Wiki source code of ICT - Sniper Course - 06 - First Aid module - Swing Projection.srt
Version 1.1 by Drunk Monkey on 2020-11-20 16:36
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1 | 1 | ||
2 | 00:00:55,980 ~-~-> 00:00:58,500 | ||
3 | ICT: Okay guys, welcome to the sixth | ||
4 | |||
5 | 2 | ||
6 | 00:00:58,530 ~-~-> 00:01:02,880 | ||
7 | installment the it CT sniper series and | ||
8 | |||
9 | 3 | ||
10 | 00:01:02,880 ~-~-> 00:01:05,670 | ||
11 | we're going to be looking at few things | ||
12 | |||
13 | 4 | ||
14 | 00:01:05,670 ~-~-> 00:01:07,830 | ||
15 | in this topic, this is probably going to | ||
16 | |||
17 | 5 | ||
18 | 00:01:07,830 ~-~-> 00:01:09,780 | ||
19 | be one of the most brief out of the | ||
20 | |||
21 | 6 | ||
22 | 00:01:09,780 ~-~-> 00:01:11,610 | ||
23 | series, but I promise you, we're gonna | ||
24 | |||
25 | 7 | ||
26 | 00:01:11,610 ~-~-> 00:01:16,170 | ||
27 | have a gangbusters the last two episodes | ||
28 | |||
29 | 8 | ||
30 | 00:01:16,170 ~-~-> 00:01:18,360 | ||
31 | in the series. This one's kind of | ||
32 | |||
33 | 9 | ||
34 | 00:01:18,660 ~-~-> 00:01:21,060 | ||
35 | important because it really focuses on | ||
36 | |||
37 | 10 | ||
38 | 00:01:21,060 ~-~-> 00:01:23,580 | ||
39 | the risk aspect of trading and the | ||
40 | |||
41 | 11 | ||
42 | 00:01:23,580 ~-~-> 00:01:25,920 | ||
43 | element of reducing risk and controlling | ||
44 | |||
45 | 12 | ||
46 | 00:01:25,920 ~-~-> 00:01:29,400 | ||
47 | risk. While we essentially can't remove | ||
48 | |||
49 | 13 | ||
50 | 00:01:29,400 ~-~-> 00:01:32,430 | ||
51 | entirely every aspect of the risk, we | ||
52 | |||
53 | 14 | ||
54 | 00:01:32,430 ~-~-> 00:01:36,570 | ||
55 | can do our best to try to control it as | ||
56 | |||
57 | 15 | ||
58 | 00:01:36,570 ~-~-> 00:01:40,380 | ||
59 | best we can and or mitigate the effects | ||
60 | |||
61 | 16 | ||
62 | 00:01:40,410 ~-~-> 00:01:45,270 | ||
63 | of risk over a period of time. In this | ||
64 | |||
65 | 17 | ||
66 | 00:01:45,390 ~-~-> 00:01:47,940 | ||
67 | episode, we're going to obviously look | ||
68 | |||
69 | 18 | ||
70 | 00:01:47,940 ~-~-> 00:01:51,660 | ||
71 | at every view of the previous episodes | ||
72 | |||
73 | 19 | ||
74 | 00:01:51,660 ~-~-> 00:01:55,860 | ||
75 | assignment, projecting swing targets and | ||
76 | |||
77 | 20 | ||
78 | 00:01:55,860 ~-~-> 00:01:57,720 | ||
79 | we'll be looking at some examples and | ||
80 | |||
81 | 21 | ||
82 | 00:01:57,720 ~-~-> 00:02:01,200 | ||
83 | projections and illustrate form that | ||
84 | |||
85 | 22 | ||
86 | 00:02:01,200 ~-~-> 00:02:03,810 | ||
87 | we're going to be giving you a Euro USD | ||
88 | |||
89 | 23 | ||
90 | 00:02:03,810 ~-~-> 00:02:07,650 | ||
91 | bullish example a Euro USD bearish | ||
92 | |||
93 | 24 | ||
94 | 00:02:07,650 ~-~-> 00:02:13,530 | ||
95 | example controlling risk and effective | ||
96 | |||
97 | 25 | ||
98 | 00:02:13,560 ~-~-> 00:02:16,830 | ||
99 | stop loss placement. Okay, we're gonna | ||
100 | |||
101 | 26 | ||
102 | 00:02:16,830 ~-~-> 00:02:18,450 | ||
103 | be looking at the concept of limiting | ||
104 | |||
105 | 27 | ||
106 | 00:02:18,450 ~-~-> 00:02:21,210 | ||
107 | your trading to a defined risk percent | ||
108 | |||
109 | 28 | ||
110 | 00:02:21,210 ~-~-> 00:02:25,590 | ||
111 | of equity what is the industry standard? | ||
112 | |||
113 | 29 | ||
114 | 00:02:27,960 ~-~-> 00:02:32,940 | ||
115 | What is ideal for most speculators and | ||
116 | |||
117 | 30 | ||
118 | 00:02:32,940 ~-~-> 00:02:38,250 | ||
119 | when you're hot, how high is high? We're | ||
120 | |||
121 | 31 | ||
122 | 00:02:38,250 ~-~-> 00:02:40,230 | ||
123 | gonna be looking at stoploss concepts | ||
124 | |||
125 | 32 | ||
126 | 00:02:41,100 ~-~-> 00:02:44,190 | ||
127 | and how many pips per risk per trade. I | ||
128 | |||
129 | 33 | ||
130 | 00:02:44,190 ~-~-> 00:02:47,370 | ||
131 | get this a lot in email and how to | ||
132 | |||
133 | 34 | ||
134 | 00:02:47,370 ~-~-> 00:02:51,210 | ||
135 | remove risk and open positions trailing | ||
136 | |||
137 | 35 | ||
138 | 00:02:51,210 ~-~-> 00:02:55,590 | ||
139 | your stop loss and watching your six. | ||
140 | |||
141 | 36 | ||
142 | 00:02:56,130 ~-~-> 00:02:57,570 | ||
143 | Okay, we're gonna be looking at risk | ||
144 | |||
145 | 37 | ||
146 | 00:02:57,570 ~-~-> 00:03:01,590 | ||
147 | reduction versus bail. And we'll have | ||
148 | |||
149 | 38 | ||
150 | 00:03:01,590 ~-~-> 00:03:03,300 | ||
151 | another homework assignment. We're going | ||
152 | |||
153 | 39 | ||
154 | 00:03:03,300 ~-~-> 00:03:05,790 | ||
155 | to be studying the average number of | ||
156 | |||
157 | 40 | ||
158 | 00:03:05,790 ~-~-> 00:03:06,870 | ||
159 | pips intraday. | ||
160 | |||
161 | 41 | ||
162 | 00:03:13,860 ~-~-> 00:03:15,300 | ||
163 | Okay folks real quick just give you a | ||
164 | |||
165 | 42 | ||
166 | 00:03:15,870 ~-~-> 00:03:21,240 | ||
167 | quick example for a bullish upside | ||
168 | |||
169 | 43 | ||
170 | 00:03:21,240 ~-~-> 00:03:23,220 | ||
171 | objective. So in projection, we have | ||
172 | |||
173 | 44 | ||
174 | 00:03:23,220 ~-~-> 00:03:25,290 | ||
175 | this high here, done that is low you see | ||
176 | |||
177 | 45 | ||
178 | 00:03:25,290 ~-~-> 00:03:27,510 | ||
179 | how we have this price swing here now | ||
180 | |||
181 | 46 | ||
182 | 00:03:27,510 ~-~-> 00:03:29,760 | ||
183 | it's comprised of smaller price swings, | ||
184 | |||
185 | 47 | ||
186 | 00:03:29,760 ~-~-> 00:03:32,730 | ||
187 | this is a daily chart, but the overall | ||
188 | |||
189 | 48 | ||
190 | 00:03:33,000 ~-~-> 00:03:36,240 | ||
191 | swing is from this high down to this low | ||
192 | |||
193 | 49 | ||
194 | 00:03:37,440 ~-~-> 00:03:39,960 | ||
195 | and 200 extension which we didn't give | ||
196 | |||
197 | 50 | ||
198 | 00:03:40,440 ~-~-> 00:03:42,960 | ||
199 | the actual level on our fib in this | ||
200 | |||
201 | 51 | ||
202 | 00:03:42,960 ~-~-> 00:03:45,450 | ||
203 | series, but we did talk about the 200 | ||
204 | |||
205 | 52 | ||
206 | 00:03:45,450 ~-~-> 00:03:47,910 | ||
207 | being the pretty much the maximum level | ||
208 | |||
209 | 53 | ||
210 | 00:03:47,910 ~-~-> 00:03:49,950 | ||
211 | that we like to see, which is a | ||
212 | |||
213 | 54 | ||
214 | 00:03:50,040 ~-~-> 00:03:53,010 | ||
215 | basically a measured move, type of price | ||
216 | |||
217 | 55 | ||
218 | 00:03:53,010 ~-~-> 00:03:55,530 | ||
219 | phenomenon from this high to this low. | ||
220 | |||
221 | 56 | ||
222 | 00:03:56,100 ~-~-> 00:03:58,380 | ||
223 | That same range is same thing from the | ||
224 | |||
225 | 57 | ||
226 | 00:03:58,380 ~-~-> 00:04:01,620 | ||
227 | high up to this Third Level, you can see | ||
228 | |||
229 | 58 | ||
230 | 00:04:01,620 ~-~-> 00:04:07,290 | ||
231 | it pretty much nailed the high. If we | ||
232 | |||
233 | 59 | ||
234 | 00:04:07,290 ~-~-> 00:04:13,020 | ||
235 | break this down, we can go down into a | ||
236 | |||
237 | 60 | ||
238 | 00:04:13,020 ~-~-> 00:04:18,480 | ||
239 | four hour chart. Okay, and we're going | ||
240 | |||
241 | 61 | ||
242 | 00:04:18,480 ~-~-> 00:04:24,330 | ||
243 | to look at here is that market moving | ||
244 | |||
245 | 62 | ||
246 | 00:04:24,330 ~-~-> 00:04:28,020 | ||
247 | lower here, we have this swing up, okay, | ||
248 | |||
249 | 63 | ||
250 | 00:04:28,020 ~-~-> 00:04:29,820 | ||
251 | so there's going to be a fulcrum point | ||
252 | |||
253 | 64 | ||
254 | 00:04:29,820 ~-~-> 00:04:33,210 | ||
255 | right here. Okay, and I'm going to give | ||
256 | |||
257 | 65 | ||
258 | 00:04:33,210 ~-~-> 00:04:40,020 | ||
259 | you sib projection right here and the | ||
260 | |||
261 | 66 | ||
262 | 00:04:40,020 ~-~-> 00:04:42,120 | ||
263 | 200 levels down here. Now we did wick | ||
264 | |||
265 | 67 | ||
266 | 00:04:42,120 ~-~-> 00:04:44,190 | ||
267 | through it a couple times, getting a | ||
268 | |||
269 | 68 | ||
270 | 00:04:44,190 ~-~-> 00:04:48,120 | ||
271 | small little reaction here now but this | ||
272 | |||
273 | 69 | ||
274 | 00:04:48,120 ~-~-> 00:04:51,540 | ||
275 | is the overall price swing and it broke | ||
276 | |||
277 | 70 | ||
278 | 00:04:51,540 ~-~-> 00:04:55,980 | ||
279 | down here is the 127 easily reached 162 | ||
280 | |||
281 | 71 | ||
282 | 00:04:56,100 ~-~-> 00:04:58,650 | ||
283 | easily reach and then went down below | ||
284 | |||
285 | 72 | ||
286 | 00:04:59,340 ~-~-> 00:05:02,460 | ||
287 | these markets. Structure loads are here. | ||
288 | |||
289 | 73 | ||
290 | 00:05:02,610 ~-~-> 00:05:04,320 | ||
291 | Okay, so you can see the complete | ||
292 | |||
293 | 74 | ||
294 | 00:05:04,650 ~-~-> 00:05:07,890 | ||
295 | fruition of the market maker sell model. | ||
296 | |||
297 | 75 | ||
298 | 00:05:08,670 ~-~-> 00:05:10,440 | ||
299 | Here we have the consolidation, the | ||
300 | |||
301 | 76 | ||
302 | 00:05:10,440 ~-~-> 00:05:13,260 | ||
303 | breakout of it, the first little pause | ||
304 | |||
305 | 77 | ||
306 | 00:05:13,260 ~-~-> 00:05:17,490 | ||
307 | in here and rally up, failure swing, and | ||
308 | |||
309 | 78 | ||
310 | 00:05:17,490 ~-~-> 00:05:19,560 | ||
311 | then subsequent optimal trade entries, | ||
312 | |||
313 | 79 | ||
314 | 00:05:19,590 ~-~-> 00:05:22,440 | ||
315 | which we call this event right here on | ||
316 | |||
317 | 80 | ||
318 | 00:05:22,440 ~-~-> 00:05:25,830 | ||
319 | Twitter and slammed it down. Okay, we | ||
320 | |||
321 | 81 | ||
322 | 00:05:25,830 ~-~-> 00:05:29,190 | ||
323 | were calling in advance this level here, | ||
324 | |||
325 | 82 | ||
326 | 00:05:29,580 ~-~-> 00:05:32,910 | ||
327 | in this level in here as well. You can | ||
328 | |||
329 | 83 | ||
330 | 00:05:32,910 ~-~-> 00:05:34,710 | ||
331 | find that on Twitter. Again, it's all | ||
332 | |||
333 | 84 | ||
334 | 00:05:34,710 ~-~-> 00:05:41,010 | ||
335 | time and date stamped. Now, you could | ||
336 | |||
337 | 85 | ||
338 | 00:05:41,580 ~-~-> 00:05:43,650 | ||
339 | take this even further and go down to a | ||
340 | |||
341 | 86 | ||
342 | 00:05:43,650 ~-~-> 00:05:48,810 | ||
343 | 15 minute time frame. Okay, and just | ||
344 | |||
345 | 87 | ||
346 | 00:05:48,810 ~-~-> 00:05:50,850 | ||
347 | simply looking at the fifth of the | ||
348 | |||
349 | 88 | ||
350 | 00:05:50,850 ~-~-> 00:05:55,680 | ||
351 | member. You can see that we have this | ||
352 | |||
353 | 89 | ||
354 | 00:05:55,680 ~-~-> 00:05:58,620 | ||
355 | swing here, when it breaks this low | ||
356 | |||
357 | 90 | ||
358 | 00:05:58,620 ~-~-> 00:06:00,990 | ||
359 | here, okay. It's going fulcrum point | ||
360 | |||
361 | 91 | ||
362 | 00:06:00,990 ~-~-> 00:06:03,150 | ||
363 | right there. So anything moving down in | ||
364 | |||
365 | 92 | ||
366 | 00:06:03,150 ~-~-> 00:06:08,280 | ||
367 | price will most likely be a third level | ||
368 | |||
369 | 93 | ||
370 | 00:06:10,590 ~-~-> 00:06:11,880 | ||
371 | for downside objectives | ||
372 | |||
373 | 94 | ||
374 | 00:06:19,019 ~-~-> 00:06:22,109 | ||
375 | Okay, here's the 127 extension from this | ||
376 | |||
377 | 95 | ||
378 | 00:06:22,109 ~-~-> 00:06:26,189 | ||
379 | low to high. It's 127 and 162. And then | ||
380 | |||
381 | 96 | ||
382 | 00:06:26,189 ~-~-> 00:06:29,459 | ||
383 | 200 extension here. And as a result | ||
384 | |||
385 | 97 | ||
386 | 00:06:29,459 ~-~-> 00:06:37,049 | ||
387 | prices up here, okay? You can see take | ||
388 | |||
389 | 98 | ||
390 | 00:06:37,049 ~-~-> 00:06:39,869 | ||
391 | the seller fibs off, starting to blend. | ||
392 | |||
393 | 99 | ||
394 | 00:06:42,149 ~-~-> 00:06:44,429 | ||
395 | While price is moving lower, you see | ||
396 | |||
397 | 100 | ||
398 | 00:06:44,429 ~-~-> 00:06:47,129 | ||
399 | this rally up. Once it takes the low | ||
400 | |||
401 | 101 | ||
402 | 00:06:47,129 ~-~-> 00:06:48,599 | ||
403 | that we're anchoring the fed from out. | ||
404 | |||
405 | 102 | ||
406 | 00:06:50,339 ~-~-> 00:06:52,859 | ||
407 | Okay, this being the fulcrum point, if | ||
408 | |||
409 | 103 | ||
410 | 00:06:52,859 ~-~-> 00:06:56,249 | ||
411 | you're 127 you're 162 and just fell | ||
412 | |||
413 | 104 | ||
414 | 00:06:56,249 ~-~-> 00:06:58,379 | ||
415 | short of the 200 extension here and | ||
416 | |||
417 | 105 | ||
418 | 00:06:58,379 ~-~-> 00:06:59,879 | ||
419 | again, that's the reason why I don't | ||
420 | |||
421 | 106 | ||
422 | 00:06:59,879 ~-~-> 00:07:02,189 | ||
423 | really Marry, the idea that the 200 | ||
424 | |||
425 | 107 | ||
426 | 00:07:02,219 ~-~-> 00:07:03,569 | ||
427 | always going to get hit. I really liked | ||
428 | |||
429 | 108 | ||
430 | 00:07:03,569 ~-~-> 00:07:06,239 | ||
431 | the 162. And I like going 127 obviously, | ||
432 | |||
433 | 109 | ||
434 | 00:07:07,169 ~-~-> 00:07:10,379 | ||
435 | but we'll break it down further in the | ||
436 | |||
437 | 110 | ||
438 | 00:07:10,379 ~-~-> 00:07:13,109 | ||
439 | next video as to the other targets and | ||
440 | |||
441 | 111 | ||
442 | 00:07:13,139 ~-~-> 00:07:16,709 | ||
443 | other means of looking for additional | ||
444 | |||
445 | 112 | ||
446 | 00:07:16,709 ~-~-> 00:07:19,559 | ||
447 | targets and multiple targeting. And | ||
448 | |||
449 | 113 | ||
450 | 00:07:19,559 ~-~-> 00:07:23,369 | ||
451 | that'll be in Part Seven. And I know | ||
452 | |||
453 | 114 | ||
454 | 00:07:23,369 ~-~-> 00:07:25,349 | ||
455 | we've been dealing or at least | ||
456 | |||
457 | 115 | ||
458 | 00:07:25,349 ~-~-> 00:07:27,749 | ||
459 | attempting to move exclusively with the | ||
460 | |||
461 | 116 | ||
462 | 00:07:27,749 ~-~-> 00:07:30,269 | ||
463 | Euro USD pair for this teaching series. | ||
464 | |||
465 | 117 | ||
466 | 00:07:30,809 ~-~-> 00:07:34,409 | ||
467 | But just for the sake of argument, let's | ||
468 | |||
469 | 118 | ||
470 | 00:07:34,409 ~-~-> 00:07:36,359 | ||
471 | take a look at two other pairs. We'll | ||
472 | |||
473 | 119 | ||
474 | 00:07:36,359 ~-~-> 00:07:42,869 | ||
475 | look at the Canadian dollar Okay, here's | ||
476 | |||
477 | 120 | ||
478 | 00:07:42,869 ~-~-> 00:07:45,749 | ||
479 | the Canadian dollar and let's go down to | ||
480 | |||
481 | 121 | ||
482 | 00:07:45,779 ~-~-> 00:07:54,779 | ||
483 | a hourly chart. Okay, and zoom out a | ||
484 | |||
485 | 122 | ||
486 | 00:07:54,779 ~-~-> 00:07:58,799 | ||
487 | little bit. right we have the market, | ||
488 | |||
489 | 123 | ||
490 | 00:07:58,829 ~-~-> 00:08:04,109 | ||
491 | trading lower to a level of support, | ||
492 | |||
493 | 124 | ||
494 | 00:08:04,109 ~-~-> 00:08:06,929 | ||
495 | which I'm not going to outline here, but | ||
496 | |||
497 | 125 | ||
498 | 00:08:06,929 ~-~-> 00:08:08,429 | ||
499 | if you got to your higher timeframes you | ||
500 | |||
501 | 126 | ||
502 | 00:08:08,429 ~-~-> 00:08:10,169 | ||
503 | can find the order block or this reacted | ||
504 | |||
505 | 127 | ||
506 | 00:08:10,169 ~-~-> 00:08:14,519 | ||
507 | to, but if you use this high here, | ||
508 | |||
509 | 128 | ||
510 | 00:08:15,269 ~-~-> 00:08:18,899 | ||
511 | market structure shifts right there. So | ||
512 | |||
513 | 129 | ||
514 | 00:08:18,899 ~-~-> 00:08:21,509 | ||
515 | this becomes a fulcrum point right | ||
516 | |||
517 | 130 | ||
518 | 00:08:21,569 ~-~-> 00:08:23,939 | ||
519 | there. trades kings by comes right back | ||
520 | |||
521 | 131 | ||
522 | 00:08:23,939 ~-~-> 00:08:26,039 | ||
523 | down find support that same level, if | ||
524 | |||
525 | 132 | ||
526 | 00:08:26,039 ~-~-> 00:08:27,659 | ||
527 | you pour from that point down to the | ||
528 | |||
529 | 133 | ||
530 | 00:08:27,659 ~-~-> 00:08:31,229 | ||
531 | lowest low Okay, you have your 127 | ||
532 | |||
533 | 134 | ||
534 | 00:08:31,259 ~-~-> 00:08:35,099 | ||
535 | easily reached 162 easily reached and | ||
536 | |||
537 | 135 | ||
538 | 00:08:35,099 ~-~-> 00:08:41,639 | ||
539 | then 200 very easily reached, okay. If | ||
540 | |||
541 | 136 | ||
542 | 00:08:42,389 ~-~-> 00:08:44,429 | ||
543 | you take your fib level | ||
544 | |||
545 | 137 | ||
546 | 00:08:49,680 ~-~-> 00:08:52,560 | ||
547 | here's the 50% level or fulcrum or | ||
548 | |||
549 | 138 | ||
550 | 00:08:52,560 ~-~-> 00:08:55,290 | ||
551 | equilibrium. Okay, you see the 100 level | ||
552 | |||
553 | 139 | ||
554 | 00:08:55,290 ~-~-> 00:08:56,400 | ||
555 | here, which is basically what you're | ||
556 | |||
557 | 140 | ||
558 | 00:08:56,400 ~-~-> 00:08:59,490 | ||
559 | getting with a 200% fair level. Okay, | ||
560 | |||
561 | 141 | ||
562 | 00:08:59,490 ~-~-> 00:09:02,310 | ||
563 | but I'm trying to teach you everything | ||
564 | |||
565 | 142 | ||
566 | 00:09:02,340 ~-~-> 00:09:05,370 | ||
567 | is based on like a 50% basis. Okay, so | ||
568 | |||
569 | 143 | ||
570 | 00:09:05,370 ~-~-> 00:09:07,680 | ||
571 | it's like a 50% rule. If it moves down | ||
572 | |||
573 | 144 | ||
574 | 00:09:07,680 ~-~-> 00:09:09,450 | ||
575 | this many pips once it breaks that high, | ||
576 | |||
577 | 145 | ||
578 | 00:09:09,450 ~-~-> 00:09:10,680 | ||
579 | it should at least try to move this | ||
580 | |||
581 | 146 | ||
582 | 00:09:10,890 ~-~-> 00:09:13,080 | ||
583 | number of pips up, okay? And then when | ||
584 | |||
585 | 147 | ||
586 | 00:09:13,080 ~-~-> 00:09:15,540 | ||
587 | it does that we have, it's referred to | ||
588 | |||
589 | 148 | ||
590 | 00:09:15,540 ~-~-> 00:09:18,150 | ||
591 | as market symmetry and trading patterns | ||
592 | |||
593 | 149 | ||
594 | 00:09:18,150 ~-~-> 00:09:23,070 | ||
595 | and setups become very, very clean and | ||
596 | |||
597 | 150 | ||
598 | 00:09:23,070 ~-~-> 00:09:25,410 | ||
599 | very high probability when that occurs. | ||
600 | |||
601 | 151 | ||
602 | 00:09:26,160 ~-~-> 00:09:28,170 | ||
603 | Okay, since we taken out this low, I'm | ||
604 | |||
605 | 152 | ||
606 | 00:09:28,170 ~-~-> 00:09:31,140 | ||
607 | sorry, this high rather here. Okay, one | ||
608 | |||
609 | 153 | ||
610 | 00:09:31,140 ~-~-> 00:09:38,370 | ||
611 | could do this on high down this low. You | ||
612 | |||
613 | 154 | ||
614 | 00:09:38,370 ~-~-> 00:09:40,650 | ||
615 | have 127 up here, and you want to show | ||
616 | |||
617 | 155 | ||
618 | 00:09:40,650 ~-~-> 00:09:42,330 | ||
619 | up here, which incidentally is an old | ||
620 | |||
621 | 156 | ||
622 | 00:09:42,330 ~-~-> 00:09:48,390 | ||
623 | high back here, you zoom out. See that | ||
624 | |||
625 | 157 | ||
626 | 00:09:48,480 ~-~-> 00:09:51,180 | ||
627 | is the case and we're here. Again, it's | ||
628 | |||
629 | 158 | ||
630 | 00:09:51,180 ~-~-> 00:09:52,560 | ||
631 | assuming we do have traction and | ||
632 | |||
633 | 159 | ||
634 | 00:09:52,560 ~-~-> 00:09:54,750 | ||
635 | continue to move higher. The next pair | ||
636 | |||
637 | 160 | ||
638 | 00:09:54,750 ~-~-> 00:09:56,250 | ||
639 | we're going to look at is the British | ||
640 | |||
641 | 161 | ||
642 | 00:09:56,250 ~-~-> 00:10:01,080 | ||
643 | Pound USD and Here you go is a nice | ||
644 | |||
645 | 162 | ||
646 | 00:10:02,370 ~-~-> 00:10:04,770 | ||
647 | order block and then reaction of it. | ||
648 | |||
649 | 163 | ||
650 | 00:10:04,980 ~-~-> 00:10:08,070 | ||
651 | This was put on the chart in advance and | ||
652 | |||
653 | 164 | ||
654 | 00:10:08,280 ~-~-> 00:10:10,590 | ||
655 | you can see the reaction of price | ||
656 | |||
657 | 165 | ||
658 | 00:10:10,590 ~-~-> 00:10:14,100 | ||
659 | afterwards. But we're going to look at | ||
660 | |||
661 | 166 | ||
662 | 00:10:15,780 ~-~-> 00:10:20,010 | ||
663 | taking this fit off and we'll take the | ||
664 | |||
665 | 167 | ||
666 | 00:10:20,010 ~-~-> 00:10:28,680 | ||
667 | rectangle off. zoom a little bit. Okay, | ||
668 | |||
669 | 168 | ||
670 | 00:10:29,700 ~-~-> 00:10:32,130 | ||
671 | now we have the same scenario here. We | ||
672 | |||
673 | 169 | ||
674 | 00:10:32,130 ~-~-> 00:10:35,190 | ||
675 | have price moving down, nice price leg | ||
676 | |||
677 | 170 | ||
678 | 00:10:35,190 ~-~-> 00:10:38,850 | ||
679 | here, comes in rejects this low. Okay, | ||
680 | |||
681 | 171 | ||
682 | 00:10:38,880 ~-~-> 00:10:41,040 | ||
683 | there's several of them in here and you | ||
684 | |||
685 | 172 | ||
686 | 00:10:41,040 ~-~-> 00:10:43,500 | ||
687 | can use obviously, we'll use this one | ||
688 | |||
689 | 173 | ||
690 | 00:10:43,500 ~-~-> 00:10:46,050 | ||
691 | here, this swing when this high here, | ||
692 | |||
693 | 174 | ||
694 | 00:10:46,050 ~-~-> 00:10:49,350 | ||
695 | rancor and it's broke to the upside. You | ||
696 | |||
697 | 175 | ||
698 | 00:10:49,350 ~-~-> 00:10:52,530 | ||
699 | see the Fibonacci levels come into play. | ||
700 | |||
701 | 176 | ||
702 | 00:10:52,530 ~-~-> 00:10:56,490 | ||
703 | Here's the 127 easily reached 162 and | ||
704 | |||
705 | 177 | ||
706 | 00:10:56,490 ~-~-> 00:10:59,160 | ||
707 | then 200 extension here. Okay, going | ||
708 | |||
709 | 178 | ||
710 | 00:10:59,160 ~-~-> 00:11:00,630 | ||
711 | back to this higher market structure | ||
712 | |||
713 | 179 | ||
714 | 00:11:00,630 ~-~-> 00:11:02,730 | ||
715 | high here using that same reference low | ||
716 | |||
717 | 180 | ||
718 | 00:11:06,060 ~-~-> 00:11:09,810 | ||
719 | This is how you trade within a markets | ||
720 | |||
721 | 181 | ||
722 | 00:11:10,110 ~-~-> 00:11:14,280 | ||
723 | structure. So once this highest violated | ||
724 | |||
725 | 182 | ||
726 | 00:11:14,490 ~-~-> 00:11:16,530 | ||
727 | right here, we would be looking for | ||
728 | |||
729 | 183 | ||
730 | 00:11:16,530 ~-~-> 00:11:19,680 | ||
731 | upside objectives 127 easily reached | ||
732 | |||
733 | 184 | ||
734 | 00:11:20,310 ~-~-> 00:11:22,860 | ||
735 | once you can easily reached 200 level | ||
736 | |||
737 | 185 | ||
738 | 00:11:23,160 ~-~-> 00:11:27,420 | ||
739 | easily reached. Okay. Let's go out to an | ||
740 | |||
741 | 186 | ||
742 | 00:11:27,420 ~-~-> 00:11:33,450 | ||
743 | hourly chart, same pair. Okay, let's | ||
744 | |||
745 | 187 | ||
746 | 00:11:33,510 ~-~-> 00:11:34,530 | ||
747 | scroll up a little bit. | ||
748 | |||
749 | 188 | ||
750 | 00:11:35,760 ~-~-> 00:11:36,450 | ||
751 | And now | ||
752 | |||
753 | 189 | ||
754 | 00:11:42,750 ~-~-> 00:11:48,960 | ||
755 | since I can get this fib Okay, we'll use | ||
756 | |||
757 | 190 | ||
758 | 00:11:48,960 ~-~-> 00:11:51,840 | ||
759 | this high here. And price just reached | ||
760 | |||
761 | 191 | ||
762 | 00:11:51,840 ~-~-> 00:11:54,060 | ||
763 | the 127 extension here and the upside | ||
764 | |||
765 | 192 | ||
766 | 00:11:54,060 ~-~-> 00:12:00,000 | ||
767 | would be 162. And if you use this hi | ||
768 | |||
769 | 193 | ||
770 | 00:12:00,000 ~-~-> 00:12:01,860 | ||
771 | Here, all we're doing is moving out to | ||
772 | |||
773 | 194 | ||
774 | 00:12:01,860 ~-~-> 00:12:06,060 | ||
775 | the next successive market. Hi. So each | ||
776 | |||
777 | 195 | ||
778 | 00:12:06,060 ~-~-> 00:12:07,440 | ||
779 | one of these is a price swing, you have | ||
780 | |||
781 | 196 | ||
782 | 00:12:07,440 ~-~-> 00:12:09,780 | ||
783 | a high down to that low, you have a high | ||
784 | |||
785 | 197 | ||
786 | 00:12:09,780 ~-~-> 00:12:11,580 | ||
787 | down that that same low, okay, these are | ||
788 | |||
789 | 198 | ||
790 | 00:12:12,390 ~-~-> 00:12:15,180 | ||
791 | all reference points for reactions. | ||
792 | |||
793 | 199 | ||
794 | 00:12:15,420 ~-~-> 00:12:21,900 | ||
795 | Okay, you have 127 now here and you have | ||
796 | |||
797 | 200 | ||
798 | 00:12:21,900 ~-~-> 00:12:27,630 | ||
799 | this one here is a lot of liquidity | ||
800 | |||
801 | 201 | ||
802 | 00:12:27,630 ~-~-> 00:12:28,860 | ||
803 | sitting right above that these are all | ||
804 | |||
805 | 202 | ||
806 | 00:12:28,860 ~-~-> 00:12:30,960 | ||
807 | hourly candles, unable to make a higher | ||
808 | |||
809 | 203 | ||
810 | 00:12:30,960 ~-~-> 00:12:32,970 | ||
811 | high in here. And now we're about to | ||
812 | |||
813 | 204 | ||
814 | 00:12:32,970 ~-~-> 00:12:34,380 | ||
815 | blow that out right now while I'm | ||
816 | |||
817 | 205 | ||
818 | 00:12:34,380 ~-~-> 00:12:38,790 | ||
819 | recording. And then the 127 resides up | ||
820 | |||
821 | 206 | ||
822 | 00:12:38,790 ~-~-> 00:12:42,270 | ||
823 | there. Now, with these levels in mind, | ||
824 | |||
825 | 207 | ||
826 | 00:12:42,690 ~-~-> 00:12:49,800 | ||
827 | okay. We're going to highlight that 162 | ||
828 | |||
829 | 208 | ||
830 | 00:12:54,480 ~-~-> 00:13:04,320 | ||
831 | to 127 and Now what I'm gonna do is I'm | ||
832 | |||
833 | 209 | ||
834 | 00:13:04,320 ~-~-> 00:13:09,420 | ||
835 | gonna reference this larger price swing. | ||
836 | |||
837 | 210 | ||
838 | 00:13:10,860 ~-~-> 00:13:12,330 | ||
839 | Because remember markets are fractal, | ||
840 | |||
841 | 211 | ||
842 | 00:13:12,660 ~-~-> 00:13:16,020 | ||
843 | okay? And the high down to lowest low. | ||
844 | |||
845 | 212 | ||
846 | 00:13:16,950 ~-~-> 00:13:19,200 | ||
847 | You see what resides over here. Here's | ||
848 | |||
849 | 213 | ||
850 | 00:13:19,200 ~-~-> 00:13:22,290 | ||
851 | the 62% sweet spot in southern lights | ||
852 | |||
853 | 214 | ||
854 | 00:13:22,290 ~-~-> 00:13:24,420 | ||
855 | and chasing a level there's a high | ||
856 | |||
857 | 215 | ||
858 | 00:13:24,420 ~-~-> 00:13:26,460 | ||
859 | probability to cable or reach out to | ||
860 | |||
861 | 216 | ||
862 | 00:13:26,460 ~-~-> 00:13:27,420 | ||
863 | these levels in here. | ||
864 | |||
865 | 217 | ||
866 | 00:13:32,640 ~-~-> 00:13:38,520 | ||
867 | Okay, and you can just note that read in | ||
868 | |||
869 | 218 | ||
870 | 00:13:38,520 ~-~-> 00:13:43,170 | ||
871 | there. Okay? And that would be a good | ||
872 | |||
873 | 219 | ||
874 | 00:13:43,170 ~-~-> 00:13:47,070 | ||
875 | area to have some scenarios. We have an | ||
876 | |||
877 | 220 | ||
878 | 00:13:47,070 ~-~-> 00:13:50,460 | ||
879 | order block in here. That can be a | ||
880 | |||
881 | 221 | ||
882 | 00:13:50,460 ~-~-> 00:13:53,130 | ||
883 | factor if we get through this area in | ||
884 | |||
885 | 222 | ||
886 | 00:13:53,130 ~-~-> 00:13:55,920 | ||
887 | here, because this is a nice support | ||
888 | |||
889 | 223 | ||
890 | 00:13:55,920 ~-~-> 00:13:59,160 | ||
891 | level. Never been retested. So we may | ||
892 | |||
893 | 224 | ||
894 | 00:13:59,160 ~-~-> 00:14:01,440 | ||
895 | come up to sec two retracing, however, | ||
896 | |||
897 | 225 | ||
898 | 00:14:01,440 ~-~-> 00:14:07,830 | ||
899 | on that 161 25 level 161 32 we could tap | ||
900 | |||
901 | 226 | ||
902 | 00:14:07,830 ~-~-> 00:14:12,750 | ||
903 | into that. But any uncommon blending | ||
904 | |||
905 | 227 | ||
906 | 00:14:12,870 ~-~-> 00:14:15,060 | ||
907 | couple things here, but the Fibonacci | ||
908 | |||
909 | 228 | ||
910 | 00:14:15,870 ~-~-> 00:14:18,180 | ||
911 | price projections, but hopefully you got | ||
912 | |||
913 | 229 | ||
914 | 00:14:18,630 ~-~-> 00:14:20,160 | ||
915 | a few examples here you can see how | ||
916 | |||
917 | 230 | ||
918 | 00:14:20,760 ~-~-> 00:14:22,770 | ||
919 | useful they are and from the time we did | ||
920 | |||
921 | 231 | ||
922 | 00:14:22,770 ~-~-> 00:14:28,920 | ||
923 | our recording the last time let's just | ||
924 | |||
925 | 232 | ||
926 | 00:14:28,920 ~-~-> 00:14:30,900 | ||
927 | give a sell scenario. And we had this | ||
928 | |||
929 | 233 | ||
930 | 00:14:30,900 ~-~-> 00:14:33,120 | ||
931 | price rally up, when this low is | ||
932 | |||
933 | 234 | ||
934 | 00:14:33,120 ~-~-> 00:14:36,120 | ||
935 | violated as it is here. This low becomes | ||
936 | |||
937 | 235 | ||
938 | 00:14:36,120 ~-~-> 00:14:39,450 | ||
939 | a fulcrum point in any price action from | ||
940 | |||
941 | 236 | ||
942 | 00:14:39,450 ~-~-> 00:14:43,020 | ||
943 | that point from that low up here. Once | ||
944 | |||
945 | 237 | ||
946 | 00:14:43,020 ~-~-> 00:14:45,450 | ||
947 | it's finally lower. Here's the 127 | ||
948 | |||
949 | 238 | ||
950 | 00:14:45,450 ~-~-> 00:14:48,840 | ||
951 | easily met 162 easily met 200% extension | ||
952 | |||
953 | 239 | ||
954 | 00:14:49,320 ~-~-> 00:14:58,020 | ||
955 | easily met. Okay. And you'd probably see | ||
956 | |||
957 | 240 | ||
958 | 00:14:58,020 ~-~-> 00:14:59,220 | ||
959 | Kayla actually do that while I'm | ||
960 | |||
961 | 241 | ||
962 | 00:14:59,640 ~-~-> 00:15:03,150 | ||
963 | recording This kind of tend to relate to | ||
964 | |||
965 | 242 | ||
966 | 00:15:03,150 ~-~-> 00:15:06,240 | ||
967 | keep it on SR cheat what it does but | ||
968 | |||
969 | 243 | ||
970 | 00:15:06,240 ~-~-> 00:15:08,520 | ||
971 | anyway, you just watch it on your charts | ||
972 | |||
973 | 244 | ||
974 | 00:15:08,520 ~-~-> 00:15:12,810 | ||
975 | in retrospect but you can see obviously | ||
976 | |||
977 | 245 | ||
978 | 00:15:12,810 ~-~-> 00:15:14,940 | ||
979 | you know the fibs when you have it in | ||
980 | |||
981 | 246 | ||
982 | 00:15:15,120 ~-~-> 00:15:17,760 | ||
983 | the right direction. They're very strong | ||
984 | |||
985 | 247 | ||
986 | 00:15:17,820 ~-~-> 00:15:20,550 | ||
987 | in terms of looking for high level, | ||
988 | |||
989 | 248 | ||
990 | 00:15:21,180 ~-~-> 00:15:23,010 | ||
991 | upside and downside objectives. We have | ||
992 | |||
993 | 249 | ||
994 | 00:15:23,010 ~-~-> 00:15:26,460 | ||
995 | this low made here from this high. I'll | ||
996 | |||
997 | 250 | ||
998 | 00:15:26,460 ~-~-> 00:15:28,380 | ||
999 | just give you a bullish scenario on the | ||
1000 | |||
1001 | 251 | ||
1002 | 00:15:28,380 ~-~-> 00:15:32,430 | ||
1003 | cable. I'm dragging and as you can see | ||
1004 | |||
1005 | 252 | ||
1006 | 00:15:32,430 ~-~-> 00:15:34,980 | ||
1007 | the levels and the reactions to the high | ||
1008 | |||
1009 | 253 | ||
1010 | 00:15:34,980 ~-~-> 00:15:38,370 | ||
1011 | say is high down to that low 127 easily | ||
1012 | |||
1013 | 254 | ||
1014 | 00:15:38,370 ~-~-> 00:15:41,520 | ||
1015 | met 162 easily met 200 extension bang | ||
1016 | |||
1017 | 255 | ||
1018 | 00:15:42,180 ~-~-> 00:15:44,160 | ||
1019 | swept through it a few times and here | ||
1020 | |||
1021 | 256 | ||
1022 | 00:15:44,190 ~-~-> 00:15:46,710 | ||
1023 | again this is why we do not try to get | ||
1024 | |||
1025 | 257 | ||
1026 | 00:15:46,710 ~-~-> 00:15:48,840 | ||
1027 | all that we don't care that it does this | ||
1028 | |||
1029 | 258 | ||
1030 | 00:15:48,930 ~-~-> 00:15:53,610 | ||
1031 | okay. If one is able to just get a PC | ||
1032 | |||
1033 | 259 | ||
1034 | 00:15:53,610 ~-~-> 00:15:58,800 | ||
1035 | got it in here, not to the 160 to 210 | ||
1036 | |||
1037 | 260 | ||
1038 | 00:15:58,800 ~-~-> 00:16:00,990 | ||
1039 | pips nothing wrong Who cares about the | ||
1040 | |||
1041 | 261 | ||
1042 | 00:16:00,990 ~-~-> 00:16:04,860 | ||
1043 | remaining portion? Okay? Let the club z. | ||
1044 | |||
1045 | 262 | ||
1046 | 00:16:06,690 ~-~-> 00:16:08,070 | ||
1047 | Alright, so hopefully it's been | ||
1048 | |||
1049 | 263 | ||
1050 | 00:16:08,070 ~-~-> 00:16:09,000 | ||
1051 | insightful to you guys. | ||
1052 | |||
1053 | 264 | ||
1054 | 00:16:16,080 ~-~-> 00:16:18,570 | ||
1055 | Okay guys, we're going to be looking at | ||
1056 | |||
1057 | 265 | ||
1058 | 00:16:19,050 ~-~-> 00:16:22,950 | ||
1059 | how stop loss pain placement is utilized | ||
1060 | |||
1061 | 266 | ||
1062 | 00:16:22,980 ~-~-> 00:16:25,200 | ||
1063 | in your trading. We're gonna be looking | ||
1064 | |||
1065 | 267 | ||
1066 | 00:16:25,200 ~-~-> 00:16:28,620 | ||
1067 | at how risk percentage is an important | ||
1068 | |||
1069 | 268 | ||
1070 | 00:16:28,620 ~-~-> 00:16:31,410 | ||
1071 | factor to your trading. But before we | ||
1072 | |||
1073 | 269 | ||
1074 | 00:16:31,410 ~-~-> 00:16:32,580 | ||
1075 | get into all that we're gonna be looking | ||
1076 | |||
1077 | 270 | ||
1078 | 00:16:32,580 ~-~-> 00:16:35,160 | ||
1079 | at how, obviously looking at a bullish | ||
1080 | |||
1081 | 271 | ||
1082 | 00:16:35,160 ~-~-> 00:16:36,870 | ||
1083 | scenario here, everything we talked | ||
1084 | |||
1085 | 272 | ||
1086 | 00:16:36,870 ~-~-> 00:16:40,890 | ||
1087 | about in this example can be flipped 180 | ||
1088 | |||
1089 | 273 | ||
1090 | 00:16:40,890 ~-~-> 00:16:42,720 | ||
1091 | degrees, okay? And you'll see the | ||
1092 | |||
1093 | 274 | ||
1094 | 00:16:42,720 ~-~-> 00:16:45,180 | ||
1095 | opposite for selling scenarios. Okay, so | ||
1096 | |||
1097 | 275 | ||
1098 | 00:16:45,180 ~-~-> 00:16:46,920 | ||
1099 | every row you see here, just reverse it, | ||
1100 | |||
1101 | 276 | ||
1102 | 00:16:47,400 ~-~-> 00:16:50,190 | ||
1103 | and you'll get the understanding for | ||
1104 | |||
1105 | 277 | ||
1106 | 00:16:50,190 ~-~-> 00:16:52,560 | ||
1107 | selling short in the market and how to | ||
1108 | |||
1109 | 278 | ||
1110 | 00:16:52,560 ~-~-> 00:16:56,220 | ||
1111 | control your stops and such. Okay, we're | ||
1112 | |||
1113 | 279 | ||
1114 | 00:16:56,220 ~-~-> 00:16:58,230 | ||
1115 | going to assume that we have a key level | ||
1116 | |||
1117 | 280 | ||
1118 | 00:16:58,230 ~-~-> 00:17:00,270 | ||
1119 | and or institutional order Lock | ||
1120 | |||
1121 | 281 | ||
1122 | 00:17:00,270 ~-~-> 00:17:02,220 | ||
1123 | identified on our charts. And again, | ||
1124 | |||
1125 | 282 | ||
1126 | 00:17:02,220 ~-~-> 00:17:03,450 | ||
1127 | we're gonna be looking at a daily chart | ||
1128 | |||
1129 | 283 | ||
1130 | 00:17:03,450 ~-~-> 00:17:06,660 | ||
1131 | for this example. And the market has | ||
1132 | |||
1133 | 284 | ||
1134 | 00:17:06,690 ~-~-> 00:17:08,700 | ||
1135 | been showing in this crude example in | ||
1136 | |||
1137 | 285 | ||
1138 | 00:17:08,700 ~-~-> 00:17:11,970 | ||
1139 | hypothetical terms, that price would be | ||
1140 | |||
1141 | 286 | ||
1142 | 00:17:12,330 ~-~-> 00:17:15,720 | ||
1143 | more or less trading down to our line | ||
1144 | |||
1145 | 287 | ||
1146 | 00:17:15,720 ~-~-> 00:17:20,820 | ||
1147 | here of anticipation. And as price | ||
1148 | |||
1149 | 288 | ||
1150 | 00:17:20,820 ~-~-> 00:17:23,670 | ||
1151 | starts to move aggressively down to that | ||
1152 | |||
1153 | 289 | ||
1154 | 00:17:23,670 ~-~-> 00:17:26,760 | ||
1155 | level, we would be, hopefully if we're | ||
1156 | |||
1157 | 290 | ||
1158 | 00:17:26,760 ~-~-> 00:17:27,840 | ||
1159 | not in front of our charts, who would | ||
1160 | |||
1161 | 291 | ||
1162 | 00:17:27,840 ~-~-> 00:17:30,960 | ||
1163 | have our platform for trading, alert us | ||
1164 | |||
1165 | 292 | ||
1166 | 00:17:31,020 ~-~-> 00:17:33,480 | ||
1167 | to the fact that price is getting to our | ||
1168 | |||
1169 | 293 | ||
1170 | 00:17:33,480 ~-~-> 00:17:35,430 | ||
1171 | specific higher timeframe price level, | ||
1172 | |||
1173 | 294 | ||
1174 | 00:17:36,300 ~-~-> 00:17:38,820 | ||
1175 | as price trades to that level, again, | ||
1176 | |||
1177 | 295 | ||
1178 | 00:17:38,820 ~-~-> 00:17:41,250 | ||
1179 | because we are flexible, we are not | ||
1180 | |||
1181 | 296 | ||
1182 | 00:17:41,550 ~-~-> 00:17:44,370 | ||
1183 | limiting our perspective simply to one | ||
1184 | |||
1185 | 297 | ||
1186 | 00:17:44,370 ~-~-> 00:17:46,170 | ||
1187 | line, therefore, it has to stop on that | ||
1188 | |||
1189 | 298 | ||
1190 | 00:17:46,170 ~-~-> 00:17:49,050 | ||
1191 | line turn on a dime. Okay, there is a | ||
1192 | |||
1193 | 299 | ||
1194 | 00:17:49,050 ~-~-> 00:17:51,060 | ||
1195 | gray area in trading that we I | ||
1196 | |||
1197 | 300 | ||
1198 | 00:17:51,120 ~-~-> 00:17:53,190 | ||
1199 | identified earlier in the series, and | ||
1200 | |||
1201 | 301 | ||
1202 | 00:17:53,190 ~-~-> 00:17:56,460 | ||
1203 | we've come to hopefully by now, terms | ||
1204 | |||
1205 | 302 | ||
1206 | 00:17:56,460 ~-~-> 00:17:58,890 | ||
1207 | with the fact that we can't get | ||
1208 | |||
1209 | 303 | ||
1210 | 00:17:59,010 ~-~-> 00:18:00,570 | ||
1211 | perfection in the market. To place in | ||
1212 | |||
1213 | 304 | ||
1214 | 00:18:00,570 ~-~-> 00:18:03,000 | ||
1215 | terms of turning points, okay, we have | ||
1216 | |||
1217 | 305 | ||
1218 | 00:18:03,150 ~-~-> 00:18:06,630 | ||
1219 | rough ideas where price should turn, but | ||
1220 | |||
1221 | 306 | ||
1222 | 00:18:06,660 ~-~-> 00:18:08,970 | ||
1223 | even the highest level key levels and | ||
1224 | |||
1225 | 307 | ||
1226 | 00:18:08,970 ~-~-> 00:18:10,980 | ||
1227 | support levels and institutional order | ||
1228 | |||
1229 | 308 | ||
1230 | 00:18:10,980 ~-~-> 00:18:15,600 | ||
1231 | blocks have a little bit of gray areas | ||
1232 | |||
1233 | 309 | ||
1234 | 00:18:15,600 ~-~-> 00:18:16,920 | ||
1235 | where it could deviate just a little | ||
1236 | |||
1237 | 310 | ||
1238 | 00:18:16,920 ~-~-> 00:18:19,680 | ||
1239 | bit. But more specifically, we're gonna | ||
1240 | |||
1241 | 311 | ||
1242 | 00:18:19,680 ~-~-> 00:18:21,180 | ||
1243 | be highlighting, obviously, all of our | ||
1244 | |||
1245 | 312 | ||
1246 | 00:18:21,180 ~-~-> 00:18:23,760 | ||
1247 | trades around key levels around numbers, | ||
1248 | |||
1249 | 313 | ||
1250 | 00:18:23,760 ~-~-> 00:18:26,730 | ||
1251 | institutional levels, and a confluence | ||
1252 | |||
1253 | 314 | ||
1254 | 00:18:26,760 ~-~-> 00:18:30,090 | ||
1255 | of support and resistance factors with | ||
1256 | |||
1257 | 315 | ||
1258 | 00:18:30,210 ~-~-> 00:18:32,100 | ||
1259 | time of day. Okay, so you haven't time | ||
1260 | |||
1261 | 316 | ||
1262 | 00:18:32,100 ~-~-> 00:18:35,370 | ||
1263 | and price theory combined. So as price | ||
1264 | |||
1265 | 317 | ||
1266 | 00:18:35,370 ~-~-> 00:18:38,340 | ||
1267 | goes down into this level, that's when | ||
1268 | |||
1269 | 318 | ||
1270 | 00:18:38,340 ~-~-> 00:18:42,540 | ||
1271 | we are on the prowl for a buy scenario, | ||
1272 | |||
1273 | 319 | ||
1274 | 00:18:42,570 ~-~-> 00:18:44,460 | ||
1275 | okay, we're trying to buy during that | ||
1276 | |||
1277 | 320 | ||
1278 | 00:18:44,460 ~-~-> 00:18:46,620 | ||
1279 | event. We don't want to be buying after | ||
1280 | |||
1281 | 321 | ||
1282 | 00:18:46,620 ~-~-> 00:18:48,360 | ||
1283 | the move has already turned around and | ||
1284 | |||
1285 | 322 | ||
1286 | 00:18:48,360 ~-~-> 00:18:50,160 | ||
1287 | everybody sees that it's a swing low and | ||
1288 | |||
1289 | 323 | ||
1290 | 00:18:50,160 ~-~-> 00:18:51,930 | ||
1291 | it's moved up for three or four days. We | ||
1292 | |||
1293 | 324 | ||
1294 | 00:18:51,930 ~-~-> 00:18:55,320 | ||
1295 | want to be buying in a suppressed market | ||
1296 | |||
1297 | 325 | ||
1298 | 00:18:55,320 ~-~-> 00:18:56,490 | ||
1299 | environment. We're going to be looking | ||
1300 | |||
1301 | 326 | ||
1302 | 00:18:56,490 ~-~-> 00:18:58,980 | ||
1303 | at bargain prices, okay? We don't want | ||
1304 | |||
1305 | 327 | ||
1306 | 00:18:58,980 ~-~-> 00:19:00,960 | ||
1307 | to be buying at retail prices, we | ||
1308 | |||
1309 | 328 | ||
1310 | 00:19:00,960 ~-~-> 00:19:02,940 | ||
1311 | wouldn't be buying wholesale. Okay, so | ||
1312 | |||
1313 | 329 | ||
1314 | 00:19:03,480 ~-~-> 00:19:05,370 | ||
1315 | assuming that we use the information we | ||
1316 | |||
1317 | 330 | ||
1318 | 00:19:05,370 ~-~-> 00:19:07,860 | ||
1319 | talked about earlier in this series, in | ||
1320 | |||
1321 | 331 | ||
1322 | 00:19:07,860 ~-~-> 00:19:11,760 | ||
1323 | terms of framing a reactionary level to | ||
1324 | |||
1325 | 332 | ||
1326 | 00:19:11,760 ~-~-> 00:19:14,970 | ||
1327 | a trade, we're going to assume that we | ||
1328 | |||
1329 | 333 | ||
1330 | 00:19:14,970 ~-~-> 00:19:17,010 | ||
1331 | anticipated at that key level, the | ||
1332 | |||
1333 | 334 | ||
1334 | 00:19:17,010 ~-~-> 00:19:18,930 | ||
1335 | market had turned. Okay, and maybe | ||
1336 | |||
1337 | 335 | ||
1338 | 00:19:18,930 ~-~-> 00:19:21,090 | ||
1339 | retesting gave us an optimal trade entry | ||
1340 | |||
1341 | 336 | ||
1342 | 00:19:21,090 ~-~-> 00:19:22,950 | ||
1343 | on a lower timeframe. Now, we're going | ||
1344 | |||
1345 | 337 | ||
1346 | 00:19:22,950 ~-~-> 00:19:25,020 | ||
1347 | to assume for this example, that we were | ||
1348 | |||
1349 | 338 | ||
1350 | 00:19:25,050 ~-~-> 00:19:26,970 | ||
1351 | fortunate enough to catch a long | ||
1352 | |||
1353 | 339 | ||
1354 | 00:19:26,970 ~-~-> 00:19:30,540 | ||
1355 | position at that key level, okay? And | ||
1356 | |||
1357 | 340 | ||
1358 | 00:19:30,540 ~-~-> 00:19:32,970 | ||
1359 | it's not important that we have a | ||
1360 | |||
1361 | 341 | ||
1362 | 00:19:33,480 ~-~-> 00:19:35,790 | ||
1363 | specific price level in this example. | ||
1364 | |||
1365 | 342 | ||
1366 | 00:19:36,660 ~-~-> 00:19:38,490 | ||
1367 | Because really, what we're going to be | ||
1368 | |||
1369 | 343 | ||
1370 | 00:19:38,490 ~-~-> 00:19:41,970 | ||
1371 | looking at is how traders are always in | ||
1372 | |||
1373 | 344 | ||
1374 | 00:19:41,970 ~-~-> 00:19:44,220 | ||
1375 | my experience, okay, even when I was an | ||
1376 | |||
1377 | 345 | ||
1378 | 00:19:44,220 ~-~-> 00:19:46,650 | ||
1379 | early developing trader, I felt the need | ||
1380 | |||
1381 | 346 | ||
1382 | 00:19:46,650 ~-~-> 00:19:49,080 | ||
1383 | to want to exit the trade immediately. | ||
1384 | |||
1385 | 347 | ||
1386 | 00:19:49,290 ~-~-> 00:19:52,140 | ||
1387 | As soon as I saw some gains, I had this | ||
1388 | |||
1389 | 348 | ||
1390 | 00:19:52,140 ~-~-> 00:19:54,030 | ||
1391 | overwhelming feeling that I had to hurry | ||
1392 | |||
1393 | 349 | ||
1394 | 00:19:54,030 ~-~-> 00:19:56,040 | ||
1395 | up and get out and close the trade. If I | ||
1396 | |||
1397 | 350 | ||
1398 | 00:19:56,040 ~-~-> 00:19:58,170 | ||
1399 | was several hundred dollars, I would | ||
1400 | |||
1401 | 351 | ||
1402 | 00:19:58,470 ~-~-> 00:20:00,750 | ||
1403 | think wow, this is good, you know? I've | ||
1404 | |||
1405 | 352 | ||
1406 | 00:20:00,810 ~-~-> 00:20:03,750 | ||
1407 | taken losses in a series of losses, this | ||
1408 | |||
1409 | 353 | ||
1410 | 00:20:03,750 ~-~-> 00:20:05,700 | ||
1411 | feels good. And I just would rather not | ||
1412 | |||
1413 | 354 | ||
1414 | 00:20:05,700 ~-~-> 00:20:07,800 | ||
1415 | leave the market with another loss after | ||
1416 | |||
1417 | 355 | ||
1418 | 00:20:07,800 ~-~-> 00:20:11,520 | ||
1419 | seeing these gains when you have a sound | ||
1420 | |||
1421 | 356 | ||
1422 | 00:20:11,580 ~-~-> 00:20:15,360 | ||
1423 | entry, many times, those are the | ||
1424 | |||
1425 | 357 | ||
1426 | 00:20:15,360 ~-~-> 00:20:17,940 | ||
1427 | scariest trades to hold on to. Okay? | ||
1428 | |||
1429 | 358 | ||
1430 | 00:20:18,180 ~-~-> 00:20:21,450 | ||
1431 | Because the good trades don't spend | ||
1432 | |||
1433 | 359 | ||
1434 | 00:20:21,600 ~-~-> 00:20:24,570 | ||
1435 | their time very long. at wholesale | ||
1436 | |||
1437 | 360 | ||
1438 | 00:20:24,570 ~-~-> 00:20:26,640 | ||
1439 | prices, they immediately start to move | ||
1440 | |||
1441 | 361 | ||
1442 | 00:20:26,640 ~-~-> 00:20:29,340 | ||
1443 | to retail level pricing, okay. In other | ||
1444 | |||
1445 | 362 | ||
1446 | 00:20:29,340 ~-~-> 00:20:31,860 | ||
1447 | words, if you're able to catch a very | ||
1448 | |||
1449 | 363 | ||
1450 | 00:20:31,860 ~-~-> 00:20:34,710 | ||
1451 | low price point, and you're long in the | ||
1452 | |||
1453 | 364 | ||
1454 | 00:20:34,710 ~-~-> 00:20:37,320 | ||
1455 | marketplace, you anticipated | ||
1456 | |||
1457 | 365 | ||
1458 | 00:20:37,320 ~-~-> 00:20:40,470 | ||
1459 | professional trader prices moving rather | ||
1460 | |||
1461 | 366 | ||
1462 | 00:20:41,400 ~-~-> 00:20:43,590 | ||
1463 | aggressively away from that level. Okay. | ||
1464 | |||
1465 | 367 | ||
1466 | 00:20:43,740 ~-~-> 00:20:45,150 | ||
1467 | And that's what we talked about earlier | ||
1468 | |||
1469 | 368 | ||
1470 | 00:20:45,180 ~-~-> 00:20:48,660 | ||
1471 | in our series that the more conviction | ||
1472 | |||
1473 | 369 | ||
1474 | 00:20:48,660 ~-~-> 00:20:50,460 | ||
1475 | that we see behind price moving away | ||
1476 | |||
1477 | 370 | ||
1478 | 00:20:50,460 ~-~-> 00:20:52,080 | ||
1479 | from from a specific level that we | ||
1480 | |||
1481 | 371 | ||
1482 | 00:20:52,110 ~-~-> 00:20:55,080 | ||
1483 | hopefully predetermined in advance, that | ||
1484 | |||
1485 | 372 | ||
1486 | 00:20:55,170 ~-~-> 00:20:58,410 | ||
1487 | is what we would anticipate seeing in | ||
1488 | |||
1489 | 373 | ||
1490 | 00:20:58,410 ~-~-> 00:20:59,970 | ||
1491 | our trades once we've entered it. We | ||
1492 | |||
1493 | 374 | ||
1494 | 00:21:00,000 ~-~-> 00:21:02,490 | ||
1495 | Don't want to see the market dragon its | ||
1496 | |||
1497 | 375 | ||
1498 | 00:21:02,490 ~-~-> 00:21:04,590 | ||
1499 | heels and, and lethargic Lee moving | ||
1500 | |||
1501 | 376 | ||
1502 | 00:21:04,590 ~-~-> 00:21:07,440 | ||
1503 | around because we're going to be | ||
1504 | |||
1505 | 377 | ||
1506 | 00:21:07,440 ~-~-> 00:21:10,650 | ||
1507 | mentioning time stops in this in this | ||
1508 | |||
1509 | 378 | ||
1510 | 00:21:10,650 ~-~-> 00:21:12,150 | ||
1511 | episode too. I'm not going to beat it to | ||
1512 | |||
1513 | 379 | ||
1514 | 00:21:12,150 ~-~-> 00:21:14,010 | ||
1515 | death but I do use a time stop and | ||
1516 | |||
1517 | 380 | ||
1518 | 00:21:14,010 ~-~-> 00:21:15,210 | ||
1519 | I'll explain that as we get to that | ||
1520 | |||
1521 | 381 | ||
1522 | 00:21:15,210 ~-~-> 00:21:17,760 | ||
1523 | point. But as the market starts to move | ||
1524 | |||
1525 | 382 | ||
1526 | 00:21:17,760 ~-~-> 00:21:20,310 | ||
1527 | in our favor Okay, we will be reaching | ||
1528 | |||
1529 | 383 | ||
1530 | 00:21:20,310 ~-~-> 00:21:23,040 | ||
1531 | for our predetermined price points like | ||
1532 | |||
1533 | 384 | ||
1534 | 00:21:23,040 ~-~-> 00:21:25,950 | ||
1535 | we discussed in part five of the series | ||
1536 | |||
1537 | 385 | ||
1538 | 00:21:25,950 ~-~-> 00:21:27,540 | ||
1539 | where we looked at a fib to give the | ||
1540 | |||
1541 | 386 | ||
1542 | 00:21:27,540 ~-~-> 00:21:30,900 | ||
1543 | 127 162 extensions as possible upside | ||
1544 | |||
1545 | 387 | ||
1546 | 00:21:30,900 ~-~-> 00:21:33,240 | ||
1547 | objectives. Now again, those with | ||
1548 | |||
1549 | 388 | ||
1550 | 00:21:33,240 ~-~-> 00:21:35,730 | ||
1551 | confluence of supporting factors with | ||
1552 | |||
1553 | 389 | ||
1554 | 00:21:35,760 ~-~-> 00:21:37,410 | ||
1555 | support resistance, maybe even pivot | ||
1556 | |||
1557 | 390 | ||
1558 | 00:21:37,410 ~-~-> 00:21:40,620 | ||
1559 | points, something like an old higher low | ||
1560 | |||
1561 | 391 | ||
1562 | 00:21:40,890 ~-~-> 00:21:44,490 | ||
1563 | to to frame those upper level | ||
1564 | |||
1565 | 392 | ||
1566 | 00:21:44,490 ~-~-> 00:21:46,230 | ||
1567 | objectives. Not simply because the fib | ||
1568 | |||
1569 | 393 | ||
1570 | 00:21:46,230 ~-~-> 00:21:47,610 | ||
1571 | calls that level, we want to be looking | ||
1572 | |||
1573 | 394 | ||
1574 | 00:21:47,610 ~-~-> 00:21:49,350 | ||
1575 | for other things as well. Again, | ||
1576 | |||
1577 | 395 | ||
1578 | 00:21:49,740 ~-~-> 00:21:51,990 | ||
1579 | factoring the time and day of week | ||
1580 | |||
1581 | 396 | ||
1582 | 00:21:52,020 ~-~-> 00:21:55,320 | ||
1583 | phenomenon as well. Now again, getting | ||
1584 | |||
1585 | 397 | ||
1586 | 00:21:55,320 ~-~-> 00:21:56,940 | ||
1587 | back to this crude example as we have | ||
1588 | |||
1589 | 398 | ||
1590 | 00:21:56,940 ~-~-> 00:21:59,460 | ||
1591 | here, when the market is now moving away | ||
1592 | |||
1593 | 399 | ||
1594 | 00:21:59,460 ~-~-> 00:22:01,590 | ||
1595 | from your entry Point. Okay, one of the | ||
1596 | |||
1597 | 400 | ||
1598 | 00:22:02,430 ~-~-> 00:22:07,140 | ||
1599 | closest things to insanity is when you | ||
1600 | |||
1601 | 401 | ||
1602 | 00:22:07,140 ~-~-> 00:22:10,740 | ||
1603 | have this environment unfolding for you | ||
1604 | |||
1605 | 402 | ||
1606 | 00:22:11,040 ~-~-> 00:22:14,610 | ||
1607 | profitably, okay? It's amazing how | ||
1608 | |||
1609 | 403 | ||
1610 | 00:22:14,730 ~-~-> 00:22:17,730 | ||
1611 | traders and I knew this firsthand. Okay, | ||
1612 | |||
1613 | 404 | ||
1614 | 00:22:17,970 ~-~-> 00:22:20,670 | ||
1615 | when I first began trading, I would hold | ||
1616 | |||
1617 | 405 | ||
1618 | 00:22:20,670 ~-~-> 00:22:25,050 | ||
1619 | a losing trade for ever and for forever | ||
1620 | |||
1621 | 406 | ||
1622 | 00:22:25,620 ~-~-> 00:22:29,280 | ||
1623 | and forever. And I'm sure you probably | ||
1624 | |||
1625 | 407 | ||
1626 | 00:22:29,280 ~-~-> 00:22:30,780 | ||
1627 | felt that same thing too when you're | ||
1628 | |||
1629 | 408 | ||
1630 | 00:22:30,780 ~-~-> 00:22:32,880 | ||
1631 | trading because you really want to see a | ||
1632 | |||
1633 | 409 | ||
1634 | 00:22:32,880 ~-~-> 00:22:36,450 | ||
1635 | turnaround and hope springs eternal. Not | ||
1636 | |||
1637 | 410 | ||
1638 | 00:22:36,450 ~-~-> 00:22:39,000 | ||
1639 | in forex, not in speculation and | ||
1640 | |||
1641 | 411 | ||
1642 | 00:22:39,000 ~-~-> 00:22:41,430 | ||
1643 | certainly not in trading. Okay, so the | ||
1644 | |||
1645 | 412 | ||
1646 | 00:22:41,430 ~-~-> 00:22:42,630 | ||
1647 | market doesn't have to go back to your | ||
1648 | |||
1649 | 413 | ||
1650 | 00:22:42,630 ~-~-> 00:22:44,400 | ||
1651 | price point. Okay, if you look at the | ||
1652 | |||
1653 | 414 | ||
1654 | 00:22:44,400 ~-~-> 00:22:46,950 | ||
1655 | Dow just look at anything from seven | ||
1656 | |||
1657 | 415 | ||
1658 | 00:22:46,950 ~-~-> 00:22:48,840 | ||
1659 | months ago. It's been a losses as | ||
1660 | |||
1661 | 416 | ||
1662 | 00:22:48,840 ~-~-> 00:22:51,210 | ||
1663 | impacted as levels. Okay. So if you've | ||
1664 | |||
1665 | 417 | ||
1666 | 00:22:51,210 ~-~-> 00:22:53,370 | ||
1667 | been waiting for the market to get back | ||
1668 | |||
1669 | 418 | ||
1670 | 00:22:53,370 ~-~-> 00:22:56,340 | ||
1671 | to those levels, man, you're going to | ||
1672 | |||
1673 | 419 | ||
1674 | 00:22:56,340 ~-~-> 00:22:59,220 | ||
1675 | grind these pieces, okay? So don't do | ||
1676 | |||
1677 | 420 | ||
1678 | 00:22:59,220 ~-~-> 00:23:00,840 | ||
1679 | that. Have a great day. determind area | ||
1680 | |||
1681 | 421 | ||
1682 | 00:23:00,870 ~-~-> 00:23:02,670 | ||
1683 | where you would expect to cut your | ||
1684 | |||
1685 | 422 | ||
1686 | 00:23:02,670 ~-~-> 00:23:06,720 | ||
1687 | losses short. Okay? What is the industry | ||
1688 | |||
1689 | 423 | ||
1690 | 00:23:06,720 ~-~-> 00:23:09,540 | ||
1691 | standard for risk? Okay, you commonly | ||
1692 | |||
1693 | 424 | ||
1694 | 00:23:09,540 ~-~-> 00:23:12,090 | ||
1695 | hear and I hear myself say all the time | ||
1696 | |||
1697 | 425 | ||
1698 | 00:23:12,090 ~-~-> 00:23:14,040 | ||
1699 | in these videos, because I want to more | ||
1700 | |||
1701 | 426 | ||
1702 | 00:23:14,040 ~-~-> 00:23:20,580 | ||
1703 | or less segue into the majority of | ||
1704 | |||
1705 | 427 | ||
1706 | 00:23:20,580 ~-~-> 00:23:23,310 | ||
1707 | everyone's expectations analysis. But | ||
1708 | |||
1709 | 428 | ||
1710 | 00:23:23,310 ~-~-> 00:23:25,350 | ||
1711 | really what I try to do is say, Okay, | ||
1712 | |||
1713 | 429 | ||
1714 | 00:23:25,350 ~-~-> 00:23:27,900 | ||
1715 | look, everybody says 2% of your equity | ||
1716 | |||
1717 | 430 | ||
1718 | 00:23:27,930 ~-~-> 00:23:30,210 | ||
1719 | portrayed. Okay? And if you're really, | ||
1720 | |||
1721 | 431 | ||
1722 | 00:23:30,210 ~-~-> 00:23:31,620 | ||
1723 | really solid trader, there's nothing | ||
1724 | |||
1725 | 432 | ||
1726 | 00:23:31,620 ~-~-> 00:23:34,740 | ||
1727 | wrong with that. Okay? Now I suggest | ||
1728 | |||
1729 | 433 | ||
1730 | 00:23:34,740 ~-~-> 00:23:36,780 | ||
1731 | that traders should work within the | ||
1732 | |||
1733 | 434 | ||
1734 | 00:23:36,780 ~-~-> 00:23:40,050 | ||
1735 | realm of 1% of their equity portrayed. | ||
1736 | |||
1737 | 435 | ||
1738 | 00:23:41,370 ~-~-> 00:23:43,050 | ||
1739 | Now, the reason for that is assuming | ||
1740 | |||
1741 | 436 | ||
1742 | 00:23:43,050 ~-~-> 00:23:45,300 | ||
1743 | that you had a $10,000 trading account, | ||
1744 | |||
1745 | 437 | ||
1746 | 00:23:45,570 ~-~-> 00:23:47,790 | ||
1747 | and you were risking 1%, how much money | ||
1748 | |||
1749 | 438 | ||
1750 | 00:23:47,790 ~-~-> 00:23:52,650 | ||
1751 | would be at risk portrayed $100 against | ||
1752 | |||
1753 | 439 | ||
1754 | 00:23:52,980 ~-~-> 00:23:56,010 | ||
1755 | the standard 2%, which would be $200 per | ||
1756 | |||
1757 | 440 | ||
1758 | 00:23:56,370 ~-~-> 00:23:58,920 | ||
1759 | trade total risk, the way you determine | ||
1760 | |||
1761 | 441 | ||
1762 | 00:23:58,950 ~-~-> 00:24:01,830 | ||
1763 | your PIP sizes, you take that $200, if | ||
1764 | |||
1765 | 442 | ||
1766 | 00:24:01,830 ~-~-> 00:24:05,970 | ||
1767 | it's 2%, or 1%, at $100 total risk of | ||
1768 | |||
1769 | 443 | ||
1770 | 00:24:06,360 ~-~-> 00:24:08,250 | ||
1771 | assuming that you have a $10,000 trading | ||
1772 | |||
1773 | 444 | ||
1774 | 00:24:08,250 ~-~-> 00:24:11,580 | ||
1775 | account. If it's a $1,000 trading | ||
1776 | |||
1777 | 445 | ||
1778 | 00:24:11,580 ~-~-> 00:24:14,700 | ||
1779 | account, then it would be a $10 for 1% | ||
1780 | |||
1781 | 446 | ||
1782 | 00:24:15,570 ~-~-> 00:24:21,030 | ||
1783 | or $20 for 2%, total equity risk per | ||
1784 | |||
1785 | 447 | ||
1786 | 00:24:21,030 ~-~-> 00:24:23,400 | ||
1787 | trade, whatever that dollar amount is | ||
1788 | |||
1789 | 448 | ||
1790 | 00:24:23,400 ~-~-> 00:24:26,040 | ||
1791 | percentage wise, whether it be 1% or 2%, | ||
1792 | |||
1793 | 449 | ||
1794 | 00:24:26,070 ~-~-> 00:24:29,370 | ||
1795 | ideally 1% or less. Okay, and then I | ||
1796 | |||
1797 | 450 | ||
1798 | 00:24:29,370 ~-~-> 00:24:31,020 | ||
1799 | know that probably sounds like wait, and | ||
1800 | |||
1801 | 451 | ||
1802 | 00:24:31,020 ~-~-> 00:24:32,160 | ||
1803 | I can make a lot of money with that. | ||
1804 | |||
1805 | 452 | ||
1806 | 00:24:32,700 ~-~-> 00:24:33,990 | ||
1807 | That's right. Because if you're just | ||
1808 | |||
1809 | 453 | ||
1810 | 00:24:33,990 ~-~-> 00:24:35,340 | ||
1811 | starting out, you need to forget about | ||
1812 | |||
1813 | 454 | ||
1814 | 00:24:35,340 ~-~-> 00:24:36,600 | ||
1815 | making a whole lot of money because | ||
1816 | |||
1817 | 455 | ||
1818 | 00:24:36,600 ~-~-> 00:24:37,410 | ||
1819 | you're gonna have a whole lot of | ||
1820 | |||
1821 | 456 | ||
1822 | 00:24:37,410 ~-~-> 00:24:39,990 | ||
1823 | learning to do. So assuming that you did | ||
1824 | |||
1825 | 457 | ||
1826 | 00:24:39,990 ~-~-> 00:24:43,500 | ||
1827 | have a $10,000 account, okay, and you've | ||
1828 | |||
1829 | 458 | ||
1830 | 00:24:43,530 ~-~-> 00:24:45,090 | ||
1831 | worked with smaller accounts, you've | ||
1832 | |||
1833 | 459 | ||
1834 | 00:24:45,120 ~-~-> 00:24:47,940 | ||
1835 | proven to yourself that you could be | ||
1836 | |||
1837 | 460 | ||
1838 | 00:24:48,090 ~-~-> 00:24:51,240 | ||
1839 | disciplined. You have a track record of | ||
1840 | |||
1841 | 461 | ||
1842 | 00:24:51,240 ~-~-> 00:24:53,820 | ||
1843 | being consistent. You control your risk, | ||
1844 | |||
1845 | 462 | ||
1846 | 00:24:54,240 ~-~-> 00:24:55,830 | ||
1847 | you limit your losses, you let your | ||
1848 | |||
1849 | 463 | ||
1850 | 00:24:55,830 ~-~-> 00:24:58,440 | ||
1851 | profits run, and your target started | ||
1852 | |||
1853 | 464 | ||
1854 | 00:24:58,440 ~-~-> 00:25:02,790 | ||
1855 | getting hit on more consistent basis you | ||
1856 | |||
1857 | 465 | ||
1858 | 00:25:02,790 ~-~-> 00:25:06,750 | ||
1859 | have a risk of $100 per trade, which is | ||
1860 | |||
1861 | 466 | ||
1862 | 00:25:06,750 ~-~-> 00:25:11,070 | ||
1863 | 1% of $10,000. You take that $100 and | ||
1864 | |||
1865 | 467 | ||
1866 | 00:25:11,070 ~-~-> 00:25:16,170 | ||
1867 | you divide that by the total pips. Okay | ||
1868 | |||
1869 | 468 | ||
1870 | 00:25:16,200 ~-~-> 00:25:19,350 | ||
1871 | needed to justify your trade. Okay, and, | ||
1872 | |||
1873 | 469 | ||
1874 | 00:25:19,770 ~-~-> 00:25:21,330 | ||
1875 | but the assumption that this is a daily | ||
1876 | |||
1877 | 470 | ||
1878 | 00:25:21,330 ~-~-> 00:25:24,030 | ||
1879 | chart here, it could be very easily in | ||
1880 | |||
1881 | 471 | ||
1882 | 00:25:24,030 ~-~-> 00:25:27,060 | ||
1883 | the realm of 100 pips or more, okay, | ||
1884 | |||
1885 | 472 | ||
1886 | 00:25:27,060 ~-~-> 00:25:28,920 | ||
1887 | which would put you at very, very low | ||
1888 | |||
1889 | 473 | ||
1890 | 00:25:30,240 ~-~-> 00:25:32,190 | ||
1891 | leverage for the trade, which really in | ||
1892 | |||
1893 | 474 | ||
1894 | 00:25:32,190 ~-~-> 00:25:35,490 | ||
1895 | a way isn't that bad, but I know a lot | ||
1896 | |||
1897 | 475 | ||
1898 | 00:25:35,490 ~-~-> 00:25:36,840 | ||
1899 | of you folks watching this really want | ||
1900 | |||
1901 | 476 | ||
1902 | 00:25:36,840 ~-~-> 00:25:38,040 | ||
1903 | to have a little bit more bang for your | ||
1904 | |||
1905 | 477 | ||
1906 | 00:25:38,040 ~-~-> 00:25:41,400 | ||
1907 | buck. So using the concepts we used in | ||
1908 | |||
1909 | 478 | ||
1910 | 00:25:41,760 ~-~-> 00:25:44,190 | ||
1911 | earlier videos, if you move down to a | ||
1912 | |||
1913 | 479 | ||
1914 | 00:25:44,190 ~-~-> 00:25:46,830 | ||
1915 | lower timeframe, you can reduce and | ||
1916 | |||
1917 | 480 | ||
1918 | 00:25:46,860 ~-~-> 00:25:50,010 | ||
1919 | reduce your risk to less than 50 pips | ||
1920 | |||
1921 | 481 | ||
1922 | 00:25:50,280 ~-~-> 00:25:54,960 | ||
1923 | anywhere between 3040 is about ideal, in | ||
1924 | |||
1925 | 482 | ||
1926 | 00:25:54,960 ~-~-> 00:25:56,550 | ||
1927 | my opinion, because it allows the | ||
1928 | |||
1929 | 483 | ||
1930 | 00:25:56,550 ~-~-> 00:25:57,870 | ||
1931 | developing trader to have a little bit | ||
1932 | |||
1933 | 484 | ||
1934 | 00:25:57,870 ~-~-> 00:26:00,450 | ||
1935 | of a fudge factor where they They're not | ||
1936 | |||
1937 | 485 | ||
1938 | 00:26:00,450 ~-~-> 00:26:03,090 | ||
1939 | expected to be so precise with their | ||
1940 | |||
1941 | 486 | ||
1942 | 00:26:03,090 ~-~-> 00:26:04,650 | ||
1943 | stops, okay, and gives you a little bit | ||
1944 | |||
1945 | 487 | ||
1946 | 00:26:04,650 ~-~-> 00:26:07,920 | ||
1947 | of flexibility because I know inherently | ||
1948 | |||
1949 | 488 | ||
1950 | 00:26:07,920 ~-~-> 00:26:11,400 | ||
1951 | that traders will rush to entry. Or they | ||
1952 | |||
1953 | 489 | ||
1954 | 00:26:11,400 ~-~-> 00:26:13,500 | ||
1955 | will look for confirmation in their eyes | ||
1956 | |||
1957 | 490 | ||
1958 | 00:26:13,500 ~-~-> 00:26:15,540 | ||
1959 | quote unquote confirmation by letting | ||
1960 | |||
1961 | 491 | ||
1962 | 00:26:15,540 ~-~-> 00:26:16,980 | ||
1963 | the trade start to move a little bit in | ||
1964 | |||
1965 | 492 | ||
1966 | 00:26:16,980 ~-~-> 00:26:18,720 | ||
1967 | their favorite and then chase it but | ||
1968 | |||
1969 | 493 | ||
1970 | 00:26:18,720 ~-~-> 00:26:20,550 | ||
1971 | very close to their entry price, but | ||
1972 | |||
1973 | 494 | ||
1974 | 00:26:20,550 ~-~-> 00:26:23,340 | ||
1975 | still within the risk parameters as | ||
1976 | |||
1977 | 495 | ||
1978 | 00:26:23,340 ~-~-> 00:26:25,680 | ||
1979 | permitted by their method or this | ||
1980 | |||
1981 | 496 | ||
1982 | 00:26:25,800 ~-~-> 00:26:31,470 | ||
1983 | concept. So if you had that in mind, | ||
1984 | |||
1985 | 497 | ||
1986 | 00:26:31,830 ~-~-> 00:26:36,480 | ||
1987 | okay, you could have basically $3 and 30 | ||
1988 | |||
1989 | 498 | ||
1990 | 00:26:36,480 ~-~-> 00:26:39,510 | ||
1991 | cents roughly, per PIP if you're trading | ||
1992 | |||
1993 | 499 | ||
1994 | 00:26:39,780 ~-~-> 00:26:42,330 | ||
1995 | a $10,000 account with 1% risk using a | ||
1996 | |||
1997 | 500 | ||
1998 | 00:26:42,330 ~-~-> 00:26:50,280 | ||
1999 | 30. Pip stop, okay? The reason why the | ||
2000 | |||
2001 | 501 | ||
2002 | 00:26:50,490 ~-~-> 00:26:52,860 | ||
2003 | industry standard is 2%. Sometimes you | ||
2004 | |||
2005 | 502 | ||
2006 | 00:26:52,860 ~-~-> 00:26:56,490 | ||
2007 | hear in certain circles, you could risk | ||
2008 | |||
2009 | 503 | ||
2010 | 00:26:56,520 ~-~-> 00:26:59,130 | ||
2011 | more than 2%. Okay, because that's what | ||
2012 | |||
2013 | 504 | ||
2014 | 00:26:59,130 ~-~-> 00:27:00,330 | ||
2015 | the real traders And the real | ||
2016 | |||
2017 | 505 | ||
2018 | 00:27:00,330 ~-~-> 00:27:02,580 | ||
2019 | professionals are doing, I can tell you, | ||
2020 | |||
2021 | 506 | ||
2022 | 00:27:02,580 ~-~-> 00:27:04,110 | ||
2023 | the real professional traders aren't | ||
2024 | |||
2025 | 507 | ||
2026 | 00:27:04,110 ~-~-> 00:27:06,150 | ||
2027 | doing that. Okay, they're not risking a | ||
2028 | |||
2029 | 508 | ||
2030 | 00:27:06,150 ~-~-> 00:27:09,060 | ||
2031 | whole lot of their money. For disclosure | ||
2032 | |||
2033 | 509 | ||
2034 | 00:27:09,060 ~-~-> 00:27:11,820 | ||
2035 | sake, I do risk as much as much as three | ||
2036 | |||
2037 | 510 | ||
2038 | 00:27:11,820 ~-~-> 00:27:13,860 | ||
2039 | and a half percent. That means I'm | ||
2040 | |||
2041 | 511 | ||
2042 | 00:27:13,860 ~-~-> 00:27:16,290 | ||
2043 | trading with the higher timeframe, | ||
2044 | |||
2045 | 512 | ||
2046 | 00:27:16,560 ~-~-> 00:27:19,470 | ||
2047 | weekly, daily and four hour all in the | ||
2048 | |||
2049 | 513 | ||
2050 | 00:27:19,470 ~-~-> 00:27:21,630 | ||
2051 | same direction. everything's lined up | ||
2052 | |||
2053 | 514 | ||
2054 | 00:27:21,630 ~-~-> 00:27:25,170 | ||
2055 | with those three timeframes, and I have | ||
2056 | |||
2057 | 515 | ||
2058 | 00:27:25,230 ~-~-> 00:27:28,320 | ||
2059 | a weekly bias that's in the same | ||
2060 | |||
2061 | 516 | ||
2062 | 00:27:28,830 ~-~-> 00:27:32,430 | ||
2063 | direction. And that will allow me based | ||
2064 | |||
2065 | 517 | ||
2066 | 00:27:32,430 ~-~-> 00:27:36,750 | ||
2067 | on my abilities and experience trading, | ||
2068 | |||
2069 | 518 | ||
2070 | 00:27:37,080 ~-~-> 00:27:39,510 | ||
2071 | I will risk up to and it's not a whole | ||
2072 | |||
2073 | 519 | ||
2074 | 00:27:39,510 ~-~-> 00:27:41,550 | ||
2075 | lot that it happens but up to three and | ||
2076 | |||
2077 | 520 | ||
2078 | 00:27:41,550 ~-~-> 00:27:44,370 | ||
2079 | a half percent of my equity for one | ||
2080 | |||
2081 | 521 | ||
2082 | 00:27:44,370 ~-~-> 00:27:47,580 | ||
2083 | trade. Typically, it'll be anywhere | ||
2084 | |||
2085 | 522 | ||
2086 | 00:27:47,580 ~-~-> 00:27:49,860 | ||
2087 | between one and one and a half percent. | ||
2088 | |||
2089 | 523 | ||
2090 | 00:27:50,550 ~-~-> 00:27:53,880 | ||
2091 | Because the timeframes aren't always | ||
2092 | |||
2093 | 524 | ||
2094 | 00:27:53,880 ~-~-> 00:27:55,920 | ||
2095 | lined up like that you'll have a counter | ||
2096 | |||
2097 | 525 | ||
2098 | 00:27:55,920 ~-~-> 00:27:57,750 | ||
2099 | trend move going against one of the | ||
2100 | |||
2101 | 526 | ||
2102 | 00:27:57,750 ~-~-> 00:28:01,770 | ||
2103 | primary higher timeframe timezone not | ||
2104 | |||
2105 | 527 | ||
2106 | 00:28:01,770 ~-~-> 00:28:04,680 | ||
2107 | time zones, the timeframe, the weekly, | ||
2108 | |||
2109 | 528 | ||
2110 | 00:28:04,710 ~-~-> 00:28:08,040 | ||
2111 | daily and four hour. So if I'm trading | ||
2112 | |||
2113 | 529 | ||
2114 | 00:28:08,040 ~-~-> 00:28:10,140 | ||
2115 | against that on a lower timeframe, | ||
2116 | |||
2117 | 530 | ||
2118 | 00:28:10,470 ~-~-> 00:28:13,140 | ||
2119 | obviously one, one and a half percent is | ||
2120 | |||
2121 | 531 | ||
2122 | 00:28:13,140 ~-~-> 00:28:18,000 | ||
2123 | a maximum. For sure. If I'm trading with | ||
2124 | |||
2125 | 532 | ||
2126 | 00:28:18,000 ~-~-> 00:28:20,100 | ||
2127 | a daily and for our in the same | ||
2128 | |||
2129 | 533 | ||
2130 | 00:28:20,100 ~-~-> 00:28:25,290 | ||
2131 | direction, I can be as much as 2% risk. | ||
2132 | |||
2133 | 534 | ||
2134 | 00:28:26,940 ~-~-> 00:28:31,380 | ||
2135 | Now, how high is high? Okay? I think if | ||
2136 | |||
2137 | 535 | ||
2138 | 00:28:31,380 ~-~-> 00:28:34,440 | ||
2139 | anybody's risking more than, you know, | ||
2140 | |||
2141 | 536 | ||
2142 | 00:28:34,590 ~-~-> 00:28:36,990 | ||
2143 | obviously 3% unless you're really really | ||
2144 | |||
2145 | 537 | ||
2146 | 00:28:36,990 ~-~-> 00:28:38,250 | ||
2147 | proficient, you really know what you're | ||
2148 | |||
2149 | 538 | ||
2150 | 00:28:38,250 ~-~-> 00:28:41,550 | ||
2151 | doing. And you know how to turn your | ||
2152 | |||
2153 | 539 | ||
2154 | 00:28:41,550 ~-~-> 00:28:45,060 | ||
2155 | equity losing string around. Because | ||
2156 | |||
2157 | 540 | ||
2158 | 00:28:45,060 ~-~-> 00:28:46,590 | ||
2159 | it's not just one trade that you lose on | ||
2160 | |||
2161 | 541 | ||
2162 | 00:28:46,590 ~-~-> 00:28:47,940 | ||
2163 | guy sometimes you get a couple of them | ||
2164 | |||
2165 | 542 | ||
2166 | 00:28:47,940 ~-~-> 00:28:50,730 | ||
2167 | in a row. And even the best traders out | ||
2168 | |||
2169 | 543 | ||
2170 | 00:28:50,730 ~-~-> 00:28:53,340 | ||
2171 | there will suffer that and have suffered | ||
2172 | |||
2173 | 544 | ||
2174 | 00:28:53,340 ~-~-> 00:28:54,780 | ||
2175 | that regardless of what they tell you. | ||
2176 | |||
2177 | 545 | ||
2178 | 00:28:55,620 ~-~-> 00:28:58,710 | ||
2179 | So assuming that's the case for you, and | ||
2180 | |||
2181 | 546 | ||
2182 | 00:28:58,710 ~-~-> 00:29:01,110 | ||
2183 | you're human like everyone else You have | ||
2184 | |||
2185 | 547 | ||
2186 | 00:29:01,110 ~-~-> 00:29:02,790 | ||
2187 | to have an idea of how to control that. | ||
2188 | |||
2189 | 548 | ||
2190 | 00:29:03,180 ~-~-> 00:29:06,060 | ||
2191 | And the best way to do it is reducing | ||
2192 | |||
2193 | 549 | ||
2194 | 00:29:06,060 ~-~-> 00:29:07,770 | ||
2195 | your overall exposure as you take | ||
2196 | |||
2197 | 550 | ||
2198 | 00:29:07,770 ~-~-> 00:29:10,440 | ||
2199 | losses. Okay? And I'll give an example. | ||
2200 | |||
2201 | 551 | ||
2202 | 00:29:10,440 ~-~-> 00:29:11,850 | ||
2203 | Let's assume for a moment you settled in | ||
2204 | |||
2205 | 552 | ||
2206 | 00:29:11,880 ~-~-> 00:29:14,850 | ||
2207 | on the idea of taking 2% portrayed. If | ||
2208 | |||
2209 | 553 | ||
2210 | 00:29:14,850 ~-~-> 00:29:17,280 | ||
2211 | you take a loss, you've lost 2% of | ||
2212 | |||
2213 | 554 | ||
2214 | 00:29:17,280 ~-~-> 00:29:20,190 | ||
2215 | equity. Okay, now, if you'd risk 2% of | ||
2216 | |||
2217 | 555 | ||
2218 | 00:29:20,190 ~-~-> 00:29:21,990 | ||
2219 | the next trade again, thinking that | ||
2220 | |||
2221 | 556 | ||
2222 | 00:29:21,990 ~-~-> 00:29:23,340 | ||
2223 | well, if I make the same amount of money | ||
2224 | |||
2225 | 557 | ||
2226 | 00:29:23,340 ~-~-> 00:29:25,350 | ||
2227 | I lost on my previous trade, I'll get | ||
2228 | |||
2229 | 558 | ||
2230 | 00:29:25,350 ~-~-> 00:29:28,380 | ||
2231 | back to even that's where the cycle | ||
2232 | |||
2233 | 559 | ||
2234 | 00:29:28,380 ~-~-> 00:29:32,820 | ||
2235 | begins. Okay. You want to get back to | ||
2236 | |||
2237 | 560 | ||
2238 | 00:29:32,820 ~-~-> 00:29:35,880 | ||
2239 | that previous equity level that | ||
2240 | |||
2241 | 561 | ||
2242 | 00:29:35,880 ~-~-> 00:29:37,740 | ||
2243 | milestone that marker, okay, that | ||
2244 | |||
2245 | 562 | ||
2246 | 00:29:37,740 ~-~-> 00:29:41,190 | ||
2247 | comfort zone, internally as a trader, | ||
2248 | |||
2249 | 563 | ||
2250 | 00:29:41,610 ~-~-> 00:29:44,910 | ||
2251 | and that's not a good game to play. | ||
2252 | |||
2253 | 564 | ||
2254 | 00:29:45,180 ~-~-> 00:29:46,890 | ||
2255 | Okay. And what happens is, is you're | ||
2256 | |||
2257 | 565 | ||
2258 | 00:29:46,890 ~-~-> 00:29:48,990 | ||
2259 | actually inviting more emotional | ||
2260 | |||
2261 | 566 | ||
2262 | 00:29:49,050 ~-~-> 00:29:51,870 | ||
2263 | response and triggers into your trading | ||
2264 | |||
2265 | 567 | ||
2266 | 00:29:51,930 ~-~-> 00:29:56,040 | ||
2267 | than you should have. Okay? And by | ||
2268 | |||
2269 | 568 | ||
2270 | 00:29:56,550 ~-~-> 00:29:58,860 | ||
2271 | systematically methodically reducing | ||
2272 | |||
2273 | 569 | ||
2274 | 00:29:58,860 ~-~-> 00:30:01,260 | ||
2275 | your risk in half Okay, for instance, if | ||
2276 | |||
2277 | 570 | ||
2278 | 00:30:01,260 ~-~-> 00:30:04,380 | ||
2279 | you take a loss at 2%, you only risk 1%. | ||
2280 | |||
2281 | 571 | ||
2282 | 00:30:04,410 ~-~-> 00:30:07,140 | ||
2283 | Next trade, it may take you two or three | ||
2284 | |||
2285 | 572 | ||
2286 | 00:30:07,140 ~-~-> 00:30:08,670 | ||
2287 | trades to get back to that previous mile | ||
2288 | |||
2289 | 573 | ||
2290 | 00:30:08,670 ~-~-> 00:30:11,580 | ||
2291 | marker. But guess what it's doing. It's | ||
2292 | |||
2293 | 574 | ||
2294 | 00:30:11,580 ~-~-> 00:30:13,830 | ||
2295 | removing the rush factor to get back to | ||
2296 | |||
2297 | 575 | ||
2298 | 00:30:13,830 ~-~-> 00:30:15,690 | ||
2299 | that point. And it's honing your | ||
2300 | |||
2301 | 576 | ||
2302 | 00:30:15,690 ~-~-> 00:30:19,170 | ||
2303 | patience with the added benefit of | ||
2304 | |||
2305 | 577 | ||
2306 | 00:30:19,260 ~-~-> 00:30:21,450 | ||
2307 | lowering your overall exposure exposure | ||
2308 | |||
2309 | 578 | ||
2310 | 00:30:21,450 ~-~-> 00:30:23,340 | ||
2311 | to the marketplace. Now think about | ||
2312 | |||
2313 | 579 | ||
2314 | 00:30:23,430 ~-~-> 00:30:25,200 | ||
2315 | you're in a losing | ||
2316 | |||
2317 | 580 | ||
2318 | 00:30:27,660 ~-~-> 00:30:29,880 | ||
2319 | environment where you've had suffered a | ||
2320 | |||
2321 | 581 | ||
2322 | 00:30:29,880 ~-~-> 00:30:32,550 | ||
2323 | loss for a developing trader that is | ||
2324 | |||
2325 | 582 | ||
2326 | 00:30:32,550 ~-~-> 00:30:35,520 | ||
2327 | very, very hard to swallow, regardless | ||
2328 | |||
2329 | 583 | ||
2330 | 00:30:35,520 ~-~-> 00:30:36,960 | ||
2331 | if it's a demo account or not, because | ||
2332 | |||
2333 | 584 | ||
2334 | 00:30:37,290 ~-~-> 00:30:39,420 | ||
2335 | you are still working within the realm | ||
2336 | |||
2337 | 585 | ||
2338 | 00:30:39,420 ~-~-> 00:30:41,580 | ||
2339 | of psychological and emotional barriers | ||
2340 | |||
2341 | 586 | ||
2342 | 00:30:41,580 ~-~-> 00:30:43,410 | ||
2343 | that you simply don't understand until | ||
2344 | |||
2345 | 587 | ||
2346 | 00:30:43,710 ~-~-> 00:30:45,420 | ||
2347 | you've traded through it or you've | ||
2348 | |||
2349 | 588 | ||
2350 | 00:30:45,420 ~-~-> 00:30:47,040 | ||
2351 | experienced it and said, This isn't for | ||
2352 | |||
2353 | 589 | ||
2354 | 00:30:47,040 ~-~-> 00:30:48,990 | ||
2355 | me and I, you know, leave the market all | ||
2356 | |||
2357 | 590 | ||
2358 | 00:30:48,990 ~-~-> 00:30:51,030 | ||
2359 | together. And there's nothing wrong with | ||
2360 | |||
2361 | 591 | ||
2362 | 00:30:51,030 ~-~-> 00:30:52,200 | ||
2363 | that because trading is not for | ||
2364 | |||
2365 | 592 | ||
2366 | 00:30:52,200 ~-~-> 00:30:55,260 | ||
2367 | everyone. And it would be irresponsible | ||
2368 | |||
2369 | 593 | ||
2370 | 00:30:55,260 ~-~-> 00:30:57,660 | ||
2371 | of me as a mentor. To not at least | ||
2372 | |||
2373 | 594 | ||
2374 | 00:30:57,660 ~-~-> 00:31:00,570 | ||
2375 | suggest that to some of you because If | ||
2376 | |||
2377 | 595 | ||
2378 | 00:31:01,440 ~-~-> 00:31:03,690 | ||
2379 | you can't wrap your mind around doing | ||
2380 | |||
2381 | 596 | ||
2382 | 00:31:03,690 ~-~-> 00:31:05,940 | ||
2383 | this and assuming some level of risk, | ||
2384 | |||
2385 | 597 | ||
2386 | 00:31:06,390 ~-~-> 00:31:09,930 | ||
2387 | this is absolutely not your cup of tea. | ||
2388 | |||
2389 | 598 | ||
2390 | 00:31:10,170 ~-~-> 00:31:12,420 | ||
2391 | Okay? And that's one thing you can | ||
2392 | |||
2393 | 599 | ||
2394 | 00:31:12,450 ~-~-> 00:31:15,060 | ||
2395 | guarantee coming from me as you the | ||
2396 | |||
2397 | 600 | ||
2398 | 00:31:15,060 ~-~-> 00:31:18,630 | ||
2399 | gospel. Not everyone on the planet is | ||
2400 | |||
2401 | 601 | ||
2402 | 00:31:18,630 ~-~-> 00:31:21,120 | ||
2403 | meant to do this. And it takes a certain | ||
2404 | |||
2405 | 602 | ||
2406 | 00:31:21,120 ~-~-> 00:31:24,300 | ||
2407 | level of commitment and tenacity to | ||
2408 | |||
2409 | 603 | ||
2410 | 00:31:24,300 ~-~-> 00:31:27,480 | ||
2411 | stick within a realm of rules. And | ||
2412 | |||
2413 | 604 | ||
2414 | 00:31:27,780 ~-~-> 00:31:30,270 | ||
2415 | humans are typically very good Rule | ||
2416 | |||
2417 | 605 | ||
2418 | 00:31:30,270 ~-~-> 00:31:32,040 | ||
2419 | Breakers we don't like to you know, | ||
2420 | |||
2421 | 606 | ||
2422 | 00:31:32,040 ~-~-> 00:31:34,590 | ||
2423 | follow the rules. And just think about | ||
2424 | |||
2425 | 607 | ||
2426 | 00:31:34,590 ~-~-> 00:31:36,000 | ||
2427 | if you walk down the street in a well | ||
2428 | |||
2429 | 608 | ||
2430 | 00:31:36,000 ~-~-> 00:31:37,230 | ||
2431 | groomed neighborhood and you see a | ||
2432 | |||
2433 | 609 | ||
2434 | 00:31:37,230 ~-~-> 00:31:38,610 | ||
2435 | science says don't step on the grass | ||
2436 | |||
2437 | 610 | ||
2438 | 00:31:38,610 ~-~-> 00:31:39,870 | ||
2439 | what's the first thing you want to do? | ||
2440 | |||
2441 | 611 | ||
2442 | 00:31:40,560 ~-~-> 00:31:43,080 | ||
2443 | Step on the grass. Just look at a kid | ||
2444 | |||
2445 | 612 | ||
2446 | 00:31:43,080 ~-~-> 00:31:44,430 | ||
2447 | that's what they're gonna do. You know, | ||
2448 | |||
2449 | 613 | ||
2450 | 00:31:44,790 ~-~-> 00:31:47,820 | ||
2451 | I made so many jokes as my children were | ||
2452 | |||
2453 | 614 | ||
2454 | 00:31:47,820 ~-~-> 00:31:49,800 | ||
2455 | growing up that they were like heat | ||
2456 | |||
2457 | 615 | ||
2458 | 00:31:49,800 ~-~-> 00:31:51,450 | ||
2459 | seeking missiles, okay, we we get new | ||
2460 | |||
2461 | 616 | ||
2462 | 00:31:51,450 ~-~-> 00:31:54,420 | ||
2463 | carpet in the home. And you know a wife | ||
2464 | |||
2465 | 617 | ||
2466 | 00:31:54,420 ~-~-> 00:31:55,680 | ||
2467 | or a guest would come over and | ||
2468 | |||
2469 | 618 | ||
2470 | 00:31:55,680 ~-~-> 00:31:57,750 | ||
2471 | invariably have their their drink with | ||
2472 | |||
2473 | 619 | ||
2474 | 00:31:57,750 ~-~-> 00:32:00,330 | ||
2475 | them and in our dining area, or or | ||
2476 | |||
2477 | 620 | ||
2478 | 00:32:00,450 ~-~-> 00:32:03,210 | ||
2479 | losing room or family room, and our | ||
2480 | |||
2481 | 621 | ||
2482 | 00:32:03,210 ~-~-> 00:32:04,980 | ||
2483 | children would come in and being kids, | ||
2484 | |||
2485 | 622 | ||
2486 | 00:32:04,980 ~-~-> 00:32:06,330 | ||
2487 | they would rough house, you know, just | ||
2488 | |||
2489 | 623 | ||
2490 | 00:32:06,330 ~-~-> 00:32:10,230 | ||
2491 | for a second and they won't fall away | ||
2492 | |||
2493 | 624 | ||
2494 | 00:32:10,230 ~-~-> 00:32:12,720 | ||
2495 | from tables or fall away from the | ||
2496 | |||
2497 | 625 | ||
2498 | 00:32:12,900 ~-~-> 00:32:14,760 | ||
2499 | person, the only person in the room with | ||
2500 | |||
2501 | 626 | ||
2502 | 00:32:14,760 ~-~-> 00:32:17,340 | ||
2503 | the drink, they fall and land either on | ||
2504 | |||
2505 | 627 | ||
2506 | 00:32:17,340 ~-~-> 00:32:19,020 | ||
2507 | the drink or into the person that drops | ||
2508 | |||
2509 | 628 | ||
2510 | 00:32:19,020 ~-~-> 00:32:21,690 | ||
2511 | and goes all over the white carpet or at | ||
2512 | |||
2513 | 629 | ||
2514 | 00:32:21,690 ~-~-> 00:32:23,460 | ||
2515 | the time, you know, we have a very light | ||
2516 | |||
2517 | 630 | ||
2518 | 00:32:23,460 ~-~-> 00:32:27,240 | ||
2519 | colored tan carpet and they drink, you | ||
2520 | |||
2521 | 631 | ||
2522 | 00:32:27,900 ~-~-> 00:32:29,700 | ||
2523 | cause havoc on it, we had to get it | ||
2524 | |||
2525 | 632 | ||
2526 | 00:32:29,700 ~-~-> 00:32:32,010 | ||
2527 | cleaned. So those things are going to | ||
2528 | |||
2529 | 633 | ||
2530 | 00:32:32,010 ~-~-> 00:32:34,110 | ||
2531 | happen. So you have to prepare for it. | ||
2532 | |||
2533 | 634 | ||
2534 | 00:32:35,070 ~-~-> 00:32:37,560 | ||
2535 | So you're going to have that in your | ||
2536 | |||
2537 | 635 | ||
2538 | 00:32:37,560 ~-~-> 00:32:40,320 | ||
2539 | trading with wanting to do something you | ||
2540 | |||
2541 | 636 | ||
2542 | 00:32:40,350 ~-~-> 00:32:42,720 | ||
2543 | shouldn't do. And you're going to have | ||
2544 | |||
2545 | 637 | ||
2546 | 00:32:43,050 ~-~-> 00:32:45,150 | ||
2547 | that Murphy's Law scenario as well. What | ||
2548 | |||
2549 | 638 | ||
2550 | 00:32:45,180 ~-~-> 00:32:47,460 | ||
2551 | can go wrong, probably will go wrong. | ||
2552 | |||
2553 | 639 | ||
2554 | 00:32:47,610 ~-~-> 00:32:49,830 | ||
2555 | Okay. So you have to have that that | ||
2556 | |||
2557 | 640 | ||
2558 | 00:32:49,830 ~-~-> 00:32:51,660 | ||
2559 | shield up in your defense and that's | ||
2560 | |||
2561 | 641 | ||
2562 | 00:32:51,690 ~-~-> 00:32:53,310 | ||
2563 | only going to come in the form of you | ||
2564 | |||
2565 | 642 | ||
2566 | 00:32:53,610 ~-~-> 00:32:55,710 | ||
2567 | controlling your equity. Okay, and if | ||
2568 | |||
2569 | 643 | ||
2570 | 00:32:55,710 ~-~-> 00:32:58,440 | ||
2571 | you take a loss, don't be afraid to cut | ||
2572 | |||
2573 | 644 | ||
2574 | 00:32:58,440 ~-~-> 00:33:00,480 | ||
2575 | your risk on the next trade. And if you | ||
2576 | |||
2577 | 645 | ||
2578 | 00:33:00,480 ~-~-> 00:33:02,640 | ||
2579 | had to do that continuously down to a | ||
2580 | |||
2581 | 646 | ||
2582 | 00:33:02,640 ~-~-> 00:33:05,550 | ||
2583 | half percent total risk of your equity, | ||
2584 | |||
2585 | 647 | ||
2586 | 00:33:06,150 ~-~-> 00:33:07,470 | ||
2587 | that's fine. There's nothing wrong with | ||
2588 | |||
2589 | 648 | ||
2590 | 00:33:07,470 ~-~-> 00:33:11,730 | ||
2591 | that. Okay? Remove from your mind right | ||
2592 | |||
2593 | 649 | ||
2594 | 00:33:11,730 ~-~-> 00:33:13,170 | ||
2595 | now that you want to make millions of | ||
2596 | |||
2597 | 650 | ||
2598 | 00:33:13,170 ~-~-> 00:33:16,080 | ||
2599 | dollars right now, okay? Because that is | ||
2600 | |||
2601 | 651 | ||
2602 | 00:33:16,080 ~-~-> 00:33:18,090 | ||
2603 | the wrong perspective going in. There's | ||
2604 | |||
2605 | 652 | ||
2606 | 00:33:18,090 ~-~-> 00:33:19,620 | ||
2607 | nothing wrong with having goals of doing | ||
2608 | |||
2609 | 653 | ||
2610 | 00:33:19,620 ~-~-> 00:33:22,380 | ||
2611 | that. But initially, you have to take | ||
2612 | |||
2613 | 654 | ||
2614 | 00:33:22,380 ~-~-> 00:33:25,080 | ||
2615 | the bite first, okay, and chew the | ||
2616 | |||
2617 | 655 | ||
2618 | 00:33:25,080 ~-~-> 00:33:27,030 | ||
2619 | elephant, one bite at a time. You just | ||
2620 | |||
2621 | 656 | ||
2622 | 00:33:27,030 ~-~-> 00:33:28,350 | ||
2623 | can't go in and try to swallow it all at | ||
2624 | |||
2625 | 657 | ||
2626 | 00:33:28,350 ~-~-> 00:33:31,770 | ||
2627 | once because you'll choke. So with that | ||
2628 | |||
2629 | 658 | ||
2630 | 00:33:31,770 ~-~-> 00:33:34,350 | ||
2631 | in mind, okay, once these moves start to | ||
2632 | |||
2633 | 659 | ||
2634 | 00:33:34,350 ~-~-> 00:33:37,590 | ||
2635 | move in your favor, okay, you obviously | ||
2636 | |||
2637 | 660 | ||
2638 | 00:33:37,590 ~-~-> 00:33:40,380 | ||
2639 | want to be able to remove the risk, | ||
2640 | |||
2641 | 661 | ||
2642 | 00:33:40,710 ~-~-> 00:33:45,660 | ||
2643 | okay? And, at least during the move in | ||
2644 | |||
2645 | 662 | ||
2646 | 00:33:45,660 ~-~-> 00:33:47,310 | ||
2647 | trading in your favor, you want to be | ||
2648 | |||
2649 | 663 | ||
2650 | 00:33:47,310 ~-~-> 00:33:49,560 | ||
2651 | removing a little bit of the risk | ||
2652 | |||
2653 | 664 | ||
2654 | 00:33:49,830 ~-~-> 00:33:51,210 | ||
2655 | methodically until you get to the point | ||
2656 | |||
2657 | 665 | ||
2658 | 00:33:51,210 ~-~-> 00:33:53,490 | ||
2659 | where you have zero risk or, quote | ||
2660 | |||
2661 | 666 | ||
2662 | 00:33:53,490 ~-~-> 00:33:55,770 | ||
2663 | unquote, no risk exposure. Okay, | ||
2664 | |||
2665 | 667 | ||
2666 | 00:33:55,770 ~-~-> 00:33:56,850 | ||
2667 | obviously anything can happen in | ||
2668 | |||
2669 | 668 | ||
2670 | 00:33:56,850 ~-~-> 00:33:58,500 | ||
2671 | marketplace. You know, something can | ||
2672 | |||
2673 | 669 | ||
2674 | 00:33:58,500 ~-~-> 00:34:01,230 | ||
2675 | happen in markets. gap because of, you | ||
2676 | |||
2677 | 670 | ||
2678 | 00:34:01,230 ~-~-> 00:34:03,210 | ||
2679 | know, terrorist event or something | ||
2680 | |||
2681 | 671 | ||
2682 | 00:34:03,240 ~-~-> 00:34:05,580 | ||
2683 | unexpected in, in the Fed or whatever. | ||
2684 | |||
2685 | 672 | ||
2686 | 00:34:05,820 ~-~-> 00:34:07,320 | ||
2687 | And there'll be a massive movement and | ||
2688 | |||
2689 | 673 | ||
2690 | 00:34:07,320 ~-~-> 00:34:09,720 | ||
2691 | your your stop loss experiences | ||
2692 | |||
2693 | 674 | ||
2694 | 00:34:09,720 ~-~-> 00:34:12,240 | ||
2695 | slippage. These are all things we | ||
2696 | |||
2697 | 675 | ||
2698 | 00:34:12,240 ~-~-> 00:34:13,650 | ||
2699 | understood when we signed up for this | ||
2700 | |||
2701 | 676 | ||
2702 | 00:34:13,650 ~-~-> 00:34:16,020 | ||
2703 | game. So, bottom line is, is it can | ||
2704 | |||
2705 | 677 | ||
2706 | 00:34:16,020 ~-~-> 00:34:17,760 | ||
2707 | happen, prepare yourself for it because | ||
2708 | |||
2709 | 678 | ||
2710 | 00:34:17,760 ~-~-> 00:34:19,380 | ||
2711 | you're going to take losses. And if you | ||
2712 | |||
2713 | 679 | ||
2714 | 00:34:19,380 ~-~-> 00:34:20,580 | ||
2715 | trade of any length of time, you're | ||
2716 | |||
2717 | 680 | ||
2718 | 00:34:20,580 ~-~-> 00:34:23,130 | ||
2719 | gonna have a lot of losses, okay? And | ||
2720 | |||
2721 | 681 | ||
2722 | 00:34:23,130 ~-~-> 00:34:24,360 | ||
2723 | there's certainly nothing wrong with it. | ||
2724 | |||
2725 | 682 | ||
2726 | 00:34:24,420 ~-~-> 00:34:27,570 | ||
2727 | It's a cost of doing business. Every | ||
2728 | |||
2729 | 683 | ||
2730 | 00:34:27,570 ~-~-> 00:34:29,130 | ||
2731 | successful business out there takes a | ||
2732 | |||
2733 | 684 | ||
2734 | 00:34:29,130 ~-~-> 00:34:31,710 | ||
2735 | loss of some sort, but you don't see | ||
2736 | |||
2737 | 685 | ||
2738 | 00:34:31,710 ~-~-> 00:34:34,080 | ||
2739 | those businesses collectively going out | ||
2740 | |||
2741 | 686 | ||
2742 | 00:34:34,080 ~-~-> 00:34:37,290 | ||
2743 | of business. Okay, they, they, they | ||
2744 | |||
2745 | 687 | ||
2746 | 00:34:37,290 ~-~-> 00:34:40,410 | ||
2747 | trim, they put things you know, up for | ||
2748 | |||
2749 | 688 | ||
2750 | 00:34:40,410 ~-~-> 00:34:41,760 | ||
2751 | sale, just to get rid of inventories | ||
2752 | |||
2753 | 689 | ||
2754 | 00:34:41,760 ~-~-> 00:34:43,470 | ||
2755 | ain't moving real fast, and they bring | ||
2756 | |||
2757 | 690 | ||
2758 | 00:34:43,470 ~-~-> 00:34:45,120 | ||
2759 | in you the better movers, okay. And | ||
2760 | |||
2761 | 691 | ||
2762 | 00:34:45,120 ~-~-> 00:34:46,710 | ||
2763 | that's what you do for your trading. If | ||
2764 | |||
2765 | 692 | ||
2766 | 00:34:46,710 ~-~-> 00:34:48,270 | ||
2767 | your trades aren't really panning out, | ||
2768 | |||
2769 | 693 | ||
2770 | 00:34:48,330 ~-~-> 00:34:52,170 | ||
2771 | yeah. Cut the losses short, okay, or the | ||
2772 | |||
2773 | 694 | ||
2774 | 00:34:52,200 ~-~-> 00:34:53,880 | ||
2775 | meals that aren't really moving. You | ||
2776 | |||
2777 | 695 | ||
2778 | 00:34:53,880 ~-~-> 00:34:56,400 | ||
2779 | just get rid of them. And then you keep | ||
2780 | |||
2781 | 696 | ||
2782 | 00:34:56,400 ~-~-> 00:34:57,690 | ||
2783 | your powder dry waiting for the next | ||
2784 | |||
2785 | 697 | ||
2786 | 00:34:57,690 ~-~-> 00:35:01,290 | ||
2787 | setup. If you do that Okay, if you do | ||
2788 | |||
2789 | 698 | ||
2790 | 00:35:01,290 ~-~-> 00:35:03,660 | ||
2791 | that, I think you'll see a more | ||
2792 | |||
2793 | 699 | ||
2794 | 00:35:03,660 ~-~-> 00:35:07,320 | ||
2795 | streamlined increase in your equity. And | ||
2796 | |||
2797 | 700 | ||
2798 | 00:35:07,320 ~-~-> 00:35:09,120 | ||
2799 | I think you'll remove a lot of that | ||
2800 | |||
2801 | 701 | ||
2802 | 00:35:09,120 ~-~-> 00:35:12,150 | ||
2803 | whipsaw you possibly have been seeing in | ||
2804 | |||
2805 | 702 | ||
2806 | 00:35:12,150 ~-~-> 00:35:14,700 | ||
2807 | your equity curve on your beginning | ||
2808 | |||
2809 | 703 | ||
2810 | 00:35:14,700 ~-~-> 00:35:15,900 | ||
2811 | balance and where you're at now. | ||
2812 | |||
2813 | 704 | ||
2814 | 00:35:18,210 ~-~-> 00:35:23,340 | ||
2815 | time stops, okay, I have a premise that | ||
2816 | |||
2817 | 705 | ||
2818 | 00:35:23,370 ~-~-> 00:35:25,950 | ||
2819 | if the move doesn't start, if I'm if I'm | ||
2820 | |||
2821 | 706 | ||
2822 | 00:35:25,950 ~-~-> 00:35:27,960 | ||
2823 | trading off of a daily timeframe, and it | ||
2824 | |||
2825 | 707 | ||
2826 | 00:35:27,960 ~-~-> 00:35:29,550 | ||
2827 | really doesn't start to move in my favor | ||
2828 | |||
2829 | 708 | ||
2830 | 00:35:29,550 ~-~-> 00:35:33,510 | ||
2831 | after three days, okay? I'm aggressively | ||
2832 | |||
2833 | 709 | ||
2834 | 00:35:33,510 ~-~-> 00:35:36,840 | ||
2835 | either removing the risk if possible, or | ||
2836 | |||
2837 | 710 | ||
2838 | 00:35:37,050 ~-~-> 00:35:39,390 | ||
2839 | I'm taking half the position off, okay, | ||
2840 | |||
2841 | 711 | ||
2842 | 00:35:39,390 ~-~-> 00:35:41,760 | ||
2843 | and I'm watching my six. The military | ||
2844 | |||
2845 | 712 | ||
2846 | 00:35:41,760 ~-~-> 00:35:43,080 | ||
2847 | has an expression that you know, | ||
2848 | |||
2849 | 713 | ||
2850 | 00:35:43,080 ~-~-> 00:35:44,520 | ||
2851 | wherever you're pointing your rifle, | ||
2852 | |||
2853 | 714 | ||
2854 | 00:35:44,700 ~-~-> 00:35:46,320 | ||
2855 | okay, or a firearm in front of you. | ||
2856 | |||
2857 | 715 | ||
2858 | 00:35:46,650 ~-~-> 00:35:49,230 | ||
2859 | That's 12 o'clock. Your six is behind | ||
2860 | |||
2861 | 716 | ||
2862 | 00:35:49,230 ~-~-> 00:35:52,320 | ||
2863 | you. Okay, or watch your ass. Okay. What | ||
2864 | |||
2865 | 717 | ||
2866 | 00:35:52,320 ~-~-> 00:35:54,060 | ||
2867 | you're looking at in the marketplace. | ||
2868 | |||
2869 | 718 | ||
2870 | 00:35:54,060 ~-~-> 00:35:57,090 | ||
2871 | When you see a trade, it isn't moving in | ||
2872 | |||
2873 | 719 | ||
2874 | 00:35:57,090 ~-~-> 00:35:59,670 | ||
2875 | your favor. Right away. And I think | ||
2876 | |||
2877 | 720 | ||
2878 | 00:35:59,670 ~-~-> 00:36:01,890 | ||
2879 | three days is enough time, if it's still | ||
2880 | |||
2881 | 721 | ||
2882 | 00:36:01,890 ~-~-> 00:36:03,480 | ||
2883 | consolidating or still him hauling | ||
2884 | |||
2885 | 722 | ||
2886 | 00:36:03,480 ~-~-> 00:36:06,180 | ||
2887 | around not really moving, I'm looking to | ||
2888 | |||
2889 | 723 | ||
2890 | 00:36:06,180 ~-~-> 00:36:07,740 | ||
2891 | either take half the position off and | ||
2892 | |||
2893 | 724 | ||
2894 | 00:36:07,740 ~-~-> 00:36:10,260 | ||
2895 | move my main position to either | ||
2896 | |||
2897 | 725 | ||
2898 | 00:36:10,260 ~-~-> 00:36:13,230 | ||
2899 | breakeven or aggressively take it to | ||
2900 | |||
2901 | 726 | ||
2902 | 00:36:13,230 ~-~-> 00:36:15,330 | ||
2903 | half the initial risk, or even a quarter | ||
2904 | |||
2905 | 727 | ||
2906 | 00:36:15,330 ~-~-> 00:36:18,450 | ||
2907 | of the initial risk. Okay, so maybe like | ||
2908 | |||
2909 | 728 | ||
2910 | 00:36:18,450 ~-~-> 00:36:20,220 | ||
2911 | the overall setup that still might be | ||
2912 | |||
2913 | 729 | ||
2914 | 00:36:20,220 ~-~-> 00:36:22,440 | ||
2915 | there, but it could be iffy, you just | ||
2916 | |||
2917 | 730 | ||
2918 | 00:36:22,440 ~-~-> 00:36:24,720 | ||
2919 | watch your six, take your position and | ||
2920 | |||
2921 | 731 | ||
2922 | 00:36:24,720 ~-~-> 00:36:27,270 | ||
2923 | cut it in half, remove aggressively half | ||
2924 | |||
2925 | 732 | ||
2926 | 00:36:27,270 ~-~-> 00:36:29,490 | ||
2927 | the initial risk, if possible, or at | ||
2928 | |||
2929 | 733 | ||
2930 | 00:36:29,490 ~-~-> 00:36:32,130 | ||
2931 | least reduce it down to a quarter of the | ||
2932 | |||
2933 | 734 | ||
2934 | 00:36:32,130 ~-~-> 00:36:33,990 | ||
2935 | initial risk on the remaining half | ||
2936 | |||
2937 | 735 | ||
2938 | 00:36:33,990 ~-~-> 00:36:38,700 | ||
2939 | positions you leave on or simply bail | ||
2940 | |||
2941 | 736 | ||
2942 | 00:36:38,700 ~-~-> 00:36:41,310 | ||
2943 | out. Just collapse the trade. Okay, and | ||
2944 | |||
2945 | 737 | ||
2946 | 00:36:41,310 ~-~-> 00:36:42,900 | ||
2947 | if you're underwater just by you know, a | ||
2948 | |||
2949 | 738 | ||
2950 | 00:36:42,900 ~-~-> 00:36:45,540 | ||
2951 | few pips So what, you know, if you're | ||
2952 | |||
2953 | 739 | ||
2954 | 00:36:45,540 ~-~-> 00:36:47,670 | ||
2955 | risking 30 and you're down 19 and you | ||
2956 | |||
2957 | 740 | ||
2958 | 00:36:47,670 ~-~-> 00:36:49,770 | ||
2959 | just see that it's really not moving. | ||
2960 | |||
2961 | 741 | ||
2962 | 00:36:50,100 ~-~-> 00:36:53,130 | ||
2963 | And you go on until Friday, perhaps as | ||
2964 | |||
2965 | 742 | ||
2966 | 00:36:53,130 ~-~-> 00:36:54,510 | ||
2967 | the worst scenario for me, I will | ||
2968 | |||
2969 | 743 | ||
2970 | 00:36:54,510 ~-~-> 00:36:56,490 | ||
2971 | collapse it and just take whatever that | ||
2972 | |||
2973 | 744 | ||
2974 | 00:36:56,490 ~-~-> 00:37:01,290 | ||
2975 | is, as a you know, some modest loss No, | ||
2976 | |||
2977 | 745 | ||
2978 | 00:37:01,290 ~-~-> 00:37:02,970 | ||
2979 | you didn't get stopped out? No, you | ||
2980 | |||
2981 | 746 | ||
2982 | 00:37:02,970 ~-~-> 00:37:04,410 | ||
2983 | didn't get any of your targets, but | ||
2984 | |||
2985 | 747 | ||
2986 | 00:37:04,440 ~-~-> 00:37:06,480 | ||
2987 | you're getting rid of getting rid of the | ||
2988 | |||
2989 | 748 | ||
2990 | 00:37:06,480 ~-~-> 00:37:09,810 | ||
2991 | dog or you getting rid of the slow | ||
2992 | |||
2993 | 749 | ||
2994 | 00:37:09,810 ~-~-> 00:37:11,340 | ||
2995 | moving inventory and you want to get | ||
2996 | |||
2997 | 750 | ||
2998 | 00:37:11,340 ~-~-> 00:37:14,850 | ||
2999 | another, hopefully more opportune setup | ||
3000 | |||
3001 | 751 | ||
3002 | 00:37:15,420 ~-~-> 00:37:17,160 | ||
3003 | with your equity behind it. So that way | ||
3004 | |||
3005 | 752 | ||
3006 | 00:37:17,160 ~-~-> 00:37:18,810 | ||
3007 | you can recoup that. And if you do that, | ||
3008 | |||
3009 | 753 | ||
3010 | 00:37:18,900 ~-~-> 00:37:21,690 | ||
3011 | you systematically find that all those | ||
3012 | |||
3013 | 754 | ||
3014 | 00:37:21,690 ~-~-> 00:37:24,510 | ||
3015 | little tiny scratches immediately get | ||
3016 | |||
3017 | 755 | ||
3018 | 00:37:24,510 ~-~-> 00:37:27,030 | ||
3019 | smoothed out quickly with you move in my | ||
3020 | |||
3021 | 756 | ||
3022 | 00:37:27,030 ~-~-> 00:37:31,560 | ||
3023 | equity into a better more sound setup. | ||
3024 | |||
3025 | 757 | ||
3026 | 00:37:32,850 ~-~-> 00:37:35,070 | ||
3027 | So timestamps is something that you to | ||
3028 | |||
3029 | 758 | ||
3030 | 00:37:35,070 ~-~-> 00:37:37,020 | ||
3031 | me, I think, is beneficial. It's a | ||
3032 | |||
3033 | 759 | ||
3034 | 00:37:37,020 ~-~-> 00:37:39,300 | ||
3035 | little bit of an art to it. But I break | ||
3036 | |||
3037 | 760 | ||
3038 | 00:37:39,300 ~-~-> 00:37:40,830 | ||
3039 | it down like this. If it's going to be a | ||
3040 | |||
3041 | 761 | ||
3042 | 00:37:40,830 ~-~-> 00:37:42,810 | ||
3043 | trade it's based off with daily setup. I | ||
3044 | |||
3045 | 762 | ||
3046 | 00:37:42,810 ~-~-> 00:37:45,390 | ||
3047 | give it about three days. And if I'm | ||
3048 | |||
3049 | 763 | ||
3050 | 00:37:45,390 ~-~-> 00:37:48,090 | ||
3051 | trading off of a four hour, I'm really | ||
3052 | |||
3053 | 764 | ||
3054 | 00:37:48,150 ~-~-> 00:37:51,660 | ||
3055 | giving it about one day, and one hour | ||
3056 | |||
3057 | 765 | ||
3058 | 00:37:51,660 ~-~-> 00:37:55,110 | ||
3059 | chart is I'm giving it two sessions | ||
3060 | |||
3061 | 766 | ||
3062 | 00:37:55,110 ~-~-> 00:37:57,480 | ||
3063 | tops, okay. Ideally either the London or | ||
3064 | |||
3065 | 767 | ||
3066 | 00:37:57,810 ~-~-> 00:37:59,220 | ||
3067 | New York session if it hasn't moved by | ||
3068 | |||
3069 | 768 | ||
3070 | 00:37:59,220 ~-~-> 00:38:01,740 | ||
3071 | then you know it on an hourly basis, I'm | ||
3072 | |||
3073 | 769 | ||
3074 | 00:38:01,740 ~-~-> 00:38:04,230 | ||
3075 | really looking to reduce the risk and or | ||
3076 | |||
3077 | 770 | ||
3078 | 00:38:04,440 ~-~-> 00:38:07,320 | ||
3079 | collapse it. And anything less than | ||
3080 | |||
3081 | 771 | ||
3082 | 00:38:07,320 ~-~-> 00:38:09,210 | ||
3083 | that. I really don't have a timestamp | ||
3084 | |||
3085 | 772 | ||
3086 | 00:38:09,210 ~-~-> 00:38:11,190 | ||
3087 | for on outside of the intraday | ||
3088 | |||
3089 | 773 | ||
3090 | 00:38:11,190 ~-~-> 00:38:13,740 | ||
3091 | timeframes of London to London close | ||
3092 | |||
3093 | 774 | ||
3094 | 00:38:13,860 ~-~-> 00:38:17,550 | ||
3095 | when open to London close rather. So | ||
3096 | |||
3097 | 775 | ||
3098 | 00:38:17,580 ~-~-> 00:38:19,290 | ||
3099 | assuming obviously that we have our | ||
3100 | |||
3101 | 776 | ||
3102 | 00:38:19,350 ~-~-> 00:38:21,060 | ||
3103 | scenario that unfolded here, | ||
3104 | |||
3105 | 777 | ||
3106 | 00:38:21,450 ~-~-> 00:38:24,780 | ||
3107 | hypothetically, and we suggesting a we | ||
3108 | |||
3109 | 778 | ||
3110 | 00:38:24,930 ~-~-> 00:38:27,750 | ||
3111 | bought long in this market, whatever | ||
3112 | |||
3113 | 779 | ||
3114 | 00:38:27,750 ~-~-> 00:38:29,940 | ||
3115 | that market may be, we'll just say this | ||
3116 | |||
3117 | 780 | ||
3118 | 00:38:29,940 ~-~-> 00:38:33,270 | ||
3119 | is the euro. And the market starts to | ||
3120 | |||
3121 | 781 | ||
3122 | 00:38:33,270 ~-~-> 00:38:35,130 | ||
3123 | move in our favor. So we have some some | ||
3124 | |||
3125 | 782 | ||
3126 | 00:38:35,130 ~-~-> 00:38:37,770 | ||
3127 | paper profits right now. Our stops are | ||
3128 | |||
3129 | 783 | ||
3130 | 00:38:37,770 ~-~-> 00:38:40,500 | ||
3131 | still at initial 30% I'm sorry, 30 pips. | ||
3132 | |||
3133 | 784 | ||
3134 | 00:38:41,760 ~-~-> 00:38:44,820 | ||
3135 | And we have not yet made our first | ||
3136 | |||
3137 | 785 | ||
3138 | 00:38:46,110 ~-~-> 00:38:48,540 | ||
3139 | profit objective. So what do we do? | ||
3140 | |||
3141 | 786 | ||
3142 | 00:38:48,780 ~-~-> 00:38:51,090 | ||
3143 | Well, you want to be systematically | ||
3144 | |||
3145 | 787 | ||
3146 | 00:38:51,090 ~-~-> 00:38:53,460 | ||
3147 | reducing your risk. If you started with | ||
3148 | |||
3149 | 788 | ||
3150 | 00:38:53,550 ~-~-> 00:38:56,040 | ||
3151 | a 30 PIP stop, move it down to only 20 | ||
3152 | |||
3153 | 789 | ||
3154 | 00:38:56,040 ~-~-> 00:38:58,350 | ||
3155 | pips, and as the market moves and takes | ||
3156 | |||
3157 | 790 | ||
3158 | 00:38:58,350 ~-~-> 00:39:01,440 | ||
3159 | out your first target Take your stop | ||
3160 | |||
3161 | 791 | ||
3162 | 00:39:01,440 ~-~-> 00:39:04,680 | ||
3163 | loss, move it to only 10% risk. Okay? | ||
3164 | |||
3165 | 792 | ||
3166 | 00:39:04,920 ~-~-> 00:39:06,450 | ||
3167 | And as it moves, it starts approaching | ||
3168 | |||
3169 | 793 | ||
3170 | 00:39:06,450 ~-~-> 00:39:09,030 | ||
3171 | your second target. That's when you go | ||
3172 | |||
3173 | 794 | ||
3174 | 00:39:09,030 ~-~-> 00:39:13,170 | ||
3175 | to break even. Okay? You do not rush | ||
3176 | |||
3177 | 795 | ||
3178 | 00:39:13,200 ~-~-> 00:39:15,390 | ||
3179 | your stop trailing. Okay, this is one of | ||
3180 | |||
3181 | 796 | ||
3182 | 00:39:15,390 ~-~-> 00:39:17,460 | ||
3183 | the biggest mistakes traders make. | ||
3184 | |||
3185 | 797 | ||
3186 | 00:39:17,970 ~-~-> 00:39:20,640 | ||
3187 | Because of the natural volatility in the | ||
3188 | |||
3189 | 798 | ||
3190 | 00:39:20,640 ~-~-> 00:39:23,970 | ||
3191 | Forex market. It's so easy for just | ||
3192 | |||
3193 | 799 | ||
3194 | 00:39:23,970 ~-~-> 00:39:27,960 | ||
3195 | common volatility. Nothing behind it new | ||
3196 | |||
3197 | 800 | ||
3198 | 00:39:27,960 ~-~-> 00:39:30,420 | ||
3199 | market maker sneaking to get you. It's | ||
3200 | |||
3201 | 801 | ||
3202 | 00:39:30,720 ~-~-> 00:39:33,030 | ||
3203 | normal volatility. Okay, illiquid | ||
3204 | |||
3205 | 802 | ||
3206 | 00:39:33,030 ~-~-> 00:39:35,220 | ||
3207 | volatility. Okay, where markets come | ||
3208 | |||
3209 | 803 | ||
3210 | 00:39:35,220 ~-~-> 00:39:38,040 | ||
3211 | down. Phil Phil's market inefficiencies | ||
3212 | |||
3213 | 804 | ||
3214 | 00:39:38,040 ~-~-> 00:39:39,750 | ||
3215 | and they take the market down to a | ||
3216 | |||
3217 | 805 | ||
3218 | 00:39:39,750 ~-~-> 00:39:42,480 | ||
3219 | specific level to gather up any orders | ||
3220 | |||
3221 | 806 | ||
3222 | 00:39:42,480 ~-~-> 00:39:43,770 | ||
3223 | and then go the other way. Okay, we're | ||
3224 | |||
3225 | 807 | ||
3226 | 00:39:43,770 ~-~-> 00:39:45,360 | ||
3227 | not talking about stop raters looking | ||
3228 | |||
3229 | 808 | ||
3230 | 00:39:45,360 ~-~-> 00:39:47,760 | ||
3231 | for common little intraday retracements. | ||
3232 | |||
3233 | 809 | ||
3234 | 00:39:47,820 ~-~-> 00:39:51,600 | ||
3235 | Okay. If you rapidly move your stop loss | ||
3236 | |||
3237 | 810 | ||
3238 | 00:39:51,630 ~-~-> 00:39:56,070 | ||
3239 | up behind market pricing, you're asking | ||
3240 | |||
3241 | 811 | ||
3242 | 00:39:56,070 ~-~-> 00:39:57,810 | ||
3243 | to get taken out of a trade before it | ||
3244 | |||
3245 | 812 | ||
3246 | 00:39:57,810 ~-~-> 00:40:00,690 | ||
3247 | comes to fruition. Okay. Once you have | ||
3248 | |||
3249 | 813 | ||
3250 | 00:40:00,690 ~-~-> 00:40:02,670 | ||
3251 | the setup, what you're doing is you're | ||
3252 | |||
3253 | 814 | ||
3254 | 00:40:02,670 ~-~-> 00:40:05,370 | ||
3255 | anticipating the market to start to move | ||
3256 | |||
3257 | 815 | ||
3258 | 00:40:05,580 ~-~-> 00:40:07,920 | ||
3259 | in your favor. But this is a gray area | ||
3260 | |||
3261 | 816 | ||
3262 | 00:40:07,920 ~-~-> 00:40:10,380 | ||
3263 | because you don't know for sure it's | ||
3264 | |||
3265 | 817 | ||
3266 | 00:40:10,380 ~-~-> 00:40:13,650 | ||
3267 | going to do that. Okay? Yes, the market | ||
3268 | |||
3269 | 818 | ||
3270 | 00:40:13,680 ~-~-> 00:40:15,570 | ||
3271 | could potentially can continue to move | ||
3272 | |||
3273 | 819 | ||
3274 | 00:40:15,570 ~-~-> 00:40:17,670 | ||
3275 | in your favor. Or it could turn around | ||
3276 | |||
3277 | 820 | ||
3278 | 00:40:17,670 ~-~-> 00:40:20,220 | ||
3279 | and stop you out. Or could stay in this | ||
3280 | |||
3281 | 821 | ||
3282 | 00:40:20,250 ~-~-> 00:40:23,340 | ||
3283 | small little consolidation area for days | ||
3284 | |||
3285 | 822 | ||
3286 | 00:40:23,610 ~-~-> 00:40:25,680 | ||
3287 | and make new money for you but a small | ||
3288 | |||
3289 | 823 | ||
3290 | 00:40:25,680 ~-~-> 00:40:27,840 | ||
3291 | profit, but you'll hold on to it | ||
3292 | |||
3293 | 824 | ||
3294 | 00:40:27,840 ~-~-> 00:40:29,340 | ||
3295 | thinking it's going to go to the moon, I | ||
3296 | |||
3297 | 825 | ||
3298 | 00:40:29,340 ~-~-> 00:40:31,170 | ||
3299 | know you because everybody's the same | ||
3300 | |||
3301 | 826 | ||
3302 | 00:40:31,170 ~-~-> 00:40:32,880 | ||
3303 | way when they're developing. We all | ||
3304 | |||
3305 | 827 | ||
3306 | 00:40:32,880 ~-~-> 00:40:34,440 | ||
3307 | think the markets are gonna go like a | ||
3308 | |||
3309 | 828 | ||
3310 | 00:40:34,440 ~-~-> 00:40:37,890 | ||
3311 | rocket either up or crash down. Okay, to | ||
3312 | |||
3313 | 829 | ||
3314 | 00:40:37,890 ~-~-> 00:40:39,660 | ||
3315 | the ground like a, you know, a meteor | ||
3316 | |||
3317 | 830 | ||
3318 | 00:40:39,660 ~-~-> 00:40:41,880 | ||
3319 | just plummeting to the earth. It's, they | ||
3320 | |||
3321 | 831 | ||
3322 | 00:40:41,880 ~-~-> 00:40:43,260 | ||
3323 | don't move in straight lines, guys. | ||
3324 | |||
3325 | 832 | ||
3326 | 00:40:43,380 ~-~-> 00:40:45,120 | ||
3327 | Okay, so while we would anticipate, | ||
3328 | |||
3329 | 833 | ||
3330 | 00:40:45,240 ~-~-> 00:40:48,000 | ||
3331 | okay, higher prices, and we expect that | ||
3332 | |||
3333 | 834 | ||
3334 | 00:40:48,000 ~-~-> 00:40:50,490 | ||
3335 | hopefully, okay, hopefully that we see | ||
3336 | |||
3337 | 835 | ||
3338 | 00:40:50,490 ~-~-> 00:40:52,440 | ||
3339 | that, again, keeping in mind that's a | ||
3340 | |||
3341 | 836 | ||
3342 | 00:40:52,440 ~-~-> 00:40:55,650 | ||
3343 | gray area. We're expecting those price | ||
3344 | |||
3345 | 837 | ||
3346 | 00:40:55,650 ~-~-> 00:40:57,690 | ||
3347 | levels be reached on the upper side, but | ||
3348 | |||
3349 | 838 | ||
3350 | 00:40:57,690 ~-~-> 00:41:00,870 | ||
3351 | they're not promised. Okay? So inside of | ||
3352 | |||
3353 | 839 | ||
3354 | 00:41:00,870 ~-~-> 00:41:03,570 | ||
3355 | that, that, that gray area of | ||
3356 | |||
3357 | 840 | ||
3358 | 00:41:03,570 ~-~-> 00:41:07,020 | ||
3359 | anticipation, we have an expected | ||
3360 | |||
3361 | 841 | ||
3362 | 00:41:07,110 ~-~-> 00:41:10,200 | ||
3363 | outcome in price action, but we can | ||
3364 | |||
3365 | 842 | ||
3366 | 00:41:10,230 ~-~-> 00:41:13,560 | ||
3367 | effectively manage our stops within that | ||
3368 | |||
3369 | 843 | ||
3370 | 00:41:13,560 ~-~-> 00:41:16,650 | ||
3371 | move. Okay, and there's a way that I do | ||
3372 | |||
3373 | 844 | ||
3374 | 00:41:16,650 ~-~-> 00:41:19,740 | ||
3375 | it. But once you have your setup, the | ||
3376 | |||
3377 | 845 | ||
3378 | 00:41:19,740 ~-~-> 00:41:22,710 | ||
3379 | way I manage my stop losses, is I use a | ||
3380 | |||
3381 | 846 | ||
3382 | 00:41:22,710 ~-~-> 00:41:26,730 | ||
3383 | 15 minute timeframe. Okay, and the 15 | ||
3384 | |||
3385 | 847 | ||
3386 | 00:41:26,730 ~-~-> 00:41:30,060 | ||
3387 | minute because this setup in this whole | ||
3388 | |||
3389 | 848 | ||
3390 | 00:41:30,090 ~-~-> 00:41:31,650 | ||
3391 | series have been really developed on | ||
3392 | |||
3393 | 849 | ||
3394 | 00:41:31,890 ~-~-> 00:41:34,530 | ||
3395 | finding one solid weekly setup where you | ||
3396 | |||
3397 | 850 | ||
3398 | 00:41:34,530 ~-~-> 00:41:36,690 | ||
3399 | can take a really good setup for a | ||
3400 | |||
3401 | 851 | ||
3402 | 00:41:36,690 ~-~-> 00:41:39,690 | ||
3403 | weekly opportunity to make a consistent | ||
3404 | |||
3405 | 852 | ||
3406 | 00:41:39,720 ~-~-> 00:41:42,870 | ||
3407 | realm of pips anywhere between 30 to 60 | ||
3408 | |||
3409 | 853 | ||
3410 | 00:41:42,870 ~-~-> 00:41:45,270 | ||
3411 | pips i think is an ideal scenario for | ||
3412 | |||
3413 | 854 | ||
3414 | 00:41:45,270 ~-~-> 00:41:47,400 | ||
3415 | someone to try to carve out a consistent | ||
3416 | |||
3417 | 855 | ||
3418 | 00:41:47,430 ~-~-> 00:41:50,280 | ||
3419 | living. And if you are consistently | ||
3420 | |||
3421 | 856 | ||
3422 | 00:41:50,280 ~-~-> 00:41:51,870 | ||
3423 | doing that, there's certainly no reason | ||
3424 | |||
3425 | 857 | ||
3426 | 00:41:51,870 ~-~-> 00:41:54,900 | ||
3427 | why you can't take a very handsome | ||
3428 | |||
3429 | 858 | ||
3430 | 00:41:55,110 ~-~-> 00:41:56,970 | ||
3431 | living out of this this marketplace and | ||
3432 | |||
3433 | 859 | ||
3434 | 00:41:56,970 ~-~-> 00:41:58,260 | ||
3435 | not tried a whole lot of peers either. | ||
3436 | |||
3437 | 860 | ||
3438 | 00:41:58,620 ~-~-> 00:42:03,480 | ||
3439 | So Why don't use a 15 minute timeframe? | ||
3440 | |||
3441 | 861 | ||
3442 | 00:42:03,810 ~-~-> 00:42:07,920 | ||
3443 | Well, there is very clear, discernible | ||
3444 | |||
3445 | 862 | ||
3446 | 00:42:07,920 ~-~-> 00:42:09,780 | ||
3447 | dealing ranges and support resistance | ||
3448 | |||
3449 | 863 | ||
3450 | 00:42:09,780 ~-~-> 00:42:12,660 | ||
3451 | levels, okay, that are clearly | ||
3452 | |||
3453 | 864 | ||
3454 | 00:42:12,660 ~-~-> 00:42:15,450 | ||
3455 | discernible on that timeframe, and | ||
3456 | |||
3457 | 865 | ||
3458 | 00:42:15,480 ~-~-> 00:42:17,160 | ||
3459 | allows you to look at a whole weekly | ||
3460 | |||
3461 | 866 | ||
3462 | 00:42:17,160 ~-~-> 00:42:20,790 | ||
3463 | perspective perspective, from Sunday to | ||
3464 | |||
3465 | 867 | ||
3466 | 00:42:20,790 ~-~-> 00:42:25,020 | ||
3467 | Friday's close. Perfect example, pick | ||
3468 | |||
3469 | 868 | ||
3470 | 00:42:25,020 ~-~-> 00:42:27,360 | ||
3471 | any pair of your choosing, load up a 15 | ||
3472 | |||
3473 | 869 | ||
3474 | 00:42:27,360 ~-~-> 00:42:29,010 | ||
3475 | minute chart, condense your chart, so it | ||
3476 | |||
3477 | 870 | ||
3478 | 00:42:29,010 ~-~-> 00:42:31,650 | ||
3479 | shows Sunday to Friday's close. And | ||
3480 | |||
3481 | 871 | ||
3482 | 00:42:31,650 ~-~-> 00:42:34,140 | ||
3483 | you'll see how that timeframe gives you | ||
3484 | |||
3485 | 872 | ||
3486 | 00:42:34,320 ~-~-> 00:42:37,260 | ||
3487 | all of this session highs and lows. It | ||
3488 | |||
3489 | 873 | ||
3490 | 00:42:37,260 ~-~-> 00:42:40,200 | ||
3491 | even gives you a very clear snapshot of | ||
3492 | |||
3493 | 874 | ||
3494 | 00:42:40,260 ~-~-> 00:42:43,140 | ||
3495 | all of the volatility for those | ||
3496 | |||
3497 | 875 | ||
3498 | 00:42:43,140 ~-~-> 00:42:45,840 | ||
3499 | particular sessions London, New York, | ||
3500 | |||
3501 | 876 | ||
3502 | 00:42:46,200 ~-~-> 00:42:48,360 | ||
3503 | Asia and you can actually see where the | ||
3504 | |||
3505 | 877 | ||
3506 | 00:42:48,360 ~-~-> 00:42:50,070 | ||
3507 | range highs and lows are very clearly. | ||
3508 | |||
3509 | 878 | ||
3510 | 00:42:50,310 ~-~-> 00:42:51,480 | ||
3511 | And then you can see the small little | ||
3512 | |||
3513 | 879 | ||
3514 | 00:42:51,480 ~-~-> 00:42:53,580 | ||
3515 | quiet points in the marketplace in | ||
3516 | |||
3517 | 880 | ||
3518 | 00:42:53,580 ~-~-> 00:42:58,980 | ||
3519 | between those sessions. Also, the notion | ||
3520 | |||
3521 | 881 | ||
3522 | 00:42:58,980 ~-~-> 00:43:01,740 | ||
3523 | of find that we Hi by Tuesday are no | ||
3524 | |||
3525 | 882 | ||
3526 | 00:43:01,740 ~-~-> 00:43:03,180 | ||
3527 | later than Wednesday is London open | ||
3528 | |||
3529 | 883 | ||
3530 | 00:43:03,900 ~-~-> 00:43:07,080 | ||
3531 | having that in mind okay expecting a | ||
3532 | |||
3533 | 884 | ||
3534 | 00:43:07,080 ~-~-> 00:43:09,060 | ||
3535 | specific outcome based on hard timeframe | ||
3536 | |||
3537 | 885 | ||
3538 | 00:43:09,060 ~-~-> 00:43:11,190 | ||
3539 | direction on premise but that assumption | ||
3540 | |||
3541 | 886 | ||
3542 | 00:43:11,190 ~-~-> 00:43:13,110 | ||
3543 | here being bullish, we will be looking | ||
3544 | |||
3545 | 887 | ||
3546 | 00:43:13,110 ~-~-> 00:43:14,880 | ||
3547 | for the monday tuesday or wednesday | ||
3548 | |||
3549 | 888 | ||
3550 | 00:43:14,880 ~-~-> 00:43:19,440 | ||
3551 | London open session low making it for | ||
3552 | |||
3553 | 889 | ||
3554 | 00:43:19,440 ~-~-> 00:43:21,720 | ||
3555 | the weekly low by that time okay no | ||
3556 | |||
3557 | 890 | ||
3558 | 00:43:21,720 ~-~-> 00:43:22,980 | ||
3559 | respond Wednesdays London open at the | ||
3560 | |||
3561 | 891 | ||
3562 | 00:43:22,980 ~-~-> 00:43:25,500 | ||
3563 | very least typically you get about 70% | ||
3564 | |||
3565 | 892 | ||
3566 | 00:43:26,550 ~-~-> 00:43:28,860 | ||
3567 | likelihood that the lows usually formed | ||
3568 | |||
3569 | 893 | ||
3570 | 00:43:28,860 ~-~-> 00:43:30,060 | ||
3571 | by Tuesday's long and open | ||
3572 | |||
3573 | 894 | ||
3574 | 00:43:31,320 ~-~-> 00:43:32,760 | ||
3575 | just reverse that obviously for bearish | ||
3576 | |||
3577 | 895 | ||
3578 | 00:43:32,760 ~-~-> 00:43:35,910 | ||
3579 | conditions but you know, the way I | ||
3580 | |||
3581 | 896 | ||
3582 | 00:43:35,910 ~-~-> 00:43:37,680 | ||
3583 | manage my stops once they've moved to | ||
3584 | |||
3585 | 897 | ||
3586 | 00:43:37,680 ~-~-> 00:43:41,640 | ||
3587 | break even, I use a 15 minute timeframe. | ||
3588 | |||
3589 | 898 | ||
3590 | 00:43:42,720 ~-~-> 00:43:44,700 | ||
3591 | And I find the most recent swing low on | ||
3592 | |||
3593 | 899 | ||
3594 | 00:43:44,700 ~-~-> 00:43:48,600 | ||
3595 | a 15 minute basis and note that one and | ||
3596 | |||
3597 | 900 | ||
3598 | 00:43:48,600 ~-~-> 00:43:50,790 | ||
3599 | then I go back to the previous swing low | ||
3600 | |||
3601 | 901 | ||
3602 | 00:43:50,790 ~-~-> 00:43:53,970 | ||
3603 | prior to that one that swing lows where | ||
3604 | |||
3605 | 902 | ||
3606 | 00:43:53,970 ~-~-> 00:43:56,490 | ||
3607 | I take my stop and I just place it just | ||
3608 | |||
3609 | 903 | ||
3610 | 00:43:56,520 ~-~-> 00:43:59,010 | ||
3611 | on in bullish environments just beneath | ||
3612 | |||
3613 | 904 | ||
3614 | 00:43:59,010 ~-~-> 00:44:02,280 | ||
3615 | it by 10 to 15 15 pips okay 10 to 15 | ||
3616 | |||
3617 | 905 | ||
3618 | 00:44:02,280 ~-~-> 00:44:05,820 | ||
3619 | pips below this second most recent swing | ||
3620 | |||
3621 | 906 | ||
3622 | 00:44:05,820 ~-~-> 00:44:09,270 | ||
3623 | low on a 15 minute timeframe and I trail | ||
3624 | |||
3625 | 907 | ||
3626 | 00:44:09,270 ~-~-> 00:44:10,860 | ||
3627 | the market like that I'm getting my | ||
3628 | |||
3629 | 908 | ||
3630 | 00:44:10,920 ~-~-> 00:44:13,020 | ||
3631 | market, a little bit of opportunity, | ||
3632 | |||
3633 | 909 | ||
3634 | 00:44:13,380 ~-~-> 00:44:16,110 | ||
3635 | okay to retrace but not Kamali back | ||
3636 | |||
3637 | 910 | ||
3638 | 00:44:16,110 ~-~-> 00:44:17,460 | ||
3639 | down. If it comes back down that far. | ||
3640 | |||
3641 | 911 | ||
3642 | 00:44:17,940 ~-~-> 00:44:19,410 | ||
3643 | I'm accepting the fact that, you know, | ||
3644 | |||
3645 | 912 | ||
3646 | 00:44:19,500 ~-~-> 00:44:21,150 | ||
3647 | the move is probably done, I missed an | ||
3648 | |||
3649 | 913 | ||
3650 | 00:44:21,150 ~-~-> 00:44:23,760 | ||
3651 | ideal opportunity to get out. Or the | ||
3652 | |||
3653 | 914 | ||
3654 | 00:44:23,760 ~-~-> 00:44:25,680 | ||
3655 | markets reverse and my analysis was | ||
3656 | |||
3657 | 915 | ||
3658 | 00:44:25,680 ~-~-> 00:44:26,760 | ||
3659 | wrong and there's certainly nothing | ||
3660 | |||
3661 | 916 | ||
3662 | 00:44:26,760 ~-~-> 00:44:29,970 | ||
3663 | wrong with admitting that but by using | ||
3664 | |||
3665 | 917 | ||
3666 | 00:44:29,970 ~-~-> 00:44:34,350 | ||
3667 | the previous two swing lows, okay, what | ||
3668 | |||
3669 | 918 | ||
3670 | 00:44:34,350 ~-~-> 00:44:38,010 | ||
3671 | it's doing is it's allowing successive | ||
3672 | |||
3673 | 919 | ||
3674 | 00:44:38,940 ~-~-> 00:44:42,150 | ||
3675 | 79% retracement levels, okay, and when | ||
3676 | |||
3677 | 920 | ||
3678 | 00:44:42,150 ~-~-> 00:44:43,350 | ||
3679 | we look at an examples, you'll see what | ||
3680 | |||
3681 | 921 | ||
3682 | 00:44:43,350 ~-~-> 00:44:46,080 | ||
3683 | I mean by that, but it just it builds in | ||
3684 | |||
3685 | 922 | ||
3686 | 00:44:46,080 ~-~-> 00:44:48,150 | ||
3687 | a allowance for market structure to | ||
3688 | |||
3689 | 923 | ||
3690 | 00:44:48,180 ~-~-> 00:44:49,920 | ||
3691 | continue to make higher highs and higher | ||
3692 | |||
3693 | 924 | ||
3694 | 00:44:49,920 ~-~-> 00:44:53,910 | ||
3695 | lows. Okay. Plus, it keeps it away from | ||
3696 | |||
3697 | 925 | ||
3698 | 00:44:53,910 ~-~-> 00:44:56,640 | ||
3699 | just pure static volatility coming down | ||
3700 | |||
3701 | 926 | ||
3702 | 00:44:56,640 ~-~-> 00:45:00,810 | ||
3703 | and tagging you okay? That's the reason | ||
3704 | |||
3705 | 927 | ||
3706 | 00:45:00,810 ~-~-> 00:45:03,390 | ||
3707 | why you want to be taking some profits. | ||
3708 | |||
3709 | 928 | ||
3710 | 00:45:03,510 ~-~-> 00:45:06,120 | ||
3711 | Okay initially, okay, it may be 20 pips, | ||
3712 | |||
3713 | 929 | ||
3714 | 00:45:06,120 ~-~-> 00:45:07,770 | ||
3715 | maybe 30 pips, you may be getting one | ||
3716 | |||
3717 | 930 | ||
3718 | 00:45:07,770 ~-~-> 00:45:09,720 | ||
3719 | for one and let the remaining portion of | ||
3720 | |||
3721 | 931 | ||
3722 | 00:45:09,720 ~-~-> 00:45:12,000 | ||
3723 | your trade unwind, okay and reach for | ||
3724 | |||
3725 | 932 | ||
3726 | 00:45:12,000 ~-~-> 00:45:13,590 | ||
3727 | higher objectives. There's nothing wrong | ||
3728 | |||
3729 | 933 | ||
3730 | 00:45:13,590 ~-~-> 00:45:14,910 | ||
3731 | with that. But there's going to be a | ||
3732 | |||
3733 | 934 | ||
3734 | 00:45:14,910 ~-~-> 00:45:16,740 | ||
3735 | camp out there that listens to this and | ||
3736 | |||
3737 | 935 | ||
3738 | 00:45:16,740 ~-~-> 00:45:19,320 | ||
3739 | says, Well, you know, you're risking 30 | ||
3740 | |||
3741 | 936 | ||
3742 | 00:45:19,320 ~-~-> 00:45:21,210 | ||
3743 | pips. But then when you cut the position | ||
3744 | |||
3745 | 937 | ||
3746 | 00:45:21,210 ~-~-> 00:45:24,060 | ||
3747 | in half at 20 or 30 pips, you're really | ||
3748 | |||
3749 | 938 | ||
3750 | 00:45:24,060 ~-~-> 00:45:27,120 | ||
3751 | not making any headway with donut. Well, | ||
3752 | |||
3753 | 939 | ||
3754 | 00:45:27,120 ~-~-> 00:45:29,790 | ||
3755 | I beg to differ. Okay? If you have | ||
3756 | |||
3757 | 940 | ||
3758 | 00:45:29,790 ~-~-> 00:45:32,370 | ||
3759 | consistency on your side, you are | ||
3760 | |||
3761 | 941 | ||
3762 | 00:45:32,370 ~-~-> 00:45:34,080 | ||
3763 | shielding yourself from the inevitable | ||
3764 | |||
3765 | 942 | ||
3766 | 00:45:34,080 ~-~-> 00:45:35,580 | ||
3767 | market turnaround while you're in the | ||
3768 | |||
3769 | 943 | ||
3770 | 00:45:35,580 ~-~-> 00:45:37,230 | ||
3771 | trade where it does have a small profit, | ||
3772 | |||
3773 | 944 | ||
3774 | 00:45:37,560 ~-~-> 00:45:39,270 | ||
3775 | okay? And there's nothing guaranteed | ||
3776 | |||
3777 | 945 | ||
3778 | 00:45:39,270 ~-~-> 00:45:40,800 | ||
3779 | it's going to get to your first target | ||
3780 | |||
3781 | 946 | ||
3782 | 00:45:40,800 ~-~-> 00:45:43,560 | ||
3783 | objective or second, or move in your | ||
3784 | |||
3785 | 947 | ||
3786 | 00:45:43,560 ~-~-> 00:45:46,560 | ||
3787 | favor at all. Okay, that camp that | ||
3788 | |||
3789 | 948 | ||
3790 | 00:45:46,560 ~-~-> 00:45:48,270 | ||
3791 | believes that taking some partial | ||
3792 | |||
3793 | 949 | ||
3794 | 00:45:48,270 ~-~-> 00:45:52,020 | ||
3795 | profits, has fixation that thinking that | ||
3796 | |||
3797 | 950 | ||
3798 | 00:45:52,020 ~-~-> 00:45:53,190 | ||
3799 | they're always going to be right so | ||
3800 | |||
3801 | 951 | ||
3802 | 00:45:53,190 ~-~-> 00:45:55,320 | ||
3803 | therefore, their trade should hold on to | ||
3804 | |||
3805 | 952 | ||
3806 | 00:45:55,320 ~-~-> 00:45:58,410 | ||
3807 | the maximum lots that were assumed at | ||
3808 | |||
3809 | 953 | ||
3810 | 00:45:58,410 ~-~-> 00:46:00,000 | ||
3811 | the beginning of trade for the floor. | ||
3812 | |||
3813 | 954 | ||
3814 | 00:46:00,000 ~-~-> 00:46:02,070 | ||
3815 | duration of the trade with the | ||
3816 | |||
3817 | 955 | ||
3818 | 00:46:02,070 ~-~-> 00:46:05,340 | ||
3819 | expectation of making maximum profit. My | ||
3820 | |||
3821 | 956 | ||
3822 | 00:46:05,340 ~-~-> 00:46:06,870 | ||
3823 | goal was a professional trader and it | ||
3824 | |||
3825 | 957 | ||
3826 | 00:46:06,870 ~-~-> 00:46:09,750 | ||
3827 | should be yours as well. Your goal is to | ||
3828 | |||
3829 | 958 | ||
3830 | 00:46:09,750 ~-~-> 00:46:12,720 | ||
3831 | have the maximum protection from losing | ||
3832 | |||
3833 | 959 | ||
3834 | 00:46:12,720 ~-~-> 00:46:14,820 | ||
3835 | your money. Because the likelihood of | ||
3836 | |||
3837 | 960 | ||
3838 | 00:46:14,820 ~-~-> 00:46:17,100 | ||
3839 | you doing that is almost guaranteed | ||
3840 | |||
3841 | 961 | ||
3842 | 00:46:17,400 ~-~-> 00:46:19,260 | ||
3843 | versus the likelihood of you making | ||
3844 | |||
3845 | 962 | ||
3846 | 00:46:19,260 ~-~-> 00:46:21,750 | ||
3847 | money consistently. Okay, think about | ||
3848 | |||
3849 | 963 | ||
3850 | 00:46:21,750 ~-~-> 00:46:23,940 | ||
3851 | that for a moment. If you didn't listen | ||
3852 | |||
3853 | 964 | ||
3854 | 00:46:23,940 ~-~-> 00:46:26,070 | ||
3855 | to it closely, rewind this video for a | ||
3856 | |||
3857 | 965 | ||
3858 | 00:46:26,070 ~-~-> 00:46:27,480 | ||
3859 | second couple minutes and then go back | ||
3860 | |||
3861 | 966 | ||
3862 | 00:46:27,480 ~-~-> 00:46:29,730 | ||
3863 | and listen that portion. Again, because | ||
3864 | |||
3865 | 967 | ||
3866 | 00:46:30,240 ~-~-> 00:46:34,830 | ||
3867 | it is worth its weight in gold. It's so | ||
3868 | |||
3869 | 968 | ||
3870 | 00:46:34,830 ~-~-> 00:46:36,840 | ||
3871 | easy for us to think that we're going to | ||
3872 | |||
3873 | 969 | ||
3874 | 00:46:36,840 ~-~-> 00:46:41,490 | ||
3875 | make more money. If we hold more reach | ||
3876 | |||
3877 | 970 | ||
3878 | 00:46:41,490 ~-~-> 00:46:43,290 | ||
3879 | for higher price objectives or lower | ||
3880 | |||
3881 | 971 | ||
3882 | 00:46:43,290 ~-~-> 00:46:44,490 | ||
3883 | price objections. If we're short. | ||
3884 | |||
3885 | 972 | ||
3886 | 00:46:45,300 ~-~-> 00:46:47,010 | ||
3887 | There's no guarantee it's getting there. | ||
3888 | |||
3889 | 973 | ||
3890 | 00:46:47,610 ~-~-> 00:46:49,530 | ||
3891 | No guarantee and there's been so many | ||
3892 | |||
3893 | 974 | ||
3894 | 00:46:49,530 ~-~-> 00:46:52,320 | ||
3895 | times where I've been so close to the | ||
3896 | |||
3897 | 975 | ||
3898 | 00:46:52,320 ~-~-> 00:46:54,060 | ||
3899 | actual highs and lows of the particular | ||
3900 | |||
3901 | 976 | ||
3902 | 00:46:54,060 ~-~-> 00:46:55,680 | ||
3903 | market was trading, okay, and I'm | ||
3904 | |||
3905 | 977 | ||
3906 | 00:46:55,680 ~-~-> 00:46:57,870 | ||
3907 | talking weekly highs where the market | ||
3908 | |||
3909 | 978 | ||
3910 | 00:46:57,870 ~-~-> 00:46:59,370 | ||
3911 | turned around and then went months the | ||
3912 | |||
3913 | 979 | ||
3914 | 00:46:59,370 ~-~-> 00:47:02,430 | ||
3915 | other direction Okay, I have been so | ||
3916 | |||
3917 | 980 | ||
3918 | 00:47:02,430 ~-~-> 00:47:05,010 | ||
3919 | close where I've just been a partial, I | ||
3920 | |||
3921 | 981 | ||
3922 | 00:47:05,010 ~-~-> 00:47:07,200 | ||
3923 | mean a piece of a pip not even a full | ||
3924 | |||
3925 | 982 | ||
3926 | 00:47:07,200 ~-~-> 00:47:11,520 | ||
3927 | Pip. And I didn't get my exit. Okay, and | ||
3928 | |||
3929 | 983 | ||
3930 | 00:47:12,510 ~-~-> 00:47:15,480 | ||
3931 | to me, I hate that feeling. A lot of | ||
3932 | |||
3933 | 984 | ||
3934 | 00:47:15,480 ~-~-> 00:47:17,070 | ||
3935 | folks would say me that's that's cool. | ||
3936 | |||
3937 | 985 | ||
3938 | 00:47:17,070 ~-~-> 00:47:19,020 | ||
3939 | That's crazy accuracy Yeah, but I didn't | ||
3940 | |||
3941 | 986 | ||
3942 | 00:47:19,020 ~-~-> 00:47:21,420 | ||
3943 | get out of that point. So how accurate | ||
3944 | |||
3945 | 987 | ||
3946 | 00:47:21,420 ~-~-> 00:47:23,670 | ||
3947 | is it just because I said it was going | ||
3948 | |||
3949 | 988 | ||
3950 | 00:47:23,670 ~-~-> 00:47:25,650 | ||
3951 | to go there I had an order to get out | ||
3952 | |||
3953 | 989 | ||
3954 | 00:47:25,650 ~-~-> 00:47:27,390 | ||
3955 | and it only trades a half a pip to that | ||
3956 | |||
3957 | 990 | ||
3958 | 00:47:27,390 ~-~-> 00:47:29,040 | ||
3959 | point. It doesn't activate you in the | ||
3960 | |||
3961 | 991 | ||
3962 | 00:47:29,040 ~-~-> 00:47:31,740 | ||
3963 | order. That doesn't make me smart. It | ||
3964 | |||
3965 | 992 | ||
3966 | 00:47:31,740 ~-~-> 00:47:33,150 | ||
3967 | doesn't make me an excellent trader. It | ||
3968 | |||
3969 | 993 | ||
3970 | 00:47:33,150 ~-~-> 00:47:36,240 | ||
3971 | makes me a person that missed that move. | ||
3972 | |||
3973 | 994 | ||
3974 | 00:47:36,600 ~-~-> 00:47:38,760 | ||
3975 | Okay, I didn't get my trade off like I | ||
3976 | |||
3977 | 995 | ||
3978 | 00:47:38,760 ~-~-> 00:47:41,400 | ||
3979 | wanted to. And initially as a commodity | ||
3980 | |||
3981 | 996 | ||
3982 | 00:47:41,400 ~-~-> 00:47:43,050 | ||
3983 | trader, I you know, I would make that | ||
3984 | |||
3985 | 997 | ||
3986 | 00:47:43,050 ~-~-> 00:47:46,380 | ||
3987 | mistake and it would, it would get close | ||
3988 | |||
3989 | 998 | ||
3990 | 00:47:46,380 ~-~-> 00:47:49,530 | ||
3991 | to my orders. And I'm saying this when I | ||
3992 | |||
3993 | 999 | ||
3994 | 00:47:49,770 ~-~-> 00:47:50,910 | ||
3995 | started getting consistent not when I | ||
3996 | |||
3997 | 1000 | ||
3998 | 00:47:50,910 ~-~-> 00:47:51,930 | ||
3999 | first started because I wasn't that | ||
4000 | |||
4001 | 1001 | ||
4002 | 00:47:51,930 ~-~-> 00:47:53,760 | ||
4003 | accurate. I didn't know anything. I was | ||
4004 | |||
4005 | 1002 | ||
4006 | 00:47:53,760 ~-~-> 00:47:54,930 | ||
4007 | just fine. You know, flying by the seat | ||
4008 | |||
4009 | 1003 | ||
4010 | 00:47:54,930 ~-~-> 00:47:59,970 | ||
4011 | of my pants. The the notion of how | ||
4012 | |||
4013 | 1004 | ||
4014 | 00:48:00,000 ~-~-> 00:48:03,030 | ||
4015 | Holding on to a moose to get the last | ||
4016 | |||
4017 | 1005 | ||
4018 | 00:48:03,030 ~-~-> 00:48:05,670 | ||
4019 | piece of the pie is, you know, it's a | ||
4020 | |||
4021 | 1006 | ||
4022 | 00:48:05,670 ~-~-> 00:48:07,200 | ||
4023 | losers mentality. You don't want to do | ||
4024 | |||
4025 | 1007 | ||
4026 | 00:48:07,200 ~-~-> 00:48:09,750 | ||
4027 | that. You just need a big portion of the | ||
4028 | |||
4029 | 1008 | ||
4030 | 00:48:09,750 ~-~-> 00:48:12,090 | ||
4031 | move. And I just think like a line, you | ||
4032 | |||
4033 | 1009 | ||
4034 | 00:48:12,090 ~-~-> 00:48:14,070 | ||
4035 | know, to me, I think he's, you know, | ||
4036 | |||
4037 | 1010 | ||
4038 | 00:48:14,160 ~-~-> 00:48:21,360 | ||
4039 | he's it on the on the terrain of the | ||
4040 | |||
4041 | 1011 | ||
4042 | 00:48:21,360 ~-~-> 00:48:24,390 | ||
4043 | outback or you know, the outback, I | ||
4044 | |||
4045 | 1012 | ||
4046 | 00:48:24,390 ~-~-> 00:48:26,250 | ||
4047 | guess the Africa's playing, I guess as | ||
4048 | |||
4049 | 1013 | ||
4050 | 00:48:26,250 ~-~-> 00:48:28,170 | ||
4051 | well thinking Oh, but you | ||
4052 | |||
4053 | 1014 | ||
4054 | 00:48:28,380 ~-~-> 00:48:31,350 | ||
4055 | when they, when they eat, okay? | ||
4056 | |||
4057 | 1015 | ||
4058 | 00:48:31,860 ~-~-> 00:48:32,940 | ||
4059 | They eat | ||
4060 | |||
4061 | 1016 | ||
4062 | 00:48:33,390 ~-~-> 00:48:36,270 | ||
4063 | a large portion of whatever was taken | ||
4064 | |||
4065 | 1017 | ||
4066 | 00:48:36,270 ~-~-> 00:48:39,900 | ||
4067 | down by Linus, okay? But they're not | ||
4068 | |||
4069 | 1018 | ||
4070 | 00:48:39,900 ~-~-> 00:48:43,140 | ||
4071 | consuming everything and knows what line | ||
4072 | |||
4073 | 1019 | ||
4074 | 00:48:43,140 ~-~-> 00:48:46,620 | ||
4075 | does, okay? He lets the lionesses do the | ||
4076 | |||
4077 | 1020 | ||
4078 | 00:48:46,620 ~-~-> 00:48:48,660 | ||
4079 | work. They chase down the prey, they | ||
4080 | |||
4081 | 1021 | ||
4082 | 00:48:48,660 ~-~-> 00:48:50,640 | ||
4083 | take it down, they kill it. Okay, they | ||
4084 | |||
4085 | 1022 | ||
4086 | 00:48:50,640 ~-~-> 00:48:52,080 | ||
4087 | may be getting a nibble or two, okay? | ||
4088 | |||
4089 | 1023 | ||
4090 | 00:48:52,080 ~-~-> 00:48:53,580 | ||
4091 | But he comes over and says okay, look, | ||
4092 | |||
4093 | 1024 | ||
4094 | 00:48:53,790 ~-~-> 00:48:55,680 | ||
4095 | it's obvious things did I'm not wasting | ||
4096 | |||
4097 | 1025 | ||
4098 | 00:48:55,680 ~-~-> 00:48:57,720 | ||
4099 | any effort. Okay. Don't go over there | ||
4100 | |||
4101 | 1026 | ||
4102 | 00:48:57,720 ~-~-> 00:49:00,000 | ||
4103 | and run them off, down to eat whatever. | ||
4104 | |||
4105 | 1027 | ||
4106 | 00:49:00,000 ~-~-> 00:49:01,800 | ||
4107 | Want, and I ain't going to consume it | ||
4108 | |||
4109 | 1028 | ||
4110 | 00:49:01,800 ~-~-> 00:49:04,500 | ||
4111 | all. I'll leave, you know, a portion for | ||
4112 | |||
4113 | 1029 | ||
4114 | 00:49:04,500 ~-~-> 00:49:06,420 | ||
4115 | them to eat too. But he's getting the | ||
4116 | |||
4117 | 1030 | ||
4118 | 00:49:06,420 ~-~-> 00:49:10,470 | ||
4119 | lion's share. Every move has a lion's | ||
4120 | |||
4121 | 1031 | ||
4122 | 00:49:10,500 ~-~-> 00:49:12,570 | ||
4123 | share, all you need is a portion of | ||
4124 | |||
4125 | 1032 | ||
4126 | 00:49:12,570 ~-~-> 00:49:16,200 | ||
4127 | that. Or the Linus is starving? No. Are | ||
4128 | |||
4129 | 1033 | ||
4130 | 00:49:16,200 ~-~-> 00:49:19,080 | ||
4131 | the Cubs starving? No, everybody's gonna | ||
4132 | |||
4133 | 1034 | ||
4134 | 00:49:19,080 ~-~-> 00:49:21,570 | ||
4135 | get their piece of the pie. But you | ||
4136 | |||
4137 | 1035 | ||
4138 | 00:49:21,570 ~-~-> 00:49:24,450 | ||
4139 | don't have to rush in here trying to get | ||
4140 | |||
4141 | 1036 | ||
4142 | 00:49:24,450 ~-~-> 00:49:25,860 | ||
4143 | the very, very low and get the very, | ||
4144 | |||
4145 | 1037 | ||
4146 | 00:49:25,860 ~-~-> 00:49:27,090 | ||
4147 | very high. In other words, you don't | ||
4148 | |||
4149 | 1038 | ||
4150 | 00:49:27,090 ~-~-> 00:49:29,160 | ||
4151 | need to make the kill. And that turns | ||
4152 | |||
4153 | 1039 | ||
4154 | 00:49:29,160 ~-~-> 00:49:31,290 | ||
4155 | the market around. And you don't have to | ||
4156 | |||
4157 | 1040 | ||
4158 | 00:49:31,290 ~-~-> 00:49:34,710 | ||
4159 | make the apex, you know, high. Okay, you | ||
4160 | |||
4161 | 1041 | ||
4162 | 00:49:34,710 ~-~-> 00:49:37,380 | ||
4163 | don't have to find the very lowest point | ||
4164 | |||
4165 | 1042 | ||
4166 | 00:49:37,410 ~-~-> 00:49:40,440 | ||
4167 | of the low. Okay, you leave a little bit | ||
4168 | |||
4169 | 1043 | ||
4170 | 00:49:40,440 ~-~-> 00:49:42,630 | ||
4171 | on there. Okay, let those other traders | ||
4172 | |||
4173 | 1044 | ||
4174 | 00:49:42,630 ~-~-> 00:49:44,610 | ||
4175 | try to chase all that stuff. You don't | ||
4176 | |||
4177 | 1045 | ||
4178 | 00:49:44,610 ~-~-> 00:49:46,470 | ||
4179 | need that. And the same thing applies. | ||
4180 | |||
4181 | 1046 | ||
4182 | 00:49:46,470 ~-~-> 00:49:49,020 | ||
4183 | it's applicable to your stops, give it | ||
4184 | |||
4185 | 1047 | ||
4186 | 00:49:49,020 ~-~-> 00:49:51,390 | ||
4187 | some room. Don't be afraid to have a | ||
4188 | |||
4189 | 1048 | ||
4190 | 00:49:51,390 ~-~-> 00:49:53,370 | ||
4191 | market come back against you. And some | ||
4192 | |||
4193 | 1049 | ||
4194 | 00:49:53,370 ~-~-> 00:49:54,870 | ||
4195 | of the exercises that you need to be | ||
4196 | |||
4197 | 1050 | ||
4198 | 00:49:54,870 ~-~-> 00:49:57,540 | ||
4199 | doing is have a demo account and put | ||
4200 | |||
4201 | 1051 | ||
4202 | 00:49:57,540 ~-~-> 00:50:01,170 | ||
4203 | your trades on and let them Come all the | ||
4204 | |||
4205 | 1052 | ||
4206 | 00:50:01,170 ~-~-> 00:50:03,420 | ||
4207 | way down to your stop. Okay? Don't think | ||
4208 | |||
4209 | 1053 | ||
4210 | 00:50:03,420 ~-~-> 00:50:05,100 | ||
4211 | about targets. Just think okay, I'm | ||
4212 | |||
4213 | 1054 | ||
4214 | 00:50:05,100 ~-~-> 00:50:06,900 | ||
4215 | going to be buying today at, you know, | ||
4216 | |||
4217 | 1055 | ||
4218 | 00:50:07,800 ~-~-> 00:50:10,350 | ||
4219 | eight GMT, regardless of wherever prices | ||
4220 | |||
4221 | 1056 | ||
4222 | 00:50:10,500 ~-~-> 00:50:12,510 | ||
4223 | are going up a 30 PIP stop on and just | ||
4224 | |||
4225 | 1057 | ||
4226 | 00:50:12,510 ~-~-> 00:50:15,960 | ||
4227 | watch what price does, okay? And just | ||
4228 | |||
4229 | 1058 | ||
4230 | 00:50:15,960 ~-~-> 00:50:19,050 | ||
4231 | assume what you'd be feeling. If you | ||
4232 | |||
4233 | 1059 | ||
4234 | 00:50:19,050 ~-~-> 00:50:21,780 | ||
4235 | were in the marketplace at that time how | ||
4236 | |||
4237 | 1060 | ||
4238 | 00:50:21,780 ~-~-> 00:50:23,970 | ||
4239 | the market trades down to your stop what | ||
4240 | |||
4241 | 1061 | ||
4242 | 00:50:23,970 ~-~-> 00:50:27,390 | ||
4243 | it does after it hits it, okay? And then | ||
4244 | |||
4245 | 1062 | ||
4246 | 00:50:27,420 ~-~-> 00:50:29,970 | ||
4247 | start applying it with your tools that | ||
4248 | |||
4249 | 1063 | ||
4250 | 00:50:29,970 ~-~-> 00:50:31,830 | ||
4251 | we learned in these videos. Okay | ||
4252 | |||
4253 | 1064 | ||
4254 | 00:50:31,830 ~-~-> 00:50:33,810 | ||
4255 | applying the price action study, then | ||
4256 | |||
4257 | 1065 | ||
4258 | 00:50:33,810 ~-~-> 00:50:36,240 | ||
4259 | using a 30 PIP stop below the entry | ||
4260 | |||
4261 | 1066 | ||
4262 | 00:50:36,240 ~-~-> 00:50:38,070 | ||
4263 | point that where you enter that, okay | ||
4264 | |||
4265 | 1067 | ||
4266 | 00:50:38,070 ~-~-> 00:50:40,230 | ||
4267 | and watch the market move once it takes | ||
4268 | |||
4269 | 1068 | ||
4270 | 00:50:40,230 ~-~-> 00:50:42,810 | ||
4271 | the first profit target then we could | ||
4272 | |||
4273 | 1069 | ||
4274 | 00:50:42,810 ~-~-> 00:50:45,960 | ||
4275 | discuss the 127 extension or an old high | ||
4276 | |||
4277 | 1070 | ||
4278 | 00:50:45,960 ~-~-> 00:50:48,480 | ||
4279 | that you pull your own fib from when you | ||
4280 | |||
4281 | 1071 | ||
4282 | 00:50:48,630 ~-~-> 00:50:51,780 | ||
4283 | see that first target hit. Don't move | ||
4284 | |||
4285 | 1072 | ||
4286 | 00:50:51,780 ~-~-> 00:50:54,930 | ||
4287 | your stop up. Okay? Do a couple trades | ||
4288 | |||
4289 | 1073 | ||
4290 | 00:50:54,930 ~-~-> 00:50:57,810 | ||
4291 | like I do about 20 trades or so. Like | ||
4292 | |||
4293 | 1074 | ||
4294 | 00:50:57,810 ~-~-> 00:50:59,130 | ||
4295 | that we just go to break even once the | ||
4296 | |||
4297 | 1075 | ||
4298 | 00:50:59,130 ~-~-> 00:51:00,990 | ||
4299 | first targets hit Then wait for the | ||
4300 | |||
4301 | 1076 | ||
4302 | 00:51:00,990 ~-~-> 00:51:03,540 | ||
4303 | second target to be fulfilled, do not | ||
4304 | |||
4305 | 1077 | ||
4306 | 00:51:03,540 ~-~-> 00:51:04,980 | ||
4307 | move the stop either you get to second | ||
4308 | |||
4309 | 1078 | ||
4310 | 00:51:04,980 ~-~-> 00:51:06,810 | ||
4311 | target or you get stopped out. Do that | ||
4312 | |||
4313 | 1079 | ||
4314 | 00:51:06,810 ~-~-> 00:51:09,900 | ||
4315 | for 20 trades, okay? And it's obviously | ||
4316 | |||
4317 | 1080 | ||
4318 | 00:51:09,900 ~-~-> 00:51:11,580 | ||
4319 | easier and faster to do it on an | ||
4320 | |||
4321 | 1081 | ||
4322 | 00:51:11,700 ~-~-> 00:51:13,470 | ||
4323 | intraday basis. Like Don't you know, | ||
4324 | |||
4325 | 1082 | ||
4326 | 00:51:13,470 ~-~-> 00:51:16,890 | ||
4327 | five minutes 15 minutes setups, but some | ||
4328 | |||
4329 | 1083 | ||
4330 | 00:51:16,890 ~-~-> 00:51:18,630 | ||
4331 | of you traders can't do that because | ||
4332 | |||
4333 | 1084 | ||
4334 | 00:51:18,630 ~-~-> 00:51:20,130 | ||
4335 | you're you have jobs or whatever but | ||
4336 | |||
4337 | 1085 | ||
4338 | 00:51:20,130 ~-~-> 00:51:22,590 | ||
4339 | that's fine. But then eventually then | ||
4340 | |||
4341 | 1086 | ||
4342 | 00:51:22,620 ~-~-> 00:51:25,710 | ||
4343 | graduate to moving your stop loss in the | ||
4344 | |||
4345 | 1087 | ||
4346 | 00:51:25,710 ~-~-> 00:51:27,090 | ||
4347 | form that we just discussed now by | ||
4348 | |||
4349 | 1088 | ||
4350 | 00:51:27,090 ~-~-> 00:51:29,070 | ||
4351 | having a 15 minute time frame using the | ||
4352 | |||
4353 | 1089 | ||
4354 | 00:51:29,070 ~-~-> 00:51:31,200 | ||
4355 | most recent swing lows for bullish | ||
4356 | |||
4357 | 1090 | ||
4358 | 00:51:31,200 ~-~-> 00:51:33,240 | ||
4359 | scenarios. 10 to 15 pips below the | ||
4360 | |||
4361 | 1091 | ||
4362 | 00:51:33,630 ~-~-> 00:51:36,420 | ||
4363 | lowest of the most recent two swing | ||
4364 | |||
4365 | 1092 | ||
4366 | 00:51:36,420 ~-~-> 00:51:39,000 | ||
4367 | lows. Okay. And obviously just for | ||
4368 | |||
4369 | 1093 | ||
4370 | 00:51:39,000 ~-~-> 00:51:40,410 | ||
4371 | clarity for those that are selling | ||
4372 | |||
4373 | 1094 | ||
4374 | 00:51:40,410 ~-~-> 00:51:44,190 | ||
4375 | short, using your demo account. Yeah, I | ||
4376 | |||
4377 | 1095 | ||
4378 | 00:51:44,190 ~-~-> 00:51:45,780 | ||
4379 | got that in here. I'm not trying to tell | ||
4380 | |||
4381 | 1096 | ||
4382 | 00:51:45,780 ~-~-> 00:51:47,220 | ||
4383 | you do anything with real money guys. | ||
4384 | |||
4385 | 1097 | ||
4386 | 00:51:47,220 ~-~-> 00:51:48,930 | ||
4387 | I'm not licensed to do that. These are | ||
4388 | |||
4389 | 1098 | ||
4390 | 00:51:48,930 ~-~-> 00:51:51,840 | ||
4391 | just ideas to stimulate you. Your | ||
4392 | |||
4393 | 1099 | ||
4394 | 00:51:51,840 ~-~-> 00:51:55,980 | ||
4395 | decision making the selling scenario, | ||
4396 | |||
4397 | 1100 | ||
4398 | 00:51:56,010 ~-~-> 00:51:57,840 | ||
4399 | you would just use the 15 minute most | ||
4400 | |||
4401 | 1101 | ||
4402 | 00:51:57,840 ~-~-> 00:52:00,630 | ||
4403 | recent to swing highs and highest of the | ||
4404 | |||
4405 | 1102 | ||
4406 | 00:52:00,630 ~-~-> 00:52:02,880 | ||
4407 | two you would use your stop loss of 10 | ||
4408 | |||
4409 | 1103 | ||
4410 | 00:52:02,880 ~-~-> 00:52:05,160 | ||
4411 | to 15 pips above it. And you would trail | ||
4412 | |||
4413 | 1104 | ||
4414 | 00:52:05,160 ~-~-> 00:52:06,600 | ||
4415 | that accordingly until it hits your | ||
4416 | |||
4417 | 1105 | ||
4418 | 00:52:06,630 ~-~-> 00:52:11,130 | ||
4419 | ultimate target. That's really the | ||
4420 | |||
4421 | 1106 | ||
4422 | 00:52:11,130 ~-~-> 00:52:14,370 | ||
4423 | essential element to having stop loss | ||
4424 | |||
4425 | 1107 | ||
4426 | 00:52:14,370 ~-~-> 00:52:18,090 | ||
4427 | management. There's nothing new, much | ||
4428 | |||
4429 | 1108 | ||
4430 | 00:52:18,090 ~-~-> 00:52:19,650 | ||
4431 | deeper than that. It's very simple. I | ||
4432 | |||
4433 | 1109 | ||
4434 | 00:52:19,650 ~-~-> 00:52:22,350 | ||
4435 | try not to complicate it. I used to have | ||
4436 | |||
4437 | 1110 | ||
4438 | 00:52:22,350 ~-~-> 00:52:24,000 | ||
4439 | all kinds of intricate ways of doing | ||
4440 | |||
4441 | 1111 | ||
4442 | 00:52:24,000 ~-~-> 00:52:26,310 | ||
4443 | this and doing that. And I found it just | ||
4444 | |||
4445 | 1112 | ||
4446 | 00:52:26,310 ~-~-> 00:52:28,290 | ||
4447 | simply by taking a 15 minute chart use | ||
4448 | |||
4449 | 1113 | ||
4450 | 00:52:28,290 ~-~-> 00:52:30,240 | ||
4451 | the most recent swing lows and highs | ||
4452 | |||
4453 | 1114 | ||
4454 | 00:52:31,050 ~-~-> 00:52:32,850 | ||
4455 | wherever to wherever those two or | ||
4456 | |||
4457 | 1115 | ||
4458 | 00:52:32,850 ~-~-> 00:52:34,650 | ||
4459 | whatever the lowest one is. That's where | ||
4460 | |||
4461 | 1116 | ||
4462 | 00:52:34,650 ~-~-> 00:52:37,470 | ||
4463 | I'm going to have my stop in the | ||
4464 | |||
4465 | 1117 | ||
4466 | 00:52:37,470 ~-~-> 00:52:38,940 | ||
4467 | relationship to where prices now. | ||
4468 | |||
4469 | 1118 | ||
4470 | 00:52:55,140 ~-~-> 00:52:58,830 | ||
4471 | Okay guys, in Episode Seven, we're gonna | ||
4472 | |||
4473 | 1119 | ||
4474 | 00:52:58,830 ~-~-> 00:53:00,690 | ||
4475 | be looking at selecting multiple | ||
4476 | |||
4477 | 1120 | ||
4478 | 00:53:00,690 ~-~-> 00:53:04,530 | ||
4479 | targets. We talking about setting a | ||
4480 | |||
4481 | 1121 | ||
4482 | 00:53:04,530 ~-~-> 00:53:06,570 | ||
4483 | limit orders at logical price levels for | ||
4484 | |||
4485 | 1122 | ||
4486 | 00:53:06,570 ~-~-> 00:53:09,720 | ||
4487 | exits. And we're gonna be talking about | ||
4488 | |||
4489 | 1123 | ||
4490 | 00:53:09,720 ~-~-> 00:53:14,460 | ||
4491 | the ICT split gains ratio, leaving some | ||
4492 | |||
4493 | 1124 | ||
4494 | 00:53:15,300 ~-~-> 00:53:19,170 | ||
4495 | for the just in case scenario principles | ||
4496 | |||
4497 | 1125 | ||
4498 | 00:53:19,170 ~-~-> 00:53:23,550 | ||
4499 | for multiple timeframe trading. And | ||
4500 | |||
4501 | 1126 | ||
4502 | 00:53:23,550 ~-~-> 00:53:25,680 | ||
4503 | we'll have the foundation to success | ||
4504 | |||
4505 | 1127 | ||
4506 | 00:53:26,280 ~-~-> 00:53:28,200 | ||
4507 | that will be given to you in blueprint | ||
4508 | |||
4509 | 1128 | ||
4510 | 00:53:28,380 ~-~-> 00:53:32,310 | ||
4511 | format in the final episode in this | ||
4512 | |||
4513 | 1129 | ||
4514 | 00:53:32,310 ~-~-> 00:53:35,670 | ||
4515 | series, Part Eight. And I think you'll | ||
4516 | |||
4517 | 1130 | ||
4518 | 00:53:36,000 ~-~-> 00:53:38,010 | ||
4519 | have a pretty good idea of what should | ||
4520 | |||
4521 | 1131 | ||
4522 | 00:53:38,010 ~-~-> 00:53:40,260 | ||
4523 | be done from beginning to end stages. | ||
4524 | |||
4525 | 1132 | ||
4526 | 00:53:40,770 ~-~-> 00:53:45,030 | ||
4527 | And I'm using in a flowchart format for | ||
4528 | |||
4529 | 1133 | ||
4530 | 00:53:45,030 ~-~-> 00:53:48,540 | ||
4531 | the part eight series where you know, if | ||
4532 | |||
4533 | 1134 | ||
4534 | 00:53:48,540 ~-~-> 00:53:51,870 | ||
4535 | a specific condition is x, then you go | ||
4536 | |||
4537 | 1135 | ||
4538 | 00:53:51,870 ~-~-> 00:53:55,620 | ||
4539 | to this next condition. Once that | ||
4540 | |||
4541 | 1136 | ||
4542 | 00:53:55,620 ~-~-> 00:53:58,590 | ||
4543 | condition is met, you go to next. So I'm | ||
4544 | |||
4545 | 1137 | ||
4546 | 00:53:58,590 ~-~-> 00:54:02,820 | ||
4547 | a I'm a computer programmer. And guess | ||
4548 | |||
4549 | 1138 | ||
4550 | 00:54:02,820 ~-~-> 00:54:05,370 | ||
4551 | anyone that has a computer programming | ||
4552 | |||
4553 | 1139 | ||
4554 | 00:54:05,520 ~-~-> 00:54:07,740 | ||
4555 | experience, you would understand that | ||
4556 | |||
4557 | 1140 | ||
4558 | 00:54:07,740 ~-~-> 00:54:12,720 | ||
4559 | it's if then scenarios that we learned | ||
4560 | |||
4561 | 1141 | ||
4562 | 00:54:12,720 ~-~-> 00:54:13,890 | ||
4563 | in computer programming. | ||
4564 | |||
4565 | 1142 | ||
4566 | 00:54:14,670 ~-~-> 00:54:15,240 | ||
4567 | If, | ||
4568 | |||
4569 | 1143 | ||
4570 | 00:54:16,320 ~-~-> 00:54:19,920 | ||
4571 | if you can't really build a mindset of | ||
4572 | |||
4573 | 1144 | ||
4574 | 00:54:19,950 ~-~-> 00:54:23,490 | ||
4575 | trading after Part Eight, I'm going to | ||
4576 | |||
4577 | 1145 | ||
4578 | 00:54:23,580 ~-~-> 00:54:28,020 | ||
4579 | readily admit it failed in, in sharing | ||
4580 | |||
4581 | 1146 | ||
4582 | 00:54:28,020 ~-~-> 00:54:29,760 | ||
4583 | some insight on how you could become a | ||
4584 | |||
4585 | 1147 | ||
4586 | 00:54:29,760 ~-~-> 00:54:32,760 | ||
4587 | more consistent trader, I put a lot of | ||
4588 | |||
4589 | 1148 | ||
4590 | 00:54:32,760 ~-~-> 00:54:35,040 | ||
4591 | work. And it may seem like there's been | ||
4592 | |||
4593 | 1149 | ||
4594 | 00:54:35,040 ~-~-> 00:54:37,800 | ||
4595 | a lot of time between these individual | ||
4596 | |||
4597 | 1150 | ||
4598 | 00:54:37,800 ~-~-> 00:54:39,180 | ||
4599 | videos, but it's actually been a whole | ||
4600 | |||
4601 | 1151 | ||
4602 | 00:54:39,180 ~-~-> 00:54:41,640 | ||
4603 | lot of work on that last one. Because | ||
4604 | |||
4605 | 1152 | ||
4606 | 00:54:41,670 ~-~-> 00:54:44,820 | ||
4607 | I've tried to give the blanket scenarios | ||
4608 | |||
4609 | 1153 | ||
4610 | 00:54:44,820 ~-~-> 00:54:48,150 | ||
4611 | for into common setups that we see you | ||
4612 | |||
4613 | 1154 | ||
4614 | 00:54:48,330 ~-~-> 00:54:49,350 | ||
4615 | over and over and over again, that's | ||
4616 | |||
4617 | 1155 | ||
4618 | 00:54:49,350 ~-~-> 00:54:51,990 | ||
4619 | very generic in the marketplace. And it | ||
4620 | |||
4621 | 1156 | ||
4622 | 00:54:51,990 ~-~-> 00:54:54,450 | ||
4623 | won't catch every single move guys and | ||
4624 | |||
4625 | 1157 | ||
4626 | 00:54:54,450 ~-~-> 00:54:57,060 | ||
4627 | don't expect that of anything. But I | ||
4628 | |||
4629 | 1158 | ||
4630 | 00:54:57,060 ~-~-> 00:54:59,070 | ||
4631 | think you'll be pleasantly surprised how | ||
4632 | |||
4633 | 1159 | ||
4634 | 00:54:59,310 ~-~-> 00:55:01,290 | ||
4635 | many times opportunities it will give | ||
4636 | |||
4637 | 1160 | ||
4638 | 00:55:01,290 ~-~-> 00:55:04,050 | ||
4639 | you an what to do and why. And once you | ||
4640 | |||
4641 | 1161 | ||
4642 | 00:55:04,050 ~-~-> 00:55:06,150 | ||
4643 | do it for a few months, you won't need | ||
4644 | |||
4645 | 1162 | ||
4646 | 00:55:06,150 ~-~-> 00:55:09,150 | ||
4647 | the flow chart format you'll just simply | ||
4648 | |||
4649 | 1163 | ||
4650 | 00:55:09,150 ~-~-> 00:55:11,760 | ||
4651 | know by habit what you should be doing | ||
4652 | |||
4653 | 1164 | ||
4654 | 00:55:11,760 ~-~-> 00:55:14,610 | ||
4655 | next and and what to do you know while | ||
4656 | |||
4657 | 1165 | ||
4658 | 00:55:14,610 ~-~-> 00:55:17,580 | ||
4659 | the setups are, you know, you developing | ||
4660 | |||
4661 | 1166 | ||
4662 | 00:55:18,090 ~-~-> 00:55:20,640 | ||
4663 | so hopefully this has been insightful to | ||
4664 | |||
4665 | 1167 | ||
4666 | 00:55:20,640 ~-~-> 00:55:22,530 | ||
4667 | you guys and until the next time wish | ||
4668 | |||
4669 | 1168 | ||
4670 | 00:55:22,530 ~-~-> 00:55:23,340 | ||
4671 | good luck and good trading |