Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2024-05-02 10:41

From version 2.1
edited by Drunk Monkey
on 2024-05-02 10:34
Change comment: There is no comment for this version
To version 3.1
edited by Drunk Monkey
on 2024-05-02 10:39
Change comment: There is no comment for this version

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14 14  
15 15  === Outline ===
16 16  
17 -** Bias in trading with live price action analysis.**
17 +**Bias in trading with live price action analysis.**
18 18  - ICT explains how to determine bias in trading, addressing common questions from viewers.
19 19  - ICT provides live commentary on price action, demonstrating efficiency and logic in real-time.
20 20  
21 -** Trading bias and how to manage it using price action.**
21 +**Trading bias and how to manage it using price action.**
22 22  - The speaker shares their daily trading routine and how they analyze market data.
23 23  - The speaker will teach the audience how to do both, leaving a post-Wednesday evening comment for any additional questions.
24 24  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding price action and managing trades without relying on unnecessary information.
25 25  - The speaker will cover how to overcome fear and manage trades using price action on Wednesday.
26 26  
27 -** Seasonal tendencies in commodity trading with references to Larry Williams and Jake Bernstein.**
27 +**Seasonal tendencies in commodity trading with references to Larry Williams and Jake Bernstein.**
28 28  - ICT uses Steve Moore's seasonal tendencies to inform trading decisions.
29 29  - ICT expresses skepticism towards Jake Bernstein's seasonal tendency work despite Larry Williams' endorsement.
30 30  
31 -** Seasonal tendencies in trading, focusing on spring and fall periods.**
31 +**Seasonal tendencies in trading, focusing on spring and fall periods.**
32 32  - ICT refers viewers to a free resource for seasonal tendency charts.
33 33  - ICT encourages viewers to investigate and use the resource for themselves.
34 34  - ICT identifies best times for trading in spring and fall based on seasonal tendencies.
... ... @@ -35,16 +35,16 @@
35 35  - Focus on spring and fall sessions for directional runs that last weeks to months.
36 36  - In a bearish market environment, you have a loaded deal if you anticipate these runs.
37 37  
38 -** Market trends and opportunities in spring and fall months.**
38 +**Market trends and opportunities in spring and fall months.**
39 39  - The speaker expects the market to reach its spring highs in late August/early September and then decline into November.
40 40  - The speaker identifies September/October as a favorable time for long positions, as the market tends to rally during this period.
41 41  
42 -** Using seasonal tendencies in trading with a focus on patience and maturity.**
42 +**Using seasonal tendencies in trading with a focus on patience and maturity.**
43 43  - ICT anticipates market move of hundreds of handles based on seasonal tendencies.
44 44  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding market structure, seasonal tendencies, and narrative in trading.
45 45  - The speaker encourages listeners to invest a minimum of a year to fully appreciate and understand market dynamics.
46 46  
47 -** Using seasonal tendencies and economic calendar analysis for forex trading.**
47 +**Using seasonal tendencies and economic calendar analysis for forex trading.**
48 48  - ICT explains the importance of economic calendars for forex traders, highlighting the Forex Factory calendar as a useful tool for identifying high-impact events.
49 49  - ICT criticizes the use of economic data releases as excuses for market manipulation, emphasizing the importance of understanding the motivations of those in control.
50 50  - The speaker discusses the importance of timing in trading, particularly around scheduled economic events.
... ... @@ -52,18 +52,18 @@
52 52  - ICT identifies seasonal tendencies in the market, which he uses to anticipate volatility and make bearish trades.
53 53  - ICT looks for periods of fake runs or judo swings, which are sudden price movements that can lead to profitable trades.
54 54  
55 -** Trading psychology and the importance of building a plan.**
55 +**Trading psychology and the importance of building a plan.**
56 56  - Ict explains how he learned to ignore indicators and focus on context in trading.
57 57  - ICT learned trading lessons through losing real money and analyzing mistakes.
58 58  - Allowing oneself to be wrong and giving permission to speculate is crucial in trading.
59 59  
60 -** Trading strategies and market analysis.**
60 +**Trading strategies and market analysis.**
61 61  - I look for bearish market structure, seasonal tendencies, and news drivers to trade.
62 62  - I want to see a manipulative price run before the news driver hits, ideally with a short-term low before 8:30 AM.
63 63  - ICT emphasizes the importance of understanding market structure and price action in trading.
64 64  - He explains why traders should not rely solely on indicators for successful trades.
65 65  
66 -** Analyzing market patterns and anticipating price movements.**
66 +**Analyzing market patterns and anticipating price movements.**
67 67  - ICT explains how traders get trapped going long after a news event, leading to a market structure shift.
68 68  - ICT outlines a strategy for identifying and capitalizing on these shifts, using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.
69 69  - The speaker anticipates manipulation to the upside before a market event, leading to a high of the session or day.
... ... @@ -71,30 +71,30 @@
71 71  - ICT explains how he trades with a 4.5% risk level, even in unfavorable market conditions.
72 72  - He emphasizes the importance of collecting data over time to improve trading probabilities.
73 73  
74 -** Trading strategies and the importance of experience and discipline.**
74 +**Trading strategies and the importance of experience and discipline.**
75 75  - ICT emphasizes the importance of experience and knowledge in trading.
76 76  - ICT emphasizes importance of discipline and personal responsibility in trading.
77 77  
78 -** Streaming and trading with $160,000 taken out.**
78 +**Streaming and trading with $160,000 taken out.**
79 79  - The speaker admires Matt Miller for his simplicity and ability to push aside criticism while live streaming.
80 80  - The speaker is impressed by Matt Miller's ability to take $160,000 out of Apex, a company like Top Step, despite not doing over-the-top things.
81 81  
82 -** Day trading strategies and avoiding bias in market analysis.**
82 +**Day trading strategies and avoiding bias in market analysis.**
83 83  - Matt Miller is the number one day trader on YouTube, according to the speaker.
84 84  - The speaker encourages the listener to focus on what works and not try to do more.
85 85  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of identifying the smallest threshold of profitability and giving oneself permission to avoid trading during certain days, such as Non Farm Payroll and FOMC events.
86 86  - The speaker prioritizes avoiding daily bias during earnings season and focuses on light days, acknowledging the potential for a "wild wheat of trading."
87 87  
88 -** Trading strategies and risk management.**
88 +**Trading strategies and risk management.**
89 89  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding market conditions before trading.
90 90  - The speaker's risk management strategy involves adjusting leverage and maximum risk based on market conditions.
91 91  - ICT emphasizes importance of big rocks (bias indicators) in trading.
92 92  
93 -** Geopolitical risks impacting currency markets, with potential for bank failures.**
93 +**Geopolitical risks impacting currency markets, with potential for bank failures.**
94 94  - I expect the dollar to appreciate in value due to Middle East tensions, potentially impacting trading.
95 95  - ICT warns of impending bank collapse, citing recent failures and market volatility.
96 96  
97 -** Technical analysis and trading using charts and timeframes.**
97 +**Technical analysis and trading using charts and timeframes.**
98 98  - ICT emphasizes the importance of understanding risk and the dollar index in trading.
99 99  - ICT uses TradingView for chart analysis, but does not receive any compensation for promoting the platform.
100 100  - ICT emphasizes the importance of analyzing the dollar index on a monthly chart to understand market trends and make informed trading decisions.
... ... @@ -102,19 +102,19 @@
102 102  - ICT emphasizes the importance of identifying bias and trading opportunities on different timeframes.
103 103  - ICT teaches how to use the price delivery continuum to identify buying and selling opportunities in real-time.
104 104  
105 -** Candlestick chart analysis and trading strategies.**
105 +**Candlestick chart analysis and trading strategies.**
106 106  - ICT identifies inefficiency in Doppler chart, highlights turning point created by wick.
107 107  - ICT identifies key price points for bullish trading based on candlestick patterns.
108 108  
109 -** Trading and analyzing price movements in the stock market.**
109 +**Trading and analyzing price movements in the stock market.**
110 110  - ICT argues that price movements are not random, but rather the result of a small group of winners taking from a large group of losers in a "casino-like" system.
111 111  - Trader waits for gamblers to sit at slot machines, then trades based on payout ratio.
112 112  
113 -** Market manipulation and trading strategies.**
113 +**Market manipulation and trading strategies.**
114 114  - Trader seeks to profit from market manipulation by observing and waiting for price to deliver maximum carnage.
115 115  - Trader identifies key moments in the market, including macro events and audience management.
116 116  
117 -** Technical analysis and trading strategies using monthly charts.**
117 +**Technical analysis and trading strategies using monthly charts.**
118 118  - ICT discusses news driver analysis for price action trading.
119 119  - The speaker discusses their trading strategy, including pyramiding entries and managing emotions.
120 120  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of having a selective process for trading and avoiding losses.
... ... @@ -121,14 +121,14 @@
121 121  - ICT explains that the price action is in a discount market, with the dollar likely to go higher or lower based on recent developments.
122 122  - ICT uses qualitative and quantitative analysis to determine the range of the price action, with equilibrium serving as a key level for determining premium to discount.
123 123  
124 -** Technical analysis of a stock chart, focusing on a potential buying opportunity.**
124 +**Technical analysis of a stock chart, focusing on a potential buying opportunity.**
125 125  - ICT expects the market to stay in a discount, potentially leading to a larger, longer-term price run higher.
126 126  - ICT identifies untapped opportunity in dollar's range, indicating potential for higher prices.
127 127  
128 -** Chart analysis and levels, including midpoint and equilibrium.**
128 +**Chart analysis and levels, including midpoint and equilibrium.**
129 129  - ICT explains how to identify key levels of support and resistance in a chart.
130 130  
131 -** Technical analysis and trading strategies.**
131 +**Technical analysis and trading strategies.**
132 132  - ICT identifies a potential order block at $105.41, with a low of $105.41 and a close of $105.44.
133 133  - ICT emphasizes the importance of focusing on weekly charts for trading decisions, rather than monthly charts.
134 134  - ICT explains his trading process, emphasizing rule-based ideas and protocols.
... ... @@ -135,31 +135,31 @@
135 135  - He wants to teach his student an independent mentality, fostering self-sufficiency.
136 136  - ICT highlights the importance of understanding why he makes certain decisions, sharing his thought process to help the student learn and grow.
137 137  
138 -** Short-term trading opportunities in the forex market, focusing on the dollar index and potential price movements based on economic uncertainty.**
138 +**Short-term trading opportunities in the forex market, focusing on the dollar index and potential price movements based on economic uncertainty.**
139 139  - Trader prioritizes focusing on low-hanging fruit near key level.
140 140  - ICT discusses short-term scalping opportunities in currencies, highlighting potential drawdowns and uncertainties.
141 141  
142 -** Using inefficiencies and order blocks to make trading decisions.**
142 +**Using inefficiencies and order blocks to make trading decisions.**
143 143  - ICT teaches how to identify turning points using inefficiencies and order blocks.
144 144  - ICT explains that he wants his algorithm to color outside the lines sometimes, but only in certain instances.
145 145  - ICT highlights the importance of the weekly chart inefficiency and how it affects the lower timeframes.
146 146  
147 -** Trading strategies for the week with a focus on scalping and managing risk.**
147 +**Trading strategies for the week with a focus on scalping and managing risk.**
148 148  - ICT: Focused on daily bias, but avoid holding it this week due to impact drivers (news events).
149 149  - ICT: Avoiding big plays today, as they'll be reserved for tomorrow, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.
150 150  - ICT advises scalping this week due to high volatility and potential one-sidedness.
151 151  - Focus on opening range breakout for bullish daily bias, filtering out against it to manage risk.
152 152  
153 -** Market inefficiency and potential trading opportunities.**
153 +**Market inefficiency and potential trading opportunities.**
154 154  - Analyst identifies potential fair value gap on NASDAQ based on economic calendar events.
155 155  - ICT expects market to reach midpoint, then potentially resume or consolidate.
156 156  
157 -** Identifying market trends through analysis of opening prices and order blocks.**
157 +**Identifying market trends through analysis of opening prices and order blocks.**
158 158  - The opening price of an order block is the key crucial point of information for determining the market's direction and speed.
159 159  - The location of an order block in market structure will indicate whether it's a target, initial entry, or stop loss placement.
160 160  - ICT provides valuable information on order blocks and price delivery.
161 161  
162 -** Trading strategies using ICT's bias and fair value levels.**
162 +**Trading strategies using ICT's bias and fair value levels.**
163 163  - ICT teaches how to trade by practicing price delivery observation.
164 164  - Journaling helps traders identify areas for improvement and manage emotions.
165 165  - Managing a journal can help traders avoid negative self-talk and identify opportunities for learning.
... ... @@ -168,31 +168,31 @@
168 168  - ICT emphasizes the importance of predetermining target levels for partial and conclusion trades to avoid emotional decision-making during trading.
169 169  - ICT demonstrates how to logically frame out low-hanging fruit objectives to maximize profits while minimizing risk.
170 170  
171 -** Trading strategies and avoiding common mistakes.**
171 +**Trading strategies and avoiding common mistakes.**
172 172  - ICT teaches students how to use his terminology correctly, avoiding rebranded bullshit.
173 173  - ICT's students are achieving success in the marketplace, attributing their results to his concepts.
174 174  - The speaker warns against setting easy objectives without considering the bigger picture, leading to gambling instead of trading.
175 175  - Consistency is key to success in trading, with the speaker advocating for a logical model and avoiding social media approval.
176 176  
177 -** Trading strategies and mindset for success in the financial market.**
177 +**Trading strategies and mindset for success in the financial market.**
178 178  - ICT advises against rushing to get a funded account, instead advocating for slow and steady progress.
179 179  - He emphasizes the importance of being in the trading business for the long term, not just focusing on short-term success.
180 180  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of following a proven trading process and protocol to achieve success in the market.
181 181  - The speaker warns against relying on unproven methods and shortcuts, and instead encourages listeners to focus on developing a long-term trading strategy.
182 182  
183 -** Personal responsibility and accountability in trading, with emphasis on overcoming emotional biases and consistently applying a proven methodology for profitability**
183 +**Personal responsibility and accountability in trading, with emphasis on overcoming emotional biases and consistently applying a proven methodology for profitability**
184 184  - The trader attributes their success to personal responsibility and accountability, rather than any specific methodology.
185 185  - ICT emphasizes the importance of consistency in profitability, rather than relying on a single large payday.
186 186  
187 -** Stock market analysis and price action with emphasis on NASDAQ and S&P.**
187 +**Stock market analysis and price action with emphasis on NASDAQ and S&P.**
188 188  - ICT explains the importance of understanding price action and identifying essential information in the early stages of a trade.
189 189  - ICT highlights the potential for NASDAQ to trade higher in sympathy with S&P, but warns of potential risks and the need for proper analysis.
190 190  
191 -** Market structure, seasonality, and bias in trading.**
191 +**Market structure, seasonality, and bias in trading.**
192 192  - ICT expects a change in market structure if ES closes above midpoint.
193 193  - ICT discusses daily bias, weekly bias, and session bias in trading.
194 194  
195 -** Trading with bias and managing emotions.**
195 +**Trading with bias and managing emotions.**
196 196  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of self-control and maturity in trading, and how it's better to miss out on a trade than to take a risky setup that may not pan out.
197 197  - The speaker encourages listeners to filter out unreliable setups and only take trades that they are confident in, rather than blindly following every opportunity.
198 198  - Trader discusses importance of protocols and expectations in trading.
... ... @@ -199,38 +199,38 @@
199 199  - ICT: Down close candles in an up move indicate strength, but excessive ones may signal consolidation or reversal.
200 200  - ICT: Respect for stop loss levels is crucial in determining the strength of a price leg or rally, with immediate respect needed after a lackluster candle.
201 201  
202 -** Trading, personal growth, and the importance of keeping things personal and private.**
202 +**Trading, personal growth, and the importance of keeping things personal and private.**
203 203  - ICT shares insights on market analysis and prediction after 6 years of live teaching.
204 204  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of keeping trading personal and private, rather than trying to impress others.
205 205  - The speaker advises against over-leveraging and risking, and instead encourages traders to focus on making tangible progress and spending their profits.
206 206  
207 -** Using daily bias and order blocks for trading.**
207 +**Using daily bias and order blocks for trading.**
208 208  - ICT teaches daily bias trading, focusing on setups that fit his risk-on/risk-off criteria.
209 209  - ICT analyzes daily chart order blocks to identify potential price targets and areas of inefficiency.
210 210  - ICT emphasizes the importance of transposing higher timeframe levels to lower timeframes for more accurate trading.
211 211  
212 -** Using YouTube live streamers' chat windows for market sentiment analysis.**
212 +**Using YouTube live streamers' chat windows for market sentiment analysis.**
213 213  - The speaker likes using YouTube live streamers' chat windows for market sentiment, as they provide real-time emotional responses that can be used to inform trading decisions.
214 214  - The speaker believes that the market sentiment expressed in the chat windows is often more accurate than what professional traders and analysts provide, as it reflects the opinions of individuals who are not trying to be polished or professional.
215 215  - I analyze live streamers' emotional responses to identify potential trading opportunities.
216 216  
217 -** Identifying potential trading opportunities using technical analysis and immediate rebalance.**
217 +**Identifying potential trading opportunities using technical analysis and immediate rebalance.**
218 218  - Trader identifies potential inefficiency in price action on a 4-hour chart.
219 219  - ICT analyzes market behavior to identify potential fair value gaps, which can lead to strong price movements.
220 220  - In immediate rebalance situations, ICT looks for a big bullish or bearish candle followed by a retest of the previous candle's high or low, indicating a potential fair value gap.
221 221  - ICT explains how to trade based on candle patterns, showing examples in live trading.
222 222  
223 -** Trading strategies using higher timeframes to enter trades.**
223 +**Trading strategies using higher timeframes to enter trades.**
224 224  - ICT emphasizes the importance of using the 15-minute and hourly charts for trading, citing his quick decision-making mechanism and preference for more frequent trades.
225 225  - ICT highlights the significance of the blue line on the daily order block, which represents the opening price and is not a random level, but rather a specific price level that changes the state of delivery.
226 226  - ICT: Missing trades by not transposing levels to lower timeframes can result in missed opportunities.
227 227  - ICT: Entering trades based on high-frequency trading algorithms can help avoid chasing moves.
228 228  
229 -** Technical analysis and trading strategies using order blocks and price action signatures.**
229 +**Technical analysis and trading strategies using order blocks and price action signatures.**
230 230  - ICT identifies bullish breaker at daily opening price, reaching for opposing side of inefficiency.
231 231  - ICT explains how to identify a bullish order block by analyzing the price action and order flow.
232 232  
233 -** Technical analysis and trading strategies in the stock market.**
233 +**Technical analysis and trading strategies in the stock market.**
234 234  - ICT emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics and entry points.
235 235  - ICT discusses the importance of measuring gaps in technical analysis, highlighting their potential for identifying bullish price runs.
236 236  - ICT compares trading to hyperspace travel, emphasizing the importance of being part of trades that take off quickly and efficiently.
... ... @@ -238,31 +238,31 @@
238 238  - ICT teaches traders to look for specific visual setups, such as a bull flag or fair value gap.
239 239  - ICT takes partial profits as soon as momentum wanes after a run, scaling out of the trade.
240 240  
241 -** Trading and overcoming personal doubts.**
241 +**Trading and overcoming personal doubts.**
242 242  - ICT emphasizes the importance of confidence in trading, citing his own success as an example.
243 243  - ICT encourages listeners to ignore doubters and focus on their own growth and success.
244 244  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of overcoming personal doubts and uncertainties to succeed in trading.
245 245  - The speaker encourages listeners to focus on learning and improving their processes, rather than getting distracted by external factors.
246 246  
247 -** Analyzing price levels and identifying potential trading opportunities using PD arrays.**
247 +**Analyzing price levels and identifying potential trading opportunities using PD arrays.**
248 248  - ICT identifies liquidity pools and price levels for potential trading opportunities.
249 249  - ICT emphasizes the importance of understanding price dynamics in the cryptocurrency market.
250 250  
251 -** Trading fair value gaps in cryptocurrency with emphasis on entry and risk management.**
251 +**Trading fair value gaps in cryptocurrency with emphasis on entry and risk management.**
252 252  - ICT explains how to identify a fair value gap entry point in a candle chart, using the 5-minute chart as an example.
253 253  - ICT provides a framework for calculating the risk and entry size based on the low of the previous candle, with a risk parameter of 1%.
254 254  - ICT emphasizes the importance of managing risk and not demanding perfect entries or exits.
255 255  - ICT advises against trying to capture every possible profit opportunity, instead focusing on logical and manageable risk management.
256 256  
257 -** Ignoring unrealistic expectations and focusing on the basics for profitability.**
257 +**Ignoring unrealistic expectations and focusing on the basics for profitability.**
258 258  - ICT emphasizes the importance of a solid foundation and process for success, rather than relying on luck or shortcuts.
259 259  - ICT emphasizes the importance of not trying to convince others of the truth, especially when they are unwilling to listen or do their own research.
260 260  
261 -** Trading and market manipulation.**
261 +**Trading and market manipulation.**
262 262  - ICT argues that stop loss use is inevitable in trading due to greed.
263 263  - ICT argues that markets are manipulated and controlled, with traders chasing short-term gains while ignoring long-term opportunities.
264 264  
265 -** Trading strategies and risk management.**
265 +**Trading strategies and risk management.**
266 266  - ICT highlights the tendency for new traders to give away profitable days by continuing to trade, despite the potential for losses.
267 267  - The opening gap can act as a target, entry, or buffer for a stop loss, making it a risky location for placing stops.
268 268  - Placing stops inside a new day or week opening gap can lead to stop loss orders being hit, resulting in losses.
... ... @@ -269,15 +269,15 @@
269 269  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of self-approval and inner motivation in trading, rather than seeking external validation.
270 270  - The speaker warns against getting caught up in unnecessary chatter and comparisons, instead focusing on personal growth and results.
271 271  
272 -** Trading, risk management, and ego management.**
272 +**Trading, risk management, and ego management.**
273 273  - ICT advises against comparing oneself to others and instead emphasizes the importance of focusing on one's own progress and results.
274 274  - The speaker is resisting the urge to respond to comments and engage with the audience, instead choosing to prioritize their own goals and objectives.
275 275  - ICT emphasizes the importance of owning up to losses and not making excuses in trading.
276 276  
277 -** Stock market analysis with mentions of candlesticks and Middle East events.**
277 +**Stock market analysis with mentions of candlesticks and Middle East events.**
278 278  - ICT predicts dollar drop on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday with confidence, except for potential Middle East-inspired events.
279 279  
280 -** Trading strategies using fair value gaps and order blocks.**
280 +**Trading strategies using fair value gaps and order blocks.**
281 281  - Ideal entries are at fair value gaps or bullish blocks (ICT)
282 282  - Look for inefficiencies in the upper half for buying pressure (ICT)
283 283  - Unknown Speaker discusses trading basics, including order blocks and stop losses.
... ... @@ -285,16 +285,16 @@
285 285  - ICT is looking for setups like the one in the daily chart, where the low of the candlestick is used as the entry point.
286 286  - The stop loss is placed at the body or low of the candlestick, depending on risk tolerance.
287 287  
288 -** Trading strategies and risk management.**
288 +**Trading strategies and risk management.**
289 289  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of managing risk and not trying to squeeze every possible outcome in trading.
290 290  - The speaker shares their personal experience of quitting dozens of times but eventually learning how to trade properly.
291 291  - The speaker emphasizes the importance of finding low-hanging fruit in trading, rather than trying to pick the low or high of the day.
292 292  - The speaker encourages traders to be content with small profits and avoid overthinking or second-guessing their trades.
293 293  
294 -** Trading strategies and market analysis.**
294 +**Trading strategies and market analysis.**
295 295  - Trader discusses market analysis and trading strategies with a focus on price action.
296 296  
297 -** Trading strategies and risk management.**
297 +**Trading strategies and risk management.**
298 298  - The speaker discusses the importance of identifying highs and lows in a candlestick chart to make informed trading decisions.
299 299  - The speaker highlights the inefficiency in the market and how it can be used to their advantage by identifying and trading on the separation between the high and low of a candle.
300 300  - The speaker discusses trading strategies using runners, including taking profits at defined levels or managing stop losses to maximize gains.