ICT YT - 2025-06-16 - 2025 Lecture Series - Keys To Success In Troubled Markets 06-16-2025
Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-09-27 14:15
1 | 00:00:02 --> 00:00:10 | ICT: How you doing, folks, the NASDAQ June contract we're rolling out of that. |
2 | 00:00:11 --> 00:00:15 | So every time we talk about NASDAQ after this presentation here, it will be |
3 | 00:00:15 --> 00:00:21 | focusing on the September 2025, delivery contract, month in queue, and if I |
4 | 00:00:21 --> 00:00:28 | happen to talk about the ES or Dow, they would be also the September contract for |
5 | 00:00:28 --> 00:00:34 | 2025 All right, so we're looking at the daily chart for NASDAQ, and I want to |
6 | 00:00:34 --> 00:00:40 | talk a little bit about the keys to success trading troubled markets. And a |
7 | 00:00:40 --> 00:00:46 | troubled market is obviously what we're engaging right now. And before we get |
8 | 00:00:46 --> 00:00:49 | into it, obviously, this weekend, we just had a whole lot of stuff happened. |
9 | 00:00:49 --> 00:00:53 | I told you this one for the history books. I told you we'd probably be |
10 | 00:00:53 --> 00:00:59 | seeing some exchanges between two countries, and it's been pretty fierce. |
11 | 00:01:00 --> 00:01:05 | So my heart goes out to to both countries and the innocent people that |
12 | 00:01:05 --> 00:01:09 | are being affected by it. But there's no winners in |
13 | 00:01:09 --> 00:01:13 | wars, folks. It's unfortunate. It's there's loss on both both |
14 | 00:01:13 --> 00:01:23 | sides. So we're looking at the 21st of February at city that down close candle |
15 | 00:01:23 --> 00:01:32 | here. And then we have this February 24 tippy, and I have that graded so it has |
16 | 00:01:32 --> 00:01:38 | the Fibonacci levels on it. And this is just simply highlighted an upside target |
17 | 00:01:38 --> 00:01:46 | that we had, and you clearly see that we did, in fact, hit it. Now, what is a |
18 | 00:01:46 --> 00:01:53 | troubled market? Well, the way I define it, it's where the market just has a |
19 | 00:01:53 --> 00:01:59 | unwillingness to go higher or lower, and it starts sharing the previous candles |
20 | 00:01:59 --> 00:02:06 | or bars ranges, and that's what we're seeing here. Okay, look at basically all |
21 | 00:02:06 --> 00:02:13 | of this price action on this wick, dropped down, then rallied up, came back |
22 | 00:02:13 --> 00:02:20 | in consequence of this candlesticks. Discount wick rallied up back inside of |
23 | 00:02:21 --> 00:02:29 | the 24th of February, Sibi and trade up into 21st daily city broke back down, |
24 | 00:02:29 --> 00:02:34 | back into a fair value gap on the daily chart that's formed on the third of June |
25 | 00:02:34 --> 00:02:39 | 2025, and we opened right at the low of that see that and came right back up to |
26 | 00:02:39 --> 00:02:46 | consequent encroachment of the Sibi of February, 24 2025, and that's again, |
27 | 00:02:47 --> 00:02:52 | this single self, unbalanced spot inefficiency. Now some of you may be |
28 | 00:02:52 --> 00:02:54 | looking at this and saying, Why are you making such a big deal about that? Well, |
29 | 00:02:54 --> 00:03:05 | if you recall, I was giving guidance on NASDAQ that we would be bullish, looking |
30 | 00:03:05 --> 00:03:15 | for prices to reach up into this gap when we were down here. And it round up, |
31 | 00:03:15 --> 00:03:19 | came back down in I said this would be an ideal scenario if it went below that |
32 | 00:03:19 --> 00:03:22 | low institutional referral entry drill, which is what we're seeing here. And it |
33 | 00:03:22 --> 00:03:26 | round and it rallied up and used this down close can as an order block. It |
34 | 00:03:27 --> 00:03:31 | just kept driving up into this inefficiency with the extreme running up |
35 | 00:03:31 --> 00:03:36 | into this gap there. But it failed to get the constant crone on that notice |
36 | 00:03:36 --> 00:03:43 | that long term, without trying to pick a top I'm using these highs here as a |
37 | 00:03:43 --> 00:03:47 | relative equal high draw on liquidity daily chart. So I'm I'm not trying to |
38 | 00:03:47 --> 00:03:52 | pick a top. I'm still focusing on the likelihood that it could continuously |
39 | 00:03:52 --> 00:03:58 | grind higher, even though it is difficult to, you know, position longer |
40 | 00:03:58 --> 00:04:03 | term and put a reasonable stop loss in there without taking exorbitant risk. |
41 | 00:04:03 --> 00:04:09 | And the gap risk is such enormous concern right now because of all the |
42 | 00:04:09 --> 00:04:15 | things that's going on over there in the Middle East and domestically here in the |
43 | 00:04:15 --> 00:04:18 | United States. So there's a lot of stuff going on. I'm not going to you know, |
44 | 00:04:18 --> 00:04:25 | belabor the topics and rehashing, recover all that stuff I mentioned in |
45 | 00:04:25 --> 00:04:33 | posts on Twitter or X, they call it now on any space I did over there. So we're |
46 | 00:04:34 --> 00:04:40 | going to focus on these quadrant levels and ignore now. Here's the thing, we |
47 | 00:04:41 --> 00:04:47 | clearly would agree that this swing low is obvious. Okay, so that right there, |
48 | 00:04:47 --> 00:05:08 | and I'm going to make that large and maximize its width. Okay, and this right |
49 | 00:05:08 --> 00:05:17 | there. So there are two significant pools of liquidity, near term buy side, |
50 | 00:05:18 --> 00:05:22 | near term sell side. Now there are minor buy side liquidity pools, for instance, |
51 | 00:05:22 --> 00:05:30 | the one we have here on June, 6 and 13th of June, which we didn't breach that so |
52 | 00:05:30 --> 00:05:35 | far this week, we opened at the low of the fair value gap there, which is |
53 | 00:05:35 --> 00:05:39 | probably random trading up into consequent encroachment of that gap |
54 | 00:05:39 --> 00:05:47 | right here. Okay, so for the sake of keeping track of it, I'm going to show |
55 | 00:05:47 --> 00:06:01 | you that range and highlight it in something like, let's, let's use a very, |
56 | 00:06:01 --> 00:06:09 | very light green. That way you'll know what I'm referring to based on the daily |
57 | 00:06:09 --> 00:06:13 | chart. And these levels here. Okay, so all these levels are quadrants. This is |
58 | 00:06:13 --> 00:06:18 | the low, the lowest quadrant, consequent encroachment midpoint, upper quadrant |
59 | 00:06:19 --> 00:06:25 | and the high of this individual clear value gap, which is a city we did the |
60 | 00:06:25 --> 00:06:29 | damage of running up into this gap there, but failed to get to consequent |
61 | 00:06:29 --> 00:06:34 | encouragement. So that means it could, I'm not saying it will. I'm not saying |
62 | 00:06:34 --> 00:06:42 | that it is, but it could have topped on a short term, and then make, might we |
63 | 00:06:42 --> 00:06:49 | see they run into the sell side here, that low and then under here, and maybe |
64 | 00:06:49 --> 00:06:54 | so much as a return back down in here and fix some of this inefficiency in |
65 | 00:06:54 --> 00:07:00 | this bicycle mount cell side efficiency while leaving this high intact. It's on |
66 | 00:07:00 --> 00:07:04 | the table, but I'm not pressing it hard. In other words, I'm not trying to sell |
67 | 00:07:04 --> 00:07:09 | the idea to you as a viewer or a student that's tape reading with me, because |
68 | 00:07:09 --> 00:07:14 | it's not trade advice for you folks. Okay, you know, despite the the accuracy |
69 | 00:07:14 --> 00:07:19 | what you see me sharing and calling for an analysis, do not use what I'm talking |
70 | 00:07:19 --> 00:07:24 | about here as trade advice. Okay, obviously it's, it's meant to inspire |
71 | 00:07:24 --> 00:07:28 | you to watch price action, to get encouraged by the topics and subject |
72 | 00:07:28 --> 00:07:34 | matter I teach on this channel and on my x channel. But just remember the risks |
73 | 00:07:34 --> 00:07:41 | are exorbitant right now, huge, huge, off the charts level type of risk. So |
74 | 00:07:41 --> 00:07:46 | just be mindful that. So now that we have all this lipstick on the chart, I'm |
75 | 00:07:46 --> 00:07:58 | going to drop down into a one minute chart. Okay, and this morning, I was |
76 | 00:07:58 --> 00:08:04 | watching the consequent encouragement level of actually, I just realized I |
77 | 00:08:04 --> 00:08:10 | didn't. Let's go back into the daily chart. I gotta highlight this and make |
78 | 00:08:10 --> 00:08:18 | sure it shows up in the lower time frames. All right, so let's transport |
79 | 00:08:18 --> 00:08:20 | ourselves right back down into the one minute |
80 | 00:08:26 --> 00:08:35 | chart that a shape here. ICT got to get back into the rhythm, all right. So we |
81 | 00:08:35 --> 00:08:43 | have the consequent encroachment level of that February 24 daily city, and |
82 | 00:08:44 --> 00:08:49 | that's the upper quadrant, and then it's the high see how we're working in the |
83 | 00:08:49 --> 00:08:53 | lower half. So in the lower half, and you're going to hear my puppy snoring, |
84 | 00:08:53 --> 00:09:00 | Miss Piper over there. I'm in such a holly jolly mood. I'm watching this |
85 | 00:09:00 --> 00:09:06 | while we're doing this video, the which is gonna be useless to you, but it's |
86 | 00:09:06 --> 00:09:13 | just one of those things. I'm like a dog looking at squirrels. Squirrel so it |
87 | 00:09:13 --> 00:09:16 | runs up into a several times, leaves these relative equal highs. It punches |
88 | 00:09:16 --> 00:09:21 | through, it breaks down, doesn't take out the swing low. Notice that it comes |
89 | 00:09:21 --> 00:09:25 | back down into what you'll see when we get into a large, even lower time frame |
90 | 00:09:25 --> 00:09:30 | on the 32nd chart. There's a volume imbalance right in here. Then it rallies |
91 | 00:09:30 --> 00:09:35 | up once more, leaves the high intact, gives a fake bull flag, okay? Because |
92 | 00:09:35 --> 00:09:39 | bull flags, you know, or nice little retail traps when you incorporate them |
93 | 00:09:39 --> 00:09:42 | with an algorithmic price level, like the consequent encroachment level of |
94 | 00:09:42 --> 00:09:48 | that February, 24 2025 which I have been beating to death for weeks for you to |
95 | 00:09:48 --> 00:09:56 | watch. Study it when you're when you're using analysis concepts from the retail |
96 | 00:09:56 --> 00:10:04 | collection, you're going to. Is a lot of frustration right now, because the |
97 | 00:10:04 --> 00:10:11 | market is being very fickle, meaning that it's allowing for sentiment to |
98 | 00:10:11 --> 00:10:16 | build up, because there's a lot of things going on around the world, and |
99 | 00:10:16 --> 00:10:20 | the next move that we see is probably going to be very significant, whether it |
100 | 00:10:20 --> 00:10:24 | be up or down, it's going to be significant. And the longer they keep |
101 | 00:10:24 --> 00:10:31 | the market in this just, you know, it's not necessarily a range bound market, |
102 | 00:10:31 --> 00:10:40 | but it's staying inside of a chaotic portion of price action. So the way I |
103 | 00:10:40 --> 00:10:44 | define that is, it's time distortion. Okay, so it's they're holding the market |
104 | 00:10:44 --> 00:10:52 | in a holding pattern to afford traders time to build a bias, build a narrative |
105 | 00:10:52 --> 00:10:56 | around what they think the market's going to do, because there's a lot of |
106 | 00:10:56 --> 00:11:02 | risk right now, and large money isn't just dog piling it and pouring money |
107 | 00:11:02 --> 00:11:07 | into it. So they're going to let the market stay inside this chaotic price |
108 | 00:11:07 --> 00:11:12 | consolidation and then boom, once they rip it out of it higher or lower, that |
109 | 00:11:12 --> 00:11:17 | will encourage large, deeper pockets to participate. Right now they're not |
110 | 00:11:17 --> 00:11:21 | participating. So to be a trader in this environment, you have to be very, very |
111 | 00:11:21 --> 00:11:27 | nimble. Okay, so the keys to success in a troubled market is stop thinking |
112 | 00:11:27 --> 00:11:32 | classic Support Resistance. Okay, stop doing that. I'm not a proponent of it |
113 | 00:11:32 --> 00:11:36 | anyway, but in these environments, you have to think differently, and you got |
114 | 00:11:36 --> 00:11:42 | to think outside the box. So by having a old array, like I mentioned, February 24 |
115 | 00:11:43 --> 00:11:47 | of 2025, there's no denying the fact that I've keyed your attention up to |
116 | 00:11:47 --> 00:11:52 | that very individual day and the context. You have to go through all the |
117 | 00:11:52 --> 00:11:56 | videos since I first mentioned that, you know, a couple months ago, so you can |
118 | 00:11:56 --> 00:12:00 | track the narrative as to how I used it, and I'm going to give you a little bit |
119 | 00:12:00 --> 00:12:05 | better insight with it today, when you have a range like that, where you can |
120 | 00:12:05 --> 00:12:09 | see the consequence levels, this blue level here, and we're having a difficult |
121 | 00:12:09 --> 00:12:13 | time getting above the midpoint, up in the upper half. So if the market's |
122 | 00:12:13 --> 00:12:17 | bearish, you're going to see signatures like that. And then if it's going to be |
123 | 00:12:17 --> 00:12:21 | bearish, and it's reacting off the constant encroachment level, where could |
124 | 00:12:21 --> 00:12:28 | it trade down to the next level, which is the lower quadrant level? Well, |
125 | 00:12:28 --> 00:12:35 | because the market's fickle, and it's being held in a range where eyes and |
126 | 00:12:35 --> 00:12:42 | shorts are struggling to find the courage to hold on to them when the |
127 | 00:12:42 --> 00:12:47 | market finally does break below this swing low and this swing low, right |
128 | 00:12:47 --> 00:12:53 | there, that's a shift in market structure. So now anything in here can |
129 | 00:12:53 --> 00:12:58 | be used as it's a premium array to get short and in aiming for low hanging |
130 | 00:12:58 --> 00:13:04 | fruit objectives, which would be something like this low, that gap right |
131 | 00:13:04 --> 00:13:10 | there. That's an actual gap or liquidity void. That low here, that low. Or if you |
132 | 00:13:10 --> 00:13:14 | have the brass, the hold for it, the lower quadrant level, and you can see it |
133 | 00:13:14 --> 00:13:20 | only gave you one opportunity right there, and then it comes back up, fails |
134 | 00:13:20 --> 00:13:25 | to go lower. Rejection block lowest down close price rallies up, buy side, |
135 | 00:13:25 --> 00:13:29 | amount, sell side and efficiency. Add the volume imbalance there, trades down |
136 | 00:13:29 --> 00:13:37 | into it. Here, rallies up, retrace it back down into the gap in here it's |
137 | 00:13:37 --> 00:13:42 | volume imbalance trades down to it. Consequent encroachment of that volume |
138 | 00:13:42 --> 00:13:49 | of balance, then rallies up small little gap here trades to the high, leaves this |
139 | 00:13:49 --> 00:13:58 | high intact. Here drops What's that minor buy side drops back down in this |
140 | 00:13:58 --> 00:14:05 | gap, complete closure. Rallies once more bullish fair value gap trade. So there |
141 | 00:14:07 --> 00:14:12 | extrapolated run to the upside, minor buy side taken, rallies up and just fall |
142 | 00:14:12 --> 00:14:19 | short of the consequent correction level of that February, 24 2025 daily city in |
143 | 00:14:19 --> 00:14:26 | here when the market broke. Structure here. There's a volume imbalance when we |
144 | 00:14:26 --> 00:14:39 | drop into the 32nd chart there, and it's that low also. So when the market broke |
145 | 00:14:39 --> 00:14:45 | lower, premium array would be in here. Now, premium relative to what Michael |
146 | 00:14:45 --> 00:14:49 | that that level down here. So let's look at this way, because there's a lot of |
147 | 00:14:49 --> 00:14:56 | people think they understand my theory of discount and premium. They don't |
148 | 00:14:56 --> 00:15:03 | really. But the. This breaking structure. Soon as that breaking |
149 | 00:15:03 --> 00:15:09 | structure occurs, right here? Well, this one, if you're looking at the one minute |
150 | 00:15:11 --> 00:15:16 | chart, this breaking structure right there. If you anchor it's at low, down |
151 | 00:15:16 --> 00:15:25 | to that level right there. Anything at this level or higher is a premium for |
152 | 00:15:25 --> 00:15:29 | me. The way I use that is, if there is a setup that I can be getting short in, |
153 | 00:15:32 --> 00:15:39 | and I afford myself at least 15 handles and then NASDAQ, if I can't get |
154 | 00:15:39 --> 00:15:43 | comfortably 15 handles out of it with spread considered on both sides, then |
155 | 00:15:43 --> 00:15:49 | I'm not going to take the trade. So you can see that in here, it affords you, if |
156 | 00:15:49 --> 00:15:55 | you're up here trading around the 70s, or if we're going to be conservative, |
157 | 00:15:55 --> 00:16:04 | the 60 sevens to the 50 twos in that range that can afford you a opportunity |
158 | 00:16:04 --> 00:16:12 | to get 20 handles, or net 15 with this, with the slippage and spread and or the |
159 | 00:16:12 --> 00:16:20 | commission costs per contract on a one minute chart inside This area also was a |
160 | 00:16:20 --> 00:16:31 | inversion fair value gap here, right there, and then the liquidity below |
161 | 00:16:31 --> 00:16:38 | there being taken. But after failing to operate as a retail bull flag with the |
162 | 00:16:38 --> 00:16:42 | level I've been telling you to watch, which is consequence of February 24 Daly |
163 | 00:16:42 --> 00:16:49 | City, and this inefficiency here, any retracement up in we want to see it stay |
164 | 00:16:49 --> 00:16:55 | below the half way point. So your stop loss would be anywhere in here or one |
165 | 00:16:55 --> 00:17:00 | tick or two above the midpoint, because we want to see it rotate lower and it |
166 | 00:17:00 --> 00:17:04 | rallies up, trades into it there, and then breaks lower. Now I have, I have PD |
167 | 00:17:04 --> 00:17:10 | arrays, and I know that you guys are gonna go do stuff about this, but I have |
168 | 00:17:10 --> 00:17:15 | PD arrays that afford me very precise things, but I'm not going to teach them |
169 | 00:17:15 --> 00:17:21 | to you. But some of you ask a lot of times like, you know, how do you trust |
170 | 00:17:21 --> 00:17:26 | putting your stop loss at that level where it's just one tick away and it'll |
171 | 00:17:26 --> 00:17:30 | trade right back to it just by one tick and fail to hit the stop loss and then |
172 | 00:17:30 --> 00:17:33 | run away. You've seen hundreds and hundreds of me, examples of me doing |
173 | 00:17:33 --> 00:17:40 | that, both in forex and also in futures contracts. So one of the things that |
174 | 00:17:41 --> 00:17:46 | allows me to do that is I this is a PDA ray that I'm not going to teach you, but |
175 | 00:17:46 --> 00:17:53 | it is, unfortunately, one of those best kept secret type things. This is the |
176 | 00:17:53 --> 00:17:59 | range that I'm grading, and it's this candle is high, and this candles low, |
177 | 00:17:59 --> 00:18:03 | the lower quadrant, if I'm bearish, I want to see it stay below the midpoint |
178 | 00:18:03 --> 00:18:06 | of that one minute in balance or sell side imbalance by sound |
179 | 00:18:08 --> 00:18:11 | efficiency in the 32nd chart. And this is not to teach you anything. I'm just |
180 | 00:18:12 --> 00:18:16 | answering a question, but causing more questions that come up, which is going |
181 | 00:18:16 --> 00:18:19 | to frustrate some of you. But as I said many times, there's a lot of things I'm |
182 | 00:18:19 --> 00:18:23 | guarding I will never teach you. Can put a gun to my head. I'm never going to |
183 | 00:18:23 --> 00:18:26 | teach it to you. It's not going to happen. It's for my family members. It's |
184 | 00:18:26 --> 00:18:31 | for my children. And now, hello, I'm going to be a grandfather. Cody and his |
185 | 00:18:31 --> 00:18:38 | wife informed me yesterday for father's day that I'm going to be a pop pop. So |
186 | 00:18:38 --> 00:18:42 | I'm so excited. I can't believe it. It's like the days finally here, my wife and |
187 | 00:18:42 --> 00:18:46 | I are static, so I kind of felt something was coming, like I just knew |
188 | 00:18:46 --> 00:18:51 | something really was brewing. And when they came over here, he gave me a gift |
189 | 00:18:51 --> 00:18:56 | with his printer, and as I picked it up, it was rattling. It was something in the |
190 | 00:18:56 --> 00:19:00 | back of it, and it was just like a little 3d printed thing. Guess Who's |
191 | 00:19:00 --> 00:19:07 | Coming, and the daughter's name or son's name was shared on it, and I'm not going |
192 | 00:19:07 --> 00:19:15 | to give that information out. It's too private. But the point is, these types |
193 | 00:19:15 --> 00:19:19 | of things I guard, and it's not meant it's too good for the public. It's |
194 | 00:19:19 --> 00:19:22 | absolutely too good for the public. I would never put a price tag on it and |
195 | 00:19:22 --> 00:19:26 | teach it, and I would never share it with anybody outside my family. But like |
196 | 00:19:26 --> 00:19:30 | I said, I have 81 of these things. But if you look the retracement up in, look |
197 | 00:19:30 --> 00:19:34 | at the high of that candlestick right there on the 32nd chart. That's supposed |
198 | 00:19:34 --> 00:19:43 | to be noise Goldman, it is 21,777.00 that's the high and that's also the |
199 | 00:19:43 --> 00:19:49 | lower quadrant level right there to tick 21,007, seven, 7.00, so my stop loss can |
200 | 00:19:49 --> 00:19:54 | be one to two ticks above that, and that's how I'm doing a lot of the things |
201 | 00:19:54 --> 00:19:58 | that you see me do, stop loss, placement, management, like to that |
202 | 00:19:58 --> 00:20:02 | degree, where I'm doing it, where it's. Olympic level. I'm never gonna I'm never |
203 | 00:20:02 --> 00:20:06 | gonna teach that to any of my students. That's this too good. It's not |
204 | 00:20:06 --> 00:20:11 | necessary, and I've already taught how to manage a position with a proper stop |
205 | 00:20:11 --> 00:20:17 | loss. That's reasonable. Now, quickly, you can use these ideas. You know, if |
206 | 00:20:17 --> 00:20:19 | it's something you understand, but you're never gonna understand because |
207 | 00:20:19 --> 00:20:22 | I'm not gonna teach it to you, and I know this is gonna really piss people. |
208 | 00:20:22 --> 00:20:25 | Really piss people off and it's going to make them mad, but I've already warned |
209 | 00:20:25 --> 00:20:30 | you that there's some things that I'm not going to share. I'm not going to |
210 | 00:20:30 --> 00:20:35 | teach it to you. Okay, I'm not going to, but to be fair to the individuals that |
211 | 00:20:35 --> 00:20:40 | genuinely have a concern for how I place my stop losses and manage them so Ultra |
212 | 00:20:40 --> 00:20:44 | tight. It's these types of things behind the scenes that I'm never going to |
213 | 00:20:44 --> 00:20:50 | articulate or make available, because my stuff has already been adulterated to |
214 | 00:20:50 --> 00:20:54 | degree where it's absolutely being abused by people that don't know how to |
215 | 00:20:54 --> 00:20:58 | trade with it and are selling mentorships and adding to it, saying |
216 | 00:20:58 --> 00:21:02 | that this is stuff that he's hiding. He didn't. He didn't teach this in his |
217 | 00:21:02 --> 00:21:06 | YouTube channel, but it's really in the secret parts of his paid membership and |
218 | 00:21:06 --> 00:21:09 | all stuff that's all bullshit. Like, I promise you, that's bullshit. They're |
219 | 00:21:09 --> 00:21:15 | just trying to rook you to get money from you, these types of things that I'm |
220 | 00:21:15 --> 00:21:19 | showing you here, and many more of them this, and this ain't even all this is |
221 | 00:21:19 --> 00:21:23 | nothing. Like, this is absolutely nothing. But when I'm managing stop |
222 | 00:21:23 --> 00:21:27 | loss, this is one type of PD array that I use, even though you think you might |
223 | 00:21:27 --> 00:21:31 | see it might be figuring it out, and you're going to come out and have your |
224 | 00:21:31 --> 00:21:34 | own little interpretation of this, you're going to be wrong, I promise you. |
225 | 00:21:34 --> 00:21:40 | And if you, if you don't believe me, have them trade with it in something |
226 | 00:21:40 --> 00:21:47 | like, you know, like a live account like that. So the the reason why I cover that |
227 | 00:21:47 --> 00:21:50 | stuff up, folks, is because I'm not trying to push you into a brokerage |
228 | 00:21:50 --> 00:21:55 | firm. I'm not selling the attention to a specific broker. I don't get any |
229 | 00:21:55 --> 00:21:59 | relationship kickbacks from them, okay? But that's why I don't show and frankly, |
230 | 00:21:59 --> 00:22:03 | it's none of your fucking business who I trade with that. And that's the that's |
231 | 00:22:03 --> 00:22:08 | the reality of it all. Okay, so to keep things germane into price action only |
232 | 00:22:08 --> 00:22:12 | when I show my examples, when I show my executions, when I show my management or |
233 | 00:22:12 --> 00:22:17 | analysis, and you see these things down here covered up, it's number one, it's |
234 | 00:22:17 --> 00:22:24 | for decency, it's for privacy. And two, it's none of your damn business. Okay? |
235 | 00:22:24 --> 00:22:27 | If you want to trade with the brokerage firm that I'm trading with, you've made |
236 | 00:22:27 --> 00:22:31 | that decision on your own. Okay? You're not going to get me telling you and |
237 | 00:22:31 --> 00:22:33 | twisting your arm. You better go with this broker, because they're better than |
238 | 00:22:33 --> 00:22:38 | everybody else. Every broker sucks. Every single broker sucks. So there you |
239 | 00:22:38 --> 00:22:41 | go. I'm not I'm not with anybody. I don't have any affiliate programs, |
240 | 00:22:41 --> 00:22:47 | period. But with all that stuff out of the way and now explaining, you know why |
241 | 00:22:47 --> 00:22:53 | sometimes my stop losses are ultra precise, that I felt comfortable that by |
242 | 00:22:53 --> 00:23:01 | entering inside of the volume imbalance here, which is right there, which is |
243 | 00:23:01 --> 00:23:06 | also factoring in that low the drawdown should be limited to worst case |
244 | 00:23:06 --> 00:23:11 | scenario, consequent encroachment of that one minute siby That's in this |
245 | 00:23:11 --> 00:23:16 | shaded area here, but trimming that back down to a 32nd chart, that retracement |
246 | 00:23:16 --> 00:23:20 | up in here to the lower quadrant, two ticks above that, which is usually about |
247 | 00:23:20 --> 00:23:24 | what I have if I Have if I have a level I have in mind that I want to see it not |
248 | 00:23:24 --> 00:23:29 | breach, then I'm usually going two ticks above whatever that level is, or below |
249 | 00:23:30 --> 00:23:35 | if I'm long. So the factor of that one minute siby, let's go back to our one |
250 | 00:23:35 --> 00:23:36 | minute chart. |
251 | 00:23:42 --> 00:23:50 | I'm again, monthly, one minute chart. This cell set a balance by seven |
252 | 00:23:50 --> 00:23:55 | efficiency. It's that one single down, closed candle right there, framing it by |
253 | 00:23:55 --> 00:24:02 | this. Candles high, that candles low. So entering here, the retracement up in |
254 | 00:24:02 --> 00:24:08 | here. I wanted to add two more contracts, but it just it didn't give me |
255 | 00:24:08 --> 00:24:14 | a chance. I mean, these are 32nd fluctuations on very small time frames. |
256 | 00:24:14 --> 00:24:17 | Even though the limit looks like it's it's hanging out there for a long, long |
257 | 00:24:17 --> 00:24:23 | time. It's not there very long so the time I'm watching it, and my brain to |
258 | 00:24:23 --> 00:24:29 | say, Okay, I'll take it there, and then reaction time that's required to do it. |
259 | 00:24:29 --> 00:24:34 | It's kind of like driving a car or a tractor trailer. Well, between the two, |
260 | 00:24:34 --> 00:24:37 | the reaction time and stopping time by you, seeing something as a hazard in |
261 | 00:24:37 --> 00:24:42 | front of you, driving your car with four wheels is quicker, versus someone that's |
262 | 00:24:42 --> 00:24:46 | driving a tractor trailer. They may see the same hazard too, but the reaction |
263 | 00:24:46 --> 00:24:49 | time of them putting their foot through the brake and then the brakes being |
264 | 00:24:49 --> 00:24:54 | applied, then slowing that vehicle down, is stark contrast between the two. Well, |
265 | 00:24:54 --> 00:24:59 | when you're using these very ultra short time frames, your reaction time is going |
266 | 00:24:59 --> 00:25:07 | to be. Be very, very skewed, and limit orders are ideal. But this morning, I |
267 | 00:25:07 --> 00:25:12 | was measuring volatility, and I was also measuring the order flow and liquidity |
268 | 00:25:12 --> 00:25:16 | of the June contract, because I wanted to see early on if I was going to use |
269 | 00:25:16 --> 00:25:21 | June for New York session, am or pm session, if I do any trading in it, or |
270 | 00:25:21 --> 00:25:25 | if I was going to roll over today for the September contract. And I already |
271 | 00:25:25 --> 00:25:29 | posted on X that I'm going to be trading with the September contract going |
272 | 00:25:29 --> 00:25:34 | forward. So this, this is the last time we look at this particular contract. So. |