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ICT YT - 2025-10-01 - ICT NQ Futures Market Review 10-01-2025

Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-10-06 11:11
1 00:00:20 --> 00:00:24 ICT: Afternoon, folks. Just a quick little review on doing it this way to
2 00:00:24 --> 00:00:30 save myself some time. So it is what it is. All right. So this morning, I live
3 00:00:30 --> 00:00:35 streamed and outlined a lot of things. You can go watch the live stream. I
4 00:00:35 --> 00:00:42 added it to the 2025 mentorship playlist as this will be a part of that playlist
5 00:00:42 --> 00:00:48 as well. So I covered the Monday, Tuesday, regular trading hours, opening
6 00:00:48 --> 00:00:55 range gap and see how we use that later in the day. Rallied. So I'm going to
7 00:00:55 --> 00:01:02 strip these things off as I mentioned them is to clean up the chart and this
8 00:01:02 --> 00:01:16 premium wick, these gradient levels here, 24, 811, and a quarter. It's right
9 00:01:16 --> 00:01:22 behind this line here. Okay, so that's the close of that candlestick right
10 00:01:22 --> 00:01:34 there. And then lower quadrant comes in at 24,008 52 and a quarter up here. Then
11 00:01:34 --> 00:01:39 24 893, and a half consequent encroachment of this wick that's this
12 00:01:39 --> 00:01:51 level up here. Let me see how we worked around that level. Sent it up into
13 00:01:51 --> 00:01:59 24,009 34 and a half. That's the upper quadrant level, and the high comes in at
14 00:01:59 --> 00:02:09 24,009 75 and a half. You can see that delivered here in the afternoon. So I'm
15 00:02:09 --> 00:02:15 going to take these levels here, and I'm going to, just for completeness sake,
16 00:02:15 --> 00:02:15 I'll show you this.
17 00:02:27 --> 00:02:40 913, and three quarters. It's respecting it there, 24, 895, and even the body's
18 00:02:40 --> 00:02:47 respecting that there. So you get more bang for your buck by having it on the
19 00:02:47 --> 00:02:54 larger as I gave you for the rules. Okay? So I'll take that off now, and I
20 00:02:54 --> 00:03:04 showed you the opening range gap for today. That's all this business in here
21 00:03:11 --> 00:03:17 and back in here. The details for the low I gave you outlined it all live,
22 00:03:20 --> 00:03:26 engineered, sell side liquidity. Here it drew up into the levels I mentioned that
23 00:03:26 --> 00:03:37 it would like to do. And we'll take the new day opening gap off, and the Friday
24 00:03:37 --> 00:03:45 to Monday regular trading hours, opening range gap, we'll take that off. And at
25 00:03:46 --> 00:03:52 quadrant levels, don't need that anymore. And once we ran the sell side
26 00:03:52 --> 00:03:57 here, the liquidity was the old buy side. And
27 00:04:05 --> 00:04:20 mentioned at the beginning of stream. I like those smooth eyes right in here. We
28 00:04:20 --> 00:04:26 have a inversion fair value gap, and this consequent encroachment of this
29 00:04:26 --> 00:04:30 wick, right here, price comes down hits that so it's allowed to go outside of
30 00:04:30 --> 00:04:33 the range. Is the inversion fair value gap. The wicks are allowed to do the
31 00:04:33 --> 00:04:37 damage. How far can they go? Michael, consequent encroachment of the longest
32 00:04:37 --> 00:04:41 wick. Don't use this one. Don't use that one. This is the longest one. So
33 00:04:41 --> 00:04:46 consequen encouragement is right there, rallies up. We have another inversion.
34 00:04:46 --> 00:04:52 Fair value gap there. Beautiful delivery to the tick there, and rallies up. Now
35 00:04:52 --> 00:04:55 this blue line is that old, relative equal high I told you to begin the
36 00:04:55 --> 00:05:07 stream and the. Said, the quadrants for the rare trading hours, opening range
37 00:05:07 --> 00:05:17 gap for today, we have the low lower quadrant, consequent encroachment upper
38 00:05:17 --> 00:05:19 quadrant and high
39 00:05:27 --> 00:05:34 when we first was into fair value. Gap is on candlestick 931, and I have the
40 00:05:34 --> 00:05:45 gradient levels on that too. We'll just use the actually. Let's do it all right.
41 00:05:45 --> 00:05:49 So we have the biosite valve cell sound efficiency first presented, fair value
42 00:05:51 --> 00:05:58 gap, lower quadrant, consequent encroachment, inversion, fair value gap,
43 00:05:58 --> 00:06:02 and that comes right in with the inversion fair value gap in upper
44 00:06:02 --> 00:06:06 quadrant of the first presented fair value gap. So you see how there's a
45 00:06:07 --> 00:06:13 confluence of several layers of things supporting price for a discount. So
46 00:06:13 --> 00:06:18 discount sensitivity. This is, these are the things I have on my piece of paper.
47 00:06:18 --> 00:06:23 Okay, and as new PD arrays form, like this one here and this one here. And
48 00:06:23 --> 00:06:28 when the first percent of everybody got forms, if it's a large enough one, and
49 00:06:28 --> 00:06:33 it affords me to put the fib on to get the gradient levels on it, I'll get
50 00:06:33 --> 00:06:41 those and I'll write that down. Okay, so my little piece of paper pad, it's these
51 00:06:41 --> 00:06:46 things I'm writing on okay, I start the day off with what I showed you this
52 00:06:46 --> 00:06:51 morning. Now not just that, but that's what I'm doing. I'm looking at previous
53 00:06:51 --> 00:06:55 opening range gaps in the last three days. I'm looking for inefficiencies.
54 00:06:55 --> 00:07:01 I'm looking for daily Wix premium and discount in how the market would use
55 00:07:01 --> 00:07:09 that information. And I want to go back and show you something here. All right,
56 00:07:09 --> 00:07:14 so this London low, right here, why did, why did price tank? Right there any, any
57 00:07:14 --> 00:07:20 idea where you think that would have pulled down into that here, that level.
58 00:07:21 --> 00:07:27 Now, classic Support Resistance guys, they like to look at things like this.
59 00:07:27 --> 00:07:35 They'll say, oh, clearly ICT is behind the times, and he doesn't know about
60 00:07:35 --> 00:07:40 support resistance. So this old high here, okay, it broke through that so
61 00:07:40 --> 00:07:43 naturally they would expect it to be support here. But you can see how well
62 00:07:43 --> 00:07:46 that worked. It just ripped right through it, and then the market rallies
63 00:07:46 --> 00:07:53 up. I'm sorry, opens here, rallies down, back down into that level. But look, it
64 00:07:53 --> 00:07:56 goes a little bit past that. See, that's, see, that's the thing that
65 00:07:56 --> 00:08:00 plagued me on the time as a young man. I didn't like that. Okay, I wanted to be a
66 00:08:00 --> 00:08:04 little bit more precise, because if it was, in fact, the theory behind why
67 00:08:04 --> 00:08:07 price should move up and down, then it should be a lot more sensitive than
68 00:08:07 --> 00:08:12 this. This looks erratic to me, and it looked very erratic to an obsessive,
69 00:08:12 --> 00:08:18 compulsive and younger man that I was back in my 20s. So now let's go in and
70 00:08:18 --> 00:08:26 look at the smart money concept of my fair value gap. So if we look at this
71 00:08:26 --> 00:08:33 candlestick right here, okay, this candlestick on September 19, the opening
72 00:08:33 --> 00:08:36 price you're going to look right up here. Okay, upper left hand corner,
73 00:08:40 --> 00:08:52 24,717 point. Seven five. Okay, so just remember the last two digits, 17.75 is
74 00:08:52 --> 00:08:58 it higher or lower if I go to the previous candles close, so 17.75 and the
75 00:08:58 --> 00:08:59 close of that previous candle is
76 00:09:06 --> 00:09:09 I can't remember if I said open or closed. It's this candle that's open
77 00:09:09 --> 00:09:18 rather 24,717.75, and then the close of this one, and it's 17. I'm sorry, seven,
78 00:09:18 --> 00:09:25 13.75 so there is a volume and balance, okay? And you might see this with
79 00:09:25 --> 00:09:28 better, younger eyes and say, Well, that's obvious to me. It's it's very
80 00:09:28 --> 00:09:35 hard to see that. So check my math. Sometimes here, I've been guilty of
81 00:09:37 --> 00:09:41 putting volume and balances to the wayside, not noticing that there,
82 00:09:41 --> 00:09:45 because I'm trying to go through the material quick and get through it. So
83 00:09:45 --> 00:09:49 here's the bullish fair value gap. Okay, buy side of L, sell side efficiency. And
84 00:09:49 --> 00:09:54 here's the consequent encroachment at that level. Okay, so if we roll that
85 00:09:54 --> 00:10:02 forward into today, that low right here. Player is that low, right there? And
86 00:10:02 --> 00:10:09 that is what I found, is a better form of what would be considered, quote,
87 00:10:09 --> 00:10:14 unquote, support or resistance, not viewed in the same light that a retail
88 00:10:14 --> 00:10:20 trader would expect it. They would not consider that. But because smart, my
89 00:10:20 --> 00:10:26 concepts are better than that archaic nonsense of retail Support Resistance.
90 00:10:27 --> 00:10:33 You would expect that so it dives down into algorithmically, right into the
91 00:10:33 --> 00:10:37 middle of this fair value gap. Again, we're not support Yeah, we're not
92 00:10:37 --> 00:10:42 supporting resistance, and we're not supplying demand. We cut through all of
93 00:10:42 --> 00:10:46 these candlesticks and go right back to that level right there, of the fair
94 00:10:46 --> 00:10:50 value guy, and the consequent encroachment of that level takes us
95 00:10:50 --> 00:10:53 right to that level right there. So not only did I give you the New York
96 00:10:53 --> 00:10:59 session, low, told you it's what it was. This is how you can see the London Open.
97 00:10:59 --> 00:11:03 Low, okay, and then you roll this information into what I was doing in
98 00:11:03 --> 00:11:06 forex, when you watch me run those accounts up into astronomical levels,
99 00:11:06 --> 00:11:12 real quick, boom, boom, boom, and show my executions and all that just too
100 00:11:12 --> 00:11:16 perfect. It's because I was using this stuff here. Okay, when I'm when I'm
101 00:11:16 --> 00:11:22 using this information, and I'm dialed in, and I have no reason to be talking
102 00:11:22 --> 00:11:28 about anything, So I'm just focusing on trading. It's just, it's it's poetic,
103 00:11:28 --> 00:11:37 it's beautiful. It's just like, well, it's art. And when you get better at
104 00:11:37 --> 00:11:40 this, and don't expect to learn how to do this real fast, don't expect to be
105 00:11:40 --> 00:11:45 real quick about it. Okay, take your time. Learn to find yourself in this and
106 00:11:45 --> 00:11:49 view it as a form of meditation. When you go through your charts and you look
107 00:11:49 --> 00:11:53 through old PD arrays and try to see what rhyme or reason there is using the
108 00:11:53 --> 00:11:58 language I've given you, you will get more and more insight every time you do
109 00:11:58 --> 00:12:02 it. If you're someone that's going to be lazy. And I don't mean it derogatory. I
110 00:12:02 --> 00:12:07 mean it in a way where, if you're going to be lazy and don't spend that much
111 00:12:07 --> 00:12:12 time in doing it, and don't find time doing it and enjoying it, it's going to
112 00:12:12 --> 00:12:16 be real hard for you to get better at it. It'll feel like it's just outside of
113 00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 your reach all the time. And I don't want you to feel that way. I want you to
114 00:12:19 --> 00:12:24 find enjoyment. Put some really nice, relaxing music on, and just simply go
115 00:12:24 --> 00:12:30 through your charts and annotate them, really mark them up, and really cherish
116 00:12:30 --> 00:12:34 the idea that these concepts keep repeating, and there's something that
117 00:12:34 --> 00:12:39 you can learn, and they're very, very precise daily highs and lows. It's never
118 00:12:39 --> 00:12:44 been a problem for me, my more mature veteran students, they're getting better
119 00:12:44 --> 00:12:48 at it, and you'll get better at it too. You'll learn how to do it, but you only
120 00:12:48 --> 00:12:52 need to get the meat in between. You don't need to get the lowest tick low
121 00:12:52 --> 00:12:56 and the highest tick high. But the draw on liquidity, as I mentioned this
122 00:12:56 --> 00:13:03 morning, it could create an all time high. It could, and it did relative
123 00:13:03 --> 00:13:13 equal highs, your high rate there, and it ran up there and pierced it. So
124 00:13:13 --> 00:13:25 25,027.25 got blitzed with a high today at 25,036.75 and it looks like it wants
125 00:13:25 --> 00:13:31 to make a little bit more of a, you know, a ramrod through that way we
126 00:13:31 --> 00:13:36 opened up here. So it's usually indicative of them wanting to maybe
127 00:13:36 --> 00:13:40 flirt with a little bit going lower in this send a little bit higher. Again,
128 00:13:40 --> 00:13:44 okay, I wouldn't be trying to chase it here. Just wait for regular trading
129 00:13:44 --> 00:13:48 hours tomorrow and see how they open up if they give us a discount or premium
130 00:13:48 --> 00:13:52 gap, and use the information like I showed you today. I had fun today. I
131 00:13:52 --> 00:13:59 hope you enjoyed it, and until I talk to you, I guess tomorrow, Lord willing, be
132 00:13:59 --> 00:14:03 safe. I'm not going to do anything with Forex, because basically, it was a joke.
133 00:14:03 --> 00:14:06 It was, it was very, very ugly. Look at your charts, and you'll see and you'll
134 00:14:06 --> 00:14:12 agree. It's just, it's just trash right now. So otherwise, have a good night,
135 00:14:12 --> 00:14:14 good morning, and I'll see you when I see you.