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ICT YT - 2025-10-12 - Advanced ICT Liquidity Concepts 10-11-2025

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-10-18 07:41
1 00:00:05 --> 00:00:08 ICT: Hello folks, how are you? Hope you're doing well. Welcome back. This is
2 00:00:08 --> 00:00:20 October 11, 2025, and we're gonna be focusing on forex here for a moment with
3 00:00:20 --> 00:00:31 the usual suspects, Dollar Index, Euro, dollar and POUND DOLLAR, already on left
4 00:00:31 --> 00:00:36 hand side, or usual the daily chart and on the right hand side, the five minute
5 00:00:36 --> 00:00:41 chart, so you can see the dollar index. Last time we talked, we were down in
6 00:00:41 --> 00:00:45 here, and I said I wanted to see it, you know, kind of like, give me a little bit
7 00:00:45 --> 00:00:49 more inspiration behind it. I told you I was expecting Dollar Index to go higher.
8 00:00:49 --> 00:00:53 I was bullish on dollar. You can check that and go back and look at the
9 00:00:53 --> 00:00:59 recordings. It's not ambiguous. It's rather one sided, framed off of this
10 00:00:59 --> 00:01:03 inversion fair value gap then the bullish fair value gap in here, and then
11 00:01:03 --> 00:01:08 using the consequent encroachment and quadrants of the wick in here, and then
12 00:01:08 --> 00:01:13 we have this inversion fair value gap with a volume imbalance, the market
13 00:01:13 --> 00:01:17 started to rally up, took out the buy side in here and worked inside of this
14 00:01:17 --> 00:01:21 sell side of balance, buy side and efficiency, which is graded. You can see
15 00:01:21 --> 00:01:26 that the upper quadrant was pierced by the bodies. And then on Friday, we had a
16 00:01:26 --> 00:01:31 little bit of retracement back down into a volume imbalance. Here we have a
17 00:01:31 --> 00:01:37 suspension block, which is a candlestick that has a volume of balance to the high
18 00:01:37 --> 00:01:41 end of it and a volume imbalance to the low end of it. It need not okay for the
19 00:01:41 --> 00:01:47 guys out there trying to teach you don't even know what you're doing yet, but I
20 00:01:47 --> 00:01:50 understand you got to get through ad revenue and sell your courses, but the
21 00:01:51 --> 00:01:59 candlestick need not be inefficiency. In other words, it need not have any one
22 00:01:59 --> 00:02:04 single pass with the candlestick. So it could have a candlestick to the left of
23 00:02:04 --> 00:02:09 it that was a full bodied candle, or a wick that completely overlaps the entire
24 00:02:09 --> 00:02:13 range between the upper and lower volume of balance. Okay, so that that's the
25 00:02:13 --> 00:02:16 distinguishing characteristic. This is why this PD array is a little bit
26 00:02:16 --> 00:02:20 different than you probably thought it was the first time I mentioned it. But
27 00:02:20 --> 00:02:24 anyway, we have a suspension block here. The market trades from this open here
28 00:02:25 --> 00:02:32 down into midpoint of this range. It's shaded in blue, and we trade right back
29 00:02:32 --> 00:02:38 down into that on Friday, having all this information in this vicinity on the
30 00:02:38 --> 00:02:41 daily chart, transpose over to the five minute chart. You can see there on the
31 00:02:41 --> 00:02:47 New York open kill zone, which is 7am 10am Eastern Time, always New York local
32 00:02:47 --> 00:02:54 time, the market trades above the upper quadrant. That's this 99.368 level.
33 00:02:54 --> 00:03:02 Check that there, we pierce it. We break lower and shift in market structure
34 00:03:02 --> 00:03:07 there, and a retracement up. So you can see the 79% 62% retracement
35 00:03:07 --> 00:03:12 respectively. That's optimal trade entry, very minimum. It's got to go
36 00:03:12 --> 00:03:21 above, below to high. It's got to go to 50% or higher for it to be in a premium
37 00:03:21 --> 00:03:26 market, and that's the ICT model, 2022, okay, so for the folks who say it
38 00:03:26 --> 00:03:30 doesn't work anymore, it's there every day, so the market trades up into
39 00:03:30 --> 00:03:34 optimal trade entry. So if you was just the standard flagship Pattern Trader
40 00:03:34 --> 00:03:43 that my channel was really based on the beginning back in 2012 that pattern is
41 00:03:43 --> 00:03:47 here in and of itself. Now we have an inversion fair value gap, which is this
42 00:03:47 --> 00:03:51 bicep balance outside of deficiency. We break below it, leave it here, and then
43 00:03:51 --> 00:03:58 come back in. As you see, the bodies are finding resistance. Okay, so there's
44 00:03:58 --> 00:04:02 premium sensitivity here at the consequent encroachment of the inversion
45 00:04:02 --> 00:04:06 fair value gap, and the market gives up the ghost and breaks aggressively lower
46 00:04:06 --> 00:04:13 trading through the midpoint or consequent encroachment of this
47 00:04:13 --> 00:04:22 inefficiency here. And it's this range from the low of this closing candle
48 00:04:23 --> 00:04:29 price volume bounce included, up to this candlesticks low. Now I have it shaded
49 00:04:29 --> 00:04:38 in pink because it acts as a premium rated draw up into Okay, so I'm not, I'm
50 00:04:38 --> 00:04:42 not classifying it technically as an inversion fair value gap. That's why
51 00:04:42 --> 00:04:46 it's not orange like this here. Okay, so don't be confused by that. The
52 00:04:46 --> 00:04:50 orientation is when price was down here, I was expecting price to drop into it.
53 00:04:50 --> 00:04:55 And if you watch the older recordings, you'll see I mentioned over here and
54 00:04:55 --> 00:04:59 above all these buy side eventually, once we get the higher that we consider
55 00:04:59 --> 00:05:06 that. Area, and it did. So it's not just hindsight, but we use that area up here
56 00:05:06 --> 00:05:11 as a premium rate to retrace back kind of into a discount array, which is this
57 00:05:11 --> 00:05:16 suspension block, okay, so you can see that that volume and balance right here,
58 00:05:16 --> 00:05:21 these two black line segments, that's these two segments right here, and then
59 00:05:21 --> 00:05:27 the market falls out of bed. We have a breakaway gap here is for your notes,
60 00:05:27 --> 00:05:31 okay, and I'll talk more about this in the books. The breakaway gaps. When you
61 00:05:31 --> 00:05:35 classify a breakaway gap, and this is what your textbooks do not teach you,
62 00:05:35 --> 00:05:41 every classic, archaic view of retail logic and trading technical analysis,
63 00:05:41 --> 00:05:49 which is flawed by all measure, the inefficiency that shows up on your chart
64 00:05:49 --> 00:05:55 that does not get filled back in if it's between a quadrant level like this and
65 00:05:55 --> 00:06:00 another quadrant. Expect that when we are looking for lower prices, when it
66 00:06:00 --> 00:06:05 breaks lower, if it leaves a quadrant like that and breaks a little bit lower,
67 00:06:05 --> 00:06:09 this is many times, many times going to act as a breakaway gap, because it's in
68 00:06:09 --> 00:06:13 no man's land between a quadrant and another quadrant inside the narrative
69 00:06:13 --> 00:06:18 and bias that the market's moving one direction, and that's how you See a
70 00:06:18 --> 00:06:24 properly classified ICT breakaway gap. You'll never see that illustrated or
71 00:06:24 --> 00:06:28 talked about anywhere when it comes to gaps, okay, but that's how you classify
72 00:06:28 --> 00:06:35 a breakaway gap. Okay? The same thing can be said for measuring gaps. So a
73 00:06:35 --> 00:06:41 halfway point when there's a gap that is during a move, if it's between a
74 00:06:41 --> 00:06:50 quadrant of either an inefficiency, okay, or an actual gap by a wick, okay?
75 00:06:50 --> 00:06:55 So no matter how you slice it, if you're grading your price PD arrays, as I
76 00:06:55 --> 00:07:02 teach, whether it be a candlestick, wick or a inefficiency, in price action,
77 00:07:02 --> 00:07:07 where it's a body that's being measured, not the wick, either way, if you're
78 00:07:07 --> 00:07:12 grading that price level or those price levels, and you see a gap that appears
79 00:07:12 --> 00:07:16 between two quadrants, then it's, chances are it's going to be a breakaway
80 00:07:16 --> 00:07:22 gap or a measuring gap. Okay, no extra charge. You'll see it in everybody
81 00:07:22 --> 00:07:27 else's courses now, but the market breaks lower, trades down into that
82 00:07:28 --> 00:07:34 suspension block high here, which is the high of this volume and balance hits it
83 00:07:34 --> 00:07:42 there perfectly, rallies back up, finds the low here, of that old inefficiency
84 00:07:42 --> 00:07:45 here, which is a buy sign and balance sell sign efficiency with the volume
85 00:07:45 --> 00:07:53 imbalance at the discount level low end of it. So that price is at 98.898 and it
86 00:07:53 --> 00:07:58 hits it perfectly to the tick there. That's probably random, working off of a
87 00:07:58 --> 00:08:05 volume imbalance. Also that's not noted rallies up this portion of this city. We
88 00:08:05 --> 00:08:12 can grade that because it's anchored right on top of a lower quadrant level,
89 00:08:12 --> 00:08:24 meaning the 75 level, or lower quadrant at 99.054 that's this level here, which
90 00:08:24 --> 00:08:28 is one quarter from the low of this polyvalent cell stone efficiency,
91 00:08:29 --> 00:08:38 because the gap is laying over top of and key, key point here below, inside
92 00:08:38 --> 00:08:43 the narrative that the market should deliver lower and it's below this
93 00:08:43 --> 00:08:47 inefficiency, which we should expect that to be a breakaway gap. When another
94 00:08:47 --> 00:08:48 series of
95 00:08:49 --> 00:08:55 cities form. This one, we look at it as staying open, or we want to see it
96 00:08:55 --> 00:08:58 remain unfilled. Can it come up and trade into a little bit? Sure, but we
97 00:08:58 --> 00:09:03 expect some measure from its halfway point to the high of it, that portion
98 00:09:03 --> 00:09:10 should likely stay open and filled. Here this Sibi from this candlesticks low,
99 00:09:10 --> 00:09:13 and this candle sticks high. That's denoted with these red trend line
100 00:09:13 --> 00:09:18 segments. We can grade that. And the bodies are stopping right at the
101 00:09:18 --> 00:09:23 midpoint, which is exactly what you want to see when the market's bearish, it's
102 00:09:23 --> 00:09:29 showing you premium sensitivity. It's not support and resistance. It's
103 00:09:29 --> 00:09:33 reacting to half of this inefficiencies range, even though there's a little wick
104 00:09:33 --> 00:09:37 there, the wick didn't even touch the upper quadrant. The bodies are staying
105 00:09:37 --> 00:09:42 at the halfway point, indicating what, as I taught in mentorship. This is
106 00:09:42 --> 00:09:47 heaviness. Algorithmically, it's indicating tipping its hand to you the
107 00:09:47 --> 00:09:51 market will want to seek a deeper discount. What would that be below that
108 00:09:51 --> 00:09:57 low? And it trades down to the lower quadrant. I'm sorry, lower level of this
109 00:09:58 --> 00:10:04 volume imbalance. Which is candlesticks close on this right here. Okay, and we
110 00:10:04 --> 00:10:07 have a volume imbalance there trades up into before it gives up the ghost,
111 00:10:07 --> 00:10:13 inversion, fair value gap right here as well, trading at its consequent
112 00:10:13 --> 00:10:18 encroachment halfway point breaks comes right back up into a volume of balance
113 00:10:18 --> 00:10:25 trades lower lower quadrant, perfect delivery and trace down dead body
114 00:10:25 --> 00:10:29 balance on the daily chart, right there. So all in all, just a really good
115 00:10:29 --> 00:10:36 technical Friday. Moving on to Euro dollar, just pretty much the opposite.
116 00:10:36 --> 00:10:40 We can see their sell side liquidity here. They tapped into that during New
117 00:10:40 --> 00:10:43 York open and kill zone, seven o'clock to 10 o'clock in the morning. Eastern
118 00:10:43 --> 00:10:49 Time, always New York, local time. We have an ICT model 2022, low, high, 62,
119 00:10:49 --> 00:10:53 to 79% retracement level. You can find that on your own charts here. But we
120 00:10:53 --> 00:10:57 have a inversion fair value gap. This Sibi changes its characteristic when we
121 00:10:57 --> 00:11:02 treat above it, we come back down in the wicks are digging down. But we don't get
122 00:11:02 --> 00:11:06 to the lower here. The bodies are staying close to what consequent
123 00:11:06 --> 00:11:11 encouragement. It rallies up, uses as the discount sensitivity, and then
124 00:11:11 --> 00:11:22 rallies away. All these wicks converging around this level here at 1.15740 so
125 00:11:22 --> 00:11:26 zero, that's this old candlesticks low, which is being graded. Okay, why am I
126 00:11:26 --> 00:11:30 picking this one? Because it's lower than this one, and it's lower than that
127 00:11:30 --> 00:11:35 one. So it's the longest, lowest reaching when price was dropping down.
128 00:11:35 --> 00:11:40 And below that, we have this bison amount of cell sum efficiency, and we
129 00:11:40 --> 00:11:43 trade into that right here, okay, which is not being shown in the chart, because
130 00:11:43 --> 00:11:48 it's during Thursday's trading. Friday's trading had a higher low. That low being
131 00:11:48 --> 00:11:53 at the upper quadrant of this wick. Why am I using this wick? Because it's lower
132 00:11:53 --> 00:11:56 than this wick, and it's lower than that wick, and this wick is lower than that
133 00:11:56 --> 00:12:03 one. So it's not a just ambiguous, changing rule based idea where it's just
134 00:12:03 --> 00:12:07 willy nilly cherry picking. It's not cherry picking. It's very specific rules
135 00:12:08 --> 00:12:12 in all this price action in here, where's the lowest reaching wick? This
136 00:12:12 --> 00:12:17 one, it's pretty obvious, isn't it? Look at all of them. This one here, this
137 00:12:17 --> 00:12:20 one's being graded because it's lower than this one. It's lower than this one,
138 00:12:20 --> 00:12:23 and it dug into this inefficiency that shaded in blue. That's shaded in blue.
139 00:12:23 --> 00:12:27 So if it's going to trade down lower, we have to consider this wick before we
140 00:12:27 --> 00:12:31 even consider this low being taken out and trading to consequent question of
141 00:12:31 --> 00:12:35 this posit and balance cell sign efficiency, and yes, that's why this is
142 00:12:35 --> 00:12:42 titled ICT advanced liquidity concepts. It's not baby pips, it's not elementary
143 00:12:42 --> 00:12:49 school. It's not classic nonsense technical analysis concepts that archaic
144 00:12:49 --> 00:12:54 and nobody, and nobody should have any faith in any of that stuff. Okay, this
145 00:12:54 --> 00:13:00 is technical sciences. It's a different degree of precision. So Friday, we can
146 00:13:00 --> 00:13:05 see we're using this discount wick and the levels there, you can see them being
147 00:13:05 --> 00:13:14 used over here. So the low of that wick there, right on here. It launches from
148 00:13:14 --> 00:13:20 there, trades above the quadrant, lower quadrant, and then tears off. So this
149 00:13:20 --> 00:13:27 portion down here, that would be, what that would be, a breakaway gap. This
150 00:13:27 --> 00:13:31 would be a standard by cell sign efficiency or busy you can grade this
151 00:13:31 --> 00:13:37 one, and you can get down here to the lower quadrant. The body's respecting
152 00:13:37 --> 00:13:44 that as well. We trade up into the upper quadrant at 1.16220 of this discount
153 00:13:44 --> 00:13:49 WIC. Why am I looking at that? Because it was a discount array when we were
154 00:13:49 --> 00:13:53 trading lower, and now when we were below it, it's going to act as what it's
155 00:13:53 --> 00:13:57 going to change this characteristic to a premium array. So if you're going to
156 00:13:57 --> 00:14:01 grade it like a gap, you have to have these levels in mind, and it trades up
157 00:14:01 --> 00:14:05 into that as well. You might want to take on your own study. I didn't do it
158 00:14:05 --> 00:14:09 here for you, but you want to take this high down to that low and duplicate that
159 00:14:09 --> 00:14:13 range and project it up, and you'll get pretty much this area in here. Okay, so
160 00:14:14 --> 00:14:21 I'll Larry Williams target shooter ideas from his old classic for H for VHS tape
161 00:14:24 --> 00:14:28 features millionaires, confidential trading. Course, I think it's what it
162 00:14:28 --> 00:14:32 was. I always butcher the name of it up. It's old age, folks. But anyway, the buy
163 00:14:32 --> 00:14:37 side of mouse all side efficiency here, almost complete closure. We have a
164 00:14:37 --> 00:14:41 inversion pair bag out that's not noted, and it's traded down to its low here,
165 00:14:42 --> 00:14:46 rallies up, then the consequent encroachment accumulates once more, and
166 00:14:46 --> 00:14:49 then starts to send a little bit higher. We have a minor buy side liquidity
167 00:14:49 --> 00:14:53 there, so we'll see what we get on Sunday's trading. See if you can get any
168 00:14:53 --> 00:14:59 movement higher, right, moving on to POUND DOLLAR, we talked about this gap.
169 00:15:00 --> 00:15:05 Map here, and I talked about the quadrants on these wicks, so you can see
170 00:15:05 --> 00:15:11 what happens after that. Right down she went tearing into this candlesticks.
171 00:15:11 --> 00:15:20 Premium wick, upper quadrant, consequent encroachment in red. So this wick is the
172 00:15:20 --> 00:15:26 lower of this one inside of this portion of price action. So this low, this area
173 00:15:26 --> 00:15:29 in here, that's the lowest one. Lowest reaching wick is this one here. So
174 00:15:29 --> 00:15:33 you're going to grade that one, and we cut through candles because we are not
175 00:15:33 --> 00:15:37 flawed logic of supply and demand. Okay? So we're going to ignore this range
176 00:15:37 --> 00:15:41 here, because the algorithm is going to see pay us this and go right back to
177 00:15:41 --> 00:15:47 this inefficiency. Why? Because this level of wicking is treated like a gap,
178 00:15:48 --> 00:15:52 and a gap is reused even after the gap has been filled, and it would be
179 00:15:52 --> 00:15:56 considered filled with this drop down it went below that low. But the algorithm
180 00:15:56 --> 00:15:59 is not going to just toss the baby out with the bath water. It's going to refer
181 00:15:59 --> 00:16:05 back to that reference point. So we cut through looking through time here. And
182 00:16:05 --> 00:16:09 the question is coming up a lot in the comment section on my videos, and
183 00:16:09 --> 00:16:18 sometimes you may see it on the ex posts I put on how long do I keep PD arrays
184 00:16:18 --> 00:16:21 graded on my charts? Well, if you remember how I first started teaching in
185 00:16:21 --> 00:16:25 2016 the paid men, 16, the paid mentorship portion of lectures I taught
186 00:16:25 --> 00:16:31 the IP, the data ranges 2040, and 60. So you can go back as far as 60 days, and
187 00:16:31 --> 00:16:36 they're just as you know, salient 60 days ago than they are just yesterday.
188 00:16:36 --> 00:16:41 And that in itself, proves algorithmic sensitivity, that there is a reference
189 00:16:41 --> 00:16:47 to time, referring back to old, very specific levels where Now contrast that
190 00:16:47 --> 00:16:51 with classic Support Resistance. You don't know what higher load the market
191 00:16:51 --> 00:16:56 is going to use. You don't know that I do, and I repeatedly show it over and
192 00:16:56 --> 00:17:00 over again. And the point is, it's something that you can learn. Don't
193 00:17:00 --> 00:17:04 resist it. Don't fight against it. Just be thankful that it's being made
194 00:17:04 --> 00:17:08 available to you and you can study it for free. And the more time you put into
195 00:17:08 --> 00:17:13 studying it and documenting your observations, tape reading back,
196 00:17:13 --> 00:17:18 testing, logging old price moves and marking them up like this, by
197 00:17:18 --> 00:17:21 repetition, you'll start seeing these same signatures over and over and over
198 00:17:21 --> 00:17:25 again. In the beginning, when I first started creating this language, I had to
199 00:17:25 --> 00:17:29 do these types of things to create the very language that you're learning. So
200 00:17:30 --> 00:17:35 we have a high, low, higher, high. Everybody knows that that is my bearish
201 00:17:35 --> 00:17:39 breaker. But what happens when the market is bullish and it trades above
202 00:17:39 --> 00:17:43 it? It's going to treat it as an inversion breaker. Every PD array has an
203 00:17:43 --> 00:17:50 inversion aspect. It's not inverted, okay, it's inversion. So we use the
204 00:17:50 --> 00:17:57 consequent encroachment, or mean threshold, rather of that last down
205 00:17:57 --> 00:18:01 candle, which is the bearish breaker. But now it's going to act as, what a
206 00:18:01 --> 00:18:12 Bullish PD array. So you can see the body stopping dead on the midpoint, mean
207 00:18:12 --> 00:18:16 threshold there. And then we have the opening rate that same price. It rallies
208 00:18:16 --> 00:18:20 up the next candlestick. We drop down to it once more. See there's discount
209 00:18:20 --> 00:18:24 sensitivity. There rallies, and then the candlestick opens right at the high of
210 00:18:24 --> 00:18:30 that candlesticks high, and then digs into a little bit and then rallies
211 00:18:30 --> 00:18:37 aggressively, creating, what a breakaway gap clearing this high. Now, when you
212 00:18:37 --> 00:18:40 see these types of things, you'll see Yahoo say, Well, this is the fair value
213 00:18:40 --> 00:18:44 gap that I'm really interested in. Let me tell you something. If these form
214 00:18:45 --> 00:18:51 after you have a break out of price action during a consolidation, I never
215 00:18:51 --> 00:18:55 want to see these traded back into if it has the willingness to come back down
216 00:18:55 --> 00:19:02 into that and fill that in, that's not strength to me. Order Flow, real order
217 00:19:02 --> 00:19:07 flow, algorithmic order flow, is when there's an inefficiency after discovery,
218 00:19:07 --> 00:19:12 which is leaving this range here, taking this high out. When we do this, we want
219 00:19:12 --> 00:19:17 to see price. Keep that open. If this stays open, as long as this remains
220 00:19:17 --> 00:19:24 open, we have a bullish order flow. We do not anticipate market coming back
221 00:19:24 --> 00:19:27 down and closing and then going higher, because if it goes down and closes that
222 00:19:27 --> 00:19:32 in, I am not all that bullish, then can it do it? Yes, it can. But it's more
223 00:19:32 --> 00:19:37 problematic if it does for continued price action higher. You want to see the
224 00:19:37 --> 00:19:42 indication that, yes, there was an explosive price action move higher, it
225 00:19:42 --> 00:19:48 created an inefficiency. But the market is so overzealous to move higher, it
226 00:19:48 --> 00:19:51 need not even concern itself with coming back down in here, offering a discount
227 00:19:51 --> 00:19:57 to people that would see what classic Support Resistance break and retest.
228 00:19:57 --> 00:20:01 That's the trash perspective. That's garbage. Okay, if you're if you're stuck
229 00:20:01 --> 00:20:06 looking at the market like that, you're going to never really understand why
230 00:20:06 --> 00:20:09 these markets book higher and lower. You're never going to understand it
231 00:20:09 --> 00:20:16 because you're looking at convoluted nonsense to justify an ends to a mean
232 00:20:16 --> 00:20:22 that doesn't have any connection. There's no There's no affinity for these
233 00:20:22 --> 00:20:29 things. Algorithmically, it's not there. But when you start studying price in a
234 00:20:29 --> 00:20:35 lens, in the language I'm sharing with you, you'll get more clarity. And you
235 00:20:35 --> 00:20:39 don't have to like me. You don't have to, you know, you have to champion my
236 00:20:39 --> 00:20:43 name. It's not what this is about. This is about you learning how to do this so
237 00:20:43 --> 00:20:46 that way you can eat better and take care of your family better. Okay, I
238 00:20:46 --> 00:20:51 could care less if you like me, but this is a breakaway gap, because it's taking
239 00:20:51 --> 00:20:55 out this high and then we are entering discovery. That means it's going to
240 00:20:55 --> 00:21:01 discover how much it can move and still allow traders to keep buying it. That's
241 00:21:01 --> 00:21:04 not buying pressure. It just keeps offering higher, higher, higher, higher,
242 00:21:04 --> 00:21:11 higher, higher, higher. It need not be a lot of contracts or lots, in deference
243 00:21:12 --> 00:21:17 to the forex market of or shares, if it's a stock, it need not be a whole
244 00:21:17 --> 00:21:25 lot. It only needs one unit, one transaction to print that price, and all
245 00:21:25 --> 00:21:32 this price running here is used to then weigh on the sentiment of market
246 00:21:32 --> 00:21:36 participants, because at this point down here, they may have seen this as a bear
247 00:21:36 --> 00:21:39 flag got real heavy and thinking, Wow, it's really going to go lower. Then it
248 00:21:39 --> 00:21:43 starts consolidate, and then we start to move higher, and they don't know what to
249 00:21:43 --> 00:21:47 do with it. And then when these highs get taken out here, then all the Johnny
250 00:21:47 --> 00:21:51 Come Lately pile in saying, well, we always knew it was going to go higher
251 00:21:51 --> 00:21:55 and we're going to buy out on a breakout. And they're thinking, they're
252 00:21:55 --> 00:21:58 buying strength, but they're chasing where's their stop loss going to be in
253 00:21:58 --> 00:22:04 all that price run? It's too big, too high. Okay, so the market trades up into
254 00:22:04 --> 00:22:18 the consequent encroachment level here of this WIC discount, WIC at 1.33637 and
255 00:22:18 --> 00:22:23 you can see that level here, and you can do a measure move type thing here, the
256 00:22:23 --> 00:22:27 same range from this high down to that low. Duplicate that, and send it up
257 00:22:27 --> 00:22:30 here, and you'll pretty much get the bulk of where the bodies are are
258 00:22:30 --> 00:22:39 converging right there. So there's three model 2022, scenarios panning out. And
259 00:22:39 --> 00:22:46 here is the portion where we talk about index futures. So for Friday's Christmas
260 00:22:46 --> 00:22:54 mini n q futures, over here on the left hand side, we have a daily chart and the
261 00:22:54 --> 00:23:00 five minute chart for at present for n q, and I'm showcasing it in the original
262 00:23:00 --> 00:23:08 trading hours time, and I'm showing October 2. Okay, if you recall I was
263 00:23:08 --> 00:23:15 talking about and mentioned on x how, if I'm not mistaken, I think it's the
264 00:23:15 --> 00:23:21 October 1 live stream I did where I basically called the low, how it was
265 00:23:21 --> 00:23:25 forming, showed you the liquidity it was available. Showed you exactly when all
266 00:23:25 --> 00:23:28 the sell side was absorbed and then the market was going to be permitted to
267 00:23:28 --> 00:23:33 trade higher. And even told you it could create all time new all time highs. It
268 00:23:33 --> 00:23:38 did all those things. But the point is, I was teaching you to take the regular
269 00:23:38 --> 00:23:44 trading hours, opening range gaps and those quadrants that form and project
270 00:23:44 --> 00:23:49 them in the future. At the very minimum, if you're a little intimidated by what I
271 00:23:49 --> 00:23:54 said earlier about having my PD arrays back as far as 60 days, I know some of
272 00:23:54 --> 00:23:58 you pundits out there are going to be you chunk it a bit, and you probably
273 00:23:58 --> 00:24:02 already typing it out in the comment section of this video. You're welcome to
274 00:24:02 --> 00:24:06 say anything on your last day. I if it's silliness, I just, you know, brew me, I
275 00:24:06 --> 00:24:10 don't ever see you again. But the the concept will probably be something like
276 00:24:10 --> 00:24:14 that, or comment will be something like this. If you have enough of these lines
277 00:24:14 --> 00:24:18 on the air, of course it's going to hit something. But the problem is, is I
278 00:24:18 --> 00:24:22 point to the ones that it goes to, and then my trades are off of those levels.
279 00:24:22 --> 00:24:26 So it's a matter of experience, and what you're going to discover is the ones
280 00:24:26 --> 00:24:32 that are so obvious and they converge and layer top of or in very, very close
281 00:24:32 --> 00:24:36 proximity to another supporting PD array, whether it be an inefficiency or
282 00:24:36 --> 00:24:42 a gap like the Wix, if it's laying on top of a quadrant level like that, and
283 00:24:42 --> 00:24:49 it's also time anchored, nor if it's time for it to move, it's at a session
284 00:24:49 --> 00:24:55 open, it's during the first 30 minutes of the opening range, or it is inside of
285 00:24:55 --> 00:25:02 a macro time. Man, you have a loaded deal. I don't want you to believe me,
286 00:25:02 --> 00:25:06 because I said so I know when I say something, the community says, Wow, if
287 00:25:06 --> 00:25:09 ICT says this, Then I'm just going to take that and just go with it. Don't,
288 00:25:10 --> 00:25:15 don't do that. You're robbing yourself the opportunity to feel the confidence
289 00:25:15 --> 00:25:20 that you know, that you know that you know it's not good enough for you to
290 00:25:20 --> 00:25:25 know that ICT knows it's good only in your hands if you know that. You know
291 00:25:25 --> 00:25:30 that you know, and you can only get that confidence by seeing it in your own
292 00:25:30 --> 00:25:34 hands. Go into your own charts and then tape read it, not trade it yet. Tape
293 00:25:34 --> 00:25:38 read it, watch and observe, and you'll see the market is absolutely doing what
294 00:25:38 --> 00:25:42 I told you it would do, and it's not just doing it once in a while. Right
295 00:25:42 --> 00:25:47 now, the internet's a buzz. Oh, where did this sell off? Come from? Nobody saw
296 00:25:47 --> 00:25:57 this coming. Oh, a gasp. Come on. Seriously, listen, okay, I've already,
297 00:25:57 --> 00:26:06 I've already, what is it blocked. Okay, I'm I got the band hammer block bionic
298 00:26:06 --> 00:26:11 thumb in this fall here. I have no time for people that are silly, stupid or
299 00:26:11 --> 00:26:17 just ignorant. And here's, here's what you have to understand.
300 00:26:17 --> 00:26:23 Number one, you're not entitled to know anything from me in advance. I'm out
301 00:26:23 --> 00:26:26 here doing this because I like to do it. I'm not selling you anything. I'm not a
302 00:26:26 --> 00:26:30 core seller. Okay? I'm not collecting any money from you. I'm not asking for
303 00:26:30 --> 00:26:34 your paypal I'm not asking for your credit card payments. I'm not doing that
304 00:26:34 --> 00:26:39 stuff. Have you noticed that? Have you noticed it? Yeah, but there's a lot of
305 00:26:39 --> 00:26:44 people out there that is shilling my stuff, and I still don't stop, why?
306 00:26:44 --> 00:26:49 Because you're not learning correctly from them. You're just getting crumbs
307 00:26:49 --> 00:26:54 from my table over here, I'm serving fresh all the time, and I want you to
308 00:26:54 --> 00:27:00 understand something. While I did give advice to the average viewer that you as
309 00:27:00 --> 00:27:07 an inexperienced individual, you should never, ever, ever, ever entertain the
310 00:27:07 --> 00:27:12 idea of trying to pick a top in the marketplace. It's a fool's errand. It is
311 00:27:12 --> 00:27:17 simply something that's going to hurt you more than it will help you. Okay?
312 00:27:17 --> 00:27:20 And when I was a 20 year old, when I was first learning about the markets. I
313 00:27:20 --> 00:27:24 thought that it was possible to do it. I thought Larry Williams was selling the
314 00:27:24 --> 00:27:27 high tick and buying the bottom tick all the time. He was my hero. I figured
315 00:27:27 --> 00:27:31 that's how he did 10,000 to a million dollars in a year. And it's not anything
316 00:27:31 --> 00:27:40 like that. So what I'm about to divulge to you is 20 years. Okay, I've been
317 00:27:40 --> 00:27:46 doing this for 33 years, but it was 20 years of experience that led to this
318 00:27:46 --> 00:27:53 observation and realization. And prior to those 20 years bringing me to this
319 00:27:53 --> 00:27:59 point of perspective, I hurt myself a lot. I just felt like I was way better
320 00:27:59 --> 00:28:03 than I really was, and I kept trying to fulfill this idea I had in my mind where
321 00:28:03 --> 00:28:07 I can pick the tops, I can do it. I just had to tweak a little bit of this and
322 00:28:07 --> 00:28:11 tweak a little bit of that. Well, it just so happens that, you know, I was on
323 00:28:11 --> 00:28:16 vacation with my wife just this past week. We went to Cape Cod and we stayed
324 00:28:17 --> 00:28:21 at Bar Harbor in Maine. Now, I know some of you this get you don't want me to
325 00:28:21 --> 00:28:24 talk like this, because I go on and you say I'm annoying, and that's okay. I
326 00:28:24 --> 00:28:29 don't want you as a student, get the hell out of here. The point is this, we
327 00:28:29 --> 00:28:33 were coming home and I was watching NASDAQ all week, and I told my wife, I
328 00:28:33 --> 00:28:41 said, Listen, this thing's going to dump and trade down a lot. It's Friday. They
329 00:28:41 --> 00:28:47 have worked in so much staging, for shorts, for smart money, and I'll
330 00:28:47 --> 00:28:51 explain what that is in a moment. And my wife looked at me, and she's like, Okay,
331 00:28:51 --> 00:28:54 what's that to me? I don't care. That's how I said, Let me tell you something
332 00:28:55 --> 00:28:59 this kind of move can pay for Christmas and this vacation and everything like,
333 00:28:59 --> 00:29:04 that's how big this thing's going to move well, my wife's never impressed by
334 00:29:04 --> 00:29:11 this, because she thinks it's a video game. It doesn't matter how much money
335 00:29:11 --> 00:29:14 you ever make. The point is it's still a video game to her. So she thinks like a
336 00:29:14 --> 00:29:18 lady that is not interested, and it's not a knock against her or anything.
337 00:29:18 --> 00:29:22 It's just she's remained consistent the entire time we've been together. So just
338 00:29:22 --> 00:29:27 understand this, gentlemen, if your wife is not impressed by your success doing
339 00:29:27 --> 00:29:34 this, don't feel bad. You're among good company. Okay, trust me when I tell you
340 00:29:34 --> 00:29:42 that. So let's talk about how I expected this measure of retracement, but was
341 00:29:42 --> 00:29:48 surprised that it happened in one day. Like it was a lot of movement in one
342 00:29:48 --> 00:29:52 day. I expected this to kind of like bleed over into next week, and it still
343 00:29:52 --> 00:29:58 might do that, but it just really over delivered. And I want you to go back to
344 00:29:58 --> 00:30:05 again the posts I was making. About Thursday, October 2. And I told you to
345 00:30:05 --> 00:30:11 take those levels, the apt student would carry those over into the the right side
346 00:30:11 --> 00:30:17 of their chart and keep, keep extending them to the right. I'm going to, kind of
347 00:30:17 --> 00:30:21 like break that down and decode that for you, I'm going to remove the miss this,
348 00:30:21 --> 00:30:27 the mystery and mysticism around why I was talking about it. If you go to your
349 00:30:27 --> 00:30:33 daily chart and we had our old all time high here, okay, they formed as relative
350 00:30:33 --> 00:30:38 equal highs, this high being slightly lower than that one. So that classifies
351 00:30:38 --> 00:30:46 this as a high probability candidate for a run on liquidity. It's less likely
352 00:30:46 --> 00:30:50 when the right side is higher than the left, because we've already done the
353 00:30:50 --> 00:30:54 damage there by running the weight of this candlestick. So we created this
354 00:30:54 --> 00:30:58 short term all time high, and we traded lower. And you can look at your daily
355 00:30:58 --> 00:31:02 chart, and we'll see it in a moment when I share the bigger portion of this. But
356 00:31:02 --> 00:31:06 for now, don't look at your heart yet. Just follow along with this one. And
357 00:31:06 --> 00:31:09 then we had this candlestick here, we pierced it, but look, we only pierced it
358 00:31:09 --> 00:31:15 with a wick. That's not meaningful to me. It's insignificant. It's unfinished
359 00:31:15 --> 00:31:20 business, still above this candlestick high. So on this day here we have
360 00:31:20 --> 00:31:29 October 2, the market creates this open we trade down, and we rally up here, and
361 00:31:29 --> 00:31:36 then come off to high, right there, this day, October seconds, regular trading
362 00:31:36 --> 00:31:40 hours, opening range gap. That's what this five minute chart has been
363 00:31:40 --> 00:31:49 showcasing Okay, so these levels, here are what I was referring to. They need
364 00:31:49 --> 00:31:57 to be carried into the future. Why did I say that? Why not any other being
365 00:31:57 --> 00:32:02 specifically mentioned? I said in the October 1 that you should look back over
366 00:32:02 --> 00:32:07 the last three days. Always, if you have opening range level quadrants on your
367 00:32:07 --> 00:32:13 chart, go back over the last three days and include them. So technically, you're
368 00:32:13 --> 00:32:18 going to have whatever the trading day that you're trading that opening range
369 00:32:18 --> 00:32:24 gap. If there is one in its quadrants, and then 123, days ago. So what do you
370 00:32:24 --> 00:32:28 have in your charts? Technically four opening range gaps and their respective
371 00:32:28 --> 00:32:33 quadrants. So when I say you have to have three on there, it's not just three
372 00:32:33 --> 00:32:38 sets of opening range quadrants. It's today's trading day, and whatever
373 00:32:38 --> 00:32:43 opening range gap quadrants there may be associated with it, and then yesterday,
374 00:32:44 --> 00:32:49 the day before it and the day before it, and you have to go back in the previous
375 00:32:49 --> 00:32:53 week. If you're looking at like, say, for instance, on a Monday, you'll go
376 00:32:53 --> 00:32:57 back to Friday, Thursday and Wednesday the previous week. If there's a holiday,
377 00:32:57 --> 00:33:01 you're going to skip over that and just go to the market day that price was
378 00:33:01 --> 00:33:09 permitted to trade in. This day we have a body left above the previous all time
379 00:33:09 --> 00:33:15 highs. This right here is much more meaningful. So this day's opening range
380 00:33:15 --> 00:33:20 gap is going to be highly, highly significant. That's why I told you to
381 00:33:20 --> 00:33:25 carry it and go forward, projecting it forward. And you'll look at all these
382 00:33:25 --> 00:33:28 days here, and you'll see those levels, which are these levels here? They're
383 00:33:28 --> 00:33:34 being used by the algorithm that you don't believe exists. But everybody
384 00:33:34 --> 00:33:40 knows about opening range gaps. It's always been a thing. ICT, I didn't say I
385 00:33:40 --> 00:33:45 invented a gap opening. I didn't say that. I just created a language how you
386 00:33:45 --> 00:33:51 can take advantage of it and trade precision entries and exits and scale
387 00:33:51 --> 00:33:55 in, build your positions larger, trail your stop loss appropriately and
388 00:33:55 --> 00:34:00 properly. That's what I promise to teach. Nobody else does that. Now they
389 00:34:00 --> 00:34:06 might have interpretations, but they don't have it like I got it. And these
390 00:34:06 --> 00:34:10 levels are what you should have on your chart. And this is a video where you
391 00:34:10 --> 00:34:16 want to probably pause this video right here go and get your levels on the
392 00:34:16 --> 00:34:23 opening range gap for October 2, okay, and then study the third, the fourth,
393 00:34:23 --> 00:34:29 fifth, and so on, until we made this high up here. Notice how it was used,
394 00:34:29 --> 00:34:36 all in this area here, and you're going to see that there's a lot of wonderful
395 00:34:36 --> 00:34:41 confirmations, setups, stop loss management ideas that could have been
396 00:34:41 --> 00:34:46 utilized and implemented. Lots of scalps, lots of wonderful scouts. And I
397 00:34:46 --> 00:34:52 teased even while I was away that, look at this, even today, it still used the
398 00:34:52 --> 00:34:58 upper quadrant. Even then, it used this. It used that because I'm poking and I'm
399 00:34:58 --> 00:35:03 prodding you to. Consider this information because it's not contrived,
400 00:35:04 --> 00:35:09 it's not random, it's not made up. It's not borrowed logic from anything else,
401 00:35:09 --> 00:35:18 okay, it's my life's work. So the candlestick that left a body above old
402 00:35:18 --> 00:35:22 old time all time highs. This logic also works when it's not trading all time
403 00:35:22 --> 00:35:27 highs, but I've learned 20 years into my career that this is something that tends
404 00:35:27 --> 00:35:31 to repeat at all time highs. Now I've only had a few instances in certain
405 00:35:31 --> 00:35:37 markets to see all time highs form. I've only been around for 53 years, but in my
406 00:35:37 --> 00:35:41 53 years on this spinning rock that's a sphere, not a flat surface, by the way,
407 00:35:41 --> 00:35:47 Flat Earthers. You're wrong. The idea of a body being left above that old all
408 00:35:47 --> 00:35:52 time high, this could be still used if it's just a old market high, if you're
409 00:35:53 --> 00:35:57 looking for the market trade above an old all time high. It's this logic. And
410 00:35:57 --> 00:36:02 any old high where we look at this candlestick, it leaves a body above it,
411 00:36:02 --> 00:36:06 whereas, by contrast, this one only wicks above it by a little bit. So I
412 00:36:06 --> 00:36:10 want you to understand there's a significant departure from just simply
413 00:36:10 --> 00:36:15 going above it price wise, and then leaving the body above it. Okay, this is
414 00:36:15 --> 00:36:17 much more salient and more information being
415 00:36:18 --> 00:36:23 indicating that the algorithm will now utilize that candlesticks, opening
416 00:36:23 --> 00:36:29 range, gap levels, and that's these levels here, okay, I also show this
417 00:36:29 --> 00:36:35 lower quadrant here. You'll see this in the chart slides as I go forward. It's
418 00:36:35 --> 00:36:39 perfect precision here. Why am I picking this one? Because it's the highest one
419 00:36:39 --> 00:36:43 in this swing high lower quadrant trades. It hits it perfectly and sells
420 00:36:43 --> 00:36:49 off on that day of October 2, 2025 but now watch what happens. I want you to
421 00:36:49 --> 00:36:53 pay attention to the daily chart. Over here we have a buy sign and balance
422 00:36:53 --> 00:36:58 sells on an efficiency volume of balance toward the discount end of that busy and
423 00:36:59 --> 00:37:05 its candlesticks low is the high graded here's the upper quadrant, consequent
424 00:37:05 --> 00:37:13 encroachment lower quadrant, and then the low. This portion here of that blue
425 00:37:13 --> 00:37:20 box is being shown right down here, the buy, sell liquidity pool. Here is this
426 00:37:20 --> 00:37:26 blue line right there. So that way you can track everything. Thursday, regular
427 00:37:26 --> 00:37:36 trading hours, opening range gap. Lower quadrant. This is the opening range gap
428 00:37:36 --> 00:37:43 low on that Thursday, that's this black line here. Consequent encouragement of
429 00:37:43 --> 00:37:51 Tuesday, October 2, opening range gap, here's the upper quadrant, and here's
430 00:37:51 --> 00:37:57 the high of Thursday's opening range gap, high. That's what's being shown
431 00:37:57 --> 00:38:04 here. Okay, over here. Now. This candlestick here on the second of
432 00:38:04 --> 00:38:11 October has a little arrow above it, that closing price. Okay, everything I'm
433 00:38:11 --> 00:38:15 saying here, when you're looking at markets trading at lows that you
434 00:38:15 --> 00:38:20 anticipate trading below an old low and looking for accumulation to go higher,
435 00:38:20 --> 00:38:23 you're going to reverse everything I'm saying here. But for now, I'm focusing
436 00:38:23 --> 00:38:29 on how we can not predict. I'm not trying to promise you're going to be
437 00:38:29 --> 00:38:32 able to call the high in the marketplace. I didn't get it to high,
438 00:38:32 --> 00:38:38 but I'm showcasing how you can see real accumulation and real distribution in
439 00:38:38 --> 00:38:46 the marketplace. Okay, bodies left above old highs right there. That closing
440 00:38:46 --> 00:38:51 price. As soon as that day closes and a new one opens here, that price right
441 00:38:51 --> 00:38:59 there. And anything above it, Smart Money will start staging shorts. If
442 00:38:59 --> 00:39:03 we're making an all time high, or if we're making a long term high or a
443 00:39:03 --> 00:39:07 significant intermediate term high, and we expect to see a decline that's
444 00:39:07 --> 00:39:12 tradable, you want to reference in the market when it's bullish. If you're
445 00:39:12 --> 00:39:18 anticipating a turnaround, you want to indicate every up close price, the
446 00:39:19 --> 00:39:23 closing price. That's what I'm indicating here. So October 2, 2025 this
447 00:39:23 --> 00:39:28 price is what's being indicated, which now appears here on this chart. So
448 00:39:28 --> 00:39:34 everything at that price and above, smart money is looking for PD arrays to
449 00:39:34 --> 00:39:38 get short on. They're running out old highs, selling into that. They're
450 00:39:38 --> 00:39:43 selling into that. They're building large portions because they have to act
451 00:39:43 --> 00:39:48 like a commercial trader does in commodities. They enter early. When big
452 00:39:48 --> 00:39:54 positions are sought after, they start putting in positions early. Where do
453 00:39:54 --> 00:39:58 they and how do they do that? Everything above this closing price, anything above
454 00:39:58 --> 00:40:04 that price, is going to be two. Case by what retail but when they're buying it,
455 00:40:04 --> 00:40:10 smart money is selling to them as they buy. So at this point here and above, to
456 00:40:10 --> 00:40:16 this candlestick here, all this is where smart money is accumulating swing
457 00:40:16 --> 00:40:21 trading perspective, that kind of like a duration of time, not a day trade. In
458 00:40:21 --> 00:40:27 other words, they're staging in that range shorts. And then we get this day,
459 00:40:27 --> 00:40:33 we have a higher close price than the previous one. See that? So now above
460 00:40:33 --> 00:40:39 that price and higher up to here, smart money is looking for PDA raise old highs
461 00:40:39 --> 00:40:44 to sell into when it goes above it, or trading back up into premium arrays.
462 00:40:45 --> 00:40:48 They're selling short inside that area. And then finally, we have this closing
463 00:40:48 --> 00:40:57 price here. So we have 123, stages of Smart Money shorting. They're staging
464 00:40:57 --> 00:41:05 their short positions as the market's going higher. They're feeding that buy
465 00:41:05 --> 00:41:11 liquidity to the people that want to chase pricing higher. They keep No, it's
466 00:41:11 --> 00:41:16 going to keep going higher. You can see what they're doing with the candlestick
467 00:41:16 --> 00:41:23 wicks. See that? Yeah, we were here at this highest point here, but we closed
468 00:41:23 --> 00:41:27 down here. Yeah, we were high up here, but we closed right here. We were high
469 00:41:27 --> 00:41:31 up here, but we closed way down here. We are high here, but we closed right
470 00:41:31 --> 00:41:38 there. That's distribution of longs and accumulation of shorts by smart money.
471 00:41:40 --> 00:41:44 Now this is not a one time video, and you understand it, please. Young men, do
472 00:41:44 --> 00:41:47 not go out there and pretend that you understand what I just said. It's going
473 00:41:47 --> 00:41:50 to take you a little bit of time studying your own charts and studying
474 00:41:50 --> 00:41:56 what price action is doing when it does these types of things. But do not think
475 00:41:56 --> 00:41:59 like this, only with all time highs. Every time the market creates
476 00:41:59 --> 00:42:06 intermediate term or long term highs, it does the same things. It does the same
477 00:42:06 --> 00:42:10 things. But all time highs, you want to see an all time high form, and then a
478 00:42:10 --> 00:42:15 deep retracement, and then it gets taken out. And then start looking for these
479 00:42:15 --> 00:42:21 types of scenarios. Okay, so here we have this portion here at desk,
480 00:42:21 --> 00:42:25 candlesticks, closing price and anything above it, they're going to be utilizing
481 00:42:27 --> 00:42:32 premium arrays and selling short above old highs, because they have deep
482 00:42:32 --> 00:42:39 pockets, because they are essentially agents of The market, where they're
483 00:42:39 --> 00:42:44 literally privy to certain things. They don't have to have the same concerns
484 00:42:44 --> 00:42:48 that you have to have. You want to trade big positions, very, very small stop
485 00:42:48 --> 00:42:54 losses. They don't need to worry about that type of stuff, because they're not
486 00:42:54 --> 00:43:00 over leveraging. They're scaling in, they're scaling in, they're scaling in
487 00:43:01 --> 00:43:09 now. Time element, it's Friday. We're at all time highs on Thursday, we open up
488 00:43:09 --> 00:43:17 on Friday, we trade up into that Thursday high and we grade that okay.
489 00:43:18 --> 00:43:22 Upper quadrants pierced, but we can't get to the high of it, and we trade
490 00:43:22 --> 00:43:30 lower as it starts to trade lower. Everybody's talking about the comment
491 00:43:30 --> 00:43:38 that Trump made about the 100% tariff on China, and that news is the
492 00:43:39 --> 00:43:45 justification. It's the excuse, it's the news. Move the market. Trump's moving
493 00:43:45 --> 00:43:50 the market. Trump is not moving the market. I promise you, this guy is
494 00:43:50 --> 00:43:57 looked at as some kind of Messiah. He ain't. The bottom line is this, it is
495 00:43:57 --> 00:44:07 not what he says. It's what the market's doing before he speaks, and then all the
496 00:44:07 --> 00:44:14 excuse, all the blame, all the well, that's the reason why that retail can
497 00:44:14 --> 00:44:18 see it, and that helps them sleep at night knowing that their trend lines
498 00:44:18 --> 00:44:22 didn't work, or their moving average crossovers didn't work anymore, or their
499 00:44:23 --> 00:44:28 divergences or the indicators didn't avail them a win. It didn't communicate
500 00:44:28 --> 00:44:34 any clarity to them. So it makes perfect sense that it's mean old Trump. He
501 00:44:34 --> 00:44:40 manipulated the market because he said this when I'm going to show you it's not
502 00:44:40 --> 00:44:46 that at all, but it makes perfect sense to a neophyte. It's a perfect blame game
503 00:44:46 --> 00:44:50 for someone that doesn't know how these markets operate and how they book price.
504 00:44:50 --> 00:44:55 It's a perfect excuse for them not to know why it didn't indicate before it
505 00:44:55 --> 00:44:59 was going to go down. It's a perfect excuse for someone that's weak minded.
506 00:45:00 --> 00:45:04 That's insecure as a young man on social media that doesn't want to listen to
507 00:45:04 --> 00:45:09 someone with 33 years experience that literally does it, that went out there
508 00:45:09 --> 00:45:13 on live stream and told you beforehand this is what it was going to do, and it
509 00:45:13 --> 00:45:18 did it to the tick. You have a choice. You can listen to me or you cannot
510 00:45:18 --> 00:45:23 listen to me, but why waste your time if you're not going to listen? Because I'm
511 00:45:23 --> 00:45:29 not going to fail at this. I'm not going to fail I keep making more millionaires,
512 00:45:29 --> 00:45:35 more successful students, and I talk about it as it happens. I talk about it
513 00:45:35 --> 00:45:40 before it happens. I explain it in detail why it will repeat in the future.
514 00:45:40 --> 00:45:44 So that way you can do it. Not just wow, he did that. He did this. He can do
515 00:45:44 --> 00:45:51 that. It's not about me. Take me out of this. Take you and put you in it. Can
516 00:45:51 --> 00:45:55 you see yourself doing this? You will never be able to do it unless you stop
517 00:45:55 --> 00:46:00 listening to fools and you roll your sleeves up and you do your own due
518 00:46:00 --> 00:46:04 diligence, and study it back, test it look at old price moves. So let's move a
519 00:46:04 --> 00:46:15 little bit forward now. So we jump ahead and we're looking at Tuesday price
520 00:46:15 --> 00:46:18 action. We open up higher again.
521 00:46:19 --> 00:46:25 This is a five minute chart on NASDAQ, usually I show like a one minute chart,
522 00:46:25 --> 00:46:29 but for the sake of sizing and showing more data, I'm using the five minute
523 00:46:29 --> 00:46:33 chart. We have a small gap in here, so it's where the trading hours being
524 00:46:33 --> 00:46:43 shown. And the idea is that we see it trade lower above that this closing
525 00:46:43 --> 00:46:48 price. So we we use that price here, so there's discount sensitivity. It rallies
526 00:46:48 --> 00:46:52 above previous high here. So what's above that buy side? So they're selling
527 00:46:52 --> 00:46:58 into that. They're selling into that. We come back down into that October 6
528 00:46:58 --> 00:47:03 closing price. Then we have a gap opening higher. We rally above previous
529 00:47:03 --> 00:47:09 high. Then we sell off, small, little city in here sells off and trades down
530 00:47:09 --> 00:47:16 into what Thursdays, regular trading hours, opening range, gap low. That's
531 00:47:16 --> 00:47:20 this dark line right here. You'll see it annotated in a moment. Here's the lower
532 00:47:20 --> 00:47:23 quadrant, here's consequent encroachment. Here's the upper quadrant.
533 00:47:24 --> 00:47:29 Here's the high of it, which is the opening price on Thursday, October 2. So
534 00:47:29 --> 00:47:34 don't be confused with these annotations. I'm referring to only
535 00:47:34 --> 00:47:38 October 2. Why? Because it was the candlestick that had the body that was
536 00:47:38 --> 00:47:43 left above the previous all time high when it formed and then retraced away
537 00:47:43 --> 00:47:46 from it really, really important. You're gonna need to watch it and listen to
538 00:47:46 --> 00:47:50 this video a few times, but then go back and look at your old price moves. It
539 00:47:50 --> 00:47:53 doesn't need to be all time highs, and you'll see exactly what I'm saying is
540 00:47:53 --> 00:47:59 the truth. And there has never been, ever, never, ever, ever, ever been
541 00:48:00 --> 00:48:04 another author, teacher, educator, trader, that ever talked about it,
542 00:48:04 --> 00:48:08 shared it, or ever communicated or even hinted at it, not one time in history,
543 00:48:08 --> 00:48:16 ever in print, video format or audible. And that's the truth. And today, October
544 00:48:16 --> 00:48:23 11, 2025, good old Michael J Huddleston, ICT, inner circle trader is giving it to
545 00:48:23 --> 00:48:29 you for free. Why? Because I don't need your effing money. I don't need it. I
546 00:48:29 --> 00:48:33 don't need your money. And for some of you, that just pisses you off, because
547 00:48:33 --> 00:48:37 you want to be able to say, I got a shill. I had to get my bills paid, and
548 00:48:37 --> 00:48:41 I'm out here giving it for free over and over and over again. I'm like The Candy
549 00:48:41 --> 00:48:46 Man. And guess what they say about the candy man? The Candy Man, can I can
550 00:48:46 --> 00:48:55 here, look at the levels. It's using the upper quadrant here, hits it sells off
551 00:48:55 --> 00:48:59 lower than that. It's the consequence encroachment level. Look at the body,
552 00:48:59 --> 00:49:03 respecting it there, and trades down to lower quadrant, and then the low of it.
553 00:49:03 --> 00:49:12 This is literally five days after October 2. Why is the price respecting
554 00:49:12 --> 00:49:16 these levels? Find that in support, resistance theory, it's not going to be
555 00:49:16 --> 00:49:20 found. Find it in white cough, it's not going to be found. Supply and Demand.
556 00:49:20 --> 00:49:24 Find it. It will not be found. It's not an Elliott Wave, pitch forks. Ain't
557 00:49:24 --> 00:49:31 nowhere near to be seen. Moving Average. Crossovers, nope. No flags, no pennants,
558 00:49:34 --> 00:49:39 no regression channels, none of that nonsense. No harmonic patterns, no
559 00:49:39 --> 00:49:45 animal patterns, zoo patterns, none of that stuff. It's a simple grading of
560 00:49:45 --> 00:49:51 very specific, generic ideas. When you understand the market is algorithmically
561 00:49:51 --> 00:49:57 delivered, it's a very simplistic approach to understanding why price is
562 00:49:57 --> 00:50:04 going to do, what it's going to do and when it should do it. It. When look at
563 00:50:04 --> 00:50:11 the times when price is hitting these levels, there's the Epiphany, you're
564 00:50:11 --> 00:50:16 gonna love it, but if you're never looking for it, it goes under the radar,
565 00:50:17 --> 00:50:24 and that's why every Tom Dick and Harry and Jane Doe, educator, never noticed it
566 00:50:24 --> 00:50:28 before, because they don't believe there's a central algorithm that runs
567 00:50:28 --> 00:50:31 everything. They believe it's buying and selling pressure. So therefore it must
568 00:50:31 --> 00:50:37 be random. It's a randomly, evenly distributed, random act of chaos, of
569 00:50:37 --> 00:50:43 buying and selling we all are doing auction theory. No, you're not. No,
570 00:50:43 --> 00:50:49 you're not. You're following on Judas either to slaughter or you soon will be
571 00:50:50 --> 00:50:54 that's what retail is doing, and that's all they're ever doing. But they're
572 00:50:54 --> 00:51:00 given all this wonderful distractions to be able to classify and say, I'm smart
573 00:51:00 --> 00:51:04 because I know this trading model. I'm using this trading approach. I'm using
574 00:51:04 --> 00:51:07 this indicator and this school of thought, and I use this guy because he
575 00:51:07 --> 00:51:11 wrote books about this, or this person made this, or this person won a contest
576 00:51:11 --> 00:51:15 using this, or therefore it must validate it, and it doesn't hold water.
577 00:51:15 --> 00:51:21 Like I said, you can flip a coin, buy in heads, short on tails, if you use sound
578 00:51:21 --> 00:51:26 money management and don't over leverage or over trade, you can make money. It
579 00:51:27 --> 00:51:32 doesn't sound like it's possible to the neophyte, to the uninitiated, to someone
580 00:51:32 --> 00:51:37 that has no idea what's going on. There's no way that that could possibly
581 00:51:37 --> 00:51:45 happen, but yet it does. But what will happen is someone will bring their own
582 00:51:45 --> 00:51:50 twist to it. They can't follow those rules. They got to Well, the last time I
583 00:51:50 --> 00:51:53 looked at this price like this, and the last time I got in a fight with my
584 00:51:53 --> 00:51:57 spouse, and last time I had gout, and last time I had athlete's foot, and last
585 00:51:57 --> 00:52:00 time my back was aching, an elbow hurt. I had tennis elbow. I had this and had
586 00:52:00 --> 00:52:06 that, the market did this. And the other thing happened, you bring in human
587 00:52:06 --> 00:52:15 failed logic, and it's what people do all the time. I can give you literally
588 00:52:15 --> 00:52:20 enigma. I can give it to you, and you'll lose money with it, not because it's not
589 00:52:20 --> 00:52:24 perfect, but because you want to make something in your own hands with it, you
590 00:52:24 --> 00:52:28 want to say you found something. You discovered something. You want to be
591 00:52:28 --> 00:52:33 authenticated because you contributed something. And that's the big thing
592 00:52:33 --> 00:52:37 right now. A lot of you young people just need to be thankful that you're
593 00:52:37 --> 00:52:44 even learning it not Enigma, but how the markets actually book? There's so many
594 00:52:44 --> 00:52:52 of you out there that simply can't give honor to whom it's due. That's God,
595 00:52:52 --> 00:52:58 because that's who gave it to me. That's who gave it to me. So keep shelling,
596 00:52:58 --> 00:53:01 keep doing all that nonsense you're doing because nobody's gonna remember
597 00:53:01 --> 00:53:06 your name. Nobody's gonna remember your name. They might see you right now
598 00:53:07 --> 00:53:13 talking in the language that I gave you, but they're not gonna remember you. You
599 00:53:13 --> 00:53:17 got suckers on the on the meal ride right now paying you, but that's gonna
600 00:53:17 --> 00:53:25 dry up, and when it does, nobody will remember you. Nobody will and that's
601 00:53:25 --> 00:53:28 going to hurt. It's going to ache because that's what you really want.
602 00:53:28 --> 00:53:32 Because money is easy. Money's it's fleeting. You get it, you got it, you
603 00:53:32 --> 00:53:38 spend it. It's gone before. All you out there that are selling and marketing and
604 00:53:38 --> 00:53:44 trying to make a name for yourself. You want legacy. You want legendary status.
605 00:53:45 --> 00:53:54 I don't want it. I don't want it, but you're never going to get it. You're
606 00:53:54 --> 00:54:01 never going to get it. It's delicious. Actually. Moving forward. Here we have
607 00:54:01 --> 00:54:06 Wednesday, October 8. Now we're above the October 6 closing price. That's over
608 00:54:06 --> 00:54:15 here. All these wicks, we're seeing that form in here. So everything in this
609 00:54:15 --> 00:54:19 price run up here again. Every time price runs above this high, there smart
610 00:54:19 --> 00:54:24 money's staging. They're adding to their short position this high here, as it
611 00:54:24 --> 00:54:28 trades above it, they're adding to their short position here this high, as it
612 00:54:28 --> 00:54:33 trades above it, they're shorting more up here, they're shorting. What is this?
613 00:54:33 --> 00:54:40 It's an inversion fair value gap. Price breaks that low trades down. There's
614 00:54:40 --> 00:54:44 your short inside of another fare bag out there. Beautiful, beautiful,
615 00:54:44 --> 00:54:50 beautiful delivery. There trades back down. What's it trade down to Tuesday,
616 00:54:50 --> 00:54:55 October 2, 2025, regular trading hours. Opening price. That's the high of that
617 00:54:55 --> 00:55:01 opening range gap on October 2 hits it and what does it do? Do? Stop. It flirts
618 00:55:01 --> 00:55:09 just below a little bit with the wicks and then rallies away. Why is it using
619 00:55:09 --> 00:55:15 that level, if the algorithm doesn't exist? Why is it using now? Something
620 00:55:15 --> 00:55:20 six days old, the data has already been used. It's already been referred to.
621 00:55:21 --> 00:55:29 It's already closed its gap. Here's the third it traded down and through it. So
622 00:55:29 --> 00:55:36 why is it still using it? Everybody knows about gaps. This guy, ICT, what a
623 00:55:36 --> 00:55:47 fraud he's rebranding. No, I'm trailblazing, and you're all having the
624 00:55:47 --> 00:55:51 wonderful opportunity to watch it, as it happens. You're all having a Gan moment.
625 00:55:51 --> 00:55:58 You're all watching a liver more moment. That's not ego, it's just simple facts.
626 00:55:59 --> 00:56:11 And now here we are. Here we are D Day. Here it is the market on the ninth.
627 00:56:12 --> 00:56:21 Here's Thursday, creating the high, okay, we have the market trading in an
628 00:56:21 --> 00:56:22 area where
629 00:56:24 --> 00:56:31 the October closing price here on the eighth, the ninth we open, we rally up
630 00:56:32 --> 00:56:38 in this little portion of price action in here, all this that's being graded up
631 00:56:38 --> 00:56:46 here, you can see those levels here at 25,393 even. That's this candlesticks
632 00:56:46 --> 00:56:54 high. Okay, so it's pre over here. Previous, looking at it, the bodies are
633 00:56:54 --> 00:57:01 stopping rate at consequent encroachment right here, and we're above buy side on
634 00:57:01 --> 00:57:04 this swing high here, deep retracement. It trades down into what I tell you,
635 00:57:05 --> 00:57:09 Thursday's regular trading hours, opening price, so that was the high of
636 00:57:09 --> 00:57:14 the opening range gap on Thursday, October 2. The only reason why we're
637 00:57:14 --> 00:57:18 constantly keeping these levels on our chart is because on the daily chart, it
638 00:57:18 --> 00:57:25 was October 2 that left the higher bodied closing price above the previous
639 00:57:25 --> 00:57:30 swing high that made all time highs carry that over into when you're not
640 00:57:30 --> 00:57:35 trading at all time highs, just using it for market structure purposes. When
641 00:57:35 --> 00:57:38 you're trading above an old high and you're expecting a long term or
642 00:57:38 --> 00:57:44 intermediate term high to form, you're using the same logic. It just works more
643 00:57:44 --> 00:57:48 frequently, because it's rare that your markets that you're trading are at all
644 00:57:48 --> 00:57:52 time highs. It takes a lot of time to get to these all time highs in markets.
645 00:57:53 --> 00:57:59 So here we have it. So point is, the market's already indicating it's tipping
646 00:57:59 --> 00:58:04 its hand. The bodies are not able to close above consequent encroachment of
647 00:58:04 --> 00:58:14 the ninth price action. So when we start trading on the 10th here it's it's
648 00:58:14 --> 00:58:22 faltering. It's failing. It can't muster up the strength to get into a run to
649 00:58:22 --> 00:58:28 make a higher, all time high. And we've had three stages of smart money,
650 00:58:28 --> 00:58:37 shorting this price that is too far to the left is the old buy side. It trades
651 00:58:37 --> 00:58:41 above it here. That's your first indication that we laid down a body and
652 00:58:41 --> 00:58:46 a closing price at a all time high above an old all time high. That was a swing
653 00:58:46 --> 00:58:55 high. So here's the stage one, here's stage two and stage three. Anything
654 00:58:55 --> 00:59:00 above those closing prices, smart money is putting in shorts. They're selling
655 00:59:00 --> 00:59:05 they're selling to the public. They're selling to money chasers, the Johnny
656 00:59:05 --> 00:59:08 Come Lately, the breakout artists, the Instagram traders, the Tiktok traders,
657 00:59:08 --> 00:59:13 the YouTubers. They're buying on breakouts. They're buying strength. They
658 00:59:13 --> 00:59:15 think it's going to go to the moon. All this is it's going to the moon, it's
659 00:59:15 --> 00:59:18 going to the moon, just like Bitcoin. It's going to the moon, it's going to
660 00:59:18 --> 00:59:18 the moon. It's
661 00:59:26 --> 00:59:36 doesn't market trades right back above, right in here, above buy side here and
662 00:59:36 --> 00:59:50 taps, October 8, 2025, closing price after just the hair Pierce above it, and
663 00:59:50 --> 01:00:00 then that happens, inversion, fair value got small, little involved. Well. Of a
664 01:00:00 --> 01:00:04 balance in here, you'll check your price to see it. It's very small, but it's
665 01:00:04 --> 01:00:15 there. Market trades up, falls out of bed, three stages of smart money,
666 01:00:15 --> 01:00:25 selling above an old time high. Indicated, by failure by the body's not
667 01:00:25 --> 01:00:30 making any headway above consequent encroachment. If it would have been
668 01:00:30 --> 01:00:36 above it, then we might have to make a higher high, but it's not. And I taught
669 01:00:36 --> 01:00:42 you this. I taught you this. This is how you read order flow. It's not level two
670 01:00:42 --> 01:00:46 nonsense, where you're looking at numbers and attribute that to some kind
671 01:00:46 --> 01:00:49 of prognostication for the future. It has nothing to do with it, because
672 01:00:49 --> 01:00:53 there's orders above and below. That ladder is not going to be helpful in
673 01:00:53 --> 01:00:57 terms of direction. It's your in private interpretation, is what you're you're
674 01:00:57 --> 01:01:02 believing in the religion that you created for yourself, but when you start
675 01:01:02 --> 01:01:06 seeing the science that I'm showing you here, and the closing prices are giving
676 01:01:06 --> 01:01:12 telltale signs to smart money that it's about to turn why? Because we couldn't
677 01:01:12 --> 01:01:19 post a body above consequent encroachment of this wick. And it's time
678 01:01:20 --> 01:01:29 Friday. Oh, it looks like a bull flag or a bullish continuation pennant. Really,
679 01:01:31 --> 01:01:39 conversion, fair value gap, failure to go higher. We're consolidating. And then
680 01:01:39 --> 01:01:45 we go into the macro. 1050, 11:10am, 11:10am, overlapping with London. Close.
681 01:01:45 --> 01:01:51 Look at your Euro, look at your dollar index and look at your POUND DOLLAR
682 01:01:51 --> 01:01:51 again.
683 01:01:58 --> 01:02:06 Then market starts to drop. People are in shock. Social media is a blaze.
684 01:02:06 --> 01:02:12 What's going on? Trump? Trump did this. Trump said that. Trump said Trump this.
685 01:02:12 --> 01:02:19 He's the fault guy. I told you in 2016 he would be used as such before he was
686 01:02:19 --> 01:02:24 even elected. And before you come at me, I have never voted in my life. I've
687 01:02:24 --> 01:02:31 never voted for anyone because it's a facade. You're a victim of the left
688 01:02:31 --> 01:02:37 right paradigm, and no matter what side you pick, you're still being deceived
689 01:02:37 --> 01:02:48 because you don't have a say in the matter if they voting mattered, they
690 01:02:48 --> 01:02:53 would never, ever let you do it. So I'm not trying to promote an idea one side
691 01:02:53 --> 01:02:57 of the next. I'm not Republican, I'm not Democrat, I'm not independent, I'm a
692 01:02:57 --> 01:03:02 monarchist. I'm looking for a coming King. He's not of this world. So my
693 01:03:02 --> 01:03:08 perspective is completely objective outside of I'm not looking at it through
694 01:03:08 --> 01:03:14 the lens of a party view, but I told you in 2016 that everything you're seeing
695 01:03:14 --> 01:03:17 all around the world and in the US, it was coming, and it's here. I told you it
696 01:03:17 --> 01:03:20 was going to be expensive, and you won't be able to pay for food, you won't be
697 01:03:20 --> 01:03:23 able to do this. You won't be do this. You won't be do that. It's happening.
698 01:03:23 --> 01:03:26 I'll tell you about this in the market. I tell you about that in the market. Is
699 01:03:26 --> 01:03:30 this what it's going to do? Is it what it's not going to do? It's going to say
700 01:03:30 --> 01:03:33 it wants to go higher with certain things, but retail will chase that, and
701 01:03:33 --> 01:03:39 they'll be wrong. We're in the age of deception right now, and you need to
702 01:03:39 --> 01:03:47 make sure you guard yourself against that, and because I'm a man, and you got
703 01:03:47 --> 01:03:53 to make sure that no man deceives you. Don't take my word for it, go into your
704 01:03:53 --> 01:04:01 charts and get your evidence there, period. So here's where we're at in
705 01:04:01 --> 01:04:10 version fair value gap, macro, 1050, 1110, trading at the closing prices, a
706 01:04:10 --> 01:04:15 third stage of smart money, shorting at all time high. And one more tap in that
707 01:04:15 --> 01:04:22 buy side, and it careens lower and back into that Thursday, those Thursday
708 01:04:22 --> 01:04:27 levels we trade down below consequent encroachment of Thursday, October 2,
709 01:04:27 --> 01:04:35 2025, opening range gap, it wicks through it twice. Where's the bodies
710 01:04:36 --> 01:04:42 below it? Why am I using that Thursday, October 2 opening range gap, because
711 01:04:42 --> 01:04:47 it's the one, it's the one that had the daily candlestick close, that laid down
712 01:04:47 --> 01:04:52 a new all time high above a previous all time high that was formed, that was
713 01:04:52 --> 01:04:58 retraced on. So it should be viewed as what continuation. But I'm looking for
714 01:04:58 --> 01:05:03 indications that Smart Money will. Fade into that and start selling it.
715 01:05:07 --> 01:05:14 Distribution here inside this Sibi volume and balance volume and balance,
716 01:05:15 --> 01:05:24 this is what suspension, block, play, point, consequent encroachment. Can't
717 01:05:24 --> 01:05:31 even reach that. And the bodies are staying below what Thursdays, regular
718 01:05:31 --> 01:05:35 trading hours, opening range, gap, consequent encroachment, Midpoint level.
719 01:05:35 --> 01:05:38 It can't even muster the strength to come back and kiss it with its bodies.
720 01:05:40 --> 01:05:46 It's weak, it's heavy. So where could it reach for? Go back to your daily chart.
721 01:05:49 --> 01:05:54 We have a swing low. We have a discount wick that you can grade. And then we
722 01:05:54 --> 01:05:57 have the change in the state of delivery down here. See this down close candle
723 01:05:57 --> 01:06:03 all the way past this one. So if we're going to pierce this. This is the last
724 01:06:03 --> 01:06:09 time after or before this candlestick formed. This was the last time there's a
725 01:06:09 --> 01:06:15 change in state delivery. So this candlesticks open to its high. That is
726 01:06:15 --> 01:06:18 your premium wick. When price is above, it's going to act as what a discount
727 01:06:18 --> 01:06:22 wick. So here's the lower quadrant, consequent encouragement and the upper
728 01:06:22 --> 01:06:28 quadrant. Lower quadrant comes in at 24,001, 66, point 50. And during regular
729 01:06:28 --> 01:06:32 trading hours, trailing stop losses, getting stopped out. It is what it is,
730 01:06:33 --> 01:06:39 but that is a really, really nice run, carrying it over to electronic trading
731 01:06:39 --> 01:06:44 hours, where you can see that there's trading beyond that three, I'm sorry,
732 01:06:44 --> 01:06:50 4:14pm, Eastern Time, this big drop off went right down into that there
733 01:06:50 --> 01:06:57 beautifully with just below the low. But look at that delivery. It's completely
734 01:06:57 --> 01:07:03 random. I'm sure most of your eyes, I don't see it as that. See, I've seen
735 01:07:03 --> 01:07:08 these things happen a lot of times, not just once in a lifetime, like some of
736 01:07:08 --> 01:07:13 you 20 year olds, these things are measured. These things are scripted.
737 01:07:13 --> 01:07:20 These things are calculated. They're pre determined, predestined. And when you
738 01:07:20 --> 01:07:24 look at how smart money was selling above these highs here and above this
739 01:07:24 --> 01:07:27 candlesticks, closing price here and here, and above this candlesticks,
740 01:07:27 --> 01:07:31 closing price here and here, and above this candlesticks, closing price here
741 01:07:31 --> 01:07:36 and here, and then all of a sudden, during a macro time inside of inversion,
742 01:07:36 --> 01:07:41 fair value gap after three stages, Smart Money staging for shorts at all time
743 01:07:41 --> 01:07:45 highs at the end of the week when the government shut down and all this stuff
744 01:07:45 --> 01:07:55 is coalescing at the same time, Trump says, I'm reinstating 100% tariffs On
745 01:07:55 --> 01:08:04 China. There's the perfect excuse. There's a perfect excuse that buying and
746 01:08:04 --> 01:08:09 selling and random acts of chaos, nobody should expect to be able to time the
747 01:08:09 --> 01:08:22 market. It's a wonderful plot that would make a wonderful TV movie. It takes that
748 01:08:22 --> 01:08:30 perspective to believe that fiction, because that's what that is fiction. Now
749 01:08:30 --> 01:08:35 am I going to sit here and tell you that it was expected, on my part, that it was
750 01:08:35 --> 01:08:42 going to deliver such a long drop down on Thursday? No, but submitting to the
751 01:08:42 --> 01:08:47 idea that I picked up from good old Larry Williams, the most money you make
752 01:08:47 --> 01:08:54 is holding for the clothes. Think about it. You're stuck in a car. You're
753 01:08:54 --> 01:09:03 limited to the perspective of your Samsung Ultra so you're not going to
754 01:09:03 --> 01:09:06 look at every single one minute candlestick. You're just going to hold
755 01:09:07 --> 01:09:14 an idea close to your heart and let time do its thing, and then you look and
756 01:09:14 --> 01:09:20 you're pleasantly surprised. Wow, it did what I expected to happen over next
757 01:09:20 --> 01:09:32 week, they did it all in one day. This should be signifying to you that if
758 01:09:32 --> 01:09:39 you're not respecting risk right now, if you think you're John Wayne of the
759 01:09:39 --> 01:09:47 markets, okay, you think you're the Cool Hand Luke. You think you're Paul Newman
760 01:09:47 --> 01:09:52 in the color of money, and you just can't miss you might want to take
761 01:09:52 --> 01:09:59 another look, because there's a whole lot of things in the offing just past
762 01:09:59 --> 01:10:04 the horizon. Eyes, and you just can't see it yet, but it's coming, and it's
763 01:10:04 --> 01:10:12 going to make these markets smooth, in a pace, in a method, in a style of
764 01:10:12 --> 01:10:17 delivery that's going to take your head clean off. If you don't know what you're
765 01:10:17 --> 01:10:23 doing, you want to over leverage your pretend little demo accounts that you
766 01:10:23 --> 01:10:28 affiliated with, these funded account companies. Yeah, it's only the reset
767 01:10:28 --> 01:10:36 fees you got to pay. But you're gambling, and you're taking big lottery
768 01:10:36 --> 01:10:46 guesses, and if you're doing that with your real money, you Oh, you are playing
769 01:10:46 --> 01:10:54 idiot poker, man, and you are holding a commode flush. You got you have no idea
770 01:10:54 --> 01:11:02 what's about to happen to you. There's so many things that can happen at any
771 01:11:02 --> 01:11:09 moment, at the drop of a hat. Any one of those things are going to be the perfect
772 01:11:09 --> 01:11:16 instrument to justify why these markets don't stay where they're at, and they
773 01:11:16 --> 01:11:22 leave at a pace that you've never seen before, and if you're caught on the
774 01:11:22 --> 01:11:30 wrong side, Lord, help you. So you have to be careful. You have to be careful.
775 01:11:30 --> 01:11:37 An overnight gap risk should be your number one priority, not assuming it
776 01:11:40 --> 01:11:45 don't hold overnight. If you're a trader and you're doing anything holding
777 01:11:45 --> 01:12:01 overnight, yeah, good luck, because if you're on the wrong side, no, that's not
778 01:12:01 --> 01:12:02 where I want to be at because
779 01:12:04 --> 01:12:14 if it can move this much in one day, how much you think you can do overnight when
780 01:12:14 --> 01:12:20 we open up on Sunday? How much can it move just from where we close on Friday,
781 01:12:20 --> 01:12:27 5pm Eastern Time, and opening up on six o'clock, one hour later. What prevents
782 01:12:27 --> 01:12:31 them from opening up 1500 handles different from where you last saw? It?
783 01:12:32 --> 01:12:38 Nothing. That's the thing you don't understand. Like you think that there's
784 01:12:38 --> 01:12:44 got to be, you know a method that prevents things like that. This isn't
785 01:12:44 --> 01:12:52 like that. Remember, you think smart money is not short right now. Look where
786 01:12:52 --> 01:12:59 they've moved it. They are not letting other people in on that move. They've
787 01:12:59 --> 01:13:06 already shifted this thing a lot. Now, what do you think the public wants to do
788 01:13:06 --> 01:13:11 on Monday or Well, Monday's a holiday when they can get in the market and
789 01:13:11 --> 01:13:18 trade, they're going to do, what if they're long, they're going to be
790 01:13:18 --> 01:13:23 scared, and they're gonna try to get out. And people that don't know how to
791 01:13:23 --> 01:13:30 trade see it as Wow, it's probably going to start dropping now. You should not be
792 01:13:30 --> 01:13:34 trying to do anything right. Now, it's already moved a lot to just sit still,
793 01:13:34 --> 01:13:38 wait for the dust to settle a little bit. And if it keeps going lower and you
794 01:13:38 --> 01:13:41 miss it, that's better than trying to chase it, that's
795 01:13:53 --> 01:13:58 it for this one, folks, until talk to you next week. Lord willing. Enjoy your
796 01:13:58 --> 01:14:00 weekend. Be safe and good luck and good trading.