1 | 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:18,509 | ICT: Welcome to Lesson Seven folks of the short term trading module for ICT mentorship. This teaching is dealing with intra week reversals and overlapping |
2 | 00:00:18,509 --> 00:00:19,109 | models. |
3 | 00:00:25,770 --> 00:00:37,440 | Okay, obviously, in every one of our teachings, we have to remind you that we're working with time and price. And one of the questions I want to lead in this |
4 | 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:49,710 | teaching with is, obviously, I've shared with you specific weekly profiles. And when I was teaching for free, I taught that there were market reversal profiles, |
5 | 00:00:49,920 --> 00:01:00,510 | intra week, and inter day. And we'll talk about intraday when we get into day trading. But for short term trading, there's intra weak market reversal |
6 | 00:01:00,510 --> 00:01:14,880 | profiles, that for the uninitiated, or the uninformed, there are many times caught off guard by the likelihood of a potential reversal. And early on in my |
7 | 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:23,670 | career, I had these events as well. And it plagued me it was one of those things that just kept coming up all the time, I'd have a trade, it was profitable, it |
8 | 00:01:23,670 --> 00:01:32,010 | would be working for me, and then something would happen midweek. And it would completely reverse. And I would hope and pray that it would get back in sync |
9 | 00:01:32,010 --> 00:01:43,530 | with what I was expecting to see as a long term trade. And it didn't happen, it came back and roll right up against me and either stopped me out or pressured me |
10 | 00:01:43,530 --> 00:01:56,220 | so much that I had to get out of the trade. If you've never experienced this, you will eventually. So it's important that we cover it now, one of the hardest |
11 | 00:01:56,220 --> 00:02:08,790 | things for me to teach you, when it comes to market profiling is the market reversal profile. Because I have to teach not just one element of trading or |
12 | 00:02:08,850 --> 00:02:18,840 | discipline of trading, but I have to teach a multiple approach, either swing trading, short term trading, day trading, or position trading, swing trading and |
13 | 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:31,470 | short term trading something to that effect. So it can't be understood as efficiently as it would be is if the student or the trader was well versed in |
14 | 00:02:31,500 --> 00:02:41,790 | more than one trading discipline. So when I was teaching on the forums years ago, and I was sharing my information on YouTube, and on my own website, the |
15 | 00:02:42,300 --> 00:02:52,830 | problem I was well aware of, but I wanted to kind of like lay some foundations. So the folks that were really involved in learning and studying, they could have |
16 | 00:02:54,060 --> 00:03:04,170 | not get to the what I'm going to share here, but you know, come to the conclusion that there are certain guidelines and approaches to leads to a |
17 | 00:03:04,170 --> 00:03:15,810 | potential ensure weak market reversal profile. And we're gonna cover the components that leads to that in this teaching here. Okay, in our example, |
18 | 00:03:15,810 --> 00:03:30,750 | again, we're gonna be using the British pound. And this time by having RPD arrays, again, I want you to focus on this low right here. This actually |
19 | 00:03:30,750 --> 00:03:41,850 | happened, the week of this recording, and it created what we're going to be talking about in this teaching. That's kind of waiting for this week to close |
20 | 00:03:41,850 --> 00:03:50,040 | anyway. So I can actually use this as an example. But if you go through the notes in this teaching, you'll be able to go back over historical data and see |
21 | 00:03:50,040 --> 00:04:02,100 | where they manifest themselves. And the criteria I teach. In this lesson, you'll see that a just like script, it follows almost to the to the letter. So what |
22 | 00:04:02,100 --> 00:04:10,800 | we're looking at is the low that was formed on cable and the intra week reversal. And what led up to that and what are the characteristics that |
23 | 00:04:10,830 --> 00:04:23,130 | generally are a part of this phenomenon? First, we have to identify the fact that the market was in a premium market, classified by the large trading range |
24 | 00:04:23,130 --> 00:04:32,910 | that we talked about and outlined in lesson five. So we're in the premium range of the pdra matrix. And perhaps you saw that the market was trading up into the |
25 | 00:04:32,910 --> 00:04:41,160 | weekly rejection block or traded up into an old bearish order block on the daily chart. So therefore, we could potentially see the market trade lower as we were |
26 | 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:51,600 | anticipating potentially seeing this week, but it trades down into a lower level PD array in the discount. It doesn't do it over the course of the entire week. |
27 | 00:04:51,600 --> 00:05:05,010 | No, no, it does this in a matter of 24 hours. So as the market in this case, the able British Pound USD trades over 200 points. |
28 | 00:05:06,569 --> 00:05:16,829 | In a period of 24 hours, the market reaches for a level with speed for a particular reason. And when you look at the daily chart here, we've outlined the |
29 | 00:05:16,829 --> 00:05:27,089 | PD arrays, and you can see that there's a daily bullish order block mean threshold. And price reaches right into that on Wednesday of the week of this |
30 | 00:05:27,089 --> 00:05:42,239 | recording. When we see a fast market, we have to immediately assume that they're reaching for a level institutional order flow that is highly critical for |
31 | 00:05:42,269 --> 00:05:52,409 | efficiency on the interbank level. Now, that may be in the form of commerce globally, or it could be in the form of a repricing at the central bank level. |
32 | 00:05:53,009 --> 00:06:04,379 | Either one of those could happen rather quickly. And while it took some time to gradually drift down over the 24 hour time period, for that whole entire range, |
33 | 00:06:04,379 --> 00:06:19,739 | the form between Tuesday going into Wednesday is low. And the idea is you're going to anticipate at the beginning of week a certain outcome. And it's prudent |
34 | 00:06:19,739 --> 00:06:29,309 | that you stick to that, okay, because over the course of a career, you're going to get caught in a reversal like this once in a while. It's not going to play |
35 | 00:06:29,309 --> 00:06:38,849 | your career, obviously, after learning that what's being taught in this lesson. But you'll also have a checklist on things that may lead to that type of |
36 | 00:06:38,849 --> 00:06:49,319 | scenario. And if you go back over to the chart index, and look at some of the examples we were talking about as it relates to the cable, there were telltale |
37 | 00:06:49,319 --> 00:06:59,699 | signs, and I gave you a little marker telling you that there is a potential area of bounce likely in this pair would lead me to that other things that I'm going |
38 | 00:06:59,699 --> 00:07:08,399 | to teach you in this lesson. Because I understand multiple dimensions of trading, whether it be position trading, short term trading, swing trading, day |
39 | 00:07:08,399 --> 00:07:20,189 | trading, scalping, all that business. I'm versed in understanding and reading price. Universally, it's not one type of timeframe. To me, that makes sense. |
40 | 00:07:20,189 --> 00:07:31,499 | It's all the timeframes on how to blend them together. And that part comes with experience. And after a measurable growth in your experience, and working within |
41 | 00:07:31,739 --> 00:07:39,989 | different disciplines of trading. This is the reason why I tell you, regardless of whatever you think you want to be at the beginning of the mentorship, it's |
42 | 00:07:39,989 --> 00:07:49,109 | going to graduate into other things. But I'm forcing you across all of them if you're willing to submit to all of them and stay with the mentorship. Again, |
43 | 00:07:49,109 --> 00:07:57,809 | it's not a plug, you decide whether you're staying here or not. But by having a well versed approach, and understanding across all the disciplines, you |
44 | 00:07:57,869 --> 00:08:06,479 | inherently have a advantage over those individuals that just stick to just one format or discipline of trading. I'm a scalper I'm only going to worry about |
45 | 00:08:06,479 --> 00:08:16,589 | scalping. Okay, well, then you're not going to be that good at scalping because you have a limited myopic view on price action. So having a well rounded |
46 | 00:08:16,589 --> 00:08:28,049 | approach to price action, multiple timeframes, different disciplines, you will, by default, be a better trader at whatever discipline you focus on as a career. |
47 | 00:08:30,629 --> 00:08:39,179 | So we're going to look at this little range in here. Now, it's not so much of a little range, but we're gonna look at the move in this particular decline down |
48 | 00:08:39,179 --> 00:08:50,009 | into the daily bullish order block mean threshold. And what was the catalyst that led to that reversal? First thing you want to notice is that price is |
49 | 00:08:50,069 --> 00:09:00,629 | unwilling to leave the premium. So we're in the upper portion of larger trading range defined by in less than five. So while we saw initially in the beginning |
50 | 00:09:00,629 --> 00:09:09,869 | of the week, the market wants to decline. And it was doing it aggressively and speedily if you will. By seeing that we could have if we didn't understand pdra |
51 | 00:09:09,989 --> 00:09:19,229 | Matrix discount arrays, we could have easily expected this market to keep on trading lower median going down to the fair value gap. Or if your classic |
52 | 00:09:19,229 --> 00:09:34,439 | Support Resistance person, maybe just that old low made back in January. myopic I know, but nonetheless, this view leads to what many times breaks accounts, it |
53 | 00:09:34,439 --> 00:09:43,679 | ends careers, it dashes the hopes of would be traders because they aren't informed. You're learning the mechanics of how price is delivered. We're going |
54 | 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:53,819 | to look at this range here and define it in a context that would otherwise not be available to you. So we're gonna look at the first two days of the week, |
55 | 00:09:54,449 --> 00:10:01,019 | going into Wednesday's low and I want you to understand Just how much |
56 | 00:10:01,410 --> 00:10:12,930 | that price range is it's extraordinary it look at the length of that candle. For the most part, it's many times larger than the general average of all the |
57 | 00:10:12,930 --> 00:10:22,980 | candles here. Now obviously, there's a few of them here that are larger, but in general terms, the candles slightly before in the candles to the right of it, |
58 | 00:10:23,310 --> 00:10:42,090 | that large down candle on Tuesday. It's pretty much a dominating candle. So it was speed at which it moved in one trading day. To get down to a specific |
59 | 00:10:42,090 --> 00:10:52,710 | institutional order flow reference point. We're gonna take a closer look at this. And we're gonna look at a four hour chart, and we're gonna refine it and |
60 | 00:10:52,710 --> 00:11:03,480 | give it a little bit more detail. The yellow areas that same range to find across the entire week. from Monday's rally, Tuesday's decline and Wednesdays |
61 | 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:15,840 | low. And price returns to a discount pdra reversing intra week. Now we can see it clearly here. It's hindsight. It's perfect. It's 2020. We can see it. But we |
62 | 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:24,720 | have to go into it with the details, because that's what's going to help you see what it looks like going forward. Why did we anticipate a bounce there? Why did |
63 | 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:33,960 | I give it to you in your chart index this week, the things I'm going to show you here. I want you to take a look at the low here. And it forms on Wednesdays |
64 | 00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:50,910 | market low and it's trading at a daily bullish order block means threshold. After the bounce at the Daily bullish order block mean threshold ELLIPTA draws |
65 | 00:11:50,910 --> 00:12:03,630 | price up into a four hour bearish order block premium pdra. Notice the efficiency out trades right up into it, it's exactly right to the logical area |
66 | 00:12:03,630 --> 00:12:13,440 | where price should reach for if it's going to a premium market. There's very little movement below the level that's identified as the daily bullish order |
67 | 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:26,550 | block mean threshold. And it trades right to the four hour bearish order block. You can't get any better than that in terms of price delivery. clearly seen with |
68 | 00:12:26,550 --> 00:12:37,620 | the four hour block traded here. Now we're going to take it, refine it down to an hourly chart and give it a lot more flesh on the skeleton we're outlining as |
69 | 00:12:37,620 --> 00:12:46,770 | a market reversal profile. I want you to note the large decline from the first of the week. Now obviously, I'm beating this in your head because this is the |
70 | 00:12:46,770 --> 00:12:56,190 | classic telltale sign that you have a potential market reversal profile. Think about it every time that the market quickly starts trading on Monday or Tuesday |
71 | 00:12:56,190 --> 00:13:07,050 | aggressively and speedily. That's usually a telltale sign, it's in a hurry to make a weekly range, or it's going to go to an institutional order flow |
72 | 00:13:07,170 --> 00:13:19,950 | reference point that could potentially cause it to reverse and go the other way. So now we can see Monday starts as a potential high the week profile. Rallies |
73 | 00:13:19,950 --> 00:13:28,140 | initially read from Sunday's opening declines a little bit and then we have another rally into the london session on Tuesday and aggressively trades lower |
74 | 00:13:28,590 --> 00:13:42,390 | trading right into the changeover from Tuesday into Wednesday, creating the low of the week. And then we have an aggressive move off that low. This right here, |
75 | 00:13:42,390 --> 00:13:54,060 | this price declined the speed at which and the magnitude of which it moves is the telltale sign that's the characteristic that leads you to okay, we're really |
76 | 00:13:54,060 --> 00:14:04,080 | moving quickly and we're covering a lot of ground in the beginning of the week. Whenever that happens, you immediately start looking for higher timeframe PD |
77 | 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:15,540 | arrays that may cut costs or be a catalyst for intra week market reversal profile. If you do not do this and you fall into the the thought process that |
78 | 00:14:15,540 --> 00:14:16,020 | okay. |
79 | 00:14:17,790 --> 00:14:27,000 | It's moving quickly it's moving fast so therefore I'm going to make a lot more money in double time and it's probably going to have an equal Leg Lower later in |
80 | 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:39,600 | the week and the same movement. No Don't think like that. Okay, don't think like that at all. Speed in price is indicative of them getting to a valuation point. |
81 | 00:14:40,350 --> 00:14:49,230 | When price is in a hurry to get somewhere think about when central banks reprice, for instance, when they do interest rate announcements, okay? There's |
82 | 00:14:49,230 --> 00:14:59,370 | very little time from where right before the announcement, then the news comes out and then the rate changes that is not attributed to buying and selling. |
83 | 00:14:59,490 --> 00:15:08,340 | Okay, That's a repricing based at the central bank level, it's a sudden thing. And that's why there's such a wide disparity between where price is at one |
84 | 00:15:08,340 --> 00:15:24,840 | moment, and then all sudden it's somewhere else. That repricing is a response to a central bank intervention or interest rate announcement. When there is no |
85 | 00:15:25,170 --> 00:15:34,800 | central bank involvement, and prices just aggressively and speedily moving, okay, that's based on evaluation through speculation. So they're taking the |
86 | 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:49,110 | market down through HIPAA, in this case, down to a daily premium, to discount range. In other words, it's moving away from a premium down into a discount PD |
87 | 00:15:49,110 --> 00:15:59,520 | array. But we're still in the larger premium range. So if you were just looking at price and you understood, overbought, oversold, this would look like it's |
88 | 00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:06,780 | probably going to keep going lower, it's going to continue going lower. But no, the only thing it's doing is it's showing a willingness to get back down to a |
89 | 00:16:06,780 --> 00:16:17,280 | discount level. Okay, think about how I showed you in the previous lesson, how you can grade modulars smaller ranges in terms of premium and discount arrays. |
90 | 00:16:18,510 --> 00:16:29,130 | That same thing is being used here, but just in scope of keeping it in the upper portion of the premium range on that daily chart that we broken down in lesson |
91 | 00:16:29,130 --> 00:16:41,340 | five. So while we're still overall in a premium market, longer term, short term, it can continuously move higher and keep making higher highs. Think about it |
92 | 00:16:41,340 --> 00:16:47,670 | like when you trade with bearish divergence. Just because the momentum indicators diverging bearish, it doesn't mean price is going to say okay, well |
93 | 00:16:47,670 --> 00:16:55,920 | I'm gonna turn around go the other way because stochastics or MACD, it continuously can can keep moving higher up, that same element takes place when |
94 | 00:16:55,920 --> 00:17:05,670 | we're looking at just price action alone. So while we are in a premium market, the market is showing a willingness to not here's the key, not move out of a |
95 | 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:14,280 | premium market numbers. Why didn't this continuously go lower Wednesday into Thursday going into the discount market? Because it needs to go higher, a wants |
96 | 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:25,860 | to go higher. So if it's not going to go lower, and it wants to go higher? Where do we focus, we focus on premium PD arrays. Now Wednesday breaks a short term |
97 | 00:17:25,860 --> 00:17:39,270 | high. And then we start seeing evidences of institutional sponsorship on every bullish order block. Every order block that forms with a down candle or a series |
98 | 00:17:39,270 --> 00:17:49,050 | of down candles, we extended out in time, you can see them capitalizing each one of them with new long positions. And we're seeing a positive confirmation |
99 | 00:17:49,050 --> 00:18:02,160 | because price is quickly surging away from that level. In every instance, we see new evidences of institutional sponsorship and up into a fair value gap premium |
100 | 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:17,880 | PD array. Now, intra week reversals, will many times look to return to the previous bounce the price range or exceeded. Now what does that mean? Think |
101 | 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:32,250 | about the market maker sell and buy profiles. Okay, there were market maker sell and buy models. In this case here, this could end up becoming a market maker by |
102 | 00:18:32,250 --> 00:18:41,670 | profile. We have the consolidation noon, as in this example, as the price balanced range, or its price is in a smaller range, and then it leaves it on |
103 | 00:18:41,670 --> 00:18:55,260 | Tuesday, aggressively sells off. We have the smart money reversal in the Tuesdays Wednesday overlap, and then we have a low risk by one Thursday, then we |
104 | 00:18:55,260 --> 00:19:05,520 | have a continuation or re accumulation on Friday. But prices traded up into that price bounced range all over again, it's right back up at it again. |
105 | 00:19:05,910 --> 00:19:14,400 | So when we see that this could be the end of the move, it can be this could all that's necessary is for them to trade right back up to that price bounced range. |
106 | 00:19:15,120 --> 00:19:26,820 | But we always have to have the likelihood on our mind, that price may exceed it and go past it, which is what the market maker by profile really aims to do it |
107 | 00:19:26,820 --> 00:19:36,900 | take out the liquidity above an old high. In this case, we have a lower high formed on Tuesday than Monday. So it may not necessarily need to go above it but |
108 | 00:19:36,900 --> 00:19:50,400 | personally between you and I think it will. So here we have a British Pound naked one hour chart. Now, if we were just giving this example here in price |
109 | 00:19:50,400 --> 00:20:02,400 | action, maybe some of us would be able to see that low down there and see some evidence to support why it should go up and then maybe not Whenever we have a |
110 | 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:12,510 | storyline or a potential outcome in the marketplace, in our mind, and we, we formed an opinion, we have a plan that we're going to try to execute on. And |
111 | 00:20:13,140 --> 00:20:20,370 | it's important that we were mindful that the setup may not pan out. For instance, at the beginning of this week, you may have seen this as a potential |
112 | 00:20:20,370 --> 00:20:29,850 | high of the week. And you expected to see Friday's close be lower than Wednesday's low. Guess what, just like I do, sometimes you're gonna get it |
113 | 00:20:29,850 --> 00:20:39,990 | wrong. The evidences of the fact that the markets moving quickly at the beginning of the week, this is Monday and Tuesday, Monday and Tuesday, okay, or |
114 | 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:52,170 | one of the two. If we see sudden, quick movement in price and magnitude, here's the key word here. It's got to cover a lot of distance, what's average average |
115 | 00:20:52,170 --> 00:21:01,680 | distance of the last few days, if it exceeds it a lot. Wherever the average daily range is, for last five days, if it gets well above it, chances are, |
116 | 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:09,180 | you're probably going to see a market reversal profile. It doesn't mean it always will happen. It just means that start considering it. Okay. I mentioned |
117 | 00:21:09,210 --> 00:21:20,310 | in the commentary to this week, that we were probably going to see the weekly range form in one day. And we did, we pretty much ended up seeing that, with the |
118 | 00:21:20,310 --> 00:21:31,140 | exception, the small little tail noted here on Monday's high. The whole range for cable was really formed on Tuesday. So that's indicative that's |
119 | 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:40,950 | characterised characteristic of a market reversal profile intro week. So the main thing I want you to understand in this lesson is that it the beginning and |
120 | 00:21:40,950 --> 00:21:52,770 | we anticipate the higher load form, period. That's that's a given. That's that's the nature of ICT concepts. Because as humans are generally good starters. And |
121 | 00:21:52,770 --> 00:22:06,180 | weak starts with the new hopes and aspirations that make money in exchange and commerce. But opinions can change. Directives can be changed, and the central |
122 | 00:22:06,180 --> 00:22:16,440 | bank and the banks themselves, they can make policy changes and or fundamentals may change that we're not aware of. And yes, you heard that, right. I don't know |
123 | 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:25,260 | what they are, that causes price to change at the central bank level, I don't need to know it, I can see the evidences of it in price. So when we move forward |
124 | 00:22:25,260 --> 00:22:33,540 | and going through price action study, it's important that you understand that knowing the higher timeframe, PD arrays will aid in failures. I mean, when you |
125 | 00:22:33,540 --> 00:22:40,710 | have a trade that doesn't seem like it's working out for you, even though you're profitable, chances are, it's probably better for you to get out of it. And look |
126 | 00:22:40,710 --> 00:22:52,620 | for another entry point. If it doesn't give you a strong entry point, chances are, it's probably going to be a market reversal profile. Wednesday or Thursday, |
127 | 00:22:52,650 --> 00:23:04,080 | reversals generally form every month. So no matter what pair you're looking at, there's generally some kind of reversal of sorts that can form. So by going over |
128 | 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:05,670 | examples, and looking at price history, |
129 | 00:23:06,870 --> 00:23:16,410 | you'll see many more examples in just this one here. And everything we're showing is reversed when there's an intra weak market reversal profile that goes |
130 | 00:23:16,410 --> 00:23:27,690 | higher and then sells off. So it's a generic concept, it's very simple things that leads up to it. The classic telltale signs are the magnitude at which the |
131 | 00:23:27,690 --> 00:23:36,270 | price moves on Monday and Tuesday. Okay, so it's only two days, you have to focus on how much is price moving on Monday and Tuesday. So if you're seeing a |
132 | 00:23:36,270 --> 00:23:44,070 | lot of movement in your favor, and it's really covering a lot of distance, and it's doing it quickly, many instances, you're gonna see it, like this week, |
133 | 00:23:44,430 --> 00:23:53,910 | really built in on one trading day, when it does that, consider the higher timeframe PD raise, because it's probably going down to evaluation or a higher |
134 | 00:23:54,060 --> 00:24:02,700 | level valuation point. And then it's going to have a lot of sponsorship come in, and those flows are going to turn the market, it's going to turn it the other |
135 | 00:24:02,700 --> 00:24:18,090 | way. And if you fight that, it can beat you up or, dare I say, break your account. Now, consider swing trading model overlap possibilities. And we've |
136 | 00:24:18,090 --> 00:24:27,450 | talked about the likelihood of using short term trading concepts and one shot one kill. And now we're going to blend or overlap trading models. So it helps |
137 | 00:24:27,450 --> 00:24:37,440 | you kind of formulate a better understanding. Here we have that same area price action. And what I've done was I outlined it in terms of a premium and discount |
138 | 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:47,370 | PD array matrix. So we can see in the green area, that's the discount area, and I have a graded as well with four grades or four quadrants. And the premium area |
139 | 00:24:47,370 --> 00:25:00,360 | is posted, and it's divided as well. Notice that on a daily chart, we have a daily bullish order block. It's trading down into that so if we look Get this |
140 | 00:25:00,360 --> 00:25:09,240 | model here, think about what I taught you in the swing trading model. This is a swing trade entry. This is exactly what you look for, for a swing trade. Now, if |
141 | 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:18,090 | you're not a swing trader, if you don't think like a swing trader, then you're not going to see this as a swing trade entry, you're not going to see it as a |
142 | 00:25:18,090 --> 00:25:28,350 | potential setup that could many times pay out much more than what a one shot one kill would. If you're only focusing on I'm going to be a short term trader, I'm |
143 | 00:25:28,350 --> 00:25:37,200 | going to only be a day trader, I'm only going to be a scalper, these types of setups will evade you. And by evading you, it's also going to become a pitfall |
144 | 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:46,020 | for you, you're not going to know when there's going to be these potential reversals, they'll get, you'll get caught off guard. So now we're gonna take |
145 | 00:25:46,020 --> 00:25:55,680 | that same element, everything we saw on the daily chart that is just applied, we're just viewing it from a one hour standpoint, so we can see the intraday |
146 | 00:25:55,770 --> 00:26:10,170 | price action on a day by day division. You can see here, reversals intra week, they occur, here's the secret, they occur in overlapping models. Every market |
147 | 00:26:10,170 --> 00:26:21,480 | reversal that happens intra week will be a overlapping of two types of trading disciplines, they will be at odds with one another. here's the rub, the higher |
148 | 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:31,980 | timeframe discipline will always win. That's why we have to focus on monthly, weekly and daily PD arrays. That's why I beat it in your head, they are the most |
149 | 00:26:31,980 --> 00:26:40,470 | important ones. Anything less than that four hour, that's about as low as you want to go. Anything less than that is all day trading stuff. And if you're day |
150 | 00:26:40,470 --> 00:26:48,990 | trading things are not in alignment with the higher timeframe, daily, weekly or monthly, no less than a four hour, you're really not trading high probability |
151 | 00:26:48,990 --> 00:26:59,580 | setups. And so it's important to understand that the reversals are not always going to surprise you now because you have some characteristics to look for. And |
152 | 00:26:59,580 --> 00:27:09,930 | now about having an opinion of not just one shot, one kill short term trading, or swing trading, but you have position trading as well. And by blending all |
153 | 00:27:09,930 --> 00:27:17,730 | those elements together, it gives you a greater understanding about price action. And now because you have these characteristics in each discipline |
154 | 00:27:17,730 --> 00:27:31,380 | understood, when you see a opposing view, if a swing traders approach saying it's a buy, when you're looking at a one shot, one kill sell off. Chances are |
155 | 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:39,420 | your weekly range phenomenon that you're trying to trade is going to have opposition to the degree where it will cause a reversal, as it's being shown |
156 | 00:27:39,420 --> 00:27:43,950 | here. So daily swing |
157 | 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:53,760 | model overlap example shown here will hopefully ground you and your understanding about how intra weak market reversals occur. The takeaways from |
158 | 00:27:53,760 --> 00:28:02,640 | this lesson again are the speed at which price moves on Monday and Tuesday, the magnitude at which it moves, there's your number one characteristic telltale |
159 | 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:12,420 | sign you probably going to see a market reversal in your week. And look for overlapping opposing trading models. If one is suggesting a buyer on a higher |
160 | 00:28:12,420 --> 00:28:20,100 | timeframe, while on a lower timeframe, it's looking like it may continue going lower. The armwrestling match is always going to be one by the higher timeframe. |
161 | 00:28:20,820 --> 00:28:30,780 | So hopefully you've learned something that brings you closer to a greater understanding of price action and intra week reversals and blending and |
162 | 00:28:30,780 --> 00:28:32,490 | overlapping trading models. |