Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2023-12-11 - ICT Mentorship 2023 - Scaling In On Consolidations December 11 2023
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2 | |1 |00:02:32 ~-~-> 00:02:39 |ICT: Alright folks. It's been a it's been a minute since have used OBS or had | ||
3 | |2 |00:02:39 ~-~-> 00:02:43 |an old intro splash welcome screen that this flashed across the air. So | ||
4 | |3 |00:02:44 ~-~-> 00:02:53 |something about losing my voice or whatnot. But the the delay was due to my | ||
5 | |4 |00:02:53 ~-~-> 00:02:57 |wife giving me the wrong time I had to take my youngest son to a dentist's | ||
6 | |5 |00:02:57 ~-~-> 00:03:04 |appointment, I thought I had time to do it right before I had to leave my, my | ||
7 | |6 |00:03:04 ~-~-> 00:03:08 |understanding was that he had a dentist's appointment at 11. And she | ||
8 | |7 |00:03:08 ~-~-> 00:03:14 |told me your last minute right after I invited you all to a live stream. She | ||
9 | |8 |00:03:14 ~-~-> 00:03:20 |said, Oh, you got to be there at 10 o'clock. I was like, Oh, that's nice. So | ||
10 | |9 |00:03:20 ~-~-> 00:03:23 |I can't complain and say, but I just scheduled a live stream because I'm | ||
11 | |10 |00:03:23 ~-~-> 00:03:30 |supposed to be on break, right. Anyway. All right. So I'm showing my entire | ||
12 | |11 |00:03:30 ~-~-> 00:03:35 |screen here. Okay, for the purposes of understanding what it is that I do when | ||
13 | |12 |00:03:35 ~-~-> 00:03:42 |I teach I also show you some things about this morning's price action. I was | ||
14 | |13 |00:03:42 ~-~-> 00:03:47 |watching it from my phone while my son was in the dentist office and I was | ||
15 | |14 |00:03:47 ~-~-> 00:03:52 |watching to see if we could get that 16,000 to 8.50 that was the initial | ||
16 | |15 |00:03:52 ~-~-> 00:03:59 |draw. I mentioned that this morning on my YouTube comm community post. So you | ||
17 | |16 |00:03:59 ~-~-> 00:04:06 |can you can see that there. I just realized I don't know if you can hear me | ||
18 | |17 |00:04:09 ~-~-> 00:04:10 |Yeah, I don't I don't know. | ||
19 | |18 |00:04:15 ~-~-> 00:04:16 |Let me see. | ||
20 | |19 |00:04:21 ~-~-> 00:04:29 |Bear with me one second. This is like a casual live stream so it's not going to | ||
21 | |20 |00:04:29 ~-~-> 00:04:33 |be all that formal. So if I do thinks is going to be annoying to you, you know, | ||
22 | |21 |00:04:33 ~-~-> 00:04:38 |go watch somebody else. I'm not charging you to be here. Give me a second here. | ||
23 | |22 |00:05:48 ~-~-> 00:05:52 |Alright, so I'm gonna see how long of a delay this is. I'm listening to it on my | ||
24 | |23 |00:05:52 ~-~-> 00:05:52 |phone. So | ||
25 | |24 |00:06:05 ~-~-> 00:06:08 |hear some sounds. And that's, that's good | ||
26 | |25 |00:06:16 ~-~-> 00:06:22 |see how long of a delay, so that's about 20 seconds delay. So it don't matter, | ||
27 | |26 |00:06:22 ~-~-> 00:06:25 |because we're not doing anything here on the fly, where you have to be falling | ||
28 | |27 |00:06:25 ~-~-> 00:06:32 |along. Second by second anyway. But let me welcome you back. Hope you're doing | ||
29 | |28 |00:06:32 ~-~-> 00:06:38 |well. It is a good morning, Cynthia little. I don't know what you would call | ||
30 | |29 |00:06:38 ~-~-> 00:06:46 |that little short. Video shown my house this morning. We woke up. And let me | ||
31 | |30 |00:06:46 ~-~-> 00:06:52 |rephrase that ICT broke up. And Doctor puppies out back. And when I open up the | ||
32 | |31 |00:06:52 ~-~-> 00:06:56 |door, I saw the snow on the ground like what just happened? I was not. I was not | ||
33 | |32 |00:06:56 ~-~-> 00:07:02 |expecting that. Pleasantly surprised. So figured I'd share that with everyone. | ||
34 | |33 |00:07:03 ~-~-> 00:07:08 |They all like to see those personal things from my personal life, I'm going | ||
35 | |34 |00:07:08 ~-~-> 00:07:14 |to not be showing you everything that most of you asked to see. But every now | ||
36 | |35 |00:07:14 ~-~-> 00:07:19 |and then one is something nice like that. I think it's, you know, that I | ||
37 | |36 |00:07:19 ~-~-> 00:07:27 |thought was pretty good. Anyway, this morning, I was looking at the index | ||
38 | |37 |00:07:27 ~-~-> 00:07:34 |futures market. And let me get this stuff off here. Okay, as I mentioned, | ||
39 | |38 |00:07:34 ~-~-> 00:07:38 |for the folks that just joined us, I'm showing the entire screen. So that way | ||
40 | |39 |00:07:38 ~-~-> 00:07:42 |you can see Yes, look right down here, folks, you see that right there? That | ||
41 | |40 |00:07:42 ~-~-> 00:07:46 |says paper trading, okay, for the folks that constantly keep posting in my | ||
42 | |41 |00:07:46 ~-~-> 00:07:52 |community on that mind Makini. But the comment section, every video is open for | ||
43 | |42 |00:07:52 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |you to leave a comment. Okay, and the reason why I have it like that is it's | ||
44 | |43 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:08:01 |for me to read it. You're welcome to post whatever you want to post it and | ||
45 | |44 |00:08:01 ~-~-> 00:08:06 |that's fine. But I can see your questions. And some of those things are | ||
46 | |45 |00:08:06 ~-~-> 00:08:12 |very helpful to me. So and a lot of my my mentorship students, they will post | ||
47 | |46 |00:08:12 ~-~-> 00:08:17 |questions in there as well. So I use that as a means of coming back into | ||
48 | |47 |00:08:17 ~-~-> 00:08:21 |another lecture. Or I'll I'll touch on something that maybe, you know, a | ||
49 | |48 |00:08:21 ~-~-> 00:08:29 |student needed more insight on, or maybe a topic, but most mostly it is like a | ||
50 | |49 |00:08:29 ~-~-> 00:08:34 |sugar fest. And there's like, you know, I love you, ICT. Thank you so much. And | ||
51 | |50 |00:08:34 ~-~-> 00:08:39 |I appreciate all that, but it just seems like they look they look artificial if I | ||
52 | |51 |00:08:39 ~-~-> 00:08:42 |let them post and so that was the reason why I kept it hidden all the time | ||
53 | |52 |00:08:42 ~-~-> 00:08:47 |before. So yes, I see all your posts, okay, you can start putting the test | ||
54 | |53 |00:08:47 ~-~-> 00:08:53 |comment. Or the fellows that are Oh, yeah, paper trading laugh out loud. So | ||
55 | |54 |00:08:53 ~-~-> 00:08:57 |let me do this, again, for the people that are slow in understanding or brand | ||
56 | |55 |00:08:57 ~-~-> 00:09:03 |new. I am in the United States. And I am not a registered trade advisor that to | ||
57 | |56 |00:09:03 ~-~-> 00:09:09 |me, that means I'm not a CTA. I'm not a financial advisor. So when I talk about | ||
58 | |57 |00:09:09 ~-~-> 00:09:15 |price action, and I openly share it in the context as a paper trade or a demo. | ||
59 | |58 |00:09:16 ~-~-> 00:09:20 |That gives me protection. Okay, it doesn't, you can't use this as | ||
60 | |59 |00:09:20 ~-~-> 00:09:26 |investment advice, because any execution I'm showing while I'm teaching, okay, | ||
61 | |60 |00:09:26 ~-~-> 00:09:29 |yes, you can look on this YouTube channel and you can see live trade | ||
62 | |61 |00:09:30 ~-~-> 00:09:34 |executions. They were cleared through amp, global futures, that was the | ||
63 | |62 |00:09:34 ~-~-> 00:09:38 |brokerage firm, I'm not representing them. I'm not asking you to join them. | ||
64 | |63 |00:09:38 ~-~-> 00:09:42 |I'm not saying they're the best broker. I had problems with them. They fixed | ||
65 | |64 |00:09:42 ~-~-> 00:09:46 |that problem, but every broker out there has their own little quirky things, and | ||
66 | |65 |00:09:46 ~-~-> 00:09:50 |some of them are worse than others. Okay. So I'm not going to tell you to | ||
67 | |66 |00:09:50 ~-~-> 00:09:53 |put money in but for the folks that say that there's no executions with a live | ||
68 | |67 |00:09:53 ~-~-> 00:09:57 |account. That is a lie. You can see that on the YouTube channel. Okay, but when | ||
69 | |68 |00:09:57 ~-~-> 00:10:01 |I'm teaching, when I'm talking Thinking about something when I'm pointing out | ||
70 | |69 |00:10:01 ~-~-> 00:10:08 |something in advance, I'm always doing that in the medium of a paper trading | ||
71 | |70 |00:10:08 ~-~-> 00:10:11 |account. The reason why I do that, for the folks that don't understand this, | ||
72 | |71 |00:10:11 ~-~-> 00:10:19 |okay? There is a thing called pumping and dumping. I can never be accused of | ||
73 | |72 |00:10:19 ~-~-> 00:10:24 |anything like that. Because if I talk about something in advance, I'm only | ||
74 | |73 |00:10:24 ~-~-> 00:10:28 |showing you those examples with a demo account, because I'm not trying to get | ||
75 | |74 |00:10:28 ~-~-> 00:10:35 |the audience size that I have behind a price move. And then me exit early. And | ||
76 | |75 |00:10:35 ~-~-> 00:10:38 |then I get to make money and everybody else doesn't. And there's been people | ||
77 | |76 |00:10:38 ~-~-> 00:10:42 |caught doing things like that, which is unfortunate, okay, but I don't do those | ||
78 | |77 |00:10:42 ~-~-> 00:10:46 |types of things. And because I'm not licensed to get traded advice, when | ||
79 | |78 |00:10:46 ~-~-> 00:10:49 |we're talking about price action, and I'm teaching through the medium of a | ||
80 | |79 |00:10:49 ~-~-> 00:10:52 |paper trading account, okay, just like when I was teaching Forex, | ||
81 | |80 |00:10:52 ~-~-> 00:10:57 |predominantly, I was using a demo account, that that protects me in the | ||
82 | |81 |00:10:57 ~-~-> 00:11:04 |United States, because I'm not operating as a analyst slash trade advisor or | ||
83 | |82 |00:11:04 ~-~-> 00:11:07 |financial guru that you're doing everything I tell you to do with your | ||
84 | |83 |00:11:07 ~-~-> 00:11:13 |money. I don't do that. Okay. So what we do is we study price action, I point out | ||
85 | |84 |00:11:13 ~-~-> 00:11:18 |the specific things, but I'm doing in the context of live market price, it's | ||
86 | |85 |00:11:18 ~-~-> 00:11:23 |not the lead, okay. And I'm going to show you the difference between Market | ||
87 | |86 |00:11:23 ~-~-> 00:11:29 |Replay I meant to do this the other day, when I was doing the example I forgot | ||
88 | |87 |00:11:29 ~-~-> 00:11:33 |what I was talking about. But I was going to show you the difference between | ||
89 | |88 |00:11:33 ~-~-> 00:11:37 |Market Replay and a live execution. And how you can see the difference when I'm | ||
90 | |89 |00:11:37 ~-~-> 00:11:41 |showing examples. For the fellows from India, that keeps saying that this is | ||
91 | |90 |00:11:41 ~-~-> 00:11:46 |Market Replay. When you do Market Replay, this little button up here, this | ||
92 | |91 |00:11:46 ~-~-> 00:11:54 |little thing, it says market open, that changes to see that I've activated | ||
93 | |92 |00:11:54 ~-~-> 00:11:58 |Market Replay, this doesn't show market open, it's not a green little button | ||
94 | |93 |00:11:58 ~-~-> 00:12:02 |anymore, okay. And also, you have to do all of your buying and selling down | ||
95 | |94 |00:12:02 ~-~-> 00:12:07 |here. So for the sake of saying, we're going to look at this example here, I | ||
96 | |95 |00:12:07 ~-~-> 00:12:11 |promise you there's we're going to look at some things that are more pertinent | ||
97 | |96 |00:12:11 ~-~-> 00:12:17 |and more useful. But it's important that some of you see this because these | ||
98 | |97 |00:12:17 ~-~-> 00:12:20 |things keep repeating in the comment section. And it's because of ignorance, | ||
99 | |98 |00:12:20 ~-~-> 00:12:24 |not because you're stupid. It just means that you just simply don't, you just | ||
100 | |99 |00:12:24 ~-~-> 00:12:29 |don't know. Okay, and I'm going to show you the difference. So whenever you | ||
101 | |100 |00:12:29 ~-~-> 00:12:33 |highlight a chart, wherever you, you see a point of reference, where you want to | ||
102 | |101 |00:12:33 ~-~-> 00:12:39 |have something you want to study, I really never use Market Replay. This is | ||
103 | |102 |00:12:39 ~-~-> 00:12:44 |probably the only second time doing it. To show you the Compare and contrast of | ||
104 | |103 |00:12:44 ~-~-> 00:12:49 |what it is I actually do versus what is actually occurring. Now, right away. If | ||
105 | |104 |00:12:49 ~-~-> 00:12:53 |you look at what I've done here, I've put the market replay on and you can see | ||
106 | |105 |00:12:53 ~-~-> 00:12:57 |the little player button down here. If you click play, all the candles start | ||
107 | |106 |00:12:57 ~-~-> 00:13:02 |moving. And they do not have a countdown, the close function, or a | ||
108 | |107 |00:13:02 ~-~-> 00:13:08 |little window that pops over here in the right hand side of the price axis. That | ||
109 | |108 |00:13:08 ~-~-> 00:13:13 |countdown to close, that's occurring when I'm using live data. In all of my | ||
110 | |109 |00:13:13 ~-~-> 00:13:17 |examples. It's always live data. And notice what's occurring also here. You | ||
111 | |110 |00:13:17 ~-~-> 00:13:23 |see what time that is. And look at the time down here. It's 1030, we're way | ||
112 | |111 |00:13:23 ~-~-> 00:13:28 |past that the time down here in the lower right hand corner is 1145. I'm | ||
113 | |112 |00:13:28 ~-~-> 00:13:36 |always using New York local time. So whether you're in Uganda, or Greenland, | ||
114 | |113 |00:13:36 ~-~-> 00:13:42 |or California, USA, wherever you're at, if you're trying to follow my concepts | ||
115 | |114 |00:13:42 ~-~-> 00:13:48 |or the things that I've taught, you're trading view timeframe, or the the time | ||
116 | |115 |00:13:48 ~-~-> 00:13:54 |zone for your data must be in New York time. If you do that everything matches | ||
117 | |116 |00:13:54 ~-~-> 00:13:57 |with my lessons, the folks that want to use their local time that messes up | ||
118 | |117 |00:13:57 ~-~-> 00:14:05 |everything. Okay? So when we look at things like this, and all of this price | ||
119 | |118 |00:14:05 ~-~-> 00:14:08 |run here, I'm going to cover all that too, by the way. So in case you're | ||
120 | |119 |00:14:08 ~-~-> 00:14:11 |looking at this thinking I'm not here to try to learn Market Replay. This is just | ||
121 | |120 |00:14:11 ~-~-> 00:14:14 |to teach the folks that are ignorant, they have no idea what you're talking | ||
122 | |121 |00:14:14 ~-~-> 00:14:20 |about. If I'm going to do a market replay trade, okay, and I'm going to | ||
123 | |122 |00:14:20 ~-~-> 00:14:23 |only be able to do that if I use these two buttons down here. When you watch my | ||
124 | |123 |00:14:23 ~-~-> 00:14:29 |examples. This is not blue, it is not showing you Market Replay paused it | ||
125 | |124 |00:14:29 ~-~-> 00:14:38 |showing you market open this over here. I'm sorry, the forgot I forgot what I | ||
126 | |125 |00:14:38 ~-~-> 00:14:44 |was gonna say here. Oh, the buttons for buying and selling. They're not there | ||
127 | |126 |00:14:44 ~-~-> 00:14:50 |now. When I'm executing my examples from taking partials, that is the reason why | ||
128 | |127 |00:14:50 ~-~-> 00:14:54 |I use that clunky little hot button up there. Okay. It's not that I don't know | ||
129 | |128 |00:14:54 ~-~-> 00:14:57 |how to use limit orders because clearly I've shown examples of that as well both | ||
130 | |129 |00:14:57 ~-~-> 00:15:04 |in a demo account a Patreon account and a live amp account with real money in | ||
131 | |130 |00:15:04 ~-~-> 00:15:08 |for the folks that say that when I'm showing an amp account, they're saying | ||
132 | |131 |00:15:08 ~-~-> 00:15:11 |that that's an amp demo account, hook up a demo account from amp and you're never | ||
133 | |132 |00:15:11 ~-~-> 00:15:15 |gonna see amp live show up down here. It never happens, folks. Okay, so you | ||
134 | |133 |00:15:15 ~-~-> 00:15:19 |really need to do some homework and stop listening to Damascus on the internet | ||
135 | |134 |00:15:19 ~-~-> 00:15:22 |because that's what you're listening to. And you're lazy and you don't want to | ||
136 | |135 |00:15:22 ~-~-> 00:15:26 |just see for yourself what it looks like if that's really what I'm trying to do. | ||
137 | |136 |00:15:26 ~-~-> 00:15:30 |So there's a discrepancy if I'm using Mark replay between these two times, | ||
138 | |137 |00:15:30 ~-~-> 00:15:36 |they won't ever match. Notice that and this is always the green market open | ||
139 | |138 |00:15:36 ~-~-> 00:15:43 |showing you that is not using Market Replay. Okay. There's also another | ||
140 | |139 |00:15:43 ~-~-> 00:15:48 |distinguishing characteristic that when you see the executions and the mean | ||
141 | |140 |00:15:48 ~-~-> 00:15:49 |changes to | ||
142 | |141 |00:15:55 ~-~-> 00:16:00 |Okay, and say we're, we're watching price, okay? Notice how the candlestick | ||
143 | |142 |00:16:00 ~-~-> 00:16:04 |doesn't show any fluctuations at all. It's just it appears and that's it, | ||
144 | |143 |00:16:04 ~-~-> 00:16:10 |there's no up and down within the same candlestick. So when it does that, it's | ||
145 | |144 |00:16:10 ~-~-> 00:16:16 |it's like wooden and stilted. It doesn't give you the the dynamic fluctuations | ||
146 | |145 |00:16:16 ~-~-> 00:16:20 |that live price action will show within a one minute candlestick. So because | ||
147 | |146 |00:16:20 ~-~-> 00:16:26 |that is not having a countdown, little timer here saying how many seconds it is | ||
148 | |147 |00:16:26 ~-~-> 00:16:30 |till the candle closes, and a new candle starts. That tells you right away that | ||
149 | |148 |00:16:30 ~-~-> 00:16:34 |this is not Market Replay when I'm showing you that to the time always | ||
150 | |149 |00:16:34 ~-~-> 00:16:37 |matches in the lower right hand corner. That's the reason why when you see my | ||
151 | |150 |00:16:37 ~-~-> 00:16:42 |examples, even though they're sped up many times, I'm clicking on the time | ||
152 | |151 |00:16:42 ~-~-> 00:16:46 |window. So you can see I'm literally clicking on New York time. And you can | ||
153 | |152 |00:16:46 ~-~-> 00:16:50 |see that the times match and then I'll hover over top of a candlestick. And the | ||
154 | |153 |00:16:50 ~-~-> 00:16:55 |candlesticks will always match. And for the folks that try to say that this is | ||
155 | |154 |00:16:56 ~-~-> 00:17:00 |me rigging TradingView I've openly told TradingView who follows me on social | ||
156 | |155 |00:17:00 ~-~-> 00:17:04 |media to come out and tell everybody that what I'm doing is fake if it's not | ||
157 | |156 |00:17:04 ~-~-> 00:17:08 |being truthful and done. It's simple, folks. It's very simple. I don't need to | ||
158 | |157 |00:17:08 ~-~-> 00:17:12 |pretend. Okay, it's very important that you understand that. So notice that the | ||
159 | |158 |00:17:12 ~-~-> 00:17:17 |market replay ended and that turns right back into what the little button that | ||
160 | |159 |00:17:17 ~-~-> 00:17:25 |says market open. Okay, so the difference between, say the idea of | ||
161 | |160 |00:17:26 ~-~-> 00:17:30 |using the information that this showed here and showing the difference between | ||
162 | |161 |00:17:30 ~-~-> 00:17:37 |what a market live execution looks like, okay, with real time data not delayed | ||
163 | |162 |00:17:37 ~-~-> 00:17:42 |not using Market Replay, versus that of a market replay execution. And we're | ||
164 | |163 |00:17:42 ~-~-> 00:17:47 |going to do that again real quick. I've highlighted market replay that little | ||
165 | |164 |00:17:47 ~-~-> 00:17:52 |open button turns fitting green, it ain't showing you anything. There's no D | ||
166 | |165 |00:17:52 ~-~-> 00:17:55 |up in here showing it's delayed data. So if I'm going to look at this little | ||
167 | |166 |00:17:55 ~-~-> 00:18:03 |segment of price action right in here. There's the segment of price action. | ||
168 | |167 |00:18:04 ~-~-> 00:18:10 |We're gonna click play. And we're going to do a mock up of taking a trade | ||
169 | |168 |00:18:17 ~-~-> 00:18:24 |Okay, look how big and clunky that arrow is. You see that? Right there? If I | ||
170 | |169 |00:18:24 ~-~-> 00:18:30 |pause there, and I lay my mouse over top of it, does it give you the little tab | ||
171 | |170 |00:18:30 ~-~-> 00:18:33 |that shows you the actual price that overlays the candlestick itself? It | ||
172 | |171 |00:18:33 ~-~-> 00:18:37 |doesn't do that. See how big in weird looking at looks? See that right there? | ||
173 | |172 |00:18:38 ~-~-> 00:18:42 |None of my executions have arrows that look like that. None of them they have | ||
174 | |173 |00:18:42 ~-~-> 00:18:47 |never looked like that is never happened ever. Okay. So continuing on. | ||
175 | |174 |00:18:52 ~-~-> 00:18:58 |Okay, and again, everything here looks stilted, wouldn't it looks artificial? | ||
176 | |175 |00:18:58 ~-~-> 00:19:03 |My executions are always done with live execution with live data. Okay? It's | ||
177 | |176 |00:19:03 ~-~-> 00:19:07 |very important. It matters not if it's demo or paper trading it because if I | ||
178 | |177 |00:19:07 ~-~-> 00:19:10 |don't know what I'm teaching, if I don't know what the market is going to do, | ||
179 | |178 |00:19:10 ~-~-> 00:19:12 |it's not going to work in that demo account here. Okay, because it's real | ||
180 | |179 |00:19:12 ~-~-> 00:19:17 |time data. It's real, real important that you know that okay, so I'll let | ||
181 | |180 |00:19:17 ~-~-> 00:19:22 |this finish out. Watch this up here up here. Okay, it's going to change all by | ||
182 | |181 |00:19:22 ~-~-> 00:19:30 |itself in the market replay. finishes. Its painting out get a quick sip of my | ||
183 | |182 |00:19:30 ~-~-> 00:19:31 |water while it's doing this. | ||
184 | |183 |00:19:49 ~-~-> 00:19:53 |And there you go. Now see what happens there. Does that ever pop up on my | ||
185 | |184 |00:19:53 ~-~-> 00:19:59 |screen when I have a winning trade? No. It looks cool as neat I guess. But you | ||
186 | |185 |00:19:59 ~-~-> 00:20:04 |know Uh, none of my examples are done like that. Okay, that never happened. It | ||
187 | |186 |00:20:04 ~-~-> 00:20:12 |never, never, never, never never happens. Okay? So for the difference or | ||
188 | |187 |00:20:12 ~-~-> 00:20:19 |contrast, if you look at now, the executions done that are done with live | ||
189 | |188 |00:20:19 ~-~-> 00:20:23 |data, okay? Because small and tight, every single one of these little candles | ||
190 | |189 |00:20:23 ~-~-> 00:20:27 |are not candlesticks, but these little arrows are okay. See that? Even if I | ||
191 | |190 |00:20:27 ~-~-> 00:20:37 |zoom in? Much did they become big and bulky and clunky looking? Nope. Those | ||
192 | |191 |00:20:37 ~-~-> 00:20:41 |arrows are always alive execution. Okay, that's, that's, that's the way it looks. | ||
193 | |192 |00:20:41 ~-~-> 00:20:49 |Okay. I'm glad that they kept that distinction between a market replay | ||
194 | |193 |00:20:49 ~-~-> 00:20:55 |execution because if you really wanted to fake and you wanted to be a fraud, | ||
195 | |194 |00:20:55 ~-~-> 00:21:00 |you would be taking screenshots of these little arrows if they matched or Market | ||
196 | |195 |00:21:00 ~-~-> 00:21:05 |Replay. And you would crop out all this up here. But I don't ever let that | ||
197 | |196 |00:21:05 ~-~-> 00:21:08 |happen. I'm always showing you everything so that way you can see and | ||
198 | |197 |00:21:08 ~-~-> 00:21:12 |cancel out anything that would have been done. Notice how these boxes are all | ||
199 | |198 |00:21:12 ~-~-> 00:21:16 |back up here again, because we're looking at what real time data, you | ||
200 | |199 |00:21:16 ~-~-> 00:21:20 |can't market replay the buy and sell buttons up here. They force you to use | ||
201 | |200 |00:21:20 ~-~-> 00:21:25 |them down here. See him? See that? So now you know. Okay, now that you know | ||
202 | |201 |00:21:25 ~-~-> 00:21:30 |that you can shut the fuck up in my comment section. Okay, because it's | ||
203 | |202 |00:21:30 ~-~-> 00:21:38 |stupid. Now, let's go over here and talk about what we're here for today. Right | ||
204 | |203 |00:21:38 ~-~-> 00:21:47 |Market Replay is turned off, and we have this business. Okay. Alright, so right | ||
205 | |204 |00:21:47 ~-~-> 00:21:50 |away, some of you are probably thinking, Well, you know, I'm watching top step. | ||
206 | |205 |00:21:50 ~-~-> 00:21:54 |And I was listening to tops that while I was in the dentist office and driving | ||
207 | |206 |00:21:54 ~-~-> 00:21:58 |back home to I like listening to those guys, because they were actually on the | ||
208 | |207 |00:21:58 ~-~-> 00:22:03 |floor. And whether I subscribe to their views or not, and how they treat, you | ||
209 | |208 |00:22:03 ~-~-> 00:22:07 |know, is irrelevant. Obviously, with all due respect, I don't. But I like | ||
210 | |209 |00:22:07 ~-~-> 00:22:11 |listening to them. I like listening to their stories. I like listening to | ||
211 | |210 |00:22:11 ~-~-> 00:22:17 |their, their banter with each other. So it just it feels good as a background | ||
212 | |211 |00:22:17 ~-~-> 00:22:22 |sound. So I've been using them a lot as something to listen to while I'm either | ||
213 | |212 |00:22:22 ~-~-> 00:22:25 |needing to hear something because I'm in a place where I need to be zoning out | ||
214 | |213 |00:22:25 ~-~-> 00:22:29 |like a dentist's office is never pleasant to be in. I didn't need to go | ||
215 | |214 |00:22:29 ~-~-> 00:22:34 |there for my son. But I like looking at the chat window too, because the chat | ||
216 | |215 |00:22:34 ~-~-> 00:22:38 |window much like I've mentioned before, it's a great sentiment indicator. It's | ||
217 | |216 |00:22:38 ~-~-> 00:22:43 |wonderful. When I see folks getting real emotional or concerned or fearful about | ||
218 | |217 |00:22:43 ~-~-> 00:22:49 |something in the market, that to me, if I couple that with something I see in my | ||
219 | |218 |00:22:49 ~-~-> 00:22:54 |own price action study. What I'm actually doing here is I'm getting a | ||
220 | |219 |00:22:54 ~-~-> 00:22:59 |measurement of my experience, versus someone that I know is predominantly | ||
221 | |220 |00:22:59 ~-~-> 00:23:04 |inexperienced or a novice, okay. And there's nothing wrong with that. I'm not | ||
222 | |221 |00:23:04 ~-~-> 00:23:08 |trying to look down my nose at them and say, you know, you're you're pissy and | ||
223 | |222 |00:23:08 ~-~-> 00:23:11 |you don't know anything, and you'll never become anything just means that if | ||
224 | |223 |00:23:11 ~-~-> 00:23:16 |that resource is made available to us, I'm not I'm not going to turn my head | ||
225 | |224 |00:23:16 ~-~-> 00:23:19 |away from it and say, I'm going to ignore that I'm gonna go there, right, | ||
226 | |225 |00:23:19 ~-~-> 00:23:22 |where I can see the real sentiment of someone that doesn't really know how to | ||
227 | |226 |00:23:22 ~-~-> 00:23:26 |trade. And if they're openly sharing, and I'm glad, I'm glad that they're | ||
228 | |227 |00:23:26 ~-~-> 00:23:30 |sharing it. And I would never ridicule any one individual or any one particular | ||
229 | |228 |00:23:30 ~-~-> 00:23:34 |channel, but I get asked a lot, What channels do I listen to? Or what | ||
230 | |229 |00:23:34 ~-~-> 00:23:38 |channels are YouTubers that I watch? And I love the fact that they have their | ||
231 | |230 |00:23:38 ~-~-> 00:23:43 |chat window open because it is the perfect market sentiment. There was a | ||
232 | |231 |00:23:43 ~-~-> 00:23:49 |back in the 80s and whatnot. Maybe even before that, there was a service called | ||
233 | |232 |00:23:49 ~-~-> 00:23:56 |Market theme where they would call up 100 Different traders and Oberg | ||
234 | |233 |00:23:56 ~-~-> 00:23:59 |insurance. I hate looking at you bullish or bearish on this market. And based on | ||
235 | |234 |00:23:59 ~-~-> 00:24:03 |that sentiment or the cumulative total of how much bullishness or bearishness | ||
236 | |235 |00:24:03 ~-~-> 00:24:07 |they would have on that market, they would share that percentage and if | ||
237 | |236 |00:24:07 ~-~-> 00:24:12 |you've gotten real real high like 75 to 90% or higher when bullishness, usually | ||
238 | |237 |00:24:12 ~-~-> 00:24:17 |your near some kind of important high, and vice versa, if it was a market, they | ||
239 | |238 |00:24:17 ~-~-> 00:24:23 |were exceedingly bearish on like lower 25 or 30%. Then obviously, you're | ||
240 | |239 |00:24:23 ~-~-> 00:24:27 |probably near some important low. Well, I use that because day trading is a real | ||
241 | |240 |00:24:27 ~-~-> 00:24:32 |popular thing today. And when if I'm watching price action live, and I'm | ||
242 | |241 |00:24:32 ~-~-> 00:24:35 |looking for a setup and I'm usually watching a one minute chart, maybe | ||
243 | |242 |00:24:35 ~-~-> 00:24:41 |sometimes under a one minute chart like 15 second five second 32nd chart. I'll | ||
244 | |243 |00:24:41 ~-~-> 00:24:45 |use those timeframes. If I really want to, if I miss the ideal entry, I'll drop | ||
245 | |244 |00:24:45 ~-~-> 00:24:48 |down below one minute chart, okay, or if I'm really trying to smash somebody's | ||
246 | |245 |00:24:48 ~-~-> 00:24:52 |opinion about me, I'll go down to a second chart and run it up real fast. | ||
247 | |246 |00:24:53 ~-~-> 00:24:59 |Well, today, one of my sons want to talk to the dentist's office he was asking me | ||
248 | |247 |00:25:00 ~-~-> 00:25:04 |How do I get in when the markets going sideways? And how do you know what side | ||
249 | |248 |00:25:04 ~-~-> 00:25:08 |the marketplace is going to run to? Like? In other words, if you have a | ||
250 | |249 |00:25:08 ~-~-> 00:25:13 |consolidation, which is what we're seeing right here, okay, all of this | ||
251 | |250 |00:25:13 ~-~-> 00:25:19 |right here is a consolidation. And the question my son was asking is, you know, | ||
252 | |251 |00:25:20 ~-~-> 00:25:25 |when it's going sideways like this, how do you know what side it's going to run | ||
253 | |252 |00:25:25 ~-~-> 00:25:31 |for? Because you can you can make an argument basically, that there's | ||
254 | |253 |00:25:31 ~-~-> 00:25:35 |buyside, above this high or relative equal highs, or here sellside below | ||
255 | |254 |00:25:35 ~-~-> 00:25:40 |these relative equal lows or singular, well, how do you know which one to work | ||
256 | |255 |00:25:40 ~-~-> 00:25:44 |with? And that's why I teach folks who have not tried to trade during | ||
257 | |256 |00:25:44 ~-~-> 00:25:48 |consolidations, you want to see the market share displacement. Okay, but | ||
258 | |257 |00:25:48 ~-~-> 00:25:52 |because it's my son, I don't usually try to teach these types of teachings | ||
259 | |258 |00:25:52 ~-~-> 00:25:58 |because it's, I keep it for my kids. But in spirit of giving you in the snow this | ||
260 | |259 |00:25:58 ~-~-> 00:26:02 |morning, really supercharged mine, Christmas spirit, if you will. And now I | ||
261 | |260 |00:26:02 ~-~-> 00:26:05 |don't decorate outside. I think it's, I think it's too gaudy looking. I think | ||
262 | |261 |00:26:07 ~-~-> 00:26:11 |it's beautiful in other people's homes. But I don't want to Oman, okay, so I'm | ||
263 | |262 |00:26:11 ~-~-> 00:26:16 |not a Grinch to it, or a scrooge to the idea that I just simply I'm not climbing | ||
264 | |263 |00:26:16 ~-~-> 00:26:19 |out there on my house. And I'm not hiring a service to go out there and | ||
265 | |264 |00:26:19 ~-~-> 00:26:23 |hang stuff on my house. I'm not going to having it. So why don't have decorations | ||
266 | |265 |00:26:23 ~-~-> 00:26:28 |and stuff out there. But the question, again, is, when it's in consolidation, | ||
267 | |266 |00:26:28 ~-~-> 00:26:33 |how do you know which one is going to run for? Well, that goes back to the | ||
268 | |267 |00:26:33 ~-~-> 00:26:37 |higher timeframe premise, when we're looking to get all this business off | ||
269 | |268 |00:26:37 ~-~-> 00:26:48 |your fair second. We'll come back to all that. And we'll take this off. And if | ||
270 | |269 |00:26:48 ~-~-> 00:26:53 |we're looking at how the market was ranging, okay, from Monday, this | ||
271 | |270 |00:26:53 ~-~-> 00:26:59 |morning, around prior to seven o'clock in the morning, all through here, okay? | ||
272 | |271 |00:27:00 ~-~-> 00:27:05 |If we're watching price like this, it's advantageous for us, for traders, | ||
273 | |272 |00:27:05 ~-~-> 00:27:09 |because we need we need movement. Okay, first and foremost, we have to have | ||
274 | |273 |00:27:09 ~-~-> 00:27:16 |movement, that movement is going to be instigated around time of day. Okay. So | ||
275 | |274 |00:27:17 ~-~-> 00:27:22 |time is a very crucial part to my analysis concept. And it's what drives | ||
276 | |275 |00:27:22 ~-~-> 00:27:28 |the algorithm. Okay, it's not price, it is not price, it's time, there is a time | ||
277 | |276 |00:27:28 ~-~-> 00:27:31 |for everything that occurs in price action, there's macros and small little | ||
278 | |277 |00:27:32 ~-~-> 00:27:38 |short scripts where the price engines will create these little punchy, short | ||
279 | |278 |00:27:38 ~-~-> 00:27:43 |term little fluctuations, that you may be surprised by when it happens. But I'm | ||
280 | |279 |00:27:43 ~-~-> 00:27:47 |not my students are not we're looking for another specific times of the day, | ||
281 | |280 |00:27:47 ~-~-> 00:27:52 |specific segments of the morning session, the lunch hour, when the lunch | ||
282 | |281 |00:27:52 ~-~-> 00:27:57 |hour ends, the pm session, and right before the close of the day. Okay, so | ||
283 | |282 |00:27:58 ~-~-> 00:28:01 |there are specific times where the algorithm will literally do this, to | ||
284 | |283 |00:28:02 ~-~-> 00:28:09 |create fear, greed, greed, many times is the fact that is the engineered chemical | ||
285 | |284 |00:28:09 ~-~-> 00:28:13 |response. As a human, we're watching this, in watching these candlesticks, or | ||
286 | |285 |00:28:13 ~-~-> 00:28:16 |whatever you're watching on your charts, they cause you to feel like you're going | ||
287 | |286 |00:28:16 ~-~-> 00:28:20 |to miss a move. Oh, I missed that better entry route. And you were looking at | ||
288 | |287 |00:28:20 ~-~-> 00:28:22 |thinking I'd like to buy that. I think it's gonna go off and on, but you don't | ||
289 | |288 |00:28:22 ~-~-> 00:28:26 |really execute on it. You've been there 1000 times, trust me, I know, I did the | ||
290 | |289 |00:28:26 ~-~-> 00:28:29 |same stuff when I first started. But when you know what you're looking for, | ||
291 | |290 |00:28:30 ~-~-> 00:28:33 |there's going to be some times where you still miss that move for that better | ||
292 | |291 |00:28:33 ~-~-> 00:28:33 |entry. | ||
293 | |292 |00:28:35 ~-~-> 00:28:42 |These little times of the day, will really, I guess, exaggerate that desire | ||
294 | |293 |00:28:42 ~-~-> 00:28:46 |to get into it? Because you think oh, no, especially on a day where maybe | ||
295 | |294 |00:28:46 ~-~-> 00:28:48 |you've had drawdown or you didn't do any trades in the first part of the day. | ||
296 | |295 |00:28:49 ~-~-> 00:28:53 |You're feeling like, well, I need to do something. I'm missing out on something. | ||
297 | |296 |00:28:53 ~-~-> 00:28:59 |Okay. So fear, greed, or FOMO. Not wanting to miss out on any potential | ||
298 | |297 |00:28:59 ~-~-> 00:29:02 |movement, even if the movement is so minut you normally wouldn't trade it, | ||
299 | |298 |00:29:02 ~-~-> 00:29:05 |but you feel like you have to do it, because that's what traders do, right? | ||
300 | |299 |00:29:06 ~-~-> 00:29:09 |Well, you shouldn't have that mindset. But there's certain times of day where | ||
301 | |300 |00:29:09 ~-~-> 00:29:14 |these little things occur. And they're scheduled. They're literally scheduled | ||
302 | |301 |00:29:14 ~-~-> 00:29:17 |just like an economic calendar has a scheduled event, every single month, | ||
303 | |302 |00:29:17 ~-~-> 00:29:20 |there's certainly events that come out, you know, what time they usually come | ||
304 | |303 |00:29:20 ~-~-> 00:29:26 |out. FOMC is what always two o'clock and 230 is the conference. You know, at time | ||
305 | |304 |00:29:26 ~-~-> 00:29:29 |that Non Farm Payroll Friday is going to release, it's 830 in the morning, New | ||
306 | |305 |00:29:29 ~-~-> 00:29:34 |York local time. You know, these times they're not changing them, okay? Because | ||
307 | |306 |00:29:34 ~-~-> 00:29:37 |they don't change them. That means the algorithm isn't going to change either. | ||
308 | |307 |00:29:38 ~-~-> 00:29:40 |Now, if they had an economic calendar, here's how you know when they're going | ||
309 | |308 |00:29:40 ~-~-> 00:29:43 |to change the algorithms for the all the folks that are asking this in the | ||
310 | |309 |00:29:43 ~-~-> 00:29:46 |comment section. Aren't you afraid that you're teaching so many people and | ||
311 | |310 |00:29:46 ~-~-> 00:29:49 |they're making lots of money now that they're going to change the algorithm, | ||
312 | |311 |00:29:49 ~-~-> 00:29:53 |they're not going to change the fucking algorithm because the markets are going | ||
313 | |312 |00:29:53 ~-~-> 00:29:56 |to book the way they're, they've always booked. They're going to run from | ||
314 | |313 |00:29:56 ~-~-> 00:30:00 |liquidity. They're going to fill in and reprice to inefficiencies and And | ||
315 | |314 |00:30:00 ~-~-> 00:30:05 |they're going to respond by sentiment, either by engineered from a market maker | ||
316 | |315 |00:30:05 ~-~-> 00:30:11 |stance, or from the weakness of poor trading and stock placement for | ||
317 | |316 |00:30:11 ~-~-> 00:30:16 |liquidity. And they're going to use these volatility injections that occur | ||
318 | |317 |00:30:16 ~-~-> 00:30:21 |around economic calendar. Based on that time that that event is scheduled to | ||
319 | |318 |00:30:21 ~-~-> 00:30:27 |release, when this crude oil numbers come out, 1030 Does it ever change it? | ||
320 | |319 |00:30:27 ~-~-> 00:30:30 |Oh, we're gonna throw them a curveball today, we're gonna start sending it out | ||
321 | |320 |00:30:30 ~-~-> 00:30:37 |at 145. That's not happening, folks. Okay, they they work off of a script in | ||
322 | |321 |00:30:37 ~-~-> 00:30:42 |that script is not going to change. Now, if they start changing times when all | ||
323 | |322 |00:30:42 ~-~-> 00:30:46 |these things get released. And you don't know until the day of and it's it's | ||
324 | |323 |00:30:46 ~-~-> 00:30:48 |always constant moving and fluctuating, okay, then they're playing the shell | ||
325 | |324 |00:30:48 ~-~-> 00:30:52 |game with you, but they're not doing that. So there's no reason for you to be | ||
326 | |325 |00:30:52 ~-~-> 00:30:55 |fearful that they're going to change the algorithm, they're not going to change | ||
327 | |326 |00:30:55 ~-~-> 00:30:59 |the algorithm, okay, they're making so much more money than all the students | ||
328 | |327 |00:30:59 ~-~-> 00:31:02 |collectively that I have, that are profitable. And everybody else is people | ||
329 | |328 |00:31:02 ~-~-> 00:31:06 |that's claiming they make money too. They're doing a larger degree of volume | ||
330 | |329 |00:31:06 ~-~-> 00:31:12 |against larger entities in the marketplace. Huge conglomerates, big | ||
331 | |330 |00:31:12 ~-~-> 00:31:16 |they're cannibalizing brokerage firms, okay. I mean, they're, they're taking | ||
332 | |331 |00:31:16 ~-~-> 00:31:21 |advantage of big pools of liquidity. And they're chewing at it in small pieces | ||
333 | |332 |00:31:21 ~-~-> 00:31:24 |all day long. They're not trying to do what you think you're trying to do as a | ||
334 | |333 |00:31:24 ~-~-> 00:31:28 |trader, which is trying to get the entirety of the daily range, the lowest | ||
335 | |334 |00:31:28 ~-~-> 00:31:31 |little low and the highest of the high. That's not what they're trying to do. | ||
336 | |335 |00:31:31 ~-~-> 00:31:36 |They're not trying to do that. They're looking for pieces of it. Okay, just | ||
337 | |336 |00:31:36 ~-~-> 00:31:39 |going out there. And I mentioned this before, as an analogy, there's a, | ||
338 | |337 |00:31:39 ~-~-> 00:31:43 |there's a tiny little shark is called a cookie cutter shark. It's not out there | ||
339 | |338 |00:31:43 ~-~-> 00:31:47 |trying to devour anything, but it runs up real quick, slanting the side of | ||
340 | |339 |00:31:47 ~-~-> 00:31:51 |whatever it is it wants you to take advantage of and bites it and runs away, | ||
341 | |340 |00:31:51 ~-~-> 00:31:57 |it lives, it gets to eat, okay. And that's what these participants in the | ||
342 | |341 |00:31:57 ~-~-> 00:32:01 |marketplace are trying to do all day long. And because they're doing 1000s of | ||
343 | |342 |00:32:01 ~-~-> 00:32:06 |transactions, and you're doing it in such a small, in and out, in and out, | ||
344 | |343 |00:32:07 ~-~-> 00:32:12 |okay, that's not buying and selling pressure. That's just them utilizing | ||
345 | |344 |00:32:12 ~-~-> 00:32:16 |what the fluctuation in price is going to become anyway. Okay, and I'm gonna | ||
346 | |345 |00:32:16 ~-~-> 00:32:18 |talk a little bit about order flow. And we'll talk a little bit about how, what | ||
347 | |346 |00:32:18 ~-~-> 00:32:23 |the algorithms doing, what real volume is actually occurring in price action, | ||
348 | |347 |00:32:23 ~-~-> 00:32:26 |and how we can see and forecast the right side of the marketplace before it | ||
349 | |348 |00:32:26 ~-~-> 00:32:29 |actually happens. Okay, so if you didn't look at what I was showing you on my | ||
350 | |349 |00:32:29 ~-~-> 00:32:33 |community Post this morning, before you started watching this video, you can | ||
351 | |350 |00:32:33 ~-~-> 00:32:36 |listen to what I'm doing here and go to community posts. And you'll see what I | ||
352 | |351 |00:32:36 ~-~-> 00:32:40 |posted was, in fact, where we were drawing to, we're trying to get up into | ||
353 | |352 |00:32:40 ~-~-> 00:32:45 |that 16,000 to eight and a half. Okay, because there was by side up there. I'm | ||
354 | |353 |00:32:45 ~-~-> 00:32:48 |going to, I'm going to teach you again with the premise in mind that you don't | ||
355 | |354 |00:32:48 ~-~-> 00:32:54 |need to be correct to be profitable. The question goes back to what my son asked | ||
356 | |355 |00:32:54 ~-~-> 00:32:58 |me this morning, dad, when we're looking at it like this, how do we know what | ||
357 | |356 |00:32:58 ~-~-> 00:33:02 |side of the marketplace is? It's going to reach for, because you can look at | ||
358 | |357 |00:33:02 ~-~-> 00:33:06 |old lows and old highs and say, Okay, there's Basa in their cell side, but | ||
359 | |358 |00:33:06 ~-~-> 00:33:11 |which 1am I going to focus on? Which one should I look for? Where's the drawing | ||
360 | |359 |00:33:11 ~-~-> 00:33:14 |liquidity really going to be? Well, you have to look outside of the | ||
361 | |360 |00:33:14 ~-~-> 00:33:17 |consolidation. And this in and of itself. We're not looking whenever the | ||
362 | |361 |00:33:17 ~-~-> 00:33:20 |markets ranging like this, I don't look at this and say, Okay, here's the buy | ||
363 | |362 |00:33:20 ~-~-> 00:33:25 |side. And really take it out, this is exactly what you're going to be doing. | ||
364 | |363 |00:33:25 ~-~-> 00:33:26 |And this is where you get confused. | ||
365 | |364 |00:33:32 ~-~-> 00:33:35 |My wife is not here, in case you're wondering what I'm getting away with | ||
366 | |365 |00:33:35 ~-~-> 00:33:44 |this. Can't keep getting away with this selfie, look at that nuts needs to be a | ||
367 | |366 |00:33:44 ~-~-> 00:33:56 |little bit bigger. And then we'll do that. For the folks who want to know | ||
368 | |367 |00:33:56 ~-~-> 00:34:00 |what I just did there, I learned that from a student. A lot of my students are | ||
369 | |368 |00:34:00 ~-~-> 00:34:05 |real savvy with these things because I'm an old guy, and they keep up with all | ||
370 | |369 |00:34:05 ~-~-> 00:34:11 |this. But what I do is I highlight the thing I want to copy and then I hold | ||
371 | |370 |00:34:11 ~-~-> 00:34:16 |down the Ctrl tab and I drag it away from itself and it'll copy it for you. | ||
372 | |371 |00:34:18 ~-~-> 00:34:23 |Alright, so there's by itself, both respectively. And it's important for you | ||
373 | |372 |00:34:23 ~-~-> 00:34:26 |to know this while you're learning. Okay, but while it's in this | ||
374 | |373 |00:34:26 ~-~-> 00:34:31 |consolidation, I do not teach okay, I do not teach I do not advocate I did not | ||
375 | |374 |00:34:31 ~-~-> 00:34:37 |want you to try to do what I'm pointing out here. And before I go any further | ||
376 | |375 |00:34:37 ~-~-> 00:34:41 |with this, I want to make sure I say something you're looking at the NASDAQ | ||
377 | |376 |00:34:41 ~-~-> 00:34:46 |December contract and I did execute on the December contract. I will not be | ||
378 | |377 |00:34:46 ~-~-> 00:34:49 |executing on the December contract tomorrow if I choose to do anything. | ||
379 | |378 |00:34:50 ~-~-> 00:35:04 |Why? Because if you go over to bar chart.com And you look up the If you can | ||
380 | |379 |00:35:04 ~-~-> 00:35:16 |use s&p or NASDAQ, it doesn't matter. You pull it up. Right, and then I'm not | ||
381 | |380 |00:35:16 ~-~-> 00:35:24 |sure what the trying to have all this ad stuff pop out as far as zooms and not | ||
382 | |381 |00:35:24 ~-~-> 00:35:29 |making money off of me Jack, you can tell them looking for going to my son | ||
383 | |382 |00:35:29 ~-~-> 00:35:35 |stocking stuffing, not these ones. But the cash. Ignore that one in the top one | ||
384 | |383 |00:35:35 ~-~-> 00:35:39 |is your nearby your front month. That's December right now. So you got Christmas | ||
385 | |384 |00:35:39 ~-~-> 00:35:43 |spoons right now. And then you have March. That's the next delivery | ||
386 | |385 |00:35:43 ~-~-> 00:35:49 |contract. So we're rolling over from December that will be expiring. And then | ||
387 | |386 |00:35:49 ~-~-> 00:35:54 |you go into the next month. So when this stops trading, this will fall off the | ||
388 | |387 |00:35:54 ~-~-> 00:35:58 |board and then the March contract will become the front month, okay, or the | ||
389 | |388 |00:35:58 ~-~-> 00:36:05 |nearby contract. So we have this volume is 1,016,000. And in March is showing | ||
390 | |389 |00:36:05 ~-~-> 00:36:09 |you what the volume is now larger. So I was willing to trade before seeing that | ||
391 | |390 |00:36:09 ~-~-> 00:36:12 |volume. I didn't know what that volume is going to be could have been a little | ||
392 | |391 |00:36:13 ~-~-> 00:36:18 |lazy today and not posted. The numbers we're seeing. The open interest right | ||
393 | |392 |00:36:18 ~-~-> 00:36:23 |now still is higher in December, but we're already seeing a lot more interest | ||
394 | |393 |00:36:23 ~-~-> 00:36:29 |in buying and selling for what the March contract. So I'm not going to get stuck | ||
395 | |394 |00:36:29 ~-~-> 00:36:33 |in a trade when there's this much volume. Okay, so don't be afraid to | ||
396 | |395 |00:36:33 ~-~-> 00:36:37 |trade like this when you've ever considered doing it on your own. But | ||
397 | |396 |00:36:37 ~-~-> 00:36:40 |whenever you see the signs like this, okay, well, there's a whole lot more | ||
398 | |397 |00:36:40 ~-~-> 00:36:45 |going on in the front month. Okay, then I'll discount the open interest. But as | ||
399 | |398 |00:36:45 ~-~-> 00:36:49 |long as the open interest is higher than here, I'll look to trade that until I | ||
400 | |399 |00:36:49 ~-~-> 00:36:54 |see the volume become larger in number of contracts being traded, as we see | ||
401 | |400 |00:36:54 ~-~-> 00:36:59 |today. So December today is the last time I touch ES or NASDAQ. So that way | ||
402 | |401 |00:36:59 ~-~-> 00:37:03 |you understand when do I rollover? That's exactly how I determine when I'm | ||
403 | |402 |00:37:03 ~-~-> 00:37:06 |going to roll it. I don't listen to people on YouTube saying they rolled | ||
404 | |403 |00:37:06 ~-~-> 00:37:10 |over I'm not asking someone on social media. Hey, did you roll over? This is | ||
405 | |404 |00:37:10 ~-~-> 00:37:14 |what I do. Okay, this is exactly what I do. And I do it every single time a | ||
406 | |405 |00:37:14 ~-~-> 00:37:19 |contract month rollover occurs. And since it's only four contracts per year, | ||
407 | |406 |00:37:19 ~-~-> 00:37:27 |when we're trading index futures, it's March. June, set September, and | ||
408 | |407 |00:37:27 ~-~-> 00:37:34 |December. Okay, so it's real easy to use this criteria. It's not complicated. But | ||
409 | |408 |00:37:34 ~-~-> 00:37:39 |now because I've done that I can close this. And hopefully you guys can allow | ||
410 | |409 |00:37:39 ~-~-> 00:37:43 |me because yes, it still says paper trading. Okay. So when I show you my | ||
411 | |410 |00:37:43 ~-~-> 00:37:48 |executions, just remember, I'm teaching. So therefore, because I'm teaching, I'm | ||
412 | |411 |00:37:48 ~-~-> 00:37:51 |not licensed to give you trade advice, I'm going to protect my ass and make | ||
413 | |412 |00:37:51 ~-~-> 00:37:55 |sure that I'm reminding you that it's in a paper trading account. So none of you | ||
414 | |413 |00:37:55 ~-~-> 00:37:58 |can come back and say, Well, I took a trade No, you fucking didn't, you're a | ||
415 | |414 |00:37:58 ~-~-> 00:38:03 |liar. Because I'm never going to walk you through a Live account trade, it | ||
416 | |415 |00:38:03 ~-~-> 00:38:07 |will never ever, ever, ever happen, it will never happen, I will never open | ||
417 | |416 |00:38:07 ~-~-> 00:38:11 |myself up to that liability, it will never happen. But I will say that here | ||
418 | |417 |00:38:11 ~-~-> 00:38:14 |all day long in front of whoever you want them to sell in front of. And I | ||
419 | |418 |00:38:14 ~-~-> 00:38:19 |will talk about the market live in this medium. Because I'm protected. I'm not | ||
420 | |419 |00:38:19 ~-~-> 00:38:25 |acting as a financial advisor. So it's really, really clear as to why I do what | ||
421 | |420 |00:38:25 ~-~-> 00:38:30 |I do. But you want to see real time, real live account trading, you can look | ||
422 | |421 |00:38:30 ~-~-> 00:38:32 |on this YouTube channel, and you'll see it just look down here. And when you see | ||
423 | |422 |00:38:32 ~-~-> 00:38:37 |the example say amp live, that's amp global. It's a futures brokerage firm. | ||
424 | |423 |00:38:37 ~-~-> 00:38:41 |And they have very, very competitive margins. There. In my mind, I think | ||
425 | |424 |00:38:41 ~-~-> 00:38:46 |they're a little too extreme. They allow people to do way too many contracts for | ||
426 | |425 |00:38:46 ~-~-> 00:38:51 |the size of money. But hey, a lot of people want to do that, right. So again, | ||
427 | |426 |00:38:51 ~-~-> 00:38:54 |I don't rep them. I'm not an IB or not introducing broker, I have no | ||
428 | |427 |00:38:54 ~-~-> 00:38:59 |affiliation with them at all. They're not perfect. So I'm not repping them. | ||
429 | |428 |00:38:59 ~-~-> 00:39:02 |And I'm not telling you to go. In fact, don't put your money with them so that | ||
430 | |429 |00:39:02 ~-~-> 00:39:06 |you can see that I am not trying to do anything with any brokerage firm. I get | ||
431 | |430 |00:39:06 ~-~-> 00:39:10 |requests all the time from companies, I don't do that stuff. So now because I've | ||
432 | |431 |00:39:10 ~-~-> 00:39:15 |done this, okay, I want you to know that I'm going to maximize the screen because | ||
433 | |432 |00:39:15 ~-~-> 00:39:20 |I like to look at it like this. Okay, so now we're all on the same page. Now | ||
434 | |433 |00:39:20 ~-~-> 00:39:25 |hopefully, I can go through this and explain it where it matters. With what I | ||
435 | |434 |00:39:25 ~-~-> 00:39:29 |was looking at what I was expecting what I would have used for a silver bullet | ||
436 | |435 |00:39:29 ~-~-> 00:39:33 |all those things. We're gonna talk about that right now. So again, the question | ||
437 | |436 |00:39:33 ~-~-> 00:39:37 |was, my son was asking why it's going like this, what do we look for? What's | ||
438 | |437 |00:39:37 ~-~-> 00:39:42 |the draw on liquidity? Where do we look to see price going? Where's it? Where's | ||
439 | |438 |00:39:42 ~-~-> 00:39:45 |it likely to go to next? Well, we don't look at this the original consolidation | ||
440 | |439 |00:39:45 ~-~-> 00:39:48 |here and think to ourselves, okay, well, all we're going to do is look at the | ||
441 | |440 |00:39:49 ~-~-> 00:39:52 |high and the low. And that's all that matters, because I'm never teaching | ||
442 | |441 |00:39:52 ~-~-> 00:39:58 |trading in this consolidation, to get to just this level. That's too small. It's | ||
443 | |442 |00:39:58 ~-~-> 00:40:02 |too myopic, and it You're not going to do well, if you're just looking at it | ||
444 | |443 |00:40:02 ~-~-> 00:40:06 |like that. So what are we supposed to be doing? Well, you got to come off that | ||
445 | |444 |00:40:06 ~-~-> 00:40:11 |one minute chart and go at least up to a 15 minute timeframe. So with a 15 minute | ||
446 | |445 |00:40:11 ~-~-> 00:40:18 |timeframe, you can see that we had relative equal highs here. So that was | ||
447 | |446 |00:40:18 ~-~-> 00:40:22 |an obvious level to do what anticipate price wanting to clean up this area up | ||
448 | |447 |00:40:22 ~-~-> 00:40:27 |in here. So just like we have here, actually, I'm gonna just take that off | ||
449 | |448 |00:40:27 ~-~-> 00:40:32 |here, because it's, we've already accomplished the method there. There, | ||
450 | |449 |00:40:33 ~-~-> 00:40:42 |and we had sellside. There. Now, while it's moved up here, and we've moved | ||
451 | |450 |00:40:42 ~-~-> 00:40:48 |sideways, inside this pre market opening before 930, we were in a small little | ||
452 | |451 |00:40:48 ~-~-> 00:40:54 |range, which was part of this consolidation here. What is it more | ||
453 | |452 |00:40:54 ~-~-> 00:41:04 |likely? What is it more likely to do? If you had control like a, like a video | ||
454 | |453 |00:41:04 ~-~-> 00:41:12 |game, okay, or a remote control, if you had control to steer price, okay. And | ||
455 | |454 |00:41:12 ~-~-> 00:41:17 |you had the benefit of controlling price with the expectation of knocking out | ||
456 | |455 |00:41:17 ~-~-> 00:41:21 |other traders. So that way, you could take their position over where they get | ||
457 | |456 |00:41:21 ~-~-> 00:41:27 |out with a loss, where they get out with a loss, your intention, are to take that | ||
458 | |457 |00:41:27 ~-~-> 00:41:32 |trade over exactly where they get out with the maximum pain that they felt an | ||
459 | |458 |00:41:32 ~-~-> 00:41:37 |incurred loss at you because you're in control of price, you take price to that | ||
460 | |459 |00:41:37 ~-~-> 00:41:41 |level to take them out, their orders would be executed because their stop | ||
461 | |460 |00:41:41 ~-~-> 00:41:46 |loss. Or for folks that would be trying to trade as a breakout using that same | ||
462 | |461 |00:41:46 ~-~-> 00:41:52 |location to keep trading in that direction. Either way, it's still using | ||
463 | |462 |00:41:52 ~-~-> 00:41:56 |that liquidity for our counterparty purpose, if you had the ability to do | ||
464 | |463 |00:41:56 ~-~-> 00:41:59 |and this is, so this is the part where people say the markets are not driven by | ||
465 | |464 |00:41:59 ~-~-> 00:42:02 |an algorithm. They're not controlled by an algorithm. It's buying and selling | ||
466 | |465 |00:42:02 ~-~-> 00:42:05 |pressure. And I'm telling you, that's straight up bullshit. That's bullshit. | ||
467 | |466 |00:42:06 ~-~-> 00:42:10 |Okay. And I understand it feels good to believe that because that's the | ||
468 | |467 |00:42:10 ~-~-> 00:42:16 |majority's perspective on it. But folks, listen, these markets are highly | ||
469 | |468 |00:42:16 ~-~-> 00:42:23 |efficiently delivered artificially. It's aI driven. Okay, when he moved away from | ||
470 | |469 |00:42:23 ~-~-> 00:42:27 |open outcry, and it became an electronic trading, it used to be, you know, only | ||
471 | |470 |00:42:27 ~-~-> 00:42:33 |the season, people would trade Globex before we had electronic trading, you | ||
472 | |471 |00:42:33 ~-~-> 00:42:37 |could trade pullbacks. But when everything became electronic, where now | ||
473 | |472 |00:42:37 ~-~-> 00:42:39 |everybody has 24 hour access, | ||
474 | |473 |00:42:41 ~-~-> 00:42:46 |you still hold on to these dinosaur archaic perspectives that markets are | ||
475 | |474 |00:42:46 ~-~-> 00:42:51 |are driven by the buying and selling pressure, I'm going to I'm going to | ||
476 | |475 |00:42:52 ~-~-> 00:42:56 |differentiate what that really should be seen as versus what everybody believes | ||
477 | |476 |00:42:56 ~-~-> 00:43:01 |it is. Okay. You're going to know more about order flow today than any Joker | ||
478 | |477 |00:43:01 ~-~-> 00:43:05 |out there. That's talking about bullshit that shows up ladders and Dom's and all | ||
479 | |478 |00:43:05 ~-~-> 00:43:09 |that other stuff, you don't need any of that stuff. You don't need any of that. | ||
480 | |479 |00:43:10 ~-~-> 00:43:13 |Now, if you use and you make money, understand that I'm not trying to debate | ||
481 | |480 |00:43:13 ~-~-> 00:43:16 |you on that, because that's your religion, you believe it and I would | ||
482 | |481 |00:43:16 ~-~-> 00:43:19 |never be convinced of the things I believe in aren't working for me either. | ||
483 | |482 |00:43:19 ~-~-> 00:43:24 |Okay, but you're you're watching my live stream. I'm not watching yours. So I'm | ||
484 | |483 |00:43:24 ~-~-> 00:43:26 |teaching the people that have asked these questions, and this is my response | ||
485 | |484 |00:43:26 ~-~-> 00:43:31 |to them. Okay. And these are also the things that keep me consistently | ||
486 | |485 |00:43:31 ~-~-> 00:43:36 |accurate. When I show examples, I'm pointing out things. I'm leaning on this | ||
487 | |486 |00:43:36 ~-~-> 00:43:41 |logic as to why I'm dealing not trying to do something new all the time, or | ||
488 | |487 |00:43:41 ~-~-> 00:43:45 |trusting in something that everybody else is looking at, which is depth of | ||
489 | |488 |00:43:45 ~-~-> 00:43:51 |market level to data, volume profile, trend lines, moving averages, supply and | ||
490 | |489 |00:43:51 ~-~-> 00:43:56 |demand, all these things, Elliott Wave harmonic patterns. What what is the | ||
491 | |490 |00:43:56 ~-~-> 00:44:00 |market going to respect today? Out of all that stuff, what's it going to | ||
492 | |491 |00:44:00 ~-~-> 00:44:03 |respect? Is it going to go with Elliot wave today? Is it going to go with | ||
493 | |492 |00:44:03 ~-~-> 00:44:10 |harmonic animal patterns is going to go with, you know, again, when you really | ||
494 | |493 |00:44:10 ~-~-> 00:44:14 |take a step back and you think about it like that? Because they're never an | ||
495 | |494 |00:44:14 ~-~-> 00:44:19 |agreement. So what is it that makes the decision for the market that say I'm | ||
496 | |495 |00:44:19 ~-~-> 00:44:24 |going to be team ICT concepts today? I'm going to be team Elliott Wave, I'm going | ||
497 | |496 |00:44:24 ~-~-> 00:44:29 |to be team horseshit. You know, whatever the hell it is that you believe in. It's | ||
498 | |497 |00:44:29 ~-~-> 00:44:34 |foolishness. So but what can we do to remove any level of foolishness? | ||
499 | |498 |00:44:36 ~-~-> 00:44:41 |Understand that these markets operate on the basis of liquidity. They seek yield. | ||
500 | |499 |00:44:42 ~-~-> 00:44:49 |And they like to reprice to cause efficiency where there's inefficiency. | ||
501 | |500 |00:44:51 ~-~-> 00:44:54 |When you take a step back and you look at it from that perspective, it makes | ||
502 | |501 |00:44:54 ~-~-> 00:44:59 |things so much more simpler. You don't have to worry about anything except for | ||
503 | |502 |00:45:00 ~-~-> 00:45:06 |Okay, where's the maximum pain? Because wherever the maximum pain is, that's the | ||
504 | |503 |00:45:06 ~-~-> 00:45:12 |path of least resistance for price. What does that mean? Well, I'm gonna show it | ||
505 | |504 |00:45:12 ~-~-> 00:45:17 |to you prior to this morning's opening, Okay, before we go into further, I've | ||
506 | |505 |00:45:17 ~-~-> 00:45:23 |mentioned this this morning, the 16,002 e 50. Level, posted as a small little | ||
507 | |506 |00:45:23 ~-~-> 00:45:27 |chart, I didn't have much time to do it before I had to walk out the house. But | ||
508 | |507 |00:45:27 ~-~-> 00:45:32 |that said, noted, okay, I believe that this is where the market draws to | ||
509 | |508 |00:45:32 ~-~-> 00:45:36 |withdrawals here today, or draws near tomorrow for CPI. It matters not to me, | ||
510 | |509 |00:45:36 ~-~-> 00:45:40 |that's the draw liquidity for me. Okay, I'm going to show you how I arrived at | ||
511 | |510 |00:45:40 ~-~-> 00:45:44 |that. But I want you to understand there's other things that go along with | ||
512 | |511 |00:45:44 ~-~-> 00:45:48 |this. Not just pointing out old highs and all those other factors that I lean | ||
513 | |512 |00:45:48 ~-~-> 00:45:53 |on. And I give you the procedure and process that I use, that gives me that | ||
514 | |513 |00:45:53 ~-~-> 00:45:56 |this is what I'm looking for. This is why I'm looking for it. And this is what | ||
515 | |514 |00:45:56 ~-~-> 00:45:59 |I would say no, I'm not interested in that. And this is why I'm interested in | ||
516 | |515 |00:45:59 ~-~-> 00:46:05 |something else. Okay, so I'm giving you a real procedure, something that I I | ||
517 | |516 |00:46:05 ~-~-> 00:46:11 |know that when you read my books, it probably won't be conveyed as good as | ||
518 | |517 |00:46:11 ~-~-> 00:46:15 |I'm going to show you today. So I'm giving this example because it'll be | ||
519 | |518 |00:46:15 ~-~-> 00:46:19 |something I can refer to. And there'll be like an amplification of something | ||
520 | |519 |00:46:19 ~-~-> 00:46:23 |that several chapters in those books will talk about it. But you don't need | ||
521 | |520 |00:46:23 ~-~-> 00:46:27 |because I talked about it before. But I'm going to show you what I use today | ||
522 | |521 |00:46:27 ~-~-> 00:46:32 |is that we gives you a real world example. And going forward, and you just | ||
523 | |522 |00:46:32 ~-~-> 00:46:36 |lean on that same logic, and it's not 100% because nothing ever is 100%. But | ||
524 | |523 |00:46:36 ~-~-> 00:46:40 |it's going to serve you better than trying to figure out what system, what | ||
525 | |524 |00:46:40 ~-~-> 00:46:45 |methodology you should try to go to. And if you're always system hopping, trying | ||
526 | |525 |00:46:45 ~-~-> 00:46:48 |to jump from one thing to the next, you're not going to find consistency. | ||
527 | |526 |00:46:48 ~-~-> 00:46:52 |You I think you're being consistent is your inconsistency and sticking with | ||
528 | |527 |00:46:52 ~-~-> 00:46:57 |something till you learn it well. So because we moved off that one minute | ||
529 | |528 |00:46:57 ~-~-> 00:47:01 |chart, a bellwether timeframe for me 15 minutes, okay, so if I'm looking for | ||
530 | |529 |00:47:01 ~-~-> 00:47:06 |something that is liquidity based, where I'm looking for a draw on liquidity, | ||
531 | |530 |00:47:06 ~-~-> 00:47:10 |that's going to have an impact for the session, I'm not talking about an hour | ||
532 | |531 |00:47:10 ~-~-> 00:47:13 |candle, where I can trade inside of one hour candle, and I can get scalping I | ||
533 | |532 |00:47:13 ~-~-> 00:47:19 |can, I can make what an average person can earn in a week with every single one | ||
534 | |533 |00:47:19 ~-~-> 00:47:24 |hour candle. I don't need to do that you shouldn't try to do that. But for the | ||
535 | |534 |00:47:24 ~-~-> 00:47:28 |sake of understanding the highest degree of probability, where the mark is going | ||
536 | |535 |00:47:28 ~-~-> 00:47:31 |to reach for, you have to come off that one minute, you got to come off that | ||
537 | |536 |00:47:31 ~-~-> 00:47:37 |five minute go to at least a 15 minute timeframe. Why? Because the majority of | ||
538 | |537 |00:47:37 ~-~-> 00:47:42 |short term fluctuations that going on in intraday, algorithmic price delivery is | ||
539 | |538 |00:47:42 ~-~-> 00:47:48 |on that timeframe. Now I'm gonna say in simpler terms, the liquidity you're | ||
540 | |539 |00:47:48 ~-~-> 00:47:52 |looking for as a general go to that's going to serve you the best is a 15 | ||
541 | |540 |00:47:52 ~-~-> 00:47:57 |minute timeframe chart. That's the ones that are so clear, and they're obvious. | ||
542 | |541 |00:47:58 ~-~-> 00:48:01 |They don't hide them from you, they can never hide them from me, because this is | ||
543 | |542 |00:48:01 ~-~-> 00:48:08 |the first one they work off. Period. Don't believe what I said, go back and | ||
544 | |543 |00:48:08 ~-~-> 00:48:13 |look at every fucking day in every market. And you'll see exactly what I'm | ||
545 | |544 |00:48:13 ~-~-> 00:48:16 |talking about. It's there every single day. Now over time, you're gonna get | ||
546 | |545 |00:48:16 ~-~-> 00:48:19 |good at it, you're gonna get better at knowing which side is going to reach | ||
547 | |546 |00:48:19 ~-~-> 00:48:24 |for. But I'm going to show you it's not hard. When we're in this little | ||
548 | |547 |00:48:24 ~-~-> 00:48:28 |consolidation here, which is all part of this larger consolidation. It's to the | ||
549 | |548 |00:48:28 ~-~-> 00:48:34 |left, you see all that? Where is the market jagged versus where it's smooth? | ||
550 | |549 |00:48:37 ~-~-> 00:48:41 |Now for the folks that don't know English very well, what do I mean by | ||
551 | |550 |00:48:41 ~-~-> 00:48:46 |that? Well, if you look at the difference between how this high in this | ||
552 | |551 |00:48:46 ~-~-> 00:48:51 |high in this high and these highs here, you can pretty much see how these are | ||
553 | |552 |00:48:51 ~-~-> 00:48:57 |all like real real uniform, that's real smooth. It doesn't make any kind of real | ||
554 | |553 |00:48:57 ~-~-> 00:49:03 |jagged, run up and run away. Notice that but where do we see that type of | ||
555 | |554 |00:49:03 ~-~-> 00:49:10 |delivering price down here, this is all jagged. Okay. So if you are looking at | ||
556 | |555 |00:49:10 ~-~-> 00:49:19 |it like a sawtooth or the edge of a saw, or some type of serrated edge down here, | ||
557 | |556 |00:49:19 ~-~-> 00:49:24 |they cut up all of the liquidity it was resting below that low. That low a rip | ||
558 | |557 |00:49:24 ~-~-> 00:49:29 |through it. It caused this one here and then what did it do it ran right up here | ||
559 | |558 |00:49:29 ~-~-> 00:49:34 |but then it left this nice smooth little area right in here. So what happens is | ||
560 | |559 |00:49:34 ~-~-> 00:49:41 |that retail minded traders, they see this price action and they envision this | ||
561 | |560 |00:49:41 ~-~-> 00:49:49 |little area right in here. This is their safety or safe house that's their, this | ||
562 | |561 |00:49:49 ~-~-> 00:49:53 |this little area here where they feel that if they go into the marketplace and | ||
563 | |562 |00:49:53 ~-~-> 00:49:57 |they try to go short, they feel that this is a | ||
564 | |563 |00:50:05 ~-~-> 00:50:10 |It's a safe room. Okay. My house it has won most other people that have high | ||
565 | |564 |00:50:11 ~-~-> 00:50:16 |security and things like that those places in your house where it's | ||
566 | |565 |00:50:16 ~-~-> 00:50:20 |fortified, it has means of protecting yourself with food, water, medicine, | ||
567 | |566 |00:50:20 ~-~-> 00:50:26 |weapons, lighting, communication, we can talk outside the house without even | ||
568 | |567 |00:50:26 ~-~-> 00:50:29 |having a connection with your house phone. Rubin has that anymore, right. | ||
569 | |568 |00:50:30 ~-~-> 00:50:35 |But the idea is, this is a safe space for retail traders, because they trust | ||
570 | |569 |00:50:35 ~-~-> 00:50:38 |this as what they see this as | ||
571 | |570 |00:50:43 ~-~-> 00:50:47 |what their textbooks have taught them all along, that this has resistance. | ||
572 | |571 |00:50:48 ~-~-> 00:50:53 |They think that price cannot get through that. This is strong resistance. So that | ||
573 | |572 |00:50:53 ~-~-> 00:50:57 |means what the market has to bend to its will they're classifying that as | ||
574 | |573 |00:50:57 ~-~-> 00:51:03 |resistance. That's exactly what those books taught me. And I lost my fucking | ||
575 | |574 |00:51:03 ~-~-> 00:51:10 |ass. I've lost my ass trying to use that logic. Every single time I trusted what | ||
576 | |575 |00:51:10 ~-~-> 00:51:14 |I thought was obvious and strong resistance. If it looks smooth like | ||
577 | |576 |00:51:14 ~-~-> 00:51:19 |this, you can bet your ass are running through that, just like the SWAT team is | ||
578 | |577 |00:51:19 ~-~-> 00:51:22 |going to kick that door in. They've already done a SWAT move down here, | ||
579 | |578 |00:51:22 ~-~-> 00:51:26 |they've already busted through the door. It's all busted up jagged. Here, it's | ||
580 | |579 |00:51:26 ~-~-> 00:51:33 |all smooth, real smooth highs. And they do this to instigate the idea that it's | ||
581 | |580 |00:51:33 ~-~-> 00:51:38 |safe to trust that as resistance. So what will traders do, they'll will | ||
582 | |581 |00:51:38 ~-~-> 00:51:42 |they'll want to go short. So when they go short, if they're thinking about | ||
583 | |582 |00:51:42 ~-~-> 00:51:48 |protecting their money, that's a good thing. They'll place their stop loss | ||
584 | |583 |00:51:48 ~-~-> 00:51:51 |rate above these highs, what kind of stops | ||
585 | |584 |00:51:56 ~-~-> 00:52:03 |by stops, okay, so they're thinking that if they can go short in here or in here, | ||
586 | |585 |00:52:03 ~-~-> 00:52:06 |or they don't catch the move, they see this run here, what they're gonna do, | ||
587 | |586 |00:52:06 ~-~-> 00:52:11 |they're gonna chase it. They're gonna chase it and go short, then they have | ||
588 | |587 |00:52:11 ~-~-> 00:52:16 |all this potential inefficiency that they could actually see go against them | ||
589 | |588 |00:52:16 ~-~-> 00:52:21 |while they're in a trade, and that might squeeze them out. Or if they're just a | ||
590 | |589 |00:52:21 ~-~-> 00:52:24 |chaser in price, because they don't know where the markets gonna go. And they | ||
591 | |590 |00:52:24 ~-~-> 00:52:27 |haven't really over leveraged, they use the smallest in terms of leverage, they | ||
592 | |591 |00:52:27 ~-~-> 00:52:31 |can afford to even chase it. Even though that's not a good way of trading, that | ||
593 | |592 |00:52:31 ~-~-> 00:52:33 |they can afford to put a stop loss off here, because they're not trying to | ||
594 | |593 |00:52:33 ~-~-> 00:52:41 |trade with 15 contracts. Wink wink, nudge nudge, they had the smallest | ||
595 | |594 |00:52:41 ~-~-> 00:52:44 |leverage on so they're going to place their stop loss up here, because they | ||
596 | |595 |00:52:44 ~-~-> 00:52:47 |understand they're not that great in terms of precision. But they know that | ||
597 | |596 |00:52:47 ~-~-> 00:52:50 |this has proven to them that they think it's going to be acting as resistance. | ||
598 | |597 |00:52:50 ~-~-> 00:52:56 |It's not, but that's what they're being trained to think. So if you do this over | ||
599 | |598 |00:52:56 ~-~-> 00:53:00 |and over and over again, reading books, looking at the examples that they want | ||
600 | |599 |00:53:00 ~-~-> 00:53:07 |you to see, you will believe you will be indoctrinated, seeing that this is | ||
601 | |600 |00:53:07 ~-~-> 00:53:11 |resistance. So therefore the market should not go through that. See how that | ||
602 | |601 |00:53:11 ~-~-> 00:53:17 |ingrains in your mind that you're going to believe it. Because you paid for the | ||
603 | |602 |00:53:17 ~-~-> 00:53:21 |book, you took the time to read the book. And these people are claiming | ||
604 | |603 |00:53:21 ~-~-> 00:53:25 |they've been doing it before you and they claim it works. So right away, | ||
605 | |604 |00:53:25 ~-~-> 00:53:30 |you're you're being brainwashed. I'm not trying to brainwash you, I'm telling you | ||
606 | |605 |00:53:30 ~-~-> 00:53:34 |don't believe anything, I say, use the logic that I'm talking about and go in | ||
607 | |606 |00:53:34 ~-~-> 00:53:38 |and see if it doesn't work for you. In every single instance, the people that | ||
608 | |607 |00:53:38 ~-~-> 00:53:43 |tried to do that with a real interest in trying to debunk it, they become a | ||
609 | |608 |00:53:43 ~-~-> 00:53:46 |student, and then they get fucking funded, they make money, and some of | ||
610 | |609 |00:53:46 ~-~-> 00:53:50 |them have gone on to make a lot of money. And that's why that's how I | ||
611 | |610 |00:53:50 ~-~-> 00:53:54 |market myself, I'd say don't believe what I say, go in use the logic that I'm | ||
612 | |611 |00:53:54 ~-~-> 00:53:58 |teaching you. And you see if I'm foolish enough, and then you'll read away know | ||
613 | |612 |00:53:58 ~-~-> 00:54:02 |if this stuff works. You don't need to listen to somebody else. And when you | ||
614 | |613 |00:54:02 ~-~-> 00:54:06 |see this logic that is turned on its head, retail logic is what I'm referring | ||
615 | |614 |00:54:06 ~-~-> 00:54:11 |to. There's no need to go down below all this stuff or even revisited when this | ||
616 | |615 |00:54:11 ~-~-> 00:54:17 |is left intact. This is all smooth. This is all smooth, and it needs to be made | ||
617 | |616 |00:54:17 ~-~-> 00:54:23 |jagged. So if price is down here, how do we use that logic to answer my son, I | ||
618 | |617 |00:54:23 ~-~-> 00:54:28 |said, look where this is smooth. And you see how this is smashed down several | ||
619 | |618 |00:54:28 ~-~-> 00:54:34 |times. It looks like sharp teeth on the side of an edge of assault, right? So | ||
620 | |619 |00:54:34 ~-~-> 00:54:39 |they tore us all up down here. And this is all left smooth and intact. So when | ||
621 | |620 |00:54:39 ~-~-> 00:54:42 |we're in these small little consolidations like this and you don't | ||
622 | |621 |00:54:42 ~-~-> 00:54:45 |know what side the marketplace is going to run for, look for where it's left | ||
623 | |622 |00:54:45 ~-~-> 00:54:51 |smooth edges. That's this side here. I was not bearish this morning. You should | ||
624 | |623 |00:54:51 ~-~-> 00:54:53 |not have been bearish if you're a student of mine because we've already | ||
625 | |624 |00:54:53 ~-~-> 00:54:57 |seen how they've done the damage down here. Plus the market is still trying to | ||
626 | |625 |00:54:57 ~-~-> 00:55:00 |reach for that old daily high. What I mean by that let's go alto daily chart | ||
627 | |626 |00:55:06 ~-~-> 00:55:13 |see this one over here on the weekly range, my analysis says I'm going to | ||
628 | |627 |00:55:13 ~-~-> 00:55:18 |look to see if they can try to trade up to that. So until proven wrong, unless | ||
629 | |628 |00:55:18 ~-~-> 00:55:23 |CPI comes out tomorrow and completely this decimates all this market structure | ||
630 | |629 |00:55:23 ~-~-> 00:55:29 |here, I'm anticipating today or going into CPI tomorrow that we run up into | ||
631 | |630 |00:55:29 ~-~-> 00:55:34 |and through the 16,000 to 64. Now, obviously, I'm using the December | ||
632 | |631 |00:55:34 ~-~-> 00:55:40 |contract. So let's take a quick little peek real quick over the this is the | ||
633 | |632 |00:55:40 ~-~-> 00:55:46 |symbol for March 2024. Okay, so when you're on TradingView, it's NQ. H, the | ||
634 | |633 |00:55:46 ~-~-> 00:55:52 |symbol H is for March, the symbol for June is m, the symbol for s, I'm sorry, | ||
635 | |634 |00:55:52 ~-~-> 00:55:56 |for September is s, and lowercase letters, D is for the summer contract. | ||
636 | |635 |00:55:57 ~-~-> 00:56:03 |So we're rolling away from the December of 2023 into March 2024. That H is for | ||
637 | |636 |00:56:03 ~-~-> 00:56:09 |that contract month. Okay, so if you do this, you can see my levels already | ||
638 | |637 |00:56:09 ~-~-> 00:56:15 |there. So it's already close to that, and then this one right there. So drop | ||
639 | |638 |00:56:15 ~-~-> 00:56:23 |it over here doesn't take much to get to the March objective. And we pierced it | ||
640 | |639 |00:56:23 ~-~-> 00:56:27 |today. I don't think it stops there is when I'm getting that because I'm using | ||
641 | |640 |00:56:27 ~-~-> 00:56:32 |the logic that even though that its volume is rolling out of December into | ||
642 | |641 |00:56:32 ~-~-> 00:56:36 |March, December still gonna be trading, December still gonna be traded, even on | ||
643 | |642 |00:56:36 ~-~-> 00:56:41 |the day of expiration, it may not be a lot, but it's still being traded. So I'm | ||
644 | |643 |00:56:41 ~-~-> 00:56:46 |not advocating for you to trade that long. But there's unfinished business up | ||
645 | |644 |00:56:46 ~-~-> 00:56:52 |here, based on what that front month right now, which is December still, even | ||
646 | |645 |00:56:52 ~-~-> 00:57:01 |though volume is highest in the March 2024 contract, December still active. So | ||
647 | |646 |00:57:01 ~-~-> 00:57:04 |you can't discount that. So when I'm looking at it, I don't just simply say, | ||
648 | |647 |00:57:04 ~-~-> 00:57:10 |Okay, forget what December contracts dealing in a chart only focus on 2024. | ||
649 | |648 |00:57:10 ~-~-> 00:57:15 |Because if you do that, you are literally putting blinders on. You can't | ||
650 | |649 |00:57:15 ~-~-> 00:57:19 |simply because you rolled over, and you're actively trading now, March | ||
651 | |650 |00:57:19 ~-~-> 00:57:23 |contract and 2024 if you're trading this contract here, and and there's nothing | ||
652 | |651 |00:57:23 ~-~-> 00:57:29 |wrong about doing that, but you can't ignore, you can't be oblivious to what | ||
653 | |652 |00:57:29 ~-~-> 00:57:33 |that December contract still has in play. Because that liquidity still is | ||
654 | |653 |00:57:33 ~-~-> 00:57:40 |what it's a factor. So if we have that in mind, you go back into the summer | ||
655 | |654 |00:57:40 ~-~-> 00:57:51 |contract here. Go back down into 15 timeframe. So while we're in here, we're | ||
656 | |655 |00:57:51 ~-~-> 00:57:57 |going up into what time? Okay, Dave, listen, don't get too crazy. Okay. | ||
657 | |656 |00:57:57 ~-~-> 00:58:00 |Because time is still the most important thing. You're taking a post I made on | ||
658 | |657 |00:58:00 ~-~-> 00:58:05 |Twitter at a context, I was practicing just reading price action just by in and | ||
659 | |658 |00:58:05 ~-~-> 00:58:09 |of itself. But the importance of time cannot be diminished. All the real | ||
660 | |659 |00:58:09 ~-~-> 00:58:13 |moves, the sustained price runs that run for significant price runs to | ||
661 | |660 |00:58:13 ~-~-> 00:58:18 |inefficiencies or liquidity are going to be based on a time delivery schedule. It | ||
662 | |661 |00:58:18 ~-~-> 00:58:22 |is always based on time, time, time, time, time, without time, you can't do | ||
663 | |662 |00:58:22 ~-~-> 00:58:26 |shit, period. You can't do anything. Because if the market is open, can you | ||
664 | |663 |00:58:26 ~-~-> 00:58:32 |put anything into a trade? No. That you might argue say that's the extreme | ||
665 | |664 |00:58:32 ~-~-> 00:58:36 |argument. And of course, it goes without saying, but none of the sustain price | ||
666 | |665 |00:58:36 ~-~-> 00:58:40 |runs where significant price runs ever manifest themselves at the time periods | ||
667 | |666 |00:58:40 ~-~-> 00:58:45 |I pointed out. Look at the macro. That's, that's a small window of time. | ||
668 | |667 |00:58:46 ~-~-> 00:58:51 |20 minutes 20 Little minutes. Okay, and I can time every significant price run | ||
669 | |668 |00:58:51 ~-~-> 00:58:56 |is going to occur intraday on a one minute chart. That's what a macro does. | ||
670 | |669 |00:58:56 ~-~-> 00:59:03 |So can you tell, can you hear how I've been wanting to do this, and I've been | ||
671 | |670 |00:59:03 ~-~-> 00:59:08 |starved. I didn't want to be here. I didn't set my schedule to be here for a | ||
672 | |671 |00:59:08 ~-~-> 00:59:14 |long time. But I've been really missing doing this. And now because I'm out of | ||
673 | |672 |00:59:14 ~-~-> 00:59:20 |the cage for a little while today. I'm having fun with it. But don't discount | ||
674 | |673 |00:59:20 ~-~-> 00:59:25 |time or place price overtop of Time, time is always going to be paramount and | ||
675 | |674 |00:59:25 ~-~-> 00:59:33 |above price. Always every instance of it. Every single instance, time is going | ||
676 | |675 |00:59:33 ~-~-> 00:59:38 |to be the absolute Paramount principle that is going to be the largest factor | ||
677 | |676 |00:59:38 ~-~-> 00:59:43 |in why price is going to move. Don't believe me? Look at the economic | ||
678 | |677 |00:59:43 ~-~-> 00:59:47 |calendar to cancel any argument against it initially right away. Because CPI | ||
679 | |678 |00:59:47 ~-~-> 00:59:51 |tomorrow when it comes out. It doesn't matter what the fuck you trade. It's | ||
680 | |679 |00:59:51 ~-~-> 00:59:58 |going to rip your face off. He's going to rip your face off. You're not going | ||
681 | |680 |00:59:58 ~-~-> 01:00:02 |to be able to trade it. You're going to be dead estimated, and nobody can stand | ||
682 | |681 |01:00:02 ~-~-> 01:00:06 |in front of that. Not not with any assurance that they're going to be | ||
683 | |682 |01:00:07 ~-~-> 01:00:11 |having an outcome that's favorable, not consistently. And I feel like I'm pretty | ||
684 | |683 |01:00:11 ~-~-> 01:00:15 |good trader, and I can't find consistency ahead of CPI every single | ||
685 | |684 |01:00:15 ~-~-> 01:00:19 |time it comes around. Once in a while I'll get it right once in a while, but | ||
686 | |685 |01:00:19 ~-~-> 01:00:22 |most of the time I'm not. So I have to wait for that first initial delivery, | ||
687 | |686 |01:00:22 ~-~-> 01:00:27 |and then look for where it left pores weak in that price run. That means | ||
688 | |687 |01:00:27 ~-~-> 01:00:32 |inefficiencies fair value gaps. And what liquidity in terms of old highs or lows | ||
689 | |688 |01:00:32 ~-~-> 01:00:38 |that they left smooth like this? That is that complicated. Folks? Forget | ||
690 | |689 |01:00:38 ~-~-> 01:00:43 |everything else at this Jawbone about Okay. Isn't it easier for you to not | ||
691 | |690 |01:00:43 ~-~-> 01:00:46 |worry about what setting your indicators should be on? What indicator to even | ||
692 | |691 |01:00:46 ~-~-> 01:00:51 |use? What moving average? What fucking trendline to draw from? Okay, what | ||
693 | |692 |01:00:51 ~-~-> 01:00:56 |volume node to worry about? Nothing about depth of market, you don't need to | ||
694 | |693 |01:00:56 ~-~-> 01:01:00 |worry about what any particular price it on any DOM is going to be any factor for | ||
695 | |694 |01:01:00 ~-~-> 01:01:05 |you. No, it isn't. It's not needed. Because you can clearly see at this | ||
696 | |695 |01:01:05 ~-~-> 01:01:12 |level here 16,120 Has buyside or biceps resting above it. Because it's smooth. | ||
697 | |696 |01:01:13 ~-~-> 01:01:16 |You don't need a depth of market, you don't need level two data. You don't | ||
698 | |697 |01:01:16 ~-~-> 01:01:20 |need a market map or book map or anything else out there. To do this. | ||
699 | |698 |01:01:21 ~-~-> 01:01:26 |It's all on one chart. One timeframe. It's the 15 minute timeframe. Okay, the | ||
700 | |699 |01:01:26 ~-~-> 01:01:33 |same thing we see. What is this over here? Are they smooth? These are smooth. | ||
701 | |700 |01:01:34 ~-~-> 01:01:40 |These are smooth. It's all part of that same consolidation, isn't it? What do we | ||
702 | |701 |01:01:40 ~-~-> 01:01:45 |have right there? It stepped outside of it. Did it stay there? No. Did it | ||
703 | |702 |01:01:45 ~-~-> 01:01:51 |retreat away from it? Yes. But we're going into the time what time 830. But | ||
704 | |703 |01:01:51 ~-~-> 01:01:55 |there's no news coming out. 830. Michael, it doesn't fucking matter. | ||
705 | |704 |01:01:55 ~-~-> 01:01:58 |Because 830 is when the algorithm is going to do it. It doesn't matter if | ||
706 | |705 |01:01:58 ~-~-> 01:02:01 |there's no news there doesn't matter if your economic calendar says there's a | ||
707 | |706 |01:02:01 ~-~-> 01:02:06 |medium impact news driver, or low impact news driver or a high impact news driver | ||
708 | |707 |01:02:06 ~-~-> 01:02:13 |is going to start running based on that time of day. Now, that means, Okay, | ||
709 | |708 |01:02:13 ~-~-> 01:02:20 |listen, friends and neighbors. Listen. If we can look at price like this, we | ||
710 | |709 |01:02:20 ~-~-> 01:02:25 |can already come to the conclusion that we want to anticipate and expect and not | ||
711 | |710 |01:02:25 ~-~-> 01:02:32 |be fucking surprised when the market goes up at 930 and into the lunch hour. | ||
712 | |711 |01:02:32 ~-~-> 01:02:39 |Why? Because it has all of this. And this on a daily chart to reach for | ||
713 | |712 |01:02:39 ~-~-> 01:02:43 |remember that December contract is active right now. But it's rolling over? | ||
714 | |713 |01:02:43 ~-~-> 01:02:51 |Do they want to leave those individuals that have a stoploss? Up here in before | ||
715 | |714 |01:02:51 ~-~-> 01:02:55 |the rollover is completed, and now March is still true now becomes the front | ||
716 | |715 |01:02:55 ~-~-> 01:02:59 |month and most active? They're not going to do that. It's most likely not. Let's | ||
717 | |716 |01:02:59 ~-~-> 01:03:02 |say let me let me rephrase that, because I've done this one time before, and it | ||
718 | |717 |01:03:02 ~-~-> 01:03:06 |didn't pan out. But I want you to hear the logic. This is what I this is what I | ||
719 | |718 |01:03:06 ~-~-> 01:03:12 |lean on and as to why I'm doing it. Now. Take away the roller aspect. Say that is | ||
720 | |719 |01:03:12 ~-~-> 01:03:16 |not a factor right now. And you're trading at a time where it's weeks or | ||
721 | |720 |01:03:16 ~-~-> 01:03:21 |months before the contract is rolling over? No words, we have plenty of time | ||
722 | |721 |01:03:21 ~-~-> 01:03:24 |before contract, your trading expires. Okay, take that out. Everything else | ||
723 | |722 |01:03:24 ~-~-> 01:03:31 |remains the same. Is that complicated? am I hiding something from it? From you | ||
724 | |723 |01:03:31 ~-~-> 01:03:35 |as the student? No, I'm literally simplifying this, the only thing you're | ||
725 | |724 |01:03:35 ~-~-> 01:03:41 |doing every single day is determined. On the weekend, you're gonna look at that | ||
726 | |725 |01:03:41 ~-~-> 01:03:46 |weekly chart and say, Okay, well, let's do it. It's a lot easier to simply do it | ||
727 | |726 |01:03:46 ~-~-> 01:03:53 |right. Let me take these off, we'll go to a weekly chart. All right, here's | ||
728 | |727 |01:03:53 ~-~-> 01:04:00 |that high, you see that. This is the December contract is the front month, | ||
729 | |728 |01:04:00 ~-~-> 01:04:07 |it's still active. This is where buyside is residing. We went down into a fair | ||
730 | |729 |01:04:07 ~-~-> 01:04:08 |value gap between here | ||
731 | |730 |01:04:13 ~-~-> 01:04:20 |so it dropped down halfway point, look at the midpoint of that rectangle. And I | ||
732 | |731 |01:04:20 ~-~-> 01:04:23 |got a question in the comment section. I'm glad that this did this. One of my | ||
733 | |732 |01:04:24 ~-~-> 01:04:28 |students asked how do I get that little horizontal line in the rectangle. When | ||
734 | |733 |01:04:28 ~-~-> 01:04:34 |you go to the rectangle properties go to style middle line. If you toggle that | ||
735 | |734 |01:04:34 ~-~-> 01:04:39 |it'll put the line in here and see how it goes right down the middle. Perfect. | ||
736 | |735 |01:04:40 ~-~-> 01:04:45 |That's algorithmic that's not harmonic fucking. So by side liquidity here. | ||
737 | |736 |01:04:46 ~-~-> 01:04:51 |That's my, my understanding and my expectation is they're going to run for | ||
738 | |737 |01:04:51 ~-~-> 01:04:56 |that level not because that is Ohioans resistance, but because there's orders | ||
739 | |738 |01:04:56 ~-~-> 01:05:01 |up there. There's an interest to get out of the market that are long By and large | ||
740 | |739 |01:05:01 ~-~-> 01:05:06 |funds absolutely have liquidity in the form of a buy stop right there, because | ||
741 | |740 |01:05:06 ~-~-> 01:05:11 |they're trying to do what they're trying to ride down long, sustained price runs. | ||
742 | |741 |01:05:12 ~-~-> 01:05:15 |And they're not trailing our stop loss here, here, here. They don't trade like | ||
743 | |742 |01:05:15 ~-~-> 01:05:21 |that. There's many models that run on a large fund level, that they never move | ||
744 | |743 |01:05:21 ~-~-> 01:05:25 |their stop, because they have a long term trend following model. They don't | ||
745 | |744 |01:05:25 ~-~-> 01:05:27 |want to be babysitting it, they don't need to, because even if they do get | ||
746 | |745 |01:05:27 ~-~-> 01:05:32 |stopped out, over time, I'll give you a perfect example, the Turtles, their | ||
747 | |746 |01:05:32 ~-~-> 01:05:38 |accuracy sucked. It was atrocious. But they had sustained price runs that they | ||
748 | |747 |01:05:38 ~-~-> 01:05:41 |could be participants of. And that's what carried them through. So they had | ||
749 | |748 |01:05:41 ~-~-> 01:05:46 |very, very low strike, right? That means the accuracy of their trades were very | ||
750 | |749 |01:05:46 ~-~-> 01:05:51 |low. But their winners when they were winners were huge. They would catch I | ||
751 | |750 |01:05:51 ~-~-> 01:05:54 |mean, well think about it like this, if they went short here, you went short | ||
752 | |751 |01:05:54 ~-~-> 01:05:57 |here, and you wrote it all down here. Forget what I'm talking about here in | ||
753 | |752 |01:05:57 ~-~-> 01:06:01 |terms of not showing stop loss. But if that was a sustained run over the course | ||
754 | |753 |01:06:01 ~-~-> 01:06:06 |of months, not weeks, even though it is months, but say each one of these was | ||
755 | |754 |01:06:06 ~-~-> 01:06:11 |represented by a month. That gives them the opportunity should they trade to a | ||
756 | |755 |01:06:11 ~-~-> 01:06:17 |target or objective is met, they can be taken down huge, huge harvest of | ||
757 | |756 |01:06:17 ~-~-> 01:06:23 |profits, millions of dollars. And they can afford to take losses of 1020 30,000 | ||
758 | |757 |01:06:23 ~-~-> 01:06:27 |our losses in the grand scheme of thing because if they're taking millions of | ||
759 | |758 |01:06:27 ~-~-> 01:06:31 |dollars out when they win, are you going to lose sleep over that, even if your | ||
760 | |759 |01:06:31 ~-~-> 01:06:39 |accuracy is less than 20%? Think about. So. Anyway, the point is my analysis | ||
761 | |760 |01:06:39 ~-~-> 01:06:43 |this weekend while I was sitting outside looking and hoping it would get away | ||
762 | |761 |01:06:43 ~-~-> 01:06:49 |Christmas. The the chariot was telling me I want to focus on this high as a | ||
763 | |762 |01:06:49 ~-~-> 01:06:53 |drain on liquidity for the weekly chart. So right away is does ICT want to go | ||
764 | |763 |01:06:53 ~-~-> 01:06:56 |short this week? Hell no, I don't want to go short. I don't want to be short, I | ||
765 | |764 |01:06:56 ~-~-> 01:07:03 |don't want to look for anything short. But I have to be aware of what that high | ||
766 | |765 |01:07:03 ~-~-> 01:07:06 |right there that failed to get there the first time I tried. So this high here is | ||
767 | |766 |01:07:06 ~-~-> 01:07:11 |important. So these two levels you would have on your chart, these are very | ||
768 | |767 |01:07:11 ~-~-> 01:07:17 |significant price levels that you have to have the awareness of I have a | ||
769 | |768 |01:07:17 ~-~-> 01:07:20 |notepad, it's a simple little tiny little yellow notepad I've shown it | ||
770 | |769 |01:07:20 ~-~-> 01:07:25 |before. I'm not going into the business of showing you what I'm writing because | ||
771 | |770 |01:07:25 ~-~-> 01:07:30 |every single time I mentioned this new Pat, you think I have something secret | ||
772 | |771 |01:07:30 ~-~-> 01:07:33 |written down on and the only thing I have written down at or are specific | ||
773 | |772 |01:07:33 ~-~-> 01:07:38 |levels that I'm highlighting, just like I'm showing you here. Instead of having | ||
774 | |773 |01:07:38 ~-~-> 01:07:42 |it on my chart, I'm writing down the levels that are shown. | ||
775 | |774 |01:07:50 ~-~-> 01:07:58 |The blue lines, see the levels they are. But levels at 16,000 208 50 were like at | ||
776 | |775 |01:07:58 ~-~-> 01:08:02 |that level from that I posted on the Community tab there. It's important to | ||
777 | |776 |01:08:02 ~-~-> 01:08:07 |me, this should be traded above it. This is where I think that we're going to go | ||
778 | |777 |01:08:07 ~-~-> 01:08:13 |for for the week. See that. So there is a drop in liquidity down looking for | ||
779 | |778 |01:08:13 ~-~-> 01:08:19 |that may be a factor doesn't mean it's a have to have a go there. It doesn't have | ||
780 | |779 |01:08:19 ~-~-> 01:08:24 |to go to these levels, if it's used for the context of a intraday objective or | ||
781 | |780 |01:08:24 ~-~-> 01:08:28 |session. Like if I'm trading the morning session indices. Or if I'm trading the | ||
782 | |781 |01:08:28 ~-~-> 01:08:33 |afternoon session and the indices, I have an objective I'm reaching for. But | ||
783 | |782 |01:08:33 ~-~-> 01:08:38 |when I execute my trades do not have a dependency on that target being met | ||
784 | |783 |01:08:38 ~-~-> 01:08:43 |before I'm profitable. I'm gonna say that again, because for some of you that | ||
785 | |784 |01:08:43 ~-~-> 01:08:47 |are new and went right over your head, there is a best case scenario objective | ||
786 | |785 |01:08:47 ~-~-> 01:08:52 |or target that I believe that the market will want to reach for, I do not need it | ||
787 | |786 |01:08:52 ~-~-> 01:08:59 |to get to that level before I profit. I'm looking to engage price. With that | ||
788 | |787 |01:08:59 ~-~-> 01:09:04 |in mind as a draw for price. It's like a magnet, it'll it'll pull price towards | ||
789 | |788 |01:09:04 ~-~-> 01:09:09 |that level. And it matters not to me as the trader if it trades to it. Now, what | ||
790 | |789 |01:09:09 ~-~-> 01:09:15 |does that do? It removes all of the fear about being wrong. And the importance of | ||
791 | |790 |01:09:15 ~-~-> 01:09:22 |being right. It's completely canceled out. I'm trading with probability it | ||
792 | |791 |01:09:22 ~-~-> 01:09:26 |might go there is a large degree of probability that that pool of liquidity | ||
793 | |792 |01:09:26 ~-~-> 01:09:29 |above are high or relatively equal highs or something to that effect. If I'm | ||
794 | |793 |01:09:29 ~-~-> 01:09:33 |bullish. It might reach there. It might reach this high today, it might. But | ||
795 | |794 |01:09:33 ~-~-> 01:09:37 |guess what, my example I showed this morning, I'm going to walk you through | ||
796 | |795 |01:09:37 ~-~-> 01:09:44 |didn't require that and still was profitable demo, because I'm teaching it | ||
797 | |796 |01:09:45 ~-~-> 01:09:49 |when I'm not teaching and I'm quiet and I'm showing examples and I'm showing | ||
798 | |797 |01:09:49 ~-~-> 01:09:51 |other people out there that claim they make money and then I don't trade with | ||
799 | |798 |01:09:51 ~-~-> 01:09:57 |real money. I'm doing it with an amp account I went into I can't remember the | ||
800 | |799 |01:09:57 ~-~-> 01:10:03 |name of the company. Give me a second here. I gotta go on my phone like, I'm | ||
801 | |800 |01:10:03 ~-~-> 01:10:12 |having a senior moment. Thinkorswim Okay, Thinkorswim I logged in I showed | ||
802 | |801 |01:10:12 ~-~-> 01:10:15 |three months of trading. Okay, everybody that's out there crowing about how I | ||
803 | |802 |01:10:15 ~-~-> 01:10:19 |don't ever show a Live account I've never showed statements are never show a | ||
804 | |803 |01:10:19 ~-~-> 01:10:24 |loss. Go in there and ask your guru to go in and show the last three months of | ||
805 | |804 |01:10:24 ~-~-> 01:10:27 |their trading. They're gonna fucking clam up and shut up and probably block | ||
806 | |805 |01:10:27 ~-~-> 01:10:32 |and being you. Okay? Every question everyone's ever asked of me. I've done | ||
807 | |806 |01:10:32 ~-~-> 01:10:35 |it. And now I'm going in the Robins cup, and I'm gonna fucking win Robins cup and | ||
808 | |807 |01:10:35 ~-~-> 01:10:38 |2020 forced to shut your fucking mouth coming in here and compete against me if | ||
809 | |808 |01:10:38 ~-~-> 01:10:41 |you got something to say, because this is your last time to do it. This is your | ||
810 | |809 |01:10:41 ~-~-> 01:10:47 |last time to do it. But there has to be a rule based idea on what you're trying | ||
811 | |810 |01:10:47 ~-~-> 01:10:50 |to do every single day. And if you don't stick to that rule based idea, you're | ||
812 | |811 |01:10:50 ~-~-> 01:10:57 |gonna wing it all the time. And when you get lucky, lucky. You're gonna attribute | ||
813 | |812 |01:10:57 ~-~-> 01:11:02 |that as skill falsely. And you're gonna go into the market on another impulse. | ||
814 | |813 |01:11:03 ~-~-> 01:11:07 |Thinking you're doing something that is skill, but you're not doing anything | ||
815 | |814 |01:11:07 ~-~-> 01:11:11 |that has been consistently fallen. There's no rule based idea. There's no | ||
816 | |815 |01:11:12 ~-~-> 01:11:16 |protocol being used. You're just winging it, you get a hunch, you fall to my | ||
817 | |816 |01:11:16 ~-~-> 01:11:19 |house on social media, oh, they they're doing this. So I think it's gonna go | ||
818 | |817 |01:11:19 ~-~-> 01:11:23 |there too. That's why I don't want to teach you that way. Because what that | ||
819 | |818 |01:11:23 ~-~-> 01:11:28 |does is it keeps it creates a codependence, I want you to have | ||
820 | |819 |01:11:28 ~-~-> 01:11:32 |independence and your ability to reprise and find your own setups and trust, what | ||
821 | |820 |01:11:32 ~-~-> 01:11:37 |you're doing is going to lead you to an expectation and result that you're going | ||
822 | |821 |01:11:37 ~-~-> 01:11:41 |to be satisfied with and not have a leash or a tethering to me or anyone | ||
823 | |822 |01:11:41 ~-~-> 01:11:47 |else. Because that sucks. That That doesn't give you confidence. Because | ||
824 | |823 |01:11:47 ~-~-> 01:11:51 |what happens if I said, if I was doing all the time, I was giving you my trades | ||
825 | |824 |01:11:51 ~-~-> 01:11:56 |and let you follow me. If I say okay, I'm done. You want to crucify Me and | ||
826 | |825 |01:11:56 ~-~-> 01:12:03 |burn me at a steak, because now your income is then cut off. Replace me with | ||
827 | |826 |01:12:03 ~-~-> 01:12:05 |anyone else that you're trying to follow for signals, because that's exactly what | ||
828 | |827 |01:12:05 ~-~-> 01:12:09 |you do, you're placing yourself in a position where you're dependent on them | ||
829 | |828 |01:12:09 ~-~-> 01:12:13 |constantly feeding you just like your employer, fuck them, you want to be | ||
830 | |829 |01:12:13 ~-~-> 01:12:17 |independent, you want to get away from them, you want to get away from them and | ||
831 | |830 |01:12:17 ~-~-> 01:12:21 |have your own mindset, your own ability to follow the rules that you've grown | ||
832 | |831 |01:12:21 ~-~-> 01:12:25 |accustomed to trusting. They served you well in the past. So therefore, you're | ||
833 | |832 |01:12:25 ~-~-> 01:12:28 |going to trust them just like you trust the route, you take the work every | ||
834 | |833 |01:12:28 ~-~-> 01:12:32 |single day, you have a favorite route, you drive to work every single day, you | ||
835 | |834 |01:12:32 ~-~-> 01:12:35 |might have a detour, there might be something going on that you get jerked | ||
836 | |835 |01:12:35 ~-~-> 01:12:39 |out of your your comfort level, you got to pick another route to get there. But | ||
837 | |836 |01:12:39 ~-~-> 01:12:42 |you can still find your way to work, right? Well, that's why I have more than | ||
838 | |837 |01:12:42 ~-~-> 01:12:49 |one model. I have a model that I love. I have a model that most every single day | ||
839 | |838 |01:12:49 ~-~-> 01:12:57 |will appear in some capacity or another. And if I don't get that one, it doesn't | ||
840 | |839 |01:12:57 ~-~-> 01:13:00 |mean I can't take a trade. It just means that oh, okay, I can't use that one. Or | ||
841 | |840 |01:13:00 ~-~-> 01:13:05 |if I get in from the charts. And I miss a move. Okay, for instance, I was at the | ||
842 | |841 |01:13:05 ~-~-> 01:13:09 |dentist's office with my son. And well, hopefully I've already communicated | ||
843 | |842 |01:13:09 ~-~-> 01:13:12 |this. Okay, so this is a daily objective, because we're real close to | ||
844 | |843 |01:13:12 ~-~-> 01:13:15 |it. And then for the week, I think that we're reaching up to here, it doesn't | ||
845 | |844 |01:13:15 ~-~-> 01:13:18 |need to go to either one of these for meeting profitable. That's, that's what | ||
846 | |845 |01:13:18 ~-~-> 01:13:24 |I'm getting at. Okay, so now go back down to a 15 timeframe. And that should | ||
847 | |846 |01:13:24 ~-~-> 01:13:36 |take me back into the 15 1515 timeframe, rather. I wasn't in front of the charts. | ||
848 | |847 |01:13:37 ~-~-> 01:13:40 |And I wasn't going to try to execute anything from my phone because I was | ||
849 | |848 |01:13:40 ~-~-> 01:13:44 |getting questioned by the dentist. Do I want to do this for my son? Or do I want | ||
850 | |849 |01:13:44 ~-~-> 01:13:48 |to have this procedure done? Do I want to have this teeth sealed all kinds of | ||
851 | |850 |01:13:48 ~-~-> 01:13:53 |stuff. So I knew if I entered something, and they would ask me questions, it | ||
852 | |851 |01:13:53 ~-~-> 01:14:00 |would distract me and I can't do that. And trade. I gotta have my peace of mind | ||
853 | |852 |01:14:00 ~-~-> 01:14:06 |and not having my messing with me. So had I been in front of the charts. Okay, | ||
854 | |853 |01:14:06 ~-~-> 01:14:10 |using all this logic. We're in here expecting what 830 is gonna start the | ||
855 | |854 |01:14:10 ~-~-> 01:14:15 |clock, it's gonna start running. So you have that one hour window prior to what? | ||
856 | |855 |01:14:15 ~-~-> 01:14:21 |The opening bell at what 930 New York local time. So right here on this | ||
857 | |856 |01:14:21 ~-~-> 01:14:28 |candle. That's the 930 candle. Don't worry about time you say? Well, there's | ||
858 | |857 |01:14:28 ~-~-> 01:14:32 |your there's your volatility coming in. What's it running for on that one single | ||
859 | |858 |01:14:32 ~-~-> 01:14:37 |candle on a 15 timeframe? What's it running rate for? Where retail thinks | ||
860 | |859 |01:14:37 ~-~-> 01:14:43 |they're safe? They're safe right here they think. No, no, no, no. Despite what | ||
861 | |860 |01:14:43 ~-~-> 01:14:50 |your bedtime story tells you. There are monsters under the bed. There's monsters | ||
862 | |861 |01:14:50 ~-~-> 01:14:55 |in the closet. And they're going to come out and snatch your ass up despite | ||
863 | |862 |01:14:55 ~-~-> 01:14:58 |whether you believe in them or not, because that's what this market does it | ||
864 | |863 |01:14:58 ~-~-> 01:15:03 |cannibalizes Whether you want to accept it or not, you like to walk in here and | ||
865 | |864 |01:15:03 ~-~-> 01:15:07 |think it's a sporting event, you want to have analogies that make it seem like | ||
866 | |865 |01:15:07 ~-~-> 01:15:11 |you're running a race. You're climbing a mountain, it's all great. It's | ||
867 | |866 |01:15:11 ~-~-> 01:15:17 |independent sport. It's wonderful. It's not It's fucking war. Okay, if you're on | ||
868 | |867 |01:15:17 ~-~-> 01:15:22 |the other side of my trade, I want you to be dashed on rocks, because I want | ||
869 | |868 |01:15:22 ~-~-> 01:15:25 |your money. And you're gonna take that sound clip and place it in things that | ||
870 | |869 |01:15:25 ~-~-> 01:15:29 |are out of context. But that's the mindset I have anybody that's on the | ||
871 | |870 |01:15:29 ~-~-> 01:15:36 |other side of my trade, I want them to be wrong. Why? Because for me to be | ||
872 | |871 |01:15:36 ~-~-> 01:15:42 |profitable, I have to have someone take the other side of that trade. That is an | ||
873 | |872 |01:15:42 ~-~-> 01:15:50 |opposing view. Now, for people that take this, and you think, well, that causes a | ||
874 | |873 |01:15:50 ~-~-> 01:15:55 |moral dilemma for me, because, you know, my belief, my, my faith, my religion, my | ||
875 | |874 |01:15:55 ~-~-> 01:15:59 |whatever, says that I shouldn't do that to people. Well, here's how I get around | ||
876 | |875 |01:15:59 ~-~-> 01:16:04 |this. Okay? The parable of talents. And I'm not going to be preaching, but I | ||
877 | |876 |01:16:04 ~-~-> 01:16:09 |just want to answer this because it has been brought up many times. If you read | ||
878 | |877 |01:16:09 ~-~-> 01:16:14 |it, the person that just buried the talent and didn't do anything, they were | ||
879 | |878 |01:16:14 ~-~-> 01:16:20 |chastised and said, Listen, you should have at least put it into the bank, or | ||
880 | |879 |01:16:20 ~-~-> 01:16:24 |the equivalent, so that way, they can get usury or interest on it. But they | ||
881 | |880 |01:16:24 ~-~-> 01:16:29 |didn't do that. So that means you're investing. So when you invest in a 401 k | ||
882 | |881 |01:16:29 ~-~-> 01:16:34 |does that 401k had a guaranteed outcome and profitability, Fuck no, nobody has | ||
883 | |882 |01:16:34 ~-~-> 01:16:40 |that. But what are you doing? You're investing, you're placing an investment | ||
884 | |883 |01:16:40 ~-~-> 01:16:44 |in there? What does the farmer do? When he's out there planting all of his crops | ||
885 | |884 |01:16:44 ~-~-> 01:16:47 |and stuff? He's doing what he's making an investment? Does he know he's gonna | ||
886 | |885 |01:16:47 ~-~-> 01:16:52 |have a bumper crop? No. So is that gambling that he's planting and trying | ||
887 | |886 |01:16:52 ~-~-> 01:16:58 |to put put forth and effort to multiply what he's been given? No, of course not. | ||
888 | |887 |01:16:58 ~-~-> 01:17:02 |He's not gambling, he's investing. So when you listen to these people in the | ||
889 | |888 |01:17:02 ~-~-> 01:17:07 |pulpit start to preach and teach to give you them 10% Of the of your money. But | ||
890 | |889 |01:17:07 ~-~-> 01:17:13 |trading is sin. They're a liar, they are a liar, and they are a wolf in sheep's | ||
891 | |890 |01:17:13 ~-~-> 01:17:16 |clothing. Okay, I have no problem with trading, I have no problem with | ||
892 | |891 |01:17:16 ~-~-> 01:17:25 |investing. But I have to understand and respect the the food chain here, okay. | ||
893 | |892 |01:17:26 ~-~-> 01:17:30 |When you first start to do this, you're going to be a losing trader most of the | ||
894 | |893 |01:17:30 ~-~-> 01:17:31 |time. | ||
895 | |894 |01:17:32 ~-~-> 01:17:37 |Now, the way I sleep at night is I look at it when I win and someone else's lost | ||
896 | |895 |01:17:37 ~-~-> 01:17:42 |the other side of that trade. I tell myself, there are novice though, either | ||
897 | |896 |01:17:42 ~-~-> 01:17:45 |learn from it, or they'll be smart and stop doing it all together. That's how I | ||
898 | |897 |01:17:45 ~-~-> 01:17:49 |work it out with my mind, that may not work for you. But that's my answer for | ||
899 | |898 |01:17:49 ~-~-> 01:17:53 |okay, I don't feel bad for the people that lost the money because they signed | ||
900 | |899 |01:17:53 ~-~-> 01:17:58 |the same risk disclosure that I did when I opened up my live accounts that you | ||
901 | |900 |01:17:58 ~-~-> 01:18:01 |don't ever read them. You go into you're gonna be right all the time. And that's | ||
902 | |901 |01:18:01 ~-~-> 01:18:05 |not practical. That's not realistic. Okay? That's why I never sugarcoat | ||
903 | |902 |01:18:05 ~-~-> 01:18:08 |anything. And for people that come here, and they hear it, talk to them like | ||
904 | |903 |01:18:08 ~-~-> 01:18:11 |this, it's like, well, I want to go to somebody else's gonna tickle my ears and | ||
905 | |904 |01:18:11 ~-~-> 01:18:14 |put a feather on my ass and make me feel like I'm gonna win all the time. Well, | ||
906 | |905 |01:18:14 ~-~-> 01:18:17 |that doesn't work like this, the real world's going to be very harsh. It's | ||
907 | |906 |01:18:17 ~-~-> 01:18:20 |going to take something from you every single day. Whether it be confidence, | ||
908 | |907 |01:18:21 ~-~-> 01:18:26 |money, hope, it's going to instill fear. This is war. This is exactly what goes | ||
909 | |908 |01:18:26 ~-~-> 01:18:30 |on all the time. But books aren't written like that, because they want you | ||
910 | |909 |01:18:30 ~-~-> 01:18:34 |to do what feel good about the author. I don't give a shit if you'd like me, I'm | ||
911 | |910 |01:18:34 ~-~-> 01:18:37 |telling you what this market is going to do, why it's going to do it, why it will | ||
912 | |911 |01:18:37 ~-~-> 01:18:42 |do it consistently in the future without me talking about anymore. That's what | ||
913 | |912 |01:18:42 ~-~-> 01:18:46 |you should want to have, as an educator you want someone's going to tell you cut | ||
914 | |913 |01:18:46 ~-~-> 01:18:50 |through the bullshit, please tell me what I got to focus on. And how am I | ||
915 | |914 |01:18:50 ~-~-> 01:18:54 |going to make a mistake? And how can I rectify that or prevent myself from | ||
916 | |915 |01:18:54 ~-~-> 01:18:59 |repeating that same over and over effect where most traders that are retail never | ||
917 | |916 |01:18:59 ~-~-> 01:19:02 |acknowledged that they're wrong? They never acknowledged it? They are the | ||
918 | |917 |01:19:02 ~-~-> 01:19:06 |problem. It's always the system. It's the person they followed their logic. | ||
919 | |918 |01:19:06 ~-~-> 01:19:12 |It's flawed. No, it's you being stupid and impatient, just like I was when I | ||
920 | |919 |01:19:12 ~-~-> 01:19:15 |first started. I was foolish and thinking I was gonna have to do it right | ||
921 | |920 |01:19:15 ~-~-> 01:19:18 |away. I went in there started trading with real money in one month of reading | ||
922 | |921 |01:19:18 ~-~-> 01:19:22 |a raggedy ass book that had no basis of knowing what the markets gonna do. But I | ||
923 | |922 |01:19:22 ~-~-> 01:19:29 |believe the bullshit. I believed the bullshit. And I went in there and the | ||
924 | |923 |01:19:29 ~-~-> 01:19:34 |first trade I lost 50% of what I put up, and that scares the hell out of me. So | ||
925 | |924 |01:19:34 ~-~-> 01:19:37 |it forced me to go back and say, Okay, I gotta know what's going on. And one of | ||
926 | |925 |01:19:37 ~-~-> 01:19:43 |the biggest epiphanies I had was, the markets run on a time based delivery | ||
927 | |926 |01:19:43 ~-~-> 01:19:49 |schedule. That means you could set your clocks to win these market moves are | ||
928 | |927 |01:19:49 ~-~-> 01:19:54 |going to manifest themselves. And if you limit t your trades, to the specific | ||
929 | |928 |01:19:54 ~-~-> 01:19:59 |times of the day, and if you get a win, and you get out of that trade, whether | ||
930 | |929 |01:19:59 ~-~-> 01:20:11 |it's premature Are not you stop? You stop. Okay. One of the questions that | ||
931 | |930 |01:20:11 ~-~-> 01:20:15 |come up a lot is how do I, how do I hold on to a trade? Like, how do I hold on to | ||
932 | |931 |01:20:15 ~-~-> 01:20:20 |a running trade? Well, immediately, it was no way I was gonna be able to feel | ||
933 | |932 |01:20:20 ~-~-> 01:20:25 |comfortable managing what I put on this morning as our outline and show to you. | ||
934 | |933 |01:20:26 ~-~-> 01:20:29 |But I traveled time to get to the dentist, I knew I was gonna be asked a | ||
935 | |934 |01:20:29 ~-~-> 01:20:33 |lot of questions. And I didn't wanna have the phone in front of me, managing | ||
936 | |935 |01:20:33 ~-~-> 01:20:36 |a demo trade of all things in front of the dentist, that's going to be asking | ||
937 | |936 |01:20:36 ~-~-> 01:20:39 |me questions about my son, which is going to be rude. So I set it up, where | ||
938 | |937 |01:20:39 ~-~-> 01:20:42 |I knew I was going to likely run to the objectives, I'm going to walk you | ||
939 | |938 |01:20:42 ~-~-> 01:20:46 |through what those limit orders were posted at why I chose them, I'm going to | ||
940 | |939 |01:20:46 ~-~-> 01:20:49 |explain everything. But it's really important that these parts of the | ||
941 | |940 |01:20:49 ~-~-> 01:20:54 |conversation that you don't want to listen to, this is the mindset part. | ||
942 | |941 |01:20:55 ~-~-> 01:20:58 |This is why I know when everybody else talks shit about what I teach and what I | ||
943 | |942 |01:20:58 ~-~-> 01:21:04 |do and what I know. And I can do next week, next year, even 25 years of the | ||
944 | |943 |01:21:04 ~-~-> 01:21:08 |Lord giving that much time, this stuff is gonna work the same way. How am I | ||
945 | |944 |01:21:08 ~-~-> 01:21:12 |confident about that? Because I know what I know. You don't even know what | ||
946 | |945 |01:21:12 ~-~-> 01:21:17 |you don't know. So how are you going to argue that. So you're you're standing on | ||
947 | |946 |01:21:17 ~-~-> 01:21:24 |a position. That is ignorance, you have ignorance, you have no experience. And | ||
948 | |947 |01:21:24 ~-~-> 01:21:26 |you're trying to convince yourself, don't bother trying to learn this. | ||
949 | |948 |01:21:27 ~-~-> 01:21:31 |Because you're probably going to fail. And until you get over overcome that, | ||
950 | |949 |01:21:31 ~-~-> 01:21:35 |you're not going to be a trader, not one more thing, anything in terms of | ||
951 | |950 |01:21:35 ~-~-> 01:21:39 |profitability, you're gonna fail, because you've talked yourself out of | ||
952 | |951 |01:21:39 ~-~-> 01:21:43 |it. And a trader that's going to be profitable, they already see the end | ||
953 | |952 |01:21:43 ~-~-> 01:21:48 |result. Like I know, when I'm looking at the market, I know what I think the | ||
954 | |953 |01:21:48 ~-~-> 01:21:55 |market should do. And I have to submit to what time I gotta give it time. But I | ||
955 | |954 |01:21:55 ~-~-> 01:21:58 |also have to be in front of that chart at the time when that market moves going | ||
956 | |955 |01:21:58 ~-~-> 01:22:05 |to begin. Because they're all time based delivery. We're in this consolidation. | ||
957 | |956 |01:22:06 ~-~-> 01:22:10 |We walk through the idea that this is too smooth. So it's going to run for | ||
958 | |957 |01:22:10 ~-~-> 01:22:13 |that boss that liquidity. So if it's going to go above here, how far can it | ||
959 | |958 |01:22:13 ~-~-> 01:22:18 |go past that ICT? Well, that was where this level came from. Remember, we were | ||
960 | |959 |01:22:18 ~-~-> 01:22:23 |looking at the weekly chart. That's what this level was up here. So 16,000, I'm | ||
961 | |960 |01:22:23 ~-~-> 01:22:29 |sorry, that's the daily chart, there's another level of past that. Results. | ||
962 | |961 |01:22:29 ~-~-> 01:22:34 |Here you go. 16,002 64. That's the weekly objective. So in my mind, when I | ||
963 | |962 |01:22:34 ~-~-> 01:22:38 |was looking at over the weekend, I felt that we could try to challenge that high | ||
964 | |963 |01:22:38 ~-~-> 01:22:43 |here, maybe before the contract expires for December. But it doesn't have to do | ||
965 | |964 |01:22:43 ~-~-> 01:22:48 |that. I got to take you back to this, okay, it does not need to trade this | ||
966 | |965 |01:22:48 ~-~-> 01:22:52 |level here for me to be profitable. It never needs to go to that level up here | ||
967 | |966 |01:22:53 ~-~-> 01:22:58 |for me to be profitable. So when you're taking trades, and when you're trying to | ||
968 | |967 |01:22:58 ~-~-> 01:23:02 |engage the marketplace, and you're putting on an entry, hopefully using a | ||
969 | |968 |01:23:02 ~-~-> 01:23:07 |stoploss. And you're putting a target in are you using the hardest target to | ||
970 | |969 |01:23:07 ~-~-> 01:23:12 |reach for as your objective to get out at? Or are you using a low hanging fruit | ||
971 | |970 |01:23:12 ~-~-> 01:23:17 |objective? Based on your analysis, skill set that you have right now at the time | ||
972 | |971 |01:23:17 ~-~-> 01:23:21 |of listening to me, whether you use my logic or if you use somebody else's | ||
973 | |972 |01:23:21 ~-~-> 01:23:26 |horseshit, whatever it is that you're doing as a trader, whatever that is, are | ||
974 | |973 |01:23:26 ~-~-> 01:23:32 |you demanding the highest degree of profitability for that trade to yield | ||
975 | |974 |01:23:32 ~-~-> 01:23:37 |you your only profit? Because if that's what you're doing, you're doing it | ||
976 | |975 |01:23:37 ~-~-> 01:23:42 |wrong. You're absolutely doing it wrong. Because what you're saying is, in your | ||
977 | |976 |01:23:42 ~-~-> 01:23:46 |ignorance, in your infancy as a trader, you don't have very much experience. | ||
978 | |977 |01:23:46 ~-~-> 01:23:51 |You're trying to make this harder than it has to be learn. You're demanding an | ||
979 | |978 |01:23:51 ~-~-> 01:23:56 |Olympic level result, a gold medal result, while you're a novice, while | ||
980 | |979 |01:23:56 ~-~-> 01:24:00 |you're a neophyte. I mean, you don't really know anything about yourself as a | ||
981 | |980 |01:24:00 ~-~-> 01:24:04 |trader, let alone what the market is going to do. So you have to give | ||
982 | |981 |01:24:04 ~-~-> 01:24:12 |yourself room to grow and bloom where you're planted. So that means Yeah, you | ||
983 | |982 |01:24:12 ~-~-> 01:24:15 |might see the same objective here. You might have looked at this level here, | ||
984 | |983 |01:24:16 ~-~-> 01:24:20 |wonderful. But in the beginning, you don't have the wherewithal to hold on to | ||
985 | |984 |01:24:20 ~-~-> 01:24:24 |it. So how do you how do you get that? You have to grow into it through growing | ||
986 | |985 |01:24:24 ~-~-> 01:24:31 |pains, taking off the trade before as it reaches into it, and then watching and | ||
987 | |986 |01:24:31 ~-~-> 01:24:35 |seeing what it does afterwards? Oh, it did go there. Okay, what does that do? | ||
988 | |987 |01:24:35 ~-~-> 01:24:39 |Number one, it removes the pain of being wrong. If you are, you've paid yourself | ||
989 | |988 |01:24:39 ~-~-> 01:24:43 |with a partial. You participated in a move that you did analysis on, and | ||
990 | |989 |01:24:43 ~-~-> 01:24:48 |you've removed any possibility for you to feel the sting of being the wrong | ||
991 | |990 |01:24:48 ~-~-> 01:24:53 |sign of it. But you can still appreciate you being wrong if it never reaches | ||
992 | |991 |01:24:53 ~-~-> 01:24:59 |there, but you did what you made money for you have a positive result. You see | ||
993 | |992 |01:24:59 ~-~-> 01:25:02 |the difference between a lesson huge paradigm shift in that retail traders | ||
994 | |993 |01:25:02 ~-~-> 01:25:07 |don't tap into because most of these retail teachers and educators are full | ||
995 | |994 |01:25:07 ~-~-> 01:25:10 |of shit. They don't make any money. They don't know how to trade. And that's why | ||
996 | |995 |01:25:10 ~-~-> 01:25:13 |they write books. That's why they sell courses and they still sell courses, | ||
997 | |996 |01:25:13 ~-~-> 01:25:17 |they still sell courses, they still sell courses. Because that's where their | ||
998 | |997 |01:25:17 ~-~-> 01:25:26 |income comes from. Think, think if the ship that they do is so good, wouldn't | ||
999 | |998 |01:25:26 ~-~-> 01:25:31 |they be doing it? Wouldn't they be out here showing you it consistently? What | ||
1000 | |999 |01:25:31 ~-~-> 01:25:37 |may have students that are popping up all the time? Doing the same stuff? Yes, | ||
1001 | |1000 |01:25:37 ~-~-> 01:25:42 |they would. But most of the authors I bought books from have none of those | ||
1002 | |1001 |01:25:42 ~-~-> 01:25:47 |things. They don't even have examples where they've done it, they just talk | ||
1003 | |1002 |01:25:47 ~-~-> 01:25:50 |about it in hindsight, pointing to something that here, here here. And | ||
1004 | |1003 |01:25:50 ~-~-> 01:25:54 |there's a stage in your learning that that's important. When I teach, and I | ||
1005 | |1004 |01:25:54 ~-~-> 01:25:57 |tell my students to back test, that's exactly what you're doing. You're | ||
1006 | |1005 |01:25:57 ~-~-> 01:26:01 |looking at hindsight moves. Looking at the framework and what the market has | ||
1007 | |1006 |01:26:01 ~-~-> 01:26:05 |done, what didn't utilize it, use a fair value, get us an order block and run | ||
1008 | |1007 |01:26:05 ~-~-> 01:26:09 |liquidity before it ran there, you know, reach for a single high or relatively | ||
1009 | |1008 |01:26:09 ~-~-> 01:26:14 |equal high did it reach for a single low or relatively equal lows. When you're | ||
1010 | |1009 |01:26:14 ~-~-> 01:26:17 |looking for liquidity, there's only two things you're looking for folks. Don't | ||
1011 | |1010 |01:26:17 ~-~-> 01:26:23 |two things, a single or a double point of resistance or support, because that's | ||
1012 | |1011 |01:26:23 ~-~-> 01:26:25 |what you're attacking, you're not trading Support Resistance, you're | ||
1013 | |1012 |01:26:25 ~-~-> 01:26:29 |fucking running through it, like the swat at the door of the drug dealers, | ||
1014 | |1013 |01:26:29 ~-~-> 01:26:33 |okay? You smash through the doors of resistance, you're smashing through the | ||
1015 | |1014 |01:26:33 ~-~-> 01:26:41 |doors of support. I do not trade support resistance, I attack it. I look at it | ||
1016 | |1015 |01:26:41 ~-~-> 01:26:45 |from the lens that retail traders trust these levels. And because they're | ||
1017 | |1016 |01:26:45 ~-~-> 01:26:47 |stupid, and they don't know anything, just like I didn't know shit when I | ||
1018 | |1017 |01:26:47 ~-~-> 01:26:50 |first started. And I'm not trying to be condescending to someone that are new. I | ||
1019 | |1018 |01:26:50 ~-~-> 01:26:54 |had no business getting in there with real money trading one month after | ||
1020 | |1019 |01:26:54 ~-~-> 01:26:59 |reading a raggedy ass book. That's us talking to you, the guy that can do all | ||
1021 | |1020 |01:26:59 ~-~-> 01:27:02 |this stuff and tell you before it happens on it and do executions. It's | ||
1022 | |1021 |01:27:03 ~-~-> 01:27:09 |great. I started prematurely stupidly, because I wanted to make money fast. | ||
1023 | |1022 |01:27:10 ~-~-> 01:27:14 |And that's exactly what most of you are listening to me for. And other people. | ||
1024 | |1023 |01:27:14 ~-~-> 01:27:19 |You want to learn how to make money fast. And I'm telling you, you need to | ||
1025 | |1024 |01:27:19 ~-~-> 01:27:24 |learn how to make money slowly. Because you don't know who you are as a trader, | ||
1026 | |1025 |01:27:24 ~-~-> 01:27:27 |you don't know what you're going to do to hurt yourself. There's a gray area | ||
1027 | |1026 |01:27:27 ~-~-> 01:27:32 |that no mentor can fill in. Because you have to discover who you are as a as a | ||
1028 | |1027 |01:27:33 ~-~-> 01:27:38 |as a derailment. How are you going to derail yourself in your progress? | ||
1029 | |1028 |01:27:38 ~-~-> 01:27:40 |Because that's, that's exactly it's gonna happen. There's never been a | ||
1030 | |1029 |01:27:40 ~-~-> 01:27:43 |trader ever, not one fucking person. And then you come in and say they didn't. | ||
1031 | |1030 |01:27:44 ~-~-> 01:27:51 |They're full of shit. Everybody goes out here and does their own asset. It will | ||
1032 | |1031 |01:27:51 ~-~-> 01:27:54 |happen to every one of you. But how are you going to think about yourself when | ||
1033 | |1032 |01:27:54 ~-~-> 01:27:57 |you do? Well, you want to fold up and say that's it. I'm done. Never gonna | ||
1034 | |1033 |01:27:57 ~-~-> 01:28:05 |trade. So that wasn't in me. I failed a lot. Many, many, many times. Okay, many | ||
1035 | |1034 |01:28:05 ~-~-> 01:28:10 |times I failed. I blew lots of accounts. But every single time I blew those | ||
1036 | |1035 |01:28:10 ~-~-> 01:28:13 |accounts, I could go back and look and see what I did wrong. And the | ||
1037 | |1036 |01:28:13 ~-~-> 01:28:17 |encouragement I had from that was okay. I remember being in that trade, even | ||
1038 | |1037 |01:28:17 ~-~-> 01:28:22 |feeling like I needed to close it and reverse it. But I didn't. Why? Because I | ||
1039 | |1038 |01:28:22 ~-~-> 01:28:27 |didn't have the experience. But guess what, I can look at that and say I | ||
1040 | |1039 |01:28:27 ~-~-> 01:28:30 |should have done that. So now I know when I get to that same instance, where | ||
1041 | |1040 |01:28:30 ~-~-> 01:28:34 |I see something in price action. I've been there before I know what it's | ||
1042 | |1041 |01:28:34 ~-~-> 01:28:38 |trying to reach for, I will have no problem getting out of the losing | ||
1043 | |1042 |01:28:38 ~-~-> 01:28:42 |position. I'm holding, reversing it with half the position I was holding in the | ||
1044 | |1043 |01:28:42 ~-~-> 01:28:46 |other side of the trade. And then I will make the loss back many times and then | ||
1045 | |1044 |01:28:46 ~-~-> 01:28:51 |make new profit. But I didn't have that ability to see that. And when I first | ||
1046 | |1045 |01:28:51 ~-~-> 01:28:54 |started that was something alien to me. I didn't think that was something | ||
1047 | |1046 |01:28:54 ~-~-> 01:28:59 |anybody would even want to do. Let alone teaching books because they don't teach | ||
1048 | |1047 |01:28:59 ~-~-> 01:29:05 |that. They give you one trick pony mindset. Support Resistance. Look at | ||
1049 | |1048 |01:29:05 ~-~-> 01:29:11 |these ratios and Fibonacci, this is harmonic. Bullshit. More shit. Okay, | ||
1050 | |1049 |01:29:11 ~-~-> 01:29:14 |bullshit. Because if it was as simple as that, just as simple as Support | ||
1051 | |1050 |01:29:14 ~-~-> 01:29:19 |Resistance, everybody would be making money for some of your troops in | ||
1052 | |1051 |01:29:19 ~-~-> 01:29:22 |yourself, bro, look at what it's done. It did support resistance here. This | ||
1053 | |1052 |01:29:22 ~-~-> 01:29:26 |level here. This low did not even touch this, this hot here. So how's that | ||
1054 | |1053 |01:29:26 ~-~-> 01:29:30 |support resistance? I've done many times when I first started to 20 year old, I | ||
1055 | |1054 |01:29:30 ~-~-> 01:29:34 |was in here thinking okay, here's support, because it's resistance broken | ||
1056 | |1055 |01:29:34 ~-~-> 01:29:38 |here. I'm gonna put my order right down there. I'm gonna try to buy it and it | ||
1057 | |1056 |01:29:38 ~-~-> 01:29:43 |did this and I'm punching the air because it ran off without me. How many | ||
1058 | |1057 |01:29:43 ~-~-> 01:29:47 |times have you done that? Honestly, I just no way for me to know how many of | ||
1059 | |1058 |01:29:47 ~-~-> 01:29:50 |you're actually responding to this. But you know, damn well, you've been there. | ||
1060 | |1059 |01:29:51 ~-~-> 01:29:56 |How many trade lines have you drawn diagonal Support Resistance and it never | ||
1061 | |1060 |01:29:56 ~-~-> 01:29:59 |reacted off your shit. But the times that you did try to trade that diagonal | ||
1062 | |1061 |01:29:59 ~-~-> 01:30:05 |support to rip your ass apart and went right through it. So I learned from that | ||
1063 | |1062 |01:30:05 ~-~-> 01:30:08 |and said, Okay, I'm looking for phantom trendlines, I'm looking for those | ||
1064 | |1063 |01:30:08 ~-~-> 01:30:12 |instances where retail traders are gonna see that stuff and have faith based | ||
1065 | |1064 |01:30:12 ~-~-> 01:30:16 |around it. And they're gonna put their money in there. So if they're gonna put | ||
1066 | |1065 |01:30:16 ~-~-> 01:30:20 |their money in there, I know I have a loser on the other side of my trade I'm | ||
1067 | |1066 |01:30:20 ~-~-> 01:30:24 |going to take advantage of, and I'll let you wrestle with it, the moral dilemma | ||
1068 | |1067 |01:30:24 ~-~-> 01:30:29 |about that I have none. I have zero qualms about that. None whatsoever, | ||
1069 | |1068 |01:30:29 ~-~-> 01:30:34 |zero, because I lose, just like they have lost on that trade. Difference is, | ||
1070 | |1069 |01:30:35 ~-~-> 01:30:37 |I'm coming back with interest, motherfucker, I'm not going to stop | ||
1071 | |1070 |01:30:37 ~-~-> 01:30:40 |trading when they pack up their shit and say I'm not, I'm not going to do this | ||
1072 | |1071 |01:30:40 ~-~-> 01:30:43 |anymore. I'm not going to try to do another combine, I'm going to get a | ||
1073 | |1072 |01:30:43 ~-~-> 01:30:45 |funded account, and I'm gonna put more money in my live account, I'm not going | ||
1074 | |1073 |01:30:45 ~-~-> 01:30:50 |to trade anymore. At a me, I'm not built that way. I'm not built that way. And I | ||
1075 | |1074 |01:30:50 ~-~-> 01:30:53 |tried to instill that in my students, whether you'd like the language I use or | ||
1076 | |1075 |01:30:53 ~-~-> 01:30:57 |not, it's irrelevant. Because I'm not going to sugarcoat it, I'm going to tell | ||
1077 | |1076 |01:30:57 ~-~-> 01:31:00 |you exactly how you should learn it. What you should be thinking about what | ||
1078 | |1077 |01:31:00 ~-~-> 01:31:04 |your what the impediments are going to be in front of you many times, because | ||
1079 | |1078 |01:31:04 ~-~-> 01:31:07 |you're not the only person that's going through the same thing that I went | ||
1080 | |1079 |01:31:07 ~-~-> 01:31:10 |through and everybody else goes through, you're afraid of the you're gonna fail, | ||
1081 | |1080 |01:31:10 ~-~-> 01:31:13 |you're afraid is going to take you longer than There you go. We just ran | ||
1082 | |1081 |01:31:13 ~-~-> 01:31:19 |through the the high. He never tells it. He never calls it live. He never tells | ||
1083 | |1082 |01:31:19 ~-~-> 01:31:23 |you in advance Joker boy, in my comment section, go fuck yourself, because I do | ||
1084 | |1083 |01:31:23 ~-~-> 01:31:30 |this every single week, even on vacations. So the point is this. The | ||
1085 | |1084 |01:31:30 ~-~-> 01:31:36 |price action is delivered on a time based schedule. Okay, I give you very | ||
1086 | |1085 |01:31:36 ~-~-> 01:31:41 |specific key times. It's in the core content. It's it was taught a lot in the | ||
1087 | |1086 |01:31:41 ~-~-> 01:31:44 |Twitter spaces that are not on Twitter anymore. But there's a lot of folks that | ||
1088 | |1087 |01:31:44 ~-~-> 01:31:49 |have put them on their YouTube channel. I got no problem with that I do have a | ||
1089 | |1088 |01:31:49 ~-~-> 01:31:52 |problem. And I've been yakking down other people's channel, and uploads of | ||
1090 | |1089 |01:31:52 ~-~-> 01:31:56 |my core content lessons. I'm pulling them down. And when you asked me to take | ||
1091 | |1090 |01:31:56 ~-~-> 01:31:59 |the copyright strike back, I'm telling you go fuck yourself, because you don't | ||
1092 | |1091 |01:31:59 ~-~-> 01:32:03 |have the right to put my content out there. But Twitter spaces and stuff like | ||
1093 | |1092 |01:32:03 ~-~-> 01:32:05 |that you're welcome to do that you are because I don't want them on my channel. | ||
1094 | |1093 |01:32:06 ~-~-> 01:32:13 |But in those presentations, for the people that were really there to listen | ||
1095 | |1094 |01:32:13 ~-~-> 01:32:22 |and learn, I was dropping down serious, serious gems. Things that I didn't | ||
1096 | |1095 |01:32:22 ~-~-> 01:32:27 |really focus on teaching in my mentorship. I was laying it down for the | ||
1097 | |1096 |01:32:27 ~-~-> 01:32:32 |first time macros. Oh, you said you were gonna teach. I already taught macros. | ||
1098 | |1097 |01:32:32 ~-~-> 01:32:35 |I've already taught them. But you don't want to listen, you don't want to go | ||
1099 | |1098 |01:32:35 ~-~-> 01:32:38 |looking for and going through the process of taking the notes. Okay, you | ||
1100 | |1099 |01:32:38 ~-~-> 01:32:41 |want to like come around until you have five minutes trainer. They may tell you | ||
1101 | |1100 |01:32:41 ~-~-> 01:32:46 |ICT said, you know 1050 to 1110. That's a macro. Okay, what are you gonna fuckin | ||
1102 | |1101 |01:32:46 ~-~-> 01:32:53 |do with it? I just saved I just gave you a 10 second concise presentation of it. | ||
1103 | |1102 |01:32:54 ~-~-> 01:32:57 |We're gonna do with it. You still have to know what I'm showing you here. | ||
1104 | |1103 |01:32:58 ~-~-> 01:33:03 |What's it reaching for? What is it reaching for? What is the market | ||
1105 | |1104 |01:33:03 ~-~-> 01:33:08 |reaching for? And if I'm in livestreams, listening to other people who I have a | ||
1106 | |1105 |01:33:08 ~-~-> 01:33:10 |great respect for because they're willing to go out there and put their | ||
1107 | |1106 |01:33:11 ~-~-> 01:33:15 |opinions out there. Or they're they're telling you they're taking the trade and | ||
1108 | |1107 |01:33:15 ~-~-> 01:33:18 |you may not actually see them but they're saying hey, I'm long here. The | ||
1109 | |1108 |01:33:18 ~-~-> 01:33:20 |guys that were on top step they'll tell you you have to stick along and over | ||
1110 | |1109 |01:33:20 ~-~-> 01:33:26 |anyway like Michael Pataki. You just have to trade here in areas you need to | ||
1111 | |1110 |01:33:26 ~-~-> 01:33:29 |get stopped out. He's got no problem. He's telling you he got stopped out into | ||
1112 | |1111 |01:33:29 ~-~-> 01:33:32 |loss. What's he doing right after that roll into the next one. And it's there. | ||
1113 | |1112 |01:33:33 ~-~-> 01:33:38 |He's trading, okay, he's trading his mind is seeking yield. He's looking for | ||
1114 | |1113 |01:33:38 ~-~-> 01:33:45 |the next setup. Okay? It matters not what means of engagement that he uses | ||
1115 | |1114 |01:33:45 ~-~-> 01:33:49 |doesn't matter what it is that you're using as a PDF if you're using my | ||
1116 | |1115 |01:33:49 ~-~-> 01:33:55 |content whatever one you've grown an association to an affinity for. That's | ||
1117 | |1116 |01:33:55 ~-~-> 01:33:57 |the one you're going to trade it doesn't matter what other students are making | ||
1118 | |1117 |01:33:57 ~-~-> 01:34:01 |how much money or if they're on the leaderboard of this payout funded | ||
1119 | |1118 |01:34:01 ~-~-> 01:34:05 |company or if they're showing you their withdrawals or this much or that much | ||
1120 | |1119 |01:34:05 ~-~-> 01:34:10 |that doesn't mean shit to you. You can't spend their fucking money they're not | ||
1121 | |1120 |01:34:10 ~-~-> 01:34:13 |going to give you any of that money. So why are you counting pocket change on | ||
1122 | |1121 |01:34:13 ~-~-> 01:34:19 |other main results? That dumb if you want to be inspired by that great that | ||
1123 | |1122 |01:34:19 ~-~-> 01:34:22 |only happens in the first month or two? Because once you get inspired to do it | ||
1124 | |1123 |01:34:22 ~-~-> 01:34:27 |stop looking and counting other people's pocket money you're gonna pocket watch | ||
1125 | |1124 |01:34:28 ~-~-> 01:34:30 |you're never gonna pay attention to the with these candlesticks are dealing | ||
1126 | |1125 |01:34:30 ~-~-> 01:34:33 |you're never gonna learn how to trade. You will never do that. If you're | ||
1127 | |1126 |01:34:33 ~-~-> 01:34:38 |constantly pocket watching other people. What are they doing with their money? | ||
1128 | |1127 |01:34:38 ~-~-> 01:34:41 |Who gives a fuck? Who gives a shit what they're doing with their money? Who | ||
1129 | |1128 |01:34:41 ~-~-> 01:34:45 |cares? Because you're not going to spend any time driving their car. You're not | ||
1130 | |1129 |01:34:45 ~-~-> 01:34:48 |going to spend a night and make sandwiches in their fucking kitchen. | ||
1131 | |1130 |01:34:48 ~-~-> 01:34:51 |They're a nice house that they're renting and you're never going to be | ||
1132 | |1131 |01:34:51 ~-~-> 01:34:53 |able to wear the watch that they're saying they probably pay too little for | ||
1133 | |1132 |01:34:53 ~-~-> 01:34:57 |because it's fake and fraud and Rolex is a piece of shit. Get a Pathak or you've | ||
1134 | |1133 |01:34:57 ~-~-> 01:35:03 |got nothing. The point is this Your focus should be primarily on you what | ||
1135 | |1134 |01:35:03 ~-~-> 01:35:08 |you're learning today and does it work. That's the first stage, okay. And it's | ||
1136 | |1135 |01:35:08 ~-~-> 01:35:14 |free to learn that it only takes about a month to figure out that right away. And | ||
1137 | |1136 |01:35:14 ~-~-> 01:35:19 |if you do everything, I suggest that you go in and you look for these signatures | ||
1138 | |1137 |01:35:19 ~-~-> 01:35:22 |and price action, you'll be convinced that there's something and keep | ||
1139 | |1138 |01:35:22 ~-~-> 01:35:29 |researching in this YouTube channel. And then you will see a lot of different | ||
1140 | |1139 |01:35:29 ~-~-> 01:35:34 |things that will really resonate with you. And that's a normal thing. It's | ||
1141 | |1140 |01:35:34 ~-~-> 01:35:37 |normal, if you don't like breakers, where if you don't like mitigation | ||
1142 | |1141 |01:35:37 ~-~-> 01:35:40 |blocks, or if you don't like the optimal trade entry, it just doesn't resonate | ||
1143 | |1142 |01:35:40 ~-~-> 01:35:43 |with you. And all of a sudden, now you'd like to silver bullet? Well, guess what, | ||
1144 | |1143 |01:35:44 ~-~-> 01:35:49 |don't look at anything else. Period. Don't watch any other fucking video on | ||
1145 | |1144 |01:35:49 ~-~-> 01:35:52 |my YouTube channel that talks about other PDA, right? Because the only thing | ||
1146 | |1145 |01:35:52 ~-~-> 01:35:56 |you're going to do is second guess the affinity you have now developed towards | ||
1147 | |1146 |01:35:56 ~-~-> 01:35:59 |the silver bullet. And I'm not saying the silver bullet is the best, I'm the | ||
1148 | |1147 |01:35:59 ~-~-> 01:36:03 |same. It's the easiest visual representation of how I can teach | ||
1149 | |1148 |01:36:03 ~-~-> 01:36:05 |someone to get in the marketplace. And we're gonna talk about in a minute. | ||
1150 | |1149 |01:36:06 ~-~-> 01:36:10 |But these are all important factors that you have to have in your mind while | ||
1151 | |1150 |01:36:10 ~-~-> 01:36:13 |you're trying to learn how to trade whether it be my stuff or someone | ||
1152 | |1151 |01:36:13 ~-~-> 01:36:19 |else's. Because this is what makes the market move. The perceptions of what one | ||
1153 | |1152 |01:36:19 ~-~-> 01:36:23 |set of traders that are myopic, or neophytes, they have no idea what | ||
1154 | |1153 |01:36:23 ~-~-> 01:36:26 |they're doing. They have no idea what the markets likely to do. They've never | ||
1155 | |1154 |01:36:26 ~-~-> 01:36:31 |been here before, or they just started. And they've never had a winning trade. | ||
1156 | |1155 |01:36:31 ~-~-> 01:36:35 |And they're sharing their opinion in live streams. Oh, I'm bullish here. I | ||
1157 | |1156 |01:36:35 ~-~-> 01:36:39 |think it's ready to crash. Oh, it looks heavy. Oh, it looks toppy or it looks | ||
1158 | |1157 |01:36:39 ~-~-> 01:36:45 |like it's getting ready to rip. I love I fucking love seeing that shit in chat | ||
1159 | |1158 |01:36:45 ~-~-> 01:36:50 |windows. I love it. Because if I'm looking at the marketplace, and some guy | ||
1160 | |1159 |01:36:50 ~-~-> 01:36:54 |or gal in the chat window and another live streamers, shit is talking like | ||
1161 | |1160 |01:36:54 ~-~-> 01:36:58 |that. And then they see what Yeah, I think so too. I'm on the I'm on the same | ||
1162 | |1161 |01:36:58 ~-~-> 01:37:02 |page as you or Yeah, I think the same thing. I'm doing what you're doing. | ||
1163 | |1162 |01:37:02 ~-~-> 01:37:09 |That's herd mentality. I'm a fucking Wolf. I am an apex predator, I want you | ||
1164 | |1163 |01:37:09 ~-~-> 01:37:13 |to show me that you have a bad ledge, because I'm going to run your ass down | ||
1165 | |1164 |01:37:13 ~-~-> 01:37:18 |and eat your ass. And that's what these live streamers provide for me and | ||
1166 | |1165 |01:37:18 ~-~-> 01:37:21 |anybody else that wants to use it. They are the perfect sentiment indicator. | ||
1167 | |1166 |01:37:22 ~-~-> 01:37:25 |There's a perfect sentiment and you don't need anything on your chart. | ||
1168 | |1167 |01:37:26 ~-~-> 01:37:31 |Nothing except for what you're going to trade. And if I have an opposing myopic | ||
1169 | |1168 |01:37:31 ~-~-> 01:37:38 |retail logic trader telling me in the in the public eye that they believe that | ||
1170 | |1169 |01:37:38 ~-~-> 01:37:41 |this is going to happen, and it's diametrically opposed to what I | ||
1171 | |1170 |01:37:41 ~-~-> 01:37:47 |anticipate in price action. Oh, yes. Yes, indeed. Yes, ma'am. I'm taking that | ||
1172 | |1171 |01:37:47 ~-~-> 01:37:55 |trade. Yes, I am. Now, is there a moral dilemma there for you? Because I don't | ||
1173 | |1172 |01:37:55 ~-~-> 01:38:03 |feel it. I have no qualms about that at all. None. Why? Because I was just like | ||
1174 | |1173 |01:38:03 ~-~-> 01:38:07 |those, those people in that chat window. When I first started, I had no idea what | ||
1175 | |1174 |01:38:07 ~-~-> 01:38:10 |I was doing had my head up my ass. I thought I knew everything by reading a | ||
1176 | |1175 |01:38:10 ~-~-> 01:38:15 |book that had nothing to do with why price moves. It was based on classic | ||
1177 | |1176 |01:38:15 ~-~-> 01:38:19 |bull flags, channel breakouts, all the bullshit that people read John Murphy's | ||
1178 | |1177 |01:38:19 ~-~-> 01:38:24 |book, which is the retail traders Bible, you should all read that book and do the | ||
1179 | |1178 |01:38:24 ~-~-> 01:38:28 |opposite of everything in fucking says using when I tell you to trade. If you | ||
1180 | |1179 |01:38:28 ~-~-> 01:38:33 |do that, there you go buy one book, it's the technical analysis of the financial | ||
1181 | |1180 |01:38:33 ~-~-> 01:38:38 |markets by John Murphy. buy that book. Okay, buy that book, pay that man, his | ||
1182 | |1181 |01:38:38 ~-~-> 01:38:43 |is his due for reading the book. Okay? Don't go on the internet, get the PDF | ||
1183 | |1182 |01:38:43 ~-~-> 01:38:49 |file. Okay. Do this, read it, know what the retail trader is going to be | ||
1184 | |1183 |01:38:49 ~-~-> 01:38:55 |thinking. And couple that with how I teach you how price will book price. | ||
1185 | |1184 |01:38:58 ~-~-> 01:39:02 |When they're diametrically opposed, you have a 90% likelihood of your trades | ||
1186 | |1185 |01:39:02 ~-~-> 01:39:07 |panning out. Now, that's not a 90% likelihood that your targets getting | ||
1187 | |1186 |01:39:07 ~-~-> 01:39:11 |hit, it just means that it's going to move opposed to what they think is gonna | ||
1188 | |1187 |01:39:11 ~-~-> 01:39:15 |happen. And that's a challenge for you. That's a challenge for you to go out | ||
1189 | |1188 |01:39:15 ~-~-> 01:39:18 |there and see if what I just said is real. Because if it's not true, you're | ||
1190 | |1189 |01:39:18 ~-~-> 01:39:24 |going to know right away. And there's no need for you to go any further and | ||
1191 | |1190 |01:39:24 ~-~-> 01:39:28 |listening to me. But that's what I'm doing all the time. I'm doing that very | ||
1192 | |1191 |01:39:28 ~-~-> 01:39:32 |thing. I look at where people think is resistance and support. I run right | ||
1193 | |1192 |01:39:32 ~-~-> 01:39:36 |through it. I am a battering ram. There it is. I'm smashing through it. Because | ||
1194 | |1193 |01:39:36 ~-~-> 01:39:42 |the orders that are resting around that level. I want that. I want that as my | ||
1195 | |1194 |01:39:42 ~-~-> 01:39:46 |exit or I want that as my entry because I'm going to then target to people that | ||
1196 | |1195 |01:39:46 ~-~-> 01:39:50 |are doing what they want to see a breakout and he wants the continuation | ||
1197 | |1196 |01:39:50 ~-~-> 01:39:57 |going lower. Well, I'm going to trade against that. So I'm going to use based | ||
1198 | |1197 |01:39:57 ~-~-> 01:40:01 |on what my understanding of or narrative about what price is likely to do. And I | ||
1199 | |1198 |01:40:01 ~-~-> 01:40:04 |shared that this morning, it's on Twitter, not Twitter, blue brief | ||
1200 | |1199 |01:40:05 ~-~-> 01:40:10 |creatures of Hattery. It's on my YouTube community post. I said, Nope, this, | ||
1201 | |1200 |01:40:10 ~-~-> 01:40:14 |okay, you got to click on the chart for to maximize and show it to show it to | ||
1202 | |1201 |01:40:14 ~-~-> 01:40:20 |you. But it's the 16,208.50 level. And when I started this last thing I said, | ||
1203 | |1202 |01:40:20 ~-~-> 01:40:24 |just so you guys know, I still believe that this is where we're going to draw | ||
1204 | |1203 |01:40:24 ~-~-> 01:40:29 |to. Okay, but on the grand scheme of things for the week, I think that we're | ||
1205 | |1204 |01:40:29 ~-~-> 01:40:35 |going to reach up to here and it might, it may need CPI to get there. It may | ||
1206 | |1205 |01:40:35 ~-~-> 01:40:41 |not, if we move quickly away from it, and we trade down, you know, into, in | ||
1207 | |1206 |01:40:41 ~-~-> 01:40:48 |this range in here, prior to CPI, like in other words, if we trade down, and we | ||
1208 | |1207 |01:40:48 ~-~-> 01:40:52 |get into this area here prior to right before eight o'clock, 830, tomorrow, | ||
1209 | |1208 |01:40:52 ~-~-> 01:40:58 |we're we're CPI number will be released, then it's 5050. For me, I don't know | ||
1210 | |1209 |01:40:58 ~-~-> 01:41:04 |what it will do. Okay, if we are high up here like this, then I would expect it | ||
1211 | |1210 |01:41:04 ~-~-> 01:41:08 |to drop heavy, and then reverse and then rip up here. That's, that's what I would | ||
1212 | |1211 |01:41:08 ~-~-> 01:41:13 |do. If I was making the market for NSE. Or especially for in queue. That's what | ||
1213 | |1212 |01:41:13 ~-~-> 01:41:19 |I would do, I would use the first impulsive price leg of CPI, but I think | ||
1214 | |1213 |01:41:19 ~-~-> 01:41:22 |it's short, and then come back up here and smash these guys. That's how I would | ||
1215 | |1214 |01:41:22 ~-~-> 01:41:25 |do it. That is not a trade advice. It's not for you to go out there and trade | ||
1216 | |1215 |01:41:25 ~-~-> 01:41:30 |ahead of CPI, it's not for you to trade after CPI number hits. It's just that's | ||
1217 | |1216 |01:41:30 ~-~-> 01:41:33 |a scenario in my head right now I'm looking at the chart is that the one I'm | ||
1218 | |1217 |01:41:33 ~-~-> 01:41:38 |going to trade tomorrow? No, because I'm not trading CPI is a lot of, you know, | ||
1219 | |1218 |01:41:39 ~-~-> 01:41:43 |this is what you do. To learn, you have to have experience, right, you have to | ||
1220 | |1219 |01:41:43 ~-~-> 01:41:47 |have an expectation of what you think price will do and how it should behave, | ||
1221 | |1220 |01:41:47 ~-~-> 01:41:51 |and what it should not do. And over time, which is what you don't want to | ||
1222 | |1221 |01:41:51 ~-~-> 01:41:55 |submit to. You don't want to you don't want to put time into it years before | ||
1223 | |1222 |01:41:55 ~-~-> 01:42:00 |you get excellent at it. You want to be excellent right away. You want to have | ||
1224 | |1223 |01:42:00 ~-~-> 01:42:03 |it your way mentorship and have it your way mentor that tells you right in five | ||
1225 | |1224 |01:42:03 ~-~-> 01:42:08 |seconds in three sentences or less how to buy and sell how to place a stop loss | ||
1226 | |1225 |01:42:08 ~-~-> 01:42:12 |how to manage a stop loss, how to get a partial target, and never lose money. | ||
1227 | |1226 |01:42:13 ~-~-> 01:42:16 |Now the people that have traded for a while you're laughing your ass off with | ||
1228 | |1227 |01:42:16 ~-~-> 01:42:20 |me right now. Because you know exactly that's exactly what this world today | ||
1229 | |1228 |01:42:20 ~-~-> 01:42:22 |right now wants everybody that comes into trading that's exactly what they | ||
1230 | |1229 |01:42:22 ~-~-> 01:42:26 |believe is possible be handed to them. And I'm telling you, you're full of | ||
1231 | |1230 |01:42:26 ~-~-> 01:42:31 |shit. Because that doesn't exist. You're so many things. You're asking them all | ||
1232 | |1231 |01:42:31 ~-~-> 01:42:35 |the time you see examples why I'm How am I having a stoploss it's that tight 30 | ||
1233 | |1232 |01:42:35 ~-~-> 01:42:40 |years experience losing lots of money blowing lots of accounts, learning from | ||
1234 | |1233 |01:42:40 ~-~-> 01:42:44 |those lessons. And I understand even learning those lessons, there's no way | ||
1235 | |1234 |01:42:44 ~-~-> 01:42:47 |for me to condense it like all these jokers out there, say you talk too much. | ||
1236 | |1235 |01:42:47 ~-~-> 01:42:51 |You could have said all this in less time, and you would still know nothing | ||
1237 | |1236 |01:42:51 ~-~-> 01:42:55 |afterwards. So what's the point? I'm teaching because I want you to learn. | ||
1238 | |1237 |01:42:57 ~-~-> 01:43:02 |I'm doing this for free, folks. Okay, I don't need to be here. But I love it. | ||
1239 | |1238 |01:43:02 ~-~-> 01:43:08 |And I miss it. And I want you to succeed. I want you to see what I'm | ||
1240 | |1239 |01:43:08 ~-~-> 01:43:14 |showing you it pans out it pans out it pans out it pans out. So if I can do it. | ||
1241 | |1240 |01:43:15 ~-~-> 01:43:18 |And I'm using the logic and the tools that I've made available for free. | ||
1242 | |1241 |01:43:19 ~-~-> 01:43:23 |What's preventing you from dealing it experience. So get your as busy and | ||
1243 | |1242 |01:43:23 ~-~-> 01:43:28 |getting it get that experience. Alright, so let's get through the brass tacks of | ||
1244 | |1243 |01:43:28 ~-~-> 01:43:34 |this. It's about lunchtime. So 830 right here, that's when the market is going to | ||
1245 | |1244 |01:43:34 ~-~-> 01:43:39 |start doing what it's going to start going towards the pool of liquidity that | ||
1246 | |1245 |01:43:39 ~-~-> 01:43:44 |it's going to aim for. So at that 830 time window, we've already arrived and | ||
1247 | |1246 |01:43:45 ~-~-> 01:43:48 |determined that we've already done damage down here so there's no need to | ||
1248 | |1247 |01:43:48 ~-~-> 01:43:53 |come down here. This is the safe house. This is where all the little lambs feel | ||
1249 | |1248 |01:43:53 ~-~-> 01:43:59 |safe. Okay, so the wolf has already smashed through the grass house, the | ||
1250 | |1249 |01:43:59 ~-~-> 01:44:02 |wooden stick house and here's the brick house appeared. So they think they're | ||
1251 | |1250 |01:44:02 ~-~-> 01:44:06 |safe. All of them piled up in here laughing at the Big Bad Wolf. They're | ||
1252 | |1251 |01:44:06 ~-~-> 01:44:10 |never gonna get me they're never gonna get me and they're hanging down in here. | ||
1253 | |1252 |01:44:11 ~-~-> 01:44:16 |So 830 we see it starting right there. You start to moving. We break out of | ||
1254 | |1253 |01:44:16 ~-~-> 01:44:20 |this little area here and then a breakout trader. Then it comes back | ||
1255 | |1254 |01:44:20 ~-~-> 01:44:30 |down. And then right at 930 No escape. Little pig, little pig. Let me in | ||
1256 | |1255 |01:44:32 ~-~-> 01:44:39 |smashed bacon for breakfast. I eat bacon. So we ran through it, took them | ||
1257 | |1256 |01:44:39 ~-~-> 01:44:46 |out and then for good measure, ran deeper. Come up to this level here and | ||
1258 | |1257 |01:44:46 ~-~-> 01:44:52 |then started pulling that but ICT is wrong. I know you were hoping I know you | ||
1259 | |1258 |01:44:52 ~-~-> 01:44:56 |were hoping that that level I posted this morning. She can go on social media | ||
1260 | |1259 |01:44:56 ~-~-> 01:45:00 |and say look at this level he called and it didn't even trade there. Were You | ||
1261 | |1260 |01:45:00 ~-~-> 01:45:04 |post that. Okay, just post it now because you had it set up waiting to do | ||
1262 | |1261 |01:45:04 ~-~-> 01:45:09 |it, but you got denied again, just like it'll be all year long next year in 2024 | ||
1263 | |1262 |01:45:09 ~-~-> 01:45:16 |in the Robins cup. So because we failed to get to there, and we pulled back, we | ||
1264 | |1263 |01:45:16 ~-~-> 01:45:21 |didn't trade to the top of that candle there as support after resistance broken | ||
1265 | |1264 |01:45:21 ~-~-> 01:45:26 |would become your denied there. What is it really doing? It's trading in here | ||
1266 | |1265 |01:45:26 ~-~-> 01:45:30 |for institutional order flow entry drill, which is this little candle low | ||
1267 | |1266 |01:45:30 ~-~-> 01:45:36 |here. It's part of this. Okay, I'm literally teaching you exactly what the | ||
1268 | |1267 |01:45:36 ~-~-> 01:45:40 |fuck my books are going to talk about. So don't buy my books. I don't need your | ||
1269 | |1268 |01:45:40 ~-~-> 01:45:43 |fucking money. I'm only putting it in print. So that way everybody knows it's | ||
1270 | |1269 |01:45:43 ~-~-> 01:45:48 |my shit. Because all the books out there right now are teaching in partial | ||
1271 | |1270 |01:45:48 ~-~-> 01:45:52 |format. They are not complete. You don't know what the hell you're doing at the | ||
1272 | |1271 |01:45:52 ~-~-> 01:45:54 |end of it. It's just me being parroted. | ||
1273 | |1272 |01:45:56 ~-~-> 01:46:03 |So take this off for a second. This rip right here at 930. What time 930? What | ||
1274 | |1273 |01:46:03 ~-~-> 01:46:12 |time I see at 930 What time did his moves begin and run ICT? 938 30. This is | ||
1275 | |1274 |01:46:12 ~-~-> 01:46:16 |not the first time I mentioned it. It's not the first time I mentioned it, | ||
1276 | |1275 |01:46:16 ~-~-> 01:46:21 |folks. It's not cookie cutter. It's not Oh, the only talked about when it works. | ||
1277 | |1276 |01:46:21 ~-~-> 01:46:25 |It's the same shit every day. It's always the same way. It's always the | ||
1278 | |1277 |01:46:25 ~-~-> 01:46:29 |same way. So what are we arrived at, we arrived at there was no necessity for | ||
1279 | |1278 |01:46:29 ~-~-> 01:46:36 |the market to go lower. It would in fact run here, but not just simply there. I | ||
1280 | |1279 |01:46:36 ~-~-> 01:46:41 |was watching live streamers, and I'm gonna say their names. They had a long, | ||
1281 | |1280 |01:46:41 ~-~-> 01:46:46 |and they stopped holding that long prematurely before it even got above | ||
1282 | |1281 |01:46:46 ~-~-> 01:46:52 |here. And I smacked myself, I'm thinking myself, Wow, they're gonna be mad. | ||
1283 | |1282 |01:46:53 ~-~-> 01:46:56 |They're gonna be mad. And a couple of minutes may see that things start | ||
1284 | |1283 |01:46:56 ~-~-> 01:47:05 |fucking tear gas. And it did that inexperience that's all it is. And it's | ||
1285 | |1284 |01:47:05 ~-~-> 01:47:12 |easily overcome. It's easily overcome. But at 930. That window of time, right | ||
1286 | |1285 |01:47:12 ~-~-> 01:47:20 |at 930, what's actually occurring? I want to go down into a one minute chart. | ||
1287 | |1286 |01:47:21 ~-~-> 01:47:26 |Let me put that level back on here first. So here is that pool of liquidity | ||
1288 | |1287 |01:47:26 ~-~-> 01:47:31 |whereby side list my side liquidity or buy stops are resting. And these levels | ||
1289 | |1288 |01:47:31 ~-~-> 01:47:35 |are obviously what I've already outlined here. So it's this is the daily | ||
1290 | |1289 |01:47:35 ~-~-> 01:47:40 |objective. And then for the week, where they would run for liquidity for the | ||
1291 | |1290 |01:47:40 ~-~-> 01:47:45 |purposes of going against the large funds. Okay. So this is not a one time | ||
1292 | |1291 |01:47:45 ~-~-> 01:47:49 |teaching is exactly what I was teaching last year. Okay. And this is exactly | ||
1293 | |1292 |01:47:49 ~-~-> 01:47:52 |what I taught my paid mentorship students. This is the same logic, I'm | ||
1294 | |1293 |01:47:52 ~-~-> 01:47:55 |not morphing into something different. I'm not trying to make it complicated. | ||
1295 | |1294 |01:47:55 ~-~-> 01:47:59 |This is simple shit. It's really, really, really simple. But now we're | ||
1296 | |1295 |01:47:59 ~-~-> 01:48:02 |going to drop down into a one minute chart and look at this 15 minute | ||
1297 | |1296 |01:48:02 ~-~-> 01:48:09 |candlestick over the course of individual one minute candles, okay. Do | ||
1298 | |1297 |01:48:09 ~-~-> 01:48:16 |me a favor, if you are learning from this today, I would greatly appreciate a | ||
1299 | |1298 |01:48:16 ~-~-> 01:48:21 |thumbs up. It doesn't cost you anything. I promise you, no one's going to know | ||
1300 | |1299 |01:48:21 ~-~-> 01:48:26 |you'd like the video. It's completely anonymous. But it encourages me because | ||
1301 | |1300 |01:48:26 ~-~-> 01:48:30 |I sometimes I've asked for this and I look at it. I'm like, wow, I literally | ||
1302 | |1301 |01:48:30 ~-~-> 01:48:34 |just gave you something I used to charge people $20,000 For and you literally | ||
1303 | |1302 |01:48:34 ~-~-> 01:48:39 |can't click the thumbs up is a sign of appreciation. That to me is entitlement. | ||
1304 | |1303 |01:48:40 ~-~-> 01:48:46 |That to me is absolutely entitlement. And I don't owe you any of this. And | ||
1305 | |1304 |01:48:46 ~-~-> 01:48:50 |while I don't necessarily need it, it just it's astonishing to see a video get | ||
1306 | |1305 |01:48:50 ~-~-> 01:48:57 |185,000 views and 5000 likes. When I'm inviting you to do something as a means | ||
1307 | |1306 |01:48:57 ~-~-> 01:49:01 |of encouragement. Did you notice how I slacked off doing it? It's because of | ||
1308 | |1307 |01:49:01 ~-~-> 01:49:04 |that? Because that are there. And there's a lot of people that do want to | ||
1309 | |1308 |01:49:04 ~-~-> 01:49:13 |do it and that's great. But I'm looking for a movement here, not just lukewarm | ||
1310 | |1309 |01:49:13 ~-~-> 01:49:19 |response. Alright, so we're in here at 930 is right there. So I'm gonna zoom in | ||
1311 | |1310 |01:49:19 ~-~-> 01:49:22 |so that we can see it. But here's that cell side, we will have to worry about | ||
1312 | |1311 |01:49:22 ~-~-> 01:49:27 |it. We don't need to worry about it. Why? Why don't we worried about why are | ||
1313 | |1312 |01:49:27 ~-~-> 01:49:33 |we worried about these relative equals ICT? Why are we looking at this one | ||
1314 | |1313 |01:49:33 ~-~-> 01:49:37 |minute relative equal lows? Why didn't the market go down there? I can't hear | ||
1315 | |1314 |01:49:37 ~-~-> 01:49:42 |you. I don't see any comment that some of your are asking that maybe you did | ||
1316 | |1315 |01:49:42 ~-~-> 01:49:46 |post it. Maybe you are planning on asking about it. Maybe you're smiling | ||
1317 | |1316 |01:49:46 ~-~-> 01:49:49 |and thinking yes, that's the question I was going to ask her. So what I asked | ||
1318 | |1317 |01:49:49 ~-~-> 01:49:55 |them you haven't got to get everything I've outlined in the first part of this | ||
1319 | |1318 |01:49:55 ~-~-> 01:50:00 |presentation is there's no need for it to go down the path of least resistance | ||
1320 | |1319 |01:50:00 ~-~-> 01:50:05 |is where the largest pool of liquidity that has not been tapped into resides, | ||
1321 | |1320 |01:50:06 ~-~-> 01:50:11 |where the smooth edges are in price. We determine that from the 15 minute | ||
1322 | |1321 |01:50:11 ~-~-> 01:50:14 |timeframe. So when I'm looking at a one minute chart, you think I'm turning the | ||
1323 | |1322 |01:50:14 ~-~-> 01:50:18 |chart on. Oh, he went right to a one minute chart, he can just look at the | ||
1324 | |1323 |01:50:18 ~-~-> 01:50:22 |moment chart, there's no I mean, at least looking at what I believe I | ||
1325 | |1324 |01:50:22 ~-~-> 01:50:27 |thought was going to be pertinent for the week that I did the analysis on, on | ||
1326 | |1325 |01:50:27 ~-~-> 01:50:31 |a day when the markets not trading Sunday or Saturday or Friday evening | ||
1327 | |1326 |01:50:31 ~-~-> 01:50:34 |when the markets are closed. So I'm looking at the weekly chart, and I'm | ||
1328 | |1327 |01:50:34 ~-~-> 01:50:41 |spending about five minutes determining, okay, it's likely to keep running higher | ||
1329 | |1328 |01:50:41 ~-~-> 01:50:47 |to run out hold high, or go into a fair value go. Go back and look at your own | ||
1330 | |1329 |01:50:47 ~-~-> 01:50:50 |weekly chart. Was there a fair value out there need to trade up into? No? So what | ||
1331 | |1330 |01:50:50 ~-~-> 01:50:56 |is it it's a highs? Real simple in, in that simple. But what happens if there's | ||
1332 | |1331 |01:50:56 ~-~-> 01:50:59 |an inefficiency or fair value got prior to that hot? Well, then I would use the | ||
1333 | |1332 |01:50:59 ~-~-> 01:51:06 |inefficiency. That will be the weekly objective. This is too hard. I don't | ||
1334 | |1333 |01:51:06 ~-~-> 01:51:09 |know what to do with this stuff. There's too many variables ICT bullshit, you | ||
1335 | |1334 |01:51:09 ~-~-> 01:51:14 |just simply aren't taking notes, and you're, you're complicating it. If this | ||
1336 | |1335 |01:51:14 ~-~-> 01:51:18 |was complicated, it would be very hard for me to continuously keep using | ||
1337 | |1336 |01:51:18 ~-~-> 01:51:23 |different models all the time and still make it work for you. Think about it. | ||
1338 | |1337 |01:51:24 ~-~-> 01:51:28 |All of these models are available to you for free. But not every one of them are | ||
1339 | |1338 |01:51:28 ~-~-> 01:51:32 |going to fit you like a glove, you'll have one that works perfectly, and maybe | ||
1340 | |1339 |01:51:32 ~-~-> 01:51:36 |an extra that if that model doesn't exist, there's something else you can | ||
1341 | |1340 |01:51:36 ~-~-> 01:51:40 |lean on. And if you can't find it in one or two models, then that's a perfect | ||
1342 | |1341 |01:51:40 ~-~-> 01:51:43 |excuse for you not to be trading today. Don't force it, turn the charts off and | ||
1343 | |1342 |01:51:43 ~-~-> 01:51:48 |go do something else. How's that for logic? But no, that's not going to be | ||
1344 | |1343 |01:51:48 ~-~-> 01:51:52 |what you do. You're going to find some reason to get in there. You're going to | ||
1345 | |1344 |01:51:52 ~-~-> 01:51:54 |look at relative equal lows like this and say, No, I think it's going to go | ||
1346 | |1345 |01:51:54 ~-~-> 01:51:58 |down because look at it. Look at it. Look, it's making a bear flag. And so | ||
1347 | |1346 |01:51:58 ~-~-> 01:52:01 |it's going to drop down here and bullshit. What is it really doing? | ||
1348 | |1347 |01:52:03 ~-~-> 01:52:06 |What's it really doing? It's only trading to the midpoint of that | ||
1349 | |1348 |01:52:06 ~-~-> 01:52:12 |consolidation. I'm for you right there. Perfect. Are any the bodies closing | ||
1350 | |1349 |01:52:12 ~-~-> 01:52:17 |below the midpoint of that consolidation? No. What did these wicks | ||
1351 | |1350 |01:52:17 ~-~-> 01:52:25 |reach into that volume imbalance between these two candles bodies? Oh, it's gonna | ||
1352 | |1351 |01:52:25 ~-~-> 01:52:30 |drop down. No, it's not. Because the unfinished business is this level here, | ||
1353 | |1352 |01:52:30 ~-~-> 01:52:35 |which is those relative equal highs in that 15 minute timeframe. And by the | ||
1354 | |1353 |01:52:35 ~-~-> 01:52:38 |way, the other video do private listen, I listened to the playback two days ago. | ||
1355 | |1354 |01:52:39 ~-~-> 01:52:43 |And I actually call the highs, I said, these are relative equal lows, but their | ||
1356 | |1355 |01:52:43 ~-~-> 01:52:50 |highs. When I saw that my OCD flared like crazy. Fuck, I can't go in there | ||
1357 | |1356 |01:52:50 ~-~-> 01:52:53 |and fix it. And it's driving me crazy how many people looked at density, I see | ||
1358 | |1357 |01:52:53 ~-~-> 01:52:56 |what you thought about their highs. But it is what it is when I tell you. That's | ||
1359 | |1358 |01:52:56 ~-~-> 01:53:00 |how you get it from me when I don't have a script. And I don't upgrade on a | ||
1360 | |1359 |01:53:00 ~-~-> 01:53:05 |script. It's as it happens. So there's no need for it to go down here based on | ||
1361 | |1360 |01:53:05 ~-~-> 01:53:09 |everything online prior to where we are right now. So we're dropping down to the | ||
1362 | |1361 |01:53:09 ~-~-> 01:53:14 |midpoint of the consolidation. And as price drops down into that midpoint, | ||
1363 | |1362 |01:53:15 ~-~-> 01:53:19 |you're going to be anticipating a price run, you're anticipating ripping higher, | ||
1364 | |1363 |01:53:20 ~-~-> 01:53:26 |and you want to look for reasons to get into the move. And if you're undecided, | ||
1365 | |1364 |01:53:28 ~-~-> 01:53:33 |okay, my my son asked the question, well, can you start? Because what if it | ||
1366 | |1365 |01:53:33 ~-~-> 01:53:38 |goes into something like this here? Right ahead of 930? What if it does | ||
1367 | |1366 |01:53:38 ~-~-> 01:53:43 |something like that, and then use the top of the consolidation, but trades | ||
1368 | |1367 |01:53:43 ~-~-> 01:53:47 |into a fair value gap like that, and then keeps on going off like that? Well, | ||
1369 | |1368 |01:53:47 ~-~-> 01:53:50 |then that means you're missing putting on the largest portion of your your | ||
1370 | |1369 |01:53:50 ~-~-> 01:53:57 |trade, you might just get small, small piece on. But using that question that | ||
1371 | |1370 |01:53:57 ~-~-> 01:54:00 |he presented to me this morning, I will present to you this | ||
1372 | |1371 |01:54:06 ~-~-> 01:54:11 |so we're inside, trading in here in this fear of a gap here. I'm using that logic | ||
1373 | |1372 |01:54:11 ~-~-> 01:54:17 |with this movement here and then using this as an inversion fair Vega. So that | ||
1374 | |1373 |01:54:17 ~-~-> 01:54:19 |was what I was telling him at the time. I said, Okay, well, you can get a small | ||
1375 | |1374 |01:54:19 ~-~-> 01:54:24 |piece on. Don't look at the contract size. It's irrelevant. Okay, this could | ||
1376 | |1375 |01:54:24 ~-~-> 01:54:28 |be just one contract. It could be 50 each time. It's irrelevant. It just so | ||
1377 | |1376 |01:54:28 ~-~-> 01:54:31 |happens that when we were working together with it, and I don't want you | ||
1378 | |1377 |01:54:31 ~-~-> 01:54:35 |look at counting all the money up because it's demo. It's demo demo demo. | ||
1379 | |1378 |01:54:35 ~-~-> 01:54:42 |Okay. The logic is how do we scale in. And every single time we trade it to a | ||
1380 | |1379 |01:54:42 ~-~-> 01:54:45 |specific PV array. I told him, press the button Now, press the button Now, press | ||
1381 | |1380 |01:54:45 ~-~-> 01:54:50 |the button Now, press the button now. And I was telling him every single time | ||
1382 | |1381 |01:54:50 ~-~-> 01:54:53 |he did it, I said no, this is what we're using. And this is what we're using and | ||
1383 | |1382 |01:54:53 ~-~-> 01:54:58 |this is what we're using. So he was seeing the pattern formation being | ||
1384 | |1383 |01:54:58 ~-~-> 01:55:04 |brought to his attention By me at the time, he was pressing the button. So he | ||
1385 | |1384 |01:55:04 ~-~-> 01:55:08 |was having the engagement and the memory of I see this happening, because that's | ||
1386 | |1385 |01:55:08 ~-~-> 01:55:11 |pointing out. So he's going to hear my voice in his memory. He's going to see | ||
1387 | |1386 |01:55:11 ~-~-> 01:55:14 |the chart, because he's going to remember by repetition. This is how I | ||
1388 | |1387 |01:55:14 ~-~-> 01:55:19 |teach my kids, by the way. And he's doing the process of him pressing a | ||
1389 | |1388 |01:55:19 ~-~-> 01:55:23 |button. It's not him watching me press the button. Notice this, because many of | ||
1390 | |1389 |01:55:23 ~-~-> 01:55:27 |you that watch my videos think you're learning. No, you're becoming familiar. | ||
1391 | |1390 |01:55:27 ~-~-> 01:55:32 |That's all you're doing. You're becoming familiar with it. It's the equivalent of | ||
1392 | |1391 |01:55:32 ~-~-> 01:55:37 |you watching someone else do a workout in the gym. Wow. And he's bench pressing | ||
1393 | |1392 |01:55:37 ~-~-> 01:55:40 |600 pounds. He's doing? Yeah, oh, man, that's great. I went to the gym today, | ||
1394 | |1393 |01:55:40 ~-~-> 01:55:44 |you didn't, you didn't do shit. He fucking bonbons and potato chips, | ||
1395 | |1394 |01:55:45 ~-~-> 01:55:48 |drinking root beer, watching somebody else bust ass and getting the weight | ||
1396 | |1395 |01:55:48 ~-~-> 01:55:51 |lifted up throwing weight around, you didn't do anything. And that's the | ||
1397 | |1396 |01:55:51 ~-~-> 01:55:54 |equivalent of people that come to my YouTube channel and they watch my | ||
1398 | |1397 |01:55:54 ~-~-> 01:55:58 |videos, but then they don't do anything I tell you to do in the videos, which | ||
1399 | |1398 |01:55:58 ~-~-> 01:56:01 |means you got to go back through the price action, you got to back test, and | ||
1400 | |1399 |01:56:01 ~-~-> 01:56:05 |then you got to study and then do forward testing. Eventually, when you | ||
1401 | |1400 |01:56:05 ~-~-> 01:56:08 |get through tape reading, and you get familiar with reading where the price | ||
1402 | |1401 |01:56:08 ~-~-> 01:56:12 |should react and you're not pressing any buttons there. You're just watching | ||
1403 | |1402 |01:56:12 ~-~-> 01:56:16 |price, getting a feel for what it's likely to do next. And there's no | ||
1404 | |1403 |01:56:17 ~-~-> 01:56:21 |dependency on you being right or wrong. Not even in our demo. Because if you | ||
1405 | |1404 |01:56:21 ~-~-> 01:56:25 |jump to that stage, before tape reading is done, and you get good at reading | ||
1406 | |1405 |01:56:25 ~-~-> 01:56:29 |price. The feeling like it's gonna go to a specific level, then go from that | ||
1407 | |1406 |01:56:29 ~-~-> 01:56:32 |level to another level. That's tape reading. Okay, fuck all you guys. | ||
1408 | |1407 |01:56:32 ~-~-> 01:56:35 |They're talking about, oh, that's not taking, you don't know what the fuck | ||
1409 | |1408 |01:56:35 ~-~-> 01:56:38 |you're doing. You have no idea what you're talking about. You're talking | ||
1410 | |1409 |01:56:38 ~-~-> 01:56:42 |about level two data bullshit. That is irrelevant spoofed bull shit, it has | ||
1411 | |1410 |01:56:42 ~-~-> 01:56:48 |absolutely no bearing on my price is gonna go up None, zero zilch. But at | ||
1412 | |1411 |01:56:48 ~-~-> 01:56:52 |some point, when you get good at reading price, real time, and you know what it's | ||
1413 | |1412 |01:56:52 ~-~-> 01:56:57 |likely to do, then you go to the stage of entering. But you have to go through | ||
1414 | |1413 |01:56:57 ~-~-> 01:57:03 |that process of getting through a period of uncertainty and not trusting your own | ||
1415 | |1414 |01:57:03 ~-~-> 01:57:08 |executions. And since he asked about consolidations, just so you know, I'm | ||
1416 | |1415 |01:57:08 ~-~-> 01:57:14 |telling you don't trade like this, because this is the highest complicated | ||
1417 | |1416 |01:57:14 ~-~-> 01:57:18 |fucking way for me as a mentor to try to teach this part to you. But I'm going to | ||
1418 | |1417 |01:57:18 ~-~-> 01:57:22 |share it with you how I taught my son this morning, okay? Trading in | ||
1419 | |1418 |01:57:22 ~-~-> 01:57:29 |consolidations is very tricky, because you don't know. And I don't know if | ||
1420 | |1419 |01:57:29 ~-~-> 01:57:33 |they're going to go in manually and intervene and rip the other side that | ||
1421 | |1420 |01:57:33 ~-~-> 01:57:38 |consolidation one more time, and then sent hard the other direction. But if I | ||
1422 | |1421 |01:57:38 ~-~-> 01:57:43 |do take a trade, now I'm going to teach it in a way where it didn't happen | ||
1423 | |1422 |01:57:43 ~-~-> 01:57:47 |today. But I'm gonna tell you any event, if I ever trade like this in the future, | ||
1424 | |1423 |01:57:47 ~-~-> 01:57:50 |and you probably have seen examples of this in the past on baby pips, I did a | ||
1425 | |1424 |01:57:50 ~-~-> 01:58:00 |lot with Forex. But this consolidation here, how we moved outside of it. We | ||
1426 | |1425 |01:58:00 ~-~-> 01:58:04 |were using this gap here. And we already worked into this one. So this has | ||
1427 | |1426 |01:58:04 ~-~-> 01:58:08 |already traded down. Let me I'm going to take the I'll put these back on in a | ||
1428 | |1427 |01:58:08 ~-~-> 01:58:15 |minute. But I want to go in and show you what I was pointing to to him. Right, | ||
1429 | |1428 |01:58:15 ~-~-> 01:58:22 |you see a smaller gap right here, me, let me elongate the chart. See a little | ||
1430 | |1429 |01:58:22 ~-~-> 01:58:27 |separation right in here. See how the bodies worked just inside that the wicks | ||
1431 | |1430 |01:58:27 ~-~-> 01:58:31 |went past that that's fine. But the bodies are stopping right in there. That | ||
1432 | |1431 |01:58:31 ~-~-> 01:58:37 |to me tells me that it's already building the narrative that it's gonna | ||
1433 | |1432 |01:58:37 ~-~-> 01:58:43 |go higher. But what it creates here is a pool of liquidity for sellside. Meaning | ||
1434 | |1433 |01:58:43 ~-~-> 01:58:46 |that it's going to do this and go higher, if it goes back below that. | ||
1435 | |1434 |01:58:47 ~-~-> 01:58:50 |Okay, that's fine. It's going to do what it's going to pull back to the middle of | ||
1436 | |1435 |01:58:50 ~-~-> 01:58:54 |consolidation. And what's at the middle of consolidation? Look over here. | ||
1437 | |1436 |01:58:55 ~-~-> 01:58:59 |There's a separation of these two candlesticks bodies. Yes, we have a wick | ||
1438 | |1437 |01:58:59 ~-~-> 01:59:04 |right there, that connects this candle and the candle previous. But there's a | ||
1439 | |1438 |01:59:04 ~-~-> 01:59:09 |separation. And I teach that as a volume imbalance. Because I teach that the | ||
1440 | |1439 |01:59:09 ~-~-> 01:59:15 |volume of the move is seen in the body of the candlestick. So if there's a | ||
1441 | |1440 |01:59:15 ~-~-> 01:59:19 |separation of two consecutive candles, where they may overlap or connect with | ||
1442 | |1441 |01:59:19 ~-~-> 01:59:24 |the wicks, but their bodies don't connect, there's an absence or imbalance | ||
1443 | |1442 |01:59:25 ~-~-> 01:59:30 |of volume there. So the algorithm refers back to that that's what you're seeing | ||
1444 | |1443 |01:59:30 ~-~-> 01:59:35 |right here. But no, it didn't look at it. Look here, here's the low of that | ||
1445 | |1444 |01:59:35 ~-~-> 01:59:38 |fair value gap, I'm sorry, volume imbalance. It went past that right and | ||
1446 | |1445 |01:59:38 ~-~-> 01:59:41 |you're not paying attention to the volume imbalance that's right here. | ||
1447 | |1446 |01:59:43 ~-~-> 01:59:52 |That's what it's digging down into perfectly. But the real work is this | ||
1448 | |1447 |01:59:52 ~-~-> 01:59:56 |determining that yes, it can reach for these areas here. But the narrative is | ||
1449 | |1448 |01:59:56 ~-~-> 02:00:01 |not changing is not a bear flag. Why? Because none of These bodies are closing | ||
1450 | |1449 |02:00:01 ~-~-> 02:00:07 |below the midpoint, that's consolidation. You see that? So, as I'm | ||
1451 | |1450 |02:00:07 ~-~-> 02:00:12 |watching this, I'm telling my son, look at the bottom, everything I type out | ||
1452 | |1451 |02:00:12 ~-~-> 02:00:16 |when I'm looking at the examples, and I'm doing right executions, I'm typing | ||
1453 | |1452 |02:00:16 ~-~-> 02:00:19 |out the narrative, I'm typing out what I think. Or I'm drawing attention to watch | ||
1454 | |1453 |02:00:19 ~-~-> 02:00:22 |the candles bodies, watch the bodies, watch the candlestick bodies. Or if I'm | ||
1455 | |1454 |02:00:22 ~-~-> 02:00:25 |talking about something when I was doing live tape reading with you often now | ||
1456 | |1455 |02:00:25 ~-~-> 02:00:28 |watch the bodies, keep your eye on the bodies, the wicks can do all that | ||
1457 | |1456 |02:00:28 ~-~-> 02:00:36 |damage. At some point, this candlestick was a bold, faced bearish candle. And it | ||
1458 | |1457 |02:00:36 ~-~-> 02:00:41 |was right on the low. But then it changed. I'm watching these candles as | ||
1459 | |1458 |02:00:41 ~-~-> 02:00:46 |it trades down in that midpoint. And that concerned that it's doing it, it's | ||
1460 | |1459 |02:00:46 ~-~-> 02:00:54 |expected to do that. So my question, sorry, my son's question was, how do I | ||
1461 | |1460 |02:00:54 ~-~-> 02:00:59 |if I, if I say do this, and it trades here? Can I buy it? And if it just goes | ||
1462 | |1461 |02:00:59 ~-~-> 02:01:03 |to the top of that consolidation? What happens? It does that, you know, can I | ||
1463 | |1462 |02:01:03 ~-~-> 02:01:06 |do that? Yes, you can do that. But you can't build your largest position there. | ||
1464 | |1463 |02:01:06 ~-~-> 02:01:10 |And you run the risk of entering. And then if it takes off like this, well, | ||
1465 | |1464 |02:01:10 ~-~-> 02:01:14 |you whatever you got on the trade is all you can do, you may not get an | ||
1466 | |1465 |02:01:14 ~-~-> 02:01:19 |opportunity to pyramid anything else in. So that's what you run the risk of the | ||
1467 | |1466 |02:01:19 ~-~-> 02:01:27 |deeper you can trade inside of that consolidation ahead of what time 930. So | ||
1468 | |1467 |02:01:27 ~-~-> 02:01:31 |what's on the marketplace was likely to be traded to the buy side, what specific | ||
1469 | |1468 |02:01:31 ~-~-> 02:01:39 |levels 16,000 to 80.50. And then we're gonna sign up to the 208 50, and then | ||
1470 | |1469 |02:01:39 ~-~-> 02:01:50 |264, something. Yeah, to a 50. And then 264, whatnot. So in here, as the markets | ||
1471 | |1470 |02:01:50 ~-~-> 02:01:55 |trading down into this, every single time is digging in, towards the halfway | ||
1472 | |1471 |02:01:55 ~-~-> 02:02:00 |point here. I'm telling him, press the button, press the button, press the | ||
1473 | |1472 |02:02:00 ~-~-> 02:02:05 |button. And he's scaling in because I'm teaching him to see what it feels like | ||
1474 | |1473 |02:02:05 ~-~-> 02:02:11 |to be buying it when it's dropping. See, for some of you, when you watch me take | ||
1475 | |1474 |02:02:11 ~-~-> 02:02:16 |trades where I'm buying below old, single lows or relative equal lows, you | ||
1476 | |1475 |02:02:16 ~-~-> 02:02:20 |that's a trade you won't hate. Because you have never conditioned yourself to | ||
1477 | |1476 |02:02:20 ~-~-> 02:02:24 |anticipate that it's going to be doing that very thing. It's scary to you right | ||
1478 | |1477 |02:02:24 ~-~-> 02:02:28 |now, even in a demo, because you don't like the response of that result being | ||
1479 | |1478 |02:02:28 ~-~-> 02:02:32 |adverse or not profitable for you or the outcome not favorable, or something you | ||
1480 | |1479 |02:02:32 ~-~-> 02:02:35 |can brag about on social media look at this, or feel good that you did | ||
1481 | |1480 |02:02:35 ~-~-> 02:02:39 |something, right, because you're worrying about being right or wrong. And | ||
1482 | |1481 |02:02:39 ~-~-> 02:02:42 |when you're learning, it's not about right or wrong. It's about learning a | ||
1483 | |1482 |02:02:42 ~-~-> 02:02:49 |process. Process. That is not an absolute profitability, it means that | ||
1484 | |1483 |02:02:49 ~-~-> 02:02:53 |there's a gray area that you have to willingly embrace. And trading is all | ||
1485 | |1484 |02:02:53 ~-~-> 02:02:58 |about that. So by doing these types of examples, going in, and I'll give you | ||
1486 | |1485 |02:02:58 ~-~-> 02:03:03 |some right now, I'll slap some down right now for you. Every single fair | ||
1487 | |1486 |02:03:03 ~-~-> 02:03:08 |Baghdad, whether you can determine the bias or not every single fair value gap | ||
1488 | |1487 |02:03:08 ~-~-> 02:03:14 |on a one minute chart, you should engage not holding yourself to being right or | ||
1489 | |1488 |02:03:14 ~-~-> 02:03:18 |wrong. But when you see it, and it trades into it, for instance, right in | ||
1490 | |1489 |02:03:18 ~-~-> 02:03:24 |here. See this boss on unbalanced us on efficiency, that big green candle here? | ||
1491 | |1490 |02:03:24 ~-~-> 02:03:29 |Why is that occurring? But what time is that? 933? | ||
1492 | |1491 |02:03:31 ~-~-> 02:03:35 |Will it what is it running towards what direction that blue line here, which is | ||
1493 | |1492 |02:03:35 ~-~-> 02:03:39 |that 15 minute, relative equal high. The buy sites are where I told you it was | ||
1494 | |1493 |02:03:39 ~-~-> 02:03:43 |like a safe room where the retail thought it was safe to be there with a | ||
1495 | |1494 |02:03:43 ~-~-> 02:03:46 |short position having a protective buy stock in that area. We're going above | ||
1496 | |1495 |02:03:46 ~-~-> 02:03:52 |that. Well, it 933 In one single candle it ripped from here, all up here but | ||
1497 | |1496 |02:03:52 ~-~-> 02:03:56 |stopped short of it. The next candle opens, sweeps it then gigs all the way | ||
1498 | |1497 |02:03:56 ~-~-> 02:04:04 |back down to what to reprice to this candles high. And rebalance all of this | ||
1499 | |1498 |02:04:04 ~-~-> 02:04:08 |inefficiency that's created by that one single upclose candle. So that buys that | ||
1500 | |1499 |02:04:08 ~-~-> 02:04:12 |analysis on an efficiency. It is a fair value gap. But what is it inefficient | ||
1501 | |1500 |02:04:12 ~-~-> 02:04:17 |and movement delivered to the downside. So in efficient market delivery, | ||
1502 | |1501 |02:04:17 ~-~-> 02:04:22 |delivered price is where price has been offered on the upstroke. And on the | ||
1503 | |1502 |02:04:22 ~-~-> 02:04:26 |downstroke because it's giving both entities in the marketplace buyers and | ||
1504 | |1503 |02:04:26 ~-~-> 02:04:33 |sellers reason to employ whatever logic they have in the in the movement of | ||
1505 | |1504 |02:04:33 ~-~-> 02:04:39 |price. So as price is going up, oh, it's buying pressure here. Bullshit. That's | ||
1506 | |1505 |02:04:39 ~-~-> 02:04:43 |not what's going on here. Okay, because these orders were already sitting here | ||
1507 | |1506 |02:04:43 ~-~-> 02:04:48 |read about that hot well above the 50 Minute highs. Okay. Remember, for some | ||
1508 | |1507 |02:04:48 ~-~-> 02:04:52 |of you that are brand new, I probably lost you. I'm going to go back up to a | ||
1509 | |1508 |02:04:52 ~-~-> 02:04:57 |15 minute chart and come right back to this chart here. But the 16,118.75 | ||
1510 | |1509 |02:04:57 ~-~-> 02:05:07 |level, what is that level? It's this one It's these highs right here. See the | ||
1511 | |1510 |02:05:07 ~-~-> 02:05:17 |price 16,118.75. That's these relative equal highs right there. So it runs real | ||
1512 | |1511 |02:05:17 ~-~-> 02:05:24 |quick to get those. It doesn't take a lot of contracts being bought to get | ||
1513 | |1512 |02:05:24 ~-~-> 02:05:32 |there. If there was a handful of orders coming in, okay, at 930, there is a | ||
1514 | |1513 |02:05:32 ~-~-> 02:05:37 |plethora, there's a huge injection of market orders coming in, flooding the | ||
1515 | |1514 |02:05:37 ~-~-> 02:05:42 |marketplace, buying and selling, buying and selling, buying and selling. The | ||
1516 | |1515 |02:05:42 ~-~-> 02:05:48 |algorithm will reprice and keep offering higher prices. It doesn't fucking matter | ||
1517 | |1516 |02:05:48 ~-~-> 02:05:51 |how many people are selling short, it doesn't fucking matter how many people | ||
1518 | |1517 |02:05:51 ~-~-> 02:05:56 |are buying it, it matters not. It just needs people to come in. So they can | ||
1519 | |1518 |02:05:56 ~-~-> 02:06:02 |book that price. And when that price is booked to candlestick, your chart, the | ||
1520 | |1519 |02:06:02 ~-~-> 02:06:06 |market itself will reflect that because it's being controlled, to go right into | ||
1521 | |1520 |02:06:06 ~-~-> 02:06:10 |here. And then the real party starts what's happening. The market has now | ||
1522 | |1521 |02:06:10 ~-~-> 02:06:15 |brought in traders that are thinking what? They're short now they're stopped | ||
1523 | |1522 |02:06:15 ~-~-> 02:06:20 |out, are they? Are they thinking about doing a short again? Hell no. They're | ||
1524 | |1523 |02:06:20 ~-~-> 02:06:23 |they're like a deer in headlights. They're scared to death. They're stopped | ||
1525 | |1524 |02:06:23 ~-~-> 02:06:27 |out. They're wrong. What the hell is gonna happen today? I don't know. And | ||
1526 | |1525 |02:06:27 ~-~-> 02:06:35 |then it drops aggressively. What's that doing? enticing them to get back in. So | ||
1527 | |1526 |02:06:35 ~-~-> 02:06:40 |what are they gonna do? They're gonna sell as it goes into this inefficiency. | ||
1528 | |1527 |02:06:40 ~-~-> 02:06:45 |Exactly, exactly. When smart money is waiting for price to get right into this | ||
1529 | |1528 |02:06:45 ~-~-> 02:06:58 |little area. between here and here that is being done by the algorithm to offer | ||
1530 | |1529 |02:06:58 ~-~-> 02:07:04 |the opportunity for smart money. People that are looking for these types of | ||
1531 | |1530 |02:07:04 ~-~-> 02:07:09 |setups, when it trades down there. There they're trying to accumulate. And by | ||
1532 | |1531 |02:07:09 ~-~-> 02:07:15 |that, as retail chases it going, Oh, I got stopped out. It's gone. Now. It's | ||
1533 | |1532 |02:07:15 ~-~-> 02:07:19 |gone right back up to stop your ass out again. Because you're trying to force | ||
1534 | |1533 |02:07:19 ~-~-> 02:07:23 |your will as a retail trader, you don't know shit. You don't know anything. | ||
1535 | |1534 |02:07:23 ~-~-> 02:07:29 |You're completely a neophyte, but you're impulsive. And you can't accept being | ||
1536 | |1535 |02:07:29 ~-~-> 02:07:32 |wrong. So therefore, when you trade, you're putting everything behind the | ||
1537 | |1536 |02:07:32 ~-~-> 02:07:37 |trade, reckless abandonment, you don't care. You're right, the market is going | ||
1538 | |1537 |02:07:37 ~-~-> 02:07:44 |to listen to you. You read 16 books this past summer, you you know you're doing | ||
1539 | |1538 |02:07:45 ~-~-> 02:07:50 |well. I'm teaching what the markets actually gonna do. Why does the | ||
1540 | |1539 |02:07:50 ~-~-> 02:07:53 |candlestick closed on or something like that? We'll look at it when you be | ||
1541 | |1540 |02:07:53 ~-~-> 02:07:59 |scared by that? No. Why is this permissible here? Because all of these | ||
1542 | |1541 |02:07:59 ~-~-> 02:08:05 |candlesticks here have wicks? And what are they? They're gaps, just like this | ||
1543 | |1542 |02:08:05 ~-~-> 02:08:11 |is a gap. So inside of these individual wicks, we can expect elegant dig down | ||
1544 | |1543 |02:08:11 ~-~-> 02:08:17 |into that. How far? Well, we just left this consolidation, that industry down | ||
1545 | |1544 |02:08:17 ~-~-> 02:08:24 |to that, yes. But is it closing inside a consolidation? No. So the bulk of buying | ||
1546 | |1545 |02:08:24 ~-~-> 02:08:28 |would be done in here. And you'd have to let the market trade against you on that | ||
1547 | |1546 |02:08:28 ~-~-> 02:08:34 |new pyramid entry, or if that was your entry to get into it. Now, find the | ||
1548 | |1547 |02:08:34 ~-~-> 02:08:39 |books that talk about that. They don't exist. They don't tell you where you're | ||
1549 | |1548 |02:08:39 ~-~-> 02:08:43 |getting in it and how to be comfortable in drawdown initially, while you're in a | ||
1550 | |1549 |02:08:43 ~-~-> 02:08:47 |trade. I've never bought a book. And I have over 2000 of these spoken things, | ||
1551 | |1550 |02:08:48 ~-~-> 02:08:52 |both in electronic format and actual hard copies. Not one book I've ever | ||
1552 | |1551 |02:08:52 ~-~-> 02:08:57 |bought taught anything about when you get into a trade, how much it takes to | ||
1553 | |1552 |02:08:57 ~-~-> 02:09:01 |hold on to a trade while you're in drawdown before your trade starts to pan | ||
1554 | |1553 |02:09:01 ~-~-> 02:09:06 |out. Not one author has ever touched on that subject matter. And that's the very | ||
1555 | |1554 |02:09:06 ~-~-> 02:09:09 |thing that caused me to fail when I had winning trades, but I couldn't hold on | ||
1556 | |1555 |02:09:09 ~-~-> 02:09:12 |to him because I was scared because I was afraid to take another losing trade. | ||
1557 | |1556 |02:09:13 ~-~-> 02:09:19 |In the way I teach is you need to do these things with a demo you have that | ||
1558 | |1557 |02:09:19 ~-~-> 02:09:27 |has a purpose for you doing it. And that's what I was saying. A drill a way | ||
1559 | |1558 |02:09:27 ~-~-> 02:09:32 |of overcoming fear, a way of getting yourself pseudo experience every fair | ||
1560 | |1559 |02:09:32 ~-~-> 02:09:36 |value gap. Okay, let me let me widen this because it's not as clear as I want | ||
1561 | |1560 |02:09:36 ~-~-> 02:09:41 |it to be. So between this candles low in this candles high right there, that one | ||
1562 | |1561 |02:09:41 ~-~-> 02:09:48 |single green candle that's inefficient. So if we believe that this is just the | ||
1563 | |1562 |02:09:48 ~-~-> 02:09:52 |first part of the run up, and remember, we're still looking for price to get up | ||
1564 | |1563 |02:09:52 ~-~-> 02:10:00 |to here 16,000 to 850 I told you that this morning. Well if it can do Do this, | ||
1565 | |1564 |02:10:01 ~-~-> 02:10:04 |come back down and trade into this inefficiency. And we already feel | ||
1566 | |1565 |02:10:04 ~-~-> 02:10:08 |confident that this was only getting down to the midpoint of consolidation. | ||
1567 | |1566 |02:10:08 ~-~-> 02:10:12 |We didn't need to go down below these relative equal loads. Why? Because the | ||
1568 | |1567 |02:10:12 ~-~-> 02:10:17 |premise in the narrative was it's going higher. So there's no need to fear about | ||
1569 | |1568 |02:10:17 ~-~-> 02:10:22 |it, it's gonna go below that low. Why? It didn't go to the 208 50 level yet. | ||
1570 | |1569 |02:10:23 ~-~-> 02:10:26 |It's so close to that level in the daily chart. They're not going to leave it | ||
1571 | |1570 |02:10:26 ~-~-> 02:10:32 |there. Why? Because contract rollover. They're not going to let them sit there | ||
1572 | |1571 |02:10:32 ~-~-> 02:10:36 |safely. Right above that high, they're not going to do it, folks. They're not | ||
1573 | |1572 |02:10:36 ~-~-> 02:10:43 |going to do it. And did they? Fuck no. Nope. And you're all here live. This | ||
1574 | |1573 |02:10:43 ~-~-> 02:10:49 |isn't a recorded video. I've explained this in at nauseam, maybe not what the | ||
1575 | |1574 |02:10:49 ~-~-> 02:10:54 |best choice of vocabulary, but it's emphatic. I'm in I'm being in fact about | ||
1576 | |1575 |02:10:54 ~-~-> 02:10:59 |it. Because I want you to understand that these things repeat because they're | ||
1577 | |1576 |02:10:59 ~-~-> 02:11:05 |coded to do this. They're, they're coded to do these things. And when this rush | ||
1578 | |1577 |02:11:05 ~-~-> 02:11:09 |of volatility that comes in and order flow, the buying and selling that's | ||
1579 | |1578 |02:11:09 ~-~-> 02:11:17 |coming in, it doesn't matter how many contracts, they just need a contract to | ||
1580 | |1579 |02:11:17 ~-~-> 02:11:22 |book a price. And as it goes higher, the next next price that's offered, there's | ||
1581 | |1580 |02:11:22 ~-~-> 02:11:25 |people coming in all the time with market orders all the time, you could | ||
1582 | |1581 |02:11:25 ~-~-> 02:11:31 |have a flood, a flood of short selling orders coming in, it's not making the | ||
1583 | |1582 |02:11:31 ~-~-> 02:11:34 |market go fucking down, because they're gonna keep offering it higher, higher, | ||
1584 | |1583 |02:11:34 ~-~-> 02:11:39 |higher, higher, higher, you ever been in a short squeeze your short? What to keep | ||
1585 | |1584 |02:11:39 ~-~-> 02:11:42 |doing pricing higher, higher, higher, higher heart, look at the volume, it's | ||
1586 | |1585 |02:11:42 ~-~-> 02:11:46 |not much buying. But you wanna look at that ladder and a depth of market | ||
1587 | |1586 |02:11:46 ~-~-> 02:11:51 |bullshit. Level two data. Look how many contracts are really fortifying that | ||
1588 | |1587 |02:11:51 ~-~-> 02:11:58 |rally? Perfect example here for commodity traders. How many contracts | ||
1589 | |1588 |02:11:58 ~-~-> 02:12:03 |does it take to create a limit up or limit down day? Some of you only have to | ||
1590 | |1589 |02:12:03 ~-~-> 02:12:07 |talk that is, but there's a day where the market will open up based on the | ||
1591 | |1590 |02:12:07 ~-~-> 02:12:11 |previous day's close. And where we opened the new day. The opening price is | ||
1592 | |1591 |02:12:11 ~-~-> 02:12:16 |the entirety of that daily fluctuation, it's at the maximum movement, it will be | ||
1593 | |1592 |02:12:16 ~-~-> 02:12:25 |allowed. It stays there lot limit. What Yeah, I got stuck in that once before. | ||
1594 | |1593 |02:12:26 ~-~-> 02:12:30 |It's not fun. But I also had days where I was stuck in it moving in my favor. | ||
1595 | |1594 |02:12:31 ~-~-> 02:12:37 |Both instances that it's terrifying. But because you can't get out, you cannot | ||
1596 | |1595 |02:12:37 ~-~-> 02:12:41 |get out. There's nothing that will allow you to get out of that trade. And that | ||
1597 | |1596 |02:12:41 ~-~-> 02:12:46 |my friends is fucking terrifying. Even when you're making money, it's | ||
1598 | |1597 |02:12:46 ~-~-> 02:12:51 |terrifying. And worse, so when you're losing, and you don't your mind, you're | ||
1599 | |1598 |02:12:51 ~-~-> 02:12:56 |thinking shit, it's going to do 57 days of this. So astronomical in terms of | ||
1600 | |1599 |02:12:56 ~-~-> 02:13:00 |exaggerated expectations, right. But that's exactly what it feels like. And | ||
1601 | |1600 |02:13:00 ~-~-> 02:13:02 |anybody that's been trading commodities for any length of time, there's ever | ||
1602 | |1601 |02:13:02 ~-~-> 02:13:06 |been a limit up, move or limit down move. And it's been an adverse side. | ||
1603 | |1602 |02:13:06 ~-~-> 02:13:09 |Like if you're offside, you're not on the right side and you're losing money. | ||
1604 | |1603 |02:13:09 ~-~-> 02:13:14 |That is a sick feeling. Because there's nobody to help you. And everybody | ||
1605 | |1604 |02:13:14 ~-~-> 02:13:16 |becomes a Christian, then they start praying to God, they never believed them | ||
1606 | |1605 |02:13:16 ~-~-> 02:13:18 |before. Please let me get out of this right. | ||
1607 | |1606 |02:13:21 ~-~-> 02:13:25 |Every time you see a fair value gap, and it trades down into like this, it's | ||
1608 | |1607 |02:13:25 ~-~-> 02:13:28 |irrelevant, whether you believe it's gonna go higher or not. If it does this | ||
1609 | |1608 |02:13:28 ~-~-> 02:13:33 |very thing here, press that with your demo account with one contract. Just one | ||
1610 | |1609 |02:13:33 ~-~-> 02:13:39 |not 50 Not 20, not 19 Not new 40 Just do one contract, get the experience of what | ||
1611 | |1610 |02:13:39 ~-~-> 02:13:44 |it feels like to go in there as it happens. And just watch the reaction, | ||
1612 | |1611 |02:13:44 ~-~-> 02:13:48 |you're not using a stop loss, you're not using a target, you're just engaging | ||
1613 | |1612 |02:13:48 ~-~-> 02:13:52 |that fair value that it gives you experience of seeing it I've done this | ||
1614 | |1613 |02:13:52 ~-~-> 02:13:57 |for weeks with my son in that that's what helped him find fair value gaps. I | ||
1615 | |1614 |02:13:57 ~-~-> 02:14:00 |would see him using my experience that's okay. You put your finger on the buy | ||
1616 | |1615 |02:14:00 ~-~-> 02:14:06 |button he'd be sitting up here like this and that's okay. And push it and as it's | ||
1617 | |1616 |02:14:06 ~-~-> 02:14:10 |going down here like this he puts it he pushes the button and then he gets the | ||
1618 | |1617 |02:14:10 ~-~-> 02:14:14 |fill and then we watch it admittedly you know I'm telling you just watch to train | ||
1619 | |1618 |02:14:14 ~-~-> 02:14:19 |great back to their heart in and of itself that right there to hear. That's | ||
1620 | |1619 |02:14:19 ~-~-> 02:14:23 |a meal ticket. Like that's a model that's it's that's that's an easy | ||
1621 | |1620 |02:14:23 ~-~-> 02:14:27 |winning a combine that's easy getting paid out. That's easy replacing your | ||
1622 | |1621 |02:14:27 ~-~-> 02:14:30 |fucking job. That's easy getting rich it's easy winning the Robins cup it's | ||
1623 | |1622 |02:14:31 ~-~-> 02:14:33 |easy fucking becoming a millionaire it's easy fucking talent Tom, Dick and | ||
1624 | |1623 |02:14:33 ~-~-> 02:14:39 |Harry's mentorship will fuck yourself. I'm not saying any more mama. But you | ||
1625 | |1624 |02:14:39 ~-~-> 02:14:45 |want to do those things because it's a sense of community. Goes fucking join a | ||
1626 | |1625 |02:14:45 ~-~-> 02:14:48 |gym, okay, and get something better out of it. There's a community are there for | ||
1627 | |1626 |02:14:48 ~-~-> 02:14:54 |you start feeding these people. They're parasites, okay. You can do this on your | ||
1628 | |1627 |02:14:54 ~-~-> 02:14:59 |own. It just takes time. You got to work towards it. It's going to take effort | ||
1629 | |1628 |02:14:59 ~-~-> 02:15:02 |and it's going to it's not Not gonna happen overnight, but it will work if | ||
1630 | |1629 |02:15:02 ~-~-> 02:15:08 |you put the effort into it now. I mean, add those executions back because I | ||
1631 | |1630 |02:15:08 ~-~-> 02:15:13 |wanted to see where I was in this. So I told him initially, when we were up | ||
1632 | |1631 |02:15:13 ~-~-> 02:15:18 |here, working off the top of that initial consolidation, if it takes | ||
1633 | |1632 |02:15:18 ~-~-> 02:15:22 |offering from there, because it can do that, you just put on a small piece, | ||
1634 | |1633 |02:15:22 ~-~-> 02:15:27 |okay. And because I'm teaching him just to press the button, the numbers of the | ||
1635 | |1634 |02:15:27 ~-~-> 02:15:32 |contracts is irrelevant. When you practice, just use one, don't try to do | ||
1636 | |1635 |02:15:32 ~-~-> 02:15:36 |more than one, it doesn't matter how many contracts, you're just trying to | ||
1637 | |1636 |02:15:36 ~-~-> 02:15:40 |engage it. Okay, it just so happens that it was set on five like it is normally | ||
1638 | |1637 |02:15:40 ~-~-> 02:15:44 |here. And every time I told him to press the button, this is the reaction, I want | ||
1639 | |1638 |02:15:44 ~-~-> 02:15:48 |to him to see what it feels like to push the button, the numbers of what these | ||
1640 | |1639 |02:15:48 ~-~-> 02:15:51 |trades add up to and see irrelevant, because that's not the that's not the | ||
1641 | |1640 |02:15:51 ~-~-> 02:15:56 |point here. The point is engaging, as every time it trades down into this area | ||
1642 | |1641 |02:15:56 ~-~-> 02:15:59 |here, you want those very things that you can see the prices, and then | ||
1643 | |1642 |02:15:59 ~-~-> 02:16:04 |ultimately it trades up. And when it trades up into a point where it offers | ||
1644 | |1643 |02:16:04 ~-~-> 02:16:10 |you a sense of accomplishment. Like I want to teach my son how to take a low | ||
1645 | |1644 |02:16:10 ~-~-> 02:16:18 |hanging fruit objective, because he's living 16. Like he's, he's so so new. | ||
1646 | |1645 |02:16:19 ~-~-> 02:16:26 |That is equivalent to someone that just said, Oh, trading, let me go see what | ||
1647 | |1646 |02:16:26 ~-~-> 02:16:30 |that is. And he's my son. He's heard about all his life, but looking at on a | ||
1648 | |1647 |02:16:30 ~-~-> 02:16:35 |chart, he's got a learning disability. So I have to do what I have to do with | ||
1649 | |1648 |02:16:35 ~-~-> 02:16:41 |him in a way that I feel confident he'll, he'll grow. And in the last, I | ||
1650 | |1649 |02:16:41 ~-~-> 02:16:47 |guess, three weeks, four weeks, he's shown the understanding a small growth, | ||
1651 | |1650 |02:16:47 ~-~-> 02:16:53 |but it's gonna be a long process for him, where, you know, some of you | ||
1652 | |1651 |02:16:53 ~-~-> 02:16:56 |learning from me directly, would probably take a couple of weeks, and | ||
1653 | |1652 |02:16:56 ~-~-> 02:17:01 |you'd be able to do everything you know, and find a model and there it is. But | ||
1654 | |1653 |02:17:01 ~-~-> 02:17:04 |for him, it's gonna, it's gonna take a lot. So for him, I have to teach it to | ||
1655 | |1654 |02:17:04 ~-~-> 02:17:08 |him, like he's playing a trick or like a video game. Okay. And I give him | ||
1656 | |1655 |02:17:09 ~-~-> 02:17:13 |discussion points, like, Okay, now see this level here. Now think that that's a | ||
1657 | |1656 |02:17:13 ~-~-> 02:17:18 |fort, okay, and have a fence right there. And below this area here, there | ||
1658 | |1657 |02:17:18 ~-~-> 02:17:23 |are people that have gold, because he plays a lot of games and such. And as it | ||
1659 | |1658 |02:17:23 ~-~-> 02:17:25 |drops down, and I want you to think that you're going down here to get their | ||
1660 | |1659 |02:17:25 ~-~-> 02:17:29 |gold, and you're going to run away with it. So that's the analogy I use. He's | ||
1661 | |1660 |02:17:29 ~-~-> 02:17:33 |16. But he has a mentality of someone who's like 10. So that way you can | ||
1662 | |1661 |02:17:33 ~-~-> 02:17:42 |understand where I'm coming from. So when it got to here, I said, Do you want | ||
1663 | |1662 |02:17:42 ~-~-> 02:17:49 |to think about getting out. With these relative equal highs. You don't need it | ||
1664 | |1663 |02:17:49 ~-~-> 02:17:57 |to go above those highs. But because they're even, it's smooth. It's before | ||
1665 | |1664 |02:17:57 ~-~-> 02:18:01 |we get to that level up here, right? So it's important for if you're going to | ||
1666 | |1665 |02:18:01 ~-~-> 02:18:09 |buy down here, pay yourself something easy. That level was 16,000 09 5.50. So | ||
1667 | |1666 |02:18:09 ~-~-> 02:18:15 |as it's trading up there, right there, you see little arrow here to pops up | ||
1668 | |1667 |02:18:15 ~-~-> 02:18:21 |little. Because it's called care. That little thing right there pops up just | ||
1669 | |1668 |02:18:21 ~-~-> 02:18:25 |below my cursor. That's the actual exit. And so I was teaching I said as it's | ||
1670 | |1669 |02:18:25 ~-~-> 02:18:32 |going up there, you do not need it to go above that. To make money to be right to | ||
1671 | |1670 |02:18:32 ~-~-> 02:18:37 |have a win. Okay to get a high score that type mentality. It's better if you | ||
1672 | |1671 |02:18:37 ~-~-> 02:18:41 |can time it when it goes up there. But as it was going up, that's where he | ||
1673 | |1672 |02:18:41 ~-~-> 02:18:45 |decided to push the button. Okay. You all know that it would be me reaching | ||
1674 | |1673 |02:18:45 ~-~-> 02:18:50 |above this, and there it is. But that's him pushing the button to give himself | ||
1675 | |1674 |02:18:50 ~-~-> 02:18:56 |his first win. And when you see that happen, and he smiles and that sense of | ||
1676 | |1675 |02:18:56 ~-~-> 02:19:00 |accomplishment, like I did something right, you really do really anything. He | ||
1677 | |1676 |02:19:00 ~-~-> 02:19:02 |feels like he did something and that's the encourager, and that's the same | ||
1678 | |1677 |02:19:02 ~-~-> 02:19:05 |thing that you have to do as a developing student. You got to reward | ||
1679 | |1678 |02:19:05 ~-~-> 02:19:09 |yourself. When you sit down you practice you got to have something to measure | ||
1680 | |1679 |02:19:09 ~-~-> 02:19:13 |your progress. And it just because it's it's a demo account, okay, our paper | ||
1681 | |1680 |02:19:13 ~-~-> 02:19:17 |trading account. Don't read into that and listen these fuck nuts. Okay, these | ||
1682 | |1681 |02:19:17 ~-~-> 02:19:21 |Jack legs, internet say, Oh, it's a demo accounts. Motherfucker. Listen, I pay | ||
1683 | |1682 |02:19:21 ~-~-> 02:19:26 |more taxes in one fucking quarter than you'll make in your entire fucking life, | ||
1684 | |1683 |02:19:26 ~-~-> 02:19:32 |your entire family in one fucking lifetime. So please save your bullshit, | ||
1685 | |1684 |02:19:32 ~-~-> 02:19:37 |okay, I'm teaching something that will make many people wealthy. But you don't | ||
1686 | |1685 |02:19:37 ~-~-> 02:19:41 |need to be wealthy. If you just make your ends meet. That's a success. And | ||
1687 | |1686 |02:19:41 ~-~-> 02:19:46 |that's where I aim. I aim for that. So you have you have to graduate in your | ||
1688 | |1687 |02:19:46 ~-~-> 02:19:49 |understand immensely. You can't imagine making a million dollars you can | ||
1689 | |1688 |02:19:49 ~-~-> 02:19:53 |imagine. It seems unfathomable to you right now and you're thinking you can't | ||
1690 | |1689 |02:19:53 ~-~-> 02:19:58 |make $1,000 a month because something always happens where you lose. The way | ||
1691 | |1690 |02:19:58 ~-~-> 02:20:01 |you get there is doing these types of things. thinks you have to do things | ||
1692 | |1691 |02:20:01 ~-~-> 02:20:06 |marginally smaller little incremental steps where you feel rewarded by doing | ||
1693 | |1692 |02:20:06 ~-~-> 02:20:11 |so. And but it cancels out any chance of any adverse reaction or losing money. | ||
1694 | |1693 |02:20:12 ~-~-> 02:20:14 |Because those things, even if it's a small amount of money that you lose, | ||
1695 | |1694 |02:20:14 ~-~-> 02:20:21 |they cut deep. They cut deep. And you got to remove any partner any | ||
1696 | |1695 |02:20:21 ~-~-> 02:20:30 |possibility of that happening. So anyway, we have the 16,001 or 18.75 | ||
1697 | |1696 |02:20:30 ~-~-> 02:20:33 |level, I was confident before I had to leave the house to go to get to his 10 | ||
1698 | |1697 |02:20:33 ~-~-> 02:20:39 |o'clock appointment. That that's, I could, I could finesse that, okay, so I | ||
1699 | |1698 |02:20:39 ~-~-> 02:20:42 |told him, I said, we're going to put limit orders in. And we're going to | ||
1700 | |1699 |02:20:42 ~-~-> 02:20:46 |stagger them all above this level here, but we're going to leave one where he | ||
1701 | |1700 |02:20:46 ~-~-> 02:20:52 |reaches for. Well, I don't know if that's the actual order. But I sent a | ||
1702 | |1701 |02:20:52 ~-~-> 02:20:55 |screenshot on the committee post where you can see the actual limit orders that | ||
1703 | |1702 |02:20:55 ~-~-> 02:20:59 |were resting in the marketplace before it spiked up like that. But then it | ||
1704 | |1703 |02:20:59 ~-~-> 02:21:03 |dropped down in here, if I would have been home and not in my car driving him. | ||
1705 | |1704 |02:21:03 ~-~-> 02:21:08 |I would have went in and told him now buy it once more here, and then rally | ||
1706 | |1705 |02:21:08 ~-~-> 02:21:13 |up. And I would have told him use half of this. I hope I can talk like this to | ||
1707 | |1706 |02:21:13 ~-~-> 02:21:17 |the real students here. Because I know sometimes, because I actually didn't do | ||
1708 | |1707 |02:21:17 ~-~-> 02:21:19 |it here. And because I'm not actually having an engineer with here, it seems | ||
1709 | |1708 |02:21:19 ~-~-> 02:21:23 |like oh, this time so I'm telling you in hindsight, but with a great deal of | ||
1710 | |1709 |02:21:23 ~-~-> 02:21:25 |surety that I would have absolutely fucking been all over this like white on | ||
1711 | |1710 |02:21:25 ~-~-> 02:21:30 |rice, I would have bought that. And then middle of this wick, let me take these | ||
1712 | |1711 |02:21:30 ~-~-> 02:21:39 |these labeling things off. Okay. See that wick right there? See, when you see | ||
1713 | |1712 |02:21:39 ~-~-> 02:21:43 |these types of things you think Steve Nielsen taught you that's a doji? Well, | ||
1714 | |1713 |02:21:43 ~-~-> 02:21:45 |that's something that's building up bearishness thought that is, this is | ||
1715 | |1714 |02:21:45 ~-~-> 02:21:50 |something I'm looking at, I'm gonna buy it. Because the gap. So what am I? How | ||
1716 | |1715 |02:21:50 ~-~-> 02:21:56 |am I going to treat it as a gap? Here's the blow the gap, which is the opening | ||
1717 | |1716 |02:21:56 ~-~-> 02:22:01 |of that candle, because the damn close candle? And here is the high of what's | ||
1718 | |1717 |02:22:01 ~-~-> 02:22:05 |occurring around the 50% level that it's accumulating what? What's it | ||
1719 | |1718 |02:22:05 ~-~-> 02:22:10 |accumulating new long positions who's buying that? My students and people that | ||
1720 | |1719 |02:22:10 ~-~-> 02:22:16 |have traded the markets like I'm teaching you, that's smart money. high | ||
1721 | |1720 |02:22:16 ~-~-> 02:22:19 |frequency trading algorithms are using that very specific price level right | ||
1722 | |1721 |02:22:19 ~-~-> 02:22:24 |there. They can make new Long's What is he reaching for a high frequency trading | ||
1723 | |1722 |02:22:24 ~-~-> 02:22:29 |algorithm will buy that level and sell it here right above the high. If they | ||
1724 | |1723 |02:22:29 ~-~-> 02:22:33 |hold more, they'll sell when it breaks above this high right there. That's | ||
1725 | |1724 |02:22:33 ~-~-> 02:22:38 |running down equity. That's high frequency trading algorithm. In a | ||
1726 | |1725 |02:22:38 ~-~-> 02:22:46 |nutshell. Every single time the market runs to a new higher high, it's taking | ||
1727 | |1726 |02:22:46 ~-~-> 02:22:51 |something off as it retraces and goes lower retail things, okay, it's created, | ||
1728 | |1727 |02:22:51 ~-~-> 02:22:55 |what 123 drives pattern, it's gonna go lower the fucking days, why it's gonna | ||
1729 | |1728 |02:22:55 ~-~-> 02:23:02 |go up to the higher objectives. Reaching up into that 16,000 208, I can't be in | ||
1730 | |1729 |02:23:02 ~-~-> 02:23:06 |front of the chart, because I'm at a dentist, I can't manage the position, | ||
1731 | |1730 |02:23:06 ~-~-> 02:23:10 |because I'm going to be talking to this dentist. So I did everything with the | ||
1732 | |1731 |02:23:10 ~-~-> 02:23:12 |setup, telling him place your limit order here, here, here, here, here. And | ||
1733 | |1732 |02:23:12 ~-~-> 02:23:16 |you can see those very prices on the community post. Okay, before all these | ||
1734 | |1733 |02:23:16 ~-~-> 02:23:19 |filled, put them back on again. | ||
1735 | |1734 |02:23:22 ~-~-> 02:23:30 |They were staggered all above, in here above that 16,001 18.75 level, which was | ||
1736 | |1735 |02:23:30 ~-~-> 02:23:33 |the 15 Minute relatively equal highs that I was teaching the beginning of | ||
1737 | |1736 |02:23:33 ~-~-> 02:23:36 |this presentation, that retail thought was a safe area to have their stock | ||
1738 | |1737 |02:23:36 ~-~-> 02:23:45 |falls. Okay. Now let's go in and talk about why I chose those levels for the | ||
1739 | |1738 |02:23:45 ~-~-> 02:23:47 |limit orders. So I'll take these off. | ||
1740 | |1739 |02:23:57 ~-~-> 02:24:04 |Right? And actually, before I do that, do you see how this right here is the | ||
1741 | |1740 |02:24:04 ~-~-> 02:24:09 |same thing, this is that shaded mean take this off, we don't do that anymore. | ||
1742 | |1741 |02:24:10 ~-~-> 02:24:16 |This single candle right here, it trades back down into and then runs higher. | ||
1743 | |1742 |02:24:16 ~-~-> 02:24:22 |That's the same thing that's occurring. Right here. rallies up, comes back down | ||
1744 | |1743 |02:24:22 ~-~-> 02:24:27 |into it, and then rallies higher, and then it comes back down into a deeper | ||
1745 | |1744 |02:24:27 ~-~-> 02:24:32 |why because it left this portion open between here in here. The other day I | ||
1746 | |1745 |02:24:32 ~-~-> 02:24:36 |was showing the trade where I had the opening range highlighted. It was me | ||
1747 | |1746 |02:24:36 ~-~-> 02:24:39 |adjusting to what was remaining in terms of the opening range. The opening range | ||
1748 | |1747 |02:24:39 ~-~-> 02:24:46 |gap is where we open at 930 to where we settled previous day. So that's my | ||
1749 | |1748 |02:24:46 ~-~-> 02:24:53 |opening range. And there's lectures this been presented about in your lectures | ||
1750 | |1749 |02:24:53 ~-~-> 02:24:58 |taught going forward but if I can, if I confused you and I saw a few people post | ||
1751 | |1750 |02:24:58 ~-~-> 02:25:03 |in the comment section on that video saying why that habit highlighted there. | ||
1752 | |1751 |02:25:03 ~-~-> 02:25:07 |And why not at the higher point, it's because it was already trading lower at | ||
1753 | |1752 |02:25:07 ~-~-> 02:25:11 |the time. And I was only interested taking the trade when I got down to that | ||
1754 | |1753 |02:25:11 ~-~-> 02:25:18 |lower degree. And just because I'm looking at a position, or let me say | ||
1755 | |1754 |02:25:18 ~-~-> 02:25:22 |this way, just because you're watching me put on a position, and I'm annotating | ||
1756 | |1755 |02:25:22 ~-~-> 02:25:26 |the chart, I'm annotating it based on what I see at the time, and opening | ||
1757 | |1756 |02:25:26 ~-~-> 02:25:30 |ranges and evolving thing. Once 930 comes in the opening bell occurs, | ||
1758 | |1757 |02:25:30 ~-~-> 02:25:33 |whatever the difference is between the opening price and where settlement was | ||
1759 | |1758 |02:25:33 ~-~-> 02:25:40 |the previous day, that range is gonna either reduce in narrow as it starts to | ||
1760 | |1759 |02:25:40 ~-~-> 02:25:45 |close in and fill it for repriced, back to the previous day's settlement, or it | ||
1761 | |1760 |02:25:45 ~-~-> 02:25:51 |stays open and just keeps on running. So it will depend upon when I sit down and | ||
1762 | |1761 |02:25:51 ~-~-> 02:25:54 |start taking a trade or if I do analysis, or I have to wait for | ||
1763 | |1762 |02:25:54 ~-~-> 02:25:57 |Camtasia. Or sometimes my computer's just like yours, it starts doing Windows | ||
1764 | |1763 |02:25:57 ~-~-> 02:26:01 |update when you don't want it to all those things slow down the process of me | ||
1765 | |1764 |02:26:01 ~-~-> 02:26:07 |getting the recording started. And it may not be a time where I have the | ||
1766 | |1765 |02:26:07 ~-~-> 02:26:10 |annotation for the opening range, showing the entirety of where it would | ||
1767 | |1766 |02:26:10 ~-~-> 02:26:14 |have been if you watched it right as 930 opening bell curve. So I'm answering | ||
1768 | |1767 |02:26:14 ~-~-> 02:26:20 |that question also too. But this here. Don't worry, I did not forget about why | ||
1769 | |1768 |02:26:20 ~-~-> 02:26:24 |I chose those limit orders. But I wanted to throw this in here. But if I don't | ||
1770 | |1769 |02:26:24 ~-~-> 02:26:30 |talk about now, I will forget this part. This same area here is this shaded area | ||
1771 | |1770 |02:26:30 ~-~-> 02:26:35 |here the same idea. It's going up and then it comes back down. Okay, here's | ||
1772 | |1771 |02:26:35 ~-~-> 02:26:41 |another 123 jobs pattern, it's gone short note ain't no one ain't. That this | ||
1773 | |1772 |02:26:41 ~-~-> 02:26:48 |is an inefficiency. So this inefficiency between this candle is high. And this | ||
1774 | |1773 |02:26:48 ~-~-> 02:26:53 |candles low, it only has one single pass through only upside. What is an up close | ||
1775 | |1774 |02:26:53 ~-~-> 02:26:58 |candle. That means it's a fair value gap in a form of a busy buy side in balance, | ||
1776 | |1775 |02:26:59 ~-~-> 02:27:03 |sell side in efficient, meaning it needs to have in a perfect world in a | ||
1777 | |1776 |02:27:03 ~-~-> 02:27:07 |symmetrical market, there's going to be a future delivery of price that's going | ||
1778 | |1777 |02:27:07 ~-~-> 02:27:11 |to overlap all of this and come back down in a perfect world to touch this | ||
1779 | |1778 |02:27:11 ~-~-> 02:27:18 |candles high right there. But what can it do? Also? It can because it's a down | ||
1780 | |1779 |02:27:18 ~-~-> 02:27:21 |closed candle. It can trade to the opening of it. Why? Because it's an | ||
1781 | |1780 |02:27:21 ~-~-> 02:27:27 |order block. So it's two things there. It's two PD arrays. So this level closes | ||
1782 | |1781 |02:27:27 ~-~-> 02:27:32 |the inefficiency. So selling down to it. Look at the bodies of the candles. Does | ||
1783 | |1782 |02:27:32 ~-~-> 02:27:38 |it satisfy that? Sure does. Do the bodies closed below the fair value gap | ||
1784 | |1783 |02:27:38 ~-~-> 02:27:43 |low? Which is this candle time? Nope. But what did the wicks do? It digs into | ||
1785 | |1784 |02:27:43 ~-~-> 02:27:49 |this down close candle. Why? Because it's an order block. So when you're | ||
1786 | |1785 |02:27:49 ~-~-> 02:27:54 |placing a stop loss, you have to confer with what you're trading up against? Is | ||
1787 | |1786 |02:27:54 ~-~-> 02:27:58 |it just one PD Right? Or is it a PD raid it overlaps one another like this thing | ||
1788 | |1787 |02:27:58 ~-~-> 02:28:02 |does. Because look, look at the complexity of if you are going to use | ||
1789 | |1788 |02:28:02 ~-~-> 02:28:06 |this as your entry, say this was the silver bullet because it's exactly what | ||
1790 | |1789 |02:28:06 ~-~-> 02:28:10 |this if I was trading this silver bowl, this is how I would have traded it, I | ||
1791 | |1790 |02:28:10 ~-~-> 02:28:16 |would have traded it as it traded rate to this low here and touch this, I would | ||
1792 | |1791 |02:28:16 ~-~-> 02:28:20 |have waited to see if it wants to trade into the body of this candle in allowing | ||
1793 | |1792 |02:28:20 ~-~-> 02:28:29 |for and as much as what midpoint of that wick. Why? Because that's constant | ||
1794 | |1793 |02:28:29 ~-~-> 02:28:33 |encouragement, it could trade all way back down and touch the midpoint of | ||
1795 | |1794 |02:28:33 ~-~-> 02:28:40 |that. And if your stop loss is just above that you're getting roasted, and | ||
1796 | |1795 |02:28:40 ~-~-> 02:28:42 |then when it turns against you and starts moving in your favor, you're | ||
1797 | |1796 |02:28:42 ~-~-> 02:28:46 |gonna be mad. So these are instances where my stop loss would be a little bit | ||
1798 | |1797 |02:28:46 ~-~-> 02:28:50 |wider than it would be in other instances. If this would have been a | ||
1799 | |1798 |02:28:50 ~-~-> 02:28:55 |bold faced bearish candle, then I would only expect it the touch the opening and | ||
1800 | |1799 |02:28:55 ~-~-> 02:29:00 |maybe just the below the opening of it. But because it has this wick here, I | ||
1801 | |1800 |02:29:00 ~-~-> 02:29:04 |have to allow for the potential for it to trade down to respect the consequent | ||
1802 | |1801 |02:29:04 ~-~-> 02:29:08 |Crotona, that which would also upset those individuals that have a stoploss | ||
1803 | |1802 |02:29:08 ~-~-> 02:29:13 |there, it might squeeze them out without needing to trade below there. You follow | ||
1804 | |1803 |02:29:13 ~-~-> 02:29:20 |I'm saying so like I'm gonna hear you but the bodies are they're telling me | ||
1805 | |1804 |02:29:20 ~-~-> 02:29:23 |that it's not trying to do that now because we tried to go down there and in | ||
1806 | |1805 |02:29:23 ~-~-> 02:29:28 |this candle closed it did not close outside of the fair value gap here. And | ||
1807 | |1806 |02:29:28 ~-~-> 02:29:33 |now we can be long we can we can be a buyer right as this candle opens up, | ||
1808 | |1807 |02:29:34 ~-~-> 02:29:40 |that's when I would be buying as early as I can pushing the button. I'm getting | ||
1809 | |1808 |02:29:40 ~-~-> 02:29:44 |in there. I would if it was an opportunity for me and if it was a | ||
1810 | |1809 |02:29:44 ~-~-> 02:29:48 |timeframe other than one minute chart, you know had the afforded luxury of | ||
1811 | |1810 |02:29:49 ~-~-> 02:29:53 |using the opening price here I would have a limit order. Now to place it at | ||
1812 | |1811 |02:29:53 ~-~-> 02:29:57 |that opening price that way if I got that price or less, that's where it | ||
1813 | |1812 |02:29:57 ~-~-> 02:30:01 |would fill me. And then that would be my entry order. Am I Stop Loss would still | ||
1814 | |1813 |02:30:01 ~-~-> 02:30:06 |be just below here. Because you could go one more time and create another Mohawk | ||
1815 | |1814 |02:30:06 ~-~-> 02:30:11 |trade below this one, dig into that one and then rip higher. So I'm teaching you | ||
1816 | |1815 |02:30:11 ~-~-> 02:30:15 |start management. Here it also today, I'm giving you a fucking clinic for | ||
1817 | |1816 |02:30:15 ~-~-> 02:30:19 |free, you should be thankful. So over here, same thing, same premise, we have | ||
1818 | |1817 |02:30:19 ~-~-> 02:30:23 |a small little gap there. That's what's being respected with the bodies, you see | ||
1819 | |1818 |02:30:23 ~-~-> 02:30:34 |that? But the wick here, half of that written here. Then it rounds. Was it | ||
1820 | |1819 |02:30:34 ~-~-> 02:30:40 |rallying for it's been drawn up into that 16,000 208 level is being drawn up | ||
1821 | |1820 |02:30:40 ~-~-> 02:30:46 |there? Do you need it? Do you need it to trade there? If you're trading the | ||
1822 | |1821 |02:30:46 ~-~-> 02:30:53 |silver bullet? No. What do you need? You needed? Liquidity pool? This is a this | ||
1823 | |1822 |02:30:53 ~-~-> 02:30:57 |is one on the day or the session? What is this over here? Is this chopped | ||
1824 | |1823 |02:30:57 ~-~-> 02:31:01 |liver? No. There's liquidity resting above that. So if you were trading the | ||
1825 | |1824 |02:31:01 ~-~-> 02:31:08 |silver bullet going long, based on how I would have traded it, there is another | ||
1826 | |1825 |02:31:08 ~-~-> 02:31:12 |opportunity right here because you're trading back into what time is 1042? Can | ||
1827 | |1826 |02:31:12 ~-~-> 02:31:16 |you treat it as a silver bullet? Absolutely. Because it's not 11 o'clock | ||
1828 | |1827 |02:31:16 ~-~-> 02:31:20 |or after it right? So that's the silver bullet, using the logic and the drama | ||
1829 | |1828 |02:31:20 ~-~-> 02:31:26 |coding, I made public to everyone before it traded there. Go along, push the | ||
1830 | |1829 |02:31:26 ~-~-> 02:31:31 |button as it happens. Put your stop loss rate below there. And just see what | ||
1831 | |1830 |02:31:31 ~-~-> 02:31:37 |happens. When it gets here, close it. But ICT What if it goes up to here or | ||
1832 | |1831 |02:31:37 ~-~-> 02:31:41 |when it goes past? Who gives a shit? You don't know what's going to do that when | ||
1833 | |1832 |02:31:41 ~-~-> 02:31:45 |you're doing this? You have to learn that. And in fact, you can see, by not | ||
1834 | |1833 |02:31:45 ~-~-> 02:31:49 |taking that partial here. You would miss the opportunity because it comes all the | ||
1835 | |1834 |02:31:49 ~-~-> 02:31:54 |way back down and swipes it. But what is it doing? It's only cleaning up the | ||
1836 | |1835 |02:31:54 ~-~-> 02:32:03 |edges over here. What's this relative equal lows? Relative equal lows? This is | ||
1837 | |1836 |02:32:03 ~-~-> 02:32:07 |the old high on a 50 minute chart. If it's support resistance, this should | ||
1838 | |1837 |02:32:07 ~-~-> 02:32:13 |come down to us that line, does it? Nope. But what is it really doing? | ||
1839 | |1838 |02:32:14 ~-~-> 02:32:18 |Cleaning up these relative equal lows. It's trading just below that low here. | ||
1840 | |1839 |02:32:21 ~-~-> 02:32:26 |Goes back up. Now we're using what that fair value gap again, that's a reclaimed | ||
1841 | |1840 |02:32:26 ~-~-> 02:32:30 |order block. Sorry, reclaimed fair value gap difference, there's a difference. | ||
1842 | |1841 |02:32:31 ~-~-> 02:32:36 |It's not an inversion fair value gap. It's a reclaimed fair a gap, it means | ||
1843 | |1842 |02:32:36 ~-~-> 02:32:40 |it's being used again, even though it's white, both sides of it, the algorithm | ||
1844 | |1843 |02:32:40 ~-~-> 02:32:44 |is going to still refer back to it. Why? Because the underlying narrative has not | ||
1845 | |1844 |02:32:44 ~-~-> 02:32:46 |paid out yet which is delivered to the boss of liquidity it has yet to be | ||
1846 | |1845 |02:32:46 ~-~-> 02:32:50 |traded to. And now there's larger pool of liquidity because now we have this | ||
1847 | |1846 |02:32:50 ~-~-> 02:32:55 |high that hasn't been purged yet. So this high, plus the 15 Minute highs | ||
1848 | |1847 |02:32:55 ~-~-> 02:32:59 |comes out I'm sorry, the old daily high. And then we still have the weekly | ||
1849 | |1848 |02:32:59 ~-~-> 02:33:05 |objective up here. So all these built on context and narrative that helps you | ||
1850 | |1849 |02:33:05 ~-~-> 02:33:09 |keep your focus on what's on the market you're trading on. You're not falling | ||
1851 | |1850 |02:33:09 ~-~-> 02:33:13 |victim to oh, I don't know what to do. Or let me change my mind prematurely and | ||
1852 | |1851 |02:33:13 ~-~-> 02:33:16 |follow someone else because they're shortening the life dream. And then | ||
1853 | |1852 |02:33:16 ~-~-> 02:33:19 |you're claiming they made money today. And then you just follow them talk all | ||
1854 | |1853 |02:33:19 ~-~-> 02:33:23 |that you have to be independent in your thought process. So when we traded down | ||
1855 | |1854 |02:33:23 ~-~-> 02:33:26 |below, there's relatively equal lows over here. I'll say this, then we're | ||
1856 | |1855 |02:33:26 ~-~-> 02:33:30 |gonna go into the target. When it cleaned up this area here, what do we | ||
1857 | |1856 |02:33:30 ~-~-> 02:33:35 |get another run up? We start appealing inside that same fair buy, you get right | ||
1858 | |1857 |02:33:35 ~-~-> 02:33:39 |there. Nothing has changed on there to the only thing has happened is we traded | ||
1859 | |1858 |02:33:39 ~-~-> 02:33:45 |down to clean up trailed stop losses, which is a convenient way of picking up | ||
1860 | |1859 |02:33:45 ~-~-> 02:33:48 |a discount when you're still trying to get long for higher prices to market | ||
1861 | |1860 |02:33:48 ~-~-> 02:33:52 |then does what it rallies up. Does it rip away and take off? No, it goes right | ||
1862 | |1861 |02:33:52 ~-~-> 02:33:56 |back up here. And it allows the smart money to accumulate in here. | ||
1863 | |1862 |02:33:57 ~-~-> 02:34:03 |Let's go along. Why? Because it's telling them look, I'm respecting | ||
1864 | |1863 |02:34:03 ~-~-> 02:34:06 |something that you would have bought already over here. We've already stopped | ||
1865 | |1864 |02:34:06 ~-~-> 02:34:12 |out the stops here. And all these clean levels here. All of this, then this | ||
1866 | |1865 |02:34:12 ~-~-> 02:34:19 |consolidation sets the tone for a ramp hire. Now this gap right here, why did | ||
1867 | |1866 |02:34:19 ~-~-> 02:34:22 |it go here and not go down? Because the narrative is still it's going to go here | ||
1868 | |1867 |02:34:22 ~-~-> 02:34:28 |and potentially up to here. It's bullish. So when we see this my mind | ||
1869 | |1868 |02:34:28 ~-~-> 02:34:32 |doesn't say oh, let's go short. There are this is an optimal trade entry. This | ||
1870 | |1869 |02:34:32 ~-~-> 02:34:39 |is a perfect selling short nobody. This is an inversion fair value yet this to | ||
1871 | |1870 |02:34:39 ~-~-> 02:34:46 |here, right every year. Here's the color I always use. What is it doing? Trades | ||
1872 | |1871 |02:34:46 ~-~-> 02:34:50 |back down to the inversion fair value gap and right into this gap in and of | ||
1873 | |1872 |02:34:50 ~-~-> 02:34:56 |itself. See that? All these things build on one another. And as I'm watching | ||
1874 | |1873 |02:34:56 ~-~-> 02:34:59 |price and I sat with you this past year, and I did live tape reading right called | ||
1875 | |1874 |02:34:59 ~-~-> 02:35:03 |Air Every single fucking candle on a one minute chart. And sometimes I was | ||
1876 | |1875 |02:35:03 ~-~-> 02:35:06 |dealing with less than a minute chart, it was on seconds. And I was telling you | ||
1877 | |1876 |02:35:06 ~-~-> 02:35:13 |exactly how the candles going to behave and it behaved. That's experience, | ||
1878 | |1877 |02:35:13 ~-~-> 02:35:16 |that's understanding that's authorship. It's knowing what the fuck you're doing. | ||
1879 | |1878 |02:35:17 ~-~-> 02:35:21 |But the more important thing is knowing when not to do something and why you | ||
1880 | |1879 |02:35:21 ~-~-> 02:35:24 |shouldn't be doing it. Those are the lessons that I can only give you | ||
1881 | |1880 |02:35:24 ~-~-> 02:35:28 |guidelines on. Because the majority of the things you're going to do that you | ||
1882 | |1881 |02:35:28 ~-~-> 02:35:31 |shouldn't do are going to be, they're going to be instigated by your own | ||
1883 | |1882 |02:35:31 ~-~-> 02:35:35 |personality and character falls. And I know you don't want to hear that. But I | ||
1884 | |1883 |02:35:35 ~-~-> 02:35:40 |have character falls. I I've already said more F words in this presentation | ||
1885 | |1884 |02:35:40 ~-~-> 02:35:45 |than I wanted to. I didn't want to say any answers yet. But when I'm allowed | ||
1886 | |1885 |02:35:45 ~-~-> 02:35:52 |to, this is what happens sometimes. And it's unfortunate, but I'm human. And I | ||
1887 | |1886 |02:35:53 ~-~-> 02:35:59 |want you to understand that there's a there's a limit to any mentor. All of us | ||
1888 | |1887 |02:35:59 ~-~-> 02:36:03 |that know how to do something, whether it be trading or whatnot, all of us can | ||
1889 | |1888 |02:36:03 ~-~-> 02:36:08 |guide you and give you the greatest advice that we have for you. And you can | ||
1890 | |1889 |02:36:08 ~-~-> 02:36:13 |do well with that. But you still bring your own emotional baggage and your own | ||
1891 | |1890 |02:36:13 ~-~-> 02:36:18 |character flaws and personality deficiencies. The things that make you | ||
1892 | |1891 |02:36:18 ~-~-> 02:36:23 |derail yourself in everything in life, your personal relationships, your jobs, | ||
1893 | |1892 |02:36:23 ~-~-> 02:36:27 |do you have a lot of jobs? Did you get fired a lot? You have an issue with | ||
1894 | |1893 |02:36:27 ~-~-> 02:36:31 |authority? Why are you going to submit to a role based idea or a trading plan? | ||
1895 | |1894 |02:36:34 ~-~-> 02:36:38 |Think Like, these are real things that nobody talks about in books, because | ||
1896 | |1895 |02:36:38 ~-~-> 02:36:43 |they don't want you to put the book down and discuss because the disgust of you | ||
1897 | |1896 |02:36:43 ~-~-> 02:36:48 |referring and reflecting on your own inability to be a functioning adult. | ||
1898 | |1897 |02:36:50 ~-~-> 02:36:54 |It's gonna make you feel alienated as the author as a as a reader of that | ||
1899 | |1898 |02:36:54 ~-~-> 02:36:59 |book. And you'll hate the author. And that's why I believe most people that | ||
1900 | |1899 |02:36:59 ~-~-> 02:37:03 |don't want to my ideas they keep you can't get past the fact that I'm telling | ||
1901 | |1900 |02:37:03 ~-~-> 02:37:06 |them, they're the fuckup. They're the they're the reason why they can't do it. | ||
1902 | |1901 |02:37:06 ~-~-> 02:37:11 |But I'm being honest with you. If you were my relative, if you were my child, | ||
1903 | |1902 |02:37:11 ~-~-> 02:37:15 |I'd be telling you the same thing. You're doing this, you're doing it | ||
1904 | |1903 |02:37:15 ~-~-> 02:37:19 |wrong, this is what you're doing wrong, you need to stop doing this, try doing | ||
1905 | |1904 |02:37:19 ~-~-> 02:37:23 |these things to replace that bad habit, it may not be successful. If it doesn't, | ||
1906 | |1905 |02:37:23 ~-~-> 02:37:26 |I'll try to find something else to replace that bad habit. But you have to | ||
1907 | |1906 |02:37:26 ~-~-> 02:37:30 |at least admit and identify that you have a bad habit that you choose to keep | ||
1908 | |1907 |02:37:30 ~-~-> 02:37:35 |repeating. And every time I blew an account as a 20 year old, I did the same | ||
1909 | |1908 |02:37:35 ~-~-> 02:37:41 |shit all the time. Just like you're doing it right now. And until someone | ||
1910 | |1909 |02:37:41 ~-~-> 02:37:44 |puts their foot in your ass and tells you that you're the problem, you're | ||
1911 | |1910 |02:37:44 ~-~-> 02:37:48 |going to continuously do it. In every one of my profitable students have came | ||
1912 | |1911 |02:37:48 ~-~-> 02:37:51 |to the conclusion that you know what, there was a time period where it was me | ||
1913 | |1912 |02:37:51 ~-~-> 02:37:55 |doing it all wrong. And I was trying to force my opinion, my will I want to | ||
1914 | |1913 |02:37:55 ~-~-> 02:37:59 |bring my favorite technique or my my faith in something else before learning | ||
1915 | |1914 |02:37:59 ~-~-> 02:38:03 |this and try to move it in here somehow weave it into the fabric of ICT and | ||
1916 | |1915 |02:38:03 ~-~-> 02:38:07 |Smart Money concepts. And then when you stop trying to do that stuff, and just | ||
1917 | |1916 |02:38:07 ~-~-> 02:38:11 |stick to the rule based ideas I present. It's not complicated, but it's still | ||
1918 | |1917 |02:38:11 ~-~-> 02:38:15 |very fucking hard trying to do that because it's forcing you to be | ||
1919 | |1918 |02:38:15 ~-~-> 02:38:20 |responsible and trading is being responsible during uncertainty at all | ||
1920 | |1919 |02:38:20 ~-~-> 02:38:24 |times. Until you get add that trade with the when it's uncertainty. You're gonna | ||
1921 | |1920 |02:38:24 ~-~-> 02:38:28 |go home profitable. Are you comfortable with that? Because there's a lot of | ||
1922 | |1921 |02:38:28 ~-~-> 02:38:34 |people in this world aren't. But you have to be. So anyway. Let me take all | ||
1923 | |1922 |02:38:34 ~-~-> 02:38:36 |this business off because it's too much for me now. | ||
1924 | |1923 |02:38:49 ~-~-> 02:38:54 |What do you think it's gonna go? This doesn't look like it's trying to get up | ||
1925 | |1924 |02:38:54 ~-~-> 02:38:58 |here. It's like a magnet drawing up here. It doesn't need to get up there, | ||
1926 | |1925 |02:38:58 ~-~-> 02:39:02 |folks. But can you at least appreciate the fact that knowing this level is | ||
1927 | |1926 |02:39:02 ~-~-> 02:39:08 |where there's orders. They're just keeping it going up and up and up. | ||
1928 | |1927 |02:39:08 ~-~-> 02:39:14 |They're trying to sell shortly move like that. I did. I tried to do that stuff in | ||
1929 | |1928 |02:39:14 ~-~-> 02:39:18 |pork bellies, and I handed in my ass, okay. I didn't know why it wasn't going | ||
1930 | |1929 |02:39:18 ~-~-> 02:39:22 |down every every indicator I plotted that was overbought, and diverts. | ||
1931 | |1930 |02:39:22 ~-~-> 02:39:26 |bearishly told me it was gonna keep going down. And it kept kept going up. | ||
1932 | |1931 |02:39:26 ~-~-> 02:39:29 |Because I didn't know how to trade. That's, that's the that's the reality. | ||
1933 | |1932 |02:39:30 ~-~-> 02:39:33 |And in the beginning, you don't know how to trade and there's a lot of things you | ||
1934 | |1933 |02:39:33 ~-~-> 02:39:36 |have to learn. But let's go back into this area here. Okay. | ||
1935 | |1934 |02:39:42 ~-~-> 02:39:51 |All right. So we have the orders here, or the limit orders were being filled in | ||
1936 | |1935 |02:39:52 ~-~-> 02:40:00 |this price leg from here, down. You see that? Right there? If we look at that | ||
1937 | |1936 |02:40:00 ~-~-> 02:40:03 |where I was showing my son, okay, push the button because that way you can | ||
1938 | |1937 |02:40:03 ~-~-> 02:40:08 |capitalize on if it runs away, you have something on and perfect world, this | ||
1939 | |1938 |02:40:08 ~-~-> 02:40:12 |would have been one contract. And all of these would have been one contract in | ||
1940 | |1939 |02:40:12 ~-~-> 02:40:16 |here. But again, don't pay attention to the number of the contracts. It's not | ||
1941 | |1940 |02:40:16 ~-~-> 02:40:19 |about the money. It's not about the size. We're not even talking about that | ||
1942 | |1941 |02:40:19 ~-~-> 02:40:24 |we're talking about how to scale in and build in your confidence level, how it | ||
1943 | |1942 |02:40:24 ~-~-> 02:40:26 |trades into a specific level with the context and a narrative that the market | ||
1944 | |1943 |02:40:26 ~-~-> 02:40:31 |should deliver a specific direction and a specific price level as an acting, | ||
1945 | |1944 |02:40:32 ~-~-> 02:40:36 |drawing liquidity or pulling price in one direction. This is how you submit to | ||
1946 | |1945 |02:40:36 ~-~-> 02:40:41 |those ideas. How do you hold on to a trade ICT, I have a hard time holding | ||
1947 | |1946 |02:40:41 ~-~-> 02:40:48 |trades, Michael Potomac. The idea is you have to have a higher timeframe premise | ||
1948 | |1947 |02:40:48 ~-~-> 02:40:52 |like I've outlined here, and submit yourself to it. If you have more than | ||
1949 | |1948 |02:40:52 ~-~-> 02:40:55 |one contract, and you feel the impulsiveness and want to close the | ||
1950 | |1949 |02:40:55 ~-~-> 02:41:00 |trade, just take one off, roll the stock to break even plus commissions and let | ||
1951 | |1950 |02:41:00 ~-~-> 02:41:08 |it go walk away. That's the first step. And then whether it stops you out or | ||
1952 | |1951 |02:41:08 ~-~-> 02:41:12 |whether it hits the target or not, you have to be comfortable in accepting | ||
1953 | |1952 |02:41:12 ~-~-> 02:41:16 |that. And the easiest way. And I'm not saying it's easy, but it's the easiest | ||
1954 | |1953 |02:41:16 ~-~-> 02:41:20 |way to submit to it is once you do that, and you set your stop loss to break even | ||
1955 | |1954 |02:41:20 ~-~-> 02:41:24 |plus commissions and costs. And you've already took one partial off, you set | ||
1956 | |1955 |02:41:24 ~-~-> 02:41:29 |your target to the 16,000 208. Or if you had three, you take one off at some | ||
1957 | |1956 |02:41:29 ~-~-> 02:41:34 |level here like we did. And if it gets 16,000 to eight, you take it off there. | ||
1958 | |1957 |02:41:34 ~-~-> 02:41:38 |And then you leave the one up here. And you wrote your stop loss to what you | ||
1959 | |1958 |02:41:38 ~-~-> 02:41:44 |took your first profit just below that. And just let it happen. Accept the | ||
1960 | |1959 |02:41:44 ~-~-> 02:41:50 |outcome, whatever it is accept it. Because if you've taken to partial or | ||
1961 | |1960 |02:41:50 ~-~-> 02:41:55 |even if you've just taken one and it stops you out, are you a losing trader? | ||
1962 | |1961 |02:41:55 ~-~-> 02:42:02 |Fuck now? Are you a failed trader? No. Do you have failed my model? No. Are you | ||
1963 | |1962 |02:42:02 ~-~-> 02:42:07 |going in the wrong direction? No. Are you adding new equity are your bottom | ||
1964 | |1963 |02:42:07 ~-~-> 02:42:17 |line? Yes. Are you better than you were today before? Yes. So why are you not | ||
1965 | |1964 |02:42:17 ~-~-> 02:42:22 |doing those things? Instead of saying, and I'm not trying to beat up on Michael | ||
1966 | |1965 |02:42:22 ~-~-> 02:42:26 |Todd, please don't. Don't be upset that I mentioned your name. But as I've seen | ||
1967 | |1966 |02:42:26 ~-~-> 02:42:30 |it several times, and I see it with every other live streamer that trades. | ||
1968 | |1967 |02:42:30 ~-~-> 02:42:35 |And I see it a lot with my own students that repeat the same question to me. How | ||
1969 | |1968 |02:42:35 ~-~-> 02:42:41 |do you have the ability to hold these trades new for longer periods. If you | ||
1970 | |1969 |02:42:41 ~-~-> 02:42:46 |don't see the higher timeframe drawl or targets that could potentially reach for | ||
1971 | |1970 |02:42:46 ~-~-> 02:42:51 |these are what I call my best case or optimal Terminus levels. So that means | ||
1972 | |1971 |02:42:51 ~-~-> 02:42:55 |they're the literally the best of the best of the best. If everything was | ||
1973 | |1972 |02:42:55 ~-~-> 02:43:01 |perfect is exactly what the price would go to. I have to submit to that idea. | ||
1974 | |1973 |02:43:02 ~-~-> 02:43:06 |And while most of my trades don't get to those best case exits, because I'm | ||
1975 | |1974 |02:43:06 ~-~-> 02:43:12 |actively managing the trade, I'm taking partials if it's uncertainty, or if it's | ||
1976 | |1975 |02:43:12 ~-~-> 02:43:15 |me teaching, I'm doing partials most of the time as a teacher. Like when I'm | ||
1977 | |1976 |02:43:15 ~-~-> 02:43:20 |when I'm trading with a demo. I'm many times taking partials for the purposes | ||
1978 | |1977 |02:43:20 ~-~-> 02:43:23 |of teaching it to you because if I'm your teacher, I'm the captain of this | ||
1979 | |1978 |02:43:23 ~-~-> 02:43:27 |vessel. And I'm teaching you as my first mates. Hey, I'm the captain. This is | ||
1980 | |1979 |02:43:27 ~-~-> 02:43:31 |what we do. I run the ship like this. And if you want to be a good captain, | ||
1981 | |1980 |02:43:31 ~-~-> 02:43:34 |this is how I navigate. You're going to do what you're going to take partials | ||
1982 | |1981 |02:43:34 ~-~-> 02:43:36 |to, you're not going to be embarrassed about taking partials because some of | ||
1983 | |1982 |02:43:36 ~-~-> 02:43:40 |y'all who on fucking Twitter do this and beauty is profitable. We'll say Parcells | ||
1984 | |1983 |02:43:40 ~-~-> 02:43:45 |is not good. When partials 100% of the time pay, they're profitable all the | ||
1985 | |1984 |02:43:45 ~-~-> 02:43:48 |time. There's never been a partial profit. That's never been profitable. | ||
1986 | |1985 |02:43:49 ~-~-> 02:43:55 |Okay. So by me teaching you to operate in practice with a demo, and I'm out | ||
1987 | |1986 |02:43:55 ~-~-> 02:44:01 |here in the the role of a teacher Fuu they call it guru, an educator, a | ||
1988 | |1987 |02:44:01 ~-~-> 02:44:05 |mentor, whatever. I'm doing it with a medium that protects me legally, but it | ||
1989 | |1988 |02:44:05 ~-~-> 02:44:10 |also it removes the stigmatism is placed around it because everybody else says, | ||
1990 | |1989 |02:44:10 ~-~-> 02:44:13 |Oh, it's a demo. But if you're trading in a fucking combine your training and | ||
1991 | |1990 |02:44:13 ~-~-> 02:44:17 |demo your training and demo. You call them fuck you want to call it but it's | ||
1992 | |1991 |02:44:18 ~-~-> 02:44:21 |in reality. It's the demo. I'm going to express funded account. You're gonna | ||
1993 | |1992 |02:44:21 ~-~-> 02:44:27 |fucking demo. It's a demo period, knowing differences you paid for your | ||
1994 | |1993 |02:44:27 ~-~-> 02:44:31 |demo. I'm not paying for it. And I'm teaching people how to trade properly. | ||
1995 | |1994 |02:44:32 ~-~-> 02:44:35 |And they're going to that same company or companies like it, and they're | ||
1996 | |1995 |02:44:35 ~-~-> 02:44:41 |getting payouts. So where's the argument here? There's none. So you hold on to | ||
1997 | |1996 |02:44:41 ~-~-> 02:44:49 |the trade based on some level that's above an intraday chart. What is that a | ||
1998 | |1997 |02:44:49 ~-~-> 02:44:54 |daily chart? There has to be something that you're aiming for. Where do you get | ||
1999 | |1998 |02:44:54 ~-~-> 02:45:01 |that on your weekend? Remember, I told you my objective for the weak was a | ||
2000 | |1999 |02:45:01 ~-~-> 02:45:07 |potential draw up to here. Whether it gets there or not is irrelevant. It | ||
2001 | |2000 |02:45:07 ~-~-> 02:45:11 |doesn't matter to me if it goes there, because there's lots of trades I can | ||
2002 | |2001 |02:45:11 ~-~-> 02:45:14 |find throughout the entirety of the week that will have that underlying premise | ||
2003 | |2002 |02:45:14 ~-~-> 02:45:18 |or reason for the market to want to go higher. And it can get real close to it | ||
2004 | |2003 |02:45:18 ~-~-> 02:45:24 |and then fail. It can go to where it's gone today, and never go any higher and | ||
2005 | |2004 |02:45:24 ~-~-> 02:45:30 |be done. And be done. Does it change the underlying profitability of my | ||
2006 | |2005 |02:45:30 ~-~-> 02:45:37 |executions today? No. And that's where you want to aim for in your trading. | ||
2007 | |2006 |02:45:38 ~-~-> 02:45:43 |Once you get to this point here, where outcome is not the result that matters | ||
2008 | |2007 |02:45:43 ~-~-> 02:45:48 |for you. It's this are you making money. everybody's opinion about how you trade | ||
2009 | |2008 |02:45:48 ~-~-> 02:45:52 |how I teach what I do, what I don't do, is irrelevant. If you're making money, | ||
2010 | |2009 |02:45:53 ~-~-> 02:45:59 |period. It's about making money stuff, it's putting coins in your pocket. Who | ||
2011 | |2010 |02:45:59 ~-~-> 02:46:02 |gives a shit when anybody else thinks, because you're living, you're making | ||
2012 | |2011 |02:46:02 ~-~-> 02:46:06 |your ends meet, you're proving to your spouse, you're proving to yourself and | ||
2013 | |2012 |02:46:06 ~-~-> 02:46:09 |anybody else, you want to make that knowledge, known to them, that you're a | ||
2014 | |2013 |02:46:09 ~-~-> 02:46:14 |trader, that you can take profits out of the marketplace, when 99% of the people | ||
2015 | |2014 |02:46:14 ~-~-> 02:46:19 |that tried can't. And if you're able to take profits out, regardless of the size | ||
2016 | |2015 |02:46:19 ~-~-> 02:46:24 |of them, you should be encouraged by that because you are in a small, small | ||
2017 | |2016 |02:46:24 ~-~-> 02:46:31 |segment of this industry. Because most of them lose consistently. If you're | ||
2018 | |2017 |02:46:31 ~-~-> 02:46:36 |taking money out, you are absolutely successful. And don't look at that and | ||
2019 | |2018 |02:46:36 ~-~-> 02:46:42 |think, Oh, I'm gonna race faster to get to a millionaire. Because being a | ||
2020 | |2019 |02:46:42 ~-~-> 02:46:45 |millionaire, just means you're gonna have more money problems. It's a good | ||
2021 | |2020 |02:46:45 ~-~-> 02:46:50 |thing to have that kind of problem. But it's just more of the same stuff on a | ||
2022 | |2021 |02:46:50 ~-~-> 02:46:54 |grander scale. You buy stuff that cost more to insure you buy stuff that people | ||
2023 | |2022 |02:46:54 ~-~-> 02:46:57 |want to take from you in lawsuits, and they didn't even fucking earn it, you | ||
2024 | |2023 |02:46:57 ~-~-> 02:47:00 |got people trying to drive in front of you and slam their brakes on because | ||
2025 | |2024 |02:47:00 ~-~-> 02:47:03 |they know you have a fucking $100,000 car, and you rear end them, they need to | ||
2026 | |2025 |02:47:03 ~-~-> 02:47:06 |get to your bank account. You're constantly on edge. There's fucking | ||
2027 | |2026 |02:47:06 ~-~-> 02:47:10 |ambulance chasers all the time. But this is what you want to chase. That's the | ||
2028 | |2027 |02:47:10 ~-~-> 02:47:13 |lifestyle you want to chase and you want to promote that you live that way. | ||
2029 | |2028 |02:47:14 ~-~-> 02:47:20 |You're literally a billboard sign sue me, I got something to take. And you got | ||
2030 | |2029 |02:47:20 ~-~-> 02:47:24 |to pay for insurance policies, like I have to several four and five $6 million | ||
2031 | |2030 |02:47:25 ~-~-> 02:47:28 |insurance policies. If anybody ever does anything like that, to me, I'm not | ||
2032 | |2031 |02:47:28 ~-~-> 02:47:31 |getting sued, the insurance company's gonna pay out that I still keep my | ||
2033 | |2032 |02:47:31 ~-~-> 02:47:39 |assets. But it's still something you always have to worry about. So images, | ||
2034 | |2033 |02:47:39 ~-~-> 02:47:43 |nothing opinions of others is nothing. Are you making progress? And does that | ||
2035 | |2034 |02:47:43 ~-~-> 02:47:47 |progress lead you to profitability? That's what you're trading for. Okay, | ||
2036 | |2035 |02:47:47 ~-~-> 02:47:51 |that's what your focus should be primarily on. Now, if you look at this | ||
2037 | |2036 |02:47:51 ~-~-> 02:47:55 |price leg in here, okay, I'm going to take those little entries off, we're | ||
2038 | |2037 |02:47:55 ~-~-> 02:47:57 |going to say this part, and then I'm going to close it because I'm hungry. | ||
2039 | |2038 |02:47:59 ~-~-> 02:48:09 |This price leg here? From here, down, okay. Here down, you want to take your | ||
2040 | |2039 |02:48:09 ~-~-> 02:48:15 |fib? We're gonna use the wicks first, okay. Up to here to here. | ||
2041 | |2040 |02:48:23 ~-~-> 02:48:27 |There's your first standard deviation, negative one, which is the symmetrical | ||
2042 | |2041 |02:48:27 ~-~-> 02:48:33 |price swing that is this low to that high, projected up. So how high would | ||
2043 | |2042 |02:48:33 ~-~-> 02:48:37 |you hold your limit order? If you're buying down here? Where would you're in | ||
2044 | |2043 |02:48:37 ~-~-> 02:48:40 |a perfect world, where would you place your first limit order and as a partial | ||
2045 | |2044 |02:48:41 ~-~-> 02:48:48 |at that level minus one tick, which would basically come to that same level, | ||
2046 | |2045 |02:48:48 ~-~-> 02:48:54 |apparently, it's real close to it. Or not that close, but it's closer than | ||
2047 | |2046 |02:48:54 ~-~-> 02:49:02 |this. One 20.25. So your limit order will be 2001 20. Even. So if it trades | ||
2048 | |2047 |02:49:02 ~-~-> 02:49:07 |that level here or higher, your it has to go higher actually, to get the limit | ||
2049 | |2048 |02:49:07 ~-~-> 02:49:10 |order kick. But once it does, that your partial will be taken. And then you can | ||
2050 | |2049 |02:49:10 ~-~-> 02:49:16 |roll your stop to cover costs and be completely disconnected from the | ||
2051 | |2050 |02:49:16 ~-~-> 02:49:23 |outcome. Because you've paid yourself if you're going to use the wicks, which is | ||
2052 | |2051 |02:49:23 ~-~-> 02:49:32 |the bulk of the volume highest up close or opening, same thing here lowest | ||
2053 | |2052 |02:49:32 ~-~-> 02:49:39 |opening her up close. I'm sorry, the lowest opening or down close. And we're | ||
2054 | |2053 |02:49:39 ~-~-> 02:49:42 |using that one right here because it's lower than the opening of this candle. | ||
2055 | |2054 |02:49:43 ~-~-> 02:49:48 |Same idea projecting so if you're using this, you can't place your limit order | ||
2056 | |2055 |02:49:48 ~-~-> 02:49:52 |here. So I'm showing you both ways because this is why I do myself my own | ||
2057 | |2056 |02:49:52 ~-~-> 02:50:02 |analysis on half to so Looking at this like this, you think to yourself, Okay, | ||
2058 | |2057 |02:50:02 ~-~-> 02:50:10 |well, I know that there's a staggered level of potential fib levels that I use | ||
2059 | |2058 |02:50:10 ~-~-> 02:50:16 |as targets, the FIB, is just a way for me to come out with a specific target, | ||
2060 | |2059 |02:50:16 ~-~-> 02:50:22 |that I can come to the conclusion not put a lot of thought behind it. It's | ||
2061 | |2060 |02:50:22 ~-~-> 02:50:25 |above a level I'm reaching for, it allows me to go to something I'm | ||
2062 | |2061 |02:50:25 ~-~-> 02:50:30 |repeating over and over again, the process is never changing. Admittedly | ||
2063 | |2062 |02:50:30 ~-~-> 02:50:36 |not satisfied with the outcomes sometimes, because if I finesse it | ||
2064 | |2063 |02:50:36 ~-~-> 02:50:40 |manually, sometimes I can do a better job. And other times, I wish I would | ||
2065 | |2064 |02:50:40 ~-~-> 02:50:44 |have stopped at the Fed, instead of doing the manual. So I've wrestled with | ||
2066 | |2065 |02:50:44 ~-~-> 02:50:48 |my exits, it's always been my weakness. I've never been satisfied with it. My | ||
2067 | |2066 |02:50:48 ~-~-> 02:50:52 |entries are absolutely stellar. I have no issues with it, absolutely. One bit | ||
2068 | |2067 |02:50:52 ~-~-> 02:50:56 |at all. But my exits have always been a source of contention for me as a | ||
2069 | |2068 |02:50:56 ~-~-> 02:51:00 |traitor. And I'm saying that it admitting it to you. But now I don't | ||
2070 | |2069 |02:51:00 ~-~-> 02:51:04 |want you to look at this and say, Well, let me be very harsh about myself and | ||
2071 | |2070 |02:51:04 ~-~-> 02:51:08 |beat myself up when I don't do something right here on this admitting my frailty | ||
2072 | |2071 |02:51:08 ~-~-> 02:51:11 |as a human being, that that's the struggling point, even after 30 years, | ||
2073 | |2072 |02:51:11 ~-~-> 02:51:16 |I'm not, I'm not satisfied with that measure of precision yet. And I've | ||
2074 | |2073 |02:51:16 ~-~-> 02:51:20 |basically came to the conclusion that the way I use my fib and come to the | ||
2075 | |2074 |02:51:20 ~-~-> 02:51:25 |targets, using it as a target beyond the liquidity levels I'm looking for that | ||
2076 | |2075 |02:51:25 ~-~-> 02:51:30 |would be aiming for anyway. That's what I come to. And I say I have to, I have | ||
2077 | |2076 |02:51:30 ~-~-> 02:51:35 |to submit myself to this. And the few times that I am a deviant. And I go | ||
2078 | |2077 |02:51:35 ~-~-> 02:51:40 |outside of that and try to finesse it and do better. I many times regret doing | ||
2079 | |2078 |02:51:40 ~-~-> 02:51:44 |it and simply wish we would have done the fib levels and then stuck to that. | ||
2080 | |2079 |02:51:45 ~-~-> 02:51:52 |So I'm sharing something that unless I told it to you what No, but I say it in | ||
2081 | |2080 |02:51:52 ~-~-> 02:51:56 |a way that way encourages you, because you're going to have a frailty, it might | ||
2082 | |2081 |02:51:56 ~-~-> 02:52:01 |be your entries, and you might be better at exits than I am. That's not anything | ||
2083 | |2082 |02:52:01 ~-~-> 02:52:05 |that I feel bad about. I'm convinced if I live long enough, some of my students | ||
2084 | |2083 |02:52:05 ~-~-> 02:52:09 |are going to have a better exit strategy using your ideal, and I may adopt it. | ||
2085 | |2084 |02:52:09 ~-~-> 02:52:13 |And if I did, I would come out and say, I have chosen this and this is my | ||
2086 | |2085 |02:52:13 ~-~-> 02:52:18 |students, you know, working in that area, much like Larry Williams presented | ||
2087 | |2086 |02:52:18 ~-~-> 02:52:22 |a problem for himself. He didn't know how to buy below the opening price, he | ||
2088 | |2087 |02:52:22 ~-~-> 02:52:27 |only bought strength, that threat moved above using price he used to 20% of the | ||
2089 | |2088 |02:52:27 ~-~-> 02:52:30 |previous day's range, and that's where he was entering. To me that's fucking | ||
2090 | |2089 |02:52:30 ~-~-> 02:52:34 |stupid. That's nonsense, you're buying at a premium and you're guaranteed | ||
2091 | |2090 |02:52:34 ~-~-> 02:52:37 |you're gonna have to go through drawdown. Not all the time, but most of | ||
2092 | |2091 |02:52:37 ~-~-> 02:52:41 |the time, you're gonna have to sit through it trawling back into a fair pay | ||
2093 | |2092 |02:52:41 ~-~-> 02:52:45 |gap or running back intraday stops. I don't like that. I don't like that at | ||
2094 | |2093 |02:52:45 ~-~-> 02:52:50 |all I want to be buying when it's dropping, I want to be buying when it's | ||
2095 | |2094 |02:52:50 ~-~-> 02:52:55 |going down below an old low or down inside of inefficiency. A fair mega, I | ||
2096 | |2095 |02:52:55 ~-~-> 02:53:00 |want to be selling as it goes above an old high or goes up into inefficiency or | ||
2097 | |2096 |02:53:00 ~-~-> 02:53:06 |fair value. That's, that's how I trade. I want the best of the best. And if I'm | ||
2098 | |2097 |02:53:06 ~-~-> 02:53:09 |long I'm going to be bullish, I want to get in before it goes up. I want to be | ||
2099 | |2098 |02:53:09 ~-~-> 02:53:14 |getting in as it's dropping. And when I was a 20 year old, I didn't have any | ||
2100 | |2099 |02:53:15 ~-~-> 02:53:19 |comfort in it at all. I didn't feel comfortable with that, oh, it took a | ||
2101 | |2100 |02:53:19 ~-~-> 02:53:24 |great deal of work to get to that. But anyway, I had to work out all this stuff | ||
2102 | |2101 |02:53:24 ~-~-> 02:53:27 |prior to getting to a 10 o'clock appointment and drive time. And that's | ||
2103 | |2102 |02:53:27 ~-~-> 02:53:31 |what we built this morning. So in and of itself, that's enough for all of you to | ||
2104 | |2103 |02:53:31 ~-~-> 02:53:36 |be finding profitability finding your way to the other side of the pursuits of | ||
2105 | |2104 |02:53:36 ~-~-> 02:53:41 |being funded or not. And we are let me just compare and contrast real quick. | ||
2106 | |2105 |02:53:42 ~-~-> 02:53:45 |Here's the NASDAQ and II s | ||
2107 | |2106 |02:53:50 ~-~-> 02:53:54 |both of those highs are there so I'm not I'm not I wouldn't expect it to | ||
2108 | |2107 |02:53:54 ~-~-> 02:53:58 |completely break down to break down but I'm not saying that should | ||
2109 | |2108 |02:54:17 ~-~-> 02:54:20 |this is probably gonna be one of those little sloppy these keeps driving higher | ||
2110 | |2109 |02:54:20 ~-~-> 02:54:24 |into the afternoon today. Same with NASDAQ | ||
2111 | |2110 |02:54:30 ~-~-> 02:54:38 |as a fair value gap in their trading right inside of that still, it would it | ||
2112 | |2111 |02:54:38 ~-~-> 02:54:48 |would need to take out it would need to go on a closing basis. People start to | ||
2113 | |2112 |02:54:48 ~-~-> 02:54:52 |have to show a five minute close below this low here for me to change my | ||
2114 | |2113 |02:54:52 ~-~-> 02:54:55 |opinion about where it's gonna go up to here. If it goes below here on a five | ||
2115 | |2114 |02:54:55 ~-~-> 02:55:01 |minute closes. Then I don't know what it's going to do before CPI But until he | ||
2116 | |2115 |02:55:01 ~-~-> 02:55:03 |does that, I would still hold on to the idea that it's probably going to reach | ||
2117 | |2116 |02:55:03 ~-~-> 02:55:09 |for this before you get to CPM. That's how I would interpret it and I'm not | ||
2118 | |2117 |02:55:09 ~-~-> 02:55:12 |saying you should trade that way. I'm not saying that this is what's going to | ||
2119 | |2118 |02:55:12 ~-~-> 02:55:15 |work out but that's how I would internalize it. And the reason why five | ||
2120 | |2119 |02:55:15 ~-~-> 02:55:21 |minutes is because woman's just too narrow and too too tight. And five | ||
2121 | |2120 |02:55:21 ~-~-> 02:55:26 |minute would be a little bit bigger timeframe for me to stick with that | ||
2122 | |2121 |02:55:26 ~-~-> 02:55:32 |narrative in mind. And I think my friends and neighbors that's gonna be it | ||
2123 | |2122 |02:55:32 ~-~-> 02:55:36 |for today I gave you a really good I would have paid money for this. I'm | ||
2124 | |2123 |02:55:36 ~-~-> 02:55:44 |gonna I'm gonna lie. I would have enjoyed it. But II s real quick one more | ||
2125 | |2124 |02:55:44 ~-~-> 02:55:45 |time. | ||
2126 | |2125 |02:56:06 ~-~-> 02:56:13 |You fellas like to see the recept accounts. And there's the other example | ||
2127 | |2126 |02:56:13 ~-~-> 02:56:28 |issued on ES and then NASDAQ. In assets today, NASDAQ here we don't see one on | ||
2128 | |2127 |02:56:28 ~-~-> 02:56:35 |the Roberts cup next year. You rigged it is rigged is all rigged. He paid his | ||
2129 | |2128 |02:56:35 ~-~-> 02:56:45 |way. Anyway, there's today's example. So this was a rushed job, because I had | ||
2130 | |2129 |02:56:45 ~-~-> 02:56:49 |very little time. But when you know what you're doing, when you really know | ||
2131 | |2130 |02:56:49 ~-~-> 02:56:54 |you're doing your need to offer this shit. You can find it. But it's always | ||
2132 | |2131 |02:56:54 ~-~-> 02:57:00 |going to be on a delivery schedule based around time, time is going to be the | ||
2133 | |2132 |02:57:00 ~-~-> 02:57:05 |important factor. Because the market will start spoiling for inefficiencies | ||
2134 | |2133 |02:57:05 ~-~-> 02:57:11 |for the liquidity above or below the marketplace. Anything else? Anything | ||
2135 | |2134 |02:57:11 ~-~-> 02:57:19 |else you add to that? Is a religion. It that's all it is. And I don't mean to be | ||
2136 | |2135 |02:57:19 ~-~-> 02:57:22 |disrespectful. I don't mean to be condescending to anyone. But I guarantee | ||
2137 | |2136 |02:57:22 ~-~-> 02:57:28 |you, if you strip your trading down to what I'm saying to you right here, only | ||
2138 | |2137 |02:57:28 ~-~-> 02:57:32 |focus on where the stops are only focus on inefficiencies and where the markets | ||
2139 | |2138 |02:57:32 ~-~-> 02:57:38 |likely to drop, that's three pillars. Those three pillars are the basis of you | ||
2140 | |2139 |02:57:38 ~-~-> 02:57:43 |finding consistency, profitability, and longevity and trading. You will not have | ||
2141 | |2140 |02:57:43 ~-~-> 02:57:47 |100% strike rate, you will lose trades. But you will know exactly why you | ||
2142 | |2141 |02:57:47 ~-~-> 02:57:51 |shouldn't freak out. If you do have a losing trade, you won't rush back in | ||
2143 | |2142 |02:57:51 ~-~-> 02:57:54 |because you lost mind, you gotta get it back. If there's not a reason to get | ||
2144 | |2143 |02:57:54 ~-~-> 02:57:58 |back in, you'll know. And you'll sit quietly and wait for the next day or | ||
2145 | |2144 |02:57:58 ~-~-> 02:58:03 |trading session. That's confidence. That's control at self control. It's | ||
2146 | |2145 |02:58:03 ~-~-> 02:58:10 |being responsible, you being a good steward of your money. And that's all | ||
2147 | |2146 |02:58:10 ~-~-> 02:58:13 |characteristic of someone that's trying to run this as a business versus | ||
2148 | |2147 |02:58:13 ~-~-> 02:58:17 |gambling and trying to play the lottery with it. Because columbines are cheap | ||
2149 | |2148 |02:58:17 ~-~-> 02:58:22 |right now. That's a stupid excuse to go on and waste 50 bucks. That's dumb. | ||
2150 | |2149 |02:58:22 ~-~-> 02:58:27 |You're paying 50 bucks to try to do something, okay? Or a couple 100 hours | ||
2151 | |2150 |02:58:27 ~-~-> 02:58:32 |to do something that if you did it the right way. You could literally start in | ||
2152 | |2151 |02:58:32 ~-~-> 02:58:37 |a new year. Okay, I'm gonna I'm placing a challenge for you as a student, | ||
2153 | |2152 |02:58:37 ~-~-> 02:58:41 |listen, even if you don't trade with my shit here, you're probably doing | ||
2154 | |2153 |02:58:41 ~-~-> 02:58:47 |something else. Wonderful. I would love to see this. Start a new fresh account, | ||
2155 | |2154 |02:58:47 ~-~-> 02:58:52 |whether it's a live account, or you pass a combine at some kind of fund account | ||
2156 | |2155 |02:58:52 ~-~-> 02:59:03 |company, okay. Trade with no expectation of taking any money out? None. Don't | ||
2157 | |2156 |02:59:03 ~-~-> 02:59:10 |take anything. You have to only get paid at the end of the year. But you cannot | ||
2158 | |2157 |02:59:10 ~-~-> 02:59:18 |trade more than one contract. Do you have discipline to do that? Do you have | ||
2159 | |2158 |02:59:18 ~-~-> 02:59:22 |the discipline to do one contract trade all year you cannot take your paycheck | ||
2160 | |2159 |02:59:23 ~-~-> 02:59:31 |until the end of next year. You have any idea how hard that is? But the patience | ||
2161 | |2160 |02:59:31 ~-~-> 02:59:36 |that you forge with that and the responsibility because you have to guard | ||
2162 | |2161 |02:59:36 ~-~-> 02:59:44 |your only one time withdrawal. You gotta guard it all year long. I'm not saying | ||
2163 | |2162 |02:59:44 ~-~-> 02:59:47 |you can't treat another one. Another account separate today. But can you | ||
2164 | |2163 |02:59:47 ~-~-> 02:59:51 |manage one account like that? You don't need to treat it every day. But you | ||
2165 | |2164 |02:59:51 ~-~-> 02:59:58 |should treat at least once a week. Trading one contract and letting it grow | ||
2166 | |2165 |02:59:58 ~-~-> 03:00:04 |and you have no Oh, impulse that I gotta get a piatto I gotta get peed out of it | ||
2167 | |2166 |03:00:05 ~-~-> 03:00:11 |by a treat it real big, or I gotta treat one more one contract. It's an exercise | ||
2168 | |2167 |03:00:11 ~-~-> 03:00:16 |in building discipline, and patience. Most of you will fail trying to do this, | ||
2169 | |2168 |03:00:17 ~-~-> 03:00:21 |because you can't do it. But the ones that tried to do it, you'll gain a | ||
2170 | |2169 |03:00:21 ~-~-> 03:00:29 |greater deal of self responsibility, self control, and patience. And you'll | ||
2171 | |2170 |03:00:29 ~-~-> 03:00:32 |look at trading and you'll look at profitability. And you'll look at | ||
2172 | |2171 |03:00:32 ~-~-> 03:00:36 |managing equity from a different perspective that you can't have until | ||
2173 | |2172 |03:00:36 ~-~-> 03:00:44 |you do it. And then the following year, you do the same thing, but you let your | ||
2174 | |2173 |03:00:44 ~-~-> 03:00:47 |equity dictate how many contracts you can trade, but do the same thing. One | ||
2175 | |2174 |03:00:47 ~-~-> 03:00:52 |payout and the year? Are you going to take crazy fucking risks? If that's the | ||
2176 | |2175 |03:00:52 ~-~-> 03:00:54 |only thing you're going to submit to? And you really stick to it? No, you're | ||
2177 | |2176 |03:00:54 ~-~-> 03:01:02 |not? None if you're trading like a business you think. So I set that up for | ||
2178 | |2177 |03:01:02 ~-~-> 03:01:04 |you as a challenge. Because with people that don't want to join the Robins cup, | ||
2179 | |2178 |03:01:06 ~-~-> 03:01:12 |grow one account all year long. Can you do that? Because that's what I'm doing | ||
2180 | |2179 |03:01:12 ~-~-> 03:01:19 |next year. I'm only one payout at the end of the year, and my hands are gonna | ||
2181 | |2180 |03:01:19 ~-~-> 03:01:25 |hold that trophy. And I'm gonna say I fucking told you. So. Do I need to do | ||
2182 | |2181 |03:01:25 ~-~-> 03:01:29 |it? Nope. Do I want to do it? You're fucking right I do. I want to shut up | ||
2183 | |2182 |03:01:29 ~-~-> 03:01:33 |your fucking asses. Everybody's ever talk shit. I'm going to feed it to you, | ||
2184 | |2183 |03:01:34 ~-~-> 03:01:41 |as ended. I'm gonna have fun doing it. So hopefully you learned something | ||
2185 | |2184 |03:01:41 ~-~-> 03:01:45 |today, have you had some new insights shared with you, I broke down a lot of | ||
2186 | |2185 |03:01:45 ~-~-> 03:01:50 |stuff that would have been just too good for a book, and not really in a way | ||
2187 | |2186 |03:01:50 ~-~-> 03:01:54 |where I could articulate it well enough, I think in a book, showing it to you | ||
2188 | |2187 |03:01:54 ~-~-> 03:01:58 |over a chart, showing it to you with execution, where it was, why it was what | ||
2189 | |2188 |03:01:58 ~-~-> 03:02:01 |I would have done differently, why it's performing the way it's performing, what | ||
2190 | |2189 |03:02:01 ~-~-> 03:02:06 |it's reaching for all those things, okay. Seeing it in a static chart with a | ||
2191 | |2190 |03:02:06 ~-~-> 03:02:11 |couple of paragraphs isn't the same as seeing it explained dynamically like | ||
2192 | |2191 |03:02:11 ~-~-> 03:02:15 |this, where you have real time price action, everything has to pan out or | ||
2193 | |2192 |03:02:15 ~-~-> 03:02:19 |it's a failure, right? It has to go through those levels. Or I'm wrong, | ||
2194 | |2193 |03:02:19 ~-~-> 03:02:24 |right? Well, that doesn't equate to profitability or unprofitability, you | ||
2195 | |2194 |03:02:24 ~-~-> 03:02:29 |have to find that little area in between that, where you're right or wrong, and | ||
2196 | |2195 |03:02:29 ~-~-> 03:02:35 |find your ability to be profitable. That is possible. That is what every | ||
2197 | |2196 |03:02:35 ~-~-> 03:02:40 |professional trader strives for. They're not out here telling you that they're | ||
2198 | |2197 |03:02:40 ~-~-> 03:02:42 |not out here giving a shit whether you make money or not. They're out there | ||
2199 | |2198 |03:02:42 ~-~-> 03:02:47 |mind your own damn business. And what they're doing is focusing on how they | ||
2200 | |2199 |03:02:47 ~-~-> 03:02:52 |can put more coin in their pocket. That's it. They don't care about how | ||
2201 | |2200 |03:02:52 ~-~-> 03:02:55 |many likes they get, they don't how many, how many people will love them, | ||
2202 | |2201 |03:02:56 ~-~-> 03:03:00 |give them clout mentioned their name. They're out here simply trying to do | ||
2203 | |2202 |03:03:00 ~-~-> 03:03:05 |better than he did the day before, make more money than he did last year, and | ||
2204 | |2203 |03:03:05 ~-~-> 03:03:10 |hold on to what they have. And stay within a model that keeps them balanced, | ||
2205 | |2204 |03:03:10 ~-~-> 03:03:15 |where they're not emotionally freaking out. They're not fearful, they're not | ||
2206 | |2205 |03:03:15 ~-~-> 03:03:18 |second guessing themselves, they know exactly when they're going to do | ||
2207 | |2206 |03:03:18 ~-~-> 03:03:21 |something, why they're going to do it, and then why they're sitting still and | ||
2208 | |2207 |03:03:21 ~-~-> 03:03:24 |when they're not going to take a trade. And they're comfortable with that. When | ||
2209 | |2208 |03:03:24 ~-~-> 03:03:28 |you have a model. When you have a process that controls when and when you | ||
2210 | |2209 |03:03:28 ~-~-> 03:03:35 |can't take a trade. You will never feel anxiety about getting in a trade that | ||
2211 | |2210 |03:03:35 ~-~-> 03:03:41 |isn't really there. But you're fighting man, you're resisting that by trying to | ||
2212 | |2211 |03:03:43 ~-~-> 03:03:47 |give into your impulses about I need to take a trade. And if you're prone to be | ||
2213 | |2212 |03:03:47 ~-~-> 03:03:52 |like that, the worst thing you can do is hang around other people that are | ||
2214 | |2213 |03:03:52 ~-~-> 03:03:56 |supposedly taking live trades or actively trying to do so. Because that | ||
2215 | |2214 |03:03:56 ~-~-> 03:03:59 |peer pressure is going to push you right into something that you aren't really | ||
2216 | |2215 |03:03:59 ~-~-> 03:04:04 |equipped to do or shouldn't do. And what I mean by that, hanging out on other | ||
2217 | |2216 |03:04:04 ~-~-> 03:04:09 |live streamers. If you have poor discipline, don't go there. Watch it | ||
2218 | |2217 |03:04:09 ~-~-> 03:04:14 |after the fact. I'm not saying don't watch other YouTubers, I'm saying you | ||
2219 | |2218 |03:04:14 ~-~-> 03:04:19 |have to be responsible, just like an alcoholic. If you know you can't control | ||
2220 | |2219 |03:04:19 ~-~-> 03:04:23 |yourself around the bar scene, don't go hang around those friends when they're | ||
2221 | |2220 |03:04:23 ~-~-> 03:04:26 |not at that, that that scene, that location where it's available to you. | ||
2222 | |2221 |03:04:29 ~-~-> 03:04:33 |Until you build the discipline until you build the personal responsibility that | ||
2223 | |2222 |03:04:33 ~-~-> 03:04:39 |hold you to this measure of expectation that you cannot you're not allowed. | ||
2224 | |2223 |03:04:40 ~-~-> 03:04:44 |You're not allowed to do these things. And some of you don't like that | ||
2225 | |2224 |03:04:44 ~-~-> 03:04:47 |language. No, you're not gonna tell me what the fuck I'm gonna do. Well, I get | ||
2226 | |2225 |03:04:47 ~-~-> 03:04:53 |it. I understand that I'm built that way. But do you want to succeed? Do you | ||
2227 | |2226 |03:04:53 ~-~-> 03:04:57 |want to have a long term career? This is not just a flash in the pan lottery when | ||
2228 | |2227 |03:04:58 ~-~-> 03:05:05 |there's a lot of people that have had payouts one time and disappeared. My own | ||
2229 | |2228 |03:05:05 ~-~-> 03:05:12 |son has had that two times got two payouts. And now because of life, his ex | ||
2230 | |2229 |03:05:12 ~-~-> 03:05:17 |girlfriend that's causing him a huge barrier. He's depressed. All he cares | ||
2231 | |2230 |03:05:17 ~-~-> 03:05:21 |about as long as he can get through his workday. He's worrying about the new guy | ||
2232 | |2231 |03:05:21 ~-~-> 03:05:25 |she's with, because she went to college. But guess what, that's the real world. | ||
2233 | |2232 |03:05:25 ~-~-> 03:05:30 |That's the real world, how are you going to deal with that? That's not in books. | ||
2234 | |2233 |03:05:30 ~-~-> 03:05:34 |Of course, sellers aren't telling you that shit. They're only giving the sugar | ||
2235 | |2234 |03:05:34 ~-~-> 03:05:38 |high, I'm telling you, you have no idea what you're stepping into, and how much | ||
2236 | |2235 |03:05:38 ~-~-> 03:05:40 |it takes to manage all of this. | ||
2237 | |2236 |03:05:42 ~-~-> 03:05:44 |And you're asking for give me the bias and I'll figure it out the rest now your | ||
2238 | |2237 |03:05:44 ~-~-> 03:05:51 |bullshit you will show you're going to know, when you first tried to do this, | ||
2239 | |2238 |03:05:51 ~-~-> 03:05:55 |that there's a whole lot more to it. And when you feel it, you're going to try to | ||
2240 | |2239 |03:05:55 ~-~-> 03:06:00 |pretend it isn't like that. It's just you're just scared and you're too new. | ||
2241 | |2240 |03:06:00 ~-~-> 03:06:03 |Now it's your you really felt the reality of it all. That's exactly what | ||
2242 | |2241 |03:06:03 ~-~-> 03:06:08 |this is like. So you have to do a lot to manage all those things. And once you're | ||
2243 | |2242 |03:06:08 ~-~-> 03:06:10 |able to do that, once you're able to manage yourself, keep yourself from | ||
2244 | |2243 |03:06:10 ~-~-> 03:06:14 |derailing yourself, and you're able to stick to a model, even if it doesn't | ||
2245 | |2244 |03:06:14 ~-~-> 03:06:18 |give you a profitable trade two, three times a week. You don't throw the model | ||
2246 | |2245 |03:06:18 ~-~-> 03:06:29 |away. You you associate the executions with your own error. And that's | ||
2247 | |2246 |03:06:29 ~-~-> 03:06:35 |uncomfortable. But that's the reality. Because no one puts you in that trade. | ||
2248 | |2247 |03:06:35 ~-~-> 03:06:41 |But you I didn't. The people in those chat rooms, you're hanging around with | ||
2249 | |2248 |03:06:41 ~-~-> 03:06:50 |the book author, the video that you watched the tweet that the Facebook, the | ||
2250 | |2249 |03:06:50 ~-~-> 03:06:58 |Instagram alert, none of those things put you in trade. You did, always you. | ||
2251 | |2250 |03:06:59 ~-~-> 03:07:05 |And if it doesn't pan out, you own that. It's your responsibility to be able to | ||
2252 | |2251 |03:07:05 ~-~-> 03:07:10 |work past that if it's a loss, eat it. It's good medicine, you'll learn from | ||
2253 | |2252 |03:07:10 ~-~-> 03:07:14 |that you're not going to learn anything from winning trades, you're not going to | ||
2254 | |2253 |03:07:14 ~-~-> 03:07:19 |learn shit from that, except for ego and pride. And they are going to introduce | ||
2255 | |2254 |03:07:19 ~-~-> 03:07:26 |more complexities than trading than anything else. I know this intimately. I | ||
2256 | |2255 |03:07:26 ~-~-> 03:07:33 |tried to pretend that my losing trades were to be ignored. Don't spend no time | ||
2257 | |2256 |03:07:33 ~-~-> 03:07:39 |with that. You know, it was it was them guys got got me. And then I had to | ||
2258 | |2257 |03:07:39 ~-~-> 03:07:45 |figure out what those guys are doing. And why I keep falling victim to it. And | ||
2259 | |2258 |03:07:45 ~-~-> 03:07:49 |when I would fall victim to it. That's okay, what did I do wrong? See the | ||
2260 | |2259 |03:07:49 ~-~-> 03:07:53 |difference? There is a paradigm shift. I'm being responsible. What did I do as | ||
2261 | |2260 |03:07:53 ~-~-> 03:07:58 |the trader wrong there? Most people today in our society don't want to admit | ||
2262 | |2261 |03:07:58 ~-~-> 03:08:05 |they're wrong about anything. It's an uncomfortable position to be in. Because | ||
2263 | |2262 |03:08:05 ~-~-> 03:08:11 |social media has trained us to be what? judgmental of everyone? Oh, you did that | ||
2264 | |2263 |03:08:11 ~-~-> 03:08:17 |wrong? Oh, look at you. Okay, what have you fucked up on the last 24 hours on | ||
2265 | |2264 |03:08:17 ~-~-> 03:08:25 |your business block. But that's the state of the world right now. And we're | ||
2266 | |2265 |03:08:25 ~-~-> 03:08:31 |in this, this social climate right now. And there's so many people coming into | ||
2267 | |2266 |03:08:31 ~-~-> 03:08:34 |our industry, trying to believe that they're going to walk out here and it's | ||
2268 | |2267 |03:08:34 ~-~-> 03:08:37 |going to be cakewalk, and they're going to start making all kinds of money, it's | ||
2269 | |2268 |03:08:37 ~-~-> 03:08:40 |gonna be easy for them, and they're gonna win on their first time, their | ||
2270 | |2269 |03:08:40 ~-~-> 03:08:45 |first attempt are gonna be successful. They actually believe this shit. I'm | ||
2271 | |2270 |03:08:45 ~-~-> 03:08:50 |promising you, that is not going to happen like that. Even if I trained you | ||
2272 | |2271 |03:08:50 ~-~-> 03:08:55 |personally, personally, you're still going to have adversities, you're still | ||
2273 | |2272 |03:08:55 ~-~-> 03:09:01 |going to lose, you won't be able to be comfortable taking that first loss, you | ||
2274 | |2273 |03:09:01 ~-~-> 03:09:07 |won't be able to, unless you want up to the idea that that's part of it. That's | ||
2275 | |2274 |03:09:07 ~-~-> 03:09:13 |part of it. Losing, making it back losing losing more than you lost last | ||
2276 | |2275 |03:09:13 ~-~-> 03:09:19 |time, they had a lower drawdown. Okay, nothing's changed. But I have to reduce | ||
2277 | |2276 |03:09:19 ~-~-> 03:09:23 |my risk and accept the fact that it's going to take me a little bit longer to | ||
2278 | |2277 |03:09:23 ~-~-> 03:09:28 |recoup this. Nothing's changing model wise. You're just lowering your risk, | ||
2279 | |2278 |03:09:28 ~-~-> 03:09:32 |and you're lowering your frequency of trade and raising the higher timeframe | ||
2280 | |2279 |03:09:32 ~-~-> 03:09:37 |level that you're trading on. There you go. That's something for a bull. But now | ||
2281 | |2280 |03:09:37 ~-~-> 03:09:45 |you have homework. So, anyway, my stomach is telling me I need to grab | ||
2282 | |2281 |03:09:45 ~-~-> 03:09:48 |something to eat. And I had a lot of fun hanging out with you all today. | ||
2283 | |2282 |03:09:49 ~-~-> 03:09:53 |Hopefully, you've found something useful and insightful. And if you didn't, I | ||
2284 | |2283 |03:09:53 ~-~-> 03:09:57 |apologize. I tried really hard to give you something that would be useful to | ||
2285 | |2284 |03:09:57 ~-~-> 03:10:01 |you. But I can't please everyone, right? If you like what you've seen today and | ||
2286 | |2285 |03:10:01 ~-~-> 03:10:05 |learning something give me a thumbs up if not I don't give a I'll talk to you | ||
2287 | |2286 |03:10:05 ~-~-> 03:10:07 |next time be safe | ||
2288 |