Changes for page OTE Pattern Recognition Notes


on 2020-06-29 20:17


on 2020-07-06 21:02
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... ... @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ 1 1 {{box cssClass="box floatinginfobox" title="**Quick Links**"}} 2 -{{toc start="2"/}} 2 +{{toc start="2" depth="5" numbered="true"/}} 3 3 {{/box}} 4 4 5 5 == {{id name="Primer"/}}Optimal Trade Entry Primer == ... ... @@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ 40 40 \\- daily view 41 41 [[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.14.02.png]] 42 42 \\- 15m view[[image:Screenshot 2020-06-29 at 03.06.46.png]] 43 + 43 43 * Note the following: 44 44 ** institutional levels 45 45 ** old monthly high at 1.1720 (1.17137 rounded) ... ... @@ -47,10 +47,13 @@ 47 47 ** the new STH makes for a more likely trade opportunity. (market maker model) and opens up the chance for an OTE. 48 48 ** also, a high, with two lower highs on either side makes that high more significant. when this high is broken, it's a more convincing move than breaking the other shorter term highs, thus giving us the opportunity to find a likely OTE. 49 49 ** at the fib, we see price rockets away from a STL 51 + 50 50 * when old highs/lows are broken, trades will tend to reach back to those old positions (retail calls it "support") 51 51 52 -== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction==54 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 53 53 56 +== {{id name="Intro"/}}Introduction - AUDUSD == 57 + 54 54 * how to annotate the charts to look for specific price patterns 55 55 * study for the patterns for a month, and it'll start to become more easily recognizable as you train your brain to recognize it, then see if you can see it live 56 56 * the pattern should appear every day, but not necessarily on the same pairs ... ... @@ -98,78 +98,178 @@ 98 98 ** where do you take partials 99 99 ** what you avoid doing to your revised stops (choking them out) 100 100 101 -== {{idname="Ex02"/}}Example 2==105 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 102 102 103 - *example107 +== {{id name="Ex02"/}}Example 2 - USDJPY == 104 104 105 -== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 == 109 +* Daily Chart 110 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.38.28.png]] 111 +\\fib drawn from the swing low, to the swing high 112 + 113 +* previous days high (2nd last candle) broke the high from the day before that. This means we could potentially see a turn, or an expansion to the upside 114 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.40.40.png]] 115 +\\Our high is 106.65(7) 116 + 117 +* Dropping into the 5m chart: 118 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.43.50.png]] 119 +\\Where do you think the OTE is going to be? Look before scrolling further. Remember the magic hours of 08:30 - 11:00 NY time. 120 + 121 +* Fib added from the previous low at point 1, to the last recent high at point 2 122 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 01.47.47.png]] 123 + 124 +* Trading View chart, 15m 125 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.10.10.png]] 126 + 127 +* On the above chart is a second OTE occurring just after the OTE period opening 128 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.19.10.png]] 129 +\\From the swing low, to the new high breaking the previous high. The OTE opportunity crosses the weekend. 130 + 131 +* 5m chart view 132 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.22.17.png||queryString="width=591&height=819" height="819" width="591"]] 133 +\\the recent low marked, right side showing the new high forming the OTE pattern. 106 106 107 - *example135 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 108 108 109 -== {{id name="Ex0 4"/}}Example4==137 +== {{id name="Ex03"/}}Example 3 - S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (June 2020) == 110 110 111 -* example 139 +* Daily Chart 140 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.43.11.jpg]] 141 + 142 +* currently inside of an OTE 143 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.46.32.jpg||height="696" width="687"]] 144 +\\The fib provides a framework - old low, old high, retracement back to the 79 level. On the daily chart, the momentum is likely to go higher. It could be reaching for the old high, it could break through, or it could fail. It doesn't matter. 145 +\\What we do care is that it is likely to run the previous day's high. 146 + 147 +* Previous day's high marked 148 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 02.53.30.jpg||height="167" width="848"]] 149 + 150 +* 5m chart 151 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.24.45.jpg]] 152 + 153 +* Marked up 154 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.28.25.jpg]] 155 +\\The "big figure" is 2900. Price has traded down into that during the NY session. Whenever a big figure is swept, either down into, or up into, it generally creates a tradeable bounce or retracement, even if it is very short lived. 156 + 157 +* Focus on the NY session time to find the OTE 158 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.31.40.jpg||height="417" width="313"]] 159 + 160 +* OTE marked 161 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.34.05.jpg||height="850" width="775"]] 162 + 163 +* and here is how it played out 164 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 03.36.45.jpg]] 165 +\\In this example, the market tends to want to gravitate towards the old high because the market is bullish, and will catch out the market short sellers. 166 + 112 112 168 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 169 + 170 +== {{id name="Ex04"/}}Example 4 - GBPUSD == 171 + 172 +* 1H chart 173 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.22.04.jpg]] 174 + 175 +* Marked up using "support and resistance" paradigm. Note that this is a retail trading mindset and it is wrong. 176 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.31.28.jpg]] 177 +\\Again. Wrong. 178 + 179 +* ICT Markup - [Market Efficiency Paradigm] (link to definition later) 180 +[[image:Screenshot 2020-07-07 at 04.34.19.jpg]] 181 +\\It's basically the narrative of why prices goes where it does and why it reacts the way it does when it reaches there and what it is going to do next. 182 + 183 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 184 + 113 113 == {{id name="Ex05"/}}Example 5 == 114 114 115 115 * example 116 116 189 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 190 + 117 117 == {{id name="Ex06"/}}Example 6 == 118 118 119 119 * example 120 120 195 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 196 + 121 121 == {{id name="Ex07"/}}Example 7 == 122 122 123 123 * example 124 124 201 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 202 + 125 125 == {{id name="Ex08"/}}Example 8 == 126 126 127 127 * example 128 128 207 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 208 + 129 129 == {{id name="Ex09"/}}Example 9 == 130 130 131 131 * example 132 132 213 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 214 + 133 133 == {{id name="Ex10"/}}Example 10 == 134 134 135 135 * example 136 136 219 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 220 + 137 137 == {{id name="Ex11"/}}Example 11 == 138 138 139 139 * example 140 140 225 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 226 + 141 141 == {{id name="Ex12"/}}Example 12 == 142 142 143 143 * example 144 144 231 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 232 + 145 145 == {{id name="Ex13"/}}Example 13 == 146 146 147 147 * example 148 148 237 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 238 + 149 149 == {{id name="Ex14"/}}Example 14 == 150 150 151 151 * example 152 152 243 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 244 + 153 153 == {{id name="Ex15"/}}Example 15 == 154 154 155 155 * example 156 156 249 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 250 + 157 157 == {{id name="Ex16"/}}Example 16 == 158 158 159 159 * example 160 160 255 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 256 + 161 161 == {{id name="Ex17"/}}Example 17 == 162 162 163 163 * example 164 164 261 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 262 + 165 165 == {{id name="Ex18"/}}Example 18 == 166 166 167 167 * example 168 168 267 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 268 + 169 169 == {{id name="Ex19"/}}Example 19 == 170 170 171 171 * example 172 172 273 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ====== 274 + 173 173 == {{id name="Ex20"/}}Example 20 == 174 174 175 175 * example 278 + 279 +====== ~[[[top>>doc:]]] ======
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