ICT YT - 2023-03-23 - Live Tape Reading - PM Session - March 23 2023

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2023-03-25 20:29

Outline

02:27 - Good afternoon, everyone.

04:34 - How do I make my lines look like this?

09:42 - Today is the immediate day after FOMC event.

15:06 - How to use this chart to get a better understanding of the current market.

21:44 - How to trade in the London session -.

25:52 - Short-term oversold without an indicator.

31:05 - Why would you want to do that when there’s days where you can go in and out in 20 minutes?

37:06 - The market is going to do what it’s going to do and you can’t hide it.

39:49 - What is more likely for the bottom end of that shaded area to be traded to go down or up?

46:13 - New Weak Opening Gap -.

53:12 - How do you know when you’re in a gap?

59:57 - If you were really trying to do this and you were honest with yourself, you would want to know everything that I'm willing to give you.

01:05:35 - What you’re lacking right now -.

01:11:27 - What’s happening in the Dollar Index.

01:17:11 - What are the inefficiencies in the market?

Transcription

00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:39,180 ICT: Good afternoon folks. I will be checking my twitter to see if you guys can hear me and if the audio is good enough I have everything all the way up as far
00:02:39,180 --> 00:02:53,910 as I can get it I got this email five by five on Twitter everything's kosher volume level good
00:02:59,190 --> 00:03:00,090 thank you thank you
00:03:05,580 --> 00:03:12,600 right so let's take a look at this yes market here
00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:39,660 alright so I mentioned this morning with tweets that we had a opening range gap from yesterday's regular session hours close to today's electronic trading I'm
00:03:39,660 --> 00:03:54,210 sorry, regular session open by looking at like this Okay, so here's that close from yesterday where we opened today we rallied all the way up into that gap at
00:03:54,210 --> 00:04:06,240 255 mentioned that here acid extended out note that what I told you it would hit this act as resistance trade down into this imbalance which was the low to high
00:04:06,510 --> 00:04:15,810 lunchtime salsa liquidity. We have the market having returned back into this fair pay gap there noted
00:04:26,940 --> 00:04:40,650 I try to keep my annotations light already have a lot already on the chart. So we traded up into that and we're looking for the market to trade back down into
10 00:04:40,650 --> 00:04:59,160 the sell side here and dig into this a little bit more. Okay, and we'll get back into electronic trading hours and we have sellside here dollars firm. If you
11 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:11,940 look at your 30 minute timeframe on Dixie DX y Butina timeframe, you can see we are relatively equal highs from this morning, it might want to run up into that.
12 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:30,660 And then we have actual gaps in the Wednesday 7:30pm Time Window, certainly want to trade up into that one or 251 or 255 for dollar that will be risk off for ES
13 00:05:32,490 --> 00:05:34,740 struck down into a four minute chart
14 00:05:40,470 --> 00:05:41,070 three minute
15 00:05:50,160 --> 00:06:11,130 two minute one or two go back up to three minutes. See how we have this really nice easy to see city here. Whereas it's not so clean and dropped down to the
16 00:06:11,130 --> 00:06:25,200 two minute. Man, it's there, I guess. But I like the way it looks on the three minute let me have a volume imbalance up here as well. So we're at the opening
17 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:36,420 range gap. That's it the shaded areas down here. I'm looking for the market to try to trade back down into this area here. That will be sell side and the old
18 00:06:36,420 --> 00:06:44,070 daily. Very, very good sippy low. And some of you're probably asking what that is
19 00:06:50,070 --> 00:06:51,420 me see if I can pull it up here
20 00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:13,590 it is this this big down close candle here. Using this candles low as the high that candles high here as the daily fear of any gaps should be low. Okay, so
21 00:07:13,590 --> 00:07:30,030 that's what I'm looking at a nice big wick here. So we'll drop back down lower timeframe. We get animated on the downside. And we completely go back to
22 00:07:30,030 --> 00:07:43,590 yesterday's closing price for the opening range gap. Then we can maybe consider the new week opening gap that's current this week. And I got a question from one
23 00:07:43,590 --> 00:07:58,290 of the students on Twitter How do I make my lines like this First of all, I'm using TradingView obviously, but when you're dropping up horizontal Ray all the
24 00:07:58,290 --> 00:08:13,830 settings are this okay. So you can see everything and the text is set to middle and on the right. So that way no matter what I do on my chart it will always be
25 00:08:14,460 --> 00:08:18,870 on the right side. Okay then your next charge
26 00:08:36,990 --> 00:08:47,100 so I'm looking at the Dow has relative equal lows on its hourly chart. I'll take a look at that real quick
27 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:11,130 hear that's too clean. And below that if we dropped down we have this small little gap here for dowel traders. And then we have all the imbalance in here.
28 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:18,870 All this back and forth in here. You want to look past that. There's going to drop below here it might dig into this area down here and then we have these
29 00:09:18,870 --> 00:09:34,440 relative equal lows. Can you see that? So back Yes. Let me do this because I know somebody you'd like to treat that one too. So NASDAQ has
30 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:48,690 we have set aside here on the hourly. I mentioned the consequent encouragement of that wick earlier today. We had a little bit of wit past that but so far it's
31 00:09:48,690 --> 00:09:53,820 been doing okay. And then let's go back to yes now
32 00:10:03,959 --> 00:10:04,409 Minute.
33 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:24,900 So today is obviously the immediate day after FOMC. And whenever we had an FOMC event, or a large range event, a lot of volatility and such, the very next
34 00:10:24,900 --> 00:10:32,970 morning session, you don't want to be doing too much of anything, doesn't mean you can't pay per trade doesn't mean you can't study, obviously. But too many
35 00:10:32,970 --> 00:10:42,660 individuals want to go on here and try to chase it with their funded accounts or their live accounts. And it's many times proving more difficult for them,
36 00:10:43,020 --> 00:10:50,010 especially if you're not used to seeing the type of price action that following a large range or high volatility event.
37 00:10:55,200 --> 00:11:09,000 So plenty of time, that last hour of trading. I'll commit to spending time past three o'clock, until we get something that would be noteworthy. If something
38 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:17,250 happens, and I miss it, and I wasn't able to call it out live, then it'll be just a missed opportunity. But my bias is bearish, I don't look at this as going
39 00:11:17,250 --> 00:11:22,260 higher, I have nothing in here that wants to see a buy side run.
40 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:39,030 Now when we have these opening range gaps, it's important for you to obviously treat them the same way I teach you to use all of the gaps that I like to use in
41 00:11:39,180 --> 00:11:51,480 technical analysis. They're not one and done. Okay, so we extend them to the right. So right now what we've just did, we've taken out sellside rate below
42 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:59,880 these two relative equal lows. Now I want to watch and see does come back up here and touch the top of that opening range got, if it does, we would watch
43 00:11:59,880 --> 00:12:09,930 that to see if it wants to expand from that point. It may not do that. It may not do it at all. But I'd like to see it trade up to that level there. And which
44 00:12:09,930 --> 00:12:22,380 would also be what looks to the left, what do you see consequent creature on that wick so if it trades to that level here, it's it then expands down we would
45 00:12:22,380 --> 00:12:30,960 expect for sell side we also have a gap in here. So we would like to see that trade down below it come back up and act as what resistance as I've outlined
46 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:43,410 that this one would be this morning or this afternoon rather. And we've seen it happen in the pm session and traded softer and it's dropped down until one
47 00:12:43,410 --> 00:12:57,750 minute chart now to the volume of bounce here at the top of that shaded area as well. All I've done is shown the the range between previous day's close regular
48 00:12:57,750 --> 00:13:09,150 session to the opening price at 930. So that that's this range here that's what's being indicated. Okay. So once the volume imbalance in here and the high
49 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:17,520 there really is no need for it to get up into here. Even though you see this here I don't think that it needs to get up there
50 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:34,380 sorry No, there's water bottles are noisy.
51 00:13:42,150 --> 00:13:59,370 So I'm looking at dollar. And I'm still favoring that run into the I mean, actually give you a level. You can look at it on your chart. One Oh 2.45. And
52 00:13:59,370 --> 00:14:16,830 then the gaps in yesterday's opening. We started trading again around 6pm. There's a gap up in that area around the one or two. What is that 51 or 252
53 00:14:16,830 --> 00:14:18,870 They're about up to
54 00:14:34,470 --> 00:14:54,870 I'm here to show up Yamana 252 and one or 245. So in that range, there's an actual liquidity void for dollar so that may act as a draw in addition to the
55 00:14:54,870 --> 00:15:09,390 buy side that's resting above 6am and 830 highs for dollar on the 15 minute timeframe. So if we can get some kind of a run up into that again that would be
56 00:15:09,780 --> 00:15:14,190 risk off. So that would allow for price to betrayed softer
57 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:34,110 Okay, so we were able to get back up in this area I didn't want to see it do that I don't definitely don't want to see it up in here. I want to see it kind
58 00:15:34,110 --> 00:15:37,260 of stay heavy in here. We're in the two o'clock hour
59 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:56,430 NASDAQ looks heavy here. It has a fair value got this count very good at this is going to be on your five minute chart for NASDAQ the 9:25am for today, that's
60 00:15:56,430 --> 00:16:08,760 your Vegas by Saudi male suicide inefficiency. You want to draw a rectangle on that extend to the right I put you around 12 837 For NASDAQ.
61 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:35,700 Alright, so now I would like to see this candle that's forming right now we're on a one minute chart as a reminder, I like to see this candle close. Leave this
62 00:16:35,700 --> 00:16:44,790 little bit of a gap here trade up into it. It doesn't have to hit the high that shaded area. But then I would want to see it go into the area and then sell off
63 00:16:44,820 --> 00:16:47,160 going into the sell side reading reading here. Okay.
64 00:16:57,270 --> 00:17:02,700 Okay, so now we have the range. There, let me zoom in a little bit
65 00:17:07,740 --> 00:17:25,800 I don't want to see it run away yet. Want to see it pop just above this candle is high. So trading at 95, even the trays 95 Even or 95.25. We watch that with a
66 00:17:26,100 --> 00:17:35,760 hypothetical stoploss above here and look for sell side. Otherwise, it's probably just going to run all the way without me. That's fine. Plenty of time
67 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:36,930 still in the afternoon.
68 00:17:44,010 --> 00:17:55,770 So you guys got to see me earlier in the week. Show the doubters that the buttons can get pushed with precision. I have a whole lot of other things I'm
69 00:17:55,770 --> 00:18:04,110 going to do this year that a lot of people have said I would never ever do, it would never be seen a lot of stuff like that for the rest of the year. Alright,
70 00:18:04,110 --> 00:18:15,000 see how we're trading into that gap now. Okay, so you want to kind of screenshot your your chart like right here. Right there, that's good, just like that, and
71 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:32,250 then monitor how it trades from here. Again, we're looking at this level down here as the draw. Like a man, imagine a magnet down below here. And price being
72 00:18:32,250 --> 00:18:36,120 drawn down. And that's kind of like the analogy I use when I teach my students
73 00:18:43,740 --> 00:18:56,310 now these after FOMC will have a very large range, it's important to remember that there's there's a different degree of precision that is lacking. In days
74 00:18:56,310 --> 00:19:03,360 like this doesn't mean that you can't find things the trade off of it doesn't mean you can't find setups, it just means that the market tends to be a little
75 00:19:03,360 --> 00:19:12,660 bit more reluctant to just run away for you in your favor. Many times you'll get retracements farther than you want to see a lot more consolidation than you want
76 00:19:12,660 --> 00:19:24,270 to endure. And it's very frustrating especially if you're accustomed to seeing very quick low resistance liquidity run conditions for your setups, which is
77 00:19:24,270 --> 00:19:33,450 what you should be looking for. You should be looking for that in price action and trying to get those types of setups predominantly in your studies or in your
78 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:35,100 executions
79 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:54,930 watch that wick here. Consequent encouragement there. We want to see this candle turn bearish. That will be a confirmation. So when you're watching price, these
80 00:19:54,930 --> 00:20:04,050 are types of things that I'm looking for that are signatures that I like to see. It kind of keeps a My mindset I want if I'm bearish, like I'm holding that
81 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:13,230 opinion here, and we're looking for, or I'm looking for, let me make sure I'm very clear about that, I believe that we're likely to draw it down here. Because
82 00:20:13,230 --> 00:20:23,550 of that, I want to see what would be considered a premium array. Things that would be acting like a classic resistance idea. My PD arrays, for instance, like
83 00:20:23,550 --> 00:20:30,750 these three consecutive up close candles, that's a bearish order block, then you have the consequent encroachment of this wick, which is a gap, it trades just a
84 00:20:30,750 --> 00:20:40,800 little bit past, but that's fine. And we also have the fair value gap here, we traded up into that. And we moved away from the high end of that opening range
85 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:54,510 gap. So we're watching to see this price remain heavy. Or if it retraces, we have to wait until we get closer to three o'clock our my suspicions is really
86 00:20:54,540 --> 00:21:05,310 lining up with before we come to the close of today, I think we'll be down below here. At some point, I think we'll we'll work this level here. But I kind of
87 00:21:05,670 --> 00:21:17,070 want to spread this mentorship, experience across different times. And we're doing a lot of the am session, which is convenient for a lot of folks. And less
88 00:21:17,070 --> 00:21:27,360 convenient for the folks across the pond for this time of day, because a little later in the day, a little bit more of a sacrifice for them. But I will be doing
89 00:21:27,360 --> 00:21:38,670 some london session things as well. So that way you will be up and watching that time of day a few times before the close of this mentorship in November. So that
90 00:21:38,670 --> 00:21:48,240 way it gives you kind of like a comprehensive approach to looking at a full 24 hour market day. And that way, you may not be all that thrilled about any one
91 00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:58,320 particular session right now. But that might change because you may or may want to do something in your personal life that allows you to make a change for you
92 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:10,290 to trade in the London session, which is a very, very difficult one in the United States. You have to really be willing to change your sleep schedule many
93 00:22:10,290 --> 00:22:10,740 times.
94 00:22:25,499 --> 00:22:40,589 So far I'm not seeing anything in dollar that is confirming that it wants to go up into that buy side which is allowing ES to struggle with a run lower. There's
95 00:22:40,589 --> 00:22:52,379 a small little dollar one minute, Faraday got its advice on unbalance Solsona efficiency on the 146 candle for Dixie, just now trading into that. So we can
96 00:22:52,379 --> 00:23:07,859 snap higher on dollar preferably here. And that would lend well to lower prices on es Dow is still struggling with its sloppy little consolidation on his one
97 00:23:07,859 --> 00:23:17,909 minute chart. Blaming Beyonce we've traded up into that here on ES. So you want to have that on your chart too.
98 00:23:24,180 --> 00:23:34,260 Volume and balance is my PDA where there's a separation between two candles. And their bodies are not touching or at least overlapping. Or I said it wrong, that
99 00:23:34,260 --> 00:23:44,790 they're the bodies of two candles consecutively right after one another. If they aren't touching at least there creates this separation even though there's a
100 00:23:44,790 --> 00:23:53,100 wick here that goes down into this candles body and other wick on this candle goes up into this candles body. That is a volume imbalance. And the market tends
101 00:23:53,100 --> 00:24:03,960 to go back up into those areas revisited, reprice it and then move away either in your favor or against you. I don't mind the volume imbalances being traded
102 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:15,180 through that's one of the very flexible PD arrays, which makes it unfortunately difficult for students to learn because you want them to act like you know an
103 00:24:15,180 --> 00:24:23,100 order block or a breaker where it's very finite, it does this and nothing else that type of thing. But you're also learning that all of mine PDE arrays have a
104 00:24:23,430 --> 00:24:32,880 inversion aspect to them. So when the narrative changes, what used to be a bearish PD array can be utilized as a bullish PD array. So it provides real
105 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:42,330 context to the classic view of Support Resistance. What I'm not doing classic Support Resistance. I'm showing you the actual underlying pinnings of the market
106 00:24:42,660 --> 00:24:55,200 that creates that buying or selling idea with Support Resistance theory without leaning on the classical, find an old low find an old high I'm not doing that
107 00:24:55,200 --> 00:25:10,080 I'm showing you within the context of price delivery. So now watch that volume imbalance again here. We keep digging up into it digging up into here. Dollar
108 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:25,290 does list not having any of that asset imbalance. So it hasn't provided any kind of support yet has one more PD array in the form of a volume imbalance and it
109 00:25:25,290 --> 00:25:30,660 overlaps with the last down close candle on the one that chart so we're in that now
110 00:25:36,510 --> 00:25:40,560 $1, but it doesn't look like it's going to do too much for us here.
111 00:25:52,170 --> 00:26:04,380 Now because it's a little bit later into the two o'clock hour, almost to 15 minutes to 13. Now because we've been drifting lower, it's okay for this market
112 00:26:04,380 --> 00:26:14,370 to want to rally on a short term. And revisit all this area now, because we've broken several lows, we've taken this low out with this low with this run here
113 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:24,300 went lower, again, went lower again. Did we see any follow through on the downside? No. So it's short term oversold without an indicator? And if it's
114 00:26:24,300 --> 00:26:34,710 going to go up, is there any imbalance in here, there's this one. And we'd have to watch and see does it want to respect the high end of that opening range gap,
115 00:26:34,710 --> 00:26:45,060 which is this shaded area, it can go there have a little bit of a wick through that. And that's permissible, that's fine. But I would be because of the time, I
116 00:26:45,060 --> 00:26:53,280 would be willing to allow for now that Runnable, this short term high here, because we have relatively equal highs, stop losses are going to be what trailed
117 00:26:53,670 --> 00:27:02,910 lower. So there's a small little pool of liquidity in here. And if the market trades up at that point, we'd want to watch and see does it quickly reject that
118 00:27:02,910 --> 00:27:11,460 level, and start going back down again, if it were to do something like that, then the next pass through this low here should be accelerated. And they would
119 00:27:11,460 --> 00:27:17,730 quickly want to get down into the liquidity on here. So it wouldn't be the opportunity to be pulled away from the marketplace. In other words, anyone that
120 00:27:17,730 --> 00:27:26,790 would have a stop loss down here in the form of a sell stop whether the sell short on a breakout lower or trailing it or keeping it there from this morning,
121 00:27:26,910 --> 00:27:38,070 because they're a long term position trader, they are just waiting to be engaged. So when liquidity gets taken, should it trade down here, all their
122 00:27:38,070 --> 00:27:48,090 selves thoughts become a market order to sell at the market, which would be a real good reason for the market to be covering shorts there. Because there's a
123 00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:56,460 plethora of willing sellers at a lower price where shorts can buy back their short positions from those willing lower sellers.
124 00:28:04,019 --> 00:28:17,339 This, again, is a reminder, this is the type of day where yes, I can see setups, yes, I can point them out to you on Twitter. But it's more meant for you to see
125 00:28:17,339 --> 00:28:30,629 how different how much more difficult price delivery is, in days like this, where it's right after FOMC kind of like is a reoccurring theme this year in
126 00:28:30,629 --> 00:28:38,849 this mentorship with you all, because obviously, I've taught how to find the good setups in all the core content, the videos and lectures I've done on
127 00:28:38,849 --> 00:28:49,019 YouTube. But sitting with me over real time price action, and outlining what constitutes a low probability condition, what constitutes a high probability
128 00:28:49,019 --> 00:28:59,459 condition and training yourself to what your understanding what it feels like, while you're watching price, when it's not a good, really easy low resistance
129 00:28:59,489 --> 00:29:07,769 run condition where the market just rips in your favor. You don't have any new drawdown, it's quick and goes right to your targets. That's what I'm training
130 00:29:07,769 --> 00:29:19,919 you to look for. That's what I've trained my students to look for in price action. And we're back at the hi that opening range gap high. And as I mentioned
131 00:29:19,919 --> 00:29:27,809 before, it could spike up through that and take up this high maybe in here. And then I'd want to see it reject that not keep wanting to climb up. That's not
132 00:29:27,809 --> 00:29:42,809 what I want to see here. And fact if that were to do something like that around and before to 30 to 40. That would be in my opinion, reason to anticipate much
133 00:29:42,809 --> 00:29:54,329 more than just the opening range low as the last hour of trading opportunity. I think we could, again, revisit the new week opening gap this present week here.
134 00:29:55,199 --> 00:30:05,039 If it were to do this outline here, which would be spike clear this here and that wouldn't give smart money the opportunity to sell these buy stops that are
135 00:30:05,039 --> 00:30:15,569 being trailed on short positions. And then by being short here selling to those buyers, buying below here, buying down below here, and then buying at the new
136 00:30:15,569 --> 00:30:27,539 week opening gap high. This below as I mentioned that there. Okay, that's that's what I, I see is a possible scenario going into the close today. And the reason
137 00:30:27,539 --> 00:30:43,649 therefore, why I would expect that. But the the real Hallmark to this year's mentorship is I'm spending my last year teaching in this capacity, I don't want
138 00:30:43,649 --> 00:30:50,939 to be doing this, you know, once I get to the second week of November, doesn't mean I'm going to fall off the face of the planet and not communicate with
139 00:30:50,939 --> 00:31:00,779 anybody. But it just means that the level of engagement that you guys are used to now won't be so high. But it's important for you to be able to see what it
140 00:31:00,779 --> 00:31:13,619 looks like when the market is fickle. Okay. And when I say it's fickle, it's, it's very, it's hard. It's very hard for a new trader to trust in these
141 00:31:13,619 --> 00:31:25,679 environments, which is understandable. The mature students of mine that had been with me for a while and they know how to find low resistance liquidity run
142 00:31:25,679 --> 00:31:33,299 conditions where the market is runs real quick, has those explosive price moves, where they have the big ranges, and they don't even come back and fill in the
143 00:31:33,299 --> 00:31:43,049 ranges. It just keeps on going and going and going and going. Those types of moves. You learn how to find them by looking at these types of days and these
144 00:31:43,049 --> 00:31:51,689 types of conditions. And yes, you can make a career out of trading in these environments. But my question is, why would you want to do that, when there's
145 00:31:51,689 --> 00:31:59,819 days where you can go in and air in inside of 20 minutes your entire days done. Whereas something like this here, you have to babysit it for a long period of
146 00:31:59,819 --> 00:32:08,069 time. It consolidates it retraces it does a lot of things you don't want it to do. And the whole time you're in these types of days, you're expecting the
147 00:32:08,069 --> 00:32:18,719 things you learned in books to pan out, you know all these patterns and things, continuation patterns. And it's it is very frustrating. If you don't know what
148 00:32:18,719 --> 00:32:29,069 you're looking at, because you're trying to project your expectations about how the market is likely in your best favor to perform. But it's reluctant to do
149 00:32:29,069 --> 00:32:48,599 that, because no one's stupid batteries are rolling off my desk here, the you have to submit to a lot more frustration in these days. So if it's your goal, to
150 00:32:48,599 --> 00:32:55,169 look for days, where you go in there, and you do the least amount of time in front of the charts, which is always a good thing. Especially if you know what
151 00:32:55,169 --> 00:33:03,569 your model is in the beginning, you have to submit yourself to a lot of this, okay, you're gonna have to be in front of charts studying, looking at old price
152 00:33:03,569 --> 00:33:09,959 moves, that's my back testing is not going in, you're using Market Replay, that's something entirely different. But you have to take a lot of screenshots
153 00:33:09,989 --> 00:33:20,939 and study in and when you look at the charts, you want to write on them. How if you could go back in time being shorted and hold high after it took out a
154 00:33:20,939 --> 00:33:30,089 previous high. And you classify that as a Smart Money entry on going short. And then you would look at the chart and say okay, if that was the case, and that
155 00:33:30,089 --> 00:33:38,579 Smart Money entity is going short there, where's the ideal scenario for them to look for an opportunity to get out of that trade, which will be below an old low
156 00:33:38,609 --> 00:33:52,889 where sellside resigns or a discount inefficiency. The next inefficiency if you go on es when your One Minute, I'm not going to move my chart because I want to
157 00:33:52,889 --> 00:34:05,519 keep it right where it is. If you look at your chart on the one minute, on the 910 candlestick, there's a small little fair value gap there and it's in the
158 00:34:05,519 --> 00:34:16,529 form of bytes that amounts to some efficiency. You want to draw a rectangle on the extents of the right. It's essentially 395 ish. there abouts. So that's the
159 00:34:16,529 --> 00:34:17,399 next roll down
160 00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:40,560 now that right there what I've told you about trading back up into the high end of that opening range get that stuff's not in books. Okay, that's not nobody's
161 00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:49,020 teaching. They're gonna teach it now because I'm showing it to you. But that in itself right there. That's perfect four or five handle run right there. And that
162 00:34:49,020 --> 00:34:57,810 could be your entire model. Or you could wait for it to trade down the depth 395 level. I mentioned this a moment ago, which is the next inefficiency. Then the
163 00:34:57,810 --> 00:34:59,970 sell side is that 3982 and a half
164 00:35:06,569 --> 00:35:18,719 But high resistance liquidity runs like this, see how it just, it moves a little bit and comes back rebalances moves a little bit, comes back rebalances moves a
165 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:28,409 little bit. It's very, very, to me, I'm bored by this kind of stuff like I don't, I don't, and not in the sense, like, I mean, all of its boring to me
166 00:35:28,409 --> 00:35:37,769 because I know pretty much what is likely to do. But when it's like this, this to me, I'd rather do something else I'd rather read, you know, I'd rather go do
167 00:35:37,769 --> 00:35:48,539 something else with my family members, take my dogs for a walk, you know, whatever. In that being from the charts. In, you might not feel that that is
168 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:54,959 something you would want to do. Because you look at this and thinking this is making perfect sense to me. It went up to that fair value gap you talked about
169 00:35:54,959 --> 00:36:06,659 here, two o'clock, here, traded up into the high end the opening range gap high, it did that it broke lower, came back up, and displacement to the downside. That
170 00:36:06,659 --> 00:36:20,459 in itself is five handles, you can literally replace your job with just that move that by itself. It's all it's all it requires. But unfortunately, you see
171 00:36:20,459 --> 00:36:29,369 me doing 100 handle moves, get the handle moves, 30 handle moves, 20 handle moves over and over and over example, after example. And you think that that's
172 00:36:29,369 --> 00:36:37,679 what you want to do. That's what you want to do, because you see the hypothetical paper trade results in the monetary sense. And you think if I could
173 00:36:37,679 --> 00:36:49,889 just do that, whereas if I'm trying to teach the skill set to you, I want you to be able to feel confident that you can find the least the least of all things
174 00:36:50,579 --> 00:36:59,579 consistently every single day. Even in hard days like this, these types of setups form continuously. And when you sit with someone that can talk about it
175 00:36:59,579 --> 00:37:07,229 before it happens, you explain the logic behind it, and you get to see it, experience it. That's mentorship that it's a very comforting feeling. Because
176 00:37:07,229 --> 00:37:15,869 there's no emotions behind it. There's no necessity for it to be profitable, there's no concern for it to be incorrect. You're studying it. You're learning
177 00:37:15,869 --> 00:37:25,739 how to submit yourself to it. Because the market is going to do what it's going to do. And you can't hide it there's your 395 It's almost like a dog whistle
178 00:37:25,739 --> 00:37:37,109 isn't going to daddy go down to sell side at 250 It's where it's resting. And I want to see it but I would like to see it rather spike through 3982 and a half.
179 00:37:37,679 --> 00:37:47,909 And get into that 3978 and a quarter at least touch that again. That would be cool. But how we trade if at all to or through there United 70 and a quarter.
180 00:37:48,989 --> 00:37:58,499 That is in indicative of how we trade going into the clothes in my opinion. Dollars found its wings here. I had to take out that short term low right around
181 00:37:58,499 --> 00:38:15,509 that 143 time window on a one minute chart. Look at the low at 142. So I'm back to wanting to see that one or 245 one or 252 for dollar should allow for that
182 00:38:15,509 --> 00:38:24,869 sell side on es that you're looking at here to get tagged NASDAQ's nice and heavy. I mentioned that buys out of balance. So Simon efficiency on its five
183 00:38:24,869 --> 00:38:41,249 minute chart. It's at 925 this morning. You should have that extended out to the right. And here is your sell side being delivered on es read about now, so bow
184 00:38:41,249 --> 00:38:50,699 has finally rolled over gave up the ghost it's now expanding accelerating to the downside which is good. You want to screenshot this folks screenshot this. And
185 00:38:50,699 --> 00:39:05,759 then when it hits the daily fair value, get savvy low. screenshot that one as well. It's almost like it's pre recorded, isn't it? Oh, you folks. It's boring,
186 00:39:05,759 --> 00:39:14,219 isn't it? It's like a Groundhog's Day event music. You'll see that movie Groundhog Day with Bill Murray, where it just repeats over and over and over
187 00:39:14,219 --> 00:39:23,219 again. That's what it's like in this community. We look for the same things to happen all the time. And it's fun. We don't get animated. We don't get crazy
188 00:39:23,219 --> 00:39:33,209 about it. We don't flip around and get all hopped up on goofballs, but it's just very relaxing. It's meditation for me. And I'm sure for you. It's like a thrill
189 00:39:33,209 --> 00:39:43,139 ride because you're seeing something being proven every single day, every day precision, delivering consistently. There's no mumbo jumbo to it. It's based on
190 00:39:43,139 --> 00:39:56,579 real logic that the market is going to work off of and how they book. So that was the price run for this afternoon. I know I said I would try to stay with you
191 00:39:56,579 --> 00:40:05,369 until a little bit into three but that's about this As much as I would want to have, as an example, trying to push you into something, the remainder of our
192 00:40:05,369 --> 00:40:15,809 time here, I want you to think about what is more likely to occur here? Is it more likely for the bottom end of that shaded area? Which is down here? Is it
193 00:40:15,809 --> 00:40:24,809 more likely for that to be traded to here next, or for it to come back up and take out this high? What do you think is more likely to occur? Don't be afraid
194 00:40:24,809 --> 00:40:38,279 to make a choice and be wrong. Because these, this is what you're doing this year with me, you're watching price. You're you're supposed to be watching this
195 00:40:38,279 --> 00:40:47,219 without any kind of and I know some of you already shorted this, I know some of you probably are tweeting to me saying, Hi Fi who go into the club, I don't want
196 00:40:47,219 --> 00:40:53,519 to see that. That's why I'm not I don't look at Twitter, while I'm talking to you, because I know invariably, I'm going to see something that's going to get
197 00:40:53,519 --> 00:41:00,419 in my head. And I'm going to be worrying about you doing something based on what I'm saying, which is what you shouldn't be doing. Don't trade on this advice.
198 00:41:00,839 --> 00:41:10,469 Because it's just me talking about price action. I'm teaching you how to submit to this process, and teaching you how to read price action, why it should do
199 00:41:10,469 --> 00:41:18,929 certain things, why it shouldn't do certain things. And because you're gonna see example of this every single week, every single day, whether I'm doing it live,
200 00:41:18,929 --> 00:41:25,199 or whether I'm talking about it in Twitter, where it's all time and date stamped, and I'm taking your attention right to specific candles, you're getting
201 00:41:25,199 --> 00:41:32,189 a comprehensive learning experience that you can't really get anywhere else. Okay, it's one thing to listen to somebody talk about, okay, here's a signal I'm
202 00:41:32,189 --> 00:41:38,969 buying here, I'm selling here, this is my target, but you don't really know why they're doing the trade. Which begs the question, why are you even doing that?
203 00:41:39,599 --> 00:41:47,429 Like, how do you know, what you're doing is going to pan out you're basing your belief system, your religion revolves around the person that you're trusting
204 00:41:47,429 --> 00:41:58,229 that signal derives from? And to me, that makes no sense. Okay, so we've traded down into that cibula, which is what I want to see. So now, it should have no
205 00:41:58,619 --> 00:42:08,609 difficulty at all, trading down into the low end of that shaded area here. It should remain heavy, heavy is like where it just keeps wanting to go lower
206 00:42:08,609 --> 00:42:23,459 having really no interest at all, when we go higher. Just for purposes of later on, and reflection for me as the mentor. Give me your feedback on what it feels
207 00:42:23,459 --> 00:42:34,979 like seeing this unfold like this. Understanding where these terms could form, how much it could trade higher up. And if it was to do so what that would
208 00:42:34,979 --> 00:42:45,479 indicate how the anticipate where the market is going to gravitate to draw to, which is the number one thing you're trying to learn first, or and throughout
209 00:42:45,479 --> 00:42:54,059 the process of you discovering what your model is, as a trader, what you're going to do, knowing where price is going to go, that's your number one goal,
210 00:42:54,509 --> 00:43:01,859 because everything else outside of that is going to get you in trouble. Order blocks, fair value gaps, all those things, if you don't have the direction,
211 00:43:01,859 --> 00:43:12,719 right? And that doesn't mean bias. Okay? It doesn't mean bias. It means where's the next draw on liquidity? Because you can trade without a bias. Okay, I saw a
212 00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:23,849 tweet. And for the life of me, I apologize. I can't remember. I believe that person's name on Twitter began with f, f e something, whatever. They asked, Is
213 00:43:23,849 --> 00:43:36,989 it important to have a bias to trade intraday? Or must you have a intraday bias to trade? Or can I trade just internal intraday liquidity? Once you understand
214 00:43:36,989 --> 00:43:48,779 what you're looking for, and the aspects of time of day, and when certain macros come in, and again, a macro is knowing where the market is likely drawl to next,
215 00:43:49,379 --> 00:44:00,719 what liquidity and the time so you have to you have to know really what you're looking for for liquidity. And who's been making money right now. That's
216 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:11,909 essentially what the macros do. They roll against who's in the money right now. That's, that's what their their function is. Because whatever movement in price
217 00:44:11,909 --> 00:44:20,669 action that's been unfolding is a recent whether it be a one minute chart, a five minute chart, 15 minutes or whatever. It's specific times and I Yes, I will
218 00:44:20,669 --> 00:44:29,519 teach you these macros. Okay. I know it seems like I'm not trying to do it. I am. But I'm teaching you other things that will help you when I do the lecture.
219 00:44:30,209 --> 00:44:37,649 You're like, Oh, no. Okay, I understand what he means now. Because if I do it prematurely, all you're going to do is I have 1000 More questions that you're
220 00:44:37,649 --> 00:44:44,789 going to claimer to me on Twitter, or send me emails that I'm not going to reply to. Or talk to me through trading view because there's too many of you coming at
221 00:44:44,789 --> 00:44:53,339 me asking questions that I physically am one person I can't do that. So you have to submit to the way I do things, which unfortunately, even my paid members when
222 00:44:53,339 --> 00:45:00,239 he came to me, some of them were impatient. They thought they knew how to learn how to do this without even know how to do it. And he would get frustrate didn't
223 00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:04,709 quit and run away and think that it doesn't work because they don't have the patience to listen to somebody that knows what they're doing.
224 00:45:06,179 --> 00:45:21,929 You want to be mindful of certain things that I'm talking about in the daily range, the weekly range, and how these intermarket relationships tie together at
225 00:45:21,929 --> 00:45:31,979 certain times of the day when you understand those things, and then I introduced the macros and explain to you what they are, why they form, what their purposes
226 00:45:31,979 --> 00:45:41,369 are, it will make perfect sense to you, and you'll anticipate these things happening in the market you want, you'll know exactly what is going to most
227 00:45:41,369 --> 00:45:50,309 likely occur at that interval right now, in a 20 minute span, you know that there's going to be a setup for me, you could set your watch to it, you can
228 00:45:50,339 --> 00:45:59,009 sleep in and say, Okay, I don't care about anything else, I'm gonna go wait in there, I'm gonna trade based on what I see within that 20 minute window. And
229 00:45:59,009 --> 00:46:08,819 then find your five handle 10 handle move, turn off your charts and go back to doing whatever you want to do. And folks, nobody teaches like that. They want
230 00:46:08,819 --> 00:46:18,119 you to follow these moving average crossovers and trend lines and all this other stuff. See, we're below the opening range. Gaps love see that. So now our
231 00:46:18,119 --> 00:46:21,329 attention goes to the new weak opening gap. Hi.
232 00:46:27,420 --> 00:46:39,960 If you look at the range from here, to where we are right now, half of that is written here. there abouts. Okay. So if we looked at this high down to the new
233 00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:49,260 weak opening gap high, that's also about halfway, which would be what, like a measuring gap. So when I look at targets where I've already outlined, I said, I
234 00:46:49,260 --> 00:47:01,500 think I'd like to see this level traded too. That's one part of it. Also, because we have left this gap here, this fear of a gap here, I'd like to see
235 00:47:01,500 --> 00:47:11,340 that stay open. Why? Because it's happens the fall about midpoint to where my next target would be, which I told you earlier, when we were up here, I said I'd
236 00:47:11,340 --> 00:47:19,560 like to see it get through the bottom of this. If it does, we'll gravitate down to that new weak opening gap high. Because we have this range hot here, which is
237 00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:28,380 the opening range gap. Hi. And I understand that this feels like 1000 things swirling through your head, what gap is what what are you talking, I have
238 00:47:28,380 --> 00:47:37,080 lectures for all of this. But it's important for you to see me discuss them real time because there is logic behind what it is I'm teaching you that way when I'm
239 00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:45,510 putting a video up, that's pre recorded, it's all the theory behind it. You'll remember oh yeah, that's what he was talking about. And he has lots of examples
240 00:47:45,510 --> 00:47:52,650 of that. And you go to these live streams, because they're recorded, click on my little lab tab or go into the 2023 mentorship, that's where they're being added
241 00:47:52,650 --> 00:48:00,780 to as the playlist, you'll be able to go through and hear me talk about these things. And it was over live data. It wasn't pre recorded. It's not cherry
242 00:48:00,780 --> 00:48:09,840 picked in hindsight moves. It's not Market Replay, everything's here for you to see that was happening in front of everybody that's watching it. But if we have
243 00:48:09,840 --> 00:48:20,250 a target, and we know where the inception of a price move should form, which was again that the high of this opening range gap. Hi, remember I was mentioning, I
244 00:48:20,250 --> 00:48:32,460 said it could it would be permissible for it to spike up in the here. That would be fine. It would be better had it done that. And then started the break lower
245 00:48:32,460 --> 00:48:41,670 because in my opinion, we've already been trading at the new week opening gaps high down here by now, if it would have ran up and took that high. But it's not
246 00:48:41,670 --> 00:48:52,530 necessary. So if you were trading this, you'd have to trade with leverage going short at the opening range gap high. But allowing for a run above this high here
247 00:48:52,590 --> 00:49:05,640 in this high here. Which can be scary. Or you would wait for it had it done. So if it would have spiked up there and broke down, you would wait for the standard
248 00:49:06,780 --> 00:49:16,860 fare, right, you got the short inside of and then write it down to the opening range gap low. And potentially if it goes lower down into the new weak opening
249 00:49:16,860 --> 00:49:28,650 gaps high. So you don't see the benefit of doing that. Or even understanding that if I talk about it conceptually, in a pre recorded video. If I give you
250 00:49:28,650 --> 00:49:37,080 rules about this is what you can do. And this is what you can expect. What's going to happen is because there's so much information on my YouTube channel,
251 00:49:37,110 --> 00:49:48,300 there's so many different videos. It feels overwhelming, like where do I go with all this like this is a lot of stuff. You should be in these videos, the live
252 00:49:48,300 --> 00:49:56,970 sessions because I'm literally holding your hand and everybody that's watching all the older videos and not watching these and thinking they can come back to
253 00:49:56,970 --> 00:50:07,590 them later on. You're doing it incorrectly. You're doing absolutely incorrectly, you don't want to push these later because this is what people paid me for. When
254 00:50:07,590 --> 00:50:17,880 I was teaching mentorship, I was doing this. And because like some of you are new, you want the, give me the short sell entry, give me the stop loss, give me
255 00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:28,650 the target, you get me into a trade, my first round of intake for mentorship was very frustrated. And I lost a lot of people going into month two, because they
256 00:50:28,650 --> 00:50:35,190 wanted that spoon feeding. You know, give me a trade type thing, even though they signed an agreement knowing that wasn't that we were watching and studying
257 00:50:35,190 --> 00:50:48,030 price. You should hopefully because you've seen many examples. And that's how everybody finds me. They see what my recordings are done their executions, you
258 00:50:48,030 --> 00:50:58,500 want to see how I'm doing that. While I'm doing that, right now, explaining it with real time charts, I'm telling you where the logic is, what is in my head,
259 00:50:58,980 --> 00:51:06,390 what the algorithm should do, why it should do this, and why it shouldn't do that, and where it should draw to. And I'm giving you the points of reference
260 00:51:06,390 --> 00:51:15,570 how I get to that, this is the level I think it's going to go to. So if you don't watch these videos, or if you can't sit through them, because it's a lot
261 00:51:15,570 --> 00:51:21,960 of talking, you think it's a lot of this get to the point, the point is, is I'm teaching you, I want you to know how to do it correctly, I don't want you to
262 00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:28,740 learning from somebody else on YouTube that doesn't know how they're doing it. They're getting lucky. And once in a while they have an event that makes them
263 00:51:28,740 --> 00:51:36,690 seem like they're consistent. You have to simply sit down with them every single day. If they're going to do it and you want to do it for you do it every day. If
264 00:51:36,690 --> 00:51:44,400 I'm not here live on YouTube, I'm doing it live in Twitter. I'm constantly bombarding you with evidence that this stuff repeats over and over and over
265 00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:53,910 again. But you you're not going to appreciate it unless you understand what the purpose is. And the purpose is for you to D sensitize yourself to the
266 00:51:53,910 --> 00:52:04,620 fluctuations in price. And trust me as the coach that's going to put you in conditions that's going to be favorable for you with a model that you don't
267 00:52:04,620 --> 00:52:12,930 really know that you're going to be using it. Because there's certain things that you probably want to do right now like you want to trade fair Vegas or you
268 00:52:12,930 --> 00:52:21,090 want to trade breakers or you want to trade something else that I've taught. Many times my students have come through that, because they've watched my videos
269 00:52:21,090 --> 00:52:29,580 leaked on Telegram for years. They were out there, and they're still out there. And they thought they understood what they wanted to learn when he finally said
270 00:52:29,580 --> 00:52:36,690 I'm gonna go right to the source, I'm going to sign up with ICT join his private mentorship. And no, you can't do that. And no, I'm not doing future mentorships
271 00:52:36,690 --> 00:52:48,150 and news. I don't want your money in the hole. What I'm teaching you right now, I'm actually teaching you better live like this than I did. Because I don't have
272 00:52:48,150 --> 00:52:57,960 any of you constantly asking me questions like I had when I had 165 people my first class, they were asking tons of questions life. I can't focus. Nobody
273 00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:07,470 could, nobody could do that. Nobody can do that. Okay. And it was very frustrating for me, I was overwhelmed with all of the, the fever that everybody
274 00:53:07,470 --> 00:53:14,610 was asked, because I want to answer everybody's question. And when you send me emails, I want to be able to do that. But it's impossible. Like, look at the
275 00:53:14,610 --> 00:53:21,750 comments sections of my videos, when I open them up. I can't sit there and answer all those reports, I would never get anything done. That'd be divorced,
276 00:53:21,750 --> 00:53:28,800 my wife would be like, you know, I don't even know you anymore. I spend too much time with you as it is. So I try to do as much as I can. And I think I
277 00:53:28,830 --> 00:53:36,660 outperform everybody else out there in education, whether they're paid or someone that's material like I'm in now, giving it out for free. Give me hit
278 00:53:36,660 --> 00:53:49,320 that new week open and get high. It's almost like it's written in the stars. But when I'm talking to you, I'm lecturing you because I want you to understand why
279 00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:59,310 it is that you should be submitting to some idea that I've taught or in teaching. Because if you don't know that, you won't know what to reach for when
280 00:53:59,310 --> 00:54:06,300 it's not moving in your favor. And when we're when we're here consolidating like this, some of you probably thought this drop down here. And so I always got a
281 00:54:06,300 --> 00:54:14,190 pin bar. Oh, look, it's going up. And you were thinking it's going to reverse and go back up and fill this gap. You know who you are. You were hoping I was
282 00:54:14,190 --> 00:54:25,230 going to do that. Because I said it was a measuring gap. I taught you what a measuring gap is now inception of the move here. terminus, halfway, right in
283 00:54:25,230 --> 00:54:34,080 here. Where's the gap right there, what kind of gaps are going to be measuring gap measuring gaps don't fill just like breakaway gaps don't fill. But what
284 00:54:34,080 --> 00:54:41,640 happens if you do get a measuring gap and it happens to trade up and filling doesn't matter. I'll still treat it the same way. So see, see what I just did
285 00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:48,810 there? How do you know when a measuring gap forms are this taught to you? You have to know where the beginning of a move happens, which I explained to you
286 00:54:48,810 --> 00:54:59,340 here. Where is it drawing to? Well, you have a couple things you have to look for. I told you the 3985 level was the fair value gap and we have to see how we
287 00:54:59,340 --> 00:55:14,730 trade there. Well, it traded down into the 395, then consolidated, broke lower, traded to the low the opening range gap, low, rallied a little bit consolidation
288 00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:26,430 leading to what this is when your classic continuation patterns work. This is a bear flag. But I also teach when those flags are fake, and you can feed them
289 00:55:26,850 --> 00:55:38,250 where other traders would be caught offside. That's what's in my core content. So when I'm teaching you, and I'm trying to give you all of this, you experience
290 00:55:38,250 --> 00:55:48,330 that I have, it's for you to understand what your mind should gravitate towards when you're feeling scared about holding on to the idea that you're in. What's
291 00:55:48,330 --> 00:56:04,200 the consequent encroachment now, here? It's this low here, it's midpoint between this week's current new week opening gap. But you if you don't have any
292 00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:11,970 experience, and you're in the trade, I mean, you know what it's like, you probably got lucky enough to get a funded account challenge past, or you had a
293 00:56:11,970 --> 00:56:20,940 Live account that you opened up prematurely. And you put on a trade, and you think you know what you're doing. And then all of a sudden, you can't breathe.
294 00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:26,340 The markets not moving for you, you're not stopped out. But you start guessing
295 00:56:27,630 --> 00:56:35,790 what's gonna happen next, am I gonna get stopped out? Is it gonna turn against me? What is normal? You don't know that. Why? Because you've not done what I'm
296 00:56:35,790 --> 00:56:45,660 doing with you here this year. That's exactly why my students that paid me fail. They're lazy. You don't want to be a lazy student. You have to be doing these
297 00:56:45,660 --> 00:56:54,660 types of things. I'm out here publicly proving that these things work. There's nobody is going to be able to stand in front of me whether in court, or in
298 00:56:54,660 --> 00:57:03,090 public forum, going to say that these things don't work, because I'm absolutely proving I'm cramming it down your throat. I'm stomping on your neck with it.
299 00:57:04,020 --> 00:57:13,080 There's no way anyone can say this stuff doesn't work is not any sound logic to it. There is absolutely sound logic to it. This is algorithmic price delivery.
300 00:57:14,280 --> 00:57:24,150 It's undeniable. These things repeat over and over again every single day. But if you don't want to listen to me, there's the consequent encouragement, traded
301 00:57:24,150 --> 00:57:30,900 to if you don't want to listen to me, you don't want to go through the proper learning experience. What's going to happen is you're gonna go to Jim Bob's
302 00:57:31,320 --> 00:57:39,660 dollar menu, mentorship on YouTube, okay, you're gonna go to their discord, you're gonna go to their telegram channel, you're gonna go and follow whatever
303 00:57:39,660 --> 00:57:46,380 they're doing, okay, their zoom calls or whatever they're doing, okay? And they're going to tell you, they're going to give you the five minute spiel on
304 00:57:46,380 --> 00:57:55,770 ICT, you're going to get into trades, you're absolutely going to do that. Because they're using my logic. They're not teaching you, they're parroting what
305 00:57:55,770 --> 00:58:08,730 I've done, what I authored, but they don't have the 30 years experience to guide you. When the shits deep. And you have no idea what did reach for what the
306 00:58:08,730 --> 00:58:20,160 trust. I'm sorry, folks, but playing your trade, trade your plan. That stuff doesn't work all the time. Especially if you don't know what the hell it is that
307 00:58:20,160 --> 00:58:28,620 you're expecting in price. You don't know when a certain series of candles is a real reversal yet, or just a simple consolidation or retracement to go lower
308 00:58:28,620 --> 00:58:38,880 again, or go higher. If you're bullish. You don't have that yet. And these new guys that are teaching my stuff, they don't have that experience either. All of
309 00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:50,490 their funded students are funded because I spoke. That's how it worked. And these individuals that are trained to use my stuff from someone else, they won't
310 00:58:50,520 --> 00:59:01,500 be sustained. They'll lose their funded account, because they're not learning with 30 years, three decades of experience. I've sat and watched these candles
311 00:59:01,500 --> 00:59:11,940 paint for three decades. I've had good days, I've had bad days, I've had good months, I've had bad months, I've had good years, I've had bad years. And I can
312 00:59:11,940 --> 00:59:21,900 tell you the story, what price is going to do one second, interval charts, one minute chart, I do that. Because I want to make sure that there's next to no
313 00:59:21,900 --> 00:59:31,380 time for someone to take what I'm doing. Unless you're clearly just taking my my chart, or whatever is I'm doing this reposting it somewhere else pretending
314 00:59:31,410 --> 00:59:39,450 you're me. But it's such a small interval, by the time someone that wants to take it and then put it in your telegram channel and say they're doing it. It's
315 00:59:39,450 --> 00:59:50,040 already moved. You have to be right here under my wing. That's the number one reason why I'm teaching with a one minute chart. I'm removing any chance for all
316 00:59:50,040 --> 00:59:59,190 these copycats out there and I'm giving you my time. I'm giving you my energy. I'm giving you my wisdom. And I'm telling you how I hurt myself in this
317 00:59:59,190 --> 01:00:08,460 business. I'm telling knew how to prevent it from hurting you. And you would want to learn how to do that if you were really trying to do this, and you were
318 01:00:08,460 --> 01:00:18,780 honest with yourself, you would want to know everything that I'm willing to give you. And unfortunately, that's going to come with a long winded delivery,
319 01:00:18,840 --> 01:00:29,610 because there's a lot of stuff that took place in the last three decades that I learned from, that isn't in books. So if you're here to learn, I promise you,
320 01:00:29,880 --> 01:00:36,870 you're going to learn things that no one can teach you. It's not anywhere else, I don't care who tells you they can do what I'm doing, they're not going to do
321 01:00:36,870 --> 01:00:45,570 it. I'll be here all year doing this, you might see one or two events by them. But I'm going to tell you exactly what price is going to do. And by the time we
322 01:00:45,570 --> 01:00:54,600 get to the second week of November, you're not going to need me, you're not going to need ICT, you're not going to need me to talk to you on Twitter, watch
323 01:00:54,600 --> 01:01:06,090 the new eco bidding got low as our next objective, which happens to be this low to that high measured move down there. So that'd be a nice little run. If it
324 01:01:06,090 --> 01:01:14,070 does that, I will close the session with that. But you didn't push a button ICT, I'm pushing a lot of buttons. A lot of people listen to me talk today. And I'm
325 01:01:14,070 --> 01:01:27,720 like this. So yeah, I'm pushing buttons. But I want you all to succeed, I want you to do well. And I want to have a clear conscience when I step away from all
326 01:01:27,720 --> 01:01:37,740 of you, in this capacity in November, that I've given you all that you need. Because you've spent time with me over live data. If I didn't know what I was
327 01:01:37,740 --> 01:01:45,510 talking about, if I didn't know what price is going to do, you first of all, you wouldn't be watching me, you would want to turn this video off, you would turn
328 01:01:45,510 --> 01:01:54,630 the stream off good watch something else. But you know what's happening because you're seeing it happening your chart, this is live data. It's real time. You
329 01:01:54,630 --> 01:02:04,290 can't fake it, it's right there. And everything's already on the chart. So it's not like I'm adding something to the After After Effects type thing. It's not
330 01:02:04,290 --> 01:02:12,900 photoshopped, everything's here, the logic as to why it should do it. I'm filling in all of that while I'm talking to you. So that way, when you ever get
331 01:02:12,900 --> 01:02:19,500 to the point where you make the decision, you do this on your own. But if you ever make a decision where you want to trade with real risk, whether it be a
332 01:02:19,500 --> 01:02:30,540 funded account, whether it be real money of your own, you won't feel lost. When you're watching price, action, all these things will be familiar to you, oh,
333 01:02:30,540 --> 01:02:39,300 this is normal price should do this, where the average neophyte someone that's trading with retail logic knew they see a candle like this. And they think it's
334 01:02:39,300 --> 01:02:49,410 the end of the move and the world's ending and you know, it's gonna be a break your neck reversal type thing. You, you won't feel that simply because it's
335 01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:58,830 happening in the chart. You know, up close up close candles is a good thing. If the markets going lower, we want to see that form. Because eventually, if it
336 01:02:58,830 --> 01:03:09,120 trades down below it, it will revisit that as what a bearish order block. And you want to see that repel price lower. So when we're bearish, we're not afraid
337 01:03:09,120 --> 01:03:18,600 of green candles forming, even if they're big. That's the reason why I teach the way I teach with my stop loss management. I teach all my students do not jam
338 01:03:18,600 --> 01:03:28,350 that stoploss up. Don't even worry about that stop loss. It's being paid to do its job. Your job is to watch price. Is it constantly giving you instant
339 01:03:28,350 --> 01:03:38,400 feedback that you're on site? Is it doing things that is acceptable based on how I teach order flow? Do you see a depth of market over here on the right side
340 01:03:38,490 --> 01:03:48,960 over here at New ladders? I got? No. Everything I've read in these candles is just the price itself. Knowing that it's likely to gravitate towards the levels
341 01:03:48,960 --> 01:03:59,340 I've called out here focusing on the time of day that it's going to draw down there was it doing its rolling on those individuals that made money this
342 01:03:59,340 --> 01:04:13,830 morning? How did they make money being long. So all of this move here is to do what remove their chance of profit. But I had my stop loss below the low of the
343 01:04:13,830 --> 01:04:26,610 day. It should have never came back down here. And yet it did. It shouldn't do these things. My my technical says this, my indicator says that it shouldn't
344 01:04:26,610 --> 01:04:42,900 have done these things. And yet it did. I'm giving you all the insights. So that way you don't wrestle with these real concerns, you know, I'm not trying to
345 01:04:42,900 --> 01:04:50,190 dismiss them. They're they're real things that need to be considered. While you're trading. You got to manage the trade, you gotta manage yourself. But how
346 01:04:50,190 --> 01:04:59,190 do you manage yourself? How does ICT get on here? Or go on Twitter and feel confident about the things I'm talking about? And say look at this. Look at that
347 01:04:59,190 --> 01:05:10,350 wait for these things. happened and then happens. Because I've been here before, I have an internal dialogue that I'm communicating to you. So that way, it'll
348 01:05:10,350 --> 01:05:22,140 adopt this comfort, not completely stress free, but you'll feel comfortable, because you've been here before. And you'll hear my voice in your head, which is
349 01:05:22,140 --> 01:05:33,420 what I refer to myself as the goes to the machine, your brain is the machine. That's the mechanism between your ears that you're utilizing, that comes up with
350 01:05:33,420 --> 01:05:41,580 these decisions to get in and get out. But once you get in there, what you're lacking right now, because most of you are new, is you don't have experience. So
351 01:05:41,580 --> 01:05:50,490 when you spending time with me, live streams like this, or listening to my twitter spaces where sometimes a little, I talk a little too much in colorful
352 01:05:50,490 --> 01:05:58,500 language. And I'm trying very hard to stay balanced in this one today. And I'm literally doing everything I can to keep from going off the rails because I am
353 01:05:58,500 --> 01:06:13,830 bipolar, and it's very hard for me to do this live will not do that. But these talking points, these things that bore most of the young folks, your youth is a
354 01:06:13,830 --> 01:06:16,770 disadvantage for you. In that regard.
355 01:06:18,300 --> 01:06:29,310 The folks that had been trading for a long time and have had breakeven hit and miss or unprofitable when they hear someone like me to have spent many years
356 01:06:29,310 --> 01:06:39,960 doing this. And I have experienced in being able to do it correctly. When they hear that it fills in all those potholes that they experienced that caused them
357 01:06:39,960 --> 01:06:47,970 damage over the time that they tried to make money in the marketplace, and struggled. Because these things are not even in market. Douglass's book is good
358 01:06:47,970 --> 01:06:56,460 as it is. He isn't, he's not going to tell you how to submit to these ideas. Because those ideas that I'm talking to you about, they're mine. He's not privy
359 01:06:56,460 --> 01:07:05,640 to that Market Wizards books, those guys and gals in those books, they're not privy to this information. This is mine. So I'm the only authority that you're
360 01:07:05,640 --> 01:07:17,640 going to have to learn from despite everybody else out there trying to be equal to me with my own creation. They're not. So you need to listen to me in this
361 01:07:17,640 --> 01:07:26,370 regard, because it's going to help you once you are out there in the trenches, when you have real risk. When you have a real potential to blow your account,
362 01:07:28,110 --> 01:07:38,460 have drawdown? What are you going to lean on? When it feels like you can't breathe, and anxiety is gripping you. And you just can't stand it anymore. And
363 01:07:38,460 --> 01:07:45,300 you want to collapse the trade because you just can't hold it anymore. You're not even in a losing position. Sometimes you're going to be in a position where
364 01:07:45,300 --> 01:07:55,290 you're making money. And it's harder to even think then because it's it's just taking off. You didn't have a limit order in it just started running. And now
365 01:07:55,290 --> 01:08:06,720 you're thinking what do I do now? You learn that by looking at these live streams and spending time with me? Because we're not surprised. We're not
366 01:08:06,720 --> 01:08:16,080 surprised you hear any surprise in my voice? Do I sound like any of this was a shock? Like look at this. Can you believe this? We're down here in this movie
367 01:08:16,080 --> 01:08:26,400 could have been and got right here? Who would have known this? How could anyone have guessed that it was going to perform like this? It's old hat in it's going
368 01:08:26,400 --> 01:08:37,050 to be old hat for you. And you'll have the same memories pop up. Because you've spent time with me. And you'll hear the things I've said during these live
369 01:08:37,050 --> 01:08:47,520 sessions that is going to be anchored in your understanding your memories are going to be rooted in these endeavors. Not from a book, not from a video that I
370 01:08:47,520 --> 01:09:00,000 talked about a conceptual idea static, in hindsight, watching it live, watching it live over real time data. That's experienced folks. And you can't fake that.
371 01:09:00,540 --> 01:09:11,940 It's either there or it's not. It's either correct or it's incorrect. The logic is sound or it's not sound. And I hopefully had been communicating at least in
372 01:09:11,940 --> 01:09:24,780 my opinion, I have been presenting enough evidence to suggest that there's something different that I'm doing that warrants your closer attention. And if
373 01:09:24,780 --> 01:09:37,770 you want to make a lot of money and avoid blowing your account, and going through all of the turmoil that every live fund trader goes through and be able
374 01:09:37,770 --> 01:09:48,000 to navigate that you found the right person to listen to. I'm not going to try to sway you with materialistic things. I'm not trying to convince you to get
375 01:09:48,000 --> 01:10:00,960 rich overnight quick. I'm teaching you how to submit the time. Submit to a process that's logical. That makes these markets book What makes these markets
376 01:10:00,960 --> 01:10:08,610 move around, I'm teaching you that you don't have to subscribe to the idea that there's an algorithm if you don't want to, you don't have to, you just use these
377 01:10:08,610 --> 01:10:18,240 concepts and say, These things are what I believe in. Fine, if you do that, you're still going to end up in the same place, it's fine. It's what I want you
378 01:10:18,240 --> 01:10:28,710 to do. Submit yourself to these ideas. And keep the algorithm part of your mouth. Don't even worry about it. If it's a struggling point for you don't even
379 01:10:28,710 --> 01:10:40,950 refer to it as such. It is what it is. But if it's a struggling point for you just don't talk about it. Down dollar indexes flying high here, we've cleared
380 01:10:40,950 --> 01:10:54,360 those levels up into that gap I mentioned. That was yesterday evening, near global time. And the high on the candle at 445. For Dollar Index is one or
381 01:10:54,360 --> 01:11:00,480 2:58am I saying that right? Make sure I'm telling it right.
382 01:11:09,690 --> 01:11:32,880 Yeah, why don't you 58 And we've traded up too high of two. Lucky I see that. One or 263 and a half. So we had a nice run there. So we've traded into by side,
383 01:11:33,780 --> 01:11:44,940 we went into three premium arrays on dollar. We took out three lows. On es, which is we've not take out three lows, we made three lower lows, we had this
384 01:11:44,940 --> 01:11:57,510 low, this low, which was lower than that one. And then we had this low here, this low, fall short of the new week opening gap low. At the same time, we made
385 01:11:57,510 --> 01:12:13,890 low lower lower low, the dollar index has made its run up into three premium arrays. It's the high when you're 50 minute candle, but the XY dollar on the 445
386 01:12:13,890 --> 01:12:29,070 from Wednesday 4:45pm that comes in at 102 58 level, there's by side there then to the right of that high on the 15 minute time frame for dollar index. And I
387 01:12:29,070 --> 01:12:36,060 know this part aggravates someone you're like can you just share the chart? No, you need to do this while you're watching. Because I'm looking at it just like
388 01:12:36,060 --> 01:12:49,950 you are and you're gonna be doing this on your own anyway. But then the gaps that are in the 730 and six o'clock from Wednesday, there's actual gaps there.
389 01:12:50,340 --> 01:12:59,160 That's a liquidity void or real liquidity void. There's a premium array there relative to we were talking earlier. And then we have the highs formed at the
390 01:12:59,160 --> 01:13:11,400 845 low I'm sorry 845 Time Window this morning which comes in at the high on this this 15 minute timeframe again on dollar that is one or 2.45 Okay, so we
391 01:13:11,400 --> 01:13:32,310 went through three premium arrays and we took out 123 lower lows and look at the price reaction here. So if you have three elements of liquidity tapped into and
392 01:13:32,970 --> 01:13:41,940 you're seeing a low form at a logical level, which was what consequent approachment then we have the lower low the body's respecting consequent
393 01:13:41,940 --> 01:13:55,050 encouragement the market drops again taking out that low here and with Dollar Index trading into three premium raise what's likely to occur there you go
394 01:13:55,080 --> 01:14:07,860 retracement, what time is it likely to occur going into the three o'clock hour you have What this macro unfolding here was it reaching back up into new week
395 01:14:07,860 --> 01:14:17,160 opening gap I'm sorry, opening range gap and right in here remember I was earlier referring to this area here where it could it could trade up into that
396 01:14:17,160 --> 01:14:26,580 and then go lower and it was permissible that liquidity right now is where all trailed stop losses are this one has already been taken out. But it's also here
397 01:14:26,580 --> 01:14:43,170 now. So make sure this high here on this candle at 4000. That's noted so nothing too surprised. Okay, not time elements in how many times we go into a area of
398 01:14:43,170 --> 01:15:00,330 liquidity. If it's not a run on stops, like as I was mentioning with the dollar index, let me just show you the dollar index thank you Jesus right Two Minutes
399 01:15:00,330 --> 01:15:14,520 sorry, free. Alright, so here's that high here I mentioned earlier, the 445, high, we traded through that here. This is that void, where there's no trading
400 01:15:14,520 --> 01:15:23,670 at all as a little tick in here. Okay, that's a void. That's a real absolute actual liquidity void. There's no trading in there, except for that one print
401 01:15:23,730 --> 01:15:32,850 there. This in here. And then the high here. So when we were down here, I said we were gonna gravitate to here and then if it goes higher, it can go up into
402 01:15:32,850 --> 01:15:52,890 this void. And then this high. We rally up, cleared all three of them. And at the same time, yes, trades down into the old low here. New we got new week
403 01:15:52,890 --> 01:16:06,480 opening got rather high consequent encroachment failed to go to what level is this? What level is that? Everyone else teaching you about? inefficiencies? Yes,
404 01:16:06,480 --> 01:16:18,030 the 50% is consequent encroachment. But you also have two other gradients 75% and 25%. So it went down to 25 plus a ticket or two to allow that print to be
405 01:16:18,030 --> 01:16:27,270 there because there's a difference between bitmask. And then we had this rally back up, would it reach up into what does this? Take this off? Because we don't
406 01:16:27,270 --> 01:16:45,450 need that now. What is that? City trades up into consequent corrosion of the wick hits it. Complete repricing back up into all of this, what was inefficient
407 01:16:45,450 --> 01:16:56,430 here by side why? Because it's a down close candle. It's large to the downside. So it's not offering what efficiently by side, how does it offer by side
408 01:16:56,430 --> 01:17:12,120 efficiently. Price has to go back up through this high to that low offering movement to the upside. That's repricing overtop of sell side delivery. But it's
409 01:17:12,120 --> 01:17:20,550 inefficient in the form of buy side. So it remember that bank, not bank but that paint roller analogy I use where you put paint on the roller, put it on the
410 01:17:20,550 --> 01:17:28,110 wall, as soon as you put the roller on the wall, the paint distribution is very thick, it's ample. But as you roll it more and more, that starts to create these
411 01:17:28,110 --> 01:17:37,860 little pockets of where paint didn't make its way to the wall. And you have to roll back over top of that the same things happening here. It goes down. But in
412 01:17:37,860 --> 01:17:47,010 that movement down, there's gonna be small little pockets of inefficiency that you don't see. What does that what does it look like. If we do this
413 01:17:59,220 --> 01:18:08,250 if you are finding this helpful, I would greatly appreciate it if you would give me a thumbs up because that's an encouragement to me as a mentor that you're
414 01:18:08,250 --> 01:18:18,450 learning from what it is I'm teaching and sharing with you. But we're going to look in this download here, right there and take this little annotation out.
415 01:18:20,190 --> 01:18:27,930 Alright, what timeframe we're on right now we're on a 15 minute timeframe. So we're gonna drop down to a five we can see that range here. We're gonna drop
416 01:18:27,930 --> 01:18:36,030 down into a one minute inside of that range here. All of this in here. What do you see
417 01:18:42,600 --> 01:19:00,150 I'll make a little bit bigger. So you can see in this movement here what do you see? In terms of inefficiency, remember that shaded area is a big down closed
418 01:19:00,150 --> 01:19:14,640 candle. So it's a fair value gap Sibi si bi sellside imbalance buyside inefficiency. So what is it missing? efficient delivery for by side. So inside
419 01:19:14,640 --> 01:19:36,330 of this shaded area, I want you to look real close. Where are the inefficiencies here. Here here and a volume imbalance right there. See that? So if we take this
420 01:19:36,330 --> 01:19:38,430 level here, see if I can copy that
421 01:19:43,800 --> 01:19:54,060 there's your volume and balance Hi. There. arbitrator up until it it has to do what has to go a little bit past that for what efficient delivery because
422 01:19:54,060 --> 01:20:02,400 there's a difference between the bid and the ask. So to get that price, it's got to go one ticket least of other right while you're getting their trades there,
423 01:20:02,490 --> 01:20:10,980 and then we came back off of it. So inside of these inefficiencies, you have to drill down into the smaller timeframes. And in fact, I'm not going to do it
424 01:20:10,980 --> 01:20:20,790 here. But if you have the benefit of using the 30, minute and 15 and five second timeframes, you can actually look at this even better, like a microscope zooming
425 01:20:20,790 --> 01:20:29,220 in. You're never in science or biology when you're in school. And he gave you those things that look at on a petri dish, and you zoom in with the same thing
426 01:20:29,220 --> 01:20:40,050 you're doing here. You're zooming into that, and you're to target the actual inefficiencies. So how far these price runs can pull back up into it? what's
427 01:20:40,050 --> 01:20:51,060 occurring at three o'clock that causes this? Like, why does that happen? The bond markets closing. So the bond markets closing has this impact on equities.
428 01:20:51,630 --> 01:20:59,760 Sometimes it creates continuation, sometimes it creates a reversal. Sometimes it creates a retracement and then continuation, you have to know what you're
429 01:20:59,760 --> 01:21:08,640 looking for where you are in the grand scheme of things in the higher timeframe chart. And what is still left to be taken in terms of liquidity or trade to in
430 01:21:08,640 --> 01:21:25,200 an efficiency. So I've done more than I wanted to do when I first sat with you today at the beginning this string. But if it's been helpful to you, I would
431 01:21:25,200 --> 01:21:32,460 greatly appreciate you give me a thumbs up, it doesn't cost you anything to do that. I promise it won't be seen by anyone, no one knows you gave me a thumbs
432 01:21:32,460 --> 01:21:45,930 up. It's completely anonymous. And I saw you were alcoholics. And you don't want to admit that you're hanging out with the company of ICT. I promise you, it will
433 01:21:45,930 --> 01:21:57,210 be a great encouragement to me. And I think that's going to be it for today. I think this was a very good live stream, I think it was productive. I would have
434 01:21:57,210 --> 01:22:06,210 liked to listen to this as a new student, I would have gotten a great deal of insights for something like this, I probably would have pages of notes and go
435 01:22:06,210 --> 01:22:14,550 back into the recording later on. And listen to it again to make sure I didn't miss any pieces of it. So with that spirit in mind, not trying to make it too
436 01:22:14,550 --> 01:22:23,460 much longer than it needs to be. I think we will break here with this. Until I talk to you next time, which will be next week in a live stream. I don't know
437 01:22:23,460 --> 01:22:34,560 which day I will tell you by way of Twitter. You know what, I'll do it. But I'm doing two live streams per week because I'm doing interviews with students.
438 01:22:34,560 --> 01:22:44,760 They're proving they make money. And I'm including their social media contact information. So any specific questions you want to ask them like, can you show
439 01:22:44,760 --> 01:22:54,450 me your certificate for the payouts? Or can you take me to a interview that I may not have included in in the description below their interview video, you're
440 01:22:54,450 --> 01:23:03,240 welcome to contact them and they can surely just share whatever it is that you're you're looking for. And that's going to be it folks. Until I'll talk to
441 01:23:03,240 --> 01:23:06,420 you next time. Enjoy your weekend. Be safe