ICT YT - 2024-08-09 - ICT 2024 Mentorship - Lecture 05

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2024-08-13 07:58

Outline

03:56 - Birthday, Pinterest, and turtle soup.

- Host welcomes viewers, shares birthday message and upcoming topics.

05:44 - Trading during different time frames, focusing on the Asian session.

- The speaker discusses the "turtle soup" pattern, a reversal setup inspired by Richard Dennis' turtle trading system, which has a low strike rate but captures big runs.
- The speaker recommends Linda Rasch and Larry Connors' book "Street Smarts" for its insights on interpreting price action and understanding stop hunts.
- ICT will be live streaming from his dining room, with ambience and background noise, to teach son and viewers.
- ICT will be discussing the Asian session, focusing on the 6pm restart and lack of volatility in the 7-9pm time frame.
- ICT suggests that the least enticing time of day for trading is after 5pm in the States, due to limited trading opportunities and personal schedules.
- Despite this, ICT plans to show how to use new day opening gap theory during this time, incorporating previous teachings on Forex.

13:28 - Using annotations on a trading chart, with the speaker advocating for minimalism and flexibility.

- ICT emphasizes the importance of accurate annotations and minimal clutter on a chart.
- Trader learns to trade naked by gradually removing annotations from charts.

16:44 - Analyzing price charts for trading bias and identifying key levels.

- ICT identifies problematic price action, indicating weakness (15 seconds)
- ICT highlights repeated patterns in price movement, suggesting algorithmic control (15 seconds)
- ICT emphasizes the importance of annotating new day opening gaps on a chart to identify bias and make informed trading decisions.
- ICT demonstrates how to annotate these gaps by using the midpoint of the gap as a reference point, and highlights the importance of experience and understanding in trading naked without annotations.

21:56 - YouTube channel, copyright strikes issued.

- ICT will release weekly videos on YouTube to provide a personalized development experience for Son.
- ICT warns YouTube channels against copying his content, threatening copyright strikes.

25:39 - Trading and mentoring, emphasizing the importance of understanding market dynamics and avoiding distractions.

- The speaker describes a scenario where people are blindly following others for attention, clout, or money, rather than taking responsibility for their own actions and decisions.
- The speaker aims to provide students with the ability to trade independently, without needing to watch their videos or rely on their mentorship.
- ICT emphasizes the importance of proper mentoring and coaching in trading, citing his own experience as a coach.
- ICT addresses common questions and concerns from listeners, providing insights and explanations on various topics.
- ICT provides explanations and analogies to help traders understand complex concepts.
- ICT uses eyeballing techniques to identify key levels on a chart without drawing lines.

32:55 - Using economic calendar and time to predict market movements.

- The speaker emphasizes the importance of waiting for the market to create motion before trading, citing the example of the new day opening gap.
- The speaker uses chart analysis to identify areas of liquidity and potential trading opportunities, highlighting the importance of annotating these areas for future reference.

35:43 - Annotating a chart for day trading, focusing on openings and liquidity pools.

- ICT explains how to annotate a chart to identify potential trading opportunities, using minor buy and sell side liquidity pools.
- ICT demonstrates how to copy and paste annotations on Trading View, using Control + drag mouse technique.
- ICT teaches how to annotate charts for specific trading times.
- ICT explains how algorithm engineers liquidity, taking out short-term pools and creating new highs and lows.
- ICT emphasizes the importance of keeping the initial high and low on the chart for learning purposes, but muting their prominence.

43:01 - Market analysis and trading strategies using Asian session data.

- ICT discusses market behavior and predictability during Asian session.
- The speaker discusses the importance of analyzing the market's behavior around the New Day opening gap, particularly in the early hours of the Asian session.
- The speaker highlights the significance of the market crossing back over the New Day opening gap, indicating the formation of initial buy side liquidity and initial sell side liquidity.

47:24 - Trading strategies using price action and order blocks.

- The speaker discusses the importance of identifying and trading on the algorithmic movements of the market, particularly during the 7pm-9pm New York time frame.
- The speaker highlights the significance of annotating charts to log and analyze the market's algorithmic operations, even for those who may not trade during this time frame.
- The speaker identifies a breakaway gap and expects the price to seek momentum and speed.
- The speaker aims to enter the market below the body of the down closed candle, recognizing the discount element of the order block.

53:54 - Trading strategies using market displacement and gap analysis.

- ICT explains how to identify and trade on opening gaps, using Wyckoff method.
- ICT demonstrates how to manage trades by watching for displacement and balancing sales.

56:44 - Technical analysis and trading strategies using price action.

- ICT emphasizes the importance of understanding time elements in market analysis.
- The speaker analyzes the market by identifying a potential buy side liquidity pool and measuring the price leg leading up to it.
- The speaker looks for exit points above the buy side liquidity pool, anticipating a short-lived rally before selling.

59:53 - Trading strategies and risk management.

- The speaker is using Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential price targets based on a measured move from a low to a high.
- The speaker is using the midpoint of the Fibonacci levels as a reference point for potential price targets, taking into account standard deviation and the possibility of the price action coloring beyond the expected range.
- ICT wants to know where the market will reach and the low hanging fruit threshold.
- ICT aims for an exit above or at the low hanging fruit threshold.
- The speaker is frustrated with their inability to consistently predict market highs and lows, but is content with their methodology that drives them to buy lows and distribute positions at key points.
- The speaker emphasizes the importance of constantly improving and not becoming complacent or lazy in trading, as this can lead to poor decision-making and loss of money.

01:07:31 - Trading strategies using support and resistance levels.

- ICT teaches how to identify fake breakouts and consolidations in the market.
- Trader challenges viewers to prove the effectiveness of support and resistance levels in live streams.

01:11:22 - Technical analysis and trading strategies using previous day's highs and lows.

- ICT references a notepad to track liquidity levels and make trading decisions.
- ICT criticizes Apple products, preferring Samsung devices instead.
- ICT analyzes the market, identifying a bull flag and potential support resistance levels.
- ICT highlights the importance of respecting previous days highs and lows for trading setups.

01:16:26 - Price action and potential trading opportunities based on technical analysis.

- ICT highlights the importance of identifying and trading off relative equal lows in the market.
- Trader identifies key levels of support and resistance based on price action.

01:19:48 - Trading hours and opening range.

- ICT explains that he's not teaching classic support and resistance, but rather a unique perspective on technical science.
- He emphasizes the importance of being able to sit still and not overtrade, as this is what messes up traders.
- The opening range is established between 9:30 and 10:00 AM, with the majority of the gap closure occurring during this time.
- The market will create a sometimes it'll open trade a little bit lower, and then start working higher, drop back down, either take the low it's formed, or just like it did here, very subtly, and then rally.

01:25:28 - Trading strategies for gaps with a focus on probability and reference points.

- ICT explains how to identify strong probability areas in a gap, using mid-gap as an example.
- ICT highlights the importance of reference points on a chart, particularly for gap trading.

01:28:14 - Identifying fair value gaps in the stock market using annotated charts.

- Analyst expresses skepticism towards market sentiment due to looming geopolitical events.
- ICT explains importance of reference points in technical analysis.
- The speaker emphasizes the importance of identifying fair value gaps in the market and trading them with a clear entry and exit strategy.
- The speaker warns against reinventing the rules of trading or trying to do things differently than what has been taught, as it can lead to anxiety and a toxic learning experience.

01:34:26 - Market behavior without clear news drivers, with potential for choppy trading and big runs.

- The market can be aimless and choppy when there are no medium or high impact news drivers in the morning session.
- External stimuli, such as events in the Middle East or US election, can cause big runs in the market on these types of days.

01:37:04 - Market analysis and potential retracement.

- ICT suggests trading range of 20-30% on Friday based on one-sided movement.
- Speaker discusses potential market movements based on election year and economic calendar.
- ICT analyzes Dow divergence with NASDAQ and SP, taking partial trades based on SMT signals.
- ICT expects Dow to disrupt smooth area and relative highs, potentially leading to price disruption.

Transcription

00:02:45 --> 00:02:50 ICT: Well, good morning. It is good morning. Audio check.
00:02:57 --> 00:02:59 It's a little loud, isn't it?
00:03:02 --> 00:03:07 I sound
00:03:07 --> 00:03:14 like I had multiple read applicants. Now, give me a second here, folks, I
00:03:28 --> 00:03:29 how do you check? How do you check?
00:03:37 --> 00:03:38 How do you check? One, I
00:03:45 --> 00:03:46 audio check too.
00:03:56 --> 00:03:58 Okay. I think we I think we'll be fine. Now. I
00:04:06 --> 00:04:11 All right. So welcome back to the number one live streamer, one YouTube, the
10 00:04:11 --> 00:04:19 ghost with the most I've been dying to say that I'm nothing on one streamer and
11 00:04:19 --> 00:04:22 the same answer to be pumped. I know the guys that like to say they are they're
12 00:04:22 --> 00:04:23 getting their panties on a bunch.
13 00:04:29 --> 00:04:36 All right, so we're going to have a kind of, like an interactive session this
14 00:04:36 --> 00:04:43 morning. I have my son, Caleb, sitting next to me, who was tardy arriving here.
15 00:04:43 --> 00:04:50 So we're going about to be doing the Zoom type of thing. We'll have to have
16 00:04:50 --> 00:04:54 him join us that way, because that way traffic will be a factor for him. But
17 00:04:54 --> 00:05:01 he's here in person. You want to say hi to him. Come. Hello morning. How y'all
18 00:05:01 --> 00:05:05 doing? Say it again so we can talk when you're talking, because they like to
19 00:05:05 --> 00:05:08 think I'm doing Pinterest. Okay, I'm talking. I mean, you're talking to
20 00:05:08 --> 00:05:14 anything right now. Alright. Anyway, I hope you're all doing well, and I
21 00:05:14 --> 00:05:21 believe that everybody that has ever watched my videos has probably sent me a
22 00:05:21 --> 00:05:25 happy birthday wish some way, shape or form, and I appreciate and thank you for
23 00:05:25 --> 00:05:31 all of that. So I'm officially 52 years old, so we're going to talk a little bit
24 00:05:31 --> 00:05:36 about what led to some of the things I was sharing, and then you saw it paying
25 00:05:36 --> 00:05:41 out real time in your charts after I said it would likely do so, and I'm
26 00:05:41 --> 00:05:46 going to give you some tips on turtle soup. So the lecture for turtle soup is
27 00:05:46 --> 00:05:51 this morning as well. Let me preface it by saying turtle soup is this the name
28 00:05:51 --> 00:05:58 that I like? Because I'd like the the kind of like a little snub against the
29 00:05:58 --> 00:06:04 turtle traders, uh, Richard Dennis. He got, he traded a bunch in terms of
30 00:06:05 --> 00:06:09 different markets and whatnot, and he made a point of saying anyone can learn
31 00:06:09 --> 00:06:13 how to be a trader. And he picked a number of people out of different walks
32 00:06:13 --> 00:06:16 of life, and taught him how to trade a trend following model, which was rather
33 00:06:16 --> 00:06:21 simple, but not simple to follow, had a very, very low strike rate, very low
34 00:06:21 --> 00:06:26 accuracy. But when it would win, it would capture big, huge runs, you know,
35 00:06:26 --> 00:06:32 long term trends. It was based on a 20 day high or low breakout. And I don't,
36 00:06:32 --> 00:06:38 obviously, I don't trade breakouts. I'd like to see retail resistance, you know,
37 00:06:38 --> 00:06:41 pegged, and then reverse, and then look for something that would take me to the
38 00:06:41 --> 00:06:44 other side of the other side of the spectrum in terms of, like a discount
39 00:06:44 --> 00:06:50 market and vice versa. So when I say turtle soup, it's kind of like my
40 00:06:50 --> 00:06:58 version of a reversal pattern. And I'll counsel you to take a look at the book
41 00:06:58 --> 00:07:02 street smarts, by Linda Rasch and Larry Connors. I think it's a book that
42 00:07:02 --> 00:07:07 everybody should have in their library. It has a lot of really neat little
43 00:07:07 --> 00:07:16 individual setups. I was more impressed by the little concise views of how to
44 00:07:16 --> 00:07:20 interpret price action around certain pattern formations. It's a little bit
45 00:07:20 --> 00:07:26 pricey, but I think it's worth it. I paid $175 for the book in the mid 90s
46 00:07:27 --> 00:07:30 when it was first introduced, and I just, I think it's a wonderful book. I
47 00:07:30 --> 00:07:34 don't subscribe to everything in there, because it's a lot to do with indicators
48 00:07:34 --> 00:07:41 and such, but I believe that book had the largest influence on me in terms of
49 00:07:41 --> 00:07:48 understanding stop hunts. So when a stop hunt takes place, it made sense for me
50 00:07:48 --> 00:07:52 to understand what was going on when I read that book. So that book had an
51 00:07:52 --> 00:07:57 influence on me as an early developing trader, trying to find my groove, trying
52 00:07:57 --> 00:08:02 to find a lot of confidence in the things that I deal with today when I'm
53 00:08:02 --> 00:08:08 reading price action, but she she has a pattern in there. Linda Rask has a
54 00:08:08 --> 00:08:13 pattern in that book. It's called turtle soup, where they facetiously made, kind
55 00:08:14 --> 00:08:19 of like a snubbing little jest against the turtle breakout system, where many
56 00:08:19 --> 00:08:24 times, since their strike rate was so low, they said, Okay, well, if it's so
57 00:08:24 --> 00:08:28 low, well let's do the opposite, meaning that if they try to buy a breakout above
58 00:08:28 --> 00:08:33 the 20 day high, many times that's going to fail. So since they had a low strike
59 00:08:33 --> 00:08:36 rate, and being accurate, doing that, so therefore there must be an opportunity
60 00:08:36 --> 00:08:41 there to do the opposite. So if it breaks out above a 20 day high, reverse
61 00:08:41 --> 00:08:46 and go back into the range and take that as a trade. So hence turtle suit. So the
62 00:08:46 --> 00:08:51 turtle traders is what he Richard Dennis named his little collection of off the
63 00:08:51 --> 00:08:56 street type individuals, different walks of life, trading them to be a trader. He
64 00:08:56 --> 00:09:01 dubbed in the turtles. So naturally, the the pattern turtle soup makes perfect
65 00:09:01 --> 00:09:08 sense, because they're, they're cooked, right? Well, I don't look at a 20 day
66 00:09:08 --> 00:09:12 high. I don't look at a 20 day low. And didn't say that that's that's all there
67 00:09:12 --> 00:09:15 is to it. There's other things. And I'm going to show you some of those
68 00:09:15 --> 00:09:18 characteristics today before we close. That'll be towards the end the of the
69 00:09:18 --> 00:09:26 discussion. I'm aiming for around 945 to 10 o'clock, or sooner, depending upon
70 00:09:26 --> 00:09:30 how my wife comes back to the house and disrupts everything. So that's going to
71 00:09:30 --> 00:09:36 be the determinant factor that ends the stream. So I'm sending a live stream
72 00:09:36 --> 00:09:40 with you in my dining room so you can hear all the ambience that's going on
73 00:09:40 --> 00:09:44 behind it, because I'm not here for you, I'm here for my son, so I'm teaching
74 00:09:44 --> 00:09:48 him. So this is what would be going on anyway. So you're here like it would be
75 00:09:48 --> 00:09:52 if you were sitting at the table with us. You just just being quiet and taking
76 00:09:52 --> 00:10:01 notes. Alright? So I want to open up with, yes, we'll be doing London. I. So
77 00:10:01 --> 00:10:04 there'll be an episode where I'm going to be live streaming the london session.
78 00:10:04 --> 00:10:08 So that way you can take some of the concepts that I'm teaching you this week
79 00:10:08 --> 00:10:11 and you can apply it to that time frame. So if you're not a New York session
80 00:10:11 --> 00:10:14 trader, whether it be the morning session or the afternoon session, you
81 00:10:14 --> 00:10:18 can't do that for sleep or business or whatever, and you want to be trading in
82 00:10:18 --> 00:10:21 a London session, I will be, I'll be doing that within the next two weeks. I
83 00:10:21 --> 00:10:25 don't want to promise a specific date, because every time I try to do that,
84 00:10:25 --> 00:10:29 something invariably comes up and messes it all up. So just know that it'll be in
85 00:10:29 --> 00:10:33 the next two weeks. Okay, how long am I gonna be live streaming and doing this?
86 00:10:33 --> 00:10:37 I don't know, so just show up every time it happens. And if you can't be here
87 00:10:37 --> 00:10:42 live, just wants to replay. It's fine. But today I want to talk initially about
88 00:10:42 --> 00:10:46 the Asian session around when the market starts trading at the six o'clock
89 00:10:46 --> 00:10:51 restart. So again, as we talked about, at 5pm every day, there's a one hour
90 00:10:51 --> 00:10:56 break in indices, and then they resume trading at six o'clock, going into the
91 00:10:56 --> 00:11:02 seven to nine o'clock time frame, where we can anticipate not a lot of
92 00:11:02 --> 00:11:07 volatility. But there's something there that if you're a working class hero in
93 00:11:07 --> 00:11:10 the States, and you come home and you work nine to five, you come home, grab
94 00:11:10 --> 00:11:15 something, Eat Real quick, maybe pull your computer up, and let's see what the
95 00:11:15 --> 00:11:20 market's going to do at the new open at 6pm and then watch it going into Asia.
96 00:11:20 --> 00:11:24 That might be your only opportunity to trade. So we're going to talk about that
97 00:11:24 --> 00:11:29 today, trying to give you a resource and perspective at that time of day, how to
98 00:11:29 --> 00:11:32 look for the setup using what I've taught this week. Okay, so you can see,
99 00:11:32 --> 00:11:36 nothing's changing. Nothing's morphing into some complicated thing. It's just a
100 00:11:36 --> 00:11:41 matter of taking your personal life, your your perspective on when it is
101 00:11:41 --> 00:11:44 appropriate for you to be sitting in front of the charts, and then I'm going
102 00:11:44 --> 00:11:47 to show you how to apply it to those specific times of day. So you have,
103 00:11:47 --> 00:11:55 let's see, we got London, New York open. We have the pm session in New York, and
104 00:11:55 --> 00:12:01 then we have the Asian session. So we have a plethora of opportunities, but
105 00:12:01 --> 00:12:06 it's up to you define which one you're going to operate in. Okay? So in my
106 00:12:06 --> 00:12:10 opinion, and this is just purely my opinion, it's not to sway you. So if
107 00:12:10 --> 00:12:14 this is the time that you're going to be working in, you know, after 5pm coming
108 00:12:14 --> 00:12:19 home from work in the States, this is all new york local time, by the way, if
109 00:12:19 --> 00:12:22 you're only able to do a couple hours in the evening before going to bed and
110 00:12:22 --> 00:12:26 starting it all over again, going to work the following morning. Just know
111 00:12:26 --> 00:12:33 that this is the least enticing time of day for me to trade me personally. So
112 00:12:33 --> 00:12:36 and now it sounds like I'm dumping on that, and that's going to be very
113 00:12:36 --> 00:12:40 discouraging for you, because that's the one you're really only able to trade
114 00:12:40 --> 00:12:45 with it could be a little just disenchanting or deflating to you
115 00:12:45 --> 00:12:49 saying, okay, YCT says this time of day sucks, but you know, if that's where you
116 00:12:49 --> 00:12:53 got to start, while you have your job, and you can grow from that, just know
117 00:12:53 --> 00:12:58 that that's, this is the least one, least of the time of day that I'm
118 00:12:58 --> 00:13:01 interested in trading, which goes along with what I said when I was teaching
119 00:13:01 --> 00:13:06 Forex, predominantly, I'm not interested in the agent session all that much. So
120 00:13:06 --> 00:13:11 since we're gonna be talking about that time of day, we're gonna see how to use
121 00:13:11 --> 00:13:16 this new day opening gap theory with that time of day, and then incorporate
122 00:13:16 --> 00:13:20 the things I've talked about early on. So with all that, let's get into the
123 00:13:20 --> 00:13:26 business. I'm going to scroll back here we have this is my NQ template, so when
124 00:13:26 --> 00:13:31 I'm watching price, this is what it looks like. Okay, I will have
125 00:13:31 --> 00:13:35 annotations. I will have things that I want to call on when I need to see it or
126 00:13:35 --> 00:13:38 reference if I second guess a number. If I'm looking at my notepad, and maybe
127 00:13:38 --> 00:13:42 I've done something like anybody else would as a human being, I write down a
128 00:13:42 --> 00:13:45 number that doesn't just, it doesn't seem right. It seems like, wait a
129 00:13:45 --> 00:13:49 minute, that doesn't that number was probably written down incorrectly. Maybe
130 00:13:49 --> 00:13:53 I was looking at the phone. Maybe I was listening to my wife ask me something
131 00:13:53 --> 00:13:57 and tell me that, you know, make sure this is something to that effect, you
132 00:13:57 --> 00:14:00 know, I'm a husband too, right? Or one of my kids distract me, or my dogs
133 00:14:00 --> 00:14:04 distract me, and then I write down a number wrong. You've heard me miss call
134 00:14:04 --> 00:14:08 a market maker. Buy model as a market maker, sell model. When I said
135 00:14:08 --> 00:14:11 redistribution, when it should have been a re accumulation. So that's an element
136 00:14:11 --> 00:14:13 of humanism, and we're going to make a mistake.
137 00:14:15 --> 00:14:20 I may need to call the information back onto the chart. I don't like the habit
138 00:14:20 --> 00:14:25 on my chart, I only have annotations for the sake of teaching you. I know what
139 00:14:25 --> 00:14:29 I'm looking for, and I know what I'm focusing on for that particular session
140 00:14:29 --> 00:14:33 or that day, and I know the key levels, because they're usually written on a
141 00:14:33 --> 00:14:37 piece of paper next to me. I'm not interested in having a lot of stuff on
142 00:14:37 --> 00:14:40 my chart, because what that'll do, number one, it clutters it up. My eye
143 00:14:40 --> 00:14:44 goes to it. It may and may be a factor for you. Where you start looking at the
144 00:14:44 --> 00:14:47 lines and you wonder, How many times did it touch? It becomes a distraction,
145 00:14:47 --> 00:14:52 right? So if you keep your chart naked, but you have the price levels in mind,
146 00:14:52 --> 00:14:58 what you're actually doing is you're learning to trade naked, and by trading
147 00:14:58 --> 00:15:03 naked, you're not going to have. Any influence at all, except for what the
148 00:15:03 --> 00:15:07 price is actually doing at the time while you're looking at it. So in the
149 00:15:07 --> 00:15:12 beginning, I say this, it's okay for you to have the annotations on your chart.
150 00:15:12 --> 00:15:19 Initially, that's fine, but having them on, you know, once you understand what
151 00:15:19 --> 00:15:22 you're doing, you want to try to try to gravitate to that where you're trying to
152 00:15:22 --> 00:15:26 have as little as possible on your charts and keeping them clean, because
153 00:15:26 --> 00:15:29 you'll find what you can't really appreciate right now, while you're new
154 00:15:29 --> 00:15:33 or haven't really done these types of things. By watching price with these
155 00:15:34 --> 00:15:38 tools and these reference points being referred to while watching price
156 00:15:38 --> 00:15:43 deliver, you'll find once you understand how to use this information, and by
157 00:15:43 --> 00:15:46 having them on a notepad next to you, and you're constantly referring to the
158 00:15:46 --> 00:15:52 relationship to where prices right now versus them on a external piece of
159 00:15:52 --> 00:15:57 paper, or maybe a notepad, or not a notepad, but like a like a tablet, it
160 00:15:59 --> 00:16:03 needs to be external from the chart, and that way it'll allow you to be flexible.
161 00:16:03 --> 00:16:08 And I noticed in my own development when I would sense that the market was
162 00:16:08 --> 00:16:12 probably in trouble and not going to be continuously moving where I wanted to
163 00:16:12 --> 00:16:16 go, when I had all these types of annotations on my chart, what it what it
164 00:16:16 --> 00:16:22 did for me was it kind of like helped me in an adverse way of holding on
165 00:16:22 --> 00:16:28 stubbornly and say, No, I'm imposing my will. It's going to do this because I
166 00:16:28 --> 00:16:32 have these lines and things annotated on my chart, so it's going to happen. And
167 00:16:32 --> 00:16:36 for me to break out of that, I had to force myself eventually. It didn't
168 00:16:36 --> 00:16:40 happen fast. It didn't happen real quick, but I had to move away from
169 00:16:40 --> 00:16:45 having annotations entirely at all on my chart. And then I became a lot more
170 00:16:45 --> 00:16:48 flexible where I could see, okay, yeah, this is problematic. It's telling me
171 00:16:49 --> 00:16:53 because price is showing all kinds of signatures, and signatures are types of
172 00:16:53 --> 00:16:56 things I talked about, like where we didn't see it trade into a fair value
173 00:16:56 --> 00:17:00 gaps, midpoint or consequent encroachment, if it trades up into it
174 00:17:00 --> 00:17:05 when we're bearish and it fails to touch that, that is indicative of weakness,
175 00:17:05 --> 00:17:08 because if it can't even touch the midpoint of the fair value gap or
176 00:17:08 --> 00:17:13 inefficiency, then it's decidedly weak, right? So we can really feel confident
177 00:17:13 --> 00:17:19 that if we take another bearish order block as an entry, if we get A a fair
178 00:17:19 --> 00:17:24 value gap after that one that's on a 15 second chart, it's going to probably be
179 00:17:24 --> 00:17:28 a winner, because everything is indicating that it's now going to be
180 00:17:28 --> 00:17:34 moving one sided, decisively lower, because it can't even trade up to a PD
181 00:17:34 --> 00:17:39 array. So if the PD arrays are failing when I'm already looking for a short and
182 00:17:39 --> 00:17:43 they can't even fill in or just trade back to the midpoint of it. That's
183 00:17:43 --> 00:17:49 wonderful insight. That's wonderful it keys up on this is going to be a nice
184 00:17:49 --> 00:17:54 run, and then look for the inefficiency below price, or a single low, or
185 00:17:54 --> 00:17:59 relatively good lows for it to trade, to sell side liquidity. But I just want to
186 00:17:59 --> 00:18:03 mention this before we get into it, because you're going to see a lot of
187 00:18:03 --> 00:18:07 lines again today on the chart. And I want you to understand that I don't have
188 00:18:07 --> 00:18:11 this on my chart, but you need this initially for you to study, because
189 00:18:11 --> 00:18:15 you're not supposed to be pushing any buttons, even on a demo. You're supposed
190 00:18:15 --> 00:18:19 to be studying how price gravitates and moves around them and pulls back to them
191 00:18:19 --> 00:18:23 as a kind of like a magnet, and draws price back to them, not just the one
192 00:18:23 --> 00:18:28 time. It will constantly refer back to them, which is what, in my opinion,
193 00:18:28 --> 00:18:34 proves unequivocally that there is absolutely an algorithm. And anyone that
194 00:18:34 --> 00:18:38 looks at this and studies it, they're going to have to come to the conclusion
195 00:18:38 --> 00:18:44 that either their structured randomness, which is an oxymoron, or there's
196 00:18:44 --> 00:18:49 something in control, and they keep going back to these levels that's never
197 00:18:49 --> 00:18:54 really been referred to in history as a repeating phenomenon until I revealed it
198 00:18:54 --> 00:19:01 to you all. So having that generic perspective grow in terms of new week,
199 00:19:01 --> 00:19:06 opening gaps, new day, opening gaps. Those are your primary factors for
200 00:19:06 --> 00:19:13 determining bias. Now the bias can be reduced to this just the session that
201 00:19:13 --> 00:19:18 you're trading. It can be reduced down to that hour. So we can have models that
202 00:19:18 --> 00:19:22 build what's the hour that we're about to start trading in. What's that bias
203 00:19:22 --> 00:19:28 going to be? What's the bias for the next three hours? That's typically like
204 00:19:28 --> 00:19:34 a session. What's the bias for the entire morning before noon, lunch time
205 00:19:34 --> 00:19:40 in New York? What is the entire daily change bias? What is that going to be?
206 00:19:40 --> 00:19:43 And how to, how to, how do we arrive at that? Well, you're going to use the same
207 00:19:43 --> 00:19:47 things I taught this week. You're just going to be looking for a starting
208 00:19:47 --> 00:19:51 point. When is it going to set the beginning point? Well, in the evening
209 00:19:51 --> 00:19:58 time. You're going to be waiting for six o'clock and, you know, annotate where we
210 00:19:58 --> 00:20:04 open. And. To where we closed at five o'clock. So that our gap in indices,
211 00:20:05 --> 00:20:09 we're annotating that for the new day opening gap, and whichever that six
212 00:20:09 --> 00:20:13 o'clock opening price is if it's above or below. If it's above the closing
213 00:20:13 --> 00:20:18 price at five o'clock, when we have our hour break, if it's above it, that means
214 00:20:18 --> 00:20:24 that that 6pm opening price is your new day opening gap high, and if it opens
215 00:20:24 --> 00:20:31 below where we closed at 5pm that means we have a new date. New Day opening gap
216 00:20:31 --> 00:20:35 lower, and that 6pm opening price that you're going to annotate is going to be
217 00:20:35 --> 00:20:40 your new day opening gap low, and you find the equilibrium, or not equal to
218 00:20:40 --> 00:20:45 the consequence, which is the midpoint of it, if it's over 20 handles or so, if
219 00:20:45 --> 00:20:49 it's over 20 handles, then I'm going to probably have, you know, the midpoint
220 00:20:50 --> 00:20:54 consequent crochet annotated. Certainly anything above 20 handles, I'm always
221 00:20:54 --> 00:20:57 going to have that there. If it's less than I'm always going to just eyeball
222 00:20:57 --> 00:21:01 it. And the reason why I want to have that there, because if, if it's above 20
223 00:21:01 --> 00:21:06 handles, and I have a reference point that tells me that level, I know by
224 00:21:06 --> 00:21:09 eyeballing it, just looking out, not having annotation, I can see where the
225 00:21:09 --> 00:21:12 upper quadrant and the lower quadrant inside that New Day opening gap would
226 00:21:12 --> 00:21:19 be. I don't have to have the lines on there. Okay, so my, my emphasis today is
227 00:21:19 --> 00:21:22 for you to while these are important things to have on your chart initially,
228 00:21:22 --> 00:21:25 while you're learning, and it doesn't mean rush through it, because you want
229 00:21:25 --> 00:21:29 to go to a point of not having anything on your chart because I say I don't, and
230 00:21:29 --> 00:21:32 therefore you want to be just like me, and you think it's going to be a
231 00:21:32 --> 00:21:36 superpower. It's going to slow you down if you try to trade naked without
232 00:21:36 --> 00:21:40 understanding or having the experience of seeing weeks and months of this. So
233 00:21:40 --> 00:21:45 while I'm kind of like ushering Caleb through one month of this stage, he's
234 00:21:45 --> 00:21:49 looked at charts, you know, before this, so I'm just going through the pantomime
235 00:21:49 --> 00:21:52 basically, of saying this is what you would be doing if you're new, but you
236 00:21:52 --> 00:21:56 would be doing it for a couple months, whereas I'm just doing it for four weeks
237 00:21:56 --> 00:21:59 with him. So that way you can see a baseline of what journal journaling
238 00:21:59 --> 00:22:06 looks like. And while we're talking about that, I want you to know what his
239 00:22:06 --> 00:22:13 YouTube channel is. And this is a little picture here that I wanted to refer to
240 00:22:13 --> 00:22:22 later on, so we'll have this as a talking point in a moment. His YouTube
241 00:22:22 --> 00:22:22 channel.
242 00:22:35 --> 00:22:42 Is this correct? Son? Yes, sir. All right, so that is, if you put this in
243 00:22:42 --> 00:22:52 the Search tab on YouTube, that's his channel, we will have the first video
244 00:22:52 --> 00:22:57 for his development, his review, how He sees things based on what I taught this
245 00:22:57 --> 00:23:01 week, and what his charts look like every Everything that I've been
246 00:23:01 --> 00:23:06 instructed you all to do and him throughout this week, Sunday, probably
247 00:23:06 --> 00:23:10 Sunday evening. I don't know what time, but it'll be sometime in the evening
248 00:23:10 --> 00:23:15 time the video will launch there. And then I'm telling him I want to midweek,
249 00:23:16 --> 00:23:20 like, I need to see what he's doing and what he's looking at, what his charts
250 00:23:20 --> 00:23:23 are being annotated. Like, I don't want to go the whole week, because if you
251 00:23:23 --> 00:23:28 spend the entire week doing the wrong things, that's building bad habits, and
252 00:23:28 --> 00:23:31 I want to know what he's doing in the middle of the week. So there might be a
253 00:23:31 --> 00:23:35 Wednesday video, and in a weekend video, okay, but if you subscribe to this
254 00:23:35 --> 00:23:41 channel here, then you'll be able to see the perspective from him, and then where
255 00:23:41 --> 00:23:44 I'm counseling him, what he's doing correctly, what he's not doing
256 00:23:44 --> 00:23:48 correctly, and adjust and calibrate where his focus needs to be going
257 00:23:48 --> 00:23:53 forward. So that way, it's kind of like you're in the classroom with him, but
258 00:23:53 --> 00:23:56 I'm not answering your questions. Okay? So you have to, you have to just
259 00:23:56 --> 00:24:01 experience it through his his eyes, his understanding, and you'll see when it
260 00:24:01 --> 00:24:06 gets in the woodshed too. So anyway, that's I'll have a link for it also on
261 00:24:06 --> 00:24:09 my YouTube channel. So that way anybody that comes out and tries to put their
262 00:24:09 --> 00:24:12 little fake bullshit and they try to copy it, so that way they can get
263 00:24:12 --> 00:24:17 traffic to their channel if you copy any of my videos. ICT gems YouTube channel,
264 00:24:17 --> 00:24:20 I already see that you're putting stuff up there right from these live streams
265 00:24:20 --> 00:24:23 I'm gonna be doing. Copyright strikes against you this. Against you this
266 00:24:23 --> 00:24:26 evening. I already said, do not do that. If you take little snippets and stuff
267 00:24:26 --> 00:24:29 like that, little pieces, you know, I don't care about that, but you're
268 00:24:29 --> 00:24:32 putting the entire lecture on your channel. So I'm letting you know I'm
269 00:24:32 --> 00:24:36 sending shots to you tonight. If you want to take them down. Wonderful. I
270 00:24:36 --> 00:24:39 won't do it. But if you're doing that, and you're another YouTube channel, like
271 00:24:39 --> 00:24:44 inner circle trader Brazil, you've been translating everything into your
272 00:24:44 --> 00:24:48 language there. I'm getting ready to fire them off towards you as well. I do
273 00:24:48 --> 00:24:53 not give anybody permission to do that. If you use the closed caption option,
274 00:24:54 --> 00:24:58 you can find your language. Okay? I've shown it several times when I was doing
275 00:24:58 --> 00:25:01 live streams on how to do it. If. Always there, but you got to wait for the
276 00:25:01 --> 00:25:06 transcript to be completed by the servers on YouTube. Once that's done,
277 00:25:07 --> 00:25:12 all the languages can be converted right onto the closed caption. Okay, so, and
278 00:25:12 --> 00:25:16 that sounds like a dick move, but I kind of warned you. So if you're gonna, if
279 00:25:16 --> 00:25:19 you want to lose all your ad revenue, because you're gonna put, I'm gonna put
280 00:25:19 --> 00:25:22 as many videos as you have on your channel. That's how many copies strike
281 00:25:22 --> 00:25:27 us. Copy right? Strikes I'm going to put against your channel. So just don't do
282 00:25:27 --> 00:25:32 it okay, because you're you're gonna lose everything. So with that said, this
283 00:25:32 --> 00:25:38 little picture here, I wanted to talk about this as we open up going into the
284 00:25:38 --> 00:25:46 charts. What this does. It depicts the the idea of everybody out there trying
285 00:25:46 --> 00:25:51 to do something for the sake of attention, clout, ad revenue, clicks
286 00:25:52 --> 00:25:55 engagements, because that's what makes people money on like Twitter or
287 00:25:55 --> 00:26:01 whatever. But when you're trying to influence other people with price action
288 00:26:01 --> 00:26:05 or techniques to trade with, and you're trying to inspire them to do something
289 00:26:06 --> 00:26:10 to make money and prevent losing money, or you're trying to get people all fired
290 00:26:10 --> 00:26:17 up. This picture really communicates, in my mind, you know, what most people are
291 00:26:17 --> 00:26:24 experiencing, it's the blind leading the blind. Okay? And I hope that this week
292 00:26:24 --> 00:26:29 sitting with me proves that number one, my concepts are absolutely the source
293 00:26:29 --> 00:26:34 code to price. It's exactly what price is going to do at the times that it's
294 00:26:34 --> 00:26:40 expected to do it. It's not ambiguous. It's not it's kind of close. It's right
295 00:26:40 --> 00:26:45 to the tick. It's right to the tick, okay? And it repeats. And I have the
296 00:26:45 --> 00:26:48 ability to communicate that and transpose that information into
297 00:26:48 --> 00:26:53 students, and they're able to use this information independent of me saying
298 00:26:53 --> 00:26:56 what I think the market's going to do. In other words, I have students that can
299 00:26:56 --> 00:27:00 do what I've taught them, and they don't ever need to watch another ICT video.
300 00:27:00 --> 00:27:04 And that should be your goal. Your goal should be, once you go through this
301 00:27:04 --> 00:27:09 mentorship, your goal should I'm never going to go watch something ICT posted.
302 00:27:10 --> 00:27:13 It might be just as let me just tap in and see what he's doing now. I am
303 00:27:13 --> 00:27:17 interested in what he says, but I've been there in a couple months, or six
304 00:27:17 --> 00:27:20 months or a year. Let me just see what he's up to now. And that's, the
305 00:27:20 --> 00:27:25 perspective. But really your goal is you never want to watch another ICT video.
306 00:27:25 --> 00:27:28 You never want to come to my YouTube channel. You don't have to worry about
307 00:27:28 --> 00:27:31 making more ad revenue for me by clicking on any of my videos. That's
308 00:27:31 --> 00:27:35 your goal, okay? Because if that's your goal, what that means is you're taking
309 00:27:35 --> 00:27:40 it serious, and you don't want any tethering between me and you. That's
310 00:27:40 --> 00:27:43 what a real mentor wants in their students. I don't want any of you
311 00:27:44 --> 00:27:48 holding on my hand or expecting me to walk you through every little trial and
312 00:27:48 --> 00:27:52 tribulation you go through as a trader, because I've already covered 99% of
313 00:27:52 --> 00:27:56 that. But there's a lot of folks out there that are going to try to tell you,
314 00:27:56 --> 00:28:01 this is good. This isn't good. What ICT said, or they're going to try to strip
315 00:28:01 --> 00:28:07 it down even to less that hopefully will make them stand out and say, Okay, I'm
316 00:28:07 --> 00:28:11 going to answer the call for the people that have Tiktok mentality, the
317 00:28:11 --> 00:28:15 attention span of a gnat, and think that that's going to help them. It's not
318 00:28:15 --> 00:28:18 going to help you. That won't help you, it'll make you feel like you're getting
319 00:28:18 --> 00:28:22 right to the point, but that just means that you're going to get to the
320 00:28:22 --> 00:28:26 actionable things, but you won't have the counseling elements that go around
321 00:28:26 --> 00:28:29 it, because soon as you find the hardship by doing it, you're going to
322 00:28:29 --> 00:28:32 quit and think it doesn't work, or you're not going to know how to cope
323 00:28:32 --> 00:28:36 with it, and then grind through it, which is what I'm doing. I coach you
324 00:28:36 --> 00:28:41 through this, and it gives you the perspective to maintain or expect going
325 00:28:41 --> 00:28:46 into it, and then what's the proper perspective after you endure it? That's
326 00:28:46 --> 00:28:50 mentoring. That's real mentoring. That's not someone that's I'm not here for
327 00:28:50 --> 00:28:54 clicks, okay? I'm here to make sure that you watch my shit, you understand it
328 00:28:54 --> 00:28:59 correctly. You do the things that's correctly explained to you, and avoid
329 00:28:59 --> 00:29:02 all the dumb stuff that's going to either slow you down or mess you up or
330 00:29:02 --> 00:29:08 derail you. This is, this is how I would be wanting to be trained. I'm taking the
331 00:29:08 --> 00:29:13 time to make sure that you understand it in detail, and I want to see you succeed
332 00:29:13 --> 00:29:18 with it. So the blind leading the blind. You know that's always going to be a
333 00:29:18 --> 00:29:24 factor, but no one can deny that I was all over this this week, every single
334 00:29:24 --> 00:29:34 day, perfect, not just close, but perfect. Perfect. There's framework that
335 00:29:34 --> 00:29:38 we're going to pull in with the daily chart today. Okay, because it's salient
336 00:29:38 --> 00:29:44 to the discussion, but I want you to know that we did not refer to anything
337 00:29:44 --> 00:29:50 above a 15 minute chart, except for the session on Monday where I showed you
338 00:29:50 --> 00:29:56 that big gap on the daily chart, which happened to be the new week opening gap.
339 00:29:57 --> 00:30:02 We'll talk about that today, and then how also. Fits into the equation of how
340 00:30:02 --> 00:30:05 we're using the clustering of inefficiencies with new day opening gaps
341 00:30:05 --> 00:30:10 and new week opening gaps. Because I know there's a plethora of questions
342 00:30:10 --> 00:30:15 that this week has caused you to build up in your mind, or maybe you have a
343 00:30:15 --> 00:30:18 journal page full of all kinds of questions. I hope I see talks about
344 00:30:18 --> 00:30:21 this, this, this, this, I might hit some of them today. I may not okay, but just
345 00:30:21 --> 00:30:27 know that every time you show up here, I'm going to answer something, and it
346 00:30:27 --> 00:30:31 may be a question that it's been months or longer for some of you, and then I'll
347 00:30:31 --> 00:30:35 say something that will open your understanding about it and say, oh yeah.
348 00:30:35 --> 00:30:39 Now it makes perfect sense. And it may not even be me directly saying the very
349 00:30:39 --> 00:30:41 thing that you have a question about, but because you get further
350 00:30:41 --> 00:30:46 understanding about another element that supports the underlying question or
351 00:30:46 --> 00:30:50 concern or doubt you have, then it becomes, oh, well, that cannot make
352 00:30:50 --> 00:30:54 sense. And there's so many opportunities for me to be able to throw an analogy
353 00:30:54 --> 00:31:01 from I can't begin to start with one of them, but the session starting at six
354 00:31:01 --> 00:31:05 o'clock. Okay, we're going to zoom in this little area right here. I'm
355 00:31:23 --> 00:31:31 all right, there is the five o'clock, or in this case, 459 candle that closes in.
356 00:31:31 --> 00:31:39 The final print on that candle comes in at 18,558 even the very next candle at
357 00:31:39 --> 00:31:45 six o'clock, because at our delay where markets are not trading, we open up, and
358 00:31:45 --> 00:31:48 that's the opening price down here. Okay, so that opening price, which you
359 00:31:48 --> 00:31:56 can see at the top of the chart, is 18,005 50.25 so between the difference
360 00:31:56 --> 00:32:01 of where we closed at the five o'clock hour and where we opened at six o'clock,
361 00:32:01 --> 00:32:08 that is what that's your new day opening gap, and since we opened lower than
362 00:32:08 --> 00:32:17 where we closed, that means we have a discount. Lower opening is the
363 00:32:17 --> 00:32:23 difference between this close and this open greater than 20 handles. No, it's
364 00:32:23 --> 00:32:28 literally less than 10. So am I going to draw a line in there? You can if you
365 00:32:28 --> 00:32:32 want to have them on your chart. There's nothing wrong with that, Caleb, but if
366 00:32:32 --> 00:32:37 you are going to follow the rules that I'm teaching on you really shouldn't
367 00:32:37 --> 00:32:40 need to see that line. Your eyeball should say, Okay, we're right about in
368 00:32:40 --> 00:32:44 here, that's that's about the middle or consequent curtain. And then if you can
369 00:32:44 --> 00:32:47 eyeball that, then you can eyeball half of that is the upper quadrant and the
370 00:32:47 --> 00:32:51 lower quadrant. And it's just a matter of doing it okay, you don't have to have
371 00:32:51 --> 00:32:55 every single line on your chart, because otherwise it's going to be a lot. And
372 00:32:55 --> 00:33:00 you don't need a lot. You just need one or two elements to having in mind where
373 00:33:00 --> 00:33:04 you think the price is going to gravitate to, or gyrate around and based
374 00:33:04 --> 00:33:06 on like, for instance, we have the economic calendar today, if you've
375 00:33:06 --> 00:33:11 already done your homework and notice that today there is no medium or high
376 00:33:11 --> 00:33:17 impact news events, none. It's Friday. Also, we've had a large weekly range,
377 00:33:18 --> 00:33:22 and we'll talk about that for TGIF purposes before close as well. So when
378 00:33:23 --> 00:33:28 we have this in here, we're waiting for the market to do what we're waiting for
379 00:33:28 --> 00:33:36 the market to create motion around this new day opening gap. Do not trade
380 00:33:36 --> 00:33:41 initially. Soon as you get the gap noted here, you're not in there trying to
381 00:33:41 --> 00:33:47 trade off of it. Why? Because there's an element of time that has to be referred
382 00:33:47 --> 00:33:53 to first. Because, as I mentioned in ad nauseam, the markets will not move until
383 00:33:53 --> 00:34:00 it's time for them to move, which is algorithmic. Yes, price will gyrate.
384 00:34:00 --> 00:34:05 They may have meaningless, aimless little movements, okay, that I'm not
385 00:34:05 --> 00:34:11 interested in, but when time is now introduced as the factor that's greatest
386 00:34:11 --> 00:34:16 importance. That means at seven o'clock to nine o'clock, that's your Asian
387 00:34:16 --> 00:34:23 session. You can, you can use this new day opening gap now and build it around
388 00:34:23 --> 00:34:29 the element of liquidity. So what does that mean? Well, if you look at how we
389 00:34:29 --> 00:34:34 have the market work and gyrate around, I'm going to maximize just this chart. I
390 00:34:34 --> 00:34:37 know you're over here looking at this stuff like it's some kind of secret
391 00:34:37 --> 00:34:40 weapon. We're going to we're going to have all these lines amplified on the
392 00:34:40 --> 00:34:43 chart. I'll show them all to you. And most of everything that you've seen all
393 00:34:43 --> 00:34:48 week long, nothing's been added except the new day opening gap that was formed
394 00:34:48 --> 00:34:53 for Friday's trading last night at 6pm Eastern Time. There's nothing else over
395 00:34:53 --> 00:34:57 here, so stop looking over here or here. Well, it's, it's the same lines you've
396 00:34:57 --> 00:35:03 been watching all week. But I'm going to maximize this chart here. Here. And I
397 00:35:03 --> 00:35:05 want you to see what we have done.
398 00:35:10 --> 00:35:15 We created a high, and then we had created another high. So what is this
399 00:35:15 --> 00:35:20 high here in relationship to this one? What is that? Caleb, you're gonna you're
400 00:35:20 --> 00:35:29 gonna speak up relative equal high. Okay, so we annotate that. So above this
401 00:35:29 --> 00:35:34 high, there's liquidity in this the form of buy side. You want to be annotating
402 00:35:34 --> 00:35:38 that so that you're gonna be taking screenshots of these types of things
403 00:35:38 --> 00:35:43 after it's happened, you start like this. You don't try to predict them.
404 00:35:43 --> 00:35:48 You're trying to avoid. I need to put this to work right now and see if it
405 00:35:48 --> 00:35:54 works right now. No, you're studying it after it happens. And then you do a walk
406 00:35:54 --> 00:35:58 forward where you're watching price without any button pushing, without any
407 00:35:58 --> 00:36:03 kind of hard opinion. But you're doing it with the expectation of collecting
408 00:36:03 --> 00:36:09 experience watching it. So you're going to be doing it on the top the left, and
409 00:36:14 --> 00:36:19 that's how I like to entertain mine. Okay, so now we have the market that
410 00:36:19 --> 00:36:25 opened at six o'clock. We traded above short term high. You can annotate that
411 00:36:25 --> 00:36:31 as a minor buy side liquidity pool. It drops down, takes out this low. You can
412 00:36:31 --> 00:36:34 annotate that as a minor sell side liquidity pool. But what you're waiting
413 00:36:34 --> 00:36:41 for is, you want to see price. Do two things. You want to see it, leave the
414 00:36:41 --> 00:36:46 new day open gap. You want to see it cross over it and go below it. When it
415 00:36:46 --> 00:36:49 goes below it, you don't want to see it just trade below. For the sake of going
416 00:36:49 --> 00:36:53 below the lowest low it. You want to see a short term low taken. It does that?
417 00:36:53 --> 00:36:59 See that? So what is, what has it done? It set an initial range to build an
418 00:36:59 --> 00:37:03 engineer liquidity. You don't even need to see this one yet, but what we're
419 00:37:03 --> 00:37:10 doing is we're seeing how price now annotated here for you that high, and
420 00:37:10 --> 00:37:15 let's change it to black, because I want it to be different. And we'll do this.
421 00:37:15 --> 00:37:15 I'm
422 00:37:23 --> 00:37:31 it. If you hold down Control and click on the line or thing that you want to
423 00:37:31 --> 00:37:35 copy, don't do it on a little button here. You gotta do it somewhere over
424 00:37:35 --> 00:37:39 here, and then drag your mouse away from it. It'll copy it for you. I learned
425 00:37:39 --> 00:37:43 that from my students about mine. Most of everything I learned on trading view
426 00:37:43 --> 00:37:52 is all from students. So this is a little minor. That's a minor short term.
427 00:37:52 --> 00:38:03 So it would look like this minor short term. Buy some and you like that real
428 00:38:03 --> 00:38:09 little. And again, on the top left, okay, and the same thing with this down
429 00:38:09 --> 00:38:13 here. You're going to hold down Control. Drag from the middle of the line. It'll
430 00:38:13 --> 00:38:23 copy it, and you put that right there. Drag through a little bit, and now you
431 00:38:23 --> 00:38:30 want to make sure that that's underneath it, so that's below, so bottom left, and
432 00:38:30 --> 00:38:34 my change up the cell side, because that's what's below old lows. Cell side
433 00:38:34 --> 00:38:40 below it, by side above it. Okay. So what that does is it helps annotate your
434 00:38:40 --> 00:38:45 chart, and when you refer back to it, what I'm doing there is I'm holding down
435 00:38:45 --> 00:38:53 shift that way. I'm keeping the line straight. It keeps everything nice and
436 00:38:53 --> 00:38:59 neat. You might want to make that font and text size larger, but for me, I like
437 00:38:59 --> 00:39:01 that because I don't want so much attention drawn on it. I just want you
438 00:39:01 --> 00:39:04 to know that that's these are the types of things I want to see in your chart,
439 00:39:04 --> 00:39:07 around the openings, okay? Or the times I'm teaching you to focus on, like the
440 00:39:07 --> 00:39:10 seven o'clock in the morning to eight o'clock in the morning to nine o'clock
441 00:39:10 --> 00:39:13 in the morning, morning session. Since that's your time, you're gonna be
442 00:39:13 --> 00:39:17 looking for the same event there. Okay, so this is amplifying what's already
443 00:39:17 --> 00:39:23 been taught in this week's live stream, but I'm applying it to this time of this
444 00:39:23 --> 00:39:26 time of day. For the folks that can only trade this time of day, they may not be
445 00:39:26 --> 00:39:31 able to do what you're going to be doing or trade at all, except for this time.
446 00:39:31 --> 00:39:35 So this is, this is Agent session trading. This stuff works for forex too.
447 00:39:35 --> 00:39:40 So don't think that it's just a one trick pony. For indices. This is exactly
448 00:39:40 --> 00:39:45 what you'll be, you'll be doing the same thing in forex. Okay, I don't trade
449 00:39:45 --> 00:39:50 crypto. I don't know. I've never investigated because I don't care to
450 00:39:50 --> 00:39:54 trade crypto. And I'll, I'll never do it. I know a lot of people are still
451 00:39:54 --> 00:39:59 asking about that, but we have a short term sell side liquidity pool below
452 00:39:59 --> 00:40:04 here. I. And we have a short term buy side look pretty cool here at six
453 00:40:04 --> 00:40:08 o'clock. And then we have the new day opening gap. So we have new day opening
454 00:40:08 --> 00:40:13 gap. And what we're watching at that very moment is, you want to see it trade
455 00:40:13 --> 00:40:16 away from it, which is it? Which it does? Is it going somewhere randomly?
456 00:40:16 --> 00:40:22 No, it's just going in here to do what it sets an initial range for building an
457 00:40:22 --> 00:40:25 engineering liquidity that means now there are going to be buy stops that
458 00:40:25 --> 00:40:30 form right above this high. So this is what you're going to have in your chart.
459 00:40:42 --> 00:40:49 I'm and on the bottom here.
460 00:40:55 --> 00:41:00 And some of you are like, Man, this is a lot of lot of stuff to be doing, and I
461 00:41:00 --> 00:41:04 ain't making money yet. Well, if you don't want to do this, go trade
462 00:41:04 --> 00:41:10 indicators and check back with me in six months and tell me how you doing. I know
463 00:41:10 --> 00:41:17 you'll be watching these videos, and I stress this out just a little bit more
464 00:41:17 --> 00:41:32 because conflicting. So now we have that on the wrong line, sorry. So what we've
465 00:41:32 --> 00:41:36 done is we've taken out this short term low, and we created an initial sell side
466 00:41:36 --> 00:41:39 liquidity pool, and we went above this short term height and we created an
467 00:41:39 --> 00:41:44 initial buy side liquidity pool, okay, why is that classified like that? Why am
468 00:41:44 --> 00:41:48 I labeling that high, and why am I labeling this low? And why is it initial
469 00:41:48 --> 00:41:54 buy side and initial sell side? Because we've opened a new day at six o'clock.
470 00:41:54 --> 00:41:59 We created the inefficiency that is the new day opening gap. It's moved away.
471 00:41:59 --> 00:42:02 That's the first thing we're looking for. It needs to move away from it. It
472 00:42:02 --> 00:42:07 does. So what is it going to do? It takes out the short term buy side. Does
473 00:42:07 --> 00:42:11 it go back now below the new day of being gap? Yes. Why? Because the
474 00:42:11 --> 00:42:16 algorithm is calibrating and setting and which is this is visually representing
475 00:42:16 --> 00:42:20 how the algorithm engineers liquidity. It takes a short term pool of liquidity
476 00:42:20 --> 00:42:26 out, and then goes the opposing side below this low. Now there's a new low
477 00:42:27 --> 00:42:34 and a new high. After six o'clock. You see that this is the initial high and
478 00:42:34 --> 00:42:39 the low that every trader that trades at that moment is going to refer to, for
479 00:42:39 --> 00:42:45 where their stop loss is going to be, so this is no longer a factor. So while
480 00:42:45 --> 00:42:49 that's important to have on your chart for the purpose of learning, you want to
481 00:42:49 --> 00:42:55 kind of keep it muted. Don't don't have it so prominent in the chart.
482 00:43:01 --> 00:43:08 So the same thing down here. But you do want to have it initially as a
483 00:43:08 --> 00:43:12 screenshot while it's doing this, when it runs up here like this, when it does
484 00:43:12 --> 00:43:18 that screenshot, it and then later on, if it rolls down and take out that low
485 00:43:18 --> 00:43:23 screenshot, it again. Because you want to see these screenshots as they go to
486 00:43:23 --> 00:43:27 the levels of interest. But this, it should do that. Now, what happens if it
487 00:43:27 --> 00:43:31 did this? If it was in here and it went down there first and it took out that
488 00:43:31 --> 00:43:34 low? Okay, you would screenshot it as it happens, and then you would anticipate
489 00:43:34 --> 00:43:39 it running above this high. And what you would do, you know, classically, it will
490 00:43:39 --> 00:43:43 do that. There are times when we start the new day at six o'clock and it'll
491 00:43:43 --> 00:43:47 just dilly dally around and do nothing, and it won't even bump above or below.
492 00:43:47 --> 00:43:51 If it doesn't do that, don't worry about it. That's typically telling you that
493 00:43:51 --> 00:43:54 Asia is going to be dull. It's not going to do anything. It's probably a good day
494 00:43:54 --> 00:43:59 for you to just go watch a movie with your spouse, or go exercise and then go
495 00:43:59 --> 00:44:03 to bed early and get arrested for your work day tomorrow, but you want to be
496 00:44:03 --> 00:44:10 doing things with a purpose of knowing that it's going to fit the
497 00:44:10 --> 00:44:15 characteristics that are synonymous with the market, making a sizable move that's
498 00:44:15 --> 00:44:19 predictable. And if it's this real lethargic and lackluster at six o'clock,
499 00:44:19 --> 00:44:22 and it doesn't really do anything going into seven o'clock, because that's your
500 00:44:22 --> 00:44:28 key time. Seven o'clock starts the Asian session, and you think it's just for us.
501 00:44:28 --> 00:44:35 No, these markets are ran through artificial intelligence, and sometimes
502 00:44:35 --> 00:44:39 they're tweaked a little bit manually to cause a little bit more excitement or to
503 00:44:39 --> 00:44:44 disrupt something. Okay, so now we have initial sell side liquidity for the day
504 00:44:45 --> 00:44:50 and initial buy side liquidity for the day outside of those two reference
505 00:44:50 --> 00:44:53 points. Then you look to the left and say, Okay, where are the larger pool of
506 00:44:53 --> 00:45:00 liquidity? Well, obviously it's here. So if we have that once we. Broke through
507 00:45:00 --> 00:45:04 here. We have to see it do another characteristic with the new day opening
508 00:45:04 --> 00:45:09 gap. We have to move away from it initially, go to a short term high to
509 00:45:09 --> 00:45:14 take liquidity out, which it does here, and then drops down below, crossing over
510 00:45:14 --> 00:45:17 the new day opening gap. So this is where you want to see it coloring
511 00:45:17 --> 00:45:22 outside the lines. Okay, so many times I've introduced ideas and talk about
512 00:45:22 --> 00:45:26 specific PD arrays. And when I tell people annotate this level and take that
513 00:45:26 --> 00:45:30 level, this is a fair value gap. This is an inversion fair value gap. This is,
514 00:45:30 --> 00:45:34 you know, something else. And soon as someone that's watching it sees it cross
515 00:45:34 --> 00:45:37 through, they think, aha, it didn't even hold he thought, you have no idea what
516 00:45:37 --> 00:45:39 the fuck you're talking about. You have no idea what you're talking about. And
517 00:45:39 --> 00:45:43 this is the stuff that pisses me off, because they they can't wait to do that.
518 00:45:43 --> 00:45:47 I gotcha. I'm gonna go on social media See what I did here. Did it wrong, and
519 00:45:47 --> 00:45:52 try to make videos and bullshit. This is the logic behind it. Okay? You want to
520 00:45:52 --> 00:45:56 see it trade away from the New Day opening gap as it formed. And if it goes
521 00:45:56 --> 00:45:59 up, it's taking a short term high out. And then you want to see it cross back
522 00:45:59 --> 00:46:04 over it and seek a short term low, which is what it's doing here. Once it does
523 00:46:04 --> 00:46:09 that and it crosses back into it again, we have now set initial buy side
524 00:46:09 --> 00:46:13 liquidity and initial sell side liquidity. Now you're going to wait.
525 00:46:13 --> 00:46:18 What are you waiting for? ICT, when's the when's the time of day for Asia,
526 00:46:18 --> 00:46:24 seven o'clock. Okay, go here to the vertical line. Does this seem
527 00:46:24 --> 00:46:28 complicated yet? Let me know. Let me know if this is complicated. Okay,
528 00:46:28 --> 00:46:33 because this is really simple stuff. Really, really simple stuff. So now we
529 00:46:33 --> 00:46:41 have what happened. The market crosses back above New Day opening debt. Does it
530 00:46:41 --> 00:46:48 take out the low here, right there, as we're heading into, as we're heading
531 00:46:48 --> 00:46:54 into seven o'clock? What is it doing? Is it moving to this low to challenge this
532 00:46:54 --> 00:46:59 cell, solid covid? Absolutely not. So. What is it doing here, energetically,
533 00:46:59 --> 00:47:06 here? What is it doing upside? Right, so it's crossing over the new day opening
534 00:47:06 --> 00:47:12 gap, and then at seven o'clock. What does it do on the seven, seven o'clock
535 00:47:12 --> 00:47:17 candle, look close. Let me. Let me take this away for a second. What do you see?
536 00:47:17 --> 00:47:22 It dips back into just slightly. It retests. It re trades to the new day
537 00:47:22 --> 00:47:27 opening gap that was formed right over here. You see it touching that. So if
538 00:47:27 --> 00:47:32 it's going to go back to that after having displacement here, it's already
539 00:47:32 --> 00:47:37 set the initial boundaries for the cell stops in the buy stops. So the algorithm
540 00:47:37 --> 00:47:43 is given the signal right here. Now we're touching, we're inside the element
541 00:47:43 --> 00:47:45 of time. Dave,
542 00:47:50 --> 00:47:58 so the market should displace above this high relative equal highs challenge the
543 00:47:58 --> 00:48:04 initial buy side liquidity, and we'll test and hold to see if they can run
544 00:48:04 --> 00:48:08 above this high. Now, you know, because you sat with me last night, we actually
545 00:48:09 --> 00:48:13 did this. We actually traded it. We pushed the button, and there it is. But
546 00:48:13 --> 00:48:17 I'm going to show you the logic behind this. That way you as a individual that
547 00:48:17 --> 00:48:21 wants to trade the agent session. This is the protocol. This is the guidance.
548 00:48:21 --> 00:48:26 This is the step by step. This is what you do. This is all you do every single
549 00:48:26 --> 00:48:30 day. You're looking for these signatures, these characteristics, if
550 00:48:30 --> 00:48:33 they don't do these things, guess what? You don't do? You don't push a button,
551 00:48:33 --> 00:48:37 you don't trade it. You don't have high expectations, but you still study it. Is
552 00:48:37 --> 00:48:41 that clear? Yes, sir. Okay, not that you're going to be trading this time of
553 00:48:41 --> 00:48:44 day, but I have to make sure that it's the same way for you when you're doing
554 00:48:44 --> 00:48:48 it in the New York session. So at seven o'clock you're gonna be studying and
555 00:48:48 --> 00:48:52 looking price, looking at price, to do these same things. So if we look at how
556 00:48:52 --> 00:48:57 the price opens on this candle, it drops back down and touches and re trades to
557 00:48:57 --> 00:49:03 the high of that new day opening gap. So everything's in motion. Everything is
558 00:49:03 --> 00:49:09 set. We did not have a interest in going back below the initial sell side
559 00:49:09 --> 00:49:15 liquidity that took out this flow. The key things are this. We're gyrating
560 00:49:15 --> 00:49:20 around the new day, opening gap. You want to see this, but when it comes to
561 00:49:20 --> 00:49:28 time seven o'clock is your time in Asia, the the algorithm will will come online,
562 00:49:28 --> 00:49:34 and you'll see buy programs and sell programs begin right at seven o'clock,
563 00:49:34 --> 00:49:39 or just after it okay, and you're only really interested in until, until nine
564 00:49:39 --> 00:49:43 o'clock. So if you're a working class hero in the United States, or if you're
565 00:49:43 --> 00:49:49 overseas and you want to trade in this time of day, your key times are 7pm New
566 00:49:49 --> 00:49:55 York local time to 9pm New York local time. So it's a small little window of
567 00:49:55 --> 00:50:00 focus. You don't have a whole long you know, it's not four hours. A it's a very
568 00:50:00 --> 00:50:05 small segment of time, and I want you to go through your charts, and I want you
569 00:50:05 --> 00:50:08 to annotate these things, not you Caleb, but everyone else that may have an
570 00:50:08 --> 00:50:13 interest in this. Even if you don't want to trade this type of or time of day,
571 00:50:13 --> 00:50:17 it's beneficial for you to log this, because you're going to see things that
572 00:50:17 --> 00:50:21 will further prove that the markets are algorithmic, and they're, they're
573 00:50:21 --> 00:50:26 operating on the things I'm teaching you that they do. Okay, so anyway, the down
574 00:50:26 --> 00:50:29 close candle in here, it trades down touch at the top of the day, opening
575 00:50:29 --> 00:50:33 gap. And now, because it's, it's seven o'clock, it's proven that it's not going
576 00:50:33 --> 00:50:37 to go down here. It hasn't have interest in it. And this run here, this right
577 00:50:37 --> 00:50:44 here, that is indicative that it wants to run. So because it's doing this, this
578 00:50:44 --> 00:50:50 buy side and balance cell sign efficiency, I would have no interest, as
579 00:50:50 --> 00:50:53 you saw last night, I'm not interested in seeing come back down into that gap.
580 00:50:53 --> 00:50:57 So what does that make this gap? It makes it a breakaway gap. And so if it's
581 00:50:57 --> 00:51:02 going to break away from running higher and not going lower. What's it going to
582 00:51:02 --> 00:51:07 seek this short term high I want to see. Does it have momentum and speed in which
583 00:51:07 --> 00:51:13 it takes that relative equal high out this high in this high, when it trades
584 00:51:13 --> 00:51:17 there, which it does right there, it pops through it real quick and then
585 00:51:17 --> 00:51:26 comes back. Half of this range consolidates around it, boom, runs into
586 00:51:26 --> 00:51:32 initial buy side liquidity. So now I want to see this. Treat it as rocket
587 00:51:32 --> 00:51:38 fuel. You ever see those guys that have their funny cars and they have nitrous
588 00:51:38 --> 00:51:43 oxide? You want to see the nitrous oxide button pressed in price action. Right
589 00:51:43 --> 00:51:46 when it does that, you don't want to see it go up and then go right back in.
590 00:51:46 --> 00:51:51 Because what that was is, it's a fade. That's your turtle suit. It's a fake
591 00:51:51 --> 00:51:57 out. What we're looking for is we want to see like a nitrous oxide injection of
592 00:51:57 --> 00:52:02 strength, speed, when dad does the recordings when I'm trading. And I'll
593 00:52:02 --> 00:52:06 type out and say, I want to see speed and magnitude. I want to see distance.
594 00:52:06 --> 00:52:11 That's because I'm I'm expecting these elements in price action at that moment,
595 00:52:11 --> 00:52:17 at that moment, I want to see that being visible in price. And you can see it
596 00:52:17 --> 00:52:21 happening here. And then we gap up where this candle close. It gapped up here.
597 00:52:21 --> 00:52:28 When we trade back down into that right there, that is an entry as well. And
598 00:52:28 --> 00:52:32 you'll see those things as we start going through the charts live. I'll
599 00:52:32 --> 00:52:37 point them out to you. And when we take screenshots this, this is an actual
600 00:52:37 --> 00:52:44 wonderful buy. And then we start to roll up here. Then we see the classic volume
601 00:52:44 --> 00:52:48 and balance retreat to it there, and that's another body. And then you had
602 00:52:48 --> 00:52:52 this big pop here, which we watched happen. I mean, we both were like, yeah,
603 00:52:52 --> 00:53:00 yes, well, it runs out there. And took the buy side here. So visually, I now
604 00:53:04 --> 00:53:07 you can see how in this candle, I'll put that right over top it. You can see the
605 00:53:07 --> 00:53:12 entry right there, and what I was aiming for, as I wanted to watch when it opened
606 00:53:12 --> 00:53:16 and traded down. I wanted to see it get below the body of that down closed
607 00:53:16 --> 00:53:21 candle. I don't care where in the spectrum of that wick, because that's a
608 00:53:21 --> 00:53:28 discount wick. I'm buying that order block because I understand it's an order
609 00:53:28 --> 00:53:32 block. Everybody else will simply say, Well, you got to look to buy the down
610 00:53:32 --> 00:53:36 closed candles. And that just shows that they only listen to my very first
611 00:53:36 --> 00:53:39 introduction to an order block, because they don't understand what an order
612 00:53:39 --> 00:53:44 block is. So I want to be in the discount element of that down close
613 00:53:44 --> 00:53:48 candle. And I want to be entering below its body. In this case, it's the close.
614 00:53:48 --> 00:53:51 So if you look up here in the upper left hand corner, you see the close. It says
615 00:53:51 --> 00:53:58 18,005 60.00 Yes, sir. I want to be buying below that, at it, or below it.
616 00:53:58 --> 00:54:06 And my entry was 550, 9.75 9.75 so that's pretty good, and then it rallies.
617 00:54:07 --> 00:54:11 And when you have this break like this, your stop loss has to be below the
618 00:54:11 --> 00:54:15 consequence of the new day opening gap, which is what you got, which what you
619 00:54:15 --> 00:54:18 watched me do last night. So for the folks are saying, where would your stop
620 00:54:18 --> 00:54:22 loss be? Because we gapped up like this. And we've already done this. Watch what
621 00:54:22 --> 00:54:25 we've done. We've opened here. We created the new day opening gap. We took
622 00:54:25 --> 00:54:29 short term liquidity here, took short term liquidity here, and then we cross
623 00:54:29 --> 00:54:33 back over top of New Day opening gap, and then cross back down below it. And
624 00:54:33 --> 00:54:36 then we now we have this displacement ahead of seven o'clock. You see that,
625 00:54:36 --> 00:54:42 folks, you see how that element of just, it's it's letting everybody know that
626 00:54:42 --> 00:54:46 sees price with this understanding. You're not supposed to know this. I'm
627 00:54:46 --> 00:54:51 not supposed to be teaching it really. But these are the like the little
628 00:54:51 --> 00:54:55 Hallmark signatures that okay, it's about to happen. So now we have to
629 00:54:55 --> 00:54:59 reference these completely random levels when you do opening gap, something
630 00:54:59 --> 00:55:04 that's been. Into revamped by somebody else, that nobody has an identification
631 00:55:04 --> 00:55:09 on. Nobody's there to pick the $5 million up for me, having been exposed
632 00:55:09 --> 00:55:12 as this is where he copied it from, Wyckoff, has no idea what the we're
633 00:55:12 --> 00:55:17 talking about here. If he was, he's my student. This touch of that high of The
634 00:55:17 --> 00:55:22 New Day opening, that that's your trigger, but I want to get in there
635 00:55:22 --> 00:55:26 right as it's trading back to that wick, which we're going to talk about wicks as
636 00:55:26 --> 00:55:32 gaps today. Also, the market has immediate feedback and tells me I'm on
637 00:55:32 --> 00:55:37 side. I don't need to worry about anything now. And soon as we take out
638 00:55:37 --> 00:55:43 this high here, the stock goes to break even, or the very minimum, it has to be
639 00:55:43 --> 00:55:48 at the top of the new day opening guy, and you don't, you don't chase it. You
640 00:55:48 --> 00:55:52 see me rush my stop loss. I mean, you just relax and let it happen. So the
641 00:55:52 --> 00:55:57 market gives us two qualifying, comfortable, like consoling, like it's
642 00:55:57 --> 00:56:02 okay, don't worry about it. It's coming. Because we see the displacement here,
643 00:56:02 --> 00:56:06 and when we see the displacement, every displacement does not have to see it
644 00:56:06 --> 00:56:12 trade back down into it's better. It's better for your trades to not see them
645 00:56:12 --> 00:56:17 return into buy, sign and balance sales on efficiency at all. That's what you
646 00:56:17 --> 00:56:19 really, really want to see. Okay,
647 00:56:21 --> 00:56:25 if it has the interest to go back into it, that is indicating that the if the
648 00:56:25 --> 00:56:27 moves coming, it's being deferred, and you're gonna have to sit through a
649 00:56:27 --> 00:56:31 period of uncomfortable waiting and maybe a little bit of drawdown or
650 00:56:31 --> 00:56:34 chopping it around before it takes off. I don't like those types of trades,
651 00:56:35 --> 00:56:38 which is why I like to look at the market when it creates these types of
652 00:56:39 --> 00:56:43 characteristics where it's really indicating that a it's, it's, it's about
653 00:56:43 --> 00:56:48 the pop. It's doing exactly what I want to do. We can time it, because the
654 00:56:48 --> 00:56:53 market operates on time, not price first. It's time first. And you have to
655 00:56:53 --> 00:56:58 know what these elements of time are and why they're a factor. Otherwise, every
656 00:56:58 --> 00:57:03 Mickey Mouse bullshit indicator, or even my stuff apply at the wrong times, isn't
657 00:57:03 --> 00:57:07 going to work. So you have to have these elements of time determined ahead of
658 00:57:07 --> 00:57:12 time, and it has to be your, your your central focal point for your model. If
659 00:57:12 --> 00:57:16 you can't, if you can't arrive at that as Okay, that makes a lot of sense, then
660 00:57:16 --> 00:57:19 you're going to struggle. You're not going to have any success with this.
661 00:57:19 --> 00:57:22 You're going to think it's all contrived as much as I keep showing it and proving
662 00:57:22 --> 00:57:27 it, it'll still just be he's lucky, or it's just, it just happened to be
663 00:57:27 --> 00:57:31 randomly in his favor that day. And it's, you know, anybody can make excuses
664 00:57:31 --> 00:57:35 for not wanting to do it, but no one can make an excuse and say it's random
665 00:57:35 --> 00:57:38 because it's absolutely following the logic that I've been teaching for
666 00:57:38 --> 00:57:46 decades. So there's our entry, and then we want to aim for something above this
667 00:57:46 --> 00:57:50 buy side liquidity pool, because if we know that it's likely to trade up above
668 00:57:50 --> 00:57:55 it, you know, how can we arrive at a target that is close to it? Well, what
669 00:57:55 --> 00:58:00 was the what was the leg of price prior to this run up that's going the other
670 00:58:00 --> 00:58:05 direction. Can you see it's this high down to that low? So in other words, we
671 00:58:05 --> 00:58:08 had this movement like a kind of like a slingshot or a catapult. Price is
672 00:58:08 --> 00:58:14 winding back, and then it takes off and runs for you see that? So we can take
673 00:58:14 --> 00:58:19 this price leg here to that low, and we can get some measurements to get a
674 00:58:19 --> 00:58:26 baseline for range finding. So if I'm interested in a run that goes above this
675 00:58:26 --> 00:58:31 high here, okay, once we have indications that we have this high taken
676 00:58:31 --> 00:58:36 out, which is what we get there, that's the second qualifier that really builds
677 00:58:36 --> 00:58:39 the confidence that this trade is going to be a runner. In other words, you
678 00:58:39 --> 00:58:44 shouldn't have no anxiety at all at the trade not panning out, because we had
679 00:58:44 --> 00:58:48 this ahead of time rate going into seven o'clock. We already worked above and
680 00:58:48 --> 00:58:54 below the new day opening gap. We kept initial sell side in play there, and now
681 00:58:54 --> 00:58:57 we refer back to this one. So this is the buy side. So that's where your
682 00:58:57 --> 00:59:02 initial interest is. Do we have the momentum and interest of power through
683 00:59:02 --> 00:59:05 that, because it could have very easily done this. It could have went above it
684 00:59:05 --> 00:59:08 and then started to break down, and that would have been simply a losing trade.
685 00:59:08 --> 00:59:13 And there's nothing to be afraid of with that, but it's not likely to do that if
686 00:59:13 --> 00:59:18 you have something like this, where it starts running energetically, proving
687 00:59:18 --> 00:59:22 that that low is now not interested to take out that well, and now the buy side
688 00:59:22 --> 00:59:27 here and here and here is where we're focusing on, because the Johnny come
689 00:59:27 --> 00:59:30 lately that didn't trade yesterday and they weren't bullish, they're trying to
690 00:59:30 --> 00:59:33 get involved. They're trying to get on board, because now the market started
691 00:59:33 --> 00:59:36 trading at six o'clock, and they're trying to buy anything that gives them a
692 00:59:36 --> 00:59:42 reason to be long. So I want to capitalize on that and know that any
693 00:59:42 --> 00:59:47 rallies that it forms is going to be short lived, so I have to know
694 00:59:47 --> 00:59:52 beforehand, where are my exit points. So how far can it run up above this buy
695 00:59:52 --> 00:59:56 side liquidity? Well, we're range finding by taking the FIB from here to
696 00:59:56 --> 00:59:59 here, and all we're doing is measuring the distance between that low and that
697 00:59:59 --> 01:00:05 high. I and then duplicating it, okay, going up one measurement of that and in
698 01:00:05 --> 01:00:09 a half, which is why we have that standard deviation there of one that's
699 01:00:09 --> 01:00:17 negative 1.5 so what that is, is this range from high to low times 1.5 so it's
700 01:00:17 --> 01:00:20 you get a baseline. In other words, let me show it to you like this. If I do
701 01:00:20 --> 01:00:25 this and show you just negative one, what that will be is a perfect, measured
702 01:00:25 --> 01:00:31 move. So in other words, it's from the low to this high. Perfect duplication
703 01:00:31 --> 01:00:36 added to this high would be here. Okay, so that that would be, that would be a
704 01:00:36 --> 01:00:40 good place. You need to take a partial. If we had more than one contract on, we
705 01:00:40 --> 01:00:45 could have took a partial there and had a limit order to sell there and then aim
706 01:00:45 --> 01:00:52 up here. But because of this idea of this is where it can color beyond my
707 01:00:52 --> 01:00:58 expectation of just going above that high. This is one standard deviation. So
708 01:00:58 --> 01:01:03 what I do is I like to find the midpoint between that. So if I do something like
709 01:01:03 --> 01:01:08 this, I'm just going to eyeball it real close. Okay, if I know that, this is
710 01:01:08 --> 01:01:13 where the midpoint of both targets are. So if this is one standard deviation,
711 01:01:13 --> 01:01:22 I'm sorry, one standard deviation, and then we have negative 1.5 it's affording
712 01:01:22 --> 01:01:30 me the ability to see where targets could fall. And I don't have to be
713 01:01:30 --> 01:01:34 perfect about getting the actual eye, even though it does trade up there. And
714 01:01:34 --> 01:01:39 when you first saw the Fibonacci laid on top, it looks like, wow, but you can see
715 01:01:39 --> 01:01:45 my price exit was 607 in the hand, which is just above, it's just above half way
716 01:01:46 --> 01:01:53 so that. So we have negative, negative one, which is a full measurement of this
717 01:01:53 --> 01:02:00 high to that low. Let me show you to graphically also. So it's this range
718 01:02:00 --> 01:02:06 here. You take that and you add it to the high right there, and you see,
719 01:02:06 --> 01:02:09 that's what that is. So you can see, I'm taking that little block of price action
720 01:02:09 --> 01:02:13 from this high down there, and I'm thinking that of that as a block of
721 01:02:13 --> 01:02:18 price action that if it's going to go higher, and it has, typically always,
722 01:02:18 --> 01:02:22 it's very easy to have a very low threshold targeting methodology based
723 01:02:22 --> 01:02:25 around measured moves. And that's, this is the classic measured move
724 01:02:25 --> 01:02:30 perspective. But I don't like that, because everybody Tom Dick and Harry is
725 01:02:30 --> 01:02:34 thinking that way. And I know that while that's that's meeting the criteria of
726 01:02:34 --> 01:02:39 getting above this high for this sake of trading into those buy stops, I want to
727 01:02:39 --> 01:02:45 have the next tier in precision. So I want to know where is it really likely
728 01:02:45 --> 01:02:51 to trade to. So if I get a negative 1.5 I'm I'm getting yes this range, but I'm
729 01:02:51 --> 01:02:57 also aiming for kind of like extrapolation where it just gets really
730 01:02:57 --> 01:03:01 ahead of itself and just gets animated way beyond everybody else. I mean, like
731 01:03:01 --> 01:03:03 we said last night, we were watching, like, what? Watching, like, Whoa, that
732 01:03:03 --> 01:03:06 thing really took off for Asia. It was really fun. It usually isn't that
733 01:03:06 --> 01:03:11 eventful. But when it popped up there like that, what I had done was I looked
734 01:03:11 --> 01:03:17 at the negative one and negative 1.5 and in between that, okay, that was kind of
735 01:03:17 --> 01:03:21 like what I was aiming for, which is like 1.05 something. And I was thinking,
736 01:03:21 --> 01:03:26 Okay, well, I know it's likely, it's very likely, to trade up here, but what
737 01:03:26 --> 01:03:30 happens if I don't get my limit? You've watched me before where I'm putting
738 01:03:30 --> 01:03:34 trades on and and they give me the price that should fill me, and it don't film
739 01:03:34 --> 01:03:39 me. So because I'm trying to be too precise, so the way I trade, I want to
740 01:03:39 --> 01:03:45 be in that little gray area, which would be here, between where I think it
741 01:03:45 --> 01:03:52 ultimately may reach for and where a certain measured move, idea where that's
742 01:03:52 --> 01:04:00 real measured moves. If you're going to say, Dad, give me a role of pulling out
743 01:04:00 --> 01:04:03 targets where I know that they're absolutely low hanging fruit, and I
744 01:04:03 --> 01:04:08 don't have to worry about it, and you're willing to let bigger runs just evade
745 01:04:08 --> 01:04:11 you, because you want to be able to get into the trades, and as long as all
746 01:04:11 --> 01:04:16 things being equal are saying that trades viable, where is the no brainer
747 01:04:16 --> 01:04:21 exit, that this is always most likely going to be the best exit point that I
748 01:04:21 --> 01:04:25 can take and not worry about it, not do too many calculations and spend too much
749 01:04:25 --> 01:04:29 time. It's the measured moves. So whatever price runs you're expected to
750 01:04:29 --> 01:04:33 see, if you're looking for a bullish run, just look at a price like that was
751 01:04:33 --> 01:04:36 prior to the run you're in as a long and then do a measurement like I'm showing
752 01:04:36 --> 01:04:40 you here. And that would be here, if it meets the criteria of trading into an
753 01:04:40 --> 01:04:43 old high or relative equal highs, because there's real stocks that's going
754 01:04:43 --> 01:04:46 to be the draw the markets want to, want to book there, because there's real
755 01:04:46 --> 01:04:52 orders resting above that. Well, dad is, you know, who I am. I'm dad. I'm always
756 01:04:52 --> 01:04:56 trying to be better than everything else, so I want to know where it's going
757 01:04:56 --> 01:05:01 to reach for but also the human in me that can tend to be. Wrong sometimes or
758 01:05:01 --> 01:05:04 sometimes the market says fickle and says, fuck you. ICT you're not getting
759 01:05:04 --> 01:05:09 your limit order right. So I want to be in that gray area, which is between
760 01:05:09 --> 01:05:14 where I think it ultimately is going to go, and the low hanging fruit threshold,
761 01:05:17 --> 01:05:21 which is in this area here. So that line right there, I want to have an exit
762 01:05:21 --> 01:05:25 that's above, at or above that level. See that?
763 01:05:26 --> 01:05:30 So this is the reason why we talked about this, and I'm just doing it for
764 01:05:30 --> 01:05:33 the sake of the people that are watching and wanting to learn. But if you look at
765 01:05:33 --> 01:05:38 where I exited, see where the see a little arrow that'll arrow that appears
766 01:05:38 --> 01:05:41 when I hover without the arrow that shows when I got out, that's where my
767 01:05:41 --> 01:05:47 limit order was, and I'm okay. Truth be told, I'm really not okay. I'm really
768 01:05:47 --> 01:05:51 not okay. I really want to be able to nail the highs and and do all that. But
769 01:05:51 --> 01:05:54 I also know that sometimes they're just going to say, Screw you. Okay, you're
770 01:05:54 --> 01:05:59 not going to have it today. And I don't like when they have that win over me, so
771 01:05:59 --> 01:06:04 I'm just going to be content with this is, this is good. It's better than most
772 01:06:04 --> 01:06:07 people on the internet. It's most it's better than most people that trade. They
773 01:06:07 --> 01:06:09 don't have the they don't have a methodology that's going to be
774 01:06:09 --> 01:06:14 consistent, that drives them to I mean, if you look at all bad streets, and any
775 01:06:14 --> 01:06:18 of them people that see it, you can see, I'm buying the lows. I'm getting out at
776 01:06:18 --> 01:06:23 short term highs, and I'm distributing my positions at these key points.
777 01:06:24 --> 01:06:27 Sometimes I do phenomenal, and I get really, really close to the actual
778 01:06:27 --> 01:06:32 highs. But truth be told, You're not going to get that as a steady diet. So
779 01:06:32 --> 01:06:37 the way you manage that expectation and overcome the realities of you not being
780 01:06:37 --> 01:06:40 precise in the beginning or throughout your career, you're not going to be
781 01:06:40 --> 01:06:45 perfect. I'm pursuing perfect. It's always been a target that I know is
782 01:06:45 --> 01:06:48 going to evade me. But guess what that does? It keeps me chasing it, and keeps
783 01:06:48 --> 01:06:52 me young and keeps me virile, and like I'm hungry, I'm going to constantly seek
784 01:06:52 --> 01:06:56 that. And you're not going the wrong direction. You're always going for
785 01:06:57 --> 01:07:00 improvements, because as soon as the day you come into trading and say, I have
786 01:07:00 --> 01:07:03 everything figured out. I'm never going to try and improve myself. Improve in
787 01:07:03 --> 01:07:06 myself. You're going to start getting lazy. You're going to start doing stupid
788 01:07:06 --> 01:07:09 break rules, and then you try to entertain yourself with doing dumb stuff
789 01:07:09 --> 01:07:12 that hasn't been taught to you, thinking, let me try to something test.
790 01:07:12 --> 01:07:16 You're going to lose money. And then it becomes a toxic, you know, impairment,
791 01:07:16 --> 01:07:20 that now you've done something, and then you feel guilty about having done
792 01:07:20 --> 01:07:24 something that you weren't trained to do. And so many students, so many other
793 01:07:24 --> 01:07:27 traders that don't even use my stuff, they waste time doing that, and they
794 01:07:27 --> 01:07:32 become a waste as a trader because they've done stupid shit. So this is
795 01:07:32 --> 01:07:37 what we're doing to trade Asia. All of these elements are repeating factors
796 01:07:37 --> 01:07:42 that you as a student if you want to be trading this time of day. This is what
797 01:07:42 --> 01:07:47 it looks like. This is the protocol. This is the guidance Kim. This is
798 01:07:47 --> 01:07:53 everything that you need to do. And by doing this markup every single day, you
799 01:07:53 --> 01:07:57 will understand what you're having questions that arise in your mind right
800 01:07:57 --> 01:08:00 now. But what about this? And what about that? All of those questions are going
801 01:08:00 --> 01:08:04 to predominantly be answered because you have exposed yourself to annotating the
802 01:08:04 --> 01:08:09 chart, doing this every single day, whether it be Asia, whether it be the
803 01:08:09 --> 01:08:12 New York session, like my son, Caleb's getting himself prepared to be only
804 01:08:12 --> 01:08:17 focusing on or if it's the afternoon session, okay, or if it's London, and
805 01:08:17 --> 01:08:21 you'll see me do the same thing at London, just as a tip Your hand. I tip
806 01:08:21 --> 01:08:25 my hand to you. The delineation here that would simply be at two o'clock, and
807 01:08:25 --> 01:08:29 guess what? It's going to do what I'm describing here. So all you're doing is
808 01:08:29 --> 01:08:34 you're watching what price is doing. The only difference is where we have the new
809 01:08:34 --> 01:08:40 day opening gap here. See, I love I love sharing, instead of the new day opening
810 01:08:40 --> 01:08:44 gap. What we're gonna be looking at is the 30 minutes after 12 o'clock to 1230
811 01:08:45 --> 01:08:49 New York local time, because that is your opening range for London. You're
812 01:08:49 --> 01:08:52 not surprised if you went through the mentorship on the videos on the YouTube
813 01:08:52 --> 01:08:56 channel, but for the people that just got here, they're like, Oh, he's
814 01:08:56 --> 01:09:00 dropping the sauce. Oh, man, this is so good. ICT gems. Gonna put that in the
815 01:09:00 --> 01:09:09 club, I'm sure. But anyway, this, this day, obviously, moves back up in
816 01:09:09 --> 01:09:13 consolidates. This is what I love. I teach this in the mentorship stuff too.
817 01:09:13 --> 01:09:16 It's, everybody's like, yeah, it's, it's, it's creating a bull flag. You see
818 01:09:16 --> 01:09:20 how it runs up quick, consolidates, and they want to see another leg of that
819 01:09:20 --> 01:09:24 repeated up. That's That's fake. And I teach how determine when those fake ones
820 01:09:24 --> 01:09:30 are in the mentorship on this YouTube channel. But it breaks down. It responds
821 01:09:30 --> 01:09:36 back to what level where, old initial buy side. Look what it was here. Now the
822 01:09:36 --> 01:09:39 pundits will say, Oh, he's doing this. He's talking about Support Resistance.
823 01:09:39 --> 01:09:43 Because see how it was resistance here. Just draw your line through here. And
824 01:09:43 --> 01:09:47 it's just draw it up here. It's bullshit, because there's so many
825 01:09:47 --> 01:09:51 instances where you can see where prices turned as a short term high, or it's a
826 01:09:51 --> 01:09:55 short term, short term low, and you can have a line drawn there, and the market
827 01:09:55 --> 01:10:03 just runs through and says, See you like it doesn't respect. Okay, so why this
828 01:10:03 --> 01:10:08 creates an important term here is because of what I outlined in here. It's
829 01:10:08 --> 01:10:12 initial reference points that the algorithm is going to refer to when you
830 01:10:12 --> 01:10:16 start looking at support, resistance students that are listening. I don't
831 01:10:16 --> 01:10:19 want my son you screwed up with that bullshit thinking because he doesn't
832 01:10:19 --> 01:10:24 understand the retail element of retail, support resistance, but for the folks
833 01:10:24 --> 01:10:28 that are listening have been trading for a while, you'll be better at selecting
834 01:10:28 --> 01:10:33 classic Support Resistance, as it's kind of like promoted in books and courses
835 01:10:33 --> 01:10:36 and other people out there, or people that will watch me and say, he's
836 01:10:36 --> 01:10:39 complicating everything. All you need is Support Resistance. I'm challenging
837 01:10:39 --> 01:10:44 someone else to every day. Go out on the live stream, okay? And tell us the only
838 01:10:44 --> 01:10:48 support or resistance levels that are going to work. So go fuck yourself.
839 01:10:48 --> 01:10:51 Okay? Because that's the, that's the litmus test for anybody who wants to
840 01:10:51 --> 01:10:54 make a video or live stream or leave comments and other people's bullshit.
841 01:10:54 --> 01:10:58 Okay, do a live stream. I'm doing this Monday through Friday now. Okay, I have
842 01:10:58 --> 01:11:02 an open schedule. I've I cleared my book. I'm going to be doing this every
843 01:11:02 --> 01:11:07 fucking day. So use you. You that have that perspective that you think is just
844 01:11:07 --> 01:11:11 support resistance, okay? And I'm just doing that. Okay? Now you have the task
845 01:11:11 --> 01:11:16 of being out on a live stream and doing the correct only ones that work support
846 01:11:16 --> 01:11:20 the resistance. Okay? And you got to call the market around them, because
847 01:11:20 --> 01:11:24 that's what I'm doing. Don't believe me. Look at yesterday. It's a fucking
848 01:11:24 --> 01:11:31 phenomenal reversal, wasn't it? This is lucky. It's all lucky. So anyway, we
849 01:11:31 --> 01:11:36 sweep back down below the new day opening gap after touching the initial
850 01:11:36 --> 01:11:40 buy side liquidity reference point, and then drops lower, goes back into that
851 01:11:40 --> 01:11:45 volume and bounce there, and then we cross back below New Day opening gap. So
852 01:11:45 --> 01:11:48 what's below the new day opening gap that formed last night, six o'clock, we
853 01:11:48 --> 01:11:54 have the new week opening gap high. You see that? So that's the that's the next
854 01:11:54 --> 01:11:58 level below us in terms of new week opening gap, or New Day opening gap. So
855 01:11:58 --> 01:12:05 now we know we can potentially draw down into that. Look at this low here. We're
856 01:12:05 --> 01:12:12 digging into the new week opening gap that was formed this Sunday that just
857 01:12:12 --> 01:12:17 passed. Okay, we trade up. We're gyrating around the old level that was
858 01:12:17 --> 01:12:23 formed at six o'clock, or post six o'clock, where we had the initial sell
859 01:12:23 --> 01:12:27 side liquidity. See how it's referring back to that. It's gyrating around that.
860 01:12:27 --> 01:12:31 Okay, so now everybody's screaming. They're like, Man, this is amazing. This
861 01:12:31 --> 01:12:34 is amazing. Man, I can't believe this for free. I can't either. I don't the
862 01:12:34 --> 01:12:37 fuck I'm thinking, but anyway, they got this consolidation. And then we rally
863 01:12:37 --> 01:12:42 back up, and we're back into the new day opening gap, and then we trade right
864 01:12:42 --> 01:12:48 back up into a reference point for that old liquidity that was outside the
865 01:12:48 --> 01:12:54 initial buy side. You see that. So we have a previous day high. We return back
866 01:12:54 --> 01:12:59 to a here, bump, bump, gyrate around the initial buy side liquidity. And yet now
867 01:12:59 --> 01:13:04 you can see right away why does ICT use a notepad? Why am I referencing
868 01:13:04 --> 01:13:10 something I have scratched on my Samsung Galaxy Note, which is so much better
869 01:13:10 --> 01:13:14 than Apple? Apple sucks. Fuck. Apple, the rotten apple. We don't eat apples.
870 01:13:14 --> 01:13:18 Okay? You gonna use a real phone. You're gonna use a Samsung. Okay, Samsung is
871 01:13:18 --> 01:13:24 the shit, and I have no affiliation with that. I read Samsung? Yeah, apples
872 01:13:24 --> 01:13:27 burned me so many times. I would never use an Apple product. I don't give a
873 01:13:27 --> 01:13:31 shit. They made me a deal. I would never do it. And I'm not asking for a Samsung
874 01:13:31 --> 01:13:36 deal, by the way. I just want my opinions to be appreciated, because it's
875 01:13:36 --> 01:13:40 real. But anyway, same thing here. We've had that run up. It looks like a bull
876 01:13:40 --> 01:13:43 flag. Retail is going to say, oh, it's going to say, oh, it's going to run
877 01:13:43 --> 01:13:48 higher. No, it's not. What's What's it doing here at 12 o'clock in the morning,
878 01:13:52 --> 01:13:57 all this run goes down to a random midpoint, consequence of the new week
879 01:13:57 --> 01:14:02 opening gap. But now what is it created? There's a range. See, I'm already
880 01:14:02 --> 01:14:05 starting talking about the london session. I can't wait to get it out. I
881 01:14:05 --> 01:14:09 don't want to be I really don't want to wake up to do it. I'm just, I'm really
882 01:14:09 --> 01:14:12 glad that I can sleep through London. Now, I used to be up all the time
883 01:14:12 --> 01:14:16 training and doing Forex, but I know I promised I was going to do this out
884 01:14:16 --> 01:14:22 there for him. But anyway, from 12 o'clock there. Okay, so 12 to 1233,
885 01:14:29 --> 01:14:37 thick. Okay, that is your opening range for London. Okay, so that's enough for
886 01:14:37 --> 01:14:40 you folks that are chomping at the bit for that information. That range, the
887 01:14:40 --> 01:14:43 highest, high and low, slow, between those two price points. Okay, think of
888 01:14:43 --> 01:14:47 it like the opening range at 930 to 10 o'clock in the morning, which is what
889 01:14:47 --> 01:14:52 we're involved in now for the opening bell, you extend that forward in time to
890 01:14:52 --> 01:14:55 the right, and you'll see that the market will refer back to it, in
891 01:14:55 --> 01:14:59 addition to how it goes back into the new day opening gap that formed last
892 01:14:59 --> 01:15:05 night since the four. Up, see how, look at, look at the beauty of this bang
893 01:15:06 --> 01:15:10 drops back down, and it gyrates and works inside that range, and then
894 01:15:10 --> 01:15:17 finally pops through, consolidating around the old initials by side, yep.
895 01:15:17 --> 01:15:22 And then hits the old by side, hits it, hammers it. And then we have this big
896 01:15:22 --> 01:15:27 pump up here. And now we're in six o'clock in the morning. It drops back
897 01:15:27 --> 01:15:35 down into new day, opening gap bumps the old high of previous day hits it one
898 01:15:35 --> 01:15:39 more time. So many trades are going to be formed around previous days highs,
899 01:15:39 --> 01:15:45 the first thing dad taught on baby pips back in 2010 I said the majority of your
900 01:15:45 --> 01:15:48 big, nice setups are going to form around old highs on old lows. That
901 01:15:48 --> 01:15:53 meaning that previous days high and previous days low. So you can see the
902 01:15:53 --> 01:16:00 elements of that unfolding here. What is this level out here? See, I'm testing it
903 01:16:00 --> 01:16:05 as the initial sell side liquidity? Yes, very good. So it trades up, hits that
904 01:16:05 --> 01:16:09 and drops. Now, think about it. Okay, I'm telling you how to find the real
905 01:16:09 --> 01:16:16 support resistance. Is it not, is it not respecting these levels? It's perfect.
906 01:16:16 --> 01:16:19 Yeah, it's perfect, right? So it's going right to them hammering. What time of
907 01:16:19 --> 01:16:25 day is that for me, 758, two minutes before eighth. So we have the eight
908 01:16:25 --> 01:16:29 o'clock hour. We're watching to see what this price going to do. Well, we have
909 01:16:30 --> 01:16:35 low, relative equal lows, and it's here. So what would you expect to see it
910 01:16:35 --> 01:16:39 dropped? What happens if you miss this move? Some, what happens if you see it
911 01:16:39 --> 01:16:46 start to drop? I'm and you missed this reaction here. What are you going to do?
912 01:16:46 --> 01:16:49 You're going to wait. What are you waiting for? Waiting for a fair value
913 01:16:49 --> 01:16:54 gap or volume imbalance. There's a volume imbalance, and then we have the
914 01:16:54 --> 01:16:58 open. It trades up, goes right into that. There's your short and what's
915 01:16:58 --> 01:17:02 going to aim for the relative equal lows that we were just looking at before I
916 01:17:02 --> 01:17:08 did this over here. So you have an entry here that targets these relative equal
917 01:17:08 --> 01:17:12 lows and these relative equal lows looking further to the left. We have
918 01:17:12 --> 01:17:17 this down here. Isn't that a relative equal though? Yes, sir. And where's the
919 01:17:17 --> 01:17:23 market go? Well past it, where is it trade down to on the new week, a new
920 01:17:23 --> 01:17:31 week, opening gap, right? And then what does it do after that reaction? See,
921 01:17:31 --> 01:17:36 folks, listen, okay, this is why I laugh at all of these ass hats. Okay, that sit
922 01:17:36 --> 01:17:39 back and say, I reinvented something. I didn't reinvent shit. I didn't rename
923 01:17:39 --> 01:17:45 anything. I'm teaching you stuff that they can't find the source of, to be
924 01:17:45 --> 01:17:48 able to say, here's the $5 million payout to me, ICT, because I'm exposing
925 01:17:48 --> 01:17:51 you as somebody that's renamed shit. This is the biggest long running
926 01:17:52 --> 01:17:56 conspiracy theory there has been since I've come out and started teaching no
927 01:17:56 --> 01:17:59 none of this information is anywhere else, except for initially out of my
928 01:17:59 --> 01:18:05 mouth. This stuff is new. This is the new breed of technology in terms of
929 01:18:05 --> 01:18:09 reading price action, and it's been in hot little hands for the last three
930 01:18:09 --> 01:18:14 decades. And I often wonder, why on earth would I absolutely be sharing
931 01:18:16 --> 01:18:24 this? It is what it is, but the reaction you get here, and it runs up where, if
932 01:18:24 --> 01:18:27 it's going to have this much of a reaction off that low of the new weak
933 01:18:27 --> 01:18:31 opening gap, what is reasonable for it to see it reach for if you're inside the
934 01:18:31 --> 01:18:34 new week opening gap, and it's shown the willingness to want to react this way,
935 01:18:34 --> 01:18:39 it's the midpoint. And then if we're going to see this level breached and
936 01:18:39 --> 01:18:44 pierced on the upside. It does it here. It's dropping that down. Why would it
937 01:18:44 --> 01:18:48 want to drop back down? It's going to a discount, like a sling, like I was
938 01:18:48 --> 01:18:51 saying, slingshot, but it's reaching down into an inefficiency, because
939 01:18:51 --> 01:18:54 there's no short term lows in here, except for that tiny one right there.
940 01:18:54 --> 01:18:58 It's, to me, doesn't have all that much in importance, but my eye jumps right to
941 01:18:58 --> 01:19:01 that. You see that? Yes, sir. So if you're seeing,
942 01:19:08 --> 01:19:12 look at the perfection there. I mean, look at that couldn't have been more
943 01:19:12 --> 01:19:17 precise. Hits it and then him and runs Same thing over here, fair value gap
944 01:19:18 --> 01:19:23 drops into it there, after taking a short term low out rally. It goes back
945 01:19:23 --> 01:19:27 to this level. Now, from here, I want to see a trade above this high. Here it
946 01:19:27 --> 01:19:31 does. And then we can react off of the consequent approach at midpoint, and
947 01:19:31 --> 01:19:35 then it runs back up to what is this level? Again, that is the initial sell
948 01:19:35 --> 01:19:39 side liquidity, right? And for the folks that missed what that was and joined the
949 01:19:39 --> 01:19:51 string late, it was derived from there. So we're not Sam Siddons Online Academy.
950 01:19:51 --> 01:19:54 We're not teaching supply and demand. We're not doing classic support and
951 01:19:54 --> 01:19:57 resistance, renaming it and calling something complicated. We're taking you
952 01:19:57 --> 01:20:02 with a bit like a view, a perspective that. Is technical science. I'm teaching
953 01:20:02 --> 01:20:07 you how to refer back to the same levels at the specific times that the algorithm
954 01:20:07 --> 01:20:12 will do. There's lots of them that I can't teach, but these are the ones that
955 01:20:12 --> 01:20:17 I can teach you where it kind of, it's, well, you know, it's perfect, really,
956 01:20:17 --> 01:20:21 that people say you're just teaching supply and demand or or support
957 01:20:21 --> 01:20:26 resistance, because I'm hiding in plain sight. If the lazy people come and see
958 01:20:26 --> 01:20:32 that's what it is, okay, replicate it. If that's all it is, go do it too. They
959 01:20:32 --> 01:20:36 won't. They can't do it. That's why they teach and show examples in Market
960 01:20:36 --> 01:20:45 Replay. But we are in the opening range. Now this is the part where we talk a
961 01:20:45 --> 01:20:48 little bit about something that you need to be worried about if you're going to
962 01:20:48 --> 01:20:50 be trading in that nine to five hour. Okay, so if you get your trade done
963 01:20:51 --> 01:20:55 beforehand, then don't worry about it. You're taking one good setup. Once you
964 01:20:55 --> 01:20:58 get it, you stop. You're not in here trying to impress that. You're going to
965 01:20:58 --> 01:21:02 impress me by doing your one trade setup. And it pans out based on what
966 01:21:02 --> 01:21:05 you're trying to do and you're done, I'm going to be more impressed with your
967 01:21:05 --> 01:21:09 ability to not trade more than you should. Then taking a lot of trades,
968 01:21:09 --> 01:21:14 right? I want you to have the ability to sit still, because that is what messes
969 01:21:14 --> 01:21:18 everybody up. Everybody does the wrong thing by trying to be more active than
970 01:21:18 --> 01:21:24 they should. All right. So let's get this off here. And now, if you look in
971 01:21:24 --> 01:21:28 the lower right hand corner here, it says electronic trading hours here. That
972 01:21:28 --> 01:21:35 is 24 hours in the day. As long as it's trading, you're going to see every panel
973 01:21:35 --> 01:21:39 stick. When I click on this, it's going to give you a regular trading hour
974 01:21:40 --> 01:21:44 option, and it's showing that we're showing electronic trading
975 01:21:44 --> 01:21:47 predominantly, I'm going to have electronic trading hours shown, okay,
976 01:21:47 --> 01:21:52 but if you're going to be trading in a nine o'clock hour, if your trade hasn't
977 01:21:52 --> 01:21:55 formed yet, or if you miss something, and you want to be engaging, post nine
978 01:21:55 --> 01:21:59 o'clock at the opening bell, you're going to set your chart to regular
979 01:21:59 --> 01:22:04 trading hours And watch what it does. Looks different, doesn't it very much.
980 01:22:04 --> 01:22:08 So what, what's actually occurring is you're seeing the difference between
981 01:22:09 --> 01:22:15 yesterday's closing price, the regular session hours, and it's using 415 that
982 01:22:15 --> 01:22:19 that's there's it's very confusing, because electronic trading continues
983 01:22:19 --> 01:22:23 still, even though, when you watch the TV at four o'clock, you know they they
984 01:22:23 --> 01:22:26 ring the bell, Ding, ding, ding, ding, ding, clap your hands like they fucking
985 01:22:26 --> 01:22:30 did something special. They didn't do anything. Then for 15 minutes, it
986 01:22:30 --> 01:22:35 settles, and at 5415 there's technically the day session is done, but
987 01:22:35 --> 01:22:39 electronically, it's trading until five o'clock, then it stops and it opens at
988 01:22:39 --> 01:22:43 six o'clock. So you can see how this quickly becomes very confusing for
989 01:22:43 --> 01:22:48 someone that's never looked at it and studied it. But for the sake of viewing
990 01:22:48 --> 01:22:53 what it is, it's important about this perspective of regular trading hours, we
991 01:22:53 --> 01:22:57 have already arrived at what it has done here as it run up and hit it and then
992 01:22:57 --> 01:23:02 move lower, because this is your initial sell side that was set at the opening at
993 01:23:02 --> 01:23:06 six o'clock or shortly after. So when the market runs up in here, hits this
994 01:23:06 --> 01:23:13 level, it's actually hitting also the opening range. Opening range is nine
995 01:23:13 --> 01:23:23 o'clock to 930 down there. Okay, so 930 is opening bell. All of this is the
996 01:23:23 --> 01:23:27 opening range. There is no 15 minute opening range. Okay, opening range.
997 01:23:28 --> 01:23:34 Algorithmically, it's 30 minutes. It's 930, to 10 o'clock. In that range, it's
998 01:23:34 --> 01:23:38 doing the same thing that I said when we were looking at the six o'clock New Deal
999 01:23:38 --> 01:23:43 thing gap. It's establishing initial buy side and sell side. That's what it's
1000 01:23:43 --> 01:23:47 doing in that in that 30 minutes, sometimes the market will just break and
1001 01:23:47 --> 01:23:51 never, never have any kind of opening range impact. It just just opens where
1002 01:23:51 --> 01:23:55 it opens and it starts running. In this case here, we can see that it's opening
1003 01:23:57 --> 01:24:01 and trading back up into not a full return back to the previous close. Yeah,
1004 01:24:01 --> 01:24:04 it didn't go up there. It just went right to where I gave you the initial
1005 01:24:04 --> 01:24:08 self cyber pudding, how to frame it goes right to that does the majority of the
1006 01:24:08 --> 01:24:13 closure of the opening range where we opened from where we closed. That
1007 01:24:13 --> 01:24:20 difference is a gap. So in other words, and when they're watching Christ until
1008 01:24:20 --> 01:24:24 it opens up. This is what you're looking at. Where we where we stop trading.
1009 01:24:24 --> 01:24:30 Okay, we stop trading the previous day at 415 and then regular trading hours.
1010 01:24:30 --> 01:24:35 This is what we're highlighting here. Regular trading hours, the next opening
1011 01:24:36 --> 01:24:41 tick, the very first print, or very first trade. At 930 it opens up down
1012 01:24:41 --> 01:24:45 there, if it's the green candle, what is it showing? The opening is the Whoa,
1013 01:24:45 --> 01:24:50 okay, so as soon as you have that, you're going to highlight that entire
1014 01:24:50 --> 01:24:54 range and then watch price. You're not pushing buttons. You're watching price
1015 01:24:54 --> 01:24:59 to see how it behaves normally, not always, normally when you have such a
1016 01:24:59 --> 01:25:04 large gap. Like that. What will happen is, is the market will create a
1017 01:25:04 --> 01:25:08 sometimes it'll open trade a little bit lower, and then start working higher,
1018 01:25:09 --> 01:25:14 drop back down, either take the low it's formed, or just like it did here, very
1019 01:25:14 --> 01:25:18 subtly, and then rally. Why did it run initially straight from the opening?
1020 01:25:18 --> 01:25:22 Because we had already taken out this low, see that, and then we worked into
1021 01:25:22 --> 01:25:26 that range, all the way up to the initial sell side liquidity, not the
1022 01:25:26 --> 01:25:31 entire gap closure. That's a huge paradigm shift for people that have
1023 01:25:31 --> 01:25:34 asked all the time, how do you know when it's not gonna be a full closure on the
1024 01:25:34 --> 01:25:39 gap? Well, you're gonna implement what I just did here, and all those factors are
1025 01:25:39 --> 01:25:43 gonna be weighing on whether or not the gap completely closes or not. I like
1026 01:25:43 --> 01:25:49 this generally, even if the market's going to be bearish and continue going
1027 01:25:49 --> 01:25:55 lower after a big gap, lower, like this, generally, you have about a 70% chance.
1028 01:25:56 --> 01:25:59 And I say this now everybody, don't think that means 100% but it's not 70%
1029 01:26:00 --> 01:26:05 chance that it's going to go back to mid gap. So there's always a trade available
1030 01:26:05 --> 01:26:09 when you have a big gap down like that, that that right there trading back into
1031 01:26:09 --> 01:26:12 the midpoint. That is good. And look what it did. It trades. And for people
1032 01:26:12 --> 01:26:15 that heard that for the first time, they're thinking, well, he's saying that
1033 01:26:15 --> 01:26:20 because it happened. But I have traders that have been with me for shit 12 years
1034 01:26:20 --> 01:26:26 now, and they've heard me teach this before in mentorship. I've taught this
1035 01:26:26 --> 01:26:35 in 2022 mentorship, or if it's just a regular video I did, but I talked about,
1036 01:26:35 --> 01:26:39 no, it was live streaming. What I was doing, I was doing live streams. And I
1037 01:26:39 --> 01:26:44 talked about how it's easy for the rock to get mid gap. So mid gap is really,
1038 01:26:44 --> 01:26:49 really, really strong probability. If you get lower, just find the midpoint,
1039 01:26:49 --> 01:26:52 which is what that is, okay. And you can see it does that. And then what does it
1040 01:26:52 --> 01:26:56 do? It goes right back down and just bumps the low. And then you get that run
1041 01:26:56 --> 01:27:00 all the way up to initial sell side liquidity, which could have very easily
1042 01:27:01 --> 01:27:09 retouched the closed yesterday at 415 or half of that wick. Okay, so I want to
1043 01:27:09 --> 01:27:22 talk a little bit about the chart on the electronic trading. So doesn't the chart
1044 01:27:22 --> 01:27:26 look totally different? Now, very confusing, isn't it? Very so you have to
1045 01:27:26 --> 01:27:31 have reference points, and what, what that does on my phone, usually I'll
1046 01:27:31 --> 01:27:36 scribble, you know, the key levels, like, I'll have the levels in numeric
1047 01:27:36 --> 01:27:42 format here, and I'll write down newly opening h, and then, you know, the data
1048 01:27:42 --> 01:27:46 was on, and that's what scribbled on my on my pad. Everybody wants to see my
1049 01:27:46 --> 01:27:50 notepad that's next to my charts. As I'm doing it, like, it's going to give them
1050 01:27:50 --> 01:27:54 something special. And it all it is, is, I don't want it on my chart. I just want
1051 01:27:54 --> 01:27:57 to have the reference points. And as I'm watching price, like, right now, it's
1052 01:27:57 --> 01:28:03 trading at 18,004 82, and a half. Okay, I'm looking at my notes, and my notes
1053 01:28:03 --> 01:28:08 say I have new week opening. Gap high at 18, 513, and a quarter, so I'm in close
1054 01:28:08 --> 01:28:12 proximity to that. So it could come back and gyrate back up into there. It can do
1055 01:28:12 --> 01:28:16 so even further, because we have what in play. What's this? The initial sense of
1056 01:28:16 --> 01:28:27 liquidity. No, visually, what is this? What are they relative equal? Highs?
1057 01:28:28 --> 01:28:32 Yes, yes, this this high and this high are relatively equal. And then you have
1058 01:28:32 --> 01:28:36 this one over here, even though we bumped it a little bit, that's that
1059 01:28:36 --> 01:28:41 right, there is still too clean for me. It's too clean. So I want to sit back
1060 01:28:41 --> 01:28:44 and watch and see. Do they have any interest in trying to press back above
1061 01:28:44 --> 01:28:48 that? I think that if they're really going to dump it today, going into the
1062 01:28:48 --> 01:28:51 weekend, because there's a whole lot of things going on over the Middle East
1063 01:28:51 --> 01:28:56 that everybody's afraid it's going to pop off, and those types of events that
1064 01:28:56 --> 01:29:05 are looming that is always going to be used as a as a stimuli to upset engineer
1065 01:29:05 --> 01:29:06 or
1066 01:29:08 --> 01:29:14 impact sentiment, or how people see trading if it's risk on, which, in my
1067 01:29:14 --> 01:29:20 opinion, right now, it's risk off. Risk off means that there's a there is no one
1068 01:29:20 --> 01:29:25 willing to really try to go in and think that we're a long term buying
1069 01:29:25 --> 01:29:29 opportunity, because there's so much uncertainty that's kind of like what I'm
1070 01:29:29 --> 01:29:33 getting at. There's too many things that can go wrong, and that scary type of
1071 01:29:33 --> 01:29:38 looming event on the horizon could cause stocks to tumble because the Street
1072 01:29:38 --> 01:29:42 Money thinks that that's what causes the market to drop, and that's not what it
1073 01:29:42 --> 01:29:46 is, but the algorithm and the people that have control over it, they will
1074 01:29:46 --> 01:29:51 manipulate price, so that way, the sentiment is shifted based on the
1075 01:29:51 --> 01:29:58 assumptions that W, A, R events would possibly be a catalyst for why the
1076 01:29:58 --> 01:30:06 market crashes or. Is unfavorable price price action. Okay, so there's a lot of
1077 01:30:06 --> 01:30:11 things that you have to weigh out over time, you know, in your development, but
1078 01:30:11 --> 01:30:15 initially knowing what to look for, and then studying these fluctuations around
1079 01:30:15 --> 01:30:20 it, and studying how the market behaves around these elements of referencing
1080 01:30:20 --> 01:30:27 time and price. What are we talking about when we say time? Obviously, you
1081 01:30:27 --> 01:30:30 know, there's specific times that I'm teaching you to look at, but what's the
1082 01:30:30 --> 01:30:36 price aspect at that time? Are we referencing an inefficiency, or are we
1083 01:30:36 --> 01:30:41 referencing liquidity? You see how that's very simple, isn't it? Sounds
1084 01:30:41 --> 01:30:45 ambiguous, or it sounds lofty and complicated, when I just say you gotta
1085 01:30:45 --> 01:30:49 the market works on time and price. And they think, Okay, well, what time? Well,
1086 01:30:49 --> 01:30:53 it's the elements that I've taught in mentorship, videos and lectures and the
1087 01:30:53 --> 01:30:59 things I'm teaching this week. But when it comes to price, what's the price? The
1088 01:30:59 --> 01:31:04 price is either an inefficiency or it's liquidity, it's something above an old
1089 01:31:04 --> 01:31:09 high or below an old low, or relative equal highs or relative equal lows. So
1090 01:31:09 --> 01:31:13 they're not hiding from you. They're not hidden in the chart. They're not going
1091 01:31:13 --> 01:31:17 to morph into something different, like when I just toggled from electronic
1092 01:31:17 --> 01:31:20 trading to regular trading hours, it looked like a different chart, and then
1093 01:31:20 --> 01:31:23 back from regular trading hours to electronic trading hours, the chart
1094 01:31:23 --> 01:31:26 looks completely different. It looks like we're looking at a totally
1095 01:31:26 --> 01:31:31 different market. Yes or no, yes. So having the right reference points is
1096 01:31:31 --> 01:31:37 like much, much like having a navigation system in your car. You know, if I write
1097 01:31:37 --> 01:31:41 down directions and say, you turn right here, turn right there. Go about this.
1098 01:31:41 --> 01:31:46 You still might get a little lost, but if you have the navigation system on
1099 01:31:46 --> 01:31:52 where it tells you, oh yeah, there's a rest spot or a gas station in two miles,
1100 01:31:53 --> 01:31:57 okay, well, that's the same thing we're doing here. These levels are annotated
1101 01:31:57 --> 01:32:01 on the chart for you to say, Okay, there's a reason or a destination that
1102 01:32:01 --> 01:32:07 could be had or met. If it goes up, it can go to those levels. But what you're
1103 01:32:07 --> 01:32:11 going to be doing is you're going to be looking to see when there is time for
1104 01:32:11 --> 01:32:16 these markets to start gyrating a specific in the direction, and then the
1105 01:32:16 --> 01:32:19 price is providing you an opportunity that you have identified. That's
1106 01:32:19 --> 01:32:26 something that you see repeating all the time. I'm forcing this part on you. I
1107 01:32:26 --> 01:32:30 want you trading the fair value gaps that that is going to kill two birds at
1108 01:32:30 --> 01:32:33 one stone. Number one, it's easy for you to see visually. They don't hide.
1109 01:32:33 --> 01:32:38 They're very obvious in the chart, and most of the viewers that are watching
1110 01:32:38 --> 01:32:41 your development, they understand, even if they can't pick the right fair value
1111 01:32:41 --> 01:32:44 gap, because that's what they're concerned about. They'll learn by
1112 01:32:44 --> 01:32:48 default which ones that you're gravitating to that has my support in
1113 01:32:48 --> 01:32:52 saying that, yes, that's the right way of doing it, and they, by default, will
1114 01:32:52 --> 01:32:56 have a baseline understanding. And even if they don't have the fair value gap as
1115 01:32:56 --> 01:33:02 their model or entry, they'll at least get a better foundation on how the
1116 01:33:02 --> 01:33:05 markets are booking, what time they should start moving what it should look
1117 01:33:05 --> 01:33:09 like. And even if they're studying the fair value gap, most of them, if they're
1118 01:33:10 --> 01:33:14 going to be honest, they're going to find that they'll see another PD array
1119 01:33:14 --> 01:33:21 that I've taught, and their eye, just by default, will go to that. And they may
1120 01:33:21 --> 01:33:25 use your fair value gap initially as the catalyst, the trust that's going to move
1121 01:33:25 --> 01:33:28 and but then they may do something entirely different, trade of an order
1122 01:33:28 --> 01:33:30 block, or trade a break, or something like that, and then that will be the
1123 01:33:30 --> 01:33:33 catalyst for them to actually get in a trade. They won't be getting in when you
1124 01:33:33 --> 01:33:37 would be getting in, because they're going to wait to see if you fail. And
1125 01:33:37 --> 01:33:40 they want to be able to say, I'm glad I didn't do that, because he failed.
1126 01:33:40 --> 01:33:43 That's his own son. He failed and but they'll take a trade, if it moves a
1127 01:33:43 --> 01:33:47 little bit beyond that, and then they see the thing that they like to trade,
1128 01:33:47 --> 01:33:52 and then they'll trade it, but they're going to have more anxiety versus when
1129 01:33:52 --> 01:33:56 you get a trade on you're going to be in open profit. They're going to be in a
1130 01:33:56 --> 01:34:01 new entry, managing potential short term drawdown that they have no idea how far
1131 01:34:01 --> 01:34:04 it's going to move against them, but they're going to refer to where your
1132 01:34:04 --> 01:34:07 stop loss would be and how you would manage that trade. And they're going to
1133 01:34:07 --> 01:34:10 have a larger stop loss, and that's going to cause anxiety and scary
1134 01:34:10 --> 01:34:14 feelings, and it's going to be a terrible, toxic learning experience,
1135 01:34:14 --> 01:34:17 because they're not going to follow the rules, which is what I'm pressing on you
1136 01:34:17 --> 01:34:21 not to do. Don't break the rules, and don't try to reinvent things if you
1137 01:34:21 --> 01:34:24 didn't do it when you were supposed to do it, or how you're supposed to do it,
1138 01:34:24 --> 01:34:29 do nothing and just watch it and observe. Okay, so yesterday I talked
1139 01:34:29 --> 01:34:33 about how when the market has or was it yesterday? No, it wasn't yesterday. It's
1140 01:34:33 --> 01:34:38 day before, where there was no news in the morning. Yesterday, we had
1141 01:34:38 --> 01:34:44 employment data, and then we had a bond auction at one o'clock again, but prior,
1142 01:34:44 --> 01:34:49 prior to that, I think it was Wednesday, I said there was no no medium or low
1143 01:34:49 --> 01:34:54 impact news driver for the morning session. And I said, when you have that,
1144 01:34:56 --> 01:35:02 the market can gyrate. Move around from 830 and let's go back to 830 There's 837
1145 01:35:04 --> 01:35:09 right here. I'm not sorry, 836 the market trades down to new week, opening
1146 01:35:09 --> 01:35:18 gap low, okay, and then we rally up, come back down. If everybody got rallies
1147 01:35:18 --> 01:35:21 back to midpoint, consequent encroachment. And then you want to watch
1148 01:35:21 --> 01:35:24 and see, does it have the ability to trade above? It does, comes back down,
1149 01:35:25 --> 01:35:28 touches to consequent encroachment, and then trades back up to minimum unique
1150 01:35:28 --> 01:35:32 opening gap high, but trades to the initial sell side liquidity reference
1151 01:35:32 --> 01:35:37 point that the new day opening gap protocol teaches us to look for. So the
1152 01:35:37 --> 01:35:41 trades to it here, and then we fall out a bit. All of this price action right
1153 01:35:41 --> 01:35:45 now, as we're seeing, is exactly what I outlined, when we have no medium or high
1154 01:35:45 --> 01:35:50 impact news drivers in the morning session. The market can be aimless, it
1155 01:35:50 --> 01:35:58 can be choppy. It can be not as clear. Now there can be big, huge runs on these
1156 01:35:58 --> 01:36:04 types of days because of external stimuli, something happening, okay?
1157 01:36:06 --> 01:36:11 Allow the things in the Middle East, okay, or domestically, here in the
1158 01:36:11 --> 01:36:16 States, because of who's running for election and whatnot, all of these
1159 01:36:16 --> 01:36:20 factors are weighing heavily for me as a as an analyst looking at the market
1160 01:36:20 --> 01:36:23 saying, Okay, I don't want to be holding anything overnight. I don't want to be
1161 01:36:23 --> 01:36:27 trading very large. I don't want to be taking more trades than I should. And
1162 01:36:27 --> 01:36:32 that's a beautiful perspective to hold learning how to do it, because if you
1163 01:36:32 --> 01:36:36 start that way, then you have a better chance of not having all the the bad
1164 01:36:36 --> 01:36:40 stuff getting introduced to your perspective and or your actions as a
1165 01:36:40 --> 01:36:44 developing trader, because it's easy to pick up bad habits. Really, really easy
1166 01:36:44 --> 01:36:56 to do that. And looking at what the market has done thus far, we have really
1167 01:36:56 --> 01:37:02 nice reaction off of the new evident gap we've explored price up here prior to
1168 01:37:02 --> 01:37:10 the session starting. It's Friday. Okay, so what can we do? We can look at the
1169 01:37:10 --> 01:37:18 weekly range, because we have moved one sided. We've moved so far one sided that
1170 01:37:18 --> 01:37:23 it's reasonable to see Friday have a retracement back into the range that was
1171 01:37:23 --> 01:37:28 formed from Sunday to opening all throughout the week of trading. How much
1172 01:37:28 --> 01:37:33 of a retracement can we pull back in? We can trade back into that range 20 to 30%
1173 01:37:33 --> 01:37:38 it doesn't mean that that's trying to predict the closing price on Friday. I'm
1174 01:37:38 --> 01:37:41 not trying to do that. I have stuff that does that, but I'm not trying to do that
1175 01:37:41 --> 01:37:46 for the sake of the TGIF scenario. Thank God it's Friday. Is simply a way for me
1176 01:37:46 --> 01:37:51 to, kind of like press on the students to think, okay, thank God it's Friday.
1177 01:37:52 --> 01:37:57 It's a big week, directionally, one sided, and we've had that this week.
1178 01:37:57 --> 01:38:02 We've had the markets go straight on up, and we had a lot of movement through the
1179 01:38:02 --> 01:38:08 outside, which means that the market is more inclined to trade back in that
1180 01:38:08 --> 01:38:16 range to a degree of as much as 30% there are rules that can see as much as
1181 01:38:16 --> 01:38:23 a 40% retracement, but I've not found a way to teach it in a manner that
1182 01:38:23 --> 01:38:26 wouldn't be complicated. So as I've mentioned it to private mentorship
1183 01:38:26 --> 01:38:31 students, there are things that I have that I can't I can't teach everything.
1184 01:38:31 --> 01:38:36 Obviously. I mean, it's enough to know that 20 to 30% is an easy ballpark
1185 01:38:36 --> 01:38:43 figure, and you can trust sometimes taking shorts on a Friday that could
1186 01:38:43 --> 01:38:48 trade as low as 30% of whatever the highest high and the lowest low for the
1187 01:38:48 --> 01:38:51 week is 30%
1188 01:38:52 --> 01:38:56 minus the high of the week. That's where you can anticipate the market
1189 01:38:56 --> 01:39:00 potentially trading to. And sometimes it's a straight shot, like it'll jump
1190 01:39:00 --> 01:39:03 right there and go real, real nice. And then once it gets there, then it peters
1191 01:39:03 --> 01:39:06 out and go sideways, and then maybe bounce up a little bit. But then it's
1192 01:39:06 --> 01:39:11 nothing else for the rest of the Friday, the market just dies out. Other times it
1193 01:39:11 --> 01:39:15 just meanders around a little while, breaks down, meanders are a little
1194 01:39:15 --> 01:39:20 while, and then breaks down. And I think that's possibly what we'll see today,
1195 01:39:20 --> 01:39:24 because there's nothing to speak of on the economic calendar, except for it's
1196 01:39:24 --> 01:39:29 the end of the week, and nobody wants to hold risk over the weekend. And they can
1197 01:39:29 --> 01:39:33 do a nice reset by having a, you know, the market come off of the highs 30% and
1198 01:39:33 --> 01:39:36 it wouldn't unravel anything, even if it's long term bullish. Still it's an
1199 01:39:36 --> 01:39:43 election year, these things can be still supportive, even though nobody that
1200 01:39:44 --> 01:39:48 wants to be long or is long wants to see 30% of the weekly rain scale up like
1201 01:39:48 --> 01:39:52 they don't like to see that profit reduced or open profit without having
1202 01:39:52 --> 01:40:03 taken income. All right, so let's. Take a quick look at Yes, real quick as a
1203 01:40:03 --> 01:40:05 comparison, we haven't done that all week.
1204 01:40:13 --> 01:40:20 All right, so give me a second here. All right, so the s, p, looks even worse
1205 01:40:21 --> 01:40:29 than manage that looks really bad. I wouldn't trust anything in here. It
1206 01:40:29 --> 01:40:36 still looks a little too clean on the up here. I would disrupt that before we did
1207 01:40:36 --> 01:40:40 anything lower. That's my personal view on it. If it dropped, it would be
1208 01:40:40 --> 01:40:43 comfortable for me to say it's okay. I don't need to be a part of that move. I
1209 01:40:43 --> 01:40:51 wouldn't take anything in. Es, let's look at the Dow now is YM, you? 2024,
1210 01:40:58 --> 01:41:04 same thing here, to clean it. Be reasonable for it to see it spike up
1211 01:41:04 --> 01:41:16 into that. I don't trade the Dow. The Dow, to me, is the 3030, and if there's
1212 01:41:16 --> 01:41:19 a prostitute in these indices, it's definitely the Tao. And I ain't trying
1213 01:41:19 --> 01:41:26 to get an STD. So this is one I don't touch. I look for it to kind of confirm
1214 01:41:27 --> 01:41:31 market breath and and continuity in a price run. If there's a divergence
1215 01:41:31 --> 01:41:39 between it, I will have it on the radar and as a contributing factor for
1216 01:41:39 --> 01:41:43 determining whether or not, I want to take a partial on the trade. If I start
1217 01:41:43 --> 01:41:49 seeing the Dow go against with the NASDAQ and the SNP are dealing, I will
1218 01:41:51 --> 01:41:56 be cautious, but I won't probably trade with a complete closure of the trade,
1219 01:41:56 --> 01:42:00 because there's a divergence in the Dow, because it's only 3030 stocks that make
1220 01:42:00 --> 01:42:04 up the indices, but if I do see a divergence, speaking in the NASDAQ, and
1221 01:42:04 --> 01:42:08 I'm long, and the Nasdaq has a higher high, and S P does not have a higher
1222 01:42:08 --> 01:42:12 high, but chances are I'm probably going to take a partial off the trade because
1223 01:42:12 --> 01:42:20 it's it's indicating a weakening momentum or in agreement with the Scale.
1224 01:42:20 --> 01:42:26 Don't even look at it, because she'll just keep doing more of it. The any
1225 01:42:26 --> 01:42:32 divergence that I see in the Dow, I take it with a grain of salt. But if I see a
1226 01:42:32 --> 01:42:38 divergence, and there's an inability of the NASDAQ and the s, p to make the same
1227 01:42:38 --> 01:42:41 highs, to me, that's a more valid SMT divergence in numbers. It's it's
1228 01:42:41 --> 01:42:47 indicating there's potentially much more weakness that may not be visible to the
1229 01:42:47 --> 01:42:49 other traders that are trading it because they're not comparing and
1230 01:42:49 --> 01:42:54 contrasting the difference between the three averages. So I think it's
1231 01:42:54 --> 01:42:58 reasonable to see the Dow go up and disrupt this smooth area here, because
1232 01:42:58 --> 01:43:04 what's happened down here. This is all that jaggedness, right? So this down
1233 01:43:04 --> 01:43:09 here is smooth. So it's, to me, it just makes sense for them to basically get
1234 01:43:10 --> 01:43:19 all this smoothness disrupted back to ES. Same thing here we have these
1235 01:43:19 --> 01:43:25 relative equal highs. I would expect them to disrupt that as well. Even
1236 01:43:25 --> 01:43:31 though we had a higher high here, we can go back to this one. You know, you can
1237 01:43:31 --> 01:43:35 see the conditions are still being there. We have smooth, relative, equal
1238 01:43:35 --> 01:43:38 highs here. If that was what you're framing on, that's great. But if I'm
1239 01:43:38 --> 01:43:41 going to refer back to this one, it's in comparison to that, and it still meets
1240 01:43:41 --> 01:43:42 the criteria.