Wiki source code of ICT YT - 2024-10-28 - ICT 2024 Mentorship - Lecture 47
Last modified by Drunk Monkey on 2025-09-27 13:42
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2 | |1 |00:01:00 ~-~-> 00:01:14 |ICT: Well, good afternoon, folks. If you guys could just give me a heads up on x, | ||
3 | |2 |00:01:14 ~-~-> 00:01:21 |if you follow me there, see me, five by five, you guys can hear me. I'll be | ||
4 | |3 |00:01:21 ~-~-> 00:01:29 |singing Celine Dion today, so that's what's on that docket. Acapella. I | ||
5 | |4 |00:01:40 ~-~-> 00:02:01 |here. All right, thank you, Jonathan. Jonathan Max Neil, thank you. Alrighty. | ||
6 | |5 |00:02:01 ~-~-> 00:02:10 |So right, so it's a little bit of a different schedule for us today. I | ||
7 | |6 |00:02:10 ~-~-> 00:02:14 |wanted to take advantage of the opportunity of showing you what I was | ||
8 | |7 |00:02:14 ~-~-> 00:02:19 |outlining last week. That way you can see that there is an advantage to | ||
9 | |8 |00:02:19 ~-~-> 00:02:25 |knowing what market profile you're in. Now I don't mean market profile in the | ||
10 | |9 |00:02:25 ~-~-> 00:02:29 |sense that it's the volume, overly on top of your chart. I'm talking about | ||
11 | |10 |00:02:29 ~-~-> 00:02:35 |that kind of like the schematic, the road map, the lay of the land, if you | ||
12 | |11 |00:02:35 ~-~-> 00:02:40 |will, how the market will behave. Let's say like that. It's not enough to have a | ||
13 | |12 |00:02:40 ~-~-> 00:02:45 |draw on liquidity. It's also, it's important for you to also have a | ||
14 | |13 |00:02:45 ~-~-> 00:02:50 |understanding of how the market will deliver price. And if we don't have a | ||
15 | |14 |00:02:53 ~-~-> 00:02:57 |acceptance to how the markets are electronic, electronically delivered | ||
16 | |15 |00:02:58 ~-~-> 00:03:03 |that that means it's AI, I mean, it's algorithmic, and that means when we do | ||
17 | |16 |00:03:03 ~-~-> 00:03:10 |our buying and selling, we're pretty much subservient to what that price | ||
18 | |17 |00:03:10 ~-~-> 00:03:15 |engine is doing. So if the engine on prices rallying higher relentlessly, and | ||
19 | |18 |00:03:15 ~-~-> 00:03:20 |it matters not how many people are coming in to short sell it. It doesn't | ||
20 | |19 |00:03:20 ~-~-> 00:03:23 |matter if there's a lot of buyers, it's just in a buy program just keeps going | ||
21 | |20 |00:03:23 ~-~-> 00:03:32 |higher, we're going to get filled based on that. And one of the advantages that | ||
22 | |21 |00:03:32 ~-~-> 00:03:38 |I had when I was coming up is to, number one, lose a lot of money doing things | ||
23 | |22 |00:03:38 ~-~-> 00:03:42 |incorrectly, and then finally, learning the lesson to look behind price and not | ||
24 | |23 |00:03:42 ~-~-> 00:03:47 |just simply say, Okay, I want to be a buyer because of this, or I want to be a | ||
25 | |24 |00:03:47 ~-~-> 00:03:52 |short seller because of that. I needed to know a lot of elements about time, | ||
26 | |25 |00:03:53 ~-~-> 00:03:57 |and I wanted to know what these conditions would look like, what | ||
27 | |26 |00:03:58 ~-~-> 00:04:04 |characteristics would they have that would repeat when I would go in and | ||
28 | |27 |00:04:04 ~-~-> 00:04:09 |expect the market to perform a certain way, and then it is denying me that | ||
29 | |28 |00:04:09 ~-~-> 00:04:15 |opportunity to see precision, timeliness, the explosiveness that I | ||
30 | |29 |00:04:15 ~-~-> 00:04:23 |would want to See in my short term trades. What characteristics were either | ||
31 | |30 |00:04:23 ~-~-> 00:04:26 |noticeable before going into that condition, and then not seeing it | ||
32 | |31 |00:04:26 ~-~-> 00:04:32 |realized in price action, and therefore losing or finding the opportunities | ||
33 | |32 |00:04:32 ~-~-> 00:04:38 |where these characteristics would not be present that would hinder my ability for | ||
34 | |33 |00:04:38 ~-~-> 00:04:45 |the trades that I would participate in to see profit. So differentiating the | ||
35 | |34 |00:04:45 ~-~-> 00:04:50 |market conditions between a low resistance liquidity condition, where | ||
36 | |35 |00:04:50 ~-~-> 00:04:56 |it's easy trading very fast runs easy, obvious levels for targets, obvious | ||
37 | |36 |00:04:56 ~-~-> 00:05:01 |level where your stop should be, and just a real fast. On two targets. That's | ||
38 | |37 |00:05:01 ~-~-> 00:05:07 |a real it's a real pleasant environment to trade in. But that environment, as | ||
39 | |38 |00:05:08 ~-~-> 00:05:13 |I've indicated many times, it's not an everyday instance. So low resistance | ||
40 | |39 |00:05:13 ~-~-> 00:05:19 |liquidity runs are not in every day, every session, delivery in price. So it | ||
41 | |40 |00:05:19 ~-~-> 00:05:25 |is my goal, basically, as as the educator, is to kind of counsel you to | ||
42 | |41 |00:05:25 ~-~-> 00:05:29 |look for these types of signatures and price actions that would lend well to | ||
43 | |42 |00:05:29 ~-~-> 00:05:35 |you observing and identifying when it's problematic or where it's likely to be | ||
44 | |43 |00:05:35 ~-~-> 00:05:40 |problematic. So that way, at the very minimum, you're going to refrain from | ||
45 | |44 |00:05:40 ~-~-> 00:05:45 |using the highest form of leverage that you usually would. So with that in mind, | ||
46 | |45 |00:05:45 ~-~-> 00:05:52 |I want to kind of take your attention over to the NASDAQ. This is our December | ||
47 | |46 |00:05:52 ~-~-> 00:05:57 |contract on a one minute basis. And I'm going to take the lipstick off for a | ||
48 | |47 |00:05:57 ~-~-> 00:06:01 |moment, because I want to see, well, no, I mean, leave it on there, because if I | ||
49 | |48 |00:06:01 ~-~-> 00:06:05 |do that, the watermark goes away, and then Yahoo's on YouTube and whatnot. | ||
50 | |49 |00:06:05 ~-~-> 00:06:08 |They post it on their channel, then I got to take it down and read their cry | ||
51 | |50 |00:06:08 ~-~-> 00:06:15 |via email. So you go to copyright strike against me. So when we looked at last | ||
52 | |51 |00:06:15 ~-~-> 00:06:22 |week's lecture, or lectures, I talked about how where we can trade the pre | ||
53 | |52 |00:06:22 ~-~-> 00:06:29 |market session, and what type of climate would indicate when I would trade | ||
54 | |53 |00:06:29 ~-~-> 00:06:33 |predominantly just the pre market session and not during the am opening | ||
55 | |54 |00:06:33 ~-~-> 00:06:38 |session. Now, the am opening session is the 93 opening bell all the way to | ||
56 | |55 |00:06:38 ~-~-> 00:06:42 |lunch. Okay, so that's like the am session, but it's the am opening | ||
57 | |56 |00:06:42 ~-~-> 00:06:46 |session, because it's defined by the 930 opening bell. Anything prior to 930 | ||
58 | |57 |00:06:46 ~-~-> 00:06:50 |opening bell, Eastern Time, it's always going to be referred to as pre market. | ||
59 | |58 |00:06:52 ~-~-> 00:06:58 |So London is pre market. Asia, the night before is pre market. But very specific | ||
60 | |59 |00:06:58 ~-~-> 00:07:03 |elements of pre market being seven o'clock in the morning, Eastern Time to | ||
61 | |60 |00:07:03 ~-~-> 00:07:07 |nine o'clock, or the opening bell at 930 those are really good operating hours. | ||
62 | |61 |00:07:08 ~-~-> 00:07:14 |And a lot of professionals, we have kept that little segment of price action in | ||
63 | |62 |00:07:14 ~-~-> 00:07:18 |that time of the day to ourselves. We haven't really drawn too much attention | ||
64 | |63 |00:07:18 ~-~-> 00:07:22 |to it, because everybody understands that the 930 opening bell is that's the | ||
65 | |64 |00:07:22 ~-~-> 00:07:26 |bee's knees, that's everybody wants to be there. That's where all the | ||
66 | |65 |00:07:26 ~-~-> 00:07:29 |excitement is. That's where all the large order flows. Is piped in, the | ||
67 | |66 |00:07:29 ~-~-> 00:07:35 |volume is shoved in through that that first 30 minutes. And it is important | ||
68 | |67 |00:07:35 ~-~-> 00:07:39 |for you to know that that's not all there is just like there's an | ||
69 | |68 |00:07:39 ~-~-> 00:07:43 |opportunity to be trading in the lunch hour, which is usually a reversal | ||
70 | |69 |00:07:43 ~-~-> 00:07:48 |mechanism whatever was profitable in the morning. Generally, we'll either see a | ||
71 | |70 |00:07:48 ~-~-> 00:07:54 |consolidation or a alt right reversal on whatever was profitable in the morning. | ||
72 | |71 |00:07:54 ~-~-> 00:07:59 |So if it went up in the morning once, we'll go back against that, either in | ||
73 | |72 |00:07:59 ~-~-> 00:08:04 |its entirety of the move or a large degree of retracement, and then continue | ||
74 | |73 |00:08:05 ~-~-> 00:08:09 |after 130 in the afternoon, Eastern Time, resume, whatever the morning | ||
75 | |74 |00:08:09 ~-~-> 00:08:15 |session, trade trend or direction it was moving in. But if you looked at the | ||
76 | |75 |00:08:15 ~-~-> 00:08:18 |economic calendar, and hopefully you do this, okay, you should be spending time | ||
77 | |76 |00:08:18 ~-~-> 00:08:21 |with that on the weekend, kind of strategizing what it is you're gonna be | ||
78 | |77 |00:08:21 ~-~-> 00:08:27 |focusing on for the week to come. And you should have noticed that there is an | ||
79 | |78 |00:08:27 ~-~-> 00:08:31 |absence of any kind of medium impact or high impact news driver for Monday. | ||
80 | |79 |00:08:33 ~-~-> 00:08:39 |Because of that, we want to look at the pre market session, because many times | ||
81 | |80 |00:08:39 ~-~-> 00:08:45 |that's going to afford you a lower risk opportunity, and it's going to be more | ||
82 | |81 |00:08:45 ~-~-> 00:08:54 |likely to be low resistance versus the am opening session being higher | ||
83 | |82 |00:08:54 ~-~-> 00:08:58 |resistance, because there's an absence of any kind of news. That means that the | ||
84 | |83 |00:08:58 ~-~-> 00:09:05 |market could either do one of two things. It could just be consolidating, | ||
85 | |84 |00:09:05 ~-~-> 00:09:12 |going sideways, doing very much of nothing, or it could become surprisingly | ||
86 | |85 |00:09:12 ~-~-> 00:09:19 |one sided, which doesn't always indicate in advance what side that's going to be | ||
87 | |86 |00:09:19 ~-~-> 00:09:23 |on. It could be met with a large Judah swing, and then it does a directional | ||
88 | |87 |00:09:23 ~-~-> 00:09:28 |move. So it's kind of like a like, it's an outlier, you know, a day or a profile | ||
89 | |88 |00:09:28 ~-~-> 00:09:33 |that I wouldn't expect, and maybe you would fall victim to that and miss that | ||
90 | |89 |00:09:33 ~-~-> 00:09:37 |type of day. So to avoid all that, to avoid all the uncertainty around those | ||
91 | |90 |00:09:37 ~-~-> 00:09:43 |types of days, and it's a Monday, so that's also kind of like what I'm trying | ||
92 | |91 |00:09:43 ~-~-> 00:09:46 |to remind you of, because it's Monday, | ||
93 | |92 |00:09:47 ~-~-> 00:09:52 |I I've had a lot of folks around the internet kind of like spread | ||
94 | |93 |00:09:52 ~-~-> 00:09:57 |misinformation, because they'll say, ICT never trades on Mondays, and that's not | ||
95 | |94 |00:09:57 ~-~-> 00:10:02 |true. I have a lot of rules around Monday. Days, because Monday is like | ||
96 | |95 |00:10:02 ~-~-> 00:10:06 |amateur hour. You know, it's generally where everybody comes out there, out the | ||
97 | |96 |00:10:06 ~-~-> 00:10:09 |gate and they want to do something, because they've been sitting on their | ||
98 | |97 |00:10:09 ~-~-> 00:10:12 |hands the entirety of the week on the weekend, and they get some kind of trade | ||
99 | |98 |00:10:12 ~-~-> 00:10:18 |idea, or they talk to people on online, in chat rooms or whatever medium they're | ||
100 | |99 |00:10:18 ~-~-> 00:10:22 |using, and they get all popped up on goofballs, thinking that somebody has | ||
101 | |100 |00:10:22 ~-~-> 00:10:26 |better insight than they do, and what happens if they're right and you don't | ||
102 | |101 |00:10:26 ~-~-> 00:10:30 |trade like they do, so you end up building the sentiment idea. So that's | ||
103 | |102 |00:10:30 ~-~-> 00:10:36 |why I'm a little leery on trading right out the gate on Mondays, because | ||
104 | |103 |00:10:36 ~-~-> 00:10:40 |everybody out there that doesn't know how to trade, doesn't know how the | ||
105 | |104 |00:10:40 ~-~-> 00:10:44 |markets work. They don't understand the unwilling mechanics what makes these | ||
106 | |105 |00:10:44 ~-~-> 00:10:50 |price engines move. They're basing their assumptions and their actions on a hope | ||
107 | |106 |00:10:50 ~-~-> 00:10:56 |and a whim and a prayer, and those three things generally don't bode well for | ||
108 | |107 |00:10:56 ~-~-> 00:11:00 |profitable, consistent trading. So on Mondays, this is where you write this | ||
109 | |108 |00:11:00 ~-~-> 00:11:06 |stuff down, folks, every Monday of Non Farm Payroll week, that means usually | ||
110 | |109 |00:11:06 ~-~-> 00:11:09 |the first week of every month. And yes, I'm aware that we're still in October, | ||
111 | |110 |00:11:09 ~-~-> 00:11:14 |but I'm reminding you of these rules. Okay, so on Non Farm Payroll weeks, I am | ||
112 | |111 |00:11:14 ~-~-> 00:11:20 |absolutely every Monday of that week. I'm trading that because that's where | ||
113 | |112 |00:11:20 ~-~-> 00:11:23 |the cleanest price action is going to be well, Monday and Tuesday of that week of | ||
114 | |113 |00:11:23 ~-~-> 00:11:28 |Non Farm Payroll. So whenever there's an economic new driver that has NFP or Non | ||
115 | |114 |00:11:28 ~-~-> 00:11:35 |Farm Payroll, Friday, I want to be done trading by Wednesday morning, am | ||
116 | |115 |00:11:35 ~-~-> 00:11:39 |session. And then, unless something extremely overbearing in terms of | ||
117 | |116 |00:11:39 ~-~-> 00:11:45 |obvious, well, I trade on Thursday or Non Farm Payroll Friday. I can. I have | ||
118 | |117 |00:11:45 ~-~-> 00:11:49 |done it, but I just generally like to do all my work on the Monday and Tuesday. | ||
119 | |118 |00:11:50 ~-~-> 00:11:54 |And at worst case scenario, if I'm up and I'm not, if I'm not sleeping, I'll | ||
120 | |119 |00:11:54 ~-~-> 00:11:59 |do something in the morning session. But predominantly, I'm trading on the Monday | ||
121 | |120 |00:11:59 ~-~-> 00:12:03 |session of that week, and I'm content with whatever I earn there. I don't do | ||
122 | |121 |00:12:03 ~-~-> 00:12:06 |anything on Tuesday. I don't do anything on Wednesday, if I made money on on | ||
123 | |122 |00:12:06 ~-~-> 00:12:13 |Monday, of Non Farm Payroll every other week, every single week, apart from Non | ||
124 | |123 |00:12:13 ~-~-> 00:12:21 |Farm Payroll, I am testing to see if there's certain things in the works. | ||
125 | |124 |00:12:21 ~-~-> 00:12:25 |First and foremost is, what does the economic calendar say? Because if the | ||
126 | |125 |00:12:25 ~-~-> 00:12:30 |economic calendar is devoid of any kind of high impact or medium impact news | ||
127 | |126 |00:12:30 ~-~-> 00:12:37 |driver at 830 or after the opening bell, at 930 or so, then I know that I want to | ||
128 | |127 |00:12:37 ~-~-> 00:12:42 |be trading on the pre market session. That means seven o'clock in the morning, | ||
129 | |128 |00:12:42 ~-~-> 00:12:48 |Eastern Time, up to the 930 opening bill. But I don't want to be in at 930 | ||
130 | |129 |00:12:48 ~-~-> 00:12:53 |or afterwards, because listen to the rule now. It's not Non Farm Payroll | ||
131 | |130 |00:12:53 ~-~-> 00:13:03 |Friday. It is a Monday. There is an absence of medium or high impact news | ||
132 | |131 |00:13:03 ~-~-> 00:13:10 |drivers on the economic calendar. So you have so many things complicating the the | ||
133 | |132 |00:13:10 ~-~-> 00:13:15 |battlefield, if you will, at 930 for everyone else out there that's not | ||
134 | |133 |00:13:15 ~-~-> 00:13:19 |really equipped to be trading, there's a lot of people out there that are | ||
135 | |134 |00:13:19 ~-~-> 00:13:22 |pantomime, like they have an understanding of the marketplace, but | ||
136 | |135 |00:13:22 ~-~-> 00:13:25 |they're not really aware what it is they're doing, and they're losing money | ||
137 | |136 |00:13:25 ~-~-> 00:13:32 |behind the scenes, or they're just completely lost. For me, I want to think | ||
138 | |137 |00:13:32 ~-~-> 00:13:36 |about it professionally, and think that I know that they're going to punish the | ||
139 | |138 |00:13:36 ~-~-> 00:13:43 |less informed individuals at 930 they're going to do that. It doesn't mean that | ||
140 | |139 |00:13:43 ~-~-> 00:13:49 |you can't determine where the market's going to draw to Okay, so just make make | ||
141 | |140 |00:13:49 ~-~-> 00:13:53 |sure you honor that. Make sure you are aware that I have made that very clear | ||
142 | |141 |00:13:53 ~-~-> 00:13:58 |here. I'm not suggesting by any means that you can't trade on a Monday like | ||
143 | |142 |00:13:58 ~-~-> 00:14:02 |this. I'm not suggesting that at all. But because I'm acting in the role as a | ||
144 | |143 |00:14:02 ~-~-> 00:14:08 |mentor, as an educator, I'm being responsible, as that educator, to speak | ||
145 | |144 |00:14:08 ~-~-> 00:14:14 |to the newest form of students that's coming to my my work, this is all rehash | ||
146 | |145 |00:14:14 ~-~-> 00:14:17 |for people that's been with me for a long time, and it's unfortunate because | ||
147 | |146 |00:14:17 ~-~-> 00:14:23 |they have to hear that, because I have always a new round of new new students | ||
148 | |147 |00:14:23 ~-~-> 00:14:28 |coming in. We said employees, but a new round of students coming in all the | ||
149 | |148 |00:14:28 ~-~-> 00:14:33 |time. So I want to take advantage of the opportunity anytime I talk about these | ||
150 | |149 |00:14:33 ~-~-> 00:14:37 |types things like trading on Monday, there is a lot of misinformation out | ||
151 | |150 |00:14:37 ~-~-> 00:14:41 |there that says that I don't and I teach not to trade on Mondays. I teach very | ||
152 | |151 |00:14:41 ~-~-> 00:14:47 |specific rules, so that way you, as a student of mine, would know very clear | ||
153 | |152 |00:14:47 ~-~-> 00:14:52 |that this is a Monday that I would or would not be trading. And if I'm not | ||
154 | |153 |00:14:52 ~-~-> 00:14:57 |seeing an economic news driver, that means some kind of report at 830 or | ||
155 | |154 |00:14:57 ~-~-> 00:15:04 |during the 930 to eight. I'm sorry. Right 930 to 1030 portion of the morning | ||
156 | |155 |00:15:04 ~-~-> 00:15:09 |session, then I'm not going to I'm not going to trade the am opening session. | ||
157 | |156 |00:15:09 ~-~-> 00:15:16 |I'm going to trade ahead of the opening bell. And that, to me, is one of the | ||
158 | |157 |00:15:16 ~-~-> 00:15:21 |best things I ever learned how to do and condition myself with discipline. Say, | ||
159 | |158 |00:15:21 ~-~-> 00:15:27 |Okay, I have this rule. I have a rule that says if these conditions are met, | ||
160 | |159 |00:15:28 ~-~-> 00:15:33 |it's a Monday, there's no economic data coming out, then I know that I'm going | ||
161 | |160 |00:15:33 ~-~-> 00:15:39 |to get punished with harder delivery in price. That means it's going to be high | ||
162 | |161 |00:15:39 ~-~-> 00:15:43 |resistance. It does not mean that we will not see our objectives traded to | ||
163 | |162 |00:15:43 ~-~-> 00:15:48 |because if you look on Twitter this morning or X, I showed you a live trade | ||
164 | |163 |00:15:48 ~-~-> 00:15:53 |with real money in a real regulated broker, hitting my target. That was my | ||
165 | |164 |00:15:53 ~-~-> 00:15:58 |pre market session short. That's all I cared about doing. I didn't care about | ||
166 | |165 |00:15:58 ~-~-> 00:16:02 |going long. I didn't care about getting short after 930 I didn't care about | ||
167 | |166 |00:16:02 ~-~-> 00:16:06 |silver bullets. I didn't care about optimal trade entries, model 2020, twos. | ||
168 | |167 |00:16:06 ~-~-> 00:16:10 |I didn't worry about none of that stuff. I went in, got some bread, and I left, | ||
169 | |168 |00:16:10 ~-~-> 00:16:14 |and I did things on my own personal schedule that required my attention | ||
170 | |169 |00:16:14 ~-~-> 00:16:20 |elsewhere. So you can clearly see that in that chart, and what I annotated in | ||
171 | |170 |00:16:20 ~-~-> 00:16:25 |that post this morning on the x that my interest was in the clustering of | ||
172 | |171 |00:16:25 ~-~-> 00:16:30 |previous week, and admittedly, at the time of the recording, I only toggled | ||
173 | |172 |00:16:30 ~-~-> 00:16:35 |over to that chart so that way you would see some annotations. But my executions | ||
174 | |173 |00:16:36 ~-~-> 00:16:40 |are basically based on a blank chart. But I know some of you are going to look | ||
175 | |174 |00:16:40 ~-~-> 00:16:44 |at that and ask, what did you frame that trade on? Instead of going in your | ||
176 | |175 |00:16:44 ~-~-> 00:16:48 |charts and finding what it is that's available that I could have used on | ||
177 | |176 |00:16:48 ~-~-> 00:16:53 |that. So I'm not going to hold your hand the entire process. It's important for | ||
178 | |177 |00:16:53 ~-~-> 00:16:57 |you to see there's gaps in my teachings. So there are opportunities for you to go | ||
179 | |178 |00:16:57 ~-~-> 00:17:00 |in and investigate the information yourself, if you're not going in your | ||
180 | |179 |00:17:00 ~-~-> 00:17:04 |own charts, seeing whatever I'm executing on, and you're not doing the | ||
181 | |180 |00:17:04 ~-~-> 00:17:10 |the leg work, if you will, in your own charts, annotating, journaling, back, | ||
182 | |181 |00:17:10 ~-~-> 00:17:13 |testing, looking for other PD arrays. Because I'm not trying to force you into | ||
183 | |182 |00:17:13 ~-~-> 00:17:18 |the model of just simply using a fair value gap. But you need to understand | ||
184 | |183 |00:17:18 ~-~-> 00:17:24 |that we may have visibility, I have visibility. You may have visibility. May | ||
185 | |184 |00:17:24 ~-~-> 00:17:27 |not have visibility because your experience factor is too low right now, | ||
186 | |185 |00:17:27 ~-~-> 00:17:32 |but you will get over time, meaning that even though that the conditions were met | ||
187 | |186 |00:17:32 ~-~-> 00:17:37 |that it's a Monday, no employment data, I'm sorry, no economic data coming out | ||
188 | |187 |00:17:37 ~-~-> 00:17:41 |at 830 nothing after 930 all the way through to 1030 there was nothing to | ||
189 | |188 |00:17:41 ~-~-> 00:17:47 |speak of in terms of increasing the volatility by having these smoke screens | ||
190 | |189 |00:17:47 ~-~-> 00:17:51 |that the News Calendar uses, they don't cause the market to go up and down, but | ||
191 | |190 |00:17:51 ~-~-> 00:17:58 |the the interventions that come in around these times, they use them as a | ||
192 | |191 |00:17:58 ~-~-> 00:18:01 |smoke screen. So that way you think, and everybody else talks about it online. | ||
193 | |192 |00:18:01 ~-~-> 00:18:05 |Oh, that so and so report, or we had real bad economic news come out today, | ||
194 | |193 |00:18:05 ~-~-> 00:18:08 |or bad data came out, or positive data coming out. And none of that's true, | ||
195 | |194 |00:18:09 ~-~-> 00:18:13 |none of none of that is absolutely has no bearing on why the market's going up | ||
196 | |195 |00:18:13 ~-~-> 00:18:18 |and down, but they're perfectly little excuses for when the market does | ||
197 | |196 |00:18:18 ~-~-> 00:18:22 |something that's opposed to what those reports suggest, meaning that if the | ||
198 | |197 |00:18:22 ~-~-> 00:18:26 |report's bullish or bearish, and the market does the opposite, then they | ||
199 | |198 |00:18:26 ~-~-> 00:18:29 |quickly come out and say, well, the market priced in that stuff, but you | ||
200 | |199 |00:18:29 ~-~-> 00:18:33 |didn't say that. Nobody out there is saying that beforehand, so it's quickly | ||
201 | |200 |00:18:33 ~-~-> 00:18:37 |forgotten because the market's doing something else. So you're never really | ||
202 | |201 |00:18:37 ~-~-> 00:18:41 |paying attention that it's kind of much like a magician's sleight of hand. | ||
203 | |202 |00:18:41 ~-~-> 00:18:45 |You're really never seeing the dirty hand doing the work, because you're | ||
204 | |203 |00:18:45 ~-~-> 00:18:53 |always being distracted by the red herring. So I told you we would be | ||
205 | |204 |00:18:53 ~-~-> 00:18:57 |focusing on a draw. My interest was the draw on the clustered previous week, | ||
206 | |205 |00:18:59 ~-~-> 00:19:02 |which is here. And if you look at the recording, you'll see that it says | ||
207 | |206 |00:19:02 ~-~-> 00:19:05 |current in the recording, because I had to hurry up and toggle over because I | ||
208 | |207 |00:19:05 ~-~-> 00:19:10 |knew as soon as I started to record the trade going into the target, I was going | ||
209 | |208 |00:19:10 ~-~-> 00:19:13 |to be met with 100 different comments saying, what did you use to get into | ||
210 | |209 |00:19:13 ~-~-> 00:19:16 |that? I thought we're supposed to be trading model 2022 I thought we're | ||
211 | |210 |00:19:16 ~-~-> 00:19:20 |supposed to be trading after 10 o'clock. I'm not limiting myself that I taught | ||
212 | |211 |00:19:20 ~-~-> 00:19:24 |those models. That doesn't mean I have to stick to those models. I'm teaching | ||
213 | |212 |00:19:24 ~-~-> 00:19:29 |that to my students and specifically to my kids. Your job is to find one that | ||
214 | |213 |00:19:29 ~-~-> 00:19:32 |matches your personality. Just because I taught one model doesn't mean I'm | ||
215 | |214 |00:19:32 ~-~-> 00:19:37 |locking myself into just the only that I'm not a one trick pony. I can do lots | ||
216 | |215 |00:19:37 ~-~-> 00:19:43 |of other things, and I do that to show you that there is no limit to | ||
217 | |216 |00:19:43 ~-~-> 00:19:48 |formulating and fashioning a model that is going to be uniquely equipped to | ||
218 | |217 |00:19:48 ~-~-> 00:19:56 |agree not be in contention or in competition against your personality and | ||
219 | |218 |00:19:56 ~-~-> 00:20:01 |many people, they latch on the people as educators and. Teachers or whatnot. And | ||
220 | |219 |00:20:01 ~-~-> 00:20:06 |I'm I'm in that same category too, because I may be talking and promoting a | ||
221 | |220 |00:20:06 ~-~-> 00:20:11 |specific model at the time when you find me, and then you discovered I've taught | ||
222 | |221 |00:20:11 ~-~-> 00:20:14 |other models before, but because whatever model I'm teaching at the time, | ||
223 | |222 |00:20:14 ~-~-> 00:20:17 |that's the good one, that's the that's the only one that seems to work. Because | ||
224 | |223 |00:20:17 ~-~-> 00:20:22 |if it, if it was good enough for the silver bullet to never need to have | ||
225 | |224 |00:20:22 ~-~-> 00:20:25 |another model mentioned after it, then why talk about another model? And that's | ||
226 | |225 |00:20:26 ~-~-> 00:20:30 |myopic. It's just focusing on one characteristic of the marketplace, or | ||
227 | |226 |00:20:30 ~-~-> 00:20:34 |you can capitalize on a time based model. It's very specific. It's rule | ||
228 | |227 |00:20:34 ~-~-> 00:20:39 |based. That means it checks a lot of boxes for brand new students to go in | ||
229 | |228 |00:20:39 ~-~-> 00:20:44 |and force some measure of accountability and responsibility. And most models that | ||
230 | |229 |00:20:44 ~-~-> 00:20:49 |people are promoting through mentorships or whatever, they don't have rules that | ||
231 | |230 |00:20:49 ~-~-> 00:20:53 |hold you accountable, because you're always hunting for a new setup, and you | ||
232 | |231 |00:20:53 ~-~-> 00:20:56 |don't really know when that set is going to form. You can't just say, Well, | ||
233 | |232 |00:20:56 ~-~-> 00:21:00 |here's the ICT kill zone, and somewhere in these hours there's going to be a | ||
234 | |233 |00:21:00 ~-~-> 00:21:05 |setup. Of course, that's going to be a setup, but when we narrow it down to, | ||
235 | |234 |00:21:05 ~-~-> 00:21:09 |okay, here's a setup that's going to form between 10 o'clock in the morning | ||
236 | |235 |00:21:09 ~-~-> 00:21:12 |and 11 o'clock in the morning. And if it doesn't form, that's your model. If it | ||
237 | |236 |00:21:12 ~-~-> 00:21:16 |didn't form, you didn't get a trade, turn the charts off, and then you form, | ||
238 | |237 |00:21:16 ~-~-> 00:21:19 |in fact, in fashion, your responsibility, your accountability, | ||
239 | |238 |00:21:19 ~-~-> 00:21:26 |goes through the roof, and you build discipline by that. So I'm reminding you | ||
240 | |239 |00:21:26 ~-~-> 00:21:30 |that we, we talked about this I did in the Post this morning. So the draw was | ||
241 | |240 |00:21:30 ~-~-> 00:21:34 |here, but I said in that recording, you'll see it says current in the purple | ||
242 | |241 |00:21:34 ~-~-> 00:21:39 |one. That's this is last week's new week opening gap. And I did this to kind of | ||
243 | |242 |00:21:39 ~-~-> 00:21:44 |like, have a lot less things on the chart, because I'm teaching Caleb to | ||
244 | |243 |00:21:44 ~-~-> 00:21:49 |focus on clusterings of new week opening gaps, or clusterings of New Day opening | ||
245 | |244 |00:21:49 ~-~-> 00:21:59 |gaps. So if we're opening up here at 930 or so, my job as a trader is already | ||
246 | |245 |00:21:59 ~-~-> 00:22:04 |done. Like I don't care at that time, because I'm looking for something that's | ||
247 | |246 |00:22:04 ~-~-> 00:22:09 |going to be useful before the opening bell. Because it's a Monday, because | ||
248 | |247 |00:22:09 ~-~-> 00:22:18 |it's the last, I'm sorry, not the last. It's the Monday without a impression of | ||
249 | |248 |00:22:18 ~-~-> 00:22:22 |confusion by the economic counter having a high impact or medium impact news | ||
250 | |249 |00:22:22 ~-~-> 00:22:28 |driver at 830 or after 930 opening bell. So there's a there's a void of any kind | ||
251 | |250 |00:22:28 ~-~-> 00:22:34 |of intervention or invitation for intervention. Not that it can't be. It | ||
252 | |251 |00:22:34 ~-~-> 00:22:38 |just the the probabilities of that occurring with the economic counter | ||
253 | |252 |00:22:38 ~-~-> 00:22:45 |being void of anything, it's less likely so they're going to move the market | ||
254 | |253 |00:22:45 ~-~-> 00:22:50 |cleanly before everybody else is part of it. That means everybody's sitting | ||
255 | |254 |00:22:50 ~-~-> 00:22:57 |around the kumbaya waiting for the 930 opening bell. Everybody else is hurting | ||
256 | |255 |00:22:57 ~-~-> 00:23:04 |to that watering hole at 930 but the professionals are going in early. We're | ||
257 | |256 |00:23:04 ~-~-> 00:23:08 |going in and we we get ours early because we know that there's going to be | ||
258 | |257 |00:23:08 ~-~-> 00:23:14 |a whole lot more predatory price action after 930 why? Because it's a Monday, | ||
259 | |258 |00:23:14 ~-~-> 00:23:21 |because there's an absence of impact or high impact news drivers. So trade where | ||
260 | |259 |00:23:21 ~-~-> 00:23:26 |the market's more cleaner, where it's more likely to yield to you favorable | ||
261 | |260 |00:23:26 ~-~-> 00:23:30 |price delivery versus back and forth price action. And I'll show you exactly | ||
262 | |261 |00:23:30 ~-~-> 00:23:33 |what I mean by that in a moment. But notice that we did trade down to the new | ||
263 | |262 |00:23:33 ~-~-> 00:23:38 |week opening gap high this current week. That's this one here, and we failed to | ||
264 | |263 |00:23:38 ~-~-> 00:23:42 |get down to consequent correction of the current new week opening gap. So if we | ||
265 | |264 |00:23:42 ~-~-> 00:23:48 |take this one and this one, take that off, this is what the new week opening | ||
266 | |265 |00:23:48 ~-~-> 00:23:52 |gap looks like right now for this current week. So it's rather large, | ||
267 | |266 |00:23:53 ~-~-> 00:23:58 |okay, and we did not trade down to consequence of the present, current new | ||
268 | |267 |00:23:58 ~-~-> 00:24:02 |week opening gap. And obviously we haven't traded down to the low either. | ||
269 | |268 |00:24:02 ~-~-> 00:24:07 |But inside of that, we have last week's new week opening gap. And notice that's | ||
270 | |269 |00:24:07 ~-~-> 00:24:12 |in the lower half of the current new week opening gap. When I see stuff like | ||
271 | |270 |00:24:12 ~-~-> 00:24:19 |this, okay, it kind of it promotes the idea that it's not enough to expect it | ||
272 | |271 |00:24:19 ~-~-> 00:24:23 |to trade down to the new week opening gap high, that's reasonable. That's like | ||
273 | |272 |00:24:23 ~-~-> 00:24:31 |a low hanging fruit objective. So Caleb, it's being taught that whatever level is | ||
274 | |273 |00:24:31 ~-~-> 00:24:35 |first when you're looking for a short meaning that we have two new week | ||
275 | |274 |00:24:35 ~-~-> 00:24:39 |opening gaps here, this could just as well be a new day opening gap | ||
276 | |275 |00:24:39 ~-~-> 00:24:45 |clustering, so there's very close overlapping, if you will, gaps. So | ||
277 | |276 |00:24:46 ~-~-> 00:24:50 |they're going to be a lot of return back into this area of all these levels, you | ||
278 | |277 |00:24:50 ~-~-> 00:24:55 |know, as a whole, but the larger of them, meaning that if we're looking for | ||
279 | |278 |00:24:55 ~-~-> 00:25:00 |a short up here, or as he's being trained to do it, he would not. Hold for | ||
280 | |279 |00:25:00 ~-~-> 00:25:06 |consequent encouragement of the current new week opening gap. It's not in his | ||
281 | |280 |00:25:06 ~-~-> 00:25:12 |it's not in his model. He wouldn't hold for the high of last week's new week | ||
282 | |281 |00:25:12 ~-~-> 00:25:16 |opening gap. He wouldn't look for the consequent coaching of of last week's | ||
283 | |282 |00:25:16 ~-~-> 00:25:19 |new week opening gap, which will be between these two purple lines. And he | ||
284 | |283 |00:25:19 ~-~-> 00:25:26 |would not look for the current new week opening gap low why? Because he's being | ||
285 | |284 |00:25:26 ~-~-> 00:25:31 |trained to take the first low hanging fruit objective. That means the first | ||
286 | |285 |00:25:31 ~-~-> 00:25:36 |profitable exit using the strategy, the meaning, if you're short, which is the | ||
287 | |286 |00:25:36 ~-~-> 00:25:40 |first new week opening gap high level you're going to get to, and as soon as | ||
288 | |287 |00:25:40 ~-~-> 00:25:48 |you trade to it, plus a spread of one or two ticks, he gets out. He doesn't hold | ||
289 | |288 |00:25:48 ~-~-> 00:25:53 |for the best exit. He doesn't hold for the maximum amount of money. If he's | ||
290 | |289 |00:25:53 ~-~-> 00:26:02 |right, see, he's removing the necessity about being perfect with his exits. You | ||
291 | |290 |00:26:02 ~-~-> 00:26:09 |when I was struggling in the brand new stages of my career, 1990s my first | ||
292 | |291 |00:26:09 ~-~-> 00:26:14 |problem was entries. I was afraid to enter. I was afraid that I'd be wrong. I | ||
293 | |292 |00:26:14 ~-~-> 00:26:20 |was afraid I was going to miss trades. Everything compounded into a problem. So | ||
294 | |293 |00:26:20 ~-~-> 00:26:28 |I had to desensitize myself to never fearing, never having a problem, without | ||
295 | |294 |00:26:28 ~-~-> 00:26:32 |finding a setup to get me into a trade. So I have lots of ways to get into a | ||
296 | |295 |00:26:32 ~-~-> 00:26:38 |trade, and eventually it became a problem for me to be content with my | ||
297 | |296 |00:26:38 ~-~-> 00:26:43 |profitable exits. So you all have seen me trading. You've seen my executions. | ||
298 | |297 |00:26:43 ~-~-> 00:26:47 |You see how I do partials when I do them. You see how I trade my stop loss. | ||
299 | |298 |00:26:47 ~-~-> 00:26:52 |You see all these things, okay, and to the lay person, to someone that is been | ||
300 | |299 |00:26:52 ~-~-> 00:26:56 |trading for a while, they can appreciate that, that measure of number one, | ||
301 | |300 |00:26:56 ~-~-> 00:27:01 |precision trade management. And it looks really, really good, and it is. It took | ||
302 | |301 |00:27:01 ~-~-> 00:27:05 |lots of time to get to that, but it wasn't easy getting to that stage. And | ||
303 | |302 |00:27:05 ~-~-> 00:27:11 |truth be told, and I've said this many times candidly, I am not happy and I'm | ||
304 | |303 |00:27:11 ~-~-> 00:27:16 |not satisfied with my exits. That's still my weak point. I believe there's a | ||
305 | |304 |00:27:16 ~-~-> 00:27:22 |whole lot more room in there for me to improve that, and I'm cognizant of the | ||
306 | |305 |00:27:22 ~-~-> 00:27:28 |effects of the pursuit of perfection being an illusion. Okay, you're never | ||
307 | |306 |00:27:28 ~-~-> 00:27:32 |going to reach that, but as long as I'm alive and I have mental faculties, I'm | ||
308 | |307 |00:27:32 ~-~-> 00:27:35 |going to try to pursue it. Okay? It's not going to make it worse. It's just | ||
309 | |308 |00:27:35 ~-~-> 00:27:39 |going to make me strive to do better. And the day I stopped striving to do | ||
310 | |309 |00:27:39 ~-~-> 00:27:43 |better is, what's the point of being around here? Then, right? Yeah, that I | ||
311 | |310 |00:27:43 ~-~-> 00:27:46 |want to. I want to be better than I was yesterday all the time. And I have | ||
312 | |311 |00:27:46 ~-~-> 00:27:49 |models that work very, very well, | ||
313 | |312 |00:27:50 ~-~-> 00:27:55 |but I'm never going to be satisfied, ever, until I can't do it anymore. So | ||
314 | |313 |00:27:56 ~-~-> 00:28:01 |one of the things that I had to overcome was this argument I always held with my | ||
315 | |314 |00:28:01 ~-~-> 00:28:06 |within myself, in my journals, and I said to myself that I was not satisfied | ||
316 | |315 |00:28:06 ~-~-> 00:28:12 |with that trade exit, because it went, it went 50 handles more or Well, not | ||
317 | |316 |00:28:12 ~-~-> 00:28:15 |really so much back then, when I was trading, it didn't move that much. But, | ||
318 | |317 |00:28:15 ~-~-> 00:28:19 |you know, it went like five handles beyond where I was trying to take my | ||
319 | |318 |00:28:19 ~-~-> 00:28:24 |profit. I wanted to figure out why I was not willing, or why I didn't see that it | ||
320 | |319 |00:28:24 ~-~-> 00:28:29 |was going to reach that much further than where I was, and it took a great | ||
321 | |320 |00:28:29 ~-~-> 00:28:33 |deal of time to just go back and see that. I would beat myself up in my | ||
322 | |321 |00:28:33 ~-~-> 00:28:38 |journal. I would punish myself. I would talk down to myself. I would be very, | ||
323 | |322 |00:28:38 ~-~-> 00:28:43 |very critical of myself. And then that critical evaluation I would give myself | ||
324 | |323 |00:28:43 ~-~-> 00:28:47 |on a day by day, trade by trade basis, in my journal, it would stick with me in | ||
325 | |324 |00:28:47 ~-~-> 00:28:51 |my work day, and I would find myself literally saying the things I said in my | ||
326 | |325 |00:28:51 ~-~-> 00:28:55 |journal out loud, in my own voice, saying, Yeah, you really messed that up. | ||
327 | |326 |00:28:56 ~-~-> 00:28:59 |You were foolish. You didn't you didn't do this. Correct? You didn't do that. | ||
328 | |327 |00:28:59 ~-~-> 00:29:04 |And I never, ever ever spoke positively about myself in the beginning, which is | ||
329 | |328 |00:29:04 ~-~-> 00:29:07 |why I teach you not to do those things in your journal, because that was a | ||
330 | |329 |00:29:07 ~-~-> 00:29:12 |hindering factor for me. It held me back a lot, and it caused a whole lot of | ||
331 | |330 |00:29:12 ~-~-> 00:29:18 |quagmire in this muddy terrain that kind of like sludge through and not get any | ||
332 | |331 |00:29:18 ~-~-> 00:29:23 |kind of real traction or gain any new ground in understanding or prowess, it | ||
333 | |332 |00:29:23 ~-~-> 00:29:28 |was bogging me down. So one of the things I told myself was, let me go back | ||
334 | |333 |00:29:28 ~-~-> 00:29:33 |and see what am I doing consistently when I have exits that are profitable, | ||
335 | |334 |00:29:34 ~-~-> 00:29:39 |and I found that I was usually exiting, admittedly at the time through fear that | ||
336 | |335 |00:29:39 ~-~-> 00:29:46 |it was going to turn around on me and it has moved enough, so I learned to be | ||
337 | |336 |00:29:46 ~-~-> 00:29:51 |content with enough. Remember that slogan, be content with enough. I had to | ||
338 | |337 |00:29:51 ~-~-> 00:29:55 |force that perspective on myself by going back and looking at my journals | ||
339 | |338 |00:29:55 ~-~-> 00:29:59 |and saying, okay, the traits that I was winning consistently in were. | ||
340 | |339 |00:30:00 ~-~-> 00:30:05 |Predominantly, most of them were me closing before my targets. I would have | ||
341 | |340 |00:30:05 ~-~-> 00:30:09 |a hard line target. It would be, if it goes to this level here, it'll limit me | ||
342 | |341 |00:30:09 ~-~-> 00:30:15 |out at that price level, and because I had scar tissue, doing all the things | ||
343 | |342 |00:30:15 ~-~-> 00:30:20 |wrong, being highly critical of myself, because I was over trading, because I | ||
344 | |343 |00:30:20 ~-~-> 00:30:23 |was using too much leverage, I didn't have the ability to stay with the trade | ||
345 | |344 |00:30:23 ~-~-> 00:30:28 |lawn, because I had all those things compounding with very little experience. | ||
346 | |345 |00:30:28 ~-~-> 00:30:34 |I started in 1992 and I was trading way too much with too little money. I was | ||
347 | |346 |00:30:34 ~-~-> 00:30:38 |under capitalized. I did not have experience. I did not know what I was | ||
348 | |347 |00:30:38 ~-~-> 00:30:43 |doing, and I was like a cowboy out there, just gun slinging. And when I was | ||
349 | |348 |00:30:43 ~-~-> 00:30:49 |right, I felt like I owned the world. And any setback was disastrous. It was | ||
350 | |349 |00:30:49 ~-~-> 00:30:54 |absolutely disastrous, because I made sure I punished myself way beyond what | ||
351 | |350 |00:30:54 ~-~-> 00:31:00 |we reasonable. So one of the corrections I made in myself was going back. This is | ||
352 | |351 |00:31:00 ~-~-> 00:31:04 |why, if you don't, if you don't journal, you don't have this resource to tap | ||
353 | |352 |00:31:04 ~-~-> 00:31:08 |into. You're not going to remember every detail that every trade you did. I can't | ||
354 | |353 |00:31:08 ~-~-> 00:31:13 |remember every detail, but I can take myself into a journal, and I can show | ||
355 | |354 |00:31:13 ~-~-> 00:31:18 |everything that was pertinent at the time, and the open, high, low and close, | ||
356 | |355 |00:31:18 ~-~-> 00:31:21 |and the highest, high in the first hour, the second hour, the third hour, and the | ||
357 | |356 |00:31:21 ~-~-> 00:31:25 |same thing at the last half of the trading day. I have all those details. | ||
358 | |357 |00:31:25 ~-~-> 00:31:29 |And if I was watching price at the time, what I was thinking and how I was | ||
359 | |358 |00:31:29 ~-~-> 00:31:34 |feeling, and if I engaged at all, you don't have that. You don't have that for | ||
360 | |359 |00:31:34 ~-~-> 00:31:40 |30 years, but I do. So I know myself better than anybody ever will. No one's | ||
361 | |360 |00:31:40 ~-~-> 00:31:46 |going to know me better than I do. I have a clinical history of documenting | ||
362 | |361 |00:31:46 ~-~-> 00:31:51 |how I felt, how I thought, how I overreacted, how I ignored, foolishly, | ||
363 | |362 |00:31:51 ~-~-> 00:31:54 |certain things that should have been brought to my attention in the forefront | ||
364 | |363 |00:31:54 ~-~-> 00:31:59 |of my mind about what I should be focusing on, predominantly and less on | ||
365 | |364 |00:31:59 ~-~-> 00:32:04 |money, because the money aspect, that was what I was pursuing, because I | ||
366 | |365 |00:32:04 ~-~-> 00:32:08 |needed that to change my status. Because if I could change that status, I would | ||
367 | |366 |00:32:08 ~-~-> 00:32:13 |win my ex wife back, because I was a young, broken hearted man. So I was not | ||
368 | |367 |00:32:13 ~-~-> 00:32:18 |trading for the right reasons. I was trading for a revenge plot. Okay, so I | ||
369 | |368 |00:32:20 ~-~-> 00:32:22 |look back at my journal and I said, Well, here's the things that I have | ||
370 | |369 |00:32:22 ~-~-> 00:32:30 |noticed that I'm doing, I'm exiting early. All my trades were exiting early, | ||
371 | |370 |00:32:31 ~-~-> 00:32:37 |and 90% of them were impulsively exiting, meaning that some kind of | ||
372 | |371 |00:32:37 ~-~-> 00:32:44 |mental threshold was being tapped into where I could not I could not muster the | ||
373 | |372 |00:32:44 ~-~-> 00:32:50 |strength, the courage, the fortitude, the willingness to hold on to the trade | ||
374 | |373 |00:32:50 ~-~-> 00:32:56 |any further. But nothing had underlyingly changed about the trade. So | ||
375 | |374 |00:32:56 ~-~-> 00:33:01 |what was manifesting my physical inability to hold on to the trade, | ||
376 | |375 |00:33:01 ~-~-> 00:33:07 |because my mental capital, my mental capital, rather, had been exhausted. I'm | ||
377 | |376 |00:33:07 ~-~-> 00:33:11 |in a trade and it's profitable, all I have to do is hold on to it. And the | ||
378 | |377 |00:33:11 ~-~-> 00:33:16 |trades, many times, would have hit the target, but because of losing trades, | ||
379 | |378 |00:33:16 ~-~-> 00:33:19 |because of being stopped out, because I've missed trades, or because this is | ||
380 | |379 |00:33:19 ~-~-> 00:33:25 |the big one, because I was over leveraged. I had too much on based on | ||
381 | |380 |00:33:25 ~-~-> 00:33:30 |the amount of money I had in the account. So every tiny fluctuation, | ||
382 | |381 |00:33:31 ~-~-> 00:33:36 |whether it was moving in my favor or moving against me, it was enormous | ||
383 | |382 |00:33:36 ~-~-> 00:33:43 |pressure. It was enormous pressure. Any ticks that moved in my favor was like a | ||
384 | |383 |00:33:43 ~-~-> 00:33:49 |euphoric wave of Yes, yes, yes. Release relief. Keep going, keep going. And if | ||
385 | |384 |00:33:49 ~-~-> 00:33:53 |it moved two ticks, I would say, Okay, give me five more ticks. And then if it | ||
386 | |385 |00:33:53 ~-~-> 00:33:56 |moved one more tick, it's okay, Give me. Give me three more ticks. Give me three | ||
387 | |386 |00:33:56 ~-~-> 00:33:59 |more ticks. And then one tick would come back, which is normal delivery, then | ||
388 | |387 |00:33:59 ~-~-> 00:34:03 |another two ticks down. And I'm freaking out. I'm like, oh, it's reversing. It's | ||
389 | |388 |00:34:03 ~-~-> 00:34:08 |reversing. It's everything I talk about in the long parts of the lecture, which, | ||
390 | |389 |00:34:08 ~-~-> 00:34:12 |by the way, this, this is that kind of lecture. So you want to learn how to | ||
391 | |390 |00:34:12 ~-~-> 00:34:15 |make money, you learn how to hold on to a trade, how to work yourself through | ||
392 | |391 |00:34:16 ~-~-> 00:34:19 |these hard things that real trading takes you through. These are the lessons | ||
393 | |392 |00:34:19 ~-~-> 00:34:22 |and lectures you want to listen to. Listen to. It's not the buy the sell. | ||
394 | |393 |00:34:23 ~-~-> 00:34:26 |Here's the candlestick formation, here's the order block. None of that stuff is | ||
395 | |394 |00:34:26 ~-~-> 00:34:29 |important compared to this stuff, because this is what fixes you or keeps | ||
396 | |395 |00:34:29 ~-~-> 00:34:34 |you on the straight and narrow. And I'm telling you, what changed in my trading | ||
397 | |396 |00:34:35 ~-~-> 00:34:41 |was how I think about money, how I think about the fear of holding on to the | ||
398 | |397 |00:34:41 ~-~-> 00:34:47 |outcome. So if you don't over leverage, and if you don't over trade, and you're | ||
399 | |398 |00:34:47 ~-~-> 00:34:50 |being disciplined about what is your executing on, there has to be a rule, | ||
400 | |399 |00:34:50 ~-~-> 00:34:54 |there has to be a model, and there has to be some measure of a threshold that | ||
401 | |400 |00:34:54 ~-~-> 00:34:59 |you're aiming for that is a low hanging fruit objective. So what I did was I | ||
402 | |401 |00:34:59 ~-~-> 00:35:04 |went. I started seeing things in my exits when I would impulsively close the | ||
403 | |402 |00:35:04 ~-~-> 00:35:11 |trades and not let them go to Target. 90% of the time they were hitting one or | ||
404 | |403 |00:35:11 ~-~-> 00:35:17 |two PD arrays that were in favor of me, but before my actual target or Terminus. | ||
405 | |404 |00:35:18 ~-~-> 00:35:21 |So I elected to come up with the idea, of, okay, well, this is like a this is | ||
406 | |405 |00:35:21 ~-~-> 00:35:25 |like, low hanging fruit. It's easy. I can do these trades, and if I stick to | ||
407 | |406 |00:35:25 ~-~-> 00:35:30 |doing that, then that could be my model until I get better at doing this. | ||
408 | |407 |00:35:30 ~-~-> 00:35:34 |Because I had a lot of problems I had to fix within my thinking and a lot of scar | ||
409 | |408 |00:35:34 ~-~-> 00:35:39 |tissue. I had lost a lot of money. I was in debt. I was trying to figure out how | ||
410 | |409 |00:35:39 ~-~-> 00:35:44 |I was going to clear all that up and still win the the heart of my ex wife | ||
411 | |410 |00:35:44 ~-~-> 00:35:49 |back. Okay, so that never happened, by the way, but the idea of looking for low | ||
412 | |411 |00:35:49 ~-~-> 00:35:55 |hanging fruit, this easy objective, aim for that, because you're going to have a | ||
413 | |412 |00:35:55 ~-~-> 00:36:02 |higher strike rate if you can pick the easiest objective to trade to. And it | ||
414 | |413 |00:36:02 ~-~-> 00:36:05 |doesn't matter what ICT shows in his trading execution. It doesn't matter | ||
415 | |414 |00:36:05 ~-~-> 00:36:08 |what any of my other students do. It doesn't matter what your favorite fruit | ||
416 | |415 |00:36:08 ~-~-> 00:36:12 |room, you know, live streamers doing. It doesn't matter how much they got in | ||
417 | |416 |00:36:12 ~-~-> 00:36:17 |their payouts. None of that has anything to do with you. That's not a direct | ||
418 | |417 |00:36:17 ~-~-> 00:36:21 |relationship or correlation, rather, to you being a good trader or not being a | ||
419 | |418 |00:36:21 ~-~-> 00:36:27 |good trader based on what other people do, but in this climate right now, | ||
420 | |419 |00:36:27 ~-~-> 00:36:32 |because social media is so you know what it is, it's meant to be divisive. That's | ||
421 | |420 |00:36:32 ~-~-> 00:36:37 |why it's been introduced to us. It's not to help one another. It's to be divisive | ||
422 | |421 |00:36:38 ~-~-> 00:36:44 |and to communicate that at never ending divisiveness, and I'm trying to use | ||
423 | |422 |00:36:44 ~-~-> 00:36:49 |social media to remind you that you don't have to keep up with everybody | ||
424 | |423 |00:36:49 ~-~-> 00:36:54 |else, like you don't have to do those things, but social media tends to make | ||
425 | |424 |00:36:54 ~-~-> 00:36:58 |you feel like you you should or you're not progressing, when real progress is | ||
426 | |425 |00:36:58 ~-~-> 00:37:03 |for you to say, what's the easiest thing I can do today and make money and not | ||
427 | |426 |00:37:03 ~-~-> 00:37:07 |really work that hard for it? Now think about that sounds real lazy, doesn't it? | ||
428 | |427 |00:37:08 ~-~-> 00:37:13 |That sounds like, wow, you're an underachiever. But you know what? That's | ||
429 | |428 |00:37:13 ~-~-> 00:37:17 |exactly what every new student should think like. Because you don't have the | ||
430 | |429 |00:37:17 ~-~-> 00:37:20 |skill set to be an overachiever, but you try to be an overachiever. What do you | ||
431 | |430 |00:37:20 ~-~-> 00:37:24 |do? You trade more and you trade with more leverage than you should, and you | ||
432 | |431 |00:37:24 ~-~-> 00:37:28 |try to do more money in profit with an under capitalized account. And you | ||
433 | |432 |00:37:28 ~-~-> 00:37:32 |wonder why you feel like you can't do it, and you wonder why it's stressful, | ||
434 | |433 |00:37:33 ~-~-> 00:37:36 |because you're trying to do something that's next to impossible with those | ||
435 | |434 |00:37:36 ~-~-> 00:37:41 |conditions. And that's why I kept blowing out in the beginning, 1992 1993 | ||
436 | |435 |00:37:42 ~-~-> 00:37:46 |mm, started see some progress. 94 I pushed it too hard. Thought I figured it | ||
437 | |436 |00:37:46 ~-~-> 00:37:51 |all out. Hurt. Hurt there a little bit too. And then in 1995 I was like a it | ||
438 | |437 |00:37:51 ~-~-> 00:37:56 |was like a swing year for me. The first half of the year, I was hurt a little | ||
439 | |438 |00:37:56 ~-~-> 00:38:00 |bit, then I came back strong. And then in the quarter, like the third quarter, | ||
440 | |439 |00:38:00 ~-~-> 00:38:04 |I was introduced to a lot of the stuff that I mentioned many times with Larry | ||
441 | |440 |00:38:04 ~-~-> 00:38:09 |Williams, is confidential training course, VHS stuff. That's what I needed. | ||
442 | |441 |00:38:09 ~-~-> 00:38:13 |I need someone to tell me what I should be focusing on and not focus on the | ||
443 | |442 |00:38:13 ~-~-> 00:38:18 |money. And that lesson hit hard because that's what I was focusing on. I was | ||
444 | |443 |00:38:18 ~-~-> 00:38:24 |focused on money, and I was fearful of the losses, and I was too hopeful and | ||
445 | |444 |00:38:24 ~-~-> 00:38:28 |too expectant of having the big windfall victories. I thought that every trade | ||
446 | |445 |00:38:28 ~-~-> 00:38:32 |was going to be a windfall victory, and if it didn't, then I'm a failure. And it | ||
447 | |446 |00:38:32 ~-~-> 00:38:36 |doesn't equate to that, and you shouldn't frame your whole basis as a | ||
448 | |447 |00:38:36 ~-~-> 00:38:44 |trader with that very limiting and strangling mindset. So why does Caleb | ||
449 | |448 |00:38:45 ~-~-> 00:38:49 |want to aim for when he's short, whatever level is high, because that's | ||
450 | |449 |00:38:49 ~-~-> 00:38:53 |the easiest objective to reach. Reach to because if there's a cluster of two, new | ||
451 | |450 |00:38:53 ~-~-> 00:38:57 |week opening gaps, and again, this is applicable to New Day opening gaps too. | ||
452 | |451 |00:38:59 ~-~-> 00:39:02 |How do you how do you determine which one you're going to trade. Michael, | ||
453 | |452 |00:39:02 ~-~-> 00:39:05 |what's what? What is he going to reach for? Well, obviously you're always going | ||
454 | |453 |00:39:05 ~-~-> 00:39:11 |to look for the current New Day opening gap, see where that falls in, in where | ||
455 | |454 |00:39:11 ~-~-> 00:39:15 |price action is trading, and where it could gravitate to. If you're using a | ||
456 | |455 |00:39:15 ~-~-> 00:39:18 |new week opening gaps, then you're going to obviously look for where's this | ||
457 | |456 |00:39:18 ~-~-> 00:39:28 |current new week opening gap. And is it in close proximity in the last five new | ||
458 | |457 |00:39:28 ~-~-> 00:39:32 |day opening gaps, or five new week opening gaps, and if there's an overlap | ||
459 | |458 |00:39:32 ~-~-> 00:39:36 |of any any two is all you need, just two of them. And if there's more than that, | ||
460 | |459 |00:39:36 ~-~-> 00:39:41 |it just means it's going to be a larger degree of probability that it's going to | ||
461 | |460 |00:39:41 ~-~-> 00:39:46 |shift and reprice to that level. Because whether it's been treated and filled in | ||
462 | |461 |00:39:46 ~-~-> 00:39:51 |or not as a gap, it matters not but if the gaps are open and they're unfilled, | ||
463 | |462 |00:39:51 ~-~-> 00:39:55 |like we have here, these two are wonderful. It's going to create, like | ||
464 | |463 |00:39:55 ~-~-> 00:40:01 |this black hole effect. You know, it's not, it's not even. Horizon, which is a | ||
465 | |464 |00:40:01 ~-~-> 00:40:06 |PD array, but it has the effect of event horizon, but on steroids, because it's | ||
466 | |465 |00:40:06 ~-~-> 00:40:10 |going to want to go back down into these areas and revisit them, because they're | ||
467 | |466 |00:40:10 ~-~-> 00:40:14 |natural value areas there. There's an absence of buying and selling at all in | ||
468 | |467 |00:40:14 ~-~-> 00:40:21 |these areas, hence their gap. So because we have an absence of that economic news | ||
469 | |468 |00:40:21 ~-~-> 00:40:26 |driver impact, no medium or high impact news drivers at all on Monday. And it is | ||
470 | |469 |00:40:26 ~-~-> 00:40:31 |a Monday, but it's not a Non Farm Payroll, Friday, Monday. So what do we | ||
471 | |470 |00:40:31 ~-~-> 00:40:38 |do? We trade the pre market session, and we use the draw on liquidity based on | ||
472 | |471 |00:40:38 ~-~-> 00:40:47 |what I'm showing you here. So K Caleb would never reach for an objective | ||
473 | |472 |00:40:48 ~-~-> 00:40:55 |beyond this one here. Okay, you understand that, hopefully by now, | ||
474 | |473 |00:40:55 ~-~-> 00:40:59 |because it's the if you're above the price action or above the draw on | ||
475 | |474 |00:40:59 ~-~-> 00:41:02 |liquid, in this case, this one count these two new week opening gaps, as I | ||
476 | |475 |00:41:02 ~-~-> 00:41:08 |indicated in my tweet this morning, my direction, my bias, Caleb's bias, would | ||
477 | |476 |00:41:08 ~-~-> 00:41:16 |be to expect price to draw down today into this area here the high, the | ||
478 | |477 |00:41:16 ~-~-> 00:41:20 |midpoint and the low of this current new week opening gap. And the new week | ||
479 | |478 |00:41:20 ~-~-> 00:41:26 |opening gap is where we settled last Friday and we opened on Sunday at 6pm | ||
480 | |479 |00:41:26 ~-~-> 00:41:35 |that's what these levels are. Here, okay, and the purple ones just go back | ||
481 | |480 |00:41:35 ~-~-> 00:41:45 |one more week prior. So because these gaps are very often used to be repriced | ||
482 | |481 |00:41:45 ~-~-> 00:41:49 |to it matters not what school of thought you have. You know, if you use all the | ||
483 | |482 |00:41:49 ~-~-> 00:41:54 |other different retail ideas, if you start implementing this as a means of | ||
484 | |483 |00:41:54 ~-~-> 00:42:00 |looking for the as a bias or a session bias, okay, you're going to have a | ||
485 | |484 |00:42:00 ~-~-> 00:42:04 |higher degree of probability stacked in your favor, because this is what the | ||
486 | |485 |00:42:04 ~-~-> 00:42:11 |market does. Okay? I mean, it's a real, plain, simple, generic trait to this. | ||
487 | |486 |00:42:11 ~-~-> 00:42:15 |This. This is what generally will happen every single day, every single week. | ||
488 | |487 |00:42:15 ~-~-> 00:42:18 |These are the things that happen. This is why I know I'm going to find a setup. | ||
489 | |488 |00:42:18 ~-~-> 00:42:23 |This is how I know I'm going to be able to find setups in perpetuity, and the | ||
490 | |489 |00:42:23 ~-~-> 00:42:27 |same thing, you'll feel that same confidence too, when you understand that | ||
491 | |490 |00:42:27 ~-~-> 00:42:32 |these things tend to repeat a lot. And you don't need to go into half of the | ||
492 | |491 |00:42:32 ~-~-> 00:42:38 |gap, the lower half of the gap, the upper quadrant, the lower quadrant, and | ||
493 | |492 |00:42:38 ~-~-> 00:42:42 |you don't have to go into the other previous week's new week, opening up to | ||
494 | |493 |00:42:42 ~-~-> 00:42:48 |find profit. Now think about the logic with that, versus what you're trying to | ||
495 | |494 |00:42:48 ~-~-> 00:42:51 |do, probably right now, or what you've been doing probably for months, or | ||
496 | |495 |00:42:51 ~-~-> 00:42:55 |failed at keeping a funded account, or never getting a funded account in your | ||
497 | |496 |00:42:55 ~-~-> 00:42:59 |prop firm, trading or blowing live accounts, or going into severe drawdown, | ||
498 | |497 |00:43:00 ~-~-> 00:43:04 |because many times you're probably reaching for things that are so beyond | ||
499 | |498 |00:43:04 ~-~-> 00:43:09 |the scope of your present skill set. And it doesn't matter how many years you've | ||
500 | |499 |00:43:09 ~-~-> 00:43:16 |been trying to trade, you still have a very small capability because you | ||
501 | |500 |00:43:16 ~-~-> 00:43:20 |haven't found consistency yet that the length of time doing it is not a direct | ||
502 | |501 |00:43:20 ~-~-> 00:43:23 |correlation to how good you should be, because you can waste a lot of time | ||
503 | |502 |00:43:24 ~-~-> 00:43:29 |doing all the wrong things and lie to yourself saying, but I do study, but I | ||
504 | |503 |00:43:29 ~-~-> 00:43:35 |do take notes, but because I I do back test, what you do with your time, how | ||
505 | |504 |00:43:35 ~-~-> 00:43:40 |you condition yourself mentally while Doing those things. That's going to have | ||
506 | |505 |00:43:40 ~-~-> 00:43:48 |a direct result or impact on the outcome of what it is you're forming as a model. | ||
507 | |506 |00:43:49 ~-~-> 00:43:53 |And if you don't put the work into identifying those things and being | ||
508 | |507 |00:43:53 ~-~-> 00:43:58 |critical about the importance of them, you'll try to hold on to a trade. And | ||
509 | |508 |00:43:58 ~-~-> 00:44:01 |I'm sure you probably have had this happen before. You're going to trade, | ||
510 | |509 |00:44:01 ~-~-> 00:44:05 |and you're looking for an objective that probably pays out over $1,000 or more. | ||
511 | |510 |00:44:05 ~-~-> 00:44:09 |And if you're doing multiple contracts, it's you're doing the math on this is | ||
512 | |511 |00:44:09 ~-~-> 00:44:15 |going to be great. I'm going to have a $20,000 winning day. Or this will put me | ||
513 | |512 |00:44:15 ~-~-> 00:44:18 |to a point where I can ask for a five figure, you know, payout, or get a | ||
514 | |513 |00:44:18 ~-~-> 00:44:23 |withdrawal from the actual broker. And then you start feeling that, what if it | ||
515 | |514 |00:44:23 ~-~-> 00:44:28 |doesn't get there, and what happens if it never really gets to my target? And | ||
516 | |515 |00:44:28 ~-~-> 00:44:31 |now you're worried about never getting to your target, versus sticking to the | ||
517 | |516 |00:44:31 ~-~-> 00:44:35 |model that says you just should hold it for your target. Isn't that funny how | ||
518 | |517 |00:44:35 ~-~-> 00:44:39 |that works. You start thinking about the very thing that you don't want to see | ||
519 | |518 |00:44:39 ~-~-> 00:44:43 |happen. Instead of saying, Am I seeing everything that still indicates this is | ||
520 | |519 |00:44:43 ~-~-> 00:44:47 |the likelihood that I started to trade on. The premise was it should trade to | ||
521 | |520 |00:44:47 ~-~-> 00:44:51 |my target. Are you looking for signatures and validation behind that | ||
522 | |521 |00:44:51 ~-~-> 00:44:55 |technical aspect that you entered on? Are those still being seen in that | ||
523 | |522 |00:44:55 ~-~-> 00:44:59 |chart? Is price still indicating those things are true? As long as that. | ||
524 | |523 |00:45:00 ~-~-> 00:45:08 |Happen, or as long as that doesn't fail, or it no longer is in price action, | ||
525 | |524 |00:45:08 ~-~-> 00:45:12 |supporting your idea you shouldn't be thinking about your trade failing, | ||
526 | |525 |00:45:13 ~-~-> 00:45:16 |because what you're doing is you're teaching yourself to have negative | ||
527 | |526 |00:45:17 ~-~-> 00:45:22 |concern while the trades underway, and you wonder why you're fearful, and you | ||
528 | |527 |00:45:22 ~-~-> 00:45:26 |wonder why you're afraid of losing because you're constantly reflecting | ||
529 | |528 |00:45:26 ~-~-> 00:45:30 |inside and maybe outwardly that, man, I know this is going to turn around. How | ||
530 | |529 |00:45:30 ~-~-> 00:45:33 |many times have you said that? Oh, man, I better get out. But you're not getting | ||
531 | |530 |00:45:33 ~-~-> 00:45:36 |out. Man, I know if I, if I gather this trade, I know it's going to do this or | ||
532 | |531 |00:45:36 ~-~-> 00:45:41 |do that. The fact that you're even doing those things, you're not in control of | ||
533 | |532 |00:45:41 ~-~-> 00:45:47 |yourself. You're not in control. You're not You're not driving anymore. Your | ||
534 | |533 |00:45:47 ~-~-> 00:45:52 |emotions are driving. And the first tree that you come to, that's what you're | ||
535 | |534 |00:45:52 ~-~-> 00:45:57 |going to run into, that means you're going to impulsively do something, or | ||
536 | |535 |00:45:57 ~-~-> 00:46:02 |you're going to get reckless. And then what that does, it becomes a shift in | ||
537 | |536 |00:46:02 ~-~-> 00:46:08 |your mindset, where it becomes gamblers numbness, if you constantly talk to | ||
538 | |537 |00:46:08 ~-~-> 00:46:11 |yourself out loud or internally, but worse, outside of you know, with your | ||
539 | |538 |00:46:11 ~-~-> 00:46:15 |tongue saying it. I know this is going to turn on me. I know this isn't going | ||
540 | |539 |00:46:15 ~-~-> 00:46:18 |to hit my target. I know I should just get out right now, but you're saying f | ||
541 | |540 |00:46:18 ~-~-> 00:46:22 |it, I'm just going to hold on to it. But you're really killing yourself like | ||
542 | |541 |00:46:22 ~-~-> 00:46:24 |you're you're beating yourself up, dragging yourself across the coals, | ||
543 | |542 |00:46:24 ~-~-> 00:46:28 |telling yourself you're not going to get out, but inside your wrestling, just get | ||
544 | |543 |00:46:28 ~-~-> 00:46:34 |out. Just get out. But you think it's weakness if you get out, and you start | ||
545 | |544 |00:46:34 ~-~-> 00:46:37 |this whole wrestling match with different perspectives, and you're | ||
546 | |545 |00:46:37 ~-~-> 00:46:42 |arguing with with multiple versions of yourself, and then when it gets so bad, | ||
547 | |546 |00:46:42 ~-~-> 00:46:46 |you'll start saying it out loud, like you're talking to yourself as a separate | ||
548 | |547 |00:46:46 ~-~-> 00:46:52 |person. The entire time. You're not watching price, you're just wrestling | ||
549 | |548 |00:46:52 ~-~-> 00:46:57 |and arguing with yourself about staying with the trade or getting out of it. To | ||
550 | |549 |00:46:57 ~-~-> 00:47:02 |avoid that for Caleb, and to avoid the things that were happening like that. | ||
551 | |550 |00:47:02 ~-~-> 00:47:07 |For me when I was younger, into my 20 years old, initial soiree into trading, | ||
552 | |551 |00:47:08 ~-~-> 00:47:12 |I had a lot of that stuff, like I had full conversations with myself. Why | ||
553 | |552 |00:47:12 ~-~-> 00:47:15 |aren't you taking this trades exit right here? Why aren't you doing that? Well, | ||
554 | |553 |00:47:15 ~-~-> 00:47:17 |here's the reasons why. What are you doing? | ||
555 | |554 |00:47:18 ~-~-> 00:47:22 |You're literally distracting yourself from the the task at hand, which is | ||
556 | |555 |00:47:22 ~-~-> 00:47:26 |stick to the model. Is the model still active? Is it still valid? That's what | ||
557 | |556 |00:47:26 ~-~-> 00:47:30 |you're supposed to be focusing on. And you do positive self talk. You remind | ||
558 | |557 |00:47:30 ~-~-> 00:47:33 |yourself when the trade is panning out in your favor, these are the things that | ||
559 | |558 |00:47:33 ~-~-> 00:47:37 |are going positive for the trade. You're not lying to yourself. If it's not | ||
560 | |559 |00:47:37 ~-~-> 00:47:40 |there, you're not going to you're not going to say it, right? But it is | ||
561 | |560 |00:47:40 ~-~-> 00:47:44 |something you constantly have to refer to, and then if it does turn around, | ||
562 | |561 |00:47:44 ~-~-> 00:47:49 |stop you out. Okay, that was a cost of business. It doesn't mean it's the end | ||
563 | |562 |00:47:49 ~-~-> 00:47:51 |of your career. Doesn't mean your model's broken. Doesn't mean it doesn't | ||
564 | |563 |00:47:51 ~-~-> 00:47:55 |have the ability to find another winning trade in the future. Does it mean that | ||
565 | |564 |00:47:55 ~-~-> 00:47:58 |you're bad? It just means that that transaction said This is enough for | ||
566 | |565 |00:47:58 ~-~-> 00:48:02 |right now. Come back another day or come back on another opportunity. That's all | ||
567 | |566 |00:48:02 ~-~-> 00:48:08 |it means. It just means respawn on another setup, and there it is. It | ||
568 | |567 |00:48:08 ~-~-> 00:48:12 |doesn't mean get right back in either. It doesn't mean go back in with more | ||
569 | |568 |00:48:12 ~-~-> 00:48:18 |contracts. It just means that it was enough for right now and you missed a | ||
570 | |569 |00:48:18 ~-~-> 00:48:21 |better opportunity to exit. But you'll get better at doing that over time. | ||
571 | |570 |00:48:21 ~-~-> 00:48:25 |That's how you should take a loss. That's how you should tell yourself, | ||
572 | |571 |00:48:25 ~-~-> 00:48:29 |that's what I just that's what I just experienced. And that's not a toxic | ||
573 | |572 |00:48:29 ~-~-> 00:48:38 |thing. That's not a bad thing. But if you start this whole process with, okay, | ||
574 | |573 |00:48:39 ~-~-> 00:48:48 |I'm trying to make money, but I'm real. I'm a practical person. I know that my | ||
575 | |574 |00:48:48 ~-~-> 00:48:51 |skill set, because I just started studying these things from ICTs YouTube | ||
576 | |575 |00:48:51 ~-~-> 00:48:56 |channel, I don't have the real skill to implement the things that I see him | ||
577 | |576 |00:48:56 ~-~-> 00:49:01 |doing and his other students, because I'm just starting. So how can I go about | ||
578 | |577 |00:49:01 ~-~-> 00:49:06 |framing a very easy, low hanging fruit objective? So that way I don't have to | ||
579 | |578 |00:49:06 ~-~-> 00:49:09 |work so hard, I don't have to build these unrealistic expectations about | ||
580 | |579 |00:49:09 ~-~-> 00:49:15 |what I should be able to accomplish in my trades too soon. So that way I am | ||
581 | |580 |00:49:15 ~-~-> 00:49:20 |always on this positive continuum of progress, and I always feel like I'm | ||
582 | |581 |00:49:20 ~-~-> 00:49:27 |getting better and not stagnating or going backwards. Every day is an | ||
583 | |582 |00:49:27 ~-~-> 00:49:30 |opportunity for you to improve upon yourself from where you were the day | ||
584 | |583 |00:49:30 ~-~-> 00:49:36 |before, but you are making it impossible if you're not being real, if you're if | ||
585 | |584 |00:49:36 ~-~-> 00:49:40 |you're out there thinking you're going to get $1,000 per contract every single | ||
586 | |585 |00:49:40 ~-~-> 00:49:45 |time you get into a trade, and you just recently started, your expectations too | ||
587 | |586 |00:49:45 ~-~-> 00:49:50 |high, and I mean that even if I was trading in front of you and told you | ||
588 | |587 |00:49:50 ~-~-> 00:49:53 |what my entries were and I was consistently delivering, that you would | ||
589 | |588 |00:49:53 ~-~-> 00:49:57 |still mess it up because of your inability to trust what it is that | ||
590 | |589 |00:49:57 ~-~-> 00:50:01 |you're doing, and you're going to feel this emotion. Stimuli rise up in you, | ||
591 | |590 |00:50:02 ~-~-> 00:50:06 |and you'll start feeling afraid when you're making money, and then you'll be | ||
592 | |591 |00:50:06 ~-~-> 00:50:09 |distracted, and you'll start going to this loop of, what should I do? Should I | ||
593 | |592 |00:50:09 ~-~-> 00:50:12 |do this? Should I do that? And you're not doing what you're supposed to be | ||
594 | |593 |00:50:12 ~-~-> 00:50:15 |doing as a trader, which is following price action, following the model, | ||
595 | |594 |00:50:15 ~-~-> 00:50:19 |indicating that, is it valid still, or is it not valid? That's trade | ||
596 | |595 |00:50:19 ~-~-> 00:50:26 |management. But the reality is, everybody's, course, everybody's book, | ||
597 | |596 |00:50:27 ~-~-> 00:50:34 |everybody's live stream, everything that you get involved with is always about | ||
598 | |597 |00:50:34 ~-~-> 00:50:40 |getting into a trade. That's what it's all about. The action of getting into a | ||
599 | |598 |00:50:40 ~-~-> 00:50:47 |trade. Nobody has a deficiency in finding a reason to get into the market. | ||
600 | |599 |00:50:47 ~-~-> 00:50:51 |Okay, everybody has a reason to get into it. You can just stump your toe and say, | ||
601 | |600 |00:50:51 ~-~-> 00:50:54 |Oh, well, you know, last time I did that, I made money. Let me just go out | ||
602 | |601 |00:50:54 ~-~-> 00:50:56 |here and just try to buy something today, because I feel like I gotta | ||
603 | |602 |00:50:56 ~-~-> 00:51:00 |replace this bad feeling of pain. That's an instigation for you to go out and do | ||
604 | |603 |00:51:00 ~-~-> 00:51:06 |it. So nobody needs any help in that, in that area. But what I have noticed, and | ||
605 | |604 |00:51:06 ~-~-> 00:51:14 |what I had to fortify in my own trading were reasons to justify why Enough is | ||
606 | |605 |00:51:14 ~-~-> 00:51:19 |enough. If you think that your trade should yield you $1,000 what's wrong | ||
607 | |606 |00:51:19 ~-~-> 00:51:28 |with making $250 it's $250 you didn't have before, and in your early infancy | ||
608 | |607 |00:51:28 ~-~-> 00:51:32 |as a trader, that's developing as an analyst, as a technician, learning how | ||
609 | |608 |00:51:32 ~-~-> 00:51:35 |to do these things and read price. You don't know if that trade's going to | ||
610 | |609 |00:51:35 ~-~-> 00:51:40 |yield to $1,000 for you. You don't know that. You don't know the things that are | ||
611 | |610 |00:51:41 ~-~-> 00:51:50 |positive for that outcome to be expected in the same token you don't recognize or | ||
612 | |611 |00:51:50 ~-~-> 00:51:54 |know what the things are going to be that say, No, it's not going to go there | ||
613 | |612 |00:51:54 ~-~-> 00:51:58 |while you're in the trade. So in the beginning, it's real important for Caleb | ||
614 | |613 |00:51:58 ~-~-> 00:52:03 |and anyone else that's brand new to say, Okay, I need to have a very small, low | ||
615 | |614 |00:52:03 ~-~-> 00:52:08 |threshold objective. Okay, I suggest, I suggest this many times in Twitter | ||
616 | |615 |00:52:08 ~-~-> 00:52:15 |spaces, other lectures or whatnot. And I did a lot of that last year. And one of | ||
617 | |616 |00:52:15 ~-~-> 00:52:20 |the youtubers that has went out there and very transparently done it used the | ||
618 | |617 |00:52:20 ~-~-> 00:52:25 |idea of just taking 10 handles in the NASDAQ, taking 10 handles and making his | ||
619 | |618 |00:52:25 ~-~-> 00:52:31 |entire model that and get out. And he took over $300,000 out of the prof | ||
620 | |619 |00:52:31 ~-~-> 00:52:37 |companies, Matt Miller, or you may know him as trades by Matt. So he did this | ||
621 | |620 |00:52:37 ~-~-> 00:52:41 |like he did it. Okay? It's you can say whatever you want to say about him. You | ||
622 | |621 |00:52:41 ~-~-> 00:52:44 |know, I don't I don't have anything I could say bad about him. I think he's he | ||
623 | |622 |00:52:44 ~-~-> 00:52:49 |runs a good community. I think what he does is everybody should act. He stays | ||
624 | |623 |00:52:49 ~-~-> 00:52:53 |in his lane, doesn't bother anybody else, and just does it. And doesn't | ||
625 | |624 |00:52:53 ~-~-> 00:52:57 |always make money, but he's the only one I saw take $300,000 out of the pro firm, | ||
626 | |625 |00:52:57 ~-~-> 00:53:02 |except for my student that just smashed it with almost $2 million he I don't | ||
627 | |626 |00:53:02 ~-~-> 00:53:05 |think he'll call himself my stupid book. That's another discussion for the other | ||
628 | |627 |00:53:06 ~-~-> 00:53:12 |day. But the idea is that you have to have some kind of early exit strategy | ||
629 | |628 |00:53:13 ~-~-> 00:53:19 |that you can live with, but you're going to hit 90 plus percent of the time. Now | ||
630 | |629 |00:53:19 ~-~-> 00:53:23 |that doesn't mean you have a 90% strike rate and you don't lose, but just 10% of | ||
631 | |630 |00:53:23 ~-~-> 00:53:28 |time, it just means 90% of the trades that you enter you're going to execute | ||
632 | |631 |00:53:28 ~-~-> 00:53:33 |on this basis, meaning that you can see the trade going further. And you're | ||
633 | |632 |00:53:33 ~-~-> 00:53:37 |going to wrestle with this in the beginning. It's going to feel like, why | ||
634 | |633 |00:53:37 ~-~-> 00:53:43 |do this? I'm going to tell you why do this. You have to have the comfort of | ||
635 | |634 |00:53:43 ~-~-> 00:53:52 |knowing that what you're doing repeats a lot, $20,000 payouts every single week. | ||
636 | |635 |00:53:53 ~-~-> 00:53:56 |I don't care how good you are when you're when you're first finding your | ||
637 | |636 |00:53:56 ~-~-> 00:54:01 |rhythm in this you might find your first $20,000 payout or profit withdrawal, but | ||
638 | |637 |00:54:03 ~-~-> 00:54:07 |you're not going to be able to do that every single week, not right away. You | ||
639 | |638 |00:54:07 ~-~-> 00:54:10 |won't, and then you're going to be rushing to try to duplicate that or | ||
640 | |639 |00:54:10 ~-~-> 00:54:15 |double it. What happens if I do five times that? Then I got a six figure | ||
641 | |640 |00:54:15 ~-~-> 00:54:19 |payout or a six figure withdrawal, and I can be part of the $100,000 club. | ||
642 | |641 |00:54:20 ~-~-> 00:54:23 |Everybody will find respect in me in that regard. If I do that, what are you | ||
643 | |642 |00:54:23 ~-~-> 00:54:26 |doing? You're not trading for money. You're not running a business. You're | ||
644 | |643 |00:54:26 ~-~-> 00:54:33 |trying to get clout. You can make all the money in the world, all the money in | ||
645 | |644 |00:54:33 ~-~-> 00:54:38 |the world that you'd ever need and want. If you take yourself away from those | ||
646 | |645 |00:54:38 ~-~-> 00:54:42 |things initially, that doesn't mean you can't come back to it later on, when you | ||
647 | |646 |00:54:42 ~-~-> 00:54:46 |learn how to do these things consistently. But if everything you're | ||
648 | |647 |00:54:46 ~-~-> 00:54:50 |trying to do is an image based marketing thing, doesn't it make sense for you to | ||
649 | |648 |00:54:50 ~-~-> 00:54:56 |be consistent? Doesn't it mean that you should have some kind of track record | ||
650 | |649 |00:54:56 ~-~-> 00:54:59 |where you can show that what you're doing that you're going to try to | ||
651 | |650 |00:54:59 ~-~-> 00:55:03 |garner? Attention from whether it be signals or live stream or whatever it | ||
652 | |651 |00:55:03 ~-~-> 00:55:10 |is, you're going to do the surest, fastest way to get there is to look for | ||
653 | |652 |00:55:10 ~-~-> 00:55:16 |low hanging fruit. Objectives, I promise you this, okay? I promise you you think | ||
654 | |653 |00:55:16 ~-~-> 00:55:21 |that $250 isn't enough right now, it's not it's not enough right now, because | ||
655 | |654 |00:55:21 ~-~-> 00:55:24 |you see my results, you see my students results, you see other people out there | ||
656 | |655 |00:55:24 ~-~-> 00:55:29 |getting their results, and they're getting paid with real money, and you're | ||
657 | |656 |00:55:29 ~-~-> 00:55:32 |trying to measure up to that stuff, and you're thinking, wow, you know, I'm | ||
658 | |657 |00:55:32 ~-~-> 00:55:35 |going to have to do a whole lot more than that, or people won't recognize | ||
659 | |658 |00:55:35 ~-~-> 00:55:40 |you. That's bullshit, because I have a great deal of respect for someone that | ||
660 | |659 |00:55:40 ~-~-> 00:55:45 |can walk out there every single day and find the reoccurring pattern, not just | ||
661 | |660 |00:55:45 ~-~-> 00:55:48 |throw the dice and I made 250 bucks. You're trying to do something different | ||
662 | |661 |00:55:48 ~-~-> 00:55:52 |every day, and just happen to get 250 bucks chasing momentum that, to me, is | ||
663 | |662 |00:55:52 ~-~-> 00:55:56 |absolutely skillless. That's no skill. That's that's tantamount to go into the | ||
664 | |663 |00:55:56 ~-~-> 00:56:01 |casino or playing the lottery. You have no model. If it's moving, let's run | ||
665 | |664 |00:56:01 ~-~-> 00:56:06 |after it and chase it. If you if your trading model is like a dog chasing | ||
666 | |665 |00:56:06 ~-~-> 00:56:12 |cars, there's a lot of dogs that chase cars, but a lot of dogs don't live long | ||
667 | |666 |00:56:12 ~-~-> 00:56:18 |doing that. And I think that someone that has a model that frames out the | ||
668 | |667 |00:56:18 ~-~-> 00:56:25 |basis for finding that $250 that tends to repeat based on reoccurring | ||
669 | |668 |00:56:25 ~-~-> 00:56:31 |phenomenon, things that have a reoccurring basis, that this is what it | ||
670 | |669 |00:56:31 ~-~-> 00:56:35 |does at this time of day. I'm looking for this. Where should the market draw | ||
671 | |670 |00:56:35 ~-~-> 00:56:41 |to new week opening gaps or New Day opening gaps. That is not ambiguous. | ||
672 | |671 |00:56:42 ~-~-> 00:56:46 |That is not something that's complex, folks, that's very, very simple stuff. | ||
673 | |672 |00:56:47 ~-~-> 00:56:52 |That's the easiest thing in the world. No moving average is required. No V wop, | ||
674 | |673 |00:56:52 ~-~-> 00:56:57 |nothing. None of that stuff. No higher Time Frame, top down. Announce approach. | ||
675 | |674 |00:56:57 ~-~-> 00:57:03 |None of that stuff's required. None of that is, how do you supercharge it when | ||
676 | |675 |00:57:03 ~-~-> 00:57:05 |you have a gap opening? | ||
677 | |676 |00:57:07 ~-~-> 00:57:11 |So at 930 if we gapped higher than when we settled the previous day, what's the | ||
678 | |677 |00:57:11 ~-~-> 00:57:15 |previous day? On a Monday, Friday, we had that today too. So that's why I was | ||
679 | |678 |00:57:15 ~-~-> 00:57:20 |confident. Told you in that tweet, I'm comfortable, and I like the idea of | ||
680 | |679 |00:57:20 ~-~-> 00:57:23 |these new weak opening gaps clustered as a draw in liquidity. Where did the | ||
681 | |680 |00:57:23 ~-~-> 00:57:30 |market go when your charts did go parabolically higher today? No, went | ||
682 | |681 |00:57:30 ~-~-> 00:57:34 |right down into these areas here, and it still hasn't touched the consequent | ||
683 | |682 |00:57:34 ~-~-> 00:57:39 |encroachment or midpoint. And it further validates what I'm teaching you and what | ||
684 | |683 |00:57:39 ~-~-> 00:57:45 |I taught my sons that they can, see Dad, do really amazing objectives and and | ||
685 | |684 |00:57:45 ~-~-> 00:57:49 |they can go trade right to the tick high or just a few ticks away from the high | ||
686 | |685 |00:57:50 ~-~-> 00:57:53 |of the day, of the session of the morning price Swing, swing, or the | ||
687 | |686 |00:57:53 ~-~-> 00:57:59 |afternoon price swing. And that's a that's a goal for them, but that's not a | ||
688 | |687 |00:57:59 ~-~-> 00:58:03 |I gotta do it that way, or it fails, or if I can't do that, I'm a failure, or | ||
689 | |688 |00:58:03 ~-~-> 00:58:07 |there's no sense in worrying about doing it at all if I can't do it that way, | ||
690 | |689 |00:58:08 ~-~-> 00:58:14 |versus as their dad, as their mentor, too, and as your mentor, I'm reminding | ||
691 | |690 |00:58:14 ~-~-> 00:58:21 |you that if you find a way for yourself just starting out, if you can find 250 | ||
692 | |691 |00:58:22 ~-~-> 00:58:27 |200 bucks, 100 bucks doesn't have to be these, these specific numbers, but you | ||
693 | |692 |00:58:27 ~-~-> 00:58:32 |have to have something that you'd say, Okay, if I go out every day and I look | ||
694 | |693 |00:58:32 ~-~-> 00:58:37 |for this very easy objective of, whatever it is that you're trying to, | ||
695 | |694 |00:58:37 ~-~-> 00:58:41 |you know, take down, I say 250 bucks because, you know, that's a really good | ||
696 | |695 |00:58:41 ~-~-> 00:58:46 |living. In addition to having whatever your job is, I don't even care if you | ||
697 | |696 |00:58:46 ~-~-> 00:58:50 |have a low income paying job right now, most people, by definition, in America | ||
698 | |697 |00:58:50 ~-~-> 00:58:56 |right now, are working a low paid job because inflation ravished everything. I | ||
699 | |698 |00:58:56 ~-~-> 00:58:59 |feel the pinch when I go out and spend groceries. I don't. I don't like that. I | ||
700 | |699 |00:58:59 ~-~-> 00:59:03 |have to spend that much, I think it's, it's a travesty, you know, and I think | ||
701 | |700 |00:59:03 ~-~-> 00:59:07 |about how everyone else is trying to do it, and I don't know how they're doing | ||
702 | |701 |00:59:07 ~-~-> 00:59:10 |it, like, I don't know how anybody else that doesn't have some measure of income | ||
703 | |702 |00:59:10 ~-~-> 00:59:18 |or cash flow coming in, how can you all be making it? It's got to be hard. So by | ||
704 | |703 |00:59:18 ~-~-> 00:59:24 |having some low threshold that frames your result on this is what I believe I | ||
705 | |704 |00:59:24 ~-~-> 00:59:30 |can find this every single day, meaning you can get 10 handles in the NASDAQ, or | ||
706 | |705 |00:59:30 ~-~-> 00:59:35 |15 handles in the NASDAQ, or 20 handles in the NASDAQ, or five handles in the S | ||
707 | |706 |00:59:35 ~-~-> 00:59:39 |P, or 10 handles in the S P every single day, It might require you to do two | ||
708 | |707 |00:59:39 ~-~-> 00:59:45 |trades, four future trade with a 15 minute time frame, just one trade and | ||
709 | |708 |00:59:45 ~-~-> 00:59:50 |get it easily using a one minute or 15 second chart to get yourself into a move | ||
710 | |709 |00:59:50 ~-~-> 00:59:54 |that's already started recurring, you know, reacting off a higher Time Frame, | ||
711 | |710 |00:59:54 ~-~-> 00:59:57 |meaning that 15 minutes is the high time frame for day trading. You don't need to | ||
712 | |711 |00:59:57 ~-~-> 01:00:02 |go up to a daily chart. You don't need to go to. Narrowly chart, but using | ||
713 | |712 |01:00:02 ~-~-> 01:00:09 |these ideas to frame out a very easy objective, and it frees you up. It gives | ||
714 | |713 |01:00:09 ~-~-> 01:00:14 |you permission to not be perfect, because I wrestle and men I'm telling | ||
715 | |714 |01:00:14 ~-~-> 01:00:17 |you right now, you can lie and say that you don't think this, but you're | ||
716 | |715 |01:00:17 ~-~-> 01:00:22 |absolutely doing this. You want to be better than the last thing that I posted | ||
717 | |716 |01:00:22 ~-~-> 01:00:26 |or someone else posted, that's exactly what you're doing. Your next trait. I'm | ||
718 | |717 |01:00:26 ~-~-> 01:00:29 |going to do something more impressive. I'm going to prove myself. I'm going to | ||
719 | |718 |01:00:29 ~-~-> 01:00:32 |prove this. I'm going to and the only thing end up proving is is you're not | ||
720 | |719 |01:00:34 ~-~-> 01:00:38 |ready. Why? Because you're trying to make the outcome an Olympic feat that | ||
721 | |720 |01:00:38 ~-~-> 01:00:42 |noone else asked you to do that. I'm your teacher, I'm your mentor, and I'm | ||
722 | |721 |01:00:42 ~-~-> 01:00:49 |telling you, start on the lowest threshold. I'm not hindering you. But | ||
723 | |722 |01:00:49 ~-~-> 01:00:54 |many people will hear me say this, and I'll be honest with you, if I was out | ||
724 | |723 |01:00:54 ~-~-> 01:00:58 |there trying to make my grocery money, trying to sell mentorships and bullshit | ||
725 | |724 |01:00:58 ~-~-> 01:01:02 |like that, right now, if I need the money, I would attack my angle of | ||
726 | |725 |01:01:02 ~-~-> 01:01:05 |approach and say, Who would you rather learn from? Someone's going to go out | ||
727 | |726 |01:01:05 ~-~-> 01:01:09 |there and tell you to to try to make 250 books, or someone that can take down | ||
728 | |727 |01:01:09 ~-~-> 01:01:12 |3500 hours every single day. And here's how I'm going to do it, and show you how | ||
729 | |728 |01:01:12 ~-~-> 01:01:16 |to do it too. I would mark it that way because I can do 3500 easy every single | ||
730 | |729 |01:01:16 ~-~-> 01:01:20 |day. That's an easy thing for me. And I could attack someone that would be | ||
731 | |730 |01:01:20 ~-~-> 01:01:24 |teaching this approach, but I'm the same guy that tells you what's going to | ||
732 | |731 |01:01:24 ~-~-> 01:01:28 |happen before it happens to the tick. And I've created millionaire students. | ||
733 | |732 |01:01:28 ~-~-> 01:01:32 |Now, okay, it's documented. I have other people out there you're never going to | ||
734 | |733 |01:01:32 ~-~-> 01:01:36 |meet, but now you see these people. They brought the receipts forward, and it is | ||
735 | |734 |01:01:36 ~-~-> 01:01:39 |what it is. No one can argue against that. So they're using the things I'm | ||
736 | |735 |01:01:39 ~-~-> 01:01:43 |teaching. But not all of you are equipped to get to their ability or | ||
737 | |736 |01:01:43 ~-~-> 01:01:48 |prowess right away. It's going to take you a little bit of time. So how do you | ||
738 | |737 |01:01:48 ~-~-> 01:01:53 |graduate into that the right way? Not rushed, not feeling like you missed the | ||
739 | |738 |01:01:53 ~-~-> 01:01:56 |right playlist on my YouTube channel that could have made it easier for you. | ||
740 | |739 |01:01:56 ~-~-> 01:02:02 |The 2024 playlist is the right one, because everything I've said here, I've | ||
741 | |740 |01:02:02 ~-~-> 01:02:06 |counseled you at different parts and times to go into other playlists for | ||
742 | |741 |01:02:06 ~-~-> 01:02:10 |certain and specific reasons. But getting into the marketplace for the | ||
743 | |742 |01:02:10 ~-~-> 01:02:13 |first time, hitting the ground running, listen to someone that's telling you | ||
744 | |743 |01:02:13 ~-~-> 01:02:19 |beforehand in real price action, using real money, not always a demo account, | ||
745 | |744 |01:02:20 ~-~-> 01:02:25 |this stuff works, and you could stop your job very easily within 18 months. | ||
746 | |745 |01:02:26 ~-~-> 01:02:29 |Now there's going to be people that say, Hey, we're going to teach you how to get | ||
747 | |746 |01:02:29 ~-~-> 01:02:35 |this in 12 weeks or less. I promise you, you're going to crash and burn. I | ||
748 | |747 |01:02:35 ~-~-> 01:02:39 |promise you that's always high pressure sales. It's always guaranteed that's | ||
749 | |748 |01:02:39 ~-~-> 01:02:44 |exactly what it is. Okay? I'm trying to remind you that there is no race here. | ||
750 | |749 |01:02:44 ~-~-> 01:02:48 |There's no sprint required, and you need to take your time in the beginning, | ||
751 | |750 |01:02:48 ~-~-> 01:02:52 |because everybody and myself was included in this. If you rush this in | ||
752 | |751 |01:02:52 ~-~-> 01:02:56 |the beginning, or if you've been doing it for years and you've not been able to | ||
753 | |752 |01:02:56 ~-~-> 01:03:03 |find consistency, the surest way to get there is lower your expectation and aim | ||
754 | |753 |01:03:03 ~-~-> 01:03:07 |for the easiest objective. Yes, it's sexy. If you could get a shortened trade | ||
755 | |754 |01:03:07 ~-~-> 01:03:11 |and get out at the low of the new week opening gap. Yes, it would absolutely be | ||
756 | |755 |01:03:11 ~-~-> 01:03:18 |impressive to me too. I would give you, Hey man, well done. Awesome. But I'm | ||
757 | |756 |01:03:18 ~-~-> 01:03:23 |more impressed for someone that's brand new, to admit that they don't have the | ||
758 | |757 |01:03:23 ~-~-> 01:03:27 |skill set yet, but they're aiming for it, and they're working diligently every | ||
759 | |758 |01:03:27 ~-~-> 01:03:33 |single day to acquire that. And then, by doing these things, aiming for something | ||
760 | |759 |01:03:33 ~-~-> 01:03:37 |that's low hanging fruit, very easy objective, and they're consistently | ||
761 | |760 |01:03:37 ~-~-> 01:03:41 |hitting it. You know what that means? They're a better trader than the guy or | ||
762 | |761 |01:03:41 ~-~-> 01:03:45 |gal that says, hey, this week or this day I got that target that one time. | ||
763 | |762 |01:03:47 ~-~-> 01:03:52 |Which one's going to be more apt to be able to replicate it, getting the new | ||
764 | |763 |01:03:52 ~-~-> 01:03:56 |week, opening that low on a short every single time you take a short or hitting | ||
765 | |764 |01:03:56 ~-~-> 01:04:02 |your $250 target. Clearly, it goes. Without saying, the person that has a | ||
766 | |765 |01:04:02 ~-~-> 01:04:06 |very low hanging fruit objective making $250 so if your trading is always based | ||
767 | |766 |01:04:06 ~-~-> 01:04:13 |on the Olympic feat result at the end, if it's always based on that, always | ||
768 | |767 |01:04:13 ~-~-> 01:04:17 |based on some high end expectation that's really meant to impress everybody | ||
769 | |768 |01:04:17 ~-~-> 01:04:21 |else versus I'm making money consistently and I'm not working hard or | ||
770 | |769 |01:04:21 ~-~-> 01:04:27 |struggling with stress while doing it. Everybody's swinging for the fence is | ||
771 | |770 |01:04:27 ~-~-> 01:04:31 |always sweating bullets. Believe me, their asshole is puckering every single | ||
772 | |771 |01:04:31 ~-~-> 01:04:34 |time their trades in drawdown while they're in it, and they still might be | ||
773 | |772 |01:04:34 ~-~-> 01:04:38 |profitable at the end of that trade, but while it's ticking against them, their | ||
774 | |773 |01:04:38 ~-~-> 01:04:42 |asshole is tighter than a bull's ass, squeezing up, squeezing up, thinking, oh | ||
775 | |774 |01:04:42 ~-~-> 01:04:47 |man, here's here. Here comes. Here it comes. The eventual loser is going to | ||
776 | |775 |01:04:47 ~-~-> 01:04:50 |come, and here it is at my highest leverage, and that's when they that's | ||
777 | |776 |01:04:50 ~-~-> 01:04:53 |when it's absolutely going to come. But you know what happens when you trade | ||
778 | |777 |01:04:53 ~-~-> 01:04:59 |with the lowest threshold objective? In mind, your goal is a very small, easily. | ||
779 | |778 |01:05:00 ~-~-> 01:05:04 |Reached objective when you're brand new, you're teaching yourself to take more | ||
780 | |779 |01:05:04 ~-~-> 01:05:09 |emphasis and place it behind consistency versus I need to make more money to so | ||
781 | |780 |01:05:09 ~-~-> 01:05:17 |it can be impressive to my loved one, my partner, my co workers, myself, or the | ||
782 | |781 |01:05:17 ~-~-> 01:05:20 |people online that don't give a shit about you. They don't care about you. | ||
783 | |782 |01:05:21 ~-~-> 01:05:24 |They don't care about you, and you're trying to win these people over that | ||
784 | |783 |01:05:24 ~-~-> 01:05:27 |you're never going to hang out with, you're never going to come to dinner on | ||
785 | |784 |01:05:27 ~-~-> 01:05:30 |Thanksgiving. You're not buying them anything for Christmas, and they sure as | ||
786 | |785 |01:05:30 ~-~-> 01:05:34 |hell ain't giving you anything. But you place so much emphasis on pleasing these | ||
787 | |786 |01:05:34 ~-~-> 01:05:39 |other people versus spending the time properly with very sober minded | ||
788 | |787 |01:05:40 ~-~-> 01:05:44 |procedures and routines that you're trying to follow every single day. It's | ||
789 | |788 |01:05:44 ~-~-> 01:05:49 |about being consistent, folks, and until you find that consistency, if you're not | ||
790 | |789 |01:05:50 ~-~-> 01:05:55 |motivated to be consistent, you're going to be inconsistent consistently. And | ||
791 | |790 |01:05:55 ~-~-> 01:05:58 |that means you're not going to be profitable. That means you're going to | ||
792 | |791 |01:05:58 ~-~-> 01:06:01 |be blowing accounts, going in a drawdown, losing your accounts, losing | ||
793 | |792 |01:06:01 ~-~-> 01:06:05 |funding accounts, or never getting your profit. Your prop firm funded. That's | ||
794 | |793 |01:06:05 ~-~-> 01:06:09 |that's going to be a cycle you stay in. And you're going to listen to videos and | ||
795 | |794 |01:06:09 ~-~-> 01:06:12 |talks like this, and you'll say, You know what? That was the right thing. I | ||
796 | |795 |01:06:12 ~-~-> 01:06:15 |need to hear that ICT, or whoever else you're listening to. And you'll be | ||
797 | |796 |01:06:15 ~-~-> 01:06:18 |motivated for that moment, until you go out there and do the same things you | ||
798 | |797 |01:06:18 ~-~-> 01:06:21 |have not learned to stop doing, and then you go right back to the same thing. I | ||
799 | |798 |01:06:21 ~-~-> 01:06:25 |need somebody to motivate to motivate me. What would you do to tell what would | ||
800 | |799 |01:06:25 ~-~-> 01:06:29 |you tell somebody that has consistently, really trying hard to make money but are | ||
801 | |800 |01:06:29 ~-~-> 01:06:36 |unprofitable? Listen to these lectures. Listen to these these are the things | ||
802 | |801 |01:06:36 ~-~-> 01:06:43 |that's going to fix you. These are the things that plague every trader if they | ||
803 | |802 |01:06:43 ~-~-> 01:06:46 |do it long enough that they stay in the business long enough, these are all | ||
804 | |803 |01:06:46 ~-~-> 01:06:50 |problems that everyone encounters, and there's a lot of times that we want to | ||
805 | |804 |01:06:50 ~-~-> 01:06:55 |go back in time and fix the things that we didn't do correctly, and that's the | ||
806 | |805 |01:06:55 ~-~-> 01:06:59 |way I teach. I teach so that way you don't have to make the mistakes that I | ||
807 | |806 |01:06:59 ~-~-> 01:07:04 |did, because I'm trying to keep my sons from making those mistakes. You just are | ||
808 | |807 |01:07:04 ~-~-> 01:07:07 |part of the conversation because you're eavesdropping. I'm making these | ||
809 | |808 |01:07:07 ~-~-> 01:07:08 |conversations public to you. | ||
810 | |809 |01:07:10 ~-~-> 01:07:16 |So when I tell Caleb son, if you are aiming for something and it is, this is | ||
811 | |810 |01:07:16 ~-~-> 01:07:22 |your objective, to try to draw to the highest level in the clustering of two | ||
812 | |811 |01:07:22 ~-~-> 01:07:26 |new week opening gaps. The purple woman's last week's This is last week's | ||
813 | |812 |01:07:26 ~-~-> 01:07:28 |high of the new week opening gap. This is last week's low of the new week | ||
814 | |813 |01:07:28 ~-~-> 01:07:34 |opening gap. This is this week's current high of the new week opening gap, the | ||
815 | |814 |01:07:34 ~-~-> 01:07:37 |midpoint of it or consequence and the low of this current week's new week | ||
816 | |815 |01:07:37 ~-~-> 01:07:42 |opening gap. All these levels down here are not important to dad. I don't care | ||
817 | |816 |01:07:42 ~-~-> 01:07:47 |if you hit them. I don't care about that. I don't expect you to be able to | ||
818 | |817 |01:07:47 ~-~-> 01:07:56 |hit those levels. But if you aim in the direction of this level right here, and | ||
819 | |818 |01:07:56 ~-~-> 01:08:02 |you short, because that's the bias, and you short with a fair value gap that | ||
820 | |819 |01:08:02 ~-~-> 01:08:08 |yields you $250 and if it doesn't even come close to this level, but you still | ||
821 | |820 |01:08:08 ~-~-> 01:08:15 |can hit $250 I'm impressed. I'm gonna say that another way. You don't need it | ||
822 | |821 |01:08:15 ~-~-> 01:08:22 |to hit your target. Your target is just the best case scenario, that's Terminus. | ||
823 | |822 |01:08:22 ~-~-> 01:08:26 |That means this is the best you could hope for at the time based on your | ||
824 | |823 |01:08:26 ~-~-> 01:08:32 |current para understanding and skill set. But if you're trading and you don't | ||
825 | |824 |01:08:32 ~-~-> 01:08:37 |have a whole lot of skill set behind you, your prowess is low, your output in | ||
826 | |825 |01:08:37 ~-~-> 01:08:43 |terms of consistently profitable is going to be very, very low. So to keep | ||
827 | |826 |01:08:43 ~-~-> 01:08:47 |yourself from beating yourself up in your journal or feeling negative | ||
828 | |827 |01:08:47 ~-~-> 01:08:50 |feelings while you're in the trade because you're having too high of | ||
829 | |828 |01:08:50 ~-~-> 01:08:55 |expectation, aim for something that yields you whatever that dollar amount | ||
830 | |829 |01:08:55 ~-~-> 01:09:00 |is, and live there for a couple months while you're learning other things. | ||
831 | |830 |01:09:01 ~-~-> 01:09:04 |Because what you're doing is you're fortifying the ability and proof that | ||
832 | |831 |01:09:04 ~-~-> 01:09:11 |you can be consistent, that you can follow rules in a model. And money isn't | ||
833 | |832 |01:09:11 ~-~-> 01:09:15 |the instigation for you to break your rules, because that's what everybody | ||
834 | |833 |01:09:15 ~-~-> 01:09:21 |does every single time I break rules, and I break them still today, I out | ||
835 | |834 |01:09:21 ~-~-> 01:09:25 |think my models, I try to do other things, and it's because I'm trying to | ||
836 | |835 |01:09:25 ~-~-> 01:09:29 |stick the thumb in somebody else's eye that has said something that may or may | ||
837 | |836 |01:09:29 ~-~-> 01:09:33 |not be true, and I just want to be an instigator. I want to be a troublemaker | ||
838 | |837 |01:09:33 ~-~-> 01:09:38 |that day. So I fall victim to social media a lot because I find it fun, but | ||
839 | |838 |01:09:39 ~-~-> 01:09:42 |I'm not going to blow my brains out because someone doesn't think I'm | ||
840 | |839 |01:09:42 ~-~-> 01:09:45 |profitable or I'm not a good trader, because I could get two shits. I could | ||
841 | |840 |01:09:45 ~-~-> 01:09:49 |go out here every single day and prove that I am. And still today, they see | ||
842 | |841 |01:09:49 ~-~-> 01:09:52 |it's a live account, and they're like, Well, it's a demo account. The out of | ||
843 | |842 |01:09:52 ~-~-> 01:09:56 |your your clown. They're literally saying at amp account says live on a | ||
844 | |843 |01:09:56 ~-~-> 01:09:59 |demo account. I want somebody to go out there and open up a amp demo account. | ||
845 | |844 |01:10:00 ~-~-> 01:10:03 |Out and log into it with trading view, and let's see if it says fucking amp. | ||
846 | |845 |01:10:04 ~-~-> 01:10:09 |Live fuck out of here. Man, see for fucking clowns. But if my son, or any | ||
847 | |846 |01:10:09 ~-~-> 01:10:14 |one of my students go out there and they consistently hit that target every | ||
848 | |847 |01:10:14 ~-~-> 01:10:18 |single day, and they're doing it with the idea that they're aiming for a | ||
849 | |848 |01:10:18 ~-~-> 01:10:22 |direction, okay, because every one of us, when we first start, we're like | ||
850 | |849 |01:10:22 ~-~-> 01:10:26 |sailboats without a rudder, meaning, wherever the wind blows us, that's where | ||
851 | |850 |01:10:26 ~-~-> 01:10:30 |we're going to go, and that's why it's so easy to system hop. Oh, this person's | ||
852 | |851 |01:10:30 ~-~-> 01:10:34 |getting a lot of attention right now. What do they do? Oh, they're using V | ||
853 | |852 |01:10:34 ~-~-> 01:10:37 |wop. I mean, maybe I should put a B wop on my chart. Oh, what are they doing? | ||
854 | |853 |01:10:37 ~-~-> 01:10:41 |They're doing supply and demand with Elliot wave and Wyckoff blended. Oh, | ||
855 | |854 |01:10:41 ~-~-> 01:10:47 |well, maybe I should add that stuff too. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. If I'm going | ||
856 | |855 |01:10:47 ~-~-> 01:10:52 |to say this, okay, if you're going to learn from me, you're going to put down | ||
857 | |856 |01:10:52 ~-~-> 01:10:56 |everything else, because I'm going to criticize any blending of anything, | ||
858 | |857 |01:10:56 ~-~-> 01:10:59 |because really what you're doing is you're you're going to dilute the | ||
859 | |858 |01:10:59 ~-~-> 01:11:04 |effects and efficacy of what it is I teach by placing emphasis on things that | ||
860 | |859 |01:11:04 ~-~-> 01:11:08 |have no bearing on why price goes up and down. So if you're going to be a student | ||
861 | |860 |01:11:08 ~-~-> 01:11:11 |of my work, you need to cast everything else to the side, because it's all | ||
862 | |861 |01:11:11 ~-~-> 01:11:16 |bullshit. It's all time and price. That's all that it is. But I have little | ||
863 | |862 |01:11:16 ~-~-> 01:11:21 |artifacts and price action that help you identify when these elements are coming | ||
864 | |863 |01:11:21 ~-~-> 01:11:27 |into the fray, where it's going to cause markets to do certain things, and when | ||
865 | |864 |01:11:27 ~-~-> 01:11:30 |they're not there, you do nothing. But if you're not going to be a student of | ||
866 | |865 |01:11:30 ~-~-> 01:11:35 |my stuff, don't use any of my stuff and fall in line with whatever anybody else | ||
867 | |866 |01:11:35 ~-~-> 01:11:42 |is teaching you. And see how that see how that yields for you and whoever's | ||
868 | |867 |01:11:42 ~-~-> 01:11:46 |teaching you, they need to be focusing on things that I'm sharing in the long | ||
869 | |868 |01:11:46 ~-~-> 01:11:50 |winded stuff, because you can tell when somebody's made a lot of money and has | ||
870 | |869 |01:11:50 ~-~-> 01:11:53 |been around the block for a long time, because they're going to give you advice | ||
871 | |870 |01:11:53 ~-~-> 01:11:56 |that makes a lot of sense, and it's going to fly in the face of what you | ||
872 | |871 |01:11:56 ~-~-> 01:12:00 |think you should be doing. That's how you know right away that somebody has a | ||
873 | |872 |01:12:00 ~-~-> 01:12:06 |little bit more wisdom than you. And I rejected that when I was younger. I | ||
874 | |873 |01:12:06 ~-~-> 01:12:10 |rejected that on the on the things that mattered the most. When people were | ||
875 | |874 |01:12:10 ~-~-> 01:12:15 |trying to suggest that I shouldn't risk so much money, I was like, not me. I'm | ||
876 | |875 |01:12:15 ~-~-> 01:12:18 |going to go in there as much leverage I can put on. That's what I'm putting on. | ||
877 | |876 |01:12:18 ~-~-> 01:12:25 |Because I have to quit my job. I gotta get out of the rat race? Well, Caleb, he | ||
878 | |877 |01:12:25 ~-~-> 01:12:31 |just experienced getting fired. He lost the job because of output. His ability | ||
879 | |878 |01:12:31 ~-~-> 01:12:38 |to keep up with an A quota that they raised up. He wasn't able to meet that | ||
880 | |879 |01:12:38 ~-~-> 01:12:44 |criteria, so now he has to work at a job out of state. He spends more money in | ||
881 | |880 |01:12:44 ~-~-> 01:12:51 |commuting. That's the that's the outcome. And I could be the dad that | ||
882 | |881 |01:12:51 ~-~-> 01:12:55 |says, Here you go, son, here's $100,000 for this year, live comfortably, and | ||
883 | |882 |01:12:55 ~-~-> 01:12:59 |then in January, I'll give you another $1,000 live comfortably and just do | ||
884 | |883 |01:12:59 ~-~-> 01:13:05 |whatever you want to do and just be a bum. I could be that, but that's not | ||
885 | |884 |01:13:05 ~-~-> 01:13:10 |what I want. So now, the motivation that is required to learn this, he has it | ||
886 | |885 |01:13:10 ~-~-> 01:13:14 |now, because he knows what it tastes like when you're eating the shit from | ||
887 | |886 |01:13:14 ~-~-> 01:13:20 |the shovel that they give you. And call it a job. He knows what it feels like | ||
888 | |887 |01:13:20 ~-~-> 01:13:26 |now. So that motivation to learn how to do this is highest than it's ever been. | ||
889 | |888 |01:13:28 ~-~-> 01:13:31 |And for some of you, it's going to take those types of lessons in life where | ||
890 | |889 |01:13:31 ~-~-> 01:13:36 |something's taken from you, or hardship comes and you're you're forced to say, | ||
891 | |890 |01:13:36 ~-~-> 01:13:40 |Okay, what am I doing this for? Am I really in here trying to get worse by | ||
892 | |891 |01:13:40 ~-~-> 01:13:44 |other people on social media. Is that really going to pay my bills? Is that | ||
893 | |892 |01:13:44 ~-~-> 01:13:49 |really going to make me a better trader, or is it something as simple as saying, | ||
894 | |893 |01:13:49 ~-~-> 01:13:55 |where's the market going to go? How can I find a way to facilitate a mechanism | ||
895 | |894 |01:13:55 ~-~-> 01:14:01 |or model that says I'm buying or selling today? What is that? Well, it's two | ||
896 | |895 |01:14:01 ~-~-> 01:14:08 |different things here, blended a gap opening at 930 based on previous day | ||
897 | |896 |01:14:08 ~-~-> 01:14:11 |settlement, so the first 30 minutes right away. You know, the bias is based | ||
898 | |897 |01:14:11 ~-~-> 01:14:16 |on that gap, half that gap filling. But what happens when half that gap filling | ||
899 | |898 |01:14:17 ~-~-> 01:14:22 |also yields something beyond that, where you have clusterings of The New Day | ||
900 | |899 |01:14:22 ~-~-> 01:14:26 |opening or, sorry, yeah, New Day opening gap, or new week opening gap. What | ||
901 | |900 |01:14:26 ~-~-> 01:14:32 |happens when that is in the in the storyline too. Then you have much more | ||
902 | |901 |01:14:32 ~-~-> 01:14:38 |likelihood of the 70% probability of that half the gap from 930 opening bell | ||
903 | |902 |01:14:38 ~-~-> 01:14:44 |and previous day settlement filling or printing, and then full gap closure, or | ||
904 | |903 |01:14:44 ~-~-> 01:14:48 |three quarter gap closure, or even more, until we get into the highest level of | ||
905 | |904 |01:14:48 ~-~-> 01:14:53 |clustered new week opening gaps or New Day opening gaps. Both of these are | ||
906 | |905 |01:14:53 ~-~-> 01:14:59 |indicating that the market is going to go lower right from the opening bell. So | ||
907 | |906 |01:14:59 ~-~-> 01:15:02 |you. We're not even trying to predict the closing price. We're not trying to | ||
908 | |907 |01:15:02 ~-~-> 01:15:06 |predict the weekly range direction. We're not doing any of those things. | ||
909 | |908 |01:15:06 ~-~-> 01:15:09 |We're looking at guerrilla warfare techniques where you just go in there. | ||
910 | |909 |01:15:09 ~-~-> 01:15:15 |Okay, if, if you walked out your house and hit the fan, all hell breaks loose | ||
911 | |910 |01:15:15 ~-~-> 01:15:19 |in your neighborhood. Yeah. Do you know what you're going to do, how you're | ||
912 | |911 |01:15:19 ~-~-> 01:15:25 |going to react? What are you going to do by trading this way? Caleb is not | ||
913 | |912 |01:15:25 ~-~-> 01:15:29 |required to have everything else that I have made available to all of you on my | ||
914 | |913 |01:15:29 ~-~-> 01:15:33 |YouTube channel. It gives him something to focus on, right here, right now, | ||
915 | |914 |01:15:33 ~-~-> 01:15:39 |which is the reason why I said 2024. Is the perfect starting point. There's | ||
916 | |915 |01:15:39 ~-~-> 01:15:44 |other things you can learn in all the other playlists, but you should start | ||
917 | |916 |01:15:44 ~-~-> 01:15:47 |here at this one. If you've never done anything else with my work, because it's | ||
918 | |917 |01:15:47 ~-~-> 01:15:51 |over top of live price action. It's giving you something that is intended | ||
919 | |918 |01:15:51 ~-~-> 01:15:56 |for my own son. It's not wishy washy, it's not ambiguous, it they're very, | ||
920 | |919 |01:15:56 ~-~-> 01:16:01 |very specific things I've given you in 2024 mentorship, I peel back all the the | ||
921 | |920 |01:16:01 ~-~-> 01:16:05 |fluff, okay, and where it's necessary, the talking points like I'm doing today. | ||
922 | |921 |01:16:06 ~-~-> 01:16:11 |It's to remind you the importance of why I teach the way I teach. Last week, I | ||
923 | |922 |01:16:11 ~-~-> 01:16:16 |covered these, these conditions here, when there's no news and it's on a | ||
924 | |923 |01:16:16 ~-~-> 01:16:23 |Monday, you trade what pre market session that means before 930 opening | ||
925 | |924 |01:16:23 ~-~-> 01:16:27 |bell. But even if you're going to trade after the 930 opening bell, just expect | ||
926 | |925 |01:16:27 ~-~-> 01:16:31 |it to be high resistance liquidity conditions. That means there's going to | ||
927 | |926 |01:16:31 ~-~-> 01:16:35 |be a lot of give and take, back and forth price action. So if you look at | ||
928 | |927 |01:16:35 ~-~-> 01:16:41 |what we've done here, you thought I would never talk about a chart. The Nine | ||
929 | |928 |01:16:41 ~-~-> 01:16:48 |O'Clock High here, which is that old remember I was showing you last week. We | ||
930 | |929 |01:16:48 ~-~-> 01:16:56 |were looking for these old highs back here, relative equal highs. So we had | ||
931 | |930 |01:16:56 ~-~-> 01:17:03 |this high and this high, and then the higher one back here. So all those | ||
932 | |931 |01:17:03 ~-~-> 01:17:06 |levels were traded to last week, and then we were working those same levels | ||
933 | |932 |01:17:06 ~-~-> 01:17:07 |here, initially on | ||
934 | |933 |01:17:09 ~-~-> 01:17:13 |Monday, and finally we traded up into the lower one here, and we broke down | ||
935 | |934 |01:17:13 ~-~-> 01:17:16 |aggressively. So at 930 and | ||
936 | |935 |01:17:32 ~-~-> 01:17:38 |right here on this candlestick there, that's where we start trading. And we | ||
937 | |936 |01:17:38 ~-~-> 01:17:41 |have this Sibi here, so it's not a balanced buy sign efficiency. It means | ||
938 | |937 |01:17:41 ~-~-> 01:17:49 |it's singular one candle. Creating this one big Black Candle down price is going | ||
939 | |938 |01:17:49 ~-~-> 01:17:53 |to want to reach up into that. Okay? And this is actually framed on a 15 second | ||
940 | |939 |01:17:53 ~-~-> 01:17:56 |chart, so don't be wigging out thinking, Oh, he doesn't have it drawn on, right? | ||
941 | |940 |01:17:56 ~-~-> 01:17:59 |Okay. It's because I was looking at a 15 second chart at the time when I created | ||
942 | |941 |01:18:00 ~-~-> 01:18:03 |that. But you would have it noted like this on the one minute chart. That's | ||
943 | |942 |01:18:03 ~-~-> 01:18:12 |what it would look like on a one minute right there. Okay, so the market has | ||
944 | |943 |01:18:12 ~-~-> 01:18:18 |this inefficiency, and at the same time we have a gap higher so previous day | ||
945 | |944 |01:18:18 ~-~-> 01:18:28 |settlement. So we opened up here at 930 Eastern Time, previous day settlements | ||
946 | |945 |01:18:28 ~-~-> 01:18:36 |down here. So it's a huge opening range gap, if we do our standard measurement, | ||
947 | |946 |01:18:38 ~-~-> 01:18:40 |opening price down to | ||
948 | |947 |01:18:49 ~-~-> 01:18:53 |previous settlement. Here's half gap, or consequent encroachment of the opening | ||
949 | |948 |01:18:53 ~-~-> 01:18:59 |range gap we opened here we traded down to here inside of the first 30 minutes. | ||
950 | |949 |01:19:00 ~-~-> 01:19:04 |So again for the Yahoo out there saying, uh, ice, t's lying. It's not 70% | ||
951 | |950 |01:19:04 ~-~-> 01:19:08 |accurate that it fills half the gap within the first 30 minutes of trading. | ||
952 | |951 |01:19:08 ~-~-> 01:19:12 |How many times have you seen it now? How many times have you seen it, right? So | ||
953 | |952 |01:19:14 ~-~-> 01:19:18 |we have the market trade aggressively lower right from the opening bell. We | ||
954 | |953 |01:19:18 ~-~-> 01:19:24 |rally up into that city. So sign a bounce by signing efficiency trades, | ||
955 | |954 |01:19:24 ~-~-> 01:19:31 |then lower from there into the half gap here failed to get down into new week | ||
956 | |955 |01:19:31 ~-~-> 01:19:36 |opening. Got high characteristic of what high resistance liquidity conditions. | ||
957 | |956 |01:19:37 ~-~-> 01:19:40 |Yes, it's likely to trade down here. Will it do it on its first pass? No. | ||
958 | |957 |01:19:41 ~-~-> 01:19:46 |Will it do it on a second to pass, no retracement, consolidation. Get real | ||
959 | |958 |01:19:46 ~-~-> 01:19:50 |close to it. Oh, no, not yet. And then finally, boom, it drops down and hits | ||
960 | |959 |01:19:50 ~-~-> 01:19:57 |it. So every one of these price swings in here, this is high resistance | ||
961 | |960 |01:19:57 ~-~-> 01:20:01 |liquidity conditions, meaning that we know. So we can determine where the | ||
962 | |961 |01:20:01 ~-~-> 01:20:05 |market's going to go to and where it's going to reach for, but it's not going | ||
963 | |962 |01:20:05 ~-~-> 01:20:09 |to deliver in a single one way ticket ride rate to it with no retracements of | ||
964 | |963 |01:20:09 ~-~-> 01:20:14 |any significance. That's the type of trading I'm teaching you to look for. | ||
965 | |964 |01:20:14 ~-~-> 01:20:21 |Caleb, those easy trading days, those easy conditions. If you base all of your | ||
966 | |965 |01:20:21 ~-~-> 01:20:27 |trading on that your drawdown will be next to nothing. Your losing days will | ||
967 | |966 |01:20:27 ~-~-> 01:20:35 |be next to nothing. Your fear buying by being in the market will be zero. Length | ||
968 | |967 |01:20:35 ~-~-> 01:20:41 |of time and trade lowest and your profits will be easily met like that. | ||
969 | |968 |01:20:42 ~-~-> 01:20:47 |Now think about who you learn from everyone that are listening. How many | ||
970 | |969 |01:20:47 ~-~-> 01:20:50 |books have you read? How many courses have you been part of of, and how many | ||
971 | |970 |01:20:50 ~-~-> 01:20:55 |mentorships Did you buy into? How many live streamers Do you listen to? They | ||
972 | |971 |01:20:55 ~-~-> 01:21:01 |don't have a way of being able to filter out the chaff, because every day is a | ||
973 | |972 |01:21:01 ~-~-> 01:21:09 |trading day. Yeah, yeah, I guess it is, but the outcome may not be favorable for | ||
974 | |973 |01:21:09 ~-~-> 01:21:14 |you. If you're brand new and you're listening to these Yahoos that have jobs | ||
975 | |974 |01:21:14 ~-~-> 01:21:20 |are going to tell you something that may not be impactful for your investment. | ||
976 | |975 |01:21:21 ~-~-> 01:21:25 |They may actually be problematic to you, but you get caught up in the frenzy of, | ||
977 | |976 |01:21:25 ~-~-> 01:21:28 |I want to be part of the click. I want to be part of that community, that | ||
978 | |977 |01:21:28 ~-~-> 01:21:33 |community, that community, whatever you know who's in my trading room with me | ||
979 | |978 |01:21:33 ~-~-> 01:21:40 |when I'm taking trades, none of you. I'll say it this way, who's in there | ||
980 | |979 |01:21:40 ~-~-> 01:21:44 |cheerleading me and telling me what trade to get into and where to place my | ||
981 | |980 |01:21:44 ~-~-> 01:21:48 |stop and patting me on the back when I made $25,000 in 10 minutes. Who who's | ||
982 | |981 |01:21:48 ~-~-> 01:21:52 |there patting me on the back when I'm making six figures inside of two hours? | ||
983 | |982 |01:21:52 ~-~-> 01:21:58 |Who's Who's doing that? None of you. I don't need those things. You don't need | ||
984 | |983 |01:21:58 ~-~-> 01:22:04 |them either. You don't need to be part of the ICT community. You don't need to | ||
985 | |984 |01:22:04 ~-~-> 01:22:09 |be a part of anybody's community. You need to be a community of one, an island | ||
986 | |985 |01:22:10 ~-~-> 01:22:14 |in and of yourself, completely separated from everybody else, because the | ||
987 | |986 |01:22:14 ~-~-> 01:22:22 |minority is the right mindset here. You want to be independent, a sniper. They | ||
988 | |987 |01:22:22 ~-~-> 01:22:26 |don't go out there and hold hands, walking through the forest or the tall | ||
989 | |988 |01:22:26 ~-~-> 01:22:30 |grass, getting to their their kill zone, where they set up shop, and start going | ||
990 | |989 |01:22:30 ~-~-> 01:22:38 |after everybody. They don't do that by themselves. Very, very slowly, they work | ||
991 | |990 |01:22:38 ~-~-> 01:22:42 |their way to their area. May take them days to get to that level of where | ||
992 | |991 |01:22:42 ~-~-> 01:22:47 |they're stationed, to take that shot, lot of preparation by themselves, and | ||
993 | |992 |01:22:47 ~-~-> 01:22:56 |their whole basis is what precision, not teamwork. Precision, independent, done | ||
994 | |993 |01:22:56 ~-~-> 01:23:01 |by themselves. That's exactly what trading is. It's not a fanfare event. | ||
995 | |994 |01:23:01 ~-~-> 01:23:06 |It's not a team effort. And a lot of you want that team effort stuff. You want me | ||
996 | |995 |01:23:06 ~-~-> 01:23:10 |to sit out here and put you in the same trade I'm in, and I'm trying to teach | ||
997 | |996 |01:23:10 ~-~-> 01:23:16 |you that that won't work, that won't work because if there, if I'm teaching | ||
998 | |997 |01:23:16 ~-~-> 01:23:20 |you, if I'm teaching you, that there is an entity out there that will | ||
999 | |998 |01:23:20 ~-~-> 01:23:28 |cannibalize, that will absolutely cannibalize, very easily obtained | ||
1000 | |999 |01:23:28 ~-~-> 01:23:33 |liquidity, because it costs them nothing to reprice to that price or beyond it. | ||
1001 | |1000 |01:23:35 ~-~-> 01:23:40 |It's easy to do that. You don't want to say, Hey, I'm a sniper. I'm trying to | ||
1002 | |1001 |01:23:40 ~-~-> 01:23:44 |get the best entry there is, and then I'm going to make that entry more | ||
1003 | |1002 |01:23:44 ~-~-> 01:23:48 |complicated for me to get that fill, because 10,000 people watching my live | ||
1004 | |1003 |01:23:48 ~-~-> 01:23:55 |stream are doing that, and people that are using me as a sounding board to | ||
1005 | |1004 |01:23:55 ~-~-> 01:23:59 |sound smart, they're running little signal services, and they're going to | ||
1006 | |1005 |01:23:59 ~-~-> 01:24:03 |have their following Follow them, and 15 to 20 people in their group are selling | ||
1007 | |1006 |01:24:03 ~-~-> 01:24:06 |signals based on what they're seeing this person do. What are you doing? | ||
1008 | |1007 |01:24:07 ~-~-> 01:24:11 |You're building a huge pool of liquidity that if I'm running price, I'm going to | ||
1009 | |1008 |01:24:11 ~-~-> 01:24:16 |tag that liquidity. I'm going to snatch it up just like that. None of you that | ||
1010 | |1009 |01:24:16 ~-~-> 01:24:23 |talk this stuff prove that you've ever listened to me. I'm trying to get in | ||
1011 | |1010 |01:24:23 ~-~-> 01:24:27 |when Nobody's expecting it to be an entry that's what I'm trying to explain | ||
1012 | |1011 |01:24:27 ~-~-> 01:24:32 |to you. I'm not trying to have everybody dog pile on the same entry point I am. | ||
1013 | |1012 |01:24:32 ~-~-> 01:24:37 |That makes no damn sense. Who wants to do that? I don't want anybody. I don't | ||
1014 | |1013 |01:24:37 ~-~-> 01:24:41 |want no dingleberries on my ass when I'm going into the wheel in the field trying | ||
1015 | |1014 |01:24:41 ~-~-> 01:24:45 |to get my meat. When I'm going into hunting, I'm not out there banging pots | ||
1016 | |1015 |01:24:45 ~-~-> 01:24:49 |and pans. Look at me. Hey, look at me over here. I'm getting ready to win this | ||
1017 | |1016 |01:24:49 ~-~-> 01:24:52 |trade. I'm getting ready in here. You see where I'm putting my stop. Hello. | ||
1018 | |1017 |01:24:52 ~-~-> 01:24:55 |I'm not doing I'm not doing that. You shouldn't be doing that. You want to be | ||
1019 | |1018 |01:24:55 ~-~-> 01:25:00 |going in there when nobody's paying attention. You. Think about how I teach | ||
1020 | |1019 |01:25:00 ~-~-> 01:25:06 |you use these live streamers chat window when they're doing everything, opposed | ||
1021 | |1020 |01:25:06 ~-~-> 01:25:12 |to what you're expecting to do at the green light to do it. Why would you | ||
1022 | |1021 |01:25:12 ~-~-> 01:25:16 |invite more people to do the very thing that you're trying to do the best of | ||
1023 | |1022 |01:25:17 ~-~-> 01:25:23 |there's only one podium space for number one. Have you noticed that it's not a | ||
1024 | |1023 |01:25:23 ~-~-> 01:25:28 |shared platform? So every time I go out there and I take a trade, I want to be | ||
1025 | |1024 |01:25:28 ~-~-> 01:25:32 |the only person in the number one spot podium. I don't want to share that with | ||
1026 | |1025 |01:25:32 ~-~-> 01:25:35 |anybody else. You can call that, whatever you want to call it, but that's | ||
1027 | |1026 |01:25:35 ~-~-> 01:25:40 |just the reality. Because if I'm going to show you where I'm getting in, I'm | ||
1028 | |1027 |01:25:40 ~-~-> 01:25:44 |doing it with a demo account, because that demo is not going to take anything | ||
1029 | |1028 |01:25:44 ~-~-> 01:25:49 |from me. But when I'm live trading, I'm in there to make fucking money. I don't | ||
1030 | |1029 |01:25:49 ~-~-> 01:25:53 |want to make that that whole task be complicated, because now I have | ||
1031 | |1030 |01:25:53 ~-~-> 01:26:01 |competition trying to get that fill 10,000 people, even if 2% of those are | ||
1032 | |1031 |01:26:01 ~-~-> 01:26:07 |competing for the same price that I'm aiming for, I may not get my fill if you | ||
1033 | |1032 |01:26:07 ~-~-> 01:26:11 |don't understand that, you clearly don't know the you're doing. You have no idea | ||
1034 | |1033 |01:26:11 ~-~-> 01:26:15 |what you're talking about or even what you're learning, because they're not | ||
1035 | |1034 |01:26:15 ~-~-> 01:26:20 |going to let you get your price if it's already been fulfilled by others getting | ||
1036 | |1035 |01:26:20 ~-~-> 01:26:24 |in that price before you they're not obligated to give you your price just | ||
1037 | |1036 |01:26:24 ~-~-> 01:26:27 |because you have a limit order sitting there. They're not obli the market is | ||
1038 | |1037 |01:26:27 ~-~-> 01:26:34 |not obligated to give you what you want. That's the complexities of this. So you | ||
1039 | |1038 |01:26:34 ~-~-> 01:26:39 |have to find a way for you to be the minority, be that sniper that goes out | ||
1040 | |1039 |01:26:39 ~-~-> 01:26:44 |there, single handedly and aims for that price you're trying to take. That's your | ||
1041 | |1040 |01:26:44 ~-~-> 01:26:48 |mark. That's your entry. That's the thing you're waiting for to go into your | ||
1042 | |1041 |01:26:48 ~-~-> 01:26:54 |crosshairs. And when it steps in there, boom. You don't try to make any | ||
1043 | |1042 |01:26:55 ~-~-> 01:26:59 |attention to it until you're out of the trade, because then they can't strip it | ||
1044 | |1043 |01:26:59 ~-~-> 01:27:04 |out of your hands. You see these people there? Oh, look at this. I'm sharing my | ||
1045 | |1044 |01:27:04 ~-~-> 01:27:07 |trade. Look at this. Hasn't gone through my profit yet. I'm not really showing my | ||
1046 | |1045 |01:27:07 ~-~-> 01:27:10 |profit yet, and I don't have stop loss on but look at this. I've opened | ||
1047 | |1046 |01:27:10 ~-~-> 01:27:17 |unrealized profit. You impressed? No, not impressed by that. Now, Tom Dick and | ||
1048 | |1047 |01:27:17 ~-~-> 01:27:20 |Harry over here, they just signed on to x for the first time, and they just | ||
1049 | |1048 |01:27:20 ~-~-> 01:27:26 |started learning about Bitcoin. So now they're like, Wow, he's got $600 in open | ||
1050 | |1049 |01:27:26 ~-~-> 01:27:30 |profit. He's making more money than I earn in my job. And all of a sudden they | ||
1051 | |1050 |01:27:30 ~-~-> 01:27:37 |get a following that way. No. So we have several things here leading to Caleb | ||
1052 | |1051 |01:27:37 ~-~-> 01:27:42 |arriving at a bias. We have a large gap opening higher. And then we have the | ||
1053 | |1052 |01:27:42 ~-~-> 01:27:46 |clustering of the new week opening gaps down here below it, so below half the | ||
1054 | |1053 |01:27:46 ~-~-> 01:27:49 |gap, which is consequent encroachment here. That's the difference between | ||
1055 | |1054 |01:27:49 ~-~-> 01:27:55 |Friday's settlement and today's 930 opening Bill Price first print 70% of | ||
1056 | |1055 |01:27:55 ~-~-> 01:27:59 |time the first 30 minutes is going to trade half the gap. You've seen it | ||
1057 | |1056 |01:27:59 ~-~-> 01:28:07 |again. Happen. Okay? What happens if you have a day like today when there is no | ||
1058 | |1057 |01:28:07 ~-~-> 01:28:11 |news medium impact or high impact clustering of the new day and or new | ||
1059 | |1058 |01:28:11 ~-~-> 01:28:16 |week opening gaps below price, because you're opening up here at 930 and the | ||
1060 | |1059 |01:28:16 ~-~-> 01:28:19 |mid gap, which you'll have a rough idea and approximation, is going to be in | ||
1061 | |1060 |01:28:19 ~-~-> 01:28:22 |this vicinity Anyway, before it actually opens there. So like a minute or two | ||
1062 | |1061 |01:28:22 ~-~-> 01:28:26 |before 930 you can get a rough idea where that mid gap is going to be at. So | ||
1063 | |1062 |01:28:26 ~-~-> 01:28:37 |what do you do as soon as our market opens up? What do you guess it's sitting | ||
1064 | |1063 |01:28:37 ~-~-> 01:28:38 |right inside this inefficiency? I | ||
1065 | |1064 |01:28:46 ~-~-> 01:28:51 |here. Extend it over. It's spent some time in here, traded above it. It's | ||
1066 | |1065 |01:28:51 ~-~-> 01:28:58 |going to act as what inversion at the opening bell. We're already, we're | ||
1067 | |1066 |01:28:58 ~-~-> 01:29:04 |already at a premium level. Price is below an old inefficiency. We have sell | ||
1068 | |1067 |01:29:04 ~-~-> 01:29:08 |side below here, and we have opening range gap, constant encroachment level | ||
1069 | |1068 |01:29:08 ~-~-> 01:29:12 |down here. So that's your 70% likelihood it's going to trade there. But what | ||
1070 | |1069 |01:29:12 ~-~-> 01:29:15 |happens if you have the other things that we're talking about here for | ||
1071 | |1070 |01:29:15 ~-~-> 01:29:18 |Caleb's model, New Day opening gaps or new week opening gaps that are | ||
1072 | |1071 |01:29:18 ~-~-> 01:29:22 |clustered, that means they're they're overlapping one another. You only need | ||
1073 | |1072 |01:29:22 ~-~-> 01:29:25 |one level overlapping. It doesn't need to sit inside of like like it does here, | ||
1074 | |1073 |01:29:26 ~-~-> 01:29:30 |if you have two levels that are over top of one another, but it causes the range | ||
1075 | |1074 |01:29:30 ~-~-> 01:29:34 |of the highest high and the lowest low of any one, New Day opening gap or new | ||
1076 | |1075 |01:29:34 ~-~-> 01:29:39 |week opening gap to encroach on the range of another. That's clustering. | ||
1077 | |1076 |01:29:40 ~-~-> 01:29:44 |That means that they're, they're, they're going to act as a big magnet for | ||
1078 | |1077 |01:29:44 ~-~-> 01:29:48 |price. And the first thing you do is find out whatever the highest level is | ||
1079 | |1078 |01:29:48 ~-~-> 01:29:53 |between the two clustered new week opening up or New Day opening apps. And | ||
1080 | |1079 |01:29:53 ~-~-> 01:29:56 |that's this year, the new week opening gap high for the current week. It | ||
1081 | |1080 |01:29:56 ~-~-> 01:30:00 |doesn't trade to it here, but Caleb doesn't need that. That's. The draw. | ||
1082 | |1081 |01:30:01 ~-~-> 01:30:07 |That's the right direction. That's just the right direction. Think about, think | ||
1083 | |1082 |01:30:07 ~-~-> 01:30:11 |about where you are in in the United States, if you're listening, okay, for | ||
1084 | |1083 |01:30:11 ~-~-> 01:30:14 |the folks in the United States, I don't know how to explain this in other | ||
1085 | |1084 |01:30:14 ~-~-> 01:30:18 |people's countries, because, you know, I don't know very much about your | ||
1086 | |1085 |01:30:18 ~-~-> 01:30:22 |geography, where you're at, what you have in your in your country, like, I | ||
1087 | |1086 |01:30:22 ~-~-> 01:30:26 |don't know, but in the United States, every single city has some kind of an | ||
1088 | |1087 |01:30:26 ~-~-> 01:30:32 |arena or stadium, okay? And if you're trying to get someone directions to get | ||
1089 | |1088 |01:30:32 ~-~-> 01:30:36 |to that city, and, like, if we wanted to take them to Baltimore, ravens arena, | ||
1090 | |1089 |01:30:37 ~-~-> 01:30:41 |you know, or stadium, I have several ways that I can get there, because I | ||
1091 | |1090 |01:30:41 ~-~-> 01:30:47 |know where it's at. But for someone that's out of town, and they've never | ||
1092 | |1091 |01:30:47 ~-~-> 01:30:51 |been in Maryland before, I can say, Look, I know you're looking for this | ||
1093 | |1092 |01:30:51 ~-~-> 01:30:58 |stadium. Okay, if you take this road to, you know, 95 south or 95 north, if | ||
1094 | |1093 |01:30:58 ~-~-> 01:31:02 |you're below it, it'll take you to this general location, and then you can start | ||
1095 | |1094 |01:31:02 ~-~-> 01:31:08 |finding the signs. Okay, that's basically how you start trading in the | ||
1096 | |1095 |01:31:08 ~-~-> 01:31:12 |marketplace. You gotta get yourself in the right general area of profitability, | ||
1097 | |1096 |01:31:12 ~-~-> 01:31:19 |and over time, you find all these little, subtle ways of getting closer to | ||
1098 | |1097 |01:31:19 ~-~-> 01:31:22 |the best seats at that stadium to watch the big game. The big game is the | ||
1099 | |1098 |01:31:22 ~-~-> 01:31:27 |payout, the profit. But you can get somebody that's never been in the area | ||
1100 | |1099 |01:31:27 ~-~-> 01:31:31 |before, in the general proximity, and then they can find the signs that they | ||
1101 | |1100 |01:31:31 ~-~-> 01:31:35 |have to be looking for, meaning, PD arrays, some kind of exit strategy. So | ||
1102 | |1101 |01:31:35 ~-~-> 01:31:40 |if this is where you were trying to get the market to reprice to that height of | ||
1103 | |1102 |01:31:40 ~-~-> 01:31:45 |the new week, opening gap for this week. That's just a magnet draw on price. It | ||
1104 | |1103 |01:31:45 ~-~-> 01:31:52 |does not need the trade there. So if you see this, and it trades back up into | ||
1105 | |1104 |01:31:52 ~-~-> 01:31:56 |this inefficiency, the single candlestick down here, and it trades | ||
1106 | |1105 |01:31:56 ~-~-> 01:32:00 |back up into that if you don't sell right at the opening, which is exactly | ||
1107 | |1106 |01:32:00 ~-~-> 01:32:05 |what you could be doing. Why? Why just blindly go in there and sell How could | ||
1108 | |1107 |01:32:05 ~-~-> 01:32:09 |you trust that ICT? Because we're at a premium array right from Jump Street. | ||
1109 | |1108 |01:32:20 ~-~-> 01:32:35 |Think about how we are opening at 930 reading here, okay, all this range, all | ||
1110 | |1109 |01:32:35 ~-~-> 01:32:39 |this back and forth, consolidation, that area over here, that was a inversion | ||
1111 | |1110 |01:32:39 ~-~-> 01:32:46 |pair, bag up as well all this inefficiency here that was used there | ||
1112 | |1111 |01:32:47 ~-~-> 01:32:50 |when we started trading down below it right before the opening bell, right | ||
1113 | |1112 |01:32:50 ~-~-> 01:32:58 |here, right there, the opening price is sitting right inside that inversion fair | ||
1114 | |1113 |01:32:58 ~-~-> 01:33:04 |value gap after it's already taken. The upper half of that inversion fair value | ||
1115 | |1114 |01:33:04 ~-~-> 01:33:09 |gap after leaving the higher inversion. Fair value gap here, when we have no | ||
1116 | |1115 |01:33:09 ~-~-> 01:33:18 |news, new week opening gaps is a draw, and the gap opening at 930 using, uh, | ||
1117 | |1116 |01:33:18 ~-~-> 01:33:22 |revenue trading hours and previous day settlement. Half the gap is here. So | ||
1118 | |1117 |01:33:22 ~-~-> 01:33:25 |what is it going to do? You think it's going to just start rallying up here? | ||
1119 | |1118 |01:33:26 ~-~-> 01:33:32 |No, why would it? It's going to make a mad dash to try to get down into half | ||
1120 | |1119 |01:33:32 ~-~-> 01:33:39 |gap. 70% probability it's going to do that in the first 30 minutes. Here's 10 | ||
1121 | |1120 |01:33:39 ~-~-> 01:33:47 |o'clock. Are you? Right there. Did it at that time or before trade to the mid | ||
1122 | |1121 |01:33:47 ~-~-> 01:33:56 |gap, which is that red line? Of course, it did. Does it right here? So in 19 | ||
1123 | |1122 |01:33:56 ~-~-> 01:34:04 |minutes or so, it literally ran to it filled it delivered price to half the | ||
1124 | |1123 |01:34:04 ~-~-> 01:34:11 |gap. But do you just say, Okay, it's done no, because there's a draw still | ||
1125 | |1124 |01:34:11 ~-~-> 01:34:15 |lower with those new week opening gaps that are clustered last week's new week | ||
1126 | |1125 |01:34:15 ~-~-> 01:34:20 |opening gap and current new week opening gap that's below mid gap, indicating | ||
1127 | |1126 |01:34:20 ~-~-> 01:34:25 |that today we're going to probably see high resistance liquidity conditions. | ||
1128 | |1127 |01:34:25 ~-~-> 01:34:29 |Why is it going to be high resistance liquidity conditions? Because there's no | ||
1129 | |1128 |01:34:29 ~-~-> 01:34:35 |economic data, and it's a Monday. So best trading is free market session. And | ||
1130 | |1129 |01:34:35 ~-~-> 01:34:40 |you can see that on the example I showed on Twitter. You can see the PD arrays. I | ||
1131 | |1130 |01:34:40 ~-~-> 01:34:46 |use this very two simple, simple ones, and I use London lows as a relative | ||
1132 | |1131 |01:34:46 ~-~-> 01:34:52 |equal low to draw down into. But for Caleb's model, it's simply just going in | ||
1133 | |1132 |01:34:52 ~-~-> 01:34:59 |here and taking a trade based on the ideas that he can find a setup based on | ||
1134 | |1133 |01:34:59 ~-~-> 01:35:05 |a. A 15 second chart, a 32nd chart, a 45 second chart, or a one minute chart. | ||
1135 | |1134 |01:35:07 ~-~-> 01:35:14 |What would that be? His PD array is a fair value guy, so he has to look for | ||
1136 | |1135 |01:35:14 ~-~-> 01:35:17 |something like, like this city here, breaking down. You can't have that one, | ||
1137 | |1136 |01:35:18 ~-~-> 01:35:22 |but now you have this, this smaller one in here, when it trades back up into | ||
1138 | |1137 |01:35:22 ~-~-> 01:35:27 |that, he has to see price move away from that, because he cannot enter when first | ||
1139 | |1138 |01:35:27 ~-~-> 01:35:32 |presented fair value gap until 931 What time is it at the bottom of the chart | ||
1140 | |1139 |01:35:32 ~-~-> 01:35:39 |right here, when this forms, it's still in the first minute of trading 930 so he | ||
1141 | |1140 |01:35:39 ~-~-> 01:35:43 |has to see a displacement. He can look at this one say, Okay, I want to see it | ||
1142 | |1141 |01:35:43 ~-~-> 01:35:49 |move lower. It does move lower, but it's doing it in a fuzzy type delivery where | ||
1143 | |1142 |01:35:49 ~-~-> 01:35:53 |it's back and forth. Price Action. This is high resistance liquidity run | ||
1144 | |1143 |01:35:53 ~-~-> 01:35:57 |conditions where the where each one of the candlesticks go back and forth, | ||
1145 | |1144 |01:35:57 ~-~-> 01:36:02 |they're generally moving lower. I'm not arguing against that. It's important | ||
1146 | |1145 |01:36:02 ~-~-> 01:36:06 |that you observe that, but it's also more important that you understand how | ||
1147 | |1146 |01:36:06 ~-~-> 01:36:10 |it's delivering it. We're not getting runs like this, where it's big exposure | ||
1148 | |1147 |01:36:10 ~-~-> 01:36:14 |left open, and it continues back and then leaves these little areas open. | ||
1149 | |1148 |01:36:14 ~-~-> 01:36:19 |It's back and forth. Each range is overlapping. A lot of the previous | ||
1150 | |1149 |01:36:19 ~-~-> 01:36:23 |candles, high and low, whatever the previous candles high and low, the next | ||
1151 | |1150 |01:36:23 ~-~-> 01:36:27 |candle does a lot of overlapping over the same type of price action, high and | ||
1152 | |1151 |01:36:27 ~-~-> 01:36:33 |low of the previous range of every subsequent candlestick that forms, it's | ||
1153 | |1152 |01:36:33 ~-~-> 01:36:36 |usually overlapping the previous candlestick to some degree, at least | ||
1154 | |1153 |01:36:36 ~-~-> 01:36:40 |half of the candlestick. And when you're seeing that fuzziness, that back and | ||
1155 | |1154 |01:36:40 ~-~-> 01:36:46 |forth, type scribbling, if you will, that is high resistance. It's not going | ||
1156 | |1155 |01:36:46 ~-~-> 01:36:51 |to have a lot of elements of precision in that. So would you rather be shorting | ||
1157 | |1156 |01:36:51 ~-~-> 01:36:55 |a market that has a lot of this type of stuff in here, versus something like | ||
1158 | |1157 |01:36:55 ~-~-> 01:36:59 |this, where it has a real big, quick delivery and goes lower? This is low | ||
1159 | |1158 |01:36:59 ~-~-> 01:37:05 |resistance. This is high resistance, it's a lot of deep retracements and | ||
1160 | |1159 |01:37:05 ~-~-> 01:37:10 |inefficiencies are far and few between, whereas in low resistance, liquidity | ||
1161 | |1160 |01:37:10 ~-~-> 01:37:14 |runs, there's lots of inefficiencies there, because speed is the mechanism. | ||
1162 | |1161 |01:37:15 ~-~-> 01:37:20 |Speed is the mechanism of delivery, where prices in a hurry to book | ||
1163 | |1162 |01:37:20 ~-~-> 01:37:28 |something, it's going higher or lower in a very sudden, fast way. That's how I'm | ||
1164 | |1163 |01:37:28 ~-~-> 01:37:32 |teaching my sons. That's how I'm teaching you as my students, to look for | ||
1165 | |1164 |01:37:32 ~-~-> 01:37:38 |conditions that afford you these fast yielding targets being hit very little | ||
1166 | |1165 |01:37:38 ~-~-> 01:37:43 |retracements, no consolidations whatsoever. Just run to target and be | ||
1167 | |1166 |01:37:43 ~-~-> 01:37:46 |done and go live your life. Go do something else outside the charts, | ||
1168 | |1167 |01:37:46 ~-~-> 01:37:50 |because you can spend a lot of time trading in these conditions here, and | ||
1169 | |1168 |01:37:50 ~-~-> 01:37:53 |you're just going to be thinking, well, it's going to clean up sooner or later, | ||
1170 | |1169 |01:37:53 ~-~-> 01:37:57 |and I'll be here when it does not one of the not one economic counters like it is | ||
1171 | |1170 |01:37:57 ~-~-> 01:38:06 |today, no news on a Monday. Hello. So we can be right about the direction, but we | ||
1172 | |1171 |01:38:06 ~-~-> 01:38:10 |can also say I can be right about direction, but I'm going to try to get | ||
1173 | |1172 |01:38:10 ~-~-> 01:38:14 |my signal or set up in early, and if I don't get it in the first 30 minutes, | ||
1174 | |1173 |01:38:14 ~-~-> 01:38:19 |I'm just going to toss it out and just be done. So Caleb, he can see after it | ||
1175 | |1174 |01:38:19 ~-~-> 01:38:22 |runs up into this gap here, overshoots a little bit. Trades in the upper portion | ||
1176 | |1175 |01:38:22 ~-~-> 01:38:27 |of this one, and it breaks outside that pink shaded area, which is a city for | ||
1177 | |1176 |01:38:27 ~-~-> 01:38:31 |one minute chart. You can see the bodies respecting the low of that one minute | ||
1178 | |1177 |01:38:31 ~-~-> 01:38:37 |charts defined low of that again, city. It doesn't look like one single candle | ||
1179 | |1178 |01:38:37 ~-~-> 01:38:41 |here, because it takes two candles on a 15 second chart to do it, but the one | ||
1180 | |1179 |01:38:41 ~-~-> 01:38:46 |minute chart has the one single pass down that. That's why this is anchored | ||
1181 | |1180 |01:38:46 ~-~-> 01:38:52 |to the points that it is the low of that is supporting and respecting the bodies, | ||
1182 | |1181 |01:38:52 ~-~-> 01:38:56 |or the bodies, rather, are respecting the low of that. And then we displace | ||
1183 | |1182 |01:38:56 ~-~-> 01:39:00 |there. It drops aggressively. And then you have your first clean fair value. | ||
1184 | |1183 |01:39:00 ~-~-> 01:39:12 |Got right there. See it right here? So it looks like this. This is not 930 | ||
1185 | |1184 |01:39:13 ~-~-> 01:39:22 |candle. It's after 930 so it minimum is at 931 yes, it's 937 so he has, he has | ||
1186 | |1185 |01:39:22 ~-~-> 01:39:27 |the ability, rather, to take that trade. He can take that trade. He can get short | ||
1187 | |1186 |01:39:27 ~-~-> 01:39:31 |in that fair value gap. But what else is inside that range, if you're looking at | ||
1188 | |1187 |01:39:31 ~-~-> 01:39:38 |this candlestick right here, to have that framed for risk, where did it leave | ||
1189 | |1188 |01:39:39 ~-~-> 01:39:46 |this city up here. So if it left this city, when it does here, and it breaks | ||
1190 | |1189 |01:39:46 ~-~-> 01:39:51 |and it gives you this fair value gap here, if we didn't have price so close | ||
1191 | |1190 |01:39:51 ~-~-> 01:39:57 |to that city, low the bottom of that rectangle, shaded area, if it wasn't so | ||
1192 | |1191 |01:39:57 ~-~-> 01:40:02 |close to it, like it is here, one of. Day where it's already what, indicating | ||
1193 | |1192 |01:40:02 ~-~-> 01:40:05 |it's gonna be high resistance. We already have indications that it's high | ||
1194 | |1193 |01:40:05 ~-~-> 01:40:08 |resistance, because it's a lot of back and forth price delivery. Do you do you | ||
1195 | |1194 |01:40:08 ~-~-> 01:40:13 |think that Caleb would go once the max leverage in a trade like that? No, no, | ||
1196 | |1195 |01:40:13 ~-~-> 01:40:19 |we would not one contract. That's it. He has to start with one contract. But when | ||
1197 | |1196 |01:40:19 ~-~-> 01:40:23 |he gets to the point where you can trade with multiple contracts on a day like | ||
1198 | |1197 |01:40:23 ~-~-> 01:40:28 |this, he has to trade with one. Now, normally, when you have the single | ||
1199 | |1198 |01:40:28 ~-~-> 01:40:31 |candle in the middle, that creates the fair value gap. You can use the high for | ||
1200 | |1199 |01:40:31 ~-~-> 01:40:36 |that, for the stop loss. But because we're so close to the low of that range, | ||
1201 | |1200 |01:40:37 ~-~-> 01:40:41 |that is the city, this pink shaded area here, you have to use number one candles | ||
1202 | |1201 |01:40:41 ~-~-> 01:40:47 |high. And I've covered this in mentorship. 2024 when do I use the the | ||
1203 | |1202 |01:40:47 ~-~-> 01:40:51 |stop at the middle candle versus the candlestick that creates number one | ||
1204 | |1203 |01:40:51 ~-~-> 01:40:56 |candle a fair value gap is always three candles, number one, first candle, | ||
1205 | |1204 |01:40:56 ~-~-> 01:41:02 |number two is always the actual gap, the range that doesn't share space between | ||
1206 | |1205 |01:41:02 ~-~-> 01:41:07 |number one candle and number three candle. So if you're shorting the low | ||
1207 | |1206 |01:41:07 ~-~-> 01:41:12 |probability, I'm sorry. I'm sorry, I said it wrong. The low risk stop loss is | ||
1208 | |1207 |01:41:12 ~-~-> 01:41:17 |using the high of a bearish fair value gaps number two candlesticks, high plus | ||
1209 | |1208 |01:41:17 ~-~-> 01:41:22 |one tick. But because we're so close to the low that it could very easily come | ||
1210 | |1209 |01:41:22 ~-~-> 01:41:28 |back up here and touch that it can Retrade that at why? Why would we expect | ||
1211 | |1210 |01:41:28 ~-~-> 01:41:33 |something that as a as a potential event, because of it being a high | ||
1212 | |1211 |01:41:33 ~-~-> 01:41:37 |resistance liquidity run condition market versus if it was in a low | ||
1213 | |1212 |01:41:37 ~-~-> 01:41:41 |resistance liquidity run condition, he could take a short in this fair value | ||
1214 | |1213 |01:41:41 ~-~-> 01:41:44 |gap, and then use the number two candlestick plus one tick as a stop. But | ||
1215 | |1214 |01:41:44 ~-~-> 01:41:47 |as it is here, because of the conditions, as it is for high | ||
1216 | |1215 |01:41:47 ~-~-> 01:41:51 |resistance, it's a Monday with new news. It's already indicating a lot of back | ||
1217 | |1216 |01:41:51 ~-~-> 01:41:55 |and forth, even though that we can see that clearly has the ability to reach | ||
1218 | |1217 |01:41:55 ~-~-> 01:41:59 |lower because the clustered new weak opening gaps and the 70% | ||
1219 | |1218 |01:42:00 ~-~-> 01:42:04 |likelihood of trading and filling half of the opening range gap. So you have a | ||
1220 | |1219 |01:42:04 ~-~-> 01:42:09 |lot of things drawing price down, but just because you think it's going to go | ||
1221 | |1220 |01:42:09 ~-~-> 01:42:12 |down there and it's likely to go down there, doesn't mean that your entry is | ||
1222 | |1221 |01:42:12 ~-~-> 01:42:16 |going to be respected without having a stop out. So that means you have to use | ||
1223 | |1222 |01:42:16 ~-~-> 01:42:20 |the maximum, which is the candlestick number one, it's high, and that would be | ||
1224 | |1223 |01:42:20 ~-~-> 01:42:24 |here, plus one tick. That means you're inside of that shade to pink area. | ||
1225 | |1224 |01:42:25 ~-~-> 01:42:29 |You're not You're not getting stopped out here Caleb, and you roll back | ||
1226 | |1225 |01:42:29 ~-~-> 01:42:34 |underneath it, and then it comes back up and trades back to that fair value gap. | ||
1227 | |1226 |01:42:34 ~-~-> 01:42:42 |Again, it's here, hits it breaks lower, comes down and there's your gap, 70% | ||
1228 | |1227 |01:42:43 ~-~-> 01:42:48 |filled in the first 30 minutes, most of the time. Okay, I'll leave it to you. If | ||
1229 | |1228 |01:42:48 ~-~-> 01:42:53 |you think 70% most of the time, I would consider that most of the time, seven | ||
1230 | |1229 |01:42:53 ~-~-> 01:42:57 |times out of 10 you're doing it right, and you have a favorable outcome. I | ||
1231 | |1230 |01:42:57 ~-~-> 01:43:00 |think that's a pretty good odd, and I think many people like they are leaving | ||
1232 | |1231 |01:43:00 ~-~-> 01:43:07 |comments in the the section of x when I'm posting things, or in my comment | ||
1233 | |1232 |01:43:07 ~-~-> 01:43:10 |section of my videos, which you don't get to see, but I see them a lot. One of | ||
1234 | |1233 |01:43:10 ~-~-> 01:43:14 |the things that I find fascinating is people's excitement of how this | ||
1235 | |1234 |01:43:14 ~-~-> 01:43:17 |phenomenon of half the gap being filled Saturday time and first 30 minutes | ||
1236 | |1235 |01:43:17 ~-~-> 01:43:20 |trading, how often they're seeing that do it, and how often they're finding | ||
1237 | |1236 |01:43:20 ~-~-> 01:43:25 |winning trades that are making them money. That's what it's all about. Folks | ||
1238 | |1237 |01:43:25 ~-~-> 01:43:28 |finding something that's simple, that doesn't have a whole lot of moving | ||
1239 | |1238 |01:43:28 ~-~-> 01:43:34 |parts. I can complicate things. I complicated really, 12 models in | ||
1240 | |1239 |01:43:34 ~-~-> 01:43:38 |mentorship, paid mentorship, and I I yielded those first 12. I have two of | ||
1241 | |1240 |01:43:38 ~-~-> 01:43:41 |them that were kind of easy. They're real easy, bread runner, Bread Butter | ||
1242 | |1241 |01:43:41 ~-~-> 01:43:47 |winners. But the others, I complicated them. Me. I meant to do it that way, | ||
1243 | |1242 |01:43:47 ~-~-> 01:43:50 |because I had people in there selling my mentorship. I had people there leaking | ||
1244 | |1243 |01:43:50 ~-~-> 01:43:54 |my stuff. So I said, Okay, well, you know, let's see how well you do with | ||
1245 | |1244 |01:43:55 ~-~-> 01:43:59 |sharing it, knowing full well that I would come back into them and strip them | ||
1246 | |1245 |01:43:59 ~-~-> 01:44:04 |down and compartmentalize them, and you see what you have here. It's a lot of | ||
1247 | |1246 |01:44:04 ~-~-> 01:44:08 |different, smaller little models that you can use inside of those models. But | ||
1248 | |1247 |01:44:09 ~-~-> 01:44:13 |what I was actually building is a great deal of refinement that most people will | ||
1249 | |1248 |01:44:13 ~-~-> 01:44:17 |not be willing to subject themselves to so many rules that are very specific | ||
1250 | |1249 |01:44:17 ~-~-> 01:44:21 |that they're not going to want to do it, but they are profitable, absolutely | ||
1251 | |1250 |01:44:21 ~-~-> 01:44:25 |profitable, but you have to sit and wait for very, very specific things. Now, | ||
1252 | |1251 |01:44:25 ~-~-> 01:44:31 |contrast those 12 models with coming out here and looking at time based models, | ||
1253 | |1252 |01:44:32 ~-~-> 01:44:37 |because time is the first aspect to algorithmic price delivery if you know | ||
1254 | |1253 |01:44:37 ~-~-> 01:44:42 |that there's going to be a move in the first 30 minutes. And one of my students | ||
1255 | |1254 |01:44:42 ~-~-> 01:44:47 |asked, Do I subscribe to an idea that there's an algorithm at 930 that messes | ||
1256 | |1255 |01:44:47 ~-~-> 01:44:57 |up price when there's no news? Well, the first 30 minutes is a script, okay, so I | ||
1257 | |1256 |01:44:57 ~-~-> 01:45:03 |don't want to say that it's a macro, but. It is a script, like all every day, | ||
1258 | |1257 |01:45:03 ~-~-> 01:45:07 |you know, every minute of today, unless it's intervention, the market is | ||
1259 | |1258 |01:45:07 ~-~-> 01:45:13 |underneath AI, it's being delivered by script. So the opening range, that's why | ||
1260 | |1259 |01:45:13 ~-~-> 01:45:16 |I said there is no 15 minute opening range. Okay, I understand there's people | ||
1261 | |1260 |01:45:16 ~-~-> 01:45:19 |out there looking like a used Q tip, okay, putting a lot of money into used | ||
1262 | |1261 |01:45:19 ~-~-> 01:45:23 |cars. They'll say there's a 15 minute opening range gap. I mean, we're not gap | ||
1263 | |1262 |01:45:23 ~-~-> 01:45:27 |opening range. There's no 15 the algorithm has absolutely no respect for | ||
1264 | |1263 |01:45:27 ~-~-> 01:45:31 |the first 15 minutes. That's bullshit. I don't care what anybody says. But for | ||
1265 | |1264 |01:45:31 ~-~-> 01:45:37 |for the first 30 minutes and first 60 minutes, it's 30 minutes and 60 minutes, | ||
1266 | |1265 |01:45:37 ~-~-> 01:45:41 |and after that, you have everything you need for the daily range to be defined. | ||
1267 | |1266 |01:45:41 ~-~-> 01:45:45 |You can pick the high and the low the day after the first 60 minutes, first 30 | ||
1268 | |1267 |01:45:45 ~-~-> 01:45:49 |minutes, based on how price is delivered. You can get the higher low of | ||
1269 | |1268 |01:45:49 ~-~-> 01:45:52 |the day based on that. But there's certain quirky little things that I'm | ||
1270 | |1269 |01:45:52 ~-~-> 01:45:56 |going to reveal that tell you when to use the first 30 minutes or versus the | ||
1271 | |1270 |01:45:56 ~-~-> 01:46:01 |first hour, to get the daily high and low within three ticks, but you being | ||
1272 | |1271 |01:46:01 ~-~-> 01:46:04 |able to do that on a steady diet of every day, that's not going to happen. | ||
1273 | |1272 |01:46:04 ~-~-> 01:46:07 |There's going to be a lot of factors that we're going to see that like today, | ||
1274 | |1273 |01:46:07 ~-~-> 01:46:10 |there's certain things that you're going to be met with in terms of high | ||
1275 | |1274 |01:46:10 ~-~-> 01:46:15 |probability versus low probability, high probability trying to trade the mid gap. | ||
1276 | |1275 |01:46:15 ~-~-> 01:46:19 |Yes. What happens if it wouldn't have done it today in the first 30 minutes, | ||
1277 | |1276 |01:46:19 ~-~-> 01:46:25 |but did it at like 11 o'clock. Okay, you would say, Okay, well, it did it again. | ||
1278 | |1277 |01:46:25 ~-~-> 01:46:29 |It just didn't do it in the first 30 minutes. Wonderful. But it's not all | ||
1279 | |1278 |01:46:29 ~-~-> 01:46:33 |that important, because it's a high resistance liquidity day, meaning that | ||
1280 | |1279 |01:46:33 ~-~-> 01:46:36 |it's going to be a lot of give and take back and forth. But it just so happens | ||
1281 | |1280 |01:46:36 ~-~-> 01:46:41 |that today, even a high resistance conditions, it trades to mid gap. So 70% | ||
1282 | |1281 |01:46:41 ~-~-> 01:46:46 |strike rate is still hitting, banging, just like that today, even in a complex | ||
1283 | |1282 |01:46:46 ~-~-> 01:46:53 |delivery day like it is today, the bias trading to the easiest low hanging fruit | ||
1284 | |1283 |01:46:53 ~-~-> 01:46:58 |objective for Caleb would be new week, opening gap high, but he doesn't need | ||
1285 | |1284 |01:46:58 ~-~-> 01:47:06 |that. Notice that he doesn't need that. So back to his entry. Back here, he sees | ||
1286 | |1285 |01:47:06 ~-~-> 01:47:10 |displacement off of a higher Time Frame array, which is the one minute city | ||
1287 | |1286 |01:47:10 ~-~-> 01:47:14 |that's that pink box up here. Then he goes into a lower time frame, and he | ||
1288 | |1287 |01:47:14 ~-~-> 01:47:17 |waits and sees, does price respect it? Look at the bodies. Are they respecting | ||
1289 | |1288 |01:47:17 ~-~-> 01:47:26 |it? Yes. Sends priceware lower, and then he gets his gap price trades back up | ||
1290 | |1289 |01:47:26 ~-~-> 01:47:29 |into it. He can enter into that gap. He has a little bit of heat here. But guess | ||
1291 | |1290 |01:47:29 ~-~-> 01:47:32 |what? You're going to have trades where it's going to have heat. That means | ||
1292 | |1291 |01:47:32 ~-~-> 01:47:35 |little bit of drawdown. It doesn't stop you out. It shouldn't cause you to bail | ||
1293 | |1292 |01:47:35 ~-~-> 01:47:39 |out of the trade. It just means that you got to go through a cup couple moments | ||
1294 | |1293 |01:47:39 ~-~-> 01:47:45 |of uncomfortable price action. You have to weather that. Okay, so it has a | ||
1295 | |1294 |01:47:45 ~-~-> 01:47:50 |little bit of heat in here. Remember, he's he's entering down here at the the | ||
1296 | |1295 |01:47:50 ~-~-> 01:47:55 |low of the gap. He's not allowed to do mid gap. He's not allowed to get the | ||
1297 | |1296 |01:47:55 ~-~-> 01:47:58 |high of the gap. He's not allowed to use any Mohawks, which would be entering on | ||
1298 | |1297 |01:47:58 ~-~-> 01:48:04 |a wicks above that gap. He has to enter as it trades one tick below, and that's | ||
1299 | |1298 |01:48:04 ~-~-> 01:48:08 |his entry. That would be here, on that candlestick right there. That's his | ||
1300 | |1299 |01:48:08 ~-~-> 01:48:18 |fill. So he sees initially what his favor aiming for that low. Think about | ||
1301 | |1300 |01:48:18 ~-~-> 01:48:25 |it. That's all he's looking for. It's in the direction of mid gap. It's in the | ||
1302 | |1301 |01:48:25 ~-~-> 01:48:32 |direction of new week, opening gap high. But because his skill set is so modest, | ||
1303 | |1302 |01:48:32 ~-~-> 01:48:38 |it's next to nothing right now, how does he grow in his confidence? How does he | ||
1304 | |1303 |01:48:38 ~-~-> 01:48:43 |stay motivated? Because it's real easy to be demotivated. It's real easy to | ||
1305 | |1304 |01:48:43 ~-~-> 01:48:46 |talk yourself out of doing this and wanting to jump into a new system or a | ||
1306 | |1305 |01:48:46 ~-~-> 01:48:51 |new guru or a new something, distracting yourself from the obvious, which is you | ||
1307 | |1306 |01:48:51 ~-~-> 01:48:56 |not doing what it's required to be consistent. You have to put effort in | ||
1308 | |1307 |01:48:56 ~-~-> 01:48:59 |anything. Whoever you're teaching, whoever's teaching you, rather if | ||
1309 | |1308 |01:48:59 ~-~-> 01:49:02 |they're not telling you it's going to take effort on your part. They're lying | ||
1310 | |1309 |01:49:02 ~-~-> 01:49:05 |to you, and when you discover that, you're going to feel stupid because you | ||
1311 | |1310 |01:49:05 ~-~-> 01:49:09 |probably paid them money and they didn't teach you shit. Here, I'm teaching you | ||
1312 | |1311 |01:49:09 ~-~-> 01:49:13 |how to do this correctly. If it's good enough for my kids, I promise you it's | ||
1313 | |1312 |01:49:13 ~-~-> 01:49:18 |good enough for you. So if he's aiming for this low for sell side, because it's | ||
1314 | |1313 |01:49:18 ~-~-> 01:49:22 |in the direction from the entry on this fair value gap. Aiming to get below that | ||
1315 | |1314 |01:49:22 ~-~-> 01:49:27 |low. He doesn't need the mid gap to be traded to. He doesn't need the new week | ||
1316 | |1315 |01:49:27 ~-~-> 01:49:32 |opening gap high to be traded to, to make his money, to make his meal ticket | ||
1317 | |1316 |01:49:32 ~-~-> 01:49:40 |for the day. But he has initial profits running for him, and they yank it from | ||
1318 | |1317 |01:49:40 ~-~-> 01:49:46 |him all the way back up and above his entry, but not to stop, which would be | ||
1319 | |1318 |01:49:46 ~-~-> 01:49:50 |in that little red box on the above that candlesticks high. This is | ||
1320 | |1319 |01:49:50 ~-~-> 01:49:55 |uncomfortable, but eventually he breaks that back down below it, and then he | ||
1321 | |1320 |01:49:55 ~-~-> 01:50:00 |sees it come back here. Trades back lower, back in here. And then. Finally | ||
1322 | |1321 |01:50:00 ~-~-> 01:50:07 |hits mid gap. Should Caleb or should you feel depression about that because it | ||
1323 | |1322 |01:50:07 ~-~-> 01:50:14 |hit, hit where you thought was going to go? No, just because you you exit once | ||
1324 | |1323 |01:50:14 ~-~-> 01:50:18 |it starts to break down and goes to your first low hanging fruit objective, which | ||
1325 | |1324 |01:50:18 ~-~-> 01:50:22 |will be below this low here. Remember, it's about making money consistently and | ||
1326 | |1325 |01:50:22 ~-~-> 01:50:28 |not losing more than you should. Focusing on a consistent routine, a | ||
1327 | |1326 |01:50:28 ~-~-> 01:50:33 |protocol, a process that yields you a very easy, low hanging fruit objective, | ||
1328 | |1327 |01:50:33 ~-~-> 01:50:39 |getting money, getting money, get it, go. It's very surgical strikes. It's hit | ||
1329 | |1328 |01:50:39 ~-~-> 01:50:43 |and run trading that's kind of like what I called it when I was on Merck Internet | ||
1330 | |1329 |01:50:43 ~-~-> 01:50:47 |Relay Chat back in the 90s, when I was running and hosting a sap channel at | ||
1331 | |1330 |01:50:47 ~-~-> 01:50:51 |1000 people in the room. And it's only because that's all that it would allow. | ||
1332 | |1331 |01:50:51 ~-~-> 01:50:55 |It wouldn't allow anything more than 1000 people at the time when I was using | ||
1333 | |1332 |01:50:55 ~-~-> 01:51:03 |it. So with that limitation, I had as many as I could in that room. And what I | ||
1334 | |1333 |01:51:03 ~-~-> 01:51:08 |taught was hit run straight strategies, where we would go in, get two and a half | ||
1335 | |1334 |01:51:08 ~-~-> 01:51:12 |to three handles in the s, p, out the door. We're done, simple as that. There | ||
1336 | |1335 |01:51:12 ~-~-> 01:51:16 |was no long winded ICT stuff like this video. Here it was, I want to get in, | ||
1337 | |1336 |01:51:16 ~-~-> 01:51:19 |get out. I want to get in, get out, because I was nervous to be in front of | ||
1338 | |1337 |01:51:19 ~-~-> 01:51:25 |people talking. I'm naturally an introvert. If we were talking like this | ||
1339 | |1338 |01:51:25 ~-~-> 01:51:29 |in front of a group of people, I'd be far less likely to have a conversation | ||
1340 | |1339 |01:51:29 ~-~-> 01:51:34 |like this, because I'm just introverted. I like to be quiet, but because I'm in | ||
1341 | |1340 |01:51:35 ~-~-> 01:51:39 |my office right now by myself, I'm talking to my children. In my mind, I'm | ||
1342 | |1341 |01:51:39 ~-~-> 01:51:43 |talking to them. So by having these surgical strikes, these hit and run | ||
1343 | |1342 |01:51:43 ~-~-> 01:51:47 |trading opportunities, where you're getting in at a logical level, framing | ||
1344 | |1343 |01:51:47 ~-~-> 01:51:51 |risk at a logical level, and aiming for a very easy objective in the right | ||
1345 | |1344 |01:51:51 ~-~-> 01:51:57 |direction, guess what this affords him over time doing this, it will teach him | ||
1346 | |1345 |01:51:57 ~-~-> 01:52:01 |how to hold on to the trade to get to half gap. | ||
1347 | |1346 |01:52:02 ~-~-> 01:52:07 |It'll teach him to hold on to the trade to get to first threshold on the new | ||
1348 | |1347 |01:52:07 ~-~-> 01:52:11 |week opening gaps or New Day opening gaps, high on the shorts or lows on the | ||
1349 | |1348 |01:52:11 ~-~-> 01:52:15 |longs, meaning if you're short, he's always going to use the highest level of | ||
1350 | |1349 |01:52:15 ~-~-> 01:52:19 |clustered new week opening gaps or New Day opening gaps level as his draw. | ||
1351 | |1350 |01:52:19 ~-~-> 01:52:23 |That's his target endeavor. Even trades down to it in this pass here, then comes | ||
1352 | |1351 |01:52:23 ~-~-> 01:52:27 |all the way back up and above its entry, and then it would have stopped the | ||
1353 | |1352 |01:52:27 ~-~-> 01:52:32 |amount there. See that that's high resistance conditions. You can be right | ||
1354 | |1353 |01:52:32 ~-~-> 01:52:36 |about the direction. You can see a trade start moving for you in profit, come | ||
1355 | |1354 |01:52:36 ~-~-> 01:52:40 |back up and save you from being stopped out, and eventually give you objective | ||
1356 | |1355 |01:52:40 ~-~-> 01:52:44 |to get out properly if you took a partial or you closed the trade. But | ||
1357 | |1356 |01:52:44 ~-~-> 01:52:47 |generally, if you have never been trained to look at the market like this, | ||
1358 | |1357 |01:52:47 ~-~-> 01:52:52 |in two camps, it's high resistance liquidity run conditions, that means | ||
1359 | |1358 |01:52:52 ~-~-> 01:52:55 |it's back and forth price action or low resistance liquidity run conditions, | ||
1360 | |1359 |01:52:55 ~-~-> 01:52:59 |where it's this one shot right to your target. Thank you very much. Wham Bam. | ||
1361 | |1360 |01:52:59 ~-~-> 01:53:03 |Thank you, ma'am. And out the door you go, it's one night stand trading, baby. | ||
1362 | |1361 |01:53:03 ~-~-> 01:53:07 |There's no guilt in it. There's no STDs, none of that stuff. It's simple, easy, | ||
1363 | |1362 |01:53:07 ~-~-> 01:53:13 |pleasurable trading. Get out the door and go, no guilt. There's a whole lot of | ||
1364 | |1363 |01:53:13 ~-~-> 01:53:18 |regret and guilt when you're trading in this it's like getting caught cheating | ||
1365 | |1364 |01:53:18 ~-~-> 01:53:21 |every time you go out the door, you're always worried about getting caught | ||
1366 | |1365 |01:53:21 ~-~-> 01:53:25 |doing something you shouldn't have been doing. That's the difference between | ||
1367 | |1366 |01:53:25 ~-~-> 01:53:29 |high resistance and low resistance. I'm teaching you son to learn how to read | ||
1368 | |1367 |01:53:29 ~-~-> 01:53:33 |price action. So that way you're trading and in engaging with low resistance, | ||
1369 | |1368 |01:53:33 ~-~-> 01:53:36 |that means you're not going to trade every day. If you haven't realized that | ||
1370 | |1369 |01:53:36 ~-~-> 01:53:40 |yet, for the folks that are listening to that means you're probably not going to | ||
1371 | |1370 |01:53:40 ~-~-> 01:53:44 |trade every day, and that's not a bad thing. That's not a bad thing. What | ||
1372 | |1371 |01:53:44 ~-~-> 01:53:47 |happens when you come to the realization and say, You know what? This is probably | ||
1373 | |1372 |01:53:47 ~-~-> 01:53:52 |going to take a whole lot more emphasis, and not emphasis, but attention, and | ||
1374 | |1373 |01:53:52 ~-~-> 01:53:57 |attention that I don't really want to spend when I know I can got another day | ||
1375 | |1374 |01:53:57 ~-~-> 01:54:01 |later in the week where it'll be a lot easier and low resistance. So I'll put | ||
1376 | |1375 |01:54:01 ~-~-> 01:54:05 |the risk on in those days, and I'll go, I'll go fishing, or I'll do something | ||
1377 | |1376 |01:54:05 ~-~-> 01:54:08 |else with my family members, or I'll just won't worry about it, and whatever | ||
1378 | |1377 |01:54:08 ~-~-> 01:54:13 |happens in the marketplace, I won't beat myself up about it. And then when you | ||
1379 | |1378 |01:54:13 ~-~-> 01:54:16 |come back and you see how, oh yeah, I could have took that trade. I could took | ||
1380 | |1379 |01:54:16 ~-~-> 01:54:20 |this trade, but it would have stopped me out, you know. And trailing stop losses | ||
1381 | |1380 |01:54:20 ~-~-> 01:54:26 |in high resistance liquidity run conditions is a death nail. You've seen | ||
1382 | |1381 |01:54:26 ~-~-> 01:54:31 |me managing my trades where sometimes I'll have the trade with the stop is | ||
1383 | |1382 |01:54:31 ~-~-> 01:54:35 |just covering costs. That means wherever I got in at it's covering the commission | ||
1384 | |1383 |01:54:35 ~-~-> 01:54:40 |cost fees, and maybe puts 100 bucks in my pocket so it pays me for my effort | ||
1385 | |1384 |01:54:40 ~-~-> 01:54:43 |and time. In worst case scenario, if I get stopped out, yeah, I made 100 bucks. | ||
1386 | |1385 |01:54:43 ~-~-> 01:54:48 |You know, I get pizza dinner for the kids, and there you go. But here you | ||
1387 | |1386 |01:54:48 ~-~-> 01:54:54 |don't want to trail your stop loss, because look at the price action. When | ||
1388 | |1387 |01:54:54 ~-~-> 01:54:57 |it's high resistance, that means it's likely to overlap the previous | ||
1389 | |1388 |01:54:57 ~-~-> 01:55:02 |candlesticks range. That's that's the. You see a simplest definition for high | ||
1390 | |1389 |01:55:02 ~-~-> 01:55:06 |resistance liquidity runs. That means it's going to spend a lot of time | ||
1391 | |1390 |01:55:06 ~-~-> 01:55:09 |overlapping in the previous candles range, whatever the highest high and the | ||
1392 | |1391 |01:55:09 ~-~-> 01:55:13 |lowest low for that previous candle is, expect that same overlap the next candle | ||
1393 | |1392 |01:55:13 ~-~-> 01:55:18 |back and forth over top of it. Next candle overlap back and forth over top | ||
1394 | |1393 |01:55:18 ~-~-> 01:55:22 |of next candle, back and forth over top of the previous candles range. I don't | ||
1395 | |1394 |01:55:22 ~-~-> 01:55:26 |want to be trading in those conditions. I don't know about you folks, I don't | ||
1396 | |1395 |01:55:26 ~-~-> 01:55:30 |like trading in these conditions. I have better things that I could be doing | ||
1397 | |1396 |01:55:30 ~-~-> 01:55:34 |instead of worrying about having to be precise in a market condition, that's | ||
1398 | |1397 |01:55:34 ~-~-> 01:55:40 |going to steal, rob you of precision, and it's going to beat you up by | ||
1399 | |1398 |01:55:40 ~-~-> 01:55:45 |retracements more times than you want to see happen. So my question to you in the | ||
1400 | |1399 |01:55:45 ~-~-> 01:55:48 |live stream audience that are listening or watching it later on, when it's | ||
1401 | |1400 |01:55:48 ~-~-> 01:55:53 |appropriate for you to do so, are you more inclined to want to be in an | ||
1402 | |1401 |01:55:53 ~-~-> 01:55:56 |environment like this, where you have to worry about if you ever move your stop | ||
1403 | |1402 |01:55:56 ~-~-> 01:56:00 |loss, you're probably going to get prematurely stopped out and never see | ||
1404 | |1403 |01:56:00 ~-~-> 01:56:06 |the targets trade to before getting stopped out. Or would you find yourself | ||
1405 | |1404 |01:56:06 ~-~-> 01:56:13 |more prone to seek opportunities where the market doesn't have so much of an | ||
1406 | |1405 |01:56:13 ~-~-> 01:56:17 |interest that's vested in coming back and stopping you out prematurely because | ||
1407 | |1406 |01:56:17 ~-~-> 01:56:22 |you're in a low resistance liquidity run condition, market where it just moves | ||
1408 | |1407 |01:56:22 ~-~-> 01:56:26 |real free and loose. It just goes right to target, like it's in a hurry and has | ||
1409 | |1408 |01:56:26 ~-~-> 01:56:29 |something to go and do something else. That's that. That's what you want to be | ||
1410 | |1409 |01:56:29 ~-~-> 01:56:33 |trading in. Caleb, that's the market conditions you want to trade in. And | ||
1411 | |1410 |01:56:33 ~-~-> 01:56:37 |they have very simplistic characteristics that it indicates before | ||
1412 | |1411 |01:56:37 ~-~-> 01:56:43 |the the market trading day starts. It shows you how it's going to look like | ||
1413 | |1412 |01:56:43 ~-~-> 01:56:47 |that before it does. And conversely, as I'm teaching here, and as I thought last | ||
1414 | |1413 |01:56:47 ~-~-> 01:56:53 |week, there are characteristics that overlap, where you can see these harder | ||
1415 | |1414 |01:56:53 ~-~-> 01:56:56 |conditions. I'm not saying it's impossible to trade, but it's harder for | ||
1416 | |1415 |01:56:56 ~-~-> 01:57:01 |a new trader to navigate in this because it's a whole lot of ebb and flow, back | ||
1417 | |1416 |01:57:01 ~-~-> 01:57:04 |and forth, price action that's going to come back and stop out any individual | ||
1418 | |1417 |01:57:04 ~-~-> 01:57:09 |that has a trail stop loss. Think about it. This is your entry area here, and | ||
1419 | |1418 |01:57:09 ~-~-> 01:57:13 |you have this displacement link. It creates a little high here, starts to | ||
1420 | |1419 |01:57:13 ~-~-> 01:57:16 |trade down here. You expect it to break that low and trade the mid gap right | ||
1421 | |1420 |01:57:17 ~-~-> 01:57:21 |based on ICT stuff. Well, now compound that equation with you have high | ||
1422 | |1421 |01:57:21 ~-~-> 01:57:24 |resistant liquidity ring conditions. Liquidity, growing conditions, it's | ||
1423 | |1422 |01:57:24 ~-~-> 01:57:28 |going to fail to go below that low. But go back for anyone that's trail stop | ||
1424 | |1423 |01:57:28 ~-~-> 01:57:34 |losses so that high, and it goes right into the fair value gap, meaning, what | ||
1425 | |1424 |01:57:34 ~-~-> 01:57:39 |that's a fair value gap that's reclaimed. So when do, when do reclaimed | ||
1426 | |1425 |01:57:39 ~-~-> 01:57:46 |fair value gaps most likely form in high resistance. Look what he runs. This son | ||
1427 | |1426 |01:57:46 ~-~-> 01:57:50 |of a bitch always hides that stuff and that the latter parts of these long | ||
1428 | |1427 |01:57:50 ~-~-> 01:57:54 |discussions. You're damn right. I do, because five minute guys that come in | ||
1429 | |1428 |01:57:54 ~-~-> 01:57:57 |here and they want to look for these little things that go in their little | ||
1430 | |1429 |01:57:57 ~-~-> 01:58:01 |mentorship bullshit, or put stuff in their little shorts on YouTube, they're | ||
1431 | |1430 |01:58:01 ~-~-> 01:58:04 |never, even though they compare it, when I say they're never going to be able to | ||
1432 | |1431 |01:58:04 ~-~-> 01:58:08 |apply it, because they're looking for shortcuts, and shortcuts just means that | ||
1433 | |1432 |01:58:08 ~-~-> 01:58:11 |you're getting to the front of the line and blowing out and losing your account. | ||
1434 | |1433 |01:58:11 ~-~-> 01:58:15 |That's what all it is. You're making a fast way to get to no profitability. The | ||
1435 | |1434 |01:58:16 ~-~-> 01:58:19 |folks that get in here, they roll their sleeves up. They want to learn every | ||
1436 | |1435 |01:58:19 ~-~-> 01:58:23 |little detail, every intricate nuance that I'm trying to share. It's to make | ||
1437 | |1436 |01:58:23 ~-~-> 01:58:28 |my son better equipped than all of you, even my students that are here | ||
1438 | |1437 |01:58:28 ~-~-> 01:58:34 |listening. My intentions are to keep my children better than you, but they have | ||
1439 | |1438 |01:58:34 ~-~-> 01:58:38 |to start here too, and this is all useful information. If these are the | ||
1440 | |1439 |01:58:38 ~-~-> 01:58:42 |lessons that you only learn from me, you're light years ahead everybody else, | ||
1441 | |1440 |01:58:42 ~-~-> 01:58:46 |because you're learning to read price action in a manner that no one else sees | ||
1442 | |1441 |01:58:46 ~-~-> 01:58:50 |it like no other school of thought teaches this way, no one else teaches | ||
1443 | |1442 |01:58:50 ~-~-> 01:58:54 |this way. But by defining things in terms of low resistance and high | ||
1444 | |1443 |01:58:54 ~-~-> 01:58:59 |resistance liquidity run conditions, it affords you a different approach based | ||
1445 | |1444 |01:58:59 ~-~-> 01:59:05 |on whatever day or model or profile you're you're operating in certain PD | ||
1446 | |1445 |01:59:05 ~-~-> 01:59:12 |arrays are more prone to exist and form in one profile versus another. Reclaimed | ||
1447 | |1446 |01:59:13 ~-~-> 01:59:18 |means what it's revisiting it. Do you expect that to happen in a resistance | ||
1448 | |1447 |01:59:18 ~-~-> 01:59:23 |liquidity run condition? Hell no. Elvis has left the building goodbye. Right to | ||
1449 | |1448 |01:59:23 ~-~-> 01:59:28 |target. That's what I'm teaching my kids to focus on. That's what I taught paid | ||
1450 | |1449 |01:59:28 ~-~-> 01:59:33 |mentorship students to do, but they didn't want to sit through these types | ||
1451 | |1450 |01:59:33 ~-~-> 01:59:37 |of lectures like this. This is how I taught look at the look at the lessons | ||
1452 | |1451 |01:59:37 ~-~-> 01:59:43 |that I was teaching in the first couple months conceptual, conceptual, | ||
1453 | |1452 |01:59:43 ~-~-> 01:59:47 |conceptual. Man, just ever going to get to trading, you got to learn a lot of | ||
1454 | |1453 |01:59:47 ~-~-> 01:59:54 |stuff. Man, there's a lot of stuff that is a foundational necessity to be able | ||
1455 | |1454 |01:59:54 ~-~-> 01:59:58 |to different, differentiate easy trading conditions versus a little bit more | ||
1456 | |1455 |01:59:58 ~-~-> 02:00:04 |complex. You. And the the aggressive form of what this is, is seek and | ||
1457 | |1456 |02:00:04 ~-~-> 02:00:08 |destroy, which it could have created that today. But this is not seek and | ||
1458 | |1457 |02:00:08 ~-~-> 02:00:14 |destroy. This is this high resistance liquidity run conditions. So it comes | ||
1459 | |1458 |02:00:14 ~-~-> 02:00:18 |back and reclaimed order blocks, reclaimed fair value gaps, reclaimed | ||
1460 | |1459 |02:00:18 ~-~-> 02:00:25 |everything, any PD array that uses it characteristic twice. It's going to be | ||
1461 | |1460 |02:00:25 ~-~-> 02:00:32 |synonymous in high resistance, liquidity run conditions, reclaimed order blocks, | ||
1462 | |1461 |02:00:32 ~-~-> 02:00:36 |reclaimed fair value gaps, in other words, two times. Touching those | ||
1463 | |1462 |02:00:36 ~-~-> 02:00:40 |generally, are going to be part of a market profile like we have here, where | ||
1464 | |1463 |02:00:40 ~-~-> 02:00:45 |it's back and forth, high resistance, but eventually, usually when you're worn | ||
1465 | |1464 |02:00:45 ~-~-> 02:00:48 |down and you're not in a trade anymore, then later in the day, it'll go down and | ||
1466 | |1465 |02:00:48 ~-~-> 02:00:53 |touch the objectives the new week, opening gap high right here. The first | ||
1467 | |1466 |02:00:53 ~-~-> 02:00:58 |time it gets to it here is at 1143 but look at all this price actions sitting | ||
1468 | |1467 |02:00:58 ~-~-> 02:01:03 |here sideways that'll wear you down. If you're expecting low resistance, real | ||
1469 | |1468 |02:01:03 ~-~-> 02:01:08 |quick, fast, sudden runs, no, you're going to lose your mind. You're going to | ||
1470 | |1469 |02:01:08 ~-~-> 02:01:11 |want to trail, stop losses. And it's going to just, it's going to stop you up | ||
1471 | |1470 |02:01:11 ~-~-> 02:01:14 |prematurely, and then you're going to wrestle about why you couldn't hold on | ||
1472 | |1471 |02:01:14 ~-~-> 02:01:17 |to the trade there, or why did it you see the comments ICT? Why didn't it go | ||
1473 | |1472 |02:01:17 ~-~-> 02:01:22 |down and hit the new week opening gap right there? Why aren't you taking notes | ||
1474 | |1473 |02:01:22 ~-~-> 02:01:26 |when I'm teaching these things? This is the first time I taught it. It's | ||
1475 | |1474 |02:01:26 ~-~-> 02:01:32 |throughout the entire Compendium on my YouTube channel. A lot of things that | ||
1476 | |1475 |02:01:32 ~-~-> 02:01:36 |you ask answers for require understanding other things and other | ||
1477 | |1476 |02:01:36 ~-~-> 02:01:38 |facets to the language I've created, | ||
1478 | |1477 |02:01:40 ~-~-> 02:01:45 |and by having that comprehensive view of what it is I teach, it's easy. Once you | ||
1479 | |1478 |02:01:45 ~-~-> 02:01:50 |have a familiarity of a lot of the things I teach, broad brushed approach, | ||
1480 | |1479 |02:01:51 ~-~-> 02:01:55 |then things that you think are very, very complex and difficult to understand | ||
1481 | |1480 |02:01:55 ~-~-> 02:01:59 |suddenly become very clear to understand. Oh, now I understand why | ||
1482 | |1481 |02:01:59 ~-~-> 02:02:03 |price didn't take that relative equal low there yet, why did it leave these | ||
1483 | |1482 |02:02:03 ~-~-> 02:02:05 |relative equal highs, and why didn't you wait for to shoot up there? Because | ||
1484 | |1483 |02:02:05 ~-~-> 02:02:09 |there's conditions in the marketplace that are going to promote a different | ||
1485 | |1484 |02:02:10 ~-~-> 02:02:16 |approach to taking trades in that specific environment. And it's defined | ||
1486 | |1485 |02:02:16 ~-~-> 02:02:21 |by high resistance or low resistance, and it's very easy to notice it, even if | ||
1487 | |1486 |02:02:21 ~-~-> 02:02:25 |you don't expect it, but you start seeing signatures in price action, how | ||
1488 | |1487 |02:02:25 ~-~-> 02:02:29 |it's behaving, where every individual candlestick is overlapping the previous | ||
1489 | |1488 |02:02:29 ~-~-> 02:02:35 |candlesticks range by the majority. That is indicating the the clearest, most | ||
1490 | |1489 |02:02:35 ~-~-> 02:02:41 |visual, clearest, most visual representation of a high resistance | ||
1491 | |1490 |02:02:41 ~-~-> 02:02:44 |liquidity run condition is, every subsequent candle is sharing the | ||
1492 | |1491 |02:02:44 ~-~-> 02:02:51 |previous candles range. That's a very simple definition, isn't it? Versus a | ||
1493 | |1492 |02:02:51 ~-~-> 02:02:56 |low resistance liquidity run condition is the candlesticks are a lot separate, | ||
1494 | |1493 |02:02:56 ~-~-> 02:02:59 |a lot more separated between their highs and lows, and they're not sharing much | ||
1495 | |1494 |02:02:59 ~-~-> 02:03:03 |of the same range of the previous candle. It is a lot of big candles, and | ||
1496 | |1495 |02:03:03 ~-~-> 02:03:06 |that's exactly what you want. You don't want to be in here waiting around | ||
1497 | |1496 |02:03:06 ~-~-> 02:03:09 |forever for your target to get met. You don't want to be waiting for the spread | ||
1498 | |1497 |02:03:09 ~-~-> 02:03:15 |to overcome and and move into a position of unrealized profit and holding on to | ||
1499 | |1498 |02:03:15 ~-~-> 02:03:18 |that throughout the entirety of your trade. I don't want to be in trades | ||
1500 | |1499 |02:03:18 ~-~-> 02:03:21 |where I have to wait for my trade to come out of spread or initial drawdown. | ||
1501 | |1500 |02:03:21 ~-~-> 02:03:26 |I don't want to be in trades like that. Look at my trades. When I share my | ||
1502 | |1501 |02:03:26 ~-~-> 02:03:29 |examples to you, they're always showing you what, what are the classic | ||
1503 | |1502 |02:03:29 ~-~-> 02:03:34 |characteristics? Number one, it's quickly running in my favor. My stop | ||
1504 | |1503 |02:03:34 ~-~-> 02:03:37 |losses are never exaggerated. They're never taking on more risk than it's | ||
1505 | |1504 |02:03:37 ~-~-> 02:03:43 |required. And they're quickly moving in my direction, and I'm quickly able to | ||
1506 | |1505 |02:03:43 ~-~-> 02:03:48 |take off a partial or cover my costs, and I sit comfortably. And there it is. | ||
1507 | |1506 |02:03:48 ~-~-> 02:03:55 |And I manage my stop I cannot do. Listen to me now. I cannot do the mister | ||
1508 | |1507 |02:03:55 ~-~-> 02:04:00 |wizards world of stop loss, placement in high resistance liquidity run | ||
1509 | |1508 |02:04:00 ~-~-> 02:04:04 |conditions, not to the same degree that I do with low resistance liquidity run | ||
1510 | |1509 |02:04:04 ~-~-> 02:04:10 |conditions, because high resistance is already indicating that there's probably | ||
1511 | |1510 |02:04:10 ~-~-> 02:04:14 |going to be an opportunity sometime in that day or that session, that manual | ||
1512 | |1511 |02:04:14 ~-~-> 02:04:18 |intervention will come in. That means the real market makers, not the dealers | ||
1513 | |1512 |02:04:18 ~-~-> 02:04:22 |that get out there and try to stay Delta neutral. Okay, that is not a market | ||
1514 | |1513 |02:04:22 ~-~-> 02:04:26 |maker. I just listen to another Yahoo that has a YouTube channel. He's an | ||
1515 | |1514 |02:04:26 ~-~-> 02:04:31 |Italian fellow. Yeah, he didn't read somebody supposedly that news ins and | ||
1516 | |1515 |02:04:31 ~-~-> 02:04:34 |outs of the marketplace and everything that came out of that man's mouth, | ||
1517 | |1516 |02:04:34 ~-~-> 02:04:38 |absolute worst. So when you're talking about market makers, you don't even know | ||
1518 | |1517 |02:04:38 ~-~-> 02:04:41 |who the hell you're talking about. You don't even know them. Okay? They're not | ||
1519 | |1518 |02:04:41 ~-~-> 02:04:46 |dealers. Dealers are trying to be delta neutral. That's what their job is. And | ||
1520 | |1519 |02:04:46 ~-~-> 02:04:51 |when there's a lot of movement and displacement and price action that is | ||
1521 | |1520 |02:04:51 ~-~-> 02:04:56 |adverse for their business model, that is not what I'm talking about. A market | ||
1522 | |1521 |02:04:56 ~-~-> 02:05:06 |maker is the person, the entity, the. A facilitator of price. Where it | ||
1523 | |1522 |02:05:06 ~-~-> 02:05:10 |originates from. It's not the buying and sellers that's creating the origin of | ||
1524 | |1523 |02:05:10 ~-~-> 02:05:18 |price. Who, who dictates the first print opening bell? You don't, I don't. That's | ||
1525 | |1524 |02:05:18 ~-~-> 02:05:24 |never us. That's never us. Where do we get the opening price on Sunday? That's | ||
1526 | |1525 |02:05:24 ~-~-> 02:05:30 |never us. That is never going to be anybody at all. That retail control. We | ||
1527 | |1526 |02:05:30 ~-~-> 02:05:33 |can't control that, but that price is already determined before already | ||
1528 | |1527 |02:05:33 ~-~-> 02:05:37 |happened by Friday's close it already they already know where they're going to | ||
1529 | |1528 |02:05:37 ~-~-> 02:05:42 |open it up. And that probably is unsettling to you. That means it's | ||
1530 | |1529 |02:05:42 ~-~-> 02:05:46 |rigged, and you should be glad that it's rigged. You should not be upset that | ||
1531 | |1530 |02:05:46 ~-~-> 02:05:50 |it's rigged, because if it wasn't rigged, none of us would make money. | ||
1532 | |1531 |02:05:51 ~-~-> 02:05:55 |We've had the same odds that the lottery players have, the same odds that casino | ||
1533 | |1532 |02:05:55 ~-~-> 02:05:59 |people that use the slot machines, usually, I can't remember what the name | ||
1534 | |1533 |02:05:59 ~-~-> 02:06:02 |of those things are, but the slot machines have really no skill set | ||
1535 | |1534 |02:06:02 ~-~-> 02:06:07 |required to win them, which means there's no edge. There's no way, except | ||
1536 | |1535 |02:06:07 ~-~-> 02:06:10 |for cruise through the aisles and wait for somebody's been sitting there for a | ||
1537 | |1536 |02:06:10 ~-~-> 02:06:14 |long time to get up from that machine. And then you go in and you put more | ||
1538 | |1537 |02:06:14 ~-~-> 02:06:18 |money in it, and it pays out on ratio. It takes in so much before it pays out. | ||
1539 | |1538 |02:06:19 ~-~-> 02:06:23 |It's rigged, but you don't know how much has been paid in before that will pay | ||
1540 | |1539 |02:06:23 ~-~-> 02:06:30 |out. So what I do is I teach you how to look at how it's rigged. Look for those | ||
1541 | |1540 |02:06:30 ~-~-> 02:06:35 |moments where everything is indicating there's so many things that it's going | ||
1542 | |1541 |02:06:35 ~-~-> 02:06:41 |to move one sided at this specific time of the day, very important, and it's | ||
1543 | |1542 |02:06:41 ~-~-> 02:06:48 |less likely to do the opposite of that. And if you can do those things when it's | ||
1544 | |1543 |02:06:48 ~-~-> 02:06:51 |not high resistance liquidity run conditions, that means there is a high | ||
1545 | |1544 |02:06:51 ~-~-> 02:06:55 |impact or medium impact news driver in that trading session. So that means | ||
1546 | |1545 |02:06:55 ~-~-> 02:06:58 |you're going to have some kind of manipulation, which is what we want, | ||
1547 | |1546 |02:06:58 ~-~-> 02:07:02 |because we want to see them use that smoke screen to get people that don't | ||
1548 | |1547 |02:07:02 ~-~-> 02:07:06 |know what they're doing on the wrong side, and when they see those | ||
1549 | |1548 |02:07:06 ~-~-> 02:07:11 |individuals come dog piling in, that sentiment shift, because social media | ||
1550 | |1549 |02:07:11 ~-~-> 02:07:15 |being what it is, what is the first thing you want to do when you put a | ||
1551 | |1550 |02:07:15 ~-~-> 02:07:19 |trade on and you start seeing a little bit of profit already, you want to go | ||
1552 | |1551 |02:07:19 ~-~-> 02:07:22 |and show everybody you want to send me a picture of it. You want to send somebody | ||
1553 | |1552 |02:07:22 ~-~-> 02:07:25 |else. I want somebody else on Twitter, somebody else on whatever the other | ||
1554 | |1553 |02:07:26 ~-~-> 02:07:31 |social media mediums that you use. I'm in this trade here. You didn't say | ||
1555 | |1554 |02:07:31 ~-~-> 02:07:34 |you're going to take that trade, but now, because it's in slight profit and | ||
1556 | |1555 |02:07:34 ~-~-> 02:07:38 |you have a stop loss protecting against you. Now you want to talk about it, and | ||
1557 | |1556 |02:07:38 ~-~-> 02:07:44 |you want to see other people pat you on the back, congratulating you that that | ||
1558 | |1557 |02:07:44 ~-~-> 02:07:49 |is proof of the sentiment ideas on teaching. So when the Judas twin takes | ||
1559 | |1558 |02:07:49 ~-~-> 02:07:53 |effect, and when the market's primarily, primarily, rather bearish, and you see a | ||
1560 | |1559 |02:07:53 ~-~-> 02:07:59 |little bit of a run higher, retail will chase that and think it's going up, or | ||
1561 | |1560 |02:07:59 ~-~-> 02:08:01 |they'll put a breakout order in. If it goes a little bit higher, then they'll | ||
1562 | |1561 |02:08:01 ~-~-> 02:08:06 |say, Okay, I'm going to buy that and stick with it. And think it's going to | ||
1563 | |1562 |02:08:06 ~-~-> 02:08:14 |take me into profit. That sentiment shift is what is kind of like that line | ||
1564 | |1563 |02:08:14 ~-~-> 02:08:18 |in the sand between those people that are impulsive versus the people that | ||
1565 | |1564 |02:08:18 ~-~-> 02:08:22 |know what they're looking for. And by understanding that that medium impact or | ||
1566 | |1565 |02:08:22 ~-~-> 02:08:28 |high impact news driver being in 830 or sometime inside of the hour first hour | ||
1567 | |1566 |02:08:28 ~-~-> 02:08:35 |trading, that is essential. That's essential for low resistance liquidity | ||
1568 | |1567 |02:08:35 ~-~-> 02:08:41 |run conditions. So having a medium impact or high impact news driver is | ||
1569 | |1568 |02:08:41 ~-~-> 02:08:46 |synonymous with low resistance liquidity run. That does not mean very important | ||
1570 | |1569 |02:08:46 ~-~-> 02:08:51 |fact here, okay, it does not mean, simply because you have a medium impact | ||
1571 | |1570 |02:08:51 ~-~-> 02:08:54 |or high impact news driver or event in the calendar that you're going to have a | ||
1572 | |1571 |02:08:54 ~-~-> 02:08:58 |low resistance liquidity run condition. It just means that that's the climate | ||
1573 | |1572 |02:08:58 ~-~-> 02:09:03 |that they exist in more than any other. There's some kind of manipulation that's | ||
1574 | |1573 |02:09:03 ~-~-> 02:09:07 |going to be used around these reports. And if you don't have those things on | ||
1575 | |1574 |02:09:07 ~-~-> 02:09:11 |your economic calendar, then the likelihood of you having a high | ||
1576 | |1575 |02:09:11 ~-~-> 02:09:16 |resistance liquidity run, it's more likely that's going to happen because | ||
1577 | |1576 |02:09:17 ~-~-> 02:09:21 |there's no news to manipulate. But when there is news, that means there's going | ||
1578 | |1577 |02:09:21 ~-~-> 02:09:24 |to be manipulation. That means they're going to catch people off side. That | ||
1579 | |1578 |02:09:24 ~-~-> 02:09:27 |means they're going to trick people and put them in the wrong side of the | ||
1580 | |1579 |02:09:27 ~-~-> 02:09:30 |marketplace, and if they get put into the wrong side, think about it. Why | ||
1581 | |1580 |02:09:30 ~-~-> 02:09:35 |would this logically be even occurring? Why would there be low resistance | ||
1582 | |1581 |02:09:35 ~-~-> 02:09:38 |liquidity run conditions when there's high impact or medium impact news? | ||
1583 | |1582 |02:09:38 ~-~-> 02:09:41 |Because they're going to put people on the wrong side of the marketplace at the | ||
1584 | |1583 |02:09:41 ~-~-> 02:09:44 |most inopportune time for them. When they're going against them, they're | ||
1585 | |1584 |02:09:44 ~-~-> 02:09:47 |going to be selling to them when they're buying. They're going to be buying when | ||
1586 | |1585 |02:09:47 ~-~-> 02:09:51 |they're selling to you know, when the retail is selling it, they're buying it. | ||
1587 | |1586 |02:09:51 ~-~-> 02:09:54 |They're going the other side of it. They're being Counterparty. And once | ||
1588 | |1587 |02:09:54 ~-~-> 02:09:57 |they have established the session high or low in the first 30 minutes of | ||
1589 | |1588 |02:09:57 ~-~-> 02:10:02 |trading, are they going to. Just slowly move it away from them and allow them to | ||
1590 | |1589 |02:10:02 ~-~-> 02:10:05 |think about what they're think about what they're doing, and say, Well, you | ||
1591 | |1590 |02:10:05 ~-~-> 02:10:09 |know, let's, let's think, do I want to hold them as trade and losing money | ||
1592 | |1591 |02:10:09 ~-~-> 02:10:12 |consistently? And no, they don't want to have any time for them to get out and | ||
1593 | |1592 |02:10:12 ~-~-> 02:10:16 |take their orders out of the marketplace. So that's why medium event | ||
1594 | |1593 |02:10:16 ~-~-> 02:10:21 |or high impact news drivers are indicative their characteristics of low | ||
1595 | |1594 |02:10:21 ~-~-> 02:10:26 |resistance liquidity runs, because the whole mechanism of the price engine is | ||
1596 | |1595 |02:10:26 ~-~-> 02:10:30 |it puts people in on the wrong side during or shortly after these impact | ||
1597 | |1596 |02:10:30 ~-~-> 02:10:34 |drivers on the economic calendar, and they are not going to afford them the | ||
1598 | |1597 |02:10:34 ~-~-> 02:10:37 |opportunity to close their trade, because that's why the market moves | ||
1599 | |1598 |02:10:37 ~-~-> 02:10:42 |quick, speed and magnitude, speed and distance. These are the little | ||
1600 | |1599 |02:10:42 ~-~-> 02:10:46 |signatures I type out when I'm doing my recordings, because I expect these | ||
1601 | |1600 |02:10:46 ~-~-> 02:10:49 |things to happen. Because now retail is trapped, and they're not going to let | ||
1602 | |1601 |02:10:49 ~-~-> 02:10:54 |price move slowly down. And you think that everybody's like, okay, we're all | ||
1603 | |1602 |02:10:54 ~-~-> 02:10:59 |going to we're all going to collectively decide to sell short real fast, real | ||
1604 | |1603 |02:10:59 ~-~-> 02:11:04 |real abruptly, to cause the market to drop fast, so that way those traders | ||
1605 | |1604 |02:11:04 ~-~-> 02:11:07 |can't get out. No one's doing that. That's not what's going on. The price | ||
1606 | |1605 |02:11:07 ~-~-> 02:11:11 |engine falls out of bed precipitously when it's bearish and it's done its job | ||
1607 | |1606 |02:11:11 ~-~-> 02:11:15 |of putting traders on the wrong side by a Judah swing trading higher, creating | ||
1608 | |1607 |02:11:15 ~-~-> 02:11:18 |the morning session high, which could very well be the high of the day. | ||
1609 | |1608 |02:11:19 ~-~-> 02:11:24 |It drops aggressively fast, and if you're on the right side of the | ||
1610 | |1609 |02:11:24 ~-~-> 02:11:29 |marketplace, it's fun, but if you're on the wrong side, it's dangerous. It's, | ||
1611 | |1610 |02:11:29 ~-~-> 02:11:34 |it's, it's devastating. It's, it's, it's morally deflating. It's, it's, it's | ||
1612 | |1611 |02:11:34 ~-~-> 02:11:40 |crushing, because it's like, wow, what just happened? And you're proving that | ||
1613 | |1612 |02:11:40 ~-~-> 02:11:43 |you don't know how the markets work. If you're asking, What just happened, or | ||
1614 | |1613 |02:11:43 ~-~-> 02:11:47 |how did that happen, you need to stop trading with real money and learn how to | ||
1615 | |1614 |02:11:47 ~-~-> 02:11:51 |trade. Take some time to spend with the lectures I'm teaching you, because I'm | ||
1616 | |1615 |02:11:51 ~-~-> 02:11:54 |literally giving you the language of the marketplace, teaching you how to read | ||
1617 | |1616 |02:11:54 ~-~-> 02:11:58 |the life blood, which is liquidity, and the mechanism of delivery, which is | ||
1618 | |1617 |02:11:58 ~-~-> 02:12:02 |time. All these things. Have to agree. If you have that and you have an | ||
1619 | |1618 |02:12:02 ~-~-> 02:12:06 |economic calendar has a medium impact or high impact news driver, you have the | ||
1620 | |1619 |02:12:06 ~-~-> 02:12:10 |recipe for low resistance, liquidity run conditions. That means solid days | ||
1621 | |1620 |02:12:10 ~-~-> 02:12:15 |trading, easy trades, easy, easy, fast money. That's the stuff that you're | ||
1622 | |1621 |02:12:15 ~-~-> 02:12:20 |supposed to be looking for, but there isn't an everyday supply of that. So do | ||
1623 | |1622 |02:12:20 ~-~-> 02:12:24 |you just don't do anything with price? No, in the beginning you gotta. You have | ||
1624 | |1623 |02:12:24 ~-~-> 02:12:30 |to learn a lot. So engage study it. You learn more about hard days like this | ||
1625 | |1624 |02:12:30 ~-~-> 02:12:33 |than you do with the easy days. The easy days, the only thing that teaches you is | ||
1626 | |1625 |02:12:33 ~-~-> 02:12:38 |to trade with more leverage. Trade. I wish I would have traded with a bigger | ||
1627 | |1626 |02:12:38 ~-~-> 02:12:41 |position. That's, that's, that's the only thing it's going to teach you until | ||
1628 | |1627 |02:12:41 ~-~-> 02:12:45 |you've learned these lessons here, like I've talked about today, it keeps you | ||
1629 | |1628 |02:12:45 ~-~-> 02:12:50 |holding a sober minded perspective over trading. It puts a filter, a leash, if | ||
1630 | |1629 |02:12:50 ~-~-> 02:12:55 |you will. It puts the animal inside you in a cage, so that way, you don't go out | ||
1631 | |1630 |02:12:55 ~-~-> 02:12:59 |there recklessly do things in conditions like this, which obviously has | ||
1632 | |1631 |02:12:59 ~-~-> 02:13:04 |opportunities to trade in, but try to understand, from my perspective, as a | ||
1633 | |1632 |02:13:04 ~-~-> 02:13:10 |responsible educator, I am aware that not everyone's going to have the | ||
1634 | |1633 |02:13:10 ~-~-> 02:13:15 |aptitude that all of you have at the end that are profitable. Some of you are | ||
1635 | |1634 |02:13:15 ~-~-> 02:13:18 |going to start out with well meaning intentions, that you are going to stick | ||
1636 | |1635 |02:13:18 ~-~-> 02:13:20 |with this no matter what come hell or high water. You're going to figure it | ||
1637 | |1636 |02:13:20 ~-~-> 02:13:24 |out until you get to that day where you just can't do it anymore. And it's going | ||
1638 | |1637 |02:13:24 ~-~-> 02:13:28 |to be, for some of you, that's, that's the reality. You're not going to be a | ||
1639 | |1638 |02:13:28 ~-~-> 02:13:30 |trader. And I don't mean that to be deflating, I don't mean that to be | ||
1640 | |1639 |02:13:30 ~-~-> 02:13:34 |discouraging, but let's just be practical. You know, people that you've | ||
1641 | |1640 |02:13:34 ~-~-> 02:13:38 |seen on social media, they've been talking the same nonsense, and they | ||
1642 | |1641 |02:13:38 ~-~-> 02:13:42 |don't have any profitability, they're this negative. They're never going to be | ||
1643 | |1642 |02:13:42 ~-~-> 02:13:44 |a trader. They don't have the wherewithal, they don't have the | ||
1644 | |1643 |02:13:44 ~-~-> 02:13:50 |discipline, they don't have the desire to change who they are. But if you have | ||
1645 | |1644 |02:13:50 ~-~-> 02:13:54 |that passion to stay, I'm going to be in here. I'm going to stick with it. I'm | ||
1646 | |1645 |02:13:54 ~-~-> 02:13:59 |going to follow the rules, and I know it's going to be hard, but I see the | ||
1647 | |1646 |02:13:59 ~-~-> 02:14:03 |science behind it. I just have to get accustomed to looking for these | ||
1648 | |1647 |02:14:03 ~-~-> 02:14:07 |characteristics and study them. Get a backlog of how it worked in the past | ||
1649 | |1648 |02:14:08 ~-~-> 02:14:13 |real time, studying it forward. And then you'll see your model. And then when you | ||
1650 | |1649 |02:14:13 ~-~-> 02:14:17 |operate in them, and you use these low hanging fruit objectives, where all | ||
1651 | |1650 |02:14:17 ~-~-> 02:14:21 |you're doing is looking for a cookie cutter, $200 a day, $100 day. $150 a | ||
1652 | |1651 |02:14:21 ~-~-> 02:14:27 |day, $250 $50 a day, $250 a day. I don't think someone that's new. You're | ||
1653 | |1652 |02:14:27 ~-~-> 02:14:31 |probably asking, why'd you say $250 because I don't think anyone that's new | ||
1654 | |1653 |02:14:31 ~-~-> 02:14:35 |should have anything more than 250 bucks. In fact, if I was being honest | ||
1655 | |1654 |02:14:35 ~-~-> 02:14:40 |with you, I would say anywhere between 102 100, but 250 anything more net as a | ||
1656 | |1655 |02:14:40 ~-~-> 02:14:45 |beginning trader that's trying to formulate a track record of consistently | ||
1657 | |1656 |02:14:45 ~-~-> 02:14:49 |profitable, consistently finding something that's easy to get out of the | ||
1658 | |1657 |02:14:49 ~-~-> 02:14:53 |marketplace and not requiring a great deal of precision, not a lot a whole lot | ||
1659 | |1658 |02:14:53 ~-~-> 02:14:57 |of ICT acrobatics, not a lot of moving parts, very simple surgical strikes go | ||
1660 | |1659 |02:14:57 ~-~-> 02:15:01 |in, boom, boom, boom, done. Get your money and leave. Eve, don't feel | ||
1661 | |1660 |02:15:01 ~-~-> 02:15:06 |impulsive about going back in because it moves even more even if I put something | ||
1662 | |1661 |02:15:06 ~-~-> 02:15:10 |out there on the internet, if I say something, if you are affected and | ||
1663 | |1662 |02:15:10 ~-~-> 02:15:15 |influenced by anything I or anyone else says, You are not the student that I'm | ||
1664 | |1663 |02:15:15 ~-~-> 02:15:22 |aiming you to be. I'm trying to put you in the right direction and allowing the | ||
1665 | |1664 |02:15:22 ~-~-> 02:15:25 |natural trajectory of you following the procedures and processes I'm providing | ||
1666 | |1665 |02:15:25 ~-~-> 02:15:30 |for you for free. It's your job to stick to them, so that way you can see the | ||
1667 | |1666 |02:15:30 ~-~-> 02:15:35 |benefit of doing those things. But if you are influenced by anything that I | ||
1668 | |1667 |02:15:35 ~-~-> 02:15:42 |say in a live stream, you have not graduated to a degree where, if you know | ||
1669 | |1668 |02:15:42 ~-~-> 02:15:49 |your model, it doesn't matter what I say. If you know your model, it doesn't | ||
1670 | |1669 |02:15:49 ~-~-> 02:15:53 |matter what anybody else is saying. It doesn't matter what they criticize about | ||
1671 | |1670 |02:15:53 ~-~-> 02:15:57 |you. They don't it doesn't matter. None of these things matter. As far as I'm | ||
1672 | |1671 |02:15:57 ~-~-> 02:16:00 |concerned, none of your opinion about anything I talk about is important to | ||
1673 | |1672 |02:16:01 ~-~-> 02:16:05 |me. It has no bearing on the outcome of whatever I do. None you can't influence | ||
1674 | |1673 |02:16:05 ~-~-> 02:16:13 |me. I follow nobody on social media. No one has any influence over me. So I want | ||
1675 | |1674 |02:16:13 ~-~-> 02:16:16 |you to understand that I hold my position of an influencer and mentor and | ||
1676 | |1675 |02:16:16 ~-~-> 02:16:23 |teacher with a great deal of respect, because I know that if I say certain | ||
1677 | |1676 |02:16:23 ~-~-> 02:16:31 |things, it will cause the weaker or newer students to do certain things to | ||
1678 | |1677 |02:16:31 ~-~-> 02:16:36 |either try to emulate me or think that I have to have that happen in them as a | ||
1679 | |1678 |02:16:36 ~-~-> 02:16:40 |student before they're proving themselves worthy or part of the | ||
1680 | |1679 |02:16:40 ~-~-> 02:16:46 |community, or whatever, on Twitter or x, that's my playground. I say a lot of | ||
1681 | |1680 |02:16:46 ~-~-> 02:16:49 |stuff. I stir up a lot of trouble because I this, and I enjoy it. That's | ||
1682 | |1681 |02:16:49 ~-~-> 02:16:55 |just, that's, it's my it's my outlet. I vent there. I love pulling the strings | ||
1683 | |1682 |02:16:55 ~-~-> 02:16:58 |of other people, and I love reading their bullshit, because they think they | ||
1684 | |1683 |02:16:58 ~-~-> 02:17:03 |have an, you know, an impact on me. They don't. It's a running joke, but in the | ||
1685 | |1684 |02:17:03 ~-~-> 02:17:10 |lectures, I hold my position as an educator, as a mentor, to a degree that | ||
1686 | |1685 |02:17:10 ~-~-> 02:17:15 |nobody else does. Because I want you to understand that I am aware of the risks | ||
1687 | |1686 |02:17:15 ~-~-> 02:17:18 |in these markets. I'm aware that the risks that you're going to take, that | ||
1688 | |1687 |02:17:18 ~-~-> 02:17:21 |you don't think you're going to do in the beginning, but you will. And I'm | ||
1689 | |1688 |02:17:21 ~-~-> 02:17:24 |trying to be a voice of reason for my kids, so that way they don't do those | ||
1690 | |1689 |02:17:24 ~-~-> 02:17:28 |things, and you have the benefit of hearing that. And I justify why I say | ||
1691 | |1690 |02:17:28 ~-~-> 02:17:35 |these things with rules and processes and procedures that will yield you the | ||
1692 | |1691 |02:17:35 ~-~-> 02:17:42 |protection if you allow that, and if you stick to it, you won't over trade, you | ||
1693 | |1692 |02:17:42 ~-~-> 02:17:45 |won't over leverage, you won't demand more from the market than it's most | ||
1694 | |1693 |02:17:45 ~-~-> 02:17:49 |likely going to do for that given session or day. And you won't be | ||
1695 | |1694 |02:17:49 ~-~-> 02:17:52 |surprised by any of this stuff, either. How many times has the market done | ||
1696 | |1695 |02:17:52 ~-~-> 02:17:57 |something you're like, Wow, where did that come from? Or, if you feel so | ||
1697 | |1696 |02:17:57 ~-~-> 02:18:01 |inclined, man, this is really trash market conditions and you want to get | ||
1698 | |1697 |02:18:01 ~-~-> 02:18:06 |online bitch. That means you had no expectation it's going to be like that. | ||
1699 | |1698 |02:18:06 ~-~-> 02:18:10 |That means you should never be trading with real money if you're surprised, | ||
1700 | |1699 |02:18:11 ~-~-> 02:18:15 |okay, I'm gonna say this on closing it if you're surprised by price action and | ||
1701 | |1700 |02:18:15 ~-~-> 02:18:20 |you're completely taken off guard, unless it's something like geopolitical | ||
1702 | |1701 |02:18:20 ~-~-> 02:18:25 |wartime stif type of stuff, where somebody just got attacked, something | ||
1703 | |1702 |02:18:25 ~-~-> 02:18:29 |just exploded, some kind of terrorist attack, something to that effect, where | ||
1704 | |1703 |02:18:29 ~-~-> 02:18:32 |there's a manual intervention, where it's obvious that, okay, now we | ||
1705 | |1704 |02:18:32 ~-~-> 02:18:35 |understand there's that's the reason why the market did that is a knee jerk | ||
1706 | |1705 |02:18:35 ~-~-> 02:18:41 |reaction to some kind of event that took Place, barring that, if you're surprised | ||
1707 | |1706 |02:18:41 ~-~-> 02:18:47 |by price action intraday, you are getting the clearest indication that you | ||
1708 | |1707 |02:18:47 ~-~-> 02:18:53 |should not be trading with real money. If you feel the impulses of looking at | ||
1709 | |1708 |02:18:53 ~-~-> 02:18:56 |price action, or if you're in a trade and you start saying things like this, I | ||
1710 | |1709 |02:18:56 ~-~-> 02:19:00 |know if I get out of this trade, it's going to do stop right now and go back | ||
1711 | |1710 |02:19:00 ~-~-> 02:19:04 |to demo, because you literally are indicating that you have no idea what | ||
1712 | |1711 |02:19:04 ~-~-> 02:19:09 |you're doing. You have no model. You're guessing. That's exactly what that is. | ||
1713 | |1712 |02:19:09 ~-~-> 02:19:15 |You're guessing. As soon as you start articulating in internally or audibly | ||
1714 | |1713 |02:19:16 ~-~-> 02:19:24 |conditions that if I do this, I know, okay, soon as you, soon as you start | ||
1715 | |1714 |02:19:24 ~-~-> 02:19:29 |saying that or start thinking that, here's what you need to know about what | ||
1716 | |1715 |02:19:29 ~-~-> 02:19:35 |you just did. You just proven that you lost the plot or never had it, and you | ||
1717 | |1716 |02:19:35 ~-~-> 02:19:41 |better be removing yourself from monetary risk immediately. Anyone that | ||
1718 | |1717 |02:19:41 ~-~-> 02:19:46 |stays in that condition, or continues to stay in that condition after that | ||
1719 | |1718 |02:19:46 ~-~-> 02:19:52 |trading episode, and you keep repeating that you do not have a consistent model. | ||
1720 | |1719 |02:19:52 ~-~-> 02:19:57 |You're not consistently applying said model, and you're guessing and | ||
1721 | |1720 |02:19:57 ~-~-> 02:20:03 |eventually, eventually. You're going to have to pay the devil his due. He says, | ||
1722 | |1721 |02:20:03 ~-~-> 02:20:07 |letting you trip right through hell. And you're only getting a sunburn once in a | ||
1723 | |1722 |02:20:07 ~-~-> 02:20:11 |while, but eventually he's going to grab you, he's going to chain you down, and | ||
1724 | |1723 |02:20:11 ~-~-> 02:20:15 |you're going to go through some stuff. You keep tempting it, it's going to | ||
1725 | |1724 |02:20:15 ~-~-> 02:20:20 |happen. But when you go out there in ignorance, staying in the marketplace | ||
1726 | |1725 |02:20:20 ~-~-> 02:20:24 |with real monetary risk, and you're thinking or feeling or audibly saying it | ||
1727 | |1726 |02:20:24 ~-~-> 02:20:27 |out loud, I know if I get out of this marketplace, I know it's going to go and | ||
1728 | |1727 |02:20:27 ~-~-> 02:20:31 |tear off and there it is. Or I know if I put a short one right here, I know it's | ||
1729 | |1728 |02:20:31 ~-~-> 02:20:35 |going to run, you know, run higher as soon as I get in there. What are you | ||
1730 | |1729 |02:20:35 ~-~-> 02:20:42 |doing? What are you doing? There are people literally being paid by people | ||
1731 | |1730 |02:20:42 ~-~-> 02:20:47 |that talk like this on the regular. That is the surest sign that they don't know | ||
1732 | |1731 |02:20:47 ~-~-> 02:20:53 |what the fuck they're doing. No professional, no professional minded | ||
1733 | |1732 |02:20:53 ~-~-> 02:20:57 |fucking trader ever says audibly. You know, I know if I do this, XYZ is going | ||
1734 | |1733 |02:20:57 ~-~-> 02:21:00 |to happen, and I'm wrong, and I'm going to, I'm going to stick with this because | ||
1735 | |1734 |02:21:00 ~-~-> 02:21:02 |I feel impulsive about it, because that's exactly what you're saying. | ||
1736 | |1735 |02:21:02 ~-~-> 02:21:06 |Exactly what you're saying. You're you're being impulsive versus well | ||
1737 | |1736 |02:21:06 ~-~-> 02:21:15 |versed planned model being implemented. It's binary, it's this or it's that, and | ||
1738 | |1737 |02:21:15 ~-~-> 02:21:20 |you execute on this or that, you don't worry about the gray areas in between. | ||
1739 | |1738 |02:21:20 ~-~-> 02:21:20 |Well, I | ||
1740 | |1739 |02:21:20 ~-~-> 02:21:26 |feel like this is going to do if I does, that's what you feel. Means nothing. The | ||
1741 | |1740 |02:21:26 ~-~-> 02:21:30 |algorithm is not tapped into your emotions, but you're tapping into the | ||
1742 | |1741 |02:21:30 ~-~-> 02:21:34 |market through and via your emotions. As soon as you start doing that, you have | ||
1743 | |1742 |02:21:34 ~-~-> 02:21:38 |completely unplugged from what the market's telling you, and you're not | ||
1744 | |1743 |02:21:38 ~-~-> 02:21:42 |reading the price anymore. You're reading your emotions. You're putting | ||
1745 | |1744 |02:21:42 ~-~-> 02:21:47 |yourself through a lie detector test. That's what you're doing. Do you feel | ||
1746 | |1745 |02:21:47 ~-~-> 02:21:50 |like this is going to be a trade, that you'd hold them to true or false? Let's | ||
1747 | |1746 |02:21:50 ~-~-> 02:21:53 |see what your outcome is going to be. And you literally fail the polygraph | ||
1748 | |1747 |02:21:53 ~-~-> 02:21:58 |right there by saying, I know if it does this, you don't know shit. You don't | ||
1749 | |1748 |02:21:58 ~-~-> 02:22:02 |know anything. As soon as you talk like that, you know nothing. Get out of the | ||
1750 | |1749 |02:22:02 ~-~-> 02:22:06 |market, go back to demo, until you start trading without that. When you go to | ||
1751 | |1750 |02:22:06 ~-~-> 02:22:11 |those types of things, you start saying, I know if I do this, it's going to hurt | ||
1752 | |1751 |02:22:11 ~-~-> 02:22:14 |me otherwise, or I'm going to regret this. You're worried about the outcome. | ||
1753 | |1752 |02:22:15 ~-~-> 02:22:18 |You're not worried about the process and the model anymore. You're worried about | ||
1754 | |1753 |02:22:18 ~-~-> 02:22:23 |the outcome, which is not guaranteed to any of us, so you've lost the plot or | ||
1755 | |1754 |02:22:23 ~-~-> 02:22:28 |never had it from the beginning, and anyone that you see talks like that. | ||
1756 | |1755 |02:22:29 ~-~-> 02:22:34 |They're indicating to you. Okay, in performance art and in magic, there's | ||
1757 | |1756 |02:22:34 ~-~-> 02:22:41 |this event that it's called the point of indication. The point of indication is | ||
1758 | |1757 |02:22:41 ~-~-> 02:22:46 |much like when you're gambling at a card table. It's a tell. It's their way of | ||
1759 | |1758 |02:22:46 ~-~-> 02:22:50 |telling on themselves. It's them saying and indicating to you that this is my | ||
1760 | |1759 |02:22:50 ~-~-> 02:22:56 |moment of weakness, this is my moment of ignorance, and I'm trying to do | ||
1761 | |1760 |02:22:56 ~-~-> 02:23:00 |something to mask it from myself, hoping that nobody else picks up on it. That's | ||
1762 | |1761 |02:23:00 ~-~-> 02:23:06 |why it's called a tell. Gamblers are never really playing the cards. They're | ||
1763 | |1762 |02:23:06 ~-~-> 02:23:12 |playing the people holding the cards, that's what they're doing. And people | ||
1764 | |1763 |02:23:12 ~-~-> 02:23:16 |that come off real cocky, arrogant, and I got a winning hand, oh, you might as | ||
1765 | |1764 |02:23:16 ~-~-> 02:23:19 |well just fold. I got you. Or all in, all in, all in, they're just playing the | ||
1766 | |1765 |02:23:19 ~-~-> 02:23:24 |bluff too many times. And gamblers that know what they're doing, they can read | ||
1767 | |1766 |02:23:24 ~-~-> 02:23:28 |people. They'll watch and see how often do they want to go in high raise, going | ||
1768 | |1767 |02:23:28 ~-~-> 02:23:33 |all in, all that type of stuff, because they're reading the person, the | ||
1769 | |1768 |02:23:33 ~-~-> 02:23:37 |character. They don't know for certain what cards they have. They don't need to | ||
1770 | |1769 |02:23:37 ~-~-> 02:23:41 |know that. They just need to know what's the pattern of them. They haven't had a | ||
1771 | |1770 |02:23:41 ~-~-> 02:23:44 |winning hand for a while, so that means they're going to press hard. They're | ||
1772 | |1771 |02:23:44 ~-~-> 02:23:47 |going to try to bluff. They may, they maybe have something, maybe they don't, | ||
1773 | |1772 |02:23:48 ~-~-> 02:23:51 |but if, all of a sudden, you know, they've been changing themselves, and | ||
1774 | |1773 |02:23:51 ~-~-> 02:23:55 |they're indicating their tell, if they start adjusting their sunglasses, they | ||
1775 | |1774 |02:23:55 ~-~-> 02:23:59 |put their hands on it, or they put their hands across their lips, or they adjust | ||
1776 | |1775 |02:23:59 ~-~-> 02:24:02 |their hat, or do something like that. That's a tell. That's a point of | ||
1777 | |1776 |02:24:02 ~-~-> 02:24:07 |indication in magic. For magicians, they always close their eyes when they when | ||
1778 | |1777 |02:24:07 ~-~-> 02:24:10 |they do the sleight of hand, when they're doing the trick part that you're | ||
1779 | |1778 |02:24:10 ~-~-> 02:24:15 |not supposed to see an amateur magician, they close their eyes because what | ||
1780 | |1779 |02:24:15 ~-~-> 02:24:19 |they're doing is, is they're hiding that moment when they know they're not really | ||
1781 | |1780 |02:24:19 ~-~-> 02:24:23 |equipped to be doing it in front of an audience yet. So they close their eyes | ||
1782 | |1781 |02:24:23 ~-~-> 02:24:26 |thinking, well, if I don't see it, the audience doesn't see it, but that | ||
1783 | |1782 |02:24:26 ~-~-> 02:24:30 |doesn't translate. Sometimes the audience will see it, and they'll flash | ||
1784 | |1783 |02:24:30 ~-~-> 02:24:33 |and you'll see them doing the sleight of hand, and it doesn't look like match | ||
1785 | |1784 |02:24:33 ~-~-> 02:24:36 |anymore. It looks like magical malpractice. And the same thing happens | ||
1786 | |1785 |02:24:36 ~-~-> 02:24:44 |in trading. You have trading malpractice done to yourself. You're you're | ||
1787 | |1786 |02:24:44 ~-~-> 02:24:47 |indicating you're not equipped to be trading with real money. When you start | ||
1788 | |1787 |02:24:47 ~-~-> 02:24:52 |talking in a language like, I know if I do this, if I get out, it's going to run | ||
1789 | |1788 |02:24:52 ~-~-> 02:24:57 |and blast off. Okay, if you fucking know that, then stay in the trade. Stop | ||
1790 | |1789 |02:24:57 ~-~-> 02:25:02 |talking about it. Just do that. But what you're. Is you're making an allowance | ||
1791 | |1790 |02:25:02 ~-~-> 02:25:07 |for an outcome that you've now placed above and beyond in terms of importance | ||
1792 | |1791 |02:25:07 ~-~-> 02:25:12 |to the outcome of what you started to trade on. If you're in a trade, you stay | ||
1793 | |1792 |02:25:12 ~-~-> 02:25:17 |with the trade until it proves to you otherwise, nothing else is important. | ||
1794 | |1793 |02:25:17 ~-~-> 02:25:21 |You don't talk about your emotions. You don't say anything about your emotions. | ||
1795 | |1794 |02:25:21 ~-~-> 02:25:25 |I think I feel, I know it's going to do this. If it does this, it's me, you're | ||
1796 | |1795 |02:25:25 ~-~-> 02:25:28 |you're predicting an outcome that you don't know for certain is going to | ||
1797 | |1796 |02:25:28 ~-~-> 02:25:33 |happen, and your attention is placed on that, and that type of stuff is going to | ||
1798 | |1797 |02:25:33 ~-~-> 02:25:38 |happen in these conditions. Folks, you don't have time to think like that when | ||
1799 | |1798 |02:25:38 ~-~-> 02:25:41 |it's in low resistance liquidity run conditions, because the market's in a | ||
1800 | |1799 |02:25:41 ~-~-> 02:25:46 |hurry to get to your profit. If you're on side, using the stuff I'm teaching, | ||
1801 | |1800 |02:25:46 ~-~-> 02:25:52 |if you're on side on those instances, at that time, the market's not going to | ||
1802 | |1801 |02:25:52 ~-~-> 02:25:56 |spend a lot of time dilly dallying around. It's just off the races and go, | ||
1803 | |1802 |02:25:56 ~-~-> 02:26:01 |baby. That's how you want to trade. You don't want to be in conditions that have | ||
1804 | |1803 |02:26:01 ~-~-> 02:26:05 |you wrestling with. Should I stay with this? I don't know. Should I hold on to | ||
1805 | |1804 |02:26:05 ~-~-> 02:26:09 |this? Should I take something off? Should I fuck that? I'm not interested | ||
1806 | |1805 |02:26:09 ~-~-> 02:26:13 |in being in those markets like that. And doesn't make me a lesser trader than | ||
1807 | |1806 |02:26:13 ~-~-> 02:26:18 |somebody else. Does it make me a better trader because, you know, I'm more | ||
1808 | |1807 |02:26:18 ~-~-> 02:26:25 |selective. It makes me better as a person inside my own seven pound | ||
1809 | |1808 |02:26:25 ~-~-> 02:26:30 |universe, that brain is in between my ears. I have to live within myself while | ||
1810 | |1809 |02:26:30 ~-~-> 02:26:34 |I'm in a trade. And I know what it's like to be in a trade and tearing my own | ||
1811 | |1810 |02:26:34 ~-~-> 02:26:39 |flesh from my myself from the inside out, clawing my way, wishing the trade | ||
1812 | |1811 |02:26:39 ~-~-> 02:26:43 |would just end, because it's it's through nerve wrecking, being in | ||
1813 | |1812 |02:26:43 ~-~-> 02:26:47 |conditions even when you're making money and you're brand new, you want to just | ||
1814 | |1813 |02:26:47 ~-~-> 02:26:50 |escape that feeling of uncomfortable. Man. Is this ever going to let me get | ||
1815 | |1814 |02:26:50 ~-~-> 02:26:53 |out of this with a profit? It's so close, I'm like, seven handles away, 10 | ||
1816 | |1815 |02:26:53 ~-~-> 02:26:58 |handles away. Let me just get out of this. Please get up and hit my target in | ||
1817 | |1816 |02:26:58 ~-~-> 02:27:03 |the beginning, the best thing you can do is get out of it. When you're in that | ||
1818 | |1817 |02:27:03 ~-~-> 02:27:06 |profit and you start feeling that wrestling match, get out of it, and then | ||
1819 | |1818 |02:27:06 ~-~-> 02:27:11 |log the rest of the trade. If it goes there, you get a moral victory. That's | ||
1820 | |1819 |02:27:11 ~-~-> 02:27:15 |new growth. Well, there's confidence builder right there. If I would have | ||
1821 | |1820 |02:27:15 ~-~-> 02:27:18 |stayed with it, there it is. But you gotta get to that threshold of failure | ||
1822 | |1821 |02:27:18 ~-~-> 02:27:22 |where you can't stand it anymore in the beginning, and then when you can't stand | ||
1823 | |1822 |02:27:22 ~-~-> 02:27:27 |it anymore, close the trade and watch what happens after that. That's the best | ||
1824 | |1823 |02:27:27 ~-~-> 02:27:31 |you can do. There's nothing else you can do that's more positive reinforcement, | ||
1825 | |1824 |02:27:31 ~-~-> 02:27:34 |cuz if you stay with it, if it's if it doesn't go there, you're going to carry | ||
1826 | |1825 |02:27:34 ~-~-> 02:27:39 |that resentment for years. And that one little transaction in the beginning, | ||
1827 | |1826 |02:27:40 ~-~-> 02:27:45 |everything is in seed format in the beginning. Everything that you're | ||
1828 | |1827 |02:27:45 ~-~-> 02:27:48 |planting in your future self and future harvest, of making money, it's all in | ||
1829 | |1828 |02:27:48 ~-~-> 02:27:53 |seed format. That's what you're, you're you're planting all those things in the | ||
1830 | |1829 |02:27:53 ~-~-> 02:27:56 |beginning. Doesn't it make sense to plant good seeds in the beginning? So | ||
1831 | |1830 |02:27:56 ~-~-> 02:27:59 |that way, your harvest is bountiful and lifelong. Going forward, you have a lot | ||
1832 | |1831 |02:27:59 ~-~-> 02:28:04 |of experience you can reap from harvesting good, positive reinforcement | ||
1833 | |1832 |02:28:04 ~-~-> 02:28:08 |ideas that you've did these things in the past. Therefore, you can trust the | ||
1834 | |1833 |02:28:08 ~-~-> 02:28:12 |logic behind it, versus always giving yourself the opportunity to be in these | ||
1835 | |1834 |02:28:12 ~-~-> 02:28:19 |toxic environments, never spending any time with weeding your garden, keeping | ||
1836 | |1835 |02:28:19 ~-~-> 02:28:24 |all the weeds out of your garden. That means your mind's not spent worrying | ||
1837 | |1836 |02:28:24 ~-~-> 02:28:28 |about toxic shit all the time, whether it be toxic personalities on the | ||
1838 | |1837 |02:28:28 ~-~-> 02:28:33 |internet, toxic educators, toxic people that talk to you on social media to tell | ||
1839 | |1838 |02:28:33 ~-~-> 02:28:36 |you what you're learning isn't going to work, or you're going to fail, or | ||
1840 | |1839 |02:28:37 ~-~-> 02:28:41 |putting yourself through toxic environments, forcing yourself to trade | ||
1841 | |1840 |02:28:41 ~-~-> 02:28:45 |in environments like this as a new trader, these are complex. That's not | ||
1842 | |1841 |02:28:45 ~-~-> 02:28:49 |complex for me, but it's complex for a student that's brand new or not well | ||
1843 | |1842 |02:28:49 ~-~-> 02:28:52 |versed with price action. They're not going to be able to appreciate the | ||
1844 | |1843 |02:28:52 ~-~-> 02:28:57 |difficulties that are now elevated because of the nature of what the | ||
1845 | |1844 |02:28:57 ~-~-> 02:29:01 |market's going to do, how it's going to print, how it's how it's going to book | ||
1846 | |1845 |02:29:01 ~-~-> 02:29:05 |price, in contrast to when the market has high impact or medium impact news | ||
1847 | |1846 |02:29:05 ~-~-> 02:29:10 |drivers, and it's not a Monday, and we have very clear, obvious draws on | ||
1848 | |1847 |02:29:10 ~-~-> 02:29:13 |liquidity, new week opening gaps, New Day opening gaps that are clustered, and | ||
1849 | |1848 |02:29:13 ~-~-> 02:29:18 |we have an opening range gap of more than 45 handles minimum. But I'd like 75 | ||
1850 | |1849 |02:29:19 ~-~-> 02:29:23 |but there you go. That's recipe for just beautiful, low resistance liquidity run | ||
1851 | |1850 |02:29:23 ~-~-> 02:29:27 |conditions. It's not 100% guarantee that you're going to get low resistance | ||
1852 | |1851 |02:29:27 ~-~-> 02:29:31 |liquidity run conditions. It means that the probabilities are off the charts | ||
1853 | |1852 |02:29:31 ~-~-> 02:29:34 |that that's probably what's going to happen. And that means I'm going to be | ||
1854 | |1853 |02:29:34 ~-~-> 02:29:38 |all over that day or that session, all over it, like, why don't rice? I'm going | ||
1855 | |1854 |02:29:38 ~-~-> 02:29:49 |to be on that and it's important to know that even while you're learning in hot, | ||
1856 | |1855 |02:29:49 ~-~-> 02:29:54 |in low resistance liquid during conditions that your ultimate target | ||
1857 | |1856 |02:29:54 ~-~-> 02:29:57 |which you're trying to draw to, you know your new week opening gap high when | ||
1858 | |1857 |02:29:57 ~-~-> 02:30:01 |you're short, or new week opening gap low when you're long. You. It doesn't | ||
1859 | |1858 |02:30:01 ~-~-> 02:30:04 |need to trade to that in the beginning. For you, it doesn't need to do that at | ||
1860 | |1859 |02:30:04 ~-~-> 02:30:15 |all. If someone said, I'm going to give you $100,000 to trade with the rules are | ||
1861 | |1860 |02:30:15 ~-~-> 02:30:19 |you can never take more than 15 handles out of the NASDAQ, but you can't take | ||
1862 | |1861 |02:30:19 ~-~-> 02:30:23 |more than one trade either per day. The first time you do that, you lose all | ||
1863 | |1862 |02:30:23 ~-~-> 02:30:30 |access to the $100,000 how many of you would have the discipline to stick to | ||
1864 | |1863 |02:30:30 ~-~-> 02:30:36 |that? I would, I would wager 95% of you couldn't do it. You might say you can, | ||
1865 | |1864 |02:30:36 ~-~-> 02:30:45 |but you won't. What happens if you were presented an opportunity to trade and | ||
1866 | |1865 |02:30:45 ~-~-> 02:30:51 |have a goal of getting 10 handles a day in NASDAQ, and when you get it, you | ||
1867 | |1866 |02:30:51 ~-~-> 02:30:57 |stop, and you don't care what anybody else says. You don't care how much it's | ||
1868 | |1867 |02:30:57 ~-~-> 02:31:04 |going to move. Soon as it gets you 10 handles, you're out, you're done. Could | ||
1869 | |1868 |02:31:04 ~-~-> 02:31:12 |you do that? Cuz Matt Miller did that, and he took $300,000 out of the | ||
1870 | |1869 |02:31:12 ~-~-> 02:31:19 |marketplace. Did it in front of everybody, transparent, showed | ||
1871 | |1870 |02:31:19 ~-~-> 02:31:19 |everything | ||
1872 | |1871 |02:31:21 ~-~-> 02:31:26 |that is commendable. I have respect for that. Everybody. Everybody else should | ||
1873 | |1872 |02:31:26 ~-~-> 02:31:36 |have respect for that. And he was doing the least. He was doing the least, and | ||
1874 | |1873 |02:31:36 ~-~-> 02:31:46 |made over 300,000 spendable dollars in his bank account, it's his money. Now, | ||
1875 | |1874 |02:31:46 ~-~-> 02:31:53 |truth be told, I was kind of hoping he would cash out and then start over, | ||
1876 | |1875 |02:31:53 ~-~-> 02:31:58 |because that way he had all that money. And if you have a model that works, just | ||
1877 | |1876 |02:31:58 ~-~-> 02:32:03 |start all over and build it up again. But the mind doesn't usually work like | ||
1878 | |1877 |02:32:03 ~-~-> 02:32:07 |that. It's like, well, I built it up. I'm going to just keep working off of | ||
1879 | |1878 |02:32:07 ~-~-> 02:32:15 |this when I bet in a different opportunity, if it gets that point | ||
1880 | |1879 |02:32:15 ~-~-> 02:32:20 |again, he might entertain the idea doing it differently. Because if you can build | ||
1881 | |1880 |02:32:20 ~-~-> 02:32:26 |it up one time, and you have a model you stick to, and you built that, I guess, | ||
1882 | |1881 |02:32:26 ~-~-> 02:32:32 |progress that you can measure and say, I did all those things before, okay, even | ||
1883 | |1882 |02:32:32 ~-~-> 02:32:35 |if he lost the account or cashed out, either way, you're going to stop | ||
1884 | |1883 |02:32:35 ~-~-> 02:32:38 |trading. No, you're not going to do that. Might take some time off, worst | ||
1885 | |1884 |02:32:38 ~-~-> 02:32:40 |case scenario, but you're going to go back and try to do the same thing you | ||
1886 | |1885 |02:32:40 ~-~-> 02:32:43 |just did the first time, right? You're going to build it up. The first time, | ||
1887 | |1886 |02:32:43 ~-~-> 02:32:46 |right? You're gonna build it up. Okay? Well, if you have this big, massive | ||
1888 | |1887 |02:32:46 ~-~-> 02:32:49 |account with these prop firms, why the are you letting them hold that money? | ||
1889 | |1888 |02:32:50 ~-~-> 02:32:55 |Why I read all these stories and these people talking to how they're being | ||
1890 | |1889 |02:32:55 ~-~-> 02:32:59 |denied and delayed and delayed and delayed? Dude, seriously, there's more | ||
1891 | |1890 |02:32:59 ~-~-> 02:33:05 |people learning how to trade better than there has ever been. My students are | ||
1892 | |1891 |02:33:05 ~-~-> 02:33:10 |cleaning up, and there's more of you coming all the time, and they're | ||
1893 | |1892 |02:33:10 ~-~-> 02:33:14 |changing rules and are changing rules and changing rules. My advice to you, | ||
1894 | |1893 |02:33:15 ~-~-> 02:33:24 |okay, is, if you have big balances, take them home. Take them home, spendable | ||
1895 | |1894 |02:33:24 ~-~-> 02:33:29 |money in your bank account. I mean that sincerely, because what's coming you're | ||
1896 | |1895 |02:33:29 ~-~-> 02:33:35 |going to want to have that money. And there's nothing guaranteeing that these | ||
1897 | |1896 |02:33:35 ~-~-> 02:33:40 |companies stay solvent. They're not going to go out there and broadcast you, | ||
1898 | |1897 |02:33:40 ~-~-> 02:33:45 |yeah, we're in financial straits. You know, we're, we're about ready to close | ||
1899 | |1898 |02:33:45 ~-~-> 02:33:48 |the doors. But when you start seeing them say, Well, you know, we're delaying | ||
1900 | |1899 |02:33:48 ~-~-> 02:33:51 |this, delaying this. It's, you know, money's getting paid out. You have to | ||
1901 | |1900 |02:33:51 ~-~-> 02:33:55 |wait. You have to wait. And now they're asking you to record yourself. I don't | ||
1902 | |1901 |02:33:55 ~-~-> 02:33:58 |know. I mean, it just seems like it's a whole lot of, whole lot of things are | ||
1903 | |1902 |02:33:58 ~-~-> 02:34:05 |being added. And the reason I say this is because if you were able to build it | ||
1904 | |1903 |02:34:05 ~-~-> 02:34:11 |up there, then you'll be able to do it again. Start from square one with the | ||
1905 | |1904 |02:34:11 ~-~-> 02:34:16 |cash in your hands. See that money ain't real cash to you. In their eyes, it's | ||
1906 | |1905 |02:34:16 ~-~-> 02:34:22 |this numbers. It's digits. In any time they can come with an excuse to say, | ||
1907 | |1906 |02:34:22 ~-~-> 02:34:25 |Well, yeah, we're going to deny it. You didn't pass this thing. You didn't you | ||
1908 | |1907 |02:34:25 ~-~-> 02:34:29 |did something squirrely over here, and you don't have it. So while you're in | ||
1909 | |1908 |02:34:29 ~-~-> 02:34:35 |good standing, get it, then start back all over again. What's the difference if | ||
1910 | |1909 |02:34:35 ~-~-> 02:34:38 |the money's in your bank account, versus them saying that you have this much | ||
1911 | |1910 |02:34:38 ~-~-> 02:34:43 |money in profits you could take out. The difference is, is you can buy groceries. | ||
1912 | |1911 |02:34:44 ~-~-> 02:34:47 |That's the difference. The difference is, you can pay your car note and your | ||
1913 | |1912 |02:34:47 ~-~-> 02:34:52 |bank notes that you owe loans on your house note, your ends can be met, | ||
1914 | |1913 |02:34:53 ~-~-> 02:34:58 |showing people what you have an unrealized profit in an account. To me, | ||
1915 | |1914 |02:34:58 ~-~-> 02:35:03 |I'm a money man. You. Oh, that's bullshit. That's a number. That's no | ||
1916 | |1915 |02:35:03 ~-~-> 02:35:06 |different than you taking a napkin and writing down this is how much money I | ||
1917 | |1916 |02:35:06 ~-~-> 02:35:09 |want to have in my bank account, because that's the equivalent you want that | ||
1918 | |1917 |02:35:09 ~-~-> 02:35:14 |money in your bank account, but you didn't ask for it yet. Why get that | ||
1919 | |1918 |02:35:14 ~-~-> 02:35:19 |fucking fuck those leaderboards, man. Fuck those leaderboards. Those | ||
1920 | |1919 |02:35:19 ~-~-> 02:35:23 |leaderboards. That's the trap. That's the gimmick, because they keep dangling | ||
1921 | |1920 |02:35:23 ~-~-> 02:35:26 |the carrot. Oh, if you keep building the account, if you keep dangling that | ||
1922 | |1921 |02:35:26 ~-~-> 02:35:29 |carrot, they're gonna keep doing what, trying to reach for something instead of | ||
1923 | |1922 |02:35:29 ~-~-> 02:35:34 |taking the fucking money that's owed to them. Take your money. That's your fuck | ||
1924 | |1923 |02:35:34 ~-~-> 02:35:37 |you money. That's you, I beat you money. That's your money that they can you can | ||
1925 | |1924 |02:35:37 ~-~-> 02:35:41 |spend on whatever fuck you want to spend it on you want to waste it important and | ||
1926 | |1925 |02:35:41 ~-~-> 02:35:45 |used cars. Go ahead. Bottom line is is you've made that money. You've earned | ||
1927 | |1926 |02:35:45 ~-~-> 02:35:52 |it. Take it home. Don't get caught up in all the bullshit leaderboards and all | ||
1928 | |1927 |02:35:52 ~-~-> 02:35:58 |that was shit. That's the trap. That's the trap. If you have big balances owed | ||
1929 | |1928 |02:35:58 ~-~-> 02:36:03 |to you and you can liquidate it. Liquidate that motherfucker, take it | ||
1930 | |1929 |02:36:03 ~-~-> 02:36:07 |home and put it in your bank account and then start all over again. You're saying | ||
1931 | |1930 |02:36:07 ~-~-> 02:36:11 |you don't have to trade if you can't do that, because that's exactly what you | ||
1932 | |1931 |02:36:11 ~-~-> 02:36:15 |you would be telling me that you don't know how to do the same thing that puts | ||
1933 | |1932 |02:36:15 ~-~-> 02:36:21 |you in that same position. Oh, if I take the money out, then I gotta build it all | ||
1934 | |1933 |02:36:21 ~-~-> 02:36:24 |up. The fuck you do. What are you talking about? You got to build it up. | ||
1935 | |1934 |02:36:24 ~-~-> 02:36:31 |It's in your own bank account. It's in your hands. It ain't your fucking money | ||
1936 | |1935 |02:36:31 ~-~-> 02:36:39 |until it's in your hands. The mentality of these individuals that have these big | ||
1937 | |1936 |02:36:39 ~-~-> 02:36:44 |balances sitting on these prop firms, and they parade around on the internet | ||
1938 | |1937 |02:36:44 ~-~-> 02:36:47 |saying, Look at this. This is what I got. I got sitting in my account right | ||
1939 | |1938 |02:36:47 ~-~-> 02:36:52 |now. Are you fucking nuts? Some I'm a money person. Okay, if that money is | ||
1940 | |1939 |02:36:52 ~-~-> 02:36:59 |your money, bring it home. Bring it the fuck home. Because it's not your money. | ||
1941 | |1940 |02:37:00 ~-~-> 02:37:06 |If it's in their hands, it's their money. And remember, if it's your money, | ||
1942 | |1941 |02:37:06 ~-~-> 02:37:11 |why you have to ask for it when it's in your bank account, you don't have to ask | ||
1943 | |1942 |02:37:11 ~-~-> 02:37:19 |anybody you spend it. But it just shows the level of financial illiteracy. Even | ||
1944 | |1943 |02:37:19 ~-~-> 02:37:24 |in prop trading, these individuals, they get caught up in the social media. Badge | ||
1945 | |1944 |02:37:24 ~-~-> 02:37:29 |of honor. Look what I've got. Look what I built my account to that. I'm not | ||
1946 | |1945 |02:37:29 ~-~-> 02:37:35 |impressed by that. What did you put in your bank? Cuz that's what this is all | ||
1947 | |1946 |02:37:35 ~-~-> 02:37:40 |about. You did not start trading to be on a leaderboard. You did not start | ||
1948 | |1947 |02:37:40 ~-~-> 02:37:45 |trading to have other people glad hand and shake your hand say, Wow, you really | ||
1949 | |1948 |02:37:45 ~-~-> 02:37:49 |ran that account up a lot. Okay, that's wonderful that you ran it up. But how | ||
1950 | |1949 |02:37:49 ~-~-> 02:37:53 |about running that in the bank wire to your bank account? Okay? And then we can | ||
1951 | |1950 |02:37:53 ~-~-> 02:37:58 |glad hand and say, Damn son, that was how you do it. That's how you do it. | ||
1952 | |1951 |02:37:58 ~-~-> 02:38:04 |It's about taking it home. It's not about how many times you pass a combine. | ||
1953 | |1952 |02:38:04 ~-~-> 02:38:09 |Who gives a about that. It's funny. As a kid, growing up, one of the things that | ||
1954 | |1953 |02:38:09 ~-~-> 02:38:14 |pissed me off about Ric Flair, I love to hate him, one of the things that pissed | ||
1955 | |1954 |02:38:14 ~-~-> 02:38:18 |me off is dude, like Gary is 10 times world champion. I mean, I know shits | ||
1956 | |1955 |02:38:18 ~-~-> 02:38:21 |off, scripted and rigged, okay, but as a little boy, I believed that shit. I was | ||
1957 | |1956 |02:38:21 ~-~-> 02:38:24 |mad all the time. Every Saturday morning, I was pissed off his mother | ||
1958 | |1957 |02:38:24 ~-~-> 02:38:30 |because he was cheating, and my argument was always, yeah, you're 10 times. That | ||
1959 | |1958 |02:38:30 ~-~-> 02:38:35 |means you fucking lost it nine times. You lost that bitch nine times. So I'm | ||
1960 | |1959 |02:38:35 ~-~-> 02:38:39 |never impressed when people say, I Paul, I passed another combine. I passed | ||
1961 | |1960 |02:38:39 ~-~-> 02:38:48 |another combine. No. How much money have you brought home? How much have you | ||
1962 | |1961 |02:38:48 ~-~-> 02:38:52 |brought home? Because that's what this game's all about. It's not about how | ||
1963 | |1962 |02:38:52 ~-~-> 02:38:56 |many things you can pass. How about passing me my mother fucking money Jack. | ||
1964 | |1963 |02:38:57 ~-~-> 02:39:02 |Okay, pass me the money I got on hold in your prop firm and bring it to back to | ||
1965 | |1964 |02:39:02 ~-~-> 02:39:05 |me, okay? Because then it's spendable money, and then you've made money. You | ||
1966 | |1965 |02:39:05 ~-~-> 02:39:11 |didn't make any fucking money with those digits on a leaderboard or a prop firm | ||
1967 | |1966 |02:39:11 ~-~-> 02:39:15 |account saying that you have this much money, that's not money. They're just | ||
1968 | |1967 |02:39:15 ~-~-> 02:39:20 |numbers. It's only money when it's in your hands and you can spend it on | ||
1969 | |1968 |02:39:20 ~-~-> 02:39:27 |whatever the fuck you want to spend it on. And anybody that tells you otherwise | ||
1970 | |1969 |02:39:27 ~-~-> 02:39:33 |is fucking stupid, because all that is the trick to never have to ask for all | ||
1971 | |1970 |02:39:33 ~-~-> 02:39:37 |that money from the prop firms. They don't want to be paying out those big | ||
1972 | |1971 |02:39:37 ~-~-> 02:39:41 |payouts. They don't want that. That's against the whole fucking process. They | ||
1973 | |1972 |02:39:41 ~-~-> 02:39:46 |make money from you losing. The only way they profit is by you re upping and | ||
1974 | |1973 |02:39:46 ~-~-> 02:39:49 |restarting. That's the game. That's the Ponzi. So if you have a lot of money, | ||
1975 | |1974 |02:39:49 ~-~-> 02:39:54 |you've built it up, you earned it, get it, take it home, and then start it all | ||
1976 | |1975 |02:39:54 ~-~-> 02:39:57 |over again. Because if you know what you're doing, it's nothing to do that. | ||
1977 | |1976 |02:39:58 ~-~-> 02:40:00 |In fact, it's better, because you're free. It up emotionally and | ||
1978 | |1977 |02:40:00 ~-~-> 02:40:07 |psychologically, you've been paid out. I'm sure. I'm certain, Matt, if you're | ||
1979 | |1978 |02:40:07 ~-~-> 02:40:11 |listening, you know, I mean by this, it's not derogatory, but I you know that | ||
1980 | |1979 |02:40:11 ~-~-> 02:40:17 |Matt Miller, you know trade by Matt, when he had that $300,000 payout, he had | ||
1981 | |1980 |02:40:17 ~-~-> 02:40:21 |a lot more money in there he could took out, but he wanted to keep it in there. | ||
1982 | |1981 |02:40:22 ~-~-> 02:40:29 |I bet you, if we were at a bar or a restaurant, one on one talking, I bet | ||
1983 | |1982 |02:40:29 ~-~-> 02:40:31 |you he would say, You know what, if I could go back in time, I wish I would | ||
1984 | |1983 |02:40:31 ~-~-> 02:40:36 |have liquidated it and started all over again. I bet you he would say that. And | ||
1985 | |1984 |02:40:37 ~-~-> 02:40:41 |anybody in their right mind would say the same thing. So my question is, when | ||
1986 | |1985 |02:40:41 ~-~-> 02:40:47 |these individuals, no matter what it is, if you're running up $10,000 or more, | ||
1987 | |1986 |02:40:50 ~-~-> 02:40:56 |like pay yourself, there's nothing guaranteeing that you're, you're, you're | ||
1988 | |1987 |02:40:56 ~-~-> 02:41:02 |streak is going to continue, because these conditions right now. I promise | ||
1989 | |1988 |02:41:02 ~-~-> 02:41:05 |this is the last thing I'm saying, because I have to get out here. I get | ||
1990 | |1989 |02:41:05 ~-~-> 02:41:11 |something. I'm hungry. The conditions that we're trading in right now and | ||
1991 | |1990 |02:41:11 ~-~-> 02:41:17 |we're about to walk into in the next two weeks, going into 2025 is the hardest | ||
1992 | |1991 |02:41:17 ~-~-> 02:41:19 |market environments I've ever traded in, | ||
1993 | |1992 |02:41:20 ~-~-> 02:41:25 |and I've been around for 32 years, I've seen a lot of different markets. I've | ||
1994 | |1993 |02:41:25 ~-~-> 02:41:28 |seen good markets, fast markets, slow markets, tight markets, where they | ||
1995 | |1994 |02:41:28 ~-~-> 02:41:33 |didn't want to move anything. But these are the most difficult market conditions | ||
1996 | |1995 |02:41:33 ~-~-> 02:41:40 |I have ever seen, and I want you to understand that, because if I'm telling | ||
1997 | |1996 |02:41:40 ~-~-> 02:41:44 |you that. I'm telling you that for a reason. If you have a way to get money | ||
1998 | |1997 |02:41:44 ~-~-> 02:41:50 |that's owed to you and you've earned it in these prop firms, take it, you're | ||
1999 | |1998 |02:41:50 ~-~-> 02:41:56 |going to need it. Rough times are coming and you've earned it, then you did not | ||
2000 | |1999 |02:41:56 ~-~-> 02:42:00 |earn it while it's sitting in a digit format. Think about how many times | ||
2001 | |2000 |02:42:00 ~-~-> 02:42:04 |you've heard someone, seen someone, or have experienced it yourself, where you | ||
2002 | |2001 |02:42:04 ~-~-> 02:42:08 |had unrealized profit that you could have taken out but you wanted to build | ||
2003 | |2002 |02:42:08 ~-~-> 02:42:14 |the account up. I'm telling you someone as a money person, there's no difference | ||
2004 | |2003 |02:42:14 ~-~-> 02:42:18 |between you taking that money out of their hands when it's owed to you, and | ||
2005 | |2004 |02:42:18 ~-~-> 02:42:22 |putting in your bank account and starting all over again, those combines | ||
2006 | |2005 |02:42:22 ~-~-> 02:42:28 |are nothing to pass. They're nothing to pass. But staying in them when they're | ||
2007 | |2006 |02:42:28 ~-~-> 02:42:32 |funded, that's the challenge. So if you worked at hard to get it to where it is, | ||
2008 | |2007 |02:42:32 ~-~-> 02:42:36 |where you have that much money to take out of it, take out of it. Take Take it | ||
2009 | |2008 |02:42:36 ~-~-> 02:42:43 |out. Just get get paid. That's the main thing. You have to be able to exchange | ||
2010 | |2009 |02:42:43 ~-~-> 02:42:47 |that money from their hands, which is in numerical format only, and turn it into | ||
2011 | |2010 |02:42:47 ~-~-> 02:42:51 |real money, which is what they don't want to do. They don't want to turn | ||
2012 | |2011 |02:42:51 ~-~-> 02:42:56 |those digits into real money that has to be paid to you, because when that | ||
2013 | |2012 |02:42:56 ~-~-> 02:43:03 |happens, their profit drops. What business model ever has that mind or | ||
2014 | |2013 |02:43:03 ~-~-> 02:43:09 |that mindset that you know our success is on the basis of you losing | ||
2015 | |2014 |02:43:09 ~-~-> 02:43:13 |continuously and paying for those losing, but our failure is you | ||
2016 | |2015 |02:43:13 ~-~-> 02:43:21 |succeeding? But that's exactly what that model is. That's exactly what it is. And | ||
2017 | |2016 |02:43:21 ~-~-> 02:43:26 |guess what? There's always going to be a market for that, until the regular step | ||
2018 | |2017 |02:43:26 ~-~-> 02:43:29 |in and say, we're going to do things differently now. But while it's afforded | ||
2019 | |2018 |02:43:29 ~-~-> 02:43:33 |to you and you have money that's there that should be given to you, if you ask | ||
2020 | |2019 |02:43:33 ~-~-> 02:43:39 |for it, ask for it, get it, secure it in your bank account, and then start over | ||
2021 | |2020 |02:43:40 ~-~-> 02:43:46 |and just repeat that, but leaving it in a position where it ain't your money is | ||
2022 | |2021 |02:43:46 ~-~-> 02:43:54 |stupidity, because given enough time, given enough opportunity, that digit | ||
2023 | |2022 |02:43:54 ~-~-> 02:44:00 |format will be no longer obtainable for you to take it and turn into real money. | ||
2024 | |2023 |02:44:00 ~-~-> 02:44:06 |So hopefully you learned something from today, a couple of stuff, and I think | ||
2025 | |2024 |02:44:06 ~-~-> 02:44:15 |that I communicated in the best way I can how someone could reasonably expect | ||
2026 | |2025 |02:44:16 ~-~-> 02:44:19 |to navigate or feel comfortable with saying, I'm not going to trade in a | ||
2027 | |2026 |02:44:19 ~-~-> 02:44:27 |condition like this today, until it is shown by repeatedly logging it, | ||
2028 | |2027 |02:44:27 ~-~-> 02:44:32 |journaling it, you won't you won't appreciate lectures like this. If this | ||
2029 | |2028 |02:44:32 ~-~-> 02:44:35 |sounds like well, you know you talk because you won't hear the sound of your | ||
2030 | |2029 |02:44:35 ~-~-> 02:44:39 |voice, and that's not what it is. Go back to the tweet this morning, these | ||
2031 | |2030 |02:44:39 ~-~-> 02:44:43 |levels I had in there. I told you the clustering where the market's going to | ||
2032 | |2031 |02:44:43 ~-~-> 02:44:49 |draw to your chart. Your chart shows this, just like it does on mine. We're | ||
2033 | |2032 |02:44:49 ~-~-> 02:44:53 |right in here, in the lower quadrant of that new week opening gap of last week. | ||
2034 | |2033 |02:44:54 ~-~-> 02:44:59 |But Caleb, and you don't require that, that's the major important thing here. | ||
2035 | |2034 |02:45:00 ~-~-> 02:45:04 |So over time, when you have better experience, more experience, you'll be | ||
2036 | |2035 |02:45:04 ~-~-> 02:45:07 |able to hold for these objectives, and you won't trail your stop loss, or if | ||
2037 | |2036 |02:45:07 ~-~-> 02:45:11 |you do get stopped out, you'll go in again, but you won't rush your stop | ||
2038 | |2037 |02:45:11 ~-~-> 02:45:14 |loss, the strangle the market and let it go down. There is a way to trade high | ||
2039 | |2038 |02:45:14 ~-~-> 02:45:18 |resistance to COVID Run conditions. There is, but you're not going to be | ||
2040 | |2039 |02:45:18 ~-~-> 02:45:21 |well versed in the beginning when you're first learning how to trade, to do well | ||
2041 | |2040 |02:45:21 ~-~-> 02:45:25 |in these conditions, because a lot of retracements, a lot of consolidations, | ||
2042 | |2041 |02:45:25 ~-~-> 02:45:30 |and a lot more overlapping. And that's not what you want to see in the trade. | ||
2043 | |2042 |02:45:30 ~-~-> 02:45:33 |You don't want to see unrealized profits erode and go down below your entry | ||
2044 | |2043 |02:45:33 ~-~-> 02:45:38 |pattern or or price, and then see it work real hard to get back into profit | ||
2045 | |2044 |02:45:38 ~-~-> 02:45:42 |again. Most traders don't have the wherewithal to do that. So I try to | ||
2046 | |2045 |02:45:42 ~-~-> 02:45:45 |teach in a way where it steers my students and my children who I'm | ||
2047 | |2046 |02:45:45 ~-~-> 02:45:49 |teaching really, I'm trying to steer them away from these environments, | ||
2048 | |2047 |02:45:49 ~-~-> 02:45:53 |because they're going to be more difficult. They're harder to navigate | ||
2049 | |2048 |02:45:53 ~-~-> 02:45:58 |when you don't have a lot of experience. And imagine, just for a moment, it you | ||
2050 | |2049 |02:45:58 ~-~-> 02:46:02 |had a lot of experience, and you knew a lot more than your own children, but | ||
2051 | |2050 |02:46:02 ~-~-> 02:46:07 |they want to learn what you do. Wouldn't you do everything in your power to try | ||
2052 | |2051 |02:46:07 ~-~-> 02:46:11 |to show them where, even with your ability and your skill set, you can | ||
2053 | |2052 |02:46:11 ~-~-> 02:46:16 |respect the measure of difficulty that's increased in other circumstances around | ||
2054 | |2053 |02:46:16 ~-~-> 02:46:20 |that school thought or whatever it is you're trying to teach them, it doesn't | ||
2055 | |2054 |02:46:20 ~-~-> 02:46:23 |have to be trading. Could be anything, but you have enough experience to know | ||
2056 | |2055 |02:46:23 ~-~-> 02:46:27 |that this is going to be harder for someone that's brand new versus someone | ||
2057 | |2056 |02:46:27 ~-~-> 02:46:31 |that's been doing it for 10 years. They won't see a day like this as all that | ||
2058 | |2057 |02:46:31 ~-~-> 02:46:37 |complicated. They have a little bit more understanding and discipline to to | ||
2059 | |2058 |02:46:37 ~-~-> 02:46:45 |restrict their their participation by way of leverage, number and frequency of | ||
2060 | |2059 |02:46:45 ~-~-> 02:46:50 |trade, and their expectation in terms of their profit. But as a new traders, a | ||
2061 | |2060 |02:46:50 ~-~-> 02:46:54 |new student, you don't think that way. It's like, how much can I make and how | ||
2062 | |2061 |02:46:54 ~-~-> 02:46:58 |fast can I get it? And I don't ever want to see a stop loss ever hit. That's the | ||
2063 | |2062 |02:46:58 ~-~-> 02:47:03 |normal expectation of a new trader. They don't think it's ever going to happen. | ||
2064 | |2063 |02:47:03 ~-~-> 02:47:06 |They say that you're going to find a mentor that teaches them how they're | ||
2065 | |2064 |02:47:06 ~-~-> 02:47:11 |never going to take a losing trade. And that's bullshit. So anyway, I had fun | ||
2066 | |2065 |02:47:11 ~-~-> 02:47:13 |talking to you. I hope you learned something today. These are those better | ||
2067 | |2066 |02:47:13 ~-~-> 02:47:17 |lessons that are better than the me picking the right fair leg up for you in | ||
2068 | |2067 |02:47:17 ~-~-> 02:47:20 |order blocks, because that stuff, you know, even with that information, you'll | ||
2069 | |2068 |02:47:20 ~-~-> 02:47:24 |lose and you'll lose money on days like this, even though that stuff okay, so | ||
2070 | |2069 |02:47:24 ~-~-> 02:47:27 |I'll talk to you guys, Lord willing tomorrow again, uh, it'll probably be a | ||
2071 | |2070 |02:47:27 ~-~-> 02:47:30 |morning session, normal, couple minutes after nine o'clock. You. |