1 | 00:00:20 --> 00:00:42 | ICT: Hey, welcome back, folks. So we're gonna be looking at the New York lunch |
2 | 00:00:42 --> 00:00:45 | macro and the pm session. |
3 | 00:00:51 --> 00:00:55 | So one of the things I wanted to cover this year in the 2025 Lecture Series is |
4 | 00:00:55 --> 00:01:03 | I wanted to show how using the intraday profiles of how the high, the low, where |
5 | 00:01:03 --> 00:01:11 | the open and close, nest in that daily range, and the effects of that and this |
6 | 00:01:11 --> 00:01:19 | morning following rules, obviously, after a very large down day on Friday, I |
7 | 00:01:19 --> 00:01:24 | teach my students to avoid the morning session. Okay, so try to avoid that |
8 | 00:01:24 --> 00:01:30 | initial price action, because it could be problematic. It could be stagnant, it |
9 | 00:01:30 --> 00:01:35 | could be difficult, it could be very hard to navigate. And sometimes you'll |
10 | 00:01:35 --> 00:01:41 | get days like this where it just opens up, and then you can see, obviously |
11 | 00:01:42 --> 00:01:45 | lower right hand corner. Here, it's regular trading hours. That's the |
12 | 00:01:45 --> 00:01:51 | setting on my chart for nq, h2, 025, notice the relative equal highs here. |
13 | 00:01:52 --> 00:01:58 | The market opens runs up above that clears that out. That's the opening |
14 | 00:01:58 --> 00:02:04 | range gap high in the previous earlier trading hours. Settlement price is this, |
15 | 00:02:04 --> 00:02:11 | candlesticks close, which is the opening range gap low for today. So the market |
16 | 00:02:11 --> 00:02:19 | opens trades higher, goes back down into the gap. So we have a 50% retracement to |
17 | 00:02:19 --> 00:02:24 | the middle of that opening range gap, that's always a 70% likelihood. Then the |
18 | 00:02:24 --> 00:02:28 | mark comes down, trades to the low the opening range gap then comes back up to |
19 | 00:02:28 --> 00:02:32 | the midpoint of that gap. Okay, so you're going to be measuring this on |
20 | 00:02:32 --> 00:02:35 | your own chart, so that's something for you to have in your journal. And then |
21 | 00:02:35 --> 00:02:41 | the market breaks aggressively lower, carries all the way through, crosses |
22 | 00:02:41 --> 00:02:46 | over the 10 o'clock hour. So the first 30 minutes of trading, which is the |
23 | 00:02:46 --> 00:02:56 | opening range, we have just a complete meltdown waterfall of price action, as I |
24 | 00:02:56 --> 00:03:03 | mentioned earlier this morning, if I would have been giving tape reading, I |
25 | 00:03:03 --> 00:03:09 | believe that I may have inspired someone to do something that may not have been |
26 | 00:03:09 --> 00:03:15 | helpful for them, or maybe it would have caused a concern to chase price. And I |
27 | 00:03:15 --> 00:03:18 | only know that because I see people leaving comments in my YouTube videos, |
28 | 00:03:18 --> 00:03:24 | and they'll say, you know, I didn't get as good as Phil, as you did, but I got |
29 | 00:03:24 --> 00:03:30 | this much, or I made this much. And I want to be very honest with you, when |
30 | 00:03:30 --> 00:03:33 | I'm doing the tape reading with you, that is not a signal service. It's not |
31 | 00:03:33 --> 00:03:37 | meant for you to try to copy me. It's not meant for you to try to take live |
32 | 00:03:37 --> 00:03:41 | trades. Now, obviously, you're all in control of what you're going to do and |
33 | 00:03:41 --> 00:03:44 | what you're not going to do. You can't blame me for making you money, and you |
34 | 00:03:44 --> 00:03:48 | can't blame me for causing you to lose any money, because I'm telling you it's |
35 | 00:03:48 --> 00:03:53 | not a signal service. What you do in your own trading based on what I'm |
36 | 00:03:53 --> 00:03:58 | sharing is my opinion. I don't want to know about it. Okay? I don't want to |
37 | 00:03:58 --> 00:04:04 | know about it. If it's good or bad. When you tell me those things, it inherently |
38 | 00:04:04 --> 00:04:08 | makes me nervous, because I am not going to be responsible for the results that |
39 | 00:04:08 --> 00:04:16 | you have. So because my rules and my mentorship have taught this every |
40 | 00:04:16 --> 00:04:21 | lecture around large Range Days, the very next morning session, I teach my |
41 | 00:04:21 --> 00:04:27 | students to sit still. So what does that mean for index futures? Well, that means |
42 | 00:04:27 --> 00:04:31 | for the first one hour trading, you can't do anything. You can't do |
43 | 00:04:32 --> 00:04:38 | anything. So from 930 to 1030 you can't take any trades. Now that's very simple, |
44 | 00:04:38 --> 00:04:48 | role based idea here, because we had a cascading of price from the high all the |
45 | 00:04:48 --> 00:04:53 | way down into and past 10 o'clock. Now we have the opening range behind us. So |
46 | 00:04:53 --> 00:04:59 | what's left in the wake of that drop? Well, we have a small little gap here. |
47 | 00:05:00 --> 00:05:05 | And we have an order block, we have this gap in here, but really there's no real |
48 | 00:05:05 --> 00:05:14 | run in any of this on buy side. So I kind of quickly went through a review, |
49 | 00:05:14 --> 00:05:20 | if you will, the trade I did based on the New York lunch macro. Now the New |
50 | 00:05:20 --> 00:05:26 | York lunch macro is just a retracement inside of the entire daily range, up to |
51 | 00:05:28 --> 00:05:35 | on a down day, the low and to the high. Okay, so because it's been exceedingly |
52 | 00:05:35 --> 00:05:40 | weak this morning, the market is more likely to go back into that range and |
53 | 00:05:40 --> 00:05:45 | seek what buy side. Now here's the wonderful thing about that, even if this |
54 | 00:05:45 --> 00:05:51 | were to continuously go higher and not go and roll over to go lower in the |
55 | 00:05:51 --> 00:05:56 | afternoon, you're still likely to get something, some kind of meat on the bone |
56 | 00:05:57 --> 00:06:00 | for a trade idea, but it requires certain things. Okay, so I'm going to |
57 | 00:06:00 --> 00:06:04 | walk you through it a little bit more detail than I gave in the previous |
58 | 00:06:04 --> 00:06:09 | video, and how this ties into how we can engage in the afternoon session or pm |
59 | 00:06:09 --> 00:06:13 | session, and then use that information to really shine the light on what price |
60 | 00:06:13 --> 00:06:19 | action may do in the last hour or reper trading hours. So at 10 o'clock, this is |
61 | 00:06:19 --> 00:06:23 | what you're doing for the lunch macro. Okay, these are the rules for it. Okay, |
62 | 00:06:23 --> 00:06:27 | it's very simple. I was going to put this in a book and be its own little |
63 | 00:06:27 --> 00:06:30 | chapter, but I'm going to teach it to you here. Okay, I know it's going to end |
64 | 00:06:30 --> 00:06:35 | up in everybody's mentorship. Just make sure that you copy me exactly what I'm |
65 | 00:06:35 --> 00:06:39 | saying here. Don't copy my video. Don't take my video and change it into your |
66 | 00:06:39 --> 00:06:45 | language. Do the work of making your own chart and then repeat verbatim that way, |
67 | 00:06:45 --> 00:06:49 | when the people listen to you and you don't mention my name, because you don't |
68 | 00:06:49 --> 00:06:53 | want anybody know that I'm teaching this stuff for free, at least they'll know |
69 | 00:06:53 --> 00:06:58 | how to do it correctly. Okay, so when a market move takes place in the day at |
70 | 00:06:58 --> 00:07:06 | the opening bell here, and we trade all the way down one directional, and |
71 | 00:07:06 --> 00:07:11 | there's no run on any minor buy side liquidity pool. Notice that no short |
72 | 00:07:11 --> 00:07:19 | term High was taken in any of this drop. When that occurs, you're setting |
73 | 00:07:20 --> 00:07:26 | yourself up to see a retracement going back in that range. Now, how far of a |
74 | 00:07:26 --> 00:07:33 | retracement? What is the rules for my my New York lunch, macro, your time filter |
75 | 00:07:33 --> 00:07:39 | is 10am so at 10 o'clock in the morning, put a vertical line on it, and I just |
76 | 00:07:39 --> 00:07:42 | put a line segment, so that way it's nice and easy to see everything. And |
77 | 00:07:42 --> 00:07:46 | everything. Every individual candle sticks high and low. From that point |
78 | 00:07:46 --> 00:07:53 | there, walk forward in time, going to the right as soon as you start here, go |
79 | 00:07:53 --> 00:07:57 | all the way up through all this price action, and then start working your way |
80 | 00:07:57 --> 00:08:02 | to the right. What's the first high you come to this one, see how easy that is. |
81 | 00:08:03 --> 00:08:07 | That is not complicated, and it's also not in any of our other books. Nobody |
82 | 00:08:07 --> 00:08:11 | else talked about this. I'm giving you this because it's a dandy of an idea, |
83 | 00:08:11 --> 00:08:16 | because it's rule based, just like my silver bullet is there are certain |
84 | 00:08:16 --> 00:08:21 | criteria, certain conditions, where these one trick pony type setups that I |
85 | 00:08:21 --> 00:08:29 | have simply work wonderful. And in trading, if there is an algorithm, I |
86 | 00:08:29 --> 00:08:33 | know some of you don't believe there is, if there is an algorithm, it would refer |
87 | 00:08:33 --> 00:08:38 | to things like this, very specific time elements first and then price elements. |
88 | 00:08:38 --> 00:08:44 | And when you blend those two together to get a narrative. We saw price create a |
89 | 00:08:44 --> 00:08:50 | short term low here. I don't need to be long from that. I don't need to be short |
90 | 00:08:50 --> 00:08:54 | to capture that low. What I'm waiting for is I want to see the market trade |
91 | 00:08:54 --> 00:09:07 | back up into a premium array. It does so here trades lower comes back down, and |
92 | 00:09:07 --> 00:09:13 | in this swing low, I want to see, does it fail to break that low? Real |
93 | 00:09:13 --> 00:09:19 | important, okay? Because it could have taken that low out, okay, then I would |
94 | 00:09:19 --> 00:09:24 | have to use a different strategy, or do nothing in trade in the afternoon only, |
95 | 00:09:24 --> 00:09:30 | but because it does not take out that low on this pass down lower, then I'm |
96 | 00:09:30 --> 00:09:36 | likely to see what a return back into that first high that formed after 10 |
97 | 00:09:36 --> 00:09:42 | o'clock. So that's why I'm picking that specific high for the dozens of you that |
98 | 00:09:42 --> 00:09:46 | left the comment in the video saying, Why did I pick that high? Now, you know, |
99 | 00:09:47 --> 00:09:52 | and then easy, very easy. The rules won't change. Now, for those that are |
100 | 00:09:52 --> 00:09:55 | contemplating on how this would be done, if it was a day where it was going up |
101 | 00:09:55 --> 00:09:59 | precipitously in the beginning, you would simply use the 10 o'clock hour |
102 | 00:09:59 --> 00:10:05 | you. At 10 o'clock. Move to the right in the first swing. Low you come to that's |
103 | 00:10:05 --> 00:10:08 | the low that the New York lunch macro will reprice to, or at least that's the |
104 | 00:10:08 --> 00:10:14 | one I'm going to aim for. Okay, very, very, very simple strategy. No one's |
105 | 00:10:14 --> 00:10:17 | ever talked about it. You'll never find it in another book, but I promise you, |
106 | 00:10:17 --> 00:10:21 | in 30 days or less, someone's going to be sitting down and writing a little |
107 | 00:10:21 --> 00:10:26 | pamphlet for Amazon so they can sell this idea like it was theirs. And I'll |
108 | 00:10:26 --> 00:10:30 | hear about it, and then I'll go into your little reviews, and I'll say this |
109 | 00:10:30 --> 00:10:35 | was taught for free on inner circle traders YouTube video in this channel, |
110 | 00:10:35 --> 00:10:38 | like I've done with other people that wrote books. And you look silly, then |
111 | 00:10:38 --> 00:10:44 | okay, so people won't be buying your book there either. So the idea of |
112 | 00:10:46 --> 00:10:50 | that 10 o'clock hour, it closes the opening range. Okay, that's That's why |
113 | 00:10:50 --> 00:10:54 | 10 o'clock is significant. So we had the opening range behind us. So because of |
114 | 00:10:54 --> 00:10:59 | that being the case, the algorithm now has a frame of reference what PD arrays |
115 | 00:10:59 --> 00:11:04 | exist in that 30 minutes of trading from 9:30am Eastern Time to 10 o'clock |
116 | 00:11:04 --> 00:11:11 | Eastern time, what's the first presented fair value gap? What is the liquidity |
117 | 00:11:12 --> 00:11:15 | that's offered in there in terms of minor and sell side and minor buy side? |
118 | 00:11:17 --> 00:11:22 | Since we dropped, it's reasonable to anticipate the market likely retracing, |
119 | 00:11:22 --> 00:11:27 | but to where we don't need V op. We don't need all those other things, |
120 | 00:11:27 --> 00:11:31 | gimmicks, the algorithm has absolutely no respect for a V wop, zero, none, |
121 | 00:11:32 --> 00:11:40 | period. So if I see this low in here as it's approaching it here, I want to see |
122 | 00:11:40 --> 00:11:46 | it fail to take that low at a time when price should be showing what spooling, |
123 | 00:11:46 --> 00:11:51 | where it's starting to run for liquidity. So let's zoom in a little bit |
124 | 00:11:51 --> 00:11:56 | here. Here's that 10 o'clock hour. Again. That's our time filter. So we go |
125 | 00:11:56 --> 00:12:01 | to the right at that time and we find the first high, whatever the highest |
126 | 00:12:01 --> 00:12:05 | high that forms immediately after 10 o'clock. That's the one we're aiming |
127 | 00:12:05 --> 00:12:10 | for. That's the lunch macro. That's exactly the low hanging fruit objective |
128 | 00:12:11 --> 00:12:18 | for the lunch macro now in the recording this morning, before the fact, I had |
129 | 00:12:18 --> 00:12:24 | already used this one, but also said that this one here would be potentially |
130 | 00:12:24 --> 00:12:27 | another scenario where it could trade up into that. Now you're looking at that |
131 | 00:12:27 --> 00:12:31 | and you're thinking, wow, he forgot to use the inversion fair value gap high |
132 | 00:12:31 --> 00:12:35 | and the inversion fair value gap low. Yes, I did. But between these two |
133 | 00:12:35 --> 00:12:41 | candlesticks of wicks, that's enough to zero in on another area of potential |
134 | 00:12:41 --> 00:12:49 | upside after it takes this high out right there, this gap here becomes an |
135 | 00:12:49 --> 00:12:54 | inversion, fair betting gap. And you see me do this actually in the recording, so |
136 | 00:12:54 --> 00:12:59 | I'm annotating all these things now for the guy that left the comment saying |
137 | 00:12:59 --> 00:13:06 | that I was full of crap that I recorded the video and spoke over. I actually did |
138 | 00:13:06 --> 00:13:10 | speak over the video, but you can't take away all of the things I was annotating |
139 | 00:13:10 --> 00:13:13 | and where my stop loss was the entire trade. I'm just giving you the details, |
140 | 00:13:13 --> 00:13:17 | because I've had a lot of things going on in the house today that kept me from |
141 | 00:13:17 --> 00:13:22 | being as engaged as I normally would be. So I understand that there's men out |
142 | 00:13:22 --> 00:13:26 | there that just simply can't do this themselves, and they're hateful, but |
143 | 00:13:26 --> 00:13:31 | your comments get deleted. I never see you again. But just pay attention, |
144 | 00:13:31 --> 00:13:38 | because I'm trying to teach you still that swing low after 10 o'clock when the |
145 | 00:13:38 --> 00:13:43 | market comes down. I use that closing price. It's a rejection block. Look at |
146 | 00:13:43 --> 00:13:47 | month four of the 2016 ICT mentorship playlist. It's on my YouTube channel. |
147 | 00:13:47 --> 00:13:52 | That is my paid mentorship. You can go there and study what a rejection block |
148 | 00:13:52 --> 00:13:59 | is. It's its own video, and they're not very long. So that is a rejection block. |
149 | 00:13:59 --> 00:14:02 | The market is going to trade down through that. And then I want to see, |
150 | 00:14:02 --> 00:14:07 | does it, in fact, reject there? Well, here we have it. It's going higher. And |
151 | 00:14:07 --> 00:14:13 | then we have this buy side and balance, sell side and efficiency. And as we |
152 | 00:14:13 --> 00:14:17 | trade higher, above this short term high, we have a market structure shift |
153 | 00:14:17 --> 00:14:22 | that's bullish. So now we have scenarios overlaying and overlapping one another, |
154 | 00:14:22 --> 00:14:27 | converging with the idea that this could potentially be reversing intraday. And I |
155 | 00:14:27 --> 00:14:31 | don't care at this time if it's going to take out the relative equal lows. I |
156 | 00:14:31 --> 00:14:35 | don't I don't care about that yet. I want to see after we take that short |
157 | 00:14:35 --> 00:14:41 | term high out. We do so here, I don't need it on a closing basis. Go back and |
158 | 00:14:41 --> 00:14:46 | listen to what I taught in 2022 2024 market structure shifts do not require a |
159 | 00:14:46 --> 00:14:50 | close above or close below. Stop listening to people that did not take |
160 | 00:14:50 --> 00:14:55 | good notes when watching my videos. Then we have an immediate rebalance. Okay, |
161 | 00:14:55 --> 00:14:59 | immediate rebalance is this candlesticks high, which essentially is the low of |
162 | 00:14:59 --> 00:15:03 | this by. Side of balance, outside of efficiency, that's shaded in blue. And |
163 | 00:15:03 --> 00:15:09 | the next candle opens here. Trades down. I'm buying in that. Watch the recording. |
164 | 00:15:09 --> 00:15:14 | It's already on the YouTube channel, so video right before this one. But because |
165 | 00:15:14 --> 00:15:20 | it's touching these two candlesticks price points, the high here and the low |
166 | 00:15:20 --> 00:15:23 | of that candle, and it's converging with the low of the buy side of balance. |
167 | 00:15:23 --> 00:15:28 | Sells out inefficiency that makes it an extremely likely scenario that it's |
168 | 00:15:28 --> 00:15:33 | going to go higher. And it does so, it repels from there, and then continues |
169 | 00:15:33 --> 00:15:36 | its market structure shift to the upside, goes into this inefficiency |
170 | 00:15:36 --> 00:15:42 | here, retraces a little bit into this gap, and then rallies up inversion, fair |
171 | 00:15:42 --> 00:15:49 | value gap. Bullish. Fair value gap trades to the target I aimed for in the |
172 | 00:15:49 --> 00:15:56 | logic that gets to a lunch hour in New York. Macro, the macro. All macros are |
173 | 00:15:56 --> 00:16:01 | little scripts in the algorithm. Okay, they'll little tiny list of directives |
174 | 00:16:01 --> 00:16:06 | and instructions, start doing this, and do this to this degree, to this |
175 | 00:16:06 --> 00:16:10 | direction by this much time. Okay, so I'm not going to teach you all the |
176 | 00:16:10 --> 00:16:15 | facets for that, but I'm pointing you at the time of the day and where these |
177 | 00:16:15 --> 00:16:20 | functions usually come in and create these opportunities. Over time, you're |
178 | 00:16:20 --> 00:16:23 | going to start seeing these repeating phenomenon, and you'll be convinced that |
179 | 00:16:23 --> 00:16:27 | there's an algorithm, but initially it just seems like cherry picked trades. |
180 | 00:16:27 --> 00:16:31 | And I get it, I understand that, but when you practice it yourself and start |
181 | 00:16:31 --> 00:16:35 | back testing, you will see more fruits and evidence to these things being the |
182 | 00:16:35 --> 00:16:38 | very things I'm telling you they are. And eventually, after we trade into this |
183 | 00:16:38 --> 00:16:42 | bison and balance outside in efficiency, it rallies again, create another higher |
184 | 00:16:42 --> 00:16:45 | high. And then we have a order block, which is when we have a wick above the |
185 | 00:16:45 --> 00:16:49 | candlestick, and then the open. We want to use that frame of reference. Okay, so |
186 | 00:16:49 --> 00:16:52 | it's not always just the opening price. That's the change in the state of |
187 | 00:16:52 --> 00:16:56 | delivery. It is the high of the wick. When do you use the wicks? And when you |
188 | 00:16:56 --> 00:17:00 | use the opening price? Again, because the wicks are there, you have to use |
189 | 00:17:00 --> 00:17:04 | that information, and that's showed, shown to you here in the dashed line, |
190 | 00:17:04 --> 00:17:09 | comes down. Bullish run up, comes back down, finds the high of this buy. Sound |
191 | 00:17:09 --> 00:17:13 | imbalance outside of efficiency. Note the volume imbalances. The market stops |
192 | 00:17:13 --> 00:17:17 | dead in its tracks with this body's wonderful delivery there into the upper |
193 | 00:17:17 --> 00:17:21 | objective I gave you during the recording this morning, at the time that |
194 | 00:17:21 --> 00:17:24 | recording, when I was talking over top of it, talking over top of it, it only |
195 | 00:17:24 --> 00:17:27 | took a couple minutes for it to be processed and sent to the YouTube |
196 | 00:17:28 --> 00:17:32 | channel. They had not done this yet. Okay, so what I wanted to see is, in the |
197 | 00:17:32 --> 00:17:37 | afternoon, do we fail to go through this on the upside now, all of these PD |
198 | 00:17:37 --> 00:17:42 | arrays. Let's watch what just happens here, all these PD arrays that are in |
199 | 00:17:42 --> 00:17:48 | blue. Okay, they're going to change their characteristic where they are used |
200 | 00:17:48 --> 00:17:54 | as a bullish discounted right here, because this is a pseudo market maker |
201 | 00:17:54 --> 00:17:59 | sell model. I'm going to be aiming for these relative equal lows. If this fails |
202 | 00:17:59 --> 00:18:05 | to see price go above it by 130 Eastern Time New York. Okay? And then I want to |
203 | 00:18:05 --> 00:18:10 | use all the things that were pertinent to all of this buy side of the curve |
204 | 00:18:10 --> 00:18:13 | when the market's been going up. And again, this is not white golf, okay, go |
205 | 00:18:13 --> 00:18:17 | back and look at your white cough. Text, you will not see this stuff, folks. It's |
206 | 00:18:17 --> 00:18:21 | just not simply there. It's just it's not going to be there. All of these |
207 | 00:18:21 --> 00:18:26 | details here are very specific price points, very, very specific price |
208 | 00:18:26 --> 00:18:30 | points, the consequent crochet level, the high, the low and the quadrant |
209 | 00:18:30 --> 00:18:34 | levels. And when we're bearish, we want to see the upper half of these, PDA |
210 | 00:18:34 --> 00:18:39 | raise not respected, just completely disregarded. Or in other words, when |
211 | 00:18:39 --> 00:18:42 | they leave the upper half of them. It should never come back to them and just |
212 | 00:18:42 --> 00:18:46 | start working in the lower half, proving heaviness in price. Price will likely |
213 | 00:18:46 --> 00:18:54 | draw down into these lows here. Okay, so the low comes in at 21 430, 6.25 that's |
214 | 00:18:54 --> 00:18:59 | the that's the low here. Okay, so all these candlesticks and ranges and such |
215 | 00:18:59 --> 00:19:03 | that I've outlined here. They're going to change their characteristic from that |
216 | 00:19:03 --> 00:19:07 | of being bullish here. Now they're going to be inversion levels, and we're going |
217 | 00:19:07 --> 00:19:11 | to carry these levels all the way into the future, into the afternoon, like we |
218 | 00:19:11 --> 00:19:15 | have here. So we have at 130 to two o'clock in the afternoon Time, Eastern |
219 | 00:19:15 --> 00:19:19 | Time. That's your opening range for the pm session. Same thing I taught you to |
220 | 00:19:19 --> 00:19:22 | do in the morning session, between 930 and 10 o'clock in the morning East |
221 | 00:19:22 --> 00:19:25 | o'clock in the morning, Eastern Time. This is your opening range. Where's your |
222 | 00:19:25 --> 00:19:30 | first presenter? Fair value gap, right there. Oh, and we're looking for the |
223 | 00:19:30 --> 00:19:39 | relative equal loads to be taken out and trade down to 21,004 3625 this level |
224 | 00:19:39 --> 00:19:45 | here, then it's likely to do what use that inversion, fair value gap. It's a |
225 | 00:19:45 --> 00:19:49 | premium array, so you want to see it trade away from it proving itself, and |
226 | 00:19:49 --> 00:19:54 | then come back up. Hits it here. Well, there you go. It's also the low of that |
227 | 00:19:54 --> 00:19:59 | inefficiency I gave you in the morning. Market breaks down, trades back up, |
228 | 00:19:59 --> 00:20:03 | falls short. Of that range again, starts to drop again. That's what you want to |
229 | 00:20:03 --> 00:20:06 | see. That's heaviness. It's weakness. It can't even trade back to the low that |
230 | 00:20:06 --> 00:20:12 | blue shaded area breaks after two o'clock. Now we're in the heat of pm |
231 | 00:20:12 --> 00:20:12 | session trading. |
232 | 00:20:14 --> 00:20:17 | Trades down. And now look at the characteristics of price action |
233 | 00:20:17 --> 00:20:21 | responding to all of the very specific price levels that were used as bullish |
234 | 00:20:21 --> 00:20:25 | arrays in the morning session. Now we're on the sell side of the curve. Okay, so |
235 | 00:20:25 --> 00:20:29 | the market maker sell model is going to use all these reference points, and it's |
236 | 00:20:29 --> 00:20:32 | not going to use upper half. It's going to go down trade through look at the |
237 | 00:20:32 --> 00:20:36 | body staying inside this inversion, breaks lower, comes back up, respects |
238 | 00:20:36 --> 00:20:41 | what the lower half and disregards the upper half. That's exactly what you want |
239 | 00:20:41 --> 00:20:45 | to see. The algorithm signaling to you they are signatures of algorithmic price |
240 | 00:20:45 --> 00:20:50 | delivery. I'm sorry to hurt your feelings, but white COVID knew nothing |
241 | 00:20:50 --> 00:20:54 | about an algorithm. It absolutely did not get implemented at all in these |
242 | 00:20:54 --> 00:20:59 | coding there's no white golf in the algorithm. Zero, absolutely none. No |
243 | 00:20:59 --> 00:21:03 | Elliott Wave, no supply and demand zones. None of this stuff that you think |
244 | 00:21:03 --> 00:21:07 | is out there as an excuse for you to say, I'm teaching Smart Money concepts, |
245 | 00:21:07 --> 00:21:11 | and it was around by this old guy, no, I'm sorry. I'm sorry. It's not that's |
246 | 00:21:11 --> 00:21:18 | not true. So we're seeing all the effects of these discount arrays now, |
247 | 00:21:18 --> 00:21:23 | inverting them, cells and their characteristics to repel price going |
248 | 00:21:23 --> 00:21:26 | lower. So these are all the things. These are level these are the things I'm |
249 | 00:21:26 --> 00:21:30 | writing in my notepad. All of you always ask me, What am I writing down? What? |
250 | 00:21:30 --> 00:21:34 | What's on your notepad? It's these levels here. Whenever I'm seeing price |
251 | 00:21:34 --> 00:21:39 | action, use these very specific elements in my PD arrays. I have those levels |
252 | 00:21:39 --> 00:21:42 | written down from the highest to the lowest in the order of their highest or |
253 | 00:21:42 --> 00:21:47 | lowest order, and a little, tiny, little abbreviation as to what they are. And if |
254 | 00:21:47 --> 00:21:51 | there's a reference to time, I'm going to write the time that it formed. So |
255 | 00:21:52 --> 00:21:56 | when I'm watching price action go into the last hour trading, I was looking at |
256 | 00:21:56 --> 00:22:01 | this area right in here as a bearish, fair value gap, and I was trying to set |
257 | 00:22:01 --> 00:22:06 | my phone to record it for my telegram channel, and I couldn't get it to open |
258 | 00:22:06 --> 00:22:12 | up fast enough. So I had to take the trade enter it, and then when the |
259 | 00:22:12 --> 00:22:16 | recording started, I had already executed, but I was still inside the one |
260 | 00:22:16 --> 00:22:20 | minute candlestick that was the entry. So you can watch that in the telegram |
261 | 00:22:20 --> 00:22:25 | channel. I'm not monetized there. Okay, so all the things I share in Telegram, I |
262 | 00:22:25 --> 00:22:29 | could be putting it right here and making whatever more money that would |
263 | 00:22:29 --> 00:22:33 | equate to. I'm trying to show you things where it's just me sharing because I |
264 | 00:22:33 --> 00:22:37 | like sharing. Okay, if I want to make money marketing, I can do that, |
265 | 00:22:37 --> 00:22:43 | obviously I've done in the past, but I want to just make a point to show how we |
266 | 00:22:43 --> 00:22:45 | use this information now in the last hour trading. So we're going to take |
267 | 00:22:45 --> 00:22:53 | this information and zoom in. So we have this gap in here, and these are exactly |
268 | 00:22:53 --> 00:22:59 | how I drew them on my phone at a time, and I couldn't, I couldn't do a lot to |
269 | 00:22:59 --> 00:23:03 | do, like a big screen on my computer because I was downstairs and I was away |
270 | 00:23:03 --> 00:23:08 | from constantly looking at the chart, so I could only run over to it, peak, run |
271 | 00:23:08 --> 00:23:12 | over to it and peak, run over to it and peak. And since I was using my phone, |
272 | 00:23:12 --> 00:23:17 | which is what I always will use for telegram examples, I was managing from |
273 | 00:23:17 --> 00:23:21 | my laptop while I was two or three feet away from my wife. So I was juggling |
274 | 00:23:21 --> 00:23:26 | being a dad and being a husband and also trying to provide content. So inside |
275 | 00:23:26 --> 00:23:34 | this candlestick I'm going short. I wanted to be inside this volume |
276 | 00:23:34 --> 00:23:38 | imbalance in this high but because I drew the line on the phone, it should be |
277 | 00:23:38 --> 00:23:41 | anchored right there, so I'm going to leave it as it was on the telegram |
278 | 00:23:41 --> 00:23:44 | channel so that we can see it. But see it. But the information here is all the |
279 | 00:23:44 --> 00:23:49 | things I had notes from that were sitting next to me that allow me to see |
280 | 00:23:49 --> 00:23:57 | this as a setup aiming for the relative equal lows at 21,004 36.25 and then also |
281 | 00:23:57 --> 00:24:04 | you want to have this level here, 21,004 zero, 4.00 those lows on the daily |
282 | 00:24:04 --> 00:24:08 | chart, you'll see them very clearly as of what they are. But this level here is |
283 | 00:24:08 --> 00:24:12 | my next point of interest, where I think sell side below that could cause things |
284 | 00:24:12 --> 00:24:15 | get real, real interesting on the downside for NASDAQ. So anyway, we |
285 | 00:24:15 --> 00:24:20 | entered into the last hour. We traded softer, and then we had this little |
286 | 00:24:20 --> 00:24:25 | retracement here. During the recording, I took the little drawing instrument |
287 | 00:24:25 --> 00:24:29 | that is available if you're using a Samsung Galaxy Note. That's the kind of |
288 | 00:24:29 --> 00:24:33 | phone I have. I don't get anything for mentioning Samsung, but they are |
289 | 00:24:33 --> 00:24:39 | superior to Apple products. Apple sucks. So if you have the retracement here, and |
290 | 00:24:39 --> 00:24:43 | likely see lower prices, this retracement, back up into this |
291 | 00:24:43 --> 00:24:48 | inefficiency right here, volume imbalance to that, candlesticks low. The |
292 | 00:24:48 --> 00:24:52 | bodies are respecting that. And then I draw a line, entertain that's going to |
293 | 00:24:52 --> 00:24:58 | dump. And it does that. There was really nothing in here, except for the |
294 | 00:24:58 --> 00:25:04 | immediate rebalance here, near. The low and below the midpoint, below the |
295 | 00:25:04 --> 00:25:08 | constant crochet in that shaded area, which is an inversion Peri per gap now. |
296 | 00:25:09 --> 00:25:12 | So another example of immediate rebalance. And then it breaks |
297 | 00:25:12 --> 00:25:17 | aggressively lower, taking the cell side below the intraday load it formed in the |
298 | 00:25:17 --> 00:25:21 | morning session just after 10 o'clock, and then it went a little bit lower. I |
299 | 00:25:21 --> 00:25:27 | had limit order to get out, you know, below this. But as it was trading down, |
300 | 00:25:27 --> 00:25:32 | I just kept taking two contracts off, two contracts off, and then I did the |
301 | 00:25:32 --> 00:25:36 | last one as a market order, and didn't let the actual limit order fill. It |
302 | 00:25:36 --> 00:25:40 | would have filled easily, but because I was doing too many things at one time, I |
303 | 00:25:40 --> 00:25:44 | just wanted to make sure I captured that while it was below the intra daily low. |
304 | 00:25:44 --> 00:25:49 | And again, this is river trading hours, final hour. And I'll show you now the |
305 | 00:25:49 --> 00:25:53 | executions, toggling. Just the execution. You see the arrows. I'm |
306 | 00:25:53 --> 00:25:57 | inside that candlestick. And inside that candlestick, why am I taking the second |
307 | 00:25:57 --> 00:26:01 | entry there? Because inside of this order block, which are these two up |
308 | 00:26:01 --> 00:26:05 | close candles I'm entering in both of these entries, even though I missed the |
309 | 00:26:05 --> 00:26:11 | actual high end premium entry point. We're inside of these last up close |
310 | 00:26:11 --> 00:26:15 | candles. That's a very shorter block. As long as I'm inside that range, I'm not |
311 | 00:26:15 --> 00:26:19 | thinking that I'm missing or chasing anything. You may think that I'm chasing |
312 | 00:26:19 --> 00:26:21 | because you don't know what you're talking about when it comes to my |
313 | 00:26:21 --> 00:26:26 | content. But inside of these two candlesticks, anything inside that that |
314 | 00:26:26 --> 00:26:30 | is not chasing price when you're trying to get short. And then obviously the |
315 | 00:26:30 --> 00:26:34 | actual execution price points here, and you'll see in the recording that these |
316 | 00:26:34 --> 00:26:38 | are absolutely what's being recorded on my phone, for that example, that was |
317 | 00:26:38 --> 00:26:41 | shown in telegram. So I hope you found insightful. Hope you learned something |
318 | 00:26:41 --> 00:26:44 | from this, and Lord willing, tomorrow, I'll be back with you around 915, |
319 | 00:26:45 --> 00:26:50 | Eastern Time in the telegram channel to give you real time opinions, tape |
320 | 00:26:50 --> 00:26:56 | reading and whatever else I feel like sharing. Until then, be safe. You. |