Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Series - Vol 04.srt


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... ... @@ -1,459 +1,46 @@ 1 -1 2 -00:00:11,010 ~-~-> 00:00:13,920 3 -ICT: Welcome back, folks, this is part four of the 1 +(% class="hover min" %) 2 +|1 |00:00:10,980 ~-~-> 00:00:20,370 |ICT: Welcome back, folks, this is part four of the continuing series of the ICT optimal trade entry pattern recognition series. Alright, so now we're gonna look 3 +|2 |00:00:20,400 ~-~-> 00:00:31,110 |at a forex pair, the British Pound versus the US dollar. And this is going to be an example of a trendless market where it's not really dependent upon a specific 4 +|3 |00:00:31,470 ~-~-> 00:00:41,490 |daily bias. And we're just using intraday volatility, to find that optimal trade entry. But before I get into it, I want you to take a look at this chart. And I 5 +|4 |00:00:41,490 ~-~-> 00:00:53,220 |want you to think about what the neophyte or the new trader, that's just being exposed to what I teach, or someone that thinks they've been around the block a 6 +|5 |00:00:53,220 ~-~-> 00:01:02,580 |few times, and they think it's just something being renamed rehashed reinvented, to try to take credit from some old guy that's buried in a long since been 7 +|6 |00:01:02,580 ~-~-> 00:01:15,600 |forgotten. Look at this chart. Now, classically, people will say, well, it's just support and resistance, and old highs and old lows where the markets turn 8 +|7 |00:01:15,600 ~-~-> 00:01:26,070 |before. That's all you need to do look for those points. And when I first started, I read the same books, these people do, too. And I can tell you that if 9 +|8 |00:01:26,070 ~-~-> 00:01:40,410 |it was just that simple, everyone would be billionaires. Okay. It's not support and resistance that leads to forex riches, I needed to find out what was really 10 +|9 |00:01:40,410 ~-~-> 00:01:52,620 |going on. And when I did, all these ideas of support, resistance levels faded away. And I got to the real heart of what turns the market, and why the market 11 +|10 |00:01:52,620 ~-~-> 00:02:00,510 |should react at specific price levels. So now I want to show you what it is. And it's something that you guys are familiar with, if you've been looking at my 12 +|11 |00:02:00,510 ~-~-> 00:02:11,550 |content for any length of time. But let's go to another chart. Now I'm going to add the perspective that I teach my students. This is the market efficiency 13 +|12 |00:02:11,550 ~-~-> 00:02:22,530 |paradigm. Okay. And what is that? It's basically the narrative of why price goes, where it does, and why it reacts the way it does once it gets there. And 14 +|13 |00:02:22,530 ~-~-> 00:02:33,300 |where is it reaching to next? Okay, so this particular candle here cuts to the whole narrative immediately. And the reason why is you want to look at price. 15 +|14 |00:02:34,200 ~-~-> 00:02:41,850 |And look for areas where they run an old high, because old highs right above that, it's going to be by stops. And so by side liquidity is, by sell liquidity 16 +|15 |00:02:41,850 ~-~-> 00:02:52,830 |could be in the form of buy stops for new entries going long, or it could be by stops protecting existing shorts. The market ramps through that. And this action 17 +|16 |00:02:52,830 ~-~-> 00:03:00,780 |right here is what I teach as a Judas swing and onwards, it's a fake move. It's the low people in the thinking that the market is going to be bullish, it's 18 +|17 |00:03:00,780 ~-~-> 00:03:13,320 |going to go up. But generally, when we see these sharp moves that run previous highs, This to me is highly suspect. And if we get back below, the lowest down 19 +|18 |00:03:13,320 ~-~-> 00:03:25,170 |close candle, once it breaks that, which it does hear the narrative changes to bearish. So all I need to do, and my students do as we go through this candle 20 +|19 |00:03:25,170 ~-~-> 00:03:34,290 |here, draw it out in time, there's your turning point, that's your real support and resistance level, because it's based on the market efficiency paradigm that 21 +|20 |00:03:34,290 ~-~-> 00:03:41,880 |is mine, you're not gonna find that in books, you're not gonna see any of that anywhere outside of what I teach. And there's a lot of things that go along with 22 +|21 |00:03:41,880 ~-~-> 00:03:49,950 |this pattern to me, people go on YouTube now and talk about the ICT breaker or they just remove the ICT and they call it something else, a banker's candle, you 23 +|22 |00:03:49,950 ~-~-> 00:03:59,160 |know, everybody's got a new twist on what I'm teaching, and they don't know what they're talking about. What I'm showing you here is the narrative behind finding 24 +|23 |00:03:59,790 ~-~-> 00:04:07,710 |in optimal trade entry with this structure in place. It's a trendless market environment, it doesn't have to have a bullish or bearish bias on the daily 25 +|24 |00:04:07,710 ~-~-> 00:04:15,030 |chart. So you go into lower timeframes, and this right in here is what we're going to zoom in on. Okay, so we're gonna look at the lower timeframe, five 26 +|25 |00:04:15,030 ~-~-> 00:04:26,730 |minute chart right here. Okay, but before we go into it, since we're on the hourly chart, I want to annotate the previous day's range. Okay, so we have this 27 +|26 |00:04:27,690 ~-~-> 00:04:36,300 |is the beginning of the 11th and the 12th, which is the date of this recording. And if this is going to be a breaker that's bearish, we're gonna be looking at 28 +|27 |00:04:36,300 ~-~-> 00:04:45,450 |previous day's low. That's where we're gonna be targeting. So the liquidity that would burst below that, that's what we're really aiming for. So when it's 29 +|28 |00:04:45,450 ~-~-> 00:04:54,120 |dropped down to a five minute chart in this box here, and get a closer look as where the IoT forums. Okay, so here's the five minute chart on the British Pound 30 +|29 |00:04:54,300 ~-~-> 00:05:04,770 |versus US dollar and five minute chart for May 12 2020. And here's trading up in to that area I outlined on the hourly chart where we can see that breaker price 31 +|30 |00:05:04,770 ~-~-> 00:05:05,880 |trades up into it. 32 +|31 |00:05:06,360 ~-~-> 00:05:19,140 |And this old high returned to it here it hits the same level. Again, it's the breaker. It's not the classic support resistance, it's not supply zone. It's 33 +|32 |00:05:19,140 ~-~-> 00:05:32,250 |none of that stuff. Okay? It's the optimal trade entry. Okay, and projected out in time. 34 +|33 |00:05:38,339 ~-~-> 00:05:47,729 |Okay, so we have high to the low returns back to optimal trade entry. Seven retracement level lays right on top of that level here, your stop will be above 35 +|34 |00:05:47,729 ~-~-> 00:06:04,229 |here, and market raids, and old low here. And the fib levels here. So you could use 123 big figure as your level not reaching for the fib. Because the magic is 36 +|35 |00:06:04,229 ~-~-> 00:06:15,299 |not the fib but reaching below this low for the liquid that resides below here. Now, this is the previous day's range. Okay to the 11th. We also have more time 37 +|36 |00:06:16,349 ~-~-> 00:06:26,789 |here in our New York session to look for another trade if it forms has it taken out previous days Whoa, not here, it starts to retrace on this candle here. what 38 +|37 |00:06:26,789 ~-~-> 00:06:35,249 |time of day is that? 11 o'clock in the morning, that is still time to take another trade if it's still there if it's valid, alright, so we can see the 39 +|38 |00:06:35,249 ~-~-> 00:06:49,499 |optimal trade entry here. low and high retreats back into the New York session and previous day or the 11th of Mays low, we will be targeting that next stop 40 +|39 |00:06:49,499 ~-~-> 00:07:02,759 |would be above here your short would be in here at the 60% retracement level. And again below the level of the previous day's range low at was at 122 83. And 41 +|40 |00:07:02,759 ~-~-> 00:07:13,919 |one bit bet. And then the next fib level would be 122 and 65 and five pipettes. So we will be looking for this as a potential objective. But we can just simply 42 +|41 |00:07:13,919 ~-~-> 00:07:27,029 |use the 122 70 level, it will be below the 11th low and not demand the full fib and you can do that. But in this example, we're sticking to the rules, rounding 43 +|42 |00:07:27,029 ~-~-> 00:07:45,659 |down and being content. And the result of this is here. Mica trades down to the standard deviation of one on the range. And we blow below the 11th love you 44 +|43 |00:07:45,659 ~-~-> 00:07:55,349 |sweep it here work on it here and then expand down. So again, this is another example of the optimal trade entry and this is video number four and a 45 +|44 |00:07:55,349 ~-~-> 00:07:59,819 |continuing series of 20 and I hope you found it insightful until next time, wish good luck and good trading 4 4 5 -2 6 -00:00:13,920 ~-~-> 00:00:17,490 7 -continuing series of the ICT optimal trade entry pattern 8 - 9 -3 10 -00:00:17,490 ~-~-> 00:00:20,700 11 -recognition series. All right, so now we're going to look at 12 - 13 -4 14 -00:00:20,730 ~-~-> 00:00:25,020 15 -a forex pair, the British Pound versus the US dollar. And 16 - 17 -5 18 -00:00:25,020 ~-~-> 00:00:28,410 19 -this is going to be an example of a trend less market where 20 - 21 -6 22 -00:00:28,410 ~-~-> 00:00:33,360 23 -it's not really dependent upon a specific daily bias. And 24 - 25 -7 26 -00:00:33,360 ~-~-> 00:00:36,720 27 -we're just using intraday volatility to find an optimal 28 - 29 -8 30 -00:00:36,720 ~-~-> 00:00:39,180 31 -trade entry. But before I get into it, I want you to take a 32 - 33 -9 34 -00:00:39,180 ~-~-> 00:00:44,910 35 -look at this chart. And I want you to think about what the 36 - 37 -10 38 -00:00:44,940 ~-~-> 00:00:50,040 39 -neophyte or the new trader that's just being exposed to what 40 - 41 -11 42 -00:00:50,040 ~-~-> 00:00:52,920 43 -I teach, or someone that thinks they've been around the 44 - 45 -12 46 -00:00:52,920 ~-~-> 00:00:55,230 47 -block a few times and they think it's just something being 48 - 49 -13 50 -00:00:55,680 ~-~-> 00:01:00,000 51 -renamed rehashed, reinvented to try to take credit from some 52 - 53 -14 54 -00:01:00,000 ~-~-> 00:01:04,860 55 -guidance period and on long since been forgotten. Look at 56 - 57 -15 58 -00:01:04,860 ~-~-> 00:01:11,280 59 -this chart. Now, classically, people will say, well, it's 60 - 61 -16 62 -00:01:11,280 ~-~-> 00:01:14,820 63 -just support and resistance, and old highs and lows where 64 - 65 -17 66 -00:01:14,820 ~-~-> 00:01:17,850 67 -the markets turned before. That's all you need to do look 68 - 69 -18 70 -00:01:17,850 ~-~-> 00:01:22,170 71 -for those points. And when I first started, I read the same 72 - 73 -19 74 -00:01:22,170 ~-~-> 00:01:26,310 75 -books these people do too. And I can tell you that if it was 76 - 77 -20 78 -00:01:26,310 ~-~-> 00:01:32,820 79 -just that simple, everyone would be billionaires. Okay. It's 80 - 81 -21 82 -00:01:32,820 ~-~-> 00:01:39,330 83 -not support resistance that leads to forex riches. I needed 84 - 85 -22 86 -00:01:39,330 ~-~-> 00:01:44,160 87 -to find out what was really going on. And when I did, all 88 - 89 -23 90 -00:01:44,160 ~-~-> 00:01:48,180 91 -these ideas of support resistance levels faded away. And I 92 - 93 -24 94 -00:01:48,180 ~-~-> 00:01:52,320 95 -got to the real heart of what turns the market and why the 96 - 97 -25 98 -00:01:52,320 ~-~-> 00:01:54,990 99 -market should react to a specific price levels. So now I 100 - 101 -26 102 -00:01:54,990 ~-~-> 00:01:58,830 103 -want to kind of show you what it is. And it's something that 104 - 105 -27 106 -00:01:58,830 ~-~-> 00:02:00,510 107 -you guys are familiar with. If you've been Looking at my 108 - 109 -28 110 -00:02:00,510 ~-~-> 00:02:03,960 111 -content for any length of time, but let's go to another 112 - 113 -29 114 -00:02:04,020 ~-~-> 00:02:07,350 115 -chart. Now I'm going to add the perspective that I teach my 116 - 117 -30 118 -00:02:07,350 ~-~-> 00:02:12,870 119 -students. This is the market efficiency paradigm. Okay? And 120 - 121 -31 122 -00:02:12,870 ~-~-> 00:02:17,610 123 -what is that? It's basically the narrative of why price 124 - 125 -32 126 -00:02:17,610 ~-~-> 00:02:21,180 127 -goes, where it does and why it reacts the way it does once 128 - 129 -33 130 -00:02:21,180 ~-~-> 00:02:25,110 131 -it gets there. And where is it reaching to next? Okay, so 132 - 133 -34 134 -00:02:26,010 ~-~-> 00:02:30,510 135 -this particular candle here cuts to the whole narrative 136 - 137 -35 138 -00:02:30,510 ~-~-> 00:02:33,300 139 -immediately. And the reason why is you want to look at price 140 - 141 -36 142 -00:02:34,200 ~-~-> 00:02:37,440 143 -and look for areas where they run an old high because old 144 - 145 -37 146 -00:02:37,440 ~-~-> 00:02:39,840 147 -highs right above that it's going to be by stops and so by 148 - 149 -38 150 -00:02:39,840 ~-~-> 00:02:42,810 151 -side liquidity is by liquidity could be in the form of buy 152 - 153 -39 154 -00:02:42,810 ~-~-> 00:02:46,020 155 -stops for new entries going long, or it could be by stops 156 - 157 -40 158 -00:02:46,230 ~-~-> 00:02:50,880 159 -protecting existing shorts. The market ramps through that. 160 - 161 -41 162 -00:02:51,630 ~-~-> 00:02:55,710 163 -And this action right here is what I teach is a Judas swing. 164 - 165 -42 166 -00:02:55,860 ~-~-> 00:02:59,580 167 -And it's it's a fake move. It's the low people into thinking 168 - 169 -43 170 -00:02:59,580 ~-~-> 00:03:01,500 171 -that the market is going to be bullish, it's going to go up. 172 - 173 -44 174 -00:03:02,010 ~-~-> 00:03:05,010 175 -But generally, when we see these sharp moves that run 176 - 177 -45 178 -00:03:05,010 ~-~-> 00:03:11,250 179 -previous highs, This to me is highly suspect. And if we get 180 - 181 -46 182 -00:03:11,250 ~-~-> 00:03:17,520 183 -back below the lowest down close candle once it breaks that, 184 - 185 -47 186 -00:03:17,820 ~-~-> 00:03:22,230 187 -which it does hear the narrative changes to bearish. So all 188 - 189 -48 190 -00:03:22,230 ~-~-> 00:03:25,170 191 -I need to do, and my students do is we go to this candle 192 - 193 -49 194 -00:03:25,170 ~-~-> 00:03:28,650 195 -here, draw it out in time, there's your turning point, 196 - 197 -50 198 -00:03:28,680 ~-~-> 00:03:31,440 199 -that's your real support and resistance level. Because it's 200 - 201 -51 202 -00:03:31,440 ~-~-> 00:03:34,920 203 -based on the market efficiency paradigm that is mine, you're 204 - 205 -52 206 -00:03:34,950 ~-~-> 00:03:37,110 207 -not going to find that in books, you're not gonna see any of 208 - 209 -53 210 -00:03:37,110 ~-~-> 00:03:40,710 211 -that anywhere outside of what I teach. And there's a lot of 212 - 213 -54 214 -00:03:40,710 ~-~-> 00:03:43,170 215 -things that go along with this pattern to me, people go on 216 - 217 -55 218 -00:03:43,170 ~-~-> 00:03:45,660 219 -YouTube now and talk about the ice breaker or they just 220 - 221 -56 222 -00:03:45,660 ~-~-> 00:03:49,260 223 -remove the ICT and they call it something else. A banker's 224 - 225 -57 226 -00:03:49,260 ~-~-> 00:03:51,930 227 -candle. You know, everybody's got a new twist on what I'm 228 - 229 -58 230 -00:03:51,930 ~-~-> 00:03:55,350 231 -teaching, and they don't know what they're talking about. 232 - 233 -59 234 -00:03:55,470 ~-~-> 00:03:59,160 235 -What I'm showing you here is the narrative behind finding 236 - 237 -60 238 -00:03:59,790 ~-~-> 00:04:03,390 239 -it. optimal trade entry with this structure in place, it's a 240 - 241 -61 242 -00:04:03,390 ~-~-> 00:04:06,150 243 -trend less market environment. It doesn't have to have a 244 - 245 -62 246 -00:04:06,150 ~-~-> 00:04:08,880 247 -bullish or bearish bias when the daily chart so you go into 248 - 249 -63 250 -00:04:08,880 ~-~-> 00:04:12,150 251 -lower timeframes, and this right in here is what we're going 252 - 253 -64 254 -00:04:12,150 ~-~-> 00:04:14,340 255 -to zoom in on. Okay, so we're going to look at the lower 256 - 257 -65 258 -00:04:14,340 ~-~-> 00:04:17,580 259 -timeframe five minute chart right here. Okay, but before we 260 - 261 -66 262 -00:04:17,580 ~-~-> 00:04:19,860 263 -go into it, since we're on an hourly chart, I want to 264 - 265 -67 266 -00:04:19,860 ~-~-> 00:04:27,870 267 -annotate the previous day's range. Okay, so we have this as 268 - 269 -68 270 -00:04:27,870 ~-~-> 00:04:30,540 271 -the beginning of the 11th and the 12th, which is the day of 272 - 273 -69 274 -00:04:30,540 ~-~-> 00:04:34,650 275 -this recording. And if this is going to be a breaker that's 276 - 277 -70 278 -00:04:34,650 ~-~-> 00:04:37,590 279 -bearish, we're gonna be looking at previous day's low. 280 - 281 -71 282 -00:04:38,340 ~-~-> 00:04:42,150 283 -That's where we're going to be targeting. So the liquidity 284 - 285 -72 286 -00:04:42,150 ~-~-> 00:04:44,580 287 -that would burst below that, that's what we're really aiming 288 - 289 -73 290 -00:04:44,580 ~-~-> 00:04:46,590 291 -for. So when it's dropped down to a five minute chart in 292 - 293 -74 294 -00:04:46,590 ~-~-> 00:04:50,610 295 -this box here, and get a closer look as where the OT forms. 296 - 297 -75 298 -00:04:51,720 ~-~-> 00:04:54,120 299 -Okay, so here's the five minute chart on the British Pound 300 - 301 -76 302 -00:04:54,300 ~-~-> 00:04:59,070 303 -versus US dollar and five minute chart for May 12 2020. And 304 - 305 -77 306 -00:04:59,070 ~-~-> 00:05:02,040 307 -here's trading up in to that area I outlined on the hourly 308 - 309 -78 310 -00:05:02,040 ~-~-> 00:05:05,910 311 -chart where we can see that breaker price trades up into it. 312 - 313 -79 314 -00:05:06,360 ~-~-> 00:05:10,350 315 -And this old high, returning to it here hits the same level. 316 - 317 -80 318 -00:05:10,590 ~-~-> 00:05:14,010 319 -Again, it's the breaker. It's not the classic support 320 - 321 -81 322 -00:05:14,010 ~-~-> 00:05:19,920 323 -resistance. It's not a supply zone. It's none of that stuff. 324 - 325 -82 326 -00:05:19,950 ~-~-> 00:05:23,520 327 -Okay? It's the optimal trade entry. 328 - 329 -83 330 -00:05:28,020 ~-~-> 00:05:29,340 331 -Okay, and 332 - 333 -84 334 -00:05:30,630 ~-~-> 00:05:32,250 335 -we'll project this out in time. 336 - 337 -85 338 -00:05:38,340 ~-~-> 00:05:42,960 339 -Okay, so we have high to the low returns back to optimal 340 - 341 -86 342 -00:05:42,960 ~-~-> 00:05:46,020 343 -trade entry. Seven AMS retracement level lays right on top 344 - 345 -87 346 -00:05:46,020 ~-~-> 00:05:49,800 347 -of that level here. Your stop will be above here. And market 348 - 349 -88 350 -00:05:49,800 ~-~-> 00:05:57,360 351 -reads an old low here and the fib levels here, so you could 352 - 353 -89 354 -00:05:57,390 ~-~-> 00:06:03,150 355 -use 123 big figures As your level not reaching for the fib 356 - 357 -90 358 -00:06:03,150 ~-~-> 00:06:06,390 359 -and because the magic is not the fib but reaching below this 360 - 361 -91 362 -00:06:06,390 ~-~-> 00:06:09,690 363 -low for the liquid that resides below here. Now this is the 364 - 365 -92 366 -00:06:09,690 ~-~-> 00:06:15,300 367 -previous day's range okay to the 11th we also have more time 368 - 369 -93 370 -00:06:16,350 ~-~-> 00:06:19,500 371 -here in our New York session to look for another trade if it 372 - 373 -94 374 -00:06:19,500 ~-~-> 00:06:25,140 375 -forms has it taken out previous days Whoa, not here. It 376 - 377 -95 378 -00:06:25,140 ~-~-> 00:06:27,360 379 -starts to retrace on this candle here. what time of day is 380 - 381 -96 382 -00:06:27,360 ~-~-> 00:06:31,260 383 -that? 11 o'clock in the morning. That is still time to take 384 - 385 -97 386 -00:06:31,260 ~-~-> 00:06:34,260 387 -another trade if it's still there if it's valid, alright. 388 - 389 -98 390 -00:06:34,260 ~-~-> 00:06:39,810 391 -So, we can see the optimal trade entry here. low and high 392 - 393 -99 394 -00:06:39,900 ~-~-> 00:06:45,240 395 -retrace back into the New York session and previous day or 396 - 397 -100 398 -00:06:45,240 ~-~-> 00:06:49,470 399 -the 11th of Mays low we will be targeting that next stop 400 - 401 -101 402 -00:06:49,470 ~-~-> 00:06:52,230 403 -will be above here your short would be in here at the 62% 404 - 405 -102 406 -00:06:52,230 ~-~-> 00:06:56,760 407 -retracement level and again below the level of the previous 408 - 409 -103 410 -00:06:56,760 ~-~-> 00:07:04,440 411 -day's range low at Was that 122 83 in one pet, and then the 412 - 413 -104 414 -00:07:04,440 ~-~-> 00:07:10,470 415 -next fib level would be 122 and 65 and five pets. So we will 416 - 417 -105 418 -00:07:10,470 ~-~-> 00:07:13,500 419 -be looking for this as a potential objective, but we can 420 - 421 -106 422 -00:07:13,500 ~-~-> 00:07:18,090 423 -just simply use the 122 70 level, it will be below the 11th 424 - 425 -107 426 -00:07:18,570 ~-~-> 00:07:24,390 427 -low and not demand the full fib. Now you can do that. But in 428 - 429 -108 430 -00:07:24,390 ~-~-> 00:07:27,450 431 -this example, we're sticking to the rules, rounding down and 432 - 433 -109 434 -00:07:27,450 ~-~-> 00:07:36,030 435 -being content. And the result of this is here. Market trades 436 - 437 -110 438 -00:07:36,030 ~-~-> 00:07:43,110 439 -down to the standard deviation of one on the range. And we 440 - 441 -111 442 -00:07:43,110 ~-~-> 00:07:47,670 443 -blow below the 11th love sweet bit here, work on it here and 444 - 445 -112 446 -00:07:47,670 ~-~-> 00:07:51,810 447 -then expand down. So again, this is another example of the 448 - 449 -113 450 -00:07:51,810 ~-~-> 00:07:55,350 451 -optimal trade entry and this is video number four in a 452 - 453 -114 454 -00:07:55,350 ~-~-> 00:07:57,900 455 -continuing series of 20. And hope you found it insightful 456 - 457 -115 458 -00:07:57,900 ~-~-> 00:07:59,790 459 -until next time, wish you good luck and good trading.