:35:35 --> 01:35:40 | would go through the process of doing whatever I could. I personally, I |
1061 | 01:35:40 --> 01:35:44 | honestly would not be doing a funded account challenge. I simply wouldn't do |
1062 | 01:35:44 --> 01:35:48 | it. And the reason why I say that is because I can only see it from who I am |
1063 | 01:35:48 --> 01:35:51 | today. They all would love me to do that because they have my social security |
1064 | 01:35:51 --> 01:35:54 | number. And then there it is. My whole fucking identity is fucking copycatted |
1065 | 01:35:54 --> 01:36:00 | by some dickhead that goes through their shit in back order, and I'm in trouble |
1066 | 01:36:00 --> 01:36:04 | with them because they could ruin me financially. I, you know, they can say |
1067 | 01:36:04 --> 01:36:08 | everything they want, but you can't control the thoughts and intentions of |
1068 | 01:36:08 --> 01:36:12 | your employees. Okay, you can't, if they have access to that type of information. |
1069 | 01:36:13 --> 01:36:16 | But guess what? You've you've given it to him on silver platter. Can it still |
1070 | 01:36:16 --> 01:36:21 | happen in a brokerage firm? Sure? Can I just feel like, you know, it's a little |
1071 | 01:36:21 --> 01:36:26 | bit more easier to prove who had access to that with a reputable, regulated |
1072 | 01:36:26 --> 01:36:29 | broker than someone that's running a funded account company. Okay? And I'll |
1073 | 01:36:29 --> 01:36:36 | just say it like that, but I would do whatever I could to raise the money up |
1074 | 01:36:36 --> 01:36:41 | to put it into amp. Their margins are extremely low. Not that that's a good |
1075 | 01:36:41 --> 01:36:46 | thing. Their commission costs are extremely low. That's a real good thing. |
1076 | 01:36:46 --> 01:36:52 | And their executions have been awesome. Sometimes my limit orders don't get |
1077 | 01:36:52 --> 01:36:57 | filled. Sometimes, you know, I've been slipped a little bit, but not like, wow, |
1078 | 01:36:57 --> 01:37:00 | like I got slipped with, uh, slippages where you try to get into the |
1079 | 01:37:00 --> 01:37:03 | marketplace and say, right now it's trading at six, four. Trading at 642, |
1080 | 01:37:03 --> 01:37:08 | and three quarters, 42 even 42 and a quarter, 42 and a half. If I bought it, |
1081 | 01:37:08 --> 01:37:12 | you know, it's filling me yet. And now I'm feeling so I've got four tick |
1082 | 01:37:12 --> 01:37:18 | slippage. I've seen that, and worse with TD Ameritrade, it was, it was kind of |
1083 | 01:37:18 --> 01:37:24 | shitty over there, to be honest with you. They sucked. So amp is reasonable. |
1084 | 01:37:25 --> 01:37:29 | My experience with them is reasonable. If you're trying to trade futures, okay, |
1085 | 01:37:29 --> 01:37:33 | this is the part where the funding account companies are gonna fucking hiss |
1086 | 01:37:33 --> 01:37:36 | and moon are gonna create soft public accounts and fucking troll me and talk |
1087 | 01:37:36 --> 01:37:40 | shit about me anybody else's stuff. I would not try to do funded account |
1088 | 01:37:40 --> 01:37:45 | challenges or try to do that. I wouldn't do that. Okay? I wouldn't do it. I would |
1089 | 01:37:45 --> 01:37:53 | do everything in my power to sell, to barter, to work a second job. I did all |
1090 | 01:37:53 --> 01:37:56 | those things when I was coming up with a 20 year old. I delivered pizza, I worked |
1091 | 01:37:56 --> 01:38:00 | on the weekends, you know? I did all that stuff just to get money to fund the |
1092 | 01:38:00 --> 01:38:04 | account, and anytime I blew the account as a 20 year old, I would go and do |
1093 | 01:38:04 --> 01:38:07 | more, more shifts. I would do it, and I would work and earn that money. But |
1094 | 01:38:07 --> 01:38:10 | that's not what you want to hear today, because you have a millennial tick tock |
1095 | 01:38:10 --> 01:38:14 | mindset where you want it real fast, you want it easy, and everybody owes it to |
1096 | 01:38:14 --> 01:38:16 | you and fuck you because you took too long getting it to me. That's your |
1097 | 01:38:16 --> 01:38:19 | mentality, and you don't like to hear it being told to you that way, but that's |
1098 | 01:38:19 --> 01:38:23 | exactly what it is, and you don't like me because I'll call you out on their |
1099 | 01:38:23 --> 01:38:26 | bullshit and say that's your mentality. That's why it's holding you up. You need |
1100 | 01:38:26 --> 01:38:29 | to change that. Stop expecting it to be easy for you. Stop expecting it to be |
1101 | 01:38:29 --> 01:38:35 | handed to you. And I force my son, he works in another state. He has to go two |
1102 | 01:38:35 --> 01:38:40 | hours commute to get to where he works at now, does that sound like a loving |
1103 | 01:38:40 --> 01:38:45 | father. It is because I'm showing him this is what you're going to have to do. |
1104 | 01:38:45 --> 01:38:52 | It's either that or it's my way, and my way fucking makes money. My way makes |
1105 | 01:38:52 --> 01:38:56 | your own schedule. My Way sits on your fucking ass and says, I'm not going to |
1106 | 01:38:56 --> 01:38:59 | that man's place today. So he can tell me, this is all I'm worth for this many |
1107 | 01:38:59 --> 01:39:02 | hours, and I better show up on time tomorrow. I don't have a job. Fuck you. |
1108 | 01:39:03 --> 01:39:06 | Fuck you. And Carl, I don't want to have anything to do with that. And the only |
1109 | 01:39:06 --> 01:39:11 | way that I can forge that mentality in my children is to allow them to go |
1110 | 01:39:11 --> 01:39:17 | through work hardening. Work hardening is what made me who I am. I don't like a |
1111 | 01:39:17 --> 01:39:21 | fucking job. You throwing a job out there that can pay me high enough for me |
1112 | 01:39:21 --> 01:39:27 | to work. It ain't no fucking way. I'm unemployable. You can't hire me. Okay? |
1113 | 01:39:27 --> 01:39:32 | You can't you can't fucking afford me. And that's what your mindset should be. |
1114 | 01:39:32 --> 01:39:37 | I can make as much as I fucking want, and I can sit as long as I want to do |
1115 | 01:39:37 --> 01:39:44 | nothing. Tell me who's happy. Tell me who's happier? The surgeon that's making |
1116 | 01:39:44 --> 01:39:50 | $600,000 a year that's sweating his ass off 20 hours in a fucking surgery? Yeah, |
1117 | 01:39:50 --> 01:39:55 | he's got a good salary, but he's paying a lot in taxes, and it's stress, and he |
1118 | 01:39:55 --> 01:40:00 | has the life of someone else's in his in his own hands, and the outcome. Guess |
1119 | 01:40:00 --> 01:40:03 | what? If that stop loss is hit, you got to live with that. That's too much |
1120 | 01:40:03 --> 01:40:08 | stress for me. Fuck that, no way. And I have surgeons like that in my paid |
1121 | 01:40:08 --> 01:40:16 | group. I couldn't do what they do. I couldn't do that emotionally, mentally. |
1122 | 01:40:16 --> 01:40:21 | I couldn't do it. And their argument was they want to stay doing that and still |
1123 | 01:40:21 --> 01:40:26 | make a lot of money here, my question is, is, if you can make millions of |
1124 | 01:40:26 --> 01:40:34 | dollars, why would you want to keep doing that when you can, if you went |
1125 | 01:40:34 --> 01:40:37 | into that not to save people's lives, that's just the derivative everybody |
1126 | 01:40:37 --> 01:40:40 | wants to go into because it's it's a lot of money. I can own a Porsche. I can own |
1127 | 01:40:40 --> 01:40:44 | a nice beach house. I can have a second house. I can have a lot of money, but |
1128 | 01:40:44 --> 01:40:49 | you still have a job. You don't have freedom. You have to do what that |
1129 | 01:40:49 --> 01:40:56 | hospital says you have to do when you have to do it. And what's worse, because |
1130 | 01:40:56 --> 01:40:57 | you're now such a high, |
1131 | 01:40:58 --> 01:41:05 | high demand personnel, you could be called in at any time. We have a trauma |
1132 | 01:41:05 --> 01:41:09 | patient. Look at this. We need this. We need you here right now. We're gonna |
1133 | 01:41:09 --> 01:41:13 | say, Nah, man, I can't right now. I'm trading British Pound. I'm trading FOMC. |
1134 | 01:41:13 --> 01:41:17 | I'm watching this guy on live stream. I can't do it. I can't do it. Got somebody |
1135 | 01:41:17 --> 01:41:22 | else? No, you're it. See what happens. Because you're an employee. Fuck that. |
1136 | 01:41:23 --> 01:41:29 | No way. That's not me. So Caleb, he has to see the same thing you're seeing |
1137 | 01:41:29 --> 01:41:34 | right here. You're watching and observing. You're waiting for the still |
1138 | 01:41:34 --> 01:41:41 | waters to be disturbed. Watch the water turn red and then look, where is it |
1139 | 01:41:41 --> 01:41:47 | smooth. I gave you both sides of marketplace. That means you're looking |
1140 | 01:41:47 --> 01:41:55 | at both ends of the session, because session draw on liquidity. Session |
1141 | 01:41:55 --> 01:42:03 | liquidity is above and below. It's above and below, all you have to do is wait, |
1142 | 01:42:04 --> 01:42:09 | wait for them to do the damage, wait for them to do what's the what's the time |
1143 | 01:42:09 --> 01:42:12 | window? You're going to see it at 10 o'clock. That means you have to wait |
1144 | 01:42:12 --> 01:42:20 | that first 30 minutes. Why? Because that is the opening range. That's that |
1145 | 01:42:20 --> 01:42:29 | vertical line right here. Okay? So when you're watching price action, you're |
1146 | 01:42:29 --> 01:42:35 | looking all through that first 30 minutes your eye, your eye is going to |
1147 | 01:42:35 --> 01:42:40 | where is the initial legs of liquidity. We gave them to you. Here is the buy |
1148 | 01:42:40 --> 01:42:49 | side and the sell side was over here, here and here. And how far could it |
1149 | 01:42:49 --> 01:42:52 | reach down? Michael minerals telling you that you can trade down to that new day |
1150 | 01:42:52 --> 01:42:55 | opening gap. You can trade down into that. And if it's going to trade through |
1151 | 01:42:55 --> 01:42:58 | that, we have that lower here, which was in view when I was showing you all this |
1152 | 01:42:58 --> 01:43:05 | stuff. Anyway, then once it does that, it rallies back up to opening range gap |
1153 | 01:43:05 --> 01:43:09 | closes it in, drops one more time, overlaps into all this the rejection |
1154 | 01:43:09 --> 01:43:13 | block. You heard me talk about that as it's happening, come back down, hits the |
1155 | 01:43:13 --> 01:43:17 | new the opening gap from the 16th rallies back up in. Look how the bodies |
1156 | 01:43:17 --> 01:43:21 | are staying and then raw saying, listen to this part. Okay, it's spending too |
1157 | 01:43:21 --> 01:43:28 | much time. It's spending too much time inside of the opening range gap, meaning |
1158 | 01:43:28 --> 01:43:33 | what they're not in a hurry to pierce this high, much more meaningful than |
1159 | 01:43:33 --> 01:43:37 | they did here. So this high and this high, still relatively clean. That's |
1160 | 01:43:37 --> 01:43:42 | just tiny. It's little, it's little bit of movement. This is like when I was |
1161 | 01:43:42 --> 01:43:45 | telling you the description. When your child's coloring, they color outside the |
1162 | 01:43:45 --> 01:43:47 | lines. You don't look at that as a failure. You don't say, Look what you |
1163 | 01:43:47 --> 01:43:51 | did. You did that wrong. Smack them forward. You're going to hang it on your |
1164 | 01:43:51 --> 01:43:56 | refrigerator, because it's your child. Well, same thing here. When the |
1165 | 01:43:56 --> 01:44:00 | algorithm is trading just outside of the lines, it's okay. It's doing everything |
1166 | 01:44:00 --> 01:44:05 | it's designed to do to get that price high book, it's got to go above it, |
1167 | 01:44:05 --> 01:44:10 | because this spread. Well, that's all it did there. Did it close above it? No. |
1168 | 01:44:10 --> 01:44:14 | Did it have much more meaningful movement beyond that? No. Did it trade |
1169 | 01:44:14 --> 01:44:18 | to the high of the new week opening gap for August 18? This week's new week |
1170 | 01:44:18 --> 01:44:25 | opening gap? No. So what is it leaving? It's leaving this liquidity and making |
1171 | 01:44:25 --> 01:44:28 | these individuals over here feel safe. So what is it? What is it going to |
1172 | 01:44:28 --> 01:44:34 | inspire? If it sells off shorts to do, what place their stop loss above here? |
1173 | 01:44:34 --> 01:44:39 | Or if they have deeper pockets, build it right there. So this is engineering |
1174 | 01:44:39 --> 01:44:46 | liquidity. It drops here. I said, take your attention over here, to these wicks |
1175 | 01:44:46 --> 01:44:51 | here. And here we watch it drop down below. Took out that love. And now I |
1176 | 01:44:51 --> 01:44:54 | said, Now watch. What I want to see is, does it get back above the new day, |
1177 | 01:44:54 --> 01:44:59 | opening gap on the 16th and then does it come back down and touch that there? |
1178 | 01:44:59 --> 01:45:03 | Yes. Yes, I don't want to see it trade down and below that Wix consequent |
1179 | 01:45:03 --> 01:45:08 | encouragement. It never did. It right there. That tells me, and this is what |
1180 | 01:45:08 --> 01:45:11 | you're supposed to be doing by listening to that that you didn't pay attention to |
1181 | 01:45:11 --> 01:45:13 | because you're looking for something else, or you're waiting for me to say |
1182 | 01:45:14 --> 01:45:18 | something that's going to resonate with you. I'm teaching you how I called that |
1183 | 01:45:18 --> 01:45:21 | institutional order flow entry trail. How did you know if I show you all you |
1184 | 01:45:21 --> 01:45:24 | all the comments from me uploading that video earlier this morning where I got |
1185 | 01:45:24 --> 01:45:27 | into trade. How did you know that? And why are you trading before? Weren't you |
1186 | 01:45:27 --> 01:45:30 | supposed to wait for relative equal highs? Weren't you supposed to be |
1187 | 01:45:30 --> 01:45:33 | waiting for relative equal lows? Again, you don't know what I'm putting the |
1188 | 01:45:33 --> 01:45:38 | content out there for. I'm addressing individuals that are paid students. How |
1189 | 01:45:38 --> 01:45:41 | can we that know a little bit more than the average bear watching my channel. |
1190 | 01:45:42 --> 01:45:46 | How can we use this model if we don't have a model that we've really warmed up |
1191 | 01:45:46 --> 01:45:53 | to specifically, 2016 students. I have 2016 paid students that can't find their |
1192 | 01:45:53 --> 01:45:56 | way through this bill. No matter what content I bring forward, no matter how |
1193 | 01:45:56 --> 01:45:59 | many people are making money with it, with real money, with real results, |
1194 | 01:45:59 --> 01:46:03 | proving it is happening, calling it live. They can't make it work for |
1195 | 01:46:03 --> 01:46:06 | themselves, because there's some kind of a barrier. But their question was is, |
1196 | 01:46:06 --> 01:46:11 | how can we I? I know that they know a lot more than Caleb does, but the |
1197 | 01:46:11 --> 01:46:18 | questions are, how can they use this methodology and understand how to use |
1198 | 01:46:18 --> 01:46:22 | the range that was formed in London? If you go back and listen to us talking |
1199 | 01:46:22 --> 01:46:25 | about, if you're brand new, you don't know you're doing. And I'm telling |
1200 | 01:46:25 --> 01:46:30 | Caleb, you don't worry about this. You don't worry about this. You wait for |
1201 | 01:46:30 --> 01:46:33 | seven o'clock and you look for relative equal highs and relative equal lows. |
1202 | 01:46:33 --> 01:46:37 | Well, guess what that that's this, folks, that's that's the relative equal |
1203 | 01:46:37 --> 01:46:48 | highs. After seven o'clock, you right here. Here's seven o'clock. Okay, it |
1204 | 01:46:48 --> 01:46:54 | rallies. We're waiting. We're waiting. We're waiting 930 opening bell, all the |
1205 | 01:46:54 --> 01:46:56 | way to seven o'clock. You're going to look back through that. So if you're |
1206 | 01:46:56 --> 01:47:02 | going to not be an early, early trader, you're not trying to trade early. You're |
1207 | 01:47:02 --> 01:47:05 | going to start looking at the market at nine o'clock. Go back to seven o'clock. |
1208 | 01:47:05 --> 01:47:08 | So you're looking back through the last two hours. You only have to look back |
1209 | 01:47:08 --> 01:47:14 | for the last two hours and see where the liquidity is. So here at nine o'clock, |
1210 | 01:47:17 --> 01:47:23 | right there, what do you have high that's lower than that. Isn't that a |
1211 | 01:47:23 --> 01:47:27 | relative equal high? Listen to the definition I gave you in the previous |
1212 | 01:47:27 --> 01:47:33 | teachings. Yes, what are these relative equal lows? So what is it doing? First, |
1213 | 01:47:34 --> 01:47:39 | it runs above these highs there, and then creates what another smooth |
1214 | 01:47:39 --> 01:47:42 | relative equal high. But then what does it then do after that, it breaks lower, |
1215 | 01:47:42 --> 01:47:47 | takes out the liquidity here, and we're watching the opening range. What's it |
1216 | 01:47:47 --> 01:47:54 | doing? It's finding responsiveness at the midpoint. It has no ability to get |
1217 | 01:47:54 --> 01:48:00 | the upper half of it. So what's it going to do? Go back further to seven o'clock. |
1218 | 01:48:01 --> 01:48:05 | Anyone that has more advanced understanding, listen to the lectures I |
1219 | 01:48:05 --> 01:48:09 | gave prior to this week, where I'm talking about the relative equal highs |
1220 | 01:48:09 --> 01:48:13 | and relative equal lows, and I'm telling Caleb, you only wait for the seven |
1221 | 01:48:13 --> 01:48:17 | o'clock and anything that forms to the right of that, I have students that will |
1222 | 01:48:17 --> 01:48:20 | be able to use the information that is in price action prior to seven o'clock |
1223 | 01:48:20 --> 01:48:23 | in the morning, because they know all the things that I taught them around |
1224 | 01:48:23 --> 01:48:28 | London, and how they deal with the opening and closing of a daily range |
1225 | 01:48:28 --> 01:48:32 | power three they're going to incorporate that part of the range. So that lesson |
1226 | 01:48:32 --> 01:48:37 | was just simply me saying, this is using Caleb's model, and you know how to use |
1227 | 01:48:37 --> 01:48:40 | the other stuff I've taught you with London. The things I'm talking about and |
1228 | 01:48:40 --> 01:48:43 | referring to that are already on the YouTube channel. Go watch the mentorship |
1229 | 01:48:43 --> 01:48:49 | videos in 2017 the 2017 mentorship playlist, the students that paid and |
1230 | 01:48:49 --> 01:48:52 | went through those those lectures live as I was delivering them as it was |
1231 | 01:48:52 --> 01:48:56 | happening. And I was doing live streams and calling markets and saying, This is |
1232 | 01:48:56 --> 01:48:59 | what's going to happen. Do a market review, same where it's going to go |
1233 | 01:48:59 --> 01:49:03 | next. Those were the individuals I was answering and dressing to there because |
1234 | 01:49:03 --> 01:49:06 | they want to know, Is it anything here for them, or should they just stick with |
1235 | 01:49:06 --> 01:49:10 | what they got? And I have students that don't find their way well to the |
1236 | 01:49:10 --> 01:49:15 | marketplace still, because they have something. And I don't know what the |
1237 | 01:49:15 --> 01:49:19 | barrier is for all of them. I don't know what it is. Okay sometimes, you know, |
1238 | 01:49:19 --> 01:49:22 | they're very clear and showing what it is, and others are just I don't know |
1239 | 01:49:22 --> 01:49:25 | they. I don't know if they're just guarded, and they won't be honest with |
1240 | 01:49:25 --> 01:49:28 | me and say, This is what I keep doing. But I haven't been willing to show you |
1241 | 01:49:28 --> 01:49:32 | this. I keep making this mistake. So if you're going to ask me as a student, and |
1242 | 01:49:32 --> 01:49:35 | I'm not saying you should do this, because I still get emails from people |
1243 | 01:49:35 --> 01:49:39 | all around the world saying, hey, look, can you tell me what I'm doing wrong, or |
1244 | 01:49:39 --> 01:49:43 | can you look at what I did here and tell me I did it right? I shouldn't have to |
1245 | 01:49:43 --> 01:49:47 | do that. If the outcome was positive, you did something right. If the outcome |
1246 | 01:49:47 --> 01:49:51 | was not positive, you didn't do something right. So explore. I'm not |
1247 | 01:49:51 --> 01:49:54 | going to cut, cut you to the front of the line of your learning curve by doing |
1248 | 01:49:54 --> 01:49:57 | it. And I know some of you just want to interaction with me on an email, like, |
1249 | 01:49:57 --> 01:50:00 | I'm a celebrity. I'm not a celebrity, I'm not important. I'm. I'm not that |
1250 | 01:50:00 --> 01:50:04 | great of a person. Just be content with what I'm teaching you here. Stop trying |
1251 | 01:50:04 --> 01:50:10 | to lift me up to a celebrity status. I'm not that. I'm not that amazing, okay, |
1252 | 01:50:10 --> 01:50:14 | but anything prior to seven o'clock. But what does that take you back to here, |
1253 | 01:50:15 --> 01:50:22 | there, which is what I referred you to when we were what entering into that 930 |
1254 | 01:50:22 --> 01:50:31 | opening? Where's the Lakota yet? Here and here, and what did the market do? It |
1255 | 01:50:31 --> 01:50:35 | addressed what side first here, after 930 |
1256 | 01:50:41 --> 01:50:41 | that's here, |
1257 | 01:50:46 --> 01:50:52 | right there. So did it go for that liquidity or the cell side over here? |
1258 | 01:50:52 --> 01:50:58 | Which side did it go for? It went for the cell side first came back up. Did it |
1259 | 01:50:58 --> 01:51:02 | take that liquidity out yet when it was here? No. Did it take it out right here? |
1260 | 01:51:03 --> 01:51:08 | No. So where'd it go? It went below one more time here we were looking for it to |
1261 | 01:51:08 --> 01:51:12 | sweep down here, and as it was dropping down, I said, Watch these wicks in here. |
1262 | 01:51:12 --> 01:51:16 | It overshot the entire low. That's fine. We're not going to trade. We're not |
1263 | 01:51:16 --> 01:51:19 | getting stopped out. We're not getting squeezed out. We're observing and |
1264 | 01:51:19 --> 01:51:22 | watching. What are we waiting for? We want to see it take that low out so out |
1265 | 01:51:23 --> 01:51:29 | drops. What is this forming? Relative equal lows for anybody that's trading to |
1266 | 01:51:29 --> 01:51:33 | nine o'clock going in, waiting for what the first 30 minutes opening range? |
1267 | 01:51:35 --> 01:51:41 | High, high, relative equal highs in an area I told you, this is going to be |
1268 | 01:51:41 --> 01:51:44 | problematic. We need to study this. It needs to it's going to need to get |
1269 | 01:51:44 --> 01:51:47 | through this little area here, because there's two indecisive candles, even |
1270 | 01:51:47 --> 01:51:50 | though that this candle sticks closed and this candle sticks open, is |
1271 | 01:51:50 --> 01:51:55 | basically symmetrical. It's it's close. It doesn't really provide a gap. When I |
1272 | 01:51:56 --> 01:51:59 | see candles like this in the middle of two of them like that, that, to me, is |
1273 | 01:51:59 --> 01:52:02 | something that needs to be repriced to. And if it goes through it in the |
1274 | 01:52:02 --> 01:52:05 | direction I'm looking for it to move, then I'm fine with it, then I'm going to |
1275 | 01:52:05 --> 01:52:09 | disregard it and never worry about it again. But go back and listen to it |
1276 | 01:52:09 --> 01:52:11 | while we're trading here, I said it needs to go through here, and couldn't |
1277 | 01:52:11 --> 01:52:16 | do it. Went lower, lower, rally one more time. The body's staying inside the |
1278 | 01:52:16 --> 01:52:23 | opening range gap just bumped that high and then took us down to clear this. I |
1279 | 01:52:23 --> 01:52:26 | told you, once it done that, I want to see it trade above the new divide and |
1280 | 01:52:26 --> 01:52:31 | gap on the 16th, come back down. Touch that. And it did. And then I gave you, |
1281 | 01:52:31 --> 01:52:35 | because of all the things I just outlined, Which side did it work? |
1282 | 01:52:35 --> 01:52:40 | Predominantly the sell side. What is the side of the marketplace usually offered |
1283 | 01:52:40 --> 01:52:48 | to the public first the wrong side, they take him down the primrose lane. Okay, |
1284 | 01:52:48 --> 01:52:52 | there was a song My grandpa used to listen to. I don't know the artist said, |
1285 | 01:52:52 --> 01:52:56 | Oh, those old singer, but he used to play every time he would get drunk, he |
1286 | 01:52:56 --> 01:53:00 | would sit there with boxer shorts on, nothing else on, despite Well, that's |
1287 | 01:53:00 --> 01:53:04 | not true. He would wear white tube socks and a pair of boxer shorts his |
1288 | 01:53:04 --> 01:53:08 | underwear, and he'd sit there with a half a guy, ice cream, butter pecan, |
1289 | 01:53:08 --> 01:53:15 | smoking larks cigarettes and watching Gomer Pile drunk as shit. The TV would |
1290 | 01:53:15 --> 01:53:18 | be on, and this guy would be singing something about going down the primrose |
1291 | 01:53:18 --> 01:53:24 | lane. Well, in the market, they send the traders on the wrong side. That's the |
1292 | 01:53:24 --> 01:53:30 | Judas swing. That's the run on price action. That gets people thinking, this |
1293 | 01:53:30 --> 01:53:34 | is where it's going. I want to get on board. And they chase it. And if they're |
1294 | 01:53:34 --> 01:53:39 | initially positioned to profit while it's forming, it gives them a sense of |
1295 | 01:53:40 --> 01:53:45 | like comfort when you shouldn't be comfortable. It's usually the wrong side |
1296 | 01:53:45 --> 01:53:48 | of the marketplace, and then it comes down, takes the low out. And remember, I |
1297 | 01:53:48 --> 01:53:52 | was asking, do you feel safe if your stop was here? That's me priming you. |
1298 | 01:53:53 --> 01:53:58 | I'm priming you as a student, okay, he's taking my attention up here. And I said, |
1299 | 01:53:58 --> 01:54:01 | Now, what about the people had their stop loss here. Who's made money right |
1300 | 01:54:01 --> 01:54:02 | now? |
1301 | 01:54:03 --> 01:54:04 | Shorts |
1302 | 01:54:05 --> 01:54:09 | anyone long from that low is now unseated. Why did they do that? Because |
1303 | 01:54:09 --> 01:54:16 | they're going to go here. So to run from here to here is profitable. To run from |
1304 | 01:54:16 --> 01:54:21 | here to here is profitable. And why it went down there is to unseat the stops |
1305 | 01:54:21 --> 01:54:28 | that were resting right below that low I took your attention to this area here. |
1306 | 01:54:28 --> 01:54:31 | Told you to Fairbank that was going to be there before that candle closed one |
1307 | 01:54:31 --> 01:54:35 | tick below this candle, that's the institutional order flow entry drill. |
1308 | 01:54:35 --> 01:54:41 | And we don't want to see that entire gap closed in. That gap looks like this. |
1309 | 01:54:46 --> 01:54:52 | That's your fair value gap. It went down to this low. Is that still unfilled? Of |
1310 | 01:54:52 --> 01:54:56 | course it is. That's exactly what you want to see as a signature that is the |
1311 | 01:54:56 --> 01:54:59 | algorithm tipping its hand to me, because I know what the fuck I'm looking |
1312 | 01:54:59 --> 01:55:04 | for. When it does that, it's going to be what I want to see. We want to see it |
1313 | 01:55:04 --> 01:55:08 | rally up. Where is it going to rally to Michael, new week. New week, opening gap |
1314 | 01:55:08 --> 01:55:12 | low. And then we want to see it trade into the midpoint of that consequent |
1315 | 01:55:12 --> 01:55:15 | encroachment. And does it touch the top of it? Look at the bodies respecting it |
1316 | 01:55:15 --> 01:55:19 | again. Yeah. We wick through it. Admittedly, when I said six, yeah, boom, |
1317 | 01:55:19 --> 01:55:23 | it happened. I thought, because it flashed real quick. My eye was watching |
1318 | 01:55:23 --> 01:55:26 | that this line. I thought that that was this over here, and they had to dig |
1319 | 01:55:26 --> 01:55:30 | down. And I told you, okay, I want to see it go down into this area here, and |
1320 | 01:55:30 --> 01:55:33 | there's a balanced price range in there, so it can do that and then send it |
1321 | 01:55:33 --> 01:55:39 | higher. Does your chart show this? I'm quite fucking certain that your chart, |
1322 | 01:55:39 --> 01:55:42 | if you have live data feed right now, if you're watching it after the fact, |
1323 | 01:55:42 --> 01:55:46 | you're now looking at the same thing that's on this chart. And you're going |
1324 | 01:55:46 --> 01:55:50 | to tell me that we don't know what the fuck we're doing around here. Like, this |
1325 | 01:55:50 --> 01:55:56 | is completely random. Like it's random. We're looking at a one minute chart. |
1326 | 01:55:57 --> 01:56:03 | Every fluctuation of any significance is being outlined. The logic is the why |
1327 | 01:56:03 --> 01:56:06 | it's going to go, where it's going to go, pray tell, Where's the fucking book? |
1328 | 01:56:07 --> 01:56:11 | Where's the authors? Before 1996 that was outlining anything like that, and it |
1329 | 01:56:11 --> 01:56:15 | happened, and there was nobody doing it while I was becoming who I am today. |
1330 | 01:56:16 --> 01:56:19 | November 5, 1992 that was when I started, on a Thursday night at nine |
1331 | 01:56:19 --> 01:56:32 | o'clock in a house in bird River, Maryland, renting $50 a month, I'm |
1332 | 01:56:32 --> 01:56:37 | sorry, $50 a week, room and board at my aunt uncle's house. And I started to |
1333 | 01:56:37 --> 01:56:44 | learn how to be a trader. November 5, at 9pm on Thursday night, and between then |
1334 | 01:56:47 --> 01:56:55 | all the way to 1996 that's when I had everything as I wanted it. And then I |
1335 | 01:56:55 --> 01:57:00 | tinkered with it for a little bit more after that, and prolonged the progress, |
1336 | 01:57:00 --> 01:57:08 | but I had it figured out in 1996 around April of 96 thereabouts, it was |
1337 | 01:57:08 --> 01:57:17 | springtime, and I was looking out over the water in gunpowder State Park. I |
1338 | 01:57:17 --> 01:57:23 | used to go out there and listen to CDs and tapes and audiobooks and stuff, not |
1339 | 01:57:23 --> 01:57:29 | about trading, just usually it was like Stephen King stuff, and I'd have my |
1340 | 01:57:29 --> 01:57:36 | little Walkman headset. It dawned on me that I have cracked this shit. I figured |
1341 | 01:57:36 --> 01:57:43 | it out like I have it. And it was my moment of astonishment that I have |
1342 | 01:57:43 --> 01:57:47 | arrived, and I didn't realize it until that moment, and I wasn't even looking |
1343 | 01:57:47 --> 01:57:55 | at charts when it happened. But all of these things in price action, they're |
1344 | 01:57:55 --> 01:58:01 | going to repeat. They're going to repeat, but I have to walk Caleb through |
1345 | 01:58:01 --> 01:58:09 | this and prompt him to say, Okay, do you see this? You see this? Watch observe |
1346 | 01:58:09 --> 01:58:13 | what happens when it does this. Watch observe when it happens to do this. When |
1347 | 01:58:13 --> 01:58:18 | it's time to move. You hear me? Tell you, you hear me. But I'm not going to |
1348 | 01:58:18 --> 01:58:21 | hold your hand and say, here's a buy put your stop loss here. That's not what I'm |
1349 | 01:58:21 --> 01:58:24 | here for, but that's what most of you won't happen. And because it ain't |
1350 | 01:58:24 --> 01:58:27 | happening that way, you're going to talk shit because you think number one, |
1351 | 01:58:27 --> 01:58:31 | either you're going to feel good about having done it because it's a release |
1352 | 01:58:31 --> 01:58:34 | for you, or that I'm going to read it get inspired by and say, Okay, well, |
1353 | 01:58:34 --> 01:58:38 | this is reverse psychology. I'm going to fall victim because I'm a moron and I'm |
1354 | 01:58:38 --> 01:58:40 | going to do what you want me to do because you're pulling strings. You're |
1355 | 01:58:40 --> 01:58:48 | no Marionette master over me. You feel in charge. You feel in charge of me. No, |
1356 | 01:58:48 --> 01:58:54 | nobody's in charge of me. The Lord is. But these things that repeat over and |
1357 | 01:58:54 --> 01:58:59 | over again in price action, the logic of waiting for the sell side and the buy |
1358 | 01:58:59 --> 01:59:03 | side wants you to define what they are. Just wait for the first one to get |
1359 | 01:59:03 --> 01:59:09 | taken. When that water is disturbed and you see violence, jagged, jagged, |
1360 | 01:59:09 --> 01:59:14 | jagged, jagged. The whole time. These are smooth. And this is smooth. Oh, I |
1361 | 01:59:15 --> 01:59:18 | want to be able to buy down here. Oh, when it goes below that, you buy it. |
1362 | 01:59:18 --> 01:59:28 | Then learn from that. Sometimes it'll be great, sometimes it won't be. We want to |
1363 | 01:59:28 --> 01:59:33 | see a trade above the new day opening gap. That means, I'm saying that once it |
1364 | 01:59:33 --> 01:59:35 | gets above that, it starts to trade here, as long as we don't reach that |
1365 | 01:59:35 --> 01:59:41 | midpoint of that wick right there. Why? Because we've had the stops run below |
1366 | 01:59:41 --> 01:59:48 | that low and here. So this movement is what it's a wick on a higher time frame. |
1367 | 01:59:48 --> 01:59:57 | It just doesn't look like one. It's wicking here to take us below that low |
1368 | 01:59:58 --> 02:00:05 | and that low. So this. Low is the low that forms what these relative equal |
1369 | 02:00:05 --> 02:00:10 | lows, and it's also being respective of the new day, opening gap. See the |
1370 | 02:00:10 --> 02:00:14 | bodies. Is this one doing it? No, |
1371 | 02:00:18 --> 02:00:20 | Oh, see, that's logic. |
1372 | 02:00:22 --> 02:00:26 | That's logic. I'm not going to refer to this one as we go back above it as |
1373 | 02:00:26 --> 02:00:31 | support. I'm going to use this one because this one here is already showing |
1374 | 02:00:32 --> 02:00:36 | that it's done what it's respected it. So the algorithm is going to go back to |
1375 | 02:00:36 --> 02:00:41 | that one. It's not going to refer to this one, which one was on The New Day |
1376 | 02:00:41 --> 02:00:47 | opening gap, and the bodies are showing it right there. So now my attention was |
1377 | 02:00:47 --> 02:00:51 | focused. There we went. Above it. I want to see it trade down. Touch the opening. |
1378 | 02:00:52 --> 02:00:57 | I'm sorry, the new day opening got high. It can trade its lowest, that low one. |
1379 | 02:00:57 --> 02:01:03 | But we don't want to see it close below that wick of that candlesticks, midpoint |
1380 | 02:01:03 --> 02:01:07 | or consequence of it, and it only gave us a touch of the high of The New Day |
1381 | 02:01:07 --> 02:01:12 | opening. Gap rallied. Showed displacement. Wonderful. Next candle as |
1382 | 02:01:12 --> 02:01:16 | it's forming, this is going to be a fair value gap called before it formed, |
1383 | 02:01:16 --> 02:01:21 | institutional order flow, called before it delivered. I was off by two handles, |
1384 | 02:01:21 --> 02:01:25 | eight ticks, or lair bouncing, or seven ticks? Would it be seven ticks? Let's |
1385 | 02:01:25 --> 02:01:28 | call it two handles. It did not close in that gap, which is exactly what I told |
1386 | 02:01:28 --> 02:01:35 | you. That's ideal. And then it's off to the races. Look how it responded off of |
1387 | 02:01:35 --> 02:01:40 | the constant crushing of the opening range gap there isn't that beautiful. I |
1388 | 02:01:40 --> 02:01:43 | mean, when you see that, doesn't that doesn't let this get your fucking juices |
1389 | 02:01:43 --> 02:01:49 | flowing, like this is stuff that once you study it and you see it, and you're |
1390 | 02:01:49 --> 02:01:55 | able to see it, your eyes gonna jump to it. And then after being able to see it, |
1391 | 02:01:55 --> 02:01:58 | in hindsight, where your eye jumps to it, you'll be able to predict it, like |
1392 | 02:01:58 --> 02:02:04 | I'm proven to you, because you know what it's trying to do. You know what |
1393 | 02:02:04 --> 02:02:10 | handhold it's going to have if price was personified as a rock climber, okay, if |
1394 | 02:02:10 --> 02:02:14 | it's a rock climber, you can look back over here and see what it's going to |
1395 | 02:02:14 --> 02:02:18 | place its hand in and or what it's going to place its foot in. I told you it's |
1396 | 02:02:18 --> 02:02:22 | going to go down in this gap, a gap in here, pull down into this balance price |
1397 | 02:02:22 --> 02:02:28 | range. Go back, go back and listen. I can't edit it. I don't re upload the |
1398 | 02:02:28 --> 02:02:35 | live streams once they're there, they're there. Trades into it there only by the |
1399 | 02:02:35 --> 02:02:46 | wick. Consequent encouragement sends us boom, heartache. Shorts are non |
1400 | 02:02:46 --> 02:02:52 | profitable longs that bought in here, knocked out. Who made money? They |
1401 | 02:02:52 --> 02:03:02 | cleared the they cleared a table both sides. When you're watching me. Don't |
1402 | 02:03:02 --> 02:03:08 | try to predict why I'm trying to say something. Just listen, take notes, |
1403 | 02:03:08 --> 02:03:11 | because you're not going to get the lesson until you go back and watch the |
1404 | 02:03:11 --> 02:03:15 | live stream after the fact. If you're just watching it one time through, you |
1405 | 02:03:15 --> 02:03:19 | didn't learn shit. You observed. You're some of you're just looking for me to do |
1406 | 02:03:19 --> 02:03:23 | something wrong. That's a waste of your time. I'm tickled that I'm wasting your |
1407 | 02:03:23 --> 02:03:27 | time because you're not here to learn, and you're wasting your time. I'm doing |
1408 | 02:03:27 --> 02:03:31 | this, and it's profiting my son. It may be profiting a large number of you that |
1409 | 02:03:31 --> 02:03:34 | are watching as well, but that's just something extra. That's not my |
1410 | 02:03:34 --> 02:03:40 | motivation, my vote. My motivation is proving that my son, over time, can do |
1411 | 02:03:40 --> 02:03:45 | what I'm able to do, even if it's 5% of what I know, that's enough to replace |
1412 | 02:03:45 --> 02:03:52 | his job. If he could do 25% of what I know, he's wildly rich, he's got to wait |
1413 | 02:03:52 --> 02:03:57 | for it to build up. That's all. But if you're going in here watching me to |
1414 | 02:03:57 --> 02:04:03 | learn how to quickly get money, to quickly make money, to quickly blow your |
1415 | 02:04:03 --> 02:04:12 | accounts to stratosphere levels you're thinking about it wrong. Your idea about |
1416 | 02:04:12 --> 02:04:16 | making money is going to surpass the necessity for you to be humble and just |
1417 | 02:04:17 --> 02:04:21 | take in information. That's what he's doing. He's not trying to predict what |
1418 | 02:04:21 --> 02:04:24 | it's going to do. He's listening. He's observing. He's watching it. He's |
1419 | 02:04:24 --> 02:04:27 | watched me do this side by side right next to him. He's watched me take the |
1420 | 02:04:27 --> 02:04:32 | trades. He's watched me make your fucking annual salary in one trade. He's |
1421 | 02:04:32 --> 02:04:39 | watched me do that. But he's also unaware on how to do it himself. So this |
1422 | 02:04:39 --> 02:04:43 | is, this is how I would talk to him. I would not be adding anything extra than |
1423 | 02:04:45 --> 02:04:50 | what I'm doing here. This is exactly how I talked to him when it's something |
1424 | 02:04:50 --> 02:04:53 | that's it's salient and it's meaningful. It has an impact, or will have an |
1425 | 02:04:53 --> 02:04:57 | impact, on his growth and what he'll probably be wasting time if he falls |
1426 | 02:04:57 --> 02:05:00 | victim to worrying about this and not paying attention to things I'm. Talking |
1427 | 02:05:00 --> 02:05:06 | about, if he doesn't listen, it's going to take him longer if he listens. |
1428 | 02:05:06 --> 02:05:13 | Applies the things I'm showing you, the logic. These things you'll see, they |
1429 | 02:05:13 --> 02:05:17 | will repeat, and because they're repeating, and because I'm here every |
1430 | 02:05:17 --> 02:05:21 | single day, over top of live price action, outlining them, explaining them |
1431 | 02:05:21 --> 02:05:27 | to you. I mean, think about it. How many things are you seeing happen every time |
1432 | 02:05:27 --> 02:05:32 | we get a live stream going, you're seeing fluctuations in price action |
1433 | 02:05:32 --> 02:05:36 | outlined beforehand. Is it every single candle providing you a trade? No, and |
1434 | 02:05:36 --> 02:05:45 | that's exactly the point. That's the point he's going to see, oh, this is the |
1435 | 02:05:45 --> 02:05:48 | thing I'm looking for. There might be some wiggle and waggle in price action |
1436 | 02:05:48 --> 02:05:53 | that he can see coming and, oh, yeah, that's not a trade. But isn't it funny |
1437 | 02:05:53 --> 02:05:56 | how it's time to put the money in? We're going to see a gap. Stay open, |
1438 | 02:05:56 --> 02:06:01 | institutional order for entry. We're talking about entries this week. Did it |
1439 | 02:06:01 --> 02:06:10 | work? You tell me, you tell me, expose e you tell me, Mr. YouTuber, trying to |
1440 | 02:06:10 --> 02:06:12 | make money with affiliate links and talking to other fucking people, you |
1441 | 02:06:12 --> 02:06:17 | fucking clown Come on. You tell me. Is it working? Am I Am I throwing my career |
1442 | 02:06:17 --> 02:06:24 | away? Am I I'm out here clowning you, you fucking retard. The fuck out of |
1443 | 02:06:24 --> 02:06:28 | here, you fucking piece of shits. Students that stay here and learn how to |
1444 | 02:06:28 --> 02:06:33 | do this, they will be laughing at you like I laugh at you, because once they |
1445 | 02:06:33 --> 02:06:37 | know how this is done in their own hands, nobody's going to convince them |
1446 | 02:06:37 --> 02:06:41 | otherwise. Because this is the truth, this is the market, and there ain't |
1447 | 02:06:41 --> 02:06:46 | nothing better. Nothing's going to be better than this. How the fuck can you |
1448 | 02:06:46 --> 02:06:52 | improve upon perfection? How can you you'll know when to do something, when |
1449 | 02:06:52 --> 02:06:55 | not to do something. You know when a market's going to behave a certain way. |
1450 | 02:06:56 --> 02:07:00 | You talk about volume, profile, that's really a, really a poor choice of of |
1451 | 02:07:00 --> 02:07:06 | words. Because if I say a market profile, invariably, some of you are |
1452 | 02:07:06 --> 02:07:11 | thinking, Oh, well, he's just renaming volume profile. No, what I'm saying is |
1453 | 02:07:12 --> 02:07:18 | there are schematics on how the price will behave a certain way, on an |
1454 | 02:07:18 --> 02:07:23 | individual session basis, on a daily basis, on a weekly range basis, and on a |
1455 | 02:07:23 --> 02:07:30 | monthly range basis, on a quarterly basis. And for the year, I know that if |
1456 | 02:07:30 --> 02:07:33 | I didn't know that, I couldn't sit here and tell you when certain things are |
1457 | 02:07:33 --> 02:07:38 | going to form on a one minute chart, on a 15 second fucking chart. How could |
1458 | 02:07:38 --> 02:07:42 | that be possible? How is that possible unless I know something that nobody else |
1459 | 02:07:42 --> 02:07:47 | fucking knows. That's not bragging. I'm forcing you to make a critical |
1460 | 02:07:47 --> 02:07:52 | assessment. Here. Are you paying attention? Because clearly, this is not |
1461 | 02:07:52 --> 02:07:58 | harmonic bullshit. It's not supply and demand, it's elements of time then |
1462 | 02:07:58 --> 02:08:03 | waiting for price to do something as a response to what's done at the specific |
1463 | 02:08:03 --> 02:08:12 | time you're waiting. And to make it very, very easy, to make it very simple, |
1464 | 02:08:13 --> 02:08:19 | I taught my son to outline the liquidity above and below the marketplace and wait |
1465 | 02:08:19 --> 02:08:24 | for the first one to be taken and then the second one will come later, because |
1466 | 02:08:24 --> 02:08:30 | the first one shall later be last. That's in Scripture. That's the same |
1467 | 02:08:30 --> 02:08:35 | thing you're seeing in the marketplace. This liquidity was saved. And what |
1468 | 02:08:35 --> 02:08:40 | you're going to learn the key takeaways, Caleb, is, if this is going to be taken |
1469 | 02:08:40 --> 02:08:43 | second, that means it's going to potentially move a little bit more |
1470 | 02:08:43 --> 02:08:50 | beyond this one. Meaning, what if you know that a daily range, and I'm going |
1471 | 02:08:50 --> 02:08:55 | to let me draw a crude depiction of a thunder, another daily candlestick here. |
1472 | 02:08:55 --> 02:09:02 | We're not canceling, but open highly close. If you're enjoying this and |
1473 | 02:09:02 --> 02:09:07 | you're making leaps and bounds in your understanding or just entertained, this |
1474 | 02:09:07 --> 02:09:11 | is the time when you do the thumbs up on the channel. Well, in this video, if you |
1475 | 02:09:11 --> 02:09:16 | took the thumbs up, that means that I connected with you on a level that has |
1476 | 02:09:16 --> 02:09:22 | helped you understand and inspired you to stick with it. If you don't put the |
1477 | 02:09:22 --> 02:09:27 | thumbs up, I'm still going to keep doing it, because that means that you want me |
1478 | 02:09:27 --> 02:09:29 | to stop, and I'm going to deny you. |
1479 | 02:09:35 --> 02:09:38 | Okay, I did this the last time. I guess it's too small for me to copy, like |
1480 | 02:09:38 --> 02:09:42 | that. I'm sure there's probably an easier way just calling it ICT. I heard |
1481 | 02:09:42 --> 02:09:50 | you, but if I still move it, it's gonna act wonky. I said, say, think of this as |
1482 | 02:09:50 --> 02:09:56 | a individual bar for a daily chart. Okay, so in other words, it's, it's |
1483 | 02:09:56 --> 02:10:04 | representing the highest high i. In the lowest low of the day, okay? And say in |
1484 | 02:10:04 --> 02:10:08 | your in your mind, that you're looking at the market and you're studying weekly |
1485 | 02:10:08 --> 02:10:12 | charts and monthly charts and daily charts over the weekend, before the |
1486 | 02:10:12 --> 02:10:16 | market starts trading on Sunday at 6pm I'm going to say this portion here, and |
1487 | 02:10:16 --> 02:10:19 | then we'll drop down to a 15 second chart and look at the fluctuations. And |
1488 | 02:10:19 --> 02:10:22 | then I'm going to close the session now, because it's getting a little bit too |
1489 | 02:10:22 --> 02:10:28 | long, I'm bit too long. No, no, keep going. I want to, but I want to keep it |
1490 | 02:10:28 --> 02:10:32 | small, because my son doesn't have a lot of time after he works to watch all |
1491 | 02:10:32 --> 02:10:37 | these things, so I have to be a little bit more economical with my time, as |
1492 | 02:10:37 --> 02:10:41 | much as I'm pouring into it, but I'm doing it every day. So he's he's laxy |
1493 | 02:10:41 --> 02:10:47 | behind, so he's not watching these in the entirety from the beginning to end, |
1494 | 02:10:47 --> 02:10:50 | because he's working, and I don't want to get in trouble while he's worth |
1495 | 02:10:50 --> 02:10:57 | watching my stuff at work. You shouldn't do that. So that's kind of like where |
1496 | 02:10:57 --> 02:11:01 | I'm trying to aim for going forward. And it's a little bit complicated, because |
1497 | 02:11:01 --> 02:11:04 | you're gonna eventually have to trade the whole session, right? So you have to |
1498 | 02:11:04 --> 02:11:08 | have the, at least the entire session in the live stream to talk about what it is |
1499 | 02:11:08 --> 02:11:12 | and what it isn't. But if this is the daily range, okay, not a candlestick, |
1500 | 02:11:12 --> 02:11:16 | but an Open, High, Low, Close bar. So this is the open, this is the lowest |
1501 | 02:11:16 --> 02:11:19 | that made for the day, and this is the highest it made for the day, and this is |
1502 | 02:11:19 --> 02:11:26 | where it stops trading. Okay, if you're thinking is that we're probably going to |
1503 | 02:11:26 --> 02:11:32 | move up over a series of days or for the week or for the month, or we're moving |
1504 | 02:11:32 --> 02:11:38 | in that direction higher, okay? And you're watching price action at 930 |
1505 | 02:11:39 --> 02:11:49 | here, and you've defined as we did here, the sell side was here. We incorporated |
1506 | 02:11:49 --> 02:11:54 | that old, new date opening that, and we gave you the buy side. So if we're |
1507 | 02:11:54 --> 02:11:56 | opening right here at that candlesticks tick opening, |
1508 | 02:11:57 --> 02:11:59 | we go back over here. |
1509 | 02:12:01 --> 02:12:07 | If that opening price on that I'm gonna move this vertical line so as you can |
1510 | 02:12:07 --> 02:12:14 | see it better, so that opening, we opened went up, closed down. That |
1511 | 02:12:14 --> 02:12:20 | opening right there represents this graphically in my diagram. Okay, and |
1512 | 02:12:20 --> 02:12:25 | then from that open price, that movement from here to that low, that low would |
1513 | 02:12:25 --> 02:12:29 | represent that low on the daily Open, High, Low, Close bar. So what we're |
1514 | 02:12:29 --> 02:12:35 | saying is the open and the initial drop down, that's the fake move. That's the |
1515 | 02:12:35 --> 02:12:41 | Judah swing. That's where smart money buys. Okay, now the complication comes |
1516 | 02:12:41 --> 02:12:46 | in at where you are going to be a buyer. I don't expect my son to be a buyer down |
1517 | 02:12:46 --> 02:12:50 | here. I don't expect him to buy the rejection block. I don't expect him to |
1518 | 02:12:50 --> 02:12:53 | buy down here. Below that low that's too much of an expectation placed on him. |
1519 | 02:12:53 --> 02:12:58 | He's not it's going to take him a long time to try to buy below here. I can do |
1520 | 02:12:58 --> 02:13:01 | that clearly. You can see I've done I've done executions with live accounts. |
1521 | 02:13:01 --> 02:13:07 | Proved it. They were in live accounts. You can see it there, signed in to my |
1522 | 02:13:07 --> 02:13:10 | account. It's on this channel, still written a TD Ameritrade show every |
1523 | 02:13:10 --> 02:13:15 | single day with the broker statements are shown every single day. Okay? It's |
1524 | 02:13:15 --> 02:13:18 | there people that want to talk about, I don't trade real money. Kiss my fucking |
1525 | 02:13:18 --> 02:13:25 | ass. I'm out here doing it. You talking about, but that opening price here, down |
1526 | 02:13:25 --> 02:13:31 | to that low in that area, that range, that means where this low forms and |
1527 | 02:13:31 --> 02:13:36 | where the opening is you're hunting. You don't have to have the low tick. You're |
1528 | 02:13:36 --> 02:13:42 | just hunting something to be long. You can feel confident that when you're |
1529 | 02:13:42 --> 02:13:45 | working towards holding on to trades that pan out longer term. Patrick wheel, |
1530 | 02:13:45 --> 02:13:49 | and this is for you, buddy, because you need to learn how to fucking trade this |
1531 | 02:13:49 --> 02:13:53 | movement from the opening price of the shock team right now. He's like, What |
1532 | 02:13:53 --> 02:13:57 | the fuck is called darning. Yeah, your your listeners need to support you too, |
1533 | 02:13:57 --> 02:14:00 | not trolling. You shouldn't encourage him, because if he starts doing stuff |
1534 | 02:14:00 --> 02:14:07 | like this, he'll start making real big money, real big money, and he'll be |
1535 | 02:14:07 --> 02:14:11 | amazing to watch live streaming and doing it. Okay, but this opening price |
1536 | 02:14:11 --> 02:14:19 | down to that low, that range, okay, graphically looks like this, that little |
1537 | 02:14:19 --> 02:14:22 | sweet spot right here, |
1538 | 02:14:29 --> 02:14:33 | inside that range. That's where your best opportunity to buy and hold and |
1539 | 02:14:33 --> 02:14:37 | just wait until we get to the lunch hour and then measure out where it can |
1540 | 02:14:37 --> 02:14:41 | retrace. So if there's going to be a lunch macro, if it's going to go lower, |
1541 | 02:14:41 --> 02:14:45 | you can determine where it's going to go lower. You can determine that and not |
1542 | 02:14:45 --> 02:14:50 | place your stop loss within grasp of that. Ideally, what you want to do is |
1543 | 02:14:50 --> 02:14:53 | learn to try to enter when you're bullish, longer term, when you think |
1544 | 02:14:53 --> 02:14:55 | it's going to go higher. So don't think that this is a one trick coating |
1545 | 02:14:55 --> 02:14:59 | intraday trading only, and you can never use it to make bigger money. You can |
1546 | 02:14:59 --> 02:15:04 | you. But you can't, you can't appreciate this type of daily candlestick flows |
1547 | 02:15:04 --> 02:15:08 | until you first learn how to read these intraday price fluctuations. Because by |
1548 | 02:15:08 --> 02:15:11 | doing it this way, number one, you're going to get a lot of exercise. You're |
1549 | 02:15:11 --> 02:15:17 | going to get a lot of price action to digest and learn from. Because |
1550 | 02:15:17 --> 02:15:20 | everything I'm showing you here is fractal. You can apply it to a weekly |
1551 | 02:15:20 --> 02:15:24 | chart. You can apply it to a monthly chart. You can drill down to a five |
1552 | 02:15:24 --> 02:15:28 | second chart. It's still there. What do you want to do with it? How you want to |
1553 | 02:15:28 --> 02:15:34 | frame your model? But for folks that want to use this for longer term holding |
1554 | 02:15:34 --> 02:15:38 | on for the longer term range. And I'm reason why I'm teaching this is I got |
1555 | 02:15:38 --> 02:15:42 | criticized by students that actually aren't paid students too. They're like |
1556 | 02:15:42 --> 02:15:47 | you said in our lectures, that days that go up are classic by day, yeah, but you |
1557 | 02:15:47 --> 02:15:53 | can't participate on them if they make this low before 830 I'm sorry, before |
1558 | 02:15:53 --> 02:15:57 | 930 is opening bell, and you're trading at 930 and you're streaming at 930 How |
1559 | 02:15:57 --> 02:16:01 | the fuck am I going to teach you how to use an 830 entry if I'm starting the |
1560 | 02:16:01 --> 02:16:07 | stream at 930 so I can't go back in time and put myself in the trade. And clearly |
1561 | 02:16:07 --> 02:16:11 | I can't do that. But for those individuals that know that this is what |
1562 | 02:16:11 --> 02:16:16 | it looks like, not every classic by day or classic sell day where it's just one |
1563 | 02:16:16 --> 02:16:22 | direction that's not the same, a classic buy day is just it moves up and closes |
1564 | 02:16:22 --> 02:16:27 | up high. It doesn't mean it's one direction with no retracements. There |
1565 | 02:16:27 --> 02:16:30 | are. Sometimes it's like that, and if you're able to hold on to it, they're |
1566 | 02:16:30 --> 02:16:33 | very, very fun. And I'm teaching you how to do those types of things right here, |
1567 | 02:16:33 --> 02:16:39 | right now, addressing paid students that question me critically, I might add, |
1568 | 02:16:39 --> 02:16:43 | disrespectfully. I might add, if I was Negan, you get a fucking molten, hot |
1569 | 02:16:43 --> 02:16:46 | lava shit poured over your fucking head because of that, you better talk nicely |
1570 | 02:16:46 --> 02:16:52 | to me. Better remember who daddy is. So we have the opening, which is that price |
1571 | 02:16:52 --> 02:16:59 | there, and any movement down, we don't need it to tell us in advance what the |
1572 | 02:16:59 --> 02:17:02 | lowest lowest see that that's the part that's going to hurt you, because you're |
1573 | 02:17:02 --> 02:17:06 | thinking, I need to know how to buy below the opening price. Because that |
1574 | 02:17:06 --> 02:17:11 | was what I that was my biggest challenge, because Larry Williams said |
1575 | 02:17:11 --> 02:17:16 | he couldn't determine how to do that. So he would buy strength breaking above the |
1576 | 02:17:16 --> 02:17:19 | opening price. And every time I did that, it would hurt me, because it would |
1577 | 02:17:19 --> 02:17:24 | retrace back down in and it would crush me. I would get stopped out because I |
1578 | 02:17:24 --> 02:17:28 | was over leveraging in my 20s, and I wanted to get to the end of the game |
1579 | 02:17:28 --> 02:17:30 | where I didn't have to have a job. So I was doing all the wrong things. I was |
1580 | 02:17:30 --> 02:17:34 | putting all the emphasis on all the wrong shit, hoping that I could get |
1581 | 02:17:34 --> 02:17:37 | myself around all the adversities that I knew were likely. But I just put |
1582 | 02:17:37 --> 02:17:41 | blinders on saying I'm not gonna I'm not gonna be subject to that. It's gonna |
1583 | 02:17:41 --> 02:17:45 | work for me. I'm gonna get lucky and it didn't work like that. I had all the |
1584 | 02:17:45 --> 02:17:49 | things, same things that happened to you, happen to me, but it happened in |
1585 | 02:17:49 --> 02:17:53 | much more stunning fashion, because I was willing to put more money in |
1586 | 02:17:53 --> 02:17:58 | constantly, and trade without any stock, without any measure of concern about it |
1587 | 02:17:58 --> 02:18:03 | losing. I only saw the potential of it winning every single time. So that's |
1588 | 02:18:03 --> 02:18:10 | toxic, and you got to avoid that. But at the opening price or below, that's what |
1589 | 02:18:10 --> 02:18:13 | Larry Williams is saying. He couldn't figure that out. And he faces he said, |
1590 | 02:18:13 --> 02:18:17 | You know, I don't know if, if he knew the addresses or the not the address, |
1591 | 02:18:17 --> 02:18:20 | but the zip codes of the traders that knew how do that would be helpful. It |
1592 | 02:18:20 --> 02:18:24 | was facetious statement, but I was like, You know what? Here's my hero in 1995 |
1593 | 02:18:25 --> 02:18:30 | I'm watching this man who went out there in public, physically took $10,000 to |
1594 | 02:18:30 --> 02:18:35 | $2.2 million fell, got hurt, and then traded back to $1.2 million and |
1595 | 02:18:35 --> 02:18:39 | everybody said it wasn't, it wasn't real. Wasn't it wasn't a real event. It |
1596 | 02:18:39 --> 02:18:45 | just took place, man. He did it. Okay. So that was my hero. That was everything |
1597 | 02:18:45 --> 02:18:48 | he said. I hung on every word, like some of you do with me, and please don't do |
1598 | 02:18:48 --> 02:18:52 | that. Never meet your hero. Never look up to your hero and put them on a |
1599 | 02:18:52 --> 02:18:55 | pedestal, because eventually you get more information about that person, |
1600 | 02:18:55 --> 02:19:00 | you'll find out they're done as heroic as you thought. And it hurts. It hurts. |
1601 | 02:19:00 --> 02:19:05 | And I'm not saying anything bad about Larry. I'm just saying that I took his |
1602 | 02:19:06 --> 02:19:10 | public statement about what he was unable to see in price action, and that |
1603 | 02:19:10 --> 02:19:14 | was the invitation for me to say, that's the thing I'm looking for. Because if he |
1604 | 02:19:14 --> 02:19:19 | can't do that, I'm going to go in. If anybody on this fucking plan is going to |
1605 | 02:19:19 --> 02:19:25 | figure it out, I'm going to, and I did, and I teach it to power three. So if we |
1606 | 02:19:25 --> 02:19:28 | know the opening price, that's a finite number, they're not going to move that |
1607 | 02:19:28 --> 02:19:33 | around. It's right there. It's the opening tick on that candle. Then simply |
1608 | 02:19:33 --> 02:19:39 | wait for it to drop. Aim for liquidity, or aim for any inefficiency below that |
1609 | 02:19:39 --> 02:19:42 | price to the left over here. Okay, the first stages were the sell side |
1610 | 02:19:42 --> 02:19:45 | liquidity, and then that knew the opening gap. It pierced through both of |
1611 | 02:19:45 --> 02:19:48 | them. And then what it did came right back to opening range. And I said it was |
1612 | 02:19:48 --> 02:19:54 | spending too much time into it here. And then it drops takes out that low. Then I |
1613 | 02:19:54 --> 02:19:59 | told you I took your attention to that wick, the midpoint of that and we want |
1614 | 02:19:59 --> 02:20:04 | to see it get above it. To treat the old New Day opening gap. Now let me ask you |
1615 | 02:20:04 --> 02:20:07 | something. If you didn't know about the new day opening gap, why would you |
1616 | 02:20:07 --> 02:20:10 | expect this candle to drop to that level right there and then send it high? Why |
1617 | 02:20:10 --> 02:20:15 | would why would you expect that you fucking wouldn't. You would have never |
1618 | 02:20:15 --> 02:20:19 | expected that to happen. That would have never fucking happened. But here it is. |
1619 | 02:20:19 --> 02:20:24 | Go to ICT, sitting here, 50 to 52 years old. Could be sitting on a fucking beach |
1620 | 02:20:24 --> 02:20:27 | sipping on some pina colada, non alcoholic, relaxing. I could have been |
1621 | 02:20:27 --> 02:20:33 | doing anything else but this, and I'm explaining it to you beforehand, for |
1622 | 02:20:33 --> 02:20:41 | free, for free, no fucking course, payments required. Taking your attention |
1623 | 02:20:41 --> 02:20:44 | right there, it's going to form a fair value gap, and it's going to be an entry |
1624 | 02:20:44 --> 02:20:47 | that's an institution order flow entry drill. That means it's not going to |
1625 | 02:20:47 --> 02:20:51 | close the gap in. It's going to leave a portion open, and then it fucking does |
1626 | 02:20:53 --> 02:20:57 | it. What's occurring, this fair value gap with the institutional order flow |
1627 | 02:20:57 --> 02:21:01 | entry drill and leaving that gap open? Where's that? Where's that forming in |
1628 | 02:21:01 --> 02:21:06 | the context of the daily range based on this logic over here, it's inside that, |
1629 | 02:21:06 --> 02:21:14 | open to the low, open to the low. Look. I'll use the same thing graphically |
1630 | 02:21:14 --> 02:21:17 | depicting. I'm not predicting the closing price. Don't get me wrong. I'm |
1631 | 02:21:17 --> 02:21:21 | just saying, if you go in every single day with this logic while you're |
1632 | 02:21:21 --> 02:21:25 | learning how to do it better. This is how you grow in holding on to trades. |
1633 | 02:21:25 --> 02:21:30 | And eventually you are going to catch a fucking tiger by the tail, and baby, |
1634 | 02:21:30 --> 02:21:33 | when it starts running, you better hold the fuck on, because you're going |
1635 | 02:21:33 --> 02:21:39 | through all kinds of shit, sticker bushes, water, dry ground, rocks, tear |
1636 | 02:21:39 --> 02:21:43 | your ass all up. It's gonna be hard to hold on to it, but the end of the day, |
1637 | 02:21:43 --> 02:21:47 | when it closes like this, on the days that it doesn't, man, you've made tons. |
1638 | 02:21:48 --> 02:21:53 | You've made tons, and that fixes all kinds of screw ups. It fixes all kinds |
1639 | 02:21:53 --> 02:21:57 | of drawdown it fixes all kinds of days where you did too much and you gave back |
1640 | 02:21:57 --> 02:22:01 | wins. It fixes all that stuff, and it smooths out your monthly equity curve. |
1641 | 02:22:02 --> 02:22:06 | So I'm not poor. I'm not pushing my son into taking trades that it's just 1015, |
1642 | 02:22:06 --> 02:22:11 | handles, 20 handles, and, yeah, you're a success. You can and it's going to prove |
1643 | 02:22:11 --> 02:22:16 | to him that you don't need anything more than that to make your job. But |
1644 | 02:22:16 --> 02:22:21 | eventually he's going to be forced into trading like this. See, I this is my |
1645 | 02:22:21 --> 02:22:31 | son. I want ICT 5.0 fuck 2.0 we're going 5.0 because I want him to be a fucking |
1646 | 02:22:31 --> 02:22:34 | freak. I want him to be able to go in there like I can, and say, This is |
1647 | 02:22:34 --> 02:22:36 | what's going to happen, and this is why it's going to happen, and I ain't |
1648 | 02:22:36 --> 02:22:39 | worried about it's going to happen. Boom, done. He can go in here like a |
1649 | 02:22:39 --> 02:22:42 | fucking money tree, walk out back, pluck some fucking Benjamins off the fucking |
1650 | 02:22:42 --> 02:22:45 | branch, stuff his pockets, go fucking spin it and not worry about the price |
1651 | 02:22:45 --> 02:22:48 | tag. That's what I want for my son. And if you think that's arrogant, you think |
1652 | 02:22:48 --> 02:22:52 | that's narcissistic, go fuck yourself this. Why would you want anything less? |
1653 | 02:22:52 --> 02:22:57 | It doesn't mean it's, it's, oh, it's, it's evil. That's what the devil wants. |
1654 | 02:22:57 --> 02:23:03 | That's not biblical. People that send me stuff, you God, the God doesn't want you |
1655 | 02:23:03 --> 02:23:08 | trading. He literally teaches a parable about giving a reward for people that do |
1656 | 02:23:08 --> 02:23:11 | the very thing that we do. We're investing, we're not gambling. Does this |
1657 | 02:23:11 --> 02:23:16 | look like fucking gambling? Knowing what you're looking for, waiting for the |
1658 | 02:23:16 --> 02:23:20 | criteria to be met, and then having sound logic, saying it should behave |
1659 | 02:23:20 --> 02:23:25 | like this, and then it does inside the range between the open down to the low. |
1660 | 02:23:25 --> 02:23:29 | There's your fair value. Get right there. That is your low risk. |
1661 | 02:23:34 --> 02:23:41 | Oh, and you did it? Live. You outline the details. Live. No hindsight, no |
1662 | 02:23:41 --> 02:23:48 | edited out here in front of everybody, it either works or it doesn't. I either |
1663 | 02:23:48 --> 02:23:52 | do my victory lap or I fall on my face. Which is it? Which happened in your |
1664 | 02:23:52 --> 02:23:56 | chart? Pun, isn't it? So eventually, what happens is, by entering like this, |
1665 | 02:23:56 --> 02:24:00 | when you have a longer term bias that you derive from a monthly and a weekly |
1666 | 02:24:00 --> 02:24:06 | chart. So eventually Caleb's going to determine where in that spectrum his |
1667 | 02:24:06 --> 02:24:11 | trades should be focused on. So if you're bullish longer term, and you |
1668 | 02:24:11 --> 02:24:15 | think that this is the criteria that the daily candles are going to form, or the |
1669 | 02:24:15 --> 02:24:19 | day that you're trading is going to form this so this is basically at five, five |
1670 | 02:24:19 --> 02:24:23 | o'clock or 415, Eastern Standard Time that closing price in relationship |
1671 | 02:24:23 --> 02:24:28 | theory, opened up at 930 down here, that's bullish, isn't it? So how can |
1672 | 02:24:28 --> 02:24:34 | you, how can you hold on to those trades without having a whole lot of fear, |
1673 | 02:24:34 --> 02:24:38 | anxiety or scared I'm going to get stopped out. You have to determine how |
1674 | 02:24:38 --> 02:24:43 | to buy at the open or below it, because rarely will it go back down after it |
1675 | 02:24:43 --> 02:24:47 | runs up here, it rarely goes back back down here. If it does, it's probably not |
1676 | 02:24:47 --> 02:24:52 | going to create this condition here. So why do I teach you to take partials? |
1677 | 02:24:52 --> 02:24:55 | Because you don't know when it's going to turn on. You. You don't have the |
1678 | 02:24:55 --> 02:24:59 | advanced understanding, you don't have the experience, you don't have the you. |
1679 | 02:25:00 --> 02:25:05 | The time invested in knowing how to navigate price you don't know. You're |
1680 | 02:25:05 --> 02:25:09 | going to react to everything, adversely, everything. When you're making money, |
1681 | 02:25:09 --> 02:25:12 | it's going to scare you shitless. You're going to know what the like. What am I |
1682 | 02:25:12 --> 02:25:16 | supposed to do? I was hoping I was going to move up 20 handles. It just jumped |
1683 | 02:25:16 --> 02:25:21 | 40. I didn't put a limit order in. What the fuck do I do? I'm making more money, |
1684 | 02:25:21 --> 02:25:25 | I'm supposed to what am I supposed to do? That's a good problem, but you're |
1685 | 02:25:25 --> 02:25:28 | going to get panicked by that, and you're to hold on to it too long, |
1686 | 02:25:28 --> 02:25:32 | because you're not going to notice that it's caused a reversal, because you |
1687 | 02:25:32 --> 02:25:38 | don't have the experience, and that's the first time you made big money. These |
1688 | 02:25:38 --> 02:25:42 | are all lessons that you're going to walk into and discover, wow, I didn't |
1689 | 02:25:42 --> 02:25:45 | know that about myself. I didn't know I was going to handle it that way. You |
1690 | 02:25:45 --> 02:25:50 | think when you make money, it's going to be, I'm cool, I'm chill shit. I got |
1691 | 02:25:50 --> 02:25:54 | nothing to worry about. Bro, it's this everyday thing around here, man, the |
1692 | 02:25:54 --> 02:25:58 | whole time you're shitting bricks because you've never felt that before. |
1693 | 02:25:58 --> 02:26:05 | Your panic, your your heart's tacking 130 beats a minute. You can't catch your |
1694 | 02:26:05 --> 02:26:08 | breath. You're hyperventilating. Your body's tingling. You'd like you're gonna |
1695 | 02:26:08 --> 02:26:11 | pass out and throw up and shit yourself all at the same time. Welcome to |
1696 | 02:26:11 --> 02:26:14 | profitable trading for the first time, because that's exactly what it fucking |
1697 | 02:26:14 --> 02:26:17 | feels like. You've never been there, and nobody can adequately describe it. |
1698 | 02:26:17 --> 02:26:21 | That's the closest thing when you get there, you're like, Damn, he was right. |
1699 | 02:26:21 --> 02:26:25 | And when you let go of that moment and you let it turn into a loss, man, does |
1700 | 02:26:25 --> 02:26:31 | that suck? So I'm trying to prevent that. I'm trying to prevent that whole |
1701 | 02:26:32 --> 02:26:36 | escapade because it holds you back when you have it, because it creates scar |
1702 | 02:26:37 --> 02:26:42 | tissue. So by entering in after what side of the marketplace? And it's |
1703 | 02:26:42 --> 02:26:46 | liquidity. Remember, we framed it here. This is easy, folks. I don't know what |
1704 | 02:26:46 --> 02:26:49 | the fuck you people are complaining about relative equal highs and the |
1705 | 02:26:50 --> 02:26:53 | relative equal lows I gave you this morning. Which one does it hit first |
1706 | 02:26:53 --> 02:26:59 | after 930 bang. Okay, so what does that tell you? That's the first stage of |
1707 | 02:26:59 --> 02:27:03 | catching a power three day like this. If you're gonna try to hold for a long, big |
1708 | 02:27:03 --> 02:27:09 | up close day, it has to drop down and take the sell side first. It did it this |
1709 | 02:27:09 --> 02:27:14 | morning. But see, look at, well, look at how I'm teaching my son. Look at how I |
1710 | 02:27:14 --> 02:27:19 | taught the mentorship, the paid mentorship, is the same way. It's the |
1711 | 02:27:19 --> 02:27:25 | same way. Listen to the liquidity conversations I have in there, the buy |
1712 | 02:27:25 --> 02:27:28 | side and the sell side. Now Johnny asked Munch will sit there and watch this |
1713 | 02:27:28 --> 02:27:32 | stuff and say, Hey, see, he's calling both sides of marketplace. He doesn't |
1714 | 02:27:32 --> 02:27:34 | know what the fuck he's talking about. You're an idiot. You're a fucking idiot. |
1715 | 02:27:34 --> 02:27:39 | You're a clown. You don't even listen if you're gonna troll me, at least do the |
1716 | 02:27:39 --> 02:27:43 | fucking due diligence of listening to what I said, get the framework and then |
1717 | 02:27:43 --> 02:27:47 | go and improve. It doesn't work. That's how you do it. But see, you can't do it |
1718 | 02:27:47 --> 02:27:51 | that way. So you gotta take things out of context. Because 90% of people that |
1719 | 02:27:51 --> 02:27:53 | have any familiarity with me, they are not my students. They'll say, Oh yeah, |
1720 | 02:27:53 --> 02:27:57 | it's a ICT guy. He's hindsight, he's Democrat, he's whatever, because they |
1721 | 02:27:57 --> 02:28:01 | heard everybody else's opinion about it, and they never sat here and was a |
1722 | 02:28:01 --> 02:28:05 | student. They never put themselves through it. But if you take the sell |
1723 | 02:28:05 --> 02:28:09 | side first, that's the first qualifier for an up close day. Because what is it |
1724 | 02:28:09 --> 02:28:14 | doing? It's tricking people that it's going to go down. That's the Judas |
1725 | 02:28:14 --> 02:28:19 | swing. The Judas goat is the goat that leads the lamb, or the lambs, into the |
1726 | 02:28:19 --> 02:28:22 | slaughterhouse. There's a little pathway that the Judas go that's trained to take |
1727 | 02:28:23 --> 02:28:26 | a little detour, not going slaughterhouse. But the sheep are |
1728 | 02:28:26 --> 02:28:31 | stupid. They're following the opinions of other people that are not students of |
1729 | 02:28:31 --> 02:28:34 | mine, that have something to sell, and they want to deter you. They want to |
1730 | 02:28:34 --> 02:28:37 | take you away from it. They want to lead you into their slaughterhouse. Who do |
1731 | 02:28:37 --> 02:28:41 | you want to fucking believe? Who are you going to believe the guy that's |
1732 | 02:28:41 --> 02:28:45 | literally sitting here for fucking free teaching you how to beat the shit out of |
1733 | 02:28:45 --> 02:28:49 | these fucking markets with a level of precision that none of these clowns can |
1734 | 02:28:49 --> 02:28:54 | even come close to, and explaining it over a one minute chart real time with a |
1735 | 02:28:54 --> 02:28:58 | three second delay, and I can't speed it up anymore, baby, that's the fastest |
1736 | 02:28:58 --> 02:29:02 | that YouTube's gonna send it through Its servers. Are you gonna believe the guy |
1737 | 02:29:02 --> 02:29:05 | that says, Oh, this guy's an asshole. Here's my affiliate link. Hope you use |
1738 | 02:29:05 --> 02:29:09 | my broker, because I help me out and support my channel. Who are you gonna |
1739 | 02:29:09 --> 02:29:18 | believe? Who is teaching what they need their money? I am not asking for shit. I |
1740 | 02:29:18 --> 02:29:21 | don't give a fuck whether you use my stuff or not. I don't care, because it's |
1741 | 02:29:21 --> 02:29:24 | going to keep working regardless of you using it or not using it, and the more |
1742 | 02:29:24 --> 02:29:27 | people using it. Guess what? It just means there's more witnesses to the fact |
1743 | 02:29:27 --> 02:29:34 | that it's fucking working. But everything is a graduated understanding. |
1744 | 02:29:35 --> 02:29:38 | When Caleb sees that the cell side's taken first, okay, that means it's going |
1745 | 02:29:38 --> 02:29:42 | to reach for the boss side. But I can't take him into a lesson. Says, Look, son, |
1746 | 02:29:42 --> 02:29:47 | when we're bullish, what makes us bullish? Well, we just watched today. It |
1747 | 02:29:47 --> 02:29:51 | took the sell side first, and then it reaches for the buy side. After seeing |
1748 | 02:29:51 --> 02:29:54 | that for days, weeks and months, you get comfortable with that idea. You don't |
1749 | 02:29:54 --> 02:29:57 | need somebody else to tell you in another video, you don't need ICT to |
1750 | 02:29:57 --> 02:30:02 | answer your question about the bias, because you. Already seen it. So then |
1751 | 02:30:02 --> 02:30:11 | the next graduated step is holding through lunch. Aim for 130 close your |
1752 | 02:30:11 --> 02:30:16 | trait entirely at 130 if you're in profit, close it. And you keep doing |
1753 | 02:30:16 --> 02:30:19 | that. And then eventually what you'll do is you'll watch and see that. Eventually |
1754 | 02:30:19 --> 02:30:23 | you'll start seeing the days that do these types of things, they close near |
1755 | 02:30:23 --> 02:30:30 | their high, but just off the high, like it does here. And you'll see that during |
1756 | 02:30:30 --> 02:30:34 | the last hour, it creates that far upstream high, and then right before |
1757 | 02:30:34 --> 02:30:38 | close, it comes off that, and that closes just a little bit below where the |
1758 | 02:30:38 --> 02:30:45 | highest high was for the day. So if you do your work of buying below the open at |
1759 | 02:30:45 --> 02:30:51 | or below it, and I gave you that real time here today, in such a beautiful, |
1760 | 02:30:51 --> 02:30:56 | beautiful tapestry, it's beautiful, isn't it? See how all this stuff fits |
1761 | 02:30:56 --> 02:31:00 | together. And some of you think this is this is complicated. Well, it's |
1762 | 02:31:00 --> 02:31:03 | complicated Well, it's complicated because it's going to require some |
1763 | 02:31:03 --> 02:31:07 | fucking brain cells, okay? And it's going to require more than 30 seconds of |
1764 | 02:31:08 --> 02:31:17 | spending time looking at it. I'm not tick tock, okay? The logic of following |
1765 | 02:31:17 --> 02:31:22 | this to its completion, you have no idea where you are going to be as a trader |
1766 | 02:31:23 --> 02:31:28 | the let the leaps and bounds that and in the depth of understanding, you're gonna |
1767 | 02:31:28 --> 02:31:32 | be able to have using this information once you have it, no one can take it |
1768 | 02:31:32 --> 02:31:36 | from you, no one can diminish it. No one can talk down to you. They can't strip |
1769 | 02:31:36 --> 02:31:39 | it from you. They can't demoralize you. They can't make you doubt it. You'll |
1770 | 02:31:39 --> 02:31:43 | never fucking doubt it. You'll literally walk around with a fucking raging hard |
1771 | 02:31:43 --> 02:31:46 | on, and you may still be a fucking female but you're gonna be horned up on |
1772 | 02:31:46 --> 02:31:49 | it, because this is the real shit. You will never be scared of the market. |
1773 | 02:31:49 --> 02:31:52 | You're never scared of it, will you respect it absolutely fucking lutely. |
1774 | 02:31:55 --> 02:31:58 | But you won't be fearful. You won't be fearful that it's gonna stop working. |
1775 | 02:31:58 --> 02:32:03 | It's gonna keep working because there's assets and dumbasses always coming in |
1776 | 02:32:03 --> 02:32:06 | the marketplace that want to follow indicators and some bullshit Mickey |
1777 | 02:32:06 --> 02:32:11 | Mouse logic that's sold in books and core seller stuff, there's always gonna |
1778 | 02:32:11 --> 02:32:14 | be some kind of fucking ginnick that comes out and so, oh well, yeah, I was |
1779 | 02:32:14 --> 02:32:19 | just so and so. I was an ex ICT student, but this guy's Lux algo indicator did it |
1780 | 02:32:19 --> 02:32:22 | for me. And Lux I'll go, I know you haven't reached out to me or anything. |
1781 | 02:32:22 --> 02:32:26 | I'm not shitting on you. I'm just saying you make indicators, okay? And I make a |
1782 | 02:32:26 --> 02:32:29 | lot unique indicators with my own stuff in it. Some of it ain't right, some of |
1783 | 02:32:29 --> 02:32:33 | it's close. But the point is, is indicators, by Venom itself, is useless. |
1784 | 02:32:35 --> 02:32:41 | It's useless if I have a fucking stop sign, okay, if I have a stop sign, which |
1785 | 02:32:41 --> 02:32:47 | is a control device for drivers, if I take that stop sign and I put it at the |
1786 | 02:32:47 --> 02:32:52 | bottom of the fucking cliff on a foggy day, okay, and you drive off the fucking |
1787 | 02:32:52 --> 02:32:58 | cliff, and as you're going down, you see the stop sign, what good is that you're |
1788 | 02:32:58 --> 02:33:05 | fucked. You can't stop it. You're done. Indicators are taking what's already |
1789 | 02:33:05 --> 02:33:08 | happened. You're fucking falling off a cliff. You better stop. You're damn |
1790 | 02:33:08 --> 02:33:11 | right. You better stop. But unfortunately, you're gonna stop |
1791 | 02:33:11 --> 02:33:12 | abruptly, and that ends you |
1792 | 02:33:14 --> 02:33:16 | just like it does in your trading account, because you're taking |
1793 | 02:33:16 --> 02:33:19 | mathematically derived information that's been crunched by indicators, |
1794 | 02:33:20 --> 02:33:25 | okay, and attributing to it a level of faith it does not deserve. It doesn't |
1795 | 02:33:25 --> 02:33:30 | give you advanced insight. I'm telling you fair value gaps where they're going |
1796 | 02:33:30 --> 02:33:34 | to form in inversion. Fair Value gaps before they fucking form, before they're |
1797 | 02:33:34 --> 02:33:39 | there. The indicator can never do that. It has to have the old data. Then it |
1798 | 02:33:39 --> 02:33:47 | crunches it then it spits it out. I'm ahead of everything before any of your |
1799 | 02:33:47 --> 02:33:54 | volume bullshit. I'm already ahead of it before any harmonic fucking pattern. I |
1800 | 02:33:54 --> 02:34:00 | already see it coming. And what do you think happens when you're a student of |
1801 | 02:34:00 --> 02:34:07 | mine, and you take it serious, you're just like me. You're informed, you're |
1802 | 02:34:07 --> 02:34:11 | educated, you're fucking light years ahead of everybody else. And when you |
1803 | 02:34:11 --> 02:34:16 | listen to these ass hats, these fucking ankle biters, these little nose mining |
1804 | 02:34:16 --> 02:34:22 | pricks, these 20 year olds that think they know something, they have no idea. |
1805 | 02:34:22 --> 02:34:27 | They have no fucking idea. And it's entertaining as fuck. And I do this |
1806 | 02:34:27 --> 02:34:32 | because I want more of it. I want more of it. You entertain me, you fucking |
1807 | 02:34:32 --> 02:34:36 | assholes, you fucking clowns. I can sit here every fucking day and it's still |
1808 | 02:34:36 --> 02:34:43 | gonna be the same outcome, but you're sitting over there waiting for the day, |
1809 | 02:34:43 --> 02:34:46 | waiting for the day that I'll call one candle wrong, and you'll you'll forget |
1810 | 02:34:46 --> 02:34:52 | everything else in the live stream, but you'll go to that and you're still |
1811 | 02:34:52 --> 02:34:57 | Hawking affiliate links. You're still Hawking some drama, bullshit clowns. |
1812 | 02:34:57 --> 02:35:02 | That's a clown, but I'll have fun like. You, you'll be a toy for me. And |
1813 | 02:35:02 --> 02:35:05 | everybody that learns how to do this will look at people like that the same |
1814 | 02:35:05 --> 02:35:08 | way. You won't. Maybe you won't play around like a cat and mouse, like I do, |
1815 | 02:35:09 --> 02:35:13 | but you look at and say, No, you dismiss it because it's irrelevant. Their |
1816 | 02:35:13 --> 02:35:17 | opinion is irrelevant because once you adopt your own mindset, your own |
1817 | 02:35:17 --> 02:35:21 | opinion, because you've handled it, you've worked with the information, |
1818 | 02:35:21 --> 02:35:25 | you've tested it, you've seen the benefits of it, and it doesn't have any |
1819 | 02:35:25 --> 02:35:30 | comparison. There's nothing close to it, and there's nothing ever going to be |
1820 | 02:35:30 --> 02:35:40 | better than that, because this is the market. This is it period. Okay, so it's |
1821 | 02:35:40 --> 02:35:43 | a graduated understanding that my son's going to go through, and he knows it's |
1822 | 02:35:43 --> 02:35:49 | going to take him some time. And it's not a quick, real fast type thing, |
1823 | 02:35:49 --> 02:35:53 | because you can't just jump into, well here by the open or below it, and then |
1824 | 02:35:53 --> 02:35:56 | hold for a closed game. How do you get to the point where you trust that that's |
1825 | 02:35:56 --> 02:36:01 | even there? You have to have some kind of a logic that has repeated, that built |
1826 | 02:36:01 --> 02:36:05 | on your understanding modularly, one piece at a time, okay, one little piece |
1827 | 02:36:05 --> 02:36:08 | at a time, and you get more understanding about yourself, how you're |
1828 | 02:36:08 --> 02:36:13 | going to endure or fail. And failure is a normal thing initially. Don't be |
1829 | 02:36:13 --> 02:36:18 | afraid of that, because when you fail in your observations, you highlight these |
1830 | 02:36:18 --> 02:36:22 | little opportunities for you say, Okay, this is exciting because I thought this |
1831 | 02:36:22 --> 02:36:25 | is going to work, but now I'm going to find something with more understanding, |
1832 | 02:36:25 --> 02:36:28 | and it's going to make this so much clearer, and it's probably going to |
1833 | 02:36:28 --> 02:36:31 | unlock something else that I don't even have a question about yet. And it's |
1834 | 02:36:31 --> 02:36:36 | going to keep feeding you. It feeds on itself. That's what that's what excited |
1835 | 02:36:36 --> 02:36:40 | learning feels like. But if you go in thinking that you're going to fail, and |
1836 | 02:36:40 --> 02:36:43 | why bother? And first time I have any kind of adverse adversity, I'm just |
1837 | 02:36:43 --> 02:36:48 | gonna drop this shit like it's a hot rock. I'm not the guy for you. I want |
1838 | 02:36:48 --> 02:36:52 | people that are gonna be like a pit bull bite down on this pork chop and don't |
1839 | 02:36:52 --> 02:36:56 | fucking let go, because I promise you're gonna eat and you're gonna fucking eat |
1840 | 02:36:56 --> 02:37:00 | good, real good, better than you ever fucking thought. And you'll be able to |
1841 | 02:37:00 --> 02:37:04 | do it any fucking time you want. You want to take a week off of trading, |
1842 | 02:37:04 --> 02:37:07 | wonderful. Do it, because when you come back, this shit still going to be |
1843 | 02:37:07 --> 02:37:10 | working. You want to take the whole summer off. Wonderful. Do it. When you |
1844 | 02:37:10 --> 02:37:14 | come back in the fall, it's still going to be fucking working. But think about |
1845 | 02:37:14 --> 02:37:17 | how you think about trading right now, and how your educators tell you, Oh, |
1846 | 02:37:17 --> 02:37:20 | man, you got to push your edge. Notice right now the market's really hot. The |
1847 | 02:37:20 --> 02:37:27 | market's always fucking hot. It's always hot. It's always moving around. It's |
1848 | 02:37:27 --> 02:37:32 | always doing these things every single week. It's moving around. It's always |
1849 | 02:37:32 --> 02:37:35 | following time. It's always doing the same thing. It's setting up stupid |
1850 | 02:37:35 --> 02:37:42 | people and knocking them out. What's it doing that for liquidity, that's the |
1851 | 02:37:42 --> 02:37:48 | lifeblood of the marketplace. It's what makes the markets move around. It's |
1852 | 02:37:48 --> 02:37:54 | moving to where orders are resting. And if someone in here that has a vested |
1853 | 02:37:54 --> 02:37:58 | interest in pushing price around, just like a casino, they keep people in that |
1854 | 02:37:58 --> 02:38:02 | lose, and the ones that lose big, they'll give them free fucking rooms. |
1855 | 02:38:02 --> 02:38:07 | You want to see a show, it's good to have you back. We ain't seen you in a |
1856 | 02:38:07 --> 02:38:11 | while. You're down the day. Oh, no problem. Don't worry here, here's some |
1857 | 02:38:11 --> 02:38:14 | things. Go watch the show. Girls. Go watch the magic that here we're going to |
1858 | 02:38:14 --> 02:38:19 | comp your room. Come back. That fucking room costs them nothing. They want you |
1859 | 02:38:19 --> 02:38:23 | to come back and spend more money. That's what the market does. They keep |
1860 | 02:38:23 --> 02:38:27 | selling that idea. Here's a new indicator, here's a new gimmick, here's |
1861 | 02:38:27 --> 02:38:30 | a new methodology of trading, here's a new guru, here's a new twist on old |
1862 | 02:38:30 --> 02:38:35 | things. There's always going to be suckers coming in, folks that is not |
1863 | 02:38:35 --> 02:38:40 | that's never going to stop happening as people grow older, new people grow |
1864 | 02:38:40 --> 02:38:43 | older, and now they're older in an investment age, and they're gonna agree |
1865 | 02:38:43 --> 02:38:46 | the same horseshit that probably got you into trading, and they're gonna put |
1866 | 02:38:46 --> 02:38:52 | money into it. And that one contract, it's all takes that one contract above |
1867 | 02:38:52 --> 02:38:57 | or below old lows, that's liquidity, and they only need one contract to book |
1868 | 02:38:57 --> 02:39:01 | price. And if you know where they're trading, no not trading, but training |
1869 | 02:39:01 --> 02:39:05 | their eye on taking the market up to a specific level, a la these highs here, |
1870 | 02:39:06 --> 02:39:14 | or down to the lows. I love these here. What if they can't hide it? Think about |
1871 | 02:39:14 --> 02:39:18 | they cannot ever hide it from you. That should make you feel confident. It |
1872 | 02:39:19 --> 02:39:22 | shouldn't give you a sense of overconfidence, but it should give you |
1873 | 02:39:22 --> 02:39:26 | confidence that this stuff is in your grasp. It just takes a little bit of |
1874 | 02:39:26 --> 02:39:31 | time of you watching it, studying it, take examples, screenshot it, and see |
1875 | 02:39:31 --> 02:39:34 | what it did, and you're going to see the things I'm talking about. It repeats |
1876 | 02:39:34 --> 02:39:40 | every day. That's why the whole the whole moniker, is every week, every day, |
1877 | 02:39:40 --> 02:39:45 | and it won't stop. That's my slogan. That's my little catchphrase. In the |
1878 | 02:39:45 --> 02:39:48 | beginning, it's like, oh, well, he's just bragging because he got right. I |
1879 | 02:39:48 --> 02:39:54 | get it right every fucking week. Every week, it's the fucking same show. I get |
1880 | 02:39:54 --> 02:39:58 | excited and animated because I get to experience it through your eyes, because |
1881 | 02:39:58 --> 02:40:04 | I know you've never seen this. Before. You've never seen it like this, where |
1882 | 02:40:04 --> 02:40:08 | it's like, I've said I've read this book before. I know the outcome. That's what |
1883 | 02:40:08 --> 02:40:15 | it feels like. That's exactly what it feels like. And it's wonderful. It's |
1884 | 02:40:15 --> 02:40:19 | encouraging. And then you want to teach it to your children when you know it, |
1885 | 02:40:20 --> 02:40:26 | because once they had that skill set, that's it. You're done. You're set. You |
1886 | 02:40:26 --> 02:40:30 | can lay your head down and not have to worry about it no more. That's what I |
1887 | 02:40:30 --> 02:40:33 | want for all of you. I want it for my son. I want it for his sons and |
1888 | 02:40:33 --> 02:40:38 | daughters to choose to have some. But all of you that are listening ease |
1889 | 02:40:38 --> 02:40:42 | dropping in. I want it for you too. You can't even imagine what it feels like to |
1890 | 02:40:42 --> 02:40:46 | wake up in the morning. Whenever you wake up, not by an alarm clock, just |
1891 | 02:40:46 --> 02:40:50 | wake up because your body says it's not beauty, up and do something. And you |
1892 | 02:40:50 --> 02:40:55 | decide, do you want to make an annual salary by pushing a couple buttons and |
1893 | 02:40:55 --> 02:40:58 | waiting a little bit of time, or you just want to take another day off |
1894 | 02:40:58 --> 02:41:03 | because it ain't going to bother you do, you have no idea what that feels like. |
1895 | 02:41:04 --> 02:41:09 | You have no idea, but it's all in your grasp by what I'm sharing for free here. |
1896 | 02:41:09 --> 02:41:15 | I promise you, if it was complicated and you couldn't do it, and it's going to |
1897 | 02:41:15 --> 02:41:18 | require more than what anybody else would be expected to put themselves |
1898 | 02:41:18 --> 02:41:21 | through, I would be upfront and say, Look, you're probably not going to do |
1899 | 02:41:21 --> 02:41:24 | this. It's going to be hard. Only less than 1% are you going to be able to do |
1900 | 02:41:24 --> 02:41:29 | this. I would come out and tell you, I'm blunt about everything. And I would tell |
1901 | 02:41:29 --> 02:41:35 | you, this is some hard shit, but it's not. What's hard is starting with a |
1902 | 02:41:35 --> 02:41:41 | systematic approach to studying and sticking with it, like a diet or working |
1903 | 02:41:41 --> 02:41:45 | out with weights, you're not getting the results right away. You're deferring the |
1904 | 02:41:45 --> 02:41:49 | results. You're going to put yourself through this process and defer the |
1905 | 02:41:49 --> 02:41:52 | results that you hope that you'll get. You don't know if you're going to get |
1906 | 02:41:52 --> 02:41:55 | because you don't know if you're going to stick with it, and most people don't |
1907 | 02:41:55 --> 02:41:58 | stick with it. So what do they get? They don't get the results. I'm trying this |
1908 | 02:41:58 --> 02:42:02 | diet. I'm trying that diet. I tried this exercise routine. You actually see this |
1909 | 02:42:02 --> 02:42:05 | new workout routine. Hey, I'm doing the SO and SO split routine. Everybody's got |
1910 | 02:42:05 --> 02:42:09 | something. How about just lift fucking weights and have a caloric deficit? How |
1911 | 02:42:09 --> 02:42:14 | about that? It's simple. Well, I just did that same thing with trading. All |
1912 | 02:42:14 --> 02:42:17 | you're doing is looking at specific element of time. Start watching at |
1913 | 02:42:17 --> 02:42:22 | seven, five up to nine o'clock, regardless if you start seven, eight or |
1914 | 02:42:22 --> 02:42:27 | nine, you're waiting. You're waiting for information to be delivered to you in |
1915 | 02:42:27 --> 02:42:30 | the form of relative equal highs, relative equal lows, and what side of |
1916 | 02:42:30 --> 02:42:39 | the marketplace are they taking first? That's the trap. That is the gimmick. |
1917 | 02:42:39 --> 02:42:46 | That's the snare. That's the Judas swing doing its job, leaving the dumbasses the |
1918 | 02:42:46 --> 02:42:49 | sheep that just going to follow the herd. What's the herd? Whatever the |
1919 | 02:42:49 --> 02:42:53 | market's doing right now. If it's been going up, they're going to buy it. If |
1920 | 02:42:53 --> 02:42:57 | it's going down, they're going to sell short. That's what a retail minded |
1921 | 02:42:57 --> 02:43:01 | trader does. That's what they do. They key up on okay, this is what's happening |
1922 | 02:43:01 --> 02:43:04 | right now. What's the easiest thing to do? I need to push a button. I need you |
1923 | 02:43:04 --> 02:43:06 | some Fuck it. Stop it. I'm gonna so short. |
1924 | 02:43:10 --> 02:43:16 | And sometimes, sometimes it moves continuously for them, and they |
1925 | 02:43:16 --> 02:43:22 | attribute that as skill, and it's not. They're rewarding poor decision making |
1926 | 02:43:22 --> 02:43:31 | and gambling. And that's exactly what I did in 1992 and I attribute it as I'm |
1927 | 02:43:31 --> 02:43:35 | better than I thought. It was shit. This was easy, and a couple months went by, |
1928 | 02:43:35 --> 02:43:43 | yeah, I got all this shit figured out. No, no, it wasn't like that at all. Then |
1929 | 02:43:43 --> 02:43:46 | the market started dropping, having retracements, and I didn't have to go |
1930 | 02:43:46 --> 02:43:49 | short, and I was buying it. And every time I went lower, I bought, bought. Add |
1931 | 02:43:49 --> 02:43:54 | more to it. Yeah, I better not. Better not put a stop loss on this one. Let me |
1932 | 02:43:54 --> 02:43:58 | just buy one more, because it only has to go up a little bit more, and then I |
1933 | 02:43:58 --> 02:44:03 | can get out even see what just happened. I'm not trying to make money. I'm trying |
1934 | 02:44:03 --> 02:44:09 | to get back something I lost, that's not profiting, that's getting even. And |
1935 | 02:44:09 --> 02:44:13 | getting even is the same thing as revenge. I want to get even. Fuck that. |
1936 | 02:44:14 --> 02:44:18 | That's that's toxic. How do you avoid all that stuff by knowing what you're |
1937 | 02:44:18 --> 02:44:21 | doing, what you're looking for, and you've been around the block enough |
1938 | 02:44:21 --> 02:44:24 | times know that this is what generally is going to happen. That means you're |
1939 | 02:44:24 --> 02:44:29 | desensitized to it. That's what these live streams do. They show you over real |
1940 | 02:44:29 --> 02:44:34 | price action with somebody that's going to show you 30 years of experience. This |
1941 | 02:44:34 --> 02:44:40 | is what I see through my eyes. This is what I see, watch and observe. That's |
1942 | 02:44:40 --> 02:44:44 | all, that's all you're going to do. And by watching and observing, Caleb is |
1943 | 02:44:44 --> 02:44:48 | going to say, Okay, I see this. I didn't see that that. So he knows now I got to |
1944 | 02:44:48 --> 02:44:53 | go in and look at when the market does this or that as a result. And I don't |
1945 | 02:44:53 --> 02:44:57 | know what he because I'm I'm not able to read his mind. Obviously he's going to |
1946 | 02:44:57 --> 02:45:00 | have his own questions, just like you have a large degree of. Questions, I'm |
1947 | 02:45:00 --> 02:45:04 | sure, from a session like today. But I want to go into the 15 second chart, |
1948 | 02:45:04 --> 02:45:07 | because I said we were going to do that. But I also want to refer back to this |
1949 | 02:45:07 --> 02:45:13 | little area here. So when the market was creating this little run, what I was |
1950 | 02:45:13 --> 02:45:16 | anticipating is that they were going to take this relative equal high out. |
1951 | 02:45:16 --> 02:45:22 | That's what I wanted to see. Okay? And I felt that we were going to work at least |
1952 | 02:45:23 --> 02:45:26 | in the lower half of the new week opening gap, which is, this is new week |
1953 | 02:45:26 --> 02:45:33 | opening gap low, and this is new week opening gap high, and all of this price |
1954 | 02:45:33 --> 02:45:36 | in that, I'm sorry, all this price action here on a one minute chart |
1955 | 02:45:37 --> 02:45:43 | doesn't look as clear and obvious as it will when we look at the 15 second |
1956 | 02:45:43 --> 02:45:46 | chart. Next thing that's not what I want to do here. |
1957 | 02:45:53 --> 02:45:54 | Let's look at |
1958 | 02:46:00 --> 02:46:03 | here, if you study the video, |
1959 | 02:46:07 --> 02:46:08 | the hell am I doing? |
1960 | 02:46:15 --> 02:46:16 | There we go, |
1961 | 02:46:20 --> 02:46:26 | right as price creates this price run in here, I've already saw this low, this |
1962 | 02:46:26 --> 02:46:30 | high in that low, on a one minute chart, but like I have the charts over here, |
1963 | 02:46:30 --> 02:46:33 | like I have a one minute chart over here, which is really redundant, I |
1964 | 02:46:33 --> 02:46:34 | should that should be a five, |
1965 | 02:46:36 --> 02:46:38 | and this should be a 15, |
1966 | 02:46:41 --> 02:46:48 | when I'm watching price action, I'm looking at a higher Time Frame chart, |
1967 | 02:46:49 --> 02:46:53 | and if I'm looking at something on a five second chart, a 15 second chart or |
1968 | 02:46:53 --> 02:47:00 | 32nd chart, anything less than 6060 seconds, so sub one minute, I have to |
1969 | 02:47:00 --> 02:47:05 | anchor some logic as to what I'm expected to see on the lower time frame. |
1970 | 02:47:05 --> 02:47:12 | So for a 15 second chart, all of this run from here to here is going to look |
1971 | 02:47:12 --> 02:47:16 | different. There's going to be some not always, and it's not going to be always |
1972 | 02:47:16 --> 02:47:21 | a overlap of the same inefficiencies, the same gaps that would exist on a 15 |
1973 | 02:47:21 --> 02:47:25 | second chart may or may not exist on your one minute chart. It certainly |
1974 | 02:47:25 --> 02:47:30 | isn't going to likely appear on a five minute chart. So the price continuum, |
1975 | 02:47:30 --> 02:47:34 | price delivery continuum theory is where we're, where we have something |
1976 | 02:47:34 --> 02:47:40 | identified on a higher Time Frame level. And when I say one minute in deference |
1977 | 02:47:40 --> 02:47:44 | to a five second chart. One minute is higher time frame. It's not a |
1978 | 02:47:44 --> 02:47:48 | significant higher Time Frame because it's only a one minute chart. But if I'm |
1979 | 02:47:48 --> 02:47:53 | going to engage price action with the basis of a sub one minute chart, that |
1980 | 02:47:53 --> 02:47:59 | means five second, 15 second, 32nd chart, 45 second chart, something to |
1981 | 02:47:59 --> 02:48:06 | that effect, I'm leaning on the logic that the one minute chart is subordinate |
1982 | 02:48:06 --> 02:48:12 | to something higher than it, which would be the five and the 15. So if you do all |
1983 | 02:48:12 --> 02:48:16 | of your study initially with just a 5/5 I'm sorry, 15 minute, five minute and |
1984 | 02:48:16 --> 02:48:21 | one minute chart, you will have a solid understanding of price action. It |
1985 | 02:48:21 --> 02:48:25 | doesn't mean that you will know when to hold for long term updates or down days. |
1986 | 02:48:25 --> 02:48:29 | It doesn't mean that you're gonna hold for the weekly range. It just gives you |
1987 | 02:48:29 --> 02:48:33 | opportunity to practice and study where and how price delivers and the |
1988 | 02:48:33 --> 02:48:38 | relationship between a 15 minute time frame, how it books price, and then what |
1989 | 02:48:38 --> 02:48:42 | it looks like on a five minute chart and how it books price and then a one minute |
1990 | 02:48:42 --> 02:48:46 | chart. But when you go down to a 15 second chart, or anything less than a |
1991 | 02:48:46 --> 02:48:50 | one minute chart, you're going to see spotty price action that is many times |
1992 | 02:48:50 --> 02:48:56 | acceptable in that time frame. But when you start seeing things that agree with, |
1993 | 02:48:57 --> 02:49:01 | say a one minute chart here, then it's going to be a matter of, |
1994 | 02:49:03 --> 02:49:08 | let me do this. On that chart, I'm |
1995 | 02:49:28 --> 02:49:29 | one second I'm |
1996 | 02:50:24 --> 02:50:32 | You should be seeing the one minute chart with the opening range gap. It's |
1997 | 02:50:32 --> 02:50:41 | shaded here, but it's the portion, the lower half, portion here of the new week |
1998 | 02:50:41 --> 02:50:45 | opening gap. So the new week opening gap high, new week opening gap low. If we've |
1999 | 02:50:45 --> 02:50:49 | measured that like this, and I'm just going to eyeball it, okay, |
2000 | 02:50:52 --> 02:50:54 | to 604. Even |
2001 | 02:50:57 --> 02:51:04 | see that right there? That's the lowest quadrant level. Okay, it can trade to |
2002 | 02:51:04 --> 02:51:08 | the midpoint. But what's a low hanging, low threshold objective, if you're going |
2003 | 02:51:08 --> 02:51:15 | to target something going long, the lower quadrant, right or the low? Okay, |
2004 | 02:51:15 --> 02:51:21 | great. So if I think that I'm looking at a marketplace that's trading off of this |
2005 | 02:51:21 --> 02:51:32 | breaker, low, lower, low, high. That's not a breaker. That's a breaker to me, |
2006 | 02:51:34 --> 02:51:39 | this retracement, every retracement that sees it break to the upside that's a |
2007 | 02:51:39 --> 02:51:44 | breaker inside of here, in this range, the up last, up close can but what is |
2008 | 02:51:44 --> 02:51:47 | that that's a bullish breaker. We're |
2009 | 02:51:58 --> 02:52:02 | trading down into it, and then we have a shift in market structure right there. I |
2010 | 02:52:02 --> 02:52:08 | want to see when this gap formed on what on 15 second chart. All these boxes here |
2011 | 02:52:08 --> 02:52:12 | are relative to a 15 second chart. You'll see it in a second, but I want |
2012 | 02:52:12 --> 02:52:17 | you to look at the logic on a one minute chart shift and market structure on that |
2013 | 02:52:17 --> 02:52:24 | candle right there. Then we have a candle close here. So now on this |
2014 | 02:52:24 --> 02:52:32 | timeframe, we would have this big paradigm shift about take place for you. |
2015 | 02:52:36 --> 02:52:41 | You would see that gap, and this is institutional ortho integer right there, |
2016 | 02:52:41 --> 02:52:44 | if you're trading on the one minute chart, because you don't want to see |
2017 | 02:52:44 --> 02:52:51 | this gap fill in this smaller gap that's different, different shade of color that |
2018 | 02:52:51 --> 02:52:56 | is inside of that gap, because it's a 15 second bicycle balance cell sign in |
2019 | 02:52:56 --> 02:53:05 | efficiency that you want to see what stay open stay open. Then you want to |
2020 | 02:53:05 --> 02:53:09 | see it displace higher, proving that this is going to stay open. And then we |
2021 | 02:53:09 --> 02:53:15 | have what this rejection block is pierced right there. So then on the |
2022 | 02:53:15 --> 02:53:19 | lower time frame 15 second chart, we will drop down to that when it trades |
2023 | 02:53:19 --> 02:53:23 | into this gap that will be based on a 15 second chart. And it's also, what is it? |
2024 | 02:53:24 --> 02:53:32 | What's this on a one minute chart? What is this? That right there? It's a wick. |
2025 | 02:53:33 --> 02:53:38 | Half that wick, because it treats like a gap, if we measure that, half of that is |
2026 | 02:53:38 --> 02:53:46 | this. So when I'm watching price action, I don't just look at one time frame. I |
2027 | 02:53:46 --> 02:53:53 | have a continuum of price from a weekly to a daily to a four hour to three hour, |
2028 | 02:53:53 --> 02:54:03 | two hour one hour, 30 minute, 15 minute, five minute, 4321, sub minute on a |
2029 | 02:54:03 --> 02:54:09 | matrix chart where it's a lot of the 54321, and submit sub one minute chart |
2030 | 02:54:09 --> 02:54:13 | time frames I watch and I'm reading price action like this, because that's |
2031 | 02:54:13 --> 02:54:18 | exactly the algorithms doing. It's cycling down and then going right back |
2032 | 02:54:18 --> 02:54:22 | up, cycling down and right back up through the time frames. So if I know |
2033 | 02:54:22 --> 02:54:26 | I'm an area where the woman is in a buy program, if it's going to go up, where's |
2034 | 02:54:26 --> 02:54:30 | it going to go to? New week opening gap low, because it's going to gravitate |
2035 | 02:54:30 --> 02:54:33 | towards these new week opening gaps. It's this week's new week opening gap. |
2036 | 02:54:33 --> 02:54:39 | It's a it's a highly influential price action. It's like a price it's a PDR, in |
2037 | 02:54:39 --> 02:54:43 | price action. It's like a black hole. It's not going to escape it. It's going |
2038 | 02:54:43 --> 02:54:47 | to draw it back in. Well, we're down here waiting for it to prove they wants |
2039 | 02:54:47 --> 02:54:51 | to go up. Wonderful. I don't need to be a buyer down here when it's sloppy and |
2040 | 02:54:51 --> 02:54:55 | who the hell knows what's going to do. I don't need to buy this institutional |
2041 | 02:54:55 --> 02:54:58 | order flow integer on the one minute chart. I want something that is in line |
2042 | 02:54:58 --> 02:55:03 | after it's a. Curb. It's done this movement here, and then I have this wick |
2043 | 02:55:03 --> 02:55:07 | on the one minute chart. That means that when we opened up here and create that |
2044 | 02:55:07 --> 02:55:14 | that separation. Let me take this off for a second, that separation between |
2045 | 02:55:14 --> 02:55:19 | that wicks high and that candles close, wonderful. The next candle we open up |
2046 | 02:55:19 --> 02:55:25 | here and does what it trades down. There is no gap right here on the one minute |
2047 | 02:55:25 --> 02:55:29 | chart, but there is a consequent encroachment midpoint of that gap on |
2048 | 02:55:29 --> 02:55:34 | that wick, because wicks are gaps. That's the logic I teach you to have. So |
2049 | 02:55:34 --> 02:55:38 | when we see it drop down like this in the recording I put on YouTube, you can |
2050 | 02:55:38 --> 02:55:43 | see I executed a market order. As it went into that, I hit it, market |
2051 | 02:55:45 --> 02:55:50 | rallied, and then I shared this imbalance here, trades into that, and |
2052 | 02:55:50 --> 02:55:56 | then delivers up into the new week, opening gap. Because I'm trading pre |
2053 | 02:55:56 --> 02:56:03 | session, that means even before seven o'clock, I'm using the logic of relative |
2054 | 02:56:03 --> 02:56:10 | equal highs over here. So now watch what occurs in price. Are these? Are these |
2055 | 02:56:10 --> 02:56:15 | relative equal highs hiding from you? Were they in your chart too? Of course, |
2056 | 02:56:15 --> 02:56:18 | they were. Were you watching chart at the time? Maybe, maybe not. I don't |
2057 | 02:56:18 --> 02:56:23 | know, but I know that there's liquidity up there in this list. In this 2024 |
2058 | 02:56:24 --> 02:56:30 | mentorship, I taught you to validate a relative equal high. It is a high that |
2059 | 02:56:30 --> 02:56:37 | has a slightly lower high to the right of it. That's it. That's a valid |
2060 | 02:56:37 --> 02:56:40 | relative equal high. That is where your liquidity is most likely going to be |
2061 | 02:56:40 --> 02:56:46 | tapped. Can it run relative equal highs that have a slightly higher high than |
2062 | 02:56:46 --> 02:56:52 | that one? Sure can. The key is, this is the part where you write down shit, if |
2063 | 02:56:52 --> 02:56:56 | you watch that one that has the higher high, if it makes the higher high with |
2064 | 02:56:56 --> 02:57:01 | the wick. But the bodies are still selling showing this this body close is |
2065 | 02:57:01 --> 02:57:05 | slightly lower than that one. If the one that you think is a relative equal high, |
2066 | 02:57:05 --> 02:57:09 | if it wicks above it, but the body still stays below than the one to the left |
2067 | 02:57:09 --> 02:57:13 | that's still a valid relative equal high, and it'll go into the wick. You're |
2068 | 02:57:13 --> 02:57:18 | just going to be met with the challenge of you need to see it trade above and |
2069 | 02:57:18 --> 02:57:22 | close and show speed and magnitude above. If it has a width, it's |
2070 | 02:57:22 --> 02:57:27 | consequent encroachment. Okay, remember, we were looking at when price was diving |
2071 | 02:57:27 --> 02:57:31 | down today, below its initial low after 930 is opening. I said, What's the |
2072 | 02:57:31 --> 02:57:36 | wicks? That's why you need to see. Does it want to indicate that it wants to go |
2073 | 02:57:36 --> 02:57:39 | through that? If it does, then you probably part of a more meaningful run. |
2074 | 02:57:39 --> 02:57:45 | Or if it does that, give it a chance to reverse and get back above it, which is |
2075 | 02:57:45 --> 02:57:48 | what we outlined this morning, and then trade to the opening range gap again and |
2076 | 02:57:48 --> 02:57:51 | to write to the buy side liquidity I outlined at the very beginning of the |
2077 | 02:57:52 --> 02:57:57 | stream. See how this stuff goes together. It's logic that will repeat |
2078 | 02:57:57 --> 02:58:04 | for you, but until you see it and expose yourself to it via livestream, watching |
2079 | 02:58:04 --> 02:58:07 | over real time price action, because if I don't know what I'm talking about, |
2080 | 02:58:07 --> 02:58:12 | you're gonna see it. It will fail miserably, that things won't be there. |
2081 | 02:58:12 --> 02:58:16 | Are you seeing that? Or are you seeing shit that just does not make sense |
2082 | 02:58:16 --> 02:58:21 | otherwise, but works? Yeah, it's like technical science. So this is the draw |
2083 | 02:58:21 --> 02:58:22 | on liquidity. Are |
2084 | 02:58:30 --> 02:58:32 | you having fun? I'm having fun. |
2085 | 02:58:36 --> 02:58:40 | I see your buy stops are here. So that's where your buy side liquidity is. This |
2086 | 02:58:40 --> 02:58:45 | is the entry I'll show you that in a minute, it rallies, creates an imbalance |
2087 | 02:58:45 --> 02:58:49 | here. Notice that this imbalance doesn't even match on the one minute chart, but |
2088 | 02:58:49 --> 02:58:57 | we're watching on the lower time frames. But again, what is here? When price goes |
2089 | 02:58:57 --> 02:59:01 | above it did we just disregard this? Well, if you're watching anything else |
2090 | 02:59:01 --> 02:59:10 | but ICP, that's exactly what you do. No, we don't do that. We take and you |
2091 | 02:59:10 --> 02:59:13 | measure it when the timeframe it exists. So there is what consequent |
2092 | 02:59:13 --> 02:59:19 | encroachment? Do these candles touch that consequent encroachment? No. So |
2093 | 02:59:19 --> 02:59:23 | while I'm watching price action. I may be showing you the execution being |
2094 | 02:59:23 --> 02:59:28 | recorded on that one specific time frame. What am I not showing you? It's |
2095 | 02:59:28 --> 02:59:32 | my observations through the price delivery continuum. It's watching higher |
2096 | 02:59:32 --> 02:59:37 | time frames down the lower time frames. And I'm weighing out, do my PD arrays |
2097 | 02:59:37 --> 02:59:42 | keep price from dropping, or if I'm expecting this consequent encroachment |
2098 | 02:59:42 --> 02:59:47 | to trade to which is reasonable, it's consequential. It's consequential to you |
2099 | 02:59:47 --> 02:59:51 | holding onto the trade so it can encroach into the mid part of that wick. |
2100 | 02:59:51 --> 02:59:55 | Hence the name consequent encroachment. So if I'm looking at it and it doesn't |
2101 | 02:59:55 --> 02:59:59 | touch the midpoint of that, if I'm bullish, and if I'm in a long trade, |
2102 | 02:59:59 --> 03:00:04 | does that. Bolster my confidence, or does it chip away at my confidence about |
2103 | 03:00:04 --> 03:00:09 | holding the trade if it fails to touch that midpoint? Is that a good thing, or |
2104 | 03:00:09 --> 03:00:13 | is it a bad thing for my trade? If I'm long, I'm trying to make a game by |
2105 | 03:00:13 --> 03:00:18 | having prices move higher. It's fucking wonderfully delicious. That's exactly |
2106 | 03:00:18 --> 03:00:23 | what I want to see happen. But you aren't taught that in anything else. |
2107 | 03:00:23 --> 03:00:28 | This is real order, flow. I didn't have to show you a market profile, volume. I |
2108 | 03:00:28 --> 03:00:33 | didn't have to show you depth of market. A ladder, no v wop. Fuck all the Mickey |
2109 | 03:00:33 --> 03:00:37 | Mouse bullshit. You're literally seeing everything in Open, High, lows, close |
2110 | 03:00:37 --> 03:00:43 | bars, okay, everything is in price, everything. They're never, ever, ever, |
2111 | 03:00:43 --> 03:00:47 | ever, ever, gonna be able to hide it from you. It's never gonna be hidden |
2112 | 03:00:47 --> 03:00:50 | from you. They cannot fucking hide it from you. Stop worrying about it. It's |
2113 | 03:00:50 --> 03:00:54 | gonna not work, because I'm gonna start doing it's gonna stop working. I'm gonna |
2114 | 03:00:54 --> 03:00:58 | change the algorithm. I'm not changing shit. What part of this, don't you |
2115 | 03:00:58 --> 03:01:05 | understand? It's gonna keep fucking working. Man, come on. But you're |
2116 | 03:01:05 --> 03:01:09 | watching time frames that are higher down to the lower time frames. You're |
2117 | 03:01:09 --> 03:01:12 | gonna see things on the lower time frames that you won't see on the higher |
2118 | 03:01:12 --> 03:01:17 | Time Frame, for instance, the 15 second chart. But I'm managing, I'm managing |
2119 | 03:01:17 --> 03:01:23 | the expectation of what the five minutes doing, with the 15 minutes doing, and |
2120 | 03:01:23 --> 03:01:27 | how many things are forming on that 15 minute chart. It's not forming like on a |
2121 | 03:01:27 --> 03:01:32 | 15 second chart, and it's behind you after it forms. That means the price is |
2122 | 03:01:32 --> 03:01:35 | advanced. If you're on the right side, you're moving further away from that |
2123 | 03:01:35 --> 03:01:39 | thing that occurred on the 15 minute time frame. For instance, say this, say |
2124 | 03:01:39 --> 03:01:44 | this gap down here was based on a 15 minute time frame, and we're trading |
2125 | 03:01:44 --> 03:01:48 | here. Is this all the influential in terms of watching price action at that |
2126 | 03:01:48 --> 03:01:54 | moment? There no so as I move away from the higher Time Frame PD arrays, that's |
2127 | 03:01:54 --> 03:01:57 | supporting my confidence that the trade's panning out, I don't need to |
2128 | 03:01:57 --> 03:02:01 | worry about the 15 second anymore. My focus drops down to the five. And as |
2129 | 03:02:01 --> 03:02:04 | long as I'm moving away from the PB arrays that swarm on the five minute |
2130 | 03:02:04 --> 03:02:06 | chart, then that's wonderful. That's exactly what I see happen. But I'm |
2131 | 03:02:06 --> 03:02:10 | watching that one minute chart, and then same thing, because one minute is going |
2132 | 03:02:10 --> 03:02:13 | to be closest to anything less than a one minute chart. So the PB arrays that |
2133 | 03:02:13 --> 03:02:17 | form on the one minute chart, if I'm working with a 15 second, 32nd 45 |
2134 | 03:02:17 --> 03:02:22 | second, or five second chart, I am very, very hawkish over the one minute chart, |
2135 | 03:02:22 --> 03:02:28 | I'm watching every PD array. This is an example. So if I have a wick here, the |
2136 | 03:02:28 --> 03:02:32 | midpoint of that wick, I'm watching as his feelings. I could see it touch that, |
2137 | 03:02:32 --> 03:02:36 | but I don't want to see it, touch it. When's the last time you were in a |
2138 | 03:02:36 --> 03:02:42 | trade? And you know what you're looking for, for support or resistance? And your |
2139 | 03:02:42 --> 03:02:46 | thing about it goes in the face of trading support, resistance. You want to |
2140 | 03:02:46 --> 03:02:50 | see price, find support at support, right? I want to see it come down, touch |
2141 | 03:02:50 --> 03:02:54 | this and and, and push price higher. Well, that very there's flawed logic, |
2142 | 03:02:54 --> 03:02:58 | because support was ain't pushing shit, but the narrative that causes you to |
2143 | 03:02:58 --> 03:03:03 | lose money and put false hope in something, it doesn't work. I want to |
2144 | 03:03:03 --> 03:03:08 | see a level that could support but not touch it. That right? There is a whole |
2145 | 03:03:08 --> 03:03:13 | paradigm shift. If something is reasonable to assume that this is likely |
2146 | 03:03:13 --> 03:03:18 | to happen in price, but it can't even do it. It tells you, without a shadow of |
2147 | 03:03:18 --> 03:03:23 | doubt, it's immediate feedback. This motherfucker is going up or going down |
2148 | 03:03:23 --> 03:03:26 | in deference if it can't trade up to a level that you thought it could be, if |
2149 | 03:03:27 --> 03:03:32 | it could be touched, think about it. Never thought about like that. Have you |
2150 | 03:03:32 --> 03:03:36 | right? Because I take everything and turn it upside down, and when you do |
2151 | 03:03:36 --> 03:03:40 | that with trading, it works. If you do what everybody else does, you're gonna |
2152 | 03:03:40 --> 03:03:44 | get the same results. 90% of people lose money. 90 people fucking blow their |
2153 | 03:03:44 --> 03:03:48 | accounts out. 90% of people can't be profit long term. They don't see what |
2154 | 03:03:48 --> 03:03:51 | price is gonna do. They can't trade. They can't do this candy. They don't win |
2155 | 03:03:51 --> 03:03:53 | to buy. They don't want to sell. You can't time the market. That's what they |
2156 | 03:03:53 --> 03:03:56 | tell you. You can't time the market. What the fuck am I doing here? I'm |
2157 | 03:03:56 --> 03:04:00 | literally telling you in advance what it's gonna do on a one minute candle on |
2158 | 03:04:00 --> 03:04:07 | a 15 second candle. Why it should do it? You have a choice. You either believe |
2159 | 03:04:07 --> 03:04:11 | the god is standing here telling you and proving it to you and charging nothing |
2160 | 03:04:11 --> 03:04:16 | for it, or you believe everybody else. What are you going to do? Do you have a |
2161 | 03:04:16 --> 03:04:20 | choice now? What direction are you going to walk forward with? You going to |
2162 | 03:04:20 --> 03:04:24 | believe the guy that's proven it to you and saying all you have to do is keep |
2163 | 03:04:24 --> 03:04:28 | taking lessons, and you're going to learn more as you go. And it costs |
2164 | 03:04:28 --> 03:04:32 | nothing out of your pocket. You're going to grow, and you eventually will make |
2165 | 03:04:32 --> 03:04:36 | more than you've ever fucking needed in your job ever. And what you do beyond |
2166 | 03:04:36 --> 03:04:40 | that is up to you, or you want to listen to everybody else's opinion. I don't |
2167 | 03:04:40 --> 03:04:43 | know you tell me which one's the best watcher decision, but that right there |
2168 | 03:04:43 --> 03:04:47 | sets up the tone for it to run higher. How high can it run? Well, the draw is |
2169 | 03:04:48 --> 03:04:52 | the new week opening gap low, right? No, because that's equivalent to and below |
2170 | 03:04:52 --> 03:04:56 | the relative equal highs. It's over here where the stops are. This is where real |
2171 | 03:04:56 --> 03:05:00 | orders are. Anyone that's been short, they have stop orders, right? Here. How |
2172 | 03:05:00 --> 03:05:03 | do you protect a shortstop, I'm sorry, a short position, you put a buy stop on |
2173 | 03:05:03 --> 03:05:06 | it. So if it goes up to that level, you want to be out, because it could keep |
2174 | 03:05:06 --> 03:05:11 | going higher. You don't want to hold on to unlimited risk, right? So above highs |
2175 | 03:05:11 --> 03:05:15 | or a singular high after markets dropped, you don't need a book map to |
2176 | 03:05:15 --> 03:05:20 | tell you that there's buy stops above that, you don't need that. Do you need |
2177 | 03:05:20 --> 03:05:24 | it in the beginning to help convey and teach you conceptually, I believe, at |
2178 | 03:05:24 --> 03:05:30 | the time when I first started, if a if there was a way to I could see real |
2179 | 03:05:30 --> 03:05:36 | orders that would have helped me understand why the market could gyrate |
2180 | 03:05:36 --> 03:05:41 | to a specific level, but not to everything, any the perfect excuse of |
2181 | 03:05:41 --> 03:05:45 | saying why it's not always the be all, end all, panacea that people say it is. |
2182 | 03:05:45 --> 03:05:49 | Just look at the live streamers that use it. Why aren't they talking about the |
2183 | 03:05:49 --> 03:05:54 | very levels that call the high enemy term, high and low in a day? They're not |
2184 | 03:05:55 --> 03:05:58 | because they don't know how to read it. It might be telling you that that |
2185 | 03:05:58 --> 03:06:02 | there's this number of trades sitting here in a pending order. But that number |
2186 | 03:06:02 --> 03:06:06 | of trades pending above an old high or relative equal highs, or below a low or |
2187 | 03:06:06 --> 03:06:13 | below relative equal lows, doesn't mean it's going to turn the market. It |
2188 | 03:06:13 --> 03:06:16 | doesn't mean anything except for that's where the orders are. So if that's all |
2189 | 03:06:16 --> 03:06:18 | you're going to get from it, I've already taught you how to read price |
2190 | 03:06:18 --> 03:06:23 | action, where you don't need any extra gimmick. Everything is in the chart. |
2191 | 03:06:23 --> 03:06:28 | Everything is in the chart. As long as you have real time data. You have every |
2192 | 03:06:28 --> 03:06:33 | weapon that's available to you that's required to do well. So you can't use |
2193 | 03:06:33 --> 03:06:37 | the new week opening gap low, which is that big, bold line here from this week, |
2194 | 03:06:37 --> 03:06:44 | Sunday's opening. You can't use that one because the the barrier to getting to |
2195 | 03:06:44 --> 03:06:49 | the liquidity is above that here, by that candle sticks high, so right away |
2196 | 03:06:49 --> 03:06:53 | we're met with this is the initial interest. Can it trade there? And then, |
2197 | 03:06:54 --> 03:06:57 | if you start doing calculations, which you don't see me doing, but I'm showing |
2198 | 03:06:57 --> 03:07:01 | you why I did it, and you're going to see right away, this is exactly what I |
2199 | 03:07:01 --> 03:07:06 | was doing on my other chart, because I have monitors in front of me. And you |
2200 | 03:07:06 --> 03:07:10 | can see that if you go on my YouTube shorts, you'll see my my trading, uh, |
2201 | 03:07:11 --> 03:07:17 | layout. I have 12 monitors. I have a 13th monitor that I don't have actually |
2202 | 03:07:17 --> 03:07:20 | hung up. And I was telling my kids the other day, I gotta get this thing hung |
2203 | 03:07:20 --> 03:07:25 | up. It's a larger screen, but you need all that stuff now. And I probably |
2204 | 03:07:25 --> 03:07:28 | shouldn't have said it that way, because it sounds like, Oh man, I'm not gonna be |
2205 | 03:07:28 --> 03:07:31 | able to trade like this or have this information unless that you don't need |
2206 | 03:07:31 --> 03:07:36 | that. You can do it with a three panel layout like I first started. But I had |
2207 | 03:07:36 --> 03:07:40 | to preface this part of discussion with the with the disclaimer, again, because |
2208 | 03:07:41 --> 03:07:46 | I don't want you believing just because I said it. I want you to investigate it |
2209 | 03:07:46 --> 03:07:51 | yourself. See it, if it's there, if it's not like anything else. Okay, for the |
2210 | 03:07:51 --> 03:07:55 | people that go through it and start trying to study it this way, it's going |
2211 | 03:07:55 --> 03:07:58 | to unlock a perception of price actions you've never seen before. Everybody has |
2212 | 03:07:58 --> 03:08:02 | a 15 minute time frame. Everybody has a five minute, everybody has a one minute, |
2213 | 03:08:02 --> 03:08:07 | but they how they manage it, the continuum of how price is delivered |
2214 | 03:08:07 --> 03:08:11 | through that, that mechanism of higher Time Frame, down the lower time frame |
2215 | 03:08:11 --> 03:08:15 | and then back up, not just one side. It's got to go back both ways. And |
2216 | 03:08:15 --> 03:08:18 | you're constantly weighing out what feedback you're getting with the PD |
2217 | 03:08:18 --> 03:08:23 | arrays I teach. And when you can see the price action doing these elements and |
2218 | 03:08:23 --> 03:08:27 | how it supports price continuously moving, it's about it's not being |
2219 | 03:08:27 --> 03:08:31 | negated. It's not eating into levels that would otherwise be problematic. |
2220 | 03:08:31 --> 03:08:35 | Everything's supporting each other, but it's not support resistance. It's not |
2221 | 03:08:35 --> 03:08:39 | supply and demand. It's literally looking at how price refers to liquidity |
2222 | 03:08:39 --> 03:08:44 | and inefficiency in the spectrum of moving in a predetermined level above |
2223 | 03:08:44 --> 03:08:48 | these relative equal highs. Okay, but now how far the question is always this, |
2224 | 03:08:48 --> 03:08:52 | where is price drawing to? Well, where's the relative equal highs and relative |
2225 | 03:08:52 --> 03:08:57 | equal lows? Once you determine that, how far beyond them can it reach? Well, what |
2226 | 03:08:58 --> 03:09:02 | end dog or new week opening gap is existing beyond them, because that's |
2227 | 03:09:02 --> 03:09:09 | where it's going to gravitate to. So we have the the buy side here, these |
2228 | 03:09:09 --> 03:09:13 | relative equal highs at the butt end and into the lower quadrant of the new week |
2229 | 03:09:13 --> 03:09:18 | opening gap, which is defined by that high here, this line, in this line, if |
2230 | 03:09:18 --> 03:09:20 | you watch the beginning of the recording, I'll show you where these |
2231 | 03:09:20 --> 03:09:24 | levels are anchored to it's Sunday and month Sunday and Mondays. I'm sorry, |
2232 | 03:09:25 --> 03:09:30 | Sunday's opening tick at 6pm and where Friday's settlement price was, and the |
2233 | 03:09:30 --> 03:09:34 | difference between it whichever is higher, that makes that the new week |
2234 | 03:09:34 --> 03:09:38 | opening got high. Whichever is lower, last Friday's settlement price or |
2235 | 03:09:38 --> 03:09:42 | Sunday's opening price is obviously the low, okay, so that's how you define it, |
2236 | 03:09:43 --> 03:09:49 | but the midpoint of it is here. That would be consequence encroachment. But |
2237 | 03:09:49 --> 03:09:53 | because I want to have the lowest threshold exit, I want to show my |
2238 | 03:09:53 --> 03:09:56 | students how to do that. I want to show my son how to do that. Yeah, it could |
2239 | 03:09:56 --> 03:10:03 | trade there, but what's before that? Uh, the lower quadrant level, right there. |
2240 | 03:10:03 --> 03:10:10 | So to get this, this price is going to have to book what 19,006 10.50 or |
2241 | 03:10:10 --> 03:10:16 | slightly higher, right, right, of course. So if that's the case, we're |
2242 | 03:10:16 --> 03:10:22 | going to have these levels here. And just know that that line, once we get |
2243 | 03:10:22 --> 03:10:29 | above the blue line, which is the bio to here, if we have that on our chart, we |
2244 | 03:10:29 --> 03:10:36 | can do this. We can look at a 15 second chart here. All of the things that are |
2245 | 03:10:36 --> 03:10:45 | over here on this chart right here are being shown to you on a one minute |
2246 | 03:10:45 --> 03:10:51 | chart, and I'm watching on a 15 second chart now. 15 second chart. Your first |
2247 | 03:10:51 --> 03:10:56 | time seeing it, you're going to think, wow, it's too fast. I can't use that |
2248 | 03:10:56 --> 03:11:01 | time frame. It's too fast. It's not moving any faster than what that one |
2249 | 03:11:01 --> 03:11:06 | minute and then 15 minute time frame the hourly chart, the daily chart, if you're |
2250 | 03:11:06 --> 03:11:12 | watching ticking price on a 15 second chart, have a daily candle chart right |
2251 | 03:11:12 --> 03:11:17 | next to it, and you'll see it's not moving any faster. But because you're |
2252 | 03:11:17 --> 03:11:21 | looking at the candlesticks forming closing, create another one open, |
2253 | 03:11:21 --> 03:11:26 | forming closing. It feels fast, but when you anchor it to a higher time frame |
2254 | 03:11:26 --> 03:11:29 | reference point, like, for instance, the one minute chart. The one minute chart |
2255 | 03:11:29 --> 03:11:36 | is my guide on what I'm doing for a 45 second chart, a 32nd chart, a 15 second |
2256 | 03:11:36 --> 03:11:40 | chart and a five second chart, I've executed, and you've seen me do this |
2257 | 03:11:40 --> 03:11:43 | with a five second chart, and it has the same measure of precision that I show on |
2258 | 03:11:43 --> 03:11:49 | any other time frame. So if, well, if I'm looking on a one minute chart like |
2259 | 03:11:49 --> 03:11:56 | this, and I'm expecting price to gravitate up to that 19,006 10.25 level, |
2260 | 03:11:56 --> 03:12:00 | which is right here as well on the 15 second chart, it could trade up to the |
2261 | 03:12:00 --> 03:12:06 | halfway point of the new week, opening gap, which is here, over here, okay, but |
2262 | 03:12:06 --> 03:12:11 | I want to be able to teach my son how to get very easy objectives where it's not |
2263 | 03:12:11 --> 03:12:15 | hard work. It's more likely to fill this one than try to reach for something |
2264 | 03:12:15 --> 03:12:20 | that's really high and lofty. Because I've been in a pursuit of perfection my |
2265 | 03:12:20 --> 03:12:24 | entire career. And every time I demand perfection while I'm moving in the |
2266 | 03:12:24 --> 03:12:29 | direction, right direction, because of the aspect of the limit order, meeting |
2267 | 03:12:29 --> 03:12:35 | the spread in that agreement before I get my fill, sometimes I don't get my |
2268 | 03:12:35 --> 03:12:38 | exit even though the price can book there. And I've shown this in live |
2269 | 03:12:38 --> 03:12:42 | streams. I've shown it in live examples. I've shown it with live accounts. I've |
2270 | 03:12:42 --> 03:12:46 | done it and it trades the price. I've called it trades to the limit order |
2271 | 03:12:46 --> 03:12:52 | price that should have booked, but it doesn't. It doesn't trip me in that. I |
2272 | 03:12:52 --> 03:12:55 | take that as a little aggravating, but it's also a pat on the back for saying, |
2273 | 03:12:55 --> 03:12:59 | You know what, you're a fucking animal ICT, because literally, you called the |
2274 | 03:12:59 --> 03:13:02 | very turning point. And they were being dicks on the way out the door, they |
2275 | 03:13:02 --> 03:13:05 | said, No, you can't have it, you motherfucker, you're taking everything |
2276 | 03:13:05 --> 03:13:11 | from us. We can't let you have it. Don't take the last piece of pie. So I've |
2277 | 03:13:11 --> 03:13:16 | afforded myself a strategy that says, Yes, I can see where the best turning |
2278 | 03:13:16 --> 03:13:20 | points are likely to form, but on a steady diet, I need to know where the |
2279 | 03:13:20 --> 03:13:25 | easiest barriers to profitable exits are going to be, for me, which is the |
2280 | 03:13:25 --> 03:13:29 | easiest thing to get to? Well, it can't be the low, because that's where the |
2281 | 03:13:29 --> 03:13:33 | actual relative equal highs are, then where the buy side is, and it's just |
2282 | 03:13:33 --> 03:13:38 | slightly above that. So that's that blue line, remember. And then above that, we |
2283 | 03:13:38 --> 03:13:41 | have the lower quadrant of the new week opening gap. And then then we have the |
2284 | 03:13:41 --> 03:13:47 | midpoint of it. So this level here is the easiest threshold to exit |
2285 | 03:13:47 --> 03:13:52 | profitably, even if I can't get the midpoint of the new week opening gap. So |
2286 | 03:13:52 --> 03:13:56 | you see how I'm measuring with logic that it could go to a specific level |
2287 | 03:13:56 --> 03:14:00 | that I can forecast. I can see it, and I can feel good in my journal and say I |
2288 | 03:14:00 --> 03:14:04 | felt really strong about the consequent crochet of that level being traded to. |
2289 | 03:14:04 --> 03:14:09 | But rules state that to have a low barrier to exit profitably. State that |
2290 | 03:14:09 --> 03:14:12 | what's, what's the threshold prior to that? Well, it would be the lower |
2291 | 03:14:12 --> 03:14:17 | quadrant of the new week opening gap, and then as price created this level |
2292 | 03:14:17 --> 03:14:22 | here, that's green. I'm looking for that to be a breakaway. And it acted as such. |
2293 | 03:14:22 --> 03:14:26 | It didn't even trade back down into it. And then we had this gap here, from |
2294 | 03:14:26 --> 03:14:29 | where we close here, we opened on that candlestick right there. And there's an |
2295 | 03:14:29 --> 03:14:35 | actual gap with an order block. This is a strong PD array, if you ever have an |
2296 | 03:14:35 --> 03:14:43 | actual gap where there's no no wicks, and you see it after a down closed |
2297 | 03:14:43 --> 03:14:47 | candle, and you're bullish as soon as it trades down into that, that's a buy, and |
2298 | 03:14:47 --> 03:14:53 | that's why I bought it. But it's the gap. Even if that order block wasn't |
2299 | 03:14:53 --> 03:14:57 | there, this, this would have been a fair value, and that's what's highlighted |
2300 | 03:14:57 --> 03:15:02 | there in blue. So it's for student. That know more than you generally do. As a |
2301 | 03:15:02 --> 03:15:05 | new student watching me on YouTube, I've had students for a number of years |
2302 | 03:15:05 --> 03:15:10 | following me, and they have a little bit advantage of having been with me longer, |
2303 | 03:15:10 --> 03:15:13 | and they know a little bit more about what it is I teach, but most of it's |
2304 | 03:15:13 --> 03:15:16 | actually on this YouTube channel. So don't look at them and say, Well, I wish |
2305 | 03:15:16 --> 03:15:20 | I would have been just watch the fucking videos. They're here for free. But as it |
2306 | 03:15:20 --> 03:15:24 | slammed into that, I went long and turned out to market. You watched it in |
2307 | 03:15:24 --> 03:15:31 | the recording, and then we rallied up in this area, right here, right there. |
2308 | 03:15:31 --> 03:15:36 | That's this wick. That's what's being measured on one minute chart. I'm |
2309 | 03:15:36 --> 03:15:41 | watching as prices going up. I'm watching the 15 second destroy the |
2310 | 03:15:41 --> 03:15:45 | midpoint of that right there, which is exactly what I want to see. And then |
2311 | 03:15:45 --> 03:15:48 | when we start to come back down in I don't want to see it touched. Does it |
2312 | 03:15:48 --> 03:15:53 | touch it there? No, oh no, oh no, oh no. I want to see it come down and not touch |
2313 | 03:15:53 --> 03:15:58 | it. Does it touch it? No. Then it starts to rally up. Wonderful institutional |
2314 | 03:15:58 --> 03:16:02 | order for entry drill. Why? Because we have proof that it doesn't want to go to |
2315 | 03:16:02 --> 03:16:05 | them. Consequent pressure here based on a one minute chart. See what I'm doing. |
2316 | 03:16:06 --> 03:16:09 | I'm measuring the strength and the magnitude that's still possible in the |
2317 | 03:16:09 --> 03:16:14 | delivery of the price, but I'm measuring the underlying strength and seeing, does |
2318 | 03:16:14 --> 03:16:19 | this really prove that I'm on the right side? And is the market breadth in a |
2319 | 03:16:19 --> 03:16:23 | visual representation that can never hide it from you. Is it supporting |
2320 | 03:16:23 --> 03:16:28 | higher prices? Yes, because if it was weak and touched this level here, then |
2321 | 03:16:28 --> 03:16:31 | it's probably going to have a deeper retracement only. I don't want to see |
2322 | 03:16:31 --> 03:16:35 | that. I want to be a part of a trade. I want to hold on to a trade. I want to |
2323 | 03:16:35 --> 03:16:39 | fucking add to trades that show me all these types of signatures that tell me, |
2324 | 03:16:39 --> 03:16:43 | No, I can't even get down there for you. ICT, yeah, this is your shit, but I |
2325 | 03:16:43 --> 03:16:48 | can't even get down there for you. I can't even get down okay, that means |
2326 | 03:16:48 --> 03:16:52 | you're getting ready to go up for me, and I'm already on side, so I'm gonna be |
2327 | 03:16:52 --> 03:16:56 | comfortable. I'm gonna be wonderful, and then I'm gonna make my target better. |
2328 | 03:16:56 --> 03:17:01 | When it was just above that blue line. Watch the recording. I raise it up to |
2329 | 03:17:01 --> 03:17:04 | some random level you can't see otherwise, but it's the lower quadrant. |
2330 | 03:17:16 --> 03:17:19 | There's the buy. Has it happened in real time? Look at the look at the little |
2331 | 03:17:19 --> 03:17:29 | carrot that appears right at the order block. You see that beautiful, isn't it? |
2332 | 03:17:29 --> 03:17:33 | That's the entry. Could you improve on that? ICT? I probably could have buy a |
2333 | 03:17:33 --> 03:17:37 | tick. That's the best I probably could have improved on because I was dealing |
2334 | 03:17:37 --> 03:17:42 | with a market limit order. I probably could have done consequent encroachment, |
2335 | 03:17:42 --> 03:17:48 | but risk maybe not getting filled. But that is fucking poetry. Like, that's |
2336 | 03:17:48 --> 03:17:53 | beautiful. Like, that's beautiful. The market rallies up, comes back down. |
2337 | 03:17:53 --> 03:17:56 | Doesn't give me consequent encroachment test there, folks, this is, this is |
2338 | 03:17:56 --> 03:18:01 | fucking beyond charter level. Charter level members never learned this shit. |
2339 | 03:18:01 --> 03:18:05 | They never were gonna get these lessons. They never, ever, ever, ever would have |
2340 | 03:18:05 --> 03:18:10 | gotten this lesson, ever. They never would have gotten it. They never would |
2341 | 03:18:10 --> 03:18:14 | have learned this. This never been taught anywhere else before. It's never |
2342 | 03:18:14 --> 03:18:18 | intended to be in the public size. It never was supposed to be in your hands |
2343 | 03:18:19 --> 03:18:23 | and you're watching this stuff, you might be thinking, this is complicated, |
2344 | 03:18:23 --> 03:18:29 | this is dumb. I don't get this. The logic was used. They take the trade, |
2345 | 03:18:30 --> 03:18:35 | then you hear me bloviate about the same stuff every single time we're in front |
2346 | 03:18:35 --> 03:18:37 | of live streams. This is what you're looking for. You're watching this, |
2347 | 03:18:37 --> 03:18:40 | Caleb, you're looking for this. And you're gonna see this shit. This piece |
2348 | 03:18:40 --> 03:18:43 | happened over and over again, and it might seem alien to you. It might seem |
2349 | 03:18:43 --> 03:18:48 | complex to you right now, but you're going to see it doesn't get complex. It |
2350 | 03:18:48 --> 03:18:51 | gets easier because you keep seeing me say the same things about the same |
2351 | 03:18:51 --> 03:18:56 | stuff. All you have to do is know where the price is going to move. Where's it |
2352 | 03:18:56 --> 03:19:00 | going to draw relative equal highs, okay? How far past the relative equal |
2353 | 03:19:00 --> 03:19:03 | highs? Well, is there a new day of winning gap, or is there a new week |
2354 | 03:19:03 --> 03:19:07 | opening gap just above it? Where is it? Close proximity. Use that one if the |
2355 | 03:19:07 --> 03:19:12 | range permits it. Break that range or inefficiency into quadrants. Lowest |
2356 | 03:19:13 --> 03:19:18 | quadrant, right here. What's that price? Right there? 19,006 10.25 to get that |
2357 | 03:19:18 --> 03:19:25 | price, you got to book what one tick above it, bam. Look real close right |
2358 | 03:19:25 --> 03:19:29 | here. You'll see the little arrow where I get out of bam, right there. That's |
2359 | 03:19:29 --> 03:19:33 | the logic, folks. So am I making this shit up as I go along and just happens |
2360 | 03:19:33 --> 03:19:36 | to fucking line up to the things I'm teaching? That's the that's the other |
2361 | 03:19:36 --> 03:19:39 | shit I get my comment section. Oh, this is after the fact. He's just trying to |
2362 | 03:19:39 --> 03:19:43 | make it fit. He's just cherry picking. Are you in your fucking mind? Here's |
2363 | 03:19:43 --> 03:19:48 | what I'm doing. I'm cherry picking everything that fucking works live right |
2364 | 03:19:48 --> 03:19:53 | in front of you. How about that one? Yeah, of course I'm fucking cherry |
2365 | 03:19:53 --> 03:19:57 | picking. I know what stare value got by one. That's the one I want, the one I |
2366 | 03:19:57 --> 03:20:00 | called to you live. I told you to be institutional and. Institutional order |
2367 | 03:20:00 --> 03:20:07 | for entry drill, and it delivered like a fucking Gangbuster bang, delivered. I |
2368 | 03:20:07 --> 03:20:10 | don't run out of fucking luck, and I don't run out of fucking yeast. This |
2369 | 03:20:10 --> 03:20:14 | Baker can make fucking cakes forever, as long as the Lord gives me breath and |
2370 | 03:20:14 --> 03:20:17 | faculties, I can still have in my head. I'm gonna be doing this. It's not gonna |
2371 | 03:20:17 --> 03:20:22 | stop working. So you might as well just warm up to the idea that, hey, this is |
2372 | 03:20:22 --> 03:20:26 | the real shit. I'm gonna try to learn how to do this. Even if you're just 1% |
2373 | 03:20:27 --> 03:20:33 | better each week, you're moving in the right direction. And don't let go of it. |
2374 | 03:20:33 --> 03:20:37 | Keep progressing further and further in the future, you'll see if it works. It |
2375 | 03:20:37 --> 03:20:46 | fucking works. So now let's slide on over into the 930 and this is probably |
2376 | 03:20:46 --> 03:20:53 | going to be the last long one in the series, because I have to make it |
2377 | 03:20:53 --> 03:20:56 | palatable for Caleb, because it is a lot. I'm gonna take these. These are |
2378 | 03:20:56 --> 03:21:04 | just measuring those wicks on the one minute chart, and I don't need this, and |
2379 | 03:21:04 --> 03:21:07 | don't need the old lows, I'm sorry, the relatively glass. We don't need to see |
2380 | 03:21:07 --> 03:21:08 | that anymore, |
2381 | 03:21:11 --> 03:21:12 | and we don't need |
2382 | 03:21:14 --> 03:21:19 | and we'll keep that one for now. All right, so 930 Okay, so we ran up into |
2383 | 03:21:19 --> 03:21:23 | the opening range. Gap went above it a little bit, broke down. Here's a gap |
2384 | 03:21:23 --> 03:21:29 | right there. You see that right there, we overshoot it a little bit. That's |
2385 | 03:21:29 --> 03:21:32 | that's equivalent to a one minute Mohawk. There's a little bit of a |
2386 | 03:21:32 --> 03:21:35 | coloring outside the range. You have to keep things in perspective, because this |
2387 | 03:21:35 --> 03:21:39 | is a 15 second chart, meaning every single individual candlestick is |
2388 | 03:21:39 --> 03:21:44 | representing the open, the highest high, the lowest low, and where we stop |
2389 | 03:21:44 --> 03:21:49 | trading every 15 seconds. Now it sounds scary like, Man, this is moving too |
2390 | 03:21:49 --> 03:21:54 | fast. It's moving no faster than it's moving on an hourly chart, a weekly |
2391 | 03:21:54 --> 03:21:59 | chart, a monthly chart, a yearly chart. It's not moving any faster. The only |
2392 | 03:21:59 --> 03:22:04 | thing that tricks you by perspective, is the frequency of a new candle forming |
2393 | 03:22:05 --> 03:22:10 | the range upon which it's moving higher and lower. It's not changing that the |
2394 | 03:22:10 --> 03:22:16 | same amount of time and fluctuation is occurring. So when people say the speed |
2395 | 03:22:16 --> 03:22:20 | is too fast, they're really talking other ass, because the market's still |
2396 | 03:22:20 --> 03:22:26 | doing the same speed. What's changing is the magnitude of the move. That is not |
2397 | 03:22:26 --> 03:22:31 | determined by the time frame you're watching. It's that has no it has no |
2398 | 03:22:33 --> 03:22:41 | direct influence of how far it's going to go. Something occurring on a 15 |
2399 | 03:22:41 --> 03:22:49 | second chart doesn't equate to or make 100 PIP or 100 handle run in price. You |
2400 | 03:22:49 --> 03:22:52 | can't think about it like that. The market's going to run like that because |
2401 | 03:22:52 --> 03:22:57 | of time. If it's the right time for those types of runs to occur, then it |
2402 | 03:22:57 --> 03:23:01 | will. It matters not whether you're perceiving price through a 15 second |
2403 | 03:23:01 --> 03:23:04 | chart, a one minute chart, five minute chart, 15 second chart, whatever time |
2404 | 03:23:04 --> 03:23:08 | for you're watching the magnitude or the distance upon which price is going to |
2405 | 03:23:08 --> 03:23:14 | move is dictated by the time upon which that move begins. And it doesn't mean |
2406 | 03:23:14 --> 03:23:19 | that you begin a move on a 15 second chart. 15 second charts, this gives you |
2407 | 03:23:19 --> 03:23:23 | these areas of opportunity for you engaging price. It does not make the |
2408 | 03:23:23 --> 03:23:26 | move faster, and it doesn't slow the move down. It just gives you |
2409 | 03:23:26 --> 03:23:32 | opportunities to engage. What's going to be in play, higher prices or lower |
2410 | 03:23:32 --> 03:23:37 | prices. Okay, so we're going to go into the second drop, where we're spending |
2411 | 03:23:37 --> 03:23:42 | too much time in the opening range. We're inside this inefficiency here we |
2412 | 03:23:42 --> 03:23:44 | drop down after working the midpoint of it |
2413 | 03:23:44 --> 03:23:46 | or not the midpoint of it, the |
2414 | 03:23:48 --> 03:23:57 | lower lower quadrant, we drop institutional or flow entry drill there, |
2415 | 03:23:57 --> 03:24:01 | almost immediate rebalance, right there. If I was watching this live as it was |
2416 | 03:24:01 --> 03:24:05 | going up like that, I would have commented, said, Watch for an immediate, |
2417 | 03:24:06 --> 03:24:09 | immediate rebalance. Immediately when you have a big down close candle and the |
2418 | 03:24:09 --> 03:24:12 | next candle opens up and goes right back up to the previous candle before the |
2419 | 03:24:12 --> 03:24:17 | down close or the larger range candle, and when it touches that right there, |
2420 | 03:24:17 --> 03:24:21 | that's one of the best one side indicators that you could ever get in |
2421 | 03:24:21 --> 03:24:25 | trading. And when you're watching time frames, and you're watching and managing |
2422 | 03:24:25 --> 03:24:29 | your trade, any instance of that occurring, and you have not had |
2423 | 03:24:29 --> 03:24:36 | liquidity taken, it didn't happen yet, until that right there, see that. So it |
2424 | 03:24:36 --> 03:24:39 | could have very easily went up and touch that candles low. If it did, that would |
2425 | 03:24:39 --> 03:24:44 | be an area where I would pyramid. If I was short, I would pyramid there, and I |
2426 | 03:24:44 --> 03:24:49 | would look for this load to show speed through it. It does, and that would be |
2427 | 03:24:49 --> 03:24:56 | first partial. But let's go to the conversation about what I outlined real |
2428 | 03:24:56 --> 03:25:03 | time on July. Stream. You watch me execute on something beforehand, and I |
2429 | 03:25:03 --> 03:25:06 | get to flack all the time. Why can't you talk about these moves in real time? |
2430 | 03:25:06 --> 03:25:11 | ICT, you're a bitch. You're a fraud. When I do it, you don't pay attention to |
2431 | 03:25:11 --> 03:25:15 | it. You want me to execute and place my stop loss so you can mimic me. I don't. |
2432 | 03:25:15 --> 03:25:19 | I don't want you doing that, but I will do it here. I have to do it because I |
2433 | 03:25:19 --> 03:25:23 | want my son to do it. So we have this area. I want to take this box and then |
2434 | 03:25:23 --> 03:25:26 | that shade the blue area. Remember I was telling you, that's the range between |
2435 | 03:25:26 --> 03:25:30 | the opening price to the lowest low of the day. So now it's gone, and that |
2436 | 03:25:30 --> 03:25:36 | chart looks familiar again. Okay, so we went down below the lows over here. This |
2437 | 03:25:36 --> 03:25:42 | is a one minute chart on the left low and a slightly lower load left that |
2438 | 03:25:42 --> 03:25:49 | there. So we went down below this low, right there, this price action right |
2439 | 03:25:49 --> 03:25:52 | there. Is this price action right here. |
2440 | 03:25:53 --> 03:25:54 | Watch, I'm |
2441 | 03:26:00 --> 03:26:09 | I see I'm making that little box here on the one minute chart. It shows it here |
2442 | 03:26:09 --> 03:26:14 | on the 15 second chart. So the market has a shift in market structure on the |
2443 | 03:26:14 --> 03:26:19 | 15 second chart here, the same thing you see on this one minute candle. It |
2444 | 03:26:19 --> 03:26:28 | rallies up. This is a breaker. This is a breaker. This breaker, this up close |
2445 | 03:26:28 --> 03:26:35 | candle, extend that in time there. So you have a gap, which is a buy side of |
2446 | 03:26:35 --> 03:26:39 | balance, cell sign efficiency. And you have the midpoint of that gap, which is |
2447 | 03:26:39 --> 03:26:42 | consequence encroachment. And then you have the breaker. So you have several |
2448 | 03:26:42 --> 03:26:45 | things there. If you were watching a 15 second chart, or if I was trading on a |
2449 | 03:26:45 --> 03:26:52 | 15 second chart, I would have tested the market by entering in here. Would it |
2450 | 03:26:52 --> 03:26:57 | feed that idea? It rallies up and it does. Then we said, we want to watch it |
2451 | 03:26:57 --> 03:27:01 | trade back down into the new day opening gap, high and maybe as low as the New |
2452 | 03:27:01 --> 03:27:05 | day, new day opening gap low on the 16th. Go back and listen to the early |
2453 | 03:27:05 --> 03:27:08 | part of this stream. You'll hear me saying those things over live price |
2454 | 03:27:08 --> 03:27:13 | action before it happened later on in the stream. I explained why. Because the |
2455 | 03:27:13 --> 03:27:18 | Lazi was over here with this, the bodies were respecting the new day opening gap |
2456 | 03:27:18 --> 03:27:23 | high, and it didn't do it here. So which low am I going to refer to as a discount |
2457 | 03:27:23 --> 03:27:27 | array for price this one? Even though this is lower, I don't care about that. |
2458 | 03:27:27 --> 03:27:31 | I want this one. Why? Because this one was respecting the same reference point |
2459 | 03:27:31 --> 03:27:34 | I'm using to enter off of over here on one minute chart. We want to see it |
2460 | 03:27:34 --> 03:27:39 | open, trade down to that new day, opening gap on the 16th. We get that |
2461 | 03:27:39 --> 03:27:42 | here, trades down, hit it and then rallies up. Then we have displacement. |
2462 | 03:27:43 --> 03:27:47 | We have a separation of overlapping candles, which is what we're seeing in |
2463 | 03:27:47 --> 03:27:50 | here. All of these candles are overlapping. They're sharing the same |
2464 | 03:27:50 --> 03:27:53 | price range, the highest high and the lowest low. They keep pricing them back |
2465 | 03:27:53 --> 03:27:58 | and forth, and then we leave it right there. Wonderful. That's this movement |
2466 | 03:27:58 --> 03:28:03 | right there on that candle in a limited chart. That's what I said when this |
2467 | 03:28:03 --> 03:28:06 | candle was still active on the one minute chart lower left hand corner, |
2468 | 03:28:06 --> 03:28:10 | when the candle I'm highlighting right there was still forming, had not closed |
2469 | 03:28:10 --> 03:28:14 | yet. I said we're going to see a fair value gap, and I would like to see it |
2470 | 03:28:14 --> 03:28:19 | create an institutional order flow entry drill. That means go one tick below this |
2471 | 03:28:19 --> 03:28:23 | candle is low, and then rally up to new week, opening gap low, and we'll see |
2472 | 03:28:23 --> 03:28:27 | what it does after that. Well, we get that here, boom, |
2473 | 03:28:29 --> 03:28:31 | boom rallies. |
2474 | 03:28:32 --> 03:28:38 | See that this. We don't want to see that close back in why? Because we're close |
2475 | 03:28:38 --> 03:28:42 | to a target. And if it's if it's going to go here, it's probably going to run |
2476 | 03:28:42 --> 03:28:47 | this high, because their stops right before this drop down here. Anyone |
2477 | 03:28:47 --> 03:28:50 | short, where's it going to place their protective buy stop at right above this |
2478 | 03:28:50 --> 03:28:58 | high. So if it's going to go here and trade into this old opening gap, which |
2479 | 03:28:58 --> 03:29:03 | is shaded in pink, that's the difference between yesterday's settlement price and |
2480 | 03:29:03 --> 03:29:10 | where we started trading at 930 that's the opening range. Gap price eventually |
2481 | 03:29:10 --> 03:29:13 | trades up into there and hits the new week opening gap high. Look at the |
2482 | 03:29:13 --> 03:29:20 | bodies. Look at the bodies, respecting that on a 15 second chart, buying and |
2483 | 03:29:20 --> 03:29:28 | selling pressure causes that, right? Buying and selling pressure causes that |
2484 | 03:29:28 --> 03:29:31 | much of respect of a level that's supposed to be randomly pulled out my |
2485 | 03:29:31 --> 03:29:34 | own ass. No, come on, man, at some point you're just going to have to take this. |
2486 | 03:29:34 --> 03:29:40 | Is this is something to this, and it's not somewhere else in books. No other |
2487 | 03:29:40 --> 03:29:44 | feature. Another author talked about it, they have this inefficiency down here, |
2488 | 03:29:46 --> 03:29:53 | and go over to the left, see that. So this singular candle and this singular |
2489 | 03:29:53 --> 03:30:00 | candle here are sharing space, the same space, the same range. And. And it |
2490 | 03:30:00 --> 03:30:06 | passed through with one single candle on the downside here and on the upside |
2491 | 03:30:06 --> 03:30:10 | here. Go back and listen to the time when we were trading here. We can see it |
2492 | 03:30:10 --> 03:30:14 | drop down below the new week, opening gap low and trade into the inefficiency |
2493 | 03:30:15 --> 03:30:19 | right here. But this is a balanced price range, because we pass through here and |
2494 | 03:30:19 --> 03:30:23 | we pass through it here. So between this candle slow and that candles high, that |
2495 | 03:30:23 --> 03:30:27 | little box is balanced. It's like a brick fucking wall. It's like, you will |
2496 | 03:30:27 --> 03:30:32 | not pass me. Why? Because it's in a buy program. It's going to be reaching for |
2497 | 03:30:32 --> 03:30:37 | the liquidity here, here and where we mentioned earlier, where the where the |
2498 | 03:30:37 --> 03:30:43 | buy side was, eventually we saw trading too. But the point was, I can see this. |
2499 | 03:30:43 --> 03:30:48 | I'm watching this, and I'm pairing this up with this over here. So just as much |
2500 | 03:30:48 --> 03:30:51 | as this is a balanced price range, this candle in the lower left hand corner, |
2501 | 03:30:51 --> 03:30:55 | that candle sticks high and that candle sticks low. Those two price points |
2502 | 03:30:55 --> 03:31:00 | define where two candles back to back have traded in both directions, passed |
2503 | 03:31:00 --> 03:31:07 | through multiple times in that range. So think about like a trading range. Okay, |
2504 | 03:31:07 --> 03:31:12 | you've ever studied the the trading range in a market? It's you. Most |
2505 | 03:31:12 --> 03:31:17 | traders are doing what they're waiting for, the breakout. Okay? And I'm not a |
2506 | 03:31:17 --> 03:31:20 | breakout trader, but I can understand that when a market passes back and forth |
2507 | 03:31:20 --> 03:31:25 | through a predefined range, high and low. It's going to take something |
2508 | 03:31:25 --> 03:31:30 | significant to get on the other side of it. So if I can see those types of |
2509 | 03:31:30 --> 03:31:36 | signatures in price action, it's two forms of it, single delivery down here, |
2510 | 03:31:36 --> 03:31:40 | one candle. And I mean it like this. Look at like this. Conceptually. View it |
2511 | 03:31:40 --> 03:31:41 | like this |
2512 | 03:31:47 --> 03:31:53 | gap, well now we pass through it. So we offered what here buy side, what's |
2513 | 03:31:53 --> 03:31:56 | missing over here buy side, because they only have one single cannon going down. |
2514 | 03:31:56 --> 03:32:02 | So in a perfect world, a balanced market, a efficiently delivered market |
2515 | 03:32:02 --> 03:32:06 | would have the range open all the way up to here and pass back through it, |
2516 | 03:32:06 --> 03:32:11 | because only this single candle for 15 seconds only passed through the range of |
2517 | 03:32:11 --> 03:32:16 | the previous candles low to the candles high here. So between those two price |
2518 | 03:32:16 --> 03:32:19 | points that's shaded in this blue, it only offered movement going to the |
2519 | 03:32:19 --> 03:32:24 | downside. How many times could someone buy or sell in at 15 seconds? Not much. |
2520 | 03:32:25 --> 03:32:29 | So what's it inefficient? It's inefficient in the scope of price moving |
2521 | 03:32:29 --> 03:32:34 | up, doing that same price range, and we get it here. Okay, so because we have |
2522 | 03:32:34 --> 03:32:39 | one single pass on this candle, and this candle here, I see that visually as a |
2523 | 03:32:39 --> 03:32:45 | balanced price range. It's offered both sides. It's true, because we have not |
2524 | 03:32:45 --> 03:32:49 | seen what the buy side that was going to be targeted, which is the 630, 8.75 |
2525 | 03:32:50 --> 03:32:58 | level. What does the market do? It trades down lots of bodies. The wicks |
2526 | 03:32:58 --> 03:33:03 | can do. What do the damage? They can trade outside the range. So I'm looking |
2527 | 03:33:03 --> 03:33:07 | at this as a balanced price range, but I'm anchoring it to what logic on the on |
2528 | 03:33:07 --> 03:33:11 | the one minute here. So the bottom of that candlestick right there, go back |
2529 | 03:33:11 --> 03:33:14 | and listen to the stream. It's I'm telling you about this. I'm not |
2530 | 03:33:14 --> 03:33:18 | referring to the 15 second but I'm anchoring it to the one minute chart, as |
2531 | 03:33:18 --> 03:33:21 | I'm referring to this candlestick here in this council. That's a balanced price |
2532 | 03:33:21 --> 03:33:26 | range, but it looks visually like this on a 15 second chart, so there's more |
2533 | 03:33:26 --> 03:33:29 | room for it to have this little errant price action there. But it's not errant |
2534 | 03:33:29 --> 03:33:36 | on this time frame, because watch, we're inside that balance price range. It did |
2535 | 03:33:36 --> 03:33:39 | not take out that candle. Slow. That's reasonable. It's like a brick wall. |
2536 | 03:33:39 --> 03:33:43 | You're not going to go past me, past what the low of that range that's |
2537 | 03:33:43 --> 03:33:50 | defined by that candle? Find that logic in a trading book. It's not there. It's |
2538 | 03:33:50 --> 03:33:54 | not there. I had to come up with a way to describe something that I still can't |
2539 | 03:33:54 --> 03:33:57 | go beyond the scope of what I'm saying here. That's really occurring right |
2540 | 03:33:57 --> 03:34:02 | there, but because it happens to visually agree with the primary function |
2541 | 03:34:02 --> 03:34:07 | of what's occurring at that time. It allows me to communicate to you |
2542 | 03:34:07 --> 03:34:14 | visually, balance price ranges are an efficient delivery mechanism, but if |
2543 | 03:34:14 --> 03:34:22 | they ever fail, that's a huge, huge indication that something has changed, |
2544 | 03:34:22 --> 03:34:26 | and it's manual intervention, because algorithmically, the price is going to |
2545 | 03:34:26 --> 03:34:31 | respect these types of things. But if they stop, the hand's in the mix. The |
2546 | 03:34:31 --> 03:34:35 | hand is the market maker. The people that are going to push price beyond |
2547 | 03:34:35 --> 03:34:38 | where you think they're going to go, even my stuff, even me taking a trade, |
2548 | 03:34:38 --> 03:34:42 | it's not going to work. They're just going to upset it, and that's okay. I |
2549 | 03:34:42 --> 03:34:47 | can accept that. Problem is, Can you can you accept an uncertainty of when that's |
2550 | 03:34:47 --> 03:34:52 | going to occur? I cut things so I can see when they get involved in it, but |
2551 | 03:34:52 --> 03:34:57 | not always, but when I see things like a balanced price range give way, then |
2552 | 03:34:57 --> 03:35:00 | there's something underlying behind the scenes that I. Don't know what they're |
2553 | 03:35:00 --> 03:35:04 | doing, but I know now they're in it. Remember the analogy I gave you, the Neo |
2554 | 03:35:04 --> 03:35:08 | in the book, going with the book that maybe the matrix. He sees that black cat |
2555 | 03:35:08 --> 03:35:11 | walk, and he looks over and sees it again. He says, Well, that's weird. |
2556 | 03:35:11 --> 03:35:15 | That's deja vu. I just saw the same cat twice, and they all knew, because of |
2557 | 03:35:15 --> 03:35:20 | experience shits changing, we got to go. The agents are on our way or on their |
2558 | 03:35:20 --> 03:35:23 | way there. There's a change in the matrix. They made a change. That's |
2559 | 03:35:23 --> 03:35:27 | manual intervention. The same thing when I'm watching price visually, and I see |
2560 | 03:35:27 --> 03:35:31 | things like a balanced price range break, what I think was underway is |
2561 | 03:35:31 --> 03:35:36 | changed. It's not likely to occur here. That's not the case. We're seeing this |
2562 | 03:35:38 --> 03:35:41 | candle is high. That candle is low because it's moved back and forth in |
2563 | 03:35:41 --> 03:35:47 | that range. We're not concerned about price going below that. We're seeing it |
2564 | 03:35:47 --> 03:35:53 | deliver up, down, up, down, up. You see it? That's the balance price range here |
2565 | 03:35:53 --> 03:35:58 | on the 15 second chart. But visually, it's this. This candle is high. That |
2566 | 03:35:58 --> 03:36:02 | candle slow, but that it's occurring right there? Did that candlestick go |
2567 | 03:36:02 --> 03:36:07 | below that low? Right there? No, it didn't. So what's changed? Nothing. |
2568 | 03:36:07 --> 03:36:11 | Everything's still valid. That's why I was telling you. I believe we're going |
2569 | 03:36:11 --> 03:36:14 | to go down to this little area here in the inefficiency on the one minute |
2570 | 03:36:14 --> 03:36:18 | chart, but not go below this area here, because this is a balanced price range. |
2571 | 03:36:18 --> 03:36:21 | This range, high, that range, low. Listen, go back and watch the recording. |
2572 | 03:36:21 --> 03:36:25 | It's there. This is the part. When people watch these portions of it, it |
2573 | 03:36:25 --> 03:36:33 | sounds like, Oh, he's making up shit. I get so tired of saying this shit that, |
2574 | 03:36:33 --> 03:36:37 | if you just listen, I'm telling you this stuff before it happens. Now I'm |
2575 | 03:36:37 --> 03:36:43 | explaining in ad nauseam, the details as to why it's doing what it's doing, what |
2576 | 03:36:43 --> 03:36:47 | it looks like, how to recognize it. Remember pattern recognition. When |
2577 | 03:36:47 --> 03:36:50 | you're hunting something, you have to know how to track it. This is what a |
2578 | 03:36:50 --> 03:36:54 | track of this balanced price range looks like. And you can see it going back down |
2579 | 03:36:54 --> 03:36:58 | into that balance price range, but not going past it. It says, No, you're not |
2580 | 03:36:58 --> 03:37:02 | going lower than that. So any retracement down, like there that's not |
2581 | 03:37:02 --> 03:37:07 | changing anything. It's breaking the hearts of anybody that you know, maybe |
2582 | 03:37:07 --> 03:37:13 | trading against it. Maybe they're long up here. They chased it and it's |
2583 | 03:37:13 --> 03:37:17 | dropping down here. Now they're scared, like, oh, it's gonna keep dropping. No, |
2584 | 03:37:20 --> 03:37:23 | the market rallies back up, find some support at the new week, opening got low |
2585 | 03:37:23 --> 03:37:27 | again, and then here, and I was telling you, watch, look what it's doing here |
2586 | 03:37:27 --> 03:37:34 | during the live stream. See how it's finding support. Great. The middle of |
2587 | 03:37:34 --> 03:37:39 | the opening range gap. That's what this is. Okay, the opening range gap. |
2588 | 03:37:39 --> 03:37:40 | Gonna take that off. |
2589 | 03:37:42 --> 03:37:47 | When you take this stuff off like this, it's like, what is it doing? It's hard |
2590 | 03:37:47 --> 03:37:51 | to discern what it is it's trying to do. And if you start looking for indicators |
2591 | 03:37:51 --> 03:37:55 | to give you clues, if you start looking at harmonic patterns and things or |
2592 | 03:37:55 --> 03:37:59 | retail patterns, you're placing your faith on something that doesn't mean |
2593 | 03:37:59 --> 03:38:04 | shit. But when you start looking at what the algorithm will refer to, that's what |
2594 | 03:38:04 --> 03:38:08 | I'm pointing you to. I'm pointing to the very reference points, and I'm proving |
2595 | 03:38:08 --> 03:38:12 | it lies. These are what the reference points that the algorithm is going to |
2596 | 03:38:12 --> 03:38:17 | refer back to, and it's going to behave based on this, nothing else. And then |
2597 | 03:38:17 --> 03:38:23 | what does price do? Everything that he fucking says. And for people that don't |
2598 | 03:38:23 --> 03:38:28 | want to see me do this and they want to watch me fail in front of you, it kills |
2599 | 03:38:28 --> 03:38:33 | them. They punch the fucking air. It makes them mad. And I love it. Cry |
2600 | 03:38:33 --> 03:38:38 | harder, bitch, and the market rallies up, comes back down, small, little |
2601 | 03:38:38 --> 03:38:43 | retracement. This is the old relative equal high, which is now, as it |
2602 | 03:38:43 --> 03:38:48 | retraces, is what it is a discount array. So old highs is, is the highest |
2603 | 03:38:48 --> 03:38:56 | form of a premium array. Old lows are the outside that wrong. I'm sorry. Old |
2604 | 03:38:56 --> 03:39:01 | highs are the lowest discount array. It sounds like an oxymoron. How can an old |
2605 | 03:39:01 --> 03:39:04 | high because if you're above it and trading back down, think Flint clap in |
2606 | 03:39:04 --> 03:39:12 | this regard, think classic sport resistance. Old highs are the highest |
2607 | 03:39:16 --> 03:39:24 | discount array. Old lows are the lowest premium rate. So if you have a reference |
2608 | 03:39:24 --> 03:39:28 | of how, what, where the market is going to draw to up or down every time you |
2609 | 03:39:28 --> 03:39:32 | breach a PD array, you got to look back at the range it just traveled through |
2610 | 03:39:33 --> 03:39:40 | and map out each PD array. Did you miss a PD array not being traded to? Did it |
2611 | 03:39:40 --> 03:39:45 | totally disregard it. That's a good thing. That's a good thing. That means |
2612 | 03:39:45 --> 03:39:48 | you're on side. All those things are indicative that you're on the right side |
2613 | 03:39:48 --> 03:39:51 | of the marketplace. So to answer the question in continuity and what I was |
2614 | 03:39:51 --> 03:39:54 | referring to last Friday, when I was saying, when people are asking me, how |
2615 | 03:39:54 --> 03:39:57 | do you hold on to trades? How do you trust trading and catching big moves? |
2616 | 03:39:57 --> 03:40:03 | Well, I talk a lot about that. I did a clinic on it today. In the market trades |
2617 | 03:40:03 --> 03:40:09 | back down in relative equal lows, sweeps, it doesn't touch the new week |
2618 | 03:40:09 --> 03:40:14 | opening gap here high, and now we're just Manning around. And this is a 15 |
2619 | 03:40:14 --> 03:40:19 | second chart. Breaks down. Where's the trade? Back into new week opening gap |
2620 | 03:40:19 --> 03:40:24 | high. What time of day is this, we're in lunch. So what can the lunch market time |
2621 | 03:40:24 --> 03:40:29 | do retrace on what's been profitable? So it goes back against what was been |
2622 | 03:40:29 --> 03:40:33 | underway in terms of higher prices or lower prices. So it's going to seek the |
2623 | 03:40:33 --> 03:40:37 | sell stops on moves that's been going up, or it's going to seek the buy stops |
2624 | 03:40:37 --> 03:40:44 | on moves it's been going lower. The reaction off of that. And we're right |
2625 | 03:40:44 --> 03:40:51 | here. I mean, if, if, if you don't extend the new week, opening gaps on |
2626 | 03:40:51 --> 03:40:55 | your chart and keep them on there for a few weeks, you're really you're trading |
2627 | 03:40:55 --> 03:41:00 | blind, like you have no idea why the market's doing what it's doing. And if |
2628 | 03:41:00 --> 03:41:04 | your indicator, or if your idea of your elbow, last time you had tennis elbow, |
2629 | 03:41:04 --> 03:41:08 | the market went up, whatever the bullshit logic is that you use, whatever |
2630 | 03:41:08 --> 03:41:13 | it is, if it agrees with my stuff, your stuff's going to work then, and you can |
2631 | 03:41:13 --> 03:41:17 | say that they're going to not. That's the fucking truth. That's what makes |
2632 | 03:41:17 --> 03:41:21 | your stuff work when it happened to be in those fleeting moments where it's in |
2633 | 03:41:21 --> 03:41:26 | agreement with what I say the market's going to do. And then there we go. Now, |
2634 | 03:41:26 --> 03:41:34 | imagine, now, imagine you have done the due diligence of studying and price |
2635 | 03:41:35 --> 03:41:39 | reading like we're doing tape reading and defining certain things, getting |
2636 | 03:41:39 --> 03:41:44 | familiar with certain logic when you when you sign up to learn a language, |
2637 | 03:41:45 --> 03:41:51 | like I went through Spanish one and Spanish two, and I know a little bit of |
2638 | 03:41:51 --> 03:42:00 | Arabic, I know a little bit of Spanish, that's pretty much it. There's those are |
2639 | 03:42:00 --> 03:42:05 | the two languages that I learned from and when I was working for an Arabic |
2640 | 03:42:05 --> 03:42:10 | family, I learned all the bad words. First, obviously, because I want to know |
2641 | 03:42:10 --> 03:42:15 | when they're cussing me out behind my back. Then I learned the casual stuff. |
2642 | 03:42:16 --> 03:42:24 | And when you sit down with me and you want to learn how to read price action, |
2643 | 03:42:24 --> 03:42:27 | and you want to be able to read price action and do the executions like you |
2644 | 03:42:27 --> 03:42:31 | watch me do, and you want to see me share this logic in a way that's |
2645 | 03:42:31 --> 03:42:37 | straightforward, easy, real fast, I want you to think about say you're say you're |
2646 | 03:42:37 --> 03:42:41 | foreign, and you want to learn to speak English. And a lot of my students |
2647 | 03:42:41 --> 03:42:45 | actually chose to learn how to speak English because of wanting to learn from |
2648 | 03:42:45 --> 03:42:50 | me this and now they can speak English because they have been so inspired to |
2649 | 03:42:50 --> 03:42:53 | learn how to trade, they force themselves to learn English so that way |
2650 | 03:42:53 --> 03:43:01 | you can listen to me. Did that come easy? No way. When you learn another |
2651 | 03:43:01 --> 03:43:06 | language, it takes time. It's very difficult, especially the English |
2652 | 03:43:06 --> 03:43:10 | language, because we have words that shouldn't sound like other words that |
2653 | 03:43:10 --> 03:43:16 | spelled completely different, like wood, W, O, O, D, and then you have W, o, u, |
2654 | 03:43:16 --> 03:43:23 | l, D, what? Yeah, it's very confusing. And if you have time, you can look on |
2655 | 03:43:23 --> 03:43:30 | YouTube. Look at Gallagher. He's a he's a very funny comedian, and he's very |
2656 | 03:43:30 --> 03:43:35 | popular for taking this as a skit idea, and makes fun of our English language. |
2657 | 03:43:35 --> 03:43:38 | And it's like, Who the hell designed this? This is dumb, but it really is |
2658 | 03:43:38 --> 03:43:42 | true. I'm thankful that I had learned English initially, because I think I |
2659 | 03:43:42 --> 03:43:45 | would have been treating it like I did when I was trying to learn French, or I |
2660 | 03:43:45 --> 03:43:49 | tried to learn Chinese, and that's a really hard language. I tried to write |
2661 | 03:43:49 --> 03:43:54 | and read Arabic. That's very hard, too. It's beautiful to read like I love the |
2662 | 03:43:54 --> 03:43:58 | way it looks. It's beautiful, but it was hard enough just to learn to speak a |
2663 | 03:43:58 --> 03:44:01 | little bit of it. And I'm not that fluid with it, but I can get myself through a |
2664 | 03:44:01 --> 03:44:07 | little bit of a conversation, but learning a language like this is not |
2665 | 03:44:07 --> 03:44:11 | going to be easy. It's not going to be right away, type results, okay, it's |
2666 | 03:44:11 --> 03:44:14 | it's going to take time. It's going to feel like you're never going to get |
2667 | 03:44:14 --> 03:44:19 | there. But I'm giving you the best way. Like, if you're going to learn a |
2668 | 03:44:19 --> 03:44:23 | language, work around people that speak that language, and because of the |
2669 | 03:44:23 --> 03:44:28 | exposure to it, when I was working at a restaurant in the air family that I |
2670 | 03:44:28 --> 03:44:34 | worked for, they would speak in Arabic, and then they would say to English, so I |
2671 | 03:44:34 --> 03:44:39 | would know what they were doing, and I would hear him or them say the words, |
2672 | 03:44:39 --> 03:44:43 | and then over time, I'm like, Oh yeah, he's saying, Are they wrong? Up yet? Did |
2673 | 03:44:43 --> 03:44:50 | they pay yet? Is this done? How many more left? This is not complete, you |
2674 | 03:44:50 --> 03:44:54 | know. Or hand them this and hand them that, and it was monotonous for them, |
2675 | 03:44:54 --> 03:44:58 | but they were nice enough to do that so I could, I could learn Arabic, and |
2676 | 03:44:59 --> 03:45:02 | that's. The equivalent of what I'm doing. I use the real world experience |
2677 | 03:45:02 --> 03:45:08 | of me learning while working. I'm over top of live price action with you, just |
2678 | 03:45:08 --> 03:45:12 | like I am with my son. So I'm showing you things as the price is happening, |
2679 | 03:45:13 --> 03:45:16 | that the delivering higher or lower around specific levels that I think are |
2680 | 03:45:16 --> 03:45:20 | important, that are pertinent to the ideas that I teach, and I draw your |
2681 | 03:45:20 --> 03:45:26 | attention to the moments where you're met with a decision, does it continue, |
2682 | 03:45:27 --> 03:45:31 | or is it likely to reverse, or is it done for the day? And I share my |
2683 | 03:45:31 --> 03:45:39 | experience in 30 years of doing this with you real time. There really is no |
2684 | 03:45:39 --> 03:45:44 | better benefit than having someone that willing to do this. I would have solved |
2685 | 03:45:44 --> 03:45:48 | my left fucking leg off as a 20 year old, when I had all that money lost and |
2686 | 03:45:48 --> 03:45:53 | draw down and just feeling like I want to, I wanted to end myself literally. I |
2687 | 03:45:53 --> 03:45:57 | wanted to end myself because I was like, why they even start doing this? I'm |
2688 | 03:45:57 --> 03:46:00 | never going to be able to get it like it's just I don't have anybody lean on |
2689 | 03:46:00 --> 03:46:04 | nobody can help me. Nobody believes in me. My family thinks it's never going to |
2690 | 03:46:04 --> 03:46:10 | work. My friends are like, you know, I don't get why you keep doing so. I had |
2691 | 03:46:10 --> 03:46:17 | no support structure around me. You have such a wonderful opportunity just to sit |
2692 | 03:46:17 --> 03:46:21 | here and watch, even if you don't really want to learn what it is I'm doing. I |
2693 | 03:46:21 --> 03:46:24 | promise you that if you're watching price and you're trading, you're going |
2694 | 03:46:24 --> 03:46:29 | to see something you didn't see or expect in what you're watching, and it |
2695 | 03:46:29 --> 03:46:32 | might protect you. It might change your mind about something you may be |
2696 | 03:46:32 --> 03:46:36 | overhanded in, like you're really, really bearish, and you're holding a |
2697 | 03:46:36 --> 03:46:39 | really big short position. And I'm saying, and watch this level, it's |
2698 | 03:46:39 --> 03:46:42 | probably going to send us up to that level when, when I do that in the live |
2699 | 03:46:42 --> 03:46:46 | streams, you have my permission to try to protect your ass, because if you're |
2700 | 03:46:46 --> 03:46:49 | on the other side of me calling this stuff in the live stream, you're |
2701 | 03:46:49 --> 03:46:55 | probably going to lose your ass. And I mean that not to be bragging, not to |
2702 | 03:46:55 --> 03:46:58 | hurt your feelings, not to be arrogant. I mean it wholeheartedly, because I'm |
2703 | 03:46:58 --> 03:47:02 | doing this for my son. I'm not going to I'm not going to blow smoke up his ass. |
2704 | 03:47:02 --> 03:47:06 | I'm not trying to deter him from learning the shortest route and |
2705 | 03:47:06 --> 03:47:10 | directional way to get right to the end of the conversation of knowing what to |
2706 | 03:47:10 --> 03:47:19 | do. I'm trying to make it complete. I'm also showing him the levels that he has |
2707 | 03:47:19 --> 03:47:21 | to understand in in a graduated manner, |
2708 | 03:47:23 --> 03:47:26 | and it's up to you to decide whether or not you want to be a part of it, like, |
2709 | 03:47:26 --> 03:47:28 | like I said, I don't care if there's if it's one person that watched it. I know |
2710 | 03:47:28 --> 03:47:32 | it's my son, and I want to keep doing it. No one's going to stop me. If you |
2711 | 03:47:32 --> 03:47:36 | don't put thumbs up, I don't get too fucked. I really don't care. You can do |
2712 | 03:47:36 --> 03:47:38 | a thumbs down. I don't give a fuck. I'm still going to keep doing this. I'm |
2713 | 03:47:38 --> 03:47:42 | going to do it because he wants to learn, and I want him to learn the |
2714 | 03:47:42 --> 03:47:47 | correct way. And there's no better way than dad sitting out here doing it with |
2715 | 03:47:47 --> 03:47:51 | a live chart, recording it. So that way, it's recorded, it's it's logged, it's |
2716 | 03:47:51 --> 03:47:58 | archived. And even if something bad happens and I and I lost my laptop, the |
2717 | 03:47:58 --> 03:48:02 | recordings that are on it don't matter, because I have it on an external |
2718 | 03:48:02 --> 03:48:05 | archive. It's on YouTube, and there's witnesses all around the world seeing me |
2719 | 03:48:05 --> 03:48:09 | do it, seeing that it works, seeing that the logic is the same stuff. It's not |
2720 | 03:48:09 --> 03:48:15 | being bent and twisted and contorted. It's there. And now, to answer the last |
2721 | 03:48:15 --> 03:48:20 | question before I go grab something to eat, a Reaper fair value gap. Just |
2722 | 03:48:20 --> 03:48:25 | because I introduced it, don't think you know it. Don't think because I showed my |
2723 | 03:48:25 --> 03:48:31 | deuce. You think you know everything okay? There are certain little things |
2724 | 03:48:31 --> 03:48:37 | that change in price that make it one thing or the other. Every fair value gap |
2725 | 03:48:37 --> 03:48:44 | is not the same if they share the same space of another PVA Ray, it changes its |
2726 | 03:48:44 --> 03:48:50 | character. It changes it. It makes it something else. Again, you don't know |
2727 | 03:48:50 --> 03:48:54 | what the fuck you're talking about. Okay, so stop trying to teach and trying |
2728 | 03:48:54 --> 03:48:57 | to call it something else. It's not. And when you question me about what I'm |
2729 | 03:48:57 --> 03:49:01 | annotating on my chart, unless I come back and say, I messed this up. I messed |
2730 | 03:49:01 --> 03:49:04 | up. Not done that. I have said I referred to a market maker sell model |
2731 | 03:49:04 --> 03:49:10 | when it was really a buy model and or I referred to a second stage distribution |
2732 | 03:49:10 --> 03:49:14 | when it was clearly going up. And it's re accumulation, second stage, re |
2733 | 03:49:14 --> 03:49:17 | accumulation, because I'm out here without script, and I'm going to do it |
2734 | 03:49:17 --> 03:49:20 | eventually, in the future, I'm going to say something that slips. It's a slip it |
2735 | 03:49:20 --> 03:49:25 | up tongue, but that is a Reaper fair value gap that I showed the other day, |
2736 | 03:49:25 --> 03:49:31 | and I told you to project it through, extend it through, and how many times it |
2737 | 03:49:31 --> 03:49:42 | used it key takeaway, what is August, 1, first day of the week? What time did |
2738 | 03:49:42 --> 03:49:44 | that gap get referenced? |
2739 | 03:49:48 --> 03:49:50 | It happens every single month, |
2740 | 03:49:52 --> 03:49:56 | because the algorithm will go back to a specific date. What date would it use? |
2741 | 03:49:58 --> 03:50:09 | First trading day? I. First day of week, Wednesday, previous Friday. That's not |
2742 | 03:50:09 --> 03:50:14 | all of them, but I'm proving that there is an algorithm and it's going back to |
2743 | 03:50:14 --> 03:50:21 | Days specific. Why? Because it has to go back to a frame of reference. We're in a |
2744 | 03:50:21 --> 03:50:26 | new month. Okay? What month are we in August? Let's go back to the first day |
2745 | 03:50:26 --> 03:50:33 | of August. Use the first pertinent PD array of August. Carry it through your |
2746 | 03:50:33 --> 03:50:37 | chart, and you're gonna see shit that you never saw before. That's all I'm |
2747 | 03:50:37 --> 03:50:41 | gonna tell you now. The rest of the stuff will be in the book. But when I |
2748 | 03:50:41 --> 03:50:46 | give a speed specific PD array and I annotate it, as long as I'll come back |
2749 | 03:50:46 --> 03:50:50 | the day after, because I have made mistakes before, I've miscued, miscalled |
2750 | 03:50:50 --> 03:50:53 | something, and it's just human error, like I have a Biden movement once in a |
2751 | 03:50:53 --> 03:50:57 | once in a while, it's just, you're gonna have it too. And every live streamer |
2752 | 03:50:57 --> 03:51:01 | I've ever watched, they've said shit that I don't think they realize that. |
2753 | 03:51:01 --> 03:51:04 | They go back in a recording and say, oh shit, you know what? I didn't say that. |
2754 | 03:51:04 --> 03:51:07 | It was backwards. It was but I get it. And if you're a mature audience member, |
2755 | 03:51:07 --> 03:51:11 | you know, you know what a market maker buy model is, if you've been around the |
2756 | 03:51:11 --> 03:51:14 | block with me, and if it's going up, it's not distribution, that's re |
2757 | 03:51:14 --> 03:51:18 | accumulation. So it's just an innocent type thing. But that was an absolute |
2758 | 03:51:18 --> 03:51:25 | Reaper. A Reaper is a fucking scythe. It literally cuts through the whole fucking |
2759 | 03:51:25 --> 03:51:30 | month and makes it so tradable, where any opportunity you see, where you can |
2760 | 03:51:30 --> 03:51:34 | engage that one, and as long as it matches time of day when the market |
2761 | 03:51:34 --> 03:51:38 | should deliver, it's just obvious. This is real easy. That's That's one of those |
2762 | 03:51:38 --> 03:51:41 | times when you ask me, How do you know which one, which? Which fair value got |
2763 | 03:51:41 --> 03:51:44 | to use? Well, that's one of them, because it has to be anchored to a |
2764 | 03:51:44 --> 03:51:50 | specific day that is meaningful, first day of month, first day of week. What's |
2765 | 03:51:50 --> 03:51:55 | the first fair value? Get the forms after 930 on a Monday, draw that bitch |
2766 | 03:51:55 --> 03:51:57 | out through the time over the course of your week |
2767 | 03:51:59 --> 03:52:00 | and the month. |
2768 | 03:52:02 --> 03:52:06 | Oh. This is too good. I'll give you too much shit. I'm giving too much away. |
2769 | 03:52:06 --> 03:52:10 | What the hell I'm gonna have to open up a mentorship I'm never gonna be able to |
2770 | 03:52:10 --> 03:52:14 | eat again. How am I gonna keep giving this away for free? How can, how can I |
2771 | 03:52:14 --> 03:52:16 | make my ends meet if I keep giving it away for free, right? |
2772 | 03:52:18 --> 03:52:19 | Oh, anyway, |
2773 | 03:52:19 --> 03:52:23 | I've had so much fun with you all. Today, I spent my time way beyond what I |
2774 | 03:52:23 --> 03:52:26 | wanted to spend. So tomorrow, we're going to try to be a little bit more |
2775 | 03:52:26 --> 03:52:31 | economical and focus just on the 930 to 1030 hour, because I want to keep keep |
2776 | 03:52:31 --> 03:52:36 | my son's focus into that little time window. Okay, I may leave you with |
2777 | 03:52:36 --> 03:52:39 | things to annotate and watch going throughout the rest of the day, but |
2778 | 03:52:40 --> 03:52:43 | Tuesday through Friday. The rest of this week, we're just going to be doing one |
2779 | 03:52:43 --> 03:52:47 | hour sessions. I don't know which day this week we're going to do two sessions |
2780 | 03:52:47 --> 03:52:52 | in the afternoon. I'm I'm leaving that open because I have to rely on my wife |
2781 | 03:52:52 --> 03:52:58 | to to tell me what that is. We have family members visiting us, and I have |
2782 | 03:52:58 --> 03:53:02 | to navigate that. So I want to make sure that I tell you in advance. It's not |
2783 | 03:53:02 --> 03:53:06 | because I got a bruised ego and I did something wrong on the stream. I had to |
2784 | 03:53:06 --> 03:53:09 | close it. I'm telling you in advance that they're going to be shorter because |
2785 | 03:53:09 --> 03:53:13 | I have to make allowances for my personal family time, but still force my |
2786 | 03:53:13 --> 03:53:18 | son into studying that individual trading day. Okay, so until I talk to |
2787 | 03:53:18 --> 03:53:22 | you tomorrow, we'll be back again at the quarter after nine tomorrow, New York, |
2788 | 03:53:22 --> 03:53:27 | Standard Time, and we'll end it tomorrow around 1030 and I'll talk with you all |
2789 | 03:53:27 --> 03:53:30 | day, Lord willing, until then. Be safe. Bye. |