Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-07-06 18:45


on 2020-07-06 21:27
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... ... @@ -53,7 +53,7 @@ 53 53 54 54 ====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 55 55 56 -== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction == 56 +== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction - AUDUSD == 57 57 58 58 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 59 59 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live ... ... @@ -130,18 +130,88 @@ 130 130 131 131 * 5m chart view 132 132 [[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.22.17.png||queryString="width=591&height=819" height="819" width="591"]] 133 +\\the recent low marked, right side showing the new high forming the OTE pattern. 133 133 134 134 ====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 135 135 136 136 == {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 - S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (June 2020) == 137 137 138 -* example 139 +* Daily Chart 140 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.43.11.jpg]] 141 + 142 +* currently inside of an OTE 143 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.46.32.jpg||height="696" width="687"]] 144 +\\The fib provides a framework - old low, old high, retracement back to the 79 level. On the daily chart, the momentum is likely to go higher. It could be reaching for the old high, it could break through, or it could fail. It doesn't matter. 145 +\\What we do care is that it is likely to run the previous day's high. 146 + 147 +* Previous day's high marked 148 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.53.30.jpg||height="167" width="848"]] 149 + 150 +* 5m chart 151 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.24.45.jpg]] 152 + 153 +* Marked up 154 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.28.25.jpg]] 155 +\\The "big figure" is 2900. Price has traded down into that during the NY session. Whenever a big figure is swept, either down into, or up into, it generally creates a tradeable bounce or retracement, even if it is very short lived. 156 + 157 +* Focus on the NY session time to find the OTE 158 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.31.40.jpg||height="417" width="313"]] 159 + 160 +* OTE marked 161 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.34.05.jpg||height="850" width="775"]] 162 + 163 +* and here is how it played out 164 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.36.45.jpg]] 165 +\\In this example, the market tends to want to gravitate towards the old high because the market is bullish, and will catch out the market short sellers. 166 + 139 139 140 140 ====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 141 141 142 -== {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 == 170 +== {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 - GBPUSD == 143 143 144 -* example 172 +* 1H chart 173 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.22.04.jpg]] 174 + 175 +* Marked up using "support and resistance" paradigm. Note that this is a retail trading mindset and it is wrong. 176 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.31.28.jpg]] 177 +\\Again. Wrong. 178 + 179 +* ICT Markup - [Market Efficiency Paradigm] (link to definition later) 180 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.34.19.jpg]] 181 +\\It's basically the narrative of why price goes where it does and why it reacts the way it does when it gets there and where it is reaching to next. The ICT Bearish Breaker cuts to the whole narrative immediately. 182 +\\Why? You want to look at price and look for areas where they run an old high because above that is going to be buy stops. And this is buy side liquidity. This could be in the form of buy stops for new long entries, or stops protecting existing shorts. 183 +\\The big candle to the right runs through that zone to gather the liquidity. Also, ICT calls this candle pattern a "Judus Swing" because it's a fake move because it appears to signal a bullish move. 184 +\\When we see these sharp runs that that run previous highs/lows, it's highly suspect to ICT. If we get back down below the lowest down candle (ICT Bearish Breaker), breaking that low (which it does in the 3-6am bull candles above), the narrative changes to Bearish. 185 +\\So what we do is go to that Breaker, draw the line out in time and then you'll be able to see the real turning point, or the real support/resistance level if you like. Look at the 7-9am candles on the right where it touches the 1.2371 line. 186 + 187 +* This provides the narrative behind finding and OTE with this structure in place. It can occur in a trendless market environment, and doesn't have to have a bullish or bearish trend on the daily chart, so go into the lower timeframes. 188 + 189 +* 1h chart marked up showing the previous days low as our highlighted candle is a ICT Bearish Breaker and tends to indicate that we are going for new lows and it is likely we will target the previous days low. 190 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.59.43.jpg]] 191 +\\The new ICT bearish breaker is highlighted in the pink box. 192 + 193 +* 5m with the NY Session highlighted 194 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 05.01.46.jpg]] 195 +\\ 196 +* and here is the OTE Fib marked. 197 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 05.04.42.jpg]] 198 +\\stops will be above the 1.0 point 199 +\\We see the high, down to the low, and then the price returning to the OTE where we can fill our order. Our -2 level is the 1.23 big level and the institutions reaching for the old lows and the liquidity that can be found there. 200 + 201 +* Also note, that we have not yet taken our previous days lows, so there is a second possible OTE entry. The price starts to retrace at at 11am - which is just outside of our session window, but still acceptable. So, place the fib and see if this retracement suggests a trade 202 + 203 +* Fib placed 204 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 05.17.16.jpg]] 205 +\\We see the high, low, the retracement into the 62 OTE region and we'll be targeting the previous days low with a short. The stop would be above the high 206 +\\Our targets: 207 +- 1.2282 - 1.2283 for our 0.5 level 208 +- 1.2265 for our 1.0 level, or we could target the 1.227 level as a more likely target rather than getting a full fib. 209 +\\We're rounding down our numbers and being content with not being too greedy so we don't make a winning trade a losing one. 210 + 211 +* Results: 212 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 05.25.06.jpg]] 213 +\\\\0.5 taken. 1.0 taken. 214 + 145 145 146 146 ====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 147 147
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