Wiki source code of OTE Pattern Recognition Series - Vol 03.srt
Version 1.1 by Drunk Monkey on 2020-11-20 16:21
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| author | version | line-number | content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 00:00:11,160 ~-~-> 00:00:13,830 | ||
| 3 | ICT: Okay, folks, welcome back. This is part three of the | ||
| 4 | |||
| 5 | 2 | ||
| 6 | 00:00:13,830 ~-~-> 00:00:17,220 | ||
| 7 | continuing series of the ICT optimal trade entry pattern | ||
| 8 | |||
| 9 | 3 | ||
| 10 | 00:00:17,220 ~-~-> 00:00:18,150 | ||
| 11 | recognition series. | ||
| 12 | |||
| 13 | 4 | ||
| 14 | 00:00:19,350 ~-~-> 00:00:22,560 | ||
| 15 | And we're a step outside of forex. As I mentioned, one of | ||
| 16 | |||
| 17 | 5 | ||
| 18 | 00:00:22,560 ~-~-> 00:00:26,490 | ||
| 19 | the central tenets of this pattern is it's not limited to | ||
| 20 | |||
| 21 | 6 | ||
| 22 | 00:00:26,520 ~-~-> 00:00:30,240 | ||
| 23 | forex. So I'm going to show you how you can use it in the | ||
| 24 | |||
| 25 | 7 | ||
| 26 | 00:00:30,540 ~-~-> 00:00:31,350 | ||
| 27 | futures market. | ||
| 28 | |||
| 29 | 8 | ||
| 30 | 00:00:31,350 ~-~-> 00:00:34,770 | ||
| 31 | This is an index futures. And it's the delivery contract of | ||
| 32 | |||
| 33 | 9 | ||
| 34 | 00:00:34,830 ~-~-> 00:00:40,440 | ||
| 35 | June 2020 of the s&p emini futures. Alright, so we want to | ||
| 36 | |||
| 37 | 10 | ||
| 38 | 00:00:40,440 ~-~-> 00:00:45,420 | ||
| 39 | look for a signature in price that would lend well to aiming | ||
| 40 | |||
| 41 | 11 | ||
| 42 | 00:00:45,420 ~-~-> 00:00:49,620 | ||
| 43 | for a previous day's high or low. And again, it's focusing | ||
| 44 | |||
| 45 | 12 | ||
| 46 | 00:00:49,620 ~-~-> 00:00:53,400 | ||
| 47 | primarily on a very short term timeframe. But the pattern | ||
| 48 | |||
| 49 | 13 | ||
| 50 | 00:00:53,400 ~-~-> 00:00:56,490 | ||
| 51 | can be scaled to whatever timeframe you really want. So | ||
| 52 | |||
| 53 | 14 | ||
| 54 | 00:00:57,450 ~-~-> 00:00:59,880 | ||
| 55 | looking at price action here you can see that we have a | ||
| 56 | |||
| 57 | 15 | ||
| 58 | 00:00:59,910 ~-~-> 00:01:04,590 | ||
| 59 | Swing low, swing high and a retracement here. And price was | ||
| 60 | |||
| 61 | 16 | ||
| 62 | 00:01:04,590 ~-~-> 00:01:09,780 | ||
| 63 | underway going higher. And there's no necessity for you to | ||
| 64 | |||
| 65 | 17 | ||
| 66 | 00:01:09,780 ~-~-> 00:01:13,560 | ||
| 67 | say, I have to be in this here or I have to be in this here, | ||
| 68 | |||
| 69 | 18 | ||
| 70 | 00:01:13,920 ~-~-> 00:01:17,550 | ||
| 71 | or I can't participate in a market like this and be a buyer, | ||
| 72 | |||
| 73 | 19 | ||
| 74 | 00:01:17,820 ~-~-> 00:01:21,810 | ||
| 75 | which is not true. So I want you to take a look at the | ||
| 76 | |||
| 77 | 20 | ||
| 78 | 00:01:21,810 ~-~-> 00:01:25,740 | ||
| 79 | framework here. We're presently in a larger daily optimal | ||
| 80 | |||
| 81 | 21 | ||
| 82 | 00:01:25,740 ~-~-> 00:01:29,880 | ||
| 83 | trade entry price just fell short of hitting the 78% | ||
| 84 | |||
| 85 | 22 | ||
| 86 | 00:01:29,880 ~-~-> 00:01:34,440 | ||
| 87 | retracement level. And again, the magic is not the fib. It's | ||
| 88 | |||
| 89 | 23 | ||
| 90 | 00:01:34,470 ~-~-> 00:01:38,010 | ||
| 91 | the target of liquidity. That's all I'm doing the Fed just | ||
| 92 | |||
| 93 | 24 | ||
| 94 | 00:01:38,010 ~-~-> 00:01:42,900 | ||
| 95 | helps me frame and underline context. It's not that you need | ||
| 96 | |||
| 97 | 25 | ||
| 98 | 00:01:42,900 ~-~-> 00:01:45,840 | ||
| 99 | these levels, it just gives you a framework. Okay. So the | ||
| 100 | |||
| 101 | 26 | ||
| 102 | 00:01:45,840 ~-~-> 00:01:49,500 | ||
| 103 | framework is we have old low, old high retracement and it | ||
| 104 | |||
| 105 | 27 | ||
| 106 | 00:01:49,500 ~-~-> 00:01:53,460 | ||
| 107 | starts to move higher. So on a daily chart, where is the | ||
| 108 | |||
| 109 | 28 | ||
| 110 | 00:01:53,460 ~-~-> 00:01:59,190 | ||
| 111 | likely momentum it's going higher. Okay, great. It could be | ||
| 112 | |||
| 113 | 29 | ||
| 114 | 00:01:59,190 ~-~-> 00:02:02,790 | ||
| 115 | reaching to this Old high here, or it could fail to run that | ||
| 116 | |||
| 117 | 30 | ||
| 118 | 00:02:02,790 ~-~-> 00:02:06,600 | ||
| 119 | high or go through it and keep on going higher. In this | ||
| 120 | |||
| 121 | 31 | ||
| 122 | 00:02:06,600 ~-~-> 00:02:10,260 | ||
| 123 | instance, we don't care. We just know that the likelihood is | ||
| 124 | |||
| 125 | 32 | ||
| 126 | 00:02:10,680 ~-~-> 00:02:13,740 | ||
| 127 | it's probably going to run a previous day's high. So today's | ||
| 128 | |||
| 129 | 33 | ||
| 130 | 00:02:13,740 ~-~-> 00:02:20,040 | ||
| 131 | Monday of may 2020, may 11, specifically. So here's Friday, | ||
| 132 | |||
| 133 | 34 | ||
| 134 | 00:02:20,040 ~-~-> 00:02:25,950 | ||
| 135 | May 8 2020. And we're going to denote that high. So that | ||
| 136 | |||
| 137 | 35 | ||
| 138 | 00:02:25,950 ~-~-> 00:02:28,050 | ||
| 139 | price level is going to be significantly dropped on the | ||
| 140 | |||
| 141 | 36 | ||
| 142 | 00:02:28,050 ~-~-> 00:02:31,710 | ||
| 143 | lower timeframe. Okay, so here is the s&p e mini futures for | ||
| 144 | |||
| 145 | 37 | ||
| 146 | 00:02:31,710 ~-~-> 00:02:36,210 | ||
| 147 | June 2025 minute chart. And this is a naked chart so that | ||
| 148 | |||
| 149 | 38 | ||
| 150 | 00:02:36,210 ~-~-> 00:02:38,820 | ||
| 151 | way you got a chance to take a look at this before I put the | ||
| 152 | |||
| 153 | 39 | ||
| 154 | 00:02:38,820 ~-~-> 00:02:44,430 | ||
| 155 | lipstick on this particular example. And you can pause the | ||
| 156 | |||
| 157 | 40 | ||
| 158 | 00:02:44,430 ~-~-> 00:02:50,850 | ||
| 159 | video here Alright, so if you haven't paused the video and | ||
| 160 | |||
| 161 | 41 | ||
| 162 | 00:02:50,850 ~-~-> 00:02:53,730 | ||
| 163 | studied and looked for what I'm going to cover before | ||
| 164 | |||
| 165 | 42 | ||
| 166 | 00:02:53,730 ~-~-> 00:02:56,790 | ||
| 167 | actually show it to you, you're going to miss that | ||
| 168 | |||
| 169 | 43 | ||
| 170 | 00:02:56,790 ~-~-> 00:03:04,230 | ||
| 171 | opportunity now. The Figure 2900 price trades down into that | ||
| 172 | |||
| 173 | 44 | ||
| 174 | 00:03:04,590 ~-~-> 00:03:08,880 | ||
| 175 | doing during the New York session. Whenever a big figure is | ||
| 176 | |||
| 177 | 45 | ||
| 178 | 00:03:08,910 ~-~-> 00:03:14,310 | ||
| 179 | swept either down into it or up into it, it will generally | ||
| 180 | |||
| 181 | 46 | ||
| 182 | 00:03:14,310 ~-~-> 00:03:18,300 | ||
| 183 | create some kind of a tradable bounce, okay, or a | ||
| 184 | |||
| 185 | 47 | ||
| 186 | 00:03:18,300 ~-~-> 00:03:21,930 | ||
| 187 | retracement. And it while it may be very short term short | ||
| 188 | |||
| 189 | 48 | ||
| 190 | 00:03:21,930 ~-~-> 00:03:25,980 | ||
| 191 | lived, it still gives the opportunity for, you know, a quick | ||
| 192 | |||
| 193 | 49 | ||
| 194 | 00:03:25,980 ~-~-> 00:03:28,770 | ||
| 195 | snap in marketplace where you can take something out of it. | ||
| 196 | |||
| 197 | 50 | ||
| 198 | 00:03:29,160 ~-~-> 00:03:33,270 | ||
| 199 | Since this is a futures contract, and it's not a foreign | ||
| 200 | |||
| 201 | 51 | ||
| 202 | 00:03:33,270 ~-~-> 00:03:36,240 | ||
| 203 | exchange pair. We can't talk in terms of pips, so we're | ||
| 204 | |||
| 205 | 52 | ||
| 206 | 00:03:36,240 ~-~-> 00:03:39,360 | ||
| 207 | going to be using just the range. Now, if you look closely, | ||
| 208 | |||
| 209 | 53 | ||
| 210 | 00:03:39,360 ~-~-> 00:03:43,170 | ||
| 211 | you can see inside of the New York session, the idea is the | ||
| 212 | |||
| 213 | 54 | ||
| 214 | 00:03:43,170 ~-~-> 00:03:47,280 | ||
| 215 | beginning is here at 830. And the end is, again 11 o'clock. | ||
| 216 | |||
| 217 | 55 | ||
| 218 | 00:03:47,520 ~-~-> 00:03:50,070 | ||
| 219 | It's a static time, it doesn't change everything that I've | ||
| 220 | |||
| 221 | 56 | ||
| 222 | 00:03:50,070 ~-~-> 00:03:53,100 | ||
| 223 | shown you thus far. We're just doing the same thing every | ||
| 224 | |||
| 225 | 57 | ||
| 226 | 00:03:53,100 ~-~-> 00:03:56,580 | ||
| 227 | single day. And you'll see this pattern forms every single | ||
| 228 | |||
| 229 | 58 | ||
| 230 | 00:03:56,580 ~-~-> 00:04:04,770 | ||
| 231 | day. So let's take a look at the fib over top this right | ||
| 232 | |||
| 233 | 59 | ||
| 234 | 00:04:04,770 ~-~-> 00:04:08,430 | ||
| 235 | here. This is the optimal trade entry. The market rallies | ||
| 236 | |||
| 237 | 60 | ||
| 238 | 00:04:08,430 ~-~-> 00:04:12,240 | ||
| 239 | back above 29, big figure comes back down into bullish order | ||
| 240 | |||
| 241 | 61 | ||
| 242 | 00:04:12,240 ~-~-> 00:04:16,110 | ||
| 243 | block overlapping with the 2900 big figure inside of our | ||
| 244 | |||
| 245 | 62 | ||
| 246 | 00:04:16,110 ~-~-> 00:04:20,730 | ||
| 247 | specific time of day, the New York session, okay 830 in the | ||
| 248 | |||
| 249 | 63 | ||
| 250 | 00:04:20,730 ~-~-> 00:04:23,490 | ||
| 251 | morning till 11 o'clock in the morning, New York local time. | ||
| 252 | |||
| 253 | 64 | ||
| 254 | 00:04:24,930 ~-~-> 00:04:29,310 | ||
| 255 | This pattern is seen with the fib to trade down into the | ||
| 256 | |||
| 257 | 65 | ||
| 258 | 00:04:29,310 ~-~-> 00:04:32,970 | ||
| 259 | 70.5 level, which is the sweet spot by my definition for | ||
| 260 | |||
| 261 | 66 | ||
| 262 | 00:04:32,970 ~-~-> 00:04:36,780 | ||
| 263 | optimal trade entry. And you could be a buyer there, and the | ||
| 264 | |||
| 265 | 67 | ||
| 266 | 00:04:36,780 ~-~-> 00:04:40,050 | ||
| 267 | market comes back down and just give multiple entries, you | ||
| 268 | |||
| 269 | 68 | ||
| 270 | 00:04:40,050 ~-~-> 00:04:42,600 | ||
| 271 | can take it on here, which is still inside of the New York | ||
| 272 | |||
| 273 | 69 | ||
| 274 | 00:04:42,600 ~-~-> 00:04:46,770 | ||
| 275 | session time window that we've created for this pattern. And | ||
| 276 | |||
| 277 | 70 | ||
| 278 | 00:04:46,980 ~-~-> 00:04:51,210 | ||
| 279 | we have really three candles here, here and here, where it | ||
| 280 | |||
| 281 | 71 | ||
| 282 | 00:04:51,210 ~-~-> 00:04:55,710 | ||
| 283 | meets optimal trade entry 62 or less down to 79. And you can | ||
| 284 | |||
| 285 | 72 | ||
| 286 | 00:04:55,710 ~-~-> 00:04:58,230 | ||
| 287 | be a buyer there. We're going to use the range here. Okay, | ||
| 288 | |||
| 289 | 73 | ||
| 290 | 00:04:58,230 ~-~-> 00:05:01,950 | ||
| 291 | so point five You could take your first scaling there | ||
| 292 | |||
| 293 | 74 | ||
| 294 | 00:05:01,980 ~-~-> 00:05:04,140 | ||
| 295 | partials and look how it spends a little bit of time | ||
| 296 | |||
| 297 | 75 | ||
| 298 | 00:05:04,140 ~-~-> 00:05:07,290 | ||
| 299 | consolidating there and then expands up to one to one full | ||
| 300 | |||
| 301 | 76 | ||
| 302 | 00:05:07,290 ~-~-> 00:05:12,330 | ||
| 303 | standard deviation here at 2922. So being a buyer at around | ||
| 304 | |||
| 305 | 77 | ||
| 306 | 00:05:12,420 ~-~-> 00:05:18,750 | ||
| 307 | 2900, big figure, and getting out with 15 handles in the SMP | ||
| 308 | |||
| 309 | 78 | ||
| 310 | 00:05:18,780 ~-~-> 00:05:24,750 | ||
| 311 | as a first scalp or scaling, then your secondary exit for a | ||
| 312 | |||
| 313 | 79 | ||
| 314 | 00:05:24,750 ~-~-> 00:05:28,350 | ||
| 315 | partial could be at 2922, which is 22 handles in the s&p. | ||
| 316 | |||
| 317 | 80 | ||
| 318 | 00:05:28,800 ~-~-> 00:05:33,270 | ||
| 319 | then ultimately, as I mentioned in this pattern, this level | ||
| 320 | |||
| 321 | 81 | ||
| 322 | 00:05:33,270 ~-~-> 00:05:35,700 | ||
| 323 | here on the fib if it gets to that price level and runs a | ||
| 324 | |||
| 325 | 82 | ||
| 326 | 00:05:35,700 ~-~-> 00:05:38,880 | ||
| 327 | specific price point for liquidity, which is the Friday's | ||
| 328 | |||
| 329 | 83 | ||
| 330 | 00:05:38,880 ~-~-> 00:05:42,150 | ||
| 331 | high which is we annotate on the daily chart, the market | ||
| 332 | |||
| 333 | 84 | ||
| 334 | 00:05:42,150 ~-~-> 00:05:45,780 | ||
| 335 | will likely rather want to gravitate towards that old Friday | ||
| 336 | |||
| 337 | 85 | ||
| 338 | 00:05:45,780 ~-~-> 00:05:48,510 | ||
| 339 | high because the trend is bullish. It's going to want to | ||
| 340 | |||
| 341 | 86 | ||
| 342 | 00:05:48,510 ~-~-> 00:05:50,940 | ||
| 343 | take liquidity out there because a lot of people are short | ||
| 344 | |||
| 345 | 87 | ||
| 346 | 00:05:50,970 ~-~-> 00:05:54,750 | ||
| 347 | selling in the SMP the market has taken up above Friday's | ||
| 348 | |||
| 349 | 88 | ||
| 350 | 00:05:54,750 ~-~-> 00:05:59,850 | ||
| 351 | high and to the fib level 2936 the high comes in on this | ||
| 352 | |||
| 353 | 89 | ||
| 354 | 00:05:59,850 ~-~-> 00:06:03,810 | ||
| 355 | game Though, at 2937, only off by one handle and the SMP. | ||
| 356 | |||
| 357 | 90 | ||
| 358 | 00:06:04,110 ~-~-> 00:06:06,450 | ||
| 359 | And it went up again to another opportunity to do so, and | ||
| 360 | |||
| 361 | 91 | ||
| 362 | 00:06:06,450 ~-~-> 00:06:10,770 | ||
| 363 | again 2937, so it's only off by one handle. But you could | ||
| 364 | |||
| 365 | 92 | ||
| 366 | 00:06:10,800 ~-~-> 00:06:15,930 | ||
| 367 | take this idea here, instead of reaching for the 2936, round | ||
| 368 | |||
| 369 | 93 | ||
| 370 | 00:06:15,930 ~-~-> 00:06:18,990 | ||
| 371 | down to the nearest five level, so that would be 2935. So | ||
| 372 | |||
| 373 | 94 | ||
| 374 | 00:06:18,990 ~-~-> 00:06:22,560 | ||
| 375 | that's 35 handles with as much as one, two and three | ||
| 376 | |||
| 377 | 95 | ||
| 378 | 00:06:22,560 ~-~-> 00:06:25,710 | ||
| 379 | partials taken out. But at this point here, I would be out | ||
| 380 | |||
| 381 | 96 | ||
| 382 | 00:06:25,710 ~-~-> 00:06:28,920 | ||
| 383 | for this particular pattern in this market as an example. | ||
| 384 | |||
| 385 | 97 | ||
| 386 | 00:06:29,250 ~-~-> 00:06:31,230 | ||
| 387 | Hope you found this insightful until next time, I wish you | ||
| 388 | |||
| 389 | 98 | ||
| 390 | 00:06:31,230 ~-~-> 00:06:32,280 | ||
| 391 | good luck and good trading. |