Wiki source code of ICT-WENT-05.srt
Version 1.1 by Drunk Monkey on 2020-11-20 16:15
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:12,059 ~-~-> 00:00:14,339 | ||
3 | ICT: Folks, we are in the final | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:14,669 ~-~-> 00:00:18,209 | ||
7 | installment for the what every new and | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:00:18,209 ~-~-> 00:00:20,549 | ||
11 | aspiring forex trader wants to know, | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:00:21,659 ~-~-> 00:00:25,589 | ||
15 | review the last four years of so I'm | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:00:25,679 ~-~-> 00:00:28,769 | ||
19 | really condensed a lot of material. And | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:00:28,769 ~-~-> 00:00:31,679 | ||
23 | it's not intended to replace going | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:00:31,679 ~-~-> 00:00:33,659 | ||
27 | through all the old material but it's | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:00:33,659 ~-~-> 00:00:36,509 | ||
31 | simply a means for me to get you back up | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:00:36,509 ~-~-> 00:00:39,149 | ||
35 | to speed with the core essential tenants | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:00:39,149 ~-~-> 00:00:41,939 | ||
39 | to what I use when I do my trading, my | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:00:41,939 ~-~-> 00:00:43,799 | ||
43 | analysis concepts and how I arrive at | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:00:43,799 ~-~-> 00:00:47,639 | ||
47 | the ideas about the marketplace and in | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:00:47,849 ~-~-> 00:00:50,729 | ||
51 | what framework I utilize to arrive at | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:00:50,729 ~-~-> 00:00:56,189 | ||
55 | that, that opinion. Before we go into | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:00:56,189 ~-~-> 00:00:58,979 | ||
59 | the material for this final stage of the | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:00:59,099 ~-~-> 00:01:01,439 | ||
63 | presentations, It's important to | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:01,439 ~-~-> 00:01:06,779 | ||
67 | understand that this is obviously a much | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:07,349 ~-~-> 00:01:13,349 | ||
71 | of an abbreviated form of study, | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:13,379 ~-~-> 00:01:15,419 | ||
75 | obviously, each one of the components I | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:15,419 ~-~-> 00:01:17,309 | ||
79 | deal with here, and some of the things | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:17,309 ~-~-> 00:01:20,099 | ||
83 | I've left out like traders, Trinity, and | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:01:20,489 ~-~-> 00:01:22,979 | ||
87 | like the overall pattern, and the | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:01:23,309 ~-~-> 00:01:25,979 | ||
91 | stinger patterns, all that are unique to | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:01:25,979 ~-~-> 00:01:28,109 | ||
95 | me and my material. I left those out for | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:01:28,109 ~-~-> 00:01:31,289 | ||
99 | a reason because I think a majority of | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:01:31,289 ~-~-> 00:01:35,009 | ||
103 | the participants and and members of our | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:01:35,579 ~-~-> 00:01:37,499 | ||
107 | community, inner circle trader | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:01:37,499 ~-~-> 00:01:41,999 | ||
111 | community, they have been exposed to a | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:01:41,999 ~-~-> 00:01:44,879 | ||
115 | lot of information. And because I've | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:01:44,879 ~-~-> 00:01:47,009 | ||
119 | been involved with trading for 20 years, | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:01:47,249 ~-~-> 00:01:50,129 | ||
123 | I have a lot of tools in my repertoire. | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:01:50,579 ~-~-> 00:01:55,469 | ||
127 | But not every tool is applicable to | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:01:55,499 ~-~-> 00:01:58,409 | ||
131 | every trader. And I'm cognizant of that | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:01:58,469 ~-~-> 00:02:00,689 | ||
135 | and much more. So now because of The | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:00,719 ~-~-> 00:02:03,239 | ||
139 | large degree of feedback I've received | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:03,599 ~-~-> 00:02:05,969 | ||
143 | from the participants in the study of my | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:05,969 ~-~-> 00:02:09,179 | ||
147 | material, I am guilty of wanting to | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:02:09,179 ~-~-> 00:02:11,339 | ||
151 | share everything and sometimes much | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:02:11,339 ~-~-> 00:02:12,989 | ||
155 | faster even though it doesn't seem like | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:02:12,989 ~-~-> 00:02:15,929 | ||
159 | it's going fast for a lot of you, it | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:02:15,929 ~-~-> 00:02:17,789 | ||
163 | takes a lot of time to digest this | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:02:17,789 ~-~-> 00:02:21,269 | ||
167 | material. And it's, it's foolish to | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:02:21,269 ~-~-> 00:02:23,309 | ||
171 | think just simply having a video to | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:02:23,909 ~-~-> 00:02:25,559 | ||
175 | watching and then suddenly sitting in | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:02:25,559 ~-~-> 00:02:26,639 | ||
179 | front of your charts, you're just going | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:02:26,639 ~-~-> 00:02:28,379 | ||
183 | to be a Maven, and just go in here and | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:02:28,379 ~-~-> 00:02:30,479 | ||
187 | start taking out pips and you know, and | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:02:30,479 ~-~-> 00:02:32,099 | ||
191 | just roll in the markets. And that's not | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:02:32,099 ~-~-> 00:02:34,679 | ||
195 | how it works. You have to have certain | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:02:34,679 ~-~-> 00:02:36,419 | ||
199 | tools and applications that resonate | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:02:36,449 ~-~-> 00:02:41,759 | ||
203 | very close to your own persona and your | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:02:41,759 ~-~-> 00:02:44,369 | ||
207 | psyche as a trader. And what I did was | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:02:44,369 ~-~-> 00:02:47,579 | ||
211 | is I went back to the core roots of all | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:02:47,579 ~-~-> 00:02:49,649 | ||
215 | of my success and it just simply goes | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:02:49,649 ~-~-> 00:02:51,329 | ||
219 | back to support resistance, | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:02:51,479 ~-~-> 00:02:54,779 | ||
223 | understanding macro, fundamental, driven | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:02:55,019 ~-~-> 00:02:57,719 | ||
227 | trends which are higher timeframe based | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:02:57,719 ~-~-> 00:03:01,139 | ||
231 | only at monthly, weekly, daily. And by | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:03:01,139 ~-~-> 00:03:05,639 | ||
235 | having that as your foundation, a lot of | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:03:05,639 ~-~-> 00:03:07,739 | ||
239 | the shorter term timeframe, analysis | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:03:07,739 ~-~-> 00:03:12,119 | ||
243 | concepts will be much more accurate, | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:03:12,329 ~-~-> 00:03:15,089 | ||
247 | much more sensitive to your needs as a | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:03:15,089 ~-~-> 00:03:17,129 | ||
251 | trader and understanding what it is that | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:03:17,129 ~-~-> 00:03:19,079 | ||
255 | you are trying to accomplish as a | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:03:19,079 ~-~-> 00:03:23,159 | ||
259 | trader. The previous sessions we've | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:03:23,159 ~-~-> 00:03:25,619 | ||
263 | obviously went through a large degree of | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:03:25,649 ~-~-> 00:03:28,079 | ||
267 | material pertaining to directional | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:03:28,079 ~-~-> 00:03:30,389 | ||
271 | premise. I think if there's any one | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:03:30,389 ~-~-> 00:03:32,819 | ||
275 | question I get more sent to me by way of | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:03:32,819 ~-~-> 00:03:35,939 | ||
279 | Twitter or emails, it's how do I know | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:03:35,939 ~-~-> 00:03:37,289 | ||
283 | which direction the market is going to | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:03:37,289 ~-~-> 00:03:40,889 | ||
287 | go today? And while I'm not 100% | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:03:40,889 ~-~-> 00:03:44,159 | ||
291 | accurate, every single day, my tools | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:03:44,189 ~-~-> 00:03:46,169 | ||
295 | guide me in a manner where I'm in the | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:03:46,169 ~-~-> 00:03:48,269 | ||
299 | Upper 90% bracket in terms of | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:03:48,269 ~-~-> 00:03:50,909 | ||
303 | directional premise, and there's really | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:03:50,909 ~-~-> 00:03:54,419 | ||
307 | no there's no mystery as to why that is | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:03:54,419 ~-~-> 00:03:57,479 | ||
311 | simply because I'm disciplined enough | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:03:57,719 ~-~-> 00:04:02,609 | ||
315 | and I trust the tools To allow the | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:04:03,599 ~-~-> 00:04:07,259 | ||
319 | adherence to a certain frame of mind | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:04:07,259 ~-~-> 00:04:10,139 | ||
323 | going into the study of price. At the | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:04:10,139 ~-~-> 00:04:12,959 | ||
327 | higher time frame trends tend to stay in | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:04:12,959 ~-~-> 00:04:15,059 | ||
331 | one direction or another for a long | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:04:15,059 ~-~-> 00:04:17,099 | ||
335 | period of time, there may be minor | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:04:17,099 ~-~-> 00:04:19,379 | ||
339 | corrections or pauses in between, but | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:04:19,379 ~-~-> 00:04:22,409 | ||
343 | generally, the macro major trends are | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:04:22,409 ~-~-> 00:04:24,959 | ||
347 | tides, if you will, those waters tend to | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:04:24,959 ~-~-> 00:04:27,209 | ||
351 | keep moving in in the same direction for | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:04:27,209 ~-~-> 00:04:28,739 | ||
355 | a long period of time until they hit a | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:04:28,739 ~-~-> 00:04:32,339 | ||
359 | greater or equal resistance in terms of | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:04:32,339 ~-~-> 00:04:35,309 | ||
363 | their support or resistance or to | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:04:35,579 ~-~-> 00:04:40,559 | ||
367 | political or economic, you know, front | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:04:41,159 ~-~-> 00:04:42,959 | ||
371 | changes because of you know, something, | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:04:43,049 ~-~-> 00:04:45,689 | ||
375 | you know, large scale war, something | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:04:45,689 ~-~-> 00:04:47,909 | ||
379 | like that comes out. The, | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:04:48,960 ~-~-> 00:04:49,950 | ||
383 | the concepts that we're gonna be | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:04:49,950 ~-~-> 00:04:52,440 | ||
387 | discussing in this last one will be a | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:04:52,440 ~-~-> 00:04:55,200 | ||
391 | little bit of combining all this stuff | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:04:55,200 ~-~-> 00:04:58,140 | ||
395 | together. And a couple other points that | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:04:58,170 ~-~-> 00:05:00,090 | ||
399 | I didn't bring up earlier, but We're | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:05:00,090 ~-~-> 00:05:01,410 | ||
403 | going to be much more Paramount now | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:05:01,410 ~-~-> 00:05:02,670 | ||
407 | because we're gonna be doing a lot more | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:05:02,670 ~-~-> 00:05:05,460 | ||
411 | of the execution stage of all the tools. | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:05:05,940 ~-~-> 00:05:07,530 | ||
415 | And the first one I'm talking about is | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:05:07,560 ~-~-> 00:05:10,560 | ||
419 | risk on or risk off. And if you don't | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:05:10,560 ~-~-> 00:05:12,720 | ||
423 | know what that is, obviously, in a risk | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:05:12,720 ~-~-> 00:05:15,150 | ||
427 | on environment, that's typically when | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:05:15,150 ~-~-> 00:05:17,880 | ||
431 | you see equities stocks and such | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:05:18,090 ~-~-> 00:05:21,420 | ||
435 | commodities and higher yielding | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:05:21,420 ~-~-> 00:05:23,550 | ||
439 | currencies, okay, they will tend to | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:05:23,550 ~-~-> 00:05:27,540 | ||
443 | rally or move higher up in price, while | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:05:27,540 ~-~-> 00:05:29,700 | ||
447 | the dollar generally will be moving | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:05:29,730 ~-~-> 00:05:33,330 | ||
451 | down, okay, because it's commonly viewed | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:05:33,330 ~-~-> 00:05:35,070 | ||
455 | and I hate to say it like this because | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:05:35,070 ~-~-> 00:05:36,720 | ||
459 | the dollar has been beaten up over the | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:05:36,720 ~-~-> 00:05:38,850 | ||
463 | last couple decades really, because it's | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:05:38,850 ~-~-> 00:05:41,700 | ||
467 | really fallen out of favor in terms of a | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:05:41,700 ~-~-> 00:05:46,020 | ||
471 | lot of the the global countries, they | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:05:46,020 ~-~-> 00:05:48,030 | ||
475 | don't really have a lot of faith in the | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:05:48,030 ~-~-> 00:05:50,250 | ||
479 | United States in our economy. And I | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:05:50,250 ~-~-> 00:05:51,930 | ||
483 | think it's justified in a lot of ways. | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:05:51,930 ~-~-> 00:05:54,120 | ||
487 | But as it is right now, the greenback | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:05:54,120 ~-~-> 00:05:57,210 | ||
491 | still is the reserve currency. It may | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:05:57,210 ~-~-> 00:05:59,490 | ||
495 | not be that way for very long but it's | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:05:59,520 ~-~-> 00:06:01,440 | ||
499 | it is at The time of this recording in | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:06:01,440 ~-~-> 00:06:07,200 | ||
503 | 2014. If we are expecting firmer prices | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:06:07,200 ~-~-> 00:06:09,990 | ||
507 | in the dollar, that would equate to a | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:06:10,380 ~-~-> 00:06:12,510 | ||
511 | risk off scenario. And that would | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:06:12,630 ~-~-> 00:06:15,030 | ||
515 | translate in the form of lower equity or | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:06:15,030 ~-~-> 00:06:17,580 | ||
519 | stock prices, lower higher yielding | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:06:17,640 ~-~-> 00:06:21,330 | ||
523 | foreign currencies and commodity prices | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:06:21,330 ~-~-> 00:06:24,900 | ||
527 | dropping. Okay and you don't have to go | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:06:24,900 ~-~-> 00:06:27,390 | ||
531 | crazy and have every single commodity in | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:06:27,390 ~-~-> 00:06:29,730 | ||
535 | every single stock up in every single | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:06:29,730 ~-~-> 00:06:35,010 | ||
539 | indicee. Okay for stock index, you just | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:06:35,010 ~-~-> 00:06:38,310 | ||
543 | need a few and that will give you a | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:06:38,310 ~-~-> 00:06:41,130 | ||
547 | clear depiction every single day with | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:06:41,130 ~-~-> 00:06:43,050 | ||
551 | the accompany of the US dollar. | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:06:43,050 ~-~-> 00:06:44,430 | ||
555 | Obviously what we're showing here is the | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:06:44,430 ~-~-> 00:06:47,550 | ||
559 | US dollar daily chart. And if you're | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:06:47,550 ~-~-> 00:06:49,110 | ||
563 | familiar with a lot of my market reviews | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:06:49,110 ~-~-> 00:06:52,440 | ||
567 | or my commentary, I generally have this | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:06:52,500 ~-~-> 00:06:55,470 | ||
571 | most often very first thing I talk about | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:06:55,500 ~-~-> 00:06:58,470 | ||
575 | is the dollar because it is like my | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:06:58,470 ~-~-> 00:07:01,410 | ||
579 | barometer, it tells me Are we in a | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:07:02,100 ~-~-> 00:07:03,330 | ||
583 | trending environment? Are we in a | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:07:03,330 ~-~-> 00:07:05,040 | ||
587 | consolidation environment? Are we in a | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:07:05,040 ~-~-> 00:07:06,870 | ||
591 | risk on a risk off environment? There's | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:07:06,870 ~-~-> 00:07:09,270 | ||
595 | a lot of information that is derived by | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:07:09,270 ~-~-> 00:07:11,460 | ||
599 | this simply understanding the dollar. | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:07:11,760 ~-~-> 00:07:13,530 | ||
603 | And especially because I trade the | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:07:13,530 ~-~-> 00:07:16,590 | ||
607 | majors in forex, it's going to be | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:07:16,590 ~-~-> 00:07:18,120 | ||
611 | paramount in my understanding of where | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:07:18,120 ~-~-> 00:07:20,220 | ||
615 | price is most likely going to go today, | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:07:20,370 ~-~-> 00:07:22,980 | ||
619 | if not for the next few days or even | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:07:23,340 ~-~-> 00:07:25,980 | ||
623 | several months out. Depending upon the | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:07:25,980 ~-~-> 00:07:27,330 | ||
627 | level of trader, you're going to be if | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:07:27,330 ~-~-> 00:07:28,350 | ||
631 | you're going to be a long term position | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:07:28,350 ~-~-> 00:07:30,600 | ||
635 | trader, short term trader swing trader | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:07:30,600 ~-~-> 00:07:33,000 | ||
639 | or a day trader scalper, it doesn't make | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:07:33,000 ~-~-> 00:07:36,180 | ||
643 | sense not to at least reference the | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:07:36,180 ~-~-> 00:07:38,250 | ||
647 | higher timeframe dollar and higher | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:07:38,250 ~-~-> 00:07:41,910 | ||
651 | timeframe currency pairs that you are | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:07:41,940 ~-~-> 00:07:44,040 | ||
655 | intending to trade. Okay, having that | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:07:44,040 ~-~-> 00:07:47,160 | ||
659 | macro view is essential in my opinion, | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:07:47,490 ~-~-> 00:07:49,800 | ||
663 | to having longevity as a trader and | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:07:49,800 ~-~-> 00:07:51,600 | ||
667 | obviously the what everybody wants which | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:07:51,600 ~-~-> 00:07:55,050 | ||
671 | is high accuracy, and directional | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:07:55,050 ~-~-> 00:07:56,430 | ||
675 | premise, okay, and there's a lot of | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:07:56,460 ~-~-> 00:07:59,370 | ||
679 | weight placed on directional premise for | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:07:59,370 ~-~-> 00:08:01,200 | ||
683 | new traders and I Get it. I did the same | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:08:01,200 ~-~-> 00:08:03,270 | ||
687 | thing I just wanted to know, okay, is it | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:08:03,270 ~-~-> 00:08:05,580 | ||
691 | going to go up or it's going to go down. | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:08:05,850 ~-~-> 00:08:08,520 | ||
695 | And you have all heard the story, I | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:08:08,520 ~-~-> 00:08:10,350 | ||
699 | understood the market only going up when | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:08:10,350 ~-~-> 00:08:11,640 | ||
703 | I first started never understood that | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:08:11,640 ~-~-> 00:08:14,580 | ||
707 | you can make money going down. But in | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:08:14,580 ~-~-> 00:08:16,080 | ||
711 | the currency markets, obviously, you | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:08:16,080 ~-~-> 00:08:17,790 | ||
715 | know, because we are focusing pretty | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:08:17,790 ~-~-> 00:08:19,530 | ||
719 | much on the foreign exchange or Forex | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:08:19,530 ~-~-> 00:08:22,170 | ||
723 | markets. And this in a series, the | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:08:22,170 ~-~-> 00:08:23,880 | ||
727 | things that I'm discussing here | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:08:25,200 ~-~-> 00:08:27,720 | ||
731 | are pretty much universal, they apply to | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:08:27,720 ~-~-> 00:08:30,150 | ||
735 | every asset class that is tradable. | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:08:30,510 ~-~-> 00:08:32,970 | ||
739 | Okay, and you can use these ideas in | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:08:32,970 ~-~-> 00:08:35,310 | ||
743 | those other asset classes and your | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:08:35,310 ~-~-> 00:08:38,310 | ||
747 | trading. There are a few things that are | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:08:38,310 ~-~-> 00:08:41,910 | ||
751 | sensitive to the cable which is the | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:08:41,940 ~-~-> 00:08:44,430 | ||
755 | British Pound USD pair and the fiber | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:08:44,460 ~-~-> 00:08:47,640 | ||
759 | which is a Euro USD pair. Some of them | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:08:47,670 ~-~-> 00:08:51,510 | ||
763 | are time of day. And while the London | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:08:51,510 ~-~-> 00:08:54,270 | ||
767 | session, which is again I'll refer to | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:08:54,300 ~-~-> 00:08:58,020 | ||
771 | times in my own local time zone, so | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:08:58,020 ~-~-> 00:09:00,630 | ||
775 | you'll have to translate that Where you | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:09:00,630 ~-~-> 00:09:03,540 | ||
779 | are in relationship to me around the | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:09:03,540 ~-~-> 00:09:05,460 | ||
783 | globe, because it's too difficult for me | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:09:05,460 ~-~-> 00:09:06,900 | ||
787 | to keep track of all you guys out there | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:09:06,900 ~-~-> 00:09:08,850 | ||
791 | and try to figure out what you should be | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:09:08,850 ~-~-> 00:09:10,350 | ||
795 | setting your charts up for and what time | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:09:10,350 ~-~-> 00:09:14,160 | ||
799 | it would be. You know, in respect to | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:09:14,190 ~-~-> 00:09:17,310 | ||
803 | what I'm doing, okay, so when I say two | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:09:17,310 ~-~-> 00:09:20,070 | ||
807 | o'clock in the morning, and four o'clock | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:09:20,070 ~-~-> 00:09:22,170 | ||
811 | in the morning, okay, that's like the | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:09:22,170 ~-~-> 00:09:24,630 | ||
815 | sweet spot ICT kill zone for London | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:09:24,630 ~-~-> 00:09:27,630 | ||
819 | open. Now, obviously, it could start an | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:09:27,660 ~-~-> 00:09:30,540 | ||
823 | hour before that. Or it could last as | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:09:30,540 ~-~-> 00:09:34,200 | ||
827 | long as 5am New York time against all | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:09:34,200 ~-~-> 00:09:36,810 | ||
831 | New York standard. My Local United | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:09:36,810 ~-~-> 00:09:38,580 | ||
835 | States, North America, East Coast time. | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:09:38,790 ~-~-> 00:09:40,980 | ||
839 | Okay. So the easiest way to do it is set | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:09:40,980 ~-~-> 00:09:43,500 | ||
843 | a clock. Get yourself a little, you | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:09:43,500 ~-~-> 00:09:45,390 | ||
847 | know, desktop application, you can phone | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:09:45,390 ~-~-> 00:09:48,000 | ||
851 | your computer. smartphones, you can put | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:09:48,000 ~-~-> 00:09:51,030 | ||
855 | a world clock on. I had every world | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:09:51,030 ~-~-> 00:09:55,080 | ||
859 | clock for the say the asian session, the | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:09:55,080 ~-~-> 00:10:00,870 | ||
863 | Sydney session, the Frankfort session. I | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:10:00,870 ~-~-> 00:10:02,220 | ||
867 | have I basically have all the major | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:10:02,220 ~-~-> 00:10:05,190 | ||
871 | timezone on my world clock on my iPhone. | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:10:05,460 ~-~-> 00:10:07,980 | ||
875 | And I just look at certain times of the | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:10:07,980 ~-~-> 00:10:09,750 | ||
879 | day when certain moves take place. And | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:10:10,770 ~-~-> 00:10:12,240 | ||
883 | you can do that same thing by just | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:10:12,240 ~-~-> 00:10:13,920 | ||
887 | simply saying, Okay, look, this is ICT | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:10:13,920 ~-~-> 00:10:16,470 | ||
891 | zone. Okay, this is what this is what | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:10:16,470 ~-~-> 00:10:18,060 | ||
895 | Michaels viewing in terms of price | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:10:18,060 ~-~-> 00:10:20,100 | ||
899 | action. You don't have to continue doing | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:10:20,100 ~-~-> 00:10:22,080 | ||
903 | that for years from now. Okay, | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:10:22,080 ~-~-> 00:10:23,910 | ||
907 | obviously, if you're trying to learn my | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:10:24,240 ~-~-> 00:10:25,830 | ||
911 | understanding of the marketplace and my | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:10:25,830 ~-~-> 00:10:28,230 | ||
915 | concepts, it'll be a lot easier for you | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:10:28,230 ~-~-> 00:10:31,380 | ||
919 | to get in sync with me, because I'm on | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:10:31,590 ~-~-> 00:10:33,690 | ||
923 | New York time. So everything that I view | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:10:33,690 ~-~-> 00:10:36,630 | ||
927 | the marketplace, as in deference to time | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:10:36,720 ~-~-> 00:10:39,750 | ||
931 | will be hinged upon what time is it in | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:10:39,750 ~-~-> 00:10:42,120 | ||
935 | New York. I live in Maryland, but I'm in | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:10:42,120 ~-~-> 00:10:47,010 | ||
939 | the timezone that New York is UTIs. So | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:10:47,010 ~-~-> 00:10:49,800 | ||
943 | now, let's talk about risk on and risk | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:10:49,800 ~-~-> 00:10:53,700 | ||
947 | off. Okay, assume for a moment that when | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:10:53,700 ~-~-> 00:10:57,690 | ||
951 | we discuss risk on scenarios, that would | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:10:57,690 ~-~-> 00:11:00,600 | ||
955 | be indicative of price. action like | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:11:00,600 ~-~-> 00:11:04,080 | ||
959 | this. Okay when risk on is in the | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:11:04,080 ~-~-> 00:11:06,420 | ||
963 | marketplace, okay, you'll see the dollar | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:11:06,570 ~-~-> 00:11:10,800 | ||
967 | falling. Okay. When the dollar rallies, | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:11:11,250 ~-~-> 00:11:13,530 | ||
971 | anytime the price of the dollar is | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:11:13,530 ~-~-> 00:11:16,590 | ||
975 | rallying up, depending upon what time | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:11:16,590 ~-~-> 00:11:17,700 | ||
979 | frame you're referring to, obviously | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:11:17,700 ~-~-> 00:11:20,850 | ||
983 | this is a daily chart, this would be a | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:11:20,850 ~-~-> 00:11:23,940 | ||
987 | swing, okay in between this low and this | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:11:23,940 ~-~-> 00:11:27,270 | ||
991 | high, this would be classified as a risk | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:11:27,960 ~-~-> 00:11:31,560 | ||
995 | off scenario. Okay? Risk off would be | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:11:31,560 ~-~-> 00:11:33,240 | ||
999 | the dollar rallying. Now when this | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:11:33,240 ~-~-> 00:11:36,870 | ||
1003 | occurs, okay imagine a children's | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:11:36,870 ~-~-> 00:11:39,930 | ||
1007 | playground apparatus, okay, we probably | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:11:39,930 ~-~-> 00:11:41,220 | ||
1011 | all wrote one of the children as a | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:11:41,220 ~-~-> 00:11:44,130 | ||
1015 | child, one child gets on one end of the | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:11:44,130 ~-~-> 00:11:45,840 | ||
1019 | seesaw and another child gets on the | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:11:45,840 ~-~-> 00:11:47,490 | ||
1023 | other end of the seesaw. Okay, and what | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:11:47,490 ~-~-> 00:11:49,410 | ||
1027 | will happen is the two children will | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:11:49,920 ~-~-> 00:11:52,410 | ||
1031 | press off the ground and make the other | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:11:52,410 ~-~-> 00:11:54,900 | ||
1035 | one rise up and back and forth goes on. | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:11:55,170 ~-~-> 00:11:57,600 | ||
1039 | Well, that seemed tearing effect, okay. | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:11:58,320 ~-~-> 00:12:01,110 | ||
1043 | It's like a scale as well. If the dollar | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:12:01,110 ~-~-> 00:12:02,880 | ||
1047 | goes up, foreign currencies go down, | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:12:03,090 ~-~-> 00:12:04,920 | ||
1051 | okay? If the dollar goes down, foreign | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:12:04,920 ~-~-> 00:12:07,380 | ||
1055 | currencies go up. It's very, very simple | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:12:07,380 ~-~-> 00:12:09,390 | ||
1059 | but many times new traders that are | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:12:09,540 ~-~-> 00:12:11,400 | ||
1063 | first introduced to risk on risk off, | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:12:11,700 ~-~-> 00:12:13,680 | ||
1067 | they overcomplicate it and they try to | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:12:13,710 ~-~-> 00:12:15,600 | ||
1071 | make more than it really is. But the | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:12:15,600 ~-~-> 00:12:17,430 | ||
1075 | easiest way to understand it is if the | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:12:17,430 ~-~-> 00:12:20,280 | ||
1079 | dollar is going up everything else, | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:12:20,490 ~-~-> 00:12:22,890 | ||
1083 | whether it be equities, whether it be | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:12:23,760 ~-~-> 00:12:27,180 | ||
1087 | foreign currencies, commodities, okay? | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:12:27,480 ~-~-> 00:12:28,980 | ||
1091 | Those will be going the opposite | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:12:28,980 ~-~-> 00:12:31,110 | ||
1095 | direction. Okay. And the easiest way to | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:12:31,110 ~-~-> 00:12:34,500 | ||
1099 | understand it is risk on is when dollar | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:12:34,500 ~-~-> 00:12:37,260 | ||
1103 | goes down. Okay? And that's basically a | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:12:37,260 ~-~-> 00:12:41,550 | ||
1107 | flight from the dollar into a higher | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:12:41,550 ~-~-> 00:12:44,970 | ||
1111 | yield seeking asset class. Okay? Because | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:12:44,970 ~-~-> 00:12:47,010 | ||
1115 | it's viewed as more risky and the dollar | ||
1116 | |||
1117 | 280 | ||
1118 | 00:12:47,010 ~-~-> 00:12:48,870 | ||
1119 | is a safe haven and I say that with | ||
1120 | |||
1121 | 281 | ||
1122 | 00:12:48,870 ~-~-> 00:12:50,460 | ||
1123 | tongue in cheek obvious. I know most of | ||
1124 | |||
1125 | 282 | ||
1126 | 00:12:50,460 ~-~-> 00:12:52,230 | ||
1127 | you who are, are thinking the same thing | ||
1128 | |||
1129 | 283 | ||
1130 | 00:12:52,230 ~-~-> 00:12:55,380 | ||
1131 | I do. The dollar is nowhere near the | ||
1132 | |||
1133 | 284 | ||
1134 | 00:12:55,380 ~-~-> 00:12:57,750 | ||
1135 | degree of benchmark like it used to be | ||
1136 | |||
1137 | 285 | ||
1138 | 00:12:57,750 ~-~-> 00:13:01,800 | ||
1139 | but as it were, If the dollar is going | ||
1140 | |||
1141 | 286 | ||
1142 | 00:13:01,860 ~-~-> 00:13:04,350 | ||
1143 | up, okay, that's going to be a risk off | ||
1144 | |||
1145 | 287 | ||
1146 | 00:13:04,350 ~-~-> 00:13:06,810 | ||
1147 | scenario. And it's going to equate to | ||
1148 | |||
1149 | 288 | ||
1150 | 00:13:06,810 ~-~-> 00:13:08,790 | ||
1151 | seeing lower stock prices, commodity | ||
1152 | |||
1153 | 289 | ||
1154 | 00:13:08,790 ~-~-> 00:13:10,950 | ||
1155 | prices will be declining and foreign | ||
1156 | |||
1157 | 290 | ||
1158 | 00:13:10,950 ~-~-> 00:13:12,630 | ||
1159 | currencies will be declining, okay. So | ||
1160 | |||
1161 | 291 | ||
1162 | 00:13:12,630 ~-~-> 00:13:15,180 | ||
1163 | there's going to be a vice versa effect. | ||
1164 | |||
1165 | 292 | ||
1166 | 00:13:15,540 ~-~-> 00:13:17,430 | ||
1167 | And that's the reason why I studied the | ||
1168 | |||
1169 | 293 | ||
1170 | 00:13:17,430 ~-~-> 00:13:20,130 | ||
1171 | dollar first because it will give me the | ||
1172 | |||
1173 | 294 | ||
1174 | 00:13:20,130 ~-~-> 00:13:22,320 | ||
1175 | beginning point or foundation for | ||
1176 | |||
1177 | 295 | ||
1178 | 00:13:22,320 ~-~-> 00:13:24,420 | ||
1179 | understanding where the marketplace as a | ||
1180 | |||
1181 | 296 | ||
1182 | 00:13:24,420 ~-~-> 00:13:27,960 | ||
1183 | whole should go. Okay, now, is it right | ||
1184 | |||
1185 | 297 | ||
1186 | 00:13:27,960 ~-~-> 00:13:31,050 | ||
1187 | to the minute every time? No, okay, but | ||
1188 | |||
1189 | 298 | ||
1190 | 00:13:31,050 ~-~-> 00:13:32,610 | ||
1191 | again, that's, that's the benefit of | ||
1192 | |||
1193 | 299 | ||
1194 | 00:13:32,610 ~-~-> 00:13:34,170 | ||
1195 | using these higher timeframe charts, | ||
1196 | |||
1197 | 300 | ||
1198 | 00:13:34,440 ~-~-> 00:13:36,630 | ||
1199 | monthly, weekly, daily, is because those | ||
1200 | |||
1201 | 301 | ||
1202 | 00:13:36,630 ~-~-> 00:13:39,600 | ||
1203 | trends, there's macro trends. They tend | ||
1204 | |||
1205 | 302 | ||
1206 | 00:13:39,600 ~-~-> 00:13:41,430 | ||
1207 | to exist for a long period of time and | ||
1208 | |||
1209 | 303 | ||
1210 | 00:13:41,430 ~-~-> 00:13:45,570 | ||
1211 | it takes something with a real large | ||
1212 | |||
1213 | 304 | ||
1214 | 00:13:45,570 ~-~-> 00:13:48,180 | ||
1215 | impact on price to cause it to stop | ||
1216 | |||
1217 | 305 | ||
1218 | 00:13:48,180 ~-~-> 00:13:50,610 | ||
1219 | pause or even altogether reverse. Okay, | ||
1220 | |||
1221 | 306 | ||
1222 | 00:13:50,610 ~-~-> 00:13:53,490 | ||
1223 | so I'm trying to teach you the | ||
1224 | |||
1225 | 307 | ||
1226 | 00:13:53,490 ~-~-> 00:13:55,680 | ||
1227 | understanding of trusting the higher | ||
1228 | |||
1229 | 308 | ||
1230 | 00:13:55,680 ~-~-> 00:13:57,600 | ||
1231 | time frame premise, especially when | ||
1232 | |||
1233 | 309 | ||
1234 | 00:13:57,600 ~-~-> 00:13:59,310 | ||
1235 | you're looking at macro trends macro | ||
1236 | |||
1237 | 310 | ||
1238 | 00:13:59,310 ~-~-> 00:14:01,380 | ||
1239 | trends. are going to be arrived at by | ||
1240 | |||
1241 | 311 | ||
1242 | 00:14:01,380 ~-~-> 00:14:03,000 | ||
1243 | looking at high timeframe charts and | ||
1244 | |||
1245 | 312 | ||
1246 | 00:14:03,000 ~-~-> 00:14:08,310 | ||
1247 | looking at asset class to indicee or | ||
1248 | |||
1249 | 313 | ||
1250 | 00:14:08,340 ~-~-> 00:14:10,680 | ||
1251 | dollar based correlations. In other | ||
1252 | |||
1253 | 314 | ||
1254 | 00:14:10,680 ~-~-> 00:14:11,670 | ||
1255 | words, if you're a stock trader, | ||
1256 | |||
1257 | 315 | ||
1258 | 00:14:11,670 ~-~-> 00:14:14,160 | ||
1259 | obviously, if you're if you trade New | ||
1260 | |||
1261 | 316 | ||
1262 | 00:14:14,160 ~-~-> 00:14:17,310 | ||
1263 | York or future American stocks, your | ||
1264 | |||
1265 | 317 | ||
1266 | 00:14:17,310 ~-~-> 00:14:19,380 | ||
1267 | benchmark would be obviously the Dow 30, | ||
1268 | |||
1269 | 318 | ||
1270 | 00:14:19,680 ~-~-> 00:14:22,560 | ||
1271 | the s&p 500 or the NASDAQ 100 Composite | ||
1272 | |||
1273 | 319 | ||
1274 | 00:14:22,560 ~-~-> 00:14:25,320 | ||
1275 | Index, okay. And by looking at those | ||
1276 | |||
1277 | 320 | ||
1278 | 00:14:25,320 ~-~-> 00:14:28,890 | ||
1279 | three indices as a whole, okay, and | ||
1280 | |||
1281 | 321 | ||
1282 | 00:14:28,890 ~-~-> 00:14:31,680 | ||
1283 | applying such things as Dow Theory, if | ||
1284 | |||
1285 | 322 | ||
1286 | 00:14:31,680 ~-~-> 00:14:33,390 | ||
1287 | you're looking at a marketplace that is | ||
1288 | |||
1289 | 323 | ||
1290 | 00:14:33,390 ~-~-> 00:14:35,190 | ||
1291 | poised to go higher in the indices, | ||
1292 | |||
1293 | 324 | ||
1294 | 00:14:35,220 ~-~-> 00:14:36,900 | ||
1295 | that's pretty much good. That's a good | ||
1296 | |||
1297 | 325 | ||
1298 | 00:14:36,900 ~-~-> 00:14:38,460 | ||
1299 | time to be buying a stock. Well, the | ||
1300 | |||
1301 | 326 | ||
1302 | 00:14:38,460 ~-~-> 00:14:40,140 | ||
1303 | same thing happens by looking at the | ||
1304 | |||
1305 | 327 | ||
1306 | 00:14:40,140 ~-~-> 00:14:42,870 | ||
1307 | dollar, but you have to invert it. Okay, | ||
1308 | |||
1309 | 328 | ||
1310 | 00:14:42,960 ~-~-> 00:14:45,300 | ||
1311 | so if the dollar is poised to rally, | ||
1312 | |||
1313 | 329 | ||
1314 | 00:14:45,720 ~-~-> 00:14:47,250 | ||
1315 | okay, it's important that you understand | ||
1316 | |||
1317 | 330 | ||
1318 | 00:14:47,250 ~-~-> 00:14:51,510 | ||
1319 | that if you start looking to buy foreign | ||
1320 | |||
1321 | 331 | ||
1322 | 00:14:51,510 ~-~-> 00:14:54,570 | ||
1323 | currencies, okay? You're you're trading | ||
1324 | |||
1325 | 332 | ||
1326 | 00:14:54,630 ~-~-> 00:15:01,080 | ||
1327 | okay? against the undertone of adverse | ||
1328 | |||
1329 | 333 | ||
1330 | 00:15:01,110 ~-~-> 00:15:02,580 | ||
1331 | marketing environment in other words, | ||
1332 | |||
1333 | 334 | ||
1334 | 00:15:02,580 ~-~-> 00:15:04,920 | ||
1335 | you're going to be trading at the lowest | ||
1336 | |||
1337 | 335 | ||
1338 | 00:15:04,920 ~-~-> 00:15:07,350 | ||
1339 | probability for that move to occur | ||
1340 | |||
1341 | 336 | ||
1342 | 00:15:07,350 ~-~-> 00:15:09,510 | ||
1343 | because the dollar if it's poised to go | ||
1344 | |||
1345 | 337 | ||
1346 | 00:15:09,510 ~-~-> 00:15:11,100 | ||
1347 | higher, what does that translate to in | ||
1348 | |||
1349 | 338 | ||
1350 | 00:15:11,100 ~-~-> 00:15:13,410 | ||
1351 | foreign currencies, lower foreign | ||
1352 | |||
1353 | 339 | ||
1354 | 00:15:13,410 ~-~-> 00:15:16,110 | ||
1355 | currency prices. Okay, so let's look at | ||
1356 | |||
1357 | 340 | ||
1358 | 00:15:16,110 ~-~-> 00:15:18,870 | ||
1359 | an example and actually have some notes | ||
1360 | |||
1361 | 341 | ||
1362 | 00:15:18,900 ~-~-> 00:15:21,870 | ||
1363 | on this chart as it were because I did a | ||
1364 | |||
1365 | 342 | ||
1366 | 00:15:21,870 ~-~-> 00:15:24,780 | ||
1367 | live session here about a week ago and I | ||
1368 | |||
1369 | 343 | ||
1370 | 00:15:24,780 ~-~-> 00:15:26,940 | ||
1371 | made some comments about where I think | ||
1372 | |||
1373 | 344 | ||
1374 | 00:15:26,940 ~-~-> 00:15:28,710 | ||
1375 | the dollar was going to go into behavior | ||
1376 | |||
1377 | 345 | ||
1378 | 00:15:28,710 ~-~-> 00:15:31,080 | ||
1379 | I expected and some of you that were in | ||
1380 | |||
1381 | 346 | ||
1382 | 00:15:31,080 ~-~-> 00:15:32,640 | ||
1383 | the live session obviously will will | ||
1384 | |||
1385 | 347 | ||
1386 | 00:15:32,670 ~-~-> 00:15:34,170 | ||
1387 | recognize these lines and what I was | ||
1388 | |||
1389 | 348 | ||
1390 | 00:15:34,170 ~-~-> 00:15:38,460 | ||
1391 | doing but this level here Okay, this is | ||
1392 | |||
1393 | 349 | ||
1394 | 00:15:38,460 ~-~-> 00:15:40,350 | ||
1395 | a resistance level price was unable to | ||
1396 | |||
1397 | 350 | ||
1398 | 00:15:40,380 ~-~-> 00:15:41,970 | ||
1399 | break above that and I was using a lot | ||
1400 | |||
1401 | 351 | ||
1402 | 00:15:41,970 ~-~-> 00:15:43,590 | ||
1403 | of the wicks and the bodies of the | ||
1404 | |||
1405 | 352 | ||
1406 | 00:15:43,590 ~-~-> 00:15:45,240 | ||
1407 | candles as reference points. Okay, so I | ||
1408 | |||
1409 | 353 | ||
1410 | 00:15:45,240 ~-~-> 00:15:46,680 | ||
1411 | use the two bodies of the candles and, | ||
1412 | |||
1413 | 354 | ||
1414 | 00:15:46,950 ~-~-> 00:15:50,640 | ||
1415 | and the wicks. Looking at this level | ||
1416 | |||
1417 | 355 | ||
1418 | 00:15:50,640 ~-~-> 00:15:52,770 | ||
1419 | here, we broke through it a week ago, | ||
1420 | |||
1421 | 356 | ||
1422 | 00:15:53,130 ~-~-> 00:15:54,990 | ||
1423 | and midweek and then came back down on | ||
1424 | |||
1425 | 357 | ||
1426 | 00:15:54,990 ~-~-> 00:15:57,630 | ||
1427 | the previous week's Friday. And I was | ||
1428 | |||
1429 | 358 | ||
1430 | 00:15:57,630 ~-~-> 00:15:59,820 | ||
1431 | noting these levels here, this level and | ||
1432 | |||
1433 | 359 | ||
1434 | 00:15:59,820 ~-~-> 00:16:01,230 | ||
1435 | this level. So if we broke through and | ||
1436 | |||
1437 | 360 | ||
1438 | 00:16:01,230 ~-~-> 00:16:02,730 | ||
1439 | came back down, it would most likely | ||
1440 | |||
1441 | 361 | ||
1442 | 00:16:02,730 ~-~-> 00:16:04,890 | ||
1443 | find some support here, or find some | ||
1444 | |||
1445 | 362 | ||
1446 | 00:16:04,890 ~-~-> 00:16:06,360 | ||
1447 | support here. So as that's the reason | ||
1448 | |||
1449 | 363 | ||
1450 | 00:16:06,360 ~-~-> 00:16:08,520 | ||
1451 | why we have this little thing here I | ||
1452 | |||
1453 | 364 | ||
1454 | 00:16:08,520 ~-~-> 00:16:10,110 | ||
1455 | drew. So let's get this off because it's | ||
1456 | |||
1457 | 365 | ||
1458 | 00:16:10,110 ~-~-> 00:16:16,020 | ||
1459 | probably confusing you. Okay, and this | ||
1460 | |||
1461 | 366 | ||
1462 | 00:16:16,020 ~-~-> 00:16:18,780 | ||
1463 | line here is just represent if these two | ||
1464 | |||
1465 | 367 | ||
1466 | 00:16:18,780 ~-~-> 00:16:20,550 | ||
1467 | levels give way, we would come back down | ||
1468 | |||
1469 | 368 | ||
1470 | 00:16:20,550 ~-~-> 00:16:22,170 | ||
1471 | to this level and expect some sort of | ||
1472 | |||
1473 | 369 | ||
1474 | 00:16:22,170 ~-~-> 00:16:24,780 | ||
1475 | support to come underway. Now, when | ||
1476 | |||
1477 | 370 | ||
1478 | 00:16:24,780 ~-~-> 00:16:26,220 | ||
1479 | price comes back down to this level, | ||
1480 | |||
1481 | 371 | ||
1482 | 00:16:26,220 ~-~-> 00:16:28,110 | ||
1483 | even though it sweeps below it previous | ||
1484 | |||
1485 | 372 | ||
1486 | 00:16:28,110 ~-~-> 00:16:30,000 | ||
1487 | Friday, look where it closes, it closes | ||
1488 | |||
1489 | 373 | ||
1490 | 00:16:30,000 ~-~-> 00:16:31,620 | ||
1491 | right at that same level. And then when | ||
1492 | |||
1493 | 374 | ||
1494 | 00:16:31,620 ~-~-> 00:16:33,960 | ||
1495 | Sunday we had an unchanged event, we had | ||
1496 | |||
1497 | 375 | ||
1498 | 00:16:33,960 ~-~-> 00:16:35,370 | ||
1499 | a little bit of movement, try to push | ||
1500 | |||
1501 | 376 | ||
1502 | 00:16:35,370 ~-~-> 00:16:37,170 | ||
1503 | above it again here on Monday, and then | ||
1504 | |||
1505 | 377 | ||
1506 | 00:16:37,170 ~-~-> 00:16:39,690 | ||
1507 | Tuesday, we had the rally. And now here | ||
1508 | |||
1509 | 378 | ||
1510 | 00:16:39,690 ~-~-> 00:16:41,850 | ||
1511 | it is today wednesday. Prices now | ||
1512 | |||
1513 | 379 | ||
1514 | 00:16:41,850 ~-~-> 00:16:43,230 | ||
1515 | started to recede, but it did trade | ||
1516 | |||
1517 | 380 | ||
1518 | 00:16:43,230 ~-~-> 00:16:46,050 | ||
1519 | higher. This environment right here | ||
1520 | |||
1521 | 381 | ||
1522 | 00:16:46,050 ~-~-> 00:16:47,910 | ||
1523 | where price comes down to an expected | ||
1524 | |||
1525 | 382 | ||
1526 | 00:16:47,910 ~-~-> 00:16:50,280 | ||
1527 | level support. Your mind should be | ||
1528 | |||
1529 | 383 | ||
1530 | 00:16:50,280 ~-~-> 00:16:52,620 | ||
1531 | thinking, Okay, we're in a move that's | ||
1532 | |||
1533 | 384 | ||
1534 | 00:16:52,620 ~-~-> 00:16:54,900 | ||
1535 | been going higher. Okay, we broke up | ||
1536 | |||
1537 | 385 | ||
1538 | 00:16:55,080 ~-~-> 00:16:58,140 | ||
1539 | resistance, this may act as support. So | ||
1540 | |||
1541 | 386 | ||
1542 | 00:16:58,140 ~-~-> 00:17:00,000 | ||
1543 | again, what's that translate for? | ||
1544 | |||
1545 | 387 | ||
1546 | 00:17:01,289 ~-~-> 00:17:03,659 | ||
1547 | Risk more risk off? Well, if we think if | ||
1548 | |||
1549 | 388 | ||
1550 | 00:17:03,779 ~-~-> 00:17:05,609 | ||
1551 | price comes to this level here and | ||
1552 | |||
1553 | 389 | ||
1554 | 00:17:05,609 ~-~-> 00:17:08,729 | ||
1555 | bounces higher, okay? That's implying | ||
1556 | |||
1557 | 390 | ||
1558 | 00:17:08,729 ~-~-> 00:17:10,559 | ||
1559 | that we're going to expect the US dollar | ||
1560 | |||
1561 | 391 | ||
1562 | 00:17:10,559 ~-~-> 00:17:13,679 | ||
1563 | to rally that is going to be what risk | ||
1564 | |||
1565 | 392 | ||
1566 | 00:17:13,679 ~-~-> 00:17:16,829 | ||
1567 | on or risk off, it's going to be risk | ||
1568 | |||
1569 | 393 | ||
1570 | 00:17:16,829 ~-~-> 00:17:19,889 | ||
1571 | off because when there's less risk | ||
1572 | |||
1573 | 394 | ||
1574 | 00:17:19,919 ~-~-> 00:17:23,099 | ||
1575 | taking to be made in the environments of | ||
1576 | |||
1577 | 395 | ||
1578 | 00:17:23,099 ~-~-> 00:17:26,069 | ||
1579 | speculation, the dollar will be bought, | ||
1580 | |||
1581 | 396 | ||
1582 | 00:17:26,159 ~-~-> 00:17:27,419 | ||
1583 | okay? There's gonna be a flight to | ||
1584 | |||
1585 | 397 | ||
1586 | 00:17:27,419 ~-~-> 00:17:29,819 | ||
1587 | quality. Okay, that's what it's what I'm | ||
1588 | |||
1589 | 398 | ||
1590 | 00:17:29,819 ~-~-> 00:17:31,289 | ||
1591 | not gonna argue with me guys this this | ||
1592 | |||
1593 | 399 | ||
1594 | 00:17:31,289 ~-~-> 00:17:33,569 | ||
1595 | way it's called, okay. So whether you | ||
1596 | |||
1597 | 400 | ||
1598 | 00:17:33,569 ~-~-> 00:17:35,639 | ||
1599 | want to refer the dollars being quality | ||
1600 | |||
1601 | 401 | ||
1602 | 00:17:35,639 ~-~-> 00:17:38,399 | ||
1603 | aspect or not, it's that's what it is. | ||
1604 | |||
1605 | 402 | ||
1606 | 00:17:38,429 ~-~-> 00:17:40,919 | ||
1607 | So, a flight to quality sees firmer | ||
1608 | |||
1609 | 403 | ||
1610 | 00:17:40,919 ~-~-> 00:17:43,619 | ||
1611 | prices in $1 and that will translate to | ||
1612 | |||
1613 | 404 | ||
1614 | 00:17:43,619 ~-~-> 00:17:47,309 | ||
1615 | a lower move or sell signals, if you | ||
1616 | |||
1617 | 405 | ||
1618 | 00:17:47,309 ~-~-> 00:17:49,709 | ||
1619 | will, in the foreign currencies. Now, | ||
1620 | |||
1621 | 406 | ||
1622 | 00:17:49,739 ~-~-> 00:17:51,689 | ||
1623 | again, because I trade the majors, | ||
1624 | |||
1625 | 407 | ||
1626 | 00:17:52,109 ~-~-> 00:17:55,079 | ||
1627 | that's the British Pound USD, the Euro | ||
1628 | |||
1629 | 408 | ||
1630 | 00:17:55,079 ~-~-> 00:17:58,649 | ||
1631 | USD once in a while, once in a while, | ||
1632 | |||
1633 | 409 | ||
1634 | 00:17:58,649 ~-~-> 00:18:01,529 | ||
1635 | I'll trade Canadian Dollar or Aussie | ||
1636 | |||
1637 | 410 | ||
1638 | 00:18:01,529 ~-~-> 00:18:04,109 | ||
1639 | dollar, okay. But generally I'll trade | ||
1640 | |||
1641 | 411 | ||
1642 | 00:18:04,259 ~-~-> 00:18:06,749 | ||
1643 | you know, just a fiber fiber and cable. | ||
1644 | |||
1645 | 412 | ||
1646 | 00:18:08,129 ~-~-> 00:18:10,169 | ||
1647 | But now understanding the relationship | ||
1648 | |||
1649 | 413 | ||
1650 | 00:18:10,409 ~-~-> 00:18:13,709 | ||
1651 | to this, when we come down to a support | ||
1652 | |||
1653 | 414 | ||
1654 | 00:18:13,709 ~-~-> 00:18:16,619 | ||
1655 | level like this, that means on Friday | ||
1656 | |||
1657 | 415 | ||
1658 | 00:18:16,649 ~-~-> 00:18:17,879 | ||
1659 | when we trade it back down to that level | ||
1660 | |||
1661 | 416 | ||
1662 | 00:18:17,879 ~-~-> 00:18:20,819 | ||
1663 | from Friday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, | ||
1664 | |||
1665 | 417 | ||
1666 | 00:18:21,209 ~-~-> 00:18:24,539 | ||
1667 | okay? in that in that area, okay? What | ||
1668 | |||
1669 | 418 | ||
1670 | 00:18:24,539 ~-~-> 00:18:27,029 | ||
1671 | we're looking for is cell scenarios to | ||
1672 | |||
1673 | 419 | ||
1674 | 00:18:27,029 ~-~-> 00:18:30,149 | ||
1675 | occur in fiber and cable. Okay. So | ||
1676 | |||
1677 | 420 | ||
1678 | 00:18:30,149 ~-~-> 00:18:32,609 | ||
1679 | again, to reiterate this, we're looking | ||
1680 | |||
1681 | 421 | ||
1682 | 00:18:32,609 ~-~-> 00:18:34,139 | ||
1683 | at the price that was above it on | ||
1684 | |||
1685 | 422 | ||
1686 | 00:18:34,139 ~-~-> 00:18:35,819 | ||
1687 | Thursday, the week before this | ||
1688 | |||
1689 | 423 | ||
1690 | 00:18:35,819 ~-~-> 00:18:38,309 | ||
1691 | recording, price comes down on Friday | ||
1692 | |||
1693 | 424 | ||
1694 | 00:18:38,549 ~-~-> 00:18:40,439 | ||
1695 | trades through it then comes right back | ||
1696 | |||
1697 | 425 | ||
1698 | 00:18:40,439 ~-~-> 00:18:43,199 | ||
1699 | to it and closes. Okay, so as early as | ||
1700 | |||
1701 | 426 | ||
1702 | 00:18:43,199 ~-~-> 00:18:48,359 | ||
1703 | Friday of last week, and the basically | ||
1704 | |||
1705 | 427 | ||
1706 | 00:18:48,359 ~-~-> 00:18:50,729 | ||
1707 | August 1 of 2014. We're actually going | ||
1708 | |||
1709 | 428 | ||
1710 | 00:18:50,729 ~-~-> 00:18:54,299 | ||
1711 | to refer to date. Then, Sunday's | ||
1712 | |||
1713 | 429 | ||
1714 | 00:18:54,299 ~-~-> 00:18:57,059 | ||
1715 | opening, and then Monday's trading. And | ||
1716 | |||
1717 | 430 | ||
1718 | 00:18:57,059 ~-~-> 00:18:59,399 | ||
1719 | then, Tuesday's trading, and then | ||
1720 | |||
1721 | 431 | ||
1722 | 00:18:59,399 ~-~-> 00:19:01,109 | ||
1723 | today's Wednesday. Bass trading, okay, | ||
1724 | |||
1725 | 432 | ||
1726 | 00:19:01,229 ~-~-> 00:19:03,029 | ||
1727 | and the time of this recording is the | ||
1728 | |||
1729 | 433 | ||
1730 | 00:19:03,029 ~-~-> 00:19:06,809 | ||
1731 | sixth of August. And let's take a look | ||
1732 | |||
1733 | 434 | ||
1734 | 00:19:06,839 ~-~-> 00:19:09,749 | ||
1735 | at what that looks like in reference to | ||
1736 | |||
1737 | 435 | ||
1738 | 00:19:09,749 ~-~-> 00:19:14,819 | ||
1739 | the cable. We're going to zoom in and | ||
1740 | |||
1741 | 436 | ||
1742 | 00:19:14,819 ~-~-> 00:19:16,529 | ||
1743 | make you really understand what's going | ||
1744 | |||
1745 | 437 | ||
1746 | 00:19:16,529 ~-~-> 00:19:18,179 | ||
1747 | on and how to incorporate this | ||
1748 | |||
1749 | 438 | ||
1750 | 00:19:18,179 ~-~-> 00:19:20,819 | ||
1751 | information. Okay, so we have this is | ||
1752 | |||
1753 | 439 | ||
1754 | 00:19:20,819 ~-~-> 00:19:22,289 | ||
1755 | Wednesday's trading is the daily chart | ||
1756 | |||
1757 | 440 | ||
1758 | 00:19:22,289 ~-~-> 00:19:24,899 | ||
1759 | of the British Pound USD. This is | ||
1760 | |||
1761 | 441 | ||
1762 | 00:19:24,929 ~-~-> 00:19:27,359 | ||
1763 | Tuesday's trading, Monday's trading. | ||
1764 | |||
1765 | 442 | ||
1766 | 00:19:29,849 ~-~-> 00:19:32,279 | ||
1767 | Sunday's trading. Friday's trading. | ||
1768 | |||
1769 | 443 | ||
1770 | 00:19:32,609 ~-~-> 00:19:38,999 | ||
1771 | Okay, so in here we have price. We draw | ||
1772 | |||
1773 | 444 | ||
1774 | 00:19:38,999 ~-~-> 00:19:43,139 | ||
1775 | a little line here. Okay, right in here. | ||
1776 | |||
1777 | 445 | ||
1778 | 00:19:45,719 ~-~-> 00:19:46,559 | ||
1779 | This level | ||
1780 | |||
1781 | 446 | ||
1782 | 00:19:52,830 ~-~-> 00:19:56,430 | ||
1783 | Good grief work with me here. Okay. | ||
1784 | |||
1785 | 447 | ||
1786 | 00:19:58,440 ~-~-> 00:20:01,110 | ||
1787 | Wednesday, Tuesday. Monday Sunday | ||
1788 | |||
1789 | 448 | ||
1790 | 00:20:01,110 ~-~-> 00:20:05,910 | ||
1791 | Friday, okay, right in here this down | ||
1792 | |||
1793 | 449 | ||
1794 | 00:20:05,910 ~-~-> 00:20:07,920 | ||
1795 | move this down move right in here | ||
1796 | |||
1797 | 450 | ||
1798 | 00:20:08,700 ~-~-> 00:20:13,170 | ||
1799 | correlates with the previous week. Okay | ||
1800 | |||
1801 | 451 | ||
1802 | 00:20:13,170 ~-~-> 00:20:16,740 | ||
1803 | the previous week in the dollar right | ||
1804 | |||
1805 | 452 | ||
1806 | 00:20:16,740 ~-~-> 00:20:19,050 | ||
1807 | here when price came down right in here | ||
1808 | |||
1809 | 453 | ||
1810 | 00:20:19,920 ~-~-> 00:20:22,740 | ||
1811 | that began the hunting ground if you | ||
1812 | |||
1813 | 454 | ||
1814 | 00:20:22,740 ~-~-> 00:20:24,510 | ||
1815 | will, to start looking for sell | ||
1816 | |||
1817 | 455 | ||
1818 | 00:20:24,510 ~-~-> 00:20:27,240 | ||
1819 | scenarios in the cable and fiber and | ||
1820 | |||
1821 | 456 | ||
1822 | 00:20:27,240 ~-~-> 00:20:28,680 | ||
1823 | other currencies as well any foreign | ||
1824 | |||
1825 | 457 | ||
1826 | 00:20:28,680 ~-~-> 00:20:31,890 | ||
1827 | currency okay against the dollar. If | ||
1828 | |||
1829 | 458 | ||
1830 | 00:20:31,920 ~-~-> 00:20:34,650 | ||
1831 | it's front currency for instance, go | ||
1832 | |||
1833 | 459 | ||
1834 | 00:20:34,650 ~-~-> 00:20:36,870 | ||
1835 | back to the cable. Look up here get the | ||
1836 | |||
1837 | 460 | ||
1838 | 00:20:36,870 ~-~-> 00:20:39,300 | ||
1839 | British Pound USD, if we're expecting | ||
1840 | |||
1841 | 461 | ||
1842 | 00:20:39,300 ~-~-> 00:20:42,390 | ||
1843 | the USD or dollar to rally, okay if the | ||
1844 | |||
1845 | 462 | ||
1846 | 00:20:42,390 ~-~-> 00:20:44,190 | ||
1847 | currency is before the USD in the | ||
1848 | |||
1849 | 463 | ||
1850 | 00:20:44,190 ~-~-> 00:20:45,990 | ||
1851 | pairing, okay, like in this case for | ||
1852 | |||
1853 | 464 | ||
1854 | 00:20:45,990 ~-~-> 00:20:48,960 | ||
1855 | this major, the British Pound should do | ||
1856 | |||
1857 | 465 | ||
1858 | 00:20:48,960 ~-~-> 00:20:50,490 | ||
1859 | what it should decline if the dollar is | ||
1860 | |||
1861 | 466 | ||
1862 | 00:20:50,490 ~-~-> 00:20:52,050 | ||
1863 | going to go up to British pounds gonna | ||
1864 | |||
1865 | 467 | ||
1866 | 00:20:52,050 ~-~-> 00:20:54,870 | ||
1867 | drop so if the front currency in this | ||
1868 | |||
1869 | 468 | ||
1870 | 00:20:54,870 ~-~-> 00:20:56,520 | ||
1871 | case is the British pound, you're going | ||
1872 | |||
1873 | 469 | ||
1874 | 00:20:56,520 ~-~-> 00:20:59,970 | ||
1875 | to see selling pressure if the dollar | ||
1876 | |||
1877 | 470 | ||
1878 | 00:21:00,450 ~-~-> 00:21:04,080 | ||
1879 | Find some support here. Okay. Now what | ||
1880 | |||
1881 | 471 | ||
1882 | 00:21:04,080 ~-~-> 00:21:05,310 | ||
1883 | we're going to do is we're going to zoom | ||
1884 | |||
1885 | 472 | ||
1886 | 00:21:05,310 ~-~-> 00:21:07,650 | ||
1887 | in on this day and we're going to, we're | ||
1888 | |||
1889 | 473 | ||
1890 | 00:21:07,650 ~-~-> 00:21:08,760 | ||
1891 | going to look at the relationship | ||
1892 | |||
1893 | 474 | ||
1894 | 00:21:08,760 ~-~-> 00:21:10,440 | ||
1895 | between the two. Okay? And we're going | ||
1896 | |||
1897 | 475 | ||
1898 | 00:21:10,440 ~-~-> 00:21:12,840 | ||
1899 | to really judge with X ray view, is | ||
1900 | |||
1901 | 476 | ||
1902 | 00:21:12,840 ~-~-> 00:21:15,780 | ||
1903 | there really risk on risk off scenarios | ||
1904 | |||
1905 | 477 | ||
1906 | 00:21:15,840 ~-~-> 00:21:18,180 | ||
1907 | underway. Okay, and now explain it as we | ||
1908 | |||
1909 | 478 | ||
1910 | 00:21:18,180 ~-~-> 00:21:24,960 | ||
1911 | get to it. Let's go over to a 15 minute | ||
1912 | |||
1913 | 479 | ||
1914 | 00:21:24,960 ~-~-> 00:21:28,530 | ||
1915 | timeframe. And we'll zoom out a little | ||
1916 | |||
1917 | 480 | ||
1918 | 00:21:28,530 ~-~-> 00:21:35,760 | ||
1919 | bit. A little bit more net and let's | ||
1920 | |||
1921 | 481 | ||
1922 | 00:21:35,760 ~-~-> 00:21:38,010 | ||
1923 | take this scroll off because it's gonna | ||
1924 | |||
1925 | 482 | ||
1926 | 00:21:39,510 ~-~-> 00:21:44,340 | ||
1927 | mess with me. Alright, so here we have | ||
1928 | |||
1929 | 483 | ||
1930 | 00:21:44,490 ~-~-> 00:21:46,260 | ||
1931 | price trading lower and let's take | ||
1932 | |||
1933 | 484 | ||
1934 | 00:21:46,260 ~-~-> 00:21:48,990 | ||
1935 | these. This is Sunday trading in here. | ||
1936 | |||
1937 | 485 | ||
1938 | 00:21:49,230 ~-~-> 00:21:51,420 | ||
1939 | This is previous week's Friday, and this | ||
1940 | |||
1941 | 486 | ||
1942 | 00:21:51,420 ~-~-> 00:21:53,640 | ||
1943 | is the new week Monday. Okay, so we have | ||
1944 | |||
1945 | 487 | ||
1946 | 00:21:53,640 ~-~-> 00:21:54,900 | ||
1947 | that in reference that can take this off | ||
1948 | |||
1949 | 488 | ||
1950 | 00:21:54,900 ~-~-> 00:21:59,100 | ||
1951 | now. In here, this down move in here, | ||
1952 | |||
1953 | 489 | ||
1954 | 00:21:59,100 ~-~-> 00:22:02,220 | ||
1955 | this sell signal Look what happens. You | ||
1956 | |||
1957 | 490 | ||
1958 | 00:22:02,220 ~-~-> 00:22:06,330 | ||
1959 | have a high, a low and a rally up. Okay? | ||
1960 | |||
1961 | 491 | ||
1962 | 00:22:06,660 ~-~-> 00:22:08,400 | ||
1963 | in here this is how we look for the | ||
1964 | |||
1965 | 492 | ||
1966 | 00:22:08,400 ~-~-> 00:22:11,010 | ||
1967 | patterns. When the scenarios poised to | ||
1968 | |||
1969 | 493 | ||
1970 | 00:22:11,010 ~-~-> 00:22:14,160 | ||
1971 | unfold with firmer dollar. We should see | ||
1972 | |||
1973 | 494 | ||
1974 | 00:22:14,160 ~-~-> 00:22:16,770 | ||
1975 | weaker prices in cable. Okay, we're in | ||
1976 | |||
1977 | 495 | ||
1978 | 00:22:16,770 ~-~-> 00:22:19,440 | ||
1979 | this case British Pound USD. When we | ||
1980 | |||
1981 | 496 | ||
1982 | 00:22:19,440 ~-~-> 00:22:21,150 | ||
1983 | have that environment what we'd start to | ||
1984 | |||
1985 | 497 | ||
1986 | 00:22:21,150 ~-~-> 00:22:24,390 | ||
1987 | do is we apply specifics like time of | ||
1988 | |||
1989 | 498 | ||
1990 | 00:22:24,390 ~-~-> 00:22:27,120 | ||
1991 | day, okay and here is the beginning of | ||
1992 | |||
1993 | 499 | ||
1994 | 00:22:27,120 ~-~-> 00:22:30,510 | ||
1995 | that day is zero GMT. This candles high | ||
1996 | |||
1997 | 500 | ||
1998 | 00:22:30,510 ~-~-> 00:22:35,190 | ||
1999 | right in here is eight GMT and at 815 | ||
2000 | |||
2001 | 501 | ||
2002 | 00:22:35,190 ~-~-> 00:22:36,690 | ||
2003 | GMT is actually the highest one right in | ||
2004 | |||
2005 | 502 | ||
2006 | 00:22:36,690 ~-~-> 00:22:40,770 | ||
2007 | here at 815 GMT. That is what I teach is | ||
2008 | |||
2009 | 503 | ||
2010 | 00:22:41,040 ~-~-> 00:22:45,330 | ||
2011 | the ICT London open kill zone. Okay now | ||
2012 | |||
2013 | 504 | ||
2014 | 00:22:45,330 ~-~-> 00:22:47,040 | ||
2015 | kill zone is a pocket of time typically | ||
2016 | |||
2017 | 505 | ||
2018 | 00:22:47,040 ~-~-> 00:22:48,930 | ||
2019 | about three hours long. London's a | ||
2020 | |||
2021 | 506 | ||
2022 | 00:22:48,930 ~-~-> 00:22:50,910 | ||
2023 | little bit wider because this is a lot | ||
2024 | |||
2025 | 507 | ||
2026 | 00:22:50,910 ~-~-> 00:22:52,230 | ||
2027 | of activity going on. So a lot of | ||
2028 | |||
2029 | 508 | ||
2030 | 00:22:52,230 ~-~-> 00:22:56,910 | ||
2031 | overlay from previous days. Trading from | ||
2032 | |||
2033 | 509 | ||
2034 | 00:22:56,910 ~-~-> 00:22:58,710 | ||
2035 | New York going into Asia, there's a lot | ||
2036 | |||
2037 | 510 | ||
2038 | 00:22:58,710 ~-~-> 00:23:00,300 | ||
2039 | of highs and lows to be retraced into | ||
2040 | |||
2041 | 511 | ||
2042 | 00:23:00,300 ~-~-> 00:23:01,950 | ||
2043 | maybe time maintains blown out during | ||
2044 | |||
2045 | 512 | ||
2046 | 00:23:01,950 ~-~-> 00:23:04,650 | ||
2047 | Frankfurt or early London open. And that | ||
2048 | |||
2049 | 513 | ||
2050 | 00:23:04,650 ~-~-> 00:23:06,600 | ||
2051 | will usually cause the daily higher low | ||
2052 | |||
2053 | 514 | ||
2054 | 00:23:06,600 ~-~-> 00:23:08,490 | ||
2055 | to form. Now in this case, obviously the | ||
2056 | |||
2057 | 515 | ||
2058 | 00:23:08,490 ~-~-> 00:23:10,800 | ||
2059 | highs a little bit earlier in, in during | ||
2060 | |||
2061 | 516 | ||
2062 | 00:23:10,800 ~-~-> 00:23:12,510 | ||
2063 | asian session, but nonetheless we have a | ||
2064 | |||
2065 | 517 | ||
2066 | 00:23:12,510 ~-~-> 00:23:16,110 | ||
2067 | very tradable high at the key timeframe | ||
2068 | |||
2069 | 518 | ||
2070 | 00:23:16,170 ~-~-> 00:23:19,050 | ||
2071 | of the ICT London open kill zone. Now | ||
2072 | |||
2073 | 519 | ||
2074 | 00:23:19,050 ~-~-> 00:23:24,960 | ||
2075 | again, my charts here are GMT obviously, | ||
2076 | |||
2077 | 520 | ||
2078 | 00:23:25,380 ~-~-> 00:23:31,980 | ||
2079 | but 70 GMT, which is equivalent to like | ||
2080 | |||
2081 | 521 | ||
2082 | 00:23:31,980 ~-~-> 00:23:36,960 | ||
2083 | 2am my time in New York. And nine GMT is | ||
2084 | |||
2085 | 522 | ||
2086 | 00:23:36,960 ~-~-> 00:23:41,040 | ||
2087 | like 4pm my time so between seven and | ||
2088 | |||
2089 | 523 | ||
2090 | 00:23:41,040 ~-~-> 00:23:43,770 | ||
2091 | nine GMT that's typically where your | ||
2092 | |||
2093 | 524 | ||
2094 | 00:23:43,770 ~-~-> 00:23:46,110 | ||
2095 | higher low during London really forms | ||
2096 | |||
2097 | 525 | ||
2098 | 00:23:46,140 ~-~-> 00:23:47,520 | ||
2099 | Okay, so if you really bracket out that | ||
2100 | |||
2101 | 526 | ||
2102 | 00:23:47,520 ~-~-> 00:23:50,370 | ||
2103 | much time, over a long sample size of | ||
2104 | |||
2105 | 527 | ||
2106 | 00:23:50,370 ~-~-> 00:23:52,890 | ||
2107 | data you're going to see multiple times | ||
2108 | |||
2109 | 528 | ||
2110 | 00:23:53,100 ~-~-> 00:23:54,600 | ||
2111 | per week you're going to see the higher | ||
2112 | |||
2113 | 529 | ||
2114 | 00:23:54,600 ~-~-> 00:23:56,490 | ||
2115 | low for that particular day will occur | ||
2116 | |||
2117 | 530 | ||
2118 | 00:23:56,520 ~-~-> 00:23:58,770 | ||
2119 | between those specific time posts, if | ||
2120 | |||
2121 | 531 | ||
2122 | 00:23:58,770 ~-~-> 00:24:00,000 | ||
2123 | you will. So if you've got started | ||
2124 | |||
2125 | 532 | ||
2126 | 00:24:00,000 ~-~-> 00:24:01,890 | ||
2127 | bracket out your time on your charts, | ||
2128 | |||
2129 | 533 | ||
2130 | 00:24:01,920 ~-~-> 00:24:03,540 | ||
2131 | you'll be able to do that and see very | ||
2132 | |||
2133 | 534 | ||
2134 | 00:24:03,540 ~-~-> 00:24:05,820 | ||
2135 | clearly when highs and lows form. Now | ||
2136 | |||
2137 | 535 | ||
2138 | 00:24:05,820 ~-~-> 00:24:08,010 | ||
2139 | what that understanding, okay, but then | ||
2140 | |||
2141 | 536 | ||
2142 | 00:24:08,010 ~-~-> 00:24:09,420 | ||
2143 | understanding we can start now | ||
2144 | |||
2145 | 537 | ||
2146 | 00:24:09,660 ~-~-> 00:24:13,590 | ||
2147 | increasing the level of accuracy by | ||
2148 | |||
2149 | 538 | ||
2150 | 00:24:13,590 ~-~-> 00:24:16,230 | ||
2151 | having this insight of risk on risk off. | ||
2152 | |||
2153 | 539 | ||
2154 | 00:24:17,370 ~-~-> 00:24:18,990 | ||
2155 | And what I'm going to do is now to add a | ||
2156 | |||
2157 | 540 | ||
2158 | 00:24:18,990 ~-~-> 00:24:24,420 | ||
2159 | period separator and what I'm going to | ||
2160 | |||
2161 | 541 | ||
2162 | 00:24:24,420 ~-~-> 00:24:27,690 | ||
2163 | do is I'm going to add it to five GMT. | ||
2164 | |||
2165 | 542 | ||
2166 | 00:24:28,380 ~-~-> 00:24:29,640 | ||
2167 | And what that's going to be is midnight | ||
2168 | |||
2169 | 543 | ||
2170 | 00:24:29,640 ~-~-> 00:24:33,840 | ||
2171 | to my my time, okay? And it's very, very | ||
2172 | |||
2173 | 544 | ||
2174 | 00:24:33,840 ~-~-> 00:24:35,550 | ||
2175 | light, I know but it's right here, this | ||
2176 | |||
2177 | 545 | ||
2178 | 00:24:35,550 ~-~-> 00:24:38,790 | ||
2179 | vertical line. Okay, and what I'll do is | ||
2180 | |||
2181 | 546 | ||
2182 | 00:24:38,790 ~-~-> 00:24:39,840 | ||
2183 | now I'm going to zoom in a little bit | ||
2184 | |||
2185 | 547 | ||
2186 | 00:24:39,900 ~-~-> 00:24:40,410 | ||
2187 | more. | ||
2188 | |||
2189 | 548 | ||
2190 | 00:24:44,100 ~-~-> 00:24:46,950 | ||
2191 | Right in here is Midnight in New York. | ||
2192 | |||
2193 | 549 | ||
2194 | 00:24:47,160 ~-~-> 00:24:50,130 | ||
2195 | Now that's what I call the new day. Now | ||
2196 | |||
2197 | 550 | ||
2198 | 00:24:50,130 ~-~-> 00:24:51,420 | ||
2199 | obviously, there's trading prior to | ||
2200 | |||
2201 | 551 | ||
2202 | 00:24:51,420 ~-~-> 00:24:53,160 | ||
2203 | that, okay, but I call that the asian | ||
2204 | |||
2205 | 552 | ||
2206 | 00:24:53,160 ~-~-> 00:24:56,160 | ||
2207 | session or Asian range. Asia goes a | ||
2208 | |||
2209 | 553 | ||
2210 | 00:24:56,160 ~-~-> 00:24:58,740 | ||
2211 | little bit farther, but obviously I look | ||
2212 | |||
2213 | 554 | ||
2214 | 00:24:58,740 ~-~-> 00:25:01,980 | ||
2215 | at this vertical line or delineation of | ||
2216 | |||
2217 | 555 | ||
2218 | 00:25:02,160 ~-~-> 00:25:03,930 | ||
2219 | midnight, New York as my beginning | ||
2220 | |||
2221 | 556 | ||
2222 | 00:25:03,930 ~-~-> 00:25:06,240 | ||
2223 | marker, it's this denotes the new day to | ||
2224 | |||
2225 | 557 | ||
2226 | 00:25:06,240 ~-~-> 00:25:09,060 | ||
2227 | me, what you'll want to see is if you're | ||
2228 | |||
2229 | 558 | ||
2230 | 00:25:09,060 ~-~-> 00:25:11,820 | ||
2231 | expecting, again, the dollar was at that | ||
2232 | |||
2233 | 559 | ||
2234 | 00:25:11,820 ~-~-> 00:25:15,420 | ||
2235 | time trading at a support level, okay, | ||
2236 | |||
2237 | 560 | ||
2238 | 00:25:15,420 ~-~-> 00:25:17,070 | ||
2239 | or what we would expect to see support. | ||
2240 | |||
2241 | 561 | ||
2242 | 00:25:17,190 ~-~-> 00:25:18,720 | ||
2243 | So that would be a risk off scenario | ||
2244 | |||
2245 | 562 | ||
2246 | 00:25:18,720 ~-~-> 00:25:20,700 | ||
2247 | dollar rally in foreign currencies going | ||
2248 | |||
2249 | 563 | ||
2250 | 00:25:20,700 ~-~-> 00:25:22,920 | ||
2251 | lower. What we'll expect, what you'll | ||
2252 | |||
2253 | 564 | ||
2254 | 00:25:22,920 ~-~-> 00:25:25,050 | ||
2255 | expect to see happen is specific times | ||
2256 | |||
2257 | 565 | ||
2258 | 00:25:25,050 ~-~-> 00:25:27,780 | ||
2259 | of the day will translate into setups, | ||
2260 | |||
2261 | 566 | ||
2262 | 00:25:27,930 ~-~-> 00:25:30,630 | ||
2263 | okay? You have a key high here, okay, | ||
2264 | |||
2265 | 567 | ||
2266 | 00:25:30,630 ~-~-> 00:25:32,370 | ||
2267 | little, little short term swing high in | ||
2268 | |||
2269 | 568 | ||
2270 | 00:25:32,370 ~-~-> 00:25:35,400 | ||
2271 | here. Watch what happens when you take | ||
2272 | |||
2273 | 569 | ||
2274 | 00:25:35,400 ~-~-> 00:25:38,640 | ||
2275 | your fib and the low prior to this | ||
2276 | |||
2277 | 570 | ||
2278 | 00:25:38,670 ~-~-> 00:25:40,590 | ||
2279 | vertical line here. You what you're | ||
2280 | |||
2281 | 571 | ||
2282 | 00:25:40,590 ~-~-> 00:25:42,000 | ||
2283 | going to be expecting is you want to see | ||
2284 | |||
2285 | 572 | ||
2286 | 00:25:42,000 ~-~-> 00:25:44,160 | ||
2287 | a rally. Okay, you want to see a rally | ||
2288 | |||
2289 | 573 | ||
2290 | 00:25:44,160 ~-~-> 00:25:47,040 | ||
2291 | after midnight New York, because that | ||
2292 | |||
2293 | 574 | ||
2294 | 00:25:47,040 ~-~-> 00:25:50,130 | ||
2295 | rally is the sucker play, that neophyte | ||
2296 | |||
2297 | 575 | ||
2298 | 00:25:50,130 ~-~-> 00:25:53,280 | ||
2299 | traders get lulled into believing that | ||
2300 | |||
2301 | 576 | ||
2302 | 00:25:53,280 ~-~-> 00:25:55,650 | ||
2303 | this is a buying opportunity. Okay, and | ||
2304 | |||
2305 | 577 | ||
2306 | 00:25:55,650 ~-~-> 00:25:57,360 | ||
2307 | let's zoom in a little bit more just for | ||
2308 | |||
2309 | 578 | ||
2310 | 00:25:57,360 ~-~-> 00:26:02,460 | ||
2311 | clarity. Yeah, right, yeah. So we have | ||
2312 | |||
2313 | 579 | ||
2314 | 00:26:02,460 ~-~-> 00:26:04,980 | ||
2315 | this high here and the low prior to the | ||
2316 | |||
2317 | 580 | ||
2318 | 00:26:04,980 ~-~-> 00:26:08,760 | ||
2319 | move going up. Now move up at the New | ||
2320 | |||
2321 | 581 | ||
2322 | 00:26:08,760 ~-~-> 00:26:11,040 | ||
2323 | York, midnight time, which is five GMT. | ||
2324 | |||
2325 | 582 | ||
2326 | 00:26:12,210 ~-~-> 00:26:13,980 | ||
2327 | Again, easiest way for you guys to do is | ||
2328 | |||
2329 | 583 | ||
2330 | 00:26:13,980 ~-~-> 00:26:16,620 | ||
2331 | set a clock of some shape or form in | ||
2332 | |||
2333 | 584 | ||
2334 | 00:26:16,620 ~-~-> 00:26:18,210 | ||
2335 | where you're at as a trader, okay, put | ||
2336 | |||
2337 | 585 | ||
2338 | 00:26:18,210 ~-~-> 00:26:19,440 | ||
2339 | an extra computer, put it on your | ||
2340 | |||
2341 | 586 | ||
2342 | 00:26:19,440 ~-~-> 00:26:21,390 | ||
2343 | computer, put it on your phone, put it | ||
2344 | |||
2345 | 587 | ||
2346 | 00:26:21,390 ~-~-> 00:26:22,530 | ||
2347 | somewhere, whenever you're watching my | ||
2348 | |||
2349 | 588 | ||
2350 | 00:26:22,530 ~-~-> 00:26:24,480 | ||
2351 | videos, or when you start watching my | ||
2352 | |||
2353 | 589 | ||
2354 | 00:26:24,480 ~-~-> 00:26:25,710 | ||
2355 | live sessions, when we start doing this | ||
2356 | |||
2357 | 590 | ||
2358 | 00:26:25,710 ~-~-> 00:26:27,720 | ||
2359 | stuff over the shoulder, you'll it'll | ||
2360 | |||
2361 | 591 | ||
2362 | 00:26:27,720 ~-~-> 00:26:28,920 | ||
2363 | obviously make a whole lot more sense | ||
2364 | |||
2365 | 592 | ||
2366 | 00:26:29,010 ~-~-> 00:26:30,360 | ||
2367 | because you'll see it but if you can't | ||
2368 | |||
2369 | 593 | ||
2370 | 00:26:30,360 ~-~-> 00:26:31,620 | ||
2371 | watch the live sessions as they're | ||
2372 | |||
2373 | 594 | ||
2374 | 00:26:31,620 ~-~-> 00:26:32,550 | ||
2375 | occurring, when you watch the | ||
2376 | |||
2377 | 595 | ||
2378 | 00:26:32,550 ~-~-> 00:26:34,560 | ||
2379 | recordings, it's not gonna make any | ||
2380 | |||
2381 | 596 | ||
2382 | 00:26:34,560 ~-~-> 00:26:36,330 | ||
2383 | sense to you unless you have the exact | ||
2384 | |||
2385 | 597 | ||
2386 | 00:26:36,330 ~-~-> 00:26:38,580 | ||
2387 | times lined up with your charts. And if | ||
2388 | |||
2389 | 598 | ||
2390 | 00:26:38,580 ~-~-> 00:26:40,890 | ||
2391 | you only do one or two trading sessions | ||
2392 | |||
2393 | 599 | ||
2394 | 00:26:40,890 ~-~-> 00:26:42,720 | ||
2395 | in London per week, if you trade like | ||
2396 | |||
2397 | 600 | ||
2398 | 00:26:42,720 ~-~-> 00:26:43,800 | ||
2399 | this, that's all you need. You don't | ||
2400 | |||
2401 | 601 | ||
2402 | 00:26:43,800 ~-~-> 00:26:46,290 | ||
2403 | need to do every single day. But we're | ||
2404 | |||
2405 | 602 | ||
2406 | 00:26:46,290 ~-~-> 00:26:48,330 | ||
2407 | understanding that we are in an | ||
2408 | |||
2409 | 603 | ||
2410 | 00:26:48,330 ~-~-> 00:26:50,940 | ||
2411 | environment where cable or British Pound | ||
2412 | |||
2413 | 604 | ||
2414 | 00:26:50,940 ~-~-> 00:26:54,060 | ||
2415 | USD should decline if the dollar is | ||
2416 | |||
2417 | 605 | ||
2418 | 00:26:54,060 ~-~-> 00:26:56,610 | ||
2419 | going to find some support. Okay? Now | ||
2420 | |||
2421 | 606 | ||
2422 | 00:26:56,640 ~-~-> 00:26:58,500 | ||
2423 | what will happen is you'll see the price | ||
2424 | |||
2425 | 607 | ||
2426 | 00:26:58,500 ~-~-> 00:27:03,810 | ||
2427 | rally up After Midnight now when will | ||
2428 | |||
2429 | 608 | ||
2430 | 00:27:03,810 ~-~-> 00:27:06,300 | ||
2431 | the signal occur as it starts to rally | ||
2432 | |||
2433 | 609 | ||
2434 | 00:27:06,330 ~-~-> 00:27:08,580 | ||
2435 | we understand that looking at price | ||
2436 | |||
2437 | 610 | ||
2438 | 00:27:08,580 ~-~-> 00:27:10,170 | ||
2439 | moving the opposite direction is optimal | ||
2440 | |||
2441 | 611 | ||
2442 | 00:27:10,170 ~-~-> 00:27:12,540 | ||
2443 | for entry. You can see that price just | ||
2444 | |||
2445 | 612 | ||
2446 | 00:27:12,540 ~-~-> 00:27:13,830 | ||
2447 | fell short of the setting I'm certain | ||
2448 | |||
2449 | 613 | ||
2450 | 00:27:13,830 ~-~-> 00:27:15,510 | ||
2451 | treatment level right in here didn't | ||
2452 | |||
2453 | 614 | ||
2454 | 00:27:15,510 ~-~-> 00:27:17,250 | ||
2455 | quite get there the high on that candle. | ||
2456 | |||
2457 | 615 | ||
2458 | 00:27:17,610 ~-~-> 00:27:20,190 | ||
2459 | It's just a pip below where the actual | ||
2460 | |||
2461 | 616 | ||
2462 | 00:27:20,190 ~-~-> 00:27:22,230 | ||
2463 | setting onset and retracement level is. | ||
2464 | |||
2465 | 617 | ||
2466 | 00:27:22,770 ~-~-> 00:27:25,290 | ||
2467 | But look at the level of rejection once | ||
2468 | |||
2469 | 618 | ||
2470 | 00:27:25,290 ~-~-> 00:27:27,000 | ||
2471 | it gets that level boom takes off and | ||
2472 | |||
2473 | 619 | ||
2474 | 00:27:27,000 ~-~-> 00:27:29,460 | ||
2475 | trades the other direction. Okay. So by | ||
2476 | |||
2477 | 620 | ||
2478 | 00:27:29,460 ~-~-> 00:27:31,710 | ||
2479 | having this simple approach to using the | ||
2480 | |||
2481 | 621 | ||
2482 | 00:27:31,710 ~-~-> 00:27:33,810 | ||
2483 | fib and using the ICT optimal trade | ||
2484 | |||
2485 | 622 | ||
2486 | 00:27:33,810 ~-~-> 00:27:36,270 | ||
2487 | entry or ot E which is simply just | ||
2488 | |||
2489 | 623 | ||
2490 | 00:27:36,270 ~-~-> 00:27:38,970 | ||
2491 | looking for a minimum of 62% retracement | ||
2492 | |||
2493 | 624 | ||
2494 | 00:27:39,360 ~-~-> 00:27:41,490 | ||
2495 | as much as 79% retracement and looking | ||
2496 | |||
2497 | 625 | ||
2498 | 00:27:41,490 ~-~-> 00:27:43,320 | ||
2499 | ideally for the sweet spot which is | ||
2500 | |||
2501 | 626 | ||
2502 | 00:27:44,130 ~-~-> 00:27:46,890 | ||
2503 | basically you know the midpoint between | ||
2504 | |||
2505 | 627 | ||
2506 | 00:27:46,890 ~-~-> 00:27:50,250 | ||
2507 | 62 and 79. Now I do not use the | ||
2508 | |||
2509 | 628 | ||
2510 | 00:27:50,520 ~-~-> 00:27:55,500 | ||
2511 | classical 78.6 and 61.28 wherever I | ||
2512 | |||
2513 | 629 | ||
2514 | 00:27:55,500 ~-~-> 00:27:56,610 | ||
2515 | don't even know what they are okay, I | ||
2516 | |||
2517 | 630 | ||
2518 | 00:27:56,610 ~-~-> 00:27:57,990 | ||
2519 | don't really care that much. Okay to | ||
2520 | |||
2521 | 631 | ||
2522 | 00:27:57,990 ~-~-> 00:27:59,610 | ||
2523 | know what they are. I just make it very | ||
2524 | |||
2525 | 632 | ||
2526 | 00:27:59,610 ~-~-> 00:28:02,040 | ||
2527 | simple for Me, okay. And some can argue | ||
2528 | |||
2529 | 633 | ||
2530 | 00:28:02,040 ~-~-> 00:28:03,240 | ||
2531 | that, you know, this isn't as accurate | ||
2532 | |||
2533 | 634 | ||
2534 | 00:28:03,240 ~-~-> 00:28:05,970 | ||
2535 | as it should be. But, you know, | ||
2536 | |||
2537 | 635 | ||
2538 | 00:28:06,000 ~-~-> 00:28:07,560 | ||
2539 | whatever, whatever floats your boat. | ||
2540 | |||
2541 | 636 | ||
2542 | 00:28:07,680 ~-~-> 00:28:09,750 | ||
2543 | Bottom line is, is it does enough for | ||
2544 | |||
2545 | 637 | ||
2546 | 00:28:09,750 ~-~-> 00:28:12,030 | ||
2547 | me. And it makes it easier to teach it | ||
2548 | |||
2549 | 638 | ||
2550 | 00:28:12,120 ~-~-> 00:28:14,040 | ||
2551 | this way, and to my children, because | ||
2552 | |||
2553 | 639 | ||
2554 | 00:28:14,040 ~-~-> 00:28:18,690 | ||
2555 | really, you are just beneficiaries of | ||
2556 | |||
2557 | 640 | ||
2558 | 00:28:18,690 ~-~-> 00:28:20,190 | ||
2559 | the resources that I'm actually sharing | ||
2560 | |||
2561 | 641 | ||
2562 | 00:28:20,190 ~-~-> 00:28:21,990 | ||
2563 | with my children. So when I'm talking, | ||
2564 | |||
2565 | 642 | ||
2566 | 00:28:21,990 ~-~-> 00:28:24,720 | ||
2567 | I'm actually talking to my children that | ||
2568 | |||
2569 | 643 | ||
2570 | 00:28:24,720 ~-~-> 00:28:27,210 | ||
2571 | have them in mind. So if sometimes I | ||
2572 | |||
2573 | 644 | ||
2574 | 00:28:27,210 ~-~-> 00:28:29,430 | ||
2575 | come across, over simplifying things, | ||
2576 | |||
2577 | 645 | ||
2578 | 00:28:29,490 ~-~-> 00:28:30,810 | ||
2579 | that's the reason why because I'm | ||
2580 | |||
2581 | 646 | ||
2582 | 00:28:30,810 ~-~-> 00:28:32,760 | ||
2583 | talking to my children. So | ||
2584 | |||
2585 | 647 | ||
2586 | 00:28:34,530 ~-~-> 00:28:37,170 | ||
2587 | understand that I want this is easily | ||
2588 | |||
2589 | 648 | ||
2590 | 00:28:37,170 ~-~-> 00:28:39,990 | ||
2591 | digestible as possible for them. And if | ||
2592 | |||
2593 | 649 | ||
2594 | 00:28:39,990 ~-~-> 00:28:41,100 | ||
2595 | something happens to me, they'll have | ||
2596 | |||
2597 | 650 | ||
2598 | 00:28:41,100 ~-~-> 00:28:42,840 | ||
2599 | these resources to turn back to and | ||
2600 | |||
2601 | 651 | ||
2602 | 00:28:42,870 ~-~-> 00:28:43,860 | ||
2603 | they'll have everything that I have, | ||
2604 | |||
2605 | 652 | ||
2606 | 00:28:43,890 ~-~-> 00:28:45,780 | ||
2607 | hopefully in my mind translated through | ||
2608 | |||
2609 | 653 | ||
2610 | 00:28:46,140 ~-~-> 00:28:47,700 | ||
2611 | these references, these resources and | ||
2612 | |||
2613 | 654 | ||
2614 | 00:28:47,700 ~-~-> 00:28:51,570 | ||
2615 | reference points. But the rallying up | ||
2616 | |||
2617 | 655 | ||
2618 | 00:28:51,780 ~-~-> 00:28:53,940 | ||
2619 | okay, what makes it optimal is there's | ||
2620 | |||
2621 | 656 | ||
2622 | 00:28:54,000 ~-~-> 00:28:56,520 | ||
2623 | there's a large degree for price to not | ||
2624 | |||
2625 | 657 | ||
2626 | 00:28:56,550 ~-~-> 00:29:00,450 | ||
2627 | go very far. Once this free Markets | ||
2628 | |||
2629 | 658 | ||
2630 | 00:29:00,450 ~-~-> 00:29:01,740 | ||
2631 | established and what I mean by that, | ||
2632 | |||
2633 | 659 | ||
2634 | 00:29:02,070 ~-~-> 00:29:03,510 | ||
2635 | well if the dollar is poised to trade | ||
2636 | |||
2637 | 660 | ||
2638 | 00:29:03,510 ~-~-> 00:29:05,280 | ||
2639 | higher or we believe that the dollar | ||
2640 | |||
2641 | 661 | ||
2642 | 00:29:05,280 ~-~-> 00:29:08,070 | ||
2643 | will rally, okay, we want to look for | ||
2644 | |||
2645 | 662 | ||
2646 | 00:29:08,070 ~-~-> 00:29:10,650 | ||
2647 | ideally a sucker play or rally into you | ||
2648 | |||
2649 | 663 | ||
2650 | 00:29:10,650 ~-~-> 00:29:12,450 | ||
2651 | want to sell into this rally. I know it | ||
2652 | |||
2653 | 664 | ||
2654 | 00:29:12,450 ~-~-> 00:29:15,480 | ||
2655 | seems scary, okay? It will seem scary | ||
2656 | |||
2657 | 665 | ||
2658 | 00:29:15,480 ~-~-> 00:29:17,850 | ||
2659 | for a great number of weeks and months | ||
2660 | |||
2661 | 666 | ||
2662 | 00:29:17,880 ~-~-> 00:29:20,670 | ||
2663 | until you understand by desensitizing | ||
2664 | |||
2665 | 667 | ||
2666 | 00:29:20,670 ~-~-> 00:29:21,930 | ||
2667 | yourself over and over and over again | ||
2668 | |||
2669 | 668 | ||
2670 | 00:29:21,930 ~-~-> 00:29:22,830 | ||
2671 | doing the same thing over and over | ||
2672 | |||
2673 | 669 | ||
2674 | 00:29:22,830 ~-~-> 00:29:25,380 | ||
2675 | again, by drills and studying expecting | ||
2676 | |||
2677 | 670 | ||
2678 | 00:29:25,380 ~-~-> 00:29:27,450 | ||
2679 | price to do anticipating price. Not | ||
2680 | |||
2681 | 671 | ||
2682 | 00:29:27,450 ~-~-> 00:29:29,640 | ||
2683 | trading, not demo trading, okay, but | ||
2684 | |||
2685 | 672 | ||
2686 | 00:29:29,640 ~-~-> 00:29:31,860 | ||
2687 | just studying prices, okay? It should | ||
2688 | |||
2689 | 673 | ||
2690 | 00:29:31,860 ~-~-> 00:29:33,720 | ||
2691 | react at this level. It should do this | ||
2692 | |||
2693 | 674 | ||
2694 | 00:29:33,720 ~-~-> 00:29:35,310 | ||
2695 | today into the London session and it | ||
2696 | |||
2697 | 675 | ||
2698 | 00:29:35,310 ~-~-> 00:29:36,630 | ||
2699 | should do this going into New York. | ||
2700 | |||
2701 | 676 | ||
2702 | 00:29:36,810 ~-~-> 00:29:39,030 | ||
2703 | Having these ideas ahead of time will | ||
2704 | |||
2705 | 677 | ||
2706 | 00:29:39,030 ~-~-> 00:29:40,740 | ||
2707 | build your confidence and your | ||
2708 | |||
2709 | 678 | ||
2710 | 00:29:40,740 ~-~-> 00:29:42,780 | ||
2711 | anticipatory skills as a trader, which | ||
2712 | |||
2713 | 679 | ||
2714 | 00:29:42,780 ~-~-> 00:29:44,850 | ||
2715 | is essential. You cannot make money | ||
2716 | |||
2717 | 680 | ||
2718 | 00:29:44,850 ~-~-> 00:29:46,680 | ||
2719 | reacting to the price. Okay, you can't | ||
2720 | |||
2721 | 681 | ||
2722 | 00:29:46,680 ~-~-> 00:29:48,750 | ||
2723 | do that. You have to be anticipatory in | ||
2724 | |||
2725 | 682 | ||
2726 | 00:29:48,750 ~-~-> 00:29:51,300 | ||
2727 | nature as a trader. That way you can I | ||
2728 | |||
2729 | 683 | ||
2730 | 00:29:51,450 ~-~-> 00:29:53,640 | ||
2731 | identify when there's a most likely | ||
2732 | |||
2733 | 684 | ||
2734 | 00:29:54,630 ~-~-> 00:29:57,210 | ||
2735 | phenomenon to unfold, and what is that | ||
2736 | |||
2737 | 685 | ||
2738 | 00:29:57,210 ~-~-> 00:29:58,710 | ||
2739 | phenomena? How does it How does it | ||
2740 | |||
2741 | 686 | ||
2742 | 00:29:59,340 ~-~-> 00:30:00,600 | ||
2743 | repeat itself? What does it look like | ||
2744 | |||
2745 | 687 | ||
2746 | 00:30:00,600 ~-~-> 00:30:02,370 | ||
2747 | before you can identify a repeating | ||
2748 | |||
2749 | 688 | ||
2750 | 00:30:02,370 ~-~-> 00:30:03,450 | ||
2751 | pattern? And that's what we're showing | ||
2752 | |||
2753 | 689 | ||
2754 | 00:30:03,450 ~-~-> 00:30:06,720 | ||
2755 | here. The simple notion of looking for a | ||
2756 | |||
2757 | 690 | ||
2758 | 00:30:06,720 ~-~-> 00:30:09,450 | ||
2759 | rally up after midnight now why is this | ||
2760 | |||
2761 | 691 | ||
2762 | 00:30:09,450 ~-~-> 00:30:13,230 | ||
2763 | important? Okay, I taught a principle, | ||
2764 | |||
2765 | 692 | ||
2766 | 00:30:13,830 ~-~-> 00:30:16,080 | ||
2767 | which is I dubbed as the power three. | ||
2768 | |||
2769 | 693 | ||
2770 | 00:30:16,710 ~-~-> 00:30:18,330 | ||
2771 | And really what it is is a very simple | ||
2772 | |||
2773 | 694 | ||
2774 | 00:30:19,080 ~-~-> 00:30:28,950 | ||
2775 | idea on days that are up. So all since | ||
2776 | |||
2777 | 695 | ||
2778 | 00:30:28,950 ~-~-> 00:30:30,960 | ||
2779 | we're talking about a down move, let's | ||
2780 | |||
2781 | 696 | ||
2782 | 00:30:30,960 ~-~-> 00:30:35,100 | ||
2783 | work with that. If we look at a candle, | ||
2784 | |||
2785 | 697 | ||
2786 | 00:30:35,100 ~-~-> 00:30:36,570 | ||
2787 | and we're going to say this is a whole | ||
2788 | |||
2789 | 698 | ||
2790 | 00:30:36,660 ~-~-> 00:30:38,190 | ||
2791 | full daily range, okay. | ||
2792 | |||
2793 | 699 | ||
2794 | 00:30:39,450 ~-~-> 00:30:41,760 | ||
2795 | Against this graphic depiction of daily | ||
2796 | |||
2797 | 700 | ||
2798 | 00:30:41,760 ~-~-> 00:30:44,400 | ||
2799 | range, I'm not I'm not going to go to a | ||
2800 | |||
2801 | 701 | ||
2802 | 00:30:44,400 ~-~-> 00:30:46,020 | ||
2803 | daily chart and show it to you. But you | ||
2804 | |||
2805 | 702 | ||
2806 | 00:30:46,020 ~-~-> 00:30:48,090 | ||
2807 | will be able to see in in price action | ||
2808 | |||
2809 | 703 | ||
2810 | 00:30:48,090 ~-~-> 00:30:50,100 | ||
2811 | over here. Typically what'll happen is | ||
2812 | |||
2813 | 704 | ||
2814 | 00:30:50,100 ~-~-> 00:30:52,830 | ||
2815 | is price will open up. trade is very, | ||
2816 | |||
2817 | 705 | ||
2818 | 00:30:52,830 ~-~-> 00:30:54,930 | ||
2819 | very little bit above the opening price. | ||
2820 | |||
2821 | 706 | ||
2822 | 00:30:54,930 ~-~-> 00:30:56,280 | ||
2823 | Now, what's the opening price is going | ||
2824 | |||
2825 | 707 | ||
2826 | 00:30:56,280 ~-~-> 00:30:57,750 | ||
2827 | to be the question. Okay, well, there's | ||
2828 | |||
2829 | 708 | ||
2830 | 00:30:57,750 ~-~-> 00:30:59,610 | ||
2831 | two opening prices that I reference. | ||
2832 | |||
2833 | 709 | ||
2834 | 00:30:59,640 ~-~-> 00:31:03,060 | ||
2835 | It's the price at zero GMT and zero I'm | ||
2836 | |||
2837 | 710 | ||
2838 | 00:31:03,060 ~-~-> 00:31:05,520 | ||
2839 | sorry the opening price at five GMT both | ||
2840 | |||
2841 | 711 | ||
2842 | 00:31:05,520 ~-~-> 00:31:08,070 | ||
2843 | of those opening prices are sensitive to | ||
2844 | |||
2845 | 712 | ||
2846 | 00:31:08,070 ~-~-> 00:31:10,980 | ||
2847 | me as a trader I want to see what we do | ||
2848 | |||
2849 | 713 | ||
2850 | 00:31:10,980 ~-~-> 00:31:13,470 | ||
2851 | at those levels okay well how we trade | ||
2852 | |||
2853 | 714 | ||
2854 | 00:31:13,500 ~-~-> 00:31:16,620 | ||
2855 | at above and below is important to me if | ||
2856 | |||
2857 | 715 | ||
2858 | 00:31:16,620 ~-~-> 00:31:18,660 | ||
2859 | the context to my trading idea is the | ||
2860 | |||
2861 | 716 | ||
2862 | 00:31:18,660 ~-~-> 00:31:20,820 | ||
2863 | dollar is rallying okay or poised to | ||
2864 | |||
2865 | 717 | ||
2866 | 00:31:20,820 ~-~-> 00:31:23,160 | ||
2867 | rally I want to see obviously the | ||
2868 | |||
2869 | 718 | ||
2870 | 00:31:23,160 ~-~-> 00:31:26,280 | ||
2871 | opening price in New York midnight time | ||
2872 | |||
2873 | 719 | ||
2874 | 00:31:26,310 ~-~-> 00:31:28,560 | ||
2875 | okay. I don't like to trade during Asia | ||
2876 | |||
2877 | 720 | ||
2878 | 00:31:28,590 ~-~-> 00:31:31,110 | ||
2879 | you can and it's not my point to teach | ||
2880 | |||
2881 | 721 | ||
2882 | 00:31:31,110 ~-~-> 00:31:33,150 | ||
2883 | that in here. It is my point to teach | ||
2884 | |||
2885 | 722 | ||
2886 | 00:31:33,150 ~-~-> 00:31:35,400 | ||
2887 | you that from five GMT which is New York | ||
2888 | |||
2889 | 723 | ||
2890 | 00:31:35,430 ~-~-> 00:31:37,680 | ||
2891 | midnight time. From that point on if | ||
2892 | |||
2893 | 724 | ||
2894 | 00:31:37,680 ~-~-> 00:31:38,880 | ||
2895 | we're poised to trade higher in the | ||
2896 | |||
2897 | 725 | ||
2898 | 00:31:38,880 ~-~-> 00:31:40,950 | ||
2899 | dollar, you're going to expect or | ||
2900 | |||
2901 | 726 | ||
2902 | 00:31:40,950 ~-~-> 00:31:43,410 | ||
2903 | anticipate higher price rallies after | ||
2904 | |||
2905 | 727 | ||
2906 | 00:31:43,410 ~-~-> 00:31:46,380 | ||
2907 | midnight in the foreign currencies like | ||
2908 | |||
2909 | 728 | ||
2910 | 00:31:46,470 ~-~-> 00:31:48,630 | ||
2911 | for instance, the cable here the British | ||
2912 | |||
2913 | 729 | ||
2914 | 00:31:48,630 ~-~-> 00:31:49,950 | ||
2915 | pounds should rally when we see that | ||
2916 | |||
2917 | 730 | ||
2918 | 00:31:49,950 ~-~-> 00:31:51,900 | ||
2919 | rally we do not chase that thinking it's | ||
2920 | |||
2921 | 731 | ||
2922 | 00:31:51,900 ~-~-> 00:31:54,450 | ||
2923 | going to go higher. We look for this we | ||
2924 | |||
2925 | 732 | ||
2926 | 00:31:54,450 ~-~-> 00:31:56,970 | ||
2927 | are we are happy to see this okay. | ||
2928 | |||
2929 | 733 | ||
2930 | 00:31:57,180 ~-~-> 00:31:59,010 | ||
2931 | emotions can be a permitted here because | ||
2932 | |||
2933 | 734 | ||
2934 | 00:31:59,010 ~-~-> 00:32:01,080 | ||
2935 | we are expecting this Unfold, and it | ||
2936 | |||
2937 | 735 | ||
2938 | 00:32:01,080 ~-~-> 00:32:03,030 | ||
2939 | does unfold. Okay. So that's where | ||
2940 | |||
2941 | 736 | ||
2942 | 00:32:03,030 ~-~-> 00:32:06,060 | ||
2943 | emotions are acceptable, we expect this, | ||
2944 | |||
2945 | 737 | ||
2946 | 00:32:06,360 ~-~-> 00:32:08,520 | ||
2947 | this phenomenon to take place, we do not | ||
2948 | |||
2949 | 738 | ||
2950 | 00:32:08,520 ~-~-> 00:32:09,810 | ||
2951 | get excited about taking trades we do | ||
2952 | |||
2953 | 739 | ||
2954 | 00:32:09,810 ~-~-> 00:32:11,250 | ||
2955 | not get excited about over leveraging we | ||
2956 | |||
2957 | 740 | ||
2958 | 00:32:11,250 ~-~-> 00:32:13,530 | ||
2959 | do not expect about anticipate making | ||
2960 | |||
2961 | 741 | ||
2962 | 00:32:13,530 ~-~-> 00:32:15,300 | ||
2963 | money and getting excited about that we | ||
2964 | |||
2965 | 742 | ||
2966 | 00:32:15,300 ~-~-> 00:32:16,950 | ||
2967 | are looking for the phenomenon to | ||
2968 | |||
2969 | 743 | ||
2970 | 00:32:16,950 ~-~-> 00:32:18,930 | ||
2971 | repeat, and then growing in confidence | ||
2972 | |||
2973 | 744 | ||
2974 | 00:32:18,930 ~-~-> 00:32:20,580 | ||
2975 | by seeing this occur over and over | ||
2976 | |||
2977 | 745 | ||
2978 | 00:32:20,580 ~-~-> 00:32:22,560 | ||
2979 | again. But back to our analysis over | ||
2980 | |||
2981 | 746 | ||
2982 | 00:32:22,560 ~-~-> 00:32:25,710 | ||
2983 | here. Understanding that initially, | ||
2984 | |||
2985 | 747 | ||
2986 | 00:32:26,040 ~-~-> 00:32:27,720 | ||
2987 | price will open up and we'll say that | ||
2988 | |||
2989 | 748 | ||
2990 | 00:32:27,720 ~-~-> 00:32:30,330 | ||
2991 | the low this portion of this of this box | ||
2992 | |||
2993 | 749 | ||
2994 | 00:32:30,330 ~-~-> 00:32:31,620 | ||
2995 | is going to be representing the opening | ||
2996 | |||
2997 | 750 | ||
2998 | 00:32:31,620 ~-~-> 00:32:34,650 | ||
2999 | price at the vertical line delineating | ||
3000 | |||
3001 | 751 | ||
3002 | 00:32:34,920 ~-~-> 00:32:38,190 | ||
3003 | Midnight in New York. Okay, price will | ||
3004 | |||
3005 | 752 | ||
3006 | 00:32:38,190 ~-~-> 00:32:40,200 | ||
3007 | open and then whatever it does above the | ||
3008 | |||
3009 | 753 | ||
3010 | 00:32:40,200 ~-~-> 00:32:42,270 | ||
3011 | opening, that's what's important to us. | ||
3012 | |||
3013 | 754 | ||
3014 | 00:32:42,660 ~-~-> 00:32:44,640 | ||
3015 | That's where the signal takes place. The | ||
3016 | |||
3017 | 755 | ||
3018 | 00:32:44,640 ~-~-> 00:32:47,280 | ||
3019 | sell signal will occur above the opening | ||
3020 | |||
3021 | 756 | ||
3022 | 00:32:47,280 ~-~-> 00:32:49,530 | ||
3023 | price. So anything at the opening price | ||
3024 | |||
3025 | 757 | ||
3026 | 00:32:49,530 ~-~-> 00:32:52,260 | ||
3027 | or above that is our selling killing | ||
3028 | |||
3029 | 758 | ||
3030 | 00:32:52,260 ~-~-> 00:32:53,940 | ||
3031 | ground. Okay, the killing ground is | ||
3032 | |||
3033 | 759 | ||
3034 | 00:32:54,000 ~-~-> 00:32:56,640 | ||
3035 | above the opening price. We want to see | ||
3036 | |||
3037 | 760 | ||
3038 | 00:32:56,910 ~-~-> 00:32:58,890 | ||
3039 | that initial little move up above the | ||
3040 | |||
3041 | 761 | ||
3042 | 00:32:58,890 ~-~-> 00:33:00,540 | ||
3043 | opening price Now why is that? Important | ||
3044 | |||
3045 | 762 | ||
3046 | 00:33:00,540 ~-~-> 00:33:02,700 | ||
3047 | mark, because my mentor Larry Williams | ||
3048 | |||
3049 | 763 | ||
3050 | 00:33:02,700 ~-~-> 00:33:05,190 | ||
3051 | said, he wishes he understood how people | ||
3052 | |||
3053 | 764 | ||
3054 | 00:33:05,190 ~-~-> 00:33:07,410 | ||
3055 | could sell up in that upper portion of | ||
3056 | |||
3057 | 765 | ||
3058 | 00:33:07,410 ~-~-> 00:33:09,000 | ||
3059 | daily range and then capture the big | ||
3060 | |||
3061 | 766 | ||
3062 | 00:33:09,000 ~-~-> 00:33:11,430 | ||
3063 | move going lower. Well, if he says he | ||
3064 | |||
3065 | 767 | ||
3066 | 00:33:11,430 ~-~-> 00:33:12,930 | ||
3067 | couldn't do it, I took that as more or | ||
3068 | |||
3069 | 768 | ||
3070 | 00:33:12,930 ~-~-> 00:33:14,850 | ||
3071 | less a challenge that hey, if he can't | ||
3072 | |||
3073 | 769 | ||
3074 | 00:33:14,850 ~-~-> 00:33:17,520 | ||
3075 | do it, I'm gonna see if I can. And I've | ||
3076 | |||
3077 | 770 | ||
3078 | 00:33:17,520 ~-~-> 00:33:20,460 | ||
3079 | spent the last 20 years trying to master | ||
3080 | |||
3081 | 771 | ||
3082 | 00:33:20,460 ~-~-> 00:33:24,090 | ||
3083 | if you will, that very thing and I have | ||
3084 | |||
3085 | 772 | ||
3086 | 00:33:24,090 ~-~-> 00:33:26,190 | ||
3087 | done very well and in terms of getting | ||
3088 | |||
3089 | 773 | ||
3090 | 00:33:26,190 ~-~-> 00:33:29,010 | ||
3091 | very close to deciphering it. I haven't | ||
3092 | |||
3093 | 774 | ||
3094 | 00:33:29,160 ~-~-> 00:33:31,500 | ||
3095 | quite figured it all out yet. But what I | ||
3096 | |||
3097 | 775 | ||
3098 | 00:33:31,500 ~-~-> 00:33:33,780 | ||
3099 | figured out enough, okay is to make a | ||
3100 | |||
3101 | 776 | ||
3102 | 00:33:33,900 ~-~-> 00:33:36,630 | ||
3103 | really wicked living. It's crazy how | ||
3104 | |||
3105 | 777 | ||
3106 | 00:33:36,630 ~-~-> 00:33:39,210 | ||
3107 | much money is available, but in here in | ||
3108 | |||
3109 | 778 | ||
3110 | 00:33:39,210 ~-~-> 00:33:41,340 | ||
3111 | the red portion, the box, okay, this is | ||
3112 | |||
3113 | 779 | ||
3114 | 00:33:41,340 ~-~-> 00:33:43,140 | ||
3115 | going to equate where the sell signal | ||
3116 | |||
3117 | 780 | ||
3118 | 00:33:43,140 ~-~-> 00:33:44,280 | ||
3119 | occurs and we'll talk more about that in | ||
3120 | |||
3121 | 781 | ||
3122 | 00:33:44,280 ~-~-> 00:33:46,020 | ||
3123 | a minute. But your idea is you want to | ||
3124 | |||
3125 | 782 | ||
3126 | 00:33:46,080 ~-~-> 00:33:48,780 | ||
3127 | be selling on a down day or anticipatory | ||
3128 | |||
3129 | 783 | ||
3130 | 00:33:49,560 ~-~-> 00:33:51,960 | ||
3131 | sell selling scenario. Okay, you want to | ||
3132 | |||
3133 | 784 | ||
3134 | 00:33:51,960 ~-~-> 00:33:53,550 | ||
3135 | be getting in here trying to find a sell | ||
3136 | |||
3137 | 785 | ||
3138 | 00:33:53,550 ~-~-> 00:33:56,760 | ||
3139 | signal. Okay. And once you get in it, | ||
3140 | |||
3141 | 786 | ||
3142 | 00:33:56,760 ~-~-> 00:33:59,970 | ||
3143 | you want to anticipate the daily range | ||
3144 | |||
3145 | 787 | ||
3146 | 00:34:00,000 ~-~-> 00:34:02,160 | ||
3147 | Expanding now it'll go up and down | ||
3148 | |||
3149 | 788 | ||
3150 | 00:34:02,160 ~-~-> 00:34:04,140 | ||
3151 | intraday. But as we make a lower low, | ||
3152 | |||
3153 | 789 | ||
3154 | 00:34:04,410 ~-~-> 00:34:06,630 | ||
3155 | that's the daily low intraday. And as it | ||
3156 | |||
3157 | 790 | ||
3158 | 00:34:06,630 ~-~-> 00:34:08,580 | ||
3159 | retraces it'll main times blow through | ||
3160 | |||
3161 | 791 | ||
3162 | 00:34:08,580 ~-~-> 00:34:10,770 | ||
3163 | that new low. And as it retraces again, | ||
3164 | |||
3165 | 792 | ||
3166 | 00:34:10,770 ~-~-> 00:34:13,050 | ||
3167 | it'll blow down lower low and eventually | ||
3168 | |||
3169 | 793 | ||
3170 | 00:34:13,050 ~-~-> 00:34:15,960 | ||
3171 | what will happen is around London close, | ||
3172 | |||
3173 | 794 | ||
3174 | 00:34:16,080 ~-~-> 00:34:17,280 | ||
3175 | okay, which is again, we're gonna | ||
3176 | |||
3177 | 795 | ||
3178 | 00:34:17,280 ~-~-> 00:34:19,800 | ||
3179 | reference New York time, from 10 o'clock | ||
3180 | |||
3181 | 796 | ||
3182 | 00:34:19,800 ~-~-> 00:34:23,160 | ||
3183 | in the morning to noon. Okay, New York | ||
3184 | |||
3185 | 797 | ||
3186 | 00:34:23,160 ~-~-> 00:34:26,280 | ||
3187 | time. That's typically what I classify | ||
3188 | |||
3189 | 798 | ||
3190 | 00:34:26,280 ~-~-> 00:34:28,620 | ||
3191 | as like the London close timeframe. So | ||
3192 | |||
3193 | 799 | ||
3194 | 00:34:28,620 ~-~-> 00:34:31,350 | ||
3195 | the, if we're in a down day, the low of | ||
3196 | |||
3197 | 800 | ||
3198 | 00:34:31,350 ~-~-> 00:34:34,320 | ||
3199 | the day will form between 10am and | ||
3200 | |||
3201 | 801 | ||
3202 | 00:34:34,320 ~-~-> 00:34:38,490 | ||
3203 | 11am 70% of the time, but it can go as | ||
3204 | |||
3205 | 802 | ||
3206 | 00:34:38,490 ~-~-> 00:34:41,280 | ||
3207 | late as noon sometimes. And unless | ||
3208 | |||
3209 | 803 | ||
3210 | 00:34:41,280 ~-~-> 00:34:43,260 | ||
3211 | there's a FOMC announcement or something | ||
3212 | |||
3213 | 804 | ||
3214 | 00:34:43,260 ~-~-> 00:34:45,810 | ||
3215 | like that. Those types of events will | ||
3216 | |||
3217 | 805 | ||
3218 | 00:34:45,810 ~-~-> 00:34:48,630 | ||
3219 | cause it to go as late as 1800 GMT, or | ||
3220 | |||
3221 | 806 | ||
3222 | 00:34:48,630 ~-~-> 00:34:50,190 | ||
3223 | two o'clock in the afternoon, New York | ||
3224 | |||
3225 | 807 | ||
3226 | 00:34:50,190 ~-~-> 00:34:52,290 | ||
3227 | time. Okay, so there's your parameters | ||
3228 | |||
3229 | 808 | ||
3230 | 00:34:52,290 ~-~-> 00:34:54,000 | ||
3231 | in terms of time, but what you're | ||
3232 | |||
3233 | 809 | ||
3234 | 00:34:54,000 ~-~-> 00:34:55,320 | ||
3235 | looking for if you want to see that | ||
3236 | |||
3237 | 810 | ||
3238 | 00:34:55,320 ~-~-> 00:34:58,050 | ||
3239 | largest degree of time to permit the | ||
3240 | |||
3241 | 811 | ||
3242 | 00:34:58,050 ~-~-> 00:35:00,690 | ||
3243 | daily rains to unfold Now let's take a | ||
3244 | |||
3245 | 812 | ||
3246 | 00:35:00,690 ~-~-> 00:35:02,880 | ||
3247 | look at what that looks like in this | ||
3248 | |||
3249 | 813 | ||
3250 | 00:35:02,880 ~-~-> 00:35:04,440 | ||
3251 | daily range here. Obviously, we have the | ||
3252 | |||
3253 | 814 | ||
3254 | 00:35:04,440 ~-~-> 00:35:05,820 | ||
3255 | optimal trade entry in here to sell | ||
3256 | |||
3257 | 815 | ||
3258 | 00:35:05,820 ~-~-> 00:35:08,640 | ||
3259 | signals right up here. And I'm going to | ||
3260 | |||
3261 | 816 | ||
3262 | 00:35:09,510 ~-~-> 00:35:12,930 | ||
3263 | rack it out with this little box here, | ||
3264 | |||
3265 | 817 | ||
3266 | 00:35:13,650 ~-~-> 00:35:18,840 | ||
3267 | when price entered the sell zone, okay? | ||
3268 | |||
3269 | 818 | ||
3270 | 00:35:19,380 ~-~-> 00:35:21,540 | ||
3271 | For the optimal trade entry, okay? And | ||
3272 | |||
3273 | 819 | ||
3274 | 00:35:21,540 ~-~-> 00:35:24,900 | ||
3275 | what I'm doing is I'm mapping out this | ||
3276 | |||
3277 | 820 | ||
3278 | 00:35:24,900 ~-~-> 00:35:28,410 | ||
3279 | box, this crude depiction of our daily | ||
3280 | |||
3281 | 821 | ||
3282 | 00:35:28,410 ~-~-> 00:35:29,940 | ||
3283 | range here in a second to like, get the | ||
3284 | |||
3285 | 822 | ||
3286 | 00:35:29,940 ~-~-> 00:35:32,580 | ||
3287 | colors matching like it should. Okay, | ||
3288 | |||
3289 | 823 | ||
3290 | 00:35:32,580 ~-~-> 00:35:33,360 | ||
3291 | right up in here. | ||
3292 | |||
3293 | 824 | ||
3294 | 00:35:34,500 ~-~-> 00:35:36,510 | ||
3295 | This little area here is this point | ||
3296 | |||
3297 | 825 | ||
3298 | 00:35:36,510 ~-~-> 00:35:39,660 | ||
3299 | right here on our idea graphically, what | ||
3300 | |||
3301 | 826 | ||
3302 | 00:35:39,660 ~-~-> 00:35:42,150 | ||
3303 | a down day looks like on a daily range, | ||
3304 | |||
3305 | 827 | ||
3306 | 00:35:42,510 ~-~-> 00:35:44,940 | ||
3307 | okay, this is that right there, okay, | ||
3308 | |||
3309 | 828 | ||
3310 | 00:35:45,300 ~-~-> 00:35:48,150 | ||
3311 | this Maroon portion or the range | ||
3312 | |||
3313 | 829 | ||
3314 | 00:35:48,150 ~-~-> 00:35:50,310 | ||
3315 | expansion or profit release portion of | ||
3316 | |||
3317 | 830 | ||
3318 | 00:35:50,310 ~-~-> 00:35:52,710 | ||
3319 | the down day, where the largest lion's | ||
3320 | |||
3321 | 831 | ||
3322 | 00:35:52,710 ~-~-> 00:35:55,260 | ||
3323 | share of the move occurs, okay. That | ||
3324 | |||
3325 | 832 | ||
3326 | 00:35:55,260 ~-~-> 00:35:57,360 | ||
3327 | will occur from the entry point to | ||
3328 | |||
3329 | 833 | ||
3330 | 00:35:57,360 ~-~-> 00:36:02,280 | ||
3331 | happens in London, open to as As 1800 | ||
3332 | |||
3333 | 834 | ||
3334 | 00:36:02,280 ~-~-> 00:36:05,340 | ||
3335 | GMT for FOMC days, okay, or two o'clock | ||
3336 | |||
3337 | 835 | ||
3338 | 00:36:05,340 ~-~-> 00:36:07,590 | ||
3339 | in the afternoon, New York time, okay? | ||
3340 | |||
3341 | 836 | ||
3342 | 00:36:08,640 ~-~-> 00:36:11,070 | ||
3343 | Ideally, the opposite end of the range | ||
3344 | |||
3345 | 837 | ||
3346 | 00:36:11,070 ~-~-> 00:36:12,840 | ||
3347 | or in this case, the low The day will | ||
3348 | |||
3349 | 838 | ||
3350 | 00:36:12,840 ~-~-> 00:36:16,410 | ||
3351 | form between 10 o'clock and 11 o'clock | ||
3352 | |||
3353 | 839 | ||
3354 | 00:36:16,410 ~-~-> 00:36:18,420 | ||
3355 | in the morning New York time, which | ||
3356 | |||
3357 | 840 | ||
3358 | 00:36:18,420 ~-~-> 00:36:22,230 | ||
3359 | translates to 1500 GMT to 1600 GMT. | ||
3360 | |||
3361 | 841 | ||
3362 | 00:36:22,530 ~-~-> 00:36:25,770 | ||
3363 | Okay. But again, you got allow some a | ||
3364 | |||
3365 | 842 | ||
3366 | 00:36:25,770 ~-~-> 00:36:28,320 | ||
3367 | little bit of fudge factor for it may | ||
3368 | |||
3369 | 843 | ||
3370 | 00:36:28,410 ~-~-> 00:36:30,240 | ||
3371 | monkey around till noon, but generally I | ||
3372 | |||
3373 | 844 | ||
3374 | 00:36:30,240 ~-~-> 00:36:32,640 | ||
3375 | think you'll see that if you if you put | ||
3376 | |||
3377 | 845 | ||
3378 | 00:36:32,640 ~-~-> 00:36:35,820 | ||
3379 | the reference points of 1500 to 1600 GMT | ||
3380 | |||
3381 | 846 | ||
3382 | 00:36:35,820 ~-~-> 00:36:37,470 | ||
3383 | or basically 10 o'clock in the morning | ||
3384 | |||
3385 | 847 | ||
3386 | 00:36:37,470 ~-~-> 00:36:39,090 | ||
3387 | till 11 o'clock in the morning, New York | ||
3388 | |||
3389 | 848 | ||
3390 | 00:36:39,090 ~-~-> 00:36:41,430 | ||
3391 | time, that will be the opposite end of | ||
3392 | |||
3393 | 849 | ||
3394 | 00:36:41,430 ~-~-> 00:36:43,260 | ||
3395 | the range of the daily range. In other | ||
3396 | |||
3397 | 850 | ||
3398 | 00:36:43,260 ~-~-> 00:36:45,180 | ||
3399 | words, if the low I'm sorry, if the | ||
3400 | |||
3401 | 851 | ||
3402 | 00:36:45,180 ~-~-> 00:36:48,420 | ||
3403 | highs made in London open, the low of | ||
3404 | |||
3405 | 852 | ||
3406 | 00:36:48,420 ~-~-> 00:36:51,630 | ||
3407 | the day will form between 10 o'clock and | ||
3408 | |||
3409 | 853 | ||
3410 | 00:36:51,630 ~-~-> 00:36:53,700 | ||
3411 | 11 o'clock in the morning. Okay, New | ||
3412 | |||
3413 | 854 | ||
3414 | 00:36:53,700 ~-~-> 00:36:55,860 | ||
3415 | York time. And that's pretty much how | ||
3416 | |||
3417 | 855 | ||
3418 | 00:36:56,220 ~-~-> 00:36:57,960 | ||
3419 | the daily ranges unfold. So the market | ||
3420 | |||
3421 | 856 | ||
3422 | 00:36:57,960 ~-~-> 00:36:59,850 | ||
3423 | makers are actually doing their work and | ||
3424 | |||
3425 | 857 | ||
3426 | 00:36:59,850 ~-~-> 00:37:02,070 | ||
3427 | Brad Cutting and capping the market high | ||
3428 | |||
3429 | 858 | ||
3430 | 00:37:02,070 ~-~-> 00:37:03,840 | ||
3431 | and low at the specific times of the | ||
3432 | |||
3433 | 859 | ||
3434 | 00:37:03,840 ~-~-> 00:37:05,700 | ||
3435 | day. And generally volume really | ||
3436 | |||
3437 | 860 | ||
3438 | 00:37:06,060 ~-~-> 00:37:08,160 | ||
3439 | increases in interest. The highest point | ||
3440 | |||
3441 | 861 | ||
3442 | 00:37:08,160 ~-~-> 00:37:10,440 | ||
3443 | here and falls off in the latter portion | ||
3444 | |||
3445 | 862 | ||
3446 | 00:37:10,470 ~-~-> 00:37:12,390 | ||
3447 | of London close in this year is usually | ||
3448 | |||
3449 | 863 | ||
3450 | 00:37:12,390 ~-~-> 00:37:14,640 | ||
3451 | what typically drives the internals | ||
3452 | |||
3453 | 864 | ||
3454 | 00:37:14,640 ~-~-> 00:37:20,040 | ||
3455 | behind why this does occur. So, market | ||
3456 | |||
3457 | 865 | ||
3458 | 00:37:20,040 ~-~-> 00:37:25,200 | ||
3459 | trades down, makes a low right here. | ||
3460 | |||
3461 | 866 | ||
3462 | 00:37:25,710 ~-~-> 00:37:27,060 | ||
3463 | This is the low of the day and this is | ||
3464 | |||
3465 | 867 | ||
3466 | 00:37:27,060 ~-~-> 00:37:29,460 | ||
3467 | an ugly intraday price action, but | ||
3468 | |||
3469 | 868 | ||
3470 | 00:37:29,490 ~-~-> 00:37:31,650 | ||
3471 | still, nonetheless, it'll help us as it | ||
3472 | |||
3473 | 869 | ||
3474 | 00:37:31,650 ~-~-> 00:37:33,840 | ||
3475 | relates to understanding what price | ||
3476 | |||
3477 | 870 | ||
3478 | 00:37:33,870 ~-~-> 00:37:38,070 | ||
3479 | should do and shouldn't do. The big | ||
3480 | |||
3481 | 871 | ||
3482 | 00:37:38,070 ~-~-> 00:37:41,820 | ||
3483 | portion of this graphic depiction of a | ||
3484 | |||
3485 | 872 | ||
3486 | 00:37:41,820 ~-~-> 00:37:44,340 | ||
3487 | daily range, okay, we have the opening | ||
3488 | |||
3489 | 873 | ||
3490 | 00:37:44,640 ~-~-> 00:37:45,960 | ||
3491 | the dilly dally around the opening price | ||
3492 | |||
3493 | 874 | ||
3494 | 00:37:45,960 ~-~-> 00:37:47,460 | ||
3495 | for a little while then rallies up. | ||
3496 | |||
3497 | 875 | ||
3498 | 00:37:47,490 ~-~-> 00:37:49,140 | ||
3499 | That's what we're looking for. That's | ||
3500 | |||
3501 | 876 | ||
3502 | 00:37:49,140 ~-~-> 00:37:52,830 | ||
3503 | the Judas swing. Okay. That's the open | ||
3504 | |||
3505 | 877 | ||
3506 | 00:37:52,860 ~-~-> 00:37:55,440 | ||
3507 | rally decline scenario we'd like to look | ||
3508 | |||
3509 | 878 | ||
3510 | 00:37:55,440 ~-~-> 00:37:57,270 | ||
3511 | for Okay, all right. We're making the | ||
3512 | |||
3513 | 879 | ||
3514 | 00:37:57,450 ~-~-> 00:37:59,100 | ||
3515 | high today first. Now, again, I'm not | ||
3516 | |||
3517 | 880 | ||
3518 | 00:37:59,100 ~-~-> 00:38:00,180 | ||
3519 | going to argue that we didn't Have a | ||
3520 | |||
3521 | 881 | ||
3522 | 00:38:00,180 ~-~-> 00:38:03,030 | ||
3523 | higher, high back here. But I'm | ||
3524 | |||
3525 | 882 | ||
3526 | 00:38:03,060 ~-~-> 00:38:05,430 | ||
3527 | referencing New York midnight time as | ||
3528 | |||
3529 | 883 | ||
3530 | 00:38:05,430 ~-~-> 00:38:07,380 | ||
3531 | the beginning of my new trading day. | ||
3532 | |||
3533 | 884 | ||
3534 | 00:38:08,010 ~-~-> 00:38:09,750 | ||
3535 | Please don't get in arguments with me. | ||
3536 | |||
3537 | 885 | ||
3538 | 00:38:09,780 ~-~-> 00:38:11,520 | ||
3539 | That's not the trading days beginning. I | ||
3540 | |||
3541 | 886 | ||
3542 | 00:38:11,520 ~-~-> 00:38:13,230 | ||
3543 | don't care what your opinion is again. I | ||
3544 | |||
3545 | 887 | ||
3546 | 00:38:13,230 ~-~-> 00:38:15,240 | ||
3547 | mean, it'd be rude, okay, but you're | ||
3548 | |||
3549 | 888 | ||
3550 | 00:38:15,240 ~-~-> 00:38:16,920 | ||
3551 | watching my videos. I'm not, I'm not | ||
3552 | |||
3553 | 889 | ||
3554 | 00:38:16,920 ~-~-> 00:38:19,080 | ||
3555 | subscribing to your views. I make a | ||
3556 | |||
3557 | 890 | ||
3558 | 00:38:19,080 ~-~-> 00:38:21,480 | ||
3559 | living doing this, a lot of it. So it's | ||
3560 | |||
3561 | 891 | ||
3562 | 00:38:21,480 ~-~-> 00:38:23,580 | ||
3563 | important that you understand how I'm | ||
3564 | |||
3565 | 892 | ||
3566 | 00:38:23,640 ~-~-> 00:38:26,340 | ||
3567 | interpreting price. Okay, that's, that's | ||
3568 | |||
3569 | 893 | ||
3570 | 00:38:26,340 ~-~-> 00:38:27,600 | ||
3571 | the whole reason why we're doing this, | ||
3572 | |||
3573 | 894 | ||
3574 | 00:38:27,600 ~-~-> 00:38:30,030 | ||
3575 | okay. It's not for me to learn from | ||
3576 | |||
3577 | 895 | ||
3578 | 00:38:30,030 ~-~-> 00:38:32,730 | ||
3579 | anyone else. I'm, I've arrived at what I | ||
3580 | |||
3581 | 896 | ||
3582 | 00:38:32,730 ~-~-> 00:38:35,190 | ||
3583 | understand in markets. So I'm | ||
3584 | |||
3585 | 897 | ||
3586 | 00:38:35,190 ~-~-> 00:38:37,080 | ||
3587 | comfortable with that. I'm not forcing | ||
3588 | |||
3589 | 898 | ||
3590 | 00:38:37,080 ~-~-> 00:38:39,330 | ||
3591 | my views. I'm not forcing you to do this | ||
3592 | |||
3593 | 899 | ||
3594 | 00:38:39,330 ~-~-> 00:38:42,780 | ||
3595 | only. It's up to your interpretation and | ||
3596 | |||
3597 | 900 | ||
3598 | 00:38:42,780 ~-~-> 00:38:44,370 | ||
3599 | whether or not it's valid or not, okay, | ||
3600 | |||
3601 | 901 | ||
3602 | 00:38:44,370 ~-~-> 00:38:47,040 | ||
3603 | and I, I challenge you to, to put it to | ||
3604 | |||
3605 | 902 | ||
3606 | 00:38:47,040 ~-~-> 00:38:50,370 | ||
3607 | its test. You'll see while it's not 100% | ||
3608 | |||
3609 | 903 | ||
3610 | 00:38:50,370 ~-~-> 00:38:52,890 | ||
3611 | and nothing ever is, this will give you | ||
3612 | |||
3613 | 904 | ||
3614 | 00:38:52,890 ~-~-> 00:38:54,450 | ||
3615 | exactly what you're looking for. And | ||
3616 | |||
3617 | 905 | ||
3618 | 00:38:54,450 ~-~-> 00:38:55,710 | ||
3619 | that's the reason why I open up these | ||
3620 | |||
3621 | 906 | ||
3622 | 00:38:55,710 ~-~-> 00:38:57,330 | ||
3623 | videos with that statement. I know | ||
3624 | |||
3625 | 907 | ||
3626 | 00:38:57,330 ~-~-> 00:38:59,220 | ||
3627 | exactly what you're looking for. It's | ||
3628 | |||
3629 | 908 | ||
3630 | 00:38:59,220 ~-~-> 00:39:01,500 | ||
3631 | with every trader. Looking for, but no | ||
3632 | |||
3633 | 909 | ||
3634 | 00:39:01,500 ~-~-> 00:39:04,740 | ||
3635 | one is willing to, you know basically | ||
3636 | |||
3637 | 910 | ||
3638 | 00:39:05,490 ~-~-> 00:39:08,580 | ||
3639 | withdraw from their treasured views and | ||
3640 | |||
3641 | 911 | ||
3642 | 00:39:08,580 ~-~-> 00:39:10,410 | ||
3643 | ideas and their techniques and their | ||
3644 | |||
3645 | 912 | ||
3646 | 00:39:10,410 ~-~-> 00:39:13,500 | ||
3647 | applications of indicators. If you just | ||
3648 | |||
3649 | 913 | ||
3650 | 00:39:13,620 ~-~-> 00:39:15,660 | ||
3651 | put that aside for a moment, okay and | ||
3652 | |||
3653 | 914 | ||
3654 | 00:39:15,660 ~-~-> 00:39:16,740 | ||
3655 | it's I know it's difficult because | ||
3656 | |||
3657 | 915 | ||
3658 | 00:39:16,740 ~-~-> 00:39:18,090 | ||
3659 | you're passionate about what you already | ||
3660 | |||
3661 | 916 | ||
3662 | 00:39:18,690 ~-~-> 00:39:20,490 | ||
3663 | believe you understood about the market | ||
3664 | |||
3665 | 917 | ||
3666 | 00:39:20,520 ~-~-> 00:39:23,640 | ||
3667 | okay? When you remove all that stuff, | ||
3668 | |||
3669 | 918 | ||
3670 | 00:39:23,670 ~-~-> 00:39:25,740 | ||
3671 | okay and I'm being nice by saying stuff | ||
3672 | |||
3673 | 919 | ||
3674 | 00:39:26,160 ~-~-> 00:39:30,090 | ||
3675 | get to the core root of why price moves | ||
3676 | |||
3677 | 920 | ||
3678 | 00:39:30,090 ~-~-> 00:39:32,040 | ||
3679 | like it does and when it does, okay and | ||
3680 | |||
3681 | 921 | ||
3682 | 00:39:32,040 ~-~-> 00:39:33,990 | ||
3683 | who's doing the movement Okay, then it | ||
3684 | |||
3685 | 922 | ||
3686 | 00:39:33,990 ~-~-> 00:39:36,900 | ||
3687 | becomes a suddenly you know, much easier | ||
3688 | |||
3689 | 923 | ||
3690 | 00:39:37,020 ~-~-> 00:39:39,300 | ||
3691 | environment to work within. Okay, so | ||
3692 | |||
3693 | 924 | ||
3694 | 00:39:39,300 ~-~-> 00:39:40,860 | ||
3695 | let's get back to this example here and | ||
3696 | |||
3697 | 925 | ||
3698 | 00:39:40,890 ~-~-> 00:39:43,830 | ||
3699 | opening up in here into the price above | ||
3700 | |||
3701 | 926 | ||
3702 | 00:39:43,860 ~-~-> 00:39:45,420 | ||
3703 | the movement above the opening price at | ||
3704 | |||
3705 | 927 | ||
3706 | 00:39:45,420 ~-~-> 00:39:47,520 | ||
3707 | midnight. Okay, that's the classical | ||
3708 | |||
3709 | 928 | ||
3710 | 00:39:47,700 ~-~-> 00:39:50,670 | ||
3711 | London open ICT sell scenario. Okay, we | ||
3712 | |||
3713 | 929 | ||
3714 | 00:39:50,670 ~-~-> 00:39:54,900 | ||
3715 | are expecting a bounce. Based on this | ||
3716 | |||
3717 | 930 | ||
3718 | 00:39:54,900 ~-~-> 00:39:56,370 | ||
3719 | level up here we broke through | ||
3720 | |||
3721 | 931 | ||
3722 | 00:39:56,880 ~-~-> 00:39:58,740 | ||
3723 | resistance broken later turns support. | ||
3724 | |||
3725 | 932 | ||
3726 | 00:39:58,740 ~-~-> 00:40:01,470 | ||
3727 | This was noted When the price ran | ||
3728 | |||
3729 | 933 | ||
3730 | 00:40:01,470 ~-~-> 00:40:04,440 | ||
3731 | through here, live, not this day, not | ||
3732 | |||
3733 | 934 | ||
3734 | 00:40:04,440 ~-~-> 00:40:06,690 | ||
3735 | this day. Not this day, not now. Okay? | ||
3736 | |||
3737 | 935 | ||
3738 | 00:40:06,870 ~-~-> 00:40:08,640 | ||
3739 | This was all on the chart in a live | ||
3740 | |||
3741 | 936 | ||
3742 | 00:40:08,640 ~-~-> 00:40:11,130 | ||
3743 | session with witnesses that I expected | ||
3744 | |||
3745 | 937 | ||
3746 | 00:40:11,130 ~-~-> 00:40:14,070 | ||
3747 | this environment to unfold. Okay. So | ||
3748 | |||
3749 | 938 | ||
3750 | 00:40:14,070 ~-~-> 00:40:16,170 | ||
3751 | again, understanding risk on risk off. | ||
3752 | |||
3753 | 939 | ||
3754 | 00:40:16,380 ~-~-> 00:40:18,090 | ||
3755 | This would be a risk off scenario if we | ||
3756 | |||
3757 | 940 | ||
3758 | 00:40:18,090 ~-~-> 00:40:20,580 | ||
3759 | anticipate a bounce at that level. Going | ||
3760 | |||
3761 | 941 | ||
3762 | 00:40:20,580 ~-~-> 00:40:21,990 | ||
3763 | back to our cable, we're looking for | ||
3764 | |||
3765 | 942 | ||
3766 | 00:40:21,990 ~-~-> 00:40:24,870 | ||
3767 | sell scenarios. Okay, so now, what does | ||
3768 | |||
3769 | 943 | ||
3770 | 00:40:24,870 ~-~-> 00:40:26,100 | ||
3771 | that look like? Well, it's going to be a | ||
3772 | |||
3773 | 944 | ||
3774 | 00:40:26,100 ~-~-> 00:40:28,740 | ||
3775 | down date in a move that is going lower | ||
3776 | |||
3777 | 945 | ||
3778 | 00:40:28,800 ~-~-> 00:40:31,140 | ||
3779 | if you look at daily charts, okay. daily | ||
3780 | |||
3781 | 946 | ||
3782 | 00:40:31,140 ~-~-> 00:40:32,940 | ||
3783 | charts will show this. | ||
3784 | |||
3785 | 947 | ||
3786 | 00:40:33,960 ~-~-> 00:40:36,540 | ||
3787 | Let's pull up a virgin chart here on a | ||
3788 | |||
3789 | 948 | ||
3790 | 00:40:36,540 ~-~-> 00:40:41,730 | ||
3791 | cable. And we'll just do a daily with | ||
3792 | |||
3793 | 949 | ||
3794 | 00:40:41,730 ~-~-> 00:40:46,950 | ||
3795 | the open High, Low close. And I notice | ||
3796 | |||
3797 | 950 | ||
3798 | 00:40:46,950 ~-~-> 00:40:48,600 | ||
3799 | it's probably alien to most of you, | ||
3800 | |||
3801 | 951 | ||
3802 | 00:40:48,600 ~-~-> 00:40:52,560 | ||
3803 | you're all been indoctrinated to the | ||
3804 | |||
3805 | 952 | ||
3806 | 00:40:52,560 ~-~-> 00:40:56,070 | ||
3807 | world of candlesticks, but yeah, it is | ||
3808 | |||
3809 | 953 | ||
3810 | 00:40:56,070 ~-~-> 00:40:58,080 | ||
3811 | what it is a guess. Let's go to a daily | ||
3812 | |||
3813 | 954 | ||
3814 | 00:40:58,080 ~-~-> 00:40:58,500 | ||
3815 | chart. | ||
3816 | |||
3817 | 955 | ||
3818 | 00:41:05,220 ~-~-> 00:41:08,190 | ||
3819 | Okay, and this is Wednesday, Tuesday, | ||
3820 | |||
3821 | 956 | ||
3822 | 00:41:08,220 ~-~-> 00:41:11,130 | ||
3823 | Monday, Sunday, Friday. This is the | ||
3824 | |||
3825 | 957 | ||
3826 | 00:41:11,130 ~-~-> 00:41:12,990 | ||
3827 | environment that I was just describing. | ||
3828 | |||
3829 | 958 | ||
3830 | 00:41:15,480 ~-~-> 00:41:18,990 | ||
3831 | Go out here and zoom out. We are this | ||
3832 | |||
3833 | 959 | ||
3834 | 00:41:18,990 ~-~-> 00:41:21,060 | ||
3835 | opening scene a little bit of a movement | ||
3836 | |||
3837 | 960 | ||
3838 | 00:41:21,060 ~-~-> 00:41:23,610 | ||
3839 | above. Okay? The reason why it's showing | ||
3840 | |||
3841 | 961 | ||
3842 | 00:41:23,610 ~-~-> 00:41:25,110 | ||
3843 | just very little movement above the | ||
3844 | |||
3845 | 962 | ||
3846 | 00:41:25,110 ~-~-> 00:41:26,760 | ||
3847 | opening is because this opening price is | ||
3848 | |||
3849 | 963 | ||
3850 | 00:41:26,760 ~-~-> 00:41:28,560 | ||
3851 | referencing the opening price at zero | ||
3852 | |||
3853 | 964 | ||
3854 | 00:41:28,560 ~-~-> 00:41:32,820 | ||
3855 | GMT. Okay. But the overall pattern, | ||
3856 | |||
3857 | 965 | ||
3858 | 00:41:32,880 ~-~-> 00:41:34,980 | ||
3859 | okay, what I was describing in my | ||
3860 | |||
3861 | 966 | ||
3862 | 00:41:35,010 ~-~-> 00:41:37,140 | ||
3863 | graphic depiction is this really, okay, | ||
3864 | |||
3865 | 967 | ||
3866 | 00:41:37,140 ~-~-> 00:41:39,960 | ||
3867 | you see the opening, trades up this up | ||
3868 | |||
3869 | 968 | ||
3870 | 00:41:39,960 ~-~-> 00:41:43,920 | ||
3871 | move occurs many, many times from the | ||
3872 | |||
3873 | 969 | ||
3874 | 00:41:45,630 ~-~-> 00:41:47,430 | ||
3875 | the reference point of Midnight in New | ||
3876 | |||
3877 | 970 | ||
3878 | 00:41:47,430 ~-~-> 00:41:50,130 | ||
3879 | York. If you look at the rally from that | ||
3880 | |||
3881 | 971 | ||
3882 | 00:41:50,130 ~-~-> 00:41:53,460 | ||
3883 | point on, that's where this occurs. can | ||
3884 | |||
3885 | 972 | ||
3886 | 00:41:53,460 ~-~-> 00:41:55,260 | ||
3887 | it happen in Asia like it does here? | ||
3888 | |||
3889 | 973 | ||
3890 | 00:41:55,290 ~-~-> 00:41:57,420 | ||
3891 | Sure. Okay, but it doesn't change the | ||
3892 | |||
3893 | 974 | ||
3894 | 00:41:57,420 ~-~-> 00:41:59,850 | ||
3895 | fact you still can find the moves. Okay. | ||
3896 | |||
3897 | 975 | ||
3898 | 00:41:59,880 ~-~-> 00:42:02,610 | ||
3899 | You The Midnight timeframe looking for | ||
3900 | |||
3901 | 976 | ||
3902 | 00:42:02,610 ~-~-> 00:42:03,870 | ||
3903 | that Judas swing. Now I'm gonna talk | ||
3904 | |||
3905 | 977 | ||
3906 | 00:42:03,870 ~-~-> 00:42:05,040 | ||
3907 | more about the Judas swing in a moment. | ||
3908 | |||
3909 | 978 | ||
3910 | 00:42:05,040 ~-~-> 00:42:06,930 | ||
3911 | But this is the phenomenon that we are | ||
3912 | |||
3913 | 979 | ||
3914 | 00:42:06,930 ~-~-> 00:42:08,970 | ||
3915 | expected to see this open. Now this is | ||
3916 | |||
3917 | 980 | ||
3918 | 00:42:08,970 ~-~-> 00:42:10,830 | ||
3919 | not the day, obviously. But I'm showing | ||
3920 | |||
3921 | 981 | ||
3922 | 00:42:10,830 ~-~-> 00:42:12,150 | ||
3923 | you what it looks like just like it is | ||
3924 | |||
3925 | 982 | ||
3926 | 00:42:12,150 ~-~-> 00:42:14,310 | ||
3927 | here, we see the opening the move up. | ||
3928 | |||
3929 | 983 | ||
3930 | 00:42:15,150 ~-~-> 00:42:16,890 | ||
3931 | really look at what's going on here. | ||
3932 | |||
3933 | 984 | ||
3934 | 00:42:17,160 ~-~-> 00:42:21,930 | ||
3935 | Okay, this is daily chart. These bars | ||
3936 | |||
3937 | 985 | ||
3938 | 00:42:22,320 ~-~-> 00:42:25,260 | ||
3939 | represent the full daily ranges for each | ||
3940 | |||
3941 | 986 | ||
3942 | 00:42:25,260 ~-~-> 00:42:27,900 | ||
3943 | trading day for the cable. Look at | ||
3944 | |||
3945 | 987 | ||
3946 | 00:42:27,900 ~-~-> 00:42:29,670 | ||
3947 | what's been going on for the entire time | ||
3948 | |||
3949 | 988 | ||
3950 | 00:42:29,670 ~-~-> 00:42:31,170 | ||
3951 | this thing's been going lower. How many | ||
3952 | |||
3953 | 989 | ||
3954 | 00:42:31,170 ~-~-> 00:42:33,720 | ||
3955 | days does it do this phenomenon? Watch. | ||
3956 | |||
3957 | 990 | ||
3958 | 00:42:33,900 ~-~-> 00:42:36,270 | ||
3959 | I gave you guys an example or a study | ||
3960 | |||
3961 | 991 | ||
3962 | 00:42:36,270 ~-~-> 00:42:37,230 | ||
3963 | and it came and I'm actually | ||
3964 | |||
3965 | 992 | ||
3966 | 00:42:37,230 ~-~-> 00:42:38,700 | ||
3967 | incorporating it in here in this | ||
3968 | |||
3969 | 993 | ||
3970 | 00:42:38,700 ~-~-> 00:42:41,040 | ||
3971 | description of the things that I've done | ||
3972 | |||
3973 | 994 | ||
3974 | 00:42:41,070 ~-~-> 00:42:42,240 | ||
3975 | over the last four years. So I'm going | ||
3976 | |||
3977 | 995 | ||
3978 | 00:42:42,240 ~-~-> 00:42:44,250 | ||
3979 | to answer on the drills that I gave you | ||
3980 | |||
3981 | 996 | ||
3982 | 00:42:44,280 ~-~-> 00:42:48,300 | ||
3983 | now. I told everyone study price in the | ||
3984 | |||
3985 | 997 | ||
3986 | 00:42:48,300 ~-~-> 00:42:50,580 | ||
3987 | whole month of June was on holiday. And | ||
3988 | |||
3989 | 998 | ||
3990 | 00:42:50,610 ~-~-> 00:42:52,020 | ||
3991 | I want you to do these types of things. | ||
3992 | |||
3993 | 999 | ||
3994 | 00:42:52,020 ~-~-> 00:42:54,150 | ||
3995 | Now. I'm going to reference June in a | ||
3996 | |||
3997 | 1000 | ||
3998 | 00:42:54,150 ~-~-> 00:42:55,560 | ||
3999 | moment but for right now let's take a | ||
4000 | |||
4001 | 1001 | ||
4002 | 00:42:55,560 ~-~-> 00:42:57,360 | ||
4003 | look. Take a look at what's going on for | ||
4004 | |||
4005 | 1002 | ||
4006 | 00:42:57,360 ~-~-> 00:42:59,610 | ||
4007 | the cable in this pro long down move. | ||
4008 | |||
4009 | 1003 | ||
4010 | 00:42:59,610 ~-~-> 00:43:01,590 | ||
4011 | Let's catch The days that we had an open | ||
4012 | |||
4013 | 1004 | ||
4014 | 00:43:01,590 ~-~-> 00:43:04,050 | ||
4015 | rally and in a down day close okay in | ||
4016 | |||
4017 | 1005 | ||
4018 | 00:43:04,050 ~-~-> 00:43:07,320 | ||
4019 | other words it will have open a high and | ||
4020 | |||
4021 | 1006 | ||
4022 | 00:43:07,320 ~-~-> 00:43:10,680 | ||
4023 | then a lower close. Okay watch we have | ||
4024 | |||
4025 | 1007 | ||
4026 | 00:43:10,710 ~-~-> 00:43:12,210 | ||
4027 | one here even though we're a little bit | ||
4028 | |||
4029 | 1008 | ||
4030 | 00:43:12,210 ~-~-> 00:43:13,470 | ||
4031 | off to opening it still gave an | ||
4032 | |||
4033 | 1009 | ||
4034 | 00:43:13,470 ~-~-> 00:43:15,090 | ||
4035 | opportunity to make money on a down move | ||
4036 | |||
4037 | 1010 | ||
4038 | 00:43:15,180 ~-~-> 00:43:17,730 | ||
4039 | intraday. Here's a second one down | ||
4040 | |||
4041 | 1011 | ||
4042 | 00:43:17,730 ~-~-> 00:43:23,250 | ||
4043 | close. third Sunday who cares didn't do | ||
4044 | |||
4045 | 1012 | ||
4046 | 00:43:23,250 ~-~-> 00:43:26,550 | ||
4047 | anything. Monday open rail rally down | ||
4048 | |||
4049 | 1013 | ||
4050 | 00:43:26,550 ~-~-> 00:43:30,330 | ||
4051 | close, open rally went close lower, but | ||
4052 | |||
4053 | 1014 | ||
4054 | 00:43:30,330 ~-~-> 00:43:32,310 | ||
4055 | we had intraday range below the opening. | ||
4056 | |||
4057 | 1015 | ||
4058 | 00:43:33,120 ~-~-> 00:43:36,810 | ||
4059 | Open, rally, down, close, open, rally | ||
4060 | |||
4061 | 1016 | ||
4062 | 00:43:36,840 ~-~-> 00:43:39,480 | ||
4063 | down, close, open, rally down close, | ||
4064 | |||
4065 | 1017 | ||
4066 | 00:43:39,600 ~-~-> 00:43:42,930 | ||
4067 | Sunday unchanged. Open, rally down, | ||
4068 | |||
4069 | 1018 | ||
4070 | 00:43:42,930 ~-~-> 00:43:45,660 | ||
4071 | close, open, rally down close, open, | ||
4072 | |||
4073 | 1019 | ||
4074 | 00:43:45,690 ~-~-> 00:43:48,450 | ||
4075 | rally down close, open, rally down | ||
4076 | |||
4077 | 1020 | ||
4078 | 00:43:48,450 ~-~-> 00:43:51,750 | ||
4079 | close. You see that. Now listen to me | ||
4080 | |||
4081 | 1021 | ||
4082 | 00:43:51,750 ~-~-> 00:43:55,650 | ||
4083 | guys, okay. I don't care who you | ||
4084 | |||
4085 | 1022 | ||
4086 | 00:43:55,650 ~-~-> 00:43:58,770 | ||
4087 | subscribed to. I don't care which author | ||
4088 | |||
4089 | 1023 | ||
4090 | 00:43:58,770 ~-~-> 00:44:00,840 | ||
4091 | you read the most and Have the most | ||
4092 | |||
4093 | 1024 | ||
4094 | 00:44:00,900 ~-~-> 00:44:03,510 | ||
4095 | adoration for okay. I'm going to tell | ||
4096 | |||
4097 | 1025 | ||
4098 | 00:44:03,510 ~-~-> 00:44:06,060 | ||
4099 | you something right now, if this | ||
4100 | |||
4101 | 1026 | ||
4102 | 00:44:06,060 ~-~-> 00:44:08,910 | ||
4103 | information is generic and as simple, as | ||
4104 | |||
4105 | 1027 | ||
4106 | 00:44:08,910 ~-~-> 00:44:11,070 | ||
4107 | I just explained, does not knock your | ||
4108 | |||
4109 | 1028 | ||
4110 | 00:44:11,070 ~-~-> 00:44:13,440 | ||
4111 | socks off. You haven't been paying | ||
4112 | |||
4113 | 1029 | ||
4114 | 00:44:13,440 ~-~-> 00:44:16,800 | ||
4115 | attention. Everyone wants to make money. | ||
4116 | |||
4117 | 1030 | ||
4118 | 00:44:17,490 ~-~-> 00:44:19,800 | ||
4119 | Everyone wants to find trades. Everyone | ||
4120 | |||
4121 | 1031 | ||
4122 | 00:44:19,800 ~-~-> 00:44:20,820 | ||
4123 | wants to know what the directional | ||
4124 | |||
4125 | 1032 | ||
4126 | 00:44:20,820 ~-~-> 00:44:23,580 | ||
4127 | premise is. This just answered all those | ||
4128 | |||
4129 | 1033 | ||
4130 | 00:44:23,580 ~-~-> 00:44:25,590 | ||
4131 | things for you. How many trading | ||
4132 | |||
4133 | 1034 | ||
4134 | 00:44:25,590 ~-~-> 00:44:27,870 | ||
4135 | opportunities was this just in the last | ||
4136 | |||
4137 | 1035 | ||
4138 | 00:44:27,870 ~-~-> 00:44:31,380 | ||
4139 | month? Think about it in the last month, | ||
4140 | |||
4141 | 1036 | ||
4142 | 00:44:31,380 ~-~-> 00:44:33,690 | ||
4143 | how many trading opportunities tons? | ||
4144 | |||
4145 | 1037 | ||
4146 | 00:44:34,050 ~-~-> 00:44:37,530 | ||
4147 | Absolute tons. If you were trading with | ||
4148 | |||
4149 | 1038 | ||
4150 | 00:44:37,560 ~-~-> 00:44:39,690 | ||
4151 | even with the wrong bias back here, say | ||
4152 | |||
4153 | 1039 | ||
4154 | 00:44:39,690 ~-~-> 00:44:41,580 | ||
4155 | you were trying to sell every single day | ||
4156 | |||
4157 | 1040 | ||
4158 | 00:44:41,580 ~-~-> 00:44:44,400 | ||
4159 | in here. Okay. And say you were you | ||
4160 | |||
4161 | 1041 | ||
4162 | 00:44:44,400 ~-~-> 00:44:47,010 | ||
4163 | know, your absolute captured down moves. | ||
4164 | |||
4165 | 1042 | ||
4166 | 00:44:47,010 ~-~-> 00:44:49,230 | ||
4167 | Okay. The days that had an opening and | ||
4168 | |||
4169 | 1043 | ||
4170 | 00:44:49,230 ~-~-> 00:44:51,000 | ||
4171 | rally Okay, maybe you lost on this day. | ||
4172 | |||
4173 | 1044 | ||
4174 | 00:44:51,000 ~-~-> 00:44:53,850 | ||
4175 | Who cares? What about this one here? | ||
4176 | |||
4177 | 1045 | ||
4178 | 00:44:54,480 ~-~-> 00:44:56,070 | ||
4179 | Maybe you didn't do anything there. You | ||
4180 | |||
4181 | 1046 | ||
4182 | 00:44:56,070 ~-~-> 00:44:58,890 | ||
4183 | made something here. How about this day, | ||
4184 | |||
4185 | 1047 | ||
4186 | 00:44:58,920 ~-~-> 00:45:00,270 | ||
4187 | you probably would have lost money. Tell | ||
4188 | |||
4189 | 1048 | ||
4190 | 00:45:00,270 ~-~-> 00:45:01,110 | ||
4191 | it this one, you probably would have | ||
4192 | |||
4193 | 1049 | ||
4194 | 00:45:01,110 ~-~-> 00:45:02,610 | ||
4195 | lost money. What about this one? You | ||
4196 | |||
4197 | 1050 | ||
4198 | 00:45:02,610 ~-~-> 00:45:04,380 | ||
4199 | made money? What about this one? You | ||
4200 | |||
4201 | 1051 | ||
4202 | 00:45:04,380 ~-~-> 00:45:06,810 | ||
4203 | made money. So you had two losses two | ||
4204 | |||
4205 | 1052 | ||
4206 | 00:45:06,810 ~-~-> 00:45:10,410 | ||
4207 | wins. It shouldn't bother you that | ||
4208 | |||
4209 | 1053 | ||
4210 | 00:45:10,410 ~-~-> 00:45:11,550 | ||
4211 | you're going to have a losing day that | ||
4212 | |||
4213 | 1054 | ||
4214 | 00:45:11,550 ~-~-> 00:45:12,570 | ||
4215 | you're going to be wrong because I'm | ||
4216 | |||
4217 | 1055 | ||
4218 | 00:45:12,570 ~-~-> 00:45:14,490 | ||
4219 | gonna tell you right now, write this | ||
4220 | |||
4221 | 1056 | ||
4222 | 00:45:14,490 ~-~-> 00:45:17,160 | ||
4223 | down in your notes. Inner Circle trader, | ||
4224 | |||
4225 | 1057 | ||
4226 | 00:45:17,490 ~-~-> 00:45:20,820 | ||
4227 | Michael, Joe Huddleston promises you | ||
4228 | |||
4229 | 1058 | ||
4230 | 00:45:20,910 ~-~-> 00:45:23,190 | ||
4231 | guaranteed you that you're losing money | ||
4232 | |||
4233 | 1059 | ||
4234 | 00:45:23,250 ~-~-> 00:45:25,110 | ||
4235 | using this stuff that I'm teaching, | ||
4236 | |||
4237 | 1060 | ||
4238 | 00:45:25,140 ~-~-> 00:45:27,150 | ||
4239 | you're losing money. I'm telling you | ||
4240 | |||
4241 | 1061 | ||
4242 | 00:45:27,180 ~-~-> 00:45:28,530 | ||
4243 | upfront, you're going to lose money. | ||
4244 | |||
4245 | 1062 | ||
4246 | 00:45:29,040 ~-~-> 00:45:32,250 | ||
4247 | Now, if you listen to me, the losses | ||
4248 | |||
4249 | 1063 | ||
4250 | 00:45:32,250 ~-~-> 00:45:33,900 | ||
4251 | that you incur are going to be very | ||
4252 | |||
4253 | 1064 | ||
4254 | 00:45:33,900 ~-~-> 00:45:35,880 | ||
4255 | manageable and they're not going to take | ||
4256 | |||
4257 | 1065 | ||
4258 | 00:45:35,880 ~-~-> 00:45:38,610 | ||
4259 | you out of the game. And also on that | ||
4260 | |||
4261 | 1066 | ||
4262 | 00:45:38,610 ~-~-> 00:45:41,310 | ||
4263 | same coin, flip it over when you listen | ||
4264 | |||
4265 | 1067 | ||
4266 | 00:45:41,370 ~-~-> 00:45:44,460 | ||
4267 | and the trades pan out the level of | ||
4268 | |||
4269 | 1068 | ||
4270 | 00:45:44,460 ~-~-> 00:45:46,770 | ||
4271 | money that you make okay or is | ||
4272 | |||
4273 | 1069 | ||
4274 | 00:45:46,770 ~-~-> 00:45:48,720 | ||
4275 | available, I should say. Let's rephrase | ||
4276 | |||
4277 | 1070 | ||
4278 | 00:45:48,720 ~-~-> 00:45:51,690 | ||
4279 | that. If you follow all the rules, the | ||
4280 | |||
4281 | 1071 | ||
4282 | 00:45:51,690 ~-~-> 00:45:52,620 | ||
4283 | ideas will | ||
4284 | |||
4285 | 1072 | ||
4286 | 00:45:52,799 ~-~-> 00:45:55,559 | ||
4287 | more than adequate, erase the losing | ||
4288 | |||
4289 | 1073 | ||
4290 | 00:45:55,559 ~-~-> 00:45:58,169 | ||
4291 | trades and show you a net gain. How much | ||
4292 | |||
4293 | 1074 | ||
4294 | 00:45:58,169 ~-~-> 00:45:59,669 | ||
4295 | of a net gain is going to be dependent | ||
4296 | |||
4297 | 1075 | ||
4298 | 00:45:59,669 ~-~-> 00:46:02,039 | ||
4299 | upon Level trader, the experience and | ||
4300 | |||
4301 | 1076 | ||
4302 | 00:46:02,039 ~-~-> 00:46:03,419 | ||
4303 | the risk that you're willing to assume. | ||
4304 | |||
4305 | 1077 | ||
4306 | 00:46:04,109 ~-~-> 00:46:06,749 | ||
4307 | Keeping risk limited, obviously, as a | ||
4308 | |||
4309 | 1078 | ||
4310 | 00:46:06,749 ~-~-> 00:46:08,309 | ||
4311 | new trader, if you're just now getting | ||
4312 | |||
4313 | 1079 | ||
4314 | 00:46:08,309 ~-~-> 00:46:10,409 | ||
4315 | into this stuff with me as in terms of | ||
4316 | |||
4317 | 1080 | ||
4318 | 00:46:10,409 ~-~-> 00:46:12,869 | ||
4319 | my methods, okay? Or even training at | ||
4320 | |||
4321 | 1081 | ||
4322 | 00:46:12,869 ~-~-> 00:46:14,999 | ||
4323 | all, you should be trading about one | ||
4324 | |||
4325 | 1082 | ||
4326 | 00:46:14,999 ~-~-> 00:46:18,809 | ||
4327 | quarter of 1% risk, even in a demo | ||
4328 | |||
4329 | 1083 | ||
4330 | 00:46:18,809 ~-~-> 00:46:22,499 | ||
4331 | account. I know that's not sexy, but | ||
4332 | |||
4333 | 1084 | ||
4334 | 00:46:22,499 ~-~-> 00:46:23,999 | ||
4335 | it's not now it's not about making money | ||
4336 | |||
4337 | 1085 | ||
4338 | 00:46:23,999 ~-~-> 00:46:25,829 | ||
4339 | right now. It's about understanding what | ||
4340 | |||
4341 | 1086 | ||
4342 | 00:46:25,829 ~-~-> 00:46:27,899 | ||
4343 | you're doing. Think about it. Say you | ||
4344 | |||
4345 | 1087 | ||
4346 | 00:46:27,899 ~-~-> 00:46:30,419 | ||
4347 | want to be an auto mechanic. Okay, you | ||
4348 | |||
4349 | 1088 | ||
4350 | 00:46:30,419 ~-~-> 00:46:32,279 | ||
4351 | sign up for your schooling and you want | ||
4352 | |||
4353 | 1089 | ||
4354 | 00:46:32,279 ~-~-> 00:46:33,629 | ||
4355 | to get in and they give you a textbook, | ||
4356 | |||
4357 | 1090 | ||
4358 | 00:46:33,659 ~-~-> 00:46:34,769 | ||
4359 | are they gonna let you go out there and | ||
4360 | |||
4361 | 1091 | ||
4362 | 00:46:34,769 ~-~-> 00:46:39,779 | ||
4363 | take apart? Monster Adi, just you know, | ||
4364 | |||
4365 | 1092 | ||
4366 | 00:46:39,779 ~-~-> 00:46:40,859 | ||
4367 | to see if you could do it, they're not | ||
4368 | |||
4369 | 1093 | ||
4370 | 00:46:40,859 ~-~-> 00:46:43,169 | ||
4371 | gonna let you do that. Okay, you got to | ||
4372 | |||
4373 | 1094 | ||
4374 | 00:46:43,169 ~-~-> 00:46:44,609 | ||
4375 | understand theory, and that's where | ||
4376 | |||
4377 | 1095 | ||
4378 | 00:46:44,609 ~-~-> 00:46:46,349 | ||
4379 | you're at as a new trader. Some of you | ||
4380 | |||
4381 | 1096 | ||
4382 | 00:46:46,349 ~-~-> 00:46:48,389 | ||
4383 | guys have been following me since 2010. | ||
4384 | |||
4385 | 1097 | ||
4386 | 00:46:48,719 ~-~-> 00:46:51,209 | ||
4387 | And you still should be in theory | ||
4388 | |||
4389 | 1098 | ||
4390 | 00:46:51,209 ~-~-> 00:46:52,709 | ||
4391 | because a lot of you guys rushed into | ||
4392 | |||
4393 | 1099 | ||
4394 | 00:46:52,709 ~-~-> 00:46:54,539 | ||
4395 | trading live. Okay, and then you're | ||
4396 | |||
4397 | 1100 | ||
4398 | 00:46:54,539 ~-~-> 00:46:56,609 | ||
4399 | sending me emails saying, really not | ||
4400 | |||
4401 | 1101 | ||
4402 | 00:46:56,609 ~-~-> 00:46:57,869 | ||
4403 | understanding what's going on, but then | ||
4404 | |||
4405 | 1102 | ||
4406 | 00:46:57,869 ~-~-> 00:46:59,999 | ||
4407 | you'll send me one or two emails over | ||
4408 | |||
4409 | 1103 | ||
4410 | 00:46:59,999 ~-~-> 00:47:01,079 | ||
4411 | course the three months and I think I | ||
4412 | |||
4413 | 1104 | ||
4414 | 00:47:01,079 ~-~-> 00:47:03,029 | ||
4415 | got it again know what you did? What did | ||
4416 | |||
4417 | 1105 | ||
4418 | 00:47:03,029 ~-~-> 00:47:04,799 | ||
4419 | you just happen to have the right move | ||
4420 | |||
4421 | 1106 | ||
4422 | 00:47:04,799 ~-~-> 00:47:06,749 | ||
4423 | that day, but you haven't been applying | ||
4424 | |||
4425 | 1107 | ||
4426 | 00:47:06,749 ~-~-> 00:47:08,669 | ||
4427 | the tools because there's a plethora of | ||
4428 | |||
4429 | 1108 | ||
4430 | 00:47:09,599 ~-~-> 00:47:12,089 | ||
4431 | multiple setups that happen throughout | ||
4432 | |||
4433 | 1109 | ||
4434 | 00:47:12,089 ~-~-> 00:47:14,339 | ||
4435 | the week. And if you just focus on one | ||
4436 | |||
4437 | 1110 | ||
4438 | 00:47:14,339 ~-~-> 00:47:16,769 | ||
4439 | trading pair, you'll be able to learn | ||
4440 | |||
4441 | 1111 | ||
4442 | 00:47:16,799 ~-~-> 00:47:18,389 | ||
4443 | these concepts. And once you understand | ||
4444 | |||
4445 | 1112 | ||
4446 | 00:47:18,389 ~-~-> 00:47:20,459 | ||
4447 | it, you can apply to every every one of | ||
4448 | |||
4449 | 1113 | ||
4450 | 00:47:20,459 ~-~-> 00:47:22,139 | ||
4451 | the pair's if you want to be that crazy | ||
4452 | |||
4453 | 1114 | ||
4454 | 00:47:22,139 ~-~-> 00:47:24,929 | ||
4455 | about it. But understanding that if | ||
4456 | |||
4457 | 1115 | ||
4458 | 00:47:24,929 ~-~-> 00:47:26,459 | ||
4459 | we're in an environment that is most | ||
4460 | |||
4461 | 1116 | ||
4462 | 00:47:26,459 ~-~-> 00:47:28,709 | ||
4463 | likely going to be going higher or lower | ||
4464 | |||
4465 | 1117 | ||
4466 | 00:47:28,709 ~-~-> 00:47:31,169 | ||
4467 | over a long period of time now why was I | ||
4468 | |||
4469 | 1118 | ||
4470 | 00:47:31,169 ~-~-> 00:47:32,789 | ||
4471 | discussing this down move here and why | ||
4472 | |||
4473 | 1119 | ||
4474 | 00:47:32,789 ~-~-> 00:47:34,649 | ||
4475 | is it important? Well, think about it. | ||
4476 | |||
4477 | 1120 | ||
4478 | 00:47:34,649 ~-~-> 00:47:36,599 | ||
4479 | If this was going down, what should the | ||
4480 | |||
4481 | 1121 | ||
4482 | 00:47:36,599 ~-~-> 00:47:38,129 | ||
4483 | dollar been doing at the same time? | ||
4484 | |||
4485 | 1122 | ||
4486 | 00:47:41,489 ~-~-> 00:47:44,249 | ||
4487 | rallying, you see that. So that's how | ||
4488 | |||
4489 | 1123 | ||
4490 | 00:47:44,249 ~-~-> 00:47:46,259 | ||
4491 | you get institutional sponsorship behind | ||
4492 | |||
4493 | 1124 | ||
4494 | 00:47:46,259 ~-~-> 00:47:48,059 | ||
4495 | the trades that you're taking. If you | ||
4496 | |||
4497 | 1125 | ||
4498 | 00:47:48,059 ~-~-> 00:47:50,909 | ||
4499 | see a risk off scenario, which again, | ||
4500 | |||
4501 | 1126 | ||
4502 | 00:47:50,909 ~-~-> 00:47:52,769 | ||
4503 | that is dollar rallying dollar base | ||
4504 | |||
4505 | 1127 | ||
4506 | 00:47:52,769 ~-~-> 00:47:59,519 | ||
4507 | rally is going to see a decline in the | ||
4508 | |||
4509 | 1128 | ||
4510 | 00:47:59,519 ~-~-> 00:48:01,439 | ||
4511 | British Pound Okay, the British pounds | ||
4512 | |||
4513 | 1129 | ||
4514 | 00:48:01,439 ~-~-> 00:48:03,539 | ||
4515 | can be falling against the dollar, what | ||
4516 | |||
4517 | 1130 | ||
4518 | 00:48:03,539 ~-~-> 00:48:06,359 | ||
4519 | you're looking for is the opening, rally | ||
4520 | |||
4521 | 1131 | ||
4522 | 00:48:06,359 ~-~-> 00:48:09,509 | ||
4523 | up selling to that and expect the down | ||
4524 | |||
4525 | 1132 | ||
4526 | 00:48:09,509 ~-~-> 00:48:11,369 | ||
4527 | move to occur and have a lower close, | ||
4528 | |||
4529 | 1133 | ||
4530 | 00:48:11,639 ~-~-> 00:48:14,279 | ||
4531 | you want to see range expansion. Okay, | ||
4532 | |||
4533 | 1134 | ||
4534 | 00:48:14,279 ~-~-> 00:48:16,289 | ||
4535 | range expansion is this thing here. When | ||
4536 | |||
4537 | 1135 | ||
4538 | 00:48:16,289 ~-~-> 00:48:17,519 | ||
4539 | you have the daily range, we have the | ||
4540 | |||
4541 | 1136 | ||
4542 | 00:48:17,519 ~-~-> 00:48:20,429 | ||
4543 | opening price here are trades up as we | ||
4544 | |||
4545 | 1137 | ||
4546 | 00:48:20,429 ~-~-> 00:48:22,499 | ||
4547 | see here. So really, I guess we should | ||
4548 | |||
4549 | 1138 | ||
4550 | 00:48:22,499 ~-~-> 00:48:26,249 | ||
4551 | be really just saying this. The opening | ||
4552 | |||
4553 | 1139 | ||
4554 | 00:48:26,249 ~-~-> 00:48:29,069 | ||
4555 | price is right there. Okay. So this | ||
4556 | |||
4557 | 1140 | ||
4558 | 00:48:29,069 ~-~-> 00:48:30,929 | ||
4559 | little box in here, that's | ||
4560 | |||
4561 | 1141 | ||
4562 | 00:48:30,929 ~-~-> 00:48:32,039 | ||
4563 | representative right here, if this is | ||
4564 | |||
4565 | 1142 | ||
4566 | 00:48:32,039 ~-~-> 00:48:34,199 | ||
4567 | the daily range that we see on this | ||
4568 | |||
4569 | 1143 | ||
4570 | 00:48:34,199 ~-~-> 00:48:36,449 | ||
4571 | example, like say this right here, this | ||
4572 | |||
4573 | 1144 | ||
4574 | 00:48:36,449 ~-~-> 00:48:38,519 | ||
4575 | is the daily range itself. Okay, | ||
4576 | |||
4577 | 1145 | ||
4578 | 00:48:38,759 ~-~-> 00:48:41,189 | ||
4579 | graphically depicted over here. The | ||
4580 | |||
4581 | 1146 | ||
4582 | 00:48:41,189 ~-~-> 00:48:43,889 | ||
4583 | opening, the initial move up from the | ||
4584 | |||
4585 | 1147 | ||
4586 | 00:48:43,889 ~-~-> 00:48:45,689 | ||
4587 | opening price, which is here, look how | ||
4588 | |||
4589 | 1148 | ||
4590 | 00:48:45,689 ~-~-> 00:48:47,939 | ||
4591 | much opportunity you had to find sell | ||
4592 | |||
4593 | 1149 | ||
4594 | 00:48:47,939 ~-~-> 00:48:50,189 | ||
4595 | scenarios just above the opening price, | ||
4596 | |||
4597 | 1150 | ||
4598 | 00:48:50,249 ~-~-> 00:48:53,939 | ||
4599 | just selling it, okay? If you're worried | ||
4600 | |||
4601 | 1151 | ||
4602 | 00:48:53,939 ~-~-> 00:48:56,939 | ||
4603 | about being stopped out, if you're | ||
4604 | |||
4605 | 1152 | ||
4606 | 00:48:56,939 ~-~-> 00:48:58,919 | ||
4607 | afraid that you're going to be stopped | ||
4608 | |||
4609 | 1153 | ||
4610 | 00:48:58,919 ~-~-> 00:49:00,539 | ||
4611 | out and you're going to lose Money. | ||
4612 | |||
4613 | 1154 | ||
4614 | 00:49:01,229 ~-~-> 00:49:04,319 | ||
4615 | Okay, you need to stop that. throw that | ||
4616 | |||
4617 | 1155 | ||
4618 | 00:49:04,319 ~-~-> 00:49:05,339 | ||
4619 | out right now there's I'm going to take | ||
4620 | |||
4621 | 1156 | ||
4622 | 00:49:05,339 ~-~-> 00:49:06,419 | ||
4623 | you right? I'm going to take away every | ||
4624 | |||
4625 | 1157 | ||
4626 | 00:49:06,419 ~-~-> 00:49:07,859 | ||
4627 | excuse in the book for you right now. | ||
4628 | |||
4629 | 1158 | ||
4630 | 00:49:08,099 ~-~-> 00:49:10,949 | ||
4631 | Okay? Are you ready? Nod your head. I'm | ||
4632 | |||
4633 | 1159 | ||
4634 | 00:49:10,949 ~-~-> 00:49:13,709 | ||
4635 | ready, Michael, I'm ready. Okay. What's | ||
4636 | |||
4637 | 1160 | ||
4638 | 00:49:13,709 ~-~-> 00:49:14,669 | ||
4639 | you're going to do is you're going to | ||
4640 | |||
4641 | 1161 | ||
4642 | 00:49:14,699 ~-~-> 00:49:20,279 | ||
4643 | look at an example of time and price as | ||
4644 | |||
4645 | 1162 | ||
4646 | 00:49:20,279 ~-~-> 00:49:23,549 | ||
4647 | it relates to stop loss placement. Okay, | ||
4648 | |||
4649 | 1163 | ||
4650 | 00:49:23,789 ~-~-> 00:49:25,589 | ||
4651 | now assume we have this idea that we | ||
4652 | |||
4653 | 1164 | ||
4654 | 00:49:25,589 ~-~-> 00:49:27,089 | ||
4655 | think price is going to trade up to this | ||
4656 | |||
4657 | 1165 | ||
4658 | 00:49:27,089 ~-~-> 00:49:28,529 | ||
4659 | point here because we already identified | ||
4660 | |||
4661 | 1166 | ||
4662 | 00:49:28,529 ~-~-> 00:49:30,389 | ||
4663 | our range. Okay, we understand the time | ||
4664 | |||
4665 | 1167 | ||
4666 | 00:49:30,389 ~-~-> 00:49:31,859 | ||
4667 | of day, we understand that we're above | ||
4668 | |||
4669 | 1168 | ||
4670 | 00:49:31,859 ~-~-> 00:49:33,989 | ||
4671 | the opening price. Okay, we want to sell | ||
4672 | |||
4673 | 1169 | ||
4674 | 00:49:33,989 ~-~-> 00:49:35,609 | ||
4675 | in here. So where should our stop be? | ||
4676 | |||
4677 | 1170 | ||
4678 | 00:49:36,419 ~-~-> 00:49:39,089 | ||
4679 | Well, it should be above this high. | ||
4680 | |||
4681 | 1171 | ||
4682 | 00:49:39,179 ~-~-> 00:49:40,409 | ||
4683 | That's what our textbooks teach us. | ||
4684 | |||
4685 | 1172 | ||
4686 | 00:49:40,409 ~-~-> 00:49:42,749 | ||
4687 | Right? Okay, great. That's fine. But now | ||
4688 | |||
4689 | 1173 | ||
4690 | 00:49:42,749 ~-~-> 00:49:48,059 | ||
4691 | let's talk about why I always talk about | ||
4692 | |||
4693 | 1174 | ||
4694 | 00:49:48,059 ~-~-> 00:49:52,019 | ||
4695 | using a standard 30 pips stop loss. Now | ||
4696 | |||
4697 | 1175 | ||
4698 | 00:49:52,019 ~-~-> 00:49:53,429 | ||
4699 | I know you're thinking, Wait a minute, I | ||
4700 | |||
4701 | 1176 | ||
4702 | 00:49:53,429 ~-~-> 00:49:54,539 | ||
4703 | don't want to lose. I don't want to use | ||
4704 | |||
4705 | 1177 | ||
4706 | 00:49:54,539 ~-~-> 00:49:56,189 | ||
4707 | a 30 PIP stop loss that doesn't sound | ||
4708 | |||
4709 | 1178 | ||
4710 | 00:49:56,189 ~-~-> 00:49:57,959 | ||
4711 | like it's going to work out well. You | ||
4712 | |||
4713 | 1179 | ||
4714 | 00:49:57,959 ~-~-> 00:49:59,159 | ||
4715 | know, it's going to be a big loss. Well, | ||
4716 | |||
4717 | 1180 | ||
4718 | 00:49:59,189 ~-~-> 00:50:01,229 | ||
4719 | it would be if you had A lot of money in | ||
4720 | |||
4721 | 1181 | ||
4722 | 00:50:01,229 ~-~-> 00:50:03,419 | ||
4723 | terms of your risk exposure over 30 | ||
4724 | |||
4725 | 1182 | ||
4726 | 00:50:03,419 ~-~-> 00:50:06,419 | ||
4727 | pips. But what I want you to look over | ||
4728 | |||
4729 | 1183 | ||
4730 | 00:50:06,419 ~-~-> 00:50:08,999 | ||
4731 | here when I put this little thing, this | ||
4732 | |||
4733 | 1184 | ||
4734 | 00:50:08,999 ~-~-> 00:50:10,559 | ||
4735 | little cursor here, notice there's | ||
4736 | |||
4737 | 1185 | ||
4738 | 00:50:10,559 ~-~-> 00:50:13,229 | ||
4739 | little numbers right now says 32 now | ||
4740 | |||
4741 | 1186 | ||
4742 | 00:50:13,229 ~-~-> 00:50:17,669 | ||
4743 | says 2441 Okay, I'm what I'm doing is | ||
4744 | |||
4745 | 1187 | ||
4746 | 00:50:17,669 ~-~-> 00:50:20,819 | ||
4747 | I'm putting a range of 30 See that? | ||
4748 | |||
4749 | 1188 | ||
4750 | 00:50:23,369 ~-~-> 00:50:27,779 | ||
4751 | That's 30 pips right there. Now that | ||
4752 | |||
4753 | 1189 | ||
4754 | 00:50:27,779 ~-~-> 00:50:30,419 | ||
4755 | rectangle is graphically depicting where | ||
4756 | |||
4757 | 1190 | ||
4758 | 00:50:30,509 ~-~-> 00:50:33,629 | ||
4759 | 30 pips range is in difference to | ||
4760 | |||
4761 | 1191 | ||
4762 | 00:50:33,629 ~-~-> 00:50:34,739 | ||
4763 | wherever I want to place it on the | ||
4764 | |||
4765 | 1192 | ||
4766 | 00:50:34,739 ~-~-> 00:50:37,049 | ||
4767 | chart, if this is where we're entering | ||
4768 | |||
4769 | 1193 | ||
4770 | 00:50:37,079 ~-~-> 00:50:40,079 | ||
4771 | in London open at 815 GMT, or eight, | ||
4772 | |||
4773 | 1194 | ||
4774 | 00:50:40,649 ~-~-> 00:50:44,579 | ||
4775 | GMT, which is basically 2am | ||
4776 | |||
4777 | 1195 | ||
4778 | 00:50:45,810 ~-~-> 00:50:49,950 | ||
4779 | I'm sorry, 3am 3am New York time, if you | ||
4780 | |||
4781 | 1196 | ||
4782 | 00:50:49,950 ~-~-> 00:50:53,250 | ||
4783 | take that entry point, and we're going | ||
4784 | |||
4785 | 1197 | ||
4786 | 00:50:53,250 ~-~-> 00:50:55,920 | ||
4787 | to use the 62% line right there who I'm | ||
4788 | |||
4789 | 1198 | ||
4790 | 00:50:55,920 ~-~-> 00:50:57,900 | ||
4791 | doing, I'm taking that range of that, | ||
4792 | |||
4793 | 1199 | ||
4794 | 00:50:57,960 ~-~-> 00:51:00,300 | ||
4795 | that 30 pips on this rectangle Putting | ||
4796 | |||
4797 | 1200 | ||
4798 | 00:51:00,300 ~-~-> 00:51:02,910 | ||
4799 | rate on that level right here at 62. And | ||
4800 | |||
4801 | 1201 | ||
4802 | 00:51:02,910 ~-~-> 00:51:06,000 | ||
4803 | I'm adding 30 pips to it right up here. | ||
4804 | |||
4805 | 1202 | ||
4806 | 00:51:06,030 ~-~-> 00:51:10,470 | ||
4807 | That's where your stop loss is. As | ||
4808 | |||
4809 | 1203 | ||
4810 | 00:51:10,470 ~-~-> 00:51:12,360 | ||
4811 | you're learning, this is what you're | ||
4812 | |||
4813 | 1204 | ||
4814 | 00:51:12,360 ~-~-> 00:51:13,530 | ||
4815 | going to do, you're going to place your | ||
4816 | |||
4817 | 1205 | ||
4818 | 00:51:13,530 ~-~-> 00:51:18,450 | ||
4819 | stop loss order right there at 169 12 | ||
4820 | |||
4821 | 1206 | ||
4822 | 00:51:18,480 ~-~-> 00:51:23,880 | ||
4823 | your entry price is at 168 85. No, no, | ||
4824 | |||
4825 | 1207 | ||
4826 | 00:51:23,880 ~-~-> 00:51:25,260 | ||
4827 | it's not. I mean, get that. I mean, make | ||
4828 | |||
4829 | 1208 | ||
4830 | 00:51:25,260 ~-~-> 00:51:28,800 | ||
4831 | sure I'm saying this right. Okay, right | ||
4832 | |||
4833 | 1209 | ||
4834 | 00:51:28,800 ~-~-> 00:51:33,630 | ||
4835 | here, you have 168 82 and 30 pips away | ||
4836 | |||
4837 | 1210 | ||
4838 | 00:51:33,630 ~-~-> 00:51:37,920 | ||
4839 | is 169 12. Okay, so you have this much | ||
4840 | |||
4841 | 1211 | ||
4842 | 00:51:38,190 ~-~-> 00:51:39,750 | ||
4843 | in terms of space between where you're | ||
4844 | |||
4845 | 1212 | ||
4846 | 00:51:39,750 ~-~-> 00:51:41,190 | ||
4847 | entering and where your stop loss is | ||
4848 | |||
4849 | 1213 | ||
4850 | 00:51:41,190 ~-~-> 00:51:45,480 | ||
4851 | going to be. Now. What does that mean? | ||
4852 | |||
4853 | 1214 | ||
4854 | 00:51:46,560 ~-~-> 00:51:50,520 | ||
4855 | Well, whatever you sell here, okay, if | ||
4856 | |||
4857 | 1215 | ||
4858 | 00:51:50,520 ~-~-> 00:51:52,500 | ||
4859 | price was to take you out, and by | ||
4860 | |||
4861 | 1216 | ||
4862 | 00:51:52,500 ~-~-> 00:51:54,990 | ||
4863 | trading up to that level here, okay, and | ||
4864 | |||
4865 | 1217 | ||
4866 | 00:51:54,990 ~-~-> 00:51:57,480 | ||
4867 | really, that only has to happen by | ||
4868 | |||
4869 | 1218 | ||
4870 | 00:51:59,280 ~-~-> 00:52:04,380 | ||
4871 | trading. 160 909 would take you | ||
4872 | |||
4873 | 1219 | ||
4874 | 00:52:04,380 ~-~-> 00:52:07,020 | ||
4875 | essentially most like and most in most | ||
4876 | |||
4877 | 1220 | ||
4878 | 00:52:07,110 ~-~-> 00:52:08,430 | ||
4879 | platforms it would take you off at | ||
4880 | |||
4881 | 1221 | ||
4882 | 00:52:08,430 ~-~-> 00:52:10,500 | ||
4883 | traded at that point because you got a | ||
4884 | |||
4885 | 1222 | ||
4886 | 00:52:10,500 ~-~-> 00:52:13,740 | ||
4887 | factor to spread. So you're probably | ||
4888 | |||
4889 | 1223 | ||
4890 | 00:52:13,740 ~-~-> 00:52:16,020 | ||
4891 | really in even though you're looking at | ||
4892 | |||
4893 | 1224 | ||
4894 | 00:52:16,020 ~-~-> 00:52:18,150 | ||
4895 | 30 pips, the market main times will take | ||
4896 | |||
4897 | 1225 | ||
4898 | 00:52:18,150 ~-~-> 00:52:21,870 | ||
4899 | you out 27 So why do I use 30 pips? 30 | ||
4900 | |||
4901 | 1226 | ||
4902 | 00:52:21,870 ~-~-> 00:52:24,750 | ||
4903 | pips? I want you to do a study. Okay? I | ||
4904 | |||
4905 | 1227 | ||
4906 | 00:52:24,750 ~-~-> 00:52:26,640 | ||
4907 | want you to look at days that create the | ||
4908 | |||
4909 | 1228 | ||
4910 | 00:52:26,640 ~-~-> 00:52:29,190 | ||
4911 | down moves, okay in London, it makes the | ||
4912 | |||
4913 | 1229 | ||
4914 | 00:52:29,190 ~-~-> 00:52:33,570 | ||
4915 | high take 30 pips and add it to the high | ||
4916 | |||
4917 | 1230 | ||
4918 | 00:52:34,500 ~-~-> 00:52:37,200 | ||
4919 | of the highest high during two o'clock | ||
4920 | |||
4921 | 1231 | ||
4922 | 00:52:37,200 ~-~-> 00:52:38,280 | ||
4923 | in the morning and four o'clock in the | ||
4924 | |||
4925 | 1232 | ||
4926 | 00:52:38,280 ~-~-> 00:52:40,860 | ||
4927 | morning, New York time. Okay, whatever | ||
4928 | |||
4929 | 1233 | ||
4930 | 00:52:40,860 ~-~-> 00:52:43,260 | ||
4931 | the highest high was, put it on the | ||
4932 | |||
4933 | 1234 | ||
4934 | 00:52:43,260 ~-~-> 00:52:45,480 | ||
4935 | highest high there and add 30 pips to | ||
4936 | |||
4937 | 1235 | ||
4938 | 00:52:45,480 ~-~-> 00:52:47,280 | ||
4939 | that. Okay, and I want you to count how | ||
4940 | |||
4941 | 1236 | ||
4942 | 00:52:47,280 ~-~-> 00:52:51,000 | ||
4943 | many days that 30 pips gets taken out or | ||
4944 | |||
4945 | 1237 | ||
4946 | 00:52:51,000 ~-~-> 00:52:53,400 | ||
4947 | will be will be stopped out. Okay, and | ||
4948 | |||
4949 | 1238 | ||
4950 | 00:52:53,400 ~-~-> 00:52:57,630 | ||
4951 | why am I saying 30 pips? Well, if we | ||
4952 | |||
4953 | 1239 | ||
4954 | 00:52:57,660 ~-~-> 00:53:00,000 | ||
4955 | were to be very generous, and say that | ||
4956 | |||
4957 | 1240 | ||
4958 | 00:53:00,360 ~-~-> 00:53:03,000 | ||
4959 | The average daily range for our currency | ||
4960 | |||
4961 | 1241 | ||
4962 | 00:53:03,000 ~-~-> 00:53:06,270 | ||
4963 | pair is 100 pips. Okay? If it's 100 | ||
4964 | |||
4965 | 1242 | ||
4966 | 00:53:06,270 ~-~-> 00:53:11,010 | ||
4967 | pips, how much of 100 pips is 30? | ||
4968 | |||
4969 | 1243 | ||
4970 | 00:53:11,220 ~-~-> 00:53:15,300 | ||
4971 | roughly a third. Okay? My The idea | ||
4972 | |||
4973 | 1244 | ||
4974 | 00:53:15,300 ~-~-> 00:53:16,890 | ||
4975 | behind this, okay and it's really | ||
4976 | |||
4977 | 1245 | ||
4978 | 00:53:16,890 ~-~-> 00:53:18,480 | ||
4979 | nothing I can attribute to any other | ||
4980 | |||
4981 | 1246 | ||
4982 | 00:53:18,540 ~-~-> 00:53:20,160 | ||
4983 | author because if it was I would simply | ||
4984 | |||
4985 | 1247 | ||
4986 | 00:53:20,160 ~-~-> 00:53:21,930 | ||
4987 | take you to their work and say, okay, | ||
4988 | |||
4989 | 1248 | ||
4990 | 00:53:21,930 ~-~-> 00:53:23,730 | ||
4991 | read this and you'll understand it. If | ||
4992 | |||
4993 | 1249 | ||
4994 | 00:53:23,760 ~-~-> 00:53:26,760 | ||
4995 | this is 30 pips, it's not okay. But | ||
4996 | |||
4997 | 1250 | ||
4998 | 00:53:26,760 ~-~-> 00:53:29,490 | ||
4999 | let's assume for a moment that this is | ||
5000 | |||
5001 | 1251 | ||
5002 | 00:53:29,490 ~-~-> 00:53:33,240 | ||
5003 | the daily range of 100 pips in three | ||
5004 | |||
5005 | 1252 | ||
5006 | 00:53:33,240 ~-~-> 00:53:35,190 | ||
5007 | stages, let me just do this. | ||
5008 | |||
5009 | 1253 | ||
5010 | 00:53:42,360 ~-~-> 00:53:45,840 | ||
5011 | So if this whole larger rectangle, if | ||
5012 | |||
5013 | 1254 | ||
5014 | 00:53:45,840 ~-~-> 00:53:49,230 | ||
5015 | you will, it represents a daily range of | ||
5016 | |||
5017 | 1255 | ||
5018 | 00:53:49,230 ~-~-> 00:53:52,950 | ||
5019 | 100 pips. Okay? If we're trying to sell | ||
5020 | |||
5021 | 1256 | ||
5022 | 00:53:52,950 ~-~-> 00:53:54,780 | ||
5023 | it, and we sell it anywhere up in the | ||
5024 | |||
5025 | 1257 | ||
5026 | 00:53:54,780 ~-~-> 00:53:57,000 | ||
5027 | upper portion of the range, okay, we're | ||
5028 | |||
5029 | 1258 | ||
5030 | 00:53:57,000 ~-~-> 00:53:58,980 | ||
5031 | trying to capture this type of event a | ||
5032 | |||
5033 | 1259 | ||
5034 | 00:53:58,980 ~-~-> 00:54:01,410 | ||
5035 | move up from it. And down and capture | ||
5036 | |||
5037 | 1260 | ||
5038 | 00:54:01,410 ~-~-> 00:54:03,690 | ||
5039 | some profits, if we're looking to sell | ||
5040 | |||
5041 | 1261 | ||
5042 | 00:54:03,690 ~-~-> 00:54:05,820 | ||
5043 | up in the upper third of the range, | ||
5044 | |||
5045 | 1262 | ||
5046 | 00:54:05,970 ~-~-> 00:54:10,290 | ||
5047 | okay? If we're already in the ideal | ||
5048 | |||
5049 | 1263 | ||
5050 | 00:54:10,320 ~-~-> 00:54:12,570 | ||
5051 | location of a down day, what's the | ||
5052 | |||
5053 | 1264 | ||
5054 | 00:54:12,570 ~-~-> 00:54:14,910 | ||
5055 | likelihood of it moving 30 pips from | ||
5056 | |||
5057 | 1265 | ||
5058 | 00:54:14,910 ~-~-> 00:54:17,010 | ||
5059 | that point and then making a lower low | ||
5060 | |||
5061 | 1266 | ||
5062 | 00:54:17,070 ~-~-> 00:54:18,990 | ||
5063 | and a lower close, unless it's | ||
5064 | |||
5065 | 1267 | ||
5066 | 00:54:18,990 ~-~-> 00:54:21,900 | ||
5067 | economically driven by a report or a | ||
5068 | |||
5069 | 1268 | ||
5070 | 00:54:21,930 ~-~-> 00:54:25,650 | ||
5071 | market moving event, okay, like FOMC, or | ||
5072 | |||
5073 | 1269 | ||
5074 | 00:54:25,950 ~-~-> 00:54:28,200 | ||
5075 | non farm payroll. Those are the two | ||
5076 | |||
5077 | 1270 | ||
5078 | 00:54:28,230 ~-~-> 00:54:30,390 | ||
5079 | reasons why I do not trade those days | ||
5080 | |||
5081 | 1271 | ||
5082 | 00:54:30,390 ~-~-> 00:54:32,580 | ||
5083 | because that's when it can very easily | ||
5084 | |||
5085 | 1272 | ||
5086 | 00:54:32,580 ~-~-> 00:54:34,800 | ||
5087 | blow through 30 pips and clean out both | ||
5088 | |||
5089 | 1273 | ||
5090 | 00:54:34,800 ~-~-> 00:54:35,940 | ||
5091 | directions in the marketplace and go | ||
5092 | |||
5093 | 1274 | ||
5094 | 00:54:35,940 ~-~-> 00:54:37,200 | ||
5095 | back to the center the range from the | ||
5096 | |||
5097 | 1275 | ||
5098 | 00:54:37,200 ~-~-> 00:54:38,880 | ||
5099 | daily range and go nowhere. And | ||
5100 | |||
5101 | 1276 | ||
5102 | 00:54:38,880 ~-~-> 00:54:40,440 | ||
5103 | basically, no one makes money that day | ||
5104 | |||
5105 | 1277 | ||
5106 | 00:54:40,560 ~-~-> 00:54:43,290 | ||
5107 | by doing that, unless you're ultra short | ||
5108 | |||
5109 | 1278 | ||
5110 | 00:54:43,290 ~-~-> 00:54:45,840 | ||
5111 | term scalper and you fade that move. And | ||
5112 | |||
5113 | 1279 | ||
5114 | 00:54:45,840 ~-~-> 00:54:47,130 | ||
5115 | I don't like to do it because it's a | ||
5116 | |||
5117 | 1280 | ||
5118 | 00:54:47,130 ~-~-> 00:54:50,370 | ||
5119 | carnival ride. So FOMC is a joke. Don't | ||
5120 | |||
5121 | 1281 | ||
5122 | 00:54:50,370 ~-~-> 00:54:51,960 | ||
5123 | play it. Don't, don't trade it. Don't be | ||
5124 | |||
5125 | 1282 | ||
5126 | 00:54:51,960 ~-~-> 00:54:53,670 | ||
5127 | in front of it. And non farm payroll, | ||
5128 | |||
5129 | 1283 | ||
5130 | 00:54:53,670 ~-~-> 00:54:55,380 | ||
5131 | there's absolutely no reason why you | ||
5132 | |||
5133 | 1284 | ||
5134 | 00:54:55,380 ~-~-> 00:54:56,790 | ||
5135 | should be in there doing it unless you | ||
5136 | |||
5137 | 1285 | ||
5138 | 00:54:56,790 ~-~-> 00:54:58,140 | ||
5139 | want to play in a demo account and just | ||
5140 | |||
5141 | 1286 | ||
5142 | 00:54:58,170 ~-~-> 00:55:00,360 | ||
5143 | you know, play in a sandbox. But what's | ||
5144 | |||
5145 | 1287 | ||
5146 | 00:55:00,360 ~-~-> 00:55:02,310 | ||
5147 | the purpose of doing that you can do | ||
5148 | |||
5149 | 1288 | ||
5150 | 00:55:02,310 ~-~-> 00:55:06,450 | ||
5151 | real trading in 2019 more days, if you | ||
5152 | |||
5153 | 1289 | ||
5154 | 00:55:06,450 ~-~-> 00:55:09,000 | ||
5155 | will, the rest of the month and actually | ||
5156 | |||
5157 | 1290 | ||
5158 | 00:55:09,000 ~-~-> 00:55:11,280 | ||
5159 | have days that are absolutely in favor | ||
5160 | |||
5161 | 1291 | ||
5162 | 00:55:11,280 ~-~-> 00:55:13,800 | ||
5163 | of volatility that is indicative of, you | ||
5164 | |||
5165 | 1292 | ||
5166 | 00:55:13,800 ~-~-> 00:55:15,390 | ||
5167 | know, price action that we can trade | ||
5168 | |||
5169 | 1293 | ||
5170 | 00:55:15,390 ~-~-> 00:55:17,550 | ||
5171 | with. So again, that's the reason why we | ||
5172 | |||
5173 | 1294 | ||
5174 | 00:55:17,550 ~-~-> 00:55:20,250 | ||
5175 | like to use a 30 pips. Now over time. | ||
5176 | |||
5177 | 1295 | ||
5178 | 00:55:20,850 ~-~-> 00:55:23,460 | ||
5179 | Over time, you will learn to be able to | ||
5180 | |||
5181 | 1296 | ||
5182 | 00:55:23,460 ~-~-> 00:55:27,000 | ||
5183 | trim that 30 PIP stop loss down. I'm not | ||
5184 | |||
5185 | 1297 | ||
5186 | 00:55:27,000 ~-~-> 00:55:29,190 | ||
5187 | going to tell you that you should get | ||
5188 | |||
5189 | 1298 | ||
5190 | 00:55:29,190 ~-~-> 00:55:31,230 | ||
5191 | down to 10 pips, or that you should get | ||
5192 | |||
5193 | 1299 | ||
5194 | 00:55:31,230 ~-~-> 00:55:33,840 | ||
5195 | down to 15 pips, okay, you can make a | ||
5196 | |||
5197 | 1300 | ||
5198 | 00:55:33,840 ~-~-> 00:55:37,590 | ||
5199 | career leaving it at 30. But what do you | ||
5200 | |||
5201 | 1301 | ||
5202 | 00:55:37,590 ~-~-> 00:55:39,570 | ||
5203 | do when you have your entry point and | ||
5204 | |||
5205 | 1302 | ||
5206 | 00:55:39,570 ~-~-> 00:55:40,740 | ||
5207 | you know where your stop loss is gonna | ||
5208 | |||
5209 | 1303 | ||
5210 | 00:55:40,740 ~-~-> 00:55:43,320 | ||
5211 | be 30 pips away, this should be no more | ||
5212 | |||
5213 | 1304 | ||
5214 | 00:55:43,320 ~-~-> 00:55:46,980 | ||
5215 | than one quarter of 1%. Think about what | ||
5216 | |||
5217 | 1305 | ||
5218 | 00:55:46,980 ~-~-> 00:55:51,600 | ||
5219 | I just told you. One quarter of 1% if | ||
5220 | |||
5221 | 1306 | ||
5222 | 00:55:51,600 ~-~-> 00:55:53,880 | ||
5223 | you're just now starting, that's the | ||
5224 | |||
5225 | 1307 | ||
5226 | 00:55:53,880 ~-~-> 00:55:56,220 | ||
5227 | level of risk. Now. Why am I telling you | ||
5228 | |||
5229 | 1308 | ||
5230 | 00:55:56,220 ~-~-> 00:55:58,980 | ||
5231 | that even in a demo account because if | ||
5232 | |||
5233 | 1309 | ||
5234 | 00:55:58,980 ~-~-> 00:56:02,100 | ||
5235 | you lose lose money or make money in a | ||
5236 | |||
5237 | 1310 | ||
5238 | 00:56:02,100 ~-~-> 00:56:06,090 | ||
5239 | demo account. It by default it | ||
5240 | |||
5241 | 1311 | ||
5242 | 00:56:06,540 ~-~-> 00:56:09,360 | ||
5243 | strategically plans. Okay, you're | ||
5244 | |||
5245 | 1312 | ||
5246 | 00:56:09,360 ~-~-> 00:56:12,990 | ||
5247 | thinking to think about money. And I'm | ||
5248 | |||
5249 | 1313 | ||
5250 | 00:56:12,990 ~-~-> 00:56:15,420 | ||
5251 | teaching you to think about the risk. | ||
5252 | |||
5253 | 1314 | ||
5254 | 00:56:16,020 ~-~-> 00:56:17,670 | ||
5255 | Everything that I'm sharing with you | ||
5256 | |||
5257 | 1315 | ||
5258 | 00:56:17,670 ~-~-> 00:56:19,890 | ||
5259 | will by default, put money in your | ||
5260 | |||
5261 | 1316 | ||
5262 | 00:56:19,890 ~-~-> 00:56:24,330 | ||
5263 | account. It will also require you to | ||
5264 | |||
5265 | 1317 | ||
5266 | 00:56:24,330 ~-~-> 00:56:27,810 | ||
5267 | stick to a low risk, high probability | ||
5268 | |||
5269 | 1318 | ||
5270 | 00:56:27,960 ~-~-> 00:56:30,690 | ||
5271 | scenario. This is one of those events. | ||
5272 | |||
5273 | 1319 | ||
5274 | 00:56:31,140 ~-~-> 00:56:33,990 | ||
5275 | They happen a couple times a week, every | ||
5276 | |||
5277 | 1320 | ||
5278 | 00:56:33,990 ~-~-> 00:56:37,380 | ||
5279 | single week. The problem is, are you | ||
5280 | |||
5281 | 1321 | ||
5282 | 00:56:37,380 ~-~-> 00:56:39,510 | ||
5283 | going to be there when price does what | ||
5284 | |||
5285 | 1322 | ||
5286 | 00:56:39,510 ~-~-> 00:56:42,240 | ||
5287 | it does? Think about it. There are | ||
5288 | |||
5289 | 1323 | ||
5290 | 00:56:42,240 ~-~-> 00:56:43,830 | ||
5291 | several opportunities in the week that | ||
5292 | |||
5293 | 1324 | ||
5294 | 00:56:43,860 ~-~-> 00:56:46,500 | ||
5295 | really set up really favorable trading | ||
5296 | |||
5297 | 1325 | ||
5298 | 00:56:46,500 ~-~-> 00:56:48,900 | ||
5299 | opportunities. They're not scalps, | ||
5300 | |||
5301 | 1326 | ||
5302 | 00:56:48,930 ~-~-> 00:56:52,050 | ||
5303 | they're intraday day trades. People that | ||
5304 | |||
5305 | 1327 | ||
5306 | 00:56:52,050 ~-~-> 00:56:54,030 | ||
5307 | have jobs can still do these types of | ||
5308 | |||
5309 | 1328 | ||
5310 | 00:56:54,030 ~-~-> 00:56:56,160 | ||
5311 | trades, but it will require you to wake | ||
5312 | |||
5313 | 1329 | ||
5314 | 00:56:56,160 ~-~-> 00:56:59,040 | ||
5315 | up at midnight, New York time. Take a | ||
5316 | |||
5317 | 1330 | ||
5318 | 00:56:59,040 ~-~-> 00:57:01,680 | ||
5319 | glance at where we're at. Look at | ||
5320 | |||
5321 | 1331 | ||
5322 | 00:57:01,680 ~-~-> 00:57:04,260 | ||
5323 | whatever previous ranges, okay? And then | ||
5324 | |||
5325 | 1332 | ||
5326 | 00:57:04,260 ~-~-> 00:57:08,010 | ||
5327 | you're going to basically use that as a, | ||
5328 | |||
5329 | 1333 | ||
5330 | 00:57:08,580 ~-~-> 00:57:10,320 | ||
5331 | as a basis to determine where your trade | ||
5332 | |||
5333 | 1334 | ||
5334 | 00:57:10,650 ~-~-> 00:57:13,260 | ||
5335 | setups going to be. Ideally, I think | ||
5336 | |||
5337 | 1335 | ||
5338 | 00:57:13,260 ~-~-> 00:57:16,440 | ||
5339 | London, if you're going to trade it, you | ||
5340 | |||
5341 | 1336 | ||
5342 | 00:57:16,440 ~-~-> 00:57:18,780 | ||
5343 | know, you need to be awake in front of | ||
5344 | |||
5345 | 1337 | ||
5346 | 00:57:18,780 ~-~-> 00:57:21,780 | ||
5347 | the charts, okay? But if you are really | ||
5348 | |||
5349 | 1338 | ||
5350 | 00:57:24,780 ~-~-> 00:57:26,460 | ||
5351 | gung ho about what you're seeing on the | ||
5352 | |||
5353 | 1339 | ||
5354 | 00:57:26,460 ~-~-> 00:57:30,750 | ||
5355 | charts at at midnight, okay, you can use | ||
5356 | |||
5357 | 1340 | ||
5358 | 00:57:30,750 ~-~-> 00:57:32,430 | ||
5359 | the previous range here or if you're | ||
5360 | |||
5361 | 1341 | ||
5362 | 00:57:32,430 ~-~-> 00:57:34,290 | ||
5363 | watching price, what I like to do is I | ||
5364 | |||
5365 | 1342 | ||
5366 | 00:57:34,290 ~-~-> 00:57:37,350 | ||
5367 | like to see an intraday high getting | ||
5368 | |||
5369 | 1343 | ||
5370 | 00:57:37,350 ~-~-> 00:57:39,090 | ||
5371 | taken out where like we have here, this | ||
5372 | |||
5373 | 1344 | ||
5374 | 00:57:39,090 ~-~-> 00:57:42,000 | ||
5375 | is the high end here. If you draw out a | ||
5376 | |||
5377 | 1345 | ||
5378 | 00:57:42,000 ~-~-> 00:57:43,230 | ||
5379 | little line, let's do that. | ||
5380 | |||
5381 | 1346 | ||
5382 | 00:57:49,260 ~-~-> 00:57:50,910 | ||
5383 | Actually, I draw the wrong one, but | ||
5384 | |||
5385 | 1347 | ||
5386 | 00:57:50,910 ~-~-> 00:57:53,490 | ||
5387 | still, it'll work. This is the high | ||
5388 | |||
5389 | 1348 | ||
5390 | 00:57:53,640 ~-~-> 00:57:55,110 | ||
5391 | Okay, and anything above it would be a | ||
5392 | |||
5393 | 1349 | ||
5394 | 00:57:55,110 ~-~-> 00:57:58,680 | ||
5395 | turtle suit, or stop raid, okay. And by | ||
5396 | |||
5397 | 1350 | ||
5398 | 00:57:58,680 ~-~-> 00:58:00,540 | ||
5399 | having that idea that would be another | ||
5400 | |||
5401 | 1351 | ||
5402 | 00:58:00,540 ~-~-> 00:58:01,800 | ||
5403 | pattern you can use if you're not an | ||
5404 | |||
5405 | 1352 | ||
5406 | 00:58:01,800 ~-~-> 00:58:04,230 | ||
5407 | optimal trade entry fan. Okay? The other | ||
5408 | |||
5409 | 1353 | ||
5410 | 00:58:04,230 ~-~-> 00:58:05,580 | ||
5411 | pattern I like to use a lot is the | ||
5412 | |||
5413 | 1354 | ||
5414 | 00:58:05,580 ~-~-> 00:58:07,020 | ||
5415 | turtle soup, which is a false breakout. | ||
5416 | |||
5417 | 1355 | ||
5418 | 00:58:07,230 ~-~-> 00:58:09,510 | ||
5419 | Okay. And many times, that's really | ||
5420 | |||
5421 | 1356 | ||
5422 | 00:58:09,510 ~-~-> 00:58:12,000 | ||
5423 | classic London open set setups. It's | ||
5424 | |||
5425 | 1357 | ||
5426 | 00:58:12,000 ~-~-> 00:58:13,470 | ||
5427 | just one of these previous intraday | ||
5428 | |||
5429 | 1358 | ||
5430 | 00:58:13,470 ~-~-> 00:58:15,900 | ||
5431 | highs. And there it is, that's what you | ||
5432 | |||
5433 | 1359 | ||
5434 | 00:58:15,900 ~-~-> 00:58:18,690 | ||
5435 | sell into. But without having the | ||
5436 | |||
5437 | 1360 | ||
5438 | 00:58:18,690 ~-~-> 00:58:20,460 | ||
5439 | context of understanding that you're in | ||
5440 | |||
5441 | 1361 | ||
5442 | 00:58:20,460 ~-~-> 00:58:22,560 | ||
5443 | an environment that you're expecting | ||
5444 | |||
5445 | 1362 | ||
5446 | 00:58:22,590 ~-~-> 00:58:25,740 | ||
5447 | down moves on a macro level, okay, | ||
5448 | |||
5449 | 1363 | ||
5450 | 00:58:25,740 ~-~-> 00:58:26,880 | ||
5451 | you're not going to understand how to | ||
5452 | |||
5453 | 1364 | ||
5454 | 00:58:26,880 ~-~-> 00:58:29,310 | ||
5455 | zero in on these very, very, very small | ||
5456 | |||
5457 | 1365 | ||
5458 | 00:58:29,310 ~-~-> 00:58:31,530 | ||
5459 | little time frames and segments of the | ||
5460 | |||
5461 | 1366 | ||
5462 | 00:58:31,530 ~-~-> 00:58:34,080 | ||
5463 | daily range to defer it out these | ||
5464 | |||
5465 | 1367 | ||
5466 | 00:58:34,080 ~-~-> 00:58:36,150 | ||
5467 | opportunities. We already told you what | ||
5468 | |||
5469 | 1368 | ||
5470 | 00:58:36,150 ~-~-> 00:58:38,640 | ||
5471 | time of day these things occur. And I'm | ||
5472 | |||
5473 | 1369 | ||
5474 | 00:58:38,640 ~-~-> 00:58:44,700 | ||
5475 | going to give you let's see, what what | ||
5476 | |||
5477 | 1370 | ||
5478 | 00:58:44,700 ~-~-> 00:58:45,930 | ||
5479 | can I show you here? What was I going to | ||
5480 | |||
5481 | 1371 | ||
5482 | 00:58:45,930 ~-~-> 00:58:48,030 | ||
5483 | do here? Let's do this. | ||
5484 | |||
5485 | 1372 | ||
5486 | 00:58:53,400 ~-~-> 00:58:58,890 | ||
5487 | Okay, yeah. Let's zoom in and it's good | ||
5488 | |||
5489 | 1373 | ||
5490 | 00:58:58,890 ~-~-> 00:59:03,780 | ||
5491 | to that same day. And where are we at? | ||
5492 | |||
5493 | 1374 | ||
5494 | 00:59:06,810 ~-~-> 00:59:10,140 | ||
5495 | Last night? Awesome a spot here guys. | ||
5496 | |||
5497 | 1375 | ||
5498 | 00:59:23,849 ~-~-> 00:59:24,959 | ||
5499 | Yeah, August 1. | ||
5500 | |||
5501 | 1376 | ||
5502 | 00:59:33,000 ~-~-> 00:59:36,450 | ||
5503 | Okay, August 1. Okay, so we talked about | ||
5504 | |||
5505 | 1377 | ||
5506 | 00:59:36,450 ~-~-> 00:59:38,790 | ||
5507 | the London open kill zone. And this | ||
5508 | |||
5509 | 1378 | ||
5510 | 00:59:38,790 ~-~-> 00:59:40,170 | ||
5511 | indicator, which I'll be sharing with | ||
5512 | |||
5513 | 1379 | ||
5514 | 00:59:40,170 ~-~-> 00:59:42,330 | ||
5515 | you guys. I'll send you a link through | ||
5516 | |||
5517 | 1380 | ||
5518 | 00:59:42,330 ~-~-> 00:59:44,250 | ||
5519 | Twitter where you can actually go and | ||
5520 | |||
5521 | 1381 | ||
5522 | 00:59:44,790 ~-~-> 00:59:46,920 | ||
5523 | download these from my website at the | ||
5524 | |||
5525 | 1382 | ||
5526 | 00:59:46,920 ~-~-> 00:59:49,770 | ||
5527 | inner circle trader calm the blue line | ||
5528 | |||
5529 | 1383 | ||
5530 | 00:59:49,770 ~-~-> 00:59:54,000 | ||
5531 | in here. This is viewed as bracketing | ||
5532 | |||
5533 | 1384 | ||
5534 | 00:59:54,000 ~-~-> 00:59:56,580 | ||
5535 | out if you will. And I like this form I | ||
5536 | |||
5537 | 1385 | ||
5538 | 00:59:56,580 ~-~-> 00:59:58,500 | ||
5539 | used to be. I used to draw it on my | ||
5540 | |||
5541 | 1386 | ||
5542 | 00:59:58,500 ~-~-> 01:00:01,680 | ||
5543 | charts you instantly The time donut in | ||
5544 | |||
5545 | 1387 | ||
5546 | 01:00:01,680 ~-~-> 01:00:04,440 | ||
5547 | my videos, but I liked the idea of | ||
5548 | |||
5549 | 1388 | ||
5550 | 01:00:04,440 ~-~-> 01:00:07,440 | ||
5551 | having very clean at the bottom because | ||
5552 | |||
5553 | 1389 | ||
5554 | 01:00:07,440 ~-~-> 01:00:09,150 | ||
5555 | I understand the window of opportunity. | ||
5556 | |||
5557 | 1390 | ||
5558 | 01:00:09,180 ~-~-> 01:00:10,620 | ||
5559 | And I really want you guys to think that | ||
5560 | |||
5561 | 1391 | ||
5562 | 01:00:10,620 ~-~-> 01:00:12,450 | ||
5563 | way and keep your charts clean at the | ||
5564 | |||
5565 | 1392 | ||
5566 | 01:00:12,450 ~-~-> 01:00:14,670 | ||
5567 | beginning of that line, which is right | ||
5568 | |||
5569 | 1393 | ||
5570 | 01:00:14,670 ~-~-> 01:00:18,480 | ||
5571 | here. Okay, and the end of the line. And | ||
5572 | |||
5573 | 1394 | ||
5574 | 01:00:18,480 ~-~-> 01:00:19,350 | ||
5575 | again, we're talking about this little | ||
5576 | |||
5577 | 1395 | ||
5578 | 01:00:19,350 ~-~-> 01:00:22,170 | ||
5579 | blue little section of time. This whole | ||
5580 | |||
5581 | 1396 | ||
5582 | 01:00:22,170 ~-~-> 01:00:26,550 | ||
5583 | pocket of time of day is the ICT London | ||
5584 | |||
5585 | 1397 | ||
5586 | 01:00:26,550 ~-~-> 01:00:31,500 | ||
5587 | open kill zone. Okay. It can extend to | ||
5588 | |||
5589 | 1398 | ||
5590 | 01:00:31,590 ~-~-> 01:00:36,090 | ||
5591 | 10 GMT, which is basically 5am on New | ||
5592 | |||
5593 | 1399 | ||
5594 | 01:00:36,090 ~-~-> 01:00:38,040 | ||
5595 | York time, and it can start as early as | ||
5596 | |||
5597 | 1400 | ||
5598 | 01:00:38,040 ~-~-> 01:00:43,260 | ||
5599 | 1am New York time or six GMT, okay, but | ||
5600 | |||
5601 | 1401 | ||
5602 | 01:00:43,260 ~-~-> 01:00:46,440 | ||
5603 | by far and large between seven GMT and | ||
5604 | |||
5605 | 1402 | ||
5606 | 01:00:46,440 ~-~-> 01:00:49,230 | ||
5607 | nine GMT, or two o'clock and four | ||
5608 | |||
5609 | 1403 | ||
5610 | 01:00:49,230 ~-~-> 01:00:51,060 | ||
5611 | o'clock in the morning, that's usually | ||
5612 | |||
5613 | 1404 | ||
5614 | 01:00:51,060 ~-~-> 01:00:53,220 | ||
5615 | when the higher load day forms. Now, | ||
5616 | |||
5617 | 1405 | ||
5618 | 01:00:53,610 ~-~-> 01:00:55,440 | ||
5619 | what does that mean? Well, if we have | ||
5620 | |||
5621 | 1406 | ||
5622 | 01:00:55,440 ~-~-> 01:00:57,990 | ||
5623 | already IRA arrived at the idea that the | ||
5624 | |||
5625 | 1407 | ||
5626 | 01:00:57,990 ~-~-> 01:01:00,540 | ||
5627 | dollar during this time It's been an | ||
5628 | |||
5629 | 1408 | ||
5630 | 01:01:00,540 ~-~-> 01:01:02,460 | ||
5631 | hour and already established up move. | ||
5632 | |||
5633 | 1409 | ||
5634 | 01:01:03,210 ~-~-> 01:01:04,530 | ||
5635 | And we come down to a level we're | ||
5636 | |||
5637 | 1410 | ||
5638 | 01:01:04,530 ~-~-> 01:01:07,020 | ||
5639 | anticipating support, we expect a bounce | ||
5640 | |||
5641 | 1411 | ||
5642 | 01:01:07,050 ~-~-> 01:01:08,850 | ||
5643 | in the dollar, even if it's short lived. | ||
5644 | |||
5645 | 1412 | ||
5646 | 01:01:09,150 ~-~-> 01:01:12,090 | ||
5647 | It gives us a prognostication of future | ||
5648 | |||
5649 | 1413 | ||
5650 | 01:01:12,090 ~-~-> 01:01:14,160 | ||
5651 | price action in the cable. And you see | ||
5652 | |||
5653 | 1414 | ||
5654 | 01:01:14,160 ~-~-> 01:01:15,840 | ||
5655 | that happening here with lower prices. | ||
5656 | |||
5657 | 1415 | ||
5658 | 01:01:15,990 ~-~-> 01:01:18,570 | ||
5659 | Okay, extending lower going back to our | ||
5660 | |||
5661 | 1416 | ||
5662 | 01:01:18,570 ~-~-> 01:01:22,500 | ||
5663 | intraday This is that that move up, | ||
5664 | |||
5665 | 1417 | ||
5666 | 01:01:22,830 ~-~-> 01:01:24,810 | ||
5667 | okay, that occurred. But look, it's | ||
5668 | |||
5669 | 1418 | ||
5670 | 01:01:24,810 ~-~-> 01:01:26,550 | ||
5671 | happening this this blue area here it | ||
5672 | |||
5673 | 1419 | ||
5674 | 01:01:26,550 ~-~-> 01:01:29,850 | ||
5675 | just helps us identify when, when these | ||
5676 | |||
5677 | 1420 | ||
5678 | 01:01:29,850 ~-~-> 01:01:32,400 | ||
5679 | moves are going to occur. So we | ||
5680 | |||
5681 | 1421 | ||
5682 | 01:01:32,400 ~-~-> 01:01:34,830 | ||
5683 | understand time of day, we understand | ||
5684 | |||
5685 | 1422 | ||
5686 | 01:01:35,160 ~-~-> 01:01:40,020 | ||
5687 | the range expansion theory that the | ||
5688 | |||
5689 | 1423 | ||
5690 | 01:01:40,020 ~-~-> 01:01:43,260 | ||
5691 | daily range will move down and the daily | ||
5692 | |||
5693 | 1424 | ||
5694 | 01:01:43,260 ~-~-> 01:01:45,210 | ||
5695 | bar will become larger throughout the | ||
5696 | |||
5697 | 1425 | ||
5698 | 01:01:45,210 ~-~-> 01:01:47,550 | ||
5699 | day. But the beginning of the move on a | ||
5700 | |||
5701 | 1426 | ||
5702 | 01:01:47,550 ~-~-> 01:01:50,850 | ||
5703 | down day occurs at London open at a pre | ||
5704 | |||
5705 | 1427 | ||
5706 | 01:01:50,850 ~-~-> 01:01:53,130 | ||
5707 | determined measurable move with | ||
5708 | |||
5709 | 1428 | ||
5710 | 01:01:53,340 ~-~-> 01:01:57,990 | ||
5711 | retracements at the beginning of a time | ||
5712 | |||
5713 | 1429 | ||
5714 | 01:01:57,990 ~-~-> 01:02:00,540 | ||
5715 | of day accession like this To the ICT | ||
5716 | |||
5717 | 1430 | ||
5718 | 01:02:00,540 ~-~-> 01:02:03,990 | ||
5719 | kill zone unique to me between two | ||
5720 | |||
5721 | 1431 | ||
5722 | 01:02:03,990 ~-~-> 01:02:05,370 | ||
5723 | o'clock and four o'clock in the morning | ||
5724 | |||
5725 | 1432 | ||
5726 | 01:02:05,370 ~-~-> 01:02:07,050 | ||
5727 | that's going to be your time window | ||
5728 | |||
5729 | 1433 | ||
5730 | 01:02:07,050 ~-~-> 01:02:09,660 | ||
5731 | where the setups occur. So what am I | ||
5732 | |||
5733 | 1434 | ||
5734 | 01:02:09,660 ~-~-> 01:02:11,820 | ||
5735 | teaching you here? I'm telling you how | ||
5736 | |||
5737 | 1435 | ||
5738 | 01:02:11,820 ~-~-> 01:02:14,430 | ||
5739 | to find the news. I'm telling you how to | ||
5740 | |||
5741 | 1436 | ||
5742 | 01:02:14,460 ~-~-> 01:02:16,650 | ||
5743 | pick the direction the day. I'm telling | ||
5744 | |||
5745 | 1437 | ||
5746 | 01:02:16,650 ~-~-> 01:02:19,650 | ||
5747 | you how to anticipate the setups to | ||
5748 | |||
5749 | 1438 | ||
5750 | 01:02:19,650 ~-~-> 01:02:22,290 | ||
5751 | occur. Both my patterns that I trade are | ||
5752 | |||
5753 | 1439 | ||
5754 | 01:02:22,290 ~-~-> 01:02:25,830 | ||
5755 | always overlapping. Okay? The optimal | ||
5756 | |||
5757 | 1440 | ||
5758 | 01:02:25,830 ~-~-> 01:02:27,480 | ||
5759 | trade entry which is retracement driven, | ||
5760 | |||
5761 | 1441 | ||
5762 | 01:02:27,870 ~-~-> 01:02:31,890 | ||
5763 | right here. turtle soup. Short term high | ||
5764 | |||
5765 | 1442 | ||
5766 | 01:02:32,160 ~-~-> 01:02:34,860 | ||
5767 | rally through it's a false breakout. | ||
5768 | |||
5769 | 1443 | ||
5770 | 01:02:34,950 ~-~-> 01:02:36,570 | ||
5771 | Boom. That's what you want to sell into. | ||
5772 | |||
5773 | 1444 | ||
5774 | 01:02:36,960 ~-~-> 01:02:39,150 | ||
5775 | Okay, when during the London open | ||
5776 | |||
5777 | 1445 | ||
5778 | 01:02:39,150 ~-~-> 01:02:42,150 | ||
5779 | session, how long do you hold it until | ||
5780 | |||
5781 | 1446 | ||
5782 | 01:02:42,450 ~-~-> 01:02:45,720 | ||
5783 | London close. Later in the day you want | ||
5784 | |||
5785 | 1447 | ||
5786 | 01:02:45,720 ~-~-> 01:02:47,700 | ||
5787 | to see range expansion going lower, it | ||
5788 | |||
5789 | 1448 | ||
5790 | 01:02:47,700 ~-~-> 01:02:49,260 | ||
5791 | really expands and drops off | ||
5792 | |||
5793 | 1449 | ||
5794 | 01:02:49,260 ~-~-> 01:02:52,230 | ||
5795 | precipitously here. I've told you how to | ||
5796 | |||
5797 | 1450 | ||
5798 | 01:02:52,230 ~-~-> 01:02:54,030 | ||
5799 | place your stop loss use a 30 PIP stop | ||
5800 | |||
5801 | 1451 | ||
5802 | 01:02:54,030 ~-~-> 01:02:56,490 | ||
5803 | loss. Why? Because the chances of it | ||
5804 | |||
5805 | 1452 | ||
5806 | 01:02:56,490 ~-~-> 01:02:58,950 | ||
5807 | opening at New York's midnight timeframe | ||
5808 | |||
5809 | 1453 | ||
5810 | 01:02:59,220 ~-~-> 01:03:01,050 | ||
5811 | okay or even The beginning of the new | ||
5812 | |||
5813 | 1454 | ||
5814 | 01:03:01,050 ~-~-> 01:03:03,690 | ||
5815 | day over here. It moving 30 pips up and | ||
5816 | |||
5817 | 1455 | ||
5818 | 01:03:03,690 ~-~-> 01:03:06,360 | ||
5819 | then moving down doesn't happen. It | ||
5820 | |||
5821 | 1456 | ||
5822 | 01:03:06,360 ~-~-> 01:03:08,880 | ||
5823 | can't happen sure can. But it's so | ||
5824 | |||
5825 | 1457 | ||
5826 | 01:03:08,910 ~-~-> 01:03:11,430 | ||
5827 | unlikely, okay, there's no reason for | ||
5828 | |||
5829 | 1458 | ||
5830 | 01:03:11,430 ~-~-> 01:03:13,710 | ||
5831 | you to be afraid to trade none. If | ||
5832 | |||
5833 | 1459 | ||
5834 | 01:03:13,710 ~-~-> 01:03:15,150 | ||
5835 | you're afraid, it's because you're | ||
5836 | |||
5837 | 1460 | ||
5838 | 01:03:15,150 ~-~-> 01:03:18,030 | ||
5839 | trading too much money and you know, if | ||
5840 | |||
5841 | 1461 | ||
5842 | 01:03:18,030 ~-~-> 01:03:20,820 | ||
5843 | you really ask yourself honestly, if you | ||
5844 | |||
5845 | 1462 | ||
5846 | 01:03:20,820 ~-~-> 01:03:22,830 | ||
5847 | lost on that trade, would it hurt you? | ||
5848 | |||
5849 | 1463 | ||
5850 | 01:03:22,860 ~-~-> 01:03:24,900 | ||
5851 | Yes, it would hurt you. Because you got | ||
5852 | |||
5853 | 1464 | ||
5854 | 01:03:24,900 ~-~-> 01:03:27,870 | ||
5855 | too much leverage on it. If you start | ||
5856 | |||
5857 | 1465 | ||
5858 | 01:03:27,870 ~-~-> 01:03:30,540 | ||
5859 | off with very, very, very ultra low risk | ||
5860 | |||
5861 | 1466 | ||
5862 | 01:03:30,540 ~-~-> 01:03:34,710 | ||
5863 | point, two, five of 1%. Okay, in other | ||
5864 | |||
5865 | 1467 | ||
5866 | 01:03:34,710 ~-~-> 01:03:36,960 | ||
5867 | words, one quarter of 1% you're not | ||
5868 | |||
5869 | 1468 | ||
5870 | 01:03:36,960 ~-~-> 01:03:38,460 | ||
5871 | worrying about money when it's like | ||
5872 | |||
5873 | 1469 | ||
5874 | 01:03:38,460 ~-~-> 01:03:41,370 | ||
5875 | that. Okay? Because it's so minute, it | ||
5876 | |||
5877 | 1470 | ||
5878 | 01:03:41,370 ~-~-> 01:03:42,570 | ||
5879 | isn't going to hurt you. It's not you | ||
5880 | |||
5881 | 1471 | ||
5882 | 01:03:42,570 ~-~-> 01:03:44,490 | ||
5883 | could take 100 losses in a row with that | ||
5884 | |||
5885 | 1472 | ||
5886 | 01:03:44,490 ~-~-> 01:03:46,080 | ||
5887 | and you're not out of the game. Okay? | ||
5888 | |||
5889 | 1473 | ||
5890 | 01:03:46,380 ~-~-> 01:03:47,400 | ||
5891 | You're not even you're not and you're | ||
5892 | |||
5893 | 1474 | ||
5894 | 01:03:47,400 ~-~-> 01:03:49,440 | ||
5895 | nowhere near her. Okay, you could still | ||
5896 | |||
5897 | 1475 | ||
5898 | 01:03:49,440 ~-~-> 01:03:51,480 | ||
5899 | come back from that. Absolutely. Okay. | ||
5900 | |||
5901 | 1476 | ||
5902 | 01:03:51,960 ~-~-> 01:03:54,360 | ||
5903 | So, think about I'm telling you to trade | ||
5904 | |||
5905 | 1477 | ||
5906 | 01:03:54,360 ~-~-> 01:03:56,460 | ||
5907 | in a demo account setting for six | ||
5908 | |||
5909 | 1478 | ||
5910 | 01:03:56,460 ~-~-> 01:04:00,960 | ||
5911 | months, six months Why? Because it's | ||
5912 | |||
5913 | 1479 | ||
5914 | 01:04:00,960 ~-~-> 01:04:03,390 | ||
5915 | gonna take you that long to really trust | ||
5916 | |||
5917 | 1480 | ||
5918 | 01:04:03,390 ~-~-> 01:04:04,560 | ||
5919 | what it is that you should be doing. | ||
5920 | |||
5921 | 1481 | ||
5922 | 01:04:04,830 ~-~-> 01:04:06,540 | ||
5923 | Now, if you're in a fast track view of | ||
5924 | |||
5925 | 1482 | ||
5926 | 01:04:06,540 ~-~-> 01:04:07,770 | ||
5927 | things you got to have do it because you | ||
5928 | |||
5929 | 1483 | ||
5930 | 01:04:07,890 ~-~-> 01:04:10,350 | ||
5931 | got to get to your job and you got to, | ||
5932 | |||
5933 | 1484 | ||
5934 | 01:04:10,560 ~-~-> 01:04:12,300 | ||
5935 | you got to make life changes that have | ||
5936 | |||
5937 | 1485 | ||
5938 | 01:04:12,300 ~-~-> 01:04:14,610 | ||
5939 | to happen shorter than that. Do not send | ||
5940 | |||
5941 | 1486 | ||
5942 | 01:04:14,610 ~-~-> 01:04:16,620 | ||
5943 | me emails, saying that your stuff | ||
5944 | |||
5945 | 1487 | ||
5946 | 01:04:16,620 ~-~-> 01:04:18,060 | ||
5947 | doesn't work because I couldn't quit my | ||
5948 | |||
5949 | 1488 | ||
5950 | 01:04:18,060 ~-~-> 01:04:20,970 | ||
5951 | job in six weeks. Okay? I'm telling you, | ||
5952 | |||
5953 | 1489 | ||
5954 | 01:04:20,970 ~-~-> 01:04:22,530 | ||
5955 | it ain't gonna work like that. Okay, I'm | ||
5956 | |||
5957 | 1490 | ||
5958 | 01:04:22,530 ~-~-> 01:04:25,320 | ||
5959 | telling you, if you do not invest six | ||
5960 | |||
5961 | 1491 | ||
5962 | 01:04:25,350 ~-~-> 01:04:29,580 | ||
5963 | months of your time, your hard earned | ||
5964 | |||
5965 | 1492 | ||
5966 | 01:04:29,580 ~-~-> 01:04:30,510 | ||
5967 | free time | ||
5968 | |||
5969 | 1493 | ||
5970 | 01:04:31,860 ~-~-> 01:04:34,920 | ||
5971 | to doing this stuff. You don't watch my | ||
5972 | |||
5973 | 1494 | ||
5974 | 01:04:34,920 ~-~-> 01:04:38,010 | ||
5975 | material. Find something else. Because | ||
5976 | |||
5977 | 1495 | ||
5978 | 01:04:38,010 ~-~-> 01:04:40,740 | ||
5979 | I'm telling you, my work requires just | ||
5980 | |||
5981 | 1496 | ||
5982 | 01:04:40,740 ~-~-> 01:04:44,310 | ||
5983 | that work. And I've condensed two | ||
5984 | |||
5985 | 1497 | ||
5986 | 01:04:44,310 ~-~-> 01:04:47,790 | ||
5987 | decades worth of insights and experience | ||
5988 | |||
5989 | 1498 | ||
5990 | 01:04:48,150 ~-~-> 01:04:50,280 | ||
5991 | down to what I think and I mean this | ||
5992 | |||
5993 | 1499 | ||
5994 | 01:04:50,280 ~-~-> 01:04:53,100 | ||
5995 | wholeheartedly. There isn't anything out | ||
5996 | |||
5997 | 1500 | ||
5998 | 01:04:53,100 ~-~-> 01:04:55,590 | ||
5999 | there better than what I'm sharing. Not | ||
6000 | |||
6001 | 1501 | ||
6002 | 01:04:55,590 ~-~-> 01:04:58,650 | ||
6003 | one thing. Not one mentor, not a | ||
6004 | |||
6005 | 1502 | ||
6006 | 01:04:58,650 ~-~-> 01:05:01,050 | ||
6007 | collaboration of mentors. And I mean | ||
6008 | |||
6009 | 1503 | ||
6010 | 01:05:01,050 ~-~-> 01:05:03,630 | ||
6011 | that with every sincere fiber of my | ||
6012 | |||
6013 | 1504 | ||
6014 | 01:05:03,630 ~-~-> 01:05:05,760 | ||
6015 | being. And it's not to be braggadocious | ||
6016 | |||
6017 | 1505 | ||
6018 | 01:05:05,790 ~-~-> 01:05:07,800 | ||
6019 | or arrogant, you can call me that. But | ||
6020 | |||
6021 | 1506 | ||
6022 | 01:05:07,800 ~-~-> 01:05:09,360 | ||
6023 | I'm telling you on the best thing going | ||
6024 | |||
6025 | 1507 | ||
6026 | 01:05:09,360 ~-~-> 01:05:11,130 | ||
6027 | today, and the materials I'm giving you | ||
6028 | |||
6029 | 1508 | ||
6030 | 01:05:11,130 ~-~-> 01:05:13,080 | ||
6031 | cost you nothing but the time sitting | ||
6032 | |||
6033 | 1509 | ||
6034 | 01:05:13,080 ~-~-> 01:05:15,120 | ||
6035 | from the computer. Now, granted, it may | ||
6036 | |||
6037 | 1510 | ||
6038 | 01:05:15,120 ~-~-> 01:05:16,380 | ||
6039 | be a whole lot of time between the | ||
6040 | |||
6041 | 1511 | ||
6042 | 01:05:16,380 ~-~-> 01:05:18,360 | ||
6043 | videos. But I've already promised you | ||
6044 | |||
6045 | 1512 | ||
6046 | 01:05:18,360 ~-~-> 01:05:19,770 | ||
6047 | that in the beginning did not, it's | ||
6048 | |||
6049 | 1513 | ||
6050 | 01:05:19,770 ~-~-> 01:05:21,540 | ||
6051 | going to take a lot of patience. And | ||
6052 | |||
6053 | 1514 | ||
6054 | 01:05:21,540 ~-~-> 01:05:23,220 | ||
6055 | it's going to be expensive in reference | ||
6056 | |||
6057 | 1515 | ||
6058 | 01:05:23,220 ~-~-> 01:05:26,100 | ||
6059 | to time. Because I have to force you to | ||
6060 | |||
6061 | 1516 | ||
6062 | 01:05:26,100 ~-~-> 01:05:27,540 | ||
6063 | do this over a long period of time. | ||
6064 | |||
6065 | 1517 | ||
6066 | 01:05:27,750 ~-~-> 01:05:29,280 | ||
6067 | Otherwise, you're not going to glean | ||
6068 | |||
6069 | 1518 | ||
6070 | 01:05:29,280 ~-~-> 01:05:30,540 | ||
6071 | what it is that you need to glean. | ||
6072 | |||
6073 | 1519 | ||
6074 | 01:05:30,600 ~-~-> 01:05:32,250 | ||
6075 | Because you don't know what you need to | ||
6076 | |||
6077 | 1520 | ||
6078 | 01:05:32,250 ~-~-> 01:05:34,620 | ||
6079 | know. You don't have any idea what it is | ||
6080 | |||
6081 | 1521 | ||
6082 | 01:05:34,620 ~-~-> 01:05:37,020 | ||
6083 | that you need to know. But it's gonna be | ||
6084 | |||
6085 | 1522 | ||
6086 | 01:05:37,020 ~-~-> 01:05:39,150 | ||
6087 | me taking you to the chart, looking at | ||
6088 | |||
6089 | 1523 | ||
6090 | 01:05:39,150 ~-~-> 01:05:40,860 | ||
6091 | specific things over and over and over | ||
6092 | |||
6093 | 1524 | ||
6094 | 01:05:40,860 ~-~-> 01:05:42,300 | ||
6095 | again. Then you'll start saying, Well, | ||
6096 | |||
6097 | 1525 | ||
6098 | 01:05:42,360 ~-~-> 01:05:44,370 | ||
6099 | yeah, now I see it. Of course you do, | ||
6100 | |||
6101 | 1526 | ||
6102 | 01:05:44,640 ~-~-> 01:05:45,990 | ||
6103 | because you've been doing it and you've | ||
6104 | |||
6105 | 1527 | ||
6106 | 01:05:45,990 ~-~-> 01:05:48,090 | ||
6107 | been desensitized to the fear aspect of | ||
6108 | |||
6109 | 1528 | ||
6110 | 01:05:48,090 ~-~-> 01:05:50,040 | ||
6111 | trading, losing money and being wrong, | ||
6112 | |||
6113 | 1529 | ||
6114 | 01:05:50,280 ~-~-> 01:05:52,440 | ||
6115 | because that's really all it is. That's | ||
6116 | |||
6117 | 1530 | ||
6118 | 01:05:52,440 ~-~-> 01:05:53,910 | ||
6119 | it, think about it. What are you afraid | ||
6120 | |||
6121 | 1531 | ||
6122 | 01:05:53,910 ~-~-> 01:05:58,200 | ||
6123 | of being wrong? or losing money, both go | ||
6124 | |||
6125 | 1532 | ||
6126 | 01:05:58,260 ~-~-> 01:06:00,330 | ||
6127 | hand in hand, okay, but those are two | ||
6128 | |||
6129 | 1533 | ||
6130 | 01:06:00,330 ~-~-> 01:06:04,200 | ||
6131 | primary fears. That's it. We can accept | ||
6132 | |||
6133 | 1534 | ||
6134 | 01:06:04,200 ~-~-> 01:06:05,760 | ||
6135 | missing moves, not really afraid of | ||
6136 | |||
6137 | 1535 | ||
6138 | 01:06:05,760 ~-~-> 01:06:07,650 | ||
6139 | missing moves. Okay? We're disappointed | ||
6140 | |||
6141 | 1536 | ||
6142 | 01:06:07,650 ~-~-> 01:06:08,940 | ||
6143 | if we miss a move, okay, but we're | ||
6144 | |||
6145 | 1537 | ||
6146 | 01:06:08,940 ~-~-> 01:06:10,770 | ||
6147 | fearful of losing money and being wrong. | ||
6148 | |||
6149 | 1538 | ||
6150 | 01:06:10,800 ~-~-> 01:06:13,110 | ||
6151 | There are two primary pillars of fear as | ||
6152 | |||
6153 | 1539 | ||
6154 | 01:06:13,110 ~-~-> 01:06:15,810 | ||
6155 | it relates to speculation. There's other | ||
6156 | |||
6157 | 1540 | ||
6158 | 01:06:15,810 ~-~-> 01:06:17,460 | ||
6159 | pillars, obviously ego, and that's the | ||
6160 | |||
6161 | 1541 | ||
6162 | 01:06:17,460 ~-~-> 01:06:18,960 | ||
6163 | folks that spend a lot of times in | ||
6164 | |||
6165 | 1542 | ||
6166 | 01:06:18,960 ~-~-> 01:06:20,340 | ||
6167 | forums and they share their insights | ||
6168 | |||
6169 | 1543 | ||
6170 | 01:06:20,340 ~-~-> 01:06:21,450 | ||
6171 | with other people and think that they're | ||
6172 | |||
6173 | 1544 | ||
6174 | 01:06:21,450 ~-~-> 01:06:23,400 | ||
6175 | smart, and try to be better than the | ||
6176 | |||
6177 | 1545 | ||
6178 | 01:06:23,400 ~-~-> 01:06:26,580 | ||
6179 | next guy. Okay? Don't be informed. If | ||
6180 | |||
6181 | 1546 | ||
6182 | 01:06:26,580 ~-~-> 01:06:27,840 | ||
6183 | you're a developing trader, unless | ||
6184 | |||
6185 | 1547 | ||
6186 | 01:06:27,840 ~-~-> 01:06:29,010 | ||
6187 | you're in you're just reading from | ||
6188 | |||
6189 | 1548 | ||
6190 | 01:06:29,010 ~-~-> 01:06:30,330 | ||
6191 | someone that has a lot more experience | ||
6192 | |||
6193 | 1549 | ||
6194 | 01:06:30,330 ~-~-> 01:06:31,650 | ||
6195 | than you. Okay, and you're giving | ||
6196 | |||
6197 | 1550 | ||
6198 | 01:06:31,650 ~-~-> 01:06:34,260 | ||
6199 | worthwhile investment advice. Okay, | ||
6200 | |||
6201 | 1551 | ||
6202 | 01:06:34,290 ~-~-> 01:06:36,840 | ||
6203 | obviously, then, yeah, read forms, okay. | ||
6204 | |||
6205 | 1552 | ||
6206 | 01:06:36,840 ~-~-> 01:06:39,720 | ||
6207 | But you should not be in there trying to | ||
6208 | |||
6209 | 1553 | ||
6210 | 01:06:39,720 ~-~-> 01:06:41,700 | ||
6211 | teach other people when you don't know | ||
6212 | |||
6213 | 1554 | ||
6214 | 01:06:41,700 ~-~-> 01:06:42,870 | ||
6215 | what you're doing either. If you're | ||
6216 | |||
6217 | 1555 | ||
6218 | 01:06:42,870 ~-~-> 01:06:44,400 | ||
6219 | developing, don't try to teach it | ||
6220 | |||
6221 | 1556 | ||
6222 | 01:06:44,400 ~-~-> 01:06:45,630 | ||
6223 | anybody because you're really doing a | ||
6224 | |||
6225 | 1557 | ||
6226 | 01:06:45,630 ~-~-> 01:06:49,050 | ||
6227 | lot more harm than you're helping. And | ||
6228 | |||
6229 | 1558 | ||
6230 | 01:06:49,260 ~-~-> 01:06:52,140 | ||
6231 | I'm encouraged by seeing individuals try | ||
6232 | |||
6233 | 1559 | ||
6234 | 01:06:52,140 ~-~-> 01:06:55,050 | ||
6235 | to do that. But if you aren't, if you're | ||
6236 | |||
6237 | 1560 | ||
6238 | 01:06:55,050 ~-~-> 01:06:57,780 | ||
6239 | not making a living at this, don't teach | ||
6240 | |||
6241 | 1561 | ||
6242 | 01:06:57,780 ~-~-> 01:06:59,580 | ||
6243 | it. Okay? Because you're still | ||
6244 | |||
6245 | 1562 | ||
6246 | 01:06:59,580 ~-~-> 01:07:00,720 | ||
6247 | developing And there's going to be a | ||
6248 | |||
6249 | 1563 | ||
6250 | 01:07:00,720 ~-~-> 01:07:02,610 | ||
6251 | whole lot of lessons and my greatest | ||
6252 | |||
6253 | 1564 | ||
6254 | 01:07:02,610 ~-~-> 01:07:04,260 | ||
6255 | learning happened in the last eight | ||
6256 | |||
6257 | 1565 | ||
6258 | 01:07:04,260 ~-~-> 01:07:07,710 | ||
6259 | years of my career. Now put that in | ||
6260 | |||
6261 | 1566 | ||
6262 | 01:07:07,740 ~-~-> 01:07:09,810 | ||
6263 | perspective. You guys want to start | ||
6264 | |||
6265 | 1567 | ||
6266 | 01:07:09,810 ~-~-> 01:07:11,760 | ||
6267 | trading and quit your job in four weeks, | ||
6268 | |||
6269 | 1568 | ||
6270 | 01:07:11,790 ~-~-> 01:07:13,830 | ||
6271 | okay? And I've been doing this for two | ||
6272 | |||
6273 | 1569 | ||
6274 | 01:07:13,830 ~-~-> 01:07:16,230 | ||
6275 | decades. And my best understanding and | ||
6276 | |||
6277 | 1570 | ||
6278 | 01:07:16,230 ~-~-> 01:07:18,090 | ||
6279 | learning happened in the latter part of | ||
6280 | |||
6281 | 1571 | ||
6282 | 01:07:18,090 ~-~-> 01:07:22,500 | ||
6283 | my career. Take about that. I wish I | ||
6284 | |||
6285 | 1572 | ||
6286 | 01:07:22,500 ~-~-> 01:07:26,010 | ||
6287 | knew now, that when I first started, I | ||
6288 | |||
6289 | 1573 | ||
6290 | 01:07:26,010 ~-~-> 01:07:28,110 | ||
6291 | wish I knew this stuff. I wish I knew | ||
6292 | |||
6293 | 1574 | ||
6294 | 01:07:28,110 ~-~-> 01:07:30,000 | ||
6295 | this because it would have been a whole | ||
6296 | |||
6297 | 1575 | ||
6298 | 01:07:30,000 ~-~-> 01:07:31,890 | ||
6299 | lot more different in terms of my | ||
6300 | |||
6301 | 1576 | ||
6302 | 01:07:32,310 ~-~-> 01:07:35,160 | ||
6303 | development and the pain I did and, you | ||
6304 | |||
6305 | 1577 | ||
6306 | 01:07:35,160 ~-~-> 01:07:37,440 | ||
6307 | know, basically go through and it was | ||
6308 | |||
6309 | 1578 | ||
6310 | 01:07:37,440 ~-~-> 01:07:40,050 | ||
6311 | self inflicted. And I'm hoping you guys | ||
6312 | |||
6313 | 1579 | ||
6314 | 01:07:40,080 ~-~-> 01:07:42,180 | ||
6315 | learn from that. And I keep bringing it | ||
6316 | |||
6317 | 1580 | ||
6318 | 01:07:42,180 ~-~-> 01:07:43,890 | ||
6319 | up. Because I want you to understand | ||
6320 | |||
6321 | 1581 | ||
6322 | 01:07:43,890 ~-~-> 01:07:45,510 | ||
6323 | that I'm a real person that went through | ||
6324 | |||
6325 | 1582 | ||
6326 | 01:07:45,570 ~-~-> 01:07:49,680 | ||
6327 | real problems with this stuff. Real | ||
6328 | |||
6329 | 1583 | ||
6330 | 01:07:49,860 ~-~-> 01:07:51,780 | ||
6331 | medical problems me It hurt me | ||
6332 | |||
6333 | 1584 | ||
6334 | 01:07:51,780 ~-~-> 01:07:53,880 | ||
6335 | physically, to the point where I still | ||
6336 | |||
6337 | 1585 | ||
6338 | 01:07:53,880 ~-~-> 01:07:55,860 | ||
6339 | can't eat comfortably, might have a | ||
6340 | |||
6341 | 1586 | ||
6342 | 01:07:55,860 ~-~-> 01:07:58,290 | ||
6343 | difficulty swallowing foods. It will | ||
6344 | |||
6345 | 1587 | ||
6346 | 01:07:58,290 ~-~-> 01:08:00,570 | ||
6347 | work you if you let it It'll make you | ||
6348 | |||
6349 | 1588 | ||
6350 | 01:08:00,570 ~-~-> 01:08:02,100 | ||
6351 | think you're bigger than you really are. | ||
6352 | |||
6353 | 1589 | ||
6354 | 01:08:02,430 ~-~-> 01:08:03,780 | ||
6355 | It'll make you think you're smarter than | ||
6356 | |||
6357 | 1590 | ||
6358 | 01:08:03,780 ~-~-> 01:08:05,550 | ||
6359 | you really are. And it also make you | ||
6360 | |||
6361 | 1591 | ||
6362 | 01:08:05,550 ~-~-> 01:08:07,440 | ||
6363 | feel much less of a person than you | ||
6364 | |||
6365 | 1592 | ||
6366 | 01:08:07,440 ~-~-> 01:08:09,930 | ||
6367 | really are. There's a lot of influence | ||
6368 | |||
6369 | 1593 | ||
6370 | 01:08:09,930 ~-~-> 01:08:11,880 | ||
6371 | that we allow these marketplaces to have | ||
6372 | |||
6373 | 1594 | ||
6374 | 01:08:11,880 ~-~-> 01:08:14,340 | ||
6375 | over us as a human being. But it's all | ||
6376 | |||
6377 | 1595 | ||
6378 | 01:08:14,370 ~-~-> 01:08:16,680 | ||
6379 | manageable. It's all controllable, you | ||
6380 | |||
6381 | 1596 | ||
6382 | 01:08:16,680 ~-~-> 01:08:18,840 | ||
6383 | have control over it. There's nothing | ||
6384 | |||
6385 | 1597 | ||
6386 | 01:08:18,840 ~-~-> 01:08:20,520 | ||
6387 | forcing you to put that trade on with 5% | ||
6388 | |||
6389 | 1598 | ||
6390 | 01:08:20,520 ~-~-> 01:08:24,510 | ||
6391 | risk. There's nothing forcing you to sit | ||
6392 | |||
6393 | 1599 | ||
6394 | 01:08:24,510 ~-~-> 01:08:26,760 | ||
6395 | there and say, I'll pass on that trade, | ||
6396 | |||
6397 | 1600 | ||
6398 | 01:08:27,090 ~-~-> 01:08:30,090 | ||
6399 | except for common sense. You're in the | ||
6400 | |||
6401 | 1601 | ||
6402 | 01:08:30,090 ~-~-> 01:08:30,450 | ||
6403 | driver's | ||
6404 | |||
6405 | 1602 | ||
6406 | 01:08:30,449 ~-~-> 01:08:32,699 | ||
6407 | seat. I don't want credit for your | ||
6408 | |||
6409 | 1603 | ||
6410 | 01:08:32,699 ~-~-> 01:08:34,919 | ||
6411 | winning trades. And I certainly don't | ||
6412 | |||
6413 | 1604 | ||
6414 | 01:08:34,919 ~-~-> 01:08:37,139 | ||
6415 | want credit for your losing trades. This | ||
6416 | |||
6417 | 1605 | ||
6418 | 01:08:37,139 ~-~-> 01:08:41,039 | ||
6419 | whole thing is about what you do at the | ||
6420 | |||
6421 | 1606 | ||
6422 | 01:08:41,039 ~-~-> 01:08:43,139 | ||
6423 | end of this development, that's what I'm | ||
6424 | |||
6425 | 1607 | ||
6426 | 01:08:43,139 ~-~-> 01:08:45,449 | ||
6427 | interested in. I want to see what you do | ||
6428 | |||
6429 | 1608 | ||
6430 | 01:08:45,449 ~-~-> 01:08:46,949 | ||
6431 | with this information. Once you become | ||
6432 | |||
6433 | 1609 | ||
6434 | 01:08:46,949 ~-~-> 01:08:49,169 | ||
6435 | successful with it. How are you going to | ||
6436 | |||
6437 | 1610 | ||
6438 | 01:08:49,169 ~-~-> 01:08:50,519 | ||
6439 | help other people with it because that's | ||
6440 | |||
6441 | 1611 | ||
6442 | 01:08:50,519 ~-~-> 01:08:52,079 | ||
6443 | really, that's what I'm doing. I'm | ||
6444 | |||
6445 | 1612 | ||
6446 | 01:08:52,079 ~-~-> 01:08:55,229 | ||
6447 | helping you for free. I'm not asking for | ||
6448 | |||
6449 | 1613 | ||
6450 | 01:08:55,229 ~-~-> 01:08:56,609 | ||
6451 | anything except for share your store | ||
6452 | |||
6453 | 1614 | ||
6454 | 01:08:56,609 ~-~-> 01:08:58,139 | ||
6455 | with me. I want to know what you're | ||
6456 | |||
6457 | 1615 | ||
6458 | 01:08:58,139 ~-~-> 01:08:59,969 | ||
6459 | doing with it. I'm not going to have | ||
6460 | |||
6461 | 1616 | ||
6462 | 01:08:59,999 ~-~-> 01:09:02,909 | ||
6463 | upsell later on 20 $500 workshops come | ||
6464 | |||
6465 | 1617 | ||
6466 | 01:09:02,909 ~-~-> 01:09:04,529 | ||
6467 | out here and I'm gonna, I'm gonna help | ||
6468 | |||
6469 | 1618 | ||
6470 | 01:09:04,769 ~-~-> 01:09:06,719 | ||
6471 | you help you even further I've taken | ||
6472 | |||
6473 | 1619 | ||
6474 | 01:09:06,719 ~-~-> 01:09:08,549 | ||
6475 | that money and, and put in some hokey | ||
6476 | |||
6477 | 1620 | ||
6478 | 01:09:08,609 ~-~-> 01:09:09,899 | ||
6479 | software program together to help you | ||
6480 | |||
6481 | 1621 | ||
6482 | 01:09:09,899 ~-~-> 01:09:11,909 | ||
6483 | find trade patterns, okay? You don't | ||
6484 | |||
6485 | 1622 | ||
6486 | 01:09:11,909 ~-~-> 01:09:13,619 | ||
6487 | need all that stuff. You don't need any | ||
6488 | |||
6489 | 1623 | ||
6490 | 01:09:13,619 ~-~-> 01:09:15,419 | ||
6491 | of that. Okay? If you're looking for | ||
6492 | |||
6493 | 1624 | ||
6494 | 01:09:15,419 ~-~-> 01:09:16,919 | ||
6495 | software programs to find trades for | ||
6496 | |||
6497 | 1625 | ||
6498 | 01:09:16,919 ~-~-> 01:09:20,189 | ||
6499 | you, you're lazy. You're friggin lazy, | ||
6500 | |||
6501 | 1626 | ||
6502 | 01:09:20,489 ~-~-> 01:09:23,669 | ||
6503 | and lazy doesn't pay, get that in your | ||
6504 | |||
6505 | 1627 | ||
6506 | 01:09:23,669 ~-~-> 01:09:27,059 | ||
6507 | notes, okay? doesn't pay. I tried that. | ||
6508 | |||
6509 | 1628 | ||
6510 | 01:09:27,179 ~-~-> 01:09:28,589 | ||
6511 | Okay, and a lot of other people tried it | ||
6512 | |||
6513 | 1629 | ||
6514 | 01:09:28,589 ~-~-> 01:09:32,069 | ||
6515 | too, and it never pans out. You | ||
6516 | |||
6517 | 1630 | ||
6518 | 01:09:32,069 ~-~-> 01:09:33,599 | ||
6519 | understand how the markets operate, like | ||
6520 | |||
6521 | 1631 | ||
6522 | 01:09:33,599 ~-~-> 01:09:35,309 | ||
6523 | we're sharing right here, you'll find | ||
6524 | |||
6525 | 1632 | ||
6526 | 01:09:35,309 ~-~-> 01:09:36,599 | ||
6527 | trades immediately, you know, when | ||
6528 | |||
6529 | 1633 | ||
6530 | 01:09:36,599 ~-~-> 01:09:37,799 | ||
6531 | they're gonna happen. I don't need a | ||
6532 | |||
6533 | 1634 | ||
6534 | 01:09:37,799 ~-~-> 01:09:39,569 | ||
6535 | software program that show me when a | ||
6536 | |||
6537 | 1635 | ||
6538 | 01:09:39,569 ~-~-> 01:09:43,259 | ||
6539 | pattern is on the chart. I know timewise | ||
6540 | |||
6541 | 1636 | ||
6542 | 01:09:43,379 ~-~-> 01:09:45,179 | ||
6543 | daily, the day of the week is gonna | ||
6544 | |||
6545 | 1637 | ||
6546 | 01:09:45,179 ~-~-> 01:09:46,589 | ||
6547 | occur. I know what time is going to | ||
6548 | |||
6549 | 1638 | ||
6550 | 01:09:46,589 ~-~-> 01:09:48,089 | ||
6551 | occur. I know how the pattern is gonna | ||
6552 | |||
6553 | 1639 | ||
6554 | 01:09:48,089 ~-~-> 01:09:49,679 | ||
6555 | unfold, and I know where it's most | ||
6556 | |||
6557 | 1640 | ||
6558 | 01:09:49,679 ~-~-> 01:09:52,349 | ||
6559 | likely going to go directionally. Tell | ||
6560 | |||
6561 | 1641 | ||
6562 | 01:09:52,349 ~-~-> 01:09:54,029 | ||
6563 | me that software program is going to do | ||
6564 | |||
6565 | 1642 | ||
6566 | 01:09:54,029 ~-~-> 01:09:55,109 | ||
6567 | that in advance. I could tell you the | ||
6568 | |||
6569 | 1643 | ||
6570 | 01:09:55,109 ~-~-> 01:09:57,479 | ||
6571 | days of the weeks and months in advance | ||
6572 | |||
6573 | 1644 | ||
6574 | 01:09:57,479 ~-~-> 01:09:58,739 | ||
6575 | when these patterns gonna happen, | ||
6576 | |||
6577 | 1645 | ||
6578 | 01:09:59,009 ~-~-> 01:10:01,889 | ||
6579 | because they're that genetic. Eric, I'm | ||
6580 | |||
6581 | 1646 | ||
6582 | 01:10:01,889 ~-~-> 01:10:03,779 | ||
6583 | sorry, but everything else is playing | ||
6584 | |||
6585 | 1647 | ||
6586 | 01:10:03,779 ~-~-> 01:10:05,279 | ||
6587 | catch up ball to what you're learning. | ||
6588 | |||
6589 | 1648 | ||
6590 | 01:10:06,059 ~-~-> 01:10:08,999 | ||
6591 | This is how the markets operate. I'm not | ||
6592 | |||
6593 | 1649 | ||
6594 | 01:10:08,999 ~-~-> 01:10:12,149 | ||
6595 | trying to sell you the idea. I'm telling | ||
6596 | |||
6597 | 1650 | ||
6598 | 01:10:12,149 ~-~-> 01:10:15,149 | ||
6599 | you challenge me on it, go through the | ||
6600 | |||
6601 | 1651 | ||
6602 | 01:10:15,149 ~-~-> 01:10:16,469 | ||
6603 | processes that I'm sharing with you | ||
6604 | |||
6605 | 1652 | ||
6606 | 01:10:16,469 ~-~-> 01:10:18,479 | ||
6607 | right now. And you tell me that it | ||
6608 | |||
6609 | 1653 | ||
6610 | 01:10:18,479 ~-~-> 01:10:20,639 | ||
6611 | doesn't work like this, you tell me, you | ||
6612 | |||
6613 | 1654 | ||
6614 | 01:10:20,639 ~-~-> 01:10:22,079 | ||
6615 | show me that it doesn't work. I've | ||
6616 | |||
6617 | 1655 | ||
6618 | 01:10:22,079 ~-~-> 01:10:24,059 | ||
6619 | already put it out there. I will give | ||
6620 | |||
6621 | 1656 | ||
6622 | 01:10:24,059 ~-~-> 01:10:28,709 | ||
6623 | you $10,000 of US currency, cash, to a | ||
6624 | |||
6625 | 1657 | ||
6626 | 01:10:28,709 ~-~-> 01:10:30,599 | ||
6627 | PayPal account to whatever you want to | ||
6628 | |||
6629 | 1658 | ||
6630 | 01:10:30,599 ~-~-> 01:10:32,849 | ||
6631 | do. Okay, how to receive it. You show me | ||
6632 | |||
6633 | 1659 | ||
6634 | 01:10:32,849 ~-~-> 01:10:35,219 | ||
6635 | how this does not consistently work. And | ||
6636 | |||
6637 | 1660 | ||
6638 | 01:10:35,219 ~-~-> 01:10:37,499 | ||
6639 | you can't be consistently profitable. | ||
6640 | |||
6641 | 1661 | ||
6642 | 01:10:38,009 ~-~-> 01:10:40,229 | ||
6643 | Okay, by doing what I'm showing you, I | ||
6644 | |||
6645 | 1662 | ||
6646 | 01:10:40,229 ~-~-> 01:10:43,079 | ||
6647 | guarantee you, it's impossible for you | ||
6648 | |||
6649 | 1663 | ||
6650 | 01:10:43,079 ~-~-> 01:10:45,749 | ||
6651 | to not be successful with this. Think | ||
6652 | |||
6653 | 1664 | ||
6654 | 01:10:45,749 ~-~-> 01:10:47,909 | ||
6655 | about what I just said. That's a very, | ||
6656 | |||
6657 | 1665 | ||
6658 | 01:10:47,909 ~-~-> 01:10:49,559 | ||
6659 | very heavy statement I just laid out | ||
6660 | |||
6661 | 1666 | ||
6662 | 01:10:49,559 ~-~-> 01:10:51,299 | ||
6663 | there. But I mean, everything I'm | ||
6664 | |||
6665 | 1667 | ||
6666 | 01:10:51,299 ~-~-> 01:10:54,239 | ||
6667 | telling you. If you do everything I'm | ||
6668 | |||
6669 | 1668 | ||
6670 | 01:10:54,239 ~-~-> 01:10:56,609 | ||
6671 | showing you to do development exercises | ||
6672 | |||
6673 | 1669 | ||
6674 | 01:10:56,609 ~-~-> 01:10:57,809 | ||
6675 | during the process of looking | ||
6676 | |||
6677 | 1670 | ||
6678 | 01:10:57,809 ~-~-> 01:10:59,369 | ||
6679 | everything, breaking the market down | ||
6680 | |||
6681 | 1671 | ||
6682 | 01:10:59,369 ~-~-> 01:11:00,629 | ||
6683 | like we're showing right We're having a | ||
6684 | |||
6685 | 1672 | ||
6686 | 01:11:00,629 ~-~-> 01:11:02,729 | ||
6687 | risk on risk off scenario trading with | ||
6688 | |||
6689 | 1673 | ||
6690 | 01:11:02,729 ~-~-> 01:11:04,319 | ||
6691 | institutional sponsors that behind the | ||
6692 | |||
6693 | 1674 | ||
6694 | 01:11:04,319 ~-~-> 01:11:08,429 | ||
6695 | ideas of your trade. Do you have the the | ||
6696 | |||
6697 | 1675 | ||
6698 | 01:11:08,429 ~-~-> 01:11:12,059 | ||
6699 | framework that's Cognizant, okay? Or not | ||
6700 | |||
6701 | 1676 | ||
6702 | 01:11:12,059 ~-~-> 01:11:15,149 | ||
6703 | times that is representative of what the | ||
6704 | |||
6705 | 1677 | ||
6706 | 01:11:15,149 ~-~-> 01:11:16,589 | ||
6707 | market should be doing moving higher or | ||
6708 | |||
6709 | 1678 | ||
6710 | 01:11:16,589 ~-~-> 01:11:18,869 | ||
6711 | lower? If a bear markets on their way, | ||
6712 | |||
6713 | 1679 | ||
6714 | 01:11:19,439 ~-~-> 01:11:20,879 | ||
6715 | what is your daily charts look like? | ||
6716 | |||
6717 | 1680 | ||
6718 | 01:11:20,999 ~-~-> 01:11:23,249 | ||
6719 | Down days? Right? How good is down day | ||
6720 | |||
6721 | 1681 | ||
6722 | 01:11:23,249 ~-~-> 01:11:24,809 | ||
6723 | start? Typically, with a up move | ||
6724 | |||
6725 | 1682 | ||
6726 | 01:11:24,809 ~-~-> 01:11:27,029 | ||
6727 | intraday, that's usually catching many | ||
6728 | |||
6729 | 1683 | ||
6730 | 01:11:27,029 ~-~-> 01:11:28,679 | ||
6731 | traders by surprise. Wait a minute, I | ||
6732 | |||
6733 | 1684 | ||
6734 | 01:11:28,679 ~-~-> 01:11:30,629 | ||
6735 | bought that I'm here I am buying a high | ||
6736 | |||
6737 | 1685 | ||
6738 | 01:11:30,629 ~-~-> 01:11:33,929 | ||
6739 | today. Guess what? I did that. You're | ||
6740 | |||
6741 | 1686 | ||
6742 | 01:11:33,929 ~-~-> 01:11:36,989 | ||
6743 | probably doing it now. There's an answer | ||
6744 | |||
6745 | 1687 | ||
6746 | 01:11:36,989 ~-~-> 01:11:39,209 | ||
6747 | to it. And it's by taking yourself out | ||
6748 | |||
6749 | 1688 | ||
6750 | 01:11:39,209 ~-~-> 01:11:41,669 | ||
6751 | of the textbooks out of the the guys | ||
6752 | |||
6753 | 1689 | ||
6754 | 01:11:41,669 ~-~-> 01:11:43,349 | ||
6755 | that want to sell you things and teach | ||
6756 | |||
6757 | 1690 | ||
6758 | 01:11:43,349 ~-~-> 01:11:44,579 | ||
6759 | you how to be the greatest trader in the | ||
6760 | |||
6761 | 1691 | ||
6762 | 01:11:44,579 ~-~-> 01:11:46,499 | ||
6763 | world. Okay. Let me tell you something. | ||
6764 | |||
6765 | 1692 | ||
6766 | 01:11:47,939 ~-~-> 01:11:49,679 | ||
6767 | If they're selling you that stuff, they | ||
6768 | |||
6769 | 1693 | ||
6770 | 01:11:49,679 ~-~-> 01:11:52,709 | ||
6771 | need the money. If they need the money, | ||
6772 | |||
6773 | 1694 | ||
6774 | 01:11:52,949 ~-~-> 01:11:54,869 | ||
6775 | they ain't that good of a trader. And | ||
6776 | |||
6777 | 1695 | ||
6778 | 01:11:54,869 ~-~-> 01:11:56,999 | ||
6779 | it's just that simple. I don't need your | ||
6780 | |||
6781 | 1696 | ||
6782 | 01:11:56,999 ~-~-> 01:11:59,339 | ||
6783 | money. I don't need your thank yous. I | ||
6784 | |||
6785 | 1697 | ||
6786 | 01:11:59,339 ~-~-> 01:12:01,949 | ||
6787 | don't need any That stuff. I covered it | ||
6788 | |||
6789 | 1698 | ||
6790 | 01:12:02,009 ~-~-> 01:12:03,869 | ||
6791 | because I enjoy reading the success | ||
6792 | |||
6793 | 1699 | ||
6794 | 01:12:03,869 ~-~-> 01:12:06,539 | ||
6795 | stories. Market wizards flowing one and | ||
6796 | |||
6797 | 1700 | ||
6798 | 01:12:06,539 ~-~-> 01:12:09,029 | ||
6799 | two favorite books, because I was | ||
6800 | |||
6801 | 1701 | ||
6802 | 01:12:09,029 ~-~-> 01:12:11,849 | ||
6803 | inspired by them. Not all of them, but | ||
6804 | |||
6805 | 1702 | ||
6806 | 01:12:11,849 ~-~-> 01:12:13,619 | ||
6807 | several individuals in there. I was | ||
6808 | |||
6809 | 1703 | ||
6810 | 01:12:13,619 ~-~-> 01:12:17,159 | ||
6811 | inspired by I liked their story. I want | ||
6812 | |||
6813 | 1704 | ||
6814 | 01:12:17,159 ~-~-> 01:12:19,769 | ||
6815 | more of that. swagger is not putting any | ||
6816 | |||
6817 | 1705 | ||
6818 | 01:12:19,769 ~-~-> 01:12:21,719 | ||
6819 | more books out there, they are engaging | ||
6820 | |||
6821 | 1706 | ||
6822 | 01:12:21,719 ~-~-> 01:12:23,789 | ||
6823 | to me. So I want to create more, okay, I | ||
6824 | |||
6825 | 1707 | ||
6826 | 01:12:23,789 ~-~-> 01:12:26,519 | ||
6827 | want to create more stories. And I like | ||
6828 | |||
6829 | 1708 | ||
6830 | 01:12:26,519 ~-~-> 01:12:27,929 | ||
6831 | sharing my story with you guys. And it | ||
6832 | |||
6833 | 1709 | ||
6834 | 01:12:27,929 ~-~-> 01:12:29,339 | ||
6835 | may be a broken record to some of you | ||
6836 | |||
6837 | 1710 | ||
6838 | 01:12:29,369 ~-~-> 01:12:31,139 | ||
6839 | okay, but I want to see more of that. | ||
6840 | |||
6841 | 1711 | ||
6842 | 01:12:31,319 ~-~-> 01:12:32,999 | ||
6843 | And it's going to come through you doing | ||
6844 | |||
6845 | 1712 | ||
6846 | 01:12:32,999 ~-~-> 01:12:36,959 | ||
6847 | these very things. Okay. So I know I'm | ||
6848 | |||
6849 | 1713 | ||
6850 | 01:12:36,959 ~-~-> 01:12:38,699 | ||
6851 | on a soapbox and I went down another | ||
6852 | |||
6853 | 1714 | ||
6854 | 01:12:38,879 ~-~-> 01:12:40,829 | ||
6855 | rabbit trail but yeah, that's all part | ||
6856 | |||
6857 | 1715 | ||
6858 | 01:12:40,829 ~-~-> 01:12:43,199 | ||
6859 | of the price of being in these videos. | ||
6860 | |||
6861 | 1716 | ||
6862 | 01:12:43,199 ~-~-> 01:12:44,819 | ||
6863 | Guys. You knew that in advance is going | ||
6864 | |||
6865 | 1717 | ||
6866 | 01:12:44,819 ~-~-> 01:12:46,079 | ||
6867 | to be rabbit trails and it's going to be | ||
6868 | |||
6869 | 1718 | ||
6870 | 01:12:46,079 ~-~-> 01:12:47,309 | ||
6871 | things that you have to listen to and | ||
6872 | |||
6873 | 1719 | ||
6874 | 01:12:47,309 ~-~-> 01:12:50,879 | ||
6875 | rants and suck it up. So now using this | ||
6876 | |||
6877 | 1720 | ||
6878 | 01:12:50,879 ~-~-> 01:12:53,309 | ||
6879 | example, we understand that we're in an | ||
6880 | |||
6881 | 1721 | ||
6882 | 01:12:53,309 ~-~-> 01:12:55,619 | ||
6883 | area or an environment if you will, that | ||
6884 | |||
6885 | 1722 | ||
6886 | 01:12:55,619 ~-~-> 01:12:57,359 | ||
6887 | price should be seeing weaker prices on | ||
6888 | |||
6889 | 1723 | ||
6890 | 01:12:57,359 ~-~-> 01:12:59,129 | ||
6891 | the cable. While the dollar should be | ||
6892 | |||
6893 | 1724 | ||
6894 | 01:12:59,129 ~-~-> 01:13:00,659 | ||
6895 | poised to trade higher. Now obviously, | ||
6896 | |||
6897 | 1725 | ||
6898 | 01:13:00,659 ~-~-> 01:13:02,309 | ||
6899 | in hindsight, we can see that as a fact. | ||
6900 | |||
6901 | 1726 | ||
6902 | 01:13:02,459 ~-~-> 01:13:04,589 | ||
6903 | Okay, but also, I'm taking it back to | ||
6904 | |||
6905 | 1727 | ||
6906 | 01:13:04,859 ~-~-> 01:13:06,989 | ||
6907 | the previous week when I have witnesses. | ||
6908 | |||
6909 | 1728 | ||
6910 | 01:13:07,019 ~-~-> 01:13:08,759 | ||
6911 | Okay, we're in a live session where I | ||
6912 | |||
6913 | 1729 | ||
6914 | 01:13:08,759 ~-~-> 01:13:10,829 | ||
6915 | was mapping out all these things and | ||
6916 | |||
6917 | 1730 | ||
6918 | 01:13:11,159 ~-~-> 01:13:12,329 | ||
6919 | profitable scenarios. | ||
6920 | |||
6921 | 1731 | ||
6922 | 01:13:14,280 ~-~-> 01:13:15,300 | ||
6923 | Obviously, I shouldn't have to be | ||
6924 | |||
6925 | 1732 | ||
6926 | 01:13:15,300 ~-~-> 01:13:17,160 | ||
6927 | teaching you support, you know, if price | ||
6928 | |||
6929 | 1733 | ||
6930 | 01:13:17,160 ~-~-> 01:13:18,180 | ||
6931 | comes down to support, where should | ||
6932 | |||
6933 | 1734 | ||
6934 | 01:13:18,180 ~-~-> 01:13:20,730 | ||
6935 | price do, you know, go in terms of | ||
6936 | |||
6937 | 1735 | ||
6938 | 01:13:20,730 ~-~-> 01:13:22,200 | ||
6939 | direction, if it's going to be support, | ||
6940 | |||
6941 | 1736 | ||
6942 | 01:13:22,260 ~-~-> 01:13:24,930 | ||
6943 | it's going to go up. Okay. So if that's | ||
6944 | |||
6945 | 1737 | ||
6946 | 01:13:24,930 ~-~-> 01:13:26,130 | ||
6947 | going to happen in the dollar, we're | ||
6948 | |||
6949 | 1738 | ||
6950 | 01:13:26,130 ~-~-> 01:13:27,480 | ||
6951 | going to see weaker prices in the | ||
6952 | |||
6953 | 1739 | ||
6954 | 01:13:27,480 ~-~-> 01:13:28,830 | ||
6955 | foreign currency markets. And simply | ||
6956 | |||
6957 | 1740 | ||
6958 | 01:13:28,860 ~-~-> 01:13:30,480 | ||
6959 | because I like to follow the cable and | ||
6960 | |||
6961 | 1741 | ||
6962 | 01:13:30,480 ~-~-> 01:13:32,460 | ||
6963 | fiber, obviously, you're gonna see that | ||
6964 | |||
6965 | 1742 | ||
6966 | 01:13:32,460 ~-~-> 01:13:34,410 | ||
6967 | translate in lower prices between the | ||
6968 | |||
6969 | 1743 | ||
6970 | 01:13:34,410 ~-~-> 01:13:38,640 | ||
6971 | two asset classes. Now, we identify the | ||
6972 | |||
6973 | 1744 | ||
6974 | 01:13:38,640 ~-~-> 01:13:40,830 | ||
6975 | selling scenario during London. We'd | ||
6976 | |||
6977 | 1745 | ||
6978 | 01:13:40,830 ~-~-> 01:13:43,230 | ||
6979 | like to see that setup. And once we're | ||
6980 | |||
6981 | 1746 | ||
6982 | 01:13:43,230 ~-~-> 01:13:45,120 | ||
6983 | assuming that we're in the position, how | ||
6984 | |||
6985 | 1747 | ||
6986 | 01:13:45,120 ~-~-> 01:13:46,230 | ||
6987 | long do we hold it? Well, there's | ||
6988 | |||
6989 | 1748 | ||
6990 | 01:13:46,230 ~-~-> 01:13:47,310 | ||
6991 | several different things we'd like to | ||
6992 | |||
6993 | 1749 | ||
6994 | 01:13:47,310 ~-~-> 01:13:49,500 | ||
6995 | do. We'd like to look at range | ||
6996 | |||
6997 | 1750 | ||
6998 | 01:13:49,500 ~-~-> 01:13:52,680 | ||
6999 | projections, which is using Fibonacci | ||
7000 | |||
7001 | 1751 | ||
7002 | 01:13:52,890 ~-~-> 01:13:54,450 | ||
7003 | and swing projections. And we'd like to | ||
7004 | |||
7005 | 1752 | ||
7006 | 01:13:54,450 ~-~-> 01:13:57,240 | ||
7007 | use average daily range, which is | ||
7008 | |||
7009 | 1753 | ||
7010 | 01:13:57,240 ~-~-> 01:13:58,680 | ||
7011 | another tool. That's an indicator. I'll | ||
7012 | |||
7013 | 1754 | ||
7014 | 01:13:58,680 ~-~-> 01:14:00,480 | ||
7015 | share with you. I can Pull up the | ||
7016 | |||
7017 | 1755 | ||
7018 | 01:14:00,480 ~-~-> 01:14:02,640 | ||
7019 | average daily range here on this day, | ||
7020 | |||
7021 | 1756 | ||
7022 | 01:14:02,760 ~-~-> 01:14:05,910 | ||
7023 | and, but if you look at the things like | ||
7024 | |||
7025 | 1757 | ||
7026 | 01:14:05,910 ~-~-> 01:14:07,380 | ||
7027 | average true range, it'll kind of give | ||
7028 | |||
7029 | 1758 | ||
7030 | 01:14:07,380 ~-~-> 01:14:10,680 | ||
7031 | you like the five day average range of | ||
7032 | |||
7033 | 1759 | ||
7034 | 01:14:10,680 ~-~-> 01:14:12,630 | ||
7035 | the last five days. And whatever that | ||
7036 | |||
7037 | 1760 | ||
7038 | 01:14:12,630 ~-~-> 01:14:14,700 | ||
7039 | range is you just add it, I'm sorry, you | ||
7040 | |||
7041 | 1761 | ||
7042 | 01:14:14,700 ~-~-> 01:14:16,500 | ||
7043 | subtract it from the low, I'm sorry, | ||
7044 | |||
7045 | 1762 | ||
7046 | 01:14:16,530 ~-~-> 01:14:18,030 | ||
7047 | good grief, I'm really messing this up | ||
7048 | |||
7049 | 1763 | ||
7050 | 01:14:18,390 ~-~-> 01:14:21,300 | ||
7051 | the average daily range or average true | ||
7052 | |||
7053 | 1764 | ||
7054 | 01:14:21,300 ~-~-> 01:14:24,300 | ||
7055 | range of five days, okay. And if you do | ||
7056 | |||
7057 | 1765 | ||
7058 | 01:14:24,300 ~-~-> 01:14:27,180 | ||
7059 | that, just take that range and subtract | ||
7060 | |||
7061 | 1766 | ||
7062 | 01:14:27,180 ~-~-> 01:14:28,710 | ||
7063 | it from the highest high the day, and | ||
7064 | |||
7065 | 1767 | ||
7066 | 01:14:28,710 ~-~-> 01:14:30,750 | ||
7067 | it'll give you approximately where the | ||
7068 | |||
7069 | 1768 | ||
7070 | 01:14:30,960 ~-~-> 01:14:33,630 | ||
7071 | low should form. Now, I can tell you | ||
7072 | |||
7073 | 1769 | ||
7074 | 01:14:33,630 ~-~-> 01:14:37,170 | ||
7075 | this, the tool that I use is not average | ||
7076 | |||
7077 | 1770 | ||
7078 | 01:14:37,170 ~-~-> 01:14:41,070 | ||
7079 | true range is a indicator that I've | ||
7080 | |||
7081 | 1771 | ||
7082 | 01:14:41,550 ~-~-> 01:14:44,370 | ||
7083 | adopted. Okay, I wish I could remember I | ||
7084 | |||
7085 | 1772 | ||
7086 | 01:14:44,370 ~-~-> 01:14:45,840 | ||
7087 | got it from because I'd love to be able | ||
7088 | |||
7089 | 1773 | ||
7090 | 01:14:45,840 ~-~-> 01:14:48,540 | ||
7091 | to give credit to where I did, but I | ||
7092 | |||
7093 | 1774 | ||
7094 | 01:14:48,540 ~-~-> 01:14:50,910 | ||
7095 | just don't know. And if you guys know | ||
7096 | |||
7097 | 1775 | ||
7098 | 01:14:51,600 ~-~-> 01:14:52,950 | ||
7099 | where you've seen it before, you know, | ||
7100 | |||
7101 | 1776 | ||
7102 | 01:14:52,950 ~-~-> 01:14:54,120 | ||
7103 | because I grabbed it off of a forum | ||
7104 | |||
7105 | 1777 | ||
7106 | 01:14:54,120 ~-~-> 01:14:57,060 | ||
7107 | somewhere. But long and short of it is | ||
7108 | |||
7109 | 1778 | ||
7110 | 01:14:57,090 ~-~-> 01:14:59,580 | ||
7111 | that tool to me is really good. It's | ||
7112 | |||
7113 | 1779 | ||
7114 | 01:14:59,580 ~-~-> 01:15:03,330 | ||
7115 | useful. And it's one click away, just | ||
7116 | |||
7117 | 1780 | ||
7118 | 01:15:03,330 ~-~-> 01:15:04,950 | ||
7119 | taking your mt four clicking it and it's | ||
7120 | |||
7121 | 1781 | ||
7122 | 01:15:04,950 ~-~-> 01:15:06,570 | ||
7123 | the ICT average daily range indicator. | ||
7124 | |||
7125 | 1782 | ||
7126 | 01:15:06,600 ~-~-> 01:15:08,490 | ||
7127 | And I didn't create the tool. I didn't | ||
7128 | |||
7129 | 1783 | ||
7130 | 01:15:08,490 ~-~-> 01:15:10,950 | ||
7131 | program it, okay, but I did adopt it as | ||
7132 | |||
7133 | 1784 | ||
7134 | 01:15:10,950 ~-~-> 01:15:13,770 | ||
7135 | my tool for using average daily range. I | ||
7136 | |||
7137 | 1785 | ||
7138 | 01:15:13,770 ~-~-> 01:15:15,960 | ||
7139 | do look at average daily range on a four | ||
7140 | |||
7141 | 1786 | ||
7142 | 01:15:15,960 ~-~-> 01:15:19,020 | ||
7143 | week basis, I look at a weekly average, | ||
7144 | |||
7145 | 1787 | ||
7146 | 01:15:19,080 ~-~-> 01:15:23,640 | ||
7147 | not average, but a weekly average range, | ||
7148 | |||
7149 | 1788 | ||
7150 | 01:15:23,850 ~-~-> 01:15:26,670 | ||
7151 | I use a monthly average range, and I use | ||
7152 | |||
7153 | 1789 | ||
7154 | 01:15:26,670 ~-~-> 01:15:28,980 | ||
7155 | a five day average. And there's an | ||
7156 | |||
7157 | 1790 | ||
7158 | 01:15:29,010 ~-~-> 01:15:30,870 | ||
7159 | indicator that I've seen out there that | ||
7160 | |||
7161 | 1791 | ||
7162 | 01:15:31,140 ~-~-> 01:15:33,360 | ||
7163 | shows all three of those that you can | ||
7164 | |||
7165 | 1792 | ||
7166 | 01:15:33,360 ~-~-> 01:15:34,620 | ||
7167 | have up in the upper left hand corner of | ||
7168 | |||
7169 | 1793 | ||
7170 | 01:15:34,620 ~-~-> 01:15:37,050 | ||
7171 | your mt four platform. Man, as soon as I | ||
7172 | |||
7173 | 1794 | ||
7174 | 01:15:37,050 ~-~-> 01:15:38,490 | ||
7175 | find out where I can get it, I will | ||
7176 | |||
7177 | 1795 | ||
7178 | 01:15:38,580 ~-~-> 01:15:40,350 | ||
7179 | obviously start incorporating it in my | ||
7180 | |||
7181 | 1796 | ||
7182 | 01:15:40,350 ~-~-> 01:15:41,940 | ||
7183 | videos and obviously share it with you | ||
7184 | |||
7185 | 1797 | ||
7186 | 01:15:41,940 ~-~-> 01:15:43,320 | ||
7187 | but if you do know what I'm talking | ||
7188 | |||
7189 | 1798 | ||
7190 | 01:15:43,320 ~-~-> 01:15:46,230 | ||
7191 | about and have it work can take me to | ||
7192 | |||
7193 | 1799 | ||
7194 | 01:15:46,230 ~-~-> 01:15:48,930 | ||
7195 | that source where I can get it. I would | ||
7196 | |||
7197 | 1800 | ||
7198 | 01:15:48,930 ~-~-> 01:15:50,430 | ||
7199 | love that now I'd be very appreciative | ||
7200 | |||
7201 | 1801 | ||
7202 | 01:15:50,430 ~-~-> 01:15:55,890 | ||
7203 | of it. But as it relates to slings, if | ||
7204 | |||
7205 | 1802 | ||
7206 | 01:15:55,890 ~-~-> 01:15:58,620 | ||
7207 | we're looking at being a seller, | ||
7208 | |||
7209 | 1803 | ||
7210 | 01:15:58,620 ~-~-> 01:16:01,830 | ||
7211 | obviously here How long do we hold to | ||
7212 | |||
7213 | 1804 | ||
7214 | 01:16:01,830 ~-~-> 01:16:06,600 | ||
7215 | trade? Well, time wise timelines we | ||
7216 | |||
7217 | 1805 | ||
7218 | 01:16:06,600 ~-~-> 01:16:08,310 | ||
7219 | already mentioned that we're looking for | ||
7220 | |||
7221 | 1806 | ||
7222 | 01:16:08,580 ~-~-> 01:16:12,330 | ||
7223 | 10am in New York. Now that is | ||
7224 | |||
7225 | 1807 | ||
7226 | 01:16:12,330 ~-~-> 01:16:13,710 | ||
7227 | representative of the beginning of this | ||
7228 | |||
7229 | 1808 | ||
7230 | 01:16:13,710 ~-~-> 01:16:15,720 | ||
7231 | red line. Okay, now this green line here | ||
7232 | |||
7233 | 1809 | ||
7234 | 01:16:15,720 ~-~-> 01:16:18,180 | ||
7235 | is New York session. This is London | ||
7236 | |||
7237 | 1810 | ||
7238 | 01:16:18,180 ~-~-> 01:16:20,490 | ||
7239 | close. London close the beginning is | ||
7240 | |||
7241 | 1811 | ||
7242 | 01:16:20,490 ~-~-> 01:16:23,610 | ||
7243 | 10am. At least that's how I view it. So | ||
7244 | |||
7245 | 1812 | ||
7246 | 01:16:23,610 ~-~-> 01:16:26,640 | ||
7247 | if we looked at that, I shouldn't do | ||
7248 | |||
7249 | 1813 | ||
7250 | 01:16:26,640 ~-~-> 01:16:26,940 | ||
7251 | that. | ||
7252 | |||
7253 | 1814 | ||
7254 | 01:16:35,460 ~-~-> 01:16:36,480 | ||
7255 | Let's get this off. | ||
7256 | |||
7257 | 1815 | ||
7258 | 01:16:44,520 ~-~-> 01:16:45,810 | ||
7259 | I have a mouse sitting right here next | ||
7260 | |||
7261 | 1816 | ||
7262 | 01:16:45,810 ~-~-> 01:16:47,490 | ||
7263 | to me and I'm still using my touchpad. | ||
7264 | |||
7265 | 1817 | ||
7266 | 01:16:48,540 ~-~-> 01:16:58,710 | ||
7267 | Good grief. Okay, this is the beginning | ||
7268 | |||
7269 | 1818 | ||
7270 | 01:16:58,740 ~-~-> 01:17:00,930 | ||
7271 | of the London closed session. So our | ||
7272 | |||
7273 | 1819 | ||
7274 | 01:17:00,960 ~-~-> 01:17:07,890 | ||
7275 | idea is between this vertical line, this | ||
7276 | |||
7277 | 1820 | ||
7278 | 01:17:07,890 ~-~-> 01:17:09,990 | ||
7279 | row, line timewise. Now, this is a | ||
7280 | |||
7281 | 1821 | ||
7282 | 01:17:09,990 ~-~-> 01:17:12,270 | ||
7283 | general theory, it's very generic. And I | ||
7284 | |||
7285 | 1822 | ||
7286 | 01:17:12,270 ~-~-> 01:17:14,550 | ||
7287 | want you to test it, okay? And much like | ||
7288 | |||
7289 | 1823 | ||
7290 | 01:17:14,550 ~-~-> 01:17:16,230 | ||
7291 | you see here, it doesn't give you the | ||
7292 | |||
7293 | 1824 | ||
7294 | 01:17:16,230 ~-~-> 01:17:18,570 | ||
7295 | actual low of the day. Okay, I'm going | ||
7296 | |||
7297 | 1825 | ||
7298 | 01:17:18,570 ~-~-> 01:17:19,860 | ||
7299 | to give you another scenario where you | ||
7300 | |||
7301 | 1826 | ||
7302 | 01:17:19,860 ~-~-> 01:17:21,690 | ||
7303 | look for it using the new york session, | ||
7304 | |||
7305 | 1827 | ||
7306 | 01:17:21,690 ~-~-> 01:17:24,810 | ||
7307 | okay? But you have to two times a day, | ||
7308 | |||
7309 | 1828 | ||
7310 | 01:17:25,020 ~-~-> 01:17:27,180 | ||
7311 | where you're looking for the opposite | ||
7312 | |||
7313 | 1829 | ||
7314 | 01:17:27,240 ~-~-> 01:17:29,760 | ||
7315 | end, extreme of the day. Now we're | ||
7316 | |||
7317 | 1830 | ||
7318 | 01:17:29,760 ~-~-> 01:17:31,320 | ||
7319 | looking at a down day as it relates to | ||
7320 | |||
7321 | 1831 | ||
7322 | 01:17:31,320 ~-~-> 01:17:33,900 | ||
7323 | this particular vertical, not vertical, | ||
7324 | |||
7325 | 1832 | ||
7326 | 01:17:33,900 ~-~-> 01:17:37,500 | ||
7327 | but this down move here is all from this | ||
7328 | |||
7329 | 1833 | ||
7330 | 01:17:37,500 ~-~-> 01:17:39,960 | ||
7331 | line here to this line here. In terms of | ||
7332 | |||
7333 | 1834 | ||
7334 | 01:17:39,960 ~-~-> 01:17:44,610 | ||
7335 | time, this is all one day. We have this | ||
7336 | |||
7337 | 1835 | ||
7338 | 01:17:44,640 ~-~-> 01:17:46,650 | ||
7339 | area here is where we like to see the | ||
7340 | |||
7341 | 1836 | ||
7342 | 01:17:46,650 ~-~-> 01:17:48,600 | ||
7343 | low form on down days. This is where we | ||
7344 | |||
7345 | 1837 | ||
7346 | 01:17:48,600 ~-~-> 01:17:50,850 | ||
7347 | anticipate it, but the low can form | ||
7348 | |||
7349 | 1838 | ||
7350 | 01:17:50,910 ~-~-> 01:17:53,460 | ||
7351 | during the New York session, the New | ||
7352 | |||
7353 | 1839 | ||
7354 | 01:17:53,460 ~-~-> 01:17:57,030 | ||
7355 | York session, okay, can either cap the | ||
7356 | |||
7357 | 1840 | ||
7358 | 01:17:57,030 ~-~-> 01:17:58,260 | ||
7359 | daily range in other words make the | ||
7360 | |||
7361 | 1841 | ||
7362 | 01:17:58,260 ~-~-> 01:18:00,810 | ||
7363 | opposite and that was formed. In this | ||
7364 | |||
7365 | 1842 | ||
7366 | 01:18:00,810 ~-~-> 01:18:02,070 | ||
7367 | case, it's a down day because we have a | ||
7368 | |||
7369 | 1843 | ||
7370 | 01:18:02,070 ~-~-> 01:18:04,950 | ||
7371 | high up in here in London, the lowest | ||
7372 | |||
7373 | 1844 | ||
7374 | 01:18:04,950 ~-~-> 01:18:08,220 | ||
7375 | formed here in New York and starts to | ||
7376 | |||
7377 | 1845 | ||
7378 | 01:18:08,220 ~-~-> 01:18:11,790 | ||
7379 | rally up. This in here is a reversal | ||
7380 | |||
7381 | 1846 | ||
7382 | 01:18:11,790 ~-~-> 01:18:15,000 | ||
7383 | market profile market comes down, makes | ||
7384 | |||
7385 | 1847 | ||
7386 | 01:18:15,000 ~-~-> 01:18:16,440 | ||
7387 | a low of the day in New York session and | ||
7388 | |||
7389 | 1848 | ||
7390 | 01:18:16,440 ~-~-> 01:18:20,280 | ||
7391 | trades now, later on it does trade | ||
7392 | |||
7393 | 1849 | ||
7394 | 01:18:20,280 ~-~-> 01:18:22,950 | ||
7395 | sideways going into the new day, but we | ||
7396 | |||
7397 | 1850 | ||
7398 | 01:18:22,950 ~-~-> 01:18:28,170 | ||
7399 | do have the London close timeframe. If | ||
7400 | |||
7401 | 1851 | ||
7402 | 01:18:28,170 ~-~-> 01:18:29,610 | ||
7403 | you were to take profits from here, | ||
7404 | |||
7405 | 1852 | ||
7406 | 01:18:29,640 ~-~-> 01:18:31,980 | ||
7407 | entering up here, and closing a trade | ||
7408 | |||
7409 | 1853 | ||
7410 | 01:18:31,980 ~-~-> 01:18:34,440 | ||
7411 | out here, would you be upset about that? | ||
7412 | |||
7413 | 1854 | ||
7414 | 01:18:35,640 ~-~-> 01:18:37,200 | ||
7415 | You didn't capture the very, very low | ||
7416 | |||
7417 | 1855 | ||
7418 | 01:18:37,200 ~-~-> 01:18:40,950 | ||
7419 | low. Okay, you're out here. If you're | ||
7420 | |||
7421 | 1856 | ||
7422 | 01:18:40,950 ~-~-> 01:18:42,930 | ||
7423 | waiting for perfect scenarios all the | ||
7424 | |||
7425 | 1857 | ||
7426 | 01:18:42,930 ~-~-> 01:18:44,550 | ||
7427 | time, and you're just going to hold to | ||
7428 | |||
7429 | 1858 | ||
7430 | 01:18:44,550 ~-~-> 01:18:46,110 | ||
7431 | London close because ICT said London | ||
7432 | |||
7433 | 1859 | ||
7434 | 01:18:46,110 ~-~-> 01:18:48,870 | ||
7435 | close timeframe is 10 and 11am. And I'm | ||
7436 | |||
7437 | 1860 | ||
7438 | 01:18:48,870 ~-~-> 01:18:50,580 | ||
7439 | not going to get out before then, okay, | ||
7440 | |||
7441 | 1861 | ||
7442 | 01:18:50,640 ~-~-> 01:18:52,380 | ||
7443 | you're going to miss some opportunities | ||
7444 | |||
7445 | 1862 | ||
7446 | 01:18:52,380 ~-~-> 01:18:53,610 | ||
7447 | like this where you get out at a better | ||
7448 | |||
7449 | 1863 | ||
7450 | 01:18:53,610 ~-~-> 01:18:55,380 | ||
7451 | price. So how do we answer that | ||
7452 | |||
7453 | 1864 | ||
7454 | 01:18:55,380 ~-~-> 01:18:58,590 | ||
7455 | equation, time and price, time and price | ||
7456 | |||
7457 | 1865 | ||
7458 | 01:18:58,680 ~-~-> 01:19:00,930 | ||
7459 | so we have to incorporate A couple other | ||
7460 | |||
7461 | 1866 | ||
7462 | 01:19:00,930 ~-~-> 01:19:04,410 | ||
7463 | things prior to this move down this | ||
7464 | |||
7465 | 1867 | ||
7466 | 01:19:04,410 ~-~-> 01:19:07,110 | ||
7467 | little spike up in drops okay this Judas | ||
7468 | |||
7469 | 1868 | ||
7470 | 01:19:07,110 ~-~-> 01:19:10,410 | ||
7471 | swing up we have this primary swing | ||
7472 | |||
7473 | 1869 | ||
7474 | 01:19:10,410 ~-~-> 01:19:12,750 | ||
7475 | here, they may not be primary too many | ||
7476 | |||
7477 | 1870 | ||
7478 | 01:19:12,750 ~-~-> 01:19:14,460 | ||
7479 | but to me this is how I look at market | ||
7480 | |||
7481 | 1871 | ||
7482 | 01:19:14,460 ~-~-> 01:19:17,220 | ||
7483 | structure. We have a low and the highest | ||
7484 | |||
7485 | 1872 | ||
7486 | 01:19:17,220 ~-~-> 01:19:20,040 | ||
7487 | high in here. Okay, so what we look for? | ||
7488 | |||
7489 | 1873 | ||
7490 | 01:19:21,150 ~-~-> 01:19:26,460 | ||
7491 | Well let's look at this right here. Okay | ||
7492 | |||
7493 | 1874 | ||
7494 | 01:19:26,490 ~-~-> 01:19:28,860 | ||
7495 | see this they're pretty much equal. So | ||
7496 | |||
7497 | 1875 | ||
7498 | 01:19:28,860 ~-~-> 01:19:32,250 | ||
7499 | we're going to use a fib we're gonna | ||
7500 | |||
7501 | 1876 | ||
7502 | 01:19:32,250 ~-~-> 01:19:35,940 | ||
7503 | take the low, up to the high that's | ||
7504 | |||
7505 | 1877 | ||
7506 | 01:19:35,940 ~-~-> 01:19:38,700 | ||
7507 | we're dropping Okay See that? When we | ||
7508 | |||
7509 | 1878 | ||
7510 | 01:19:38,700 ~-~-> 01:19:40,620 | ||
7511 | have that, when we're looking for lower | ||
7512 | |||
7513 | 1879 | ||
7514 | 01:19:40,620 ~-~-> 01:19:44,730 | ||
7515 | prices, we expect this swing to be | ||
7516 | |||
7517 | 1880 | ||
7518 | 01:19:44,730 ~-~-> 01:19:47,340 | ||
7519 | measurable move. Once this low is taken | ||
7520 | |||
7521 | 1881 | ||
7522 | 01:19:47,340 ~-~-> 01:19:49,950 | ||
7523 | out, which it is here, we look for | ||
7524 | |||
7525 | 1882 | ||
7526 | 01:19:50,160 ~-~-> 01:19:55,320 | ||
7527 | 127 162 and 200 extensions 200 extension | ||
7528 | |||
7529 | 1883 | ||
7530 | 01:19:55,320 ~-~-> 01:19:58,770 | ||
7531 | is basically a multiple, a doubling if | ||
7532 | |||
7533 | 1884 | ||
7534 | 01:19:58,770 ~-~-> 01:20:00,240 | ||
7535 | you will the range from the low To the | ||
7536 | |||
7537 | 1885 | ||
7538 | 01:20:00,240 ~-~-> 01:20:02,460 | ||
7539 | high, once the lows taken out, it'll | ||
7540 | |||
7541 | 1886 | ||
7542 | 01:20:02,460 ~-~-> 01:20:04,860 | ||
7543 | move that much range equivalent from the | ||
7544 | |||
7545 | 1887 | ||
7546 | 01:20:04,860 ~-~-> 01:20:07,230 | ||
7547 | low down. And that's what you get 200% | ||
7548 | |||
7549 | 1888 | ||
7550 | 01:20:07,230 ~-~-> 01:20:11,220 | ||
7551 | here. Okay? The 162 extension is in | ||
7552 | |||
7553 | 1889 | ||
7554 | 01:20:11,220 ~-~-> 01:20:14,490 | ||
7555 | here. And the 127 extension is here at | ||
7556 | |||
7557 | 1890 | ||
7558 | 01:20:14,520 ~-~-> 01:20:16,470 | ||
7559 | any one of these three price levels, | ||
7560 | |||
7561 | 1891 | ||
7562 | 01:20:16,650 ~-~-> 01:20:20,550 | ||
7563 | okay? If price gets to it inside of New | ||
7564 | |||
7565 | 1892 | ||
7566 | 01:20:20,550 ~-~-> 01:20:22,740 | ||
7567 | York or London, that's when you take | ||
7568 | |||
7569 | 1893 | ||
7570 | 01:20:22,740 ~-~-> 01:20:25,650 | ||
7571 | profits. We, we were trading at the | ||
7572 | |||
7573 | 1894 | ||
7574 | 01:20:25,650 ~-~-> 01:20:26,640 | ||
7575 | beginning of | ||
7576 | |||
7577 | 1895 | ||
7578 | 01:20:29,430 ~-~-> 01:20:31,590 | ||
7579 | New York right here. So we were inside | ||
7580 | |||
7581 | 1896 | ||
7582 | 01:20:31,590 ~-~-> 01:20:33,240 | ||
7583 | New York and we traded at 200. That's | ||
7584 | |||
7585 | 1897 | ||
7586 | 01:20:33,240 ~-~-> 01:20:34,890 | ||
7587 | when you take your profits, you can | ||
7588 | |||
7589 | 1898 | ||
7590 | 01:20:34,890 ~-~-> 01:20:36,450 | ||
7591 | leave a little bit on expecting lower | ||
7592 | |||
7593 | 1899 | ||
7594 | 01:20:36,450 ~-~-> 01:20:38,910 | ||
7595 | prices, okay, and maybe reach for the | ||
7596 | |||
7597 | 1900 | ||
7598 | 01:20:38,910 ~-~-> 01:20:41,310 | ||
7599 | London close timeframe then. But as it | ||
7600 | |||
7601 | 1901 | ||
7602 | 01:20:41,310 ~-~-> 01:20:44,490 | ||
7603 | relates to perfection, you're not going | ||
7604 | |||
7605 | 1902 | ||
7606 | 01:20:44,490 ~-~-> 01:20:46,470 | ||
7607 | to expect perfection. You want to take | ||
7608 | |||
7609 | 1903 | ||
7610 | 01:20:46,470 ~-~-> 01:20:48,030 | ||
7611 | some profits out there. In fact, you | ||
7612 | |||
7613 | 1904 | ||
7614 | 01:20:48,030 ~-~-> 01:20:49,380 | ||
7615 | want to take some out when we get below | ||
7616 | |||
7617 | 1905 | ||
7618 | 01:20:49,380 ~-~-> 01:20:50,820 | ||
7619 | this low as well. You want to take a | ||
7620 | |||
7621 | 1906 | ||
7622 | 01:20:50,820 ~-~-> 01:20:51,930 | ||
7623 | little bit off something you want to | ||
7624 | |||
7625 | 1907 | ||
7626 | 01:20:51,930 ~-~-> 01:20:55,920 | ||
7627 | take something off, okay? And if you can | ||
7628 | |||
7629 | 1908 | ||
7630 | 01:20:55,920 ~-~-> 01:20:59,790 | ||
7631 | manage it where over time, if you start | ||
7632 | |||
7633 | 1909 | ||
7634 | 01:20:59,820 ~-~-> 01:21:01,260 | ||
7635 | building In your understanding of | ||
7636 | |||
7637 | 1910 | ||
7638 | 01:21:01,260 ~-~-> 01:21:05,280 | ||
7639 | trading, and you start working up to 2% | ||
7640 | |||
7641 | 1911 | ||
7642 | 01:21:05,280 ~-~-> 01:21:07,380 | ||
7643 | risk per trade if you do that, if you | ||
7644 | |||
7645 | 1912 | ||
7646 | 01:21:07,380 ~-~-> 01:21:10,410 | ||
7647 | take off a half a percent, a half of 1% | ||
7648 | |||
7649 | 1913 | ||
7650 | 01:21:10,440 ~-~-> 01:21:11,760 | ||
7651 | Okay, leaving one and a half percent on | ||
7652 | |||
7653 | 1914 | ||
7654 | 01:21:11,760 ~-~-> 01:21:14,640 | ||
7655 | the trade for the rest of the day that | ||
7656 | |||
7657 | 1915 | ||
7658 | 01:21:14,640 ~-~-> 01:21:17,880 | ||
7659 | will give you a huge head start in terms | ||
7660 | |||
7661 | 1916 | ||
7662 | 01:21:17,910 ~-~-> 01:21:21,360 | ||
7663 | of satisfying the many times insatiable | ||
7664 | |||
7665 | 1917 | ||
7666 | 01:21:21,360 ~-~-> 01:21:25,020 | ||
7667 | desire to you be right. Okay, that that | ||
7668 | |||
7669 | 1918 | ||
7670 | 01:21:25,020 ~-~-> 01:21:27,270 | ||
7671 | hunger to be right is many times | ||
7672 | |||
7673 | 1919 | ||
7674 | 01:21:27,930 ~-~-> 01:21:30,600 | ||
7675 | alleviated. Okay, if you take a little | ||
7676 | |||
7677 | 1920 | ||
7678 | 01:21:30,600 ~-~-> 01:21:33,810 | ||
7679 | bit off and you show a positive gain out | ||
7680 | |||
7681 | 1921 | ||
7682 | 01:21:33,810 ~-~-> 01:21:35,550 | ||
7683 | of the trade, that way, even if it does | ||
7684 | |||
7685 | 1922 | ||
7686 | 01:21:35,550 ~-~-> 01:21:37,080 | ||
7687 | come back and stops you out, you had | ||
7688 | |||
7689 | 1923 | ||
7690 | 01:21:37,080 ~-~-> 01:21:38,910 | ||
7691 | something that you took out of the | ||
7692 | |||
7693 | 1924 | ||
7694 | 01:21:38,910 ~-~-> 01:21:41,760 | ||
7695 | marketplace, okay? You can't be right | ||
7696 | |||
7697 | 1925 | ||
7698 | 01:21:41,760 ~-~-> 01:21:43,500 | ||
7699 | all the time. And these tools will not | ||
7700 | |||
7701 | 1926 | ||
7702 | 01:21:43,500 ~-~-> 01:21:46,620 | ||
7703 | 100% give you that level of accuracy, | ||
7704 | |||
7705 | 1927 | ||
7706 | 01:21:46,740 ~-~-> 01:21:48,330 | ||
7707 | but it will give you insane accuracy | ||
7708 | |||
7709 | 1928 | ||
7710 | 01:21:48,330 ~-~-> 01:21:52,050 | ||
7711 | that nothing else delivers. Going over | ||
7712 | |||
7713 | 1929 | ||
7714 | 01:21:52,050 ~-~-> 01:21:53,730 | ||
7715 | to the fiber. Okay, we're gonna look at | ||
7716 | |||
7717 | 1930 | ||
7718 | 01:21:53,730 ~-~-> 01:21:56,250 | ||
7719 | something as it relates to the same | ||
7720 | |||
7721 | 1931 | ||
7722 | 01:21:56,250 ~-~-> 01:21:58,650 | ||
7723 | phenomenon. Okay, much in the same vein, | ||
7724 | |||
7725 | 1932 | ||
7726 | 01:21:58,650 ~-~-> 01:22:01,290 | ||
7727 | we've seen bullish prices In $1, which | ||
7728 | |||
7729 | 1933 | ||
7730 | 01:22:01,290 ~-~-> 01:22:03,000 | ||
7731 | would be translated in lower prices in | ||
7732 | |||
7733 | 1934 | ||
7734 | 01:22:03,000 ~-~-> 01:22:06,990 | ||
7735 | the fiber. Okay, let's zoom in. And | ||
7736 | |||
7737 | 1935 | ||
7738 | 01:22:06,990 ~-~-> 01:22:10,980 | ||
7739 | we're gonna look at that same day. Okay, | ||
7740 | |||
7741 | 1936 | ||
7742 | 01:22:10,980 ~-~-> 01:22:13,140 | ||
7743 | here's Wednesday today, Tuesday, Monday, | ||
7744 | |||
7745 | 1937 | ||
7746 | 01:22:13,140 ~-~-> 01:22:15,690 | ||
7747 | Sunday Friday. Take a look what's going | ||
7748 | |||
7749 | 1938 | ||
7750 | 01:22:15,690 ~-~-> 01:22:18,960 | ||
7751 | on here. See how price is rallying on | ||
7752 | |||
7753 | 1939 | ||
7754 | 01:22:18,960 ~-~-> 01:22:23,130 | ||
7755 | that day? See that this shouldn't be | ||
7756 | |||
7757 | 1940 | ||
7758 | 01:22:23,130 ~-~-> 01:22:26,340 | ||
7759 | occurring. Think about it. If the dollar | ||
7760 | |||
7761 | 1941 | ||
7762 | 01:22:26,370 ~-~-> 01:22:29,430 | ||
7763 | is poised to rally What the heck is the | ||
7764 | |||
7765 | 1942 | ||
7766 | 01:22:29,430 ~-~-> 01:22:33,240 | ||
7767 | fiber doing rally? That is going to be a | ||
7768 | |||
7769 | 1943 | ||
7770 | 01:22:33,240 ~-~-> 01:22:35,550 | ||
7771 | short term sell scenario. Okay, now | ||
7772 | |||
7773 | 1944 | ||
7774 | 01:22:35,550 ~-~-> 01:22:38,910 | ||
7775 | contrast that was what we see here in | ||
7776 | |||
7777 | 1945 | ||
7778 | 01:22:38,940 ~-~-> 01:22:41,670 | ||
7779 | the cable. Let's go back over here add | ||
7780 | |||
7781 | 1946 | ||
7782 | 01:22:41,790 ~-~-> 01:22:46,050 | ||
7783 | candlesticks. Okay, here's Wednesday, | ||
7784 | |||
7785 | 1947 | ||
7786 | 01:22:46,080 ~-~-> 01:22:47,850 | ||
7787 | Tuesday, Monday, Sunday, Friday. | ||
7788 | |||
7789 | 1948 | ||
7790 | 01:22:48,060 ~-~-> 01:22:51,900 | ||
7791 | Friday's a down move on the fiber | ||
7792 | |||
7793 | 1949 | ||
7794 | 01:22:52,500 ~-~-> 01:22:55,290 | ||
7795 | Fridays and up move. That don't make any | ||
7796 | |||
7797 | 1950 | ||
7798 | 01:22:55,290 ~-~-> 01:22:58,110 | ||
7799 | sense, does it? Well, what you're | ||
7800 | |||
7801 | 1951 | ||
7802 | 01:22:58,110 ~-~-> 01:23:00,000 | ||
7803 | looking at is this is actually a short | ||
7804 | |||
7805 | 1952 | ||
7806 | 01:23:00,000 ~-~-> 01:23:03,210 | ||
7807 | term trade, okay, versus a day trade. | ||
7808 | |||
7809 | 1953 | ||
7810 | 01:23:04,620 ~-~-> 01:23:07,680 | ||
7811 | You have a move it's moving counter to | ||
7812 | |||
7813 | 1954 | ||
7814 | 01:23:07,680 ~-~-> 01:23:09,300 | ||
7815 | directional premise that's established | ||
7816 | |||
7817 | 1955 | ||
7818 | 01:23:09,300 ~-~-> 01:23:11,130 | ||
7819 | by the dollar. Okay? In other words, | ||
7820 | |||
7821 | 1956 | ||
7822 | 01:23:11,370 ~-~-> 01:23:15,000 | ||
7823 | fires rallying. In a risk off scenario. | ||
7824 | |||
7825 | 1957 | ||
7826 | 01:23:15,120 ~-~-> 01:23:16,350 | ||
7827 | Number words they're setting up a | ||
7828 | |||
7829 | 1958 | ||
7830 | 01:23:16,350 ~-~-> 01:23:18,090 | ||
7831 | scenario that's going to be a little bit | ||
7832 | |||
7833 | 1959 | ||
7834 | 01:23:18,090 ~-~-> 01:23:20,910 | ||
7835 | more of a move going lower. Okay. And | ||
7836 | |||
7837 | 1960 | ||
7838 | 01:23:20,910 ~-~-> 01:23:23,640 | ||
7839 | also, this is actually the weaker of the | ||
7840 | |||
7841 | 1961 | ||
7842 | 01:23:23,640 ~-~-> 01:23:25,230 | ||
7843 | two pairs between the fiber and cable. | ||
7844 | |||
7845 | 1962 | ||
7846 | 01:23:25,560 ~-~-> 01:23:28,620 | ||
7847 | If you look at what's going on, cable, | ||
7848 | |||
7849 | 1963 | ||
7850 | 01:23:29,100 ~-~-> 01:23:32,220 | ||
7851 | let me zoom in a little bit here. Cable | ||
7852 | |||
7853 | 1964 | ||
7854 | 01:23:32,220 ~-~-> 01:23:33,840 | ||
7855 | was making this higher high back here | ||
7856 | |||
7857 | 1965 | ||
7858 | 01:23:33,870 ~-~-> 01:23:37,680 | ||
7859 | while the same time in June July last | ||
7860 | |||
7861 | 1966 | ||
7862 | 01:23:37,680 ~-~-> 01:23:40,170 | ||
7863 | the last day of June going into the | ||
7864 | |||
7865 | 1967 | ||
7866 | 01:23:40,170 ~-~-> 01:23:42,510 | ||
7867 | first week or two of July, we made | ||
7868 | |||
7869 | 1968 | ||
7870 | 01:23:42,510 ~-~-> 01:23:45,390 | ||
7871 | higher highs in cable. We did not see | ||
7872 | |||
7873 | 1969 | ||
7874 | 01:23:45,390 ~-~-> 01:23:50,280 | ||
7875 | that in the fiber. Okay, we were seeing | ||
7876 | |||
7877 | 1970 | ||
7878 | 01:23:50,280 ~-~-> 01:23:52,050 | ||
7879 | lower prices. In fact, it's been really | ||
7880 | |||
7881 | 1971 | ||
7882 | 01:23:52,050 ~-~-> 01:23:54,570 | ||
7883 | soft compared to the cable so the weaker | ||
7884 | |||
7885 | 1972 | ||
7886 | 01:23:54,570 ~-~-> 01:23:57,240 | ||
7887 | sister between the two and in | ||
7888 | |||
7889 | 1973 | ||
7890 | 01:23:57,240 ~-~-> 01:23:59,760 | ||
7891 | relationship to the chi the cable and | ||
7892 | |||
7893 | 1974 | ||
7894 | 01:23:59,760 ~-~-> 01:24:02,310 | ||
7895 | you're Yesterday more fiber. Fiber was | ||
7896 | |||
7897 | 1975 | ||
7898 | 01:24:02,340 ~-~-> 01:24:04,320 | ||
7899 | obviously the weaker of the two. But we | ||
7900 | |||
7901 | 1976 | ||
7902 | 01:24:04,320 ~-~-> 01:24:06,930 | ||
7903 | have this momentary break in that | ||
7904 | |||
7905 | 1977 | ||
7906 | 01:24:06,930 ~-~-> 01:24:08,250 | ||
7907 | correlation. In other words, there's a | ||
7908 | |||
7909 | 1978 | ||
7910 | 01:24:08,250 ~-~-> 01:24:10,830 | ||
7911 | rally underway. What's going on here is | ||
7912 | |||
7913 | 1979 | ||
7914 | 01:24:10,830 ~-~-> 01:24:12,780 | ||
7915 | it's calling back to take out stops. | ||
7916 | |||
7917 | 1980 | ||
7918 | 01:24:12,990 ~-~-> 01:24:14,730 | ||
7919 | Okay, one of the things I talked about | ||
7920 | |||
7921 | 1981 | ||
7922 | 01:24:14,760 ~-~-> 01:24:17,880 | ||
7923 | many times is the best moves occur rate | ||
7924 | |||
7925 | 1982 | ||
7926 | 01:24:17,940 ~-~-> 01:24:21,150 | ||
7927 | after a pre determined level of stops | ||
7928 | |||
7929 | 1983 | ||
7930 | 01:24:21,180 ~-~-> 01:24:23,580 | ||
7931 | gets taken out. And that looks like | ||
7932 | |||
7933 | 1984 | ||
7934 | 01:24:23,580 ~-~-> 01:24:28,320 | ||
7935 | this. Okay, you see these highs here, | ||
7936 | |||
7937 | 1985 | ||
7938 | 01:24:28,350 ~-~-> 01:24:32,190 | ||
7939 | almost equal. If you look at what we | ||
7940 | |||
7941 | 1986 | ||
7942 | 01:24:32,190 ~-~-> 01:24:36,000 | ||
7943 | have, and I'll show you this is it's | ||
7944 | |||
7945 | 1987 | ||
7946 | 01:24:36,000 ~-~-> 01:24:37,860 | ||
7947 | really uncanny how this happens almost | ||
7948 | |||
7949 | 1988 | ||
7950 | 01:24:37,890 ~-~-> 01:24:40,740 | ||
7951 | all the time. Equal low on equal highs, | ||
7952 | |||
7953 | 1989 | ||
7954 | 01:24:40,740 ~-~-> 01:24:43,470 | ||
7955 | rather. Okay, so this price point, if | ||
7956 | |||
7957 | 1990 | ||
7958 | 01:24:43,470 ~-~-> 01:24:46,380 | ||
7959 | you add 10 pips to that, that's about | ||
7960 | |||
7961 | 1991 | ||
7962 | 01:24:46,380 ~-~-> 01:24:47,910 | ||
7963 | where all the stop losses are going to | ||
7964 | |||
7965 | 1992 | ||
7966 | 01:24:47,910 ~-~-> 01:24:50,640 | ||
7967 | be for everyone that's short. Fiber | ||
7968 | |||
7969 | 1993 | ||
7970 | 01:24:50,640 ~-~-> 01:24:53,340 | ||
7971 | comes up, goes just above that level, | ||
7972 | |||
7973 | 1994 | ||
7974 | 01:24:53,340 ~-~-> 01:24:54,480 | ||
7975 | and I'm going to extend this lines. You | ||
7976 | |||
7977 | 1995 | ||
7978 | 01:24:54,480 ~-~-> 01:24:54,990 | ||
7979 | can see it | ||
7980 | |||
7981 | 1996 | ||
7982 | 01:25:00,000 ~-~-> 01:25:01,770 | ||
7983 | Sorry my OCD is flaring I got to make | ||
7984 | |||
7985 | 1997 | ||
7986 | 01:25:01,770 ~-~-> 01:25:04,380 | ||
7987 | sure this level is lined up otherwise | ||
7988 | |||
7989 | 1998 | ||
7990 | 01:25:04,380 ~-~-> 01:25:07,050 | ||
7991 | it'll drive me crazy price rallies up | ||
7992 | |||
7993 | 1999 | ||
7994 | 01:25:07,050 ~-~-> 01:25:09,150 | ||
7995 | through it takes out this this level of | ||
7996 | |||
7997 | 2000 | ||
7998 | 01:25:09,270 ~-~-> 01:25:11,610 | ||
7999 | stops. Now I'm going to zoom in on this | ||
8000 | |||
8001 | 2001 | ||
8002 | 01:25:11,610 ~-~-> 01:25:15,810 | ||
8003 | particular day here on the first of | ||
8004 | |||
8005 | 2002 | ||
8006 | 01:25:15,810 ~-~-> 01:25:18,990 | ||
8007 | August and we're going to go down to a | ||
8008 | |||
8009 | 2003 | ||
8010 | 01:25:20,040 ~-~-> 01:25:25,800 | ||
8011 | 15 minute timeframe. Okay, and here's | ||
8012 | |||
8013 | 2004 | ||
8014 | 01:25:25,800 ~-~-> 01:25:28,530 | ||
8015 | that rally up above a clean level. This | ||
8016 | |||
8017 | 2005 | ||
8018 | 01:25:28,530 ~-~-> 01:25:30,990 | ||
8019 | is what we call clean to clean. Stocks | ||
8020 | |||
8021 | 2006 | ||
8022 | 01:25:30,990 ~-~-> 01:25:32,070 | ||
8023 | are gonna be resting just above that. | ||
8024 | |||
8025 | 2007 | ||
8026 | 01:25:32,070 ~-~-> 01:25:33,540 | ||
8027 | Now watch. I've already told you what | ||
8028 | |||
8029 | 2008 | ||
8030 | 01:25:33,540 ~-~-> 01:25:36,300 | ||
8031 | you're looking for. You're looking for a | ||
8032 | |||
8033 | 2009 | ||
8034 | 01:25:36,300 ~-~-> 01:25:37,920 | ||
8035 | range of 10 pips so you want to put a | ||
8036 | |||
8037 | 2010 | ||
8038 | 01:25:37,920 ~-~-> 01:25:40,290 | ||
8039 | rectangle right on that level of the | ||
8040 | |||
8041 | 2011 | ||
8042 | 01:25:40,290 ~-~-> 01:25:42,450 | ||
8043 | highs. Okay, and we're going to look for | ||
8044 | |||
8045 | 2012 | ||
8046 | 01:25:42,450 ~-~-> 01:25:46,620 | ||
8047 | a range of 10 to epital nine See, it's | ||
8048 | |||
8049 | 2013 | ||
8050 | 01:25:46,620 ~-~-> 01:25:50,580 | ||
8051 | 10 it says five here 10 drop it right | ||
8052 | |||
8053 | 2014 | ||
8054 | 01:25:50,580 ~-~-> 01:25:53,130 | ||
8055 | there. That's as far as we'd like to see | ||
8056 | |||
8057 | 2015 | ||
8058 | 01:25:53,130 ~-~-> 01:25:55,050 | ||
8059 | price rally up through and reject if it | ||
8060 | |||
8061 | 2016 | ||
8062 | 01:25:55,050 ~-~-> 01:25:57,090 | ||
8063 | does that. What we've just witnessed was | ||
8064 | |||
8065 | 2017 | ||
8066 | 01:25:57,120 ~-~-> 01:25:59,850 | ||
8067 | a raid on stops is bad boys going lower. | ||
8068 | |||
8069 | 2018 | ||
8070 | 01:26:00,000 ~-~-> 01:26:02,280 | ||
8071 | Now notice also how I have the chart set | ||
8072 | |||
8073 | 2019 | ||
8074 | 01:26:02,280 ~-~-> 01:26:04,470 | ||
8075 | up. Doesn't this look like a bull flag? | ||
8076 | |||
8077 | 2020 | ||
8078 | 01:26:05,280 ~-~-> 01:26:07,050 | ||
8079 | Look at it. Doesn't this look like a | ||
8080 | |||
8081 | 2021 | ||
8082 | 01:26:07,050 ~-~-> 01:26:09,720 | ||
8083 | perfect little bull flag? So all the | ||
8084 | |||
8085 | 2022 | ||
8086 | 01:26:09,720 ~-~-> 01:26:12,630 | ||
8087 | classic chart patterns to teach us that | ||
8088 | |||
8089 | 2023 | ||
8090 | 01:26:12,660 ~-~-> 01:26:14,940 | ||
8091 | we should be buying this thing, okay? | ||
8092 | |||
8093 | 2024 | ||
8094 | 01:26:15,000 ~-~-> 01:26:17,940 | ||
8095 | And we're going to expect to see a move. | ||
8096 | |||
8097 | 2025 | ||
8098 | 01:26:21,870 ~-~-> 01:26:23,580 | ||
8099 | Okay, here's the flagpole. Here's the | ||
8100 | |||
8101 | 2026 | ||
8102 | 01:26:23,580 ~-~-> 01:26:26,280 | ||
8103 | high. It's going to rally up from this | ||
8104 | |||
8105 | 2027 | ||
8106 | 01:26:26,280 ~-~-> 01:26:27,480 | ||
8107 | level here. So we're going to expect to | ||
8108 | |||
8109 | 2028 | ||
8110 | 01:26:27,480 ~-~-> 01:26:30,990 | ||
8111 | see price, classically trade to about | ||
8112 | |||
8113 | 2029 | ||
8114 | 01:26:30,990 ~-~-> 01:26:33,270 | ||
8115 | the 134 80 level. That's what the | ||
8116 | |||
8117 | 2030 | ||
8118 | 01:26:33,270 ~-~-> 01:26:37,860 | ||
8119 | textbooks teach us. Well, that's not | ||
8120 | |||
8121 | 2031 | ||
8122 | 01:26:37,860 ~-~-> 01:26:41,310 | ||
8123 | what happens. Okay. And by having that | ||
8124 | |||
8125 | 2032 | ||
8126 | 01:26:41,310 ~-~-> 01:26:43,440 | ||
8127 | understood, okay, you got to understand | ||
8128 | |||
8129 | 2033 | ||
8130 | 01:26:43,440 ~-~-> 01:26:45,240 | ||
8131 | that there are times when textbook stuff | ||
8132 | |||
8133 | 2034 | ||
8134 | 01:26:45,960 ~-~-> 01:26:48,150 | ||
8135 | will work. But it's going to be when | ||
8136 | |||
8137 | 2035 | ||
8138 | 01:26:48,150 ~-~-> 01:26:50,640 | ||
8139 | it's in line with the underlying tone of | ||
8140 | |||
8141 | 2036 | ||
8142 | 01:26:50,640 ~-~-> 01:26:52,410 | ||
8143 | the marketplace when it's set up to | ||
8144 | |||
8145 | 2037 | ||
8146 | 01:26:52,410 ~-~-> 01:26:57,240 | ||
8147 | move. Okay. What I mean by that is that | ||
8148 | |||
8149 | 2038 | ||
8150 | 01:26:57,270 ~-~-> 01:27:01,020 | ||
8151 | unless it's risk off, risk on Based in | ||
8152 | |||
8153 | 2039 | ||
8154 | 01:27:01,020 ~-~-> 01:27:04,080 | ||
8155 | dollar driven, and you have | ||
8156 | |||
8157 | 2040 | ||
8158 | 01:27:04,110 ~-~-> 01:27:06,180 | ||
8159 | institutional sponsorship between your | ||
8160 | |||
8161 | 2041 | ||
8162 | 01:27:06,180 ~-~-> 01:27:08,430 | ||
8163 | entries and your exits, it's not going | ||
8164 | |||
8165 | 2042 | ||
8166 | 01:27:08,430 ~-~-> 01:27:10,320 | ||
8167 | to pan out it. The banks don't care | ||
8168 | |||
8169 | 2043 | ||
8170 | 01:27:10,320 ~-~-> 01:27:11,970 | ||
8171 | about your chart patterns. In fact, | ||
8172 | |||
8173 | 2044 | ||
8174 | 01:27:12,000 ~-~-> 01:27:13,560 | ||
8175 | market makers love chart patterns | ||
8176 | |||
8177 | 2045 | ||
8178 | 01:27:13,560 ~-~-> 01:27:16,740 | ||
8179 | because it gives them reasons to see see | ||
8180 | |||
8181 | 2046 | ||
8182 | 01:27:16,740 ~-~-> 01:27:18,480 | ||
8183 | more liquidity coming the marketplace. | ||
8184 | |||
8185 | 2047 | ||
8186 | 01:27:18,720 ~-~-> 01:27:21,390 | ||
8187 | Okay. And what does that mean? Well, if | ||
8188 | |||
8189 | 2048 | ||
8190 | 01:27:21,390 ~-~-> 01:27:23,400 | ||
8191 | you were a buyer down here is you're | ||
8192 | |||
8193 | 2049 | ||
8194 | 01:27:23,400 ~-~-> 01:27:25,320 | ||
8195 | looking at chart patterns you're buying | ||
8196 | |||
8197 | 2050 | ||
8198 | 01:27:25,320 ~-~-> 01:27:27,000 | ||
8199 | here. So we're going to have to protect | ||
8200 | |||
8201 | 2051 | ||
8202 | 01:27:27,000 ~-~-> 01:27:31,200 | ||
8203 | your your position, a sell stop. Right | ||
8204 | |||
8205 | 2052 | ||
8206 | 01:27:31,620 ~-~-> 01:27:35,400 | ||
8207 | here. So you're buying, there's going to | ||
8208 | |||
8209 | 2053 | ||
8210 | 01:27:35,400 ~-~-> 01:27:38,730 | ||
8211 | be stops on here. If you if a trader can | ||
8212 | |||
8213 | 2054 | ||
8214 | 01:27:38,730 ~-~-> 01:27:41,640 | ||
8215 | take you out, okay, and that position, | ||
8216 | |||
8217 | 2055 | ||
8218 | 01:27:41,820 ~-~-> 01:27:45,030 | ||
8219 | they assume that that difference in | ||
8220 | |||
8221 | 2056 | ||
8222 | 01:27:45,030 ~-~-> 01:27:49,890 | ||
8223 | terms of price. You as a developing | ||
8224 | |||
8225 | 2057 | ||
8226 | 01:27:49,890 ~-~-> 01:27:53,190 | ||
8227 | smart trader, you want to say, I don't | ||
8228 | |||
8229 | 2058 | ||
8230 | 01:27:53,190 ~-~-> 01:27:55,590 | ||
8231 | want to trade like this. In fact, I want | ||
8232 | |||
8233 | 2059 | ||
8234 | 01:27:55,590 ~-~-> 01:27:58,470 | ||
8235 | to see where the stops on the other side | ||
8236 | |||
8237 | 2060 | ||
8238 | 01:27:58,470 ~-~-> 01:28:00,420 | ||
8239 | of the marketplace are going to be And | ||
8240 | |||
8241 | 2061 | ||
8242 | 01:28:00,420 ~-~-> 01:28:02,820 | ||
8243 | what does that look like? Well, if the | ||
8244 | |||
8245 | 2062 | ||
8246 | 01:28:02,820 ~-~-> 01:28:05,250 | ||
8247 | market expects based on this bullish | ||
8248 | |||
8249 | 2063 | ||
8250 | 01:28:05,250 ~-~-> 01:28:08,340 | ||
8251 | pattern, if it should be rallying, okay, | ||
8252 | |||
8253 | 2064 | ||
8254 | 01:28:08,850 ~-~-> 01:28:09,720 | ||
8255 | they're going to be looking for | ||
8256 | |||
8257 | 2065 | ||
8258 | 01:28:09,720 ~-~-> 01:28:12,780 | ||
8259 | continuation higher breakout artists are | ||
8260 | |||
8261 | 2066 | ||
8262 | 01:28:12,780 ~-~-> 01:28:14,340 | ||
8263 | going to use these little areas like | ||
8264 | |||
8265 | 2067 | ||
8266 | 01:28:14,340 ~-~-> 01:28:15,930 | ||
8267 | here, okay? And they're going to have | ||
8268 | |||
8269 | 2068 | ||
8270 | 01:28:16,620 ~-~-> 01:28:19,110 | ||
8271 | stop orders to buy on stop, okay? Or | ||
8272 | |||
8273 | 2069 | ||
8274 | 01:28:19,110 ~-~-> 01:28:20,310 | ||
8275 | they're gonna be looking to wait for | ||
8276 | |||
8277 | 2070 | ||
8278 | 01:28:20,310 ~-~-> 01:28:22,470 | ||
8279 | price to break out like it does here, | ||
8280 | |||
8281 | 2071 | ||
8282 | 01:28:22,560 ~-~-> 01:28:24,540 | ||
8283 | and then there'll be a buyer. Well, you | ||
8284 | |||
8285 | 2072 | ||
8286 | 01:28:24,540 ~-~-> 01:28:27,270 | ||
8287 | as a trader, you view that as the | ||
8288 | |||
8289 | 2073 | ||
8290 | 01:28:27,270 ~-~-> 01:28:29,190 | ||
8291 | liquidity necessary for you to take the | ||
8292 | |||
8293 | 2074 | ||
8294 | 01:28:29,190 ~-~-> 01:28:31,260 | ||
8295 | other side of the trade. So as price | ||
8296 | |||
8297 | 2075 | ||
8298 | 01:28:31,260 ~-~-> 01:28:32,970 | ||
8299 | breaks above this high here and gives | ||
8300 | |||
8301 | 2076 | ||
8302 | 01:28:32,970 ~-~-> 01:28:34,950 | ||
8303 | you a turtle soup pattern, or false | ||
8304 | |||
8305 | 2077 | ||
8306 | 01:28:34,950 ~-~-> 01:28:37,050 | ||
8307 | breakout, that's where you want to sell. | ||
8308 | |||
8309 | 2078 | ||
8310 | 01:28:37,080 ~-~-> 01:28:38,910 | ||
8311 | You do not want to view that as buying | ||
8312 | |||
8313 | 2079 | ||
8314 | 01:28:38,910 ~-~-> 01:28:41,010 | ||
8315 | strength. Users view that as a suspect | ||
8316 | |||
8317 | 2080 | ||
8318 | 01:28:41,010 ~-~-> 01:28:44,880 | ||
8319 | rally, sell it. Boom. It falls out of | ||
8320 | |||
8321 | 2081 | ||
8322 | 01:28:44,880 ~-~-> 01:28:49,260 | ||
8323 | bed. Okay. Now, the time of day for | ||
8324 | |||
8325 | 2082 | ||
8326 | 01:28:49,260 ~-~-> 01:28:54,420 | ||
8327 | this. Let's look at that. And this is on | ||
8328 | |||
8329 | 2083 | ||
8330 | 01:28:55,290 ~-~-> 01:29:00,840 | ||
8331 | August 5. This is yesterday. Still The | ||
8332 | |||
8333 | 2084 | ||
8334 | 01:29:03,060 ~-~-> 01:29:11,340 | ||
8335 | kill zones and zoom in. So August 5 | ||
8336 | |||
8337 | 2085 | ||
8338 | 01:29:13,140 ~-~-> 01:29:16,350 | ||
8339 | right in here so we have to beginning of | ||
8340 | |||
8341 | 2086 | ||
8342 | 01:29:16,350 ~-~-> 01:29:17,040 | ||
8343 | London | ||
8344 | |||
8345 | 2087 | ||
8346 | 01:29:23,100 ~-~-> 01:29:26,910 | ||
8347 | right here and it just your kills is a | ||
8348 | |||
8349 | 2088 | ||
8350 | 01:29:26,910 ~-~-> 01:29:29,400 | ||
8351 | little just a little late here, which is | ||
8352 | |||
8353 | 2089 | ||
8354 | 01:29:29,400 ~-~-> 01:29:33,210 | ||
8355 | reason why we like to use the buffer. I | ||
8356 | |||
8357 | 2090 | ||
8358 | 01:29:33,210 ~-~-> 01:29:34,710 | ||
8359 | know that sounds like I'm always trying | ||
8360 | |||
8361 | 2091 | ||
8362 | 01:29:34,710 ~-~-> 01:29:37,320 | ||
8363 | to you know, form fit these these | ||
8364 | |||
8365 | 2092 | ||
8366 | 01:29:37,350 ~-~-> 01:29:41,970 | ||
8367 | results but 60 empty, okay is one in the | ||
8368 | |||
8369 | 2093 | ||
8370 | 01:29:41,970 ~-~-> 01:29:45,660 | ||
8371 | moves can occur as early as one or 60 | ||
8372 | |||
8373 | 2094 | ||
8374 | 01:29:45,660 ~-~-> 01:29:48,900 | ||
8375 | empty. Having that mind again and these | ||
8376 | |||
8377 | 2095 | ||
8378 | 01:29:48,900 ~-~-> 01:29:51,540 | ||
8379 | are all in your notes. Okay, that's the | ||
8380 | |||
8381 | 2096 | ||
8382 | 01:29:51,540 ~-~-> 01:29:53,760 | ||
8383 | high right there at 60 empty or one in | ||
8384 | |||
8385 | 2097 | ||
8386 | 01:29:53,790 ~-~-> 01:29:57,420 | ||
8387 | New York time. The false breakout trade | ||
8388 | |||
8389 | 2098 | ||
8390 | 01:29:57,420 ~-~-> 01:29:59,430 | ||
8391 | lower which is the reason why I tell you | ||
8392 | |||
8393 | 2099 | ||
8394 | 01:29:59,430 ~-~-> 01:30:03,150 | ||
8395 | guys always I'm usually up between 1215 | ||
8396 | |||
8397 | 2100 | ||
8398 | 01:30:03,180 ~-~-> 01:30:05,310 | ||
8399 | and 1am. My time and I'm looking for | ||
8400 | |||
8401 | 2101 | ||
8402 | 01:30:05,310 ~-~-> 01:30:08,580 | ||
8403 | London setups based on what I see, you | ||
8404 | |||
8405 | 2102 | ||
8406 | 01:30:08,580 ~-~-> 01:30:11,370 | ||
8407 | know, on the charts around that time. If | ||
8408 | |||
8409 | 2103 | ||
8410 | 01:30:11,370 ~-~-> 01:30:14,220 | ||
8411 | you looked at what we discussed in | ||
8412 | |||
8413 | 2104 | ||
8414 | 01:30:14,220 ~-~-> 01:30:16,110 | ||
8415 | relationship to midnight, here's five | ||
8416 | |||
8417 | 2105 | ||
8418 | 01:30:16,110 ~-~-> 01:30:18,870 | ||
8419 | GMT, this little move here, that's all | ||
8420 | |||
8421 | 2106 | ||
8422 | 01:30:18,870 ~-~-> 01:30:20,910 | ||
8423 | it's necessary. Okay, so I get question | ||
8424 | |||
8425 | 2107 | ||
8426 | 01:30:20,910 ~-~-> 01:30:22,230 | ||
8427 | all the time. Okay, well how much of a | ||
8428 | |||
8429 | 2108 | ||
8430 | 01:30:22,230 ~-~-> 01:30:24,510 | ||
8431 | Judas swing do you need? Well, it | ||
8432 | |||
8433 | 2109 | ||
8434 | 01:30:24,510 ~-~-> 01:30:26,220 | ||
8435 | depends on what you have on your chart. | ||
8436 | |||
8437 | 2110 | ||
8438 | 01:30:26,670 ~-~-> 01:30:29,400 | ||
8439 | And I'm not trying to blow off your your | ||
8440 | |||
8441 | 2111 | ||
8442 | 01:30:29,400 ~-~-> 01:30:31,470 | ||
8443 | question it really is that just that | ||
8444 | |||
8445 | 2112 | ||
8446 | 01:30:31,470 ~-~-> 01:30:33,150 | ||
8447 | simple. There's a lot of other framework | ||
8448 | |||
8449 | 2113 | ||
8450 | 01:30:33,150 ~-~-> 01:30:34,530 | ||
8451 | you have to take into consideration like | ||
8452 | |||
8453 | 2114 | ||
8454 | 01:30:34,530 ~-~-> 01:30:36,540 | ||
8455 | we have over here, this look too good | ||
8456 | |||
8457 | 2115 | ||
8458 | 01:30:36,540 ~-~-> 01:30:39,180 | ||
8459 | like a bull flag. And a lot of | ||
8460 | |||
8461 | 2116 | ||
8462 | 01:30:39,180 ~-~-> 01:30:40,560 | ||
8463 | participants are going to be looking to | ||
8464 | |||
8465 | 2117 | ||
8466 | 01:30:40,620 ~-~-> 01:30:42,600 | ||
8467 | you know, try to be expecting this thing | ||
8468 | |||
8469 | 2118 | ||
8470 | 01:30:42,600 ~-~-> 01:30:45,150 | ||
8471 | go higher. Also, you got these guys that | ||
8472 | |||
8473 | 2119 | ||
8474 | 01:30:45,150 ~-~-> 01:30:48,180 | ||
8475 | broke out on on the downside. price went | ||
8476 | |||
8477 | 2120 | ||
8478 | 01:30:48,240 ~-~-> 01:30:50,670 | ||
8479 | lower, okay, their own their own cell | ||
8480 | |||
8481 | 2121 | ||
8482 | 01:30:50,670 ~-~-> 01:30:51,930 | ||
8483 | size and now how they're gonna protect | ||
8484 | |||
8485 | 2122 | ||
8486 | 01:30:51,930 ~-~-> 01:30:53,910 | ||
8487 | their position. Okay, they're going to | ||
8488 | |||
8489 | 2123 | ||
8490 | 01:30:53,910 ~-~-> 01:30:55,980 | ||
8491 | be putting a stop loss more is the stock | ||
8492 | |||
8493 | 2124 | ||
8494 | 01:30:55,980 ~-~-> 01:30:57,240 | ||
8495 | going to be right above the previous | ||
8496 | |||
8497 | 2125 | ||
8498 | 01:30:57,240 ~-~-> 01:31:01,410 | ||
8499 | little high right in here? Well, When | ||
8500 | |||
8501 | 2126 | ||
8502 | 01:31:01,410 ~-~-> 01:31:02,970 | ||
8503 | you look at price like this, you're | ||
8504 | |||
8505 | 2127 | ||
8506 | 01:31:02,970 ~-~-> 01:31:05,280 | ||
8507 | thinking exactly how the market makers | ||
8508 | |||
8509 | 2128 | ||
8510 | 01:31:05,280 ~-~-> 01:31:07,620 | ||
8511 | think you're not looking at a retail | ||
8512 | |||
8513 | 2129 | ||
8514 | 01:31:07,950 ~-~-> 01:31:09,450 | ||
8515 | perspective, you're looking at how the | ||
8516 | |||
8517 | 2130 | ||
8518 | 01:31:09,450 ~-~-> 01:31:12,960 | ||
8519 | market is traded in the eyes of a of a | ||
8520 | |||
8521 | 2131 | ||
8522 | 01:31:12,960 ~-~-> 01:31:15,840 | ||
8523 | dealer or a market maker. Your stocks | ||
8524 | |||
8525 | 2132 | ||
8526 | 01:31:15,840 ~-~-> 01:31:17,010 | ||
8527 | gonna be right above here, if you're a | ||
8528 | |||
8529 | 2133 | ||
8530 | 01:31:17,010 ~-~-> 01:31:19,710 | ||
8531 | seller. They come right back and take | ||
8532 | |||
8533 | 2134 | ||
8534 | 01:31:19,710 ~-~-> 01:31:23,190 | ||
8535 | these guys out. Okay? So they neutralize | ||
8536 | |||
8537 | 2135 | ||
8538 | 01:31:23,220 ~-~-> 01:31:25,020 | ||
8539 | any hopes of the bulls that use these | ||
8540 | |||
8541 | 2136 | ||
8542 | 01:31:25,020 ~-~-> 01:31:27,900 | ||
8543 | bull flag patterns. They neutralize the | ||
8544 | |||
8545 | 2137 | ||
8546 | 01:31:28,020 ~-~-> 01:31:29,880 | ||
8547 | participants that have been net short, | ||
8548 | |||
8549 | 2138 | ||
8550 | 01:31:29,880 ~-~-> 01:31:32,640 | ||
8551 | that would be profiting over here. But | ||
8552 | |||
8553 | 2139 | ||
8554 | 01:31:32,640 ~-~-> 01:31:33,870 | ||
8555 | they don't want those individuals being | ||
8556 | |||
8557 | 2140 | ||
8558 | 01:31:33,870 ~-~-> 01:31:36,600 | ||
8559 | profitable. They take the stops out over | ||
8560 | |||
8561 | 2141 | ||
8562 | 01:31:36,600 ~-~-> 01:31:37,980 | ||
8563 | here, because there's tablets gonna be | ||
8564 | |||
8565 | 2142 | ||
8566 | 01:31:37,980 ~-~-> 01:31:40,770 | ||
8567 | above here. Boom, right above it right | ||
8568 | |||
8569 | 2143 | ||
8570 | 01:31:40,770 ~-~-> 01:31:43,080 | ||
8571 | above the Asian range high. This whole | ||
8572 | |||
8573 | 2144 | ||
8574 | 01:31:43,080 ~-~-> 01:31:45,210 | ||
8575 | little box here is Asian range. So if | ||
8576 | |||
8577 | 2145 | ||
8578 | 01:31:45,210 ~-~-> 01:31:48,000 | ||
8579 | you understand that, you'll know that | ||
8580 | |||
8581 | 2146 | ||
8582 | 01:31:51,000 ~-~-> 01:31:53,490 | ||
8583 | did me make sure I'm telling you it's | ||
8584 | |||
8585 | 2147 | ||
8586 | 01:31:53,520 ~-~-> 01:31:55,170 | ||
8587 | true. I don't want you to, I don't want | ||
8588 | |||
8589 | 2148 | ||
8590 | 01:31:55,170 ~-~-> 01:31:56,460 | ||
8591 | you to think as Asian range and it may | ||
8592 | |||
8593 | 2149 | ||
8594 | 01:31:56,460 ~-~-> 01:32:00,750 | ||
8595 | be C. Central my dealing range Yeah, | ||
8596 | |||
8597 | 2150 | ||
8598 | 01:32:00,750 ~-~-> 01:32:02,820 | ||
8599 | it's Asian range, okay CR GMT. This is | ||
8600 | |||
8601 | 2151 | ||
8602 | 01:32:02,820 ~-~-> 01:32:05,430 | ||
8603 | Asian range, price talks about the Asian | ||
8604 | |||
8605 | 2152 | ||
8606 | 01:32:05,430 ~-~-> 01:32:08,220 | ||
8607 | range high and an old intraday high and | ||
8608 | |||
8609 | 2153 | ||
8610 | 01:32:08,310 ~-~-> 01:32:11,640 | ||
8611 | rejects quickly trades lower. So that's | ||
8612 | |||
8613 | 2154 | ||
8614 | 01:32:11,670 ~-~-> 01:32:13,680 | ||
8615 | uh, you know, that's the pattern. It's | ||
8616 | |||
8617 | 2155 | ||
8618 | 01:32:13,800 ~-~-> 01:32:15,450 | ||
8619 | there. It's you have your turtle soup | ||
8620 | |||
8621 | 2156 | ||
8622 | 01:32:15,450 ~-~-> 01:32:16,320 | ||
8623 | and you also have your | ||
8624 | |||
8625 | 2157 | ||
8626 | 01:32:22,859 ~-~-> 01:32:26,219 | ||
8627 | ot right here right to the PIP. Okay? So | ||
8628 | |||
8629 | 2158 | ||
8630 | 01:32:27,719 ~-~-> 01:32:30,779 | ||
8631 | that's a, that's what it looks like | ||
8632 | |||
8633 | 2159 | ||
8634 | 01:32:31,199 ~-~-> 01:32:35,279 | ||
8635 | going over both pairs and using the same | ||
8636 | |||
8637 | 2160 | ||
8638 | 01:32:35,279 ~-~-> 01:32:39,449 | ||
8639 | context that we use for let's get this | ||
8640 | |||
8641 | 2161 | ||
8642 | 01:32:39,449 ~-~-> 01:32:40,199 | ||
8643 | stuff off. | ||
8644 | |||
8645 | 2162 | ||
8646 | 01:32:54,390 ~-~-> 01:32:59,040 | ||
8647 | We have price trading. Here, we went | ||
8648 | |||
8649 | 2163 | ||
8650 | 01:32:59,220 ~-~-> 01:33:01,920 | ||
8651 | short here. So what do we use, we use | ||
8652 | |||
8653 | 2164 | ||
8654 | 01:33:02,040 ~-~-> 01:33:08,010 | ||
8655 | the swings. Okay, we have a couple | ||
8656 | |||
8657 | 2165 | ||
8658 | 01:33:08,010 ~-~-> 01:33:09,150 | ||
8659 | different reference points we can use, | ||
8660 | |||
8661 | 2166 | ||
8662 | 01:33:09,150 ~-~-> 01:33:10,710 | ||
8663 | we can use the smaller one here up to | ||
8664 | |||
8665 | 2167 | ||
8666 | 01:33:10,710 ~-~-> 01:33:14,580 | ||
8667 | the high. Okay, so you could be looking | ||
8668 | |||
8669 | 2168 | ||
8670 | 01:33:14,580 ~-~-> 01:33:15,690 | ||
8671 | to take profit down here on the 200 | ||
8672 | |||
8673 | 2169 | ||
8674 | 01:33:15,690 ~-~-> 01:33:17,550 | ||
8675 | extension, but there's nothing down here | ||
8676 | |||
8677 | 2170 | ||
8678 | 01:33:17,550 ~-~-> 01:33:19,320 | ||
8679 | lining out that. So if we're looking for | ||
8680 | |||
8681 | 2171 | ||
8682 | 01:33:19,320 ~-~-> 01:33:21,630 | ||
8683 | lower prices, you would be expecting | ||
8684 | |||
8685 | 2172 | ||
8686 | 01:33:21,630 ~-~-> 01:33:23,760 | ||
8687 | this load to be taken out, because | ||
8688 | |||
8689 | 2173 | ||
8690 | 01:33:23,760 ~-~-> 01:33:25,410 | ||
8691 | stocks will be residing on there as | ||
8692 | |||
8693 | 2174 | ||
8694 | 01:33:25,410 ~-~-> 01:33:27,840 | ||
8695 | well. So dealers will be more interested | ||
8696 | |||
8697 | 2175 | ||
8698 | 01:33:27,840 ~-~-> 01:33:29,070 | ||
8699 | in trying to get price to go underneath | ||
8700 | |||
8701 | 2176 | ||
8702 | 01:33:29,070 ~-~-> 01:33:31,590 | ||
8703 | that low. And should it go that point, | ||
8704 | |||
8705 | 2177 | ||
8706 | 01:33:31,890 ~-~-> 01:33:33,330 | ||
8707 | we'll be looking to take profits at | ||
8708 | |||
8709 | 2178 | ||
8710 | 01:33:33,960 ~-~-> 01:33:37,320 | ||
8711 | 127 162 or 200. Extension. You can see | ||
8712 | |||
8713 | 2179 | ||
8714 | 01:33:37,320 ~-~-> 01:33:39,240 | ||
8715 | price comes down to 127. Look at a nice | ||
8716 | |||
8717 | 2180 | ||
8718 | 01:33:39,240 ~-~-> 01:33:41,250 | ||
8719 | bounce that happens right there. And | ||
8720 | |||
8721 | 2181 | ||
8722 | 01:33:41,310 ~-~-> 01:33:42,810 | ||
8723 | later on gives you the buy scenario | ||
8724 | |||
8725 | 2182 | ||
8726 | 01:33:42,810 ~-~-> 01:33:43,860 | ||
8727 | here, which we're not going to teach | ||
8728 | |||
8729 | 2183 | ||
8730 | 01:33:43,860 ~-~-> 01:33:46,410 | ||
8731 | that here but it does violate this a | ||
8732 | |||
8733 | 2184 | ||
8734 | 01:33:46,410 ~-~-> 01:33:49,470 | ||
8735 | little bit within rallies up. If you | ||
8736 | |||
8737 | 2185 | ||
8738 | 01:33:49,470 ~-~-> 01:33:51,300 | ||
8739 | don't use this low here. You can use | ||
8740 | |||
8741 | 2186 | ||
8742 | 01:33:51,300 ~-~-> 01:33:56,010 | ||
8743 | this low here and write this in your | ||
8744 | |||
8745 | 2187 | ||
8746 | 01:33:56,010 ~-~-> 01:33:58,050 | ||
8747 | notes. There's no wrong way to take | ||
8748 | |||
8749 | 2188 | ||
8750 | 01:33:58,050 ~-~-> 01:34:01,860 | ||
8751 | profits. I'll say it again. There's no | ||
8752 | |||
8753 | 2189 | ||
8754 | 01:34:02,040 ~-~-> 01:34:06,060 | ||
8755 | incorrect way of taking profits. If you | ||
8756 | |||
8757 | 2190 | ||
8758 | 01:34:06,060 ~-~-> 01:34:08,310 | ||
8759 | make a profit, you are better than you | ||
8760 | |||
8761 | 2191 | ||
8762 | 01:34:08,310 ~-~-> 01:34:11,040 | ||
8763 | were before you took the trade. Period. | ||
8764 | |||
8765 | 2192 | ||
8766 | 01:34:11,550 ~-~-> 01:34:13,050 | ||
8767 | That's all you need to know. That's | ||
8768 | |||
8769 | 2193 | ||
8770 | 01:34:13,050 ~-~-> 01:34:14,880 | ||
8771 | That's it. That's, that's, that's all | ||
8772 | |||
8773 | 2194 | ||
8774 | 01:34:14,880 ~-~-> 01:34:19,200 | ||
8775 | there is. Okay. So now, if you use the | ||
8776 | |||
8777 | 2195 | ||
8778 | 01:34:19,200 ~-~-> 01:34:26,250 | ||
8779 | primary move here, okay, you can use the | ||
8780 | |||
8781 | 2196 | ||
8782 | 01:34:26,250 ~-~-> 01:34:28,350 | ||
8783 | 200 extension here, nails to the PIP. | ||
8784 | |||
8785 | 2197 | ||
8786 | 01:34:29,430 ~-~-> 01:34:32,400 | ||
8787 | One 162, extension and 127. They're all | ||
8788 | |||
8789 | 2198 | ||
8790 | 01:34:32,400 ~-~-> 01:34:35,100 | ||
8791 | respectable levels. Okay, using the | ||
8792 | |||
8793 | 2199 | ||
8794 | 01:34:35,100 ~-~-> 01:34:37,650 | ||
8795 | entry point, that's a, that's what I | ||
8796 | |||
8797 | 2200 | ||
8798 | 01:34:37,650 ~-~-> 01:34:39,540 | ||
8799 | like to use that if you're looking at | ||
8800 | |||
8801 | 2201 | ||
8802 | 01:34:39,540 ~-~-> 01:34:41,790 | ||
8803 | just pure market structure swings and | ||
8804 | |||
8805 | 2202 | ||
8806 | 01:34:41,790 ~-~-> 01:34:44,340 | ||
8807 | nothing else, you can use these classic | ||
8808 | |||
8809 | 2203 | ||
8810 | 01:34:44,340 ~-~-> 01:34:47,250 | ||
8811 | reference points. This low to high, you | ||
8812 | |||
8813 | 2204 | ||
8814 | 01:34:47,250 ~-~-> 01:34:51,480 | ||
8815 | get to 127 and 162. Okay, so I'm adding | ||
8816 | |||
8817 | 2205 | ||
8818 | 01:34:51,480 ~-~-> 01:34:53,010 | ||
8819 | both of them. I know some of you guys | ||
8820 | |||
8821 | 2206 | ||
8822 | 01:34:53,010 ~-~-> 01:34:54,030 | ||
8823 | are looking at this. Oh, that's not how | ||
8824 | |||
8825 | 2207 | ||
8826 | 01:34:54,030 ~-~-> 01:34:55,920 | ||
8827 | you know, you're right. That's not how | ||
8828 | |||
8829 | 2208 | ||
8830 | 01:34:55,920 ~-~-> 01:34:58,260 | ||
8831 | they do it. This is how I do it. This is | ||
8832 | |||
8833 | 2209 | ||
8834 | 01:34:58,260 ~-~-> 01:34:59,700 | ||
8835 | how everyone else does it. They use a | ||
8836 | |||
8837 | 2210 | ||
8838 | 01:34:59,730 ~-~-> 01:35:01,590 | ||
8839 | lot. to high in any final levels, that's | ||
8840 | |||
8841 | 2211 | ||
8842 | 01:35:01,590 ~-~-> 01:35:04,050 | ||
8843 | fine. Okay, but there's gonna be a lot | ||
8844 | |||
8845 | 2212 | ||
8846 | 01:35:04,050 ~-~-> 01:35:06,060 | ||
8847 | of other targets that dude classical | ||
8848 | |||
8849 | 2213 | ||
8850 | 01:35:06,060 ~-~-> 01:35:08,010 | ||
8851 | application of fibs will never line up | ||
8852 | |||
8853 | 2214 | ||
8854 | 01:35:08,010 ~-~-> 01:35:09,120 | ||
8855 | with but you'll see me doing it in | ||
8856 | |||
8857 | 2215 | ||
8858 | 01:35:09,120 ~-~-> 01:35:12,630 | ||
8859 | videos and mine will be surgical in | ||
8860 | |||
8861 | 2216 | ||
8862 | 01:35:12,630 ~-~-> 01:35:14,430 | ||
8863 | precision and the other ones sometimes | ||
8864 | |||
8865 | 2217 | ||
8866 | 01:35:14,430 ~-~-> 01:35:16,770 | ||
8867 | don't get met. And you have this low to | ||
8868 | |||
8869 | 2218 | ||
8870 | 01:35:16,770 ~-~-> 01:35:19,320 | ||
8871 | high as well. And you have to 127 Okay, | ||
8872 | |||
8873 | 2219 | ||
8874 | 01:35:19,320 ~-~-> 01:35:22,230 | ||
8875 | so you look for a confluence of a lot of | ||
8876 | |||
8877 | 2220 | ||
8878 | 01:35:22,290 ~-~-> 01:35:25,620 | ||
8879 | levels lining up and old support | ||
8880 | |||
8881 | 2221 | ||
8882 | 01:35:25,620 ~-~-> 01:35:27,240 | ||
8883 | resistance levels then you'll you'll see | ||
8884 | |||
8885 | 2222 | ||
8886 | 01:35:27,240 ~-~-> 01:35:31,050 | ||
8887 | a lot more reasons to recover at those | ||
8888 | |||
8889 | 2223 | ||
8890 | 01:35:31,050 ~-~-> 01:35:32,700 | ||
8891 | levels not to simply Hey, you know, I | ||
8892 | |||
8893 | 2224 | ||
8894 | 01:35:32,700 ~-~-> 01:35:34,440 | ||
8895 | made 20 pips let me get out. If you do | ||
8896 | |||
8897 | 2225 | ||
8898 | 01:35:34,440 ~-~-> 01:35:36,090 | ||
8899 | that and you're learning trader, you're | ||
8900 | |||
8901 | 2226 | ||
8902 | 01:35:36,090 ~-~-> 01:35:37,470 | ||
8903 | going to leave a lot of money on the | ||
8904 | |||
8905 | 2227 | ||
8906 | 01:35:37,470 ~-~-> 01:35:39,120 | ||
8907 | table, and there's really no reason for | ||
8908 | |||
8909 | 2228 | ||
8910 | 01:35:39,120 ~-~-> 01:35:40,920 | ||
8911 | that. One of the late greatest lessons I | ||
8912 | |||
8913 | 2229 | ||
8914 | 01:35:40,920 ~-~-> 01:35:43,650 | ||
8915 | learned from Larry Williams was the best | ||
8916 | |||
8917 | 2230 | ||
8918 | 01:35:43,650 ~-~-> 01:35:46,710 | ||
8919 | way to make money is hold to close. And | ||
8920 | |||
8921 | 2231 | ||
8922 | 01:35:46,710 ~-~-> 01:35:49,890 | ||
8923 | I did that as s&p trader and a bond | ||
8924 | |||
8925 | 2232 | ||
8926 | 01:35:49,890 ~-~-> 01:35:51,060 | ||
8927 | trader once day trading the futures | ||
8928 | |||
8929 | 2233 | ||
8930 | 01:35:51,060 ~-~-> 01:35:53,250 | ||
8931 | market. And it's absolutely true. I | ||
8932 | |||
8933 | 2234 | ||
8934 | 01:35:53,250 ~-~-> 01:35:54,630 | ||
8935 | mean, you leave a lot of money on the | ||
8936 | |||
8937 | 2235 | ||
8938 | 01:35:54,630 ~-~-> 01:35:55,980 | ||
8939 | table if you're just scalping and taking | ||
8940 | |||
8941 | 2236 | ||
8942 | 01:35:55,980 ~-~-> 01:35:57,240 | ||
8943 | couple pips and saying, okay, I want to | ||
8944 | |||
8945 | 2237 | ||
8946 | 01:35:57,240 ~-~-> 01:36:04,530 | ||
8947 | make my living on So, let's scroll | ||
8948 | |||
8949 | 2238 | ||
8950 | 01:36:04,530 ~-~-> 01:36:05,790 | ||
8951 | forward a little bit here. This is where | ||
8952 | |||
8953 | 2239 | ||
8954 | 01:36:05,790 ~-~-> 01:36:08,970 | ||
8955 | we're at intraday today. It's kind of | ||
8956 | |||
8957 | 2240 | ||
8958 | 01:36:08,970 ~-~-> 01:36:10,470 | ||
8959 | ugly if you look at really what's going | ||
8960 | |||
8961 | 2241 | ||
8962 | 01:36:10,470 ~-~-> 01:36:16,860 | ||
8963 | on yesterday as well. The the idea of | ||
8964 | |||
8965 | 2242 | ||
8966 | 01:36:16,860 ~-~-> 01:36:21,390 | ||
8967 | incorporating directional premise when | ||
8968 | |||
8969 | 2243 | ||
8970 | 01:36:21,390 ~-~-> 01:36:23,790 | ||
8971 | we have an area like this, okay, I'm | ||
8972 | |||
8973 | 2244 | ||
8974 | 01:36:23,790 ~-~-> 01:36:28,230 | ||
8975 | going to pull up another US dollar and | ||
8976 | |||
8977 | 2245 | ||
8978 | 01:36:28,230 ~-~-> 01:36:33,450 | ||
8979 | we're going to do the averages on a | ||
8980 | |||
8981 | 2246 | ||
8982 | 01:36:33,450 ~-~-> 01:36:41,610 | ||
8983 | daily chart. Okay, so we have a cross, | ||
8984 | |||
8985 | 2247 | ||
8986 | 01:36:41,940 ~-~-> 01:36:44,820 | ||
8987 | the 18 and 40. And he starts stalking | ||
8988 | |||
8989 | 2248 | ||
8990 | 01:36:44,850 ~-~-> 01:36:46,260 | ||
8991 | right here. This is a really good time. | ||
8992 | |||
8993 | 2249 | ||
8994 | 01:36:46,260 ~-~-> 01:36:51,090 | ||
8995 | So this actually occurs on July 21. So | ||
8996 | |||
8997 | 2250 | ||
8998 | 01:36:51,090 ~-~-> 01:36:53,220 | ||
8999 | we are in a really clear, | ||
9000 | |||
9001 | 2251 | ||
9002 | 01:36:53,640 ~-~-> 01:36:56,130 | ||
9003 | institutionally sponsored bull move on | ||
9004 | |||
9005 | 2252 | ||
9006 | 01:36:56,130 ~-~-> 01:36:59,340 | ||
9007 | the dollar. So that is going to be a | ||
9008 | |||
9009 | 2253 | ||
9010 | 01:36:59,340 ~-~-> 01:37:01,830 | ||
9011 | precursor To looking for cell scenarios | ||
9012 | |||
9013 | 2254 | ||
9014 | 01:37:01,860 ~-~-> 01:37:03,900 | ||
9015 | in firing cable, so remember this date, | ||
9016 | |||
9017 | 2255 | ||
9018 | 01:37:04,860 ~-~-> 01:37:10,170 | ||
9019 | July 21 2014. Now we go over to cable | ||
9020 | |||
9021 | 2256 | ||
9022 | 01:37:11,280 ~-~-> 01:37:14,640 | ||
9023 | and scope here like this one. And we're | ||
9024 | |||
9025 | 2257 | ||
9026 | 01:37:14,640 ~-~-> 01:37:19,560 | ||
9027 | going to apply same thing. Well, that's | ||
9028 | |||
9029 | 2258 | ||
9030 | 01:37:19,560 ~-~-> 01:37:20,400 | ||
9031 | not what I wanted to do. | ||
9032 | |||
9033 | 2259 | ||
9034 | 01:37:25,620 ~-~-> 01:37:30,750 | ||
9035 | Okay, so we have assuming we have a | ||
9036 | |||
9037 | 2260 | ||
9038 | 01:37:30,750 ~-~-> 01:37:37,410 | ||
9039 | delay in the crossover here until What | ||
9040 | |||
9041 | 2261 | ||
9042 | 01:37:37,410 ~-~-> 01:37:40,050 | ||
9043 | day is this? The 21st so we're looking | ||
9044 | |||
9045 | 2262 | ||
9046 | 01:37:40,050 ~-~-> 01:37:44,850 | ||
9047 | at 10 days later. Before we see the the | ||
9048 | |||
9049 | 2263 | ||
9050 | 01:37:45,270 ~-~-> 01:37:47,400 | ||
9051 | same thing occurring in cable in terms | ||
9052 | |||
9053 | 2264 | ||
9054 | 01:37:47,400 ~-~-> 01:37:49,620 | ||
9055 | of using using the moving averages. Now | ||
9056 | |||
9057 | 2265 | ||
9058 | 01:37:49,650 ~-~-> 01:37:52,200 | ||
9059 | that's for looking for swing trades, | ||
9060 | |||
9061 | 2266 | ||
9062 | 01:37:52,350 ~-~-> 01:37:55,200 | ||
9063 | okay. 18 and 40 is used for swing trades | ||
9064 | |||
9065 | 2267 | ||
9066 | 01:37:55,200 ~-~-> 01:37:57,330 | ||
9067 | or short term trades, the way we look | ||
9068 | |||
9069 | 2268 | ||
9070 | 01:37:57,330 ~-~-> 01:38:00,810 | ||
9071 | for day trades for for looking for Short | ||
9072 | |||
9073 | 2269 | ||
9074 | 01:38:00,810 ~-~-> 01:38:03,780 | ||
9075 | term, directional premise driven biased, | ||
9076 | |||
9077 | 2270 | ||
9078 | 01:38:04,410 ~-~-> 01:38:05,430 | ||
9079 | intraday trades. | ||
9080 | |||
9081 | 2271 | ||
9082 | 01:38:06,810 ~-~-> 01:38:09,990 | ||
9083 | We use 918. Okay 918 on a daily chart | ||
9084 | |||
9085 | 2272 | ||
9086 | 01:38:10,020 ~-~-> 01:38:12,510 | ||
9087 | gives us the buy model and sell model. | ||
9088 | |||
9089 | 2273 | ||
9090 | 01:38:12,840 ~-~-> 01:38:13,920 | ||
9091 | When it crossed, everything starts | ||
9092 | |||
9093 | 2274 | ||
9094 | 01:38:13,920 ~-~-> 01:38:16,260 | ||
9095 | stacking, you're in a buy mode, look for | ||
9096 | |||
9097 | 2275 | ||
9098 | 01:38:16,470 ~-~-> 01:38:18,780 | ||
9099 | open down moves in London by the London | ||
9100 | |||
9101 | 2276 | ||
9102 | 01:38:18,780 ~-~-> 01:38:21,510 | ||
9103 | open, wait for a higher close in London | ||
9104 | |||
9105 | 2277 | ||
9106 | 01:38:21,510 ~-~-> 01:38:24,330 | ||
9107 | close timeframe and that's how it works. | ||
9108 | |||
9109 | 2278 | ||
9110 | 01:38:24,390 ~-~-> 01:38:25,920 | ||
9111 | Okay if you're in New York trader you | ||
9112 | |||
9113 | 2279 | ||
9114 | 01:38:25,920 ~-~-> 01:38:28,830 | ||
9115 | look for that environment to occur wake | ||
9116 | |||
9117 | 2280 | ||
9118 | 01:38:28,830 ~-~-> 01:38:32,400 | ||
9119 | up in New York opening and get your | ||
9120 | |||
9121 | 2281 | ||
9122 | 01:38:32,400 ~-~-> 01:38:33,690 | ||
9123 | coffee get your doughnuts or wherever | ||
9124 | |||
9125 | 2282 | ||
9126 | 01:38:33,690 ~-~-> 01:38:36,090 | ||
9127 | you gonna be new stuff in your face not | ||
9128 | |||
9129 | 2283 | ||
9130 | 01:38:36,390 ~-~-> 01:38:38,640 | ||
9131 | advocate eating donuts but whatever you | ||
9132 | |||
9133 | 2284 | ||
9134 | 01:38:38,640 ~-~-> 01:38:40,650 | ||
9135 | do to yourself prepare for trading. What | ||
9136 | |||
9137 | 2285 | ||
9138 | 01:38:40,650 ~-~-> 01:38:41,640 | ||
9139 | you want to look for if you're in New | ||
9140 | |||
9141 | 2286 | ||
9142 | 01:38:41,640 ~-~-> 01:38:43,440 | ||
9143 | York trader is if you're in this | ||
9144 | |||
9145 | 2287 | ||
9146 | 01:38:43,440 ~-~-> 01:38:46,470 | ||
9147 | environment like this, London should | ||
9148 | |||
9149 | 2288 | ||
9150 | 01:38:46,470 ~-~-> 01:38:47,820 | ||
9151 | have made the low of the day and then | ||
9152 | |||
9153 | 2289 | ||
9154 | 01:38:47,820 ~-~-> 01:38:48,840 | ||
9155 | what'll happen is you'll see a minor | ||
9156 | |||
9157 | 2290 | ||
9158 | 01:38:48,840 ~-~-> 01:38:51,180 | ||
9159 | little retracement in New York open and | ||
9160 | |||
9161 | 2291 | ||
9162 | 01:38:51,180 ~-~-> 01:38:53,790 | ||
9163 | then it'll continue on and trading into | ||
9164 | |||
9165 | 2292 | ||
9166 | 01:38:53,790 ~-~-> 01:38:56,730 | ||
9167 | a higher close for when the clothes the | ||
9168 | |||
9169 | 2293 | ||
9170 | 01:38:56,730 ~-~-> 01:38:59,340 | ||
9171 | reverse is said for the moose. Once you | ||
9172 | |||
9173 | 2294 | ||
9174 | 01:38:59,340 ~-~-> 01:39:01,410 | ||
9175 | have the average score Lower here. Now | ||
9176 | |||
9177 | 2295 | ||
9178 | 01:39:01,980 ~-~-> 01:39:03,900 | ||
9179 | we have the averages crossing here and | ||
9180 | |||
9181 | 2296 | ||
9182 | 01:39:03,900 ~-~-> 01:39:06,960 | ||
9183 | this day is July 23. Now we're very | ||
9184 | |||
9185 | 2297 | ||
9186 | 01:39:06,960 ~-~-> 01:39:11,610 | ||
9187 | close now to seeing that 21st in July | ||
9188 | |||
9189 | 2298 | ||
9190 | 01:39:11,760 ~-~-> 01:39:14,250 | ||
9191 | when we saw the bullish move underway in | ||
9192 | |||
9193 | 2299 | ||
9194 | 01:39:14,250 ~-~-> 01:39:16,560 | ||
9195 | $1 See that? Okay right in here I'm just | ||
9196 | |||
9197 | 2300 | ||
9198 | 01:39:16,560 ~-~-> 01:39:18,120 | ||
9199 | using this little retracement here as a | ||
9200 | |||
9201 | 2301 | ||
9202 | 01:39:18,120 ~-~-> 01:39:19,680 | ||
9203 | reference point because I don't want to | ||
9204 | |||
9205 | 2302 | ||
9206 | 01:39:19,680 ~-~-> 01:39:21,090 | ||
9207 | chase price I'm gonna see some sort of a | ||
9208 | |||
9209 | 2303 | ||
9210 | 01:39:21,090 ~-~-> 01:39:25,350 | ||
9211 | retracement that happening in here Okay, | ||
9212 | |||
9213 | 2304 | ||
9214 | 01:39:25,350 ~-~-> 01:39:30,630 | ||
9215 | we see price on the 23rd in here. So we | ||
9216 | |||
9217 | 2305 | ||
9218 | 01:39:30,630 ~-~-> 01:39:32,010 | ||
9219 | have a little bit of a retracement here | ||
9220 | |||
9221 | 2306 | ||
9222 | 01:39:32,010 ~-~-> 01:39:35,100 | ||
9223 | and then crossing so when this day here | ||
9224 | |||
9225 | 2307 | ||
9226 | 01:39:35,100 ~-~-> 01:39:38,160 | ||
9227 | begins to sell program for looking for | ||
9228 | |||
9229 | 2308 | ||
9230 | 01:39:38,190 ~-~-> 01:39:40,560 | ||
9231 | down moves in the British Pound USD or | ||
9232 | |||
9233 | 2309 | ||
9234 | 01:39:40,560 ~-~-> 01:39:44,010 | ||
9235 | cable. Now that in mind, okay, we're | ||
9236 | |||
9237 | 2310 | ||
9238 | 01:39:44,010 ~-~-> 01:39:46,290 | ||
9239 | looking at candlesticks, candlesticks | ||
9240 | |||
9241 | 2311 | ||
9242 | 01:39:46,290 ~-~-> 01:39:48,360 | ||
9243 | are great, easy on the eye. But what I | ||
9244 | |||
9245 | 2312 | ||
9246 | 01:39:48,360 ~-~-> 01:39:51,060 | ||
9247 | really want you to pay attention to is | ||
9248 | |||
9249 | 2313 | ||
9250 | 01:39:51,090 ~-~-> 01:39:53,550 | ||
9251 | using the bar chart. So on this | ||
9252 | |||
9253 | 2314 | ||
9254 | 01:39:53,550 ~-~-> 01:39:55,620 | ||
9255 | timeframe now I want you to count the | ||
9256 | |||
9257 | 2315 | ||
9258 | 01:39:55,620 ~-~-> 01:39:58,410 | ||
9259 | level of or not not level but number of | ||
9260 | |||
9261 | 2316 | ||
9262 | 01:39:58,410 ~-~-> 01:39:59,970 | ||
9263 | days where we have open a rally in the | ||
9264 | |||
9265 | 2317 | ||
9266 | 01:40:00,000 ~-~-> 01:40:02,280 | ||
9267 | decline with a lower close. Okay, we | ||
9268 | |||
9269 | 2318 | ||
9270 | 01:40:02,280 ~-~-> 01:40:04,830 | ||
9271 | have it here. This is a Sunday unchanged | ||
9272 | |||
9273 | 2319 | ||
9274 | 01:40:04,830 ~-~-> 01:40:06,180 | ||
9275 | could have been losing day. We'll call | ||
9276 | |||
9277 | 2320 | ||
9278 | 01:40:06,180 ~-~-> 01:40:08,970 | ||
9279 | it a losing day. Open, rally, down, | ||
9280 | |||
9281 | 2321 | ||
9282 | 01:40:08,970 ~-~-> 01:40:10,860 | ||
9283 | close, open, rally down, close, open, | ||
9284 | |||
9285 | 2322 | ||
9286 | 01:40:10,860 ~-~-> 01:40:12,270 | ||
9287 | rally down close, open, rally down | ||
9288 | |||
9289 | 2323 | ||
9290 | 01:40:12,270 ~-~-> 01:40:14,820 | ||
9291 | close. Do you see what you've just done? | ||
9292 | |||
9293 | 2324 | ||
9294 | 01:40:15,240 ~-~-> 01:40:17,850 | ||
9295 | You've put yourself in the driver's seat | ||
9296 | |||
9297 | 2325 | ||
9298 | 01:40:18,570 ~-~-> 01:40:21,150 | ||
9299 | of a move that is completely out of your | ||
9300 | |||
9301 | 2326 | ||
9302 | 01:40:21,150 ~-~-> 01:40:23,880 | ||
9303 | hands, no control whatsoever. You can't | ||
9304 | |||
9305 | 2327 | ||
9306 | 01:40:23,880 ~-~-> 01:40:25,830 | ||
9307 | control price. But guess what you're | ||
9308 | |||
9309 | 2328 | ||
9310 | 01:40:25,830 ~-~-> 01:40:29,400 | ||
9311 | doing. You're riding right behind this | ||
9312 | |||
9313 | 2329 | ||
9314 | 01:40:29,400 ~-~-> 01:40:32,010 | ||
9315 | massive entity that we like to deem | ||
9316 | |||
9317 | 2330 | ||
9318 | 01:40:32,670 ~-~-> 01:40:34,980 | ||
9319 | smart money. No one else out there | ||
9320 | |||
9321 | 2331 | ||
9322 | 01:40:34,980 ~-~-> 01:40:38,370 | ||
9323 | really gets to the core of how to ride | ||
9324 | |||
9325 | 2332 | ||
9326 | 01:40:38,370 ~-~-> 01:40:39,600 | ||
9327 | their coattails. Well, you hear him? | ||
9328 | |||
9329 | 2333 | ||
9330 | 01:40:39,720 ~-~-> 01:40:41,190 | ||
9331 | They say, well, we were trying to ride. | ||
9332 | |||
9333 | 2334 | ||
9334 | 01:40:41,280 ~-~-> 01:40:42,660 | ||
9335 | We're trying to ride the coattails of | ||
9336 | |||
9337 | 2335 | ||
9338 | 01:40:42,660 ~-~-> 01:40:44,760 | ||
9339 | the smart money. Well, ICT tells you | ||
9340 | |||
9341 | 2336 | ||
9342 | 01:40:44,760 ~-~-> 01:40:46,830 | ||
9343 | exactly how to do that. It doesn't | ||
9344 | |||
9345 | 2337 | ||
9346 | 01:40:46,860 ~-~-> 01:40:49,260 | ||
9347 | provide you at every single day trade | ||
9348 | |||
9349 | 2338 | ||
9350 | 01:40:49,260 ~-~-> 01:40:50,820 | ||
9351 | opportunity. If you're focusing on one | ||
9352 | |||
9353 | 2339 | ||
9354 | 01:40:50,820 ~-~-> 01:40:53,580 | ||
9355 | pair. If you have a collaboration of | ||
9356 | |||
9357 | 2340 | ||
9358 | 01:40:53,880 ~-~-> 01:40:56,820 | ||
9359 | pairs, then yeah, you'll probably get a | ||
9360 | |||
9361 | 2341 | ||
9362 | 01:40:56,820 ~-~-> 01:40:59,010 | ||
9363 | trade every single day. Will you make 20 | ||
9364 | |||
9365 | 2342 | ||
9366 | 01:40:59,010 ~-~-> 01:41:00,570 | ||
9367 | pips every single day probably Why not? | ||
9368 | |||
9369 | 2343 | ||
9370 | 01:41:00,870 ~-~-> 01:41:03,840 | ||
9371 | Can you make 20 pips average every day? | ||
9372 | |||
9373 | 2344 | ||
9374 | 01:41:04,020 ~-~-> 01:41:06,780 | ||
9375 | If you do trading like this, you break | ||
9376 | |||
9377 | 2345 | ||
9378 | 01:41:06,780 ~-~-> 01:41:08,220 | ||
9379 | it down yeah sure because you'll be | ||
9380 | |||
9381 | 2346 | ||
9382 | 01:41:08,220 ~-~-> 01:41:11,370 | ||
9383 | making 90 pips one day 40 pips another | ||
9384 | |||
9385 | 2347 | ||
9386 | 01:41:11,580 ~-~-> 01:41:13,740 | ||
9387 | 250 pips another day and the average out | ||
9388 | |||
9389 | 2348 | ||
9390 | 01:41:13,740 ~-~-> 01:41:15,690 | ||
9391 | over 20 trading days you probably are | ||
9392 | |||
9393 | 2349 | ||
9394 | 01:41:15,690 ~-~-> 01:41:17,520 | ||
9395 | making 20 pips every single day and I do | ||
9396 | |||
9397 | 2350 | ||
9398 | 01:41:17,520 ~-~-> 01:41:19,080 | ||
9399 | that with my tongue in cheek, but that's | ||
9400 | |||
9401 | 2351 | ||
9402 | 01:41:19,080 ~-~-> 01:41:20,400 | ||
9403 | what I'm trying to say Don't think like | ||
9404 | |||
9405 | 2352 | ||
9406 | 01:41:20,400 ~-~-> 01:41:22,800 | ||
9407 | that don't have daily goals, okay, have | ||
9408 | |||
9409 | 2353 | ||
9410 | 01:41:22,800 ~-~-> 01:41:25,380 | ||
9411 | weekly goals. My weekly goal is anywhere | ||
9412 | |||
9413 | 2354 | ||
9414 | 01:41:25,380 ~-~-> 01:41:28,170 | ||
9415 | between 30 and 50 pips it used to be 75 | ||
9416 | |||
9417 | 2355 | ||
9418 | 01:41:28,170 ~-~-> 01:41:30,330 | ||
9419 | pips a day, I'm sorry a week when we had | ||
9420 | |||
9421 | 2356 | ||
9422 | 01:41:30,330 ~-~-> 01:41:32,460 | ||
9423 | bigger, larger ranges, but guess what? I | ||
9424 | |||
9425 | 2357 | ||
9426 | 01:41:32,460 ~-~-> 01:41:35,640 | ||
9427 | adapted to the market and I've reduced | ||
9428 | |||
9429 | 2358 | ||
9430 | 01:41:35,640 ~-~-> 01:41:38,070 | ||
9431 | it and I got comfortable now with 30 and | ||
9432 | |||
9433 | 2359 | ||
9434 | 01:41:38,070 ~-~-> 01:41:41,490 | ||
9435 | 50 pips, I can make more money than most | ||
9436 | |||
9437 | 2360 | ||
9438 | 01:41:41,550 ~-~-> 01:41:44,940 | ||
9439 | average Americans in the upper echelon, | ||
9440 | |||
9441 | 2361 | ||
9442 | 01:41:44,970 ~-~-> 01:41:47,820 | ||
9443 | okay, as you know, middle class, I can | ||
9444 | |||
9445 | 2362 | ||
9446 | 01:41:47,820 ~-~-> 01:41:49,920 | ||
9447 | do what they earn a year inside of a | ||
9448 | |||
9449 | 2363 | ||
9450 | 01:41:49,920 ~-~-> 01:41:52,800 | ||
9451 | month, and not even do more than 50 pips | ||
9452 | |||
9453 | 2364 | ||
9454 | 01:41:53,220 ~-~-> 01:41:56,940 | ||
9455 | a week. Not a day, a week. So I'm | ||
9456 | |||
9457 | 2365 | ||
9458 | 01:41:56,940 ~-~-> 01:41:58,440 | ||
9459 | comfortable having a whole lot of free | ||
9460 | |||
9461 | 2366 | ||
9462 | 01:41:58,440 ~-~-> 01:42:01,800 | ||
9463 | time doing one trade a week, I don't | ||
9464 | |||
9465 | 2367 | ||
9466 | 01:42:01,800 ~-~-> 01:42:03,420 | ||
9467 | need the money anymore. When you're | ||
9468 | |||
9469 | 2368 | ||
9470 | 01:42:03,420 ~-~-> 01:42:04,680 | ||
9471 | developing and you're and you're trying | ||
9472 | |||
9473 | 2369 | ||
9474 | 01:42:04,680 ~-~-> 01:42:05,940 | ||
9475 | to get to the point where you're, you're | ||
9476 | |||
9477 | 2370 | ||
9478 | 01:42:06,000 ~-~-> 01:42:08,520 | ||
9479 | living on your trading or when you don't | ||
9480 | |||
9481 | 2371 | ||
9482 | 01:42:08,550 ~-~-> 01:42:09,720 | ||
9483 | really need to trade anymore, which is | ||
9484 | |||
9485 | 2372 | ||
9486 | 01:42:09,720 ~-~-> 01:42:12,750 | ||
9487 | really where I'm at now. trading is fun | ||
9488 | |||
9489 | 2373 | ||
9490 | 01:42:12,750 ~-~-> 01:42:14,880 | ||
9491 | for me. But I like to obviously make | ||
9492 | |||
9493 | 2374 | ||
9494 | 01:42:14,880 ~-~-> 01:42:16,950 | ||
9495 | money too. But it's it's an interesting | ||
9496 | |||
9497 | 2375 | ||
9498 | 01:42:16,980 ~-~-> 01:42:20,280 | ||
9499 | way of living. And you all are pursuing | ||
9500 | |||
9501 | 2376 | ||
9502 | 01:42:20,280 ~-~-> 01:42:22,560 | ||
9503 | that, that lifestyle, the understand | ||
9504 | |||
9505 | 2377 | ||
9506 | 01:42:22,860 ~-~-> 01:42:25,890 | ||
9507 | that you are not going to have to do | ||
9508 | |||
9509 | 2378 | ||
9510 | 01:42:25,890 ~-~-> 01:42:28,560 | ||
9511 | that type of trading to do well. And | ||
9512 | |||
9513 | 2379 | ||
9514 | 01:42:28,560 ~-~-> 01:42:30,390 | ||
9515 | it's very important to understand that | ||
9516 | |||
9517 | 2380 | ||
9518 | 01:42:30,390 ~-~-> 01:42:32,010 | ||
9519 | because if you understand that, it | ||
9520 | |||
9521 | 2381 | ||
9522 | 01:42:32,010 ~-~-> 01:42:34,410 | ||
9523 | removes a whole lot of unnecessary | ||
9524 | |||
9525 | 2382 | ||
9526 | 01:42:34,410 ~-~-> 01:42:36,000 | ||
9527 | stress and pressure and I got to get it | ||
9528 | |||
9529 | 2383 | ||
9530 | 01:42:36,000 ~-~-> 01:42:38,430 | ||
9531 | done right now because I'm 49 years old, | ||
9532 | |||
9533 | 2384 | ||
9534 | 01:42:38,430 ~-~-> 01:42:40,620 | ||
9535 | and I gotta get my stuff paid off. If | ||
9536 | |||
9537 | 2385 | ||
9538 | 01:42:40,620 ~-~-> 01:42:41,820 | ||
9539 | you think like that, it's gonna be a | ||
9540 | |||
9541 | 2386 | ||
9542 | 01:42:41,820 ~-~-> 01:42:45,210 | ||
9543 | problem. So don't Okay. So now | ||
9544 | |||
9545 | 2387 | ||
9546 | 01:42:46,620 ~-~-> 01:42:48,540 | ||
9547 | we like to see that phenomenon take | ||
9548 | |||
9549 | 2388 | ||
9550 | 01:42:48,540 ~-~-> 01:42:51,060 | ||
9551 | place. So we know when July 21 we had a | ||
9552 | |||
9553 | 2389 | ||
9554 | 01:42:51,060 ~-~-> 01:42:54,900 | ||
9555 | sell program authorized by a rally up in | ||
9556 | |||
9557 | 2390 | ||
9558 | 01:42:54,900 ~-~-> 01:42:56,580 | ||
9559 | the dollar, similar words the averages | ||
9560 | |||
9561 | 2391 | ||
9562 | 01:42:56,790 ~-~-> 01:42:58,380 | ||
9563 | on the dollar on the daily chart, we're | ||
9564 | |||
9565 | 2392 | ||
9566 | 01:42:58,380 ~-~-> 01:43:00,690 | ||
9567 | opening and pointing up Which was seen | ||
9568 | |||
9569 | 2393 | ||
9570 | 01:43:00,690 ~-~-> 01:43:02,760 | ||
9571 | reverse here two days later on the | ||
9572 | |||
9573 | 2394 | ||
9574 | 01:43:02,760 ~-~-> 01:43:05,310 | ||
9575 | cable. So from here over to present, | ||
9576 | |||
9577 | 2395 | ||
9578 | 01:43:05,370 ~-~-> 01:43:07,680 | ||
9579 | this is what we have mapped out. So we | ||
9580 | |||
9581 | 2396 | ||
9582 | 01:43:07,680 ~-~-> 01:43:09,360 | ||
9583 | when we go down to a lower timeframe, | ||
9584 | |||
9585 | 2397 | ||
9586 | 01:43:09,720 ~-~-> 01:43:11,970 | ||
9587 | we're looking specifically for only | ||
9588 | |||
9589 | 2398 | ||
9590 | 01:43:11,970 ~-~-> 01:43:14,160 | ||
9591 | looking to sell not looking to buy. | ||
9592 | |||
9593 | 2399 | ||
9594 | 01:43:14,280 ~-~-> 01:43:15,780 | ||
9595 | Okay, can you make money buying? Sure | ||
9596 | |||
9597 | 2400 | ||
9598 | 01:43:15,780 ~-~-> 01:43:17,940 | ||
9599 | you can. I don't like that idea and I | ||
9600 | |||
9601 | 2401 | ||
9602 | 01:43:17,940 ~-~-> 01:43:18,990 | ||
9603 | think people that trade against | ||
9604 | |||
9605 | 2402 | ||
9606 | 01:43:18,990 ~-~-> 01:43:20,580 | ||
9607 | institution sponsors are absolutely | ||
9608 | |||
9609 | 2403 | ||
9610 | 01:43:20,580 ~-~-> 01:43:23,520 | ||
9611 | nuts. Okay. Sorry I just that's just the | ||
9612 | |||
9613 | 2404 | ||
9614 | 01:43:23,520 ~-~-> 01:43:25,410 | ||
9615 | way I feel. And the majority of the | ||
9616 | |||
9617 | 2405 | ||
9618 | 01:43:25,410 ~-~-> 01:43:27,150 | ||
9619 | money is being made when you're having | ||
9620 | |||
9621 | 2406 | ||
9622 | 01:43:27,150 ~-~-> 01:43:29,340 | ||
9623 | institutional flows behind you. Not | ||
9624 | |||
9625 | 2407 | ||
9626 | 01:43:29,460 ~-~-> 01:43:31,050 | ||
9627 | trading against it. Okay, I'm not gonna | ||
9628 | |||
9629 | 2408 | ||
9630 | 01:43:31,050 ~-~-> 01:43:32,880 | ||
9631 | arm wrestle ups. I'm just not going to | ||
9632 | |||
9633 | 2409 | ||
9634 | 01:43:32,880 ~-~-> 01:43:34,890 | ||
9635 | do it. So looking at where we're at here | ||
9636 | |||
9637 | 2410 | ||
9638 | 01:43:35,730 ~-~-> 01:43:38,430 | ||
9639 | is the down move self programming in the | ||
9640 | |||
9641 | 2411 | ||
9642 | 01:43:38,430 ~-~-> 01:43:40,800 | ||
9643 | charts. We go down one more level to | ||
9644 | |||
9645 | 2412 | ||
9646 | 01:43:40,830 ~-~-> 01:43:45,480 | ||
9647 | four hour Okay, and we move over to | ||
9648 | |||
9649 | 2413 | ||
9650 | 01:43:46,470 ~-~-> 01:43:51,360 | ||
9651 | present Okay, and when we have the | ||
9652 | |||
9653 | 2414 | ||
9654 | 01:43:51,360 ~-~-> 01:43:53,940 | ||
9655 | averages broken down on that as well, | ||
9656 | |||
9657 | 2415 | ||
9658 | 01:43:54,450 ~-~-> 01:43:56,850 | ||
9659 | because this is our intraday timeframe | ||
9660 | |||
9661 | 2416 | ||
9662 | 01:43:56,880 ~-~-> 01:43:59,280 | ||
9663 | for our okay for ours our intraday | ||
9664 | |||
9665 | 2417 | ||
9666 | 01:43:59,280 ~-~-> 01:44:00,900 | ||
9667 | timeframe. So when averages are going | ||
9668 | |||
9669 | 2418 | ||
9670 | 01:44:00,900 ~-~-> 01:44:03,840 | ||
9671 | lower, we have a green light, go look | ||
9672 | |||
9673 | 2419 | ||
9674 | 01:44:03,840 ~-~-> 01:44:07,620 | ||
9675 | for openings and Judas swings higher in | ||
9676 | |||
9677 | 2420 | ||
9678 | 01:44:07,620 ~-~-> 01:44:11,640 | ||
9679 | London sell into that. Also, if London | ||
9680 | |||
9681 | 2421 | ||
9682 | 01:44:11,640 ~-~-> 01:44:12,900 | ||
9683 | makes that high, we're going to talk | ||
9684 | |||
9685 | 2422 | ||
9686 | 01:44:12,900 ~-~-> 01:44:14,280 | ||
9687 | about New York in a second. But we're | ||
9688 | |||
9689 | 2423 | ||
9690 | 01:44:14,280 ~-~-> 01:44:15,660 | ||
9691 | going to look for the New York session, | ||
9692 | |||
9693 | 2424 | ||
9694 | 01:44:15,720 ~-~-> 01:44:17,490 | ||
9695 | Judas swing and how we incorporate that. | ||
9696 | |||
9697 | 2425 | ||
9698 | 01:44:17,760 ~-~-> 01:44:20,880 | ||
9699 | But right in here, okay, we have a very | ||
9700 | |||
9701 | 2426 | ||
9702 | 01:44:20,880 ~-~-> 01:44:23,760 | ||
9703 | nice indication of we're in sync with | ||
9704 | |||
9705 | 2427 | ||
9706 | 01:44:23,760 ~-~-> 01:44:26,160 | ||
9707 | the marketplace. And who's a marketplace | ||
9708 | |||
9709 | 2428 | ||
9710 | 01:44:26,190 ~-~-> 01:44:28,200 | ||
9711 | smart money. So now what we'll do is | ||
9712 | |||
9713 | 2429 | ||
9714 | 01:44:28,200 ~-~-> 01:44:33,630 | ||
9715 | we'll add our vertical lines delineating | ||
9716 | |||
9717 | 2430 | ||
9718 | 01:44:35,700 ~-~-> 01:44:37,080 | ||
9719 | the period separation and we're going to | ||
9720 | |||
9721 | 2431 | ||
9722 | 01:44:37,080 ~-~-> 01:44:43,050 | ||
9723 | go down to a 15 minute time frame. And | ||
9724 | |||
9725 | 2432 | ||
9726 | 01:44:43,050 ~-~-> 01:44:46,260 | ||
9727 | we're going to zoom out a little bit | ||
9728 | |||
9729 | 2433 | ||
9730 | 01:44:46,260 ~-~-> 01:44:50,670 | ||
9731 | more. Okay, from this point here to | ||
9732 | |||
9733 | 2434 | ||
9734 | 01:44:50,670 ~-~-> 01:44:52,530 | ||
9735 | present, okay, I want you to look at the | ||
9736 | |||
9737 | 2435 | ||
9738 | 01:44:52,530 ~-~-> 01:44:54,060 | ||
9739 | chart, and I want you to do this on your | ||
9740 | |||
9741 | 2436 | ||
9742 | 01:44:54,060 ~-~-> 01:44:55,590 | ||
9743 | own tracks. I'm not going to do every | ||
9744 | |||
9745 | 2437 | ||
9746 | 01:44:55,590 ~-~-> 01:44:59,880 | ||
9747 | single one. But once you get down to sub | ||
9748 | |||
9749 | 2438 | ||
9750 | 01:45:00,330 ~-~-> 01:45:02,100 | ||
9751 | For our you don't need a moving averages | ||
9752 | |||
9753 | 2439 | ||
9754 | 01:45:02,100 ~-~-> 01:45:03,330 | ||
9755 | anymore so you take the moving averages | ||
9756 | |||
9757 | 2440 | ||
9758 | 01:45:03,330 ~-~-> 01:45:04,800 | ||
9759 | off your charts because you don't want | ||
9760 | |||
9761 | 2441 | ||
9762 | 01:45:04,800 ~-~-> 01:45:06,510 | ||
9763 | to be paying any attention to it under | ||
9764 | |||
9765 | 2442 | ||
9766 | 01:45:06,510 ~-~-> 01:45:08,070 | ||
9767 | four hours. They don't mean anything to | ||
9768 | |||
9769 | 2443 | ||
9770 | 01:45:08,070 ~-~-> 01:45:10,860 | ||
9771 | you. If you're a scalper you can use the | ||
9772 | |||
9773 | 2444 | ||
9774 | 01:45:11,040 ~-~-> 01:45:14,040 | ||
9775 | one hour timeframe and trade when it's | ||
9776 | |||
9777 | 2445 | ||
9778 | 01:45:14,070 ~-~-> 01:45:15,750 | ||
9779 | in sync with that as well but I do not | ||
9780 | |||
9781 | 2446 | ||
9782 | 01:45:15,750 ~-~-> 01:45:17,070 | ||
9783 | want scalping and I should have probably | ||
9784 | |||
9785 | 2447 | ||
9786 | 01:45:17,070 ~-~-> 01:45:18,870 | ||
9787 | never told you that but if you are | ||
9788 | |||
9789 | 2448 | ||
9790 | 01:45:18,870 ~-~-> 01:45:20,430 | ||
9791 | looking for scalping then that's how you | ||
9792 | |||
9793 | 2449 | ||
9794 | 01:45:20,430 ~-~-> 01:45:22,740 | ||
9795 | use it with a one hour but anything less | ||
9796 | |||
9797 | 2450 | ||
9798 | 01:45:22,740 ~-~-> 01:45:24,030 | ||
9799 | than four hour I'm not interested in | ||
9800 | |||
9801 | 2451 | ||
9802 | 01:45:24,030 ~-~-> 01:45:25,650 | ||
9803 | with moving averages, okay because I've | ||
9804 | |||
9805 | 2452 | ||
9806 | 01:45:25,650 ~-~-> 01:45:26,880 | ||
9807 | already arrived at a higher timeframe | ||
9808 | |||
9809 | 2453 | ||
9810 | 01:45:26,880 ~-~-> 01:45:28,290 | ||
9811 | institutional sponsors that based on | ||
9812 | |||
9813 | 2454 | ||
9814 | 01:45:28,590 ~-~-> 01:45:33,330 | ||
9815 | daily and four hour now, looking at what | ||
9816 | |||
9817 | 2455 | ||
9818 | 01:45:33,330 ~-~-> 01:45:35,490 | ||
9819 | we have here, okay, what you're looking | ||
9820 | |||
9821 | 2456 | ||
9822 | 01:45:35,490 ~-~-> 01:45:38,190 | ||
9823 | at is every single vertical line | ||
9824 | |||
9825 | 2457 | ||
9826 | 01:45:38,220 ~-~-> 01:45:40,560 | ||
9827 | represents a new trading day at zero GMT | ||
9828 | |||
9829 | 2458 | ||
9830 | 01:45:41,670 ~-~-> 01:45:44,610 | ||
9831 | shortly after, okay, when we add the | ||
9832 | |||
9833 | 2459 | ||
9834 | 01:45:44,610 ~-~-> 01:45:49,380 | ||
9835 | period separator and again, I'll share | ||
9836 | |||
9837 | 2460 | ||
9838 | 01:45:49,380 ~-~-> 01:45:51,390 | ||
9839 | this with you guys. I'm going to put | ||
9840 | |||
9841 | 2461 | ||
9842 | 01:45:51,420 ~-~-> 01:45:55,680 | ||
9843 | five GMT which is midnight my time Okay, | ||
9844 | |||
9845 | 2462 | ||
9846 | 01:45:55,680 ~-~-> 01:45:57,090 | ||
9847 | which is going to be represented by this | ||
9848 | |||
9849 | 2463 | ||
9850 | 01:45:57,360 ~-~-> 01:45:58,860 | ||
9851 | white line, which now I'm going to | ||
9852 | |||
9853 | 2464 | ||
9854 | 01:45:58,860 ~-~-> 01:46:00,840 | ||
9855 | change because I don't like that doesn't | ||
9856 | |||
9857 | 2465 | ||
9858 | 01:46:00,870 ~-~-> 01:46:02,580 | ||
9859 | pop off the charts so you guys can see | ||
9860 | |||
9861 | 2466 | ||
9862 | 01:46:02,580 ~-~-> 01:46:08,580 | ||
9863 | it clearly. Let's go to colors and | ||
9864 | |||
9865 | 2467 | ||
9866 | 01:46:08,580 ~-~-> 01:46:11,310 | ||
9867 | that's not working right here. See what | ||
9868 | |||
9869 | 2468 | ||
9870 | 01:46:11,310 ~-~-> 01:46:17,580 | ||
9871 | I want? See if I can go to jump with the | ||
9872 | |||
9873 | 2469 | ||
9874 | 01:46:18,150 ~-~-> 01:46:23,670 | ||
9875 | Red Mountain No, it's not doing well. | ||
9876 | |||
9877 | 2470 | ||
9878 | 01:46:23,730 ~-~-> 01:46:25,710 | ||
9879 | I'm not sure how to do it I'm probably | ||
9880 | |||
9881 | 2471 | ||
9882 | 01:46:25,950 ~-~-> 01:46:27,480 | ||
9883 | figured out after the video and look | ||
9884 | |||
9885 | 2472 | ||
9886 | 01:46:27,480 ~-~-> 01:46:29,100 | ||
9887 | foolish but oh well it is what it is | ||
9888 | |||
9889 | 2473 | ||
9890 | 01:46:29,130 ~-~-> 01:46:30,270 | ||
9891 | you'll just have to make deal with it. | ||
9892 | |||
9893 | 2474 | ||
9894 | 01:46:30,630 ~-~-> 01:46:33,390 | ||
9895 | The white line in here is midnight | ||
9896 | |||
9897 | 2475 | ||
9898 | 01:46:33,390 ~-~-> 01:46:36,420 | ||
9899 | timeframe. Okay in New York. So what | ||
9900 | |||
9901 | 2476 | ||
9902 | 01:46:36,420 ~-~-> 01:46:40,470 | ||
9903 | you're looking for is a rally after the | ||
9904 | |||
9905 | 2477 | ||
9906 | 01:46:40,470 ~-~-> 01:46:42,120 | ||
9907 | white line, okay, or in other words, a | ||
9908 | |||
9909 | 2478 | ||
9910 | 01:46:42,120 ~-~-> 01:46:44,730 | ||
9911 | rally to the right of that white line | ||
9912 | |||
9913 | 2479 | ||
9914 | 01:46:44,850 ~-~-> 01:46:47,070 | ||
9915 | each day the rally that occurs after | ||
9916 | |||
9917 | 2480 | ||
9918 | 01:46:47,070 ~-~-> 01:46:52,290 | ||
9919 | that white line and up to the ending of | ||
9920 | |||
9921 | 2481 | ||
9922 | 01:46:52,320 ~-~-> 01:46:55,200 | ||
9923 | New York ICT kills in I'm sorry, London | ||
9924 | |||
9925 | 2482 | ||
9926 | 01:46:55,230 ~-~-> 01:46:58,380 | ||
9927 | open kill zone for ICT timeframe between | ||
9928 | |||
9929 | 2483 | ||
9930 | 01:46:59,010 ~-~-> 01:47:00,630 | ||
9931 | two o'clock in the morning. You time at | ||
9932 | |||
9933 | 2484 | ||
9934 | 01:47:00,630 ~-~-> 01:47:01,950 | ||
9935 | four o'clock in the morning New York | ||
9936 | |||
9937 | 2485 | ||
9938 | 01:47:01,950 ~-~-> 01:47:06,360 | ||
9939 | time, okay? or seven GMT, nine GMT. Okay | ||
9940 | |||
9941 | 2486 | ||
9942 | 01:47:06,360 ~-~-> 01:47:07,980 | ||
9943 | and again understand that it can go as | ||
9944 | |||
9945 | 2487 | ||
9946 | 01:47:07,980 ~-~-> 01:47:11,910 | ||
9947 | late as 10 GMT, or as early as six GMT | ||
9948 | |||
9949 | 2488 | ||
9950 | 01:47:11,940 ~-~-> 01:47:13,230 | ||
9951 | or one o'clock in the morning to is | ||
9952 | |||
9953 | 2489 | ||
9954 | 01:47:13,230 ~-~-> 01:47:14,850 | ||
9955 | latest 5am New York time. | ||
9956 | |||
9957 | 2490 | ||
9958 | 01:47:16,740 ~-~-> 01:47:19,020 | ||
9959 | So it'll go through this video a couple | ||
9960 | |||
9961 | 2491 | ||
9962 | 01:47:19,020 ~-~-> 01:47:20,670 | ||
9963 | different times because I know I'm | ||
9964 | |||
9965 | 2492 | ||
9966 | 01:47:20,670 ~-~-> 01:47:21,900 | ||
9967 | probably confusing you going back and | ||
9968 | |||
9969 | 2493 | ||
9970 | 01:47:21,900 ~-~-> 01:47:23,190 | ||
9971 | forth between the two but understand | ||
9972 | |||
9973 | 2494 | ||
9974 | 01:47:23,190 ~-~-> 01:47:25,380 | ||
9975 | it's simply a window of opportunity when | ||
9976 | |||
9977 | 2495 | ||
9978 | 01:47:25,380 ~-~-> 01:47:27,510 | ||
9979 | the higher low is formed for the day. We | ||
9980 | |||
9981 | 2496 | ||
9982 | 01:47:27,510 ~-~-> 01:47:29,970 | ||
9983 | understand that inside this orange box, | ||
9984 | |||
9985 | 2497 | ||
9986 | 01:47:30,000 ~-~-> 01:47:32,610 | ||
9987 | the point of the box is it's keeping | ||
9988 | |||
9989 | 2498 | ||
9990 | 01:47:32,610 ~-~-> 01:47:34,530 | ||
9991 | your perspective and only looking to be | ||
9992 | |||
9993 | 2499 | ||
9994 | 01:47:34,530 ~-~-> 01:47:37,470 | ||
9995 | a seller. You see the power in that you | ||
9996 | |||
9997 | 2500 | ||
9998 | 01:47:37,470 ~-~-> 01:47:39,840 | ||
9999 | do not want to be buying. There's no | ||
10000 | |||
10001 | 2501 | ||
10002 | 01:47:39,840 ~-~-> 01:47:41,850 | ||
10003 | reason to be a buyer. Why would you want | ||
10004 | |||
10005 | 2502 | ||
10006 | 01:47:41,850 ~-~-> 01:47:45,180 | ||
10007 | to do that? You're buying okay in an | ||
10008 | |||
10009 | 2503 | ||
10010 | 01:47:45,210 ~-~-> 01:47:47,460 | ||
10011 | environment where the the large | ||
10012 | |||
10013 | 2504 | ||
10014 | 01:47:47,550 ~-~-> 01:47:50,160 | ||
10015 | institutional sponsorship, okay is | ||
10016 | |||
10017 | 2505 | ||
10018 | 01:47:50,160 ~-~-> 01:47:53,550 | ||
10019 | saying, I am not wanting to be long I | ||
10020 | |||
10021 | 2506 | ||
10022 | 01:47:53,550 ~-~-> 01:47:56,610 | ||
10023 | want to sell. So who has more money? | ||
10024 | |||
10025 | 2507 | ||
10026 | 01:47:57,900 ~-~-> 01:48:00,330 | ||
10027 | Credit Suisse or Michael Hello And | ||
10028 | |||
10029 | 2508 | ||
10030 | 01:48:01,620 ~-~-> 01:48:03,810 | ||
10031 | clearly, I'm not trying to go against | ||
10032 | |||
10033 | 2509 | ||
10034 | 01:48:03,810 ~-~-> 01:48:06,210 | ||
10035 | these guys, okay? And when you're on the | ||
10036 | |||
10037 | 2510 | ||
10038 | 01:48:06,210 ~-~-> 01:48:09,150 | ||
10039 | same side as them, trading works out, | ||
10040 | |||
10041 | 2511 | ||
10042 | 01:48:09,420 ~-~-> 01:48:11,430 | ||
10043 | it's just explained other than that it | ||
10044 | |||
10045 | 2512 | ||
10046 | 01:48:11,430 ~-~-> 01:48:14,580 | ||
10047 | just works out. So looking at every | ||
10048 | |||
10049 | 2513 | ||
10050 | 01:48:14,580 ~-~-> 01:48:16,560 | ||
10051 | single day, okay, what you're going to | ||
10052 | |||
10053 | 2514 | ||
10054 | 01:48:16,560 ~-~-> 01:48:18,450 | ||
10055 | look for is there's going to be a | ||
10056 | |||
10057 | 2515 | ||
10058 | 01:48:19,170 ~-~-> 01:48:22,170 | ||
10059 | retracement or a swing higher. It could | ||
10060 | |||
10061 | 2516 | ||
10062 | 01:48:22,170 ~-~-> 01:48:24,060 | ||
10063 | be an initial swing up for that make the | ||
10064 | |||
10065 | 2517 | ||
10066 | 01:48:24,060 ~-~-> 01:48:25,560 | ||
10067 | high today or it could be inside of the | ||
10068 | |||
10069 | 2518 | ||
10070 | 01:48:25,560 ~-~-> 01:48:26,910 | ||
10071 | range that was already established from | ||
10072 | |||
10073 | 2519 | ||
10074 | 01:48:26,910 ~-~-> 01:48:29,250 | ||
10075 | the opening at zero GMT, which is zero | ||
10076 | |||
10077 | 2520 | ||
10078 | 01:48:29,250 ~-~-> 01:48:31,260 | ||
10079 | GMT openings are the darker vertical | ||
10080 | |||
10081 | 2521 | ||
10082 | 01:48:31,260 ~-~-> 01:48:33,510 | ||
10083 | dashed lines. The white lines are New | ||
10084 | |||
10085 | 2522 | ||
10086 | 01:48:33,510 ~-~-> 01:48:36,150 | ||
10087 | York midnight timeframe. Okay. So now | ||
10088 | |||
10089 | 2523 | ||
10090 | 01:48:36,150 ~-~-> 01:48:38,100 | ||
10091 | let's zoom in and go to the beginning. | ||
10092 | |||
10093 | 2524 | ||
10094 | 01:48:38,490 ~-~-> 01:48:40,650 | ||
10095 | And it said, the candlesticks because | ||
10096 | |||
10097 | 2525 | ||
10098 | 01:48:40,650 ~-~-> 01:48:44,280 | ||
10099 | it's a little bit easier to see. So | ||
10100 | |||
10101 | 2526 | ||
10102 | 01:48:44,280 ~-~-> 01:48:45,810 | ||
10103 | here's your vertical line here, New | ||
10104 | |||
10105 | 2527 | ||
10106 | 01:48:45,810 ~-~-> 01:48:48,210 | ||
10107 | York, midnight. Okay, we don't care | ||
10108 | |||
10109 | 2528 | ||
10110 | 01:48:48,240 ~-~-> 01:48:49,920 | ||
10111 | about the move lower. We don't chase | ||
10112 | |||
10113 | 2529 | ||
10114 | 01:48:49,920 ~-~-> 01:48:51,960 | ||
10115 | that. We do not care about that. We want | ||
10116 | |||
10117 | 2530 | ||
10118 | 01:48:51,960 ~-~-> 01:48:54,960 | ||
10119 | to see the rallies up. Okay. When this | ||
10120 | |||
10121 | 2531 | ||
10122 | 01:48:54,960 ~-~-> 01:48:57,690 | ||
10123 | rallying up, we already have to have in | ||
10124 | |||
10125 | 2532 | ||
10126 | 01:48:57,690 ~-~-> 01:49:00,000 | ||
10127 | mind where the old highs are stopped | ||
10128 | |||
10129 | 2533 | ||
10130 | 01:49:00,000 ~-~-> 01:49:05,490 | ||
10131 | above it. Turtle suit So okay, new day | ||
10132 | |||
10133 | 2534 | ||
10134 | 01:49:05,490 ~-~-> 01:49:07,200 | ||
10135 | here. Now I'm not going to go through | ||
10136 | |||
10137 | 2535 | ||
10138 | 01:49:07,200 ~-~-> 01:49:09,540 | ||
10139 | all the details about how how far it | ||
10140 | |||
10141 | 2536 | ||
10142 | 01:49:09,540 ~-~-> 01:49:10,920 | ||
10143 | went what time it stopped and all that | ||
10144 | |||
10145 | 2537 | ||
10146 | 01:49:10,920 ~-~-> 01:49:12,600 | ||
10147 | business you can do that on your own and | ||
10148 | |||
10149 | 2538 | ||
10150 | 01:49:12,600 ~-~-> 01:49:13,860 | ||
10151 | I'm encouraging you to that's the point | ||
10152 | |||
10153 | 2539 | ||
10154 | 01:49:13,860 ~-~-> 01:49:16,170 | ||
10155 | of me showing you this. Here again, we | ||
10156 | |||
10157 | 2540 | ||
10158 | 01:49:16,170 ~-~-> 01:49:19,170 | ||
10159 | had midnight timeframe. The opening | ||
10160 | |||
10161 | 2541 | ||
10162 | 01:49:19,170 ~-~-> 01:49:21,360 | ||
10163 | price here. Okay, we don't care about | ||
10164 | |||
10165 | 2542 | ||
10166 | 01:49:21,360 ~-~-> 01:49:23,310 | ||
10167 | the move lower. We want to be above the | ||
10168 | |||
10169 | 2543 | ||
10170 | 01:49:23,310 ~-~-> 01:49:24,960 | ||
10171 | opening price much in the same basket | ||
10172 | |||
10173 | 2544 | ||
10174 | 01:49:24,960 ~-~-> 01:49:26,910 | ||
10175 | here. We have the opening price here at | ||
10176 | |||
10177 | 2545 | ||
10178 | 01:49:27,420 ~-~-> 01:49:28,920 | ||
10179 | the vertical line, it's white in here. | ||
10180 | |||
10181 | 2546 | ||
10182 | 01:49:29,400 ~-~-> 01:49:31,470 | ||
10183 | We want to be selling above that price. | ||
10184 | |||
10185 | 2547 | ||
10186 | 01:49:31,500 ~-~-> 01:49:33,660 | ||
10187 | It has to be above that price, or we | ||
10188 | |||
10189 | 2548 | ||
10190 | 01:49:33,660 ~-~-> 01:49:36,600 | ||
10191 | ain't selling. That's the filter. Okay. | ||
10192 | |||
10193 | 2549 | ||
10194 | 01:49:38,160 ~-~-> 01:49:39,510 | ||
10195 | You're selling above the opening price | ||
10196 | |||
10197 | 2550 | ||
10198 | 01:49:39,510 ~-~-> 01:49:42,450 | ||
10199 | here. Here's the rally up. Boom, you | ||
10200 | |||
10201 | 2551 | ||
10202 | 01:49:42,450 ~-~-> 01:49:47,490 | ||
10203 | sell it. Okay. Here is the opening | ||
10204 | |||
10205 | 2552 | ||
10206 | 01:49:47,490 ~-~-> 01:49:49,950 | ||
10207 | price. Very modest little move above it | ||
10208 | |||
10209 | 2553 | ||
10210 | 01:49:50,160 ~-~-> 01:49:52,470 | ||
10211 | doesn't matter. It's all you need. Sell | ||
10212 | |||
10213 | 2554 | ||
10214 | 01:49:52,470 ~-~-> 01:50:00,210 | ||
10215 | it down move. You have optimal Trade | ||
10216 | |||
10217 | 2555 | ||
10218 | 01:50:00,210 ~-~-> 01:50:01,860 | ||
10219 | entry in here you could have traded this | ||
10220 | |||
10221 | 2556 | ||
10222 | 01:50:01,860 ~-~-> 01:50:03,510 | ||
10223 | one here and even taking profits too | ||
10224 | |||
10225 | 2557 | ||
10226 | 01:50:03,570 ~-~-> 01:50:07,560 | ||
10227 | low. It could have done 1520 pips, okay, | ||
10228 | |||
10229 | 2558 | ||
10230 | 01:50:07,560 ~-~-> 01:50:09,510 | ||
10231 | but then it reversed and traded higher, | ||
10232 | |||
10233 | 2559 | ||
10234 | 01:50:09,840 ~-~-> 01:50:11,880 | ||
10235 | came back and could have stopped you if | ||
10236 | |||
10237 | 2560 | ||
10238 | 01:50:11,880 ~-~-> 01:50:15,330 | ||
10239 | you had your stop loss lowered in here. | ||
10240 | |||
10241 | 2561 | ||
10242 | 01:50:15,420 ~-~-> 01:50:16,620 | ||
10243 | So this could have been a day where you | ||
10244 | |||
10245 | 2562 | ||
10246 | 01:50:16,620 ~-~-> 01:50:17,940 | ||
10247 | could have made mine and you could have | ||
10248 | |||
10249 | 2563 | ||
10250 | 01:50:17,940 ~-~-> 01:50:19,470 | ||
10251 | lost it or you could have just simply | ||
10252 | |||
10253 | 2564 | ||
10254 | 01:50:19,470 ~-~-> 01:50:22,290 | ||
10255 | did nothing. It is a Friday, I don't | ||
10256 | |||
10257 | 2565 | ||
10258 | 01:50:22,290 ~-~-> 01:50:23,850 | ||
10259 | want to trade Friday, so that kind of | ||
10260 | |||
10261 | 2566 | ||
10262 | 01:50:23,850 ~-~-> 01:50:25,560 | ||
10263 | falls into category in itself as well. | ||
10264 | |||
10265 | 2567 | ||
10266 | 01:50:25,560 ~-~-> 01:50:27,510 | ||
10267 | So I like to trade predominantly | ||
10268 | |||
10269 | 2568 | ||
10270 | 01:50:27,540 ~-~-> 01:50:29,700 | ||
10271 | Tuesday, Wednesdays and Thursdays. If I | ||
10272 | |||
10273 | 2569 | ||
10274 | 01:50:29,700 ~-~-> 01:50:32,280 | ||
10275 | made money on Tuesdays or Wednesdays I | ||
10276 | |||
10277 | 2570 | ||
10278 | 01:50:32,280 ~-~-> 01:50:33,660 | ||
10279 | don't do any trading rest of the week. | ||
10280 | |||
10281 | 2571 | ||
10282 | 01:50:36,540 ~-~-> 01:50:40,020 | ||
10283 | We have the scenario here. Here's | ||
10284 | |||
10285 | 2572 | ||
10286 | 01:50:40,110 ~-~-> 01:50:43,050 | ||
10287 | midnight and the price rallies up. We | ||
10288 | |||
10289 | 2573 | ||
10290 | 01:50:43,050 ~-~-> 01:50:45,870 | ||
10291 | have old highs back here clean highs so | ||
10292 | |||
10293 | 2574 | ||
10294 | 01:50:45,870 ~-~-> 01:50:47,850 | ||
10295 | above that would be what stops look for | ||
10296 | |||
10297 | 2575 | ||
10298 | 01:50:47,850 ~-~-> 01:50:49,020 | ||
10299 | a price to rally up to that and then | ||
10300 | |||
10301 | 2576 | ||
10302 | 01:50:49,020 ~-~-> 01:50:52,140 | ||
10303 | reject and you see that happening here. | ||
10304 | |||
10305 | 2577 | ||
10306 | 01:50:52,170 ~-~-> 01:50:53,610 | ||
10307 | It tooks a little bit longer into the | ||
10308 | |||
10309 | 2578 | ||
10310 | 01:50:53,610 ~-~-> 01:50:55,140 | ||
10311 | next day but we have an optimal trade | ||
10312 | |||
10313 | 2579 | ||
10314 | 01:50:55,140 ~-~-> 01:50:57,000 | ||
10315 | entry here trades back up to an a | ||
10316 | |||
10317 | 2580 | ||
10318 | 01:50:57,000 ~-~-> 01:50:59,160 | ||
10319 | bearish order block the last bullish | ||
10320 | |||
10321 | 2581 | ||
10322 | 01:50:59,160 ~-~-> 01:51:01,470 | ||
10323 | move up Look at that low, draw that out | ||
10324 | |||
10325 | 2582 | ||
10326 | 01:51:01,470 ~-~-> 01:51:03,390 | ||
10327 | in time, comes right back to that price | ||
10328 | |||
10329 | 2583 | ||
10330 | 01:51:03,390 ~-~-> 01:51:05,490 | ||
10331 | point. Also notice that it's also taking | ||
10332 | |||
10333 | 2584 | ||
10334 | 01:51:05,640 ~-~-> 01:51:08,550 | ||
10335 | an old high here. After midnight, see | ||
10336 | |||
10337 | 2585 | ||
10338 | 01:51:08,550 ~-~-> 01:51:11,160 | ||
10339 | the rally up, it's taken out stop. And | ||
10340 | |||
10341 | 2586 | ||
10342 | 01:51:11,160 ~-~-> 01:51:13,200 | ||
10343 | its ultimate ultimate, excuse me, | ||
10344 | |||
10345 | 2587 | ||
10346 | 01:51:13,560 ~-~-> 01:51:15,120 | ||
10347 | ultimately also fulfilling an optimal | ||
10348 | |||
10349 | 2588 | ||
10350 | 01:51:15,120 ~-~-> 01:51:16,920 | ||
10351 | trade entry. Pull your fear from this | ||
10352 | |||
10353 | 2589 | ||
10354 | 01:51:16,920 ~-~-> 01:51:18,420 | ||
10355 | high down to the low and a new A lot of | ||
10356 | |||
10357 | 2590 | ||
10358 | 01:51:18,420 ~-~-> 01:51:19,740 | ||
10359 | you guys are saying, Well, can you just | ||
10360 | |||
10361 | 2591 | ||
10362 | 01:51:19,740 ~-~-> 01:51:21,060 | ||
10363 | do it? Michael, can you just put the | ||
10364 | |||
10365 | 2592 | ||
10366 | 01:51:21,060 ~-~-> 01:51:22,950 | ||
10367 | fifth one here so I can just see it? | ||
10368 | |||
10369 | 2593 | ||
10370 | 01:51:25,890 ~-~-> 01:51:27,930 | ||
10371 | Right here, optimal trade entry boom. | ||
10372 | |||
10373 | 2594 | ||
10374 | 01:51:28,110 ~-~-> 01:51:32,370 | ||
10375 | Where's the candle here? That is 845 GMT | ||
10376 | |||
10377 | 2595 | ||
10378 | 01:51:32,880 ~-~-> 01:51:35,220 | ||
10379 | surprised as to London open kill zone. | ||
10380 | |||
10381 | 2596 | ||
10382 | 01:51:35,940 ~-~-> 01:51:37,530 | ||
10383 | And then as your move going lower | ||
10384 | |||
10385 | 2597 | ||
10386 | 01:51:39,899 ~-~-> 01:51:40,949 | ||
10387 | how many trades that we've seen so far? | ||
10388 | |||
10389 | 2598 | ||
10390 | 01:51:40,949 ~-~-> 01:51:43,859 | ||
10391 | Guys? You catch them enough pips? Just | ||
10392 | |||
10393 | 2599 | ||
10394 | 01:51:43,859 ~-~-> 01:51:48,299 | ||
10395 | this day alone? Is 10 2030 4050 pips | ||
10396 | |||
10397 | 2600 | ||
10398 | 01:51:48,329 ~-~-> 01:51:50,369 | ||
10399 | easily that one day. That's one that's | ||
10400 | |||
10401 | 2601 | ||
10402 | 01:51:50,369 ~-~-> 01:51:52,019 | ||
10403 | one week. That's it. I'm done. That's | ||
10404 | |||
10405 | 2602 | ||
10406 | 01:51:52,019 ~-~-> 01:51:53,339 | ||
10407 | it. It's the whole week for me. I'm not | ||
10408 | |||
10409 | 2603 | ||
10410 | 01:51:53,339 ~-~-> 01:51:55,859 | ||
10411 | worried about trading anymore. Okay. Now | ||
10412 | |||
10413 | 2604 | ||
10414 | 01:51:55,859 ~-~-> 01:51:59,519 | ||
10415 | here's a optimal trade entry inside of | ||
10416 | |||
10417 | 2605 | ||
10418 | 01:51:59,519 ~-~-> 01:52:01,199 | ||
10419 | the range. It's already happened here. | ||
10420 | |||
10421 | 2606 | ||
10422 | 01:52:01,199 ~-~-> 01:52:03,959 | ||
10423 | Now, why am I using it like this? Why am | ||
10424 | |||
10425 | 2607 | ||
10426 | 01:52:03,959 ~-~-> 01:52:06,479 | ||
10427 | I going to pull it from here to here to | ||
10428 | |||
10429 | 2608 | ||
10430 | 01:52:06,479 ~-~-> 01:52:07,859 | ||
10431 | get optimal trade entry in here? Well, | ||
10432 | |||
10433 | 2609 | ||
10434 | 01:52:07,859 ~-~-> 01:52:10,379 | ||
10435 | because we took an AP, we take out a | ||
10436 | |||
10437 | 2610 | ||
10438 | 01:52:10,379 ~-~-> 01:52:13,289 | ||
10439 | previous day's low. When you see that | ||
10440 | |||
10441 | 2611 | ||
10442 | 01:52:13,319 ~-~-> 01:52:14,489 | ||
10443 | the chances of it coming all the way | ||
10444 | |||
10445 | 2612 | ||
10446 | 01:52:14,489 ~-~-> 01:52:17,219 | ||
10447 | back up here is unlikely. It's unlikely, | ||
10448 | |||
10449 | 2613 | ||
10450 | 01:52:17,219 ~-~-> 01:52:18,569 | ||
10451 | especially when you're in a down move | ||
10452 | |||
10453 | 2614 | ||
10454 | 01:52:18,569 ~-~-> 01:52:20,189 | ||
10455 | when the when it's heavily weighted to | ||
10456 | |||
10457 | 2615 | ||
10458 | 01:52:20,189 ~-~-> 01:52:23,429 | ||
10459 | meet moving lower, longer term. On a | ||
10460 | |||
10461 | 2616 | ||
10462 | 01:52:23,429 ~-~-> 01:52:24,779 | ||
10463 | higher time frame basis, like a daily | ||
10464 | |||
10465 | 2617 | ||
10466 | 01:52:24,779 ~-~-> 01:52:27,719 | ||
10467 | chart, you're really expecting too much | ||
10468 | |||
10469 | 2618 | ||
10470 | 01:52:27,719 ~-~-> 01:52:30,479 | ||
10471 | of the market. Okay. And with that | ||
10472 | |||
10473 | 2619 | ||
10474 | 01:52:30,479 ~-~-> 01:52:38,369 | ||
10475 | understood, here's the midnight high in | ||
10476 | |||
10477 | 2620 | ||
10478 | 01:52:38,369 ~-~-> 01:52:42,239 | ||
10479 | New York. spent on the low, here it is, | ||
10480 | |||
10481 | 2621 | ||
10482 | 01:52:42,749 ~-~-> 01:52:43,949 | ||
10483 | and goes right up to the sweet spot | ||
10484 | |||
10485 | 2622 | ||
10486 | 01:52:43,949 ~-~-> 01:52:45,959 | ||
10487 | right to the PIP. And that's difficult | ||
10488 | |||
10489 | 2623 | ||
10490 | 01:52:45,959 ~-~-> 01:52:47,459 | ||
10491 | to see but do this on your own charts. | ||
10492 | |||
10493 | 2624 | ||
10494 | 01:52:47,489 ~-~-> 01:52:49,289 | ||
10495 | Okay, I'm just giving you the framework. | ||
10496 | |||
10497 | 2625 | ||
10498 | 01:52:49,649 ~-~-> 01:52:52,019 | ||
10499 | But we we had a low previous day went | ||
10500 | |||
10501 | 2626 | ||
10502 | 01:52:52,019 ~-~-> 01:52:54,059 | ||
10503 | down, blew through it thinking right | ||
10504 | |||
10505 | 2627 | ||
10506 | 01:52:54,059 ~-~-> 01:52:55,679 | ||
10507 | back up, trade it back inside this | ||
10508 | |||
10509 | 2628 | ||
10510 | 01:52:55,679 ~-~-> 01:52:58,529 | ||
10511 | consolidation, then down goes notice | ||
10512 | |||
10513 | 2629 | ||
10514 | 01:52:58,529 ~-~-> 01:52:59,879 | ||
10515 | that it also went up to this previous | ||
10516 | |||
10517 | 2630 | ||
10518 | 01:52:59,879 ~-~-> 01:53:04,019 | ||
10519 | one block is the down, no down, it's up | ||
10520 | |||
10521 | 2631 | ||
10522 | 01:53:04,139 ~-~-> 01:53:06,839 | ||
10523 | candle, the up candle prior to the down | ||
10524 | |||
10525 | 2632 | ||
10526 | 01:53:06,839 ~-~-> 01:53:08,849 | ||
10527 | move, if you use this little candle on | ||
10528 | |||
10529 | 2633 | ||
10530 | 01:53:08,849 ~-~-> 01:53:10,559 | ||
10531 | here as well, same thing goes right down | ||
10532 | |||
10533 | 2634 | ||
10534 | 01:53:10,559 ~-~-> 01:53:14,309 | ||
10535 | to that low and trades off. Okay, that's | ||
10536 | |||
10537 | 2635 | ||
10538 | 01:53:14,309 ~-~-> 01:53:16,319 | ||
10539 | how precise you can get. But again, | ||
10540 | |||
10541 | 2636 | ||
10542 | 01:53:16,529 ~-~-> 01:53:17,549 | ||
10543 | because you're doing what you're | ||
10544 | |||
10545 | 2637 | ||
10546 | 01:53:17,549 ~-~-> 01:53:19,979 | ||
10547 | focusing on being a bear, why? Because | ||
10548 | |||
10549 | 2638 | ||
10550 | 01:53:19,979 ~-~-> 01:53:21,899 | ||
10551 | institutional sponsorship suggests that | ||
10552 | |||
10553 | 2639 | ||
10554 | 01:53:22,259 ~-~-> 01:53:24,569 | ||
10555 | they're long the dollar, which means | ||
10556 | |||
10557 | 2640 | ||
10558 | 01:53:24,569 ~-~-> 01:53:26,339 | ||
10559 | it's gonna be downward pressure on the | ||
10560 | |||
10561 | 2641 | ||
10562 | 01:53:26,339 ~-~-> 01:53:27,659 | ||
10563 | cable, and we have institutional | ||
10564 | |||
10565 | 2642 | ||
10566 | 01:53:27,659 ~-~-> 01:53:28,829 | ||
10567 | sponsorship because averages are | ||
10568 | |||
10569 | 2643 | ||
10570 | 01:53:29,339 ~-~-> 01:53:30,689 | ||
10571 | pointing lower on cable and they're | ||
10572 | |||
10573 | 2644 | ||
10574 | 01:53:30,689 ~-~-> 01:53:33,389 | ||
10575 | opening up wide. So we don't want to | ||
10576 | |||
10577 | 2645 | ||
10578 | 01:53:33,419 ~-~-> 01:53:35,519 | ||
10579 | buck that trend. We want to stay with | ||
10580 | |||
10581 | 2646 | ||
10582 | 01:53:35,519 ~-~-> 01:53:37,919 | ||
10583 | that trend. We don't care about picking | ||
10584 | |||
10585 | 2647 | ||
10586 | 01:53:37,919 ~-~-> 01:53:39,329 | ||
10587 | the bottoms we don't care about that. | ||
10588 | |||
10589 | 2648 | ||
10590 | 01:53:39,359 ~-~-> 01:53:41,159 | ||
10591 | Nobody wants to nobody wants to pick the | ||
10592 | |||
10593 | 2649 | ||
10594 | 01:53:41,159 ~-~-> 01:53:43,979 | ||
10595 | bottom in ICT camp when we're in a bear | ||
10596 | |||
10597 | 2650 | ||
10598 | 01:53:43,979 ~-~-> 01:53:45,839 | ||
10599 | market. Okay, we don't care about that. | ||
10600 | |||
10601 | 2651 | ||
10602 | 01:53:46,019 ~-~-> 01:53:47,459 | ||
10603 | We're gonna make all kinds of money and | ||
10604 | |||
10605 | 2652 | ||
10606 | 01:53:47,459 ~-~-> 01:53:49,349 | ||
10607 | pips just going with institutional | ||
10608 | |||
10609 | 2653 | ||
10610 | 01:53:49,349 ~-~-> 01:53:51,359 | ||
10611 | sponsorship. Okay, just take all that | ||
10612 | |||
10613 | 2654 | ||
10614 | 01:53:51,359 ~-~-> 01:53:54,389 | ||
10615 | want to be right out of it. Okay. All | ||
10616 | |||
10617 | 2655 | ||
10618 | 01:53:54,389 ~-~-> 01:53:56,039 | ||
10619 | right. So we have another little rally | ||
10620 | |||
10621 | 2656 | ||
10622 | 01:53:56,039 ~-~-> 01:53:58,109 | ||
10623 | in here. Okay, after after midnight | ||
10624 | |||
10625 | 2657 | ||
10626 | 01:53:58,109 ~-~-> 01:53:59,249 | ||
10627 | timeframe. Now you're saying Oh, wait a | ||
10628 | |||
10629 | 2658 | ||
10630 | 01:53:59,249 ~-~-> 01:54:00,929 | ||
10631 | minute. It's not that's not Much, right? | ||
10632 | |||
10633 | 2659 | ||
10634 | 01:54:01,649 ~-~-> 01:54:03,929 | ||
10635 | It doesn't have to be much. Okay, look | ||
10636 | |||
10637 | 2660 | ||
10638 | 01:54:03,959 ~-~-> 01:54:06,719 | ||
10639 | over here. What do you see? See this big | ||
10640 | |||
10641 | 2661 | ||
10642 | 01:54:06,719 ~-~-> 01:54:09,329 | ||
10643 | move down. There's an institutional | ||
10644 | |||
10645 | 2662 | ||
10646 | 01:54:09,599 ~-~-> 01:54:11,789 | ||
10647 | order block right in here, the bullish | ||
10648 | |||
10649 | 2663 | ||
10650 | 01:54:11,789 ~-~-> 01:54:13,439 | ||
10651 | candle prior to the move lower, that's | ||
10652 | |||
10653 | 2664 | ||
10654 | 01:54:13,439 ~-~-> 01:54:15,839 | ||
10655 | where the the selling is going to be. So | ||
10656 | |||
10657 | 2665 | ||
10658 | 01:54:15,839 ~-~-> 01:54:24,509 | ||
10659 | if you add that level right here, price | ||
10660 | |||
10661 | 2666 | ||
10662 | 01:54:24,539 ~-~-> 01:54:26,489 | ||
10663 | trades back to that level, we expect to | ||
10664 | |||
10665 | 2667 | ||
10666 | 01:54:26,489 ~-~-> 01:54:30,149 | ||
10667 | see selling pressure. Add to that. Okay, | ||
10668 | |||
10669 | 2668 | ||
10670 | 01:54:30,239 ~-~-> 01:54:31,769 | ||
10671 | I'm going to darken this up in a | ||
10672 | |||
10673 | 2669 | ||
10674 | 01:54:31,799 ~-~-> 01:54:37,739 | ||
10675 | different color line. Okay, we'll make | ||
10676 | |||
10677 | 2670 | ||
10678 | 01:54:37,739 ~-~-> 01:54:40,979 | ||
10679 | it read. Okay, so there's your order | ||
10680 | |||
10681 | 2671 | ||
10682 | 01:54:40,979 ~-~-> 01:54:44,309 | ||
10683 | block it traded into. Now add to it | ||
10684 | |||
10685 | 2672 | ||
10686 | 01:54:44,309 ~-~-> 01:54:52,679 | ||
10687 | also, the fib. See the high here? This | ||
10688 | |||
10689 | 2673 | ||
10690 | 01:54:52,679 ~-~-> 01:54:54,179 | ||
10691 | downswing here, this is the parent price | ||
10692 | |||
10693 | 2674 | ||
10694 | 01:54:54,179 ~-~-> 01:54:56,519 | ||
10695 | swing and you're still low. | ||
10696 | |||
10697 | 2675 | ||
10698 | 01:54:58,410 ~-~-> 01:54:59,100 | ||
10699 | Right there. | ||
10700 | |||
10701 | 2676 | ||
10702 | 01:55:00,479 ~-~-> 01:55:01,889 | ||
10703 | price comes right up to the sweet spot | ||
10704 | |||
10705 | 2677 | ||
10706 | 01:55:01,919 ~-~-> 01:55:04,139 | ||
10707 | boom. When's it happen after midnight? | ||
10708 | |||
10709 | 2678 | ||
10710 | 01:55:04,949 ~-~-> 01:55:08,519 | ||
10711 | Right up near bang, okay. sells off. | ||
10712 | |||
10713 | 2679 | ||
10714 | 01:55:09,449 ~-~-> 01:55:14,219 | ||
10715 | Okay. early that day didn't give you the | ||
10716 | |||
10717 | 2680 | ||
10718 | 01:55:14,219 ~-~-> 01:55:17,849 | ||
10719 | classic 2am timeframe but on this day | ||
10720 | |||
10721 | 2681 | ||
10722 | 01:55:17,879 ~-~-> 01:55:23,969 | ||
10723 | occurs at 545 while you're 15 minutes | ||
10724 | |||
10725 | 2682 | ||
10726 | 01:55:23,969 ~-~-> 01:55:28,559 | ||
10727 | early, so you may have to catch the | ||
10728 | |||
10729 | 2683 | ||
10730 | 01:55:28,559 ~-~-> 01:55:31,409 | ||
10731 | order block that was here. Trading up in | ||
10732 | |||
10733 | 2684 | ||
10734 | 01:55:31,439 ~-~-> 01:55:35,639 | ||
10735 | to the still early Frankfurt it's 630 | ||
10736 | |||
10737 | 2685 | ||
10738 | 01:55:35,639 ~-~-> 01:55:38,819 | ||
10739 | GMT unless you were probably doing limit | ||
10740 | |||
10741 | 2686 | ||
10742 | 01:55:38,819 ~-~-> 01:55:40,889 | ||
10743 | orders or just simply being up and awake | ||
10744 | |||
10745 | 2687 | ||
10746 | 01:55:40,889 ~-~-> 01:55:43,259 | ||
10747 | and just watching it. You may not have | ||
10748 | |||
10749 | 2688 | ||
10750 | 01:55:43,739 ~-~-> 01:55:45,419 | ||
10751 | honestly may not have gotten a really | ||
10752 | |||
10753 | 2689 | ||
10754 | 01:55:45,419 ~-~-> 01:55:48,479 | ||
10755 | good feel on this one. Or maybe even | ||
10756 | |||
10757 | 2690 | ||
10758 | 01:55:48,479 ~-~-> 01:55:50,579 | ||
10759 | missed the move all together. which is | ||
10760 | |||
10761 | 2691 | ||
10762 | 01:55:50,639 ~-~-> 01:55:56,009 | ||
10763 | which is realistic. Okay, we have | ||
10764 | |||
10765 | 2692 | ||
10766 | 01:55:56,009 ~-~-> 01:55:57,719 | ||
10767 | another one here. This is a real classic | ||
10768 | |||
10769 | 2693 | ||
10770 | 01:55:57,719 ~-~-> 01:56:02,609 | ||
10771 | one. If the hi In low, here's the move | ||
10772 | |||
10773 | 2694 | ||
10774 | 01:56:02,639 ~-~-> 01:56:03,899 | ||
10775 | up after midnight | ||
10776 | |||
10777 | 2695 | ||
10778 | 01:56:05,160 ~-~-> 01:56:05,760 | ||
10779 | rallies up. | ||
10780 | |||
10781 | 2696 | ||
10782 | 01:56:07,080 ~-~-> 01:56:08,580 | ||
10783 | And you've probably already seen it | ||
10784 | |||
10785 | 2697 | ||
10786 | 01:56:08,580 ~-~-> 01:56:14,010 | ||
10787 | before I put it on the chart. Let's get | ||
10788 | |||
10789 | 2698 | ||
10790 | 01:56:14,010 ~-~-> 01:56:17,220 | ||
10791 | this one off. Right up there perfect | ||
10792 | |||
10793 | 2699 | ||
10794 | 01:56:17,220 ~-~-> 01:56:20,610 | ||
10795 | optimal trade entry BAM 79%. Slam, which | ||
10796 | |||
10797 | 2700 | ||
10798 | 01:56:20,610 ~-~-> 01:56:23,250 | ||
10799 | is one we would we discussed and not | ||
10800 | |||
10801 | 2701 | ||
10802 | 01:56:23,250 ~-~-> 01:56:26,760 | ||
10803 | surprisingly. Okay, here's one. Okay. | ||
10804 | |||
10805 | 2702 | ||
10806 | 01:56:26,790 ~-~-> 01:56:27,900 | ||
10807 | And this is good that we're showing | ||
10808 | |||
10809 | 2703 | ||
10810 | 01:56:27,900 ~-~-> 01:56:32,100 | ||
10811 | this. We have salvation rally up, takes | ||
10812 | |||
10813 | 2704 | ||
10814 | 01:56:32,100 ~-~-> 01:56:34,950 | ||
10815 | out an old little high in here, okay? | ||
10816 | |||
10817 | 2705 | ||
10818 | 01:56:35,130 ~-~-> 01:56:37,170 | ||
10819 | That would be honestly this would be one | ||
10820 | |||
10821 | 2706 | ||
10822 | 01:56:37,170 ~-~-> 01:56:38,550 | ||
10823 | that you could have traded with the | ||
10824 | |||
10825 | 2707 | ||
10826 | 01:56:38,550 ~-~-> 01:56:41,100 | ||
10827 | anticipation intense it is easy for me | ||
10828 | |||
10829 | 2708 | ||
10830 | 01:56:41,100 ~-~-> 01:56:45,390 | ||
10831 | to say anticipating rather the move | ||
10832 | |||
10833 | 2709 | ||
10834 | 01:56:45,390 ~-~-> 01:56:48,480 | ||
10835 | trading lower. Okay. And while it does | ||
10836 | |||
10837 | 2710 | ||
10838 | 01:56:48,480 ~-~-> 01:56:50,310 | ||
10839 | trade lower, it does come back | ||
10840 | |||
10841 | 2711 | ||
10842 | 01:56:50,370 ~-~-> 01:56:52,350 | ||
10843 | ultimately and rejects and trades | ||
10844 | |||
10845 | 2712 | ||
10846 | 01:56:52,350 ~-~-> 01:56:54,870 | ||
10847 | higher. And you saw price come back | ||
10848 | |||
10849 | 2713 | ||
10850 | 01:56:54,900 ~-~-> 01:56:56,700 | ||
10851 | rather explosively and that's because we | ||
10852 | |||
10853 | 2714 | ||
10854 | 01:56:56,700 ~-~-> 01:56:59,280 | ||
10855 | have a gap right here. Okay. Whenever | ||
10856 | |||
10857 | 2715 | ||
10858 | 01:56:59,280 ~-~-> 01:57:01,020 | ||
10859 | you have gaps in Your chart you want to | ||
10860 | |||
10861 | 2716 | ||
10862 | 01:57:01,020 ~-~-> 01:57:03,000 | ||
10863 | kind of put blocks on that extend them | ||
10864 | |||
10865 | 2717 | ||
10866 | 01:57:03,000 ~-~-> 01:57:04,680 | ||
10867 | out in time because price will come back | ||
10868 | |||
10869 | 2718 | ||
10870 | 01:57:04,680 ~-~-> 01:57:08,970 | ||
10871 | up to these and fill that okay? much in | ||
10872 | |||
10873 | 2719 | ||
10874 | 01:57:08,970 ~-~-> 01:57:12,810 | ||
10875 | the same vein it does here and actually | ||
10876 | |||
10877 | 2720 | ||
10878 | 01:57:12,810 ~-~-> 01:57:18,480 | ||
10879 | traded this at 168 54 was my entry and | ||
10880 | |||
10881 | 2721 | ||
10882 | 01:57:18,480 ~-~-> 01:57:20,640 | ||
10883 | it just took 20 pips I didn't capture | ||
10884 | |||
10885 | 2722 | ||
10886 | 01:57:20,640 ~-~-> 01:57:23,370 | ||
10887 | anything much more than that. But same | ||
10888 | |||
10889 | 2723 | ||
10890 | 01:57:23,370 ~-~-> 01:57:26,190 | ||
10891 | thing happening here. I know you're | ||
10892 | |||
10893 | 2724 | ||
10894 | 01:57:26,190 ~-~-> 01:57:27,150 | ||
10895 | probably saying wait a minute you just | ||
10896 | |||
10897 | 2725 | ||
10898 | 01:57:27,150 ~-~-> 01:57:29,910 | ||
10899 | bought during a buy program I mean sell | ||
10900 | |||
10901 | 2726 | ||
10902 | 01:57:29,910 ~-~-> 01:57:31,770 | ||
10903 | program. Yeah, because we have this gap | ||
10904 | |||
10905 | 2727 | ||
10906 | 01:57:31,770 ~-~-> 01:57:33,480 | ||
10907 | in here and it was smaller intraday | ||
10908 | |||
10909 | 2728 | ||
10910 | 01:57:33,480 ~-~-> 01:57:36,240 | ||
10911 | scalp and I hadn't caught hadn't caught | ||
10912 | |||
10913 | 2729 | ||
10914 | 01:57:36,240 ~-~-> 01:57:37,860 | ||
10915 | anything. Because there's a lot of | ||
10916 | |||
10917 | 2730 | ||
10918 | 01:57:37,860 ~-~-> 01:57:39,180 | ||
10919 | personal things going on my life and I | ||
10920 | |||
10921 | 2731 | ||
10922 | 01:57:39,180 ~-~-> 01:57:41,190 | ||
10923 | just wanted to be able to take something | ||
10924 | |||
10925 | 2732 | ||
10926 | 01:57:41,190 ~-~-> 01:57:43,350 | ||
10927 | out for the week and be done. And that's | ||
10928 | |||
10929 | 2733 | ||
10930 | 01:57:43,350 ~-~-> 01:57:45,750 | ||
10931 | what it is. So I have a birthday coming | ||
10932 | |||
10933 | 2734 | ||
10934 | 01:57:45,750 ~-~-> 01:57:48,420 | ||
10935 | up this Friday on the big 42. So I'm | ||
10936 | |||
10937 | 2735 | ||
10938 | 01:57:48,420 ~-~-> 01:57:51,120 | ||
10939 | trying to clear my my schedule out. So | ||
10940 | |||
10941 | 2736 | ||
10942 | 01:57:51,480 ~-~-> 01:57:54,780 | ||
10943 | that's that's the reason for the little | ||
10944 | |||
10945 | 2737 | ||
10946 | 01:57:55,230 ~-~-> 01:57:57,990 | ||
10947 | nobody moving here. I haven't been able | ||
10948 | |||
10949 | 2738 | ||
10950 | 01:57:57,990 ~-~-> 01:58:00,540 | ||
10951 | to be in front of the charts. To capture | ||
10952 | |||
10953 | 2739 | ||
10954 | 01:58:00,540 ~-~-> 01:58:02,310 | ||
10955 | anything in here, and honestly, there | ||
10956 | |||
10957 | 2740 | ||
10958 | 01:58:02,310 ~-~-> 01:58:06,150 | ||
10959 | isn't anything in here that would be you | ||
10960 | |||
10961 | 2741 | ||
10962 | 01:58:06,150 ~-~-> 01:58:07,500 | ||
10963 | know, something I could say my tools | ||
10964 | |||
10965 | 2742 | ||
10966 | 01:58:07,500 ~-~-> 01:58:10,710 | ||
10967 | were able to deliver. So, outside of | ||
10968 | |||
10969 | 2743 | ||
10970 | 01:58:10,710 ~-~-> 01:58:12,120 | ||
10971 | that little little minor move in here, | ||
10972 | |||
10973 | 2744 | ||
10974 | 01:58:12,150 ~-~-> 01:58:13,470 | ||
10975 | there's been nothing for me to trade | ||
10976 | |||
10977 | 2745 | ||
10978 | 01:58:13,470 ~-~-> 01:58:17,520 | ||
10979 | this week. And ultimately, I'm going to | ||
10980 | |||
10981 | 2746 | ||
10982 | 01:58:17,520 ~-~-> 01:58:19,290 | ||
10983 | be focusing on just the fiber. I'm | ||
10984 | |||
10985 | 2747 | ||
10986 | 01:58:19,290 ~-~-> 01:58:20,730 | ||
10987 | sorry, the cable not the fiber anymore. | ||
10988 | |||
10989 | 2748 | ||
10990 | 01:58:20,730 ~-~-> 01:58:22,440 | ||
10991 | Going forward. We do our live sessions | ||
10992 | |||
10993 | 2749 | ||
10994 | 01:58:22,440 ~-~-> 01:58:24,600 | ||
10995 | because I just want to be working on one | ||
10996 | |||
10997 | 2750 | ||
10998 | 01:58:24,600 ~-~-> 01:58:27,720 | ||
10999 | pair. But we talked about the power | ||
11000 | |||
11001 | 2751 | ||
11002 | 01:58:27,720 ~-~-> 01:58:29,520 | ||
11003 | three, we talked about you two swings. I | ||
11004 | |||
11005 | 2752 | ||
11006 | 01:58:29,520 ~-~-> 01:58:31,410 | ||
11007 | did not cover Did you just swing for New | ||
11008 | |||
11009 | 2753 | ||
11010 | 01:58:31,410 ~-~-> 01:58:38,580 | ||
11011 | York? So let's do that now. All right. | ||
11012 | |||
11013 | 2754 | ||
11014 | 01:58:38,730 ~-~-> 01:58:40,620 | ||
11015 | New York session typically sees an | ||
11016 | |||
11017 | 2755 | ||
11018 | 01:58:40,620 ~-~-> 01:58:45,780 | ||
11019 | opening around 7am New York time, okay, | ||
11020 | |||
11021 | 2756 | ||
11022 | 01:58:45,780 ~-~-> 01:58:48,120 | ||
11023 | and you can use 12 GMT. Now what I like | ||
11024 | |||
11025 | 2757 | ||
11026 | 01:58:48,120 ~-~-> 01:58:51,360 | ||
11027 | to look at is I want to see what 6am | ||
11028 | |||
11029 | 2758 | ||
11030 | 01:58:52,080 ~-~-> 01:58:55,680 | ||
11031 | okay 6am, which is 11 GMT. I want to see | ||
11032 | |||
11033 | 2759 | ||
11034 | 01:58:55,680 ~-~-> 01:58:57,720 | ||
11035 | that vertical line, and that'll give you | ||
11036 | |||
11037 | 2760 | ||
11038 | 01:58:57,720 ~-~-> 01:59:02,640 | ||
11039 | your Judas swing parameter. Okay for the | ||
11040 | |||
11041 | 2761 | ||
11042 | 01:59:02,670 ~-~-> 01:59:05,880 | ||
11043 | New York session. Now, let's go back and | ||
11044 | |||
11045 | 2762 | ||
11046 | 01:59:05,880 ~-~-> 01:59:07,110 | ||
11047 | look at this example. And I'll tell you | ||
11048 | |||
11049 | 2763 | ||
11050 | 01:59:07,110 ~-~-> 01:59:09,150 | ||
11051 | why I did what I did against the trend. | ||
11052 | |||
11053 | 2764 | ||
11054 | 01:59:10,410 ~-~-> 01:59:13,950 | ||
11055 | We had a possible low formed here | ||
11056 | |||
11057 | 2765 | ||
11058 | 01:59:13,950 ~-~-> 01:59:15,750 | ||
11059 | because we have really aggressive move | ||
11060 | |||
11061 | 2766 | ||
11062 | 01:59:16,500 ~-~-> 01:59:18,630 | ||
11063 | form right off of this, this price point | ||
11064 | |||
11065 | 2767 | ||
11066 | 01:59:18,630 ~-~-> 01:59:20,610 | ||
11067 | here, and this is actually 745 GMT. | ||
11068 | |||
11069 | 2768 | ||
11070 | 01:59:21,510 ~-~-> 01:59:24,240 | ||
11071 | Okay, price snaps up aggressively, and | ||
11072 | |||
11073 | 2769 | ||
11074 | 01:59:24,240 ~-~-> 01:59:27,060 | ||
11075 | then it leaves a gap. All I wanted to do | ||
11076 | |||
11077 | 2770 | ||
11078 | 01:59:27,060 ~-~-> 01:59:28,560 | ||
11079 | see if it would come back up to this, | ||
11080 | |||
11081 | 2771 | ||
11082 | 01:59:28,620 ~-~-> 01:59:30,270 | ||
11083 | and I was trying to play an optimal | ||
11084 | |||
11085 | 2772 | ||
11086 | 01:59:30,270 ~-~-> 01:59:31,560 | ||
11087 | trade entry for continuation going | ||
11088 | |||
11089 | 2773 | ||
11090 | 01:59:31,560 ~-~-> 01:59:34,920 | ||
11091 | lower, but I was using the exit for the | ||
11092 | |||
11093 | 2774 | ||
11094 | 01:59:34,920 ~-~-> 01:59:35,970 | ||
11095 | optimal trade entry pattern. In other | ||
11096 | |||
11097 | 2775 | ||
11098 | 01:59:35,970 ~-~-> 01:59:37,170 | ||
11099 | words, I was looking at this. | ||
11100 | |||
11101 | 2776 | ||
11102 | 01:59:42,720 ~-~-> 01:59:45,630 | ||
11103 | I was using this area here to exit my | ||
11104 | |||
11105 | 2777 | ||
11106 | 01:59:45,630 ~-~-> 01:59:48,840 | ||
11107 | long pricing down filled the gap. But | ||
11108 | |||
11109 | 2778 | ||
11110 | 01:59:48,840 ~-~-> 01:59:50,100 | ||
11111 | more importantly, I want you to look at | ||
11112 | |||
11113 | 2779 | ||
11114 | 01:59:50,100 ~-~-> 01:59:51,810 | ||
11115 | what's going on. This is what I was | ||
11116 | |||
11117 | 2780 | ||
11118 | 01:59:51,810 ~-~-> 01:59:54,120 | ||
11119 | trading off of. I was betting that this | ||
11120 | |||
11121 | 2781 | ||
11122 | 01:59:54,120 ~-~-> 01:59:56,610 | ||
11123 | was the low of the day. Why? Because it | ||
11124 | |||
11125 | 2782 | ||
11126 | 01:59:56,610 ~-~-> 01:59:58,980 | ||
11127 | was happening in London, London, blew up | ||
11128 | |||
11129 | 2783 | ||
11130 | 01:59:58,980 ~-~-> 02:00:01,530 | ||
11131 | real hard and then retreat. Okay, and | ||
11132 | |||
11133 | 2784 | ||
11134 | 02:00:01,530 ~-~-> 02:00:03,390 | ||
11135 | fill the gap. If there was no gap in | ||
11136 | |||
11137 | 2785 | ||
11138 | 02:00:03,390 ~-~-> 02:00:04,590 | ||
11139 | here, I never would have took this trade | ||
11140 | |||
11141 | 2786 | ||
11142 | 02:00:04,650 ~-~-> 02:00:06,030 | ||
11143 | ever would have considered taking the | ||
11144 | |||
11145 | 2787 | ||
11146 | 02:00:06,030 ~-~-> 02:00:09,000 | ||
11147 | trade. But because there was a gap. I | ||
11148 | |||
11149 | 2788 | ||
11150 | 02:00:09,000 ~-~-> 02:00:11,490 | ||
11151 | went long in here with the expectation | ||
11152 | |||
11153 | 2789 | ||
11154 | 02:00:11,610 ~-~-> 02:00:13,320 | ||
11155 | that I would see a further move higher | ||
11156 | |||
11157 | 2790 | ||
11158 | 02:00:13,350 ~-~-> 02:00:16,920 | ||
11159 | why the vertical line delineates 11 GMT | ||
11160 | |||
11161 | 2791 | ||
11162 | 02:00:16,950 ~-~-> 02:00:19,710 | ||
11163 | or 6am, New York time? If we're going to | ||
11164 | |||
11165 | 2792 | ||
11166 | 02:00:19,710 ~-~-> 02:00:21,510 | ||
11167 | be a buyer, what do we like to see first | ||
11168 | |||
11169 | 2793 | ||
11170 | 02:00:21,540 ~-~-> 02:00:23,820 | ||
11171 | and Judas swing perspective? A down | ||
11172 | |||
11173 | 2794 | ||
11174 | 02:00:23,820 ~-~-> 02:00:25,830 | ||
11175 | move, see what it's done. Here's the | ||
11176 | |||
11177 | 2795 | ||
11178 | 02:00:25,830 ~-~-> 02:00:28,530 | ||
11179 | white line. This is New York. Judas | ||
11180 | |||
11181 | 2796 | ||
11182 | 02:00:28,590 ~-~-> 02:00:31,140 | ||
11183 | parameter like the five GMT New York for | ||
11184 | |||
11185 | 2797 | ||
11186 | 02:00:31,140 ~-~-> 02:00:33,570 | ||
11187 | London. We want to see a move down. | ||
11188 | |||
11189 | 2798 | ||
11190 | 02:00:33,930 ~-~-> 02:00:36,750 | ||
11191 | Also, it fills in a gap and it trades | ||
11192 | |||
11193 | 2799 | ||
11194 | 02:00:36,750 ~-~-> 02:00:40,470 | ||
11195 | into a previous order block rallies. See | ||
11196 | |||
11197 | 2800 | ||
11198 | 02:00:40,470 ~-~-> 02:00:47,070 | ||
11199 | that. If you are looking at over here | ||
11200 | |||
11201 | 2801 | ||
11202 | 02:00:51,030 ~-~-> 02:00:55,080 | ||
11203 | you have your London open down day. Here | ||
11204 | |||
11205 | 2802 | ||
11206 | 02:00:55,080 ~-~-> 02:00:56,820 | ||
11207 | is the New York session. So how do you | ||
11208 | |||
11209 | 2803 | ||
11210 | 02:00:56,820 ~-~-> 02:00:59,220 | ||
11211 | get in sync with getting in New York | ||
11212 | |||
11213 | 2804 | ||
11214 | 02:00:59,430 ~-~-> 02:01:02,250 | ||
11215 | while you want to see rally after 11 GMT | ||
11216 | |||
11217 | 2805 | ||
11218 | 02:01:02,250 ~-~-> 02:01:04,980 | ||
11219 | or 6am that rally that occurs later on. | ||
11220 | |||
11221 | 2806 | ||
11222 | 02:01:05,220 ~-~-> 02:01:08,460 | ||
11223 | That'll be the retracement inside of the | ||
11224 | |||
11225 | 2807 | ||
11226 | 02:01:08,700 ~-~-> 02:01:13,740 | ||
11227 | existing daily range. right up in here | ||
11228 | |||
11229 | 2808 | ||
11230 | 02:01:13,770 ~-~-> 02:01:16,740 | ||
11231 | 60% sell here. Try to get back to the | ||
11232 | |||
11233 | 2809 | ||
11234 | 02:01:16,740 ~-~-> 02:01:18,840 | ||
11235 | old low. Notice it doesn't do it here. | ||
11236 | |||
11237 | 2810 | ||
11238 | 02:01:19,200 ~-~-> 02:01:23,250 | ||
11239 | Failed trade. Okay. I'm giving you what | ||
11240 | |||
11241 | 2811 | ||
11242 | 02:01:23,280 ~-~-> 02:01:25,500 | ||
11243 | would what would happen guys I mean I'm | ||
11244 | |||
11245 | 2812 | ||
11246 | 02:01:25,770 ~-~-> 02:01:27,090 | ||
11247 | trying to keep it as real as I possibly | ||
11248 | |||
11249 | 2813 | ||
11250 | 02:01:27,090 ~-~-> 02:01:30,480 | ||
11251 | can you have a scenario here as well | ||
11252 | |||
11253 | 2814 | ||
11254 | 02:01:30,510 ~-~-> 02:01:33,360 | ||
11255 | yeah, the high coming off of the London | ||
11256 | |||
11257 | 2815 | ||
11258 | 02:01:33,360 ~-~-> 02:01:36,300 | ||
11259 | session trades down. We want to see a | ||
11260 | |||
11261 | 2816 | ||
11262 | 02:01:36,300 ~-~-> 02:01:39,420 | ||
11263 | rally after New York. Okay after New | ||
11264 | |||
11265 | 2817 | ||
11266 | 02:01:39,420 ~-~-> 02:01:39,750 | ||
11267 | York | ||
11268 | |||
11269 | 2818 | ||
11270 | 02:01:45,870 ~-~-> 02:01:48,090 | ||
11271 | never gives it to you here and you have | ||
11272 | |||
11273 | 2819 | ||
11274 | 02:01:48,090 ~-~-> 02:01:49,830 | ||
11275 | to wait to the final day on online. | ||
11276 | |||
11277 | 2820 | ||
11278 | 02:01:56,430 ~-~-> 02:02:00,360 | ||
11279 | Down moving here. You have You want to | ||
11280 | |||
11281 | 2821 | ||
11282 | 02:02:00,360 ~-~-> 02:02:02,460 | ||
11283 | see a retracement of some sort? Okay | ||
11284 | |||
11285 | 2822 | ||
11286 | 02:02:02,460 ~-~-> 02:02:07,620 | ||
11287 | retracement is again a New York can be | ||
11288 | |||
11289 | 2823 | ||
11290 | 02:02:07,620 ~-~-> 02:02:09,570 | ||
11291 | used for position trading guys that | ||
11292 | |||
11293 | 2824 | ||
11294 | 02:02:09,570 ~-~-> 02:02:12,450 | ||
11295 | can't be up there in London whatever you | ||
11296 | |||
11297 | 2825 | ||
11298 | 02:02:12,450 ~-~-> 02:02:15,000 | ||
11299 | would sell short here. You have to ride | ||
11300 | |||
11301 | 2826 | ||
11302 | 02:02:15,000 ~-~-> 02:02:17,070 | ||
11303 | out all through the previous I mean | ||
11304 | |||
11305 | 2827 | ||
11306 | 02:02:17,070 ~-~-> 02:02:19,050 | ||
11307 | sorry the next London session so you | ||
11308 | |||
11309 | 2828 | ||
11310 | 02:02:19,050 ~-~-> 02:02:20,460 | ||
11311 | can't move your stop you can't do | ||
11312 | |||
11313 | 2829 | ||
11314 | 02:02:20,460 ~-~-> 02:02:23,280 | ||
11315 | anything until the low is taken out. | ||
11316 | |||
11317 | 2830 | ||
11318 | 02:02:23,640 ~-~-> 02:02:24,900 | ||
11319 | muscle is taken out then you start | ||
11320 | |||
11321 | 2831 | ||
11322 | 02:02:24,900 ~-~-> 02:02:27,090 | ||
11323 | managing your trade and your stops But | ||
11324 | |||
11325 | 2832 | ||
11326 | 02:02:27,180 ~-~-> 02:02:28,890 | ||
11327 | until then, that's this is what you have | ||
11328 | |||
11329 | 2833 | ||
11330 | 02:02:28,890 ~-~-> 02:02:33,180 | ||
11331 | to work with. But using the new york | ||
11332 | |||
11333 | 2834 | ||
11334 | 02:02:33,570 ~-~-> 02:02:37,200 | ||
11335 | session period separate 11 GMT or six | ||
11336 | |||
11337 | 2835 | ||
11338 | 02:02:37,230 ~-~-> 02:02:39,060 | ||
11339 | and New York time you want to see the | ||
11340 | |||
11341 | 2836 | ||
11342 | 02:02:39,060 ~-~-> 02:02:41,250 | ||
11343 | rally. You know that rally is what sets | ||
11344 | |||
11345 | 2837 | ||
11346 | 02:02:41,250 ~-~-> 02:02:42,960 | ||
11347 | you up for the continuation of the | ||
11348 | |||
11349 | 2838 | ||
11350 | 02:02:42,960 ~-~-> 02:02:45,300 | ||
11351 | existing downtrend, downtrend. Okay, | ||
11352 | |||
11353 | 2839 | ||
11354 | 02:02:45,390 ~-~-> 02:02:47,940 | ||
11355 | framing your ideas with the London | ||
11356 | |||
11357 | 2840 | ||
11358 | 02:02:48,810 ~-~-> 02:02:50,700 | ||
11359 | backdrop of what's going on in London | ||
11360 | |||
11361 | 2841 | ||
11362 | 02:02:50,850 ~-~-> 02:02:54,270 | ||
11363 | and the overall trend being lower. But | ||
11364 | |||
11365 | 2842 | ||
11366 | 02:02:54,270 ~-~-> 02:02:59,940 | ||
11367 | using the 6am New York or 11 GMT window | ||
11368 | |||
11369 | 2843 | ||
11370 | 02:03:00,000 ~-~-> 02:03:02,790 | ||
11371 | But what that does afterwards okay is | ||
11372 | |||
11373 | 2844 | ||
11374 | 02:03:02,790 ~-~-> 02:03:04,530 | ||
11375 | sets the framework up for your trade. | ||
11376 | |||
11377 | 2845 | ||
11378 | 02:03:04,980 ~-~-> 02:03:06,600 | ||
11379 | Notice that we have the high formed in | ||
11380 | |||
11381 | 2846 | ||
11382 | 02:03:06,600 ~-~-> 02:03:08,730 | ||
11383 | London here. We didn't get any kind of a | ||
11384 | |||
11385 | 2847 | ||
11386 | 02:03:08,730 ~-~-> 02:03:10,650 | ||
11387 | rally on this day so we couldn't do any | ||
11388 | |||
11389 | 2848 | ||
11390 | 02:03:10,650 ~-~-> 02:03:12,810 | ||
11391 | country. There was no opportunity there | ||
11392 | |||
11393 | 2849 | ||
11394 | 02:03:12,810 ~-~-> 02:03:18,540 | ||
11395 | in New York. And nothing really to speak | ||
11396 | |||
11397 | 2850 | ||
11398 | 02:03:18,540 ~-~-> 02:03:24,420 | ||
11399 | of air either. Again, this is that same | ||
11400 | |||
11401 | 2851 | ||
11402 | 02:03:24,420 ~-~-> 02:03:26,640 | ||
11403 | day where it could have now this | ||
11404 | |||
11405 | 2852 | ||
11406 | 02:03:26,640 ~-~-> 02:03:28,410 | ||
11407 | classified as a delusion that you lost | ||
11408 | |||
11409 | 2853 | ||
11410 | 02:03:28,410 ~-~-> 02:03:32,460 | ||
11411 | money on that. The London session | ||
11412 | |||
11413 | 2854 | ||
11414 | 02:03:32,460 ~-~-> 02:03:35,280 | ||
11415 | creates the high here. Here's New York | ||
11416 | |||
11417 | 2855 | ||
11418 | 02:03:35,310 ~-~-> 02:03:40,590 | ||
11419 | at 6am. We see a rally rally up to what | ||
11420 | |||
11421 | 2856 | ||
11422 | 02:03:41,010 ~-~-> 02:03:43,470 | ||
11423 | old support broken becomes what | ||
11424 | |||
11425 | 2857 | ||
11426 | 02:03:43,500 ~-~-> 02:03:47,220 | ||
11427 | resistance boom okay. | ||
11428 | |||
11429 | 2858 | ||
11430 | 02:04:00,780 ~-~-> 02:04:04,410 | ||
11431 | High the day in London, New York. You | ||
11432 | |||
11433 | 2859 | ||
11434 | 02:04:04,410 ~-~-> 02:04:08,490 | ||
11435 | want to see what a rally after 6am or 11 | ||
11436 | |||
11437 | 2860 | ||
11438 | 02:04:08,490 ~-~-> 02:04:14,160 | ||
11439 | GMT there's a rally into old resistance. | ||
11440 | |||
11441 | 2861 | ||
11442 | 02:04:15,180 ~-~-> 02:04:17,520 | ||
11443 | So you have a five minute optimal trade | ||
11444 | |||
11445 | 2862 | ||
11446 | 02:04:17,520 ~-~-> 02:04:19,650 | ||
11447 | entry in here you could have scaled into | ||
11448 | |||
11449 | 2863 | ||
11450 | 02:04:19,650 ~-~-> 02:04:23,010 | ||
11451 | even with smaller risk but you're also | ||
11452 | |||
11453 | 2864 | ||
11454 | 02:04:23,010 ~-~-> 02:04:29,220 | ||
11455 | playing up against this old low using | ||
11456 | |||
11457 | 2865 | ||
11458 | 02:04:29,220 ~-~-> 02:04:33,120 | ||
11459 | the body of candles right there okay, so | ||
11460 | |||
11461 | 2866 | ||
11462 | 02:04:33,120 ~-~-> 02:04:36,000 | ||
11463 | you took out an old low broke through it | ||
11464 | |||
11465 | 2867 | ||
11466 | 02:04:36,000 ~-~-> 02:04:39,270 | ||
11467 | came back find that as us support broken | ||
11468 | |||
11469 | 2868 | ||
11470 | 02:04:39,360 ~-~-> 02:04:40,890 | ||
11471 | turn resistance and we had another | ||
11472 | |||
11473 | 2869 | ||
11474 | 02:04:41,130 ~-~-> 02:04:42,990 | ||
11475 | trader and then even blew through it | ||
11476 | |||
11477 | 2870 | ||
11478 | 02:04:42,990 ~-~-> 02:04:46,470 | ||
11479 | just a little bit Tim nice of them. Nice | ||
11480 | |||
11481 | 2871 | ||
11482 | 02:04:46,470 ~-~-> 02:04:48,150 | ||
11483 | they were about doing it right there's | ||
11484 | |||
11485 | 2872 | ||
11486 | 02:04:48,150 ~-~-> 02:04:50,010 | ||
11487 | the highs that are equal. Now I told you | ||
11488 | |||
11489 | 2873 | ||
11490 | 02:04:50,280 ~-~-> 02:04:52,080 | ||
11491 | the best moves occur after the stop read | ||
11492 | |||
11493 | 2874 | ||
11494 | 02:04:52,110 ~-~-> 02:04:53,850 | ||
11495 | stops gonna be read above that or at | ||
11496 | |||
11497 | 2875 | ||
11498 | 02:04:53,850 ~-~-> 02:04:59,100 | ||
11499 | that high. Ben downing goes okay. And | ||
11500 | |||
11501 | 2876 | ||
11502 | 02:04:59,100 ~-~-> 02:05:01,410 | ||
11503 | this is in the doldrums of summer guys, | ||
11504 | |||
11505 | 2877 | ||
11506 | 02:05:01,410 ~-~-> 02:05:04,710 | ||
11507 | and this is August. This, I mean, not | ||
11508 | |||
11509 | 2878 | ||
11510 | 02:05:04,710 ~-~-> 02:05:06,750 | ||
11511 | August, in July, July and August really, | ||
11512 | |||
11513 | 2879 | ||
11514 | 02:05:06,870 ~-~-> 02:05:10,410 | ||
11515 | really crummiest in terms of volatility. | ||
11516 | |||
11517 | 2880 | ||
11518 | 02:05:10,470 ~-~-> 02:05:13,320 | ||
11519 | It's really nasty in terms of cleanness | ||
11520 | |||
11521 | 2881 | ||
11522 | 02:05:13,320 ~-~-> 02:05:16,080 | ||
11523 | in terms of where price can go perfectly | ||
11524 | |||
11525 | 2882 | ||
11526 | 02:05:16,080 ~-~-> 02:05:18,870 | ||
11527 | in turn around. That's why a lot of | ||
11528 | |||
11529 | 2883 | ||
11530 | 02:05:18,900 ~-~-> 02:05:23,790 | ||
11531 | weight is mainly placed on the daily and | ||
11532 | |||
11533 | 2884 | ||
11534 | 02:05:23,820 ~-~-> 02:05:25,650 | ||
11535 | even weekly charts really, because it'll | ||
11536 | |||
11537 | 2885 | ||
11538 | 02:05:26,070 ~-~-> 02:05:27,990 | ||
11539 | give you the framework that you need to | ||
11540 | |||
11541 | 2886 | ||
11542 | 02:05:27,990 ~-~-> 02:05:30,480 | ||
11543 | have for these large institutions to be | ||
11544 | |||
11545 | 2887 | ||
11546 | 02:05:30,480 ~-~-> 02:05:33,420 | ||
11547 | behind your trades. So while we | ||
11548 | |||
11549 | 2888 | ||
11550 | 02:05:33,420 ~-~-> 02:05:36,480 | ||
11551 | basically looked at targeting time of | ||
11552 | |||
11553 | 2889 | ||
11554 | 02:05:36,480 ~-~-> 02:05:38,340 | ||
11555 | day power three Judas swings, how to | ||
11556 | |||
11557 | 2890 | ||
11558 | 02:05:38,340 ~-~-> 02:05:40,560 | ||
11559 | apply it with both not only the New York | ||
11560 | |||
11561 | 2891 | ||
11562 | 02:05:40,560 ~-~-> 02:05:42,510 | ||
11563 | session, but the London session as well. | ||
11564 | |||
11565 | 2892 | ||
11566 | 02:05:43,380 ~-~-> 02:05:47,640 | ||
11567 | We talked about the the mapping aspect | ||
11568 | |||
11569 | 2893 | ||
11570 | 02:05:47,640 ~-~-> 02:05:49,680 | ||
11571 | of putting the boxes on your chart like | ||
11572 | |||
11573 | 2894 | ||
11574 | 02:05:49,680 ~-~-> 02:05:51,120 | ||
11575 | we have here, this orange box and what | ||
11576 | |||
11577 | 2895 | ||
11578 | 02:05:51,120 ~-~-> 02:05:53,850 | ||
11579 | it means Okay, and again, it's to | ||
11580 | |||
11581 | 2896 | ||
11582 | 02:05:53,940 ~-~-> 02:05:57,120 | ||
11583 | bracket out a pocket of price action, | ||
11584 | |||
11585 | 2897 | ||
11586 | 02:05:57,330 ~-~-> 02:05:59,070 | ||
11587 | that the higher time frames are telling | ||
11588 | |||
11589 | 2898 | ||
11590 | 02:05:59,070 ~-~-> 02:06:01,590 | ||
11591 | us this direction is most likely going | ||
11592 | |||
11593 | 2899 | ||
11594 | 02:06:01,590 ~-~-> 02:06:04,530 | ||
11595 | to be. And in this case, we mapped out | ||
11596 | |||
11597 | 2900 | ||
11598 | 02:06:04,560 ~-~-> 02:06:07,110 | ||
11599 | that it was going lower. So while we're | ||
11600 | |||
11601 | 2901 | ||
11602 | 02:06:07,170 ~-~-> 02:06:09,720 | ||
11603 | in the intraday perspective, we are | ||
11604 | |||
11605 | 2902 | ||
11606 | 02:06:09,720 ~-~-> 02:06:12,810 | ||
11607 | cognizant of the lower time frame, I'm | ||
11608 | |||
11609 | 2903 | ||
11610 | 02:06:12,810 ~-~-> 02:06:14,040 | ||
11611 | sorry, the higher time frames moving | ||
11612 | |||
11613 | 2904 | ||
11614 | 02:06:14,070 ~-~-> 02:06:16,440 | ||
11615 | lower. So we want to be more focused in | ||
11616 | |||
11617 | 2905 | ||
11618 | 02:06:16,440 ~-~-> 02:06:18,780 | ||
11619 | on finding sell scenarios, at specific | ||
11620 | |||
11621 | 2906 | ||
11622 | 02:06:18,780 ~-~-> 02:06:21,990 | ||
11623 | times of the day. with specific, you | ||
11624 | |||
11625 | 2907 | ||
11626 | 02:06:21,990 ~-~-> 02:06:24,060 | ||
11627 | know, reoccurring themes that either be | ||
11628 | |||
11629 | 2908 | ||
11630 | 02:06:24,060 ~-~-> 02:06:25,320 | ||
11631 | the apple trade entry or the turtle | ||
11632 | |||
11633 | 2909 | ||
11634 | 02:06:25,320 ~-~-> 02:06:32,130 | ||
11635 | suit. It would be advantageous for you | ||
11636 | |||
11637 | 2910 | ||
11638 | 02:06:32,130 ~-~-> 02:06:35,190 | ||
11639 | to study market profiling to a great | ||
11640 | |||
11641 | 2911 | ||
11642 | 02:06:35,190 ~-~-> 02:06:37,200 | ||
11643 | degree. And I mean by that is markets | ||
11644 | |||
11645 | 2912 | ||
11646 | 02:06:37,200 ~-~-> 02:06:39,990 | ||
11647 | move from consolidation, to trend to | ||
11648 | |||
11649 | 2913 | ||
11650 | 02:06:39,990 ~-~-> 02:06:42,000 | ||
11651 | reversal, okay, there's only three | ||
11652 | |||
11653 | 2914 | ||
11654 | 02:06:42,000 ~-~-> 02:06:43,860 | ||
11655 | things that can happen. The markets | ||
11656 | |||
11657 | 2915 | ||
11658 | 02:06:43,950 ~-~-> 02:06:46,620 | ||
11659 | gonna go sideways in a range, or it's | ||
11660 | |||
11661 | 2916 | ||
11662 | 02:06:46,620 ~-~-> 02:06:48,990 | ||
11663 | going to trend and break out basically, | ||
11664 | |||
11665 | 2917 | ||
11666 | 02:06:49,440 ~-~-> 02:06:51,630 | ||
11667 | or once again, once it hits a resistance | ||
11668 | |||
11669 | 2918 | ||
11670 | 02:06:51,630 ~-~-> 02:06:53,400 | ||
11671 | or support of greater measure, it'll | ||
11672 | |||
11673 | 2919 | ||
11674 | 02:06:53,400 ~-~-> 02:06:55,740 | ||
11675 | reverse. They're the only three things | ||
11676 | |||
11677 | 2920 | ||
11678 | 02:06:55,740 ~-~-> 02:06:57,330 | ||
11679 | that can happen with price. It's either | ||
11680 | |||
11681 | 2921 | ||
11682 | 02:06:57,330 ~-~-> 02:06:59,880 | ||
11683 | going sideways, it's going up, or it's | ||
11684 | |||
11685 | 2922 | ||
11686 | 02:06:59,880 ~-~-> 02:07:02,130 | ||
11687 | going Going down and based on the the | ||
11688 | |||
11689 | 2923 | ||
11690 | 02:07:02,130 ~-~-> 02:07:03,930 | ||
11691 | three primary profiles which is | ||
11692 | |||
11693 | 2924 | ||
11694 | 02:07:03,930 ~-~-> 02:07:05,460 | ||
11695 | consolidation which is range bound, | ||
11696 | |||
11697 | 2925 | ||
11698 | 02:07:06,120 ~-~-> 02:07:09,000 | ||
11699 | okay? And then you see that here, here's | ||
11700 | |||
11701 | 2926 | ||
11702 | 02:07:09,000 ~-~-> 02:07:14,430 | ||
11703 | consolidation, okay. reversal trend | ||
11704 | |||
11705 | 2927 | ||
11706 | 02:07:16,140 ~-~-> 02:07:17,040 | ||
11707 | consolidation. | ||
11708 | |||
11709 | 2928 | ||
11710 | 02:07:25,590 ~-~-> 02:07:29,700 | ||
11711 | In here we have a reversal, old highs | ||
11712 | |||
11713 | 2929 | ||
11714 | 02:07:29,700 ~-~-> 02:07:31,560 | ||
11715 | taken out reversal. So we're in | ||
11716 | |||
11717 | 2930 | ||
11718 | 02:07:31,560 ~-~-> 02:07:35,340 | ||
11719 | consolidation, reversal, trade lower | ||
11720 | |||
11721 | 2931 | ||
11722 | 02:07:35,610 ~-~-> 02:07:41,760 | ||
11723 | trending. consolidation, trending | ||
11724 | |||
11725 | 2932 | ||
11726 | 02:07:41,790 ~-~-> 02:07:47,070 | ||
11727 | reversal. consolidation, trending, | ||
11728 | |||
11729 | 2933 | ||
11730 | 02:07:47,340 ~-~-> 02:07:51,870 | ||
11731 | reversal. consolidating, trending, | ||
11732 | |||
11733 | 2934 | ||
11734 | 02:07:53,790 ~-~-> 02:07:59,970 | ||
11735 | consolidating, reversal consolidating | ||
11736 | |||
11737 | 2935 | ||
11738 | 02:08:01,920 ~-~-> 02:08:04,440 | ||
11739 | trending, if you only want to call that, | ||
11740 | |||
11741 | 2936 | ||
11742 | 02:08:05,010 ~-~-> 02:08:06,750 | ||
11743 | now we're in consolidation again, okay, | ||
11744 | |||
11745 | 2937 | ||
11746 | 02:08:06,750 ~-~-> 02:08:09,150 | ||
11747 | so by understanding where we're at in | ||
11748 | |||
11749 | 2938 | ||
11750 | 02:08:09,150 ~-~-> 02:08:10,650 | ||
11751 | the cycle, and there's no real | ||
11752 | |||
11753 | 2939 | ||
11754 | 02:08:11,220 ~-~-> 02:08:14,370 | ||
11755 | repeating, consolidation, trend | ||
11756 | |||
11757 | 2940 | ||
11758 | 02:08:14,370 ~-~-> 02:08:16,440 | ||
11759 | reversal, okay? But it does go from | ||
11760 | |||
11761 | 2941 | ||
11762 | 02:08:16,440 ~-~-> 02:08:19,020 | ||
11763 | consolidation to trend, that before you | ||
11764 | |||
11765 | 2942 | ||
11766 | 02:08:19,020 ~-~-> 02:08:20,520 | ||
11767 | see a trend, there's a consolidation. | ||
11768 | |||
11769 | 2943 | ||
11770 | 02:08:20,700 ~-~-> 02:08:22,920 | ||
11771 | And inside the consolidation is where | ||
11772 | |||
11773 | 2944 | ||
11774 | 02:08:22,920 ~-~-> 02:08:24,780 | ||
11775 | all the Smart Money accumulation is | ||
11776 | |||
11777 | 2945 | ||
11778 | 02:08:24,780 ~-~-> 02:08:26,580 | ||
11779 | being done, whether it be buying and | ||
11780 | |||
11781 | 2946 | ||
11782 | 02:08:26,580 ~-~-> 02:08:29,250 | ||
11783 | selling. So hopefully this has been | ||
11784 | |||
11785 | 2947 | ||
11786 | 02:08:29,250 ~-~-> 02:08:31,590 | ||
11787 | insightful to you guys. Obviously, | ||
11788 | |||
11789 | 2948 | ||
11790 | 02:08:31,590 ~-~-> 02:08:33,270 | ||
11791 | understanding seasonal tendencies and | ||
11792 | |||
11793 | 2949 | ||
11794 | 02:08:33,330 ~-~-> 02:08:35,520 | ||
11795 | honestly, if you if you do a search on | ||
11796 | |||
11797 | 2950 | ||
11798 | 02:08:36,090 ~-~-> 02:08:39,960 | ||
11799 | more research, and that's m o r e, he | ||
11800 | |||
11801 | 2951 | ||
11802 | 02:08:39,960 ~-~-> 02:08:41,640 | ||
11803 | has in my opinion, the best seasonal | ||
11804 | |||
11805 | 2952 | ||
11806 | 02:08:41,640 ~-~-> 02:08:43,500 | ||
11807 | tendency stuff there is. But you can | ||
11808 | |||
11809 | 2953 | ||
11810 | 02:08:43,530 ~-~-> 02:08:46,440 | ||
11811 | pull up seasonal tendency, graphs on | ||
11812 | |||
11813 | 2954 | ||
11814 | 02:08:46,470 ~-~-> 02:08:49,410 | ||
11815 | every everything from commodities, to | ||
11816 | |||
11817 | 2955 | ||
11818 | 02:08:49,680 ~-~-> 02:08:51,900 | ||
11819 | currencies and such and oil. If you're | ||
11820 | |||
11821 | 2956 | ||
11822 | 02:08:51,900 ~-~-> 02:08:54,360 | ||
11823 | trading, crude oil, gold, silver, all | ||
11824 | |||
11825 | 2957 | ||
11826 | 02:08:54,360 ~-~-> 02:08:55,530 | ||
11827 | that stuff, you have all that stuff. And | ||
11828 | |||
11829 | 2958 | ||
11830 | 02:08:55,530 ~-~-> 02:08:57,210 | ||
11831 | if you just Google it on the internet, | ||
11832 | |||
11833 | 2959 | ||
11834 | 02:08:58,170 ~-~-> 02:09:01,080 | ||
11835 | you can find all that stuff but Applying | ||
11836 | |||
11837 | 2960 | ||
11838 | 02:09:01,080 ~-~-> 02:09:03,180 | ||
11839 | seasonal tendencies to you the higher | ||
11840 | |||
11841 | 2961 | ||
11842 | 02:09:03,180 ~-~-> 02:09:05,310 | ||
11843 | time frames as well kind of gets you set | ||
11844 | |||
11845 | 2962 | ||
11846 | 02:09:05,700 ~-~-> 02:09:08,010 | ||
11847 | for when there's a likely buy or sell | ||
11848 | |||
11849 | 2963 | ||
11850 | 02:09:08,010 ~-~-> 02:09:10,770 | ||
11851 | program. Coming Your Way, a lot, a lot | ||
11852 | |||
11853 | 2964 | ||
11854 | 02:09:10,770 ~-~-> 02:09:13,290 | ||
11855 | of my longer term analysis, where I've | ||
11856 | |||
11857 | 2965 | ||
11858 | 02:09:13,290 ~-~-> 02:09:16,020 | ||
11859 | called major highs and lows, more than | ||
11860 | |||
11861 | 2966 | ||
11862 | 02:09:16,020 ~-~-> 02:09:17,850 | ||
11863 | most likely going to form and then move | ||
11864 | |||
11865 | 2967 | ||
11866 | 02:09:17,850 ~-~-> 02:09:19,770 | ||
11867 | into a new buying opportunity or selling | ||
11868 | |||
11869 | 2968 | ||
11870 | 02:09:19,800 ~-~-> 02:09:22,530 | ||
11871 | opportunity that's really hinged on the | ||
11872 | |||
11873 | 2969 | ||
11874 | 02:09:22,560 ~-~-> 02:09:25,050 | ||
11875 | co2 data, and seasonal seasonal | ||
11876 | |||
11877 | 2970 | ||
11878 | 02:09:25,050 ~-~-> 02:09:26,970 | ||
11879 | tendencies. with higher levels support | ||
11880 | |||
11881 | 2971 | ||
11882 | 02:09:26,970 ~-~-> 02:09:28,290 | ||
11883 | resistance, that's all it is, guys, | ||
11884 | |||
11885 | 2972 | ||
11886 | 02:09:28,290 ~-~-> 02:09:30,360 | ||
11887 | that's really all it is. And by having | ||
11888 | |||
11889 | 2973 | ||
11890 | 02:09:30,360 ~-~-> 02:09:33,720 | ||
11891 | these tools combined together, applying | ||
11892 | |||
11893 | 2974 | ||
11894 | 02:09:33,720 ~-~-> 02:09:37,410 | ||
11895 | them will give you a huge edge that just | ||
11896 | |||
11897 | 2975 | ||
11898 | 02:09:37,410 ~-~-> 02:09:39,210 | ||
11899 | the retail traders just simply don't | ||
11900 | |||
11901 | 2976 | ||
11902 | 02:09:39,210 ~-~-> 02:09:42,810 | ||
11903 | even exist in terms of you know, they | ||
11904 | |||
11905 | 2977 | ||
11906 | 02:09:42,810 ~-~-> 02:09:44,580 | ||
11907 | don't even know this, this level of | ||
11908 | |||
11909 | 2978 | ||
11910 | 02:09:44,580 ~-~-> 02:09:47,370 | ||
11911 | precision is available. Okay. And when | ||
11912 | |||
11913 | 2979 | ||
11914 | 02:09:47,370 ~-~-> 02:09:49,110 | ||
11915 | we go into the fall, and we trade | ||
11916 | |||
11917 | 2980 | ||
11918 | 02:09:49,110 ~-~-> 02:09:50,790 | ||
11919 | through the winter months and early | ||
11920 | |||
11921 | 2981 | ||
11922 | 02:09:50,790 ~-~-> 02:09:54,600 | ||
11923 | spring, the liquidity that is available, | ||
11924 | |||
11925 | 2982 | ||
11926 | 02:09:54,600 ~-~-> 02:09:57,030 | ||
11927 | then you'll see because we're gonna be | ||
11928 | |||
11929 | 2983 | ||
11930 | 02:09:57,030 ~-~-> 02:09:58,500 | ||
11931 | doing it live over my shoulder and | ||
11932 | |||
11933 | 2984 | ||
11934 | 02:09:58,500 ~-~-> 02:09:59,910 | ||
11935 | you'll see all these things happening. | ||
11936 | |||
11937 | 2985 | ||
11938 | 02:10:00,000 ~-~-> 02:10:02,160 | ||
11939 | In advanced setting up the all the news | ||
11940 | |||
11941 | 2986 | ||
11942 | 02:10:02,160 ~-~-> 02:10:03,840 | ||
11943 | and what we anticipate seeing and all | ||
11944 | |||
11945 | 2987 | ||
11946 | 02:10:03,840 ~-~-> 02:10:06,030 | ||
11947 | that stuff, when that when that happens, | ||
11948 | |||
11949 | 2988 | ||
11950 | 02:10:06,060 ~-~-> 02:10:08,340 | ||
11951 | it will be a learning experience unlike | ||
11952 | |||
11953 | 2989 | ||
11954 | 02:10:08,340 ~-~-> 02:10:10,560 | ||
11955 | any other for you. And I'm going to | ||
11956 | |||
11957 | 2990 | ||
11958 | 02:10:10,560 ~-~-> 02:10:13,170 | ||
11959 | close my teaching out this year with | ||
11960 | |||
11961 | 2991 | ||
11962 | 02:10:13,170 ~-~-> 02:10:14,940 | ||
11963 | this because obviously, you know, as a | ||
11964 | |||
11965 | 2992 | ||
11966 | 02:10:14,940 ~-~-> 02:10:17,820 | ||
11967 | mentor, I'm retiring, and 2015 will be | ||
11968 | |||
11969 | 2993 | ||
11970 | 02:10:17,820 ~-~-> 02:10:20,370 | ||
11971 | the beginning of my, you know, life away | ||
11972 | |||
11973 | 2994 | ||
11974 | 02:10:20,370 ~-~-> 02:10:23,040 | ||
11975 | from teaching. But my resources will be | ||
11976 | |||
11977 | 2995 | ||
11978 | 02:10:23,040 ~-~-> 02:10:24,150 | ||
11979 | still available on the internet, | ||
11980 | |||
11981 | 2996 | ||
11982 | 02:10:24,180 ~-~-> 02:10:26,430 | ||
11983 | obviously, my email address, you can | ||
11984 | |||
11985 | 2997 | ||
11986 | 02:10:26,430 ~-~-> 02:10:28,950 | ||
11987 | always reach me at ICT at the inner | ||
11988 | |||
11989 | 2998 | ||
11990 | 02:10:28,950 ~-~-> 02:10:31,140 | ||
11991 | circle trader calm and as a backup email | ||
11992 | |||
11993 | 2999 | ||
11994 | 02:10:31,140 ~-~-> 02:10:35,370 | ||
11995 | address, inner circle trader@gmail.com. | ||
11996 | |||
11997 | 3000 | ||
11998 | 02:10:35,520 ~-~-> 02:10:37,200 | ||
11999 | And obviously, with everything that | ||
12000 | |||
12001 | 3001 | ||
12002 | 02:10:37,230 ~-~-> 02:10:38,580 | ||
12003 | we've shared in here, this is this | ||
12004 | |||
12005 | 3002 | ||
12006 | 02:10:39,000 ~-~-> 02:10:42,570 | ||
12007 | massive, massive contents, condensing | ||
12008 | |||
12009 | 3003 | ||
12010 | 02:10:42,690 ~-~-> 02:10:45,390 | ||
12011 | content condensing rather of all the | ||
12012 | |||
12013 | 3004 | ||
12014 | 02:10:45,420 ~-~-> 02:10:46,980 | ||
12015 | materials that I've been sharing over | ||
12016 | |||
12017 | 3005 | ||
12018 | 02:10:46,980 ~-~-> 02:10:49,590 | ||
12019 | the last four years. Now it's much much | ||
12020 | |||
12021 | 3006 | ||
12022 | 02:10:49,590 ~-~-> 02:10:51,420 | ||
12023 | more that can be done in terms of | ||
12024 | |||
12025 | 3007 | ||
12026 | 02:10:51,420 ~-~-> 02:10:53,700 | ||
12027 | reviewing and go on and on, but it would | ||
12028 | |||
12029 | 3008 | ||
12030 | 02:10:53,700 ~-~-> 02:10:55,680 | ||
12031 | take me another four years to do it, you | ||
12032 | |||
12033 | 3009 | ||
12034 | 02:10:55,680 ~-~-> 02:10:58,500 | ||
12035 | know me, so we'll be doing a lot of | ||
12036 | |||
12037 | 3010 | ||
12038 | 02:10:58,500 ~-~-> 02:11:00,600 | ||
12039 | application which will help you Get up | ||
12040 | |||
12041 | 3011 | ||
12042 | 02:11:00,600 ~-~-> 02:11:01,800 | ||
12043 | to speed. But for those that are just | ||
12044 | |||
12045 | 3012 | ||
12046 | 02:11:01,800 ~-~-> 02:11:04,530 | ||
12047 | not warmed up to my material, this kind | ||
12048 | |||
12049 | 3013 | ||
12050 | 02:11:04,530 ~-~-> 02:11:06,540 | ||
12051 | of like is like an overview, if you will | ||
12052 | |||
12053 | 3014 | ||
12054 | 02:11:06,570 ~-~-> 02:11:08,160 | ||
12055 | a real Crash Course of the things that | ||
12056 | |||
12057 | 3015 | ||
12058 | 02:11:08,160 ~-~-> 02:11:09,780 | ||
12059 | we do, and we don't for the last four | ||
12060 | |||
12061 | 3016 | ||
12062 | 02:11:09,780 ~-~-> 02:11:11,970 | ||
12063 | years, and you'll start to see | ||
12064 | |||
12065 | 3017 | ||
12066 | 02:11:12,030 ~-~-> 02:11:14,010 | ||
12067 | everything I talk about in real time, it | ||
12068 | |||
12069 | 3018 | ||
12070 | 02:11:14,010 ~-~-> 02:11:15,780 | ||
12071 | won't be made up, it'll be all hinged on | ||
12072 | |||
12073 | 3019 | ||
12074 | 02:11:15,780 ~-~-> 02:11:16,950 | ||
12075 | the stuff that's been talked about for | ||
12076 | |||
12077 | 3020 | ||
12078 | 02:11:16,950 ~-~-> 02:11:18,900 | ||
12079 | the last four years and documented on it | ||
12080 | |||
12081 | 3021 | ||
12082 | 02:11:19,020 ~-~-> 02:11:20,910 | ||
12083 | on the internet. I mean, it's not like, | ||
12084 | |||
12085 | 3022 | ||
12086 | 02:11:21,330 ~-~-> 02:11:22,980 | ||
12087 | you know, just start tweaking these | ||
12088 | |||
12089 | 3023 | ||
12090 | 02:11:22,980 ~-~-> 02:11:24,390 | ||
12091 | things every every day to make it work | ||
12092 | |||
12093 | 3024 | ||
12094 | 02:11:24,390 ~-~-> 02:11:26,610 | ||
12095 | better. This is the stuff that's in my | ||
12096 | |||
12097 | 3025 | ||
12098 | 02:11:26,610 ~-~-> 02:11:28,320 | ||
12099 | repertoire. It's stuff that I used to | ||
12100 | |||
12101 | 3026 | ||
12102 | 02:11:28,320 ~-~-> 02:11:29,730 | ||
12103 | trade, it's stuff that other traders | ||
12104 | |||
12105 | 3027 | ||
12106 | 02:11:29,730 ~-~-> 02:11:31,410 | ||
12107 | have been using for a long period of | ||
12108 | |||
12109 | 3028 | ||
12110 | 02:11:31,410 ~-~-> 02:11:33,420 | ||
12111 | time. they're familiar with my stuff, | ||
12112 | |||
12113 | 3029 | ||
12114 | 02:11:33,420 ~-~-> 02:11:35,790 | ||
12115 | and they are doing very well. So I'm | ||
12116 | |||
12117 | 3030 | ||
12118 | 02:11:35,790 ~-~-> 02:11:37,890 | ||
12119 | going to close it here. This ends our | ||
12120 | |||
12121 | 3031 | ||
12122 | 02:11:37,920 ~-~-> 02:11:40,980 | ||
12123 | series on what every new indoor aspiring | ||
12124 | |||
12125 | 3032 | ||
12126 | 02:11:40,980 ~-~-> 02:11:42,450 | ||
12127 | for shooter wants to know, recap or | ||
12128 | |||
12129 | 3033 | ||
12130 | 02:11:42,450 ~-~-> 02:11:45,180 | ||
12131 | review. And now everything going forward | ||
12132 | |||
12133 | 3034 | ||
12134 | 02:11:45,390 ~-~-> 02:11:47,760 | ||
12135 | will be real time, doing the drills, | ||
12136 | |||
12137 | 3035 | ||
12138 | 02:11:47,760 ~-~-> 02:11:50,460 | ||
12139 | doing all the research projects and all | ||
12140 | |||
12141 | 3036 | ||
12142 | 02:11:50,460 ~-~-> 02:11:52,500 | ||
12143 | the stuff that's necessary for you. But | ||
12144 | |||
12145 | 3037 | ||
12146 | 02:11:52,530 ~-~-> 02:11:54,030 | ||
12147 | I'm condensing what you should be done | ||
12148 | |||
12149 | 3038 | ||
12150 | 02:11:54,030 ~-~-> 02:11:56,340 | ||
12151 | for six months into just one month. So | ||
12152 | |||
12153 | 3039 | ||
12154 | 02:11:56,340 ~-~-> 02:11:57,570 | ||
12155 | by the time we're in the second week of | ||
12156 | |||
12157 | 3040 | ||
12158 | 02:11:57,570 ~-~-> 02:11:58,950 | ||
12159 | September, we'll be in the swing of | ||
12160 | |||
12161 | 3041 | ||
12162 | 02:11:58,950 ~-~-> 02:12:00,840 | ||
12163 | things with live trading. A Live | ||
12164 | |||
12165 | 3042 | ||
12166 | 02:12:00,840 ~-~-> 02:12:02,340 | ||
12167 | account. So with that, guys, we wish you | ||
12168 | |||
12169 | 3043 | ||
12170 | 02:12:02,340 ~-~-> 02:12:03,870 | ||
12171 | good luck and good trading. |