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Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-09-27 14:17
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2 |1 |00:00:00 ~-~-> 00:00:05 |ICT: All right, folks, welcome back. It's September, 25 2025 this is focus on
3 |2 |00:00:05 ~-~-> 00:00:10 |forex. We're looking at Dollar Index, fiber, your USD and cable, POUND DOLLAR.
4 |3 |00:00:17 ~-~-> 00:00:21 |Well, lo and behold, look at that. So I mentioned last week that I was bullish
5 |4 |00:00:21 ~-~-> 00:00:26 |on dollar unless we were to trade below the daily consequent encouragement of
6 |5 |00:00:26 ~-~-> 00:00:31 |this inversion fair value gap that was given to you before the actual formation
7 |6 |00:00:31 ~-~-> 00:00:38 |of it. So it's kind of like one more time proving authorship. The nice rally
8 |7 |00:00:38 ~-~-> 00:00:44 |off of that we've had the last two days has traded above the premium wick in
9 |8 |00:00:44 ~-~-> 00:00:50 |here, above the gap in here, and then up into these highs here. Okay, so I'm
10 |9 |00:00:51 ~-~-> 00:00:55 |going to show you two of them that you have on your chart. The first one, when
11 |10 |00:00:55 ~-~-> 00:00:58 |we were down here and trading up, it's always, you know, this swing high. It's,
12 |11 |00:00:59 ~-~-> 00:01:05 |you got to look at that, obviously, but this high has the longest wick, so
13 |12 |00:01:05 ~-~-> 00:01:08 |that's a premium wick. So you can put your gradient levels on that from the
14 |13 |00:01:08 ~-~-> 00:01:12 |candlestick open to the high. That's what's on here. And let me just toss it
15 |14 |00:01:12 ~-~-> 00:01:18 |in real quick. There's really no reason to worry about whether you should draw
16 |15 |00:01:18 ~-~-> 00:01:22 |the FIB from the low to the high or the high down to the low. When you're doing
17 |16 |00:01:22 ~-~-> 00:01:28 |gradient levels on the wicks, it's not imperative, because you're you're simply
18 |17 |00:01:28 ~-~-> 00:01:32 |looking at where those quadrant levels are. Not so much the importance of
19 |18 |00:01:32 ~-~-> 00:01:37 |whether they're point seven, five or point two, five, it's it's irrelevant.
20 |19 |00:01:37 ~-~-> 00:01:41 |Just looking at the placement of it, where it is in proximity to what price
21 |20 |00:01:41 ~-~-> 00:01:47 |is doing. Okay, so on the right hand side, we have the finance chart again,
22 |21 |00:01:47 ~-~-> 00:01:52 |the left hand side, the daily chart. And at midnight, price is consolidating and
23 |22 |00:01:52 ~-~-> 00:02:03 |traded on the low at 97.786 that's this here. It's the low of this premium wick.
24 |23 |00:02:03 ~-~-> 00:02:10 |So we opened, traded down a little bit of a judo swing, and then we found some
25 |24 |00:02:10 ~-~-> 00:02:16 |support right at that level. Again. Here London Open, kind of was like, really,
26 |25 |00:02:16 ~-~-> 00:02:23 |not all that eventful, but no, the New York session, New York open, had a lot
27 |26 |00:02:23 ~-~-> 00:02:27 |of animation. We had a breakaway gap in here. Just kept on ripping higher. And
28 |27 |00:02:27 ~-~-> 00:02:36 |then we have a fair value gap there, right on the lower quadrant of this
29 |28 |00:02:37 ~-~-> 00:02:42 |premium wick. That's this level right here. Fairway got right at the quadrant
30 |29 |00:02:42 ~-~-> 00:02:46 |level, and a little fair value gap so you can get in pyramid, okay, and then
31 |30 |00:02:46 ~-~-> 00:02:53 |rallies strongly off of that, which creates a retracement lower fair value
32 |31 |00:02:53 ~-~-> 00:02:56 |gap. And then we have a volume imbalance. It's really tight to see it
33 |32 |00:02:56 ~-~-> 00:02:59 |in here, but you know, in your chart, you'll be able to see it easily. The
34 |33 |00:02:59 ~-~-> 00:03:03 |bodies respect the bullish fair value gap. Here we have a measuring gap that
35 |34 |00:03:03 ~-~-> 00:03:09 |stays open. So break away measuring gap and then fair value gap, bullish
36 |35 |00:03:09 ~-~-> 00:03:14 |breaker. So you have a swing low here and a lower low, so that high here,
37 |36 |00:03:15 ~-~-> 00:03:19 |bullish breaker trades into it here. Bullish fair value gap rallies through.
38 |37 |00:03:19 ~-~-> 00:03:24 |Bullish variable, I got, once more trades up to the lower quadrant of
39 |38 |00:03:25 ~-~-> 00:03:31 |98.456 that's this level here. That's the lower quadrant of this premium wick.
40 |39 |00:03:31 ~-~-> 00:03:35 |So again, you want to take your time review what these price levels are in
41 |40 |00:03:35 ~-~-> 00:03:38 |relationship to what wick, and then look at where we're at over here. We
42 |41 |00:03:38 ~-~-> 00:03:44 |accumulate around that 4540 I'm sorry, 9845 six level there, and trades higher.
43 |42 |00:03:44 ~-~-> 00:03:47 |And I just included all this price action because it just kept going
44 |43 |00:03:47 ~-~-> 00:03:55 |further beyond the normal London closed time period. London close is as an
45 |44 |00:03:55 ~-~-> 00:03:59 |extended window of time goes from 10 o'clock in the morning Eastern Time to
46 |45 |00:03:59 ~-~-> 00:04:02 |as much as one o'clock in the afternoon. That's that's kind of like my the
47 |46 |00:04:02 ~-~-> 00:04:06 |lattice. Of like my the lattice, the latest, the latest portion in a day of
48 |47 |00:04:06 ~-~-> 00:04:11 |the New York session, pm session that I'd be concerned about. So obviously, it
49 |48 |00:04:11 ~-~-> 00:04:14 |goes a little bit further than that today, because it's such a big blow off
50 |49 |00:04:14 ~-~-> 00:04:20 |type run. So we're reaching for the buy side here, and the upper half of that
51 |50 |00:04:20 ~-~-> 00:04:30 |premium wick, and then we'll look at this one in a moment. So now I have the
52 |51 |00:04:30 ~-~-> 00:04:36 |FIB ran across, this premium wick, and these levels here you can see, are much
53 |52 |00:04:36 ~-~-> 00:04:44 |more pertinent once we get into the 9824 and a half level. That's this here. Look
54 |53 |00:04:44 ~-~-> 00:04:49 |at the body respects it there. The candlesticks are respecting that level
55 |54 |00:04:49 ~-~-> 00:04:54 |there. And we drew right back down into that. So we have upper quadrant there,
56 |55 |00:04:55 ~-~-> 00:05:00 |which will be that, and then the high so what are these? Right here? Right
57 |56 |00:05:01 ~-~-> 00:05:05 |relative equal highs. Right isn't qualified by having a lower one to the
58 |57 |00:05:05 ~-~-> 00:05:13 |right than that one here. Yes. So buy side sitting at 98 73.3, that's in
59 |58 |00:05:13 ~-~-> 00:05:15 |striking distance for Dollar Index.
60 |59 |00:05:20 ~-~-> 00:05:24 |Right? Euro, dollar. This maybe just fell right out of bed, didn't it?
61 |60 |00:05:24 ~-~-> 00:05:28 |Inversion fair value gap. We covered that the other day, and we have a gap
62 |61 |00:05:28 ~-~-> 00:05:32 |here, which is a bullish fair value gap. I'm not going to change the color in
63 |62 |00:05:32 ~-~-> 00:05:35 |this, because I don't want to confuse you with these two here, but this
64 |63 |00:05:35 ~-~-> 00:05:42 |changes its state to a premium array to it's going to be what it changes from a
65 |64 |00:05:42 ~-~-> 00:05:46 |busy that would be bullish once it trades down into it, like it did here,
66 |65 |00:05:46 ~-~-> 00:05:50 |but if it trades down through it like it did yesterday, this becomes an inversion
67 |66 |00:05:50 ~-~-> 00:05:55 |fair value gap. Okay, so it's going to act as a reversal of what we expected.
68 |67 |00:05:55 ~-~-> 00:05:58 |And no, that's not my smoke detector. In case you heard that, beep, beep. I have
69 |68 |00:05:58 ~-~-> 00:06:01 |a perimeter alarm that lets me know when my puppies are trying to get into an
70 |69 |00:06:01 ~-~-> 00:06:04 |area house I don't want them in. Them in and the batteries are dying, so I got to
71 |70 |00:06:04 ~-~-> 00:06:10 |change them all right? So the market creates this run up into here London,
72 |71 |00:06:10 ~-~-> 00:06:14 |London kill zone again, like in dollar index was kind of like lethargic, wasn't
73 |72 |00:06:14 ~-~-> 00:06:18 |doing all that much. And then New York session, we came alive. We had a
74 |73 |00:06:18 ~-~-> 00:06:22 |breakaway gap, bearish, fair value gap. We traded up into that. Here's your Judo
75 |74 |00:06:22 ~-~-> 00:06:27 |swing during New York session. Break lower order block that's bears change
76 |75 |00:06:27 ~-~-> 00:06:31 |into state delivery. This candlestick here to open big, precipitous drop.
77 |76 |00:06:31 ~-~-> 00:06:37 |Lower trades down into the discount wick on this candlestick here, you can see it
78 |77 |00:06:37 ~-~-> 00:06:45 |at 1.16945 that's this lot more here, and it creates a measuring gap and a
79 |78 |00:06:45 ~-~-> 00:06:51 |breaker. So we have swing high, low, higher, high. That's a bearish breaker.
80 |79 |00:06:51 ~-~-> 00:06:54 |We trade up into it several times. Look at the wicks. This will allow the due to
81 |80 |00:06:54 ~-~-> 00:06:59 |damage, and then we break lower. We have a small, little fair value gap. It's not
82 |81 |00:07:00 ~-~-> 00:07:03 |enough room for me to annotate, but it would be a fair, bearish fairbag out
83 |82 |00:07:03 ~-~-> 00:07:08 |there, and we have an inversion fair value gap there, trades up into it,
84 |83 |00:07:08 ~-~-> 00:07:13 |there perfectly, and then drops lower into the London close, trading below the
85 |84 |00:07:13 ~-~-> 00:07:23 |low of that discount wick. Now I'm going to show you this discount wick, where I
86 |85 |00:07:23 ~-~-> 00:07:28 |believe that we may be requiring attention to so these levels here, you
87 |86 |00:07:28 ~-~-> 00:07:35 |want to have them on your chart as well. You can look at this one here, the
88 |87 |00:07:35 ~-~-> 00:07:40 |longest, one lower. But don't disregard this one. It's important you have that
89 |88 |00:07:40 ~-~-> 00:07:49 |one, okay, POUND DOLLAR or cable. Same thing here. We had a bearish fair value
90 |89 |00:07:49 ~-~-> 00:07:56 |gap, reclaimed, reclaimed delivered from yesterday, and then the discount wick
91 |90 |00:07:56 ~-~-> 00:07:59 |here, and then we have a discount wick there, and then we have a bullish fair
92 |91 |00:07:59 ~-~-> 00:08:03 |value cap. It traded down to and I put the gradient levels on the bullish
93 |92 |00:08:03 ~-~-> 00:08:06 |repair value gap. So just to pay attention, you know what we're looking
94 |93 |00:08:06 ~-~-> 00:08:10 |at over here. This is the daily range for today. On Thursday. You can see how
95 |94 |00:08:10 ~-~-> 00:08:21 |we traded up into the upper quadrant of this one here, at 1.34650 right there,
96 |95 |00:08:23 ~-~-> 00:08:27 |fair value gap trades up in bodies respecting it, and it's also the lower
97 |96 |00:08:27 ~-~-> 00:08:36 |quadrant of that count wick. We break lower after another, return up in with
98 |97 |00:08:36 ~-~-> 00:08:40 |that fair value gap, then we have a breakaway gap. Fair value gap trade up
99 |98 |00:08:40 ~-~-> 00:08:44 |into it there, which is institutional order, flow entry drill, and it happens
100 |99 |00:08:44 ~-~-> 00:08:49 |to land directly on consequent encroachment of this discount link
101 |100 |00:08:51 ~-~-> 00:08:55 |breaks aggressively. Now we have a measuring gap about halfway what we're
102 |101 |00:08:55 ~-~-> 00:09:01 |expecting to trade down to that bullish fair value gap over here trades into a
103 |102 |00:09:01 ~-~-> 00:09:07 |city which is a bearish fair value fair bag out there, discount wick graded that
104 |103 |00:09:07 ~-~-> 00:09:13 |trades up into that shoots it with the the wick only not the body into this
105 |104 |00:09:13 ~-~-> 00:09:17 |bearish fair value gap. And we have a small, little fair bag out there, bodies
106 |105 |00:09:17 ~-~-> 00:09:20 |respecting it. Wicks are allowed to trade outside of it. And then we have
107 |106 |00:09:20 ~-~-> 00:09:24 |another little fair value gap there, digs into that bullish fair value gap in
108 |107 |00:09:24 ~-~-> 00:09:29 |blue, and the bodies respect this fair value gap and sells off and trades just
109 |108 |00:09:29 ~-~-> 00:09:34 |short right before it gets to that little low down here. So it was like one
110 |109 |00:09:34 ~-~-> 00:09:39 |tick or so away from that. That's very, very close for government work, right?
111 |110 |00:09:39 ~-~-> 00:09:45 |So you can see how having an understanding of reading gaps that are
112 |111 |00:09:45 ~-~-> 00:09:51 |viewed in your candlestick as a wick above or below a candlestick. Steve
113 |112 |00:09:51 ~-~-> 00:09:55 |Nielsen did a lot of stuff, writing about candlesticks and whatnot, and I do
114 |113 |00:09:55 ~-~-> 00:09:59 |not subscribe to any of the stuff he wrote about in a disrespect to him, but
115 |114 |00:09:59 ~-~-> 00:10:03 |I. If you're gonna look at candlesticks this. This is the real science behind
116 |115 |00:10:03 ~-~-> 00:10:06 |it, because you can really read real institutional order flow, real order
117 |116 |00:10:06 ~-~-> 00:10:10 |flow. And you don't need to worry about how many contracts somebody wants to buy
118 |117 |00:10:10 ~-~-> 00:10:14 |or sell above or below the marketplace, because the number of those contracts
119 |118 |00:10:14 ~-~-> 00:10:18 |absolutely has no bearing on where the market's gonna go. Zero has zero bearing
120 |119 |00:10:18 ~-~-> 00:10:22 |on how the market's gonna go. You need to know where it's likely to reach for
121 |120 |00:10:22 ~-~-> 00:10:26 |in a direction, and then look for key levels like this, like I'm teaching you
122 |121 |00:10:26 ~-~-> 00:10:30 |here. Over the last two weeks, I've given you insights about reading price
123 |122 |00:10:30 ~-~-> 00:10:34 |action that nobody on this planet has ever talked about. I mean, I've talked
124 |123 |00:10:34 ~-~-> 00:10:40 |about it with my kids, but I've never shared it to the degree that I'm doing
125 |124 |00:10:40 ~-~-> 00:10:44 |here in the last two weeks, and you can see how it overlaps with my PD arrays
126 |125 |00:10:44 ~-~-> 00:10:49 |like perfectly. And by having that overlapping and confluence, it just
127 |126 |00:10:49 ~-~-> 00:10:54 |makes the PD arrays stand out on your chart, and that means that you know
128 |127 |00:10:54 ~-~-> 00:10:56 |which one to use now going forward.
129 |128 |00:11:06 ~-~-> 00:11:09 |Hi, folks, hope you enjoyed this one, hope you got something out of it, and
130 |129 |00:11:09 ~-~-> 00:11:13 |thank you for your continued interest, and I will talk to you again tomorrow.
131 |130 |00:11:13 ~-~-> 00:11:16 |Lord willing until next time. Be safe.